2/18/2020

speaker
Anita
Conference Specialist

Good morning and welcome to Allergen's fourth quarter and full year conference call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star and then one on your touch-tone phone. To withdraw your question, please press star and then two. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Mike Wagnes, Vice President, Treasurer, and Investor Relations. Mr. Wagnes, please go ahead.

speaker
Mike Wagnes
Vice President, Treasurer, and Investor Relations

Thank you, Anita. Good morning, everyone. Welcome and thank you for joining us for Allegiant's fourth quarter and full year 2019 earnings call. With me today are Dave Petratis, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, and Patrick Shannon, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Allegiant. Our earnings release, which was issued earlier this morning, and the presentation, which we refer to in today's call, are available on our website at investor.allegion.com. This call will be recorded and archived on our website. Please go to slides number two and three. Statements made in today's call that are not historical facts are considered forward-looking statements and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of federal securities law. Please see our most recent SEC filings for a description of some of the factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from our projections. The company assumes no obligation to update these forward-looking statements. Today's presentation and commentary include non-GAAP financial measures. Please refer to the reconciliation in the financial tables of our press release for further details. Dave and Patrick will now discuss our fourth quarter and full year 2019 results and provide an outlook for 2020, which will be followed by a Q&A session. For the Q&A, we would like to ask each caller to limit themselves to one question and one follow-up and then reenter the queue. We will do our best to get to everyone given the time allotted. Please go to slide number four and I'll turn the call over to Dave.

speaker
Dave Petratis
Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Mike. Good morning and thank you for joining us today. Allegiant experienced modest top-line revenue growth in the fourth quarter, with strength in the Americas offset by weakness in Europe and Asia Pacific. The Americas region had reported an organic growth of 6.8% in the quarter, driven by both the non-residential and residential businesses. The EMEA region saw markets soften. and the complexity of moving our operations from Turkey to Poland negatively impacted the top line as well as operating income. The level of effort in executing a move like this cannot be underestimated. While we did experience some impact from the transition, we are better positioned after leaving Turkey. Asia Pacific continued to experience weak markets in Australia, and saw deteriorating markets in China. Electronics growth in the Americas came in just over 12% in the quarter and increased over 10% for the full year. We continue to see electronics as a long-term positive trend as more and more products become connected for ease of access. As I look to our end markets, U.S. non-residential remains healthy. and U.S. residential has improved. As I mentioned, EMEA and Asia Pacific are experiencing weaknesses in the markets they serve, and we see that continuing in the near term. Adjusted operating margins were up 30 basis points in the quarter and 70 basis points for the full year. Margin expansion was led by the Americas region, which saw full-year adjusted margins up 120 basis points. Volume leverage was good during the year, and the price productivity inflation dynamic was positive. In the fourth quarter, adjusted EPS growth came in at nearly 5%, bringing the full year increase to approximately 9%. Available cash flow was up nearly $14 million to $422.6 million for the year. Overall, I'm pleased with our full year 2019 results. We saw good revenue performance, expanded adjusted operating margins, delivered solid adjusted EPS growth, and generated substantial available cash flow. Please go to slide five, and I'll walk you through the fourth quarter financial summary. Revenue for the fourth quarter was $719.5 million, an increase of 2.4%, inclusive of 3.5% organic growth. Currency headwinds and the impact of the divestiture of our business in Turkey offset some of the organic growth. America has led the way on revenue growth, offsetting the weakness we experienced in EMEA and Asia Pacific. Patrick will share more detail on the regions in a moment. Adjusted operating margin increased by 30 basis points in the fourth quarter as we saw significant margin expansion in the Americas with declines in Europe and Asia. Adjusted earnings per share of $1.28 increased 6 cents or nearly 5% versus the prior year. The increase was driven primarily by higher operating income. Favorable share count and interest expense offset the unfavorable year-over-year tax rate increase. Available cash flow for the year came in at $422.6 million, an increase of nearly $14 million versus prior year. increased adjusted earnings, and improvement in networking capital were the driving factors for the increase. Please go to slide six. This year, we're recognizing Schlage for its past, present, and future innovation. 2020 marks the 100th anniversary of the brand, and we're proud to celebrate this milestone in various ways that support the business, and engage the customer, non-residential, and residential audiences. As a legacy brand with a rich history, there is no doubt that Schlage is an important part of the Legion story. Schlage has been providing security, style, and peace of mind for the last 100 years. From the first push-button lock pioneered by Walter Schlage in 1920 to the high-tech mobile solutions of today, Our trusted brand's passion for door hardware is rooted in security and steeped in innovation. As you may recall, we saw a strong market acceptance of the Schlage ENCODE residential lock after it was introduced in 2019, especially because we were the first major manufacturer to bring a smart Wi-Fi deadbolt to the market. By year's end, the Schlage ENCODE was recognized as the best-in-class product consumer tech influencers at CNET, digital trends, and consumer reports, among others. Just last month, it was named the best smart door lock to keep intruders out. Highlighting the peace of mind Schlage is known to bring to homeowners across the globe. And it's not only And it's not the only one drawing recognition in the Schlage suite of products. Our Schlage Sense and Schlage Connect also continue to receive accolades in the smart home market as the best smart locks you can buy and the best tech gifts. Collectively, these smart locks, along with Schlage Encode, have been recognized by tech experts as the best to work with Amazon Alexa, Apple HomeKit, and Google Home. As a powerful brand, we expect Schlage will continue to set the bar for customer experience in our industry and redefine what's possible with security solutions for seamless access. Please go to slide seven. Last March, we announced our business strategy centered on seamless access and a safer world. Allegiant has a strong internal innovation engine. creating award-winning products like the one you just saw, as well as overture for specification workflow and next-generation products like the Simons Voss Smart Handle AX. As we look to the future, we see the opportunity for technology to drive progress in seamless access. What I'd like to highlight today is edge computing. We made a leap forward in edge devices with the acquisition of Isonis. It was a good technology move. And through Allegiant Ventures, we're investing in companies that approach authentication and people flow in new ways. Companies like Pen Drops, Robin, and Open Path. I'm excited to see the ways we can create new value and access by carrying Schlage products and the data and analytical capabilities of a company like Open Path. You'll see us continue to look for opportunities to invest, partner, and drive progress through internal and external innovation that aligns with our strategic pillars. Be the partner of choice, deliver new value and access, smart capital allocation, expand in our core markets, and focus on enterprise excellence. Access has been a part of the company heritage for more than 100 years, and seamless access will define our company going forward. Patrick will now walk you through the financial results, and I'll be back to discuss our full year 2020 outlook.

speaker
Patrick Shannon
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Dave. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining today's call. Please go to slide number eight. This slide depicts the components of our revenue growth for the fourth quarter as well as the full year of 2019. I'll focus on the total legion results and cover the regions on their respective slides. As indicated, we delivered 3.5% organic growth in the fourth quarter. Overall, we saw solid volume and price realization led by the Americas region. price continued to remain strong, particularly in America's non-residential business. The impact of the divestiture of our business in Turkey, along with continued currency pressure in EMEA and Asia-Pacific, were a headwind in total growth. With the fourth quarter performance, you can see where we ended up for the full year on revenue growth. Total top-line revenue saw an increase of 4.5% for the year, and organic growth came in at 4.6%, led by Americas at more than 6%. As indicated, America's organic growth in the fourth quarter was higher than the full year results, while EMEA and Asia Pacific were weaker. Please go to slide number nine. Reported net revenues for the fourth quarter were $719.5 million. As stated earlier, this reflects an increase of 2.4% versus the prior year, up 3.5% on an organic basis. Adjusted operating income of 151 million increased 4 percent over the same timeframe from last year. Adjusted operating margin of 21 percent increased 30 basis points. The margin expansion was primarily driven by solid operating leverage on incremental volumes in the Americas, along with pricing and productivity outpacing inflation. Headwinds of margin performance include incremental investments, which had a 30 basis point impact on adjusted operating margins. For the full year, the company experienced adjusted operating margin expansion of 70 basis points. Please go to slide number 10. This slide reflects our earnings per share reconciliation for the fourth quarter. For the fourth quarter of 2018, reported earnings per share was $1.39, adjusting 17 cents for the prior year restructuring expenses, integration cost-related acquisitions, In benefits-related U.S. tax reform, the 2018 adjusted earnings per share was $1.22. Operational results increased earnings per share by 8 cents as favorable price, operating leverage on incremental volume, and productivity more than offset inflationary impacts in unfavorable currency. Favorable year-over-year share count drove another 3-cent increase reflective of the $226 million in share buyback that occurred during 2019. The impact of incremental investments in the quarter was a $0.02 reduction. An unfavorable year-over-year tax rate drove another negative $0.03 per share impact. This results in adjusted fourth quarter 2019 earnings per share of $1.28, an increase of $0.06 or nearly 5% compared to the prior year. Lastly, we have a 42 cent per share reduction for charges related to restructuring, trade name impairments, as well as loss on divestitures in Turkey and Colombia. The loss on divestitures was predominantly associated with non-cash currency translation adjustments previously deferred in equity and reclassified into earnings upon the sale of the divested businesses. After giving effect to these one-time items, You arrive at fourth quarter 2019 reported earnings per share of 86 cents. Please go to slide number 11. Fourth quarter revenues for the Americas region were $526.3 million, up 6.8% on both a reported and organic basis. The growth was driven by strong price realization and volume. Both the non-residential and residential businesses grew nicely and at similar levels to each other. The residential business had strong growth in the quarter, attributed to new products and increased sales in the builder channel. The electronics growth for the quarter was just over 12% and was sequentially higher than the prior quarter. As Dave mentioned earlier, the full-year electronics growth in the Americas was solid at just over 10%. Electronics products continue to be a long-term growth driver as consumers and end users migrate to electronics from solely mechanical products as they value connectivity and convenience. America's adjusted operating income of $153.9 million increased 16.8% versus the prior year period. An adjusted operating margin for the quarter increased 240 basis points. Strong volume leverage along with price and productivity significantly exceeding inflation drove the substantial margin expansion. Incremental investments were a 40 basis point decrease in margins. With the outstanding Q4 performance, full year adjusted operating margins in Americas were up 120 basis points. Please go to slide number 12. Fourth quarter revenues for the EMEA region were $149.6 million, down 5%, and down 1.5% on an organic basis. The lower volume was driven by weakening end markets across the region. The impact of the divestiture of the business in Turkey and currency headwinds also contributed to the revenue decline. EMEA adjusted operating income of $16.7 million, decreased 25.8% versus the prior year period. Adjusted operating margin for the quarter decreased by a disappointing 310 basis points. During the quarter, inflation exceeded price plus productivity, and currency headwinds continued to be a drag on margins. In addition, revenue declines also had a negative impact on operating margins. The plant relocation from Turkey related to the divestiture of that business drove additional costs in the quarter. The magnitude of the move, while anticipated, resulted in some operational inefficiencies that are likely to continue in the near-term future, but are also expected to be resolved as we progress in 2020. These types of moves are extremely complex, and though we did experience increased costs, we are better positioned being out of Turkey in the long run. With the drag of the Q4 performance, four-year adjusted operating margins were down 10 basis points in the region. Please go to slide number 13. Fourth quarter revenues for the Asia Pacific region were $43.6 million, down 16.6% versus the prior year. Organic revenue was down 13.4%. The decline was driven by continued weakness in Australian end markets, particularly on the residential side, as well as declines experienced in China attributable to weaker end markets. Total revenue continued to be affected by currency headwinds. Asia Pacific adjusted operating income for the quarter was $1.9 million, a decrease of $4.6 million, with adjusted operating margins down 800 basis points versus the prior year period. Approximately $1 million of the income decline was attributable to inflation exceeding price plus productivity. Significant volume declines and unfavorable mix had a large impact on the reduced income and margin. We have initiated restructuring actions to lower the cost base and accelerate integration of the GWA business. These actions will better position us to address the market challenges in the region. Four-year adjusted operating margins for Asia Pacific were down 180 basis points in 2019. Please go to slide number 14. Available cash flow for 2019 came in at $422.6 million which is an increase of $13.9 million compared to the prior year period. The increase was driven by higher adjusted net earnings and improvements in net working capital, partially offset by increases in restructuring spend and capital expenditures. Looking at the chart at the bottom of the slide, it shows working capital as a percent of revenues increased based on a four-point quarter average. However, the year-end working capital as a percent of revenue was lower at the end of 2019 compared to the same point in time last year. As always, we remain committed to an effective and efficient use of working capital. We will continue to evaluate opportunities to increase available cash flow and minimize investments in working capital, increasing the velocity of asset turnover. I will now hand it back over to Dave for a view on our full year 2020 outlook. Thank you, Patrick. Please go to slide 15.

speaker
Dave Petratis
Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer

We continue to see favorable trends in our primary end markets in 2020. We also believe growth in the electronics portfolio will continue to outpace mechanical in all regions, and we are well positioned to continue to take advantage of this industry trend. In the Americas, we see continued positive fundamentals in our non-residential verticals. The residential end markets have rebounded and improved, We expect the general trend towards electronic products in both residential and non-residential businesses to continue. With these expectations, we project organic revenue growth in the Americas of 4.5% to 5.5%. We are projecting America's total revenue expansion to be 4% to 5%, with a slight impact from divesting our business in Colombia. In Europe, markets have softened in Germany and Southern Europe and remain weak in the UK. For the region, we project total and organic growth to be 1.5% to 2.5%, led by our Simons Voss and Interflux businesses. In Asia Pacific, we expect weakness in the Australian markets to continue, particularly in residential. The market in China has also softened. With that backdrop, we expect growth in the region to be flat, both on a reported and organic basis, with declines expected in the first half of the year and modest recovery in the second half on easier comparisons. All in, we're projecting total revenue growth for the company at a range of 3% to 4%, with organic growth between 3.5% and 4.5%. Please go to slide 16. Our 2020 outlook for adjusted earnings per share is $5.10 to $5.20, an increase of approximately 4% to 6%. As indicated, the earnings increase is driven by revenue growth and operational improvements, as adjusted operating earnings are expected to increase 6% to 8%. Our outlook anticipates continued volume leverage and a positive equation for price, productivity, and inflation. We also expect margin accretion in all regions for the full year, but continued pressure in the first half for EMEA and Asia Pacific. Incremental investments continue to be a headwind as we remain focused on accelerating new product development and channel initiatives, which we believe enable us to keep delivering above-market growth and allows us to take advantage of the shifting customer preferences for electronic products. The combination of interest and other expenses is expected to be a slight positive to earnings per share. Our outlook assumes a full year adjusted effective tax rate of approximately 16.5 to 17%, an increase from 14.3% in 2019. It also assumes outstanding weighted average diluted shares of approximately 93 million. The outlook additionally includes a $0.10 per share impact from restructuring charges during the year. As a result, reported EPS is estimated at $5 to $5.10. We are projecting our available cash flow for 2020 to be in the $450 to $470 million range. Please go to slide 17. We are pleased with our 2019 performance, which saw top-line growth and delivered organic revenue expansion of 4.6 percent, adjusted operating margins up 70 basis points, adjusted EPS growth of nearly 9 percent, and strong available cash flow. And while it's not highlighted on this slide, we strengthened the foundational elements of Allegiant's culture that will help drive our success as a company into this new decade. safety and sustainability and engagement. In 2019, we were safer, reducing workplace accidents and their costs, which were already below the industry average. We were cleaner, reducing energy inputs and waste outputs. And we were significantly more engaged, meaning our global employees are more committed to our vision and our work than ever before. As we look to 2020 and renew our commitment to safety, sustainability, and engagement, we are well positioned to drive continued growth in revenue and earnings. We also expect to deliver solid growth and adjusted earnings per share and generate substantial available cash flow. Before we take questions, I'd like to take a moment to share some news with regard to the organization changes here at Allegiant. Mike Wagnus, will be assuming a general management role within the Americas business. Mike has been treasurer and head of investor relations since the summer of 2016. Since that time, Mike has served as a valuable voice for the shareholder community among the leadership team. As we move forward, Tom Martineau, vice president of finance for the EMEA region, will assume the vice president, treasurer, and investor relations role. Many of you are familiar with Tom and know that he brings a wealth of financial experience and knowledge that will position him well as Allegiant's primary representative to the investment community. I'd like to congratulate both Mike and Tom on their new opportunities. This transition has been completed and you can begin contacting Tom for any investor related questions on a go forward basis. Now Patrick and I will be happy to take your questions.

speaker
Anita
Conference Specialist

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star, then 1 on your touch-tone phone. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. To withdraw your question, please press star, then 2. Please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. If you have additional questions, please re-enter the queue. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. The first question today will come from Julian Mitchell with Barclays. Please go ahead.

speaker
Julian Mitchell
Analyst at Barclays

Hi, good morning, and thanks, Mike, for all the help in the last few years. Just wanted to follow up on the comments around the first half softness, particularly in the international regions. Just wondered if you could put a finer point on what that means for the earnings cadence through the year? Aware you don't guide quarterly, but I guess in recent years, the first half has been around 45, 46% of full year earnings. Do you expect a similar ratio this year, or is it more back-end loaded?

speaker
Patrick Shannon
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

You know, I would see a similar ratio, but just as we kind of highlighted some continued pressure, particularly as it relates to the international regions with the softness in the markets, trying to recover some of the margin deterioration we experienced in Q4. You know, America's business, you know, will continue to kind of with the same seasonality of the business from a revenue perspective. As you guys know, you know, stronger Q2, Q3. But overall, you know, similar type of profile, but weakness in the international areas.

speaker
Julian Mitchell
Analyst at Barclays

Thank you. And then on the point you just made, you mentioned in APAC the restructuring initiatives. So I think we can understand what's happening there. Maybe just within the EMEA region, help us understand how much of a surprise it was that inflation exceeded price plus productivity in Q4. And maybe what are the measures, if any, beyond the turkey plant relocation that you're implementing in the EMEA region to turn that business around?

speaker
Patrick Shannon
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, so if we look at the European business, you know, from a margin perspective in Q4, you know, I'd say disappointing operational performance, really driven from weakness in the end markets, particularly in Germany, UK, you know, we saw some softness and Germany, as you know, is a real strong point for our business. particularly in the electronic side, with higher margin profiles. So we had somewhat of an unfavorable mix as well that negatively affected us. And then you throw on top of that some of the inefficiencies with moving the plant from Turkey to Poland and just trying to work through that, both from an operational perspective as well as supply chain, third-party providers. We will work through that, and it's going to take some time, but there's going to be some kind of continued pressure on that, so we'll continue to work through that. Going forward, your question relative to actions, we will continue to evaluate our business and size it accordingly to market demand, but that's just kind of a continuation of what we're going to do to operate the business. So there will be some activity there to recover margins, particularly in the back half of the year.

speaker
Julian Mitchell
Analyst at Barclays

Great. Thank you.

speaker
Anita
Conference Specialist

The next question comes from Josh Chan with Baird. Please go ahead.

speaker
Josh Chan
Analyst at Baird

Hi. Good morning, and congrats, Mike, on the new role.

speaker
Mike Wagnes
Vice President, Treasurer, and Investor Relations

Thanks, Josh.

speaker
Josh Chan
Analyst at Baird

My first question is on the Americas. Just on your organic guidance for 2020, it looks like the growth is slightly lower than the 2019 growth. Is that mainly due to the price maybe not being up as much and a pretty steady volume type of growth outlook? Just wondering how you're feeling about the cadence of growth in America.

speaker
Patrick Shannon
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

So feel really good, you know, particularly on the performance. And then Q4, you know, they put up another strong organic growth, 6.8%. So I think we're entering 2020. in good shape. You know, all the indicators, you know, as Dave highlighted, in markets continue to remain strong, particularly in the institutional segment, which, you know, favors our business well. As we look into 2020, it's, I think, more kind of what you highlighted, not as strong of a price profile for 2020 outlook. We'll continue to drive it, But, you know, from a material input cost, you know, kind of in a deflationary environment, probably won't get as much price in 2020 as what you saw in 2019. But we'll continue to work that. But, you know, I would say, hey, 5% organic growth midpoint of guidance is still strong. It's just you also have tougher comps in the back half of the year. And so maybe a little conservatism there, but... feel good about where we're entering 2020 basis of the markets and how we're performing.

speaker
Josh Chan
Analyst at Baird

That's definitely a solid growth there. And my follow-up is on the EMEA region. You mentioned that the transition from Turkey kind of impacted you in Q4. Just wondering how much of the demand weakness was because of some of that transition and how much of that would you say was, was the end market, um, in the quarter?

speaker
Dave Petratis
Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer

So, uh, good morning, Josh. I would number one, European in markets definitely softened. Uh, I think if you look at industrials and automotives, which were particularly strong with, uh, that still, that softened our electronics businesses. And then I'd say the general decline in our mechanical side, uh, because of regional weakness, UK, Italy, uh, and others. So clear market weakness. Second is, uh, the move from, from Turkey to, uh, Poland, uh, a good productivity play for us over the longterm, but we moved a lot of jobs, a lot of tools, change of the supply base. Uh, and that certainly, uh, impacted our ability to serve our customers and drove inefficiencies. I think as you think about 2020, we'll get better every month, but we're talking almost 140 new roles in Poland. Good productivity inside that, but as an old manufacturing guy, we'll get better week to week, month to month, and I think have this operation in pretty good order by mid-year.

speaker
Josh Chan
Analyst at Baird

All right. Thanks, Dave. Thanks, Patrick, and good luck on 2020. Thank you.

speaker
Anita
Conference Specialist

The next question comes from Andrew Obin with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

speaker
Andrew Obin
Analyst at Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Good morning, gentlemen.

speaker
Anita
Conference Specialist

Hey, Andrew.

speaker
Andrew Obin
Analyst at Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Hey, Mike. Congrats. And, Tom, are you sure you want back? So, Mike, thanks for all the help, and, Tom, look forward to working with you again. So a couple of questions. First, in terms of you on the electronics side, do you guys have, you know, we've heard some concerns about second and third tier suppliers. How comfortable are you guys with your supply chain for the electronic components for the lock business, you know, going into first and second quarter, given what's happening in China?

speaker
Dave Petratis
Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer

So we have an outstanding supply chain team here. You know, they've been working, you know, with the events in China and the coronavirus. I would say this, Andrew, every week that China stays shut down, it will put pressure on our supply chain. Remember, we typically produce in region, but we still draw a lot of sourcing out of China. Probably more concerned about second tier suppliers, you know, providers that could supply subcomponents, to final assemblers. But we're well out in front of us. I think the timing helped us a little bit with the Chinese New Year. We would typically stock up. But again, I looked at some reports yesterday out of China. Only about 30% of the industrial workforce is back to work. It's really a function of how quickly this comes back up.

speaker
Andrew Obin
Analyst at Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Gotcha. So limited.

speaker
Patrick Shannon
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

I would just add, I would just add to that, uh, that, you know, kind of looking at it, we're not heavily exposed, you know, in region, obviously there'll be a, you know, impact, but, uh, globally, you know, you're probably looking at, you know, minor disruption Q1, I think it's more of a Q2 and then the longevity, how long does this thing last? And, uh, but right now, you know, for a full year basis, the expectation, is that there wouldn't be any impact relative to the guide that we've provided here.

speaker
Andrew Obin
Analyst at Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Yeah, I just want to make sure that there's not like one chip that will shut down production line for electronics. Just a question on the electronics. You guys have been doing great. How should I think about business mix for North America given the strength in electronics relative to mechanical? Because I would imagine there is margin difference. Thank you.

speaker
Patrick Shannon
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

So the margin profile on electronic products, both commercial, residential, similar to mechanical, but what you have is a higher average selling price. So there's more EBIT dollars, if you will, with that migration, and it is a favorable mix for us to the extent we can continue to drive that. And that's some of our incremental investments that we make to drive demand, particularly electronics, to put new products out to the market faster is centered around that because that is a favorable trend in both the industry and for Allegiant.

speaker
Andrew Obin
Analyst at Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Oh, that's fantastic. Thank you very much.

speaker
Anita
Conference Specialist

The next question comes from Deepa Ragalan with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

speaker
Deepa Ragalan
Analyst at Wells Fargo Securities

Hey, good morning. Hi, Deepa. I want to congratulate Mike and Tom as well. Two questions for me. First is America's Resi versus non-resi expectation within America's organic growth guide. Do we assume they both grow at the same rate or is there perhaps a delta driven by resi having to do some catch up in the first half?

speaker
Patrick Shannon
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

So I would characterize it as, you know, as you know, we historically don't give specifics around outlooks relative to the residential, non-residential businesses. So just take it in aggregate. There will be, you know, differences between the businesses as we progress. You know, I would say this. If you kind of look at the residential business, the backdrop is more favorable, you know, from an industry perspective than what we were talking about, you know, three to six months ago. So, you know, we would expect that to be positive. And then, you know, new products like ENCODE are performing extremely well and higher electronics growth in resi than non-resi. So just think about it in those terms. But overall, America is performing well from an organic perspective.

speaker
Deepa Ragalan
Analyst at Wells Fargo Securities

Got it. That's helpful. My follow-up is on the incremental investment spend, that $0.15 that you provided. How is that spread out over the year, the $0.15? And also, is this all going into the APAC region, or is that more spread out across geographies?

speaker
Patrick Shannon
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

No, the majority similar to prior years would be America's focused. You know, we believe we have a lot of opportunities to continue to invest in the business. Again, it's centered around new product development and channel specific initiatives where we have underserved markets that we believe we can continue to drive through our channel. So predominantly Americas, and the cadence of that, I'd say, fairly evenly split as we progress throughout the year is how you should be thinking about it. But overall, you know, 15 cents, pretty much in line with what we've, you know, experienced in the last couple years. Got it.

speaker
Deepa Ragalan
Analyst at Wells Fargo Securities

Thank you very much.

speaker
Anita
Conference Specialist

The next question comes from David McGregor with Longbow Research. Please go ahead.

speaker
David McGregor
Analyst at Longbow Research

Yes, good morning, everyone, and good luck, Mike. Good morning. Tom, nice to have you back. I guess, David, is there any way of talking about just what you're assuming for growth of the broader markets where you compete in 2020, just some sense of what you've got in your guidance?

speaker
Dave Petratis
Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer

I'd say strong institutional. You know, we continue – As you think of 2019 to 2020, we actually see that market stronger. Our spec position, our backlog, so like that. With a focus on education, you know, those bond issues that we look at across the country are going into security, and we like that trend. I think the other significantly more favorable risk and then complemented by electronics. The residential market was in a bit of a doldrums in 2019. I think there's some things that step up nicely for Allegiant in the Americas as we go into 20, which would include new products, the full year of Lenar, and continue to reference on our team to go out and grow that part of the market.

speaker
David McGregor
Analyst at Longbow Research

Terrific. And I guess, is there any way to quantify this Turkey to Poland? There's been a lot of discussion. We've been kind of talking around the point. But is there any way to put some numbers on what that meant to the quarter and how you're thinking about the potential headwind here in the first half of 20?

speaker
Patrick Shannon
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

So to answer the latter part of your question, yes, it will continue to be a headwind for the first half of the year. And I would expect You know, by Q3, you know, we're at a full run rate perspective in getting the realization of the benefits that we anticipated when we set forth in the move. So I, you know, production should be smooth, no disruption, supply chain, et cetera. You know, it was a drag on margin in the quarter as well as unfavorable mix and the deleverage associated with the reduction in organic growth.

speaker
David McGregor
Analyst at Longbow Research

Thanks, good luck.

speaker
Patrick Shannon
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Thank you.

speaker
Anita
Conference Specialist

The next question comes from Jeff Kessler with Imperial Capital. Please go ahead.

speaker
Jeff Kessler
Analyst at Imperial Capital

Hi, and again, congratulations to Mike and to Tom. Tom, good to have you back again on this side. On the electronics business in the US, or in the Americas, I should say, can you parse out what areas what areas seem to be providing you with some of the better growth that you're seeing? Is it in NFC? Is it in you're beginning to use power over Ethernet? Is it beginning to use other areas of access control or other new products that you have recently developed for doors and entryways? or for that matter, the use of overture in driving business, too? Can you kind of parse out what it is on the electronic side that's really driving this better-than-expected growth here?

speaker
Dave Petratis
Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer

I think, number one, a great lineup of capabilities. I think, two, you mentioned our spec writing capabilities, but it's really that installed base with technical mastery. Working with clients could be the University of Michigan, could be Iowa Western Community College, it could be the University of Tennessee. Those products and capabilities come together in a trusted relationship that help us grow. I would say things like Isonis, our investment in multifamily, which can position itself in college dormitories. It's that trusted position in a market that wants to move keyless that is driving the growth.

speaker
Jeff Kessler
Analyst at Imperial Capital

All right.

speaker
Dave Petratis
Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer

Great. Let me give you one other one, too. Sure. ENCODE, the first Wi-Fi lock, you know, the battery sustainability there, our ability to get through some technical issues, and I think growth on our part is, in terms of our mastery to be able to connect into the web of complexity that can appear in a residential home or a commercial institutional site. It's how things connect. Our teams have put a lot of work on, and I think as we unload out of the box and connect, we're doing a better job that builds customer loyalty.

speaker
Jeff Kessler
Analyst at Imperial Capital

Okay. Sticking in the same area, when you're talking about your more or less on the commercial side of electronics, is it just institutional? Or when you look at are there areas, obviously smaller business from the get-go, but perhaps fast-growing health care, or if you want to call it a strategic or specific new types of logistics, are there areas in those markets where you have particular focus in putting investments and actually getting return on those investments over the next two to three years?

speaker
Dave Petratis
Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer

I think... Our priority will continue to be heavily institutional focused. Because of that installed base and our spec writing capability, our things like, you know, the master key system, the devices are already there. So ability to upgrade that puts us in an A position. I'd say second, really doing, I think, a nice job on multifamily and mix use. you see a lot of movement into the inner city. Our ability to solve multiple problems for a developer, including keyless access, has given us some nice growth across the country.

speaker
Jeff Kessler
Analyst at Imperial Capital

Right. Great. Thank you. Thank you very much.

speaker
Anita
Conference Specialist

The next question comes from John Walsh with Credits List. Please go ahead.

speaker
John Walsh
Analyst at Credits List

Hi. Good morning, everyone. Good morning. Good morning. And a thank you to Mike for all the help over the years. You know, I guess first question, just looking at the cash balance, obviously been growing nicely. You had announced that new share repurchase program. Just wondering if you could talk about the priorities for your uses of cash as we think about 2020 and beyond.

speaker
Dave Petratis
Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer

I would say our uses of cash have been pretty clear. We like organic growth, especially around the opportunity of seamless access and electronics. Second is M&A. We continue to work extremely hard on deals in what I call the mid-major area. uh, and, you know, think about the future of, of how we can position Allegiant stronger for electronics and capabilities that will help us realize this vision of seamless access. And yes, you did see our announcement, uh, authorized by the board, uh, to increase the dividend as well as, uh, a reload of the stock buyback. Our message is, uh, you know, that we want to make sure that our capital is put to work, uh, frequent, uh, efficiently. And, uh, If that means returning to shareholders, we pull that lever as well.

speaker
John Walsh
Analyst at Credits List

Great. Thank you for that. And then, you know, maybe just a question around, you mentioned some channel investments there. Just don't know if you can be any more specific if that's on, you know, kind of the specification side of the channel, e-commerce, big box, kind of what we should be thinking around kind of the channel investments you highlighted earlier.

speaker
Dave Petratis
Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer

You hit one of them. We continue our specifications. One of the strengths overture, uh, would be an investment to help, uh, give new tools to customers and our spec writer. And then, you know, relationships important there, feet on the street that can help us grow and optimize that tool. Second multifamily, uh, you know, we continue to see a strong market there that we've historically been under penetrated and like our, uh, electronic offerings to be able to grow in that market. We put some investments back in res because we see that market responding would be examples of how we're segmenting the market and investing.

speaker
John Walsh
Analyst at Credits List

Great. Thank you. Appreciate the call.

speaker
Anita
Conference Specialist

This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the call back over to Mike Wagmus for any closing remarks.

speaker
Mike Wagnes
Vice President, Treasurer, and Investor Relations

We'd like to thank everyone for participating in today's call and have a great day.

speaker
Anita
Conference Specialist

This conference has now concluded.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

-

-