Victory Capital Holdings, Inc.

Q1 2021 Earnings Conference Call

5/7/2021

spk00: to the Victory Capital first quarter 2021 earnings conference call. All callers are in listen-only mode. Following the company's prepared remarks, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, please press star one on your telephone. I will now turn the call over to Matt Dennis, Chief of Staff and Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, Mr. Dennis.
spk02: Thank you, and good morning. Before I turn the call over to David Brown, I would like to remind you that during today's conference call, we may make a number of forward-looking statements. Please note that Victory Capital's actual results may differ materially from these statements. Please refer to our SEC filings for a list of some of the risk factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed on today's call. Victory Capital assumes no duty and does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements. Our press release that was issued after the market closed yesterday disclosed both GAAP and non-GAAP financial results. We believe the non-GAAP measures enhance the understanding of our business and our performance. Reconciliations between these non-GAAP measures and the most comparable GAAP measures are included in tables that can be found in our earnings press release and in the slide presentation accompanying this call, both of which are available on the investor relations portion of our website at ir.bcm.com. It's now my pleasure to turn the call over to David Brown, Chairman and CEO. David?
spk09: Thank you, Matt. Good morning and welcome to Victory Capital's first quarter 2021 earnings call. I am joined today by Michael Pellicarpo, our President, Chief Financial and Administrative Officer, as well as Matt Dennis, our Chief of Staff and Director of Investor Relations. I'll start by providing an overview of the strong operating and investment performance we achieved to start the new year. Then I will expand on our improving organic growth outlook with some detailed information. After that, I will turn it over to Michael who will review our first quarter financial results in greater depth. Following our prepared remarks, Michael, Matt, and I will be available to take your questions. The business overview begins on slide five. Victory Capital began 2021 much the same way we ended 2020. Net asset flows continued their improving trajectory that began in the middle of last year. investment excellence persisted with the vast majority of our assets under management continuing to outperform respected benchmarks and achieve very competitive rankings relative to their applicable peer groups while the efficiency of our platform also resulted in robust profit margins and record earnings for our shareholders we ended the quarter with total aum of 154.3 billion as well as long-term aum of 151 billion both of which were records Net flows improved again for the quarter, as well as during the quarter, culminating in positive net flows in the month of March. We've maintained the momentum we had in March thus far in the second quarter as of today's call. Revenues improved quarter over quarter by 6% on the higher AUM and improving average fee rate, which was the highest realized average fee rate in more than a year. Adjusted earnings per share included tax benefit rose in line with revenues and also grew by 6%. Moreover, adjusted EBITDA margins came in above 50% for the third quarter in a row. Consistent with our stated capital allocation strategy, we deployed most of our excess cash flow to further reducing debt and paid down an additional $50 million during the first quarter, reducing our net debt to annualized adjusted EBITDA leverage ratio to 1.6 times. Our ancillary uses of excess cash flow included raising the quarterly dividend and continuing to repurchase shares in the open market. With the $0.12 per share cash dividend declared yesterday, we've increased our cash dividend by 140% since this time last year. Turning to page six, investment performance continued to be excellent, which is a testament to our unique operating platform and culture. The majority of AUM has outperformed benchmarks for all standard measurement periods, and a majority of our strategies have also outpaced the respective benchmarks on an equal weighted basis. We provide our investment franchises with a centralized and fully integrated operating platform featuring best-in-class tools, which enables our investment professionals to focus their time on managing assets and servicing clients. With the closing of our most recent acquisition, THB Asset Management, on March 1st, we added their five-star rated THB micro-cap fund to our lineup. Our total number of mutual funds in ETS was four five-star ratings by Morningstar, Together, these 45 products represent 62% of our AUM in mutual fund and ETF wrappers. Moving to slide eight, I'd like to provide some color on why we are optimistic about our long-term outlook for organic growth. I will start with our recent acquisition of THB and our investment in Alderwood. Between the various strategies offered by THB, we have approximately $15 billion of open capacity. These are micro, small, and mid-cap strategies in the U.S. and international markets. These are capacity-constrained asset classes where active management is relevant, and with THB's exceptional long-term investment track records and the added feature of a long history of ESG integration, we anticipate steadily filling that available capacity over time. In September of 2020, we made our strategic investment in Alderwood, which provided us with an entry into alternatives. Alderwood received formal FCA authorization in the first quarter and has plans to begin fundraising for their initial fund in the second half of this year. We will be assisting Alderwood in their fundraising and will be including their net flows. As a reminder, Alderwood will be charging fees similar to other private closed-end funds. Alderwood is targeting the size of their initial fund to be between $1 and $2 billion with a total life of 10 years. Next, we are well positioned to provide investors with highly rated products built for the current and quickly evolving interest rate environment. One example is our five-star rated, Refinitiv LIPA award-winning floating rate fund that has been accumulating assets with strong positive net flows and currently has approximately $1.3 billion in AUM. This product is selling very well across a number of large intermediary platforms in our AAs. We expect this positive momentum to continue given many investors views on the future direction of interest rates. Our high yield fund is also rated five stars and is a recent Refinitiv LIPR award winner. Our market neutral income fund, which is managed by our solutions team, has consistently been one of our top performing products from an organic growth standpoint over the past several quarters. This product is unique and generates an attractive income yield for investors without using bonds. As investors reevaluate their traditional 60-40 portfolios, they are attracted to differentiated income projects such as this, which is currently the third best-selling market-neutral income fund in the country, according to Morningstar. It offers an attractive yield, low volatility and risk characteristics similar to traditional fixed income products with low correlation to both the equity and bond markets. On top of that, it has a lower fee than many traditional fixed income products and provides a majority of its income in the form of qualified dividend income. With the rotation from growth to value, as well as into mid and smaller capitalization stocks, we have a host of highly rated products and strategies that could benefit from a continuation of this rotation and that are managed by a number of our franchises. Those franchises are Sycamore, Integrity, and THB to name a few. Additionally, active global and international strategies are also in demand with investors. We have a sizable amount of open capacity in these asset classes supported by high-performing investment franchises with RS and Trivalent to highlight two of them. Our Victory Shares ETF platform was net flow positive for the second quarter in a row. With the continued industry-wide momentum of the ETFs and now with the emergence of thematic ETFs, we believe we are well-positioned to be a beneficiary of this trend and Our CDC and CSB ETFs are five-star rated and provide unique investment characteristics, and both are resonating well with clients. We have also had success with our NASDAQ Next 50 product, Triple QN, which was launched in September of last year. Lastly, our new VTRN product is a good example of our thematic capability with its focus on veterans. This product is just being rolled out with a new digital marketing campaign and is very applicable to our direct investor client base. Lastly, as we look out beyond the next several months, we have a number of emerging opportunities to drive organic growth in fixed income products managed by our USAA investment franchise. These include our newly launched SMAs and two active fixed income ETFs that have excellent investment performance and are highly rated. Our SMAs are now live at Fidelity and Schwab, and we are in advanced discussions for these offerings with top tier WRAP sponsors. We are also winning excellent shelf space for our USAA fixed income mutual funds, which is building the pipeline for the future. I will review this point in more detail later in the presentation. Turning to slide nine, we present a different view with specific in-demand asset classes coupled with franchises that manage products within those asset classes. As you can see, we have multiple franchises with multiple products in most of these asset classes. If market leadership continues to rotate from momentum and in a company to a strong fundamentals and sectors poised for earnings growth, as well as into capacity-constrained asset classes that make up a relatively larger portion of our parent AUM and opportunity. It bodes well for not only continued strong investment performance, but also enhances our potential to further accelerate our improving net flow trajectory. Turning to slide 10, our institutional book of one but not yet funded mandates continues to grow. While a few mandates did fund since the start of this the funding of new mandates will accelerate as we progress through the year. These wins have been achieved by many of our franchises, and they have been awarded to us by a well-diversified set of clients across our institutional footprint. To give you an example of the solid positioning of our institutional strategies, we had 15 different strategies that ranked in the top courts of our investment over both the three- and five-year periods ending March 31st. Given the aforementioned, we are optimistic that we will continue additional new mandates as the year progresses. Starting on slide 11, I will review our direct investor business and then our USAA investments franchise. We've increased the products available to our direct investors to 56 mutual funds, which are made up of both USAA and Victory Mutual Funds. We also have launched a digital portfolio planner that offers investors a self-guided tool that can assist them in their financial planning. We also now offer a customized fixed income SMA to this client base. Our referral agreement with USAA continues to produce new account registrations, many of which have automatic investment plans associated with them, which are beginning to bring in meaningful asset flows. As a reminder, the direct channel was closed prior to our acquisition, so we are very pleased with the traction we are beginning to see. Our 529 college savings plan remains since the close of the USAA acquisition, and AUM has reached approximately $5 billion. Many of our 529 plan participants utilize the automatic investment plan option as well, which brings in a steady flow of assets. Lastly, the fixed income products managed by our USAA investments franchise continue to post excellent investment performance, and we've been accelerating the reach of these products with our distribution partners, which is covered on slide 12. Our retail retirement and national accounts distribution teams have made great progress in winning new shelf space for the fixed income products managed by our USA Investments franchise. You have heard us refer to this as installing the distribution pipes that will help drive future organic growth in these products. 100% of these fixed-income products outperformed their respective benchmarks for the one-year period, and 94% of them outperformed for the three-, five-, and ten-year periods, creating meaningful tailwinds for this initiative. Our progress was somewhat impeded last year by COVID, as approving new product placements took a backseat with many of our intermediary partners, who turned their focus to navigating the pandemic. That situation has evolved, and a more normalized environment is beginning to emerge. We've significantly expanded the depth and breadth of our distribution reach for these products with new and expanded relationships at a very well-diversified set of leading defined contribution and national retail platforms. Many of them are also adding these products to their respective recommended lists. We have executed brand new agreements with Ameriprise, Ascensus, ADP, Broadridge, Lincoln Retirement, American Funds, TIA, Principal, and Empower, which just acquired Mass Mutual's retirement plan business, where we also had a new agreement. The same goes for Principal Retirement, which just acquired Wells Fargo Retirement, where we also had secured a new agreement. On the retail side of Prudential, we now have multiple products on their Prue Choice platform. We also recently added Morningstar, which came with the benefit of being included in Morningstar's fiduciary product offered through Voya. At Voya Retirement, we achieved inclusion on their closed menu product. We have likewise secured space on Transamerica's closed menu product, which is similar to a focus list. RBC Wealth Management added the Victory Shares USAA Active Fixed Income ETFs, and Fidelity Direct added 15 USAA funds to their Fidelity Personal Investors Channel no-transaction fee platform. Edward Jones added multiple USAA mutual funds, including the USAA Intermediate-Term and Short-Term Bond funds to their approved and research list, as well as their guided solution fund and flex advisory platform. This is the first time these products have been available to EverJones brokerage and advisor accounts. We see great opportunity for the USAA investments franchise as we are bringing together excellent investment performance with expanded distribution. Lastly, I would like to mention that we continue to be extremely active in our pursuit of acquisitions. We are in various stages of our evaluation process with a number of potential opportunities with some getting into the very final stages. The environment for us is better than at any time I can remember. We are very well positioned to participate in the consolidation of the industry given our track record at success acquiring companies. We have purposefully used the majority of our free cash flow to reduce our leverage so we would have the flexibility to execute, which is where I believe we are today. With that, I will turn it over to Michael for a more in-depth discussion of our financial results.
spk07: Michael? Thanks, Dave, and good morning, everyone. The financial results review begins on slide 14. Revenue increased 6% from the fourth quarter, reaching $213 million in the first quarter of the year. Our operating margin expanded on a gap basis from 39% in the fourth quarter to 42% in the first quarter. The quarter-over-quarter margin improvement was the result of better operating leverage as operating expenses, such as general and administrative, depreciation and amortization, increased at a slower pace than our revenue growth. We also recorded lower non-cash acquisition-related expenses in the first quarter, which contributed to the wider gap margins. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 50.2% in the first quarter. This was modestly impacted by seasonally higher payroll-related costs associated with higher employee benefit and payroll taxes, which tend to be front-end loaded in each calendar year. Adjusted EBITDA set a new quarterly record of $106.8 million in the first quarter compared with $103.8 million in the fourth quarter. Gap net income reached $65.2 million, or $0.88 per diluted share, up from $54.9 million for $0.75 per diluted share in the fourth quarter. Our adjusted net income with tax benefit of $1.13 per diluted share set another record high. We're active on the capital management front in the quarter. In February, we repriced our debt for the second time since the beginning of last year. With this latest repricing, we successfully lowered the interest rate spread by another 25 basis points, bringing the total spread reduction over LIBOR to 100 basis points when combined with the 75 basis point reduction in January of 2020. We returned a total of $14 million to shareholders in the form of cash dividends and share repurchases. During the quarter, we repurchased approximately 287,000 shares and our board approved a 33% increase in the dividend to 12 cents per share, payable on June 25th to shareholders of record on June 10th. Turning to slide 15, total AUM rose 5% during the quarter to $154.3 billion as of March 31st. The 5% increase in AUM since the beginning of the year was due to positive market action in the acquired assets from the THB acquisition, which totaled $547 million. This was partially offset by net outflows. Long-term asset flows are covered on slide 16. We achieved an 18% increase in long-term gross sales during the quarter, and net long-term outflows improved to $983 million which was a 33% improvement from the $1.5 billion of net long-term outflows in the fourth quarter and well below prior periods. This was our third consecutive quarter of improving net flows. Following Dave's comments, we have many reasons to be optimistic about our organic growth prospects moving forward. Turning to slide 17... quarter-over-quarter revenues increased by 6% on higher average AUM and slightly higher average fee rate realization in the first quarter. Money market yield support and fulcrum fees on certain USAA mutual funds together negatively impacted fee realization in the first quarter by approximately 1.2 basis points, which was an improvement from their impact in the fourth quarter. Given the strong investment performance of the fixed income products managed by our USAA investments franchise, we would expect to continue to see the fulcrum fee impact on our revenue realization improve. As we discussed previously, beyond eventually reaching a neutral impact on fees, which we are not at today, there is the potential for the fulcrum fees to exceed parity and to positively impact our consolidated realized revenues by as much as one to two basis points. Moving to slide 18, we've changed the manner in which we illustrate our expenses to enhance transparency. We've received questions related to the quarterly volatility and our reported gap expenses, which is often attributed to the accounting for the non-cash mark-to-market impact of the investments in our deferred compensation plan, which has no overall impact to earnings. So we are breaking that component out of our compensation expense, which you can see in the shaded gray row. And to show the exact offset, which is accounted for below the operating line in other income, we have also shaded that line in gray. With the updated presentation, this offset should be more clearly seen. We also added a yellow line across the bars to illustrate the relatively consistent cash compensation ratio over the last three quarters that hovers around 23%. Total expenses increased slightly in the first quarter. This reflects higher variable expenses associated with the higher AUM revenue and earnings reported, as well as the seasonality of certain payroll tax and employee benefits expenses. These were largely offset by the lower acquisition-related expenses in the first quarter. The quarterly adjustment of the fair value of contingent acquisition earn-out payments on our balance sheet was $7 million lower in the first quarter compared with the fourth quarter. The non-GAAP metrics for the first quarter are presented on slide 19. Adjusted net income with tax benefit per diluted share of $1.13 was up 6% from the fourth quarter and up 23% from $0.92 per diluted share reported in last year's first quarter. Adjusted net income of $83.6 million generated in the first quarter set another quarterly record. This includes a $6.9 million tax benefit, which was up from the prior quarter due to a full quarter's impact of the first contingent payment to USAA, which was made in Q4 of 2020. These payments increased total goodwill and acquired intangible assets, which we then amortized over a 15-year period for tax purposes. In the event there's a corporate tax increase, our gross tax benefits from this amortization would also increase. Adjusted EBITDA margin was narrower versus the fourth quarter, which was expected. For modeling purposes, we are maintaining our annual adjusted EBITDA margin guidance of approximately 49%. And keep in mind, this includes investments we continue to make in the business to drive future growth. Moving to our capital management activities on slide 20. We paid down an additional $50 million in debt during the quarter and another $27 million subsequent to quarter end. Since the origination of the term loan in July of 2019, we have repaid approximately $389 million, or 35% of the original outstanding principal. As a result of our proactive measures to reduce outstanding debt and interest costs, Our cost of debt declined by 12% to $6.8 million in the first quarter of 2021 versus the prior quarter. This represents a 60% decline in our debt servicing costs since we originated the loan less than two years ago. In absolute dollars, this translates to more than $10 million in interest savings per quarter on a run rate basis. Additionally, our $100 million committed revolver remains undrawn. That concludes our prepared remarks, and I will now turn it back over to the operator for questions.
spk00: As a reminder, to ask a question, you will need to press star 1 on your telephone. To withdraw your question, press the pound or hash key. Your first question comes from the line of Kenneth Lee with RBC Capital Markets.
spk01: Good morning. Thanks for taking my question. The expense breakdown on slide 18 is very helpful. I wonder if you could just talk a little bit more about the components within comp expense. Specifically, it looks as if there's some seasonal increases and perhaps some items related to fund sales on the variable comp expense. Which items would you consider to be relatively non-recurring?
spk08: Thanks.
spk07: Thanks, Ken. Good morning. It's Mike. Yeah, within the comp expense, as we said in the prepared remarks, there is seasonality with respect to resets on payroll taxes and employee benefits. The increase in the benefits and payroll taxes were about $2.9 million quarter over quarter, which really we look at as seasonality and will even itself out over the course of the year, as has in past years. So that's one item that we think is non-recurring from what's sitting within the compensation expense. You pointed out we did also highlight the mark-to-market on a deferred compensation plan. That element was $2.7 million. It's a non-cash element that's offset in non-operating income. So the impact to Gatman income is zero, but that is included in the compensation line. But again, we've carved that out so you can now see that much more clearly, as well as the history of And then lastly, yes, you did highlight that commissions will be – have increased quarter over quarter, really as a result of the higher long-term flows, as well as the funding of some of the institutional, one but not yet funded, that has now come in quarter over quarter. So we look at that as a great increase in compensation expense as we're growing the business. So those will be the highlights I'd give you.
spk01: Great. That's very helpful. And just one follow-up, if I may, and this is just on the THB. I'm just wondering if you could just share with us, you know, as there's a potential ramp-up in AUM within THB, as you leverage Victory's distribution platform, just wondering how you think about the potential ramp-up of AUM within THB. Thanks.
spk09: Hi, it's Dave. I'll take that question. You know, we closed the THB transaction on March 1st. So we're integrating the platform into our distribution relationships and our distribution platform. It'll take time. I mentioned in my prepared remarks that we had about $15 billion of capacity in the products that they manage. I would imagine that capacity gets filled over a number of years. And as we get out to the relationships that we have, as we build new relationships, but it's going to take some time. But 2021 should be a year where we begin to close business on that platform. And as we, you know, go past 2021, I would imagine that would accelerate.
spk01: Great. Thank you very much.
spk00: Your next question comes from the line of Mike Carrier with BOA.
spk11: Hi. Good morning, and thanks for taking the question. First, I just wanted to maybe dig into this shift from how it was in recent months versus last year. And I know this is difficult, but can you quantify how much is related to maybe less pressure from some of the USAA Schwab transaction versus increased transaction in some of the areas you mentioned, like expanding your distribution relationships? Basically just trying to figure out how much upside potential do you see from some of those initiatives ahead versus what's already in the run rate?
spk09: Good morning, it's Dave. Let me break that down. First, I think there is a lessening impact from the USAA Schwab transaction. So I think that that's one contributor. I would say that that has an impact. I wouldn't say it is a material impact. The other aspects of what's happening is, number one, I think you're seeing some of the investments we've made in distribution. We're starting to get some returns on. We've made quite a few investments over the last year, and I think you're seeing a pickup. You're also starting to see some of the distribution, as we outlined in our prepared remarks, around the USA investments. getting to now platforms that they didn't have access to in the past, and you're starting to see some results there. And then you can see from the one page in our slide, with all of those products with the excellent investment performance, really in asset classes where you're seeing investors allocate dollars, we have great product and really marrying that up with great distribution. That's probably the area of biggest impact. And when we look forward, I think that there is a lot of upside in those areas, meaning areas where investors are looking at products that fit their portfolio for this evolving market environment. And we happen to have a lot of really well-performing products that are priced you know, with good distribution. And I think we're just starting to see the beginning of it. And that's why we're so optimistic about what our organic growth outlook is. We steadily, if you go back to last year, we steadily improved quarter over quarter over quarter. And as we said in our prepared remarks, March was a net flow positive month. And, you know, that momentum has really continued into the second quarter. And we're pretty optimistic about the organic growth. No different than what we've been saying all along is when you look in larger or longer periods, we think we can grow organically. And some of the issues we've had in the past have been very transactional or one time in nature. And we're moving further away from that. And that's been a little bit of a drag, but I think it's really the future that we're looking at and how we're positioned and why we're so optimistic.
spk11: All right. Great. Thanks. And then maybe just on the fulcrum fees, I know you mentioned them, but can you provide just a negative impact, say, in the quarter, and then the delta that would get you to break even? And then I think the max benefit, I think you mentioned, would be like one to two base points. I just want to make sure I have, you know, sort of the degrees of benefit from here that we could see, you know, performance continues to do well. Sure.
spk07: That's a good question. So, as we did say, the maximum benefit is between one to two basis points on the overall business. Where we are today and what we concluded in the fourth quarter, the impact of the Fulcrum fees was negative 0.4 basis points on the business. I'm sorry, in the first quarter, is negative 0.4, which was an increase of 0.2 basis points from the fourth quarter of last year. So we have seen some improvement quarter over quarter. But again, to reiterate, it was negative 0.4 in the first quarter. And the upside really for those funds, as we look at the performance improvement that we've seen and continue to see across the board, is one of the two basis points on the fund level.
spk11: Great. Okay. Thanks a lot.
spk00: Your next question comes from the line of Alex Blostein with Goldman Sachs.
spk08: Hey, guys. Good morning. Thanks for taking the question. Hey, Dave, I want to dig into the M&A pipeline a little bit more.
spk09: It sounds like you guys are getting closer maybe to some of these deals being announced. Any way to help us kind of think through the investment management kind of styles or types that are a little bit towards the front of that pipeline? Let me... take that in two pieces. The first is just our strategy. You know, we have historically done two types of deals. We've done deals where we'll call them transformational at the time of the transaction. USAA, RS, and Munder at the times were transformational in size and scale. And, you know, that's one big bucket for us. And, you know, we are actively pursuing those types of transactions. And then the other types of deals we've done, I would call them as impactful, which are smaller in size but very strategic. You know, I'd call that a THP or the Kemp deal we did years ago. And that's another big bucket for us that we're working on and, again, actively discussing. And they're different in size. Both are strategic. Both add a lot of value to our business in a lot of different ways. When we think of our pipeline today, as I said in the prepared remarks, you know, we're moving some of the opportunities into the very, very final stages. You know, our balance sheet, we've spent a lot of our excess cash flow paying down our debt to really have a balance sheet that gives us the flexibility to really execute on opportunities. And I think that's exactly where we are today is we have that flexibility to to do a transformational transaction and at the same time do an impactful transaction as i've as i've categorized them the environment is better than i have seen at any point really in my career there are lots of conversations happening we're involved in many of them and it is an issue of opportunity for us it's an issue of selecting the right opportunity And so I would tell you that, you know, we bucket them in transformational and impactful, and we're evaluating both of those types of transactions. As far as product set, You should expect, as we've said before, we start with the client's portfolio where we want to be in products that matter, where investors are allocating dollars, and that can be in traditional long-only products. It also would be in alternatives. I mentioned in my prepared remarks about Alderwood. It was our first product. entrance into alternatives. That isn't an area that we have historically acquired into. I think looking forward, it's an area that we're very interested in and an area that we're working on. And I would anticipate longer term, that's an area that we're going to be involved in. And it's going to keep the same principles that we have today on our platform. But that's an area where we know we can add a lot of value to those firms looking to partner up Got it. Very helpful. Thanks. Mike, a follow-up for you. I think I heard it right, but the EBITDA margin guide for the year adjusted EBITDA margin, I think you said, is 49% unchanged. I think you guys did a little over 50 in the first quarter, despite the, you know, obviously seasonally higher expense item that you mentioned, and it feels like the revenue momentum in the business is obviously quite strong between the market flows and the Maybe give us some thoughts around sort of sensitivity around that 49% for the year. Are there things where you're kind of investing in incrementally more, and that's sort of the offset that we need to be thinking about? Or is it just kind of a level of conservatism, given uncertainty when COVID savings come back and things like that?
spk07: Thanks, Alex. Good morning. As you said, I think we did post our third consecutive quarter over 50% from a just a bit of margin perspective. And in the prepared remarks, we did say that the guidance really remains unchanged at 49%. But as you also mentioned, I think we are making investments in the business around distribution, as Dave highlighted in his comments, digital marketing, around our digital platform, products, data and analytics. So we are making investments. So our quarter-to-quarter margins could fluctuate based on the timing and the opportunity that we see in making some of those investments. Clearly, we've demonstrated a strong operating model, and it does flex with the variable expenses that we have in the business with growth and or decline from a market and revenue perspective. So there will be quarters, but we'll be above that. But, again, we've kind of kept the 49%. long-term view, just as we think about whether that's investments we need to make or in some level of post-COVID and travel and some of those things. So I think we're comfortable at the 49%, but we do think there's opportunity quarter to quarter as we think about the investments we're making.
spk02: Great. Thanks so much.
spk00: Your next question comes from the line of Ken Worthington with JP Morgan.
spk03: Hey, good morning. In terms of the M&A environment, I think part of the solution Victory provided for smaller asset managers was access to better distribution as wirehouses and brokers reduced the number of managers on their platform over the last number of years. Is Victory still seeing access to distribution for smaller asset managers under increasing pressure, or have we reached sort of a steady state with regard to their access?
spk09: Hi, Ken. It's Dave. I'd say our value proposition for smaller managers really is multifaceted. First, as you mentioned, it's access to distribution that they just wouldn't have access to at a smaller size or a smaller scale or channels that they would not be staffed up to penetrate. We also have a pretty well-developed operating platform that we think is best in class that they get access to. And then I think the stability and the experience of just a larger money manager that can add a lot of ancillary things to what they do. Specifically on distribution, as you can see with what we've done with USA Investments, and we went into quite an amount of detail in our prepared remarks, I think that there's plenty of opportunity for managers that are smaller in size, that have investment excellence in the right asset classes, that are priced right, to get distribution, specifically on the retail side, on the retirement side, in certain institutional situations in the U.S., outside of the U.S. So we're still seeing that. As far as the industry goes, I believe that a lot of the platforms are reducing the number of firms they are working with. I would say that, you know, on most of the platforms, that's not us. We've had great relationships and great distribution. A lot of the asset classes, though, that we're in are capacity constrained. And one of the challenges for platforms is how do you access new managers in this capacity-constrained asset classes, and we solve an issue for them. So a long way of answering is we still think that that value proposition on the distribution side holds true for small managers, and THB is a really good example as we continue to build out their distribution now.
spk03: Awesome. Thank you. And then you said maybe just a moment ago that the environment is better than you had seen from an M&A perspective. So the question is, why is it better? It seems like from the seller's perspective, market levels are at all-time highs. So it makes sense to me that they might be looking to monetize their investment in their franchises. but that doesn't mean it's necessarily better for you in terms of that meeting of the minds and finding a price. So could you just flesh out your comments, why you think the environment has improved, or what are the characteristics that have driven your comments?
spk09: Sure. I think pricing is one element of it. Although the market has increased, I still think that the investment managers are not priced to the value that they bring. So, I think that the investment managers are still inexpensive on a historical basis. So, I'd start there. But price is one aspect of it. The reason I feel that it is an environment where there is a lot of opportunity is the issues that managers face today, they've not changed with the increase in the market. Access to distribution, access to technology, the need for scale, all of those things have been furthered along, meaning that if you had that issue in the past, you have more of that issue today. And so when you have that coupled with, you know, a realization that the market is up and, you know, you have more people discussing the future and looking for partners, and, you know, because of that, there are a lot of firms that are thinking about doing something that in the past would have never thought about it. We've seen some of the larger, higher-profile transactions occur that I think some of the firms, if you went back a few years, you would say that those firms would never have transacted. And I think there's a lot more to come. And so the issues with the industry, really the haves and the have-nots, have really been highlighted. And because of that, I think it's the best environment, like I said, I've seen in my career. Awesome. Thank you very much.
spk00: Your next question comes from the line of Cullen Johnson with B. Reilly Securities.
spk10: Hey, good morning. This is Cullen Johnson. I'm on for Randy this morning at B. Reilly. Thanks for taking my questions. We touched on flows a bit already, but I just want to look specifically at the fixed income segment this quarter. Was there anything that stood out in fixed income you think drove those positive net flows in the quarter?
spk09: It's Dave. Nothing specifically. I think many of the allocators are thinking about increasing interest rates or potentially increasing interest rates and how they switch around their portfolios. We've also built out the USAA investments distribution, which I think has given us some increase in flows and then as we highlighted on the the one slide we have a number of really really good performing and kind of the products for the times on the fixed income side you know our floating rate product our high yield product um those have really um done well with uh investors given what's happening with the interest rate environment yeah that's helpful
spk10: And then we noticed there was a buyback as well as an increase in the dividend this quarter. So we're just kind of wondering, how do you evaluate the relative benefits of buybacks relative to dividends when you're looking to return some capital to shareholders?
spk07: Good morning, it's Mike. Yeah, I think we've been pretty consistent on our capital management strategy, and it really remains unchanged. We want the flexibility to execute our business strategy. And as we talked about, our primary use of our free cash flow has been to de-lever. We've paid down $77 million year-to-date, 35% of the original term loan from July of 2019, and significantly lowered our leverage ratio. We've done that as well as looking at being opportunistic in repricing our debt. So we've seen a significant reduction in our interest carry, both in the reduction of the principal debt as well as the reduction in the rates. So we're down over $300 billion. almost 300 basis points from an interest cost perspective since we took out the loan in July of 2019. So as we've done that, we've introduced really what we call an ancillary shareholder return program through buybacks and dividends. and really would be able to take the savings from an interest perspective and drive that back to the shareholders. We think that's important. And that's something that we've continued to do as we've grown the business while still balancing the allocation between debt pay down and shareholder return. As far as the metrics we look at, you know, going forward, I think it really depends on facts and circumstances. They've mentioned you know our our primary goal is to really recoil our balance sheet um to to look at and be able to execute on m a and the balance sheet today is ready for that even inclusive of the shareholder return components and the leveraging components so we balance a lot as we look at it and and really it really is based on the kind of current facts and circumstances and the environment that we're in and we think we've been very successful in being able to to manage our way through all of those things and to deliver shareholder return and financial returns.
spk09: And I would add, Dave, I would add just a few things to that. One is we bought double the amount of shares in 2020 than we did in 2019, and I believe we bought more shares back in the first quarter of 2021 than we did in the fourth quarter of 20. I think that that should give you an indication of what we think the value is in our stock at this point. That being said, we have increased our dividend pretty aggressively over the last year and over the last quarter. It's a facts and circumstances analysis, meaning we look at our entire portfolio portfolio of things we can do with our free cash, discuss it with our board, and then we set our policies. But I would say that we have been the beneficiary and our shareholders are going to be the beneficiary of really good capital management around the cost of our debt, reducing the debt. And I think as we look forward, we think we can actually hit on all three pieces, continue to buy back, shares, continue to pay a dividend, and also, most importantly, continue to pay down debt to recoil the balance sheet to do really accretive transactions.
spk10: Great. That's helpful. I'll leave it there. Thanks.
spk00: Your next question comes from the line of Jeremy Campbell with Barclays.
spk05: Hey, thanks. Maybe just another one on M&A optionality. Dave, I know you talked a little bit about the value prop here on the call of distribution to smaller managers, but maybe just as you survey the landscape of what sounds like an active deal market, are there inorganic opportunities to onboard a manager that's strong in a district channel that you're still kind of building out, like SMA or retirement or retail directs, where there might even be greater, you know, two-way synergistic fit to more typical deal flow where it's mostly just a really nice product set?
spk09: Good morning. Correct. I think on the acquisitions we've done in the past, a lot of the businesses we have bought have brought things to us as well. So it isn't always one-sided. Use the example of SMA. You know, that's an area that we're building out pretty nicely with our USAA business. We're entering into that market. If there were a manager that was already established there, that would be value to us. And remember, our Acquisition strategy starts off with, is it strategic? Does it make our company better? We don't really do just financial deals. We're not interested in just a financial deal where we can increase earnings and there's no strategic value to it. So when we look at the transactions, there are situations where, for example, maybe on an international distribution in a certain country where we can gain distribution. THB is a great example. They have a presence in Australia. They have a relationship in Australia. We did not, and when we bought their business, we started – you know that a new relationship in australia same thing when we did the rs investments transaction it gave us access to japan so when we look at transactions we do evaluate that and there are opportunities um you know where as you said it actually makes our business better from a distribution uh perspective
spk05: Got it. Great. And then, you know, I know you're probably going to say this is an and proposition, but, you know, on the organic growth side where you have a lot of momentum, what are you most excited about? Is it, you know, the capacity and performance you guys nicely laid out on slide eight? Is it expanding distribution to the SMAs, further building out retail direct? What are you most excited about here?
spk09: You know, I really think it's all of the above. But if I had to highlight a few areas where I think that we have great opportunity, I would say, you know, investors are rethinking their portfolios today. There's a shift in the market happening. And there's also potentially a pretty significant change in interest rates coming. And then put on top of that, a potential tax increase. change, and I think it has investors rethinking their portfolios. As they rethink their portfolios, there's a couple key areas where I think we have great investment performance, long track records, and distribution setup. So, when you think about some of the interest rate changes, I think about our floating rate fund, as we highlighted, actually our market-neutral income fund, our high yield. That's very interesting to investors, and I think that's exciting for us. Our ETF business, two quarters in a row, of organic growth great product you know we have the size and the scale and i think some of the tax changes could move some investors into etfs and i think we're well positioned there to be a specialist etf provider and then when i think about some of the portfolios moving from maybe the growth and momentum type stocks and portfolios into a different type of portfolio. We have a lot of products that are pretty well established, great track records, five-star rated, four-star rated funds that have previous in distribution. That gets me excited. And then lastly, we haven't talked too much about ESG, but THB has a long history of integrating ESG principles into their, you know, investment portfolios. And I think that, you know, that's another area of growth. You know, I think we have about 70% of our assets today integrating ESG principles into the portfolios. And I think that's going to be another area that you're going to see a lot of growth in the industry as well as with us.
spk05: Great. Thanks a lot.
spk00: Your next question comes from the line of Robert Lee with KBW.
spk06: Great. Thanks for taking my questions this morning. You know, maybe the first one, Mike, if you could just refresh us. I believe maybe it's in the year that USDA, I think it's the year the licensing agreement is up for renewal. I'm assuming you want to start those conversations well in advance. Is there any call you could give us on, kind of your expectations around some incremental costs around that or should we assume that at this point that whatever revenue share you have with the USAA, that's kind of what we continue going forward?
spk09: Sure. It's Dave. USA has been a great partner to us. You can see some of the numbers in the new account registration since we've announced the transaction. And I would say that we're a pretty ingrained partner in a lot of different things with them. And there's really no change to the licensing or the brand agreement we have with them. And as we get closer to the expiration of it, we'll sit down with them and talk about what the best, you know, route forward is.
spk06: And I'm sorry, Dave, I don't know why I said ecologist. But second question is just kind of curious, you know, arguably one of the challenges you your stock maybe has from an evaluation perspective is kind of limited liquidity. And I guess your PE owners just own the vast majority of stock, and one of them is also an investor in arguably a competing business shortly. So I'm just kind of curious if there's, you know, with one of your board members now owning or seem to own a competing business, should we be thinking there's going to be some you know, possible, you know, loosening of or issuing some stock, you know, getting a little bit more liquidity? Or if not, how do you kind of manage that kind of conflict at the board level?
spk09: So, you know, our private equity partners have been tremendous partners to us. They're board members first. And our board has been excellent and supportive in our success over the years and our growth. And I think we have a pretty great track record of where we started to where we are today. And they've been extremely supportive of how we've gotten there. As far as their desire to put shares into the market, as you've referenced or anything else, that's their decision and their decision solely. They're fiduciaries to our company. They sit on the board, and they're well-experienced, so I'm not in a position to seek for them. As far as a board member working or being a partner in a firm that has made another investment in another investment management firm. You know, any potential conflicts, if there ever was, would be dealt with at the board. We don't see any. And, you know, I'll go back and say that our success that we've had over the years has been because we have great partners and a great board and a great group of employees.
spk06: Great. Thank you so much for taking my question.
spk04: your next question comes from the line of michael chris with morgan stanley hey good morning thanks for taking the question i just want to dig in a little bit more on the direct channel as you look at the direct channel the customer set there i guess what strategies and capabilities do you see a demand from these customers that you do not already have on your platform today or don't have capacity on your platform? Strategies perhaps that you see as white space that maybe you would think about filling either organically or inorganically?
spk09: Hi, Mike. It's Dave. A couple pieces to that. One is we've added a number of products to the direct to investor business. We have now had 56 mutual funds, which has increased pretty significantly from when we started. We added a portfolio planner. We've added the fixed income SMAs. And we have more things to come to add and that will satisfy a lot of our investors' needs there. And I would imagine over time, you should expect over time that our product set there is going to expand and potentially expand into some different areas that we're not into today. That's part of the investments that we're making. But today, as we said, I think that there's a wholesome product set. There are definitely opportunities in different areas, and we are evaluating them. We're investing in them today. And this has always been for us a block-by-block building opportunity. We have set a really great foundation with service. We've set a great foundation with products. We've set a great foundation with performance. And now what we're doing is really going to the next level where we're going to expand our products out there and continue to kind of drive the growth that we think we can accomplish in that part of our business.
spk04: Great. And just a quick follow-up, if I could, just on Alderwood. I was hoping you could elaborate a bit more on the strategic relationship with Alderwood, your aspirations there. And maybe you could just remind us of your ownership level there and what's leading you to include their AUM and flows in your numbers.
spk09: So Alderwood is... going to be a private fund that will raise their first fund here in the second half of this year and into next year. We'll help them in distribution. So from a perspective of in the U.S., we'll help them sell that product, that fund. We own a 15% stake in the business. And we'll account for, as I said in our prepared remarks, the way that most managers account for ownership stakes that way, including their flows in our flow profile. Great. Thank you.
spk00: Our final question will come from the line of Owen Lau with Oppenheimer.
spk08: Good morning, and thank you for taking my questions. So I think, Dave, you touched on this a little bit, but could you please add a little bit more color about the impact of potential tax change on Victory overall? Thanks.
spk09: Sure. First, there's a number of proposals out there today. We don't think that proposals as they sit today will actually get through and become law. I think you'll see a negotiated or a slimmed-down version of what's out there. But that being said, I think one of the areas of impact could be an increase in capital gains for high earners. And from there, I think there could be some movement out of mutual funds, potentially into ETFs or into SMAs. But remember, there's still a very large part of the mutual fund industry that's in retirement assets. So, you could see an impact of some outflows in mutual funds. But for us specifically, our ETF platform, our SMA business that we're building, and then you know, how deep we are in the retirement, I don't anticipate really an impact to our business, you know, potentially maybe in a positive way for some of the other areas, but I don't see a major impact there. And then I would also say a lot of the tax changes, when you think about capital gains, probably doesn't affect fixed income products. A lot of the fixed income products, you know, maybe people will move into, you know, municipal bond funds or funds that have, you know, an advantageous tax treatment. We have a number of products there that are high performers and are, you know, really good distribution established. So I think, you know, we potentially could see some additive flows there. But when you really take a step back for our business specifically, I think there could be potentially some moving of assets into one structure into another, but I don't see it having a material impact on, you know, our flow outlook or AUM outlook.
spk08: Okay, got it. And then quickly, going back to USAA, would you be able to provide more information about a non-529 plan, including maybe like retention rate, you know, AUM flow and fee rate? Any more color would be very helpful. Thank you.
spk09: We've provided the new account registrations. I think there was a lot of noise around really two transactions, us acquiring the mutual fund and 529 business, and then Schwab acquiring the brokerage business. I don't think there's a lot of value to be had in drilling down into some of the detailed numbers. It's just not how we report it. What I can tell you is we are making great progress And I think you can see that in the overall flow numbers and how optimistic we are. But we're making great progress in that part of our business. We've expanded the product set. We have aspirations to continue to expand it. Our service is excellent. And I think it's an area when we look out longer term is going to be potentially a differentiator for us, having a sizable direct-to-investor business that will be growing. And I think that that will be a differentiator for our business when you look at a traditional money manager.
spk08: That's helpful. Thank you very much.
spk00: At this time, I will turn the conference over to Dave Brown for closing remarks.
spk09: Thank you. Thank you for attending our call, and I hope all of you have a great day, and we'll talk to you next quarter.
spk00: Thank you for participating. You may disconnect at this time.
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