Axos Financial, Inc.

Q2 2022 Earnings Conference Call

1/27/2022

spk00: Greetings. Welcome to the Axos Financial Inc. Q2 2022 earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. Please note this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to your host, Johnny Lai, VP of Corporate Development and IR. Thank you. You may begin.
spk01: Thanks, Alex. Good afternoon, everyone, and thanks for joining us for today's Axos Financial Links second quarter 2022 financial results conference call. Joining us today are the company's president and chief executive officer, Greg Gerbrandt, and executive vice president and chief financial officer, Derek Walsh, and executive vice president of finance, Andy Micheletti. Greg, Derek, and Andy will review and comment on the financial and operating results for the three and six months ended December 31st, 2021, and we will be available to answer questions after the prepared remarks. Before I begin, I'd like to remind listeners that prepared remarks made on this call may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, and that management may make additional forward-looking statements in response to your questions. These forward-looking statements are made on the basis of current views and assumptions of management regarding future events and performance. Actual results could differ materially from those expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements as a result of risks and uncertainties. Therefore, the company claims the safe harbor protection pertaining to forward-looking statements contained in the Private Security Litigation Reform Act of 1995. This call is being webcast, and there will be an audio replay available in the Investor Relations section of the company's website located at AptosFinancial.com for 30 days. Details for this call were provided on the conference call announcement and in today's earnings press release. All of these documents, including the 10-Q and an earnings supplement, are now available on our Investor Relations website. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to Greg for opening remarks.
spk05: Thank you, Johnny. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us. I'd like to welcome everyone to Axos Financial's conference call for the second quarter of fiscal year 2022, ended December 31, 2021. I thank you for your interest in Axos Financial and Axos Bank. We had an excellent quarter with double-digit growth in loan originations, net income, book value per share, and earnings per share. Our strong results were broad-based, with net interest margins exceeding the high end of our targets. and balance net interest income and fee income growth across our consumer banking and commercial banking segments. Securities, which is comprised of the direct-to-consumer securities trading business, managed portfolios, and our B2B security clearing and custody business, maintain solid client assets and sweep deposit balances despite a challenging quarter for the industry. Axos reported second quarter net income of $60.8 million for the three months ended December 31, 2021, and earnings per diluted share of $1, representing year-over-year growth of 11% and 9.9% respectively. Our book value per share was $25.60 at December 31st, 2021, up 17.5% from December 30th, 2020. The highlights for this quarter include the following. Ending loan balances were $12.6 billion, up 6.1% link quarter, are 24.4% annualized. Strong loan originations on our auto and various C&I lending loan types more than offset a small decline in our single family mortgage warehouse lending business. Net interest margin was 4.1% for the second quarter, down from 4.22% in the quarter ended September 30th, 2021, and up 16 basis points from 3.94% in the quarter ended December 31st, 2020. Net interest margin for the banking business was 4.3%, compared to 4.48% in the quarter ended September 30 of 2021, and 4.11% in the quarter ended December 31, 2020. We have successfully maintained a strong net interest margin and generated loan growth toward the higher end of our annual target through the first six months of our fiscal 2022. We continue to make steady improvements in our funding mix, with non-interest bearing deposits increasing by approximately 215 million from September 30th, 2021. Non-interest bearing deposits represented approximately 31% of our total deposits at December 31st, 2021, a significant improvement from 19% in the corresponding period a year ago. Our efficiency ratio for the three months ended December 31st, 2021 was 48.78% compared to 48.71% in the first quarter of 2022. ratio for the banking business segment was 39.39% for the second quarter of 2022 versus 39.93% in the first quarter of 2022. We achieved positive operating leverage in our banking business as a result of strong net interest income growth year over year and continuous focus on managing our operating costs. Diluted earnings per share of $1 were up 10% from $0.91 in the year-ago quarter. Including one-time operating costs and non-cash merger-related depreciation and amortization expenses, our diluted earnings per share was $1.04 for the three months ended 12-31-2021, an increase of 10.6% year-over-year. We continue to generate strong returns while maintaining excess capital. We generated a return on equity of 16.29% in the second quarter and a return on assets of 1.63%. Capital levels remain strong with Tier 1 leverage of 10.13% at the bank and 9.42% at the holding company, both well above our regulatory requirements. Our credit quality remains strong with annualized net charge-offs to average loans of one basis point down from 16 basis points in the second quarter of fiscal 2021. We added $4 million to our loan loss provision this quarter to support our strong loan growth. Total allowance for credit losses was $140.5 million at December 31, 2021, representing 121 times our annualized net charge-offs and 1.1% of ending total loans. Total loan originations for the second quarter ended December 31, 2021, or $2.8 billion, up 15.8% from the $2.4 billion in the year-ago period. Loan originations for investment were approximately $2.6 billion, an increase of 35% from the corresponding quarter a year ago. Q2 2022 originations were as follows. $179 million of single family agency gain on sale production, $385 million of single family jumbo portfolio production, $132 million of multifamily production, $26 million of commercial real estate production, $85 million of auto and unsecured consumer loan production, and $2 billion of C&I loan production resulting in a net increase in C&I lending loan balances of $758 million. Mortgage banking gain on sale income generated $4.6 million compared to $5.3 million in the quarter ended December 31, 2021, and $10.6 million in the corresponding quarter last year. Originations decreased by approximately 11% late quarter to $179 million while margins were down due to normalization in the single family mortgage gain on sale market across the industry. We anticipate lower mortgage banking gain on sale in the next few quarters as rising interest rates reduce demand for mortgage refinancing. Our pipeline of single family agency mortgages was $141 million at January 25, 2022. Our jumbo single family mortgage business continues to be stable. We generated $385 million of loan production, offsetting elevated prepayments. Ending loan balances at December 31, 2021 were flat, in line with expectations. Demand for purchase transactions continues to be solid, as reflected in our jumbo single-family mortgage pipeline of approximately $600 million at January 25, 2022. We are working on a few initiatives that could potentially generate fee income in our jumbo single-family lending businesses in the second half of calendar 2022. CNI lending had a tremendous quarter. Loan originations were $2 billion, reflecting strong growth across our commercial specialty real estate business, lender finance, and construction lending. Our strong relationships, knowledge and structuring, and track record of execution have resulted in a steady expansion in loan production and net balances. Demand remains strong across loan types and geographies with a backlog of approximately 572 million at January 25, 2022. Given the large average loan size for CNI versus our jumbo single-family and multifamily loans and competition from banks and non-bank lenders, a few deals can have an outsized impact on our ending CNI loan balances. Ending balances in our mortgage warehouse portfolio were $595 million, down $60 million from $655 million at September 30, 2021. Our single-family warehouse business continues to focus on growing with existing and new customers. While balances will fluctuate based on underlying demand for mortgage refinancing, we continue to generate strong returns in this business. We have maintained operational efficiency while investing and upgrading our technology, infrastructure, leadership, and team members in incubating new businesses. Our business banking segment efficiency ratio was 39.4%, and 39.7% for the three and six months ended 12.5%. salary and benefit expenses were up 4.7% and 5.1% for the three and six months ended December 31st, 2021. With merit-based increases in additional staffing hiring expected in calendar 2022, we anticipate that the year-over-year increase in salaries and benefit expenses will likely be up a few points around the 7% to 8% range in line with what we've seen in prior years. We have a series of operational efficiency initiatives across each business unit that will result in cost savings as we grow and various businesses become more mature. Additionally, we continue to incur incremental expenses related to the integration and modernization of our tech infrastructure in our clearing and custody business. Once we complete the transition of access advisory services to self-clearing and sunset redundant conversion-related workflows, we expect to make more meaningful improvements in the overall efficiency of our securities business. We grew deposits by 4.4% linked quarter to $12.3 billion, with broad-based growth across our small business, commercial, and securities deposits. Checking and savings, representing 90% of total deposits at 12-31-2021, grew at the fastest clip, increasing by 5.9% linked quarter. Consumer deposits, representing approximately 30% of total deposits at 12-31-2021, is comprised of consumer direct checking, savings, and money market accounts. The weighted average demand and savings deposit costs were 17 basis points at December 31st, 2021, down 18 basis points compared to 35 basis points as of December 31st, 2020. We strategically repriced our consumer deposits six months ago in advance of closing the Axos Advisory Service acquisition. Since then, we've focused on increasing the share of wallet with existing consumer banking clients and on adding new consumer deposit relationships through affiliate marketing and cross-sell. We're optimistic that additions of new features in the online and mobile banking platform, including the upcoming release of what we're calling UDB 2.0, and further product enhancements in our self-directed trading and managed portfolios, will generate incremental growth in consumer deposit balances. Average non-interest-bearing demand deposits was $3.7 billion in the quarter ended December 31, 2021, up from $3.5 billion in the quarter ended September 30, 2021. Growth in non-interest-bearing deposits came from our securities and commercial deposit businesses. Axos Clearing continues to generate low-cost deposits that we were able to put on or off balance sheet. Total client deposits from our custody and clearing business was approximately $2.2 billion at December 31, 2021. We kept $1.5 billion of that $2.2 billion on Axos' balance sheet. The flexibility to keep these low-cost deposits off balance sheet and generate fee income from other banks or on access as balance sheet to support our bank's loan growth will be an even bigger advantage when interest rates rise and competition for deposits increases. Our small business and specialty commercial and treasury management business, including our fiduciary service business, continues to contribute to low-cost core deposit growth. We continue to opportunistically hire commercial bankers to our team and leverage our low-cost, high-service model to attract new commercial banking customers from branch-based competitors. We remain slightly asset sensitive to changes in interest rates. Yields on loans originated in our single family jumbo, multifamily, and CNI loans were 3.94%, 4.26%, and 4.55% respectively in the three months ended December 31st, 2021, compared to the 4.93% average loan yield in the second quarter that just ended last month. We tactically reduced pricing on high quality lending opportunities while maintaining our credit standards and terms given our success reducing our cost of funds. Competition and demand remains high across most of our lending categories. Approximately 46% of our loans are 5-1 arms with a rated average duration of three years. All of our CNI loans, with the exception of our $96 million equipment leasing portfolio, have rates that adjust to changes in the underlying index rate. While we're not currently seeing any meaningful changes in deposit competition, Our ability to continue reducing our funding cost is more limited than it was a year ago, particularly in periods when we have loan growth at or above the high end of our target. We have additional funding flexibility with our $2.2 billion clearing and custody deposits. Currently, approximately $725 million of that $2.2 billion of deposits from our securities businesses are held at partner banks, earning an average interest rate of 44 basis points. Depending upon our organic loan growth and our incremental funding costs for new deposits, we may decide to bring more of those deposits on our bank's balance sheet or push more of the deposits off to partner banks. For internal modeling purposes, we assume that the marginal benefit from the first Fed Fund's rate increase to be slightly north of 50% with a higher beta on each successive rate increase. We will continue to evaluate the tradeoff between maintaining a strong net interest margin and a healthy rate of growth in our loan portfolio. With a strong start in the first six months of our fiscal 2022, we are confident that our full-year net interest margin will exceed the top end of our 3.8 to 4.0 range for the full year of fiscal 2022. Our credit quality remains healthy. Annualized net charge-off to average loans was one basis point, same as September 30, 2021 quarter. Non-performing assets and total assets was 94 basis points for the quarterly same as the quarter ended September 30th, 2021. Of our non-performing loans, 83.8% are single-family first mortgages where we've had historically very low realized losses. Of our non-performing single-family mortgage loans at December 31st, 2021, approximately 91.8% have an estimated current loan-to-value at or below 70%, and approximately 98.9% are below 80% of our best estimate of current loan-to-value. Given the low loan-to-value on our single-family mortgages, we do not anticipate incurring material losses on the vast majority of our delinquent single-family loans. We had no loans in forbearance at December 31, 2021. Our loan loss provision this quarter was $4 million, which is the same as the loan loss provision of $4 million in the quarter ended September 30, 2021, and down from the loss provision of $8 million in the quarter ended December 31, 2020. The decrease in loan loss provision from one year ago reflects adjustments in loan portfolio max and changes in macroeconomic factors impacting our credit loss models. The $4 million of loan loss provision for each of the past two quarters reflects strong loan growth in our overall loan balances led by C&I lending. Our total allowance for loan losses was $140.5 million at December 31st, 2021, approximately 1.1% of our total loans and approximately 121 times our total annualized net charge-offs in the three months ended December 31, 2021. Our loan pipeline remains solid with approximately $1.7 billion of consolidated loans in our pipeline as of January 25, 2022, consisting of $141 million of single-family agency gain-on-sale mortgages, $600 million of jumbo single-family mortgages, $284 million of multifamily and small-balance commercial real estate loans, $572 million of CNI and commercial specialty real estate loans, and $71 million of auto and consumer unsecured loans. With healthy demand for loans across multiple loan categories and growth above our target range for the first six months of fiscal 2022, we remain confident in achieving low-teens loan growth in fiscal 2022. We continue to generate strong returns, with return on average common equity of 16.29%, and a return on average assets of 1.63% in the three months ended December 31st, 2021, respectively. Our overall banking and business efficiency ratios are 48.8% and 39.4% for the three months ended December 31st, 2021, respectively. We're making good progress with the integration of Axos Advisory Services, the RIA custody business we acquired from Morgan Stanley approximately five months ago. Overall profitability for Axos Securities in the December 2021 quarter was negatively impacted by lower average margin lending balances and lower transaction-based revenue at Axos Clearing due to industry-wide declines in trading volume. We see meaningful opportunities to improve the profitability of our security business over time as we consolidate systems, automate manual processes, eliminate redundant workflows, and transition to a more efficient, more scalable tech infrastructure. We remain on track to generate slight accretion for the AAS acquisition in fiscal 2022. Our capital ratios remain strong, with Tier 1 leverage to adjusted assets at 9.42% at the holding company and 10.13% at Axos Bank. We have access to approximately $1.9 billion of federal home loan bank borrowing, $1.8 billion in excess of the $158 million we had outstanding at the end of the second quarter. Furthermore, we have $2.4 billion of liquidity available at the Fed discount window as of December 31, 2021. Our capital priorities remain unchanged with a focus on using our capital to support organic loan growth, reinvest in our existing and emerging businesses, and deploying excess capital for opportunistic buybacks and accretive M&A. Our securities business had a next quarter with stable assets under custody and higher client deposit balances and lower trading fees and margin lendings. Broker-dealer fee income increased 128.5% in the second quarter compared to the corresponding period last year due to the addition of fee income from the AAS acquisition. Excluding one-time related merger expenses and non-cash depreciation and amortization, Exos Clearing generated $1.8 million of pre-tax income for the quarter ended December 31, 2021. Exos Clearing ended the first quarter of 2022 with approximately $37 billion of assets under custody or administration, including $26 billion of assets under custody and $11 billion of assets under administration in the clearing business. Transaction-based fees for Axios Clearing in the second quarter of fiscal 2022 were negatively impacted by lower transaction volumes from introducing broker-dealer clients and reduced security lending. We completed the RIA custody acquisition approximately five months ago, and we're excited as ever about the long-term opportunity to grow the combined Axios Clearing business. We see four primary strategic and financial benefits from this business, which we rebranded Axos Advisory Services. First, we see significant opportunity to gain wallet share from existing RIAs and broker-dealers that clear a custody sum or all of their assets with another custodian other than Axos today. As a non-competitive custodian with a high-touch service-centric model and a strong capital base, we're in active communication with dozens of RIA firms about adding Axos as their custodian. We're laying the foundation to become a more integrated clearing custodian by streamlining back-end systems and processes and completing some important and needed conversion activities. One example of a deferred conversion activity is to make Axos Advisory Services self-clearing. Doing so will eliminate redundant processes, reduce operating costs, and potentially free up capital that is required to run the business, particularly during times of extreme market volatility. Third, we see strategic opportunities to add banking, lending, and other services to RIA broker-dealer and their end clients. Competition for advisory clients and advisors is fierce, and we can provide a comprehensive set of banking, clearing, and custody services to help our advisors retain and grow their practices. Whether it's integrated banking, tech integration to third-party service providers, succession or M&A financing, or mortgage lending for advisors' wealth management clients, Access is committed to serving our advisors. Finally, the integration of our clearing and custody teams, systems, and operations will expand the product and revenue opportunities for both. For example, Axos Advisory Services has not historically offered margin lending or options trading because it operated as a bank custodian. Now that we're operating as a broker-dealer custodian, we intend to make the necessary technological investments to enable custody clients to access margin and option trading. We have a healthy pipeline of technology and product enhancements that we intend to roll out over the next four to six quarters. First, we intend to add new features such as multi-owner, multi-signer enrollment for our small business banking and convert our digital small business banking platform to the universal digital bank. We will further integrate our self-directed trading and managed portfolio user experience into UDB. And by refining the front and back-end processes and making it easier to transition an open new accounts through UDB, we hope to increase cross-sell of consumer lending, trading, and deposit products. Second, we are exploring a few new businesses that would generate incremental fee income. As I mentioned earlier, we're expanding our capabilities in single-family mortgage lending to add securitization for agency and non-agency mortgages. This will generate incremental fee income and help offset the expected normalization in our mortgage banking gain-on-sale agency business. Another product under development is our retail cryptocurrency trading service. which will allow Axos Invest customers to easily open a cryptocurrency trading account, fund the account quickly by transferring funds from an Axos bank account, trade a limited number of cryptocurrencies, and hold their digital assets in a secure Axos digital wallet, and see their positions and values all in the Axos application. Many individuals lack the understanding and confidence to open a separate crypto brokerage account. And while they are interested in diversifying and yield benefits from owning cryptocurrencies, They are fearful of the security complexity and lack of transparency in trading and holding these assets, either in a private or exchange-hosted wallet. Our initial direct-to-consumer crypto offering will reduce the friction, complexities, and costs associated with trading and owning crypto for retail clients. We anticipate launching our retail cryptocurrency trading in the next two to three months. Finally, we're making good progress building out our white-label banking solutions for introducing broker-dealers and RIAs. Our vision is to enable advisors, broker dealers, and their reps to offer checking, savings, mortgages, and other consumer banking products to their mass affluent and high net worth clients through an easy-to-use digital app that is powered by Access. At the same time, we'll provide us with a new low-cost acquisition channel for our consumer bank. I'm proud of the performance we've achieved and excited about the opportunities we have to further grow our securities consumer and commercial banking businesses. We have successfully navigated through multiple credit and interest rate cycles, various regulatory policy changes, periods of intense and benign competition, and shifts in technology and end user behavior by maintaining a consistent focus on product development, operational efficiency, and human and capital management. Our future success will depend on our ability to execute on our strategic and operational initiatives in a timely and productive manner. The great news is we have a strong foundation that includes a seasoned management team, diverse businesses that generate above average returns, and a tech-enabled model that provides the potential for positive operating leverage. We'll continue to invest in our platforms, teams, and processes and strike the optimal balance between near-term profitability and long-term growth. Now I'll turn the call over to Derek, who will provide additional details on our financial results.
spk02: Thanks, Greg. To start, I'd like to highlight that in addition to our press release, an 8K with supplemental schedules and our 10Q were filed with the SEC today. and are available online through EDGAR or through our website at axosfinancial.com. I will provide some brief comments on a few topics. Please refer to our press release and our SEC filings for additional details. Turning to our quarterly performance, I'll start by focusing on select areas of our non-interest income. Our prepayment penalty fee income was $3.3 million for this quarter ended December 31, 2021, up from $3 million for the linked quarter ended September 30, 2021, and up from $1.6 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2020. This quarter marked a high point for us. As we continue to grow our commercial lending, the likelihood of fluctuations in this category will also increase, dependent upon deal fee structures and prepayment activity. Next, our broker-dealer fee income increased $2.6 million to $14.4 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2021, compared to $11.8 million in the linked quarter ended September 30, 2021. As the advisor business was added in August 2021, this December quarter was the first full quarter of revenue production from AAS recognized in the broker-dealer fee income line and constituted the majority of the increase over the linked quarter. In banking and service fees, we had income of $8.5 million this quarter ended December 31, 2021. up from $6.7 million from the quarter ended September 30, 2021, and down from $10 million in last year's December quarter. The increase in the linked quarters is due to annual fees for certain IRA products in the December quarter. The decrease year-over-year is related to the exit of the H&R Block relationship that formally ended in December 2020. In that December 2020 quarter, in completing our contractual commitments with HRB, we earned $2.5 million, which did not recur in the December 2021 quarter. Moving to non-interest expense, for the quarter ended December 2021, operating expense was $86 million, up $1.6 million from the linked quarter ended September 30, 2021. The primary reason behind the increase in operating expenses is due to the full impact of operations from AAS in the December quarter compared to the September quarter, which only had AAS operational expense for two months of the quarter. Salaries and related costs decreased $0.7 million on a linked quarter basis. This was primarily due to merger-related efficiencies and increased outsourcing. Depreciation and amortization expense increased $1.1 million from $5.7 million at September 30, 2021, to $6.8 million at December 31, 2021, primarily due to the addition of amortizing and tangible assets from the advisor services acquisition. Shifting to our interest rate management. We are well positioned for increased rates as our net interest income parallel shock of 200 basis points up at December 31, 2021, shows us asset sensitive and generates increased income of 8.8% for the first 12 months. Our asset sensitivity has improved over the last few years due to the following reasons. First, we've added high quality core interest bearing demand and savings accounts that have an average rate of 20 basis points, and combined with time deposits, are the lowest they've ever been at 32 basis points. Second, we have added businesses in recent years that provide significant levels of non-interest-bearing deposits, including our bankruptcy trustee business, advisor business, and clearing business. Third, our growth in commercial lending brings an increased level of monthly adjustable rate products, And lastly, the higher prepaid rates on our single-family jumbos shorten the duration of our single-family loan portfolio. With that, I'll turn the call back over to Johnny.
spk01: Thanks, Derek. Alex, we're ready to take questions.
spk00: Thank you. At this time, we will be conducting a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star 2 if you'd like to remove your questions from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. Our first question comes from the line of Andrew Leash with Piper Sandler. Please proceed with your question.
spk06: Hey, good afternoon, everyone.
spk04: Hi, Andrew. Question, Greg, for you. I think you mentioned the marginal benefit from the first Fed rate hike to slightly north of 50%. Were you talking about the deposit beta there, or what did he mean by that?
spk02: Yeah, he was talking about the deposits that we keep off the balance sheet at the other partner banks. So that's the clearing and advisor sweep deposits, of which we have a little over $700 million that sit at those partner banks. So that's recognized as fee income, non-interest income. So as rates move up, we expect to receive a good chunk, good increases as those north of that 50% beta as we move forward.
spk05: Right. Yeah, and I think that, yeah, Andrew, with respect to your question, you know, we looked at, obviously we have a lot of floating rate loans now, and they have various floor rates. So For some guidance there, we looked at it, say, for the first 25 basis points increase, we had about a $3 million increase annually in net interest income, and then another $8 million roughly for the second increase. And that's just on the income side. That's not making any assumptions on the deposit side.
spk00: And then...
spk05: So that's just the first couple of increases, what the benefit would be. And then, obviously, once you're hitting the floors, we try to be thoughtful about floors, but there are floors at the, you know, 50 and 75 basis point levels and such that prevent summer pricing, even on the variable portfolio.
spk04: Got it. Okay. Yeah, thanks for the clarification there on those off-balance sheet funds, too. What are you assuming for a deposit beta in your modeling with the accounts with the deposits that you have on your balance sheet. My sense is that it's going to be much less than the last rates up cycle. And I'm just curious what you're using now versus what was the beta back then.
spk05: You know, I think one good way to think about it would be that, you know, given that we have deposits that can be off balance sheet and we obviously expect to grow those deposits, we're hopeful that we could get some, you know, meaningful offset with respect to those off-balance sheet deposits. We expect it to be a lot better, and I don't know if we're prepared right now to give you a specific number, but I don't think we're going to have to be doing a lot of movement in the first couple of rate hikes. I really don't. For all the securities deposits and for the bankruptcy deposits, When rates were 175, the rates were three basis points and zero on those deposits. So all of that's going to stay. We think we've done a lot on the commercial side. It depends somewhat on what happens to the competition. We have a great checking account based on the small business side, very diverse accounts, very transactional in nature. So I think we're in pretty darn good shape, you know, but we'll also have to see how the market reacts, too. I think that may make a difference.
spk04: Right, right. And then just on the C&I growth, you mentioned that a few deals can have an effect on end-of-period balances, just the larger size that they have. Is that what happened here in this quarter? No, no, I think that's in there.
spk05: I think that's in there as a caveat that I don't really see. I see C&I Balance is doing very well. The growth was actually spread across a wide variety of loans this quarter, so the production was great across the board in a number of different businesses. I think that's more about a forward-looking way of looking at that, that there's just a little more variability there. in that growth given the size of those loans. We still expect the growth to be quite good. There's just more variability. And I think maybe another way to say that is don't pencil in $700 million of loan growth this next quarter. Maybe that's easier to say.
spk04: Yeah. Makes sense. All right. Thanks for taking the questions. I'll step back.
spk00: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Steve Moss with B. Riley Securities. Please proceed with your question.
spk06: Good afternoon.
spk03: Hey, Steve. Maybe just following up on loan growth here, I think the guide for the fiscal year is low teens growth. You guys are about north of 10% here on loan growth. Kind of curious. That seems a little bit conservative and kind of curious to see how you're thinking about maybe upside to that number.
spk05: Yeah, I think there will be upside to that number. I think it is conservative. You know, look, we don't give exact guidance on this, but we don't expect it to be, let's put it this way, if I was to give a range where it's, I don't expect it to be 700 and I don't expect it to be 350 either. I expect it to be somewhere, you know, in between those numbers and, you know, with the commentary that obviously You know, there's a lot of things moving around, so any one quarter can obviously move, but we do think they'll be upside from that. I certainly would expect the teams to perform at a higher level for this remaining six months given what we've done in the first six months of the fiscal year.
spk03: Okay. Appreciate that. And then on expenses, I hear you on the, I think it was 70% comp growth, but maybe just more specifically for the securities business, you know, there's talked about duplication earlier and the ability to have cost saves, but at the same time, a number of different investments to be made and ongoing. Just kind of curious, you know, how we think about, you know, expenses for that business and different moving drivers and maybe just, you know, stepping back from that also expense growth overall for you guys for the second half.
spk02: Yeah, you know, I think... Sure, I can take that. Yeah, so a couple different considerations there. One, it's definitely going to be on the clearing side, security side, it's definitely going to be driven by the market and transactions. If there's a pullback in the market, we see a lot less transaction-based fees and transaction activity. And so that reduces a couple different areas, the base clearing fees, The SEC borrow, SEC lending will reduce a little bit. Margin lending will reduce a little bit. When the market's humming, those are all areas that are up higher. So that has one impact on fees. On the integration aspect, so there's going to be kind of from a numbers standpoint, you'll see fits and starts from that in a sense. Nothing from a significant manner, but there'll be periods where we may have some Higher expense, nothing significant, but those will be kind of stabilized over time. And then you have periods where we have some lower expense, in part because we are able to capitalize a lot of the integration and software development that we are doing. So as we look forward in that business, we don't expect necessarily significant swings of expenses by any means. There'll be kind of incremental growth as we grow that business, to summarize it.
spk05: Yeah, I think that's right. You know, there's, over the long term, there's so much opportunity to make that business more efficient. You know, if you look at the operations staff, and there's hundreds of people together in that business, as we get white-labeled UDB out to the clients, the ability to deal with, to increase straight-through processing, for example, which makes our costs cheaper and it makes the experience better, is there and available. And there's just so much opportunity. There's opportunities across the board, really, to make that business more efficient. And it's taken us, you know, we've been at a very disciplined operational structure at the bank for, you know, more than a decade, right? And that just is something that the securities business is getting access to tools, technologies, and so it's improving all the time. And we are getting benefits from it immediately because we're knocking down the low-hanging fruit, but there's just so much opportunity there over the longer term. In the short term, I think, you know, Derek's explanation is quite good because the reality is there's, There's short-term opportunities, but there's short-term additions and where it's going to shake out. I don't expect it really to – that business to be driven so much by in the shorter term a lot of increases or decreases in operating costs, and it's more driven by the market. And then it's also driven by – sometimes it's interesting because our deposit balances have shot up quite a bit in this volatile environment. So when people go to cash, we benefit from that. Those deposits are extremely low cost or essentially zero. So, you know, that's an offset as well, depending upon how we use that money. And if it's a higher rate environment and we're bringing it off, that that'll be helpful as well. So, you know, the long-term benefits of the business are going to be there. We're already seeing... because we have so much in deposits that are lower cost and we're continuing to grow those businesses, it also gives us pricing power across our deposit portfolio and a lot more power to price our commercial and consumer deposits more aggressively because we do have that backstop and that off-balance sheet potential that we can use for our own organic loan growth.
spk03: Okay, that's helpful. And, you know, obviously with the liquidity you have off balance sheet and kind of the drivers you have to support lower deposit data, you know, any thought about, you know, formally moving up your NIM guidance range from the 3% to 4% to a new higher level? No.
spk05: And the reason why is that if you saw and you look at the numbers, we did, we gave you the rates on the loans, we basically decided that we wanted to increase loan growth a little bit, and I think that interest rates on our loans will be stable to up from where they were this quarter, but there's still a difference between the average rate that we have in the portfolio and the average rates that we are originating loans at. So to the extent that we don't get price increases on the loans, I think it's better guidance to stick with that NIM and not increase it, given that. So I think, you know, I look, we're obviously always interested in taking pricing where we can, but frankly, we, you know, having good loan growth is also, is important and probably more important than quibbling over 10 basis points here and there, although... We do our share. We do our fair share equivalent too.
spk02: And let me bifurcate that or clarify that a little bit, because we do expect to be north of that 3.8 to 4% for this fiscal 2022, but our long term guidance is the 3.8 to 4%, so we don't see a point in kind of changing that for this individual year. But given obviously where we've been the six months through the year, we expect will be slightly north of that 4% mark.
spk03: Right. Okay. I appreciate all the callers. Thank you very much.
spk00: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Michael Perito with KBW. Please proceed with your question.
spk08: Hey, good afternoon. Thanks for taking the questions. Hi, Michael. I wanted to follow up on Steve's question on the AIS business. If we look at the full quarter impact here on the securities business segment reporting in the 10Q, has about $16.5 million of non-interest income, about $21.6 million of non-interest expense. I guess as we think about those figures going forward, I guess obviously the revenue piece, you guys have been pretty clear, you expect to grow as you scale. But on the expense side, is there – room for that to move down or moderate of investments you guys are making that are making that elevated, or is it more going to kind of level out and grow, but you just expect the revenue growth to outpace the rate that you grow that expense figure?
spk05: I think that it's going to be relatively level to slightly up for, let's say, the six to nine months, but not materially. And then there's real opportunities to – make that business more efficient. They're really big. And it just has to, but it's complicated because it involves some software investments and things like that. But the opportunity for straight through processing there, the opportunity to increase volumes and maintain the personnel structure is massive. It's really big. Think of it like taking over like the, the most inefficient branch bank that exists and basically making it like what we are on that side. It's just a lot, right? But it's going to take time. So it's not a six-month thing. And it's not the fault of the teams there. Those businesses were not massive. They didn't have the capabilities we have. They don't have the experience in driving operational efficiencies and things like that. There's just a lot. There's a lot there, which is great. We want it as fast as we can, but there's a lot of things that have to happen. It's really a lot about changing customer workflows and things like that. Those take time because they're not only technology changes, they're also behavioral changes in the way customers interact, how they're used to doing things, and how to increase those efficiencies. And there's also opportunities on the core processing side, which I don't want to spend a lot of time on, but those opportunities are quite significant, and we have some really cool plans there. But those are longer term. Those are like two to three years out, but those are going to be big. And then there's some shorter-term stuff that we mentioned earlier, Obviously, we had a very short timeframe to close this acquisition, and so there are pieces that are resulting in duplicated processing charges. We're not even self-clearing at AAS, so we're paying a third-party clearing firm, which we don't need to do. So there's stuff like that that's going to happen, and that's going to offset some of the investments we're making in the shorter term. But I think you've got to really, for the next year, I wouldn't be penciling in big savings or big increases. It's just going to take some time to make this work. And obviously the biggest benefit right now is we just have, we're just such a better liquidity position than we've ever been. But this is going to generate fee as well and cross-sell. It's a great group of clients. I mean, we have, we're talking, you know, 300,000 higher net worth individuals that we ought to be able to be able to get banking services out to. We can get all the platforms integrated in the right way. And everybody's excited about that. So it's an exciting future for sure.
spk08: That's helpful. Thank you. And then as you guys think about that next phase of kind of scaling the a lot of the investments you guys are making, not just in AAS, but on UDB 2.0 and just the general platform. I mean, how do you think, obviously on the lending side, the sales group is huge. pretty strong. I know you guys constantly add there and it kind of the proof is in the pudding. But as you think about kind of marketing and selling the ability to, to offer those cross banking products to AAS customers and things of that nature, kind of how far out are you in building out that type of effort? And, and, you know, where do you guys think that will head in the next 12 to 18 months?
spk05: You know, I think, I think there are different pieces of it that are, are further than some. We have, we have our beta version of our account opening system in with our clearing clients. So with a clearing client that we're going through, it's a white label account opening system that can be offered to broker dealers that clear through Axos Clearing. That helps in a lot of different ways. It helps them be more efficient, and it helps us be more efficient, right? Because those accounts go right into the system. They don't require manual touch. That's an example of those sort of things. The white-labeled UDB on clearing is probably a little bit further along than it is on custody because that means UDB has to be integrated into the custody core, which is probably maybe a year exercise, something like that. Then you also have to get the adoption. You know, nobody's really done this well yet, right? So this is a pretty interesting strategy, pretty good one, I think. And then you've got to obviously, you know, see the uptake. But there's a lot of real benefits and synergies that can be created. I mean, obviously, just to give you a very simple example. So, you know, if you're trying to get a check into the market right now, our customers are let's say if they're using a check, they're sending that check to their RIA, and that RIA is often forwarding that check to us, right? I mean, that's kind of – and you look at that and say, what's that? And then that check is manually processed, right? If somebody has UDB and they have a bank account and that happens immediately, you can use your risk engine and clear that check instantaneously, right? So that's so much better across the board. An RIA doesn't want to be mailing a check. They don't want to be using an RDC machine for a check by filling out, right? None of that stuff should make sense. But without the integration, you take a very simple process and you make it more complicated. A disbursement, right? Well, you're cutting a check for a disbursement when somebody wants to take money out or sending a wire to a third-party account as opposed to making instantaneous transfers. So there's just There's so many things like that, and when you break down all the individual activities, you just see so much synergy there on the operations side and on the cross-sell side. But, I mean, partly the way that that ends up is you see it in a lower beta. You see it in lower deposit costs. I mean, we've really transformed the deposit franchise in a very meaningful way. you know, as you can see, right, with the amount of non-interest-bearing deposits and everything else. And we just think that's going to be a continued focus and something that will really benefit from having those businesses.
spk07: That's helpful. Thanks for talking through that. And then on the –
spk08: One last question for me, just on the regulatory capital side, I apologize that I missed something on this in the prepared remarks, but it looked like the risk-based assets were up pretty significantly quarter on quarter, if I'm looking at it right, and there was some movement down in the reg cap ratios. I mean, obviously, you guys are still all capitalized. I'm just curious what was kind of going on there. Was that just Some remixing, it looked like obviously securities were lower on the average balance sheet, C&I loans were up relative, but just curious if there's anything else kind of going on that drove that variance.
spk05: Yeah, I mean, I think that we had, you know, single-family jumbo was stable but didn't grow, and the growth was in the 100% risk-weighted asset category mostly. So, you know, that does bring to bear the question over the longer term of, you know, if you're growing in only 100% risk-weighted assets, which we pretty much did this quarter, or you have increased commitments, which is sort of, you know, part and parcel to the CNI business, which requires some capital, then obviously that is less capital efficient than single or qualified multifamily loans. So that's something we're keeping an eye on and, you know, just have to, you know, be focused on. So like you said, we're still very well capitalized, and obviously the leverage ratios are great, but as the businesses shifts that way, that's something that we have to pay attention to.
spk08: Great. Thank you, guys. Appreciate it.
spk06: Thank you.
spk00: Ladies and gentlemen, we have reached the end of the question and answer session. I will now turn the call over to Johnny Lai for closing remarks.
spk01: Great. Thanks, everyone, for your interest and for joining us. We will talk to you next quarter. Thank you.
spk00: This concludes today's conference, and you may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation, and have a wonderful day.
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Q2AX 2022

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