speaker
Bill
Investor Relations

Welcome, everyone, to American Vanguard's first quarter 2019 earnings review. Our speakers today will be Mr. Eric Wintemute, the chairman and CEO of American Vanguard, Mr. David Johnson, the company's chief financial officer, and also assisting in answering your questions, Mr. Bob Tregell, the company's chief operating officer. American Vanguard will file our Form 10-Q with the SEC tomorrow, May 8th. providing additional detail on the results that we will be discussing in this call. Now, before we begin, let's take our usual cautionary reminder. In today's call, the company may discuss forward-looking information. Such information and statements are based on estimates and assumptions by the company's management and are subject to various risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ from management's current expectations. Such factors can include weather conditions, changes in regulatory policy, competitive pressures, and various other risks that have been detailed in the company's SEC reports and filings. All forward-looking statements represent the company's best judgment as of the date of this call. Such information will not necessarily be updated by the company. That said, we turn the call over to Eric.

speaker
Eric Wintemute
Chairman and CEO

Thank you, Bill. Hello, everyone, and welcome to our first quarter earnings call. As always, we thank you for your continued interest in American Vanguard. As a housekeeping note, we have a hard stop at 2.15, but I doubt that we will go that long. They say that you never know how good a ship is until it hits heavy weather. A good captain maintains the ship, trains the crew, and stores provisions for good times and for bad. The same is true of a business. What we have been doing over the past few years, namely diversifying, through international acquisitions and managing operational efficiencies, has enabled us to weather the storms that plagued many regions of the United States during the first quarter. Despite a modest drop in overall net sales, we were able to improve gross margins. As I explained further, we expect that we will not only make up lost ground over the balance of the year, but actually exceed our original yearly forecast for net sales. Allow me to give some color on the first quarter, including analysis of the top-line sales, gross margins, and inventory. And then I'll turn to David for a more detailed analysis of our overall performance. I will then return to give comments on technology development, as well as our 2019 forecast. As will be reported in our Form 10-Q, quarterly net sales, As a whole, we were down 4%. This was due entirely to a decline in domestic sales due to rain, flooding, and in some cases, snow in multiple areas. For example, wet conditions in the southeast delayed planting and subsequently use of our granular soil insecticides. Similarly, fumigant use in the Pacific Northwest was pushed back, while burned-down herbicide use was forestalled in the south. As you may recall, ever since 2014, when industry had filled the distribution channel beyond capacity, our customers have been far more conservative in their procurement practices. Over the course of the first quarter, in the face of adverse weather conditions, distribution warehouses began to accumulate seed, fertilizer, and other inputs. The normal flow of products from factory to field flowed considerably. By the end of the quarter, our customers were reporting net sales down by 15% to 30%. Like our customers, we are also mindful of maintaining brand value and optimizing channel inventory. Consequently, for the past several years, we've been following what we call our natural flow program, in which we meet with customers to map out their needs during changing conditions and to move supply with actual demand. The alternative approach would be to create a transitory demand by discounting prices, thereby eroding brand value. Our customers greatly prefer our natural flow program. Free markets have a way of working themselves out and returning to historical norms. We believe that is what's happening here. While our seasonal domestic sales were down $16 million, from our internal first quarter forecasts, we expect that most or all of those sales will materialize over the course of 2019. Interestingly, as of April 15th, our EDI sales for domestic regions had caught up to within 3% of 2018 sales through the same date. During the first quarter, we experienced stronger sales performance in our international businesses. This is largely due to increased Central American sales through AgriCenter, including mineral oil products for fungicidal control in bananas, chlorothalonil for use on black sigatoka, special nutritional products from green plants, and a number of soil amendments and biorational fungicides. Also during the period, we added sales of our newly acquired Brazilian subsidiary, AgriVent Defensa, led by Arginfruit, a mineral oil insecticide used on citrus, and Red Shield, a copper-based foliar product used on multiple crops. With decreased U.S. sales and increased international sales, one might have expected an adverse effect upon overall gross margin. However, this was not the case. Overall gross margins actually improved to 42% versus 39% for the same quarter last year. This arose from two factors. First, our manufacturing efficiency was strong. We continue to focus on enhancing factory activity while reducing factory expense, and this discipline is benefiting our bottom line. Second, our mix of products was optimal in all regions, with gross margins up to 48% from 45% domestically and up to 32% from 29% internationally. This speaks well of the manner in which we are positioning products in our markets throughout the globe. Before turning the presentation over to David, I also want to discuss inventory. We finished the quarter at 190 million versus 160 million at the end of 2018. There are several drivers for this increase. we shifted the manufacturing campaign for a few products in order to ensure adequate supply during periods of high demand. This is true of Folex, Thymet, and Vapam, which are at levels about 13 million higher than year-end. Second, this year's level includes 11 million of incremental inventories associated with new product and businesses recently acquired, including the Assure II herbicide and new businesses in both Australia and Brazil. Third, in light of supply interruptions from China due to tariffs and plant closures, we have expedited the procurement of Parazon, ABBA, and chlorothalonil from Chinese sources and are carrying about $5 million of inventory earlier in the calendar year. The balance consists of higher level of inventories from our expanding lifetime businesses. to bring inventories down to about $145 million by year-end. In doing so, we will convert these inventories into cash over the remainder of the year. For the balance of 2019, we expect to see solid demand for our products both domestically and internationally. In fact, we are raising our guidance for full-year revenue from our previous forecast of $490 to $510 million to a revised range of $510 to $530 million. If we're able to make additional product or business acquisitions, we'll adjust that target range appropriately. We believe that our product mix and manufacturing performance should allow us to deliver gross profit margins in the 38 to 40 percent range. With discipline management of operating expenses, we are targeting 150 to 160 million, which would yield an OpEx to sales ratio of 30 to 31 percent. Our tax rate should remain consistent in the 24 to 26% range across all jurisdictions. With that overview, I will ask David to give you his analysis of our financial performance. I will then return to talk about other initiatives that we are pursuing to deliver long-term, sustainable growth. David?

speaker
David Johnson
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Eric. Good afternoon, everybody. As Bill mentioned, we expect to file our Form 10-Q for the three months ended March 31, 2019, tomorrow. Everything I'm covering here is included in more detail in that document. With regard to the financial results as Eric just detailed, the company's sales for the first quarter of 2019 were down about 4%, ending at $100 million as compared to $104 million this time last year. As Eric has just discussed, adverse weather conditions in our domestic ag market and to a lesser extent, our non-ag market, resulted in lower overall sales as compared to the first quarter of 2018. Basically, wet weather prevented farmers from starting the annual growing season by planting seed and using crop inputs. The delay for farmers translates to low orders to retailers, then to distribution, and that immediately impacts our domestic sales. We expect to see those US ag sales substantially catch up during the next one to two quarters. While our domestic business suffered, our international business grew, primarily because of the inclusion of our Brazilian business acquired at the start of the year. We consider that our sales performance for the quarter has benefited from the fact that we have succeeded in transitioning from a predominantly domestic US business to a business with a strong international base. For the quarter, international sales represented 38% of net sales as compared to 33% last year. Furthermore, we are pleased that, including this regional change in mix, our gross margin performance remained strong for the first quarter, ending at 42% of sales as compared to 39% this time last year. During the first quarter, our operating expenses ended at 35% of net sales compared to 32% this time last year. This included the addition of the activities of our newly acquired Brazilian business and the Assure 2 herbicide product line. that we acquired in the final days of 2018. Our expenses do include continual provision for potential bad debts of approximately $1 million arising from our Central American distribution business. Offsetting those expense increases, we made adjustments to expected deferred consideration payments related to businesses acquired in 2017 and reduced overall incentive compensation accruals reflecting financial performance in the quarter. Finally, we recorded lower expenses for product defense and product development as compared to 2018. These costs depend on the timing of projects and will likely catch up somewhat later in the year. Our tax rate ended the quarter at 26%, which is consistent with the same period of the prior year. Overall net income for the quarter decreased by 16% to $3.9 million, or 13 cents per share, as compared to $4.7 million, or 16 cents per share, this time last year. Interest expense ended at $1.6 million, as compared to $837,000 this time last year. The increased expense was driven mainly by increased average debt as a result of acquisitions in late 2018 and early 2019, and the period-over-period increase in LIBOR, which impacted our borrowing rate. In an effort to further support investors' understanding of the business and its financial performance, in the earnings release, we have reported EBITDA, which reduced by 6% in the quarter to $12.6 million, whereas net income reduced by 16%, as I just described. The relative difference in decrease between EBITDA and net income is largely due to higher interest payments and increased amortization, both acquisition-related. From my perspective, the key financial issues for the first quarter are as follows. First, factory performance. We continue to follow a disciplined approach to planning our factory activity, balancing overhead recovery with demand forecasts and inventory levels. In the three months ended March 31st, 2019, our under absorption of factory costs improved by approximately $800,000 as compared to last year. making a strong start for manufacturing in 2019. Second, inventory. During the quarter, our inventory increased by approximately $30 million. This reflects the strong sales forecast we see for the balance of the year and actions we are taking to manage the risks we see in supply logistics and continued tariff battles with China. The increase also includes bringing on approximately $11 million of inventory associated with recently acquired products and businesses. As Eric mentioned, we are upbeat about our sales expectations for the balance of the year, and we remain focused on getting inventory down to approximately $145 million by December 31st, 2019, plus the impact of any acquisitions that may be completed during the balance of the year. Third, with regard to liquidity, at the end of the first quarter, availability under our credit lines stood at $57 million as compared to $125 million this time last year. Indebtedness as of March 31st, 2019 was $149 million as compared to $90 million at the end of the first quarter of 2018. The difference is driven by the $43 million spent on acquisitions during the last nine months of 2018 and the first three months of 2019. We are monitoring our borrowings carefully as we continue to contemplate accretive acquisitions and, as Eric mentioned, are focused on driving the business to improve the balance sheet during the balance of the year. In summary, when looking at the first quarter of 2019, we can say that we have recorded moderately lower sales in slower domestic market conditions and demonstrated the strength of our now more regionally diversified business, In addition, we have completed a key strategic acquisition, giving us a first foothold in Brazil, which is the world's biggest agricultural market. Further, despite an increase in the importance of international sales to our business, we have achieved a strong manufacturing and gross market performance. With that, I will hand back to Eric.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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