4/16/2025

speaker
Melanie
Moderator

Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the AutoLive Inc First Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference call. At this time all participants are in a listen only mode. After the speaker's presentation there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session you will need to press star 1 1 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question please press star 1 1 again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today Anders Trapp, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

speaker
Anders Trapp
VP Investor Relations

Thank you Melanie. Welcome everyone to our first quarter 2025 earnings call. On this call we have our President and Chief Executive Officer Mikael Bratt, our Chief Financial Officer Fredrik Kristin and me Anders Trapp VP Investor Relations. During today's earnings call we will cover several topics including our strong sales and earnings development in the first quarter, market development and tariffs that are affecting the automotive industry, as well as how our strong balance sheet and asset returns provide financial resilience and support the continued high level of fairholding returns. Following the presentation we will be available to answer your as usual the slides are available on OutdoorLeave.com. Turning to the next slide we have the statement which is an integrated part of the presentation and includes the Q&A that follows. During the presentation we will reference -U.S. gap measures. The reconciliations of historical U.S. gap to -U.S. gap measures are disclosed in our quarterly earnings release available on OutdoorLeave.com and in the 10 Q that will be filed with the FTC. Lastly I should mention that this call is intended to conclude at 3 p.m. Central European time so please follow a limit of two questions per person. I now hand over to our CEO Mikael Bratt. Thank you Anders. Looking on the next

speaker
Mikael Bratt
President and Chief Executive Officer

slide. I am happy to present the solid first quarter, the showcasing that the company adaptability and resilience driven by our diverse product portfolio and strong customer relationships. This achievement made a solid foundation for 2025. However we remain cautious about the remainder of the year as we navigate the complexities of our profit and operating margin compared to a year ago. This strong performance was primarily driven by well-executed cost reduction activities. Our structural cost reduction program reduced our indirect workforce by over 1500 since Q1 2023 and our direct headcount by 3700 over the past year. We neutralized tariffs almost entirely in the quarter by agreement with customers. We also achieved record earnings per share for a first quarter thanks to a lower number of shares and high net profit. I am also pleased that we continue to generate a high level of return on capital and plot. Our cash flow remains solid despite higher receivables from strong sales towards the end of the quarter supporting a high level of shareholder returns. In the quarter we repurchased and retired 500,000 shares for 50 million US dollars and paid a dividend of 70 cents per share. Looking now on the next slide. Last night Outdoor Live was recognized by the Automotive News in the category Pace Pilot Innovation to Watch. The prestigious Pace Pilot Award recognizes achievements under development with new materials, fresh ideas, creative processes and bold execution in the automotive and future mobility space. Outdoor Live received the award for its Banulli airbag module which inflates larger airbags more efficiently by leveraging pressure differential with the small single stage inflator lowering deployment costs and weight. I want to thank the team for this great achievement. It reflects our collective effort and commitment to excellence and innovation. Looking now on financials in more detail on the next slide. Sales in the first quarter decreased by 1% year over year due to negative effects from currency, light vehicle production development and adverse regional and customer mix development. The adjusted operating income for Q1 increased by 28% to 255 million from 199 million US dollars last year. The adjusted operating margin was 9.9%. 230 basis points better than in the same quarter last year. Operating cash flow was a solid 70s despite a temporary working capital buildup. Looking now on the next slide. We continue to generate broad-based improvements. Our positive direct labor productivity trend continues as we reduce our direct production personnel by 3,700 year over year.

speaker
Fredrik Kristin
Chief Financial Officer

This

speaker
Mikael Bratt
President and Chief Executive Officer

is supported by the implementation of our strategic initiatives including optimization and digitalization. Our gross margin was .6% an increase of 160 basis points year over year. The improvement was mainly the result of direct labor efficiency and headcount reduction, partly offset by a supplier settlement as communicated last year. As a result of our structural efficiency initiatives, the positive trend for RD&E continued. Combined with the gross margin improvement, this led to 230 basis points improvement in adjusted operating margin. Looking now on the market development in the first quarter on the next slide. According to S&P Global data from March, global light vehicle production for the first quarter declined 40 basis points, exceeding the expectation from the beginning of the quarter by 140 basis points. Supported by the scrapping and replacement subsidy policy, we continue to see strong growth for domestic OEMs in China while light vehicle production in higher content per market in North America and Western Europe declined by 7% and 10% respectively. This resulted in an unfavorable regional light vehicle production mix of more than three percentage points in the quarter, significantly impacting our outperformance negatively. In the quarter, we did see call off volatility continue to improve year over year. We will talk about the market development more in detail later in the presentation. Looking now on our sales growth in more detail on the next slide. Our consolidated net sales were 2.6 billion US dollars. This was slightly lower than a year earlier, driven by negative currency translation effects, which reduced sales by almost 4% in the quarter. Excluding currency, our organic sales grow by 2% including out of period compensation of 4 million US dollars. The regional sales split reflects the seasonally weak sales in China due to the Lunar New Year celebration. China accounted for 17%. Asia, excluding China accounted for 20%. America for 33%. And Europe for 30%. We outline our organic sales growth compared to light vehicle production on the next slide. Our quarterly sales were robust and slightly exceeded our expectations, driven by strong performance across most regions, particularly in Europe and America. Based on light vehicle production data from March, we outperformed light vehicle production in all regions except China, fueled by product launches and pricing. In China, our sales to domestic OEMs grow by 19%, aligned with their light vehicle production growth. Our growth with the global customers in China was just one percentage point below their LVP growth. Due to LVP mix shift that continues, we underperformed significantly in China overall. Among the primary net sales growth drivers for the company this quarter, four were Chinese OEMs and two were Japanese, highlighting the importance of the Asian market and its customers. On the next slide, we show some key model launches. New launches in the first quarter of 2025 was, as you can see on this slide, mostly in America, Europe and South Korea, with few launches in China. The reason for this is that many OEMs are planning to unveil new vehicles in the Shanghai Auto Show in April. We expect significant number of new launches in China as Q2, but we are unable to disclose these launches as the vehicles have not yet been unveiled. The models displayed here features auto leave content per vehicle, ranging from approximately 130 to nearly 500 US dollars. In terms of auto leaves sales potential, the US produced Honda Passport and the Ford Expedition are the most significant. Now looking at the next slide. I will now hand it over to Fredrik Distin. Thank you, Mikkel. I will talk about the financials now more in detail on the next few slides. So turning to the next slide. This slide highlights our key figures for the first quarter of 2025 compared to the first quarter of 2024. Our net sales was 2.6 billion, representing a 1% decrease. Gross profit increased by 35 million and the gross margin increased by 1.6 percentage points. The adjusted operating income increased from 199 million to 255 million and the adjusted operating margin increased by 230 basis points to 9.9%. The reported operating income was one million lower than the adjusted operating income, mainly due to costs for capacity alignment. Adjusted earnings per share diluted, increased by 58 cents, where the main drivers were 48 cents from higher operating income and 13 cents from lower number of shares. Our adjusted return on capital employed was a solid 26% and our adjusted return on equity was 29%, driven by share buybacks impacting total equity. We paid a dividend of 70 cents per share in the quarter and repurchased shares for slightly over 50 million US dollars and retired half a million shares. Looking now on the adjusted operating income bridge on the next slide. In the first quarter of 2025, our adjusted operating income increased by 56 million. Operations contributed with 46 million, mainly from higher organic sales and improved operational efficiency, supported by the better call of accuracy. The net currency effect was 5 million negative, as the positive effects from the Mexican PSO versus the US dollar was offset by translation and revaluation effects. The impact from raw materials was around 5 million negative. Out of period cost compensation was 4 million higher than last year. Costs for SG&A and RD&E net decreased slightly, despite higher costs for SG&A personnel. The recycled accumulated currency translation differences related to the divestment of our operations in Russia amounted to 12 million. The year-beer impact from the supplier settlement in 2024 was around 2 million negative. Looking now at the full year result on the next slide. For the first quarter of 2025, operating cash flow decreased by 45 million compared to the same period last year to 77 million, mainly a result of increased receivables following the strong sales towards the end of the quarter. Capital expenditures net decreased by 47 million. Capital expenditures net in relation to sales was 3.6 percent versus 4.5 percent a year earlier. The lower level of capital expenditures net is mainly related to the cash flow. The free operating cash flow was negative 16 million compared to negative 18 million in the same period the prior year as the lower operating cash flow was offset by lower capex. The cash conversion in the last 12 months defined as free operating cash flow in relation to net income was around 72 percent, slightly below our target of 80 percent. Now looking at trade working capital development on the next slide. Trade working capital decreased by 56 million compared to the prior year where the main drivers were 11 million in higher accounts receivables, 17 million in lower accounts payables, and 84 million in lower inventories. In relation to sales, the trade working capital decreased from 12.8 percent to 12.4 percent. The improvement in trade working capital is a result of our multi-year working capital improvement program and an improvement in customer call of accuracy enabling a more efficient inventory management. Now looking on our debt leverage ratio development on the next slide. Altaleve has consistently prioritized maintaining a strong leverage ratio, reflecting our prudent financial management and commitment to a strong balance sheet. This approach has enabled the company to navigate economic fluctuations, invest in innovation, and continue delivering value to stakeholders over time. Our leverage ratio is virtually flat year over year at 1.3 times despite close to 700 million US dollars in shareholder returns. Compared to the end of last year, our debt leverage ratio increased by 0.1 times as our net debt increased by 242 million US dollars while the 12-month trailing adjusted EBITDA increased by 55 million US dollars. With that I hand it back to you Mikael. Thank you very much Fredrik. On to the next slide. In recent years our business has faced significant challenges from COVID, disrupted global supply chain, component shortages, inflation, and the changing LBP landscape. Our company has adapted quickly, found new ways to mitigate risk, and maintaining profitability. Now facing a challenging tariff situation, we are well equipped with a diversified customer portfolio, a broad regionalized footprint, a strong balance and a single focus on automotive safety and saving lives. Outelive has a diversified customer and model mix in North America. This diverse model mix base helps Outelive mitigate risks associated with slowing import of certain vehicle models from Mexico and Canada. The company has multiple production and assembly facilities across North America, ensuring timely delivery of airbags, seat belts, and steering wheels. Our largest production hub is in Mexico, however, not all products are made there meet USMCA standards due to customer specific components or the availability of certain materials like magnesium and leather for steering wheels. Our logistics in North America are complex, while some of our Mexican production support local vehicle manufacturing, the majority is still destined for US vehicle assembly plants. Our products sent to the US customers manage about one third of the transportation and import, and these shares continue to grow. Driving from past experiences, Outelive has developed a specific handling tariff. Over the years, we demonstrated that our methods for navigating challenging environments are effective. On to the next slide. The instability and overall magnitude of the tariffs have placed the automotive industry in a challenging position. Tariff costs need to be passed on to the end consumers, which would lead to higher vehicle prices and potentially impact consumer demand and vehicle production. To mitigate the effects of US tariffs on our reports and materials, we have implemented several strategic measures. We established a task force early in the year with a focus on minimizing the impact of tariffs. We are engaged in ongoing discussions with our customers to find setups that are mutually beneficial while negotiating compensation for the transition period. Our large existing footprint in the US enable us to navigate the challenges posed by tariffs effectively. It gives us opportunities to ramp up production in the US. Should that be the best option when evaluating future production locations together with our customers? We are committed to increase our compliance with the USMCA regulations, working closely with our customers and suppliers to achieve this through increased local sourcing of components and changing of specifications. On to the next slide. The outlook for global light vehicle production in 2025 has become significantly more uncertain since January, with regional variation influenced by tariffs, slowing economic growth and other factors. In North America, the production outlook may be significantly downgraded due to trade risk and higher vehicle prices from import tariffs. This reduction is likely to affect vehicles produced in Mexico and Canada more severely. In Europe, production is expected to increase slightly short term due to revisions in EU regulations and higher demand in some Eastern European markets. China is also growing, driven by government policies supporting the new energy vehicle market. Japan and South Korea are potentially facing declines due to the impact of lower exports to the US. Overall, while some regions are still expecting growth, the global auto industry remains cautious, navigating the complexities of tariffs and other economic factors. Now looking on the business outlook on the next slide. We expect 2025 to be a challenging year for the automotive industry. However, our ongoing focus on efficiency is expected to further enhance our profitability. We anticipate a significant improvement in our sales performance in China. Additionally, our strong cash conversion and solid balance sheet provide financial resilience and a robust foundation for maintaining high shareholder returns. We expect cost pressures from the next year in 2025. But still, we expect some pressure coming mainly from labor, especially in Europe and America. However, the ongoing tariff situation could add inflationary pressure. Certain raw material prices have increased and we expect headwind for the year mainly in the US. We successfully navigated the new tariff environment in the first quarter. This gives us confidence that it's possible to continue on that course, but there is significant uncertainty. Contrary to the past three years, we do not anticipate a gradual quarter by quarter adjusted operating margin increase as the inflationary environment differs from recent years. However, the fourth quarter is still expected to be the strongest of the year. Turning to the next slide. This slide shows our full year 2025 guidance, which excludes effects from capacity alignment, antitrust related matters, as well as no further changes to tariffs or trade restrictions that are in effect as of April 15, 2025. As well as no significant changes in the macroeconomic environment or changes in customer call-off, volatility or significant supply chain disruptions. The business environment uncertainties make it difficult to predict the remainder of 2025. However, based on the strong first quarter performance and encouraged operating cash flow is expected to be around 1.2 billion US dollars. Our positive cash flow and strong balance sheets support our continued commitment to a high level of shareholder returns. Our full year guidance is based on a global life cycle production decline of around negative 0.5 percent. A tax rate around 28 percent and that the net currency translation effects on sales will be around minus 3 percent. We are monitoring the situation closely and are prepared to be as agile as needed to adjust to any changes. Looking on the next slide. We are pleased to invite you to the Autoliv Capital Markets Day on June 4, 2025 in Stockholm, Sweden. Join us to learn more about our journey towards achieving our targets, capturing growth opportunities and translating these into attractive and sustainable shareholder returns. We will showcase our Autoliv is strategically securing a strong position with successful OEMs supporting our medium and long-term growth in a rapidly changing market environment. You will also have the opportunity to see our latest innovation and technologies. I personally look forward to seeing you all in Stockholm. Now turning the slide. This concludes our formal comments for today's earnings call and we would like to open the line for questions from analysts and investors. I will now hand it back to Madeleine.

speaker
Melanie
Moderator

Thank you. As a reminder, that's a question you will need to press star 1 1 on your telephone and if you need to draw a question please press star 1 1 again. Please note that there is a limit of 2 questions per person on today's call. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A. Our first question comes from the line of Colin Langan from Wells Fargo. Please go ahead, your line is open.

speaker
Colin Langan
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Oh great, thanks for taking my question. I know mid-quarter you were trying to size the USMCA exposure. Do you have any better clarity now on how much of your sales are non-USMCA compliant that are at risk? I didn't see any actual impact on the walks on margin or sales so I assume it was pretty small in March. At any one rate you could help so we could frame the potential risk.

speaker
Mikael Bratt
President and Chief Executive Officer

We haven't given any detail around the split there with the USMCA compliance or non-compliance because it's a pretty fluid situation here and giving too much details in this environment I think would be more confusing and support. I think the bottom line here is that we are well positioned here with the footprint we just described here. We are having a regionized set up meaning America for America. However, now with this focus on the US side it means the tariffs impacts us mainly for the Mexican flow but as we have mentioned here that production we have in Mexico is to a large extent for OEMs in Mexico also. Our customers are there. They also pick up points in Mexico meaning that they are carrying them over and then a smaller part of that is also carried by us over the border into the customer's plant in the US. We are working with our customers here to see what we can do to improve that but the reason why we have USMCA non-compliance components here is because there is no available supply in the region there and we mentioned for example leather, magnesium for the steering wheels. We have also uniqueness when it comes to certain directed components when it comes to electronics in the steering wheels etc. So we are working to find alternatives with our customers but that will take time but whatever we are impacted by there is what we then pass on to the customer here through solar charges. So I think we are as good as we can get in this environment here right now and we monitor it carefully going forward to see what we can do.

speaker
Colin Langan
Analyst, Wells Fargo

And the vast majority was passed on to the customer in the quarter already?

speaker
Fredrik Kristin
Chief Financial Officer

Yes.

speaker
Colin Langan
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Okay and just as a follow up in your comments you said I believe maybe I misheard but the profit trajectory is not going to be like prior years now is that but it would be strongest in Q4. So how should we be thinking about I know you don't guide quarters but you know Q2 any rough color there are we now expecting that to not increase sequentially and why would that be the case?

speaker
Mikael Bratt
President and Chief Executive Officer

No I mean we have I would say we are more back to the normal pre-inflationary environment here where you always had a weaker you know Q1 you had the stronger Q4 and then Q2 and Q3 was more average in between there and I think that's what we're trying to say now that we are not seeing the same inflationary pressure that creates this sequential development that we have seen for the last three years. So more back to normal. All

speaker
Colin Langan
Analyst, Wells Fargo

right thanks for taking my question.

speaker
Mikael Bratt
President and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you.

speaker
Melanie
Moderator

Thank you we'll now move on to our next question. Our next question comes from the line of Erik Gullrang from Sweden. Please go ahead your line is open.

speaker
Erik Gullrang
Analyst (Sweden)

Thank you I have three questions. Firstly on Europe if you give some more color on that big out performance what's behind that and then the second question on the size of tariff compensation in Q1 to the extent you would share that and then thirdly continue on the tariff topic just some more sort of color on this I mean you've covered yourself fully in Q1 seems that you're confident that you'll be able to continue to do so but just thinking why wouldn't this burden be shared across the value chain. Thank you.

speaker
Mikael Bratt
President and Chief Executive Officer

Okay thank you. On the European side I think we see the result of our position here with the European OEMs and a positive result of the mix we have there as they have some because I pulled forward here also to be connected to the European regulations here so we have a good mix there. So more on the tariff side I would say here that we start with the last question then maybe that's why I'm confident I mean we have been very clear thing here that these tariffs needs to be passed on to our customers and obviously to the end consumer here in my view then of course it's up to the OEMs what they want to do here but I don't see any logic at all why the supply chain should absorb these tariffs and this is you know the cost of doing business which is implemented from one day to another and yeah we'll see for how long and at what magnitude they will be but there's no way the supply chain can absorb this kind of magnitude of additional costs so the pure nature of it in my mind needs to be passed on to them consumer so we start farming that and I will continue to hold that position as we move forward then with that said of course we will be working with our customers to see what can be done in terms of you know fulfill the requirements so you don't need to have to pay a tariff at all but in order to do any bigger things there you need to have some kind of stability uncertainty on the tariff situation before you can take that kind of decisions for example moving large large part of your capacity from let's say Mexico or somewhere else into the US so you see that you have the right circumstances there to have a business case to do it but as I said we are well positioned here with the footprint we have and of course we can work on the footprint we have here to see what kind of stretches we can do there in terms of using the footprint we already have we are I would say among our peers the one with the strongest the industrial footprint in the US here so we are in a good start there and then when it comes to what we discovered before here with the non-US MTA compliance is the availability and there of course it's more forces than our own force here that can can change that so we are dependent on the industry here as well but we're working together with industry on this and see what happens but once again stability and predictability is required before any bigger changes can be done if they should be done and we haven't given any details on how much the tariffs are because I don't think that I mean it's it's a figure that is not meaningful in terms of the details here because we're that we we get as a result of this and it's changing all the time also so it's a lot of changing parts here because besides the automotive tariffs here you have the steel, magnesium, aluminium and all that so yeah it's a very complicated picture.

speaker
Erik Gullrang
Analyst (Sweden)

Thank you and if I could just follow up you mentioned the business case to relocate production probably early days but do you see that is there a sort of an investment that you could do in the US where the total cost to bring your product to the market and your customer doesn't go up or is actually beneficiary or do you think that you'll stay where you are based on the at least the current level

speaker
Mikael Bratt
President and Chief Executive Officer

of tariffs? It's way too early to you know be any have any firm views on that because as I said we need to know what the landscape will be for a foreseeable future so you can actually do a business case around it and for certain the cost in the US will go up. I mean there is a reason why we are in Mexico so the question is what that would be and what everybody's trying to do there so it's too early to have any firm opinions about it. Okay thank

speaker
Erik Gullrang
Analyst (Sweden)

you.

speaker
Melanie
Moderator

Thank you we'll now move on to our next question. Our next question comes from the line of Emmanuel Rosner from Wolfe please go ahead your line is open.

speaker
Emmanuel Rosner
Analyst, Wolfe

Great thank you so much my first question is your decision to reiterate guidance can you be a function of just a lot of uncertainty so it's really difficult to know what to assume for any changes or is it strong confidence in the ability to offset future challenges is it both? You can just comment a little bit more about it.

speaker
Mikael Bratt
President and Chief Executive Officer

Sure no I think first of all we feel comfortable with the guidance here when we look at our own ability to move forward here I think we had a first quarter here and we continue to see also when we look into the horizon that we have with call-offs that we continue to see a healthy level of light vehicle production moving into the second quarter with the horizon we have there and as I said our own activity level controlling what we are doing in a good way so I feel that we are steadily moving forward in the right direction there so we have no reasons I would say to change our guidance here we feel comfortable with what we can see then of course what you're pointing to here we are absolutely fully aware of the risks you could say that is out there connected to the tariffs and overall uncertainty there but today we don't have any data points pointing in dramatic changes to that plus that we also in our guidance has a range mentioned there also that you know can absorb some movement as well so yeah we feel comfortable with the guidance we're given here today with what we know.

speaker
Emmanuel Rosner
Analyst, Wolfe

Thank you if I could just ask this sort of like a different way and have a quick follow-up but for example this morning I think you know you're based on the March S&T file but this morning S&T you know cut the global production you know a little bit deeper than the down 0.5 percent that you're assuming so all else equal is that something that we should be flowing through your guidance and essentially saying look the production is lower than assumed therefore you know it's actually sort of like a lower outcome or are you essentially saying that you have offsets or the Q1 was so much stronger than expected that all in even with sort of like this somewhat weaker outlook you still do it with your guidance?

speaker
Mikael Bratt
President and Chief Executive Officer

I mean we as we said here I mean we have based our guidance on the one 0.5 negative so we were already from the beginning remember more as a negative than S&T global now they have made an adjustment I would say that ballpark figure around where we are at also I mean one percent lower than what we have so I mean I would say it's within margin of error when you look at the light vehicle production so it doesn't change the picture for me here.

speaker
Emmanuel Rosner
Analyst, Wolfe

That's great and then the quick follow-up is your capital allocation strategy and in particular the shareholder returns. Are you still comfortable with your existing strategy or is the current uncertain environment make you want to potentially you know slow down the cash returns to shareholders or change it in any other way?

speaker
Mikael Bratt
President and Chief Executive Officer

No I think I mean our strategy and commitment here lays firm to be shareholder friendly company return liquidity to our shareholders. We continued in the first quarter here with our buyback even though at the slightly lower pace but we hold on to it and what we will do going forward of course we can't comment here but our commitment still stands.

speaker
Emmanuel Rosner
Analyst, Wolfe

Thank you so much. Thank you.

speaker
Melanie
Moderator

Thank you. We'll now move on to our next question. Our next question comes from the line of Edison Yu from Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead your line is open.

speaker
Edison Yu
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Hi thank you for for taking our questions. First one a near term in terms of the tariff related cost it seems like you absorbed it or able to pass it on sorry pass it on very quickly. Would you expect that going forward to be that quick in terms of the time when you pass it on when you actually run it through the P&L?

speaker
Mikael Bratt
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah I think it needs to be quickly. I mean you remember when we have described our negotiations when it comes to the inflationary compensation that was related to very detailed and complicated negotiations on the component by component plant by plant level across the whole globe. The tariff is very I would say clear and obvious when you have to pay them and say the evidence to prove that you have had this cost is much more simple and therefore the negotiations should go much faster.

speaker
Edison Yu
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Absolutely. Okay so just to check let's say tariffs continue on for the next couple quarters you would expect to recover that pretty much interquarter going forward.

speaker
Mikael Bratt
President and Chief Executive Officer

I mean I will not promise anything here but as I said we stand firm in our opinion here that the tariff cost needs to be passed on and we will continue to do so and I think we have a well-established way of doing it without a question.

speaker
Edison Yu
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay gotcha and then longer term on automation I know it's a bit early to decide whether to to necessarily relocate a lot back to the U.S. but I think you've discussed in the past you've done a lot of automation overseas in China it's been very successful. So if you had to automate do you have a playbook do you have kind of a system that you can implement based on your learnings?

speaker
Mikael Bratt
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah I mean I'm not worried about you know the the process or the the way of moving capacity or establishing capacity in the U.S. It's more a question about the the business case and as I said the reliability in the environment that makes you comfortable in making an investment in this yeah in this environment. It's not the how or so that is the problem it's the calculation the business case that we can provide the competitive a better cost domestically than with tariffs basically the breakeven calculation.

speaker
Edison Yu
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

That is said thank you.

speaker
Melanie
Moderator

Thank you we'll now move on to our next question. Our next question comes from the line of Chris McNally from Evercore. Please go ahead your line is open.

speaker
Chris McNally
Analyst, Evercore

Thanks so much team and I apologize if I missed this in the prepared remarks but just in terms of the call-ups you're seeing you know through through early April do they do they align with some of the the the the March projections around Q2? I think we're all sort of anticipating basically any day now that we'll get major Mexico and and Canadian shutdowns you know basically permanently until tariffs are changed so just curious if some of that is reflected in what you've seen in the call-offs you know the last two to three weeks.

speaker
Mikael Bratt
President and Chief Executive Officer

As I indicated before here we see that the call-ups is holding up well and no other indications than that we are moving forward here with the horizon we have from the call-off.

speaker
Dan Levy
Analyst, Barclays

And

speaker
Chris McNally
Analyst, Evercore

maybe just to follow up on it because I think you've answered the other questions really really helpful it basically seems like you know production is is the primary variable here there will be a little bit on raw materials but you're expecting to get repaid for for any tariffs from the suppliers I think we've heard that on from from every supplier. I'm just a little surprised I mean basically if there was no change in in call-offs particularly for for Mexican and Canadian facilities it would sort of imply that the you know the Detroit three were continuing to build which means they were planning to cross the border which does not seem to to be the case so could you help us reconcile that because you would imagine we would see weakness based on everything that we know if shutdowns were to be coming soon because they're building inventory at the border essentially.

speaker
Mikael Bratt
President and Chief Executive Officer

No I mean I can't suppose comment or speculating in what our customers are doing here in specifically but I mean the totality of the call-offs that I refer to here when we look at the Outlive order book so to speak is as I said holding up well here as we move forward into the second quarter with what we can see and the time horizon we have. Okay excellent

speaker
Chris McNally
Analyst, Evercore

so it's sort of a global order perspective and maybe we'll hold off on giving very specific Canadian Mexican facility so a lot of that that stuff is is live. Thanks so much for the comments really appreciate it. Thank you.

speaker
Melanie
Moderator

Thank you we'll now move on to our next question. Our next question comes from the Lion of Hampus Engelar from Handelsbanken please go ahead your line is open.

speaker
Hampus Engelar
Analyst, Handelsbanken

Thank you very much two questions for me starting off from the capacity line and program I just a question if you are you are you happy where you are on these levels or are you in terms of health care production. Second question is more related to the mix I was also surprised of the very outgrowth in Q1 and if we look at the quarters ahead on the LVP outlook should we assume any big changes in mix in the quarter from what you see now I know you're not going to guide on quarters but just the sense for us to model. Thank you.

speaker
Mikael Bratt
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah on your first question the headcount reduction I think we're progressing well you saw now that we have reduced our indirect or salaried headcount by over 1500 so that has progressed further versus the Q4 report and we also hold on to the expected savings of an incremental 50 million for the year so that's progressing well also on the direct labor side I think we're down in total headcount we're down 6% whereas organically we grew sales by 2% so also here we see a good development on the operational excellence side and productivity side so that's also was helped by the better quality of the day that was around 93% here in the first quarter so a continuation of the positive we saw in the fourth quarter and then on the on the mix side and we mentioned here we had three percentage points negative mix in the first quarter that's will most likely continue also in the second quarter and then we expect a more favorable development in the second half of the year at least when you look at our expected sales performance versus LVP development in China but we expect a negative mix also for the full year still above one percentage point

speaker
Jairam Nathan
Analyst, Dioware Capital Markets America

okay thank you

speaker
Fredrik Kristin
Chief Financial Officer

thank

speaker
Melanie
Moderator

you we'll now move on to our next question our next question comes from the line of Agnieszka Willela from Nordea please go ahead your line is open

speaker
Agnieszka Willela
Analyst, Nordea

thank you so much so my first question is on the pool forward impact that you saw in Q1 when it comes to car production i wonder if you can just tell us about what has been happening and also did you only see that on the kind of car production or did you also see that OEMs are stocking up your products

speaker
Mikael Bratt
President and Chief Executive Officer

yeah i mean it's very difficult for us to say what volume deviation here that we saw in the first quarter which was favorable and the volumes in the first quarter were better than we had expected going into the quarter but to quantify a pull ahead effect of that is incredibly difficult for us and and i would say even impossible but as Mikael already pointed out here that we see the call-off continuing at the good level also here in the second quarter so it's not that we see them falling off yet so that would indicate that either the pull ahead effect continues or it was smaller in the first quarter

speaker
Agnieszka Willela
Analyst, Nordea

understood thank you and then maybe just if you could help us to understand the impact on the P&L from getting compensations from tariffs and overall tariffs impact does it filter through sales and your cost or how should we think about it when you get the compensations for tariffs

speaker
Mikael Bratt
President and Chief Executive Officer

yeah the majority filters through sales but in the first quarter it was not of such a large magnitude that it would have any meaningful effect on the on the top line thank

speaker
Melanie
Moderator

you thank you we'll now move on to our next question our next question comes from the line of Jairam Nathan from dioware capital markets america please go ahead your line is open

speaker
Jairam Nathan
Analyst, Dioware Capital Markets America

hi thanks thanks for taking my question just wanted to understand in terms of the cost reduction or cp can you make any enhancements or you know increase the cost reduction potential if things were from here what kind of flexibility would you have

speaker
Mikael Bratt
President and Chief Executive Officer

no i think i mean i think we have over the years shown that we have the high flexibility in the company to manage big shifts in in in demand here so of course what we we're seeing the result of from now in the quarter one here for example is from really the the what we call them the strategic roadmap activities here to drive towards our our midterm targets here if something dramatically would happen in the market then of course we we have more levers levers to pull to bring down the cost and and reduce the labor etc so the short answer is yes we can we can do more if needed there of course

speaker
Jairam Nathan
Analyst, Dioware Capital Markets America

okay just as a follow-up the we are seeing a lot of especially japanese oem's i was trying to shift production back to the u.s and i just want to understand how would that have a any impact on margins you know from in japan versus with the u.s or and what would the u.s facilities have the capacity

speaker
Mikael Bratt
President and Chief Executive Officer

yeah i think i mean first of all if yeah i mean yes we we see some that also and of course we if there is platforms that we are on that changes location we have a procedure for that that has happened before so that's not nothing dramatically with that that's basically a reset of of the program and you need to do a new calculation and all that stuff so we have a well-defined way of working around that and i think here we have also a big advantage since we have this global footprint we have we can also support our customers if they want to move to a different region so that that's not very dramatic for us today so yeah and i think it will take some time until you actually see any meaningful volume impact in that i think they have this same situation here as we as a supplier have that you need to make sure that you you have a long-term view on on the landscape here in order to actually make those investments at the end of the day okay thank you for the toilet

speaker
Melanie
Moderator

thank you we'll now move on to our next question our next question comes from the line of dan levy from barclays please go ahead your line is open

speaker
Dan Levy
Analyst, Barclays

hi good afternoon thank you for taking the questions

speaker
Melanie
Moderator

first

speaker
Dan Levy
Analyst, Barclays

can you just outline what your exposure is within europe and asia to vehicles that are exported to north america

speaker
Mikael Bratt
President and Chief Executive Officer

i don't have the number here in front of me we could come back to you on that one i mean it's typically premium vehicles more that are exported and then we are a bit overweighted maybe against those but i would have to come back on the exact number but you can talk to and we can understand

speaker
Dan Levy
Analyst, Barclays

okay thank you and then a second question is on the tariffs and what specifically is not usmca compliant how much of this is tier two directed content by the oem that is essentially in a position where the owners have to negotiate because they've directed this content as opposed to content that you've chose to source on your own you know and there's maybe a little less of a basis for getting those recoveries

speaker
Mikael Bratt
President and Chief Executive Officer

we're not breaking it down in it's the i was going to say too detailed to keep in an external content here and especially in a situation like this when it's quite fluid here as i said i mean the directed part as i said it's obviously something we we need the support from the oem allow our customers here to to find alternatives too but most cases when we are not usmca compliant is because it's not available in the in the in the under those conditions there so i think you have to live with it okay thank you

speaker
Melanie
Moderator

thank you due to time constraints this concludes our question and answer session so i'll hand the call back to michael bratt president and ceo for closing remarks

speaker
Mikael Bratt
President and Chief Executive Officer

thank you melanie before we conclude today's call i want to emphasize our commitment to achieve our financial targets our focus remains on structural cost reductions innovation quality sustainability and on tariffs mitigation efforts despite significant market challenges in key markets we expect to continue to perform strongly we remain vigilant about the risks associated with tariffs and geopolitical challenges which could impact our cost structure and market dynamics navigating these complex complexities as well as we did in the first quarter will be a momentum in maintaining our momentum throughout the year once again i'm delighted to invite you to our capital markets day on june 4 2025 i look forward to see you there our second quarter call is scheduled for friday july 18 2025 thank you for your attention drive safely

speaker
Melanie
Moderator

this concludes today's conference call thank you for participating you may not disconnect

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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