a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp.

Q1 2024 Earnings Conference Call

5/8/2024

spk04: Greetings. Welcome to AKA Brands Holdings Corporation's first quarter 2024 earnings conference call. This time, all participants are in listen-only mode. The question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero from your telephone keypad. Please note that this conference is being recorded. At this time, I'll now turn the conference over to Kieron Long, Interim CEO and CFO. Mr. Long, you may now begin.
spk00: Good afternoon. Thank you for joining AKA Brands' first quarter fiscal 2024 conference call to discuss the results released this afternoon, which can be found on our website at ir.aka-brands.com. With me on the call is Kieron Long, Interim Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer. Before we get started, I'd like to remind you of the company's safe harbor language. Management may make forward-looking statements, which refers to expectations, projections, and other characterizations of future events, including guidance and underlying assumptions. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed. For a further discussion of risks related to our business, please see our filings with the SEC. Please note, we assume no obligation to update any such forward-looking statements. This call will contain non-GAAP financial measures, such as adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margins. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP measures are included in the release furnished to the SEC and available on our website. With that, I'll turn the call over to Caroline.
spk02: Thanks, Casey. Good afternoon, everyone, and thanks for joining our first quarter earnings call. Before I review a few key highlights from the quarter, I would like to thank our teams for their unwavering dedication and continued commitment to building on our portfolio of next-generation brands for the next generation of consumers. Our teams remain steadfast in executing our strategic priorities and operating with tremendous agility and flexibility every step of the way. It is their hard work and dedication that gives me great confidence in the many profitable future growth opportunities we see for AKA Brands. Before I go through the results in more detail, let me share a few first quarter highlights. Net sales exceeded the high end of our guidance fueled by U.S. growth of more than 6%. We registered a strong gross margin of 56.2% and delivered positive adjusted EBITDA of 874,000, also exceeding the high end of our guidance. We saw trailing 12-month active customer growth of 5.5%. We continue to leverage our test and repeat merchandising approach with inventories down 19% compared to last year, and newness representing a meaningfully higher penetration of our mix of goods on hand. We ended the quarter with a significant 22% reduction in debt compared to last year. Princess Polly successfully launched an activewear collection which has been well received by both existing and new customers. We expanded our omnichannel marketplace presence through the launch of Petal & Pup on Nordstrom's website with strong initial results And lastly, the Culture Kings U.S. business delivered another quarter of strong double-digit net sales growth. Turning now to the first quarter, we delivered 117 million of net sales, which is stronger than expected, down 3% compared to last year, and down only 1% on a constant currency basis. We were again pleased to register another quarter of solid growth in the U.S. at 6.2%. The growth in the US region is further validation that we are expanding our reach, our products are resonating, and we are capturing new customers in what remains our most profitable growth region. For the quarter, our US business accounted for 66% of total AKA Brands net sales, a penetration increase of 10%. As expected, our Australia and New Zealand region results were below the prior year but we remain confident we will begin to experience gross margin expansion in the region in the back half of this year. On the bottom line, as I mentioned, we delivered adjusted EBITDA of 874,000, exceeding the high end of our expectations. On the heels of a transformational 2023, 2024 is off to a great start, and I'm really excited about the tremendous opportunity we see in the US to expand our brand portfolio and a total addressable market. Let me take a moment to reiterate our strategic operating framework for 2024, including our three key strategic priorities. Priority number one, retain existing and attract new customers. During the first quarter, we added 200,000 new customers on a training 12-month basis, benefiting from our test and repeat merchandising approach combined with delivering meaningfully higher levels of product newness, increased newness frequency, and introducing new product categories. The composition and quality of our inventories, particularly in the U.S., are in excellent shape, and we are chasing into many winning styles. We are well-positioned to continue our growth in active customers, driving higher full-price selling and expanding our gross margins. Buyer number two. We remain committed to showing up for our customers wherever they choose to shop with us. In addition to enhancing our online channels, we will continue to test and expand our omnichannel strategies, including experiential stores, marketplaces, and wholesaling. I will touch on each of our omnichannel strategies with a brand-level review shortly. Priority number three. continuing to streamline our operations to deliver financial benefits across the company. We've created a culture anchored on finding additional operating improvements across the P&L. This is less about simply removing costs and more about driving efficiencies, sharing best practices, and leveraging scale. For example, we're achieving improved inbound freight rates through a combination of lower rates and a better mix of air versus ocean shipping. We've also begun to action store operational opportunities at Princess Polly, which we will roll out to our planned 2024 openings. Now, let me share some highlights from our brands. Our largest brand, Princess Polly's mission is to make on-trend fashion sustainable and accessible for everyone. Targeting Gen Z and millennia women, Princess Polly entered the new fiscal year with more than 5.3 million global email subscribers and approximately 2.3 million global SMS subscribers, representing growth of 4% and 7% respectively. We launched the Princess Polly brand into the physical world with the September 2023 opening of the brand's first store in Century City, LA. The store continues to perform exceedingly well, attracting both existing and new customers, while also creating a halo effect for our online business. The team is doing an excellent job of crafting unique and personalized experience to engage influencers, college ambassadors, and customers alike. Q1 showcased a variety of immersive brand moments from influencer events like exclusive in-store sip and shop gatherings and the Princess Polyactive Work launch event to a spring break Jeep tour in Florida tailored for students, along with curated influencer edits to boost strategic brand awareness, and cultivate further trend-driven content. We remain on track to open three Princess Polly stores in the third quarter, one in Scottsdale Fashion Square, one on Newbury Street in Boston, and another in Fashion Valley Mall in San Diego. From a product perspective, a key pillar of Princess Polly's merchandising strategy is a continued focus on product innovations. Following January launches of sleepwear and loungewear, we launched an activewear collection that garnered a significant positive customer response. Leveraging our test and repeat model and the early success we have seen, we will continue to build out sleepwear, loungewear, and activewear, as well as test additional categories throughout 2024. Moving to our other women's brand, Petal & Pop. Petal & Pop entered 2024 with over 1.7 million social media followers around the globe and continues to experience great success in the U.S. Targeting a slightly older customer base in Princess Polly, Petal & Pop is best known for its impeccably designed and forward-trending collections, offering more elevated event-based styles. We're seeing nice strength in dresses, which is a dominant portion of Petal & Pop's category mix, And we're very pleased with the March launch of a wedding guest collection, dubbed Modern Romance. The collection comprises 75 styles, reimagined bestsellers, and new styles available on the Petal & Pup site. And to showcase the collection launch, the brand hosted a successful influencer and media event in New York City. The success we are seeing across the Petal & Pup assortment sets the brand up for expansion into additional lifestyle categories in the future. Shifting to our marketplace omnichannel tests, following successful launches on both Macy's and Target sites, Petal & Pop expanded its distribution in March on Nordstrom's website, which has exceeded our initial expectations, setting the stage for accelerated growth in the future. Across Petal & Pop's marketplace presence, we continue to see a high percentage of customers who are new to the brand. And finally, our successful wholesale tests with Victoria's Secret and Liverpool have resulted in follow-on orders. Turning now to our streetwear brands. As I mentioned earlier, in the US our Culture King's business saw another quarter of strong double-digit net sales growth. As a premier global streetwear brand and retail destination, Culture King offers a unique blend of music, sports, and fashion found across the globe. We remain bullish in Culture King's long-term growth potential in the US as well as globally. Culture Kings is disrupting the streetwear market, and we are thrilled with the consistently strong sales performance and four-wall profitability in the US flagship Las Vegas location. The store experience is truly unique, with an unforgettable atmosphere and an exclusive buying experience on an international stage. We also remain pleased with the continued strong performance and broadening acceptance of our first-party brands, which account for more than 50% of total Culture Kings US sales. Lawyer, American Thrift, and Minimal are top first-party brands, which we further complement with exclusive third-party offerings. Straight off of the Super Bowl hype, Culture Kings partnered with Rolling Loud for another legendary weekend of music, culture, and collaborations in LA. The brand sponsored the emerging artist stage, had their signature branded basketball court activation, and new to this year's event, Culture Kings had a screen print station where fans could select from exclusive designs to get custom screen print hoodies and t-shirts on the spot. First Lootware brand Minimal also continues to disrupt the streetwear market. In March, Minimal launched an exclusive capsule collection with NBA star Treshawn Mann with great fanfare. Minimal also continues to expand its brand distribution channels for their exclusive products through regional streetwear stores. Now I'll provide more detail on the P&L before taking your questions. For the first quarter, net sales were $117 million, down 3% and 1% on a constant currency basis compared to the first quarter of 2023. That strength in our US sales were offset by softer trends in Australia and New Zealand. As I mentioned, net sales in our US business increased 6.2% compared to the first quarter of last year. Sales in the Australia and New Zealand region, as expected, were challenging and declined 19.1% for the quarter. Net sales in the rest of the world declined 3.5% for the quarter. Total orders for the first quarter were 1.5 million, up 1.3% compared to the first quarter of last year, with strength in the US. We served 3.8 million active customers in the first quarter, a 5.5% increase compared to the first quarter of 2023. As a reminder, our active customer count is calculated on a trailing 12-month basis. Our first quarter average order value was $77, down 3.8% compared to the first quarter of last year on a reported basis, and down 2% in constant currency, due primarily to softness in Australia and New Zealand. Turning to profitability, gross margin in the first quarter was 56.2% compared to 56.9% in the same period last year. We were pleased that our direct-to-consumer channel generated gross margin expansion at Princess Polly, Petal & Pup, and Minimal. During the quarter, we continued to take actions to improve our inventory levels and composition at Culture Kings, which impacted our overall gross margin. Selling expenses were $34.2 million compared to $34.4 million in the first quarter of 2023. Selling expenses were 29.3% of net sales, up 70 basis points compared to 28.6% in the first quarter of 2023, due primarily to the effect of growing marketplace initiatives and additional stores. Marketing expenses in the quarter were $14.9 million compared to $14.8 million in the first quarter of 2023. On a rate basis, marketing expenses were 12.7% of net sales compared to 12.3% of net sales in the first quarter of 2023. Despite reduced marketing effectiveness of Culture Kings in Australia, we were pleased with the improved marketing effectiveness of Princess Polly and Petal & Pup, and importantly, we saw positive growth in active customers. General and administrative expenses decreased 12.4% to 22.7 million, compared to 25.9 million in the first quarter of 2023. On a rate basis, G&A expenses were 19.4% of net sales compared to 21.5% of net sales in the first quarter of last year. We delivered adjusted EBITDA of 874,000 compared to 2.2 million in the same period last year, ahead of our guidance range. Adjusted EBITDA margin for the first quarter of 2024 with 0.7% compared to 1.8% in the same period last year. Turning now to the balance sheet. We ended the quarter with $21.9 million in cash and cash equivalents. Debt totaled $103.6 million at the end of the quarter, a 22% reduction compared to $132.4 million a year ago. Turning now to inventory. We continue to focus on right-sizing our inventory position and ended the quarter with inventory down 19% to 91.5 million compared to 112.5 million a year ago. We are comfortable with the level and composition of our inventory at Princess Polly, Kettle and Pops, and Minimal. And we are pleased with the progress we have made right-sizing Culture King's Australia inventory in preparation for the full transition to the test and repeat model in the back half of 2024. A quick update on our stock repurchase program. In the first quarter, we repurchased 106,153 shares for a total cost of approximately $1.1 million. As of the end of the quarter, we have $1.8 million remaining in our share repurchase authorization. Now turning to our outlook for 2024 and beyond. Based on the solid initial start to the year, we are raising the low end of our net sales guidance range And now expect 545 million to 555 million in net sales for the year. We're also slightly erasing our full year adjusted EBITDA outlook range to 17 million to 19 million. As you update your models, I would like to take a moment to help everyone understand that as we expand our total addressable market through omnichannel tests, we would expect and neutral to marginally accretive impact to our overall EBITDA margins. However, we anticipate that there will be shifts in the lines of the P&L, including a slight drag on our gross margin, while benefiting marketing expenses. We expect this dynamic will begin to modestly influence our P&L in the back half of the year as these channels grow. Importantly, we see our omnichannel initiatives as drivers of long-term portfolio brand awareness, top line, and EBITDA dollars. For the full year, we expect gross margins between 55.5% and 56%. We expect gross margins will increase in the back half of the year as we lap the actions we took to move through inventory at Codger Kings in 2023, slightly offset by a higher mix of marketplace and wholesale sales. We anticipate selling expenses to be approximately 26% of net sales, and marketing expenses of approximately 12.5% of net sales. Marketing expenses will be slightly higher in the second quarter and leveraged throughout the year as we expand our omnichannel initiatives. We expect GMA expenses between 100 million and 110 million for the full year of 2024. And as mentioned, we are raising our adjusted EBITDA expectations to a range of $17 million and $19 million for the year. We expect a weighted average diluted share count of $10.6 million, capital expenditure of $10 to $12 million, and an effective tax rate of 10%. For the second quarter, we expect net sales between $133 and $138 million, and adjusted EBITDA of between $4.5 and $5.5 million. In summary, 2024 is off to a great start with first quarter results that exceed the high end of our net sales and adjusted EBITDA guidance. I'm extremely confident in the many profitable future growth opportunities we see for AKA brands, particularly the tremendous white space runway we see in the US to expand our brand portfolio reach and total addressable market. We remain focused on executing our strategic priorities which position us to grow our brands and deliver consistent long-term growth. Now, I will open the call up to your questions.
spk04: Thank you. At this time, we'll be conducting a question and answer session. If you'd like to ask a question today, you may press star 1 from your telephone keypad, and a confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star 2 if you'd like to withdraw your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, It may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. One moment, please, while we poll for questions. Thank you. Our first question today comes from the line of Eric Bader with SEC Research. Please receive your questions.
spk01: Good afternoon. Congrats on a solid bounce-back quarter.
spk04: Thanks, Eric.
spk01: I want to talk a little bit about Culture Kings. That Las Vegas store is an amazing store, and it's probably not replicable, but are there opportunities to have incremental Culture King stores in the U.S.? And I know that you're moving in terms of Australia and New Zealand to the test mode. How have the, I guess, preliminaries for that, and how are the changes happening, and what's the confidence that you have that that's going to be the next key driver there.
spk02: Yeah. Thanks, Eric. I think, firstly, yeah, on Culture Kings in Las Vegas, I think certainly opportunity. And I think, look, as we look at the overall portfolio, we certainly feel that the strategy is working. It's great to be up 6.2% in the US for the quarter. An overall active customer growth of 5.5% is just a great indication of the opportunities we have here across all of the brands. As I said in the prepared remarks, Culture Kings is, again, up double-digit growth in the US. We feel we will open more stores for Culture Kings, probably not at the level that we have in Las Vegas, but we certainly feel that there's opportunities for them. You know, right now we're very focused on opening, you know, our three stores for poly in Q3, but certainly looking for store opportunities for Culture Kings. And we do see tremendous runway for that brand. You know, at the moment, 50% of the product that we sell in Culture Kings are first-party brands that we own ourselves. So we just feel that's really resonating with the customer. As we think about Australia, I think the brand, the macro conditions there are more unfavorable than we've seen in the U.S., but we know that we need to get Culture Kings onto that test and repeat model that we see just being so strong and really underpinning that growth that we're seeing in the U.S. across the other brands. We are seeing some early signs. Some of the new product that they've brought in, is hitting all of those sales metrics that they would look at and expect, and they're building a model where they can replenish into that really fast, leveraging the expertise that we have and the model that we have at the other brands. I think we feel confident that as we go into the back half, we see gross margin expansion coming from getting Culture Kings in Australia onto that test and repeat model.
spk01: Great. And let me just do a follow-up here. So you've done a great job of managing inventories here, and you continue to manage them. How should we be thinking about, in the second half, as the business somewhat normalizes in terms of the test model and some of the other changes, how should we be thinking about, like, what should be a more normalized rate of change in the inventory going forward? Thank you.
spk02: Yeah, thanks, Eric. Yeah, really good progress on inventory, you know, down 19% and over $20 million year over year. And doing that, we were able to get the U.S. business growing at that 6.2%. You know, as we think about the rest of the year, you know, I would say the U.S. business is certainly in chase mode when it comes to inventory, you know, so I think there'll be some buildup as we go through the U.S. and continue the growth there. I think there's still some actions we will take in Australia that were overall inventory will come down sequentially quarter over quarter. And I think as we go through the year overall, we'll see small sequential improvements or reductions in inventory dollars. But I think that we have made the big progress there overall.
spk01: Great. Thank you.
spk04: Our next question is from the line of Ashley Owens with KeyBank Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question.
spk05: Hi, thanks for taking the question. I guess I know you talked about some better response and newness within each of the brands, but I was wondering if you could give a little bit of color on the interquarter cadence and exit trajectory heading into 2Q. And then also just, you know, active customer is very solid, even with the sales softness. Could you provide any color on how you're thinking about that piece I know it's trailing 12 months, but should that continue to trend ahead of sales growth for the year? And I guess, how are you engaging new buyers on the platform? And if you're seeing most of this growth concentrated in any one region, thanks.
spk02: Sure. Thanks, Ashley. Yeah, a lot there. So let me start with newness and the cadence. Look, I think we're just overall very pleased with that Q1 performance, particularly in the U.S., right, you know, I think overall coming in higher than our sales guidance and then that 6.2% growth in the US. I think as we went through the quarter we saw momentum build and for us build nicely coming into Q2. That spring, summer season is certainly a period where we shine across the four brands. We did see a little bit of impact from weather on some of the categories like swim, the Easter changes, but I would say overall very happy. Within that, and maybe segueing a little bit into active customers, I think just really happy with overall growth in active customers, but just seeing real strength across the brands. And we're seeing that growth, I would say, in all channels, direct to consumer, in our stores, in what we're doing in marketplaces. We continue to see that over 30% of the customers coming into the Princess Polly store in LA are new to the brand. And now six months in, we're also seeing that store have a halo effect on our online sales within that region. And so kind of, you know, that virtuous model is kind of really helping itself, the online and stores. And we're also continuing to see, you know, the 95% of the customers or over 95% of the customers on these marketplace channels are new to particularly Petal and Puck, which is doing so well on these channels. So really great to see them all working so well. I think, you know, reinforcing that the strategy we have, the models that we have, these brands are working, they're working well, and I think all underpinned by that test and repeat model that we have. As we think about engagement, I think all of the brands are working really hard across all of the marketing channels, and I think doing that really in conjunction with feeling really good about the inventory that they have, the newness that they brought in during the quarter turned into quickly best sellers and were able to repeat that product, replenish into those products, which is really core to this model. It's not just about testing new styles, it's finding new styles that become best winners and you can replenish into. I would say overall the brands are feeling good about where they are, still feeling like there's lots of opportunity as we think about this overall market that we have, and they're just getting after it.
spk05: Great. Thank you.
spk04: Thank you. As a reminder to ask a question today, you may press star 1. Our next question is from the line of Yusuf Squally with Truth Securities. Please receive three questions.
spk03: Yeah, this is a Nick Cronin on for you. So, so on the prior call, I think it was called out that you had expected Australia to show a mid 20% decline versus the 19% decline that was reported. So just curious if there's anything that drove the upside there. And then as we go throughout the rest of the year, uh, just what's what's baked into the 2024 guide between the relative geographies. Thanks.
spk02: Thanks, Nick. Yeah, I think as we went through the quarter, we're certainly pushing really hard to get Culture Kings on that test and repeat model that we see. Look, we obviously talk about it a lot because we see how strong it is and how well it is working across the other brands. We are seeing the early signs of the new product that they're bringing in is working well, customers are reacting to it. pushing hard on that. And so, you know, that does give us confidence that we see, you know, the benefits of getting them on test and repeat and some gross margin expansion in the back half of the year. You know, we still feel we've plenty of work to do there in Q2 and beyond. And sorry, Nick, I missed the second part of your question.
spk03: So what's in the guide? Yeah, what's baked in the guide across the three geographies?
spk02: Yeah, look, I think as we think about the guide, you know, very much thinking the trends that we saw and the regional trends that we saw in Q1 will continue through the year. I think, look, you know, we're over 66% of the business now is in the US, so certainly by far our largest market, you know, it's where we're furthest along in, you know, developing the different channels. and we're going to continue to lean into that strategy. We've got three stores opening for Poly probably late Q3, so we'll see some benefit there really in that Q4 period. That's really how we've built the kind of model as we think about the revenue for the rest of the year.
spk03: Got it. Then could I just ask one follow-up on capital allocation? How are you thinking about balancing the debt pay down versus stock repurchases versus investing organically behind the business? Can you give us an updated framework there?
spk02: Yeah, thanks. You know, I think we feel really good last year when we paid down $50 million of debt, you know, down 35% and just strengthened the overall business. As we sit here today, I think it's very much going after the growth first, and we've got four great brands. They're resonating with customers, so I think as it pertains to capital allocation, it's really going after the growth opportunity there. As we've talked about, we've spent 10 to 12 million of CapEx this year, and I think that is a key focus for us, but we will continue to pay down the debt. We continue to look to strengthen our balance sheet. We're not looking for this to be a highly leveraged business going forward.
spk03: Got it. Thank you.
spk04: Thank you. At this time, we've reached the end of our question and answer session, and I'll turn the call over to Mr. Long for closing remarks.
spk02: Thank you. Thank you all for joining us on the call. Always good to talk to you and give you updates on where we are and the progress all of the teams across the U.S. and Australia are making on bringing great product to customers and really showing off what these brands can do. Thank you all.
spk04: Thank you. This will conclude today's conference. Let me disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.
Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

-

-