4/26/2022

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by and welcome to the Warner Brothers Discovery Inc. First Quarter 2022 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be question and answer session. Additionally, please be advised that today's conference call is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Andrew Slabin, Executive Vice President, Global Investor Strategy. Sir, you may begin.

speaker
Andrew Slabin
Executive Vice President, Global Investor Strategy

Good morning and welcome to Warner Brothers Discovery's Q1 Earnings Call. With me today is David Zaslav, our President and Chief Executive Officer, and Gunnar Wiedenfels, our Chief Financial Officer. Before we start, I'd like to remind you that today's conference call will include forward-looking statements that we make pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The forward-looking statements include comments regarding the company's future business plans, prospects, and financial performance. These statements are made based on management's current knowledge and assumptions about future events and about risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from our expectations. In providing projections and other forward-looking statements, the company disclaims any intent or obligation to update them. For additional information on important factors that could affect these expectations, please see our Form 10-K for the year ended December 31st, 2021, and our subsequent filings made with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. You should have received a copy of our Q1 results. If not, please feel free to visit our website at ir.wbd.com. With that, let me turn the call over to David.

speaker
David Zaslav
President and Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, and thank you all for joining us. Two weeks ago, we closed our transformational merger and began our next chapter as Warner Brothers Discovery. As we begin the exciting work of bringing together the rich legacies of these two great companies, our mission is simple, to be the world's best storytellers with world-class products for consumers. It's been fantastic to finally have the teams working together, and I've loved having the opportunity to get time with the new leaders across WarnerMedia, as well as thousands of employees across key locations in the US. and I couldn't be more impressed by the strong sense of motivation and excitement, an opportunity to unleash the potential of the combined talent pool of this new great company. These last few months in our industry have been an important reminder that while technology will continue to empower consumers of video entertainment, the recipe for long-term success is still made up of a few key ingredients. Number one, world-class IP content that is loved all over the globe. Two, distribution of that content on every platform and device where consumers want to engage, whether it's theatrical or linear or streaming. Three, a balanced monetization model that optimizes the value of what we create and drives diversified revenue streams. And four, finally, durable and sustainable free cash flow generation. Warner Brothers Discovery emerges as a far more balanced and competitive company and uniquely positioned to deliver on these four critical ingredients. We have no religion about any one platform or window versus another. And we intend to approach each and every decision through a lens of enhancing asset value against a set of financial returns. Our goal is to maximize long-term shareholder value and asset value, not just subs. We will not overspend to drive subscriber growth. Our focus is to invest in content and platforms that extend the life and return of our global IP and position us to drive greater returns out of each dollar of content spent than our peers, and to ultimately drive free cash flow. And we will refine our capital allocation and content when doing decisions accordingly. We can maximize the distribution of our global IP in a number of ways, guided by simplicity and choice for consumers. In streaming, we have a massive opportunity to reach the widest possible addressable market by offering a range of tiers, all with the most compelling and complete portfolio of content. A premium and attractively priced ad-free direct-to-consumer product, a lower priced ad-light tier, something we have had tremendous success with and is our highest ARPU product, and in some very price-sensitive markets outside the United States, We can even offer an advertiser-only product. We have the ability to ring any number of cash registers, theatrical, gaming, premium home video, pay TV, and free-to-air broadcast, plus streaming. Now with 100 million collective subscribers, it is a growing and important complement to these existing and traditional avenues of monetization. and represents true optionality that, over time, will drive our strategic decision making. Given the depth of our content, decades of film and scripted and unscripted television series, many of the most iconic brands and franchises, including half of the MGM library, supported by a continuous pipeline of new production, together with the world's news leader, CNN, and a large international offering of live sports, we have enormous flexibility in terms of how we monetize these assets. We benefit from a deep history of world-class content production, Warner Brothers Films, Warner Brothers Television, and HBO, through global leaders that are producing at scale. True content makers, like Warner Brothers Discovery, with an ability to produce and control the content IP versus those that just write checks are positioned best to win. As you've heard me say, we are not trying to win the direct-to-consumer spending war. To begin with, we firmly believe the two content companies coming together have unique advantages, including the largest film and television library from Warner largest domestic and international lifestyle library from discovery and significant global live sports and news this strong foundational offering will allow us to invest and scale smartly and will uniquely position us in our drive to become a fully scaled global streaming leader we come into this transformational moment with great creative momentum just to give you a glimpse starting with the global success of the batman at warner brothers studios at warner brothers television ted lasso and breakout hit series abbott elementary on abc which was just renewed for a second season and of course chuck laurie's unique and compelling content the hbo max which is on such a roll fresh off record viewing for hbo series euphoria winning time gilded age and barry to hit Mac's originals in Just Like That, Peacemaker, and The Flight Attendant. And in Europe, the Beijing Olympic Games at Discovery, Chip and Joe and the launch of Magnolia, and 90 Day is a real strong performer on Sunday nights, just to name a few. One of the company's unique assets is the linear network group. And in 2021, taken together, We enjoyed the number one share in total television, total day, in all key demos, and people two plus. And we have the greatest brands, HG, Food, HBO, Discovery, CNN, NBA, March Madness, NHL, Magnolia, the Oprah Winfrey Network. our balanced verticals and content genres across scripted, lifestyle, sports, and news provide us with significant opportunities to not only cross-promote for the benefit of the portfolio, but also to offer compelling reach and targeting campaigns for our advertising partners. I'll speak to this a little more in a moment, but this isn't just a domestic phenomenon. In LATAM, for example, we are now the number one or two pay TV programmer in every market, and we bolstered our position as the second largest broadcaster in Europe. Again, we are excited about the strength of our sports portfolio and the optionality it gives the new company. We enjoyed our exciting March Madness and Final Four, NBA regular season, and what looks to be a strong playoffs at Turner. and capping off our first season of the NHL and playoffs. Major League Baseball has just started to come together while having just completed a robust Olympic Games in Europe, as I noted. Lastly, CNN is once again setting the standard for groundbreaking and journalism-first news coverage. During critical moments, the world turns to CNN. At its core, CNN is the nation's premier news outlet, has the number one digital news service in the united states with 35 million unique monthly users the heroic reporting out of the ukraine reminds us all that cnn is the world's most impactful news platform and for us a true reputational asset from a management perspective we have brought together a strong leadership team in a streamlined structure to foster better command and control and strategic clarity and coordination across the entire company. We've just begun to hit the ground running with the teams and the broader organization. My focus is to foster a culture of collaboration and to embrace a singular focus around being the top home for the best and most diverse talent and creators to bring their stories to Warner Brothers Discovery. We will have our heads down across the company and we'll have a more formalized and detailed outlook across our businesses to share in the coming months. Though in the course of initial planning, integration, and synergy capture, early action priority items for me will be the upfront. Like with Scripps, we are fortunate to have closed the transaction in time for this year's upfront marketplace. We expect our presentation on May 18th to be an important opportunity for the company to share the full suite of our combined network portfolio, the top talent and personalities within the family, and the breadth of genres across series, specials, news, sports, streaming, and the best lifestyle content in the world. The combined strengths of both organizations' client relationships, advanced advertising, programmatic, sponsorships and direct-to-consumer, ad-light streaming services, all position the company with a unique hand. I have personally spent quite a bit of time with key advertisers at agencies, and I'm so impressed with the combined capability of our platforms and our ability to uniquely serve the needs of our clients, including integrating sports alongside our broad entertainment offerings. One offering where before it was Discovery, Warner, and Sports, Now as one, it's simpler and provides more value to advertisers. In many respects, we are building upon the momentum that John Steinloff has built with Premier, bringing unduplicated broadcast equivalent reach and greater share to advertisers, helping us to secure a greater share of revenue. I remain very enthusiastic about the upside here and this multi-year opportunity. direct to consumer. Davey and his team are deeply involved in the early integration phase and go-to-market plans, having had very little interaction across the organizations during the pre-closing period. This will take some time, though key steps to identify and analyze technology proficiencies, subscriber concentration and overlap, content opportunities, marketing and pricing strategies are all underway. Content. Kathleen Finch on the network side, along with Casey, Channing, and Toby, are assessing the opportunity across the entire organization. And they are significant. As drivers of both more efficient spend, as well as revenue upside. Like direct to consumer, we'll have more to say in time, particularly on windowing, as well as content sharing. And finally, synergies. We have been working hard for months and are now validating and executing against those 200-plus work streams. The attack is strategic, operational, structural, and financial. We will clearly take swift and decisive action on certain items, as you saw last week with CNN+, while others will take time to formulate appropriate action plans. We've detailed a 3 billion plus cost synergy plan, and we're already on our way with coordinated efforts from our transformation office as to the waves over which this will unfold. Just 18 days in, we are as enthusiastic and excited as ever with the opportunity ahead to integrate and drive the new Warner Brothers Discovery. The leadership team is locking arms on our integration plans and long-term growth strategy. And we look forward to providing more detail on each of these in the coming months. I'll hand it over to Gunnar, after which he and I will answer some questions.

speaker
Gunnar Wiedenfels
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, David. And good morning, everyone. What an exciting moment. It's great to finally be able to tackle the challenges and embrace the opportunities ahead as we begin the hard work to integrate WarnerMedia and Discovery. Please remember that today's call is predominantly meant to discuss Discovery's Q1 operating performance. Since as you know, our merger with WarnerMedia closed just after the end of Q1 on April 8th. To the extent possible at this time, I will share some reflections on our early observations as well as WarnerMedia Q1 results that AT&T disclosed last week. Starting with a quick review of Q1 results for Discovery Standalone. Discovery's first quarter US advertising revenues were up 5% year over year. Our next gen advertising products like Discovery Plus and Go performed well, and we continue to see positive impact from last year's upfront, which helped to outpace delivery declines on the linear side. While the scatter market continues to be solid with pricing up over 30% versus upfront, visibility, not surprisingly, continues to remain limited given the current macro environment. For us, categories like auto, technology, and CPG are weaker versus last year, while travel, entertainment, and retail remain healthy. U.S. distribution revenues were up 11% year-over-year, largely driven by the growth of Discovery Plus subscribers throughout 2021, while linear affiliate revenues were also up year-over-year as rate increases continued to outpace subscriber decline. Our fully distributed subscribers were down 4%, as were total portfolio subscribers, when correcting for the impact of the sale of our great American country network in early June last year. Turning to international, which I will discuss on a constant currency basis. Advertising grew 11% in the first quarter, in part helped by the Beijing Winter Olympic Games, as well as underlying momentum in certain key markets such as the UK, Germany, and Latin America. That said, we did begin to see some limited impact from the conflict in Ukraine towards the end of the first quarter in markets such as Poland and Germany, as well as some macro headwinds similar to the U.S. While visibility remains limited in certain key European markets, at this moment, we expect Discovery standalone international advertising revenues to grow in a similar fashion with Q1, excluding the Olympics impact, which was a nice positive. At the moment, we're pacing up low single digits. Distribution revenues increased 8% during the quarter, largely driven by continued growth of Discovery+. So note that we did not launch any new markets during the quarter, as we previously outlined. and in line with our strategic thinking coming into the closing of the merger. On the linear side, we continue to see healthy growth in LATAM, while pricing pressures in certain European markets remain a headwind. This also, in part, reflects hybrid affiliate deal structures, which balance affiliate fees and D2C distribution. Furthermore, note that revenues from our Russia JV, which we announced we had exited, are recognized as distribution revenue. This resulted in a 100 basis point drag to distribution revenues during the quarter. I would also note that Discovery's exposure to Russia and Ukraine in total is less than 1% of revenues and 1 to 2% of Ayurveda. Operating expenses were up 11% during the quarter, primarily due to the Olympics. Excluding the impact of the Olympics, OPEX declined by 2% year over year as lower marketing costs as compared to the elevated Discovery Plus launch than last year were partially offset by higher content costs across our portfolio. Net-net, we finished the quarter with $1.03 billion of AOBIDA, up 23% year-over-year, including a small negative impact from the Winter Olympics and roughly $170 million of investment losses. Net income for the quarter was $456 million, resulting in gap EPS of $0.69 per share. Now turning to some housekeeping items to consider for the quarter as you update your models. First, we recognized a 58 cent per share gain from the $15 billion notional interest rate hedges that we implemented last year. We unwound this hedge in mid-March in conjunction with the successful closing of our $30 billion debt offering. Second, the impact of PPA amortization during the first quarter was 49 cents per share. As I mentioned on our last earnings call, we decided to take a more conservative position and accelerate the amortization of purchased customer relationship intangibles. As a result of this, our Q1 DNA expense increased by $164 million year-over-year. Adjusted for the two items I noted, EPS would have been 60 cents per diluted share. Turning briefly to the WarnerMedia results that AT&T reported last week, which I'd note is based on how AT&T has historically reported the segment and which will not necessarily tie to carve out financials or how we plan to segment the business going forward. We are working on Q1 carve-out financials for WarnerMedia, as well as updated pro forma financials for Warner Brothers Discovery, and we will have those disclosed before the end of the quarter. Sticking to the reported numbers for now, underlying performance at HBO Max during Q1 was healthy, with growth of 3 million net ads reflecting continued strength of the programming slate. In total, together with Discovery's 2 million net ads, the pro forma company added 5 million paid subscriptions during the quarter. Adding the two subscriber bases, we ended the quarter with just over 100 million global DTC subscribers. So please note that we are still working through alignment of our subscriber definitions and the focus of our subscriber reporting going forward, after which we will have a more refined and detailed update when we report second quarter results. However, the operating results, as you have seen, were down in WarnerMedia's first quarter, a 33% decline versus prior year to $1.3 billion. Free cash flow was down even more, declining by $2.6 billion versus prior year, and more importantly, significantly negative in absolute terms. Again, this is for WarnerMedia and the AT&T segment structure and includes elements that are not part of Warner Brothers' discovery going forward. In my mind, there is both good and bad news in these results. Starting with the bad news, Q1 operating profit and cash flow for WarnerMedia were clearly below my expectations. And given that Q1 performance and previously unplanned projects in flight, I currently estimate the WarnerMedia part of our profit baseline for 2022 will be around $500 million lower than what I had anticipated. However, with a positive offset of a couple hundred million dollars on the discovery side of the combined company. Opening leverage as a consequence of this, while still dependent on working capital adjustments that have yet to be finalized, is likely to be a notch higher, now estimated around 4.6 times, give or take, and still well below the initially modeled five times. Net-net being the first year of our integration, and as we've explained all along, 2022 will undoubtedly be a messy year with a lot of moving pieces and now a somewhat less favorable starting position in Q1. The good news, on the other hand, is that I also see more opportunity as I work through the numbers. There are certain investment initiatives underway in plain sight that I don't think have attractive enough return profiles. As such, and with our new combined leadership team in place out of the gate, I feel very confident in our ability to rectify some of the drivers behind the business case deviations, and some very quickly, with the CNN Plus decision last week being exhibit A. And while we're still early in our integration process and are still at the beginning stages of initiating our synergy as well as strategic and financial planning, We feel more confident than ever about achieving our $3 billion cost synergy target and believe there is a much greater opportunity off of the current baseline, and that target will ultimately prove conservative. And to be clear, we remain fully committed and reiterate our financial targets for 2023, and I remain very confident that we are on track to achieve our target gross leverage of two and a half to three times at the latest 24 months after closing. We are refining a more detailed bottoms-up combined budget and long-range plan, the key insights of which we look forward to sharing in the months ahead. Prior to that, I wanted to share some high-level priorities that we were digging into early on, as well as some initial financial and operational observations since close. Number one, content. I'm working very closely with our creative and financial leadership teams to examine the totality of our $23 billion plus of annual content spend to analyze the ROI of each dollar spent. The goal of this exercise is not to identify ways to reduce what we spend on content, but to harmonize processes and analytics so as to be more consistent and efficient in how we allocate our content spent across the entire global portfolio to optimize returns. Second, marketing. The combined company spends more than $5 billion each year on marketing, and that doesn't include the opportunity cost of cross-promoting assets across all of our platforms. We intend to drive for the highest level of financial discipline here to make sure that every dollar spent is purposeful and measured. This will prove to be an enormous opportunity for cost synergy capture across the globe and within each and every business line, given the significant overlap geographically and operationally. Lastly, working capital. Since I joined Discovery five years ago, a key focus area has been to improve working capital efficiency. This has been a critical part of the formula that has led to our free cash flow conversion rate being among the top end of our peers. Similarly, I believe we have a tremendous opportunity to continue improving working capital efficiency at Warner Brothers Discovery, operationally and structurally, and this will be a key ingredient in achieving our free cash flow conversion rate targets. As I stated at the beginning of my remarks, I am invigorated by the opportunity ahead to build a unique and truly remarkable media company centered around unparalleled IP and a balanced monetization model to drive sustainable profit and free cash flow growth. We're only 18 days in and are still at the very early stages of integration and refining our long-term strategy. And we look forward to sharing more about our plans in the coming months. The new combined management team is completely aligned around our philosophy to manage Warner Brothers Discovery with the highest level of professionalism with diligent analysis and decision-making, accountability, and overarching coordination of our balanced portfolio of assets in the best interest of the company, focused on free cash flow and firm value more than anything else. Now with that, I'd like to turn the call over to the operator, and David and I will be happy to take your questions.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, as a reminder, to ask a question, you will need to press star one on your telephone keypad. Until we draw your question, press the pound key. In the interest of time, please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. Your first question comes from the line of Vijay Jayant with Evercore ISI. Your line's open.

speaker
Vijay Jayant
Evercore ISI Analyst

Good morning. Just wanted to get some perspective. Obviously, you know, you made some decisive decision on the CNN Plus, you know, shutting down. Are there a lot more opportunities across the Warner Brothers businesses that can result in material saving of costs going forward that you've sort of seen that, you know, could help the long-term cash flow story? And second, just for Gunnar, in terms of... Working capital and free cash flow, obviously this year there's going to be a lot of puts and takes with cost to achieve and fees and so forth, and also the adjustments that came through the transaction with Warner Brothers. I think you paid $2.5 billion less than the original deal price. Any sense of all the puts and takes can help us with what the free cash flow trends can be given where you're starting from? Thanks.

speaker
Gunnar Wiedenfels
Chief Financial Officer

So, Vijay, let me start with the last one, because I want to make clear, we're still working through our opening balance sheet, and there's, you know, there's working capital adjustment work that's still in flight, and I'd prefer to discuss the details of those results when we have all that fully baked and audited in hopefully a few weeks here. But I think the bigger picture here, as we've said, you know, 2022, is going to be noisy uh and you've mentioned some of the factors that are going to flow through but if i take a step back here just look at you know call it the past 15 months uh for for warner media sort of as a carve out group you know we're looking at more than 40 billion dollars of revenue and really you know virtually no free cash flow and right or wrong management has made a decision to invest a lot of you know the incoming uh funds into a number of uh investment initiatives and as i'm looking under the hood here, again, CNN Plus is just one example, and I don't want to go through sort of a list of specific examples, but there's a lot of, you know, chunky investments that are lacking what I would view as a solid, you know, analytical financial foundation and meeting the ROI hurdles that I would like to see for major investments. And so we're This is an opportunity. We're going to be able to, you know, continue the initiatives that make a lot of sense and reallocate some funds or drop some cash to the bottom line. But it's an opportunity. We're in the process of working through that. And as I said, 2022, you know, very much looks a little messier than probably what I had hoped for. But for 2023, you know, I'm more encouraged than ever. And I think it's going to be a very clean another area. that you may have picked up from David a minute ago is sort of this point of not being religious about any of these decisions. We'll make decisions on the basis of the data that's available and clean financial analysis. And I think there's a ton of opportunity.

speaker
David Zaslav
President and Chief Executive Officer

An example of that is if we're not going to be in a particular country for a period of years, we should be monetizing our content. As we've taken a look at the subscription platform, and looking at HBO Max, which Casey is doing such a great job with, we're looking at the data and you could see that there's a huge amount of content. And you look at the wealth of the TV library and the motion picture library that's not being used at all on the subscription platform. So basically what content is being used and valued on the subscription platform? How do you enhance that and drive that together with our existing content to reduce churn and drive growth? And what's not being used on that subscription platform? And how do you monetize that in a way that's meaningful? Everything should be monetized. We own more content, more compelling IP than any other media company in the world. We have a strategic focus on a global platform that reaches people either through subscription only or ad light. But ultimately, whether it's through our existing platforms or through AVOD, We should be monetizing all the great content that we have.

speaker
Vijay Jayant
Evercore ISI Analyst

Okay, thanks so much. Next question.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And your next question comes from the line of Khatgun Meral with RBC Capital Markets. Your line's open.

speaker
Khatgun Meral
RBC Capital Markets Analyst

Good morning, Anne. Thanks for taking the question. I want to talk about streaming. The market's enthusiasm for the streaming business model has tapered off somewhat following one of your larger peers, starting to see a notable deceleration in growth and calling out a number of headwinds that they're seeing to their subscriber trends. And it's interesting to me because on the flip side, your most transformational and exciting days are probably still in front of you under your new combined portfolio. So I think for all of us, it would be very helpful if you could help frame the opportunity you see ahead with streaming once more and whether or not we should be thinking about HBO Max, Discovery Plus services a little bit differently than some of your peers? And if ultimately your views on your DTC subscriber or ARPU trajectories have meaningfully shifted given what we're seeing elsewhere in the ecosystem? Thanks. Thanks so much.

speaker
David Zaslav
President and Chief Executive Officer

Look, I think it's a big benefit that we're a fully diversified company. We're the largest maker of content and whether it's Ted Lasso or we have over 100 series that we're producing and more than 50% of those are for third parties, and we're generating a lot of revenue by being a great producer and maker of content. In addition, we have our traditional business, which we're outperforming, and we're generating a lot of free cash flow. Having said that, the idea of discovery coming together with Warner, with all of this great IP, and being able to reach above the globe from my perspective, remains an even bigger opportunity. You take a look at what Netflix has done over the last several years and what Disney has done. They've plowed a path. And behaviorally, people have gotten acclimated to buying content. They've got acclimated to watching content on different devices, how to move content around. And here comes this new company with this lane And it's why the middle lane is wide open for us to accelerate with the broadest and most compelling IP in the world, whether it's DC or Hanna-Barbera, Looney Tunes, Harry Potter, Game of Thrones, HBO. And so we put this all together, together with what we have at Discovery. And when I say we're going to be disciplined, people are spending hours a day with Discovery+. We have content, a huge library, about as big as Netflix. You put that together with the shock and awe of HBO Max. And the first question for us is, that looks like a pretty combustible, compelling, broad offering. In Europe, it's sports, it's nonfiction, it's entertainment, it's HBO. Here in the US, it's all of the content, which in many months, we're the leader for women in the US with what we have. Our product is very low churn. So we start with, I think, a very differentiated, very broad, very compelling offering that has IP that people know and that's attractive to everybody in the home. And our data says that the more people that use it, the more often they use it, the higher the growth and the lower the churn. And so we're very enthusiastic about driving down that lane with our ad light and subscription service. But we also, you know, in this moment of uncertainty, feel very strongly that this diversified company is going to give us the ability to have that conviction and to have that discipline because we're generating huge free cash flow. You know, I've been at Discovery now for 15 years. And for those of you that have followed us, we're focused. Discovery was a free cash flow machine. We were generating over $3 billion in free cash flow for a long time with investing in our new media, which we did successfully. And we learned a lot. We still were generating almost $2.5 billion of free cash flow. Now we look at Warner generating $40 billion of revenue and almost no free cash flow. And with all the great IP that they have, we bring this discipline and this focus on what are we investing in? Are we investing in assets that are going to, in investments that are going to generate real return? Is this going to help our subscriber growth? Is this going to be helpful to us in our platforms? And we think that there's a real opportunity for us.

speaker
Gunnar Wiedenfels
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, look, maybe just to add from a financial model perspective, all we've seen over the past 18 days is in support of the thesis that we had developed jointly uh you know through the course of uh uh you know this uh this deal originally uh so no no change there if anything uh uh maybe more enthusiasm around so the ability to control one of the most important metrics which is uh which is churn um by the combination of of these two phenomenal content portfolios and and the great work that uh that the teams are doing here um and i mean just to you know uh answer this broader question about the streaming uh business model remember that as we as we've been saying all along a lot of the synergy potential is really going to come from you know cost avoidance and elimination of you know plant expenses for the streaming business, so I do think I continue to to see a very, very you know attractive return model here.

speaker
Khatgun Meral
RBC Capital Markets Analyst

That's great. Thank you both. And I'm sorry, if I could just squeeze one more in. I realize it's still very early days, but now that a deal is closed, can you talk maybe a bit more about top line synergies? When you think about the combined company scale and IP portfolio, it's fairly massive. So it doesn't really take a lot of heroic estimates across potential upside to linear advertising, to affiliate fees, to DTC, to come up with a fairly needle moving total top line synergy number, maybe, I don't know, one or two billion. So any updated thoughts on the opportunity with the top line synergies and the path to get there? Thanks.

speaker
David Zaslav
President and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks so much. In the models that we've shared with you, we don't have any revenue synergy in there. I think it's opportunistic that we closed in advance of the upfront. But it's also opportunistic that we have a together, we have a scaled product and we're in the market already with an ad light product. We're the ones that were out there very early saying ad light looks really compelling because it's a great consumer proposition. They, uh, our users, the churn was very low. They, they, we were doing between two and four minutes of advertising and generating five, $6 in, in incremental revenue. And as it scaled, we started to make more. And so we said very early on, we're going to switch to offer consumers what they want, a lower priced opportunity with a small number of advertising. In addition, we're in the business of selling advertising, which gives us a great advantage. So as others, and I expect they will over the next couple of years, get into the streaming ad life business, many will not have the infrastructure of teams locally on the ground, or the ability to package all the channels or free-to-air channels and markets across Europe together with that type of inventory. And finally, the opportunity of putting these two companies together. And I've been meeting with the top agencies last week and this week with Bruce Campbell and with John Steinloff. And we're talking about this exciting opportunity of what we bring to the table now. leader in live sports, news, entertainment, and lifestyle. Taken together, we're bigger than any of the broadcasters. And so if you lay out the four broadcasters, or you say now, who are the five leading players in prime time in America, by any measure in terms of reach, the ability to get demographics, the quality of the IP, the amount of live content, the amount of sports, we're in the top three. And by some measures, we're number one. And so I think that ability to offer that bouquet, because every advertiser wants something different, who wants more sport, more entertainment, more news. But sport for us particularly, where all the sports are locked in for the next several years, next year for the first time, all of the playoffs and the Stanley Cup of hockey will be on TNT. And you have the NBA finals, TNT. You have baseball, TNT. You have March Madness, TNT. And we love that. And we've been driving that hard to create value for advertisers throughout all of Europe. So we hit every demo. And in terms of scale and opportunity for advertisers, We're very strong. We have the NBA playoffs, not the finals. But the net-net is the advertisers we've spoken to and agencies are very excited about having this new fifth player in prime time. And, you know, we would argue the number one, two, or three player in prime time. And the same is true for us scaling outside the U.S. to provide more opportunity to advertisers. Rick, let's take this question, please.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And your next question comes from the line of Jessica Reeve-Ehrlich with Bank of America Security. Your line's open.

speaker
Jessica Reeve-Ehrlich
Bank of America Securities Analyst

Thank you. I have two questions. Can you talk a little bit about, I guess, there's no secret that there were tons of inefficiencies at the old WarnerMedia. So how are you approaching the incentive structure under your management team versus prior owners? That's question one. And then I know you talked a little bit about advertising, but can you talk a little bit about the approach? It's scale yet, which you've talked about, but you also have a broader array of assets. From what I recall from the old-time Warner days, news and sports were never sold with entertainment. So this seems like the first time all of these assets will go under one sales team. And also you'll have more like more platforms to sell. I guess, are you selling, it sounds like you're selling the advertising for DTC within all of this at the upfront. So, you know, can you just talk about that and your approach? It obviously will show up in Q4 of this year, but any opportunity even before that in Scatter. Thanks.

speaker
David Zaslav
President and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Jessica. So you're right. I mean, it was, our number one thing is how do we service clients with simplicity one-stop? And so we've restructured and in these advertising facing meetings, we've already gone out to agencies and advertisers. And it is simpler because before it was sports, it was Warner Entertainment and it was Discovery. Now it's all in one. And as you said, we also have all this digital inventory, which is in great demand, whether it's bleacher, or whether it's cnn.com uh which is the largest dot com the largest site for news in america uh together with the ad light product on discovery plus together with uh the the ad light product with hbo max um and all of our other digital assets so it's one place to get the broadest demographics and all the different types of content that an advertiser can want. And Steinloff and Bruce can sit down with an advertiser and address really whatever need they have, but sit down at the table as having the largest reach or close in the marketplace and the broadest scale of diverse content. I think it puts us in a very good place to service advertisers.

speaker
Gunnar Wiedenfels
Chief Financial Officer

On your first question, Jessica, we're obviously in the early innings here, but one thing that I can clearly say is that we're going to set incentives that are reflecting the balanced nature of the portfolio, as opposed to, for example, incentivizing everyone across the company just for a subscriber. goal, we got to reflect the best interest of the entire corporation in incentives and make sure that people actually have an ability to impact what they're getting paid for. And one theme that I think is going to cut across here is that we'll work hard on coordinating across the different business units to make sure that assumptions, you know, tie into each other as opposed to sort of, you know, our focus on individual This is going to evolve over the course of the next 12 months, but that's sort of the high-level philosophy here.

speaker
Jessica Reeve-Ehrlich
Bank of America Securities Analyst

Guna, can I just ask a quick follow-up? When you said that there was a shortfall on the part of WarnerMedia of $500 million, where does that come from?

speaker
Gunnar Wiedenfels
Chief Financial Officer

Jessica, as I told you, everything I'm saying here is on the basis of what AT&T disclosed publicly and then some internal management reporting. I do not have sort of a fully audited set of WarnerMedia financials. I don't want to go into any kind of detail here, but it's, you know, just take that, you know, aggregate operating profit number, and that's essentially $500 million lower than what I'm seeing today for the full year. than what we put in our management case that was disposed in the S4.

speaker
David Zaslav
President and Chief Executive Officer

Just one follow-up that I think is going to be interesting for next year in terms of sport. It'll be the first year that all the playoffs for a major U.S. sport are on cable. The hockey will be on ESPN and will be on TNT. That's all the playoffs will be on us and ESPN.

speaker
Jessica Reeve-Ehrlich
Bank of America Securities Analyst

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

All right. Your next question comes from the line of Brian Kraft with Deutsche Bank. Your line's open.

speaker
Brian Kraft
Deutsche Bank Analyst

Hi, good morning. I had two, if you don't mind. So first, I just want to ask you about the timing for the relaunch of your direct-to-consumer strategy and products. Is that something that could happen by the end of the year? And in the meantime, how are you managing that business? Are you going to continue to invest in marketing and growing HBO Max? or will you be taking your foot off the gap marketing there? And then separately, just want to ask you how you're thinking about the challenges and the opportunities presented by account sharing. Do you see the kind of opportunity that Netflix sees in tightening that up and trying to monetize it? Is that something that you need to focus on in the next couple of years? Is that something that may be more of a longer-term focus for you? Thank you.

speaker
Gunnar Wiedenfels
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, Brian, so thank you. So look, when it comes to the timing for the relaunch, again, I don't want to make any new commitments here. The team is working hard right now, you know, as one combined team to hammer out the exact cadence here. And we will, you know, come back to you all once we have a fully baked firm plan here. What I can say about the interim period here is we're not changing our mindset. So the priority for the team is to sort of rally behind that integrated product. And at the same time we'll continue to be very thoughtful about our spend. We will not launch any new markets for the time being. We will not sort of chase aggressively uh behind subscriber growth as long as we are working on this um you know priority one which is getting these uh getting these uh products together that said you know i've uh all i've seen so far you know um makes me very very enthusiastic about the opportunity of the combined product we've got a great cadence of content uh coming to the market here house of dragons uh for for third quarter uh i think it's going to be uh excited uh exciting global phenomenon phenomenon so

speaker
David Zaslav
President and Chief Executive Officer

very good about it but we'll be continue to be very thoughtful as as we have been um you know going into this uh into closing um this merger here i mean it's mission central that we we think these two that both of these products together the bouquet of content that we provide uh the wealth of content the diversity of content the the content that's known around the globe as soon as we we believe that that's going to be a combustible uh product that we could really drive around the world and so the sooner we can get it launched but we want to get it right it's critical because you know you could have uh a record-breaking number of people watching euphoria but we want to make sure that when they finish euphoria if we have the goods if we have all this great content on that we we're ability we have an ability to recommend to people you just finished euphoria here's the other eight shows that you would love, whether it's Chip and Joe, whether it's Oprah, whether it's 90 Day Fiance, or whether it's Minx or another great HBO Max series. But we have some work to do on the platform itself that will be significant. But we also think that one of the big opportunities here is going to be churn reduction. There's meaningful churn on HBO Max, much higher than the churn that we have seen. And so the ability for us to come together is part of one of the theses here that managing churn, and we've seen this because we've been at it in Europe for eight years, as you begin to manage churn in a meaningful way, that provides a real meaningful growth.

speaker
Gunnar Wiedenfels
Chief Financial Officer

And maybe, Brian, on the password sharing point, as you may have heard before, both from us and the HBO Max team, There's a process in place. There's a dedicated team. And, you know, I would just say that this is not a rampant problem here. In fact, I think it's a small number of cases where we see a high risk of that sharing activity happening.

speaker
Brian Kraft
Deutsche Bank Analyst

Great. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Rich Greenfield with LightShed Partners. Your line's open.

speaker
Rich Greenfield
LightShed Partners Analyst

Hi, thanks for taking the question. You know, there's a quote, David, from former HBO CEO Richard Plepler that more is not better, but better is better. And I'm, you know, I know you've sort of talked about, you're not trying to win the sort of content production arms race. But as you sort of think about the HBO Max strategy, does broadening HBO to HBO Max even make sense? Like, should HBO just stick to the HBO ethos of like, we all know what an HBO show is like succession. Should it be broader? You just mentioned things like 90 day fiance, et cetera. Like should, should discovery and CNN content really be in there or is HBO such a great product as it is that expanding it to be more actually doesn't make sense. I'd love to sort of just, how do you think about that and how do you evaluate, especially given what's just happened with sort of,

speaker
David Zaslav
President and Chief Executive Officer

netflix and disney both sort of realizing they have to do advertising and that you know some of their content may not be generating the type of sub growth that they had hoped for previously thanks rich it actually makes every sense because what you need is a diversity of content for everybody in the home and you know they may come in for euphoria but our research shows that people watch euphoria their favorite their favorite second show to watch is 90 day fiancee So having a diversity of content, there's a reason why people are spending hours with Discovery Plus. And they watch Discovery Plus at different times of the day. But the same people that are watching Julia, a great new series, or are watching Gilded Age, they're turning around and they're watching Big Bang Theory and they're watching Friends. That's why HBO Max has been able to continue to grow so aggressively. And so when you put all of this diversity of content together, There's content for kids. There's content for teens. It's basically everybody in the family. Why would you go anywhere else? We have all the movies. We have all the library content that you want. And I think better is better. That was the point I was trying to make, that if we have a – if Casey and the HBO team, who I spent a bunch of time with this past week, extraordinarily talented team, they've been together, the leadership, for more than 15 years, all of them. They have a system. It reminds me of the Disney, Alan Horn, Bob Iger, the way that they were able to really outperform the market. Kevin Feige, Kennedy, they were able to outperform the market with motion pictures for a period of years. You look at the way they focus on quality, whether it's Julia, Winning Time, Gilded Age, Euphoria, flight attendant, and just like that, Barry, they just launched. And this is an ability to really own kind of the cultural importance. And the idea that just doing more shows, look at HBO right now, what it really needs is precisely what we have. That when they're finished with watching Winning Time, They can go and watch Friends or watch Big Bang or watch their favorite movie or go over and watch Oprah or watch some TLC shows just for fun. So we believe, and we see this in Europe, where we tried to offer, we thought that the answer was just to offer niche high quality, that you get high quality shock and awe content together with a lot of nutrition, in our case in Europe, together with sports. And you offer something that everybody in the family uses and the churn goes way down. It's much harder to churn out of a product when your kids use it or your significant other uses it or your mom and dad are watching. But also if you find yourself watching it more often. So I think it's precisely why we did this deal. And I think everything tells us that it's going to make us stronger and more compelling because of the breadth of the quality menu of IP that we have.

speaker
Rich Greenfield
LightShed Partners Analyst

And as you think about that, how does that impact the, you know, obviously as the streaming product becomes more robust and you put more of your energy there, how should we be thinking about what happens? The trajectory of sort of Turner discovery, the legacy cable network business, like how do you balance that? The decline of that business versus the growth of the other, like, especially, I know it's 18 days in, but how are you thinking about that sort of trade-off?

speaker
David Zaslav
President and Chief Executive Officer

Well, first of all, um, we've been growing our traditional business. We recognize that 4% of subscribers are down and viewership on the platform is down. But when our competitors are taking content off constantly of that platform, it gives an opening for us where we're doing a lot of original content. We're obviously all original on CNN. Sports is live and tune in. And then we're doing original on food, on home, on discovery. And we see it outside the U.S., uh long term there's no question that the business is challenging but cpms are increasing advertisers still are looking for they're chasing and chasing for inventory because it's the most effective inventory in long form video and look remember broadcast for a period of 20 years was declining and cpms were increasing you know i was at nbc in in the mid in the mid 90s when welch was saying this can't continue We can't have smaller and smaller audiences and make more and more money. And I think he was right, or maybe he'll be right eventually, but it's almost 30 years later and the advertisers are still paying more than the hurdle rate of decline. So we will be leaning in with efficiencies and effectiveness to our traditional business, which we think, which generates an awful lot of free cashflow. We'll be leaning in as a maker at Warner Brothers Television, where we're selling, we're an arms dealer and we could sell content and we're selling because we're the best producer of content. We're selling content and getting prices in bidding wars to get that content. And we'll continue to do that. And then right down that middle lane, we'll be building that important growth engine of starting with HBO Max and Discovery Plus and what we have across Europe. And finally, I'll just say that That traditional platform, you know, the other night during the playoffs, we reached more than 50% of the people that were watching television across our platforms. As Gunnar said, there's a lot of money being spent to try and reach an audience. We now have the same or in many cases, the largest reach on television in the U.S. And the ability to use our own inventory to promote to and from all of our products and the efficiency of doing that and the cost savings of doing it I think is a big plus for us.

speaker
Gunnar Wiedenfels
Chief Financial Officer

And the one thing I would add, Rich, is just from the financial perspective, we have a hand that I would not want to trade with anyone else in the industry. The balanced portfolio has so many built-in financial hedges. Again, I happen to believe that the linear platform is going to be around and will coexist with our other platform for a very long time. But should it change, should that trend accelerate, we're positioned with more than 100 million homes on the direct-to-consumer side. Should we see more price inflation on the content side? We'll be benefiting from that with, you know, one of the top TV studios in the world. So there's a lot of, you know, flexibility. And, you know, I think it's anyone's guess how some of these trends are developing, but I think we're as well positioned as anyone in this game.

speaker
David Zaslav
President and Chief Executive Officer

And as the largest maker of content, we can change strategy. The world is changing. If it turns out that producing more content for ourselves, because we're accelerating down that middle lane as a global company, direct-to-consumer business that we're not going to have to go write a lot of checks to others to get the best content because we have the factory. Thank you very much, guys.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And your last question comes from the line of Stephen Cahal with Wells Fargo. Your line's open.

speaker
Stephen Cahal
Wells Fargo Analyst

Thank you. I just wanted to ask about a couple of WarnerMedia assets and sort of take your temperature on how you're thinking about what you can do with them Maybe first is on the DC universe. That seems like just an asset that's been under managed by Warner, especially vis-a-vis what we've seen from some of the peers like Disney. So just wondering if you've had any time to get under the hood on DC and how you think about you might be able to use that with some of your global ambitions a little more successfully than the predecessor management team did. And then with CNN, you've shut down CNN+. We've seen this week that There are folks out there that'll pay a lot of money for news and news type platforms. It doesn't seem like news is something that scales globally in the same way you talk about a lot of your other businesses and content. So I'm just curious how core we should think about CNN within your long-term strategy. Thanks.

speaker
David Zaslav
President and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Steven. Well, first, let me start with news and CNN. I love the news business. We love the news business. CNN is the leader in news. They're the leader in global news. They're the best journalistic organization in the world, which they're showing. We've got a great new leader, Chris Licht, that's going in there. We're fully committed to it. And we think that as you look at news around the world, it's never been more important. Here in the US and around the world, there's mostly advocacy networks. The ability to provide journalistic, uh great journalism and facts and for those two elements of the foundation of us of a civilized society we need great journalism and great facts to make the right decisions and you know advocacy networks that make a lot of money by by generating and and supporting an audience is a great business but cnn is is in the business of journalism first and that's what that's what we're going to fight for but it's also as importantly It's a really, really good business because we own it. When it comes to the entertainment business, whether it's DC or Harry Potter or Hanna-Barbera, that's IP that we own. When it comes to sports, we're very careful about sports. And the TNT and Warner team was clever about getting long-term rights, which we're going to get a lot of benefit from. But sports are rented. and news is scalable we're we are already in europe and the ability is the ability to take cnn around the world more aggressively and own that and the value of that because when people get up every day you know there's lots of entertainment content they want to see but as as human beings we wake up are we okay and then what's going on in the world and being able to own that with the greatest brand in news is really compelling and so we're committed to it we think it's a differentiator we see already in europe that when we put it together on our on our subscription platform that people come to it often it reduces churn and it increases appeal and so uh and and finally i think cnn.com is a new media asset people are looking at news on their devices uh and we're the leading place that they're going for news we're pushing breaking news to people on their devices, on every device. And that creates a real connection. When people see CNN and they see that on their device, it's meaningful. And so Chris is going to start his journey in the next week or two. I'm watching CNN. I think we all are. And it's a treasure. And what Ted Turner tried to create is something that is really meaningful. And we take that seriously. It's a solemn moment with the war in Ukraine. But ultimately, when there are war trials, the exhibit A, B, C, and D will be the great work of the war correspondents that are risking their lives to get what's going on there on video and in camera. And it's probably what differentiates this war from almost any other. And it's probably one of the reasons that's galvanized NATO and galvanized the world on what's going on. because of the work that CNN has done. So we're fully committed. On DC, I would just say we think that DC is an extraordinary opportunity. Batman, Superman, two of the biggest brands in the world, maybe one and two, maybe one and three. So I think there's over 100 characters. And let's just say that we're going to focus very hard on building a long-term plan. Batman was just very successful. It was also very successful on the platform when it dropped this past week, which I think it's just one piece of data, but it's a very good sign. I've been saying for a very long time, owning Warner Brothers Motion Pictures, together with a streaming service, together with a big factory maker of quality content and Warner Brothers Television, together with the largest traditional media business, global business, is a great recipe and a very balanced attack. But there was question about whether opening a big movie, should we really collapse the entire motion picture business on streaming? And I think I've been saying no, but I think now the data is starting to show no way that when you open something, when you opened a movie in the theaters, it has a whole stream of monetization. But more importantly, it's marketed and it builds a brand. And so when it does go to the streaming service, there's a view that that has a higher quality that benefits the streaming service. And so that's been my theory. I think Batman, you know, the early data is that Batman did extremely well in generating viewership and in generating interest. even though it was in the movie theaters first. So I think that's a great sign for the motion picture business. I think the motion picture business is still where you tell the most compelling global stories because you're with other people, and it's that big screen, and it's magic. And it also gives us a chance to attract the greatest and most compelling talent because you fight over it at the top of the ecosystem, and that's the motion picture business. And we have Warner Brothers. And so... We're excited about it.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thanks. Thank you. That concludes Warner Brothers Discovery, Inc. first quarter 2022 earnings conference call. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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