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spk02: Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the AKA Brands Holding Corp. Third Quarter 2021 Earnings Conference Call. All phones are in a listen-only mode. We will provide instructions at the end of the call on how to ask your questions. At this time, I'll turn the call over to Emily Goldberg, Head of Corporate Communications. Go ahead, Emily.
spk12: Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining AKA Brands' Third Quarter Conference Call to discuss the results we released this afternoon, which can be found on our website at ir.akabrands.com. With me on the call are Jill Ramsey, Chief Executive Officer, and Kiran Long, Chief Financial Officer. Before we get started, I would like to remind you of the company's safe harbor language. Management may make forward-looking statements which refer to expectations, projections, or other characterizations of future events, including guidance and underlying assumptions. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially than those expressed. For further discussion of the risks related to our business, please see our filings with the SEC. Please note we assume no obligation to update any such forward-looking statements. This call will contain non-GAAP financial measures such as adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP measures are included in the earnings release furnished to the SEC and available on our website. Now I would like to turn the call over to Jill.
spk03: Good afternoon, everyone, and thanks for joining us. We're excited to be hosting our first earnings call as a public company and even more excited to discuss our strong third quarter performance. I'll begin with an overview of our results and highlights from our brands and then outline our growth strategies. Kiran will then take you through the details of our financials and provide our full year outlook, and then we'll open it up for questions. I'm proud of the strong performance our brands delivered in the third quarter, demonstrating the power of our platform and the talent of our teams. We drove strong growth across our brands while navigating COVID-19 and global supply chain dynamics. For the third quarter, net sales grew by 155% to $161.8 million. And pro forma for the acquisition of Culture Kings, net sales increased 44% from the third quarter last year, and active customers grew 54% across our brands. Our brands achieved growth across all regions, particularly in the U.S., where net sales increased 84% on a pro forma basis, making the US our largest market. And momentum has continued into the fourth quarter. As many of you know, Australia was in strict lockdown for most of the quarter due to a rise in COVID-19. Despite lockdowns, curfews, and store closures, our Australian business grew 7% on top of very strong growth last year. further proving our agility, resiliency, and the strength of our brands and teams. We are also encouraged by the vaccination rollout and reopening trends we see in Australia. Eighty-nine percent of their population has received at least one vaccine dose, and almost all lockdown restrictions have been lifted. All of our Culture King stores are now open and traffic is rebounding, while digital sales also continue to grow. Tehran will provide more details on COVID-19 impacts in the region. Turning to rest of world, on a pro forma basis, our brands grew 101%, largely driven by Culture Kings expansion into New Zealand and growing demand for Princess Polly and Culture Kings in Europe and Asia. Over the past few months, we have discussed our mission and strategy with many of you, which is to accelerate the growth of direct-to-consumer fashion brands for the next generation. We have a compelling group of high-growth brands that customers love. Princess Polly, Culture Kings, Petal & Pop, Reb Dolls, and our most recent acquisition, Minimal. All of them are digital first and masters at connecting with customers on social media through a constant stream of great content and new fashion. At AKA, we accelerate the growth of our brands through our next-generation retail platform. providing expertise to achieve greater scale and profitability. We know we are better together. Across our brands, we share best practices like data-driven merchandising and efficient social-led marketing, as well as share vendors for cost leverage and synergies. And through our network of best-in-class third-party tech partners, we get early access to the latest digital capabilities and innovation. Our unique model positions us to achieve our vision to become the global leader in direct-to-consumer fashion for the next generation. Our strong performance demonstrates that our strategy is working. I'll share some highlights from our brands this quarter, beginning with Princess Polly, our largest and first brand on the platform. They have pioneered effective next-gen strategies, such as test and repeat buying and micro-influencer-led marketing, both of which we are sharing across our brands, creating powerful network effects. Princess Polly outperformed expectations this quarter across all regions, led by strong growth in the U.S. As the U.S. reopened and consumer fashion needs changed, Princess Polly quickly adjusted merchandise from stay-at-home wear to going-out dresses and party wear. As a reminder, their test and repeat approach to buying gives them agility to react quickly to trends and get new fashion to customers in just 30 to 45 days. This quarter, they increased the number of new weekly styles introduced by 13% over the prior quarter. And they also expanded the penetration of exclusive merchandise, which drives higher gross margins. They also launched a sustainable fashion line, converting 5% of their assortment to products made from lower impact materials and saw strong customer response exceeding expectations. These merchandising strategies were supported by a marketing campaign celebrating the US reopening and summer holidays. With 75% of their customers in either high school or college, Princess Polly continues to focus their marketing strategy on students. Their back-to-school campaign, powered by influencers, produced strong week-over-week growth. They also rolled out a new university-based influencer program. and received 20,000 ambassador applicants. We're pleased with Princess Polly's acceleration in the US and confident about their continued growth ahead. Turning to Culture Kings, a leading Australian streetwear retailer with a cult-like following and unique blend of music, sport, and fashion. We acquired Culture Kings in March of this year, doubling AKA in size. While they are a digital first, retailer culture kings is notably our only brand with stores these highly experiential and innovative stores are like no other and set a new standard for the future of retail their stores serve as powerful marketing engines with a theatrical and celebrity event format that fuels type and demand and provides powerful content for their digital channels while the stores have since reopened Notably, five of eight stores were closed for the majority of the third quarter due to COVID-19. The team quickly shifted marketing spend and inventory to focus on the digital business and the U.S. market, both of which performed well. We're proud of how the team navigated the COVID-related challenges in Australia and the resulting third quarter growth they achieved. This quarter, Culture Kings opened their eighth and most innovative store yet in Auckland, New Zealand, with record performance. On opening day, there was a six-hour line to enter the store, demonstrating the power of the brand. But just three weeks after opening, the store was closed due to lockdowns. During this time, robust growth in New Zealand continued online and accelerated throughout the quarter. The success of Culture King's first market expansion outside of Australia further bolsters our confidence in our ability to expand this popular brand to other markets. Next, I'll touch on Petal & Pop and RevDolls. We are very pleased with Petal & Pup's growth this quarter. It is now our fastest growing brand and following the same growth curve as Princess Polly in the US. By leveraging best practices from Princess Polly, we have seen Petal & Pup's growth accelerate, which reinforces the strength of our platform. All of Petal & Pup's buying is data-driven and on the test and repeat model that Princess Polly developed. And Petal & Pup is now heavily leaning into the micro-influencer strategy also innovated by Princess Polly. In July, they launched US-based distribution from a distribution center shared with Princess Polly. This improved the customer experience by reducing shipping time and also provided shared cost leverage and learnings. Petal & Pup excels in trendy, event-driven fashion, and we've seen a great rebound in dresses and occasion wear, which was the brand's fastest-growing category this quarter. As we continue to scale the brand in the U.S., we also appointed a new brand president, Victoria Perry, who is based in San Francisco. Victoria is a seasoned fashion and e-commerce executive, and we are confident that she will continue to accelerate the growth of the brand in the U.S. and globally. Revdolls, which specializes in trendy fashion in extended sizes for ethnically diverse young women, also delivered solid growth this quarter. They launched new collaborations with relevant influencers and increased their brand awareness and credibility through authentic and creative content focused on body positivity and size inclusivity. While small today, we are confident in RebDoll's long-term potential as it caters to an attractive and underserved customer. Turning now to Minimal, the newest brand to join our platform, which we acquired in October. Turan will touch more on the financial details surrounding the transaction but I'll quickly share a few brand highlights and why it is such a good fit for our portfolio. Minimal is a premier men's streetwear brand in the U.S., which bolsters our position in the space. A great strategic fit, Minimal is a proven next-gen direct-to-consumer brand that has mastered modern men's fashion and provides sought-after trends at a premium quality and affordable price. They have a track record of high growth and profitability, and employ a data-driven approach to merchandising and marketing. The brand has built a highly loyal following and has a long runway for growth and profitability in the US and globally. We are confident that this already strong brand can accelerate further and benefit from AKA platform synergies and complements Culture King's particularly well. Minimal excels in denim and bottoms, which perfectly complements Culture King's core categories in hats, hoodies, tees, and sneakers. Minimal is well established in the US and we are also confident that we can successfully bring the brand to Australia. With his strong vision and leadership, founder and CEO Matt Fields has assembled a highly talented team and we're thrilled to welcome them to AKA Brands. Looking forward to the fourth quarter and beyond, momentum in our brands continues to be strong and we remain focused on growing our brands organically to drive profitable and sustainable long-term growth. Before turning to our growth strategies, I would like to comment briefly on our supply chain, a topic on everyone's mind. We experienced minimal disruption to our supply chain in the third quarter, and our inventory is well positioned for the holiday season in the fourth quarter. There are a couple reasons we have fared better than many during the global supply chain disruption. First, as discussed, we do test and repeat buying for the majority of our inventory, which provides a rapid 30 to 45 days to market. To achieve this speed, we rely primarily on air freight, so we do not have a material amount of merchandise delayed at sea, like many others. While we've seen air freight costs increase, the pricing pressure is far less drastic than cost increases related to shifting from sea to air. Second, we have a diversified group of 271 suppliers across 14 countries, with no single supplier making up more than 13% of our sales. and we only have one small supplier in Vietnam, so we were not materially impacted by the closure there, and we were able to quickly adjust. Additionally, by operating at scale in two hemispheres, we are uniquely able to manage inventory and marketing spend across two seasons and regions. This competitive advantage, combined with our flexible business model, has allowed us to remain agile during different phases of the pandemic for nearly two years now. And we are well prepared for the reopening of Australia with the right assortment and strategies in place. Overall, we believe we are well positioned in the fourth quarter and beyond as we continue to navigate dynamic supply chain and COVID-19 related challenges. Next, I'll turn to our near and long-term strategies to drive growth across our brands. Beginning with the U.S., our highest priority market right now. We are energized by the tremendous growth potential we see across our brands. Following the successful expansion of Princess Polly in the US, which now represents the majority of their sales, we have applied their US growth learnings to Petal & Pup and we are doing the same with Culture Kings as they scale their business here. We are on track to deliver on our expansion plans for Culture Kings. We have hired a head of US to build out a team and plan to open a distribution center in the front half of next year in California. We are also working on plans to open a Culture King store next year and look forward to sharing more details on that soon. For all of our brands, as we continue to grow in the U.S., we have strategies in place to acquire new customers, deepen loyalty with our existing customers, and expand our high-quality merchandise assortment. First, I'll touch on our customer initiatives. Our brands are masters at content creation, and we will continue to capitalize on our social media strengths by growing our network of micro influencers, which is a highly efficient strategy for acquiring new customers. We're also leaning in on popular platforms like TikTok as we continue to follow customer traffic to new social media platforms as they evolve. We also see an opportunity to further drive customer retention and frequency of visits that will grow lifetime value. such as loyalty programs. Princess Polly is lapping the one-year anniversary of their loyalty program, which launched in October of 2020. While it's still early days, the program has exceeded expectations, and we've seen more than double the spend coming out of our loyalty members. We'll take the best practices from Princess Polly to roll out loyalty programs to our other brands. Next, I'll touch on our merchandising initiatives. As part of our model, our brands are constantly introducing new styles, designer collaborations, and exclusive items, which keep customers engaged and frequently visiting, as seen in our customer retention rates of 63% in 2020 across AKA brands. Additionally, we have opportunities for strategic assortment expansion. We're pleased to share that Princess Polly is launching extended sizing with their new curve collection in the fourth quarter. which we know will expand our audience and customer base. And building on the successful launch of their sustainable fashion assortment in the third quarter, Princess Polly plans to expand their sustainable offering in the fourth quarter, with a goal to offer 20% of new styles made from renewable fabrics by the end of the year. And at Culture Kings, we are working to expand our print-on-demand graphic tee capabilities, which allow us to real-time react to customer trends and scale t-shirt print production to meet demand. While our near-term focus is in the U.S., longer term, we will also grow our brands internationally, beyond the U.S. and Australia. As we've mentioned, we're seeing highly encouraging early demand signals for Princess Polly in the U.K. and Europe and for Culture Kings in the U.S. and Asia. We will continue to test and learn our way into new digitally savvy markets by localizing the customer experience and tailoring marketing spend to expand awareness and grow our brands internationally over the next several years. And lastly, while organic growth is our top priority, we view M&A as incremental growth drivers for the future. We have a highly disciplined approach that has led to successful M&A deals. As a reminder, we're searching the world for the best high-growth, digital, direct-to-consumer, and profitable brands to add to our portfolio. We believe we can augment our 20% annual long-term growth targets with one to two acquisitions per year. We will continue to be disciplined and very selective in our M&A strategy and only add brands that meaningfully enhance our portfolio. Before I pass it to Kiran, I want to express my gratitude to all of our teams at AKA and across our brands. for delivering a great first quarter as a public company. Our IPO in September was a tremendous milestone and we could not have done it without all of our teams and partners. The opportunity and runway ahead of us is significant and we could not be more excited to execute our strategy for the quarters and years to come. I'm confident that AKA Brands is the future of fashion and we're just getting started. With that, I'll turn it over to Turan now to discuss our third quarter performance and our guidance in more detail.
spk08: Thank you, Jill, and good afternoon, everyone. Before I provide more details on our third quarter results and outlook for the remainder of the year, I would also like to take a moment to thank our employees for their dedication and commitment throughout the pandemic. Turning now to our third quarter performance, We are pleased to have delivered results ahead of our expectations despite the challenges presented by the COVID-related lockdowns in Australia. Our performance this quarter further demonstrates the strength of our business as well as our operating platform that we believe represents the future of retail. For the third quarter, net sales grew 155% to $162 million compared to $63 million last year. On a constant currency basis, net sales rose 156%. Adjusting for the inclusion of Culture Kings in the prior year, our proform in net sales increased 44% or 42% in constant currency. Culture Kings net sales grew 29% as compared to the third quarter last year, despite the disproportionate impact of COVID lockdowns in Australia. Proforma average order value increased 6% to $89 compared to the prior year third quarter, in part due to strategic price increases. The number of orders increased 37% to $1.8 million compared to the prior year, including Culture Kings. For the trailing 12 months, our Proforma active customers increased 56% year over year to $3.1 million. The growth across these key performance metrics reflects the continued momentum in our brands. Now I will provide a few highlights from our three regions on a pro forma basis, again, assuming Culture Kings was included in last year's results. Third quarter net sales in the US increased to 76 million, up 84% from the prior year third quarter, now making it our largest market at 47% of net sales as compared to 37% last year. Princess Polly continues to be the primary driver of our growth in the US as brand awareness and loyalty continue to build. Australian net sales of 64 million grew 7% from 60 million in the prior year. The softer top line growth was due to the impact of COVID-related lockdowns that were in place for the majority of the third quarter. Despite the lockdown, we continue to outperform our internal expectations, demonstrating the strength of our brands in Australia. Turning to the rest of the world, net sales of 21 million increased 101% from the third quarter in the prior year on a pro forma basis. The growth was primarily driven by the expansion of Culture Kings to New Zealand, further supporting the resonance of the brand outside of Australia in addition to the traction we're seeing in Princess Polly in Europe and the UK in particular. Moving to profitability, our gross profit for the third quarter increased 124% to 86 million. Our gross margin rate was 53.2% as compared to 60.8% in the same period last year. The 760 basis point decline in gross margin rate was the result of an approximately $6 million or 370 basis point non-cash purchase accounting charge associated with the Culture Kings acquisition. The balance of the decline was roughly split between higher air freight expense and the inclusion of Culture Kings, which carries a lower gross margin rate as compared to other brands due to the lower mix of exclusive product. The gross margin decline was partially offset by the implementation of targeted price increases at Princess Polly and Petal & Pup. We continued to generate strong full-price sell-through and best-in-class return rates due in part to our proven test and repeat strategy and high mix of exclusive product. Selling expenses in the quarter were 41 million compared to 16 million in the prior year. As a percentage of sales, selling expenses increased 30 basis point to 25.1 compared to 24.8 in the third quarter of 2020. This increase was driven by an expansion in the number of orders shipped and the inclusion of Culture Kings. Marketing expense increased to 15 million from 5 million. The increase in marketing dollars was driven primarily by the inclusion of Culture Kings which increased its investment in advertising spend as the brand looked to scale in new geographies and tested new marketing opportunities. As a percentage of sales, marketing expense was 9.6%, a 230 basis point increase compared to the third quarter of 2020, which saw exceptional marketing efficiency. Our G&A expense of $29 million increased due primarily to an increase in salaries and related equity compensation associated with new talent, the inclusion of Culture Kings, additional professional fees and transaction costs. Excluding the $1.6 million of transaction costs and $4.9 million of non-cash stock-based compensation expense related to the IPO, G&A expenses were $22 million. As a percent of sales, G&A was 17.9% of sales as compared to 11.5% in the same period last year. In addition to GAAP measures, adjusted EBITDA is an important profitability measure that we use to manage our business internally. For the quarter, adjusted EBITDA was 19 million versus 13 million in the prior year and 28 million on a pro-form basis. As a result, As a percent of sales, our adjusted EBITDA margin of 11.5% compares to 20.4% in the prior year, third quarter, and 24.6 on a pro forma basis. Our adjusted EBITDA margin exceeded our expectations largely due to the better than expected results in Australia. During the quarter, we had an income tax benefit of $4 million compared to an income tax expense of $3 million in the prior year. The income tax benefit was related to the loss and extinguishment of debt from the prepayment and termination of our prior debt, as well as an increase in interest expense related to the prior debt. Our net loss attributable to AKA for the quarter was $10 million, or a loss of $0.11 per share compared to a net income attributable to AKA of $7 million or $0.10 per share in the prior year. On an adjusted basis, our net income attributable to AKA for the quarter was $3 million or $0.04 per share compared to $7 million or $0.10 per share in the prior year. Weighted average shares outstanding were approximately $88.4 million in the third quarter of 2021. Turning to the balance sheet, we ended the quarter with $54 million in cash and cash equivalents and $98 million in debt. As part of our IPO, we reduced our debt levels by approximately $70 million from $168 million of debt borrowed during the first half of 2021. At the end of the quarter, we had total liquidity of $104 million, including $50 million available on our credit facility. Inventory at the end of the quarter was 96 million compared to 33 million at the end of third quarter 2020. If we adjust for the 26.9 million in Culture Kings inventory in the prior year, our inventory levels would have increased 60% from the third quarter of last year. We are pleased with the level and composition of our inventory as we head into the important holiday season as we pull forward inventory deliveries to ensure we were able to meet demand. As Jill noted, subsequent to quarter end, we completed the acquisition of minimal for a total of $44.9 million, including cash of $27.6 million, $15 million of which came from our existing debt facilities, and equity of $17.3 million, or 2.1 million shares. The acquisition was immediately accretive, and we see an opportunity to fuel significant growth in 2022 and beyond as we leverage our platform. Minimals growth rates as well as its gross margin and EBITDA rate are in line with our acquisition guidelines. Now I will share more details on our outlook for the full year. As Jill mentioned, the solid momentum in our third quarter and strong trends that have continued into the fourth quarter leave us excited for the remainder of the year. We are pleased with the performance we have achieved so far this year and expect the momentum to continue. Our guidance assumes no further COVID-related lockdowns for the remainder of the year. As of today, all eight of our Culture King stores have reopened. While we are not anticipating any meaningful supply chain constraints due to product delays, our guidance assumes higher freight costs will pressure gross margins for the remainder of the year. While we recognize the industry-wide global supply chain challenges, we are closely monitoring the situation and feel confident in our supply chain network and inventory position as we head into holiday. As such, for the full year, we expect next sales to be in the range of 550 to 560 million. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of 60 to 62 million. We expect the weighted average diluted share count of 93.2 million for the full year and 126 million for the fourth quarter. Capital expenditures are expected to be approximately $6 million for the full year. As we look beyond 2021, we are excited about the long-term opportunity across our brands, although we recognize we are lapping strong growth in both 2020 and 2021, and we expect supply chain challenges will persist into 2022. We are confident in our ability to deliver on our long-term growth targets, which include net sales growth of approximately 20% annually, excluding acquisitions, the addition of one to two acquisitions per year, and long-term adjusted EBITDA margins in the mid-teens. In summary, we are excited about our performance this quarter and our outlook for the remainder of the year. We have confidence that our brand accelerator strategy, as well as our asset-light and flexible operating model, will continue to drive profitable growth and create long-term shareholder value. With those comments, I will turn the call back to the operator to open it up for questions.
spk02: Ladies and gentlemen, if you'd like to ask a question, please press star one. We would ask that everyone ask only one question and one follow-up to give everyone a chance to ask a question. Again, to get in line to ask a question, please press star one. All right, and our first question is coming from Randy Connick.
spk04: Hey, how are you? Can you hear me?
spk02: Yes.
spk04: All right, great. Thanks guys. So I guess my first question is you talked about strong retention metrics and it sounds like a full price selling is a staying pretty strong. So just want to get a little bit more granular around a repeat purchase behavior, a little bit more color on, and maybe if you can give us a little more color around full price selling, how, what is that at and how has that been changing? That would be super helpful. And then how do you think about merchandise margin opportunity going forward if retention metrics stay strong, full price selling gets even better? You know, where can these merchandise margins go from here? Just curious. Thanks, guys.
spk03: Thanks, Randy. I'll start with saying our retention rates are very high because we are very focused on selling high-quality, exclusive merchandise, and offering a constant stream of newness that really keeps the customers engaged and coming back, as reflected in our 63% repeat in 2020. As we've gone through 2021 and through the third quarter, we have seen retention stay high and actually even tick up a bit. And our full-price sell-through has also remained high. As we've talked about, we see that our sell-through is very high percentage at full price based on our test and repeat buying. We really know what customers want, which is ultimately leading to less mark sounds and that higher full price sell-through. We don't actually disclose our brand level full price sell-through, but it has remained high. It's part of what's contributed to our high AOV this quarter. Regarding kind of merchandise margins going forward, We are confident in our gross margin rate. We have, you know, competing on quality exclusive merchandise, we do have a bit of pricing power and are able to, you know, selectively take some price increases, which we've done this quarter, to offset some of the expense we've seen related to supply chain issues. So we're able to really balance that out and are very confident we can continue our current trend of our gross margin rate.
spk02: All right, our next question is coming from Ed, excuse me if I'm messing up your last name, Ed Roma.
spk09: Hey, thanks for taking the questions. I guess first, on Australia, I know you guys posted some really strong results. There's 7% growth despite the lockdown. I guess what's the embedded assumption for Australia in the fourth quarter? And then as a follow-up, very interesting acquisition in minimal. Help us understand maybe a little bit their supply chain, if you wouldn't mind. Is it different than your core brands? and how much is Minimal expected to contribute for the 4Q number? Thank you.
spk08: Yeah, I think, thanks, Ed. You know, for Australia, you know, we don't go specific guidance, I guess, around regions, but we would expect it to be back in the double-digit growth kind of range as we go into Q4. We see kind of strength coming out of Q3, and we would expect that to continue into Q4. You know, for minimal, from the incremental impact on Q4, it's about $8 million to $10 million is what we would expect additionally to add to the quarter.
spk03: And on minimal, from a supply chain perspective, first, we're just thrilled to welcome this great brand to our portfolio. It really bolsters our position in men's streetwear and complements our Culture Kings business quite well. They are really strong in bottoms and denim and bring a new network of great suppliers in that space that we are excited about leveraging across our group of brands. Also, from a fulfillment center and carrier partner level, we are evaluating and comparing rates and service levels with our current set of providers and with all the brands that we acquire Over time, we can evaluate if we can get them into our best-in-class network of partners and get some synergy and leverage with our other operating partners. So we're evaluating that as we go.
spk02: Our next question is coming from Erin Murphy.
spk11: Great. Thank you. Good afternoon. Congratulations on your first quarter out of the gate. I guess my first question is just around the fourth quarter momentum that you're seeing. Are you seeing that happen both in the United States as well as that Australia reopening trend you just referenced? And is it broad spread across the portfolio? And then my second question is around the performance of Culture Kings in the quarter. Can you talk about how exclusive brands did versus third-party brands? And just how is your inventory availability right now for third-party brands within that banner? Thank you so much.
spk03: Great. Thanks, Aaron, and thanks for your questions. First, on Q4, I'll comment on that. You know, we are seeing some really nice momentum coming out of Q3 and continuing already as we head into Q4. The early read is strong. As Australia has really just come back online with their reopening over the past few weeks, we are really seeing business rebound. All of our stores now are open in Australia. And we've seen traffic really rebound to stores. As well, we've seen the online business continue to be really strong. So seeing great momentum in early reads already. We are very well prepared as we head into Q4 from an inventory standpoint, as well as really strong merchandising and marketing plans. And very excited over in Culture Kings Australia to get back to some events in our stores. We have a great lineup of events. Just feeling really good as we head into Q4. Also, I mean, I should call out, too, our teams are really agile and will adjust throughout the quarter. We have a marketing calendar planned for promotionality, but I think there's a lot of uncertainty around the promotional intensity this holiday, and we've left ourselves room to really be agile there. In terms of Culture Kings in the quarter, So Culture Kings was impacted by the Australia COVID lockdown. Five of eight of their stores were closed for the majority of the quarter. They have all reopened now. And so we're just excited about what we're starting to see there as that business kind of comes back online and the reopening is occurring in Australia. You did ask about the mix of third party versus exclusive. The Culture Kings business, yes, as a reminder, is a mix across third-party and in-house brands. As we expand that brand into the U.S., we do see a higher mix of in-house brands in the penetration of their business, which we're really excited about and leaning into. As we bring this brand into the U.S., we are looking to lead with and certainly looking to grow the in-house penetration of that business. Those come at a higher gross margin. and are also a real nice competitive moat for us and a real differentiator as we bring that brand into the U.S. market.
spk08: And then, Aaron, just from an inventory position for the third-party brands for Culture Kings, we're actually in a pretty good position with those vendors and really across all of the brands for Q4. We have pulled forward some inventory just to make sure we're able to meet demand, but we feel in a pretty good position heading into the holidays.
spk02: Okay, our next question is coming from Joseph Scully. Go ahead.
spk07: Great, thank you very much. So just two quick questions for me. Going back to just the performance in the quarter, just considering the material outperformance, I was wondering if maybe you can double-click on some of the things that actually surprised you between the time when you guys came out with the initial guidance and ultimately what transcended out of the quarter. And then second, as you look at your market inefficiency during the quarter, I was wondering if you can comment on any impact from ATT or Apple's or the iOS 14.5 change on the effectiveness on marketing channels and just kind of remind us again which channels are kind of performing best for you guys. Thank you very much.
spk03: Yeah, thank you, Sif. I'll comment first on ATT. I wouldn't say it surprised us, but we were pleased to see the Australia business rebound faster than anticipated. Recall that in July, the lockdowns and curfews started occurring throughout Australia, and we did see a big drop-off in the business at that time, but then we really saw it start to build back up through the course of August and September. And we were really pleased with the performance of the business. You know, the fact that we delivered 7% growth in Australia in the quarter on top of last year's very strong growth while having five of eight stores closed, we were really pleased with that performance. And, you know, the teams were able to really be agile and adjust. You know, across our multiple, across two regions, we were able to, to pivot and adjust our marketing spend and inventory accordingly and really manage the business very agilely. So we were ultimately pleased and outperformed there. From a marketing efficiency standpoint and the impacts on iOS and IDSA, we've been less impacted there than anticipated. I think this is really thanks to our social first approach in marketing. We really rely more on social media and influencers and our great content than we are relying on paid ads. That said, we do spend on paid ads and have performance spend and had a bit of impact on Facebook, but we were able to optimize our mix of marketing spend across platforms and really reallocate. But longer term, our best approach there is a strong offense on scaling our micro-influencer strategy. All right, thank you, Seth.
spk02: And our next question is coming from Lorraine Hutchinson.
spk10: Thank you. I was curious for an update on the brand awareness of Culture Kings in the U.S., and then if you could offer us any proof points or early indicators that the Princess Polly playbook for U.S. expansion is gaining some traction for Culture Kings.
spk03: Great. Hi, Lorraine. Thanks so much for your questions. First of all, I'll talk about the Culture Kings brand awareness in the U.S., You know, what excites us about Culture Kings, this is a really popular, scaled, awesome men's streetwear brand in Australia and very well known with strong, strong unaided awareness in the 40s over in Australia, while more in the single digits in the U.S. That said, their U.S. business is the fastest growing portion of their business, and we're seeing just tremendous growth on their U.S. online business We are on track with our Culture Kings expansion plans into the U.S. We have hired a head of U.S. and started to build out our team here. Our first hires are really focused on building out our micro-influencer strategy, really learned and adopted from Princess Polly. So as you asked about the playbook of Princess Polly and being able to adapt that, we are using that for Culture Kings. to scale a similar social-led micro-influencer strategy. And we will really grow that brand with a digital-first approach in the U.S. and looking to open up their distribution center in the front half of next year, as well their first flagship store in the back half of next year. Regarding the sort of proof points on the Princess Polly playbook, Princess Polly just continues to really gain share in the U.S. We've had tremendous growth in the U.S. and saw a really strong quarter with the reopening and a shift of the business really back into dresses. And they've been leaning in even harder on their social media influencer program. With Back to School, they did launch a college ambassador program and just saw incredible demand there with 20,000 sign-ups for that. So really continuing to get a lot of great learnings out of Princess Polly that we're then able to adapt and roll out across the group. We've done that, adopting those over to Petal and Pop. and really seen that business also now take off in the U.S. Now it's our fastest growing business. So really, really pleased with what we're learning out of Princess Polly and being able to apply it elsewhere in the portfolio.
spk02: Our next question is coming from Oliver Chen.
spk05: Hi, thank you. We were curious about the promotional environment and also as you think about pricing and more near and medium term and what you're seeing, you know, as we all face inflationary pressures, yet the demand profile remains very strong. And then second question, your technology and AKA's approach to technology is quite unique with that capital light approach. What should investors be focused on in terms of what you're doing there in terms of some of your key partnerships and the biggest needle movers? as you work with different partners across your portfolio. Thank you.
spk03: Thanks, Oliver. I think just regarding kind of the promotional landscape as we look to Q4 this year, I think just to reiterate, we've seen really strong momentum coming out of Q3 that's already a strong early read as we get into the quarter here. And we're very well positioned from an inventory standpoint and just have a really strong merchandising and marketing lineup. You know, a lot of the conjecture is it will be a less promotional holiday, but we are prepared and ready and have room to be as promotional as needed to compete in the market this holiday. And we're quite agile and able to adjust and adapt as needed. So feeling really good there as we head into the big days. From a pricing perspective, sort of near and medium term, I think it's important to point out that we really compete on quality and exclusivity, not really price per se, which means that we actually have quite a bit of pricing power in our brands. And we have been able to actually increase prices selectively in our brands to offset some of the supply chain expense that we did see in the quarter. And with that, we have been able to still maintain our growth rates, even while taking some of those prices up, just really kind of emphasizing that pricing power. So we are committed to maintaining our gross margin rates as we go forward, right where they are in the mid-50s. And we will reevaluate pricing as needed ongoing. From a technology standpoint, As we've talked about, we do run an asset light technology stack that's really leveraging Shopify and an ecosystem of partners. We are very pleased with our strategy. It keeps our costs low, our flexibility high, and really gives us access to best in class and the latest technology capabilities. We are able to really constantly test and learn across our brands and across a network of tech partners and really get to and curate the best in class, the best of the best tech partners out there, and then really share that across our brands. This approach also gives us really strong group leverage. We've been able to go back now and renegotiate rates with some of our tech partners and really develop and lean into strategic relationships there that give us early access to features, making sure that we're first in line on innovation capabilities as well as being able to even influence their roadmaps. So we see this as just a real strategic capability that allows us to access the best innovation out there. But I think what we're really most excited about, honestly, is our data and analytics capabilities. If you think about it, we are really sitting on a gold mine of data and insights across our group of brands, across demographics, and across geographies. And all of our brands are very strong at data-driven merchandising and harnessing analytics for their everyday decisions. But what we've just started to build out is really strong cross-brand analytics capabilities that are really going to take us forward. And we've made some good strides on that in Q3, but excited to continue to expand on that. So that's what people should be watching and waiting to hear more from us about.
spk08: And, Oliver, I'll just add on inflationary. You know, we've had to do some small wage increases at our U.S. distribution center, but, you know, not a really big impact there on the quarter or kind of on the go forward. I guess the other place where we are seeing pricing pressure is obviously on the inbound air freight. We've seen a significant increase there year over year and even quarter over quarter. We do expect some more increases there in Q4, but we've built that into kind of our expectations, and we're kind of expecting those increases to continue into next year.
spk02: All right. Our next question is coming from Michael Bonetti.
spk06: Hey guys, congrats on a nice quarter. It's nice to talk to you guys here on a live public call. I just want to ask you maybe a couple of things on the model and then I think the revenue guidance for fourth quarter looks like it's about 34 to 41%, a little bit of a deceleration from the pro forma number in 3Q. And then if we take out minimal, it's a little bit more of a deceleration. You talked about the lockdowns and reopening and several parts of the business re-accelerating coming out of 3Q. As we're trying to learn to think alongside you guys here and how you build the guidance, maybe would you help us with a couple of the inputs that you're thinking about for fourth quarter and how much of any kind of a deceleration, if I'm right on the math there, is just conservatism or it could be just related to tougher compares a year ago since we don't have a lot of history of the combined business. Any inputs there would help. And same question on the EBITDA margins. It looks like you're I'm planning to about 10 to 10 and a half in the fourth quarter, a little lower than what we just saw in the third quarter. Again, don't know much about the changeover in seasonality from three Q to four Q. So any, any help there? And then finally, I just, you know, Sharon, maybe the AOV is mid single digit that you had the 6% this quarter. And I know we've talked about some price increases across the brands. Is that, you know, as you talk about the 20% long-term, if we start thinking a little bit now about 2022 is mid single digit AOV a safe place to start our thinking for next year? Is that sustainable?
spk08: Yeah, thanks, Michael. And maybe I'll go to AOV first and kind of work backwards. I think, you know, we're pretty happy with the increase we saw in AOV year over year. It's up, you know, 6%, 3% on a constant currency basis. And it was nice to see it up really across all of the brands. In particular, you know, that's coming from price increases that Princess Polly and Petal and Pop put into effect. I think go forward, they will continue to be opportunistic and really look at the market and move prices as they see the ability. So I think as we think about kind of go forward and AOV, it's certainly kind of in that low single digits as we think about kind of in FY22. And then as that kind of relates to our guidance and our expectations around Q4, we certainly see seasonality in AOV from Q3 to Q4, so kind of we would expect it to decrease in Q4 versus Q3, and that's somewhat from the promotional nature of Q4, but also just the different mix of kind of categories across the brand, so we would kind of see it coming down from that perspective. And that's really, I would say, the bigger driver of our decelerating revenue in Q4. Also, some little bit of conservatism. These are kind of new brands and somewhat newer brands to the U.S. when you think of Culture King, so we do want to be conservative there. And then really as it relates to EBITDA and thinking about EBITDA in Q4, I would say kind of three bigger drivers. One is just the seasonality, the AOV impacting our gross margins. We would expect those to come down in Q4 with the promotional nature of Q4 with a little bit of increase in selling expenses as it relates to surcharges with carriers. And then just the other driver is from a G&A perspective, we are bringing on more public company expenses in Q4 this year, as it's really our first full quarter being public. So think of D&O insurance and other public company costs. They're the kind of the drivers that bring the decrease in EBITDA over Q3.
spk02: Our next question is coming from Ike Barachow.
spk00: Hey everyone, congrats on your first conference call. I guess I'll just ask a couple follow ups on Minimal, I guess Kieran. I think you guys used a little bit of equity in the purchase this time. Can you remind me, is that something that you guys would normally do? Is that kind of new? And then how does that kind of fit into the future of these one or two deals annually going forward? And then I think you gave, excuse me, the 4Q revenue number 8 to 10. Should we just kind of assume that this business is around 30 to 40 million in annualized run rate revenue? And then any kind of gross margin color on minimal as we kind of mix that into next year would be great. Thank you.
spk08: Sure, thanks, Ike. Yeah, from the acquisition, part of the purchase price was about 2.1 million shares, about $17 million. It wasn't just under 35% of the overall purchase price. I think in our minds, it's somewhere from 20% to that 35% is the range of equity that we would expect to do as part of our acquisitions. and certainly talking to potential acquisitions out there. They are all very much interested in having equity in AKA and kind of being part of the long-term upside that we see kind of across all of the brands and the overall business. And then from a revenue perspective, minimal, that is kind of their quarterly range is what we would expect. They're not a seasonal business, so they are in that kind of $30 million to $40 million range from a revenue perspective. And across the drivers, AOV, gross margins, very similar to the overall portfolio that we have, so no big changes there from a model perspective. I think as we think about EBITDA, we will invest more in them from a headcount perspective in that first year just to support their growth and make sure that we can bring them onto the platform. So that will bring down their EBITDA rate on that first year, but it'll come back very quickly.
spk02: Our next question comes from Dana Telsey.
spk01: Good afternoon, everyone, and congratulations on the progress. You mentioned some of the new initiatives at Princess Polly, whether it's expanding the exclusive merchandise or introducing sustainable component to the mix there and also increasing the new weekly styles by 13%. How does this move going forward? Does it accelerate in terms of whether it's more new weekly styles going forward or extended sizing or sustainable? And do some of these initiatives hold for the other brands? whether it's Petalum, Pop, or Red Dolls.
spk03: Thanks, Dana. I'll take that. So on Princess Polly, yeah, we have a high mix of exclusives already in Princess Polly. This brand really competes on quality and exclusives and pleased to increase our penetration of exclusives this past quarter and really committed to continuing to increase that at Princess Polly and across all of our brands. They did roll out, as you mentioned, the sustainable line this quarter with their Earth Club line and saw a really strong customer response that exceeded expectations. So about 5% of their assortment is now coming from recyclable, renewable fabrics. And they are very committed to continuing to expand that and looking to get to 20% of all their new styles made sourced from recyclable or renewable fabrics by the end of the quarter. And we are excited to take the learnings from Princess Polly of doing that and apply that to our other brands. They have been sourcing those fabrics at a mill. and are able to use those fabrics across their supplier network so they were not needing to go find new suppliers in order to do this. And they were also notably didn't need to incur any cost increases or price increase to the customer to offer this sustainable line. We're really excited about what they're doing in that space. Princess Polly is really a leader inside our group of brands on sustainability, and we're going to learn a lot from their expansion plans there and apply that to the rest. They are also, as noted, introducing an extended sizing line with their curve collection this quarter in Q4 that will come out. We're really excited to learn from that and also similarly be able to apply that across the group of brands.
spk02: Okay, and we have a follow-up question from Oliver Chen.
spk05: Hi, Jill, I had a question more broadly about your M&A strategy and M&A platform. As you look to authenticity and also your experience on really pioneering, looking at new social platforms, what are you seeing in the marketplace? What should we know about what might be your key priorities and how will you more broadly approach value creation within the platform. Thank you.
spk03: Thanks, Oliver. So on M&A, well, first I think it's important to note that, you know, our biggest priority focus on, you know, growing AKA is focused on organic. We are really committed to scaling the group of brands that we have, and in particular really scaling them in the U.S. But we are, of course, acquisitive and looking to M&A to make future bets. And our strategy is to really enhance our portfolio and continue to diversify our audiences, our fashion style aesthetics, our gender mix, our geographic mix. And, you know, ultimately we're looking for just all-star brands, the best of the best, digital, direct-to-consumer brands, high-growth, profitable brands with great teams. We do look for brands that can really complement our portfolio and are not necessarily competitive. We think the five we've assembled so far are just a really great group of diversified, balanced brands. We have a very disciplined approach to our M&A. you know, a strong pipeline in the mix right now. And the IPO has really upped our visibility, which we're excited about. And so we have an opportunity to really be selective as we go. And we're also a bit of an acquirer of choice in that we have real e-commerce expertise and a real value-add proposition for the brands that they really resonate with the brands when we talk to them. really excited about the potential and what we're seeing out there. And, you know, we're maintaining a strong pipeline of great brands that we're talking to. And we're looking, again, just as a reminder, probably one to two acquisitions a year.
spk02: Okay, I'm not showing any questions at this time. If anyone does have another question, please press star 1. There are no further questions.
spk03: Thanks everyone. Really appreciate you joining. Thank you.
spk02: Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for joining. You may now disconnect.
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