speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to the Alexandria Real Estate Equity's fourth quarter and year-end 2025 conference call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please know a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star and then one on your touchstone telephones. To withdraw your questions, you may press star and two. Please also note today's event is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the floor over to Paula Schwartz with Investor Relations. Ma'am, please go ahead.

speaker
Paula Schwartz
Head of Investor Relations

Thank you, and good afternoon, everyone. This conference call contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. The company's actual results might differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements. Additional information concerning factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements It's contained in the company's periodic reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. And I would like to turn the call over to Joel Marcus, Executive Chairman and Founder. Please go ahead, Joel.

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

Thank you, Paula, and welcome, everybody, to our fourth quarter and year-end 2025 conference call. With me today are Peter, Mark, and Hallie. And I want to wish everybody a happy new year. And remember, most importantly, health is wealth. I want to thank our family team for their exceptional efforts during 2025, and particularly a very busy fourth quarter. In 2025, we witnessed the fifth year of a life science bear market. Our 2025 timeline clearly evidences that no one could have predicted with the February 2025 nomination of HH Secretary, the intense cascade of events from February 2025 on, to the numerous key departures toward year end at the FDA. And in fact, sadly, measles and polio may be back to some extent. We have been navigating a fast-changing life science industry landscape throughout 2025, which has been front and center for our team. Our investor day path forward is our North Star for 2026. As the industry begins to adapt to the fast-changing landscape, 2026 is all about timely execution of our plan, heavily focused on dispositions and maintaining a strong and flexible balance sheet, driving occupancy with intense leasing focus on vacant space, rollover space, and redevelopment and development space, and meeting the marketplace. We also plan to continue to significantly reduce CapEx. And with that, let me turn it over to Mark to highlight 4Q and 2025 briefly, and then we'll turn it over to everybody for questions since we had Investor Day less than 60 days ago, and we just reported yesterday. We'll try to make our comments brief. So, Mark?

speaker
Mark Benda
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Joel. This is Mark Benda, Chief Financial Officer. Good afternoon, everyone. First, a congratulations to the entire Alexandria team for that outstanding operational execution during the fourth quarter, including the completion of 1.5 billion of dispositions spread across 26 transactions and 1.2 million square feet of total leasing volume for the fourth quarter, which was the highest quarter in the last year. We are focused on taking all the seven steps to our path forward that we outlined at our recent investor day and are also included on page four of the press release. Our team continues to navigate a challenging macro industry and regulatory environment. Please refer to earnings release for our EPS results. FFO per share diluted as adjusted was $2.16 for 4Q25 and $9.01 for the year. which represents the midpoint of our prior guidance provided on our last quarterly call. Leasing volume for the quarter of 1.2 million square feet was up 14 percent over the prior four-quarter average and up 10 percent over the prior eight-quarter average. An important takeaway for the quarter is that the leasing of vacant space completed during the fourth quarter of 393,000 rentable square feet was almost double the quarterly average over the last five quarters. Free rent and rental rate changes on renewed and released space were under pressure this quarter, which reflects the market realities, and included two large deals, one in Canada and one in our Seminole Mesa sub-market. Lease terms for the quarter of just over seven and a half years were consistent with the prior three-year average of right around eight years. Occupancy at the end of 2025 was 90.9%. which was up 30 basis points from the prior quarter and was up 10 basis points over the midpoint of our prior guidance. In addition, we've signed leases of almost 900,000 rentable square feet or about 2.5% of the portfolio that are expected to commence in the third quarter of 2026 on average upon completion of construction and will generate incremental annual rental revenue of $52 million. It's important to emphasize that our asset quality, location, best-in-class operations, sponsorship, and brand trust continue to be a major distinguishing factor for tenants, as our mega-campuses, which represent about 78% of our annual rental revenue, outperform the total market occupancy in our largest three markets by 19% for occupancies. We reiterated our year-end 2026 occupancy range of 87.7 percent to 89.3 percent that was provided at our investor day this past December. A key takeaway on our outlook for 2026 is that we expect occupancy to dip in the first quarter of 2026, and we expect occupancy growth in the second half of 2026. The projected decline in occupancy for the first quarter is primarily driven by the 1.2 million square feet of key lease expirations with expected downtime that we highlighted on page 22 of our supplemental package, consistent with our outlook from Investor Day. We're making good progress across these spaces with 13% that's either lease negotiating, and we've identified prospects or in early negotiations on another approximately 40% of these spaces. Same property net operating income was down 6% and 1.7% on a cash basis for the fourth quarter and down 3.5% and up 0.9% on a cash basis for 2025. The results for the year were at or better than the guidance midpoint we provided on our last earnings call. The full year 2025 results were primarily driven by decline in occupancy, which occurred in early 2025, and the cash results had a boost from the burn off of free rent in the first half of 2025. We reiterated our outlook for same property performance for 2026 of down 8.5% at the midpoint of our guidance range, which is expected to be driven by lower occupancy. Despite the anticipated decline in occupancy in 1Q26 I previously mentioned, we continue to benefit from a very high quality tenant base with 53% of our annual rental revenue coming from investment grade or publicly traded large cap tenants, long remaining lease terms of seven and a half years, average rent steps approaching 3% on 97% of our leases, and strong adjusted EBITDA margins of 70% for the fourth quarter. We expect same property NOI performance to be weaker in the first half of 2026 driven by lower occupancy and stronger performance in the back half of 2026. Our guidance assumes the delivery of the nearly 900,000 square feet of signed leases commencing in the third quarter of 2026 on average as well as about a 2% to 3% assumed benefit from a range of assets that could be sold or designated as held for sale in the second half of 2026. We highlighted several considerations for the first quarter of 2026 on page 5 of our supplemental package, including the following three items that we expect to impact same property performance. the 1.2 million square feet of key lease expirations with expected downtime of which around 60% expired mid-January on average. Second, we terminated one lease for nearly 171,000 rentable square feet in South San Francisco and 4Q25 that had annual rental revenue of $11.4 million. And we are announcing that we released 100% of the space to a new tenant But the new lease isn't expected to commence until beginning in the second half of 2026. So there will be some additional temporary vacancy in the first half of 2026. And third, our guidance assumes a reduction of rent of approximately $6 million per quarter starting in the first quarter of 2026 related to potential tenant wind-downs. During 2025, we achieved tremendous general and administrative cost savings of $51.3 million. or 30% compared to the prior year. And our G&A cost as a percentage of NOI was about half the average for other S&P 500 REITs at 5.6% for 2025. As we've guided in the past, we expect those annual savings in 2026 relative to 2024 to be cut roughly in half given the temporary nature of some of the 2025 savings. We reiterated our guidance for capitalized interest for 2026 of $250 million, down 24% from 2025. With projects under construction and expected to generate significant NOI over the next few years, and other earlier-stage projects undergoing important entitlement design and site work necessary to be ready for future Roundup development, we were required to capitalize a portion of our gross interest costs. Part of our strategic path forward includes goals to reduce the size of our pipeline and construction spending needs and to substantially complete our large-scale non-core disposition plan in 2026. During December 2025, we sold or designated for health for sale projects with more than a billion dollars of basis that had previously been subject to interest capitalization. As a result, We expect a decline in capitalized interest headed into the first quarter of 2026, and we have a number of projects under construction where we are evaluating the business strategy and a number of future pipeline projects undergoing pre-construction activities with milestones in May 2026 on average. To the extent that we decide in the future to either pause or sell any of those projects, capitalization of interest and other costs would cease. While those ultimate decisions have not yet been made, we would like our disposition program for 2026 to include a significant component of land, which will also help us achieve one of our strategic objectives to significantly reduce the size of our land bank. During the fourth quarter, realized gains from our venture investments was $21 million, down from the approximate $32 million quarterly average for the preceding three quarters. For 2026, we reiterated our guidance range for realized investment gains of 60 to 90 million, or approximately 19 million per quarter at the midpoint. We continue to have one of the strongest balance sheets amongst all publicly traded U.S. REITs. Our corporate credit ratings continue to rank in the top 15% of all publicly traded U.S. REITs. We have tremendous liquidity of $5.3 billion, the longest average remaining debt maturity among all S&P 500 REITs at just over 12 years, and modest leverage of 5.7 times for net debt to adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter annualized. We reiterated our guidance range for 4Q26 net debt to annualized adjusted EBITDA of 5.6 to 6.2 times. While we remain on track to achieve our leverage goals for year-end 2026 leverage, we expect leverage in the first quarter of 2026 measured on a quarterly annualized basis to temporarily increase by 1 to 1.5 times higher, driven by a reduction in quarterly adjusted EBITDA. Please refer to page 5 of our supplemental package for detailed assumptions specific to the first quarter. We expect 1Q26 leverage to significantly improve over the balance of 2026 as we make progress on our dispositions and sales of partial interest. As we announced at our investor day, we sold one of our campuses in South San Francisco. We expect to sell two redevelopment projects in 2026, and we pivoted to office on one project in the Fenway. And these changes reduced our future funding needs by more than $300 million. In addition, we are evaluating the go-forward business strategy for four additional projects that are currently under construction and have significant remaining capital needs. Again, a huge congratulations to the Alexandria team for the tremendous execution during the fourth quarter with $1.5 billion of dispositions that completed across 26 different transactions, which allowed us to achieve our leverage target of 5.7 times for the fourth quarter. Over the course of 2025, we also made significant progress in reducing our investment in non-income producing assets as a percentage of gross assets from 20% at the end of 2024 to 17% at the end of 2025. And we expect that ratio to continue to decline by the end of 2026. In connection with our disposition program, we recognized our share of impairments of 1.45 billion in the fourth quarter. Five important items to highlight here. First, approximately 90% of that number was previously announced with our 8K on December 3rd, and the remaining 10% was primarily related to one land parcel located in Greater Boston, which was designated as held for sale later in December. Second, 50 to 60% of our share of the real estate impairments recognized in the fourth quarter was related to land. which is notable given the oversupply in numerous submarkets. Third, the two largest impairments comprised 37% of the total and included our future development project at 88 Bluxom Street in Soma, located in San Francisco, and our Gateway Campus in South San Francisco, which was owned through a consolidated joint venture. Fourth, We sold our interest in the Gateway Campus in South San Francisco in December. Ultimately, we decided to exit this investment given the challenging supply and demand dynamics in South San Francisco and the very significant capital required over time to redevelop the campus. And fifth, we expect to complete the sale of 88 Bluxom Street, our only asset located in SOMA, over the next few quarters. We originally acquired this site in 2017 with the intent to expand the Mission Bay cluster. However, Pinterest terminated their lease with us in 2020 and paid us an $89.5 million fee. And we ultimately decided the sale proceeds from this project would be better recycled into our mega campus platform and to address our current funding needs. We continue to focus on our discipline strategy to recycle capital from dispositions and partial interest sales to support our funding needs with a focus on the substantial completion of the large-scale non-core asset program in 2026. And we expect non-core assets and land to comprise around 65 to 75 percent of the $2.9 billion midpoint of our guidance for 2026 dispositions and sales of partial interest. We expect most of our dispositions and partial interest sales to close in the second, third, and fourth quarters with a weighted average closing date in the third quarter. In early December, our board also authorized a reload and extension of the common stock repurchase program of up to $500 million. And our guidance does not assume any common stock repurchase in 2026 based upon current market conditions. And lastly, We reaffirmed our guidance for 2026 FFO per share diluted as adjusted, as well as the key components of guidance. Now I'll turn it back to Joel.

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

So can we go to questions, operator, please?

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

At this time, we'll begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star and then one on your touchtone telephones. If you are using a speakerphone, we do ask that you please pick up the handset prior to pressing the keys to ensure the best sound quality. To withdraw your questions, you may press star and two at any time. Once again, that is star and then one to join the question queue. Our first question today comes from Pharrell Granoff from Bank of America. Please go ahead with your question.

speaker
Pharrell Granoff
Analyst, Bank of America

Hello. This is Pharrell Granoff. Thank you for taking my question. I wanted to start it off, I know that we spoke about a month ago, but just given the sustained and slightly up quarter-by-quarter leasing that you've seen, and recent commentary around better VC funding that we've seen in the broader biotech market, has that changed your outlook at all on expectations into 26, or are you at least receiving greater inbounds in terms of sentiment as people are potentially making more decisions?

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

Okay. Farrell, is your question aimed broadly at leasing, or is it aimed at, you know, venture-backed private? So I'm not sure how broad or narrow your question is.

speaker
Pharrell Granoff
Analyst, Bank of America

I want to just connect the dots between what we've seen as positive headlines for broader VC funding and how that may be connecting to leasing and sentiment towards leasing.

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

Okay, because that's one segment of a very broad market. So, Hallie, maybe take her through a little bit of, you know, venture and the private side, but then maybe overall.

speaker
Hallie
Leasing Executive

Yeah, thanks. And hi, Farrell. This is Hallie. As Joel mentioned, you know, when we think about VC dollars going into this industry, it's very much tied to a specific segment, our private biotechnology segment. And we have seen over the course of this year sustained funding. Numbers are similar, if not slightly higher, to the last couple years. This is money that is going into new companies. On the other hand, venture funds have raised the lowest amount of dollars in the last decade. So this is LPs investing in these funds. And so we have this kind of interesting dynamic going on here where it's certainly not back to a healthy, robust environment that we would fully like to see. And what we see that manifesting in is that VCs and these companies continue to be very conservative. So we certainly are seeing demand. Peter can talk to tours increasing. There are some great companies out there. I do think, by and large, decision-making is still taking longer, and companies are very cautious in terms of how they think about taking on new space or expanding. So while we're cautiously optimistic, we are monitoring it closely because we don't necessarily think that we're back to a fully robust environment that we may have been in in the past. More broadly speaking on headlines, the other big one is the XBI has certainly performed incredibly well over the past year, outperformed broader indices. As mentioned in the investor day, the majority of those companies are commercial or near commercial companies, which don't typically drive lab space needs. So we're not seeing the immediate translation of that activity to leasing. So all together, while we do feel that we're moving in the right direction in terms of positive sentiment, we still have a lot more work to do. There's still a lot of volatility on the regulatory and pricing side of things. And so we just continue to monitor and for the demand that is out in the market, meet the market and really capture our outsized share of leasing.

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

Yeah, let me put one footnote on that, Farrell. If you look at the pie chart of our leasing for the year and the fourth quarter, you'll see in the fourth quarter a notable, very small amount of leasing for public biotech. That's something that we're hoping turns around in 2026 because that's a critical mainstay of this industry, and much of that has to do with the lack of availability of secondary offerings except on data. or, you know, the lack of a real, robust, open IPO market. Okay.

speaker
Pharrell Granoff
Analyst, Bank of America

Thank you for the color on that. And I also wanted to ask about your strategy of retaining the Fenway office property and looking to lease as an office. Was that a one-off transaction that you're looking to maintain, or is that something that you could see doing across other properties as well?

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

Well, yeah, I'll have Peter comment on that. They have to remember that the Fenway is made up of multiple buildings. The one we're speaking about is, in fact, an office building and, in fact, has multiple long-term leases with some of the best institutions in LMA and the Fenway. And so, you know, sometimes you think about would you create lab space or other things. out of vacant space or stick with what makes sense. And the demand there we think is, you know, will on a go-forward basis be pretty good office-wise. But, Peter, do you want to comment on that, I think, 401?

speaker
Peter
Head of Leasing and Development

Yeah, I mean, I agree exactly with what you just said. We have seen an increase in demand for office space. And given the availability we have elsewhere in the Fenway for lab, it made more sense to just go ahead and follow a business plan to lease it as office and not create any more lab space in the near future.

speaker
Pharrell Granoff
Analyst, Bank of America

Okay, thank you very much.

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

Yeah, so that's more building and sub-market specific as opposed to something much broader.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And our next question comes from Ronald Camden from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead with your question.

speaker
Ronald Camden
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Hey, two quick ones. Just on starting with the dispositions, you know, I saw some of the cap rates on the stabilized assets and the supplemental, which was helpful. But as you're sort of thinking about that $2.9 billion, I appreciate a lot of it is going to be land, but any sort of commentary on You know cap rate trends sort of the interest price discovery how that's been going relative to your expectations. Thanks. Yeah.

speaker
Peter
Head of Leasing and Development

Yeah, Peter Yeah, I mean there's still going to be a considerable amount of non-core assets that we're selling and you know You've seen cap rates for those in the you know, mid sixes all the way up to the mid nines a lot has to do with what markets they're in how much leasing and or what the WALT is, you know, the lower the WALT, the higher the cap rate. We do plan on a couple of executions during the year that would involve more core assets, so you should be able to get more discovery on, you know, what our NAV could be for what we're holding onto. But I'm not going to speculate on those cap rates yet. We have talked in the past and mentioned at Investor Day that we do think our top end properties should have a five handle. And, you know, one or two of those types of properties could be involved in this execution, and we'll report on that when it happens.

speaker
Ronald Camden
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Great. Just my follow-up, I had sort of a similar question on the leasing chart, but maybe asking it a different way. Can you just comment on the leasing pipeline in terms of how it's rebuilt after the quarter? And if any sort of notable groups are in the pipeline or are not in the pipeline, that'd be helpful. Thanks.

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

Well, yeah, that's kind of secret sauce. I'm not sure I want to say much, but Peter, do you have any overall comments?

speaker
Peter
Head of Leasing and Development

Well, yeah, look, I... In practically all of our markets, the smaller spaces under 50,000 square feet are still what is moving. Most of the tours are in that range. There is, as Joel mentioned and Hallie mentioned, there is a bit of a dearth of biotech, public biotech type of companies, which are usually The middle of the barbell, 50 to 150,000 square feet. We're not seeing a lot of that, but we do have in certain markets some good activity in the 100,000 square foot plus range. So we're pleased to see that. But as Joel mentioned, we really need to see the public biotech sector contribute to the leasing pipeline in order for it to really start to turn around. There is some good green shoots. We're very cautiously optimistic, but one example is that the greater Boston region did see an 11% increase in tenants in the market, and that was really the first time we've seen an increase in the number of quarters. So we're happy to see that. and we'll keep you informed as we go.

speaker
Ronald Camden
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Really helpful. Thanks so much. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from John Kim from BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead with your question.

speaker
John Kim
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Thank you. I was wondering if you still felt comfortable with the previous guidance you gave for the fourth quarter 26 FFO of $1.40 to $1.60 stated at your investor day, and whether or not you believe this would represent trough earnings. I think in that presentation, you mentioned that earnings will be flattening out in the second half of the year, but there are some dispositions that looks like that's falling into the fourth quarter.

speaker
Moderator
Call Host

Yep. So, Mark? Yeah, hey, John.

speaker
Mark Benda
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, we're still tracking within that range that we gave for the fourth quarter of 26, which I think was $1.40 to $1.60. And that does represent kind of the trough for the year, at least for 2026.

speaker
John Kim
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

But as far as 27, I know you don't want to give guidance for that, but...

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

Yeah, we haven't and can't give guidance at this point for 27. But that was the point of saying that's a good run rate to think about as a base.

speaker
John Kim
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

And then can you comment on dispositions you've completed year-to-date and what you've planned for the year in terms of type of buyers you're talking to as far as owner users, other REITs, developers looking to convert some of that space potentially, or other buyers?

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

Yeah, so maybe, Mark, do you want to just talk about the percentages of dispositions through the year and then maybe ask Peter to comment on the you know, buyer pool?

speaker
Mark Benda
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, sure. Yeah, the mix of dispositions was pretty consistent with what we kind of set out at Investor Day. So about 20% stabilized, you know, 21% land and then 59% non-stabilized. So, I mean, the biggest, obviously the biggest pot or portion was the non-stabilized properties, which is going to attract a certain type of buyer. Maybe I'll hand it over to Peter to give a little bit more time.

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

Yeah, before you do, talk about timing quarter by quarter because I think that's… Oh, sure.

speaker
Mark Benda
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, yeah. So, as we look forward to 2026, we've got, you know, we've got, you know, just under 200 million of stuff that we're… No, under contract or under PSA negotiations, we've got about 580 million of assets on balance sheet today that have been designated as held for sale. And so I think that the first quarter closings will be, you know, pretty small. We expect the bulk of the closings to occur over 2Q, 3Q, 4Q. And again, I think if you, on a weighted average basis, it's probably closer to third quarter as a kind of a blended average for the closings for 2026. Yeah, thanks.

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

Yeah, Peter?

speaker
Peter
Head of Leasing and Development

Yeah. So on our guidance page, we did indicate that we've got about 180 million under contract or in negotiations that we expect to close in the near term. That's essentially three assets. One is a portfolio that is being purchased by what we would classify as an investment fund. Investment fund um, buyers have been our fourth largest over the last couple of years, um, taking down about 12 to 15% of our, um, of our inventory that that's the, an investment fund is someone who's, who's buying it to hold a longterm, um, and, uh, is usually private capital. Um, the other two assets are residential, uh, conversions, their land or assets that are at the end of their useful life that will be demolished and turned into a residential type of use. And that was another one of our largest segments of buyers last year. And we anticipate that will continue this year. more than 55% of our available land is either zoned or could have an allowable residential use. and is in urban environments that could use the housing. So we expect that out of the $2.9 billion midpoint this year, as Mark said, there'll be a considerable amount of land, 25% to 35%. And we do expect the majority of that to go to residential developers. But there has not been a problem getting assets sold. There's a number of buyers. The biggest issue is just the yields that these buyers are looking for. And that has created some impairments. But the good news is when we need to get things sold, we do. And we fully are confident we'll do the same thing this year, even though it's a larger amount that we have to execute on. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And our next question comes from Vikram Malhotra from Mizuho. Please go ahead with your question.

speaker
Vikram Malhotra
Analyst, Mizuho Securities

Morning. I just wanted to clarify kind of the earnings, I guess, trajectory through the year. You know, with the, you know, the vacancies or the move-outs you mentioned, you know, some of the fees, et cetera, one-time items in 4Q25. I'm just wondering sort of the cadence that you showed at Invest Today. trending down to that 140 to 160, is that cadence still intact?

speaker
Moderator
Call Host

Yeah. Hi, Vikram.

speaker
Mark Benda
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, we still expect the fourth quarter to kind of be the low point in earnings for the year, for 2026. We did, you know, I think there was some question around, you know, where the first quarter goes and how steep of a decline that is. um coming off you know the fourth quarter and so we tried to give a lot of color about the components that go in there but the general trajectory that you know fourth quarter things will even out in the back half of the year um and the fourth quarter being in that dollar 40 to dollar 60 range still still holds okay great and then i guess maybe joel or or haley if um

speaker
Vikram Malhotra
Analyst, Mizuho Securities

You know, from a broader perspective, I understand, like, it takes a while for all the changes on the macro front to translate to leasing, but I don't know if you've had any, like, recent conversations with FDA officials or any larger VCs in terms of the shifts that you may be hearing as a precursor to new company formation and hopefully then leasing down the pike. So maybe it's going to update us on any thoughts around the FDA and, like, early-stage CVs AB-type funding.

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

Yeah, so maybe let me make a couple of comments and ask Callie to fill in the blanks. So I think it's fair to say that the FDA commissioner has been active. He's out a lot. He's certainly trying to head in the right direction and do the right things given speed of approvals, looking at trying to get products into the clinic much quicker. than otherwise remember we talked about it investor day the things that the market really wants to see is a substantial compression of the 10 to 12 year billion dollar plus cycle of bringing up you know a compound from discovery to the market and He's I think very much focused on that now have defections Doge firings, you know resignations and all that stuff at the FDA, how much does that practically impede the ability of the agency to do what they want to do, which I think they've got their mindset in the right place, I think is a big question for this year. Last year, they did end up approvals at 46, which was a very, very respectable number, but a lot of that was in the pipeline. This year is going to be a much more telling result. But, Hallie, other thoughts, comments?

speaker
Hallie
Leasing Executive

Sure. So maybe, Vikram, to take a step back on this question as it continues to come up, on page 21 of the SUP, we break out our leasing volume by business type, both for the fourth quarter and for the full year, 25. And if you look at private biotechnology, you know, in the last quarter, it made up about fifth of all leasing volume. So to be clear, we still continue to see demand from this segment. Whether that's going to pick up and how long that takes, I wish we could give you a specific timeframe. These things take a while, right? And I think generally we need a lot more confidence in terms of the broader landscape, being able to return capital to LPs, the IPO window opening up, which is a really important source of capital for private companies. But where we've really seen the drop-off, as Joel mentioned, is in that public biotechnology cohort. So in terms of overall impact to our leasing going forward, We think that segment in particular is critical, and we are seeing some demand out there from some really good companies. They still are tending to be more capital conservative, more commercial, near commercial, and without that next bolus of new companies that are IPOing that tend to be earlier stage, they still seem to be on the back burner right now. At JPMorgan, you know, there was a lot of, I would say, positive sentiment around the potential for some really strong companies to go public and raise capital. We haven't seen that yet, but that is really top of mind as we think about the next, you know, I would say 12 to 18 months.

speaker
Vikram Malhotra
Analyst, Mizuho Securities

Okay, great. And then can I just clarify, like, the new leasing was really good this quarter, and hopefully the pipeline supports sort of that continuation, but Where are we today in terms of incentive packages, TIs, free rents to achieve that leasing? And I ask just because there have been a couple of leases in, say, South San Francisco where we've heard very big TI numbers. So I'm just wondering if you can give us a bit more granular color on the TI and free rents. Thanks.

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

Yeah. Peter?

speaker
Peter
Head of Leasing and Development

Yeah. I mean, tenant improvements haven't changed. They're still elevated for or anything that's from shell, um, it's gotta really be, it's either you get an allowance to build the whole thing out or you have to spec build it. So on renewals and, uh, releasing, um, the TIs are, are also, you know, stable. Um, the fact that the space is already built out, uh, and the fact that people tend not to change much in, in the generic labs that we build, um, it's, that's an advantage to us. Um, So really where we continue to see weakening in fundamentals is in the free rent category, and it's continued to elevate. We did have a couple of leases this quarter that really had significant amount of free rent in order to win the deal. And, you know, Joel mentioned in his comments that, you know, we're meeting the market. It's in our best interest to meet the market, but keep rental rates as stable as possible because as free rent burns off, then you get the income that you can build upon and hopefully the next generation of leasing, you can increase it from there. When you start taking rents down, then you're starting to destruct value. Alexandria and others that are competing in the market, free rent is the tool that we're using. Tenants really appreciate it because obviously it's good for their cash flow. And as long as we continue to have availability in the mid-20s to low-30s in the major markets, you know, free rent is going to be the tool that people need to use in order to execute on deals. But outside of that, we are pretty happy to see that rental rates are stable, in certain cases growing, and we just got to get the net effectives to improve. But that'll take a decrease in supply over time in order to start seeing that.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from Jim Kammer from Evercore. Please go ahead with your question.

speaker
Jim Kammer
Analyst, Evercore ISI

Thank you very much. Just trying to triangulate on Peter and Hallie's comments regarding the public biotech. Is there any concern? I mean, you said they're both, you know, critical to sort of kick-starting demand again. But is it possible that some of these public biotechs, even if they raise more capital, already have sufficient space? Or do you really think there's, you know, expansion space need there?

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

Well, yeah, let me maybe give you an overarching comment, Jim. I think, number one, historically public biotech has been the mainstay of, I mean, the broader industry is obviously, you know, institutional pharma, product, tools, services, all that. But, you know, when you get to biotech itself, the public market has been the mainstay of this industry going back 50 years this year to Genentech. and one would assume that it would continue to be the mainstay, and it's made up of really three things. One, you get a good start at the venture level, you can get public through an IPO window that's reasonable, and you can continue to finance the company even if you don't have immediately actionable data. That's how it's worked over the last several decades, and that's what we're hoping to see a return to. In any given case, it's hard to say. Some will need more space. Some will need less space. Some will be able to keep the same. But I don't know. Hallie, thoughts there?

speaker
Hallie
Leasing Executive

Yeah, Jim, I think that is in a way what we have been seeing. If you look at the XBI this past year and follow-on financings, which on an absolute numbers basis have been pretty strong, most of those have been for particularly commercial stage companies. which is great in terms of sentiment for the industry, but these are by and large not companies that are driving a lot of R&D expansion. So to Joel's point, we need to see that earlier funnel fill up. We need to see the venture stage companies go public, gain more liquidity, expand their investor base. those are more likely at that stage to drive additional R&D needs, which is what we've seen historically. I think Peter did mention we have seen some requirements hit the market. Things take a while. But not to say that, you know, it's a complete desert. But, you know, it is farther and fewer between than it has been in years past.

speaker
Jim Kammer
Analyst, Evercore ISI

That's a great color. And then one quick clarification. Peter, you also, I think, said that – It's possible you might see a five handle on some of the core asset capital recycling in 26. Would that be potentially, I mean, if it happens on a JV, or would that also be for an outright sale? I'm just trying to think about NAV implications, sale versus JV.

speaker
Peter
Head of Leasing and Development

Thank you. Yeah, very likely a JV. That would happen. We are not planning on selling any core assets outright unless – there's a special situation.

speaker
Jim Kammer
Analyst, Evercore ISI

Great. Thank you all.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from Ray Xiong from JP Morgan. Please go ahead with your question.

speaker
Ray Xiong
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Hi. Thank you for taking my question. My first one is on the capital allocation side. It seems like you guys did above midpoint of the guidance on DISPO this year. And you guys, I think Mark mentioned buyback is still not on the table at this point, but with the excess cash, is the thinking that the priority is on the debt side, or how should we think about that? And when would buyback be on the table with the excess cash?

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

Yeah, so Mark?

speaker
Moderator
Call Host

Yeah, hi, Ray.

speaker
Mark Benda
Chief Financial Officer

I think in terms of the buyback, we'd like to get farther along on the disposition program, which is going to involve paying down debt to keep the balance sheet in check before we consider buybacks. Now, I say that given the current market conditions and we'll remain flexible, but as we sit here today, that's kind of our current thinking.

speaker
Ray Xiong
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Got it. And a follow-up question on uses of funding then. You guys disclosed how much you historically spend on the non-real estate investments in the K. If I'm looking at it correctly, I think between $200 to $250 a year. How should we think about that moving forward? Yeah, any help on that front would be appreciated. Thank you.

speaker
Mark Benda
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, sure. So we really look at the fund kind of net of the inflows and outflows. So I think if you look If you look at the cash that came in, it was, you know, maybe a net outflow of somewhere between 60 to 70 million for the year. And that's been, I mean, I think it was a similar number in the prior year. So I think, you know, we'd like to see that the fund be, you know, as close to neutral as possible so that we're, you know, we're not putting a ton of capital in there, but still continuing to be very active in the space.

speaker
Ray Xiong
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Got it. So the net will, you know, the expectation is hopefully gets to a net neutral on that front.

speaker
Mark Benda
Chief Financial Officer

That's right. Or at least a small number. Like I said, it's been 60 to 70 million the last couple of years.

speaker
Ray Xiong
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Got it. Thank you so much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And our next question comes from Rich Anderson from Cancer Fitzgerald. Please go ahead with your question.

speaker
Rich Anderson
Analyst, Cantor Fitzgerald

Hey, thanks. And still good morning out there. You know, the The elephant in the room is, I guess, stocks up 20% this year, which is great, or 19%. And yet, you know, it still feels like pricing power is quite a ways off still with everything that's going on. Do you have any sense, you know, on the people that you're talking to, you know, a different type of investor that's showing interest in the stock? Do you think it's just pure rotation, people sort of profit-taking, looking for a bottom in life science? Do you have any sense of what's driving that? stock performance so far this year?

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

Well, I think it's all of the above, and I think it's pretty clear that the slide that we showed at Investor Day, when you looked at stock price versus consensus NAV, certainly tells the story in many respects. I think if one believes in this industry, you know, 50 years after Genentech was founded this year, back in 1976, Again, we've only addressed 10% of diseases, 90% are left, and if the public is willing to pay for therapies and addressable cures, to the extent we can have that, one has to believe the industry has a promising future. We are making some we're slipping back, as I said, when you look at some of the vaccine policy stuff, which is a little distressing to a lot of people. But I think if you set that kind of mentality aside and you look at what the FDA is trying to do, I think they're trying to do exactly the right thing to compress the time to go from discovery into the clinic, through the clinic, and out of the clinic into the commercial side. and assuming the policy makers and executive and legislative branches don't get too crazy to pay a fair return on, you know, on these innovative therapies. I mean, just look at anybody who's been the beneficiary of, you know, any real therapy that saved somebody's life and made that more a, you know, Ongoing chronic condition as opposed to you know life life-threatening if you will I Think that's where the great promise is here rich and You know, so I think that you know and you look at our locations quality of assets quality of sponsorship I mean, it's not surprising that the sell-off, you know after the third quarter was I think pretty radical and

speaker
Rich Anderson
Analyst, Cantor Fitzgerald

But those are all good color, but do you think you're attracting a different investor? Do you think you're attracting a non-REIT investor, a biotech investor, a generalist investor to the name?

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

I think the nature of investors change over time. I mean, think about when we went public. There are a lot of long-term investors today. There's very few long-term investors, a lot of ETF investors, but there's a large cohort of value-driven investors that don't look at, you know, quarterly, day-to-day, monthly, year-to-year earnings. They look at, you know, quality of assets, generating quality of cash flows, obviously people interested in the industry. So I think it's a whole, you know, a whole bunch of sets of different interests that have come to bear because the sell-off just was, you know, I think foolishness.

speaker
Rich Anderson
Analyst, Cantor Fitzgerald

I thought Haley was going to jump in there, but maybe I misheard that. So, okay.

speaker
Hallie
Leasing Executive

No problem. Keep going.

speaker
Rich Anderson
Analyst, Cantor Fitzgerald

Bill covered it really well. Okay, perfect. Okay, second question for me is, let's say, you know, your development exposure as a percentage, just to use a simple way of looking at it, percentage of total assets goes from 20%-ish to 15% this year. I'm assuming that that's sort of a step in the process. And I'm curious, Joel, Peter, whoever, you know, what do you think the appropriate run rate, you know, is for development exposure, you know, financing risk, need to access capital, all those things. Like what is new Alexandria going to look like from a development exposure point of view, call it two, three years from now in your mind?

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

Yeah, I think we kind of articulated that at Investor Day, and there's a slide there that talked about we think we don't know precisely because we're still in a, I think a, how shall I say, you know, a phase of trying to get used to a new reality with the industry. But I think we've hypothesized that we think, you know, 10%, you know, somewhere 10 plus percent as a percentage of non-productive or, you know, non-income reducing land as a percentage of overall gross assets is probably where we want to be very different than GFC where, you know, there were no supply issues. The prospects, you know, were kind of unlimited because there was no supply constraint issue over supply issue, if you will. So, I think this is just a new reality. But, you know, we've got great opportunities many or most of our mega campuses. And so those will be the instruments of future development and, you know, external growth. And we're excited about that. And, you know, there isn't just biotech. There is a whole host of other interested parties, both in our current pie charts and pie charts beyond that view those locations as, you know, top of mind. Yeah. Okay, great. Thanks very much. Yep, thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from Seth Berge from Citi. Please go ahead with your question.

speaker
Nick Joseph
Analyst, Citigroup

Thanks. It's Nick Joseph here with Seth. I guess last month at the Investor Day, you talked about a four- to five-year recovery for life science broadly, and I recognize it's only been about two months, but you've been busy over those two months. So has anything changed that timeline, either moving it up or delaying it from what you've seen?

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

Yeah, so that's actually – I'm glad you teed this up because Peter, I think, addressed this, but a lot of people came away reporting it a little bit unclear. And he basically said that he thought that the timeframe for recovery in our markets where we were, you know, very active would be in the two- to three-year range and that it may be as much as four to five. in sub markets where we were not particularly involved or active, but Peter, you want to comment on that?

speaker
Peter
Head of Leasing and Development

Yeah. Thanks for clarifying that. Exactly. Like, you know, if you look at greater Boston, for example, there's a significant amount of inventory in an area like Somerville and other tertiary areas and, you know, ale wife that where we're not at, which that's where we think that, it's going to take four to five years for that to resolve. But, you know, Cambridge and Watertown, Seaport, where we're heavily invested, that's probably more like two to three years and maybe even less, depending on the trend of, you know, a lot of people are starting to to realize that they should probably go a different path in life science. And, you know, we're hoping to continue to see that. So if we, you know, obviously demand is going to be needed to take a lot of the lab space, but as a lot of it decides to change use that, you know, even that four to five estimate could be reduced. But Joel's exactly on point. four to five years for the areas that are the new markets that really didn't ever need to be lab markets. Those will need a long time to resolve because it's not going to get resolved through lab demand. It's going to get resolved by changing use. But the lab markets that we're in that have been functional lab markets for decades, there has been some oversupply, and it'll take two to three years for that to resolve.

speaker
Nick Joseph
Analyst, Citigroup

That's very helpful. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from Tayo Okasanya from Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead with your question.

speaker
Tayo Okasanya
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Yes, good afternoon out there. In terms of the guidance, you talked a little bit about, you know, about $6 million and a quarter revenue headwinds from tenant wind down. Could you talk a little bit just about what's happening with that pool of tenants? Is it just they're not, they didn't get, you know, their drug trials, you know, failed or they run out of cash or just kind of thematically what's happening with that group? Just kind of understand what that headwind is.

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

Yeah, so I'll ask Mark to comment there, but I would say in this environment over the last handful of years, again, you know, we're in the fifth year of a bear market, hopefully turning that around. And when you find that happening, obviously, more companies at the earlier stage or less companies are formed and more companies may be wound down. Some companies, you know, merged in the public markets. The bankers certainly during the heyday of the last decade let too many companies go public. So, you know, there has been a shakeout there over the last handful of years of companies that probably shouldn't have gone public. So this is a natural outgrowth of that, given, you know, where we are today. But, Mark, you could comment more specifically.

speaker
Mark Benda
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, the thing I would add is it's public and private biotech comprises the majority of it for the reasons that Joel and Hallie have mentioned and You know, some of it is kind of, you know, failure in their clinical milestones, which is normal in any market that will happen, but a lot of it is also ability to attract capital and just the kind of shorter runway that investors have given these companies that has caused part of the issue.

speaker
Tayo Okasanya
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Gotcha. That's helpful. And if I may ask one more, the four development assets that – they're still under strategic evaluation. Does it all basically boil down to just leasing around those assets to determine whether you kind of proceed or you go through strategic alternatives?

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

No, I think it's much more granular than that. It's what is the prospect broadly in the sub-market, the nature of the asset, you know, any competitive product that we may have with that asset. I mean, there's a whole set of variability or analysis that you go through. Leasing is clearly important, but it's not the sole determinant. Gotcha. Thank you very much. All the best.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from Michael Carroll from RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead with your question.

speaker
Michael Carroll
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Yeah, thanks. Joel or Peter, can you guys provide some color on the 400,000 square feet of leases that were signed at previously vacant space? I mean, I would imagine a good chunk of that relates to the backfill at 259 East Grand Avenue. I guess if that's true, where were the other leases signed within that bucket?

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

Yeah, Peter, I don't know if you want to give any color there.

speaker
Peter
Head of Leasing and Development

I don't have the specific leases, but you are right that a significant amount of leasing was done at East Grand. I will say that one thing that we were asked about and did some investigation on is that a significant amount of that leasing was absolute new tenancy, not you know, tenants relocating from one place to another, but new tenants actually coming in into our portfolio, which we really love to see.

speaker
Hallie
Leasing Executive

This is Hallie. I do have that list in front of me. And so just to say, you know, it was a pretty diverse from a regional perspective, you know, leasing in, you know, Cambridge, we have RT, Seattle, some in San Francisco. So, you know, in terms of just generally seeing positive momentum backfilling that vacant space across the board, we think that diversity across the regions is healthy.

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

Yeah, and broader base than you might otherwise guess.

speaker
Michael Carroll
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Is there any common themes on why those tenants were willing to leave space, I guess, today in the fourth quarter?

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

Yes, because we're great sponsors. Do they have, like, funding agreements where they just got funding, or is there... You know, it's so... Yeah, Mike, it's so episodical in a sense because, you know, if a company hits a clinical milestone, a data milestone, and they need to do something, I mean, that's... I mean, we've seen that with a couple of companies where they've doubled their space just on that one event. So it is very episodically driven, and, you know, I'm not sure I'd read anything into... you know, was the fourth quarter substantially different than the second quarter, you know, vis-a-vis leasing trends because it tends to be very case specific.

speaker
Michael Carroll
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay, great. That's helpful. Then just one last one for me. On 401 Park, and I think I caught this earlier in the call, I just wanted to confirm and make sure I'm right. It's not necessarily that you have office tenants ready to lease that space. I don't know what type of interest. It's just that you had lab space available in that marketplace and you didn't need to decide, okay, we have this building that could be lab or could be office. Let's kind of diversify our approach and kind of go office with this specific property. Is that the right way to think about it? Or is there Like a vibrant office market ready for that asset.

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

Yeah, I think that is the answer. It's an iconic office building that's been known for a long time. The mainstay is primarily anchor Boston institutions, brand names that you would know that have very, very specific, you know, uses there, some are pure office, some are, you know, more clinical-like or whatever, but in fundamental, this is part of and kind of adjacent to the LMA, Longwood Medical Center, so this is a big, big market for, you know, those institutions and their office and other adjacent, you know, or other kinds of uses other than, say, traditional wet lab space. So it's not so much that it's a hard call. The call was, given the NIH's move on the 15 percent limitation on indirect costs, in a variety of ways, we saw a big decline of demand and immediate decision-making by a lot of medical institutions, and we've seen that across the country. You know, we did put in the SUP there is a court decision that has overruled that. That may start to move institutions in a different direction, but at some point institutions still need to get space, and both Fenway and the LMA are the best locations for that. So it actually is a pretty easy decision.

speaker
Michael Carroll
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay, great. Thank you. I appreciate it.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And our final question today comes from Mason Gill from Baird. Please go ahead with your question.

speaker
Mason Gill
Analyst, Robert W. Baird

Hi, everyone. Thanks for the time. You had previously talked about San Carlos, San Bruno, Seattle, and Campus Point as megacampuses with large shadow pipelines and that you may look to reevaluate some of these in the future. Do you have any updates or do you expect to have any updates on any of these over the next few quarters?

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

You're talking about the expansions? Yeah, I think those are all under pretty deep study in each market, and probably at this point don't want to get into that, but we clearly are looking to reduce our non-income producing assets, as we've said, as a percentage of the gross assets, and where we can carve off you know, land that we have for other uses or move into a monetization path at a much faster rate, we're trying to do that. And so I would say stay tuned there, certainly for the Bay Area ones and Seattle.

speaker
Mason Gill
Analyst, Robert W. Baird

Great.

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

That's it for me.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And, ladies and gentlemen, with that, we'll be concluding today's question and answer session. I'd like to turn the floor back over to Joel Marcus for closing remarks.

speaker
Joel Marcus
Executive Chairman and Founder

Okay. Well, thank you, everybody. We appreciate it and look forward to talking to everybody next quarter. Thank you and stay safe.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And with that, ladies and gentlemen, we'll conclude today's conference call and presentation. We thank you for joining. You may now disconnect your lines.

Disclaimer

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