8/11/2021

speaker
Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to the WIC's Q2 2021 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 1 on your telephone keypad. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. If you require further assistance, Please press star zero. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Maggie O'Donnell, Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

speaker
Maggie O'Donnell

Thanks, Angie. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Wix's second quarter of 2021 earnings call. Joining me today to discuss our results are Avishai Abrahami, CEO and co-founder, Nir Zohar, President and CEO of Wix, and Lior Shemesh, CFO, as well as Joe Polaro, the DM of the year. During this call, we may make forward-looking statements, and these statements are based on current expectations and assumptions. Please consider the risk factors included in our press release and most recent Form 20F that could cause our actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements. We do not undertake any obligation to update these forward-looking statements. In addition, we will comment on non-GAAP financial results and key operating metrics. You can find all reconciliations between our GAAP and non-GAAP results in the earnings materials and our interactive analyst center on the investor relations section of our website, investors.wix.com. With that, I will now turn the call over to Joe, who will be moderating the Q&A with the team. Joe, go ahead.

speaker
Angie

Thanks, Maggie, and thanks, everyone, for joining us today. We're going to do something a little bit different on this call. I'm going to start off by just moderating a bit of a Q&A between Abishai, Nir, and Lior. There are several things that I think we want to just make sure are captured on this call. You can obviously read a lot of the materials that we already provided. And then we will go ahead and move to some questions from those that have dialed in and queued in. So we'll start off. Abishai, just start off by giving your thoughts on the results here that we just released for Q2.

speaker
Maggie

Well, first of all, I want to say that I'm very proud of the WICS team on execution this quarter. And obviously, we ended up in the lower part of our guidance. Most of it, I think, is because we gave a guidance based on assumptions that were proven to be wrong. Well, we assume that it's coming out of 2020. We assume that One of two cases is going to happen. Either COVID is going to come back big time and we're going to have a lockdown, or more likely the vaccines are working and we're going to end up with the world moving back to normality. And we're actually seeing first the waves of users that are starting to build their regular offline businesses, like hotels, restaurants, events, and all these things started. And suddenly Delta has arrived, and the world has moved to a place where it's Nobody knows what's going to happen next, right? Are we going to have more lockdowns? Or this is just a phase? Are governments going to do it again, stimulants? Are governments going to pay salaries again? People don't work? There's a lot of confusion around that. And that confusion is something that we did not predict, right? Because if people would stay online, we know what happened. If people move back to normality, we know how it feels. And certainly something we didn't predict. What we can see from uncertainty is that we actually had... Less people joining quakes, right? And that was the, if you look at the quarter, that was the only negative KPI we had. Everything else is actually positive. So for me, it's a very interesting thing to see how long this uncertainty will happen. And yet, I think that if you look at everything else, and we're going to talk about it, right, then I mean, it's pretty much stayed. The other thing that got a bit delayed is that we had bigger party deals, and a lot of those people were kind of like a bit delayed to the Q3. And this is mostly, from what we analyzed, a lot of people went on vacation. But that's not an excuse, right? So I think that the underlying fundamentals of the business is still doing really well.

speaker
Angie

Great. So... You talk about the uncertainty that we've experienced. How do you feel so confident that it is the uncertainty here that caused our Q2 results to come in where they are? What if it's competition? What if it's product fatigue? Why do we believe it's uncertainty?

speaker
Maggie

We look at many different things for that. I'm going to point out, you talked about competition. Squarespace just published their result yesterday, and we can see that on every metric, we're actually going faster, right? We have more new subscriptions, and this is an absolute number, and a percentage number, right? The base is much bigger, so we actually added a lot more. On collection, we're going faster. On revenues, we're going faster. And so I think that it's probably not competition, right? We've seen it with everything around. The other thing we look at, right, is that what happens... Like, what kind of things are users are building? And we've seen this really massive move to offline in the beginning of the year, and then it stopped, right? Well, it didn't stop, but it went down to the same lower amount of users joining Wix. So, I mean that we can be, and of course, the last thing we do is that we talk to our users. We talk to a lot of our users, right? We have a lot of people in Wix that do that all the time. And if you, I talk to my friends, right? In Israel, tend to be just a bit ahead of the curve because we have more vaccines than any other place, talk to people that don't know what they should be doing. Like, oh my God, should I close my business again? Should I wait for a lockdown? Will they be school or not school in September? Nobody knows. And this is something that obviously us users, being who they are, are a lot more sensitive than most businesses on the planet. So, I mean, that is a massive effect. To be fair, right, we didn't predict it, right? Because... This is not our profession. We don't know how to predict vaccinations and virus behavior. And if you go back to Q1, nobody predicted it. However, we probably should have been more cautious on guidance and provided the guidance which says, well, we have a really good idea on what we think will happen with the corona and the vaccine, but we should probably take into account that this is not a profession and we should have given them wider guidance.

speaker
Angie

So you mentioned fundamentals are strong. Dive into that a little bit more. What are some of the positive trends that we saw in the quarter?

speaker
Maggie

So the most important, right, so the most important KPI for us is always conversion, right? How many of the fuses have come to try to actually convert? And this number is higher than it has ever been. So that's the first one. Then output, right, per user. Also, this is the highest ever, right? So it's increased again. It's the highest ever. Renewal is stable. And if you think about Q2 last year, it was a massive quarter. And you would imagine that the amount of renewal is actually going to go less, right? It's going to be higher share. But we don't see that. We're actually seeing consistent and improvement. And those, I think, are the most important three KPIs. We do see other things, right? E-commerce, as a percentage of our business, has grown again. We see that Wix payment is doing very well and is in line with our target for the year. Partners and designer agencies joining Wix are doing it much faster than before. We actually accelerated on that KPI, which is a cornerstone of our future strategy. So I have to say again, with the exception of the amount of new users joining Wix Everything else looks really good.

speaker
Angie

And product development, too. We had an announcement yesterday about a new product.

speaker
Maggie

Yeah, so there's a lot of new products coming. Of course, product development was not hurt in any way, and it's a big part of the reason I'm so proud of the team and what happened in the last six months. Yeah.

speaker
Angie

Great. So let's dive in a little bit more on the cohorts, because as you said, that's really the key piece of this. And Nir, I want to turn to you on cohorts. We obviously added some really large cohorts in 2020, and I think a lot of investors are going to wonder how are those happening now? We're anniversarying the first really big quarter of large cohorts from Q220. What are we seeing now as we start to lap those?

speaker
Nir

Sure, so absolutely. I think, you know, as you said, this is kind of the annualized anniversary of the first cohort of 2020, which is under COVID, which is the Q2 cohort. But also to 2020, if you look at all of the cohorts, they're basically better than pre-COVID cohorts in every KPI. So they are essentially bigger. We have a much higher intent of the users in those cohorts to build the business. We see that by them buying and choosing higher price packages, the business packages, which leads to a higher ARPU that Avishai mentioned. They do that across the board in higher conversion. Again, something that Avishai highlights for the current quarter, but it's been going on for over a year now. They're adopting more business applications, such as Google Workspace and Ascent. Their GPD is higher. And I think this is basically the key thing that we've seen throughout the year, and definitely now that they renew, they actually have better retention. So I think that across the board, these quotes are stronger. And it's important to mention that this behavior, you know, aside from the annual retention, which we still need to see how it goes over time, but he has very good indication it's the same. This is also going the same into 2021, also in Q1 and Q2 of 2021. So basically, we've seen this impact, and it is continuing going forward.

speaker
Angie

Great. And just to focus a little bit more on commerce as part of that, Abhishek mentioned strength there. We shared in our materials Q2 collections were 35% comprised of commerce this quarter, which was up from Q1. So we're seeing strong strength in online commerce. Share near why that's so beneficial for us.

speaker
Nir

So I think, you know, this is something that has been going on for a while now, and it's becoming more and more significant that my belief is going to continue. And it's because when you look at our commerce offering, we basically have a compounding effect. It's mainly three things, right? First of all, it's Our commerce on Wix is not only retail. It's not only stores. Every activity of our users can become, to some extent, an online commerce transaction. And we support that through the booking, through events, through the restaurants, the hotels, the fitness trainers, and so on and so on and so forth. And for all of those, first of all, you know, they can then see the impact of people moving between the online and offline transactions. We also introduced the POS system in order to be able to capture some of the offline activity as well, and that's something that will increase over time. But it's a very wide range of commerce on our platform, so obviously we capture more and more as it increases. The second part that compounds this growth is the evolution of the products and the services. We've been delivering a huge amount of value for each and every one of those different verticals over the past few years. And even more so in the past year since COVID hit and they had more need to do things online. We've done so by investing heavily into our R&D team and into our technology and innovating all the time. We've also done so by acquisitions of companies and products that complement our offering, and we've seen us doing more and more of that in the past 12 months, and we obviously will continue with that. And we see, you know, obviously we see great value out of it because we deliver value to the user and then convert at a higher rate, generate more GPV, and stay with us for a longer time. And then the third leg of it, of this compounding effect, is re-expand payment itself. The product itself keeps on evolving, expanding. We are being able, by making better, to touch more GPV and get a better take rate. So obviously that's also another thing that's expanding the financial contribution that the commerce has going back to it.

speaker
Angie

Great. And another, I think, exciting growth area that's contributed to the cohorts as well is partners. Avishai, can you give a quick update on what we saw in partners this quarter as well?

speaker
Maggie

Yes. So the speed in which we sign new partners is at the speed of all time. And, of course, that number is also the number of active partners, freelancers, agencies, working on which is also at the highest ever. Editor X is doing well. It's grown significantly. Again, 30%, quarter over quarter, so we're very happy with that. It is, of course, still small compared to the size of Wix, right, because the base is so small, but it's getting, I think next year we're gonna see, actually, that it is becoming significant. The bigger contribution, right, of Editor X has always been that it attracts the top agencies to us, the top designers, and we're seeing that it's doing very well. A lot of the agencies will start with Editor X and then also build a lot of projects on the classic editor. So we think that that was something we believe will happen, and we seek information for that. That is important. I want to point out another, for me, what is a partner deal, right? Vistaprint. So Vistaprint is, in many ways, right, kind of like NTT, where we have in Japan. It's a mega designer, right? Mega design agency. Why? Because they will build sites for users, right? I'm talking about a very large number, many, many hundreds of thousands that will build their site on the Wix platform. They're using our technology and our product to do that. Pretty much every way we define a partner, they are such a partner. So I think having NTT a few years before and Vistaprint now is a really big confirmation that the gap in technology is so vast that even the big guys want to use our technology, even though it costs, of course, more for them and everything. And so I think that that is another, for me, a very strong point regarding our partner strategy.

speaker
Angie

Let's talk about Vistaprint more because obviously that was a pretty significant announcement that we made this morning as well. Nir, why don't you share a little bit more about why this is such an important alliance for us strategically?

speaker
Nir

Absolutely, Joe. So, you know, I think obviously, you know, it's a big commercial deal with a big commercial impact, but I think the strategic impact here is also extremely important. And I wish I, you know, started talking on it. It's basically saying we want to evolve our business. We want to take all of these 20 years of know-how, of helping small and tiny businesses onboard online through content and their pre-demand. And we want to become basically this massive, biggest on the globe, their ambition and their word, agency for that tiny and small businesses to design their digital presence and then to market it. And in order to do that, we need someone. We need a layer of products and technology like no other. And their choice for that is to come to us and partner with us to deliver that value to their customers. I think that is massive because, you know, if we are to achieve Abhishek's North Star goal of, you know, getting to – weeks to power 50% of everything new on the Internet in five to seven years from now, then we need to be able to obviously answer the need of everyone, the self-creators and the people who can do it themselves, whether it's the tiny business owner who wants to just go on and use ABI or the classic editor, or the professionals, whether it's the designers or the developers or the agencies using the the full-on suite that Editor X and Zello offers them. And then these are the bigger companies, the biggest partners that come and say, we want to have something which is a new layer of technology attached to our own offering that can create something which is bigger than what we've had before. And I think that this signal that discipline is choosing to do this without driving all of their massive traffic towards Wix, I think that's a huge testament to all of the innovation and work we've been putting into products and technology in the last few years, as well as our brand and the strength of it. So I think this is obviously something very, very exciting for us.

speaker
Angie

Just because we know investors want to know beyond strategy, commercially, what does this mean for us?

speaker
Nir

Naturally, I cannot go over the commercial details of the agreement, but Just think about what has been announced. Vistaprint are going to move their entire website business, hundreds of thousands of websites entirely to work on Wix. They're going to transition all of their new websites being built going forward on their platform in years to come to move to Wix that's 100,000 more. So only that is massive. But if you think about it, we're not going to be, you know, they're transitioning from offering a site builder experience, which is what they have now, to having the full-blown Wix operating system for the business offerings. So it's going to be about the different applications and the vertical. It's going to be about, you know, the branded apps that were announced yesterday. It's going to be about a much deeper e-commerce integration, about the send and the CRM. It's going to be about the ability to capture GPV and to deliver a value to end customers on the other side of those users. Essentially, I think the potential here is also massive over the next few years.

speaker
Angie

Great. Let's move on to financials a little bit more. We want to dig into Q2 a little bit and the results. Share, if you could, a little bit more about the results for creative subscriptions versus business solutions in Q2. Sure.

speaker
Lior

Sure, so with regard to the creative subscription collection, this is actually what came in at our low end because of all the reasons that Vishal mentioned before about the number of users coming to Wix. On the other end, the business solution actually came a bit better than what we've expected. We had a really good growth coming from the Wix payment, even better than the first quarter. While the Google workspace actually came lower than the first quarter, and it was pretty much expected. And I think that we also spoke about it last quarter, about the seasonality effect of it.

speaker
Angie

Great. And gross margin, a little bit more on what we saw in gross margin by segment as well? Yeah.

speaker
Lior

So we actually started to see, as expected, the improvement in gross margin in both places. The first one is in creative subscription. We saw some improvements over there while we actually started to gain the leverage from the investments that we've made in customer support, in our infrastructure. I do believe that this is something that is going to continue, especially through the second half of next year, and gross margin will continue to increase. Business solution gross margin actually was better than what I've expected. And it's mainly because payments scale up. While payments scale up, the margin are getting better over there. Obviously, due mostly to the leverage that we see in this business.

speaker
Angie

Great. And then the final thing in Q2 that I think is worth mentioning is around marketing and what we did with marketing investment in the quarter.

speaker
Lior

Yeah. So as you can notice, marketing was a bit down. than our expectations. But it's mainly due to the ROI, the TRI model that we are using, which is based on the ROI and how much we invest and how much we see in return. And as we saw that new users slow down, so by default, our marketing investments are going down. I think that it's a great example of how fast we are actually reacting to the changes in market. If you remember last year, when the demand was huge, we actually increased our marketing investment quite a bit, and it was really fast. This time is actually the opposite, but the reaction is really fast, and we always invest when we see the return. We do not do that when we don't see the return.

speaker
Angie

And I think the returns that we're seeing, you know, when you walk through the cohorts, we're still seeing the benefits from those cohorts that we increased our investment on last year. And that's an example of why we manage marketing the way we do. Absolutely. Okay, so let's go on to guidance. Just talk about how we put together Q3 guidance.

speaker
Lior

So, obviously, you know, we spoke a lot about the uncertainty, about the confusion among our customers and how we are going to guide if this is the case. So the trend is actually started mid-May, continued through July, even early August. So this is also part of our Q3 guidance. That said, I feel very good about the Q3 guidance. We're obviously about almost half already in the Q3 quarter. Actually, most of the uncertainty is in the fourth quarter. And this is the main reason why we're expanding the range of our guidance.

speaker
Angie

Okay. Just getting back to Q3 before we move on to Q4. So we mentioned there were some partnerships booked in Q3 already. Talk more about that and how that affects the guidance.

speaker
Lior

So as we mentioned before, a significant B2B partnership already booked in the third quarter and is part of our Q3 guidance as well. Actually, we mentioned in the shareholder update that about 70 million of B2B partnerships is part of our second half guidance. And most of it is already booked in the first quarter. So in a way, it creates a larger sequential decline in the fourth quarter because of that. Very important for me to mention, and we've actually saw that also in the second quarter, The B2B partnerships is something that is part of our strategic initiatives. We believe that long term, it's going to be obviously solid and generate a very steady cash flow for us. But at the very beginning, it is lumpy. And this is something that we've seen in the second quarter. And again, we just booked a mega deal in the third quarter, which makes it even more lumpy. But obviously, long-term, we believe that it will be much more solid. But I think that it's also another good example of how we drive growth, organic growth, to a new initiative. And it's already contributing in the third quarter. It also will contribute in the fourth quarter. And I expect it to continue growing also next year.

speaker
Angie

Great. And finally, on Q3, you know, we give overall guidance, but can you give a little color on segment in Q3, just guidance by segment?

speaker
Lior

Yes, so what I can say that business solution likely flat between Q3 and Q2. We feel some impact from Q2 going into Q3, mainly in applications. We see strong growth We predict strong growth in payments in the fourth quarter due to seasonality. Very important to mention, payments in general are still on track, and it's doing very well.

speaker
Angie

Great. And then Q4, you mentioned that's where most of the uncertainty is, but we still provided guidance. So how did we come up with and how do we think about the guidance for Q4 full year here?

speaker
Lior

So obviously uncertainty make it harder to predict with the same precision we usually are able to do. So basically the way that we are looking at it in two scenarios. The first one is capture the low end if uncertainty continues to drive down. The second is the high end if things actually improve from here. So I have no idea what makes more sense or what is gonna happen. But this is why we provided a wider range to capture both of those options.

speaker
Angie

So this is a true range of outcomes for the remainder of the year that we're providing? It is a true range, and most likely will be within the range. And then finally, we updated free cash flow. How is all of this changing our investment plans for the year?

speaker
Lior

So actually, nothing of the things that happened actually impacted on our plans because we view that as something that is a temporary effect. We don't know how much time it's going to last, but at some point of time it's going to stop. And we are building a company for the long term. So it's not going to have any impact on our decision to continue our growth and investment. Obviously, except of marketing, which by default is doing based on the traffic, based on the number of users that are joining Wix. and it's based on the ROI. But besides of that, we are not doing any other changes to our plan. And by the way, this is why you see that most of the effect of the decrease in our guidance reflected as part of our free cash flow.

speaker
Angie

Okay, great. I think these are all helpful items. Maggie, I'll turn it back over to you, and I think we can take some questions from others on the phone.

speaker
Maggie O'Donnell

Great. Yep, operator, I think we're ready for questions now.

speaker
Operator

Certainly. If you would like to ask an audio question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. Again, that's star 1 to ask an audio question. Your first question comes from the line of Ron Josie with JMP Securities.

speaker
Ron Josie

Great. Thanks for taking the question and appreciate this new format. I wanted to talk a little bit more just the top of funnel slowdown and good to hear all the commentary around that. But Can you speak to just how the slowdown has affected more presence versus commerce differently? I guess the question is, you know, it seems like online activity for commerce continues to do well from your comments around Wix payments. But talk to us more just about presence and how that was put on hold. And a follow-up there, you know, Abhishek or Nir, in the letter you talked just about demand was pulled forward due to higher conversions in 2020, right? though I think ARPU is at the highest ever in the 2020 cohort, showing better retention. So just talk a little more about what do you mean by pull forward? Are folks not upselling or buying more products because they're starting out at a higher level? Or just any insights on that? So pull forward and then presence versus commerce. Thank you. Of course.

speaker
Maggie

So this is Avishai. And so I'll start with commerce, right? I think that what we've seen is that – Well, if you think about presence, right, so presence will be things like events or people doing something for a store or for a clinic or for many other things that are not only based on online, right? And when people don't know if they're going to go back to lockdown, we see a slowdown there. We also see a bit of a slowdown in commerce, but not as strong. So the gap, so basically we can see about 10% to 20% improvement in the percentage of commerce in weeks. This is coming from tourism, the one that we just described, and the other is that we continue to invest in commerce a lot, and the products are getting better, so we have more customers with commerce. As to your regards to your second question, what we saw a bit in the first, last year, is that cohorts that we had in the past, right, those were converting faster than... than before, and a lot of it was that because of the pandemic made it more of an urgent thing for people to finish their online presence and to start working with that. So that is the effect that we've seen, and we've seen that slow down now, along with new user registration. But I just want to point out that the old cohorts conversion is still higher than 2019. So it's not as high as 2020, but we also see a significant improvement there compared to the past.

speaker
Ron Josie

Thank you, Avishai. Very helpful.

speaker
Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Elizabeth Elliott with Morgan Stanley.

speaker
Elizabeth Elliott

Hi. Thank you so much. First, just a quick question on the progress on the 10 billion GMB intake rates. I know you guys mentioned it's trending to your goal, but kind of any signposts that make us incrementally more confident on hitting those goals and some color on expansion to the new geos and adoption of Wix payments as the default option would be helpful. And then kind of any color on if the fact that about 40% of GPV is services oriented, you know, does that have any incrementally hurt by some of the COVID variants? And then I have a follow up. Thanks.

speaker
Maggie

Wow, that was a lot of questions. But I think, yes, we are in line with the targets that we placed. We do see that GPV being where it was for service-oriented, so it's still in this area. We are seeing the compounded benefits from 220, obviously, right, into that because people that had their – and because retention stayed pretty much the same as it used to be, and we had a lot of commerce happening into 2020 – But we have even more commerce and percentage coming this year. So in terms of globally, we don't have which payment yet in all the countries that we sell. This is something that we're working very hard to close so we can offer it in more countries. But in the countries that we do offer it, we're saying that the adoption is better than before and so higher than before. I think that answers all of your questions or did I miss one?

speaker
Elizabeth Elliott

That was helpful. That was helpful. Thank you. And then just a follow-up on the Vistaprint announcement. Can you walk us through how customers start adopting the Wix platform and kind of any expectations on when those users from B2B partnerships start to move over? Is there any sort of kind of delayed timing we should expect? And just a higher level, kind of the go-to-market strategy on finding these partners and how you think you can accelerate adding more partnerships to the model? Thank you.

speaker
Nir

Sure. Yeah, I'll take this one. So in terms of, you asked about, first of all, how do the customers, the recipient customers start adopting Wix? Well, the goal is to have them in a place where when they, just when they, go into Vistaprint funnel and after the initial boarding of the Vistaprint product, we will find the best places to offer them the weeks offering according to who they are. Obviously we'll play with that, we'll segment that, but the goal is to learn that funnel and put the offering in their hands in the best possible way. Another thing that's gonna happen there is Vistaprint acquired 99 Design a while ago, and also part of the offering will be an offering which is very much agency-like, do it for me, in which the Wix platform will be the technology and product platform that will empower it. In terms of timing, then we're talking, it's going to be soon, we're talking about early next year.

speaker
Operator

Great. Thank you. Your next question comes from the line of Brad Erickson with RBC Capital.

speaker
Brad Erickson

Hi. Thanks, guys. I guess first just a little more clarity on the guidance and the uncertainty you're talking about. I think we can all understand and I guess appreciate what would happen to the business if COVID totally flared up again and everyone kept their businesses online. But to the degree that things would have or do fully reopen, can you just clarify what would the acute effects of that be on your business? And then I have a follow-up. Thanks.

speaker
Maggie

Yeah. So I think that was a big part of what we gave the guidance, the way we did. We assumed that this is what's going to happen. And we're familiar with our business, right? So we have a lot of things like restaurants, hotels, events. and a lot of places like studios for yoga, fitness, beauty salons, and a lot of those things that were really hurt during the pandemic. And we expected that once COVID would end or be, well, at least a lot, in a much better place, we would see that acceleration into those businesses that, first of all, a natural part of our business, but also was lacking in 2020, And we thought it was going to be some catch-up. What we ended up seeing is that it started to be that, and then, of course, when it became obvious that we did not yet finish with the pandemic, it actually went back to slowdown. Is this answering your question?

speaker
Brad Erickson

Yeah, that's kind of what we were getting at. And then I guess just to follow up on the B2B partnerships, you mentioned that I think another one pushed to the second half. I think this came up maybe last quarter as well. So I guess Question is, what's your confidence level in everything closing in second half that you've contemplated in the guidance for the second half of the year? Thanks.

speaker
Lior

So as we mentioned, we have about, I think that it will be the only time that we're actually providing those numbers. I think that the intention is to be very transparent in terms of what we have in the second half of the year for our guidance and also to explain the lumpy nature of this business, at least at the very beginning. What I can tell you is that on the second half of the year, we have about 70 million as part of our guidance, where most of it's already been signed and booked. We do anticipate to close more deal in the second half of the year, but again, as I mentioned before, most of it already done.

speaker
Brad Erickson

Got it. Thanks.

speaker
Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Yogail Aranian with Whitbush Securities.

speaker
Yogail Aranian

Hey, good morning, guys. So I think one of the themes we've noticed is, as we've gone through earnings, is that some of the larger, more established customers are not necessarily hitting pause or you know, not that they're not concerned, but just not hitting pause the way that it feels like some of the smaller ones are. Are you seeing that also, like, in your, you know, you said that the agency and partner business is stronger than it's ever been. Is the top of the funnel there seeing the same kind of impact, or are your agency partners, you know, at least doing a little bit better than, you know, maybe the rest of the top of the funnel? And then the second question, just going back to the to the comments on the pull forward. I just want to be clear. It sounds like you're saying that the pull forward was in conversion and not in new users. Is that the case? And, you know, are you fully confident that it wasn't a pull forward in users?

speaker
Maggie

So let me try and answer. First of all, for the first question, right, So we do see a bit of a slowdown also with new projects coming to partners. And so they are experiencing a similar effect to us, although not on the same scale, on a smaller scale, which kind of makes sense, right? The pull forward, what we call pull forward, is that let's say that we have a cohort from 2017, right? So most of the users will convert in the first few months And then we have this amount of users that join for free and are playing with Wix, but that will convert over time. And if we look at really old cords, we still see that users that joined Wix five or seven years ago as free users and play with the product will suddenly convert. So this is something that has been true for all of the life of the company, right? That old cords are still converting. And what we see in 2020, that the rate of that conversion went up. What it means is that we felt as if we have pulled and we made that conversion going from the user will convert in a few months or in a few years to faster conversion. This is at least how we perceive that to be. If we look at 2020, it was a higher rate, but if we look at the and how it is behaving now compared to 1918 or the early part of 20, then that effect is actually better. So we are somewhere in between what we used to be in the past to where we were in 2020. And so it is still better than most of our history, but not as good, of course, as when the pandemic exploded.

speaker
Yogail Aranian

Okay, thanks. And just one more quick follow-up on the B2B stuff. Even though we spent a lot of time on it last quarter, it felt like the way you guys talked about it was that it wasn't as important a part of, I guess, the big picture or the plan for the business. And it feels like the way you're talking about it now, it is. And it's a much bigger part of the overall strategy. Is that a right read? Are you stepping into that more? Is it a bigger part of your growth going forward than it's been in the past? Thanks, guys.

speaker
Lior

Yeah, I think that, you know, it really depends on, first of all, on the nature of the partner. I think that, you know, Avishai and you mentioned before that how it's all connected to the overall strategy of obviously serving more people in a way. Also, you know, acting as a huge agency for us. Every customer is strategic for us, obviously. And I believe that, you know, in the past, like a few quarters ago, it was not that big. We just started the business. I believe that, you know, as time progresses, we actually have seen that there is a really huge demand to the Wix brand from those partners. So I do believe that, you know, regardless of what we've already signed, for example, with Vistaprint and other, I believe that we are going to have more. But, yeah, I mean, look, everything is strategic. Everything is important. And remember what we said before. In the end of the day... What is important for us is obviously to serve everyone, to be a big part of the Internet. And we are doing the right steps to be there. And Vistaprint and those partnerships, very important milestone in our way.

speaker
Yogail Aranian

Great. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

We have time for one last question. My apologies. Your next question comes from Naveed. Khan with Truist.

speaker
Khan

Yeah, thanks a lot. Just a couple of questions for me. On the visitor parent partnership and how you guys expect it to start layering in next year, with the migration of these existing customers over to VIX, is there a step-up that we might see in VIX's paying subscriber base once that happens? And then in terms of the pull forward, I wanted to just double click on the historical mix that you guys used to disclose. So it seems like more than half of the net ads were from previous cohort previously. You haven't obviously broken it out more recently, but how does that ratio look like, the new ads coming from new customers versus older cohorts?

speaker
Lior

Yeah, so the first question was about the migration from those partners. Once it's going to start, yeah, we are going to see many customers, many new premium subscriptions joining Wix, and obviously it's going to increase the number of creative subscriptions that we have. You know, I think that it's too early for me to tell you that it's going to be massive in one quarter or two quarters, but it is significant. I mean, Nir mentioned that we are talking about 100,000 of subscriptions to be migrated to weeks. So, you know, it's a good question if it's going to happen in one year or in six months. I think that it's too early to say. So, with regard to the second quarter, old calls are typically about 60% of of the growth ads in a quarter, and only 40% coming from new ones. Nothing has changed in this dynamic in the second quarter. It's very similar.

speaker
Khan

Got it. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Your final question comes from the line of Dipak Makhavanian with Wolf Research.

speaker
Dipak Makhavanian

Hey, guys. Thanks for taking the questions. Just a couple of ones. First, can you give some color on how we should think about the creative subscriptions growth on the collection side in the second half? Your guidance for total collections kind of implies de-selling to around 20% range in 4Q. I know, Lior, you provided some context on business solutions, but anything you can share on the creative subscriptions will be great. And then the second question, just to follow up on the B2B side, You know, how should we think about this going forward in 22 and 23 and so on? I mean, this $70 million is about like five, six points of incremental growth this year, but do you expect this business to incrementally get bigger and bigger over the next few years? Thank you.

speaker
Lior

Yeah, so I will start with the second question, actually, because it has an impact on, or basically it relates also to the first one. Look, we just started the business. So, for example... You know, we mentioned about the 70 million in the second half, which is mostly talking about new premiums. Now, think about it this way. Those new premiums are going to be renewed. Most likely, you know, we expect those partnerships to be successful, so it even can be more on top of that. So we just started, and every big partnership has a bigger impact on our collection result in a single quarter. To answer your question, yes, I do believe that it's going to be much higher in terms of the dollar value in the next few years because we see the demand in the market to our brand. We've invested in our brand in technology for many, many years. And this is part of the reason why the demand is so large. So I do believe that we are going to see more and more partnerships like that. And yes, this business, I expect that it will continue to grow, but as I mentioned before, at the very beginning, it is lumpy. So we need to take it into consideration. With regard to the first question that you asked about the creative subscriptions business, yes. I mean, as business solution is more stable due to payments, most of the decrease that we had in our forecast actually is because of the creative subscriptions. And this is due to the, you know, what Avishai mentioned before about the uncertainty. The uncertainty mostly affects the creative subscriptions as payments continue to grow because it's a compounding effect. So this is how we view things. Obviously, if we are going to see any improvements, first is going to be on creative subscriptions.

speaker
Dipak Makhavanian

Got it. Okay. That's very helpful. Thank you so much.

speaker
Maggie O'Donnell

Thanks, Deepak. Thanks, everybody, for joining us today. That's all the time we have. Have a great day.

speaker
Operator

This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect your lines at this time, and have a wonderful day.

speaker
Maggie O'Donnell

Thank you so much, Angie.

Disclaimer

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