Avista Corporation

Q2 2024 Earnings Conference Call

8/7/2024

spk04: Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Avista Corporation Q2 2024 earnings conference call. At this time, our participants are in listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during this session, you will need to press star 1 1 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star 1 1 again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Stacey Wentz, Investor Relations Manager. Please go ahead.
spk06: Good morning. Welcome to Avista's second quarter 2024 earnings conference call. Our earnings and second quarter Form 10-Q were released pre-market this morning. You can find both on our website. Joining me this morning are Avista Corp CEO, Dennis Vermillion, President and COO, Heather Rosentrader, Senior Vice President, CFO, Treasurer and Regulatory Affairs Officer, Kevin Christie, and Vice President, Controller and Principal Accounting Officer, Ryan Crassel. Today, we will make certain statements that are forward-looking. These involve assumptions, risks, and uncertainties which are subject to change. Various factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the expectations we discussed in today's call. Please refer to our Form 10-K for 2023 and our Form 10-Q for the second quarter of 2024, which are available on our website for a full discussion of these risk factors. I'll begin with a recap of the financial results presented in today's press release. Our consolidated earnings for the second quarter of 2024 were $0.29 for diluted share compared to $0.23 for the second quarter of 2023. Year-to-date, consolidated earnings were $1.20 for diluted share compared to $0.96 last year. Now, I'll turn the call over to Dennis.
spk01: Well, thanks, Stacey, and good morning, everyone. Wherever you're listening to this call, I sure hope you're having a good summer. It's certainly been a warm one around here recently. For the second quarter, Avista Utilities delivered earnings in line with our expectations. Our financial results for the quarter and the year and year to date speak to our core strength, our utility operations. Because of the work we do every day, we're positioned well to deliver on our commitments to our customers and our shareholders. We're making the right investments in our infrastructure to enhance reliability. We're mitigating risk through execution of our wildfire mitigation plan. And we're keeping our focus on achieving our clean energy goals. And Heather's going to have some more on these in a moment. In June, we celebrated the 40th anniversary of our Kettle Falls Biomass Generating Station. This award-winning power plant produces energy from wood waste. When we brought the facility online, it was the first utility-owned generating station of its kind in the United States. The Kettle Falls facility embodies our innovative spirit and our commitment to stewardship of the environment while contributing to our mission of providing reliable, affordable energy. It's a showcase of the exceptional partnerships established four decades ago between Avista, the timber industry, and the communities we serve. Around the same time as Kettle Falls, Coal Strip, the coal-fired generating plant in eastern Montana, was brought online. And in 2023, as you know, we entered into an agreement to transfer our interest in the plant to Northwestern. We hand over the keys to Northwestern, so to speak, at midnight on December 31, 2025, and that transaction remains on track in light of the recent deal between Puget Sound Energy and Northwestern. Coal Strip's exit from our generation portfolio is included in our ongoing Washington general rate case, one of the many important considerations impacting power supply costs through the proposed rate effective period. And Kevin will have a bit more on power supply in his portion of the call. We continue to be on track to meet our consolidated earnings targets for 2024. I'm proud of the diligence of our team as we work to achieve these results. Today we are confirming our consolidated earnings guidance of $2.36 to $2.56 per diluted share for 2024. Now I'll turn the call over to Heather.
spk08: Thank you, Dennis. I look forward to sharing some updates about our operations. As Dennis said, I hope everyone is enjoying the summer. It's definitely been warm and dry out here. In fact, July was the hottest month on record for the Spokane area and many other locations nearby. We set a record for having 20 straight days above 90 degrees. The fact that it's been hot and dry underscores the importance of our wildfire mitigation efforts. We're making great progress towards this year's goals for grid hardening and vegetation management, as well as completing our survey of 100% of identified risk trees, something we do every year. We're leveraging our fire weather dashboard to implement progressively more sensitive levels of fire safety mode as weather conditions warrant. And again, if extreme conditions are forecasted, we have the systems in place to implement a public safety power shutoff as a tool of last resort. We're prepared and we're making great progress. Our risk mitigation and proactive operations are just two prongs of our strategy to address wildfire risk. Legislative support is also critical. In both Washington and Idaho, we expect to advance legislation addressing wildfire risk in the upcoming legislative sessions. I'm happy to share that our system performed well during the recent heat wave. The investments we've made in our grid since 2021's heat dome event helped us to ensure strong and stable performance of our system throughout the prolonged heat. Whether we're talking about periods of extreme cold like we experienced in January, or the extreme heat in our region this last month, these weather events are happening more often in both winter and summer. These events have resulted in higher peak demand on our system than previously forecasted and demonstrate the growing need for additional generation on our system and throughout the Pacific Northwest. We're committed to meeting the growing energy needs of our customers, and I'm excited about the opportunities that we have. Taking these higher system peaks into account, we're in the process of developing our next integrated resource plan, or IRP. We shared the first draft of our preferred resource strategy in July and expect to finalize our IRP in January 2025. We're continuing to work through the planning process, and I'd like to share a few of the highlights we've identified so far. As clean energy projects are constructed, transmission is needed to move that energy around. We, along with other utilities in the area, are in conversation with Grid United regarding part ownership of the planned transmission line connecting North Dakota to Coal Strip, Montana. We already own transmission from Coal Strip into our service territory, and we designed our Coal Strip exit to keep these transmission rights. Our draft preferred resource strategy identifies this line as a key transmission opportunity. In addition to transmission capacity requirements beginning in 2030, new renewable resources will be needed as early as 2029 to ensure we can continue to meet our customers' needs with low-cost renewable energy. We expect to begin a request for proposal process shortly after finalizing our integrated resource plan in January of 2025. As part of that request for proposal, we expect to include ownership options through self-build and build transfer options. And with that, I'll turn it over to Kevin for a discussion of the financial results.
spk00: Thank you, Heather. I want to begin by reinforcing what Dennis said earlier. Our earnings are on track. Both on a consolidated basis and at Avista Utilities, our second quarter 2024 earnings increased compared to the second quarter of 2023. At Avista Utilities, our utility margin increased due to the effects of our general rate cases. In the second quarter, we recognized a pre-tax benefit up $1.3 million under the energy recovery mechanism, and as a result, our year-to-date position improved to a $4.7 million pre-tax expense. Despite this, we still anticipate ending the year in the 90% customer, 10% company sharing ban with a negative impact on earnings of $0.07 per diluted share. Last quarter, we mentioned we were in the process of finalizing agreements with a new large electric customer. Effective August 1, we began serving this customer. We continue to expect this load to offset higher power supply costs in 2024. AEL&P's results for the second quarter were also right in line with our expectations. At our other businesses, we recognized a 3 cent loss per diluted share due to the result of periodic market valuations within our portfolio of investments. These investments create opportunities for learning contribute to economic development within our service territory, and help propel us toward energy innovation and the transformation necessary for meeting our strategic goals. Turning to the regulatory front, we are currently working through our general rate cases in Washington, which we filed earlier this year. In response to our testimony, the parties to our proceeding filed their first round of testimony in early July. We will file rebuttal testimony in mid-August, responding to the parties and updating our case accordingly. In addition, all parties met in May and July to see if we could settle some or all of the issues. After good faith negotiations by all parties, we simply were not able to reach terms. After reviewing the positions of the parties, we believe that our case on rebuttal should be supported by the Commission. The two-day hearing before the Commission will start on September 30, and we expect an order in mid-December. As a reminder, we expect to file our next general rate case in Oregon in the fourth quarter this year, and our next general rate case in Idaho in the first quarter of 2025. We are committed to investing the necessary capital in our utility infrastructure. Capital expenditures at Avista Utilities We're 245 million in the first half of 2024. Our planned capital expenditures are 500 million for the year. This investment ensures we can continue to support customer growth and maintain our system to provide safe, reliable energy to our customers. We expect capital expenditures at AEL&P to be 21 million and investments at our other businesses to be about 11 million in 2024. On the liquidity front, as of June 30, we had 251 million of available liquidity under our committed line of credit and 44 million available under our letter of credit facility. We expect to issue approximately 70 million of common stock in 2024 to fund our capital spending. Through June 30, we issued 17.6 million of common stock. In April, we remarketed 84 million of tax-exempt bonds and we do not expect to issue additional long-term debt in 2024. We are confirming our earnings guidance for 2024 with a consolidated range of $2.36 to $2.56 per diluted share. We expect the VISTA utilities to contribute within a range of $2.23 to $2.39 per diluted share. As mentioned previously, we expect the impact of the energy recovery mechanism on the full year for 2024 to be a negative 7 cents per diluted share in the 90% customer, 10% company sharing band. As also previously mentioned, we expect the impact of the new customer to offset substantially all of the forecast impact higher power supply costs in 2024. Our guidance for Avista utilities in 2024 reflects unrecovered structural costs which we estimate will reduce the return on equity by 70 basis points. We expect the continuing effect of regulatory timing lag will further reduce our return on equity by 60 basis points for the year. This results in an expected return on equity at Avista Utilities of 8.1% in 2024. We also expect AEL&P to contribute in the range of 9 cents to 11 cents per diluted share as we move through the remainder of the year we expect to see improvement in the private equity markets, and as a result, we continue to expect our other businesses to contribute in the range of four to six cents per diluted share in 2024. Assuming a constructive outcome in our 2024 general rate case filings, we expect our earnings to grow over the long term in the range of four to six percent from a 2025 base year. Now we'll be happy to take your questions.
spk04: Thank you. At this time, we will conduct a question and answer session. As a reminder, to ask a question, you will need to press star 1-1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star 1-1 again.
spk03: Please stand by while I compile the Q&A roster. Our first question comes from Julian Doolin-Smith from Jefferies.
spk04: Please go ahead.
spk05: Hi, it's actually Brian Russo on for Julian. Good morning.
spk03: Hi, Brian.
spk05: Hi, Brian. Hey, just the commentary on the regional transmission and the Grid United North Plains connector. Where are you in that discussion process? Should we expect any sort of MOU soon? It's a very large project. I think it's $3.2 billion. dollars. I actually received the DOE grant the other day. Any thoughts on what your ownership structure might look like?
spk08: Yeah, we're working through that right now. So we're working with the other utilities that are in conversations with them. And as I noted, it fits well with our plans that are identified in our integrated resource plan, and so we think it's very promising in terms of us being a part of it, and we're just continuing those conversations.
spk05: Okay, great. And then just on the Washington rate cases, has the settlement window closed, or can you still meet with interveners and interested parties ahead of the hearings?
spk00: Thanks for the question, Brian. Well, the window certainly hasn't closed. We could continue to have some dialogue as we move towards filing our rebuttal case, but I will tell you that it seems unlikely at this point in time, given how close we are to filing that rebuttal. If after that rebuttal the parties and the company become more engaged or potentially become more engaged, of course, we'll jump into those discussions. We'll let you know if something comes of it.
spk05: Okay, great. And then lastly, the previously disclosed large electric customer, right, that's offsetting the $0.07 of IRM expense, I assume that's about $5 million in margin. Is that outside of this rate case? So you retain that margin in the future or at least, you know, through 2025 or even 2026, depending on the outcome of this rate case? Is that how we should look at it?
spk00: Well, certainly it's incremental revenue for this year. And then, as you know, with the rate case timing and the fact that power supply is a very significant part of that case, that'll get pulled into and be considered part of the overall power supply outcome.
spk03: Okay, got it. Understood. Thank you very much. Thanks, Brian. Thank you. One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from Willard Granger from Azuho, please go ahead.
spk02: Hi, good morning, everybody.
spk00: Morning. Good morning.
spk02: Thanks for taking my question. Just one on the non-regulated business that you have. Is there an opportunity to monetize that in some form or fashion to help offset any equity needs in your capital plan?
spk00: Well, the non-regulated side of our business, or what we call other, is actually several different investments. And with that, of course, as we mentioned here in the earnings call, to the extent that markets open up, then we could see a monetization event at some point in time in the future for some of those investments. And to the extent that happens, that will certainly help out. But overall, it's a relatively small part of our business. The utility is our core.
spk02: Understood. I appreciate that. Most of my questions have been answered, so I'll get back in queue.
spk04: Thank you. I am showing no further questions at this time. I will now turn it back over to Stacey Wentz for closing remarks.
spk07: Thank you all for joining us today and for your interest in the VISTA. Have a great day.
spk04: Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect.
Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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