10/25/2024

speaker
Operator

Good morning. My name is Emily and I'll be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to Avantor's third quarter 2024 earnings results conference call. After the prepared remarks, there will be the opportunity for you to ask any questions, which you can do so by pressing start, followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. I will now turn the call over to Christina Jones, Vice President of Investor Relations. Ms.

speaker
Christina Jones

Jones, you may begin the conference. Good morning. Thank you for joining us. Our speakers today are Michael Stubblefield, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Brent Jones, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. The press release and a presentation accompanying this call are available on our investor relations website at ir.avantoursciences.com. A replay of this webcast will also be made available on our website after the call. Following our prepared remarks, we will open the line for questions. During this call, we will be making forward-looking statements within the meaning of the U.S. federal securities laws, including statements regarding events or developments that we believe or anticipate may occur in future. These forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, including those set forth in our SEC filings. Actual results might differ materially from any forward-looking statements that we make today. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date that they are made. We do not assume any obligation to update these forward-looking statements as a result of new information, future events, or other developments. This call will include a discussion of non-GAAP measures. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures can be found in the press release and in the supplemental disclosure package on our Investor Relations website. With that, I will now turn the call over to Michael.

speaker
Michael

Thank you, CJ, and good morning, everyone. I appreciate you joining us today. I'm starting on slide three. We delivered another solid quarter with inline performance across all key financial metrics. Reported revenue increased sequentially to $1.71 billion, while organic revenue declined 0.7% year over year. We were encouraged by another quarter of outperformance in bioprocessing as strong order rates continue. as well as sequential and year-over-year growth in our laboratory solutions segment. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 17.6%, and adjusted EPS increased to 26 cents in the quarter. Sequential mixed headwinds were largely offset by strong realization of savings from our cost transformation initiative. Our disciplined approach to working capital drove another quarter of best-in-class free cash flow conversion. This enabled us to pay down over $200 million of debt bringing our net leverage down to 3.8 times. Given our strong year-to-date performance, we are raising our free cash flow guidance for the year. On October 17th, we successfully closed the previously announced divestiture of our clinical services assets, which provided support for customers engaged in clinical trial activities with kitting, biorepository, and archiving services. This divestiture allows us to focus on our lab and production platforms, where we have strategically advantaged position and scale, higher growth entitlements, and lower capital investment needs. After a highly competitive process, we are confident we receive full value for the business. The $500 million in after tax proceeds, combined with our strong cash generation, accelerates our path to achieving adjusted net leverage of less than three times. In addition to our strong operating results this quarter, We also made considerable progress in advancing our long-term growth strategy. Recent highlights include the expansion of our magnetic mixing systems portfolio with the introduction of a new tabletop mixer. We launched this new product at the recent Bioprocess International Conference in Boston, where we showcased our innovation capabilities with multiple scientific and keynote presentations. In our lab segment, we launched several new third-party branded products, including Agilent advanced analytical instruments for advanced battery and sustainable energy applications. Sarstedt life science and blood collection consumables as their first major U.S. distribution partner. And Oxford Nanopore's grid ion long read NGS sequencer. Further expanding our collaboration with Oxford Nanopore to bring this higher throughput instrument to market in Europe and the Americas. We officially opened our new flagship innovation center in Bridgewater, New Jersey. This 60,000 square foot facility, staffed with PhD scientists, biopharma engineers, biologists, and bioengineers, is one of 13 Avantour Innovation Centers globally, dedicated to solving life sciences' biggest challenges. The Bridgewater Innovation Center includes capabilities for upstream and downstream process development, pilot plant for scale-up simulations, and analytical and bioanalytical labs that support multiple modalities, including monoclonal antibodies, cell and gene therapies, and protein peptide therapeutics. Our new cell business received an award from the prestigious Kaizen Institute for Excellence in Process Improvement and Quality Management. I recently had the opportunity to visit this team in California and witnessed firsthand how their commitment to the Avantour business system is driving tangible operational results and fostering strong employee engagement, consistent with our culture of continuous improvement. We continue to improve the efficiency and productivity of our supply chain operations. In the quarter, we completed major technology installations at our Visalia, California site and opened a new facility in Devons, Massachusetts to support our fluid handling business. We advanced our sustainability platform and recently received an updated rating from EcoVedas, a global leader in business sustainability assessments that places Avantor in the top 17% of over 130,000 rated companies globally. Additionally, we signed our first virtual power purchase agreement through the energized program a pharmaceutical industry sponsored program that will reduce our energy costs and deliver renewable energy to our operations across Europe. Finally, our team continues to effectively execute our multi year cost transformation initiative with several critical work streams ahead of schedule. We are confident that we will exceed our in your cost savings target of $75 million in 2024. Turning to our segment results, laboratory solutions modestly outperformed our plan, returning to growth for the first time in two years. Within biopharma, overall market conditions remained relatively stable. Year-over-year increases in biotech funding have not yet translated into increased preclinical spending, and large pharma continued their pattern of cautious spending and prioritizing their clinical pipelines. In our other end markets, core diagnostic testing demand remained strong. and we delivered growth in both our education and government and applied end markets, underscoring the strength of our diversified platform. Consumables and services performed well, and equipment and instrumentation demand improved modestly from first half levels. In bioscience production, bioprocessing end market conditions continued to improve. Production levels increased, and this quarter the FDA approved 13 additional biologics and protein peptide therapies for various indications, including oncology, Alzheimer's, and ulcerative colitis. In line with these strengthening conditions, our bioprocessing cells outperformed our expectations of a low single-digit decline, finishing flat year over year. Strong order momentum once again reinforces our confidence in mid to high single-digit bioprocessing growth in the fourth quarter. Outside of bioprocessing, we saw sequential growth in biomaterials. offset by declines in our advanced technology sales in the U.S. In summary, we delivered another quarter of solid performance. Our cost transformation is ahead of plan, and we have raised our free cash flow guidance for the year. Order momentum in bioprocessing continues, and we are encouraged by the return to growth in our laboratory solutions segment. With that, I'll now turn it over to Brent to walk you through our third quarter results in more detail.

speaker
Avantor

Thank you, Michael, and good morning, everyone. I'm starting with the numbers on slide four. Reported revenue was $1.71 billion for the quarter, declining 0.7% on an organic basis. Sales trends in our laboratory solutions segment were similar to second quarter levels, with a modest improvement in equipment and instrumentation demand. Within our bioscience production segment, bioprocessing outperformed expectations, while advanced technologies were modestly below plan. Adjusted gross profit for the quarter was $573 million, and adjusted gross margin was 33.4%. Adjusted gross margins declined sequentially, largely due to mix. Key contributors were the increase in equipment and instrumentation in lab solutions and headwinds in advanced technologies in bioscience production. Year-over-year adjusted gross profit was impacted by mix and modestly lower sales volumes. Adjusted EBITDA was $303 million and adjusted EBITDA margin was 17.6%. Our cost transformation initiative continues to drive meaningful SG&A savings, nearly offsetting the sequential mixed related headwinds to gross margins. On a year-over-year basis, performance was impacted primarily by our incentive compensation reset. Adjusted operating income was $275 million at a 16% margin in line with adjusted EBITDA performance and the drivers just noted. Adjusted earnings per share were 26 cents for the quarter, a one cent sequential and year over year improvement. Our adjusted EPS performance in the quarter reflects the flow through of our adjusted EBITDA results as well as lower net interest expense. Interest expense favorability was driven by incremental debt pay down from outperformance and free cash flow and the impact of our interest rate swap termination. As Michael noted, we delivered another strong quarter of free cash flow, generating over $200 million in the quarter and approximately $550 million year to date, inclusive of cash costs related to achieving our transformation savings. Excluding those same costs, we have generated approximately $625 million of free cash flow in the first three quarters against our original full-year guidance range of $600 to $650 million. In Q3, we paid down over $200 million of debt, and our adjusted net leverage ended the quarter at 3.8 times adjusted EBITDA. We closed on the sale of our clinical services assets on October 17th. After accounting for transaction costs and expected tax payments, we netted approximately $500 million in cash proceeds which we intend to use for debt pay down. As part of the transaction, we also transferred balance sheet capital lease obligations of approximately $50 million, further reducing our leverage. We now expect to finish the year at or below 3.4 times adjusted net leverage and continue to make meaningful progress towards our target of sub-three times adjusted net leverage. Slide five outlines our segment performance. laboratory solutions revenue was $1.17 billion for the quarter and grew 0.6% versus prior year on an organic basis. Sequentially, sales grew modestly due in part to an improvement in equipment and instrumentation. While biopharma and healthcare continue to be pressured by the cautious spending environment, we saw nice improvements in other parts of the portfolio. Education and government grew mid-single digits year over year, and our applied and industrial sales grew again with growth in both the Americas and Europe. Adjusted operating income for laboratory solutions was $152 million for the quarter with a 12.9% margin. Sequentially, laboratory solutions adjusted operating income was up modestly. We had a slightly negative mix at the gross margin line, largely offset by spend controls and transformation-related SG&A savings. Adjusted operating income margin decreased 20 basis points from Q2. The year-over-year adjusted operating income decline was driven by the impact of our annual incentive compensation reset partially offset by savings from our cost transformation initiative. Bioscience production revenue was $543 million, an organic decline of approximately 3.5% versus prior year. Sequentially, reported revenue declined modestly, primarily due to advanced technologies. Bioprocessing, representing about two-thirds of the segment, outperformed expectation and was roughly flat year over year, with another strong quarter of order intake. Biomaterials performed in line while advanced technologies was somewhat below expectations. Adjusted operating income for bioscience production was $138 million for the quarter, representing a 25.4% margin. On a sequential basis, adjusted operating income margin was impacted by mix and higher freight expense. Year-over-year adjusted operating income declines were largely driven by incentive compensation headwinds. Moving to the next slide. We are reiterating our full-year P&L guidance net of the impact of our clinical services divestiture and raising our free cash flow guidance. Clinical services was expected to generate approximately $200 million of annual revenue, which will no longer be in our results as of October 17th. Accordingly, we are adjusting our reported revenue guidance for the year by approximately $50 million to reflect this impact. Clinical Services was part of our lab solution segment, so these expectations should likewise be adjusted. The divestiture is approximately 10 basis points dilutive to our full-year adjusted EBITDA margin and 1 cent dilutive to adjusted EPS. As a result, we now expect adjusted EBITDA margin of 17.3% to 17.8% and adjusted EPS of 95 cents to $1.03 for the full year. Given our strong free cash flow performance this year, we are raising our free cash flow expectation from the original range of $600 to $650 million to more than $750 million. This is before transformation-related cash costs of approximately $100 million. A couple final comments on organic growth. We are reiterating our expected full year organic growth of negative 2% to positive 1% as our organic growth assumptions remain unchanged. The midpoint of our guidance assumes an approximately 49%, 51% first half to second half revenue split as we have anticipated all year. The low end of the range assumes a more muted seasonal pattern. By segment, We expect laboratory solutions organic growth to be flat to modestly up in Q4, leading to an unchanged expectation of flat to low single digit declines for the full year. We expect bioscience production organic growth of low to mid single digits in Q4 with strong order growth supporting mid to high single digit organic growth in bioprocessing. For the full year, we expect bioscience production and bioprocessing both to decline low single digits organically, also unchanged. I'll now turn the call back to Michael.

speaker
Michael

Thank you, Brent. Before we conclude, I would like to summarize the key takeaways from another strong quarter. We are encouraged to see our ongoing commercial intensity driving growth in our lab business, alongside continued outperformance in bioprocessing. Our order book continues to grow. positioning us for mid to high single-digit bioprocessing growth in the fourth quarter. Our cost transformation initiative is delivering results ahead of plan, allowing us to substantially offset the mixed headwinds we experienced in the quarter. We will exceed our in-year savings target of $75 million and will exit the year with run rate savings of more than $150 million. Enabled by the Avantour business system, Our disciplined approach to working capital resulted in another quarter of best-in-class free cash flow conversion, and we raised our free cash flow guidance for the year. Together with the proceeds from our clinical services divestiture, our strong free cash flow is accelerating RD leveraging efforts and positively impacting our earnings. We continue to make progress with our new operating model, realizing significant commercial and operational benefits just 10 months in, We are now a leaner, more agile, and more efficient organization. This new model is also enhancing both our internal processes and the way our customers experience our platform. Importantly, we have significantly advanced our long-term growth strategy, achieving key milestones in the areas of innovation, new product introductions, sustainability, and supply chain infrastructure. I want to extend my gratitude to our Avantour associates across the globe. for their dedication to serving our customers and their invaluable contributions to our success. I will now turn it over to the operator to begin the question and answer portion of our call.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. If you would like to ask a question today, please do so now by pressing star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. If you change your mind or you feel like your question has already been answered, you can press star and then two to withdraw yourself from the queue. Our first question today comes from Dan Brennan with TD Cohen. Please go ahead, Dan.

speaker
Dan

Great. Thanks. Thanks for the question, and thanks for the info on the call. Maybe just on the implied fourth quarter guide, just to start, guys, you gave some color, Brett, right at the end on the segments, but could you just kind of give us a sense of, you know, where we should be thinking about overall for the company? Because if you took the full year guide, you know, zero to 12% is what's kind of implied in the fourth quarter. So why? So just help us a little bit on that. And then B, just as it relates to bioscience production, Brett, I think you heard you say low single to mid single. If I kind of plug that in, I think I come up with, you know, kind of down three for the year. I think your prior guidance for the full year was not pointing at us. Maybe just unpack a little bit of the overall guide and what it means for the segments for the fourth quarter.

speaker
Avantor

Yeah, no, absolutely. Thanks for the question, Dan. You know, we... You know, I wouldn't read much into the broad guidance point here other than we were really updating for the impact of the clinical services divestiture there, you know, on the really the outlook broadly unchanged there in terms of what we see in the segments. I think the important point is return to growth in lab solutions there, you know, flat to up a little bit in Q4. mid to high, the mid to high growth in bio process in Q4. And then, you know, the few really unchanged in BPS for the segment down low single digits there in Q4.

speaker
Dan

Okay. And then I'm sure we can unpack that more on the call here. But and then maybe just as we turn the page, you know, I think some of your peers already, you know, are early in the week. gave some color on 25, whether explicitly or implicitly. So I think the street sits at like four and a half percent, you know, uh, Michael, you talked about a lot of optimism on cost cuts and, and, you know, some of the initiatives you have, but, you know, fill a tough environment. I mean, does that seem like a realistic starting point? Do you think at this point from what you're seeing in your business trends?

speaker
Michael

Uh, well, Dan, I'd say probably a couple of things, uh, you know, firstly, uh, you know, I think, uh, as we've done in previous years, you know, where we sit here in the year. It's probably a little bit too early to comment on 2025. We'll certainly see how Q4 plays out and follow our normal cadence, you know, as we get into our fourth quarter, you know, call for next year.

speaker
Dan

Okay, great. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Our next question comes from Doug Schenkel with Wolf Research. Please go ahead, Doug.

speaker
Doug Schenkel

Hey, good morning, everybody. Thanks for taking the questions. Actually, my first one, let me build off of Dan's question. So Dan's second question. So as we think about Q4 EPS, I think the midpoint of guidance implies something like 27 to 28 cents. recognizing you're not going to guide for 25 now. That's not what I'm asking. But, you know, if we just kind of annualize that, you know, for 2025, you know, recognizing, you know, the world's gradually getting better. Your order book continues to improve. Your cost transformation initiatives continue to take hold. You know, with just annualizing the Q4 number be a good way to kind of establish a minimum number for next year, you know, assuming things just continue to move in the direction they're moving.

speaker
Michael

Yeah, Doug, you know, I'd say a couple of things. You know, firstly, certainly understand the math that you're trying to do, but, you know, would just reiterate, you know, for us, it's probably a bit too early to comment on 2025. But what I would, you know, probably draw your attention to is, you know, just what we've experienced this year, you know, in our lab business, you know, it's been a year of stability and, you know, some gradual improvement. Certainly we're encouraged by the return to growth in the third quarter. as well as gradual recovery in the bioprocessing space. We've got a best-in-class platform there, and, you know, the outperformance for yet another quarter is encouraging. I think we've got a good setup as we exit the year. But, you know, structurally, our order book doesn't really give us the visibility to predict the timing or the shape of, you know, how things are going to play out next year. But, you know, I'd say the in-market, you know, fundamentals, you know, are strong. We're encouraged by the momentum in our business, especially bioprocessing. And perhaps most importantly, I think we're doing all the right things to ensure we're well positioned to capitalize on the growth as it presents itself next year.

speaker
Doug Schenkel

All right. Thanks, Michael. Can't blame me for trying, hopefully. All right. And then I want to follow up with an unrelated question on BPS. So on the whole, BPS came in, I think, a little bit light of expectations, but bioprocessing was actually better than expected, which I think leads us to the conclusion that maybe the offset was Nussel. Can you just give us some color on what's going on there? And then I guess higher level for the segment, I think margin was a smidge lower than the margin you generated in that segment in the second quarter on similar revenue. I'm just wondering if that was mixed or something else, like maybe you pulled forward some investment in the quarter or something like that.

speaker
Michael

Yeah, let me take your first one. Brent can handle your question on margin, Doug. You know, on the BPS segment, you know, we have, you know, kind of a broad diversified platform there. Probably three principal components there. Obviously, two-thirds of the platform is our bioprocessing platform. Again, another quarter of outperformance. We delivered, you know, kind of flat performance year over year as well as, you know, sequentially, you know, compared to a low single-digit decline. We're actually encouraged to see our biomaterials platform grow sequentially, so another good quarter there. So the pressure really in that segment was within our advanced technologies platform and primarily in a down quarter on U.S. semiconductors. Hey, Doug, on the margin side,

speaker
Avantor

Doug, following there on the margin side, I mean, there are a few things going on. It's sort of as we noted in the script there. We did have higher freight expense in that segment. You know, there are things going on in the world there. We worked very hard at that, but that was a headwind to us. And we also had, you know, the specific comments to Michael, we also had a bit of the mix of the mix there. Nice performance in bioprocessing there. You know, the headwinds in advanced technology. You should put that together with some mix of the mix, and that leads to that performance.

speaker
Doug Schenkel

Got it. All right. Thanks, guys.

speaker
Operator

The next question comes from Tycho Peterson with Jefferies. Tycho, please go ahead.

speaker
Tycho Peterson

Hey, thanks, guys. You're going to love this. I'm going to ask another question about the 4Q range. I'm just curious, are you guiding us to the midpoint and high end is budget flush? Can you flush that out a little bit? And then the applied margin of 4Q is also pretty wide. Just wondering if you can kind of give us some of the gives and takes on the 4Q margins.

speaker
Avantor

Yeah, no, Tycho, thanks for the question. Look, the broad view on the guidance there is the midpoint of the guidance would get you to, you know, a seasonal ramp in the lab business. We talked about this some last quarter. The low end would be, you know, more muted conditions and sort of similar to the exit rate we saw in Q3 there. So that's the reason for the broadband that's consistent with the environment that we had talked about before. You know, the flow through the margin, I mean, part of this, we haven't wanted to touch every piece of the guidance around there. You know, I think you can think of nice, consistent performance there. When you think about what Q4 wants to be, that'll have similarity to Q3, assuming the expectations we talked about there. Again, in Q4, we talked about lab flat to mostly up. BPS, you know, positive low single digit to mid single digit there. You put that all together, the puts and takes with the headwinds of the clinical services divestiture, which is some headwind to margin, but then nice tailwind from, you know, the mid to high bio process there that gets you in a consistent place there to Q3 on a margin basis.

speaker
Tycho Peterson

Okay, that's helpful. And then... You know, going back to one of the questions earlier from Doug on some of the other businesses, you flagged Semi. I'm just curious, your outlook there, how much pressure you think this could put on numbers going forward? And then also, what are you thinking on Newfield going forward as well? I know you don't specifically want to comment on 25, but just curious on underlying trends there and how we have to think about what you're seeing.

speaker
Michael

Yeah, so a couple of things to unpack there for you, Taiko. Firstly, on the NuCell platform, as we've talked about this in a lot of different forums, it's a really terrific platform, extremely well positioned. The business is running a bit ahead of plan this year. Again, we saw sequential growth in Q3, which was encouraging. We've got a great innovation pipeline. you know, procedure counts are, you know, trending in the right direction here. So I think the setup for that long term, you know, continues to be quite favorable. And, you know, we, you know, would anticipate over the long term that being a mid to high single-digit, you know, growth platform for us, then certainly nothing ahead of us that would indicate that's not possible. On the semi-front that you referenced there, yeah, certainly some pressure, you know, building in that end market as we move through the, you know, the quarter. You know, there are some bright spots in that space, and there's lots to like about the tech, you know, where the technology is headed there. But what we saw in the quarter was, you know, a stall in the recovery, particularly in the U.S., and, you know, a little bit of a contraction getting lost there in the end market. And you see that, you know, Tyco in a lot of the recent public updates from some of the key players in the space. I think baked into our outlook for the fourth quarter is we would anticipate that to continue. Unfortunately, you know, that's a relatively small part of the business. And, you know, given the strength in bioprocessing and biomaterials, we're able to largely offset that weakness with strength in those other, you know, areas of our business.

speaker
Tycho Peterson

Okay. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

The next question comes from Michael Riskin with Bank of America. Michael, please go ahead.

speaker
Michael

Great. Thanks for taking the question, guys. I want to talk a little bit about the clinical services divestment and the impact to the guide. I know you only really talked about, you know, the last two and a half months or the quarter, but is it reasonable to just take that and prorate that to fiscal year 25, meaning, you know, like you said, $200 million a year? You're seeing 150 of it this year. So you expect the other 150 give or take next year. And then in terms of EBITDA, it's a 10 bps dilution to the EBITDA margin this year. So 30 to 40 bps impact to EBITDA margin next year. Or is there any other seasonality we should keep in mind or anything like that?

speaker
Michael

Michael, really good question there. And I think that the math that you've laid out there makes a lot of sense. Just to reiterate a couple of the points here, you know, we talked about the business being roughly, you know, $200 million on an annualized basis. There's not a lot of seasonality to that. So, you know, you see roughly a quarter of that impact being, you know, taken in Q4. And, you know, I think it would be safe for you to assume that you would see a similar impact as what we're seeing here in Q4 play out through the first three quarters of next year. And not just for the top line, but all the way through the P&O.

speaker
Michael

Okay, that's easy. And then the other point was you mentioned a couple times during the call the cost savings, you're ahead of your $75 million target for the year. Is that a little bit of timing, like some pull forward from next year? Is there, you found a little bit more wood to chop? Are you, you know, potential for upside to that number for next year as well? Just how we think about that comment in the context of this is a three-year program.

speaker
Avantor

Hey, Michael, it's Brown. I'll take that. Look, we appreciate the focus on that. Year-to-date realization is nicely ahead of plan for the full year. Again, we still have hard work to do in Q4, but we expect to deliver comfortably in excess of $100 million in the year. This puts us nicely ahead of the $150 million exit rate that Michael noted on the call last quarter. TAB, Mark McIntyre, Really how we got there was year to year to date realization had a plan we got more in your impact we started talking about that on the Q1 call due to being really quick execution in connection with that. TAB, Mark McIntyre, I wouldn't read any more into what it means for the broad program you know three years the 300 million were obviously incented to get these things done rapidly, but you know we'll update you with a guide there, but I would say it's better than steady she goes there.

speaker
Michael

TAB, Mark McIntyre, Okay. Thanks a lot, guys. Yep.

speaker
Operator

The next question comes from Vijay Kumar with Evercore ISI. Vijay, please go ahead.

speaker
Vijay

Hi, Michael. Good morning, and thank you for taking my question. I guess just one back on, sorry, the performance in the quarter. When you look at within BPP, XBPS, I think, The other parts of the business are down mid-teens. I know you mentioned semi. Was this the timing? Was there some timing impacts here? And, you know, should that come back? I know you mentioned, you know, some of the peers. What's the reach? Are you looking at companies like ASML? Is that the reach here or how to think of semis?

speaker
Michael

Yeah, a couple things there, Vijay. Thanks for the question. Again, we'll just make sure it's crystal clear for the call today. Bioprocessing continues to outperform. We did grow our biomaterials platform, the NUSO platform, sequentially. So the pressure really here is within our applied segment, advanced technology segment, as it were. primarily in the U.S. semiconductor sector. We provide formulated solutions that go directly into semiconductor manufacturing processes, so I think the read-through to the end market, probably best to look at the manufacturers of the semiconductor chips themselves, VJ. Not really timing related, I think, as I said in answering one of the other questions, You know, this has been an end market that had, you know, significant headwinds throughout all of last year. We had been on a pace of recovery as we've moved through the first half of this year and even into the early days of the third quarter. And what we really saw as we moved through the third quarter was that momentum, you know, stall out. And, you know, we see a bit of a pause here in that recovery. And our assumptions for the fourth quarter would contemplate that continuing based on the forecast we're getting from our customers.

speaker
Vijay

Understood. And you did bring up bioprocessing, Michael. I guess the order trends gives visibility to mid to high singles in Q4. What were order trends? And I'm getting to maybe something like 2% organic for overall companies based on your bioprocessing outlook for Q4. Is that like a reasonable jump off point for next year?

speaker
Michael

Well, yeah, thanks for bringing up, you know, a really important part of our story here. We are encouraged, Vijay, by the continued momentum that we see in our order book with another really strong, you know, quarter in that regard. And I also say, you know, importantly, it's not just about the order book, but we're certainly seeing that order book translate into revenue, you know, which did, you know, enable another quarter of outperformance in bioprocessing. You know, based on the orders and momentum that we have, you know, I think we see a lot of confidence in our ability to deliver on mid to high single-digit growth in bioprocessing within the fourth quarter. You know, our year-to-date revenue and order trends, you know, validate that we have a best-in-class, you know, platform with a sustained, you know, track record of share gains. So I think we like our positioning and the setup for Q4 is strong. And, you know, when we look, you know, against our long-term algorithm, there's still some room to go here in terms of, you know, getting that platform all the way back. But we really like the trajectory and certainly are encouraged, Vijay.

speaker
Vijay

Understood. Thanks, guys.

speaker
Operator

The next question comes from Dan Leonard with UBS. Dan, please go ahead.

speaker
Dan

Thank you. 20% EBITDA margin exit rate for 2025, that target you have, can you remind me what growth you need to achieve that? And does the clinical services divestiture impact that target at all?

speaker
Michael

Yeah, great question, you know, Dan. When we look at that target that we've set of a 20%, you know, exit rate for last year, What we, or for next year, excuse me, what we've said about that is, you know, we had a high conviction and we do have a high conviction, our ability to achieve that primarily based on the many different ways that we can get there, including, you know, the self-help measures and the things that we can control. Brent's, you know, given some color here on, you know, how our cost transformation initiative is trending and that certainly gets you, you know, most of the way there. And it doesn't imply a full recovery of the end markets. And we don't need a lot of heroics on the top line to get there. So you still got a lot of conviction about that. The fact that we're ahead of plan on the cost transformation will certainly help. Now, it is worth pointing out, when we set that target, we didn't contemplate the divestiture of our clinical services platform. So as we get into our planning, For 2025, we're certainly going to have to take that into account. But our original assumptions, I think, are still, you know, very much in play here. And, you know, we can get to that level adjusted for the clinical services divestiture, you know, with things that are primarily within our control.

speaker
Dan

Understood. And as a follow-up, Michael, can you give your updated view on the competitive environment in lab solutions and the market share picture there?

speaker
Michael

Yeah, great question, you know, Dan. You know, first we'll just reiterate, you know, how encouraged we were to see our lab business return to growth for the first time in a couple of years. You know, the activity levels there have been improving and, you know, we finally, you know, were able to push that into the growth territory. You know, the sustained commercial intensity that we've referenced in a number of different forums here over the last, you know, year or so, You know, I think it's certainly correlated to the outperformance we're seeing in that segment. And when I compare, you know, our disclosures here around lab to other, you know, disclosures that others are making on lab, you know, I think you see a platform here that continues to outperform. You know, we're confident we certainly have, you know, a leading, you know, platform here And we remain focused on leveraging our capabilities to continue to grow share. And I think there's, you know, certainly a lot of data points here to support our view here that we've got a nice share, you know, story, particularly in things like, you know, academia when you look at, you know, our performance in that end market in the quarter. So, you know, it's a highly fragmented space. You know, we're clearly a leader and, you know, we like our positioning and momentum here. Great.

speaker
Dan

Thank you.

speaker
Operator

The next question comes from Connor McNamara with RBC Capital Markets. Connor, please go ahead.

speaker
Connor McNamara

Good morning, guys, and thanks for taking the question. Appreciate it. First, just on the implied guidance for Q4, can you walk through – that range is about $200 million based on your reiterated guidance. Can you just – what do you need to see over the next couple months for you to hit the high end of that guidance, or should investors really be focused on the midpoint of your guidance as they think about Q4 results?

speaker
Avantor

Yeah, Connor, thanks for the point. Look, again, I go to my other comments on you. We haven't wanted to overly tweak things here. The, you know, the lower end assumes muted, less seasonality, really continuation of the exit rate out of Q3. To get to the midpoint there, you'd see more of the seasonality that we discussed on our last call there. You know, so you need to see, and I think another important point around that is we're really talking about the laboratory solutions piece of that there. We have absolute high conviction on what we talked about for bioscience production as well as bioproduction specifically there. And that just would be greater activity in the lab and in that channel. Again, we like the exit rates we're going at. You know, to get to the mid or better, you need to see an acceleration in activity there.

speaker
Connor McNamara

Great. Thanks for that. And then on the cash flow generation, really strong quarter. Congrats on that. As we think about next year, you're going to exit the year at 3.4 times levered. Is it realistic to think that you could start being active in M&A next year? And what does the M&A environment look like right now?

speaker
Avantor

Wait. Okay, you know, just on the X-rays, I mean, it is absolutely very likely during next year we'll be below three times net leverage there. You just look at the cash generation as well as getting there on the EBITDA side of things. That will put us in a position there. Now, we want to comfortably stay below our leverage target there, so that adds complexity to that. But I would say, you know, we'll be in the position where to start looking at inorganic growth. for some time next year. Michael, I don't know if you want to supplement that.

speaker
Michael

Yeah, no, I think that's exactly right. You know, we are laser focused on, you know, deleveraging and getting ourselves in a position where we have, you know, room under three times to be able to, you know, sustainably, you know, be a consolidator in this space. And M&A remains an important part of our long-term growth, you know, playback. We're not in a playbook. We're not in a hurry. You know, we'll see how it plays out next year. We'll We've got a lot of things in flight here around our cost transformation and standing up our new segments. We like the momentum in our end markets and our positioning. Fortunately, we can create a lot of value with all the organic levers that we have available to us. Whether it's next year or future year, we'll certainly get back to M&A at the appropriate time.

speaker
Vijay

Great. Thanks for that.

speaker
Operator

The next question comes from Dan Arias with Stifel. Please go ahead, Dan.

speaker
Dan

Good morning, guys. Thanks. Mike, at the investor day last year, you talked about the potential for an above average growth period once the recovery is underway and once orders sort of turn the corner. How do you feel about that idea today when you look at the evolution of demand here and just the way that the dynamics are playing out as things slowly get better?

speaker
Michael

Yeah, I mean, it's a really good question. And, you know, as we've talked about here today, you know, unfortunately, our business model doesn't give us the visibility to call the timing or the shape of how that does recover. But I just kind of point you to what we've experienced this year, you know, which is, you know, a year of stability, gradual improvement in the lab, you know, probably a little bit ahead of the curve on, you know, some of the applied markets and the academic, you know, space getting back to more normal rates. You know, we still got some room to go here with activity levels in, you know, preclinical research. You know, but there are some, you know, some things to like about that. You know, there are some certainly within large pharma that are, you know, doing pretty well there. And, you know, there are some green shoots, you know, even in the biotech space, not across the board, but certainly some of the larger biotechs. You know, we see, you know, some of the step up in year-over-year funding starting to translate into, you know, a step up in spend on that. You know, we like that, but there's still, you know, some headwinds there that we need to overcome. But, you know, the trajectory is encouraging. When you flip over to the production side of the business, you know, our exit rate here of mid to high single digits is, you know, certainly compared to where we've been this year is quite encouraging. But against the long-term algorithm that would have us in a double-digit range, there's, you know, certainly room for improvement here. And we'll see how that plays out. We've got high confidence in where things are going to go for Q4 based on our order book. And the fundamentals are strong. We've talked about that all year. Demand remains great. Great regulatory environment. I think we had another 13 approvals in the quarter on new molecules for new therapies. And you know, the production rates are continuing to improve as the destocking subsides. So I think the setup is good. We'll see how, you know, Q4 ultimately plays out, and we'll build that into our plans for next year here. But probably a little bit too early to call, you know, how we see 25 playing out yet.

speaker
Dan

Okay, helpful. And then maybe just a follow-up on the overall consumables piece. I mean, it feels like the inventory drawdown phase that we've been talking about. It's kind of run its course, but there is a level of restraint out there just overall on budgets. When you look ahead a bit, and I know you're not trying to raise expectations or get people's hopes up or anything, but I'm curious if just sort of conceptually, when you think about the beginning of next year and 1Q consumables orders, do you think they could have a bit of a catch-up feel to them? Maybe a little bit larger than normal if just spending into the end of the year was muted to a degree and and now these companies are working with a fresh budget and maybe need to restock a bit. Does that seem plausible to you at all or just not really?

speaker
Michael

Yeah, I'm not exactly sure. You know, when you look at a consumables portfolio, which we benefit from, you know, that, you know, inventories from our perspective, I think we would agree with your view that, you know, the destocking is pretty much, you know, behind us and, you know, for the most part, you know, inventories have normalized. And so, you know, we see our customers managing their inventories in line with their activity levels. So, you know, it feels like, you know, we have, you know, consumption, you know, and demand matching the orders that we're seeing at the moment. And, you know, certainly the activity levels continue to improve. So I think that's, you know, that's encouraging. Patrick O' On the flip side, you know we have about 15% of our revenues are so you know, on the equipment and instruments side of things, and you know that's probably been the bigger headwind. Patrick O' You know, across the space this year, you know linked to your budgets and you know capital spending, and you know, as you, as you noted in our prepared remarks. you know, relative to where we're at in the first half of the year, we did see, you know, some sequential improvement in that as we got into the third quarter. And that's, you know, somewhat, you know, reflected in our mix that we see this year in the quarter as well. But I think that's another good signal. You know, the pipelines and activity levels have been strong there all year. It's been taking longer to convert those pipelines to orders and revenue. But, you know, there was a bit of a a turn up on that area in Q3. So you kind of step back from all that. Things are definitely heading in the right direction. And the environment continues to improve.

speaker
Dan

Yeah. OK. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

The next question comes from Rachel with JP Morgan. Rachel, please go ahead.

speaker
Rachel

Thanks. Good morning. Thank you for taking the questions. So first up, just on lab solutions. So I know you guys don't want to guide to 2025 at this point, but just given the hyper focus that investors do have on lab solutions into next year, how should we think about pricing in 2025 on the lab side of the portfolio? And what could that mean in terms of a floor for what the lab segment could do? You know, given some of these budget pressures that we're seeing on pharma and biotech and the pressure on volume, is there a world where lab could even be flat or declining next year? Or does that pricing power help define some of the performance and equate to some level of growth, even if it's just on pricing?

speaker
Michael

Yeah, Rachel, thanks for the question and good morning. First couple of things maybe on pricing for 2024, as we've said in a lot of different occasions, pricing for us in the lab has played out in line with our expectations, which means we've been able to offset the COGS inflation that we do see. And fortunately, you know, the environment on pricing and COGS has largely normalized compared to where it's been over the last couple of years where we've been having to take outsized price increases to the market. You know, this year, I think the dynamics have been a lot closer to, you know, kind of pre-COVID times. And we're right in the midst of that process where we're working with our suppliers to understand, you know, what COGS is going to look like, you know, next year. early indications would seem that it's similar to what we were seeing this year, perhaps. And we'll roll all that together and come forward with our pricing strategy here for next year, here in the next 30, 60 days, something like that. And there's nothing that we see here that would give us a pause for concern that we're not going to be able to that drive our normal pricing relative to the COGS environment into the market. Teams got a great process, a lot of great discipline around this. And I think as long as we're in line with that COGS, I don't have any concerns at this point on that topic.

speaker
Rachel

Got it. That's helpful. And then just on the bioscience production segment and its advanced technology dynamics, Can you just break down for us what percent of the bioscience production segment is exposed to silicon and biomaterials versus advanced technologies? And then within that advanced technologies for total code that grew mid-single digits this quarter, but I know there's a fair amount of exposure within the lab segment. So what did advanced technologies do within bioscience production segments this quarter, given the weakness you've been calling out in semis?

speaker
Michael

Yeah. So just maybe to recast what we've said about the segment, two-thirds is bioprocessing, I think we've covered. performance of that pretty well here today. And then the balance of that, you know, 30%, 35% of the platform is, you know, kind of split between our Newsfield platform, our biomaterials platform, and, you know, the other applications and things like aerospace and defense and semiconductors. You know, overall, at the enterprise level, we've talked about semiconductors being, you know, roughly, you know, a couple points of our overall exposure. And you're right to note, there is certainly some applied exposure in the lab where we actually saw growth in that part of the business in the quarter, which is, I think, just a great proof point of not only the diversity of our platform, but certainly the resilience and relevance of our platform. So, the weakness that we saw there really was isolated to the semi- uh activities and principally in the u.s um is is where we saw the you know kind of the headlines materialize as we as we move through the quarter the next question comes from luke surga with barclays please go ahead luke

speaker
Newsfield

Great. Good morning. Thanks for the questions. I just wanted to get a clarification up here on Doc's earlier question. So with the biosciences exit at a low single digit to mid singles and 4Q, and you guys are still talking about doing the bioproduction exit of mid to high. I guess as we think, and I know, like, you know, everybody's trying to figure out 25, but, like, if bioproduction exit mid to high wouldn't, like, why would that not, be kind of the growth rate in 25. It sounded like the interpretation there was that it could be a little bit lower. I'm just trying to figure that out.

speaker
Michael

Yeah, I wouldn't try to extrapolate our Q4 exit rates into whatever you think we're going to come forward with next year. I think it's a good data point to show the trajectory of the recovery that we've experienced this year, starting the year down, low teams. you know, progressing to kind of flat here in the third quarter to now, you know, exiting at mid to high single digits. So, you know, I think we're on a great course here for, you know, for bioprocessing overall, a lot of momentum in where we're going. And as I said before, we're not yet back to our double digit growth rate there, so there's a bit more, you know, room to go. When you then look at, you know, the biomaterials, you know, business, you know, we've outperformed this year, you know, relative to our expectations. There was a, you know, we grew that platform over 20% last year. So we knew this year was going to be a little bit more challenged as a lot of the inventory, you know, restocking that we experienced last year was going to be a headwind for us this year, but we liked the fundamentals there and, you know, anticipate a mid to high single digit growth rate for that, you know, platform over the, over the longer term. And we'll see where the semi, you know, business, you know, lands, but no, at the, you know, The exit rates for bioprocessing, I think, are a constructive way to think about the jumping off point. And we'll have to then synthesize that through our process here as we come out with our full year guidance. But we like the setup there. The pipelines are strong. Order book momentum continues now for the last four quarters at least. And so I think there's a lot to like about that, Luke.

speaker
Newsfield

Yeah, OK. I just wanted to clarify. OK, that makes sense. Um, and I just want to tease out a little bit here on, on the, the equipment drag on the margins. I know you said it improved sequentially, but, um, and you know, the, the ENI piece of the business has been soft across, you know, all peers and from every channel check. So talk a little bit about what you're seeing there. Like what, what the, what was the pickup? Um, was it still down year over year? Just, you know, what was the ultimate drag on that margin and ultimately the outlook for the ENI coming back?

speaker
Michael

Yeah, a couple of things there. You're right, first of all, in that it is a relatively modest part of the business. It's roughly 15% of the total with a little bit more of that exposure in lab solutions where we see roughly 20% of our lab revenues are linked to equipment instruments. Market conditions, generally speaking, have been pretty similar all year, really highlighted by this more cautious spending on capital items, particularly within biopharma. Uh, we did see, you know, some improvement as we've noted in the third quarter. Um, it was up, you know, low single digits, uh, you know, sequentially, but to your point, it's still down. Um, you know, year over year, I think the first half of the year, we were probably down, you know, high single digits, low double digit kind of range. And so it, you know, it did improve to, you know, down, uh, you know, mid single digits in the, in the, in the quarter. Um, so, you know, still a bit of a headwind, but you know, as we've said, TAB, Mark McIntyre, Actually, the activity levels pipelines have been pretty pretty strong most of the year all year. TAB, Mark McIntyre, What we see, though, is just a longer cycle time to get that activity converted to an order and ultimately you know realized in the p&l so you know, maybe some green shoots here in the quarter as as things you know seem to be start to moving in the right direction.

speaker
Newsfield

TAB, Mark McIntyre, Great thanks.

speaker
Operator

The next question comes from Tejas Savant with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

speaker
Tejas Savant

Hey, guys. Good morning. I appreciate the time here. Michael, I just want to double-click on SmithCap Biotech a little bit. I know it's like low single-digit exposure for you, but what are you hearing from that specific customer constituency given the weakness called out by, you know, some of the CRO peers and so on? When do you think the rate cuts start to filter through in terms of customer psychology, or do you expect perhaps like election outcome clarity to move things along a little bit on that front?

speaker
Michael

Great question, Tejas. You know, I'd say a couple of things about, you know, the biotech space. You know, it's a relatively modest exposure for us, but it is an important customer set just given the science that they're developing. And similar to what we're seeing with, you know, some of the large pharma, it's a little bit of a mixed bag here in that Yeah, particularly a lot of the smaller biotechs still struggling under the weight of the funding headwinds that have been in play over the last couple of years. But we are starting to see some green shoots in this area. And if I kind of segment the exposure here to the biotech space, we actually see some of the larger customers within that area have a bit more access to cash, maybe benefiting from some of the early you know, turn in funding on a year-over-year basis here, you're actually starting to return to growth. So, yeah, still some headwinds there. We're not fully seeing all of the step-up in funding translate into, you know, preclinical spend yet, but certainly we're encouraged by some of the green shoots that we are starting to see there.

speaker
Tejas Savant

Got it. And then my follow-up is focused on Europe, Michael. Just talk to us about sort of any signs of, you know, stress in the system or perhaps like sequential improvement, especially in important geographies like Germany. You know, you've got this dynamic of defense spending crowding out other priorities for some governments. But then on the other hand, I think in the past you also talked about how you're relatively under-indexed to biopharma there versus North America. So just paint that picture for us a little bit in terms of what you're seeing exiting the third quarter and into October here in Europe.

speaker
Michael

Europe for us has actually been, you know, probably the strongest geography as we look across the business. I think even in the third quarter, it outperformed the Americas. And some of that, I think, you know, can definitely be linked to, you know, what you're talking about there on, you know, maybe a little bit less exposure to, you know, preclinical research and biotech funding and such on a relative basis. And when I look through to things like, you know, our applied exposure in the region, you know, actually saw some, you know, some pretty reasonable growth in the quarter for Europe. So Europe overall, you know, holding up, you know, quite well, you know, despite, you know, some of the macro factors out there. And again, I think it's just a great proof point of the benefits of a consumables-driven portfolio and the resilience, you know, that our platform offers.

speaker
Tejas Savant

Got it. Appreciate the time, guys. Thanks.

speaker
Michael

Thanks, Tejas.

speaker
Operator

We have time for one further question, and so our final question today comes from Patrick Donnelly with Citi. Patrick, please go ahead.

speaker
Dan

Hey, guys. Thanks for taking the questions. Michael, maybe just to follow up on that last one on the biotech pharma piece, you know, we certainly heard from some folks that biotech can push things out a little bit. large pharma, maybe slightly better. But I guess when you guys think about those customer bases, are you seeing a bit of a dichotomy at all? How are you having conversations with customers and just viewing the go forward in terms of the willingness to spend both into year end and then budgeting into next year as well?

speaker
Michael

Yeah, a couple of things to point out there, Patrick. Biotech funding has been a headwind going back to the early days of last year. You know, we did see it tick up, you know, beginning in Q1 this year. And as we sit here on a year-to-date basis, you know, it is encouraging to note that overall biotech funding is up on a year-over-year basis. And we definitely see things heading in the right direction there. But it is somewhat mixed in terms of the picture out there. You know, as we talked to customers, particularly the you know the smaller biotechs we we definitely you know see more muted activity levels, you see you know fewer. You know startups coming in that that you know generally drive you know some good activity when funding is is strong, but the more established, you know biotechs Patrick we actually do see. You know this step up in funding, you know translating this growth, when I look into. You know, our business, you know, we saw that, you know, a nice sequential improvement in that part of our, you know, business in the quarter. We still do need, you know, some of the smaller folks to step up to, you know, kind of get away from this being generally a headwind. But there are some green shoots here that we have our eyes on that, you know, give us some encouragement here and do align with this trend of, you know, funding being up year over year.

speaker
Dan

That's helpful. And maybe just the last quick one for Brent, just on the gross margins in particular, I understand mix is obviously an impact this quarter. Just trying to think about the go forward, whether it's price mix and moving pieces, we should be thinking about as the right point for, for 25, just given this quarter, it seemed like it moved around a little bit with mix, just trying to get, get our arms around that one. Thank you guys.

speaker
Avantor

Yeah. Look, you had another on 25 there, Patrick. Well, We'll come back to you on February there, but I think I would just have you focus Q4 and beyond. You know, we're going to have some headwinds from the clinical services divestiture. You know, we do have the mixed variability you cited. Those headwinds should be, you know, essentially offset or more than offset by the growth in bioprocessing Q4. You know, that's a real virtue of that mid to high. So I think about Q4 as something very similar to Q3 and, We'll update you on all the mix and everything else for the guide for 25. Understood.

speaker
Dan

Thank you, guys.

speaker
Vijay

Thanks.

speaker
Operator

Those are all the questions we have time for today, and so I'll turn the call back to the management team for any closing remarks.

speaker
Michael

Yeah, thank you, Operator, and thank you all for joining us today. We appreciate your support of our business and really look forward to updating you when we get a chance to meet next. And until then, be well, everyone. Have a great Friday.

speaker
Operator

Thank you, everyone, for joining us today. This concludes our call, and you may now disconnect your line.

Disclaimer

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