7/30/2019

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Greetings and welcome to Access Financial's fourth quarter 2019 earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A brief question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. Depending on which require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Johnny Lai, Vice President, Corporate Development and IR. Thank you. Please begin. Great. Thank you.

speaker
Johnny Lai
Vice President, Corporate Development and IR

I'd like to welcome everyone to Axos Financial Inc.' 's fourth quarter and fiscal year 2019 financial results conference call. With me today are the company's president and chief executive officer, Greg Garabrantz, and executive vice president and chief financial officer, Andy Micheletti. Greg and Andy will review and comment on the financial and operational results for the three and 12 months ended June 30th, 2019, and they will be available to answer questions after the prepared remarks. Before I begin, I'd like to remind listeners that prepared remarks made on this call may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties and that management may make additional forward-looking statements in response to your questions. These forward-looking statements are made on the basis of current views and assumptions of management regarding future events and performance. Actual results could differ materially from those expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements as a result of risks and uncertainties. Therefore, the company claims the safety harbor protection pertaining to forward-looking statements contained in the Private Security Litigation Reform Act of 1995. This call is being webcast today, and there will be an audio replay available in the Investor Relations section of the company's website located at axosfinancial.com for 30 days. Details for this call were provided on the conference call announcement and in today's earnings press release. At this time, I'd like to turn the call over to Greg first for opening remarks.

speaker
Greg Garabrantz
President & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Johnny. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us. I'd like to welcome everyone to Axos Financial's conference call for our fourth quarter and fiscal 2019 year-end, ended June 30th, 2019. I thank you for your interest in Axos Financial, Axos Bank, and Axos Securities. Axos announced record net income of $155.1 million for the fiscal year-end of June 30th, 2019. up 1.8 percent over the 152.4 million earned for the fiscal year end of June 30, 2018. Axios' return on average equity for fiscal 2019 was 15.4 percent, and the bank's efficiency ratio was 40.51 percent. Fiscal 2019 earnings per share increased 4.6 percent to $2.48 per diluted share, compared to $2.37 per diluted share in the fiscal year end 2018. Excluding acquisition-related expenses and non-recurring costs related to excess FDIC expenses and a client-related trading loss in our clearing business, non-GAAP earnings per share increased 15.1% to $2.75 per share in fiscal 2019, equating to a non-GAAP return on equity of 17.1%. Net income for Access's fourth quarter ended June 30, 2019, was $40.6 million, up 9.5 percent when compared to the $37.1 million earned in the fourth quarter ended June 30, 2018. Earnings attributable to Axis's common stockholders were $40.6 million, or 66 cents per diluted share, for the quarter ended June 30, 2019, compared to 58 cents per diluted share for the quarter ended June 30, 2018, and 63 cents per diluted share for the linked quarter ended March 31, 2019. in which we recognize the vast majority of our tax-related revenue. Other highlights for the 2019 fiscal year and the fourth quarter include net loans and leases increased by $283.7 million in the fourth quarter, representing 3.1% growth-linked quarter and an annualized growth rate of 12.4%. For the full year into June 30, 2019, net loans and leases grew by $949.8 million, representing 11.3% growth year-over-year. Total assets reached $11.2 billion at June 30, 2019, up $1.7 billion, or 17.6%, when compared with June 30, 2018. Net interest margin was 3.81% for the quarter end of June 30, 2019, up 10 basis points from 3.71% in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2018. Excluding average balances associated with short-term H&R Block lending products and excess H&R Block liquidity, net interest margin was 3.81% in the fourth quarter of 2019, up one basis point from 3.8% in the comparable period a year ago. Our bank-only net interest margin without H&R Block was 3.87%, up four basis points from 3.83% in the fourth quarter of 2018. Loan yields increased 17 basis points year-over-year at a 5.56% in the quarter ended June 30, 2019, a mech shift resulting from higher-yielding CNI loans. For the fiscal year ended June 30, 2019, our consolidated net interest margin was 4.07%, roughly in line with the prior fiscal year with bank-only net interest margin remaining steady at 4.14% in the fiscal year 2019 and fiscal year 2018. Non-interest income increased by 36.8% in the fourth quarter to $23 million from $17 million in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2018. Growth in non-interest income was boosted by fees and deposit-related revenue from securities clearing and by higher prepayment penalty fee income. Return on equity was 15.4% for the fiscal year 2019 compared to 17.05% for the fiscal year 2018. Excluding acquisition-related expenses and non-recurring expenses related to excess FDIC insurance and a client-related trading loss in our clearing business, our non-GAAP return on equity was 17.1% for fiscal year 2019. As we grow our fee income business from securities-related and commercial banking, they are more capital efficient than our consumer and commercial lending businesses. We believe we will be able to further improve our return on equity. Our efficiency ratio is 51.12% for the full year, fiscal 2019, and 53% for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2019. The primary drivers of the year-over-year and sequential increase in our efficiency ratio were the additions of core clearing and the Wise Banyan acquisition and the reserve for potential losses related to a corresponding clearing client. Excluding the $15.2 million reserve recorded in the third quarter of 2019 related to the corresponding clearing client, Operating expenses of $65.5 million were down by approximately $1 million from Q3 2019 to Q4 2019. The efficiency ratio of our banking segment was 40.51% for the year ended June 30, 2019, compared to 34.55% for the comparable period a year ago. The primary drivers of the year-over-year increase in our banking efficiency ratio were investments in technology, branding, new business initiatives, and the inclusion of Axos Fiduciary Services, which operates at a higher efficiency ratio than our other banking businesses but provides a solid source of fee income and low-cost deposits. Excluding merger-related costs, non-GAAP efficiency in fiscal 2019 would have been 39.2 for the banking business segment. Our securities business segment had an efficiency ratio of 88.1% for the fiscal year 2019, excluding merger-related costs, acquisition-related amortization expenses, and a provision related to trading losses for an Axios clearing client. The fourth quarter ended June 30, 2019, was the first quarter that we included a full quarter's contribution from our clearing and robo-advisory businesses. Although over the intermediate term, we will improve the efficiency of the clearing business as we bring them into our process improvement framework and introduce automation in a variety of areas. As a fee-oriented business, the clearing business has the potential to run at a significantly higher return on capital as we grow the business, given the business is focused primarily on fee income and suite balances that can be placed off balance sheet or replace existing bank deposits and consume no additional capital. As we discussed on last quarter's call, investments we are making in existing and new businesses within Axos Clearing and Axos Invest our digital wealth management platform will constrain the near-term profitability and returns in the securities business segment relative to their long-term potential. Owning a securities clearing custody and digital wealth management platform is critical for us to realize our long-term consumer banking vision and will be additive to the quality of our customer base earnings and growth. Our credit quality remains strong. The bank had 19 basis points of net charged off in fiscal 2019 and and ended the year with only 51 basis points of non-performing loans to total loans. Of the 19 basis points of net share drops in the fourth quarter, 13 basis points, or 68%, was attributable to losses from refund advanced loans we originated in the third quarter of 2019. Our allowance for loan loss represents 117% coverage of our non-performing loans. compared to 26.4% in the comparable quarter a year ago. Our tax rate in the fourth quarter benefited from the federal rate reduction under the Tax Cuts and Job Act of 2017. Our tax rate for fiscal year 2019 was 27.1%. We expect our GAAP tax rate to be in the 26 to 28% range for our fiscal year 2020, which began on July 1, 2019. We generated strong loan growth in the fourth quarter, led by robust loan originations in commercial real estate, multifamily, C&I lending, and mortgage warehouse. Despite elevated payoffs in our jumbo single-family lender finance and commercial specialty real estate loans, ending loan balance has increased by $283.7 million in the fourth quarter, and $949.8 million in fiscal year 2019, representing annualized growth of 12.4% and 11.3% respectively. We originated approximately $1.77 billion of gross loans in the fourth quarter, up 8% year-over-year. Originations for investment increased 10.3% year-over-year to $1.5 billion in and 41.2% link quarter when you exclude the $1.16 billion of seasonal refund advance loans we originated in the quarter ended March 31, 2019. Our loan production for the fourth quarter ended June 30, 2019, consisted of $102 million of single-family agency-eligible gain-on-sale production, $318 million of single-family jumbo portfolio production, $149 million of multifamily and other commercial real estate portfolio production, 861 million of CNI production, resulting in 143 million of net CNI loan growth, and 52 million of consumer unsecured and auto production. For the fourth fiscal quarter's originations, the average FICO of single-family agency-eligible production was 731, with an average loan-to-value ratio of 75.6%. The average FICO of the single-family jumbo production was 735, with an average loan-to-value ratio of 63.5%. The average loan-to-value of the originated multifamily loans was 56.2%, and the debt service coverage was 1.1%. The average loan-to-value ratio of the originated small-balance commercial real estate loans was 52.1%, and the debt service coverage was 1.36%. The average FICO of the auto production was 758. At June 30, 2019, the weighted average loan-to-value ratio of the entire portfolio of real estate loans was 56%. These loan-to-value ratios use origination date appraisals over current amortized balances. As of June 30, 2019, 62% of our single-family mortgages have loan-to-value ratios below 60%. 30% have loan-to-value ratios between 61% and 70%. 2% have loan-to-value ratios between 71% and 75%. 5% between 75% and 80%. And less than 1% have a loan-to-value ratio greater than 80%. We have a well-established track record of strong credit performance in jumbo single-family mortgage lending with lifetime credit losses in our originated single-family loan portfolio of three basis points of loans originated. Originations in our single-family jumbo mortgage lending business rebounded this quarter to $318 million, up 33% from the $239 million in the quarter ended March 31, 2019. Improved sentiment among high-net-worth homebuyers and a recovery from the holiday seasonality were the primary tailwinds for the sequential improvement in our jumbo mortgage loan production. Prepayment rates remain elevated, resulting in ending loan balances dropping modestly from March 31, 2019. We continue to believe that our jumbo single-family mortgage loan portfolio will grow in the low-mid single-digit range in fiscal 2020. Ending balances for our multifamily loan portfolio increased by approximately $37 million, or 8.64% annualized, to 1.8 billion at June 30, 2019, representing approximately 19% of our total loan book. The weighted average loan-to-value ratio of our multifamily loans is 53% based on appraised value at the time of origination. Approximately 68% of our multifamily loans are under 60% LTV, 30% are between 60 and 70% loan-to-value, and only 2% are between 70% to 75%, and no multifamily loans have a loan-to-value ratio above 75%. The lifetime losses in our originated multifamily loan portfolio are less than one basis points of loans originated over the 18 years we've originated multifamily loans. Our C&I lending business had another strong quarter with broad-based strength and originations in our lender finance, equipment finance, and commercial specialty lending groups. We continue to focus on well-secured, well-structured asset-based loans and lines to credit-worthy borrowers, financing high-quality projects in attractive markets, and our lender finance and commercial specialty real estate businesses. Our commercial lending teams continue to grow in terms of relationships, products, and expertise. The experienced bankers we added in our New York and Los Angeles offices have good pipelines and will produce incremental growth in commercial loans and deposits in fiscal 2020. Loan demand remains strong across a number of our lending categories, as reflected in our $1.2 billion consolidated loan pipeline, which consists of $446 million of single-family jumbo mortgages, $152 million of single-family agency mortgages, $150 million of income property loans, and $444 million of CNI loans. We continue to transition our portfolio away from single-family lending into CNI lending and commercial real estate lending. Demand for auto and consumer-run secured lending remains solid, even as we maintain disciplined underwriting optimize our marketing, and expand our distribution. We anticipate strong originations across our auto, small business, commercial real estate, and CNI lending groups as they identify new opportunities that meet or exceed our risk-adjusted return criteria. On an annual basis, we target overall loan growth in the low teens, which we believe is prudent given the competitive landscape for loans and deposits, the credit cycle, and the shape of the yield curve. Switching to funding, total deposits increased $1 billion, or 12.5% year-over-year, with growth across various consumer and commercial deposit categories. Checking and savings accounted for approximately 74% of total deposit balances at June 30, 2019, up from 71% at March 31, 2019, as we replaced the expected runoff of nationwide CDs with commercial and lower-cost deposits. Our deposit base is diversified across a variety of consumer and business product verticals, which helps offset some of the competitive funding pressure. At June 30, 2019, approximately 41% of our deposit balances were business and consumer checking accounts, 20% money market accounts, 4% IRAs, 5% savings, and 5% prepaid accounts. The addition of the deposits from nationwide and the MWA bank acquisitions and the growth in our bankruptcy-related deposits have been instrumental in our ability to grow deposits and optimize our cost of funds to offset a challenging yield curve and competitive landscape for loans and deposits. The integration of the core clearing and Wise Banyan digital wealth acquisitions are progressing well. The two businesses, which have been or will be rebranded, Axos Clearing and Axos Invest, provide us with a solid foundation from which we can expand our security, servicing, wealth management, and private label banking services to RIAs, independent broker-dealers, and their underlying retail clients. In our internal market research and the diligence process of these and other potential securities-based servicing and advisory businesses, we saw several structural, demographic, and industry trends that provide opportunities for access. First, industry consolidation, driven partly by fee compression for active and passive investment managers and by the transition from commission to fee-based models, has resulted in smaller and mid-sized RIAs and brokers receiving less and less attention from the big four securities and clearing firms, Pershing, National, TD, and Schwab. Service levels for these RIAs have declined, and the gap between what large and small RIAs get from a technology, pricing, and product perspective continue to widen. As one of the few independent clearing firms focused on serving small IBDs and RIAs, we see opportunities to take market share through a better, more focused, and efficient service model. Second, thousands of advisors continue to leave large wire houses such as Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley, and Wells Fargo to become independent advisors. This dynamic is driven by better economics and more autonomy over their practice for the advisors by going independent. The downside of leaving a wire house is that advisors lose their ability to provide banking and lending services to their high net worth clients. We see tremendous opportunity to provide a comprehensive set of consumer banking and lending services to individual advisory clients of independent RIAs, leveraging the reputation and experience we have with our access advisor business, and adding new capabilities we have through acquisition and internal development. A third macro trend is that more advisors than ever are nearing retirement, and a large majority of these baby boomers own small advisory practices with one or two principals with no succession planning in place. While existing competitors are focused on large transactions involving firms with $1 billion of assets under management or greater, small RIAs and IBDs have very few options if they want to sell or transition their practice. Through Axos Bank and Axos Securities, we are building a comprehensive platform to deliver lending, banking, and security services to independent RIAs and IBDs to help them manage and monetize their practice. Lastly, the digitization of wealth management and retail brokerage is a natural evolution that provides opportunities for a digital bank like Axos to expand its consumer product offering. Just as consumer banking, personal and student lending, and many other parts of financial services have accelerated their transition from from offline to online and mobile channels due to lower costs, more convenience and a better user experience for digital channels, we believe that more consumers will migrate to digital providers that can deliver banking, financial planning, investing, and asset protection services in work streams that are already part of their everyday lives. This is one of the primary reasons we decided to build UDB, our online banking platforms. The personalization engine and central data warehouse, coupled with new services and features we are building in the next iteration of UDB, give us a clear path to be able to deliver on the experiences and functionalities that consumer and small business owners want from their financial services provider. It's a daunting task that requires detailed planning, lots of testing and iteration, and collaboration across business and functional units. It's equally exciting because of the vast opportunity it could potentially generate from an operational efficiency and customer service, and revenue growth and branding perspective. Securities-based lines of credit and margin lending represent meaningful long-term revenue opportunities and a source of incremental revenue from our securities business in the short term if client uptake ramps faster than we expect. These businesses tend to grow faster when the stock market is appreciating and clients are looking to increase investments. There are nice balance-to-client cash balances, which tend to be counter-cyclical, as investors and advisors hold more cash when they're more risk-averse. We're also looking at other sources of fee income in the clearing business. We continue to believe that the combined security business, which includes Axos Clearing and Wise Banyan, will operate at a high 80s and low 90s efficiency ratio for this coming fiscal year as we integrate Wise Banyan into the Universal Digital Bank and begin cross-selling digital investment advisory services to banking clients and providing banking services to our digital investment advisory clients. As we invest in infrastructure to provide clearing services to larger broker-dealers, we expand the platform to provide more services to RIAs and monetize the pipeline of firms interested in converting to Axos Clearing. We're seeing good progress in our strategic initiatives to grow and expand our commercial banking business. Axos Fiduciary Services, the trustee and fiduciary services business acquired from Epic in April 2018, continues to perform well. Our trusted relationship managers and senior business leaders continue to work alongside bankruptcy trustees and fiduciaries nationwide to provide the essential services they need to administer, track, and report on Chapter 7 bankruptcy and other non-7 legal matters. Concurrently, we are making good progress on our next-generation cloud-based bankruptcy software platform called Unity. With enhanced functionalities that will make it easier for trustees and trustee assistants to access and administer client and case data, Unity will further strengthen our competitive position in the marketplace. We look forward to hosting our trustees at the annual NABT conference in Denver next month. A second component of our commercial banking strategy is expanding our geographic presence and industry expertise through selective additions of experienced bankers and banking teams. We added an experienced team on the East Coast to target general middle market deposits and select specialty deposit verticals and opened our office in Manhattan last quarter to accommodate that team and other securities personnel. This group will work side-by-side with our existing commercial lending and significant existing lending book of business in that market. This team already has a robust pipeline of exciting deposit and lending opportunities. We're also making good progress on West Coast commercial banking expansion and with our new office slated to open in downtown L.A. later this quarter. Many of our senior commercial bankers who have been servicing that market but currently working in our Orange County or San Diego offices will relocate to Los Angeles, where they live, to enhance the focus on specialty lending and deposit opportunities in Southern California. Deposit competition remains high across the industry. Coupled with a flat yield curve, these dynamics have created downward pressure on net interest margins for many banks. We were able to expand our net interest margin in this cycle of higher short-term rates and a flat yield curve with net interest margin expansion of 10 basis points year over year to 3.81 on a consolidated basis, including the securities segment, and a 12 basis point expansion at the bank. Excluding the impact from H&R Block-related loans and deposits, our net interest margin for the banking business unit increased by four basis points to 3.87 in the fourth quarter of 2019. This margin expansion was the result of strong growth in our floating rate CNI loan portfolio and a lower growth in our fixed-rate jumbo single-family mortgage book and improvements we have made in the quality of our deposit base, including our investments in our consumer platform, our focus on growing our commercial banking deposit verticals, and our entry into the bankruptcy trustee and clearing space. With respect to the sensitivity of loan yields to short-term declines in LIBOR or other indexes, I believe Axos is in a relatively good position with respect to its portfolio. Of the bank's portfolio, approximately 50% of the loans are jumbo single-family loans with rate floors at the start rate. Less than 6% of these single-family loans are above their current start rate, meaning that a decline in short-term rates will have no impact on the underlying loan rate for 94% of that single-family portfolio. Additionally, 25% of the loan book in the multifamily and commercial real estate loan types have a similar dynamic with rate floors at the start rate, with less than 8% of that portfolio currently above their floor rates. Of the remaining 25% of the book classified as CNI loans, less than 260 million of loans have floor rates below 5%, and only $30 million of loans have a rate floor below 4%, with no loans with a rate floor below 3.5%. We expect approximately 72%, or approximately $1.8 billion of the CNI portfolio, to reprice with the first 25 basis point rate reduction and 66%, approximately 1%. 25 basis point rate reduction, with less than $900 million of our entire portfolio continuing to reprice in 100 basis point decline in short-term rates. Although we are in a reasonably good position from a portfolio perspective with respect to loan rate reductions as a result of a potential decline in short-term rates, we do not believe that deposit pricing and competition, given our growth objectives, will decline commensurately in all segments with a potential rate reduction, such that we will be able to realize immediate rate reductions in all segments of our deposit portfolio. Therefore, we continue to maintain our net interest guidance in the 3.8 to 4 range for the intermediate term. We completed another successful tax season with H&R Block's clients, providing approximately $1.6 billion of refund advance and Emerald advance loans and distributing over $17 billion of refunds to Block customers through the refund transfer program with credit losses in line with expectations. Our emerging businesses continue to grow. Our indirect auto lending business, which focuses on serving Prime customers primarily for purchase transactions, generated approximately $160 million of loan production in the year ended June 30, 2019. Our credit quality in this book remains very strong, with delinquencies over 60 days at nine basis points of auto loans outstanding. We continue to scale this business in a controlled manner while testing cross-sell initiatives inside our consumer banking platform and new distribution channels over the next several quarters. I'd like to congratulate our team members for helping Axos achieve another year of record earnings Thank you very much. with Tier 1 leverage to adjusted average asset ratio of 9.21 for the bank and 8.75% for the holding company in June 30, 2019, affords us with the flexibility to invest in strategic initiatives, opportunistic M&A, and share repurchases. With our strong and growing capital base and highly profitable business model, we were able to fund all our acquisitions with excess capital, while buying back approximately $47.8 million of stock in the 12 months ended June 30, 2019. Our strategic focus and priorities for capital have not changed. While I share in your disappointment that our strong financial results have not resulted in a commensurate stock performance, we are committed to making prudent capital allocation decisions to maximize returns for our shareholders. Before I turn the call over to Andy to provide additional detail on our financial results for Q4 and fiscal 2019, I'd like to invite you to San Diego October 31st for our Investor Day. We plan to provide additional details regarding our strategic plan and growth initiatives. It's a great opportunity to meet other members of our executive and management teams. Details for Investor Day will be included in the email that will go out later this week. The event is by invitation only and space is limited. Please contact Johnny Lai, VP of Investor Relations, if you'd like to attend and do not receive an email invitation. Andy?

speaker
Andy Micheletti
Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Greg. First, I wanted to note that in addition to our press release, our 8K was filed with the SEC today. It is available online through EDGAR or through our website at accessfinancial.com. Since our fiscal year ended on June 30th, we will file our 10K by the end of August. Second, I will highlight a few areas rather than go through every individual financial line item. Please refer to our press release or 8K for additional details. For the quarter ended June 30, 2019, net interest margin was 3.81%, up 10 basis points from the quarter ended June 30, 2018. As a result of the acquisition of core clearing in March 31, 2019 quarter, the consolidated net interest margin includes the impacts of securities margin lending and borrowing to fund those securities activities. In our press release in 8K this quarter, we have added a separate banking segment calculation of our net interest margin. For the quarter ended June 30, 2019, the banking segment net interest margin was 3.87%, up 12 basis points, from the quarter ended June 30, 2018. The banking segment net interest margin, when excluding the seasonal impact of H&R Block for the quarter ended June 30, 2019, was 3.87 percent, up four basis points from the fourth quarter of 2018. There was no net impact in this year's fourth quarter from the H&R Block loans and excess liquidity versus a nine-basis point impact in the fourth quarter of 2018 due to capital constraints related to the seasonal excess liquidity that no longer exists. Despite deposit competition and challenging yield curve, we had a solid improvement in our bank net interest margin, helped in part by strong growth in our non-interest-bearing deposits. Shifting now, our credit quality remains good, with a total of 19 basis points of net charge-offs this fiscal year, the same as last year. If you exclude the 13 basis point loss associated with the refund advance loans and the two basis point loss from our unsecured consumer loans, our net charge-offs to average loans and leases was four basis points, for the year ended June 30, 2019. The credit performance of the refund advance loans this year is in line with our expectations. We had 2.4 million of refund advance loans outstanding at June 30, 2019, which we recorded as a receivable. From July 1st of 2019 to July 30th, we received approximately 1 million more RIA payments, bringing in the RIA receivable balance to approximately 1.4 million as of today. Because the outstanding RIA balance is recorded as a receivable, our loan loss provisions will not be impacted by future collections of this receivable. Our non-performing assets, the total assets ratio of 50 basis points this quarter, up slightly from the 48 basis points in the third quarter of 2019. The majority of our non-performers are single-family mortgages with loaned values at or below 60%. We do not anticipate that these loans will result in any loss to the bank. Stockholders' equity increased by $112.5 million to $1,073,000,000 as of June 30, 2019, compared to $960 million as of June 30, 2018. The increase was primarily the result of our net income for the 12 months ended June 30, 2019, of $155 million. The bank is very well positioned from a capital perspective. The Tier 1 capital was 8.75% for the holding company and 9.21% for the bank as of June 30, 2019. We deployed approximately $103 million of our excess capital to fund acquisitions and 56.7 million to buy back our common shares in the 12 months ended June 30, 2019. We have approximately 8 million remaining in our buyback authorization. With that, I'll turn the call over to Johnny Lai.

speaker
Johnny Lai
Vice President, Corporate Development and IR

Johnny Lai Thanks, Andy. Operator, we're ready to take questions.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Thank you. We will now be conducting a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You can press star 2 if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. One moment, please, while we poll for questions. And thank you. Our first question comes from the line of Brad Burning with Craig Howland. Please proceed.

speaker
Brad Burns
Analyst, Craig-Hallum Capital Group

Good afternoon, guys. Congrats on the progress. I wanted to talk a little bit further in regards to the balance sheet restructuring on the deposit side. And I was wondering if you could talk through a couple more details on that. Start with, what does the period and net interest margin look like versus the quarter average, given it looks like period and balances had some pretty major restructurings versus the average balances during the course of the quarter, given loan-to-deposit ratios and how much CDs were down and how much federal home loan banks were down. Can you talk about where that's at and then talk about the progress of how you expect the rest of that restructuring to kind of take course over the remainder of the calendar year here?

speaker
Andy Micheletti
Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, I think in Greg's prepared remarks, he kind of summarized, you know, what our broad thoughts are and that, you know, generally we expect to maintain our NIN in that 380 to 4%. So with that, he also highlighted kind of some of the repricing we have. So some of our C&I loans will reprice if we have a 25 basis point or more cut tomorrow or actually on Friday, sorry. So we're looking at that as a small tailwind versus the ability to reduce our deposit rates and our lending rates going forward. So right now, I would estimate that we're in a pretty good equilibrium relative to that 3.87 to 3.8 range. And as we would go forward, we would look to both reduce deposit rates commensurate with any reduction in the loan rates.

speaker
Greg Garabrantz
President & Chief Executive Officer

And we also do have off-balance sheet deposits, significant off-balance sheet deposits still from Axos Clearing. as well as from Axos Fiduciary Services as well. So that will be a benefit associated with that. Obviously, in each case, you're trading off, you know, fee income for, you know, deposit benefits and lower interest expense. But those are out there as well with respect to, you know, to thinking about how NIM will evolve in the future.

speaker
Andy Micheletti
Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

One benchmark would be our bankruptcy fiduciary services. We're at about $550 million at the end of June 30th. So as you know, that grand total is closer to 900 million. So we've got a ways to go on that product. So we'll get something of a lift as that continues to grow. But I think our summary is exactly that.

speaker
Brad Burns
Analyst, Craig-Hallum Capital Group

It's just a quick follow-up. Would it be safe to assume given the average deposit mix versus the period end deposit mixes that we see that you're starting the quarter at a higher point

speaker
Greg Garabrantz
President & Chief Executive Officer

Well, I think that there already has been a reduction in LIBOR that has flowed through prior to the rate cut. So I don't think that's a great assumption.

speaker
Brad Burns
Analyst, Craig-Hallum Capital Group

Understood.

speaker
Greg Garabrantz
President & Chief Executive Officer

Because remember, and I know you know, I mean, obviously the benchmarks are different. So that's something to just think through.

speaker
Brad Burns
Analyst, Craig-Hallum Capital Group

Yep, understood. Okay, that's very helpful. Much appreciated.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Andrew Leach with Sandler O'Neill. Please proceed.

speaker
Andrew Leach
Analyst, Sandler O’Neill

Hey, guys. How's it going? Good.

speaker
Greg Garabrantz
President & Chief Executive Officer

Hi, Andrew. How are you?

speaker
Andrew Leach
Analyst, Sandler O’Neill

Good, thanks. I noticed the warehouse loan lines were up $113 million or so, and presumably every year those eventually end up paying off. Those payoffs do then serve as a headwind to loan growth later on. I guess with that headwind later on in this calendar year, what gives you confidence that that you'll be able to continue to reach that low teens annualized loan growth?

speaker
Greg Garabrantz
President & Chief Executive Officer

Well, with respect to the warehouse lines, I think, remember, those are primarily government. you know, low warehouse lines to independent mortgage bankers. So if rates continue to decline, we would expect those balances to go up. So if you're looking forward, you know, in a very long period to another rate cycle, then you always have to think through that. But frankly, the demand in that business is very high and the pipeline in that business is very good. So I think when we look and we're forecasting what we have from a loan pipeline perspective, that's how we are getting to those estimates. Now, that being said, you know, prepayments are high and competition is high, so there's obviously always the potential that we don't reach that objective, but we think we have a reasonably good shot at it, and I don't believe that... the warehouse, the agency warehouse business will be a decrement from that loan growth. I think it will be a net contributor, particularly given the rate environment that at least it appears that we're entering into.

speaker
Andrew Leach
Analyst, Sandler O’Neill

Okay. Thanks. That's really helpful. But on the broker-dealer fees here in the quarter, the $6.7 million, Is that a good number to model off going forward? This is the first full quarter with that revenue stream, so I'm just curious if that's what we should be using.

speaker
Andy Micheletti
Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

Yes, we would use that number.

speaker
Andrew Leach
Analyst, Sandler O’Neill

Okay. I will step back. Thanks. We've covered my other questions.

speaker
spk00

Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Michael Perito with KBW. Please proceed.

speaker
Michael Perito
Analyst, KBW

Hey, good afternoon. I wanted to first ask you about the mortgage banking gain on sale. It obviously had a nice quarter. I imagine the rate environment was supportive there. Here's kind of a two-part question here. Can you talk about, you know, kind of the sources of that origination activity and how you expect that to trend moving forward now, assuming we enter kind of the consensus rate outlook? And also, secondly, what the margins, the gain-on-sale margins were like, and whether you think there's some good market conditions for those types of rates to be sustained?

speaker
Andy Micheletti
Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

Yes, so total originations for the quarter were 102 million, producing a net gain of 2.3 million. So quick math, it's a 2.3 margin. However, we do have adjustments for, for example, the MSR adjustment is in there, and the one negative about rates coming down is that you take a small clip on your MSR. So, you know, but at 100 million in originations and 2.3 million of gain, you have a rough estimate.

speaker
Greg Garabrantz
President & Chief Executive Officer

I think the – I think that – so with respect to where they're coming from, you know, we have – So it is a marketing-driven and data-driven process to bring those loans to us, but we think the marketing cost has trended in a very strong way and a good way for us. We continue to cross-sell mortgages to an ever-increasing group of customers. We've had some decent success with the nationwide marketing, and that's just getting started. So, you know, I think that's – obviously the rate environment helps. So I think that should be a positive coming into the next year, hopefully.

speaker
Michael Perito
Analyst, KBW

Got it. Thank you. And then – On the expense side, with this whole 2019 kind of in the books here, and as you look out, and I imagine this will be a topic discussed at your Investor Day in October, but just the I was wondering if you could maybe just repeat or remind us, you know, kind of your thoughts on overall efficiencies for fiscal 2020, but also more broadly, what's some of the more meaningful investments you think that are going to be completed next year and kind of just, I know it's kind of a broad question, but, you know, why you think they're so critical and what type of revenue opportunities you think they could drive long-term. It'd be just great to get an update. Thanks.

speaker
Greg Garabrantz
President & Chief Executive Officer

Sure, no problem. So, So let's talk about Axos Clearing first. So the platform that we built, the Universal Digital Banking Platform, we call it a banking platform, but it really is a very flexible platform that can be utilized to add the securities, information, and services inside that platform. So the first opportunity that we have is with the more than 100,000 high net worth customers that clear through CORE, those independent broker-dealers are starving for an integrated solution and a portal for their clients. So over the next year, we will create that portal and deploy that portal to those clients. Those clients will then benefit from Axos Banking Services, but the broker-dealers will also benefit from the and those clients aren't seeking those banking services elsewhere to more integrated banks. So first and foremost, we have a fantastic group of clients, high net worth individuals that are serviced through these independent broker-dealers that need that service. They also need a great account opening platform. The good news is we have a great one on the banking side. It needs to be modified for the securities business, but that those two things alone are very exciting to drive independent broker-dealers to the Axos platform. And we've had several nice wins with respect to firms that are switching from firms that just haven't catered to those technology needs. So these smaller IBDs are very, very focused on how they can get technology to those end customers. So that's a big part of that. And it's a great source of client acquisition as well. In fact, over the last several months since we bought Core, we added 8,000 high net worth clients from two broker-dealers that transitioned and signed up to Axos Clearing. So that's one set of investments. The next, and maybe call that the intermediated sort of channel, the next channel and opportunity is that if you've noticed, and I'm sure you have, if you see whether Robinhood applying for a bank charter or all these different robo-advisory firms offering banking products, what you're seeing is the recognition that the customer acquisition costs associated with these acquisitions and the services that these customers are seeking requires that digital-focused banks have investment advisory services embedded in their platforms. So that... success that Schwab's had and others that have had with respect to that and the direction that you clearly see in the industry is something that we can accomplish and do it in an extremely cost-effective way because we own the entire value chain, right? If you don't own a clearing company, you're not going to be able to offer this type of trading services that we can offer or the type of investment advisory services at the cost that we can offer. if that customer ends up banking with us. So the reality behind this is that the competitive offering of the future with respect to this is much more integrated. So that's the next, that's the other component of that. Now, they're all derivatives of the same platform investment, but they all have specific elements that have to be developed. So that's That's really the core of what that looks like. So then if you flip forward a year, what you have is you have a consumer platform that has those services available to their customers and is attracting customers from a customer acquisition cost perspective through a free robo-advisory platform. Those are incredibly sticky clients. And then you have in the intermediated basis, you have a competitive differentiation in order to attract customers to access clearing. So that's the idea.

speaker
Michael Perito
Analyst, KBW

Helpful. And then just – sorry, I'm sure you guys mentioned it, but I jumped on the call a couple minutes late. But just the efficiency ratio, do you guys have any initial thoughts on that? fiscal 2020, if you don't mind repeating them, if you mentioned them already.

speaker
Greg Garabrantz
President & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you very much. Yeah, I think that having a – that looking at a full-year banking efficiency ratio where we were in that below 40 range is a reasonable modeling measure. we guided into that high 80s, low 90 range for the entire fiscal year, given the investment that needs to be made there. Now, obviously, we don't expect it to stay there over the long term, but this is a longer-term strategy, and so we need to ensure that we're investing there appropriately to accomplish some fairly critical objectives.

speaker
Nick Dufala
Analyst (stepping in for Steve Moss)

Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Scott Valentine with Compass Point Research. Please proceed.

speaker
Nick Dufala
Analyst (stepping in for Steve Moss)

Scott, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question. Just with regard to the C&I portfolio, just wondering how much of that is coming from sponsors? Is most of that still coming from sponsored transactions? Just wondering what the environment is there. We're hearing more and more competition in that space with regard to covenants and other items.

speaker
Greg Garabrantz
President & Chief Executive Officer

Well, so most of it is coming from sponsors, but we're not participating in the cash flow thing. business, sponsor-backed, leveraged lending business, we don't do that business at all. Or I shouldn't say at all, maybe there's a couple of very small pieces of transactions, but that's not the business. So, yeah, we don't. We definitely, there's no loosening of standards, loosening of covenants, loosening of collateral protection there with respect to what we have. And, yeah. So, yeah, I think that's a different animal.

speaker
Nick Dufala
Analyst (stepping in for Steve Moss)

Okay. And then just I understand you have some New York City commercial real estate. Any impact on the change in the housing laws there?

speaker
Greg Garabrantz
President & Chief Executive Officer

Not really. I think that the reality of our portfolio, we had some low LTV, permanent multifamily loans there, but we were never really competitive in that market. because it was a the rent control laws resulted in most of the big competitors having an 80% loan to value and doing non-recourse transactions and we were we are a very low LTV shop so we were never able to really compete there it with respect to that market a little bit, because I think there is a little bit of consternation, but it's not particularly impactful on us. It's kind of interesting because obviously what it should do is it should shift. It will have a lot of impacts, but one of the impacts it will have is it will shift development towards newer development, right, which would not be constrained by some prior... binding on the future in that interesting way that was passed.

speaker
Nick Dufala
Analyst (stepping in for Steve Moss)

Okay. And then one final question. You mentioned capital management. You guys are generating excess capital. In terms of M&A opportunities, I understand you guys are working on integrating and building products, but just wondering would you be able to take advantage of any M&A opportunities that come your way?

speaker
Greg Garabrantz
President & Chief Executive Officer

You know, I think certainly that's something we're always looking at, and we have a fairly narrow focus with respect to what we're interested in doing from an M&A perspective. I think we're reasonably well set up strategically to do what we need to do, and I don't foresee a need to do something more right now. However, you know, there are components involved of the securities business that might be interesting as bolt-ons or things like that, and we would certainly, you know, be able to look at those. But, yeah, I mean, it obviously depends on the size. It depends on a lot of things with respect to, you know, it depends on the currency you utilize, those sort of things. But we're certainly not limiting ourselves with respect to what we look at.

speaker
Nick Dufala
Analyst (stepping in for Steve Moss)

Okay. All right. Thanks for taking my questions. Sure. Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Edward Hemmelgarn with Shaker Investments. Please proceed.

speaker
Edward Hemmelgarn
Analyst, Shaker Investments

Yeah, hi, Greg. Just one question, or well, actually two. When, if you look at your, you know, all the investments that you're making, which appear to be good, when would you expect to move more from, you know, the investment phase, I mean, what you're doing now, to more of where we start seeing more of harvesting or improvement of margins?

speaker
Greg Garabrantz
President & Chief Executive Officer

How long do you think that... Well, I think the reality with respect to things like... It depends on what you're talking about, right? If you're thinking about, let's say, the access fiduciary services investments, the reality is that a lot of banks with a primarily fixed rate loan portfolio saw... their margins have a significant negative impact associated with them, right? So if someone would have come back and said years ago that we were asset sensitive, I think that that would have, you know, people would have been skeptical of that given the fact that we have such great downside protection in rates and the way we structure our lending book, which is primarily a fixed rate book. So I think that you are seeing those benefits with respect to loan and margin rates in a lot of the things that we're doing because we aren't competing in an online savings environment that has big competitors like Goldman Sachs offering 280 rates. So I think that that's very important to understand that you are seeing those benefits already in the fact that we've been able to diversify the loan book in a significant way, and we've been able to increase margins with a 75% fixed rate loan book in a flat yield curve environment, right? I mean, if you step back, I mean, you know, it's always difficult to do because, you know, obviously the answer is, you know, I want more. But that's one answer. So that's with respect to those things. The next answer is with respect to the new developments in with respect to what we're looking to do on the consumer banking platform inside. And I'll tell you that those benefits continue to generate incremental improvement in lots of different ways, and they offset lots of other costs that otherwise would accrue going over $10 billion doing all these other things. So, for example, we digitized – at least from a customer perspective, almost all the interactions that customers have with us for wires, for beneficiary changes, and all those elements inside the platform in the last quarter since it was launched. That provides the customers a much better user experience. It should result in retention, all these other sort of things. We still have some work to do to get the straight-through processing done through the – through the operational side of that business, and that will result in better scaling efficiency as we grow on that side of the house. So by having these interaction platforms set up, what you do see is you do see that you can scale without having to have a commensurate and proportionate increase in selected operational personnel because you're digitizing those things. So that's an important benefit. And that benefit is going to be realized progressively over time in a methodical manner because it's not one thing. You know, there's 3,500 process diagrams at this bank, right? So every one of those processes you can look at with respect to this and you can work through how those operational advantages accrue. Of course, the other element is that, you know, offering services to new and existing clients with respect to the Axos Invest side, it allows you to have a contest for customer acquisition cost between digital acquisition of checking account customers and digital acquisition of Axos Invest customers. sales are, and you're looking and you're saying, which is the best way to scale that customer base? Is it better to advertise an access invest platform and then get a 20% to 30% by way of example cross-sell with respect to a larger banking relationship or to go from banking in reverse? And the reality of that is we have our models and hypotheses, and we have prior data on what Wise Banyan was able to do from an acquisition cost perspective, but we don't know. And we're not going to know that either until we actually complete the service offering, and then we go out in the market and we test that. And when we do that, the market is going to have changed itself because you're having lots of these fintech companies that looking at banking charters or trying to figure out how to offer more comprehensive services because they're recognizing the same issue that we are, which is that customer acquisition cost in a digital environment needs to be amortized over the appropriate product set. So like all of these things, I think, unfortunately, I'd love to give you a simple answer, but that would... that wouldn't be accurate.

speaker
Edward Hemmelgarn
Analyst, Shaker Investments

Well, I guess another way to think about it is two questions. When would you expect to start seeing margins in the securities business improving?

speaker
Greg Garabrantz
President & Chief Executive Officer

I think we'll see gradual. I think we'll definitely see improvements in that business in the fiscal year 2020, but you'll see gradual improvements in it. Well, let's put it this way. There are already, and we're already seeing improvements in that business in a number of ways. One is that the credibility of the firm broadly is bringing in clients. We have been able to streamline operations there. We have lots of initiatives and ability to make the businesses more efficient. However, We will also be investing that money, all of it and more, in improving that business such that it is legitimate competitor to Pershing and to National and those sorts of things, or Fidelity's National. So what you're going to see is there are improvements happening, but those funds are going to go to getting better personnel. We just hired a head of ops from one of the big three guys who's the head of ops for that whole place, and so we're upgrading the team. We're investing in technology. We're investing in their systems and processes. We're investing in risk. We're doing all that stuff. And so that's going to offset what we're doing. But then when you're looking into that 2020 period, what you're having is you're actually having an incredible source of customer acquisition and also an amazing source of very stable cash balances that arise from this. You can look at other competitors that have done this, and it's been an incredibly successful process. strategy with respect to gathering low-cost deposits that have strong longevity?

speaker
Edward Hemmelgarn
Analyst, Shaker Investments

Oh, no, certainly. I mean, I don't disagree with the strategy. I was just trying to think about it as like a, you know, is it going to be like a 2021 type frame where you really start to see that driving improved results for the tax as a whole?

speaker
Greg Garabrantz
President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, look, I think that this year, with respect to the securities business, you should focus on investing in that. And I think that coming into that June timeframe of next year, that there definitely will be – we will be set to go with respect to what we're doing there.

speaker
Edward Hemmelgarn
Analyst, Shaker Investments

Okay. And then lastly, just one more question. Now that you've had the Universal or the digital bank platform up and running for a quarter, can you give any examples of something that you're doing right now, I mean, a success that you've had that you couldn't have had in the past?

speaker
Greg Garabrantz
President & Chief Executive Officer

Oh, yes. I can give you many, many examples. Well, the first and foremost example was that we were able to take the nationwide customers all on and create specific profiles with respect to the way they wanted to treat certain risk segments of their customers. They both had a very high-end customer segment, and they had some other customer segments that needed to have a variety of different limits and a variety of different risk parameters, and we were able to customize those. The next thing we were able to do is go through every customer interaction, every fax that comes into the bank, every wire form, every one of those elements, and we were able to create digitized interactions in the platform so that customers now have a seamless experience and they don't have to interact with the bank telephonically or through fax. with respect to any service that they need or any account maintenance opportunity. Another was that we were able to integrate a driver's license capture and liveness photo capture match to be able to reduce fraud and to increase the quality of CIP within the platform. So, you know, it's a better user experience because of the speed at which it autofills everything, and also it allows us to have a great way of identifying someone. Because obviously there's been a lot of identity compromises over time So the quality of credit data with respect to being able to make risk-based decisions, let's say on the credit data that's reported through different types of questions has declined over time as that credit data has become more widely available to bad guys. So our ability to enhance security is another example of that. So there's... There's lots of, another one was that if you have a new, if you have an existing account, let's say you have a savings account and you want to open a checking account because a checking account is a credit product previously, you'd have to go out and restart an application in its entirety. Now you can go through that process internally online and open an additional account and go through that additional process inside the platform rather than having to go outside the platform, and it seamlessly does all that work for you. So those are the type of things that are happening every day to improve the process, and we have complete control over it now. So as we go through, we have an interactions task force, and that interactions task force looks at every contact that happens in the institution. Why is someone calling the servicing group? They're asking for a payoff statement. They're asking for a loan balance or whatever those things are or to make a certain kind of payment. All of that data is being analyzed and then pushed through the development queue to enable a better customer experience. It's more secure because they're coming through the secure platform and then they're also able to self-service more in a way that enhances customer satisfaction and over the long term results in operating scale. So, I mean, those are just some of the things. You've got the interaction side of it, which reduces operating costs. Then you've got the new product side of it, which allows us to incorporate other elements into the platform. The security side, then utilize that platform effectively for end clients on the consumer and intermediate basis.

speaker
spk00

Okay, thanks. Sure.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Steve Moss with B. Riley FBR. Please proceed.

speaker
Steve Moss

Good afternoon. This is actually Nick Dufala stepping in for Steve Moss. Hi, Nick. Hey, so you mentioned in your presentation in your prepared remarks that Jumbo single-family originations rebounded last quarter. So just wondering what the rate you were seeing in these mortgages today and also how overall new loan origination rates compared to existing portfolio runoff rates.

speaker
Greg Garabrantz
President & Chief Executive Officer

Sure. So I think that there, with respect to the question, there basically is, say, mid to lower fives is roughly where they are. And I would say that they're relatively consistent with respect to runoffs and others. But we do think, obviously, with what's happening in the rate environment, we're going to have to be looking carefully at that and whether or not we will need to be looking at some of the fixed rate lending products and what rates we're charging based on market competition. We think the answer to that is yes. Now, we have run our models forecasting what we will need to do from a rate reduction perspective if market rates go down, and we are forecasting that we will have to reduce rates there, and we're still getting to that NIM guidance. So that's, you know, that's obviously in an environment where we're going to be looking at what happens from a competitive standpoint, but we're going to have to react to it to some extent, I'm sure.

speaker
Steve Moss

Okay, that's helpful. And could you give us some flavor of the beta on interest-bearing deposits if we were to see 50 basis points cuts by year-end?

speaker
Greg Garabrantz
President & Chief Executive Officer

You know, that question is very dependent upon what type of deposits we're talking about. And so the way that we have provided guidance with respect to that is giving you some guidance with respect to the repricing of loans and then giving you a margin guidance. I think with respect to that, that implies a deposit data, but the reality of this is that the reason why I'm not giving you that is because it's complicated. Because we have... current off-balance sheet deposits that are very low cost, both in clearing and at AFS, that can come on balance sheet depending upon what we see from a growth perspective in our different units. We also have great pipelines for deposits in some of the commercial businesses. How those come to fruition and the timing of them are quite influential. So all of those together, we've looked at, we've modeled those out, and come up with the conclusions that we've provided to you.

speaker
Steve Moss

Okay. Makes sense. Thanks, guys.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Sure. Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Gary Tenner with DA Davidson. Please proceed.

speaker
Andrew Leach
Analyst, Sandler O’Neill

Thanks. Actually, my questions were asked and answered. Appreciate it.

speaker
Greg Garabrantz
President & Chief Executive Officer

Okay.

speaker
Andrew Leach
Analyst, Sandler O’Neill

Thanks, Gary.

speaker
Greg Garabrantz
President & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Thank you. We have reached the end of our question and answer session. Allow me to hand the floor back over for closing remarks.

speaker
Greg Garabrantz
President & Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, everyone, for your interest in Access Financial, and we'll talk to you next quarter. Have a good rest of the day.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Thank you. This will conclude today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time, and thank you for your participation.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

Q4AX 2019

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