2/2/2026

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Woodward Incorporated first quarter fiscal year 2026 earnings call. At this time, I would like to inform you that this call is being recorded for rebroadcast and that all participants are in a listen-only mode. Following the presentation, you are invited to participate in a question and answer session. Joining us today from the company are Chip Blankenship, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Bill Lacey, Chief Financial Officer, and Dan Provosmic, Director of Investor Relations. I would now like to turn the call over to Dan Provosmic.

speaker
Dan Provosmic
Director of Investor Relations

Thank you, operator. I'd like to welcome all of you to Woodward's first quarter fiscal year 2026 earnings call. In today's call, Chip will comment on our strategies and related markets. Bill will then discuss our financial results as outlined in our earnings release. At the end of our presentation, we will take questions. For those who have not seen today's earnings release, you can find it on our website at woodward.com. We have included some presentation materials to go along with today's call that are also accessible on our website. A webcast of this call will be available on our website for one year. All references to years in this call are references to the company's fiscal year, unless otherwise stated. I would like to highlight our cautionary statement as shown on slide two of the presentation materials. As always, elements of this presentation are forward-looking, including our guidance, and are based on our current outlook and assumptions for the global economy and our businesses more specifically. Those elements can and do frequently change. Our forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties surrounding those elements, including the risks we identify in our filings with the SEC. These statements are made as of today, and we do not intend to update them except as required by law. In addition, we are providing certain non-US GAAP financial measures. We direct your attention to the reconciliations of non-US GAAP financial measures, which are included in today's slide presentation and our earnings release. We believe this additional financial information will help in understanding our results. Now, I'll turn the call over to Chip.

speaker
Chip Blankenship
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Dan, and good afternoon to all who are joining our first quarter 2026 earnings call. I'm pleased to report that 2026 is off to an exceptional start for Woodward. Robust demand across both our aerospace and industrial segments combined with disciplined execution by our teams drove out performance in the first quarter. I want to start by thanking Woodward members around the world for accepting the challenge of increasing output in response to rising demand across all our end markets and continuing to improve our operations. These collective efforts resulted in a standout first quarter for 2026. In this first quarter, Woodward sales grew 29% year over year, and earnings per share increased 54%. We also achieved strong cash generation compared to historical first quarters. I'm also grateful for our customers' continued trust and collaboration to stabilize and optimize the demand signal so we can take a disciplined approach to capacity increases in our factories and with our suppliers. This is an industry-wide opportunity to move from the supply chain crisis we've been embroiled in to precision alignment that results in stable inventory levels and predictable component availability. While we are not where we want to be on every product line, we have a good vision for the path forward. As we continue to work through the supply chain alignment with our customers and suppliers, we anticipate that inventory turns will not improve as much as we would like in 2026. Inventory efficiency is a priority. and we are investing substantial resources in process improvement and control, but the impact of these efforts are likely to be felt in late calendar 2026 or even early 2027. In aerospace, demand growth in commercial and defense OEM aligns to our expectations, while commercial services exceeded our forecast. Commercial services activity was robust across narrowbody, widebody, and regional platforms. LEAP, GTF, and legacy narrowbody repair volume was up year over year and relatively flat compared to the fourth quarter of 2025. Also, like the previous quarter, we experienced elevated spare LRU provisioning orders, and we were able to execute and deliver these orders to customers. Very strong execution by our aerospace team enabled us to capture growth profitably with 420 basis point segment margin increase. Industrial also continued on its positive trajectory with robust growth across power generation, transportation, and oil and gas. Price as well as operational improvements and volume leverage translated into a 410 basis point margin expansion for industrial. These combined results build on the momentum of a strong 2025 performance and reflect outstanding work across the company. So what's ahead for the rest of 2026? We continue to expand our services capacity to address increasing demand and improve turnaround times for our customers. This includes our Prestwick Scotland facility, where we are in the planning phase to add square footage and optimize the layout to reduce turn times while supporting growth at this well-positioned Woodward MRO center. In Rockford, we are commissioning additional test stands and optimizing the layout for improved flow based on Kaizen events and benchmarking exercises our team conducted. We are working with industry-leading MRO providers to deliver Woodward licensed support offerings, which will give our customers more choice and additional capacity to address the growth. In our industrial segment, we recently announced an important strategic decision to wind down our China on Highway product lines. As we've discussed in the past, the China on Highway market has provided us limited order visibility, and overall performance has been inconsistent from a revenue and profitability standpoint. We have been evaluating strategic options for this business for quite some time. The decision to wind down by the end of this fiscal year supports our long-term growth strategy for Woodward's industrial segment. Throughout the year, we expect to see continued benefits from our focus on operational excellence. This includes further stabilizing our end-to-end supply chain to improve on-time delivery, increase inventory turns eventually, and increase resilience to better serve our customers. Our near-term strategic priorities are clear. First, we will meet OEM demand growth, whether that is rate breaks for airplane and engine OEMs in aerospace or data center-related power generation demand increases for industrial controls and components. Second, we will provide world-class service to deliver on the promise of repair and overhaul of our Woodward product install base, whether that is aerospace legacy, LEAP GTF, or industrial gas turbine systems. Last but not least, we are shifting our R&D focus from baseline technology development to customer value demonstration on selected technologies to position Woodward for increased content on next single aisle platforms. From a capital allocation standpoint, our ongoing organic growth and strong balance sheet provide us with flexibility to evaluate potential inorganic opportunities that are a strategic fit with the right risk-adjusted returns while investing in ourselves and returning cash to shareholders. Given the strength of our first quarter performance and our outlook across our markets, we are confident in raising our full-year sales and earnings guidance, which Bill will outline in his section after sharing more detailed financial information regarding our first quarter performance. Over to you, Bill.

speaker
Bill Lacey
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Chip, and good evening, everyone. As a reminder, all references to years are references to the company's fiscal year unless otherwise stated, and all comparisons are year-over-year unless otherwise stated. As Chip mentioned, we had a very strong start to 2026. Net sales in the first quarter of 2026 were $996 million, an increase of 29%, reflecting strong demand and consistent execution. We achieved earnings per share in the first quarter of 2026 of $2.17 compared to $1.42 in adjusted earnings per share of $1.35. There were no adjustments in the first quarter of 2026. We generated $70 million of free cash flow in the first quarter. First quarter performance exceeded our expectations, primarily driven by strong aerospace commercial services and higher China on highway revenue in our industrial segment. Importantly, we did not experience the typical seasonal drop-off in demand, and we maintained steady production levels despite fewer working days in the quarter. At the segment level, aerospace segment sales for the first quarter of 2026 were 635 million compared to 494 million, an increase of 29%. The substantial year-over-year growth was primarily driven by commercial services sales which increased 50%. This reflects higher volumes to support sustained high utilization of legacy aircraft, as well as increased LEAP and GTF activity. In addition, we experienced significantly higher spare LRU volumes during the quarter, primarily for China. This appears to have been driven by customer under-provisioning rather than a pull forward of demand, as these are short-cycle orders often placed and fulfilled within the same quarter. We don't expect the same level of commercial services growth going forward as comps get more difficult, and we are not forecasting spare LRU sales at the level that we experienced in the last couple of quarters. In line with our expectations, airframe production rates increased and commercial OEM sales were up 22%, as destocking began to taper off. Defense OEM sales increased 23%, primarily driven by new JDAM pricing, which took effect last quarter. Overall, we continue to see strong demand for our defense program. First quarter aerospace segment earnings were $148 million, or 23.4% of segment sales, compared to $95 million, or 19.2% of selling at sales. The 420 basis point improvement reflects solid price realization, primarily driven by the new JDAO pricing, higher volumes and favorable mix, primarily due to strong commercial services growth in the quarter, partially offset by strategic investments in manufacturing capabilities and inflation. Industrial segment sales for the first quarter were $362 million, up 30% from $279 million. Core industrial sales, which excluded the impact of China on highway, increased 22% in the quarter, with broad-based growth across our end markets, price, and ethics. Marine transportation sales increased 38% during primarily by increases in services, and shipyard output. Oil and gas sales increased 28% as volume growth was driven by greater midstream gas investment. Power generation sales increased 7%, which included the impact of the combustion business divestiture in the prior year. Excluding the impact of the divestiture, which averaged approximately 15 million of quarterly sales, Power generation sales grew in the mid-20s on a percentage basis, in line with the broader power generation market. China on highway sales were $32 million in the quarter, higher than we planned, further demonstrating the visibility challenge and significant quarter-to-quarter volatility of this business. Industrial segment earnings for the first quarter of 2026 were $67 million, or 18.5% of segment sales compared to $40 million, or 14.4% of segment sales. Within our core industrial business, margins expanded 200 basis points to 17.3% of core industrial sales, driven by higher sales volume, strong price realization, and favorable mix, partially offset by inflation. So, significant progress on our operational excellence pillar enabled us to increase output to meet strong customer demand and achieve improved operating leverage. The China on Highway business added an additional 210 basis points of margin growth. As Chip mentioned in his comments, we announced that after a multi-year evaluation of strategic alternatives, including potential divestiture, We made the decision to wind down the Chinon Highway business by the end of the fiscal year. This business often drove quarterly volatility within our industrial segment. It has been an inconsistent contributor to our overall financial results and operates in a highly unpredictable environment. This decision further aligns the industrial portfolio with our long-term growth strategy and priority in market, marine transportation, power generation, and oil and gas. We do not expect a significant long-term impact on our financial performance. However, we will incur certain costs associated with the wind down, which will be adjusted out of our future results. The remaining operational activity for this business year will continue to be reported in our industrial results during the wind down period. Non-segment expenses were $37 million for the first quarter of 2026 compared to 22 million. Adjusted non-segment expenses in the first quarter of 2025 were 28 million. There were no adjustments to non-segment expenses in the first quarter of 2026. At the consolidated Woodward level, net cash provided by operating activities for fiscal 2026 was 114 million compared to $35 million, largely driven by higher net earnings. Capital expenditures were $44 million for fiscal of 2026. We expect capital spending to meaningfully increase over the remaining three quarters due primarily to the Spartanburg facility build out, as well as other ongoing automation projects. We generated strong free cash flow of $70 million in the first quarter. compared to $1 million, driven primarily by higher earnings related to the outperformance in the quarter. As of December 31st, 2026-25, debt leverage was 1.2 times even dot. We are allocating capital according to our priorities, supporting organic growth, selectively pursuing strategic M&A opportunities, and returning capital to shareholders through dividends and share repercussions. We continue to prioritize organic growth through ongoing automation investments and the construction of our new Spartanburg, South Carolina facility. We are always evaluating selective, returns-driven M&A opportunities, and our strong balance sheet provides the flexibility to move decisively as compelling opportunities emerge. Our fiscal 2026 guidance still assumes returning between $650 million and $700 million through dividends and share repurchases. Turning to our 2026 guidance, based on our strong start to the year, we are raising our 2026 guidance for sales and earnings and reaffirming the other elements of our four-year guidance. We are layering in the first quarter outperformance while keeping changes to the remaining quarter to minus. For fiscal 2026, we now expect the following. Aerospace sales growth to be between 15% and 20%, with margins holding between 22% and 23%. Industrial sales growth to be between 11% and 14%, with margins increasing to be between 16% and 17%. We are raising both Woodward-level sales and EPS guidance. We now expect consolidated sales growth to be between 14% and 18%, and EPS to be between $8.20 and $8.60. Free cash flow is still expected to be between $300 and $350 million. As Chip mentioned earlier, we expect to continue to maintain higher levels of inventory than we anticipated as we prioritize the customer's demand while we strive for better alignment for the end-to-end supply chain. All other aspects of our guidance remain unchanged. This concludes our comments on the business and results for the first quarter of 2026. Operator, we are now ready to open the call to questions.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you, and the question and answer session will begin at this time. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up the handset before pressing any numbers. Should you have a question, please press star one on your touchtone phone. If you wish to withdraw your question, press star one a second time. Your question will be taken in the order it is received, and please stand by for your first question. And our first question comes from the line of Scott Mikus with Milius Research. Your line is open.

speaker
Scott Mikus
Analyst at Milius Research

Good evening, Chip and Bill. Very nice results. Quick question on the commercial aftermarket sales. Normally we would see a sequential decline due to the fewer working days, another very strong quarter for LRU sales. But given that price increases are usually more pronounced in your second quarter, will the $245 million of commercial aftermarket sales in the first quarter be the low point for the year?

speaker
Chip Blankenship
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

I don't think it's going to be the low point, Scott. It's hard to see exact numbers from here. We don't anticipate the same amount of spare LRU shipping, so certainly that'll knock the peak of that revenue off. But we have modeled increasing repair and spare parts sales. We think that the market demand is strong. In some ways, our turn times may be somewhat limiting in our ability to fulfill all that demand, but we are investing in capacity to drive those turn times down and provide even better customer service. So I think it's hard to say whether that's really going to be the peak. There's plenty of opportunity to grow.

speaker
Scott Mikus
Analyst at Milius Research

Okay, and then presumably in the aero guide there's some conservatism regarding Boeing and Airbus' production rates. If Boeing and Airbus do hit their production rates, could that drive more upside through higher initial provisioning sales for your aftermarket?

speaker
Chip Blankenship
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

That's one of the reasons why I hesitated a little bit on the answer on the revenue for the services side. We don't see new tail logos in the horizon, which can drive some of that increased provisioning volume. So we think that over the long period, hitting those higher output rates will drive more spare LRUs, but not necessarily in the near term. Over time, that does correlate pretty well. But as we don't see any new logos in the near future, we don't see that as a 2026 opportunity. All right. Thanks for taking the time. As far as the volume goes, you know, I would say that the challenge to our volume on the low side would be, you know, softer demand from the OEMs not quite hitting the rates. And the opportunities on the earning side is from, having more spare LRUs that we have in the forecast or more repair volume than we have in the forecast. That's kind of how I characterize the arrow looking forward. All right, thank you. Welcome.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Scott Duschel with Deutsche Bank. Your line is open.

speaker
Scott Duschel
Analyst at Deutsche Bank

Hey, good evening. Bill, just to be clear, was the 5% increase in the aerospace sales outlook primarily an increase in the aftermarket, or was it more broad?

speaker
Bill Lacey
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, it was the first quarter driven, Scott. So given that that was mainly driven by commercial services, that is a fair conclusion.

speaker
Scott Duschel
Analyst at Deutsche Bank

Okay. Then why does the margin guidance for aerospace not benefit from the higher aftermarket mix? and operating leverage that's implied in what you just said?

speaker
Bill Lacey
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, so it does, as you see, it did flow through in Q1. In the remaining year, we are, remaining portion of the year, we are seeing increased OEM sales. And with that increased OEM sales, that mix will temper the margin rate going forward.

speaker
Scott Duschel
Analyst at Deutsche Bank

Okay, that's clear. And then Chip, can you walk through the drivers behind the growth acceleration in oil and gas and marine transportation? This quarter looked like around 30% growth in both of them. So curious if you can unpack that and talk through the outlook from here.

speaker
Chip Blankenship
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

On the oil and gas, I think we've said a few times, it can be a little bit lumpy in terms of the order profile for that end market. It's both OEM and services driven. Quite a bit of the oil and gas midstream and application for us is gas turbine related. Sometimes it's the overhaul of the valves and components that we supply, and other times we can participate with an OEM partner or independently for a control systems upgrade for a unit or a series of units at an end customer. And it's that activity that drove most of the growth this quarter. As far as marine transportation, marine transportation is kind of the same thing where the shipyards are full and expanding and, you know, having year-over-year growth in their outputs. So there's some new unit impact to the growth, but as well the high utilization of the The fleet that has Woodward fuel injection and control systems and pumps in it is seeing quite a bit of overhaul activity and service activity that uses our spare parts. Thank you. You're welcome.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Noah Poppenock with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

speaker
Noah Poppenock
Analyst at Goldman Sachs

Hey, good afternoon. Good evening, guys.

speaker
Chip Blankenship
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Good afternoon, Noah. Thanks, Noah.

speaker
Noah Poppenock
Analyst at Goldman Sachs

Should we interpret the total company full year guidance revision as you left the remaining nine months of the year the same as the prior plan, roughly, and that the upside to the full year is basically the upside to the just one Q?

speaker
Bill Lacey
Chief Financial Officer

No, that is, yes, that's correct.

speaker
Noah Poppenock
Analyst at Goldman Sachs

Okay. And so I guess the follow-up to that is, does that make sense? was all of the upside in one queue things that you see as, you know, they were nice to see in the quarter, but they don't sustain as upside drivers to your prior plan?

speaker
Bill Lacey
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, let me figure, I'll take a shot at it. I do think it makes sense. In the rest of the year, we did put in the, you know, additional growth related to the build rates that we think that are there. the services growth, and so that is all in the total year guide. The part which Chip mentioned is the spare LRUs. Potential upside there, which may or may not come, that is not something that we put in, and that was one of the larger drivers of our Q1 outperformance, along with the China on Highway increase We do not see that happening going forward. So with that, Noah, we do think that the remaining of the year guidance makes a shift.

speaker
Chip Blankenship
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

I don't know if you have, I guess I'd also characterize it in terms of risks and opportunities, maybe bill, um, that we recognized almost zero risks in the first quarter and all opportunities came through. And as we look at the rest of the year, we feel like we have a balanced view of things that could take us a little bit higher within the guide, which is the airframe and OEM demand remains strong. All the power gen demand comes through. The somewhat lumpy oil and gas maybe stays high. I mean, these are the things that would drive us to the top side of the guide. And then there's some things that could get in the way of that. You know, we still have some supplier challenges in terms of meeting all of the demand and some of our hard capacity constraints in our factories have been limiting our ability to respond to all this demand and the timing that it comes through. So I think that, you know, a few suppliers could get in the way and knock down our ability to hit the very highest part of the guide. And then, you know, some of our customers could have problems with other suppliers and they could reduce their demand to us. So a lot of things can still happen in the nine months coming along. The supply chain is not as smooth as we'd like it to be at our customers or with our suppliers. So I think there's plenty of room in the guide to manage those risks and opportunities.

speaker
Noah Poppenock
Analyst at Goldman Sachs

Okay, that makes sense. I appreciate that detail. And then could you quantify, is it possible to quantify for us either in absolute dollars or points of growth or anyway, what the leap in GTF contribution to the aftermarket was and what the spare, the initial spares LRU contribution to the aftermarket was.

speaker
Chip Blankenship
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

I don't think we're going to be quantifying that for you, but just to, I mean, when you think about a spare LRU, It's a high dollar revenue item and a good profitability item, whereas repairs are a good percentage profitability, but nowhere near the kind of top level dollar. So we like the repair business. It just doesn't have that. It doesn't have as much of a weight per unit turned or anywhere near as a spare LRU. So we like the year-over-year growth that we saw from the LEAP GTF. It's still tracking to the plans that we've forecast. The legacy narrowbody units are still coming in strong, stronger than we would have predicted a couple of years ago. I really like the growth that we saw year-over-year in both widebody and regional, which says that our portfolio is really playing well across all of those different platforms in commercial aerospace.

speaker
Noah Poppenock
Analyst at Goldman Sachs

So, Chip, it sounds like the LRUs can be chunky. 50 is a big number. We're not going to model 50 for the rest of the year. But it also sounds like it wasn't the case that all the upside in the quarter was the LRU. It sounds like you saw it maybe in the LEAP GTF plan and also in the legacy aircraft and engines.

speaker
Chip Blankenship
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, the widebody in the regional was probably a little bit more than we would have forecast, so that was robust. The LEAP GTF and narrowbody, we're starting to get – we have a pretty good beat on that, and that was kind of in line with what we expected from a growth standpoint.

speaker
Noah Poppenock
Analyst at Goldman Sachs

Okay. All right. Thanks a lot. You're welcome.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Sheila Kioglu with Jefferies. Your line is open.

speaker
Kyle
Analyst at Jefferies

Hi, guys. Congrats on the great quarter. This is Kyle on for Sheila. Thanks, Kyle. Thank you. On the LEAP GTF mix, I know you also said legacy narrow body was up year on year and also flat relative to the fourth quarter, obviously counter seasonal from what we would expect. Can you sort of just pick apart whether that was, you know, you catching up on past dues? Was it just really volume unlock of the factories and ultimately how we should think about that? Adam Petrea, Co-Chair HHHS, cadence as we go through the corners.

speaker
Chip Blankenship
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

James Meeker, Co-Chair HHHS, yeah i'll agree that it was. James Meeker, Co-Chair HHHS, You know counter seasonal to the past, but I think you know what we've been working on, you know really hard over the past couple of years is consistent output and. James Meeker, Co-Chair HHHS, As we've been getting consistent inputs to the system and bringing our turn times you know down some we've achieved that benefit and so. You know, we didn't have a big jump across the goal line at the end of Q4 to sort of make the year. We just had steady output the last week of the year. We had steady output the first week of the year. And we've been working really hard to streamline the input process, the induction process, when a customer sends us a unit for repair or overhaul. You know, all these operational factors helped us maintain a steady output. performance operationally, and that shows too in the financials.

speaker
Kyle
Analyst at Jefferies

Okay, that's helpful. And then just one follow-on on the LRUs, and I think it was Bill's commentary, you mentioned you guys have more confidence that this was prior under-provisioning rather than pull forward related to tariff, say, in the prior year. Can you just kind of give us an update on why the kind of shift in signaling there and what you're seeing out of that customer base? Thanks, guys.

speaker
Chip Blankenship
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Sure, and I think the way I characterize it is there was an open window for trade, really, was what I think, and the concern that that window might close is my hypothesis for why that activity was so strong in recent quarters. You know, our team took a look at calculating all the units in the field and doing the percentages and the statistical analysis for the recommendations we put out for the spares provisioning levels. And our team determined that those customers were a little bit behind the curve in provisioning. And so that's kind of how we come up with with that conclusion.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Gavin Persons with UBS Financial. Your line is open.

speaker
Gavin Persons
Analyst at UBS Financial

Hey, thanks, guys. Good afternoon. Howdy. Thank you. Do you mind breaking down for us the growth rates by the aerospace subsegments assumed for the year?

speaker
Chip Blankenship
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I think we talked about that last quarter that I didn't do a very good job at that the year before. my hypotheses did not come to fruition. So I retired that process with last year. Look, we see strong demand in OEM, both defense and commercial. We see reasonably good demand on top of very hard comps coming up on the commercial services. And then defense services is kind of you know, flattish. We're on the right programs in defense. It's just that MRO for us isn't growing very fast in defense. And so that's as much color as I'd put on it at this time, if that's okay, Gavin.

speaker
Gavin Persons
Analyst at UBS Financial

Understood. Appreciate that. And you mentioned to some extent term times limiting growth, but, you know, you've been investing, hiring, working on productivity. At some point, are you capacity constrained here or are the productivity initiatives starting to show through?

speaker
Chip Blankenship
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

We're reaching our part of our capacity plan where we're adding on to our Prestwick facility in Scotland. I kind of characterize that as a well-positioned facility, not just from a technical standpoint, but it's in an aerospace park that has great workforce reputation and pipeline. It's right across the fence line from GE's Cal facility. So we're in a really good neighborhood there. We're going to be, you know, almost, you know, 50% to doubling that facility when we add on to it. We're still in the planning phase, but it's a pretty mature part of the planning phase. So we're pushing forward to do that. We've put a couple test cells in there on LEAP so far. Tad Piper- And we're we're putting more test cells into our rockford facility, so we have enough space in rockford, but we need more space in in press with and as far as the woodward facility build out that's what we have in in our plans for. Tad Piper- For our own in house service footprint and we're we're partnering with some external. MRO providers to give some more choice and some more capacity to customers. So that's up and coming.

speaker
Gavin Persons
Analyst at UBS Financial

How does that agreement work in terms of revenue and margin contribution?

speaker
Chip Blankenship
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

So it's just like you might imagine for an independent provider that we're going to provide technical support and materials and repair support to that MRO provider. So they'll contract with a customer or they may have a fleet they're already managing. And then we'll provide them spare parts and kits and documentation and technical support. Thank you.

speaker
Gavin Persons
Analyst at UBS Financial

You're welcome.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Pete Skibiski with Alembic Global. Your line is open.

speaker
Pete Skibiski
Analyst at Alembic Global

Hey, good evening, guys. And I think you guys usually disclose this in the queue, but how is pricing this quarter in terms of relative to your 5% expectation for the full year? I imagine maybe with LRUs it was above the expectation.

speaker
Bill Lacey
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, Pete. This quarter we saw at the Woodward level price come in about 8%, so slightly higher than our 5%, which we would expect it to be slightly higher as the price compare gets harder as you go through the year having said that it was still a little bit higher than we thought uh so we're actually revising that five percent total year p uh to be closer to uh seven percent and uh we would expect arrow will contribute a little bit more to that uh than industrial but industrial is still uh contributing nicely okay i appreciate that and then um

speaker
Pete Skibiski
Analyst at Alembic Global

Maybe one for Chip here. Hey, Chip, when you guys say you're investing in commercial aftermarket capacity, do you have a sense or how much of your installed base, maybe on a percentage basis, you're serving right now in the aftermarket? And then if you have a goal on that front, because I don't know, it sounds like maybe you feel like you're missing out on some sales that you could get because of the quick turn nature of the aftermarket. Maybe there's some, I don't know, PMA or somebody else is taking sales that you think are rightfully yours. So I was just wondering if you could illuminate that.

speaker
Chip Blankenship
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yes. So on on GTF, we don't feel like we're missing out. We're just we're delaying, you know, both our revenue recognition and our customers ready for install spare status. That's that's what's behind the turn time approach. We're not we're not concerned about losing market share on that activity. At the moment, we've been expanding the capacity with the intent to be right on line with what the demand is externally. So we understand, you know, where that demand is. We've got a pretty good prediction for removal rates. And we're trying to stay ahead of that. You know, we may have gotten a little bit behind on test stand capacity, which is one of our constraints. And so we're eager to have one or two of those commissioning here in the next couple of months in our Rockford facility, which should alleviate some of that work in process that we have and improve turn times. So it's not necessarily a market share driven decision. We're just trying to stay ahead of the growth that we're predicting. Great. Thank you. You're welcome.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Louis Raffetto with Wolf Research. Your line is open.

speaker
Louis Raffetto
Analyst at Wolf Research

Hey, good evening, guys.

speaker
spk00

Hey, Louis.

speaker
Louis Raffetto
Analyst at Wolf Research

Maybe just talk to the free cash flow. So obviously, you didn't raise it. I think you were kind of implying that a few things were maybe a little bit worse than you expected. So just can you help me walk through that again?

speaker
Bill Lacey
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, so Louis, that's right. You would imply that from the earnings gain that we had that we would have, you know, roughly maybe $40 million of free cash flow that would fall through as a result of that. As we've gotten into the year and looked at sort of the supply chain and meeting our customer demand, we felt that it was best to probably keep our working capital level a little higher, mainly through inventory. And as a result of that, where we are today, we thought it best to hold our free cash flow guide uh to to where it is i think we understand why we're doing it we're working through things um but uh we want to make sure we see that efficiency before we pull the inventory down um to to make sure that we can re meet that customer uh output okay great thank you and then maybe just back to the question on um you know the licensing how are you thinking about balancing expanding your capacity

speaker
Louis Raffetto
Analyst at Wolf Research

with extending these licenses?

speaker
Chip Blankenship
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, so, you know, when we even started the LEAP GTF program, you know, in our mind, we were looking at the size of the fleet that was going to, you know, be in service and say, does Woodward really want to invest in brick and mortar and all the equipment to service that entire fleet? Or do we want to we want to let some others um you know bear those investments um and and then the other thing is in many cases in some cases it's sort of a win-win because some of our customers would prefer to do that work on site to support either their array of customers or their own their own airline let's say and so for for us that's a win-win proposition where our materials our work scopes and our technical approach gets utilized and somebody else does the wrench turning and the customer support. I think it's a pretty efficient way to think about it where we're angling to do a significant amount of the work ourselves, but yet share in a percentage of it.

speaker
Louis Raffetto
Analyst at Wolf Research

Great. I appreciate it. You're welcome.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Gautam Khanna with TD Cowan. Your line is open.

speaker
Gautam Khanna
Analyst at TD Cowan

Yeah, thanks. Good afternoon, I should say. I was curious. Just in terms of bookings, if you will, in the quarter and since the quarter's end, have you seen any... We're trying to all assess whether the guidance is conservative for the next nine months. Is there anything that slows down in the March quarter? And maybe if you could just talk to broader visibility at both segments over the next six months, call it. Yeah.

speaker
Chip Blankenship
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Tad Piper- The easiest way to characterize the account them in terms of orders are that we have plenty of orders to achieve the high end of the guide it's really a question of can we in our supply chain. Tad Piper- deliver. Tad Piper- That much output. Tad Piper- Continuing to. work on our constraints and improve our efficiency and thereby gain some capacity, but also our suppliers delivering on time to support that. It's a delicate dance right now. We maintain a forward deployment at a number of suppliers. We still have 30-ish suppliers on risk watch and behind on deliveries and holding up That's another reason why we have more inventory than we want is because in some cases we're missing one or two parts to accomplish some key deliveries to customers. And so really it's a question of our ability and our supply chain to deliver. And in some cases, we're actually at the mercy of other supply chains to our customers who are a customer that we have a min-max kind of delivery arrangement with. They may hold us off. for a while while they let their supply chain catch up. So in terms of being conservative, I guess the way I would say is we're managing the risks and opportunities and calling it as well as we can see it from today. But the orders are strong and the orders support the high end of our guide.

speaker
Louis Raffetto
Analyst at Wolf Research

Okay, that's very helpful.

speaker
Gautam Khanna
Analyst at TD Cowan

I'm also wondering if you could comment on how the profitability of the commercial aerospace OE business has trended over the last year or so, now that you're getting efficiencies and ramping rates? How does that compare to the segment average margin at Aero?

speaker
Chip Blankenship
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Well, it's considerably below the blended margin, obviously. But, you know, the opportunity for us to improve there is really at least twofold. One is if our customers can consistently remain at the higher rates and achieve the rate breaks that are in this year's plan, obviously we'll get volume leverage, which is good. And then if we can get our supply chain aligned in such a way that we can build more efficiently, that we're clear to build for the entire week, all week, and we can run the schedule that we wanted to run at the start of the week, all of that will flow through in terms of waste reduction and impact our financials favorably. So it's really those two things that we need to come to fruition to keep improving our OE margins on the commercial side.

speaker
Gautam Khanna
Analyst at TD Cowan

Is there any way you can give us a dimension for how profitable it is? Is it a 10% business? Is it a 5% margin business today?

speaker
Chip Blankenship
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Tad Piper- We have a variety of margins, depending on which which application, it is and what what type of product, it is, and you know we like to think about overall business lifecycle margin and that's that's what it's about is getting this installed base out in the field, so we can service it. Tad Piper- that's probably all i'll say about that.

speaker
Gautam Khanna
Analyst at TD Cowan

Tad Piper- Thank you.

speaker
Chip Blankenship
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Tad Piper- you're welcome.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Alexandra Mandry with Truist Securities. Your line is open.

speaker
Alexandra Mandry
Analyst at Truist Securities

Hi, this is Alexandra Mandry on for Michael Trimoli with Truist Securities. Thanks for taking my question. I was wondering if you could size the China on Highway costs for the divestiture, and will there be any revenue spillover into FY27? And are expectations still around $60 million for FY26, kind of similar to the 2025 results?

speaker
Bill Lacey
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, so as it relates to the winds down costs, we're expecting somewhere between 20 and 25 million of costs related to the restructuring. A lot of that will be related to people costs, and that would be cash. There might be some expense related to dealing with some canceling contracts and some lingering inventory. So that's kind of on the cost side. The sales for, let's see, the 2027. I do not believe that we will have revenue that leaks over into 2027. And we currently believe that our $60 million is still correct, even with the wind down.

speaker
Alexandra Mandry
Analyst at Truist Securities

Okay, great. And then you mentioned you're on the right defense programs, but defense aftermarket appears to be lagging behind defense OEM. Can you provide any additional color there or are there other opportunities on the horizon that you guys are looking at?

speaker
Chip Blankenship
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

I guess the way I characterize our defense services is it's, in some product lines, it's relatively steady. But in a number of product lines, we get a batch of work in from the customer repair depots. And we have batches of spare parts orders for the work that's being done in the repair depots. And so some product lines are steady, and then some are kind of lumpy. So you can see some quarters we have single to double digits growth, and other quarters were flat to down. And it's hard to give you much more characterization than that because our visibility into that customer order pattern is somewhat limited. We are working hard to try to get some more stable demand, some private-public partnership kind of opportunities. We're off working the pipeline, but it's a little early to say that we'll have a better handle on that

speaker
Alexandra Mandry
Analyst at Truist Securities

order stream anytime soon great and i just had one last one recently the commander of the air combat command commented that the hypothetical 1.5 trillion 20 27 cents package would be sent spent on spare parts to give aircraft ability a boost how do you see this playing out and what impact could you see for woodward

speaker
Chip Blankenship
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

It's hard to say how that would work for Woodward because we don't have a visibility into the current inventory that's already out there to know whether there would be a gap for our hardware or not that would need to be fulfilled. But that's something that if they're serious about that priority, I assume they'll start interrogating suppliers for capacity to deliver. And that might be our first indication that could be an opportunity for Woodward.

speaker
Alexandra Mandry
Analyst at Truist Securities

Great. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

You're welcome. And Mr. Blankenship, there are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the conference back over to you.

speaker
Chip Blankenship
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

All right. I'd just like to thank everyone for joining us on the first quarter call. Look forward to talking with you next time.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And ladies and gentlemen, that concludes our conference call today. A rebroadcast will be available on the company's website, www.woodward.com, for one year. We thank you for your participation in today's conference call and you may now disconnect.

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