3/27/2025

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by and welcome to the Urban One 2024 fourth quarter earnings call. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. We will begin this call with the following safe harbor statement. During this conference call, Urban One will be sharing with you certain projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future events or its future performance. Urban One cautions you that certain factors, including risks and uncertainties referred to, In the 10-Ks, 10-Qs, and other reports it periodically files with the Securities and Exchange Commission could cause the company's actual results to differ materially from those indicated by its projections or forward-looking statements. This call will present information as of March 27, 2025. Please note that Urban One disclaims any duty to update any forward-looking statements made in the presentation. In this call, Urban One may also discuss some non-GAAP financial measures in talking about its performance. These measures will be reconciled to GAAP either during the course of this call or in the company's press release, which can be found on its website at www.urbanone.com. A replay of the conference call will be available from 2 o'clock p.m. Eastern Daylight Time, March 27, 2025, until 1159 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time, April 3, 2025. Callers may access the replay by calling 800-770-2030. International callers may dial direct 609-800-9909. The replay access code is 340-7726. Access to live audio and a replay of the conference will also be available on Urban One's corporate website at www.urbanone.com. The replay will be made available on the website for seven days after the call. No other recordings or copies of this call are authorized or may be relied upon. I will now turn the call over to Alfred C. Liggins, Chief Executive Officer of Urban One, who is joined by Peter Thompson, Chief Financial Officer. Mr. Liggins, please go ahead.

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

Thank you very much, operator, and welcome to our fourth quarter conference call. Also joining us, as usual, is Jody Drewer, who's the Chief Financial Officer at TV1, and also Karen Wishart, who's our Chief Administrative Officer. As the press release stated, we ended up coming in at the middle of our guidance for adjusted EBITDA at $103.5 million. That number in Q4 was boosted by a pretty strong performance with our political advertising efforts. However, we did see continued headwinds in our cable TV business due to churn and underdelivery. That actually has started to stabilize in Q1, so that's good news. Unfortunately, the radio business continues to see downdrafts in Q1 with pacings currently minus 13.6. However, they are improving going into Q2 with patients down just 1.7. We're optimistic that things will continue to improve in our radio business, but with the downdraft, we've been taking precautions with our cost containment and further debt reduction. We had a staff reduction in Q4 of about 5%, which is about 64 people of our workforce, which has saved us about $5 million a year. Going into 2025, it's going to be all about cost containment and also continued debt reduction. We're standing in a pretty strong liquidity position as of the end of the year with about $137 million. of cash on hand. We are prepared to offer a 2025 guide even though it's early in the year, but we are going to guide to $75 million of adjusted EBITDA down from the 103.5 in 2024. It's going to be a combination of the weaker radio, primarily driven by a lack of recurring political advertising. We're going to be down a bit in TV, but again, we feel like that that is stabilizing as well. So a $75 million guide for 2025, down from the 103.5 in 2024. continued cost containment and debt reduction. We're going to be able to talk about more when we get to the Q&A section, if anybody has questions. Right now, I'm going to let Peter go through the numbers from 2024 and the quarter.

speaker
Peter Thompson
Chief Financial Officer, Urban One

Thank you, Alfred. So, consolidated net revenues were down 2.7% year-over-year the three months end of December 31st, 24. approximately $171 million. Net revenue for the radio broadcast segment was $47.7 million, an increase of 14.5% year-over-year. Excluding political, net revenue was down 5.1% year-over-year. According to Miller Kaplan, our local ad sales were up 0.1% against our markets that were down 5.2%. and national ad sales were up 35.4% against a market that was up 28.4%. Political advertising drove the growth in the national marketplace and for our stations and was our largest advertising category for the quarter. Second largest category for us was services, which was up 12%, driven predominantly by legal services. Healthcare, retail, auto, financial, food and bev, all down year over year. Telecom, travel, and transportation categories were up. Net revenue for the REACH media segment was $9.6 million for the fourth quarter, down 10.7% from prior year. Adjusted EBITDA was $2.9 million for the quarter, a decrease of 15.4%. While REACH benefited from $1 million in political advertising, client attrition and lower average unit rates offset those dollars. Net revenues for the digital segment were down 3.1% in Q4 at $20.5 million. Direct national sales were down, driven by decreased advertiser demand. However, political advertising was $2.4 million, and both connected TV and podcast revenue were up from the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA was $5.3 million, which was an increase of 50.7%. We recognized approximately $39.8 million of revenue from our cable television segment during the quarter, which was a decrease of 15.9%. Cable TV advertising revenue was down 21.4%. Delivery declined 36% in total day, persons 25, 54. We had approximately 6% fewer units converted to ad inventory, about 4,000 more units allocated to to help mitigate the delivery impact, and that was partially offset by favorable AVOD and FAST revenue of $1.3 million. Overall, that resulted in an ad revenue decline of $5.8 million. Cable TV affiliate revenue was down by 9.9%, driven by the increased subscriber churn, which was a $3.3 million loss. partially offset by $1.3 million in subscriber rate increases and the launch of Now TV. Full-year subscriber churn was minus 9.5%. Payable subscribers for TV1, as mentioned by Nielsen, finished Q4 at $37.2 million compared to $39.1 million at the end of Q3. Clio TV had 36.4 million Nielsen subs. Operating expenses excluding depreciation and amortization, stock-based compensation and impairments of goodwill, intangible assets and long-lived assets decreased to approximately $91.1 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2024, which was a decrease of 13.8% from prior year. The overall decrease in operating expenses was primarily due to lower corporate SG&A expenses driven by a reduction in the CEO's TV1 award and lower overall expenses in the digital segment due to lower sales and marketing related costs. Radio operating expenses were down 5.4% or $1.9 million driven by a favorable adjustment to the bad debt reserve. Reach operating expenses were down by 7.8% driven by lower talent and staff incentive based compensation. Operating expenses in the digital segment were down 16.1%, driven by lower sales and marketing costs and lower performance . Operating expenses in the cable TV segment, up 4.1% year over year, driven by increased rating service costs and connected TV support costs. Operating expenses in the corporate and elimination segment were down by approximately $10.2 million, primarily as a result of the reduction to the CEO's TV1 award. Consolidated adjusted EBITDA was $26.9 million for the fourth quarter, down 0.9%. Consolidated broad digital operating income was approximately $38.6 million, an increase of 1.7%. Interest income was approximately $1.1 million in the fourth quarter compared to $2.5 million last year. Decrease was due to lower cash balances in interest-bearing investment accounts. Interest expense decreased to approximately $11.5 million per quarter, down from $14.2 million last year due to the lower overall debt balances as a result of the company's debt reduction strategy. The company made cash interest payments approximately $347,000 in the quarter, and during the quarter, the company repurchased $15.4 million of its 2028 notes at an average price of 69.8% par, bringing the balance down to $584,575,000 at year end. In January 2025, the company repurchased an additional $17 million in notes at a price of 62.5%, bringing the current balance on the debt to $567,575,000. $24.2 million in non-cash impairment charges were recorded in the fourth quarter. $4 million of that was associated with the TV-1 brand name, and $20.2 million was for goodwill associated with the TV-1 reporting unit. The primary factors leading to the impairments were a decline in projected gross market revenue and operating profit margin for TV-1. The income taxes was approximately $27.6 million for the fourth quarter, and the company paid cash income taxes in the amount of $130,000. Capital expenditures for the quarter were approximately $1.3 million. Net loss was approximately $35.7 million, or 78 cents per share, compared to a net loss of $11 million, or 23 cents per share, for the fourth quarter of 2023. During the three months ended December 31st, 2024, the company repurchased 1,386,544 shares of Class A common stock in the amount of approximately $2.1 million at an average price of $1.50 per share, of which 908,894 shares of Class A stock were held in Treasury stock as of December 31st, 2024. During the three months ended December 31st, 2024, the company repurchased 703,292 shares of Class D common stock in the amount of approximately $700,000 with an average price of $1.02 per share. During the three months ended December 31st, 2023, the company did not repurchase any shares of Class A or Class D common stock. As of December 31st, total gross debt was approximately $584.6 million, and ending unrestricted cash balance was $137.1 million, resulting in net debt of approximately $447.5 million, compared to $103.5 million of LTM reported adjusted EBITDA for a total net leverage ratio of 4.33 times. On March 16, 2025, The company began investigating an incident involving an unauthorized third party who had gained access to and infiltrated certain information from our information technology systems. Upon discovery, we activated our incident response team, which is comprised of internal personnel and external cybersecurity experts. As of today, the incident has not impacted the company's operations or ability to conduct business in the ordinary course. At this time the incident has not had a material impact on the company's financial condition and the results of operations. All our investigation is ongoing.

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

Thank you, Peter. Operator, could you ask the audience if any questions are coming forward?

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

At this time, if you would like to ask a question, simply press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, press star one a second time. Our first question will come from the line of Aaron Watts with Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

speaker
Aaron Watts
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Hey, Alfred, Peter. Thanks for having me on. A few questions, if I may. I guess first, just to clarify, your 1Q radio pacing down 13.6, What was the equivalent performance that lines up with that for the fourth quarter? Was it the radio advertising down eight? Is that the right way to think about it?

speaker
Peter Thompson
Chief Financial Officer, Urban One

Yeah, so I gave core ex-political. And so you'd need to strip out the political from Q4. I'm just looking back through my notes. Sorry, I missed that.

speaker
Aaron Watts
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

And then maybe while you're looking, I'll have the next one.

speaker
Peter Thompson
Chief Financial Officer, Urban One

So excluding political net revenue is down 5.1%. Okay, thanks. All right.

speaker
Aaron Watts
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

And then could you give us a little more insight into what drove the weakness from that down 5 and 4Q into the first quarter? Was it broad softness, particular categories? And then a similar question on where you're seeing the improvement as you look ahead to QQ and what's pushing that team.

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

Yeah. So, look, it's absolutely broad softness. I've spent a significant amount of time with our national rep and our teams. And, you know, in Q1, you're basically seeing negative double-digit pacing across local, national, and network radio. There was political in Q1, but not a ton of it. I think that you're absolutely seeing advertisers probably reacting to an uncertain economy. I think I just read something from the CEO of Walmart talking about consumer behavior being choppy and skittish. The improvement for us is coming, and when I say improvement, it's still negative, right? But it's negative 1.7, and we're seeing a you know, a bounce back in improvement in our Ohio markets, which are starting to lap a significant, you know, comps as it relate to, excuse me, as it related to sports betting revenue. And Peter, you were going to add local.

speaker
Peter Thompson
Chief Financial Officer, Urban One

Yeah, local's bounced back more strongly in Q2, right? So national's a little better in Q2 than it was in Q2, but local is strongly better in Q2 than it was in Q1. So local at the moment is pacing up in Q2, whereas it was down 10%, call it, in Q1.

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

And we're also, you know, and we're seeing improvements, you know, in national as well, you know, be it, you know, again, still negative.

speaker
Aaron Watts
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay. That's encouraging. And carrying that out a little further within your 25 guide, what are you assuming for the core radio broadcast segment from a top-line perspective? Do you think it can trend back towards neutral, Alfred, or... You're still assuming it's going to be down a little bit for the year?

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

Yeah, I mean, that guide is also right on top of our internal budget, and I think Peter got the... Yeah, I mean, if you strip out the political hour, and then we've assumed that the core grows a little bit in that number.

speaker
Peter Thompson
Chief Financial Officer, Urban One

So, you know, if you took out every dollar political and didn't replace it with something else, it would look worse than what we've got. So we've assumed... you know, some growth in local and national ex-political, and obviously digital. Right, right, okay.

speaker
Aaron Watts
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Let me squeeze one more in, and I appreciate the time. There's been a lot of talk around deregulation across the broadcasting space. I'm curious what opportunities you see that potentially opening up for you on the radio side, whether that's as a seller or a buyer. Do you think we could see some material consolidation in the space on the heels of kind of this new positioning from the FCC?

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

Yeah, look, I've been pretty vocal about my belief that you're going to see further consolidation in the radio sector. You need to see it. And we have... over the years been both buyers and sellers. Recently we've been more of a buyer consolidating in Indianapolis and Houston, but we have gotten, we've trimmed our portfolio a number of times and gotten out of places where we weren't successful and weren't working for us and put that capital you know, to work in either debt reduction or more creative acquisitions. And so I think you'll see, you know, us continue with that. I think that, you know, we're probably in... better shape than a number of other folks in the sector in terms of our leverage profile, which I think gives us an advantage to be proactive in terms of opportunity. So, you know, but you still have to be careful, right? Even with consolidation, you know, you're still dealing with a negative trend line on the top, you know, on the top line revenue number. So, it's very tricky. And because of that, you know, factor, even if you get D-reg, you know, having new capital come into the industry, will probably be a challenge, right? And so I think that people will look to see if there are swap opportunities that can be executed in order to put people in better positions in various different markets. I've always seen that as challenging for people to align on what's a good swap. You just don't see a lot of it. But the state of the industry might, you know, and the DREG, you know, might, you know, make people more motivated to do that. So I would say that it is absolutely a net positive, you know, because in declining, you know, industries, you need to create, you know, economies of scale. And I also think being bigger in these local markets makes you more of a digital force for local advertisers because you are covering off more formats. You've got more audiences that you're touching, and we're seeing significant amounts of digital revenue come into the Miller Kaplan and the local markets. In fact, in about half of our markets, we're seeing more digital revenue than national spot revenue, which, you know, really came to light during our fourth quarter budget process for the first time. So, you know, having more girth in the local market is going to allow us to compete better digitally, I believe as well. So net positive is still a challenge because I don't think you're going to see a flood of capital come in to execute this consolidation. So people are going to have to figure out how to work it between themselves. But I also think that the current debt holders in the industry are eager for some sort of solution for folks' balance sheets and will be constructive in trying to see consolidations happen. So it helps the industry and helps the players in it.

speaker
Aaron Watts
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Very helpful perspective. Thanks as always, Alan.

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Ben Briggs with StoneX Financial Inc. Please go ahead.

speaker
Ben Briggs
Analyst, StoneX Financial Inc.

Good morning, guys. Thank you for the time and thank you for taking the question. So, I've got a couple here. Most of them surround kind of what capital allocation plans are for fiscal 25. So, thank you for the guidance. You mentioned that cost reductions and debt buybacks are going to be a focus for 2025, and I think the market will definitely be glad to hear that. I'm curious if there's any plans for stock repurchases, or is most of it going to be debt?

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

We have been repurchasing stock. We've got a plan in place. It's a small plan that basically just buys kind of like, the, uh, uh, the, the, the daily limits. Um, you know, I, I, I think we've probably, you know, repurchased in the last year, you know, five, $6 million of stock in comparison to $150 million. You know, what's our total debt repurchases? You would get 140 last year and then another 17 this year, right? Yeah, so almost $160 million of debt repurchase. Yeah, I think you'll continue to see that kind of outsized ratio of how we deploy that capital. So 95% of our money will go to continued debt reduction. I think we're also looking at M&A opportunities as the previous person was questioning about D-reg and having cash available to us if we can find acquisitions that accomplish the same thing that are deleveraging, which is our goal. So we keep that in mind, but we're not going to just have it sitting around in hopes that an acquisition comes along. With that said, we've always been mindful and thoughtful about how we repurchase debt, right? So, you know, we'll, you know, look in, you know, we'll buy it in 10 or 15 or, you know, $20 million, you know, chunks. We... we're not a repurchaser at any cost either, right? Like, you know, we've definitely tried to be opportunistic on the pricing, you know, of it because that benefits the company, you know, long term. And so if we just go into the market and indiscriminately buy debt, you know, then it runs away from us, you know. And so, you know, You never know exactly when we're going to be a buyer and when we're not going to be a buyer because we definitely set out for periods even when we had open windows because we didn't like the price.

speaker
Ben Briggs
Analyst, StoneX Financial Inc.

Okay, got it. That's very helpful. I know you disclosed the buybacks through January. Have there been any debt buybacks since then? There were a few good-sized trades.

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

No, no, that, that, that, that we, we intentionally, um, set out, uh, while the window was closed. We didn't put a plan in place, you know, um, and, uh, and we were out of the market, you know, for the last, you know, we've been out of the market since, since that January repurchase.

speaker
Ben Briggs
Analyst, StoneX Financial Inc.

Okay. Okay. Good to know. Thank you. and then second thing is, uh, kind of more operational with the business. And I know previous calls you guys have discussed this, but can you give a little clarity or can you just kind of re-explain to me, I guess, what exactly, as far as revenue is concerned, what goes in to your digital segment? I know there's kind of a little bit of a few different things that go in there, and I've gotten a couple questions from investors this quarter on what exactly goes in there. So if you could just remind me, I'd appreciate it.

speaker
Peter Thompson
Chief Financial Officer, Urban One

Yeah, and look, it's a timely question because one of the things that has been going in there is the connected TV revenue. Yeah, and look, that's a growth area. And we decided going forward from January 1 that we're going to report that through the TV segment, so that would be a change. And part of the thinking there is, you know, as linear TV, you know, is more challenged, You see, to strip out that growth area and report it as digital is going to give a false, you know, a falsely negative position of the TV business. So we're going to kind of repatriate that revenue and those impressions back to TV1. And we think that's right because, you know, they really are attached to the TV business rather than, you know, digital content verticals. So up until now, we reported CTV through digital. Now we're going to report it through TV. And then all other digital impressions go through digital so can be can be adverts on content verticals can be pre roll can be banner, podcast revenue, streaming is the other big one. And that's worth talking about. We had a really, a really good deal through cats. And that got renegotiated down. So call it $7.5 million of revenue that we were getting from cats on the podcast inside, what was reported as digital, is going to be a significantly lower, probably $4 million lower. It was podcasting and streaming. Sorry, yes, streaming and podcasting. Sorry, and the main part of that is streaming. If I said podcasting, I'd flip them in my head. It's both together. Streaming is the bigger part.

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

So essentially we had an output deal where they basically bought all of our available inventory that we had, and that got renegotiated. Everybody's got cost reductions. And so today, that affects us in a big way. So we're out now rebuilding our streaming partners. So instead of just giving all of our impressions to one entity, we're actually plugging into multiple entities and it's going to take us a while to build that back up. But the net is we're going to see that revenue probably reduced by half of what it was. And that's going to affect the digital revenue number.

speaker
Peter Thompson
Chief Financial Officer, Urban One

And put out CTV plus that. So you're going to see our digital segment look weaker

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

as a result of those two things. So in the most recent Miller-Tappans, we're getting annihilated in digital. And a big part of that is our streaming number.

speaker
Ben Briggs
Analyst, StoneX Financial Inc.

Okay. That's all very helpful. As you report going forward, since you're recategorizing some of that revenue, are you going to report Are you going to adjust prior period numbers as you report them?

speaker
Peter Thompson
Chief Financial Officer, Urban One

I don't think we're planning to adjust prior period. Okay. But I can give – look, if it's materially different, I can probably give color on the earnings call so people can understand the differences.

speaker
Ben Briggs
Analyst, StoneX Financial Inc.

Okay. That is very helpful color. Thank you, guys, and I'll talk to you soon. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Marlene Ferreira with Bank of America Securities. Please go ahead.

speaker
Marlene Ferreira
Bank of America Securities

Great. Thank you for taking my question. You know, based on your full-year EBITDA guide of $75 million, how should we think about free cash flow for the year? If you can provide any context on some of the puts and takes that would affect that, that would be great.

speaker
Peter Thompson
Chief Financial Officer, Urban One

Yeah. So obviously the good – Bad news is EVA does go down. Good news is we've got less debt interest payments, so that's about $41 million. CapEx, we're penciling out at $10 million. There's a big project going on to consolidate the Indianapolis office post-acquisition. That's kind of $5 million of the $10 million. So that's a little higher. $10 million is a little higher than we would normally do. It's probably a solid number. TV1 programming, not a huge difference there. And so long story short, at the moment, we're looking at around $25 million of free cash flow generation off of the 75.

speaker
Marlene Ferreira
Bank of America Securities

Great. Thank you, Peter. And then coming back to the cost-saved containment, you know, you mentioned about $5 million that you'd be saving from, you know, staff reductions. So how should we think about, you know, cost savings for 25 that will hit the numbers as well as cost to achieve?

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

Yeah, we are actually in the... We wanted to get through getting our accounts filed year-end, etc. And we're back focused on what other cost-save opportunities that we have. We don't have a number yet. We do feel like we have... more opportunity to reduce costs. We did our first round in Q4 and made it effective by the end of January, but we haven't gotten there yet, but you can expect more. I don't know how much more yet, but we'll We're looking at every available opportunity.

speaker
Marlene Ferreira
Bank of America Securities

Got it.

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

And so just to confirm, for the $75 million of EBITDA for the year... It does not... That number does not... The $75 million does not include any new or projected cost saves that might come. We made it simple this year. That number is our... That's our actual budget. you know, where we think we're going to be at and it doesn't take into account any further cost reductions in it. I mean, I know that I think iHeart had given a guide for 2025, which included their expected cost save. We had already taken out our cost save when we went through the budget process. And so anything new would actually help that number going forward.

speaker
Marlene Ferreira
Bank of America Securities

Great. And then last one from me. Are there any... like assets or, you know, parts of the business that might be considered non-core and potentially could be, you know, could result in like an asset sale?

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

Yeah, I mean, the answer is maybe we have some small things, you know what I mean? You know, but you need buyers. And those don't exist right now. And so in the media M&A landscape, in both television cable networks, you haven't seen much activity. You've seen a number of failed processes on the cable television network front. And so, again, we've always been economic animals, meaning that if somebody were to make us an offer on pieces of our business that would ultimately be accretive to us from a deleveraging standpoint and would help us significantly move the needle, we would absolutely consider it. On the other side, on the acquisition side, we're not really considering anything that also doesn't, you know, de-lever us, right? Because we've got enough scale to be relevant now. Now it's really about getting the balance sheet, you know, to what I call a safe, you know, position. And I think that that safe position's got to be leverage that's in the you know, in the mid threes, you know, low threes maybe even, you know. But, yeah, you need buyers, yeah, so. Which is what I said earlier when we talked about D-reg and new capital coming into the business.

speaker
Marlene Ferreira
Bank of America Securities

Great. Thank you, Alfred. That's all I have.

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

Yep. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Hal Steiner with BNP Paribas. Please go ahead.

speaker
Hal Steiner
BNP Paribas

Hey, guys. Thank you for taking my question. A lot of my questions were already asked, but I just have a few quick things. I guess, do you want to hold at least like $100 million of cash, or is there sort of like a minimum cash balance you want to kind of keep on the balance sheet? Or would you be likely to drop below that as you continue to focus on gross debt reduction?

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

We don't have a minimum amount of cash that we are targeting to keep on the balance sheet. We've got an undrawn $50 million revolver. We could definitely see our cash balances be able to drop and still be fine from an operating standpoint. standpoint. Again, our cash deployment has been opportunistic, meaning if we can buy our debt at an attractive price, then we'll do it. If the price is not attractive, then we sit out. That strategy has led us to have more cash, you know, on average, you know, then probably, you know, people might, you know, otherwise think that we should, but it's not because we're hoarding the cash. It's because we just don't want to go out and, you know, bid up things just because we've got cash, right? Like, yeah, and so, you know, because every time we have bought debt, you know, it's, you know, when we're in the market, it goes up. When we're at, you know, when we're not in the market, you know, it, it, it, it goes down. And again, the best thing for the company is to try to manage that, you know, in the, in the most efficient way possible, you know, to, to continue to get the most deal averaging possible. Got it. It's not a strat. It's not, it's not a cash hoarding strategy.

speaker
Hal Steiner
BNP Paribas

Yep. Understood. Understood. Um, And then I know you've talked a lot about sort of the deregulation environment, but I guess one angle or something that I've been looking at, and I'm curious your thoughts, is I think like WBD and Comcast have both been kind of working on maybe cable network companies or cable network spin codes sort of coming to market. I guess I'm just curious how you think about that, those entities coming into market and maybe providing some evaluation read-through and I'm just curious how you think about any combination or partnership angles there with your TV business efforts.

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

I mean, everybody got all excited when Comcast announced they were doing SpinCo because they think that they're going to be the end buyer of all of the stranded cable assets. I don't know that to be true, right? And I think the biggest problem that you're going to have with cable assets is, you know, if AMC is trading that, you know, last I looked, it was trading at four and a half or I was trading at like five times cashflow. Yeah. Nobody wants to sell a, you know, a cable, nobody wants to sell, you know, cable cashflow at five times. They'd rather keep it. Right. And, and, and, and nobody really wants to buy it at seven or eight times, you know? So I, you know, I, I, I don't, I don't necessarily believe that those entities are going to be the end buyers for people's assets. I do think, Jody, we've seen churn moderate. I think we're forecasting mid-single-digit churn down from 11% last year. So I had a conversation in New York with a broadcaster.

speaker
Ben Briggs
Analyst, StoneX Financial Inc.

I had lunch with him.

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

I had a conversation with a broadcaster, and he said that, hey, I've been talking to people, and a lot of people think that churn or table penetration is going to net out bottom out at like 40%. I guess that would be like 40 million, you know, households. That was his view, you know, and, and I guess the point I'm trying to make is churn has started to ease up there. Some people believe that it is going to bottom out, you know, at some point in time. And if that happens, you know, that, you know, will, you know, that that I think will create you know, more opportunity for people wanting to acquire these assets because you know what, you know, the knife has fallen, right? Like, you know what you're going to own and can try to, and can better project what the earnings from that are going to be. But I don't think just because you've got these spin co's out here that all of a sudden you're going to see a bunch of consolidation. I could be wrong. I haven't talked to anybody at Comcast about it. I haven't asked them. I just, you know, I just don't think people can make that assumption.

speaker
Hal Steiner
BNP Paribas

Got it. Makes sense. Thank you guys for taking my questions.

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Matt Swope with Baird. Please go ahead.

speaker
Matt Swope
Baird

Thanks. Good morning, Alfred and Peter. Good morning. Peter, could you give an update on where your cash balance stands at this point?

speaker
Peter Thompson
Chief Financial Officer, Urban One

Yeah, as of this morning, it was $117 million.

speaker
Matt Swope
Baird

So, Alfred, just sort of listening to you talk about possible capital allocation and things, I guess to be a little bit blunt, I mean, your bonds are all the way down to 50 now, which doesn't make a lot of sense to me, honestly. I guess, one, could you find any M&A that gave you a better return than buying your bonds back here? And two, why not do something bigger? You guys have run with a very, very low cash balance in the past. why not take almost all of that cash, maybe do a broad tender or something, and buy back as many bonds as you possibly could, maybe at a slight premium to where the market has them today?

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

Versus taking that cash and buying it at where the market is at? You know, like, you know, over time? You know, like, you know, I mean, I think the... The problem with that, you know, with that is you go out and you offer a tender, it's rarely a slight premium, right? You know, just in negotiating, just doing the bond buybacks, our experience is, you know, there's a significant bid-ask when we're an active buyer between where people want to sell and between, you know, where the market is marking it, right? You know, and so... we've done better when we've selectively bought, right, as opposed to just going out, taking all our cash, and paying some big premium, you know, for the bonds, you know. So we've considered, you know, the tender. We're also going to run out of buyers, excuse me, of sellers at some point because our bonds are very concentrated into, you know, big hands that probably own over 50% of the issue. So there's going to be a point where you're not going to see sellers at these levels.

speaker
Matt Swope
Baird

Given that dynamic, is there any thought to doing some kind of liability management exercise or working with your big holders to capture some of this discount, maybe do some equitization? You talk about wanting leverage to be down in the low threes. You've given an EBITDA guide that's down over 25% year over year, so obviously that pushes your leverage a lot higher. Is there any way to do... some kind of broader, I'll use the word restructuring, which I know is a dirty word, but to maybe provide some equity to some of those holders just to reduce that debt balance a little bit proactively?

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

We have no liability management exercise in process. We haven't engaged anybody. People have pitched us. uh, on it. Um, we think it's early, you know, for us, our maturity isn't until February at 28. Yes. Um, so we think it's early to, um, begin discussions on some sort of, uh, rollover amend extend, like, you know, like I hearts done, like Beasley's done, you know, et cetera. But the answer to, you know, the, the, the question is, you know, As we get closer to that maturity, maybe in another year, having those discussions with our holders are absolutely prudent, and we would consider all options to accomplish a better leverage profile. But as I said before, there's two players that we only have two people that we need to talk to and figure out what's the best route for the company because they have over 50% of the issue.

speaker
Matt Swope
Baird

Got it. I appreciate that commentary.

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

And we have consistent dialogue with those players. We're not operating in sort of a vacuum of information flow between us and our debt holders.

speaker
Matt Swope
Baird

Got it. Thank you. And on the $75 million EBITDA guide, Peter, That's a little bit lower than I was modeling. Would you call that a more conservative estimate? How would you characterize that?

speaker
Peter Thompson
Chief Financial Officer, Urban One

Yeah, look, one thing you've got to think about is the valuation on TV1 went down significantly year over year. And as a result of that, the liability on the CEO's award went down by $10.5 million, which And that's in, you know, we got a pickup in the adjusted EBITDA as a result of the valuation of TB1 going down. So on a cash basis, you know, you would adjust the 103.5. You'd take that 10.5 off. So really your baseline, you know, is kind of 93, not 103.5. You follow me? Because of that non-cash pickup that's not expected to recur this year.

speaker
Matt Swope
Baird

I see. Can you just walk us through how that CEO award works?

speaker
Peter Thompson
Chief Financial Officer, Urban One

I'll oversimplify it, but it's roughly 4% of any cash proceeds, dividends, sale proceeds from the value of TV1. I think the valuation of TV1 at the moment is $285 million. And then there's some balance sheet adjustments. But the liability currently stands around $10 million on the balance sheet. And it has been as high as $25 million in the past. So that's just a reflection on the reduction in the fair value and the carrying value of the TV1 asset as the projections have decreased.

speaker
Matt Swope
Baird

I see. And has cash been paid out on that at all, or that's just the liability that moves up and down?

speaker
Peter Thompson
Chief Financial Officer, Urban One

It has on an annual basis. TV1 declares dividends, and the CEO gets his 4% share of those dividends. And that's ranged, I think it's around $2.5 million a year at the moment. It's been as high as just $0 to $4 million. But as the cash flow from that business is reduced, so is the cash payout on the annual dividends flowing from TV1.

speaker
Matt Swope
Baird

I see. Thank you. And maybe just one last one for me, probably for Alfred. Alfred, is it safe to say that the casino process is off the table for now?

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

In Richmond, yeah. It's safe to say given that they've actually broken ground on the casino in Petersburg.

speaker
Matt Swope
Baird

I guess I'm asking even – at one point you maybe mentioned thinking about it in Maryland as well. But just given the state of the balance sheet and things, is it over?

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

Yeah. No. Well, we like that business. We are looking for opportunities to invest in it again. Our Maryland effort was not around a bricks and mortar casino. It was around their iGaming legislation. For the last two sessions, they've been contemplating trying to introduce iGaming. and we'd like to position ourselves to be in that business and get a license, and so we've been lobbying to be part of the legislation. It died again this year, but iGaming is a great business as well, and it's only in six years states versus 37 or 38 states that actually have bricks and mortar casinos operating. So that's been our most recent gaming effort. We are currently not participating in any sort of RFPs for any land-based casino developments at all.

speaker
Matt Swope
Baird

Got it. Well, I'll reiterate my unsolicited advice. I can't imagine you can get a better return on anything than buying your bonds back in the open market right now. But thank you guys very much.

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

Yeah, I mean, we've been taking that advice. I mean, we spent $150 million in the last year. And I appreciate that advice, you know, but again, like I said, we want to make sure that we're prudent, you know, about how we buy it. And that's the reason we, you know, we do it selectively.

speaker
Matt Swope
Baird

Thanks, guys.

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

Yep.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Ann Silver with Stiefel. Please go ahead.

speaker
Ken Silver
Stiefel

Hi, it's Ken Silver from Stiefel. Ann is my sister. How are you guys doing?

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

Are you using her phone, Ken?

speaker
Ken Silver
Stiefel

Yeah, exactly. Anyway, nice to talk to you again. Most of my questions were answered. Let me just ask you, you gave the EBITDA guide, which was definitely helpful. Can you give us a revenue guide for the year also? You sort of did, sort of talking about radio and TV a little bit, but

speaker
Peter Thompson
Chief Financial Officer, Urban One

We haven't talked about giving that, Ken. I need to – Alfred and I haven't discussed it. I mean, obviously, I can see what we think it's going to be. Okay. I don't think we can do that.

speaker
Ken Silver
Stiefel

That's fine. So let me just ask you, how should we think about reach media for the year? I mean, it was down, I think, like high single digits in 2024. Is that sort of a trend that's going to continue, or might it stabilize more?

speaker
Peter Thompson
Chief Financial Officer, Urban One

Yeah, we have it as stabilizing and actually growing a little bit on the bottom line. So top line down a bit, bottom line up a little bit. So we don't see that as being the problem child this year. OK.

speaker
Ken Silver
Stiefel

And then on the digital.

speaker
Peter Thompson
Chief Financial Officer, Urban One

Stable to down a bit, but up on the bottom line.

speaker
Ken Silver
Stiefel

OK. And then on digital, you called out the sort of the headwind with CAT. Are there any other? Obviously, you're going to move some revenues to the TV segment, but besides those two things, is anything else significantly up or down in digital?

speaker
Peter Thompson
Chief Financial Officer, Urban One

Yeah, so I think there's a couple other macro things. Our traffic is down significantly over historic levels, and that's a function of Partly AI, partly the new landscape out there. So we're not getting traffic driven to us in the same way as we have before from Google and Facebook. So you've got some headwinds in traffic, which in turn means we have to go out and buy traffic, which reduces the margins, right? You've got high attack. And then demand in general, we've ridden the DEI wave, and that's receded. So I think there's a softening in demand there in the digital business as well. So DigiApp definitely got some headwinds for us.

speaker
Ken Silver
Stiefel

Okay, great. All right. Well, thanks very much. I appreciate it.

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

Thanks, Kevin. Operator 1058, we've got time for one more question.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

We have no further questions at this time.

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

Okay, great. Thank you, everybody. As usual, we are available offline if anybody forgets anything or would like to have a deeper conversation about the businesses. Thank you very much and we'll see you next quarter.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

This will conclude today's meeting. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.

speaker
Alfred C. Liggins
Chief Executive Officer, Urban One

Please wait. The conference will begin shortly.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

-

-