7/25/2019

speaker
Rob
Conference Operator

good morning my name is Rob and I will be your conference operator today at this time I would like to welcome everyone to the Agnico Eagle second quarter 2019 results conference call all lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise after the speaker's remarks there will be a question and answer session if you would like to ask a question during this time simply press star then the number one on your telephone keypad if you would like to withdraw your question press the pound key Thank you. Mr. Sean Boyd, you may begin your conference.

speaker
Sean Boyd
President & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Operator, and good morning, everyone, and welcome to our second quarter 2019 conference call. Just to note that this presentation does include some future-looking statements, so there is some material in there that outlines the disclosures and the cautionary statements around forward-looking statements. When we look at the quarter and step back, we're strongly positioned to deliver a strong second half. We expect record production in 2019, again, with much stronger operating and financial performance anticipated in the second half. And as we go forward into 2020, we would anticipate further growth in production as we ramp up our two new operations in Nunavut. In the second half of the year, we also expect a decline in our capital spend. In the first half, we spent about $414 million. Based on our forecast, we anticipate in the second half spending a little over $330 million. So combine that decline in CapEx spending with a stronger cash-generating business with the growth in production or in a strong position to generate a free cash flow in the second half of this year overall the as we move forward the emphasis will continue to be on moving at a measured pace with steady growth in gold production on a per share basis and also cash flow on a per share basis just looking at the second quarter highlights As we said, a solid result from an operating and financial standpoint. We produced a little over 400,000 ounces, of which 32,000 ounces were pre-commercial production ounces at the two Nunavut projects. Our cost per ounce, a little over $650 on the ounces that excluded the pre-commercial ounces, so good solid performance. The Meliudene mine, as we announced in May, achieved commercial production ahead of schedule. It's produced pre-commercial production ounces of 47,000 ounces prior to May the 14th. The total cost of Meliudene were about $830 million. So that's a project that was not only ahead of schedule, but also below schedule. the forecast of $900 million in capital. So we're continuing to ramp up that milliadine, and our production guidance for 2019 is unchanged at approximately 230,000 ounces, including the pre-commercial production ounces. At Amarook, we're on track for commercial production in Q3. It's been a bit of a slower ramp up from a mining perspective than we expected due to a quicker thaw and some more rain than we anticipated. So we've had to expand dewatering activities and we had a bit longer caribou migration period than expected. But despite that, the overall production coming out of the Meadowbank complex, which includes Meadowbank and also includes Amaru, that remains unchanged at 230,000 ounces. The shortfall at Amarook is made up by additional ounces coming out of the portage pit at Meadowbank. Overall, our production guidance, as we said, is maintained for the full year 2019 at 1.75 million ounces at all-in sustaining costs in the range of $8.75 to $9.25 in cash costs. Our range remains unchanged at between $6.20 and $6.70 per ounce. Our estimate for capital spend in 2019 has gone up to $750 million from 660. That was made up largely by lower pre-commercial production gold sales at Meliudene, and that had an impact of increasing the capital by $36 million, so that's interesting. If we had the expected pre-commercial production ounces. If it didn't start earlier, the total capex would have been closer to $800 million than $830 million. We also decided to spend more on ramp development and drilling at Amaruq based on exploration results to better position the underground project. And we also were in receipt of a permit to just discharge saline water And we had advanced our spending on the treatment plant there to take advantage of the earlier permit. So that's a good summary of the second quarter. And again, we declared a quarterly dividend of 12.5 cents per share. From an exploration perspective, we continue to get good results, which positions our project pipeline in a number of areas at Amaroop. As we said, we've decided to accelerate the ramp program, spend additional capital this year. That's due to continued good results there, particularly in the area between Whale Tail and the V-Zone. We started drilling from the ramp in June, so that will accelerate our ability to convert our resources and reserves in the lower part of the mine. At Belliadine, our drilling there has discovered two new loads. to new zones north of the Chiriganiac mineralization. So we have always anticipated that Meliodene would grow in size as we started production and resumed exploration there, which we did a few quarters ago. And in this most recent quarter, we've intersected the deepest reported intercept at Meliodene to date. So we continue to expand the known mineralized envelope at Meliodene. At Keetala, We're getting good grades and good widths at the Rimpey Zone and at Santa Gertrudis. We continue to extend the high-grade mineralization at the Amelia deposit. From an operating result perspective, good solid performance, as we said, producing a little over 400,000 ounces in the quarter. Excellent performance coming out of the Abitibi. Despite a planned shutdown at La Ronde, the Abitibi Mines, La Ronde, La Ronde Zone 5, Goldex, and Canadian Malartic produced a little over 200,000 ounces at a weighted average cost, cash cost of $578. So continued good production, cost performance, and cash generating coming out of our Abitibi mines. As we said, we're ramping up Eliadine. We had production in the quarter of 61,000 ounces. And in Mexico, we've got good results coming out of that operation with cash costs below 600, producing 80,000 ounces. So good operating margin. And if we look at our guidance based on how we ended the first half of the year at 810,000 ounces, it's still roughly that sort of 45, 46% first half, roughly 54, 55% second half production. So that sets us up for moving away from sort of an average over the last few years on a quarterly basis of 400,000 ounces to a number that's closer to 500,000 ounces. That's what's going to drive cash flow and earnings. Looking at the earnings and cash flow, as we said, we expect a stronger performance in the second half. In the quarter, we had better net income and earnings than the prior year. and that was largely due to lower amortization, lower taxes, higher gold prices, partially offset by lower gold sales when you exclude the pre-commercial ounces coming out of Nunavut. From a financial position standpoint, we closed the quarter with a fully undrawn credit facility, so still good liquidity entering a period where we expect to generate free cash flow. And in fact, as we said, our capex will decline in the second half versus the first half. So the focus as we move forward and as we generate free cash flow will be to reduce the debt, increase the dividend while we continue to invest in our project pipeline. And in the quarter, our investment grade credit rating was reaffirmed with a positive trend. So another good sign. We'll run through the assets quickly, and then we'll open it up for questions. At La Ronde, we had a planned shutdown, but the mine still produced almost 80,000 ounces at a cash cost of close to $500 an ounce. So good performance coming out of La Ronde. And also at LZ5, good performance. We're seeing higher grades and throughput coming out of that operation. And we continue to evaluate scenarios at LZ5. to potentially go after down plunge extensions of the LZ-5 deposit. And so we're reviewing our alternatives to potentially get those additional ounces into our mine plan to take advantage of capacity at the La Ronne complex. And as you know, we're using the LZ-5 operation to test our autonomous mining equipment, and we continue to make good progress with those assets. Canadian Malarctic. continued steady performer quarter after quarter it hit a quarterly mill throughput record of 58,000 tons per day things are progressing as planned on the Barnett extension it's on budget it's on schedule we've expect to start production activities late 2019 at Barnett and we continue an active exploration program and the underground below the pit Canadian Malartic going after several zones there and we continue to evaluate. We do have a permit for a ramp and we continue to evaluate our options to go underground and continue that exploration program. Goldex had a very strong quarter. We've got much better productivity coming out of the rail system. We milled over 8,000 tons a day in the quarter. That was up about 14% from year earlier and that's resulted in improved cost per ton performance and also improved cash cost performance. We continue to mine in the south zone and the stoves that we mine to date, although not a big zone, it does have higher grades and we get slightly better grades than we're expecting in those zones. We continue to evaluate the potential in the south zone area, potentially to get additional incremental ore feed from that area. And we continue to drill the deep two zone in the quarter because there is a good opportunity to extend the life of GoldEx by mining deeper on the known deposit. At Meadowbank, we talked a bit about this at the start, but Meadowbank, we've been able to extend into the third quarter through additional mining at the Portage pit. which gives us additional ounces in the sort of 30,000 ounce range, which offsets the slight decline in expected production coming out of Amaru to keep the total meadow bank complex on track to achieve its guidance. In the quarter, as expected, we saw tons milled down as we mine out the remaining part of the ore body. Cost per ton was slightly lower, so they continue to get good cost performance even though tonnage was down. The degrades declined about 25%. Again, that's consistent and as expected as we mine out the remaining parts of that ore body. The cash costs are a bit higher given the grades are down and production is down a bit, but we're still generating good cash as we optimize the end of the Meadowbank mine life. At Amarook, as we mentioned at the start, we had more rain than we normally see in that period. As we were starting that operation, we had a much quicker thaw, so that impacted our ability to get at our mining areas in the pit. And we also were impacted, as we said, by our longer than expected migration period with the caribou in the area. We should be, through the dewatering, probably mid-September as we continue. We're continuing to mine, but it's more difficult to mine when we are still pumping water out of parts of the pit at Amaruq. As we said, production guidance for the Meadowbank complex remains the same. Our capex, we're estimating somewhere in the 350 to 370 range. That'll depend exactly on the date of commercial production. and how many pre-commercial production ounces get credited against capital. But as we said, when you add up the expected capital at Amarook with the $830 million at Meliadeen, when you add the two projects together, they come in slightly below our total estimated spend to build both projects in Nunavut. So it is a real success story there when you think about it. In an area that's challenged by infrastructure, we were able to bring two projects online, one ahead of schedule, one roughly on schedule, with a combined spend that's slightly below the original CAPEX estimate. So congratulations to the team there. And as we said, we continue to get good exploration results, and that's really driving our desire to move forward and accelerate the ramp development, accelerate some drilling, so that we can get an underground into production sometime in 2022. At Meliadean, we're ramping up production, as we said, ramping up the mining rate. We've had the mill pushed up to 3,900 tons a day, so we continue to ramp up to our nameplate of 3,750 tons a day. Recoveries are slightly below what we anticipated. We're working on several areas within the plant to get those recoveries up to where we anticipated them to be. We don't expect any major issues there. We see no major fatal flaws. And as we said at the start, production guidance remains unchanged at 230,000 ounces. And I'll just stop now and remind everybody that we do have a site visit to both Melliedine and Amaruk on August 19th and 20th. I know several of you on the call have signed up for that trip. If there's others that have not had the opportunity to sign up and would like to go, please contact Brian or Rhea in our office to get on that trip. So we look forward to seeing all of you there. At Ketala, we had roughly a 60-day planned shutdown to reline the autoplay. We do that every five or six years. The last time was 2013. That went as planned. We still managed to produce 20,000 ounces. So that was a little bit better than we had expected. So good performance at Akitsula. And the SHAP project and the project on expanding the plant are going along as expected. Just we'll wrap up before we take questions on the southern business. As we said, good performance in terms of cash generation coming out of the southern businesses. Combined, the three mines are producing about 80,000 ounces. Good cost performance, so good cash generation. The focus at Pinos Altos is on satellite zones. Cabrero and Sinter will continue to get good results. Crest and Mascota, we expect it to be finished by the end of this year, but they had an exceptional Q2. Good solid performance, producing probably double the ounces that we expected them to produce there due to some higher grades. We would expect second half production to be lower, but still for the full year, we expect Crest and Mascota to be above guidance. And at La India, we continue to drill satellite deposits, Chipriona and El Rio Lito, and those deposits are growing as we drill them. We would anticipate that those deposits would allow us to extend the mine life at La India. So before I open it up, operator, for questions, I just want to thank a couple of people. I want to thank Elaine Blackburn, who is passing the torch over to Guy Gauzelin, his sort of right-hand man and protege for a long, long time. And Elaine is a very quiet but extremely successful exploration geologist. who's been involved in a number of discoveries and is a huge part of our success here at IGNICO. He's not going far, though. He's going to stay with us until the end of the year as a strategic advisor, as an officer of the company, and then as we go into 2020, Alain's going to continue to work with us as a consultant so we can use and benefit from his expertise on strategic issues related to exploration and project evaluation. So thank you, Alain. who's in the room here for all of your contributions to AGICO. And congratulations to Guy. Well-earned promotion. Guy brings a lot of energy and passion. Was also involved with Elaine in some of these key discoveries. So the team looks forward to working over the next several years with Guy. And we'd also like to thank Christian Provencher, who's also not going too far. He is going to take a one-year sabbatical and... come back at some point, and his replacement is Danielle Perret. So Danielle Perret, as you know, has been with us for a number of years. Mike Manager at GoldX, General Manager at Laurent, has also done some work with here at the corporate level in corporate development and investor relations. So also a well-deserved promotion. So thank you, Christian, and enjoy your year off. Don't have too much fun. We expect you back in a year. And congratulations to Danielle. So operator, I'd like to open the line up for questions if we can.

speaker
Rob
Conference Operator

Certainly. At this time, I would like to remind everyone, in order to ask a question, press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. And your first question comes from the line of Fahad Tariq from Credit Suisse. Your line is open.

Disclaimer

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