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spk15: Good evening and welcome to the Texas Roadhouse first quarter earnings conference call. Today's call is being recorded. All participants are now in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. At that time, if you would like to ask a question, please press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. Should anyone need assistance at any time during the conference, please press star zero and an operator will assist you. I would now like to introduce Michael Balin, Head of Investor Relations for Texas Roadhouse. You may begin your conference.
spk05: Thank you, Brianna, and good evening. By now, you should have access to our earnings release for the first quarter ended March 26, 2024. It may also be found on our website at TexasRoadhouse.com in the investor section. I would like to remind everyone that part of our discussion today will include forward-looking statements. These statements are not guarantees of future performance, and therefore, undue reliance should not be placed upon them. We refer all of you to our earnings release and our recent filings with the SEC. These documents provide a more detailed discussion of the relevant factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those forward-looking statements. In addition, we may refer to non-GAAP measures. If applicable, reconciliations of the non-GAAP measures to the GAAP information can be found in our earnings release. On the call with me today is Jerry Morgan, Chief Executive Officer of Texas Roadhouse, and Chris Monroe, our Chief Financial Officer. Following the prepared remarks, we will be available to answer your questions. In order to accommodate everyone that would like to ask a question, we kindly ask analysts to please limit yourself to one question. Now I'd like to turn the call over to Jerry.
spk09: Thanks, Michael, and good evening, everyone. There is no doubt that 2024 is off to a great start with first quarter revenue over $1.3 billion and same store sales growth of 8.4%. Our strong results continue to reflect our operator's commitment to the consistency and quality of the food, the hospitality they provide, and our everyday value. The benefit of our long-term approach to the business and our focus on always prioritizing the guest experience is evident in the record sales, margin dollars, and net income for the first quarter. While the Texas Roadhouse brand generated average weekly sales of over $163,000 in the first quarter, I want to also highlight the progress our operators are making at Bubba's 33 and Jagger's. Bubba's 33 averaged over $120,000 in weekly sales during the first quarter. With four locations scheduled to open this year and a growing pipeline for the coming years, we remain confident in the future for Bubba's 33. Jagger's, our quick service brand, is also experiencing momentum and delivered nearly $68,000 in average weekly sales. We continue to expect a mix of company and franchise jaggers over the coming years. And the first international franchise in South Korea is scheduled to open later this year. Our investment and commitment to opening new restaurants at a more even pace has been successful. In the first quarter, we opened nine company-owned Texas roadhouses. We currently expect to open an additional six company-owned restaurants during the second quarter. For the full year, we remain on track to open approximately 30 company-owned restaurants across the three brands. Our franchise partners opened two international Texas Roadhouse locations and a domestic Jagger's during the first quarter. We continue to expect as many as 14 franchise openings this year, including four Jagger's. On the technology front, Our conversion to digital kitchens is going as planned with 30% of the approximate 200 scheduled conversions completed so far. The feedback from our operators remains highly positive. In addition to kitchen efficiencies, our operators also appreciate the calmer kitchen and less stressful execution during power hours. Also on the technology front, we are preparing to go live during the second quarter with a new people system, which we call Roadie First Technology. The system will provide our employees with a more user-friendly platform for easier access to their data and records. It should also improve the recruiting and employee management processes for our managers. The Roadie First Technology name reflects our commitment to enhancing the ROTI experience at all levels, which will allow us to continue hiring, training, and retaining the best people in the industry. Finally, we just returned home from our annual Managing Partner Conference in Austin, Texas. It was a great week celebrating our operators' success in 2023, planning for the future, recognizing our top talent, and having a little fun. We also unveiled our first purpose statement, which is serving communities across America and the world. We believe our purpose builds clarity for our roadies and will inspire them for our journey ahead. Speaking of inspiration, I want to congratulate Casey Cohen from Turnersville, New Jersey, as she was named our Texas Roadhouse Managing Partner of the Year. I also want to congratulate Vanessa Blanca Quesada from Albuquerque, New Mexico for being named our Bubba's 33 Managing Partner of the Year. Additionally, I want to recognize Benito Galindo of Covington, Louisiana for being named our National Meat Cutting Champion, and Frank Fernandez for being named our Support Center Roadie of the Year. And lastly, I would like to congratulate and thank our award finalists, for their contributions and accomplishments. Now, Chris will provide some thoughts.
spk18: Thanks, Jerry. I want to echo your comments regarding what an impactful time we shared with our managing partners in Austin. They are doing a fantastic job and it was great to be a part of celebrating the best of the best. Having an operator mentality and focus on the guest experience continues to pay financial dividends for us. While it's only been five weeks since we implemented a 2.2% menu price increase, we are encouraged by the traffic and mixed trends we've seen so far. In fact, our mixed trends improved as we moved through the first quarter and into the beginning of the second quarter. We've always taken a long-term approach to pricing with the goal of driving sustainable traffic growth. We believe our guests continue to reward us for this approach. by choosing to come to our restaurants more often. Commodities, more particularly beef, have performed better than we'd expected. We're benefiting from the improved cost environment as only a small portion of this year's beef purchases have been made through fixed price contracts. While we still expect beef inflation to increase as we move through the year, we now expect full year 2024 commodity inflation will be approximately Currently, we expect to be above the full-year inflation forecast in the back half of the year. Labor is benefiting from improved productivity as our hiring efforts have resulted in well-staffed restaurants with longer-tenured roadies. This is allowing our managers to staff their restaurants more efficiently and focus on the employee experience. So far this year, wage and other labor inflation has played out as anticipated. As such, we continue to expect 4% to 5% inflation for the full year. Our cash flow from operations continues to support our balanced approach to capital allocation. We're pleased with the returns we are generating from our ongoing investments in the business, including new store openings, bump outs, kitchen expansions, and digital kitchen conversions. During the first quarter, we generated over 240 million of operating cash flow, which was used to fund over 125 million of capital expenditures, dividend payments, and share repurchases. As we've done throughout our history, we will continue to return capital to shareholders and invest in growth projects. And now, Michael will walk us through the first quarter results.
spk05: Thanks, Chris. For the first quarter of 2024, we reported revenue growth of 12.5% driven by a 7.7% increase in average unit volume and 4.9% store week growth. We also reported a restaurant margin dollar increase of 23% to $228 million and a diluted earnings per share increase of 31.4% to $1.69. Average weekly sales in the first quarter were over $159,000 with to-go representing approximately $21,000 or 13.1% of these total weekly sales. Comparable sales increased 8.4% in the first quarter driven by 4.3% traffic growth and a 4.1% increase in average check. By month, comparable sales grew 4.2%, 10.4%, and 10.2% for our January, February, and March periods respectively. And comparable sales for the first five weeks of the second quarter were up 9.3% with our restaurants averaging sales of approximately $158,000 per week during that period. In the first quarter, restaurant margin dollars per store week increased 17.3% to over $27,500. Restaurant margin as a percentage of total sales increased 148 basis points year over year to 17.4%. Food and beverage costs as a percentage of total sales were 33.9% for the first quarter. The 131 basis point year-over-year improvement was driven by the benefit of a 4.1% check increase offsetting the 0.9% commodity inflation for the quarter. Labor as a percentage of total sales decreased 51 basis points to 32.5% as compared to the first quarter of 2023. Labor dollars per store week increased 5.7% due to wage and other labor inflation of 4.3% and growth in hours of 1%. The remaining 0.3% increase in labor dollars per store week was primarily driven by a $0.7 million net unfavorable adjustment to our quarterly insurance reserve. Other operating costs were 14.7% of sales, which was 39 basis points higher than the first quarter of 2023. Higher operator bonuses as a percentage of sales resulting from an increased year-over-year restaurant level profitability drove 23 basis points of the increase. Also included in the year-over-year change is an approximately 35 basis point negative impact from adjustments to our quarterly reserve for general liability insurance. These adjustments include $3.5 million of additional expense this year and a $0.8 million credit last year. Moving below restaurant margin, G&A dollars grew 5.5% year over year and came in at 4% of revenue for the first quarter. G&A dollar growth benefited from lapping an approximately $2.6 million one-time cost related to an executive retirement. Our effective tax rate for the quarter was 13.9%. Our expectation for the full year 2024 income tax rate remains unchanged at approximately 14%. Finally, as a reminder, 2024 is a 53-week year for us. As such, The fourth quarter will have 14 weeks versus our normal 13 weeks. We estimate that the additional week could benefit full year 2024 earnings per share growth by approximately 4%. Now I will turn the call back over to Jerry for final comments.
spk09: Thanks, Michael. The theme of our managing partner conference was buckle up. It is a fitting message as we prepare for our journey ahead. At conference, I encourage our operators to buckle up and double down on our mission, our core values, and our purpose of serving our communities across America and the world. Last, but certainly not least, we are honored to have Casey and Vanessa, our Managing Partners of the Year, with us for the call today.
spk07: Congratulations again to both of you. Let's go, Roadhouse and Bubbles. That concludes our prepared remarks. Brianna, please open the line for questions.
spk15: Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. If you have dialed in and would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad to raise your hand and join the queue. To withdraw your question, simply press star 1 again. If you are called upon to ask your question and are listening via loudspeaker on your device, Please pick up your handset and ensure that your phone is not on mute when asking your question. Our first question today comes from David Palmer with Evercore ISI. Please go ahead.
spk04: Thanks. I'll try to squeeze in just two quick ones. First, on other operating expenses, it's up 9% per store in the quarter. That was a similar type of growth rate in all of 23. Could you remind me, what's driving that growth in that line item? And as you look ahead, is it reasonable to assume that that growth rate might slow and you'd be able to leverage that line a little bit more? And then just any comments or details you can give about the Digital Kitchen Initiative. It obviously has great uptake. Any quantification about the benefits you're seeing, table turns, order accuracy, anything that could help the business? Thanks.
spk05: Hey, David. Thanks for the question. It's Michael. I'll start with the question about the other operating. Yeah, as we mentioned, we did have a general liability adjustment on that line of $3.5 million. So that is driving some of that increase. Obviously, as we're doing higher sales volumes, that also is driving those dollars per store week as there are items in there that are directly correlated with sales. And we also mentioned the higher profitability of the restaurants is leading to more compensation expense. So it is certainly possible and probably expected that dollar per store week growth for other operating will not increase at that high of a level throughout the remainder of the year. But obviously, we don't know what other adjustments we may have to make. all else being equal, that should come down. And I can start off on the digital kitchen, and then I'll turn it over, you know, probably to Jerry. We're a little early for us to give any, you know, comments, you know, actual throughput or, you know, any kind of numerical quantitative information on it. But we are, you know, very happy with the qualitative feedback that we're getting so far and encouraged by what we're seeing.
spk09: Yeah, David, on the digital kitchen, I think as we're still early into it, we are very excited about the positive feedback we're getting from our operators. We are being able to see and track our cook times a little bit, the timing of our food, and really the calmness and the organization that the digital kitchen brings to our back of the house. So, I believe that there is just a quality of life or experience of on the job that will benefit us as we move forward. So we are definitely excited about getting more done as we move through the year and getting some more feedback. But so far, really, really good feedback.
spk07: Thanks, guys. Congrats. Thank you very much.
spk15: Your next question comes from David Tarantino with Baird. Please go ahead.
spk16: Hi, good afternoon and congrats on a good start to the year. My question's on the margin outlook. I think you've talked in the past about the potential to get long-term restaurant margins back to 17, 18%. I know that's a long-term target, but my question is related to how much progress towards that target you might be able to make this year in light of the easing inflation environment, the productivity gains you're making. So just wondering if you could frame up this year in the context of progress towards that long-term target. Thanks.
spk18: Sure, David. This is Chris, and thanks for the question. Well, clearly, we've had solid margin expansion in Q1 here and reaching 17.4. So we're in the zone of our goal. of 17% to 18%, and that's where we'd like to be. And honestly, we feel like we have an opportunity to expand it similarly in a year-over-year basis in Q2. But in the second half, there's some commodity pressure that we're expecting, and so it'll be more difficult to do that. But then when you get to the full year after you've added all that up, you know, we should see some modestly higher than we were in 2023. And with still a long-term goal of consistently delivering between 17% and 18%. Great.
spk16: Thank you very much. And then if I could ask a follow-up. You did mention labor productivity gains. So could you just maybe elaborate on what you're doing there? And is that just a matter of kind of more stable staffing in the current environment? Or are you actually making progress in other ways? Any help there?
spk18: Yeah, David, this is Chris again. I think it is a reflection of more stable staffing and having our longer-tenured roadies, as I talked about in my prepared remarks. It just allows our operators to just have a team that's together, that's working together, that gets reps together, and they're just more efficient. And we're far away from the situations that we were in during the pandemic where it was difficult to get people to come in and we were having difficulty in staffing. So now that we have our staff in place and our turnover is certainly much lower than it was before, that's driving some of the benefit on that line.
spk07: Great. Thank you very much.
spk15: Your next question comes from Brian Harbor with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
spk00: Yeah, thanks. Good afternoon. I think you commented on just some improvement in mix sequentially. Could you talk about kind of what drove that or, you know, any kind of like customer behavior shift that you observed as you went through the quarter?
spk07: Yeah, sure, Brian. This is Michael.
spk05: I can talk a little bit on that. Yeah, I mean, I'd say really not seeing any Anything changing in our consumers' behavior, you know, we are seeing less alcohol, negative mix than we have been seeing. And that was something that has been trending, you know, back more to neutral over the last several months. We're still running a little bit negative on alcohol. But entrees, appetizers, add-ons, all those items have, you know, which were never really overly negative changes. have really flattened out. So, very encouraged by what we're seeing there. And to me, it shows that the consumer is still seeing the everyday value that we're offering.
spk07: Thank you.
spk15: Your next question comes from Jeffrey Bernstein with Barclays. Please go ahead.
spk20: Great. Thank you very much. Two questions. The first one just on the, you made reference to the Texas Roadhouse brand versus the Bubba's brand. Clearly, both of them are very strong roadhouse for the industry. But when you compare them between each other, the Texas Roadhouse and the two-year stacks on comps are 22% and their AUVs are 8.5 million. The Bubba's two-year stack is 12 and the AUV is like low sixes. Just wondering, what do you view as the greatest driver of the discrepancy between the two? And would you say that with the passage of time, you know, the gap would narrow in terms of both comp and AUV and make the brand more similar in terms of being indifferent which brand you open? And then I had one follow-up.
spk05: Yeah, it's Michael. Thanks for the question. You know, some of that's going to get into a little speculation that, you know, will be hard for me to answer. Obviously, the Texas Roadhouse brand has been around for quite a while longer than Bubba's had, so we are very happy with what both brands are doing. It's hard for anybody to compete with what Texas Roadhouse has been doing, but Bubba's at 120,000. It was a very strong number for us, and when you only have less than 50 Bubba's, it's easier for those numbers to be skewed one way or another by a few stores, so We are very encouraged by what we are seeing there, and we generate similar returns from both concepts, and we're excited to see what we see in the future.
spk20: I guess that's the issue when your big brother is Texas Roadhouse.
spk09: That is very true.
spk20: My follow-up question is just to clarify on the unit openings. I think you mentioned still being confident in the 30 company operated this year. I know you mentioned 10 year to date and 18 under construction. Maybe these things open pretty quickly. But can units start construction in coming months and still open before year end? Or might you come in closer to that 28 number for the full year 24 just for modeling purposes? Thank you.
spk09: Yeah, we can get them under construction now and get them into this year. So We're still approximately 30 between the three brands, and obviously the pipeline for 25 is being worked hard too. So I believe that we'll hit that number. We have a lot of confidence in it right now. Everything kind of is working well for us. So we'll stay right there for the moment.
spk07: Great. Thank you. Thank you.
spk15: Your next question comes from Peter Saleh with BTIG. Please go ahead.
spk12: Great. Thanks for taking the question. Just maybe two quick ones for me. On the Ziosk, can you just remind us maybe what percentage of the sales are now going through that platform? And aside from maybe the table turns, which I am assuming that's benefiting you on table turns, what else are you learning about the customer given that so much of the sales are going through that platform? any other data that you're able to collect and what are you learning about the customer? And then I have a follow-up as well.
spk09: Yeah, I mean, it's the pay at the table. So I believe we're approximately 80% of our guests use the Roadhouse Pay as we call it as the pay at the table feature. I don't know there's a lot to learn there other than it just helps with when they're ready to go, they can swipe their cards and be on their way. So I think from that, it's a convenience factor, more importantly. And it's a transaction that allows them to leave when they're ready. And it's obviously been very well liked and utilized within our guests.
spk12: Great. And then I think you guys mentioned that you're expecting commodity inflation to be higher in the, I guess, the second half of the year. you know, getting to that full 3% for the full year. Can you just give us a sense on how much of your basket is locked for the second half and how much variability we have around that number?
spk05: Hey, Peter, it's Michael. Yeah, you know, like in similar quarters, we're not going to give a lot of detail on what is locked for competitive reasons. You know, at this point in time, we're not going to – you know, we haven't certainly put a lot of – beef into a fixed price contract, both from our side seeing the volatility and the packers seeing the volatility. So hard to agree upon a fixed price. We certainly have entered into supply contracts for most of the beef that we'll be using over the remainder of the year. So yeah, there is the potential for volatility in that inflation number as we move through the year, both higher or lower if the market were to behave differently than we expect.
spk12: Thank you very much.
spk15: Your next question comes from Sarah Senator with Bank of America. Please go ahead.
spk01: Hi, thank you. I guess two questions. One, just on the mix and pricing the comp, could you just remind us how much price you had I think you said last time we spoke it was like 5% price. So just trying to calculate the mix, it sounds like it's less than a percentage point headwind at this point.
spk05: Yeah, hey, Sarah. It's Michael. In the first quarter, we had 4.9% pricing. And you are correct. We had about 80 basis points of negative mix. But that did come down quite a bit in the first five weeks of our second quarter. to only about 20 basis points of negative mix as we continue to have about 4.9% pricing in the menu for both the second quarter and the third quarter.
spk01: Okay, great. That's very helpful. And the question I have related to that is just, as you think about, again, your business versus everybody else, where everybody else is seeing like check management, do you have a sense of, again, what's What's driving that is, I know it's somewhat speculation, but are you getting people who maybe are trading in from other concepts who, you know, relative value is still very good, so good at Texas that it encourages them to, you know, attach more? I'm just trying to understand the dynamics, which seem to be running contrary to the rest of the industry in a good way.
spk09: Well, thank you very much for that kindness. We believe that our offerings and the value that's built into our menu is really what is allowing people to be very happy when they do trade in from wherever. And our focus on our food, our service, and the experience that we provide with the value built into our menu is really what we see happening. I don't really see anything else in the mix to tell me anything different than keep doing what we're doing, legendary food and legendary service, and and keep making sure that guests have great experiences in all of our businesses.
spk01: Well, certainly working for you. Thank you.
spk07: Thanks, Sarah.
spk15: Your next question comes from Dennis Geiger with UBS. Please go ahead.
spk19: Great. Thanks, guys. Jerry, wondering if you could just talk a little more looking ahead to later in the year and thinking about pricing. I know you spoke to it at a high level earlier, but anything philosophically there, given where traffic is, given you've underpriced competitors in recent years, but given cost inflation that you've seen over the years, any kind of high level as you look to that next pricing increase that you can share today or just how you're thinking about it, how the operators are thinking about it?
spk09: Well, Dennis, we'll follow the same procedure we always have. We're just five, six weeks into this last round. We'll gather our feedback from all of our managing partners and our market partners probably, August, September, and talk about what we would or wouldn't do in October. So still a little early. We'll take the approach of being conservative. We'll see what happens in the industry going forward. And then we'll absolutely partner up with our operators and decide what is best for each and every one of their store or their market or their region. And then as a company, we'll help them make that decision that will also be very good for our consumer and our shareholders.
spk19: Makes good sense, Jared. Just one more maybe if I could. Just on staffing hours as it relates to that traffic, we've seen a really good relationship there in recent quarters. Anything additional on the go forward there as we think about that relationship relative to last year, kind of recent quarters, a good way to think about the go forward, would you say? Thank you.
spk18: Hey, Dennis, it's Chris. Thanks for that question. I'll start and Michael can clean up anything I mess up here. But I think that we're, you know, we've talked about having a historical average of 50% growth rate of our hours growth to our traffic growth, trying to keep it around a 50% level. And in the fourth quarter of last year, you'll remember that we hit that. And so, uh, we actually came in, uh, well with the number, you know, even better than that in the first quarter, something more like 25%. So, uh, you know, we'd like to continue that we now, I don't know that we can continue the 25%. Our goal is around 50, but I think that there's, there's definitely a lot of work that's been done to improve our labor situation. And it's, it's really thanks to our operators and their hiring and their staffing and making sure that their teams are working well together. And now we're delivering these results over at least the last two quarters. We're definitely back in the zone.
spk05: Yeah, Chris, I'll echo what you said there. I think last year all that hard work of the operators to get their store staffed the way they needed to be is now paying off in that percentage for the first quarter. And we'll see where the next several quarters come out, but there certainly feels like there is strong potential for that to remain at or below that 50% level over the next several quarters.
spk07: Good stuff. Congrats, guys. Thank you.
spk15: Your next question comes from Jeff Farmer with Gordon Haskett. Please go ahead.
spk08: Great. Thank you. I have a quick follow-up on commodities and then just one more on capital investment. So On commodities, I understand there's some black box nature of what's going on, but based on what you know now, can you share expected quarterly commodity inflation over the next couple of quarters?
spk05: Hey, Jeff, it's Michael. I'm not going to get specific numbers, but I'll help guide you all. The expectation is the second quarter will be above where we were in the first quarter, but probably still below the full year average. And then Q3 and Q4 are looking fairly similar and are going to be a little bit above that 3% full year number.
spk08: Okay, that's helpful. And then on the average capital investment for a new roadhouse, at least according to the K, it's expected to be roughly $8 million in 2024, which is flat versus last year. but it looks like it's up more than 40% versus 19. I appreciate that a lot of your peers are in the same sort of inflationary boat there, but do you see any opportunities to reduce that $8 million cost for a new roadhouse?
spk09: I think we're going to be pretty close to it. We have expanded the new store openings, I believe, at the beginning of So we've got to that expense. We feel really good about the size of our building, the expanded cooler, just the more room to be able to execute in our back of the house. And so it's probably, I would assume right now, if I'm looking forward, we'll probably be very close to that. I don't see a lot changing. Okay. Thank you. Thank you.
spk15: Your next question comes from Lauren Silberman with Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.
spk13: Thanks a lot and congrats on a great quarter. Two questions. It looks like off-premise grew at a faster rate than on-premise for the first time in a few years. Was that a function of weather earlier in the quarter? Is there anything else you're seeing and can you talk about how that trended during the quarter?
spk09: You know, I think it's just about our ability to execute in our dining rooms and And again, getting used to the adjustment of what our to-go volume is. And that's the average volume. We obviously have stores that are doing much higher than that. So I think it's really about our operators settling in and running a full house and being able to execute our off-premise and our to-go processes of how we make that experience for the to-go, our food. We're putting a lot more effort into executing that. are to-go food at a higher level, and I think it's paying off for us, as well as getting settled into full dining rooms for longer hours of the day, so a good problem to have.
spk05: Yeah, and Lauren, this is Michael, just to add on. It was actually, you know, not in the first period during, you know, that colder or more winter weather. We saw the stronger growth in the, you know, in the gas and the sales of the to-go business in the second and third periods of our first quarter. So strong throughout, but it goes to everything Jerry talked about. We've made it the ease of that to-go process. We really made that as easy as possible, and the guests, again, continue to reward us for that and is using that to-go on a regular basis.
spk13: That's awesome. And then just a quick one for modeling purposes. You talked about the quarter to date in April running 9-3, which is incredible. Can you just remind us if there's anything we should be considering in terms of monthly compares for 2Q as we think about the cadence? And then any comments that you have on regions or regional differences? Thanks so much.
spk05: Yeah, Lauren, it's Michael again. Nothing really that I would call out, you know, to be careful about over the coming months. I mean, in Again, typically our, you know, our May period is, you know, tends to be busier than our April. And then, you know, June can look fairly similar to our April period. So, you know, nothing I would call out there. And as far as the trends that we've seen across the region, you know, certainly the first quarter, it was pretty strong, you know, across the country, maybe the southeast. And, you know, southeast, southwest are a little bit stronger, you know, from a comp standpoint, but not dramatically different. So it was really a solid quarter, you know, nationwide and, you know, across all restaurants.
spk13: Great. Thanks so much.
spk15: Your next question comes from Andrew Strelzik with BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
spk03: Hey, good afternoon. Thanks for taking the question. A two-parter on new store performance for me. I noticed in the release for the Texas Roadhouse stores open less than six months, there was an 8% decline in the average weekly sales. And that's the third quarter in a row of declines, and those have kind of accelerated over that period. So just curious, you know, what is driving that? Any color behind that would be great. And then just more broadly, you know, color on new store performance would be great. Thank you very much.
spk05: Hey, Andrew, it's Michael. Thanks for the question. Yeah, that's something, I mean, that comes across in the numbers. There's some timing and regional impact in there. When you go back to the first quarter of last year, where I believe it was 15 new stores, three of those were in California. And, you know, those are high volume restaurants, You know, we're getting some of our highest sales in the country out there, and that was really pushing that number higher. So I would say, you know, the anomaly, if you want to call it anything, was how high that number had gotten in that first quarter. Now, you know, we don't have those California stores in that 25-store number for the first quarter. We're very happy – you know, let me emphasize, very happy – with the performance of our new stores and how they are performing. You know, we don't expect every restaurant out of the gate to be doing $150,000, $160,000 per week in sales. But as we look across all of those, you know, there is nothing that is concerning us about their performance or our ability to continue to open more stores. There's just always going to be a little bit of a timing issue and a region, you know, the states that they may open in.
spk07: Great, that makes sense. Thanks a lot.
spk15: Your next question comes from Jim Solera with Stevens. Please go ahead.
spk11: Yes, thanks for taking our question. I wanted to ask if we could get an update on the Butcher House Initiative. And maybe at a high level, do you really think of it as a way to build brand awareness or more of a frequency increaser or a way to get more customer data? And maybe one tag onto that as well. Does it help you guys with new site selection as you can start to get some frequency and data information on where people are ordering from?
spk09: No, I think mostly what any of that retail segment of our business is about brand awareness. And we've done some really creative things. We've had a lot of fun with it. And I think that's the real focus on our retail is just really brand awareness and having some fun. You know, we're continuing to look at every aspect of the business and see what we do with it in the future, but right now we're uncertain.
spk12: Okay.
spk11: And then if I think about, you know, the performance of your brand, obviously the foot traffic has been very strong, which is divergence from a lot of your peers. It seems like, is there a scenario where as the macro gets tougher, the value proposition at Texas Roadhouse is such that, you continue to source more people from peers in a way it actually makes your trends more resilient given the value positioning?
spk09: Well, we certainly believe that and we continue to do what we do. We can't really control what they do with. We believe in our value that's built into our menu. We continue to try to be very conservative and take care of our business, but take care of our guests and really understand the dynamic of where we're at today. And so I just believe that we focus on our food being smoking hot, picture perfect, recipe right, fast, fun, and friendly in our dining rooms. It's rewarding us. And all three of our brands have excellent food that we're proud of. We love to hustle to help people and serve. And that's what gives us the advantage, I believe. And we're really proud of everything that our operators are doing out there. And they play this game at a very high level. Great.
spk11: Thanks, guys.
spk09: I'll hop back in the queue.
spk15: Your next question comes from Gregory Frankfort with Guggenheim Securities. Please go ahead.
spk02: Hey, thanks. I appreciate the update on Bubba's and Jagger's. I'm just curious how you're thinking about balancing the capital priorities across the three brands in the next couple years, and then for Jagger's maybe specifically, it seems like you're accelerating the franchise development. What's the plan long-term for on how you're thinking about the company operator versus franchise development there, and maybe what your pitch to prospective franchisees looks like. Thanks.
spk09: Thank you for the question. I believe that we're going to stay focused on Roadhouse and that mid-20 growth. Bubba, we've talked a little bit about how we're building the pipeline, and it is absolutely our second brand, and we're very invested and excited about what it's doing. You know, Jaggers is – Yeah, Jagger's is exciting for me in a lot of different ways. We've got eight company stores and three franchise stores, and we've got people interested. The food is incredible. Our service model is really working from a speed of service standpoint. So we are building our very first international restaurant with Jagger's. So the thing about franchising is you can go a little bit faster and you actually learn a lot. We're really good at casual dine and to really get our head around Jagger's and what it needs to be highly successful. We wanted to bring some partners in that could help us grow, and that's what we're doing with our franchise partners. We're learning. We're partnering up. It's going to help us grow on the company side and on the franchise side. It's hard to tell you what percentage right now going forward, but we're definitely leaning into both and learning a lot, and we really appreciate our franchise interest in the Jaggers concept.
spk07: Thank you.
spk15: Your next question comes from Jim Sanderson with North Coast Research. Please go ahead.
spk17: Hey, thanks for the question. I wanted to go back to a little bit more insight on Bubba's 33. I think the comp was a little bit weaker than Texas Roadhouse, but can you walk through the same-store sales breakdown traffic price mix for Bubba's?
spk05: Hey, Jim, it's Michael. We actually don't get into that. you know, detail as much or at least not at this time into that breakdown. I mean, but, yeah, you're correct. It's not – it did not come to the same level that Roadhouse, you know, did. But, you know, again, Roadhouse is kind of, you know, different than everyone else out there. But, again, we are – and with only 45 restaurants, you have a handful or, you know, not – growing, it can skew that number. But overall, we saw some, you know, some great performance in Bubba's early this year and are very encouraged by, you know, the margins that we're seeing there and what that business can deliver going forward.
spk09: Yeah, and I'll add on just a little bit on that. We're really, if we just look at Bubba's and not compare it to Roadhouse, we're very, very happy with the performance, not only on our sales, we're attacking sales We're in controlling our costs. We've done some things in the building to help us long term. And we've done a little bit of menu engineering. We've added a combo appetizer, which has really been a success, and reorganized a little bit of how we do wings. And we've got a new sandwich we're excited about to be offering out there. And so there's a lot of momentum. As I look at the first quarter in Bubba's 33, it tells me we're in the right business. Burgers and pizzas and cold beer and rock and roll, we're going to be just fine.
spk17: Okay. Can I assume from that that you had positive traffic in 2024 at Bubba's? Is that fair?
spk07: Yeah, I think that's fair to say.
spk17: All right. I just want to ask a follow-up question also on same-store sales in April. Is there any issue related to the Easter calendar shift that impacted performance?
spk07: With Easter, no. Easter still fell within our April period.
spk05: So no impact from Easter.
spk17: No shift between, okay, very, very good. And then the last question for me, how does Texas Roadhouse usually do for Mother's Day? Is that an important event or not so much?
spk09: Yeah, it's an incredible event. We, you know, it's all a part of Valentine's Day, Mother's Day, Father's Day. We kind of call it the Triple Crown. And speaking of that, the first leg of the Triple Crown is here in Kentucky over the next couple of days. We're excited about that. But Yeah, Mother's Day is huge for Texas Roadhouse and the restaurant industry overall. And we have some dominant players out there. We're excited about Mother's Day and Father's Day.
spk18: And, Jim, this is Chris. I'll just throw in there's also Mexican Mother's Day that is celebrated as well. So we have that as a part of our repertoire as well.
spk07: All right. Thanks, El Paso. Thank you very much. Thank you.
spk15: Your next question comes from Jake Bartlett with Truist Securities. Please go ahead.
spk06: Great. Thanks for taking the question. You know, my first is just a clarification or kind of a modeling question, but is, you know, do you expect to open, you know, company-owned Jaggers of the 30 company-owned stores you expect? I think you said four, Bubba's, any Jaggers in there? And then the real question, the bigger question is about G&A. Anything we should think about in the second quarter, I know you typically don't disclose how much exactly you spent on the conference, but if there's any variance, anything we should be aware of as we try to model G&A. As I kind of try to make the adjustments in the first quarter, I get about 10 basis points of leverage in the first quarter, adjusting for the one time last year. Is that the kind of leverage you expect going forward just for the year as a whole? Thank you.
spk09: I'll let Michael answer that second part. On the Jagger's growth, Yeah, we only have one, maybe two this year as far as we can look at, but I'm building the pipeline. I do expect that to grow in the future. We're working some deals right now that are looking really positive. I believe we had three last year, and so we'll continue to look at the ramp up on that because it is now hitting the goals and the targets that we're looking for.
spk05: And this is Michael on the G&A question. You know, in the first quarter, yeah, on an unadjusted basis, we did get a little bit of leverage. I think the next several quarters, again, some of it will depend upon your assumptions for top-line revenue, but I do think it may be a little bit tougher for us to get leverage on G&A in the second and third quarter when you, you know, when you think about some of the investments we're making in, you know, you know, roadhouse technology and some of the other things that we're doing internally, we're definitely, you know, investing in the business. And this being a 53-week year for us, which should, you know, result in, you know, could continue to result in strong performance, we'll probably be taking some extra accruals for bonuses and compensation during the year. So I would expect you could probably see G&A for the year being in a flattish range, but second and third quarters could be a little bit more difficult to get some leverage.
spk18: And I'll just add to that, the back half of the year could be impacted by the change in the timing of our equity grants that we talked about, and that is probably what you were referring to, at least in part there in the second and third quarter.
spk06: Great. And if I could sneak just one quick one in. On the extra operating week impact on EPS, it's greater than just the proportion of the week. I think in 2019, there was a 60 basis points benefit on the restaurant level margins from the extra operating week. Is that kind of, you know, any reason to think that would be different this time around?
spk05: Yeah, I mean, I think in the prepared remarks, we said we're expecting about 4% benefit to EPS from that extra week, and whether that's 60 basis points or somewhere, it would obviously benefit some parts of margin. It's going to benefit some items outside of margin, but we estimate about a 4% benefit to EPS.
spk07: Thank you very much.
spk15: Your next question comes from Brian Vaccaro with Raymond James. Please go ahead.
spk10: Hi, thanks, and good evening. Just regarding the commodity outlook, I'm curious to just get your perspective on the supply and demand dynamics in the beef market, just what you might be hearing that's driving the near-term favorability, and then kind of what informs your view that beef costs could move higher later in the year? And then is there anything worth noting on the non-beef side? And you kind of maybe level set what level of inflation you're expecting on that other 50% of your basket.
spk05: Yeah. Hey Brian, it's Michael. Maybe I'll do the easier part first. Another half of the basket, uh, you know, flat to deflationary, really nothing to call out or speak of there. And, you know, similar, it's really continued to perform as we would expect it, uh, So, you know, being, you know, items being flat to deflationary and offsetting, you know, a little bit of the beef inflation. You know, the supply, you know, has been a little bit better than what, you know, industry-wide than what was anticipated. So that certainly helped beef in the first part of the year and what we think will continue to help it over the next several months. And then the retail demand has been – probably a little bit weaker or what they've been marketing has probably led to a benefit for us. So I think we've seen less marketing of ribeyes and maybe more marketing of strips by the grocery stores. And obviously a ribeye is a more important item for us. So things like that have led to some of that benefit that we've seen. And our expectation is that, you know, things are going to catch up and that supply tightening will have a bigger financial impact on us in the industry as we move into the back half of the year.
spk10: All right, thank you for that. And then just one quick follow-up on Bubba's, if I could. I understand the strong sales that you're seeing, and I think store margins, at least in 2023, were a little bit below 14% if my notes are right. I guess I'm just curious, where would you like to see that over time change? as part of your unit economic model? And then what's the path towards driving higher margins at the Bubba's brand? Thanks very much.
spk05: Yeah, I mean, you know, Bubba's has actually seen quite a bit of improvement, you know, early this year. And I think you'll see that in some of our documents that will get filed in the coming days. You know, so I think a margin, again, in the 17 to 18% range for a Bubba's is kind of what we're looking for just like, you know, what we're looking for on the roadhouse side. And, you know, again, that Bubba's team has been working hard and has made great strides. And I think you're going to see the fruit of that labor coming through here.
spk18: Yeah, and I'll just add to that. You know, what you're seeing is, and we're recognizing it here today with Vanessa here with us, but you have local Bubbas that are doing fantastic work with their local store marketing teams. in places like Albuquerque and others where the sales are growing. And that's really what it's going to take. And, again, to Michael's earlier point, there's only 45 Bubbas out there, and they're working really hard on expanding their sales. And now that's beginning to come through. And I think that Michael's comment about the 17% to the 18% makes a lot of sense.
spk07: Very helpful. Thank you.
spk15: Seeing no further questions at this time, I will now turn the call back to Jerry Morgan for any closing remarks.
spk09: I just wanted to close and say thank you all very much for your support and time. And I know here in our hometown of Louisville, Kentucky, hosting the Kentucky Derby, it's going to be a fantastic weekend. Hope you all have a great one. Let's go.
spk15: This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
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