10/22/2025

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Welcome to Barclays Q3 2025 Results Analyst and Investor Conference Call. I will now hand over to C.S. Venkata Krishnan, Group Chief Executive, before I hand over to Anna Cross, Group Finance Director.

speaker
C.S. Venkata Krishnan
Group Chief Executive

Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining Barclays' third quarter 2025 results call. We are well into the second half of the three-year plan, which we shared with you in February 2024. I'm very pleased with the momentum and consistency of progress which we have shown in the last seven quarters. This quarter, our top line income increased by 11% to 7.2 billion pounds from 6.5 billion pounds in the same quarter last year. Our income growth has allowed our tangible net asset value per share, TNAV, to rise to 392 pence compared to 384 pence per share in the previous quarter. And we have delivered a third quarter ROTE of 10.6%, which equates to 12.3% for the year to date 2025. We are therefore upgrading our 2025 ROTE guidance to greater than 11%, and we are reaffirming our 2026 target of more than 12%. Our returns are supported by a stronger outlook for stable income. We now expect group NII for 2025 to be more than 12.6 billion pounds, up from more than 12.5 billion pounds. And this has been supported by UK lending momentum, positive stability and operational progress in the US consumer bank. Further, we are pleased to bring forward a portion of our full year distribution plan with a 500 million pound share buyback. This is the result of a strong capital generation of a CET1 ratio of 14.1% and disciplined execution of our capital priorities. This buyback will commence as soon as the current one is completed. Looking ahead, we plan to announce buybacks quarterly, reflecting the consistency of our capital generation, and this is subject, as usual, to regulatory and board approvals. And we reiterate our guidance to return at least 10 billion pounds of capital over our three-year plan. with a progressive increase in the total payout for 2025 versus 2024. Over the past seven quarters, we have simplified our businesses, rebalanced our footprint, and are generating higher returns. Our progress has raised our expectations, and we see how much more potential there is to be realized in Barclays. Hence, alongside our full year results for 2025, Anna and I aim to share with you new targets for Barclays through to 2028. The group is delivering strong top line momentum, efficiency savings that are earlier than planned, and loan losses within our planning range. We are well positioned to achieve the circa 61% cost income target for 2025, despite an additional provision for motor finance, and this reflects strong delivery of planned efficiency savings. And we are managing credit within our range with a 57 basis point loan loss rate, and this is despite a well-publicized single-name charge in the investment bank. Our plan is delivering operational improvements across each of our divisions and is driving structurally higher and more consistent returns. In the third quarter, we achieved our circa 500 million pounds gross efficiency savings target for 2025, and this was one quarter earlier than planned. And we remain focused on delivering the circa 2 billion pound gross efficiency target by the end of 2026. having achieved £1.5 billion so far. All divisions generated a double-digit ROTE again this quarter. This included a 1.3 percentage point year-on-year improvement in the investment bank's ROTE to 10.1%, and a 2.6 percentage point improvement in the U.S. consumer bank to 13.5%, reflecting continued operational progress in the business. And we are driving stronger and more consistent group returns through active and disciplined capital management. We are rebalancing the group by growing RWAs in the three highest returning UK businesses, where we continue to see good momentum. We are simplifying the group. And in August, we announced the sale of our stake in Intercard to Swedbank. And we are demonstrating our commitment to shareholder distributions with today's buyback announcements. In summary, the momentum of our operational progress has increased our confidence and expectations for the group. Improvements in the consistency of our returns also mean that we are more strongly equipped to help clients navigate the still uncertain environment and to provide a foundation for our plan and targets through to 2028, which we look forward to discussing with you in February. Anna, over to you now to take us through the third quarter financials.

speaker
Anna Cross
Group Finance Director

Thank you, Venkat, and good morning, everyone. Slide four summarizes the financial highlights for the third quarter. Before going into detail, I would remind you that the year-on-year performance in Q3 was impacted by a weaker US dollar, which reduced our reported income, costs, and impairments. Return on tangible equity was 10.6%, including double-digit returns in all five divisions. This was lower than last year, reflecting 8% growth in tangible book value and a 235 million motor finance provision, which also reduced our profit before tax and earnings per share. Notwithstanding this provision, I remain focused as ever on the operational performance of the business, which has continued to strengthen, and the signs of momentum that I described to you last quarter are visible across the businesses in today's results. Income in Q3 increased 9% year-on-year to $7.2 billion. This was driven by growth in stable income streams, now accounting for 76% of group income from retail and corporate and financing within markets. Group net interest income increased 16% year-on-year to $3.3 billion. We now expect Group NII, excluding IB and head office, to be more than $12.6 billion for FY25, up from more than 12.5 billion previously, driven by three developments. First, the signs of UK lending momentum that I called out last quarter have continued and in places strengthened. Second, operational progress in the US consumer bank is translating into stronger NII growth of 12% year on year this quarter. And third, Stable deposits for the group have supported full reinvestment of the structural hedge at yields that exceeded our planning assumption. We have now locked in £11.8 billion of gross structural hedge income in 2025 and 2026, up from £11.1 billion last quarter. Whilst our plan assumed that we reinvest 90% of maturing hedges at 3.5%, Q3 was more favourable on both yields and notional hedges. We have locked in hedges at a higher rate than planned at circa 3.8%. The stability of hedgeable customer balances throughout 2025 also underpinned two developments. First, we have fully reinvested in maturing balances for the past four quarters with the notional funding at $233 billion in Q3. We now expect the hedge notional to remain broadly stable. And second, our decision this quarter to increase the average hedge duration from three to three and a half years. This increase reflects the stability of hedgeable balances and further supports the predictability of structural hedge income. As we said previously, the structural hedge is expected to drive multi-year NII growth beyond 2026. For 2027 specifically, The yield on maturing hedges is around 2.1%, which remains significantly below the expected reinvestment rate. Moving on to costs. The group cost-income ratio was 63% in Q3. Total costs increased by around 500 million year-on-year, or 14%, which included a 235 million motor finance provision within head office. Following the SCA's proposal for an industry-wide redress scheme, our charge reflects the increased likelihood of a greater number of cases being eligible for redress. Specifically, the provision has been calculated using a scenario-based approach with probability weightings being applied to them. As Venkat mentioned, we have already delivered circa 500 million of gross efficiency savings in 2025, showing further progress towards the circa 2 billion target by the end of 2026, around half of the increase in investment costs related to the addition of Tesco Bank. The remainder relates to structural cost actions in the quarter, with around 190 million recognised so far this year. Looking ahead, we expect structural cost actions to be around the top of the 2 to 300 million normal annual range during 2025, Inclusive of the motor finance provision, we remain well positioned to deliver a circa 61% cost income ratio in 2025 in line with guidance and the high 50s target in 2026. Turning now to impairment. The Q3 group impairment charge of £632 million equated to a loan loss rate of 57 basis points. This includes a lower than expected day one charge following the acquisition of General Motors card balances due to lower than forecast delinquency rates on the book. Excluding this effect, the group loan loss rate was 52 basis points. This included the circa 110 million single name charge in the investment bank. More broadly. The UK and US credit picture remains benign, with low and stable delinquencies in our consumer books and wholesale loan loss rates below our through-the-cycle expectations. And we continue to expect a group loan loss rate within the through-the-cycle guidance of 50 to 60 basis points for FY 2025. Focusing on the U.S. consumer bank, 90-day delinquencies are stable, with a seasonal 10 basis point increase in 30-day delinquencies in the quarter to 2.9%. Consumer behavior remains resilient, as can be seen on slide 39 in the appendix. Excluding the day one charge for GM, the loan loss rate of 436 basis points was broadly stable year on year. As a reminder, Q4 impairments tend to be seasonally higher, and we continue to expect a post-acquisition stage migration charge for the GM portfolio of circa 50 million for the next few quarters. Turning now to our UK lending momentum. We have now shown the slide for a few quarters, and I'm pleased to say that momentum continues. Let me call out some highlights rather than talking through each area in detail. In mortgages, we have grown balances for the past five quarters and Q3 net lending of 3.1 billion was higher than in any quarter since 2021. We are achieving this in two ways. First, by expanding the product range with full utilization of the Kensington brand, increasing the mix of higher LTV lending to levels more in line with the market. Second, we are improving processes. This year, we launched a new platform to more than 26,000 mortgage brokers, which has reduced application processing times from around 45 to around 15 minutes on average. This has significantly improved broker net promoter scores and has increased the capacity and efficiency of the mortgage business. In the UK corporate bank, lending grew for the fourth consecutive quarter and by 17% year-on-year as we continue to increase market share. More than half of this growth came from new clients acquired since 2024, a key strategic focus for the business. And we continue to simplify the borrowing process for new and existing clients. In both cases, we have further to go, supporting our plan to deploy 30 billion of UK business growth RWA by 2026. Turning to Barclays UK in more detail. You can see financial highlights on slide 13, but I will talk to slide 14. R&TE was 21.8% in the quarter. NII of 1.96 billion increased 18% year-on-year and 6% quarter-on-quarter, with NIM up 13 basis points versus Q2. Around half of this increase came from the reinvestment of the structural hedge. Consistent with the guidance we gave you, product margin increased NII by 50 million in the quarter. A large part of this move was due to the phasing of historic swaps income, which, as we called out last quarter, suppressed product margin in half one. We expect a broadly neutral product margin contribution in Q4 and remain confident in our guidance for NII to exceed 7.6 billion in 2025. Non-NII of 292 million rose versus Q2, reflecting seasonally higher holiday spend and some one-off effects, and we would expect this to be lower in Q4. Costs were stable versus Q2, but increased by 19% year-on-year, mainly reflecting Tesco Bank and structural cost actions in Q3. As we told you previously, we expect the cost-to-income ratio for Barclays UK to increase this year from 52% in 2024 before falling to circa 50% in 2026. Moving on to the Barclays UK balance sheet. Deposits remain broadly stable versus Q2, though competition for higher rate deposits continued in Q3 and is likely to persist. lending grew for the fifth consecutive quarter and by 7% year-on-year, driven by mortgages. As a broader market trend, mortgage refinance activity remained elevated and we expect this to continue into the middle of next year as five-year fixed-rate mortgages written during the stamp duty holiday in 2020 and 2021 mature. Our retention experience remains strong in the quarter, and the capability improvements that I called out earlier are supporting lending momentum. Moving to the UK Corporate Bank on slide 17. Q3 rating was 22.8%. Income growth of 17%, exceeded cost growth of 5%, leading to an improved cost-to-income ratio of 45%. NII growth of 24% reflected stronger volumes. Lending increased 17% year on year, supporting a 70 basis point increase in market share to 9.3%. Deposit market share of more than 20% also increased and balances grew by 5% year on year. Together, this growth supported a 3 percentage point increase in the loan to deposit ratio to 33%. Turning now to private bank and wealth management. Q3 ROTI was 26.4%. Client assets and liabilities grew 10% year on year, and assets under management grew by 12%, supported by 0.7 billion of net new assets under management in the quarter. Strong client engagement supported deposit growth versus last quarter and last year. with a continued change in mix towards lower margin products as clients rebalance assets. Income grew by 3% year-on-year, though fell modestly versus Q2 as a result of this mix effect, and we expect Q4 income to be broadly stable versus Q3. Costs increased by 10% year-on-year, and the cost-to-income ratio rose to 73%, reflecting investment in the business. We expect to continue this investment to support growth and the high 60s cost to income ratio in 2026. Turning now to the investment bank. Before getting into the detail of the quarter, let me remind you that our focus in the IB is to drive consistently higher and more stable returns. Q3 ROTI of 10.1% increased 1.3% year on year. despite the single-name impairment charge, and year-to-date ROTI was 12.9%. This performance reflects operational improvements in the business, which are evident in the quarter. Stable income streams, financing in markets and international corporate bank in investment banking have accounted for nearly half of the IB's income this quarter. Income over average RWA has improved in every one of the last six quarters as a year-on-year matter and by 60 basis points in Q3. We also remain disciplined on costs with a sixth consecutive quarter of positive jaws. These improvements support the investment bank's income and returns in a wide range of environments. Turning now to look at income by business on slide 22. Using the US dollar figures, markets income was up 6% year on year, whilst investment banking fee income was up 11%. Let me highlight some areas of strength and some areas where we need to do better. First, on strengths. Financing income has now grown year on year for five consecutive quarters, including by 21% in Q3. In prime, we ranked joint fifth globally and client balances have grown circa 30% year-on-year. In the International Corporate Bank, stable income growth has been supported by the rollout of the Treasury coverage model now to 1,500 top clients versus 800 at the end of 2024. This has also helped to drive circa 20% year-to-date growth in U.S. deposits and strong growth in corporate FX and risk solutions revenues in the investment bank. And we have made good progress in M&A with sponsors, a key focus area where our year-to-date market share increased by circa 140 basis points year-on-year. In other areas, we need to do better. This includes corporate M&A, where we were less able to capture stronger activity in the quarter and in equity derivatives, where our performance was impacted by lower volatility. We also have more to do to sustainably increase market share in ECM, where we did not participate in some larger deals and others were pushed into Q4. Turning now to the U.S. Consumer Bank. Before I get into the numbers, let me first cover operational performance of USCB, starting with volumes. End net receivables grew by 10% year-on-year, of which around half related to GM coming on board at the end of August. As a reminder, we expect this acquisition to enhance RATI from Q4. NIST continued to progress towards the greater than 12% target by 2026, rising circa 110 basis points year-on-year to 11.5%, driven by three actions. First, Repricing that we undertook in 2024 continued to support margins as customers repay and rebuild balances on new terms and conditions. This accounted for around half of the year-on-year increase in NIM and Q3. Second, we continued to optimize the lending book mix. Following the acquisition of GM card balances at the end of August, retail partners account for 19% of end net receivables versus the circa 20% target by 2026, up from circa 15% at the start of the plan. Third, we continue to see strong core retail deposit growth, though, as expected, the increase in wholesale funding to support GM temporarily reduced core deposit funding to 68% of the total. These improvements in the income profile were complemented by ongoing progress to improve efficiency, supporting a 43% cost-income ratio in the quarter on track for the mid-40s target. All of these actions have contributed to the strong financial performance in the quarter, which you can see on the next slide. ROTI was 13.5%, up 2.6% year-on-year, and 9.4% year-to-date. Using the US dollar figures, income was up 21% year-on-year and costs up 6%. Stronger non-interest income accounted for around half of the income growth year-on-year, reflecting higher interchange and account fees. NII, which grew by 14% year-on-year and 12% quarter-on-quarter, was supported by stronger volumes and margins. The broad range of factors supporting higher returns in the US consumer banks reflect the operational progress that I outlined, underpinning our confidence in the sustainability of this progress. We ended the quarter with a CET1 capital ratio of 14.1%. This included circa 40 basis points of capital generation from profits. Given the consistency of our capital generation, a CET1 ratio of 14.1% and disciplined execution of our capital priorities, we have announced a 500 million share buyback. This brings forward our full year distribution plans rather than increasing total distributions for the year. The CET1 ratio pro forma for this buyback is 13.9%. RWA's increased 4.3 billion quarter and quarter driven largely by FX and the acquisition of the GM portfolio. Excluding FX, Investment bank RWAs remain broadly stable and accounted for 56% of the group RWAs. As usual, a word on our overall liquidity on funding on slide 28. We have strong and diverse funding, including a 74% LDR and an NSFR of 135%, and we are highly liquid across currencies with an LCR of 175%. These measures reflect purposeful and prudent management of our balance sheet, delivering resilience and capacity to support customers in a range of economic environments. TNAV per share increased 8 pence in the quarter and 41 pence year-on-year to 392 pence. Attributable profit added 10 pence per share during Q3, partially offset by dividends paid in the quarter and movements in the cash flow hedge reserve. The cash flow hedge reserve is expected to unwind by the end of 2026, adding to TNAV for share as it has in recent quarters. The more significant effects of earnings growth and buybacks give us confidence that TNAV will continue to grow consistently as it has done for the last nine consecutive quarters. So to summarise, we are pleased with the group's strong performance in Q3. This positions us well to deliver on all our 2025 guidance, and 2026 targets and provides a strong foundation to build from as we look to update the market on the second leg of our transformation journey. Over to you, Venkat, for concluding remarks.

speaker
C.S. Venkata Krishnan
Group Chief Executive

We are seven quarters into our 12-quarter plan and remain on track to deliver our goals. We are working hard to deliver sustainable operational and financial improvement across our businesses, and this, in turn, will generate higher group returns and drive shareholder distributions. I will now open the questions and answers. As ever, please limit yourself to two questions per person so we can get around as many of you as possible. And please also introduce yourself as you ask your questions.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

If you wish to ask a question, please press star float by one on your telephone keypad. If you change your mind and wish to remove your question, please press star float by two. Our first question comes from Guy Stebbings from BNP Paribas. Please go ahead.

speaker
Guy Stebbings
Analyst, BNP Paribas

Hi, morning, Venkat. Morning, Anna. Thanks for taking the questions. The first one was on the US consumer top line. Clearly very strong, up sort of 20% year over year, both non-interest income and the NIM moving up to 11.5%. Just helpful to understand if there's anything particularly lumpy in there. So I guess firstly just to confirm that we should be thinking about growth off that 11.5% NIM base given the sort of ongoing growth lending mix actions you've talked to and growth in retail deposit base. And then within that 250 million of non-interest income in Q3, anything lumpy in there you would point to to temper us away from analysing north of 800 million before thinking about things like gains on sales or portfolios next year. And then the second question was just on UK mortgages. From a volume perspective, very strong both net and gross lending. I think nearly 10 billion in gross lending is certainly above typical run rates. It's just interesting if that's the level you think you will continue to write at. and then from a sort of competitive perspective, what you're seeing in the market. I know the actions you're taking, and Kensington offers quite a bit of insulation, but are you seeing any competitive pressures on new lending spreads when you look at like-for-like lending? Thank you.

speaker
Anna Cross
Group Finance Director

Okay, thanks, Guy. I'll take both of those, and thanks for opening the call for us. Just on the U.S. consumer top lines, I think what you're seeing coming together now is a real combination of all of the operational actions that we've been undertaking over the last few quarters. And you can see that on a new slide on slide 24. Because it's drawn from those operational actions, we do have confidence in its sustainability. Really what's driving the NIM is the things that we've talked about before. So it's the repricing, which remember takes some time to work its way through into the NIM. because customers need to draw down on those new terms and conditions. It's also the increase in the level of retail deposits. And retail deposits are about 50 to 60 basis points cheaper than the other sources of funding we've had previously. And then thirdly, there is this increasing proportion of retail balances, which are higher NIM. So I expect... over the next couple of quarters, Q4 and Q1, to be broadly at the level of NIM that we're currently running at, around 11.5. I'm not going to guide you to Q2 and beyond, because obviously, once we exit the AA portfolio, that NIM's going to jump up again. So I will guide you to that a little nearer the time. In terms of non-interest income, there's a couple of things going on in there. The first is obviously the increase in volume that we're seeing, not just from GM, but also the organic growth in this business. So if you go back to the equivalent quarter just before the start of the plan, we've grown 13% since then. So you're seeing that coming through in non-NII and you're also seeing some improvement in partner sharing agreements just reflected in that number. So we do have confidence in the momentum and the income line. I just remind you that this is a seasonal business and you get that seasonality in NII because of balances, but you also get it in non-interest income. But yeah, we're pleased with that progress. In UK mortgages, you know, the UK mortgage market is robust and we see that across the piece. We see it in house purchase. First-time buyers are up 11% year on year. We're seeing strong levels of refinancing. And the margins in Barclays, if you like, in the more vanilla book, have been broadly stable over the last few quarters. Obviously, we're seeing a margin benefit coming through from Kensington, which is three to four times higher. And really what you're seeing here is our capabilities reaching the marketplace. And by that, what I mean is both the product breadth, because we now got Kensington in play, but also the operational capabilities because we launched a new broker platform which is working extremely well. The only thing I'd call out for you is we're about to enter a period market-wide, it's not a Barclays thing, where we've got coming to maturity the five-year business that was written during the stamp duty holiday in FY20 and FY21. That's at relatively wide margins. So you're going to see a little bit of sort of churn compression, if you like, come through on that. But, of course, we've captured that in the guidance that we've already given you around NII progression for BUK. Thank you. Next question, please.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from Jason Napier from UBS. Please go ahead.

speaker
Jason Napier
Analyst, UBS

Good morning. Thank you for taking my questions. The first one, just looking at competitive conditions in US investment banking, we've had some of the peers talk about potentially very significant levels of additional capital that's available for deployment following some of the deregulation and stress test changes. And Prime appears to be one of the places that they may be looking to allocate additional capacity. So given it's a focus for the bank, could you just talk about whether you think you have additional capital to deploy given the changes in things like stress tests and what you're seeing on product margins and that sort of thing? And then secondly, on the non-bank financial intermediary space, thank you for the additional disclosures. Those are really welcome and it's good to see the impairment charge at a group level below consensus today. Venkat, I wonder whether you could talk a little bit about risks in that industry. how mature the exposures are, whether there are any vintages we should be bothered about. We could observe that the cases we've seen so far all involve fraud, but we have seen very strong growth in the industry writ large. And so I wonder with your risk management hat on, whether you could just talk about whether this is an industry that has yet to grind into fully mature loss run rates and how you think about that sort of thing. Thank you.

speaker
C.S. Venkata Krishnan
Group Chief Executive

Right. Thank you, Jason. Both questions. On the first one on capital regulation or disparity, potential disparity in capital regulation between Europe, the UK and the US. Look, it is, I think, an important factor in the industry. We haven't seen ultimately what will be the changes in the US and how much the UK, which is the important jurisdiction for us, as a home regulator, makes itself consistent or not. I think what I would point out on things like Prime is, A, we've got a good and strong market share. We work with a few important and big clients carefully. It is as much a balance sheet business as it is a capital business. And so we think we've got the wherewithal, and given our current market position, given our product capability, given our client capacity, penetration, we've got the wherewithal to compete effectively and continue to compete effectively. Of course, it's all subject to capital rules. We'll have to see where they are, but I'm pretty confident in the strength of that business and how we will adapt overall in the investment bank, because ultimately it's about that. Coming back to private credit and NBFI, so here's what I will say. First of all, I view credit as credit as credit. Right? There's a distinction about where it's originated from. And, you know, private credit generally, we at least think of it as the kind of credit that's originated outside of banks and outside of the public debt market. But I think of lending as lending. And through the cycle, you've got to be careful about all the aspects of lending, you know, client selection, sector, concentrations, name concentrations, terms, and continuous monitoring, you know, qualifying them initially and monitoring it over life, over the time period. So that's important and that you've got to do through the period. Like I'm obviously disappointed that we had tricolor. The fact that it was fraud is no excuse. But we, you know, we looked at what lessons we can learn from that and applied it across our portfolio. And I'll talk a little about that. We did not have first brands. We were approached a couple of times, and we said no, and we said no because our credit officers felt that there was not enough data or information to support the financial projections they made. That's how credit selection is supposed to work. Now, at this point in time, and you talk a little about vintages, left to me a question about vintage. But a question, two questions. One is, are there circumstances, either because of inflation, either because of tariffs, or changes in general economic conditions, that put stress on credit performance? So do companies find themselves stretched? Now, fraud can be isolated bad actors, or it could be economic conditions that increase the propensity towards bad acting, if you like. And then if you worry about that, you've got to consider very carefully the independence and strength of the financial controls employed within the companies. As you can imagine, we consider all of these things over time. But I think what these two instances show is that we will likely be monitoring our portfolios more carefully, particularly understanding the impact of changed economic conditions on companies and looking closely at the strength and independence of financial controls. Hope that answers your question. Thanks.

speaker
Jason Napier
Analyst, UBS

Thanks very much.

speaker
Anna Cross
Group Finance Director

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Next question, please.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The next question comes from Chris Camp from Autonomous. Please go ahead.

speaker
Chris Camp
Analyst, Autonomous

Morning. Thanks for taking my questions. I just wanted to follow up on the US consumer business and then another one around sort of risks that investors are worrying about of late. So on US consumer, we've had this target for a while for the business to get to a greater than 12% ROTI for next year. I appreciate that quite a few things have changed over the last 18 months, two years since you gave that guidance in terms of the AA book now expecting to move off and so on. Given where we've got to with 3Q in terms of the returns, could you give us a bit more color as to what return you expect that segment to be delivering in 26? Obviously, greater than 12 is open-ended. That would be helpful, I think, to sort of realign consensus expectations on that division a little bit. And then the other topic I wanted to throw out there beyond private credit was stablecoins. There's been some nervousness over the summer months from some investors around what threat stablecoin issuance creates for the banking system, I guess more so on the other side of the pond, given that's where most of these innovations are being deployed first. So I just wanted to invite you to comment, Venkat, in terms of how you think that potentially shapes up for the business longer term. Thank you.

speaker
Anna Cross
Group Finance Director

Thanks, Chris. I'll start on U.S. consumer and then I'll hand to Venkat. In terms of U.S. consumer, it's exactly where we expected it would be. And we continue to target that roti of greater than 12%. Clearly, 2026 statutory roti will be impacted by the gain on sale of AA. It's a bit too early to guide you on that. Chris, we will do nearer the time, but think on an underlying basis that we are aiming to achieve the kind of progress that we set out for you in the targets that we set. Beyond 26, we remain committed to pushing this business further, and you can see that with the momentum that's coming through now, and we'd expect to continue around income, around operational costs also, So we've got many levers that we can continue to pull, and we really think this should be a mid-teens business. Venkat?

speaker
C.S. Venkata Krishnan
Group Chief Executive

Yes, well, stablecoin, it's a broad and fascinating subject, Chris, so thanks for the question. I'll try to confine my answer, though. There are a couple of dimensions of it. One is, what does it do to deposits? Second is, how much does it represent an alternative form of payment And third is, is it an alternative form of payment on an alternative network? I think the deposit questions with big banks is something which the banks will have to consider along with our regulators. Because the real question is, is this something that sits outside the deposit system or is it brought within the deposit system? And it's a very critical question to answer because it relates to the transmission of monetary policy. The second thing is as a store of value and the form of deposit that it takes. You know, the initial use cases seem to be more promising outside of the developing countries, in the developed, you know, in developing countries. So where people might use it as a dollar substitute for their local currency. Less clear case within, say, the US or the UK or even Europe. The third thing, is even if you accepted the first two, is there then a separate network upon which this can travel? I can tell you what Barclays' approach is. We think any of these are possibilities. It's a very promising and broad-reaching technology. Will it ultimately work? I don't know. But we've got to investigate it and be part of it. So you might have seen announcements that we are part of consortiums with other banks, consortia with other banks. And obviously, no one bank can act alone. We are studying the technology. And I think it will take some time to know clearly, you know, and with some confidence what exactly the use cases could be and how valuable they are. But it's important enough that you've got to study it carefully.

speaker
Anna Cross
Group Finance Director

Thank you very much, Chris. Thank you. Can we have the next question, please?

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The next question comes from Rob Noble from Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

speaker
Rob Noble
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Morning, thanks for taking my questions. Just on the private credit game, could you help us with the economics of how that business works? So what spread are you making on the business, the risk weights? I presume it's been growing very quickly. Are you worried that if the Bank of England, I mean, regardless of how confident and low risk your particular book is, are you worried that if the Bank of England is looking into it, it's going to deter you from further growth in that area? And then in Kensington, in the UK, I see you've doubled the books. That makes around 4 billion now, if I'm not mistaken. Do you have any designs to go into any other areas of specialized lending in the UK? Thanks.

speaker
C.S. Venkata Krishnan
Group Chief Executive

All right, let me take the first one, Rob, and then Anna will cover Kensington. So what I would say about, we have a disclosure slide, slide 43 in our pack on private credit. What I would say is that the exposure is, you know, growing in a sort of relatively stable manner, right, and has been for us for a while. I'm not going to get into RWAs and spreads. I think we've been very clear about the strong credit controls we put on this and the types of people we work with. To reiterate, we work with the most experienced, well-regarded, top-notch, top players in the industry. We provide financing generally against pools of loans, of credits which they originate on a secured basis. Those portfolios are diversified. We have limits on borrower concentration and sector concentrations. We are skewed towards large-cap corporates. We require lower LTVs so that we can get better first-class protection. And we've got some statistics there. And we retain revaluation rights, which means mark-to-market rights on the portfolio. and enforce the maintenance of LTVs, and collateral additions, you know, require our individual approval. So it's a risk management process and practice. You know, I think it's important that regulators examine all aspects of the financial system. We welcome the review of the Bank of England, by the Bank of England, and, you know, we think, as I said, that we've got strong risk management practices. So we're comfortable and confident in that.

speaker
Anna Cross
Group Finance Director

Thanks Venkat. Rob, on your question on Kensington, the balances are around 4 billion in Kensington. Just to sort of highlight how we think about this business. I mean, it's no different actually in risk management terms to the way Venkat's just described private credit or indeed any kind of credit. So we're very focused on the choice of customers. So Kensington has 30 years of experience of really focused client and product level affordability assessments. And then once the balances are on our balance sheet, then we do manage them actively. And that was one of the capabilities that we drew from Kensington. So you might have noticed that in Q3, we actually did a stage three securitization from there. So it is quite a sophisticated risk capability and it is contributing not only to the breadth of mortgage offering, but also to the blended margin. But thank you for the question. Next question, please.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from Nicholas Payne from Kepler Shuva. Please go ahead.

speaker
Nicholas Payne
Analyst, Kepler Shuva

Yes, morning. Thanks for taking my question. I have two, please. The first one would be on your UKRWA deployment. I think you have deployed circa 1 billion of RWA during Q3, and it seems to me that the run rate was actually closer to 2 billion per quarter, so especially in the context where you had a good landing performance in Q3. So just wanted to discuss how we should think about it and whether or not we should have a catch-up in UKRWA deployment a bit later. And then the second one is just to follow up on the mortgage headwinds coming from the maturity of the mortgage under return during COVID. So what kind of headwinds are you expecting and for how long should you expect this? Thank you very much.

speaker
Anna Cross
Group Finance Director

OK, thank you very much. So we've got a 30 billion RWA target. We've deployed 18 billion so far. 11 of that is organic. It's interesting because when we set out these targets, the RWA growth in the UK is really a shorthand for our desire to lend into the UK. And actually what you find is that in some quarters, RWA's grow faster than lending. And that's what we saw earlier in the year. And actually in this quarter, lending grew faster than It's actually the lending that we're really focused on internally. It's the lending, not the RWAs that we generate income from. And we're really pleased with the progress. You know, it's our highest quarter of net lending in mortgages. since 2021, and we've now got four consecutive quarters of lending in our corporate book. So we're happy with the progress. Nothing really to call out. It's just timing differences between RWAs and loans. In terms of mortgage headwinds, look, our churn effects on our book have been broadly reduced. stable, neutral for some time. All we're calling out here is there will be a period of pressure. Actually, overall, we expect the product margin impact on BUK as a whole, taking all products into account, will be broadly neutral into Q4. So expect that number to be broadly zero in the NIM walk. But it's really towards the end of 2020 And the first quarter of 2021, there was a stamp duty holiday in the UK and a lot of business was written. That's going to mature. It will compress margins a little as that business flips over onto front book. I'm not going to call out a particular spread that will be different by lender and different by product, but it's just something for you to consider. And as I say, we've already taken it into account in the guidance that we've given you. But thank you for the questions. Next question, please.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from Jonathan Pierce from Jefferies. Please go ahead.

speaker
Jonathan Pierce
Analyst, Jefferies

Hello there. I've got two questions, actually. The first is on what we're going to get for the year with regard to these 2027-28 targets. I'm not after the numbers, of course, unless you want to give them to us. But the sort of detail, I'm assuming it's It's probably not another 100 slide presentation like we got last February, but I'm assuming we will get RAT targets for 28 distribution amounts and mix, maybe even equity tier one targets, these sorts of things. So just to give us an idea of what we should be expecting qualitatively ahead of February would be helpful. Secondly, maybe I can try and preempt one little piece of that though, which is on the structural hedge. The weighted average life has moved out now to three and a half years. When we think about the size of maturities coming through in 27 and 28, should we be thinking therefore we've been getting recently to 35 billion a year or will it hold up at 50 for a little longer? And maybe I can invite you to give us the maturity yield in 2028 itself, if that's possible. Thank you.

speaker
Anna Cross
Group Finance Director

Okay. Thank you, Jonathan. I will take both of those. So we have said that we will give you updated targets in FY25, so in February. We've also said that Venkat and I will do that together. So you should... Hopefully read from that that it won't be quite such a long update as it was last time. But we will be focused on 26, 27, 28. So what should you expect? We were really clear at the time that greater than 12% ROTI was not an end point. And that was true of every target that we gave you. that remains true so you should expect us to come back with details on how we expect to push rotis higher not just as a group but specifically in some business areas also and you know there's a pattern of delivery that you should be seeing that you should continue to expect which is higher levels of revenue, but particularly focused on the stability and predictability of that revenue. Secondly, that we'll continue to push gross efficiency savings to create capacity and costs for investments. And thirdly, that we will continue to be very disciplined in capital. So more on the 10th of February, but that's the trailer, if you like. In terms of the structural hedge, just back to this point around predictability, the reason that we've extended the duration is because we see greater stability in deposits. So it's a response to that. What that will naturally do is slightly lower the level of maturities as you go out a little bit further. we haven't yet given a maturing yield for 28. We will do that in February. We have given you 2027. That is 2.1%. So you've got 1.5 in 25 and 26, then 2.1 in 27. And really what's happening here is because we are extending that, clearly we have a mix of maturities within that maturing yield or a mix of tenors within that maturing yield. And there is a portion of seven year in there that is really holding down that maturing yield as we go a little bit further out. So hopefully that gives you some things to work on and we'll come back to it in February.

speaker
Jonathan Pierce
Analyst, Jefferies

It does. Thank you very much.

speaker
Anna Cross
Group Finance Director

Thanks, Jonathan. Next question, please.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from Amit Gol from Media Banker. Please go ahead.

speaker
Amit Gol
Analyst, Media Banker

Hi, thank you. Thank you for taking my questions. So two follow-up questions, actually. One, just coming back in terms of the strategy update or new targets for 28 that we get with full year. I'm just kind of curious how you're going through that process and are you thinking about kind of things like revising capital allocation to the businesses, things like that, or is it more about... efficiency and driving more out of the business with the kind of path already set. And then secondly, just on the USCB, I think you remarked earlier that for the next couple of quarters, the Q4, Q1, you'd anticipate a kind of a flattish NIM on what we've just seen, the 11.5. I'm just kind of curious, given the factors that you outlined before in terms of improvements, why that would be flat and why that wouldn't continue to show a bit of growth in the coming periods. Thank you.

speaker
C.S. Venkata Krishnan
Group Chief Executive

Amit, thanks. Good questions. I'll take the first one and Anna will take the second one. So you should see the way we're thinking about the strategy is actually what you said in the second half of your statement, which is we're happy with the business footprint, intensification of the aspects which Anna just referred to, top line revenue, efficiency, depth and breadth of product reach. And so basically getting more out of each of the businesses and getting more out of the collective. So see a continuation and an intensification of what we've done.

speaker
Anna Cross
Group Finance Director

And Amit, on your second question, I mean, I wouldn't really add anything. There is a degree of seasonality to the business. But no, I mean, NIM, we do We do see as many of those effects, you know, having flowed through largely already. Typically, we see slightly lower levels of retail funding as we go into the full year, just because balance has grown. We tend to use a bit more sort of the broker deposit. So that does have a little bit of an impact on them. But nothing really to call out. Just assume it's broadly flat, really, over the next couple of quarters. And as I say, it is going to pop up again from Q2 onwards, but we'll tell you a little bit more about that. Okay, thank you for that, Amit. Next question, please.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from Pearlie Mong from Bank of America. Please go ahead.

speaker
Pearlie Mong
Analyst, Bank of America

Good morning. Just a couple of questions. First on distribution. So I think it's very welcome to see a buyback this quarter. and moving to quarterly distribution. Can you just tell us how you thought about it? Why did you decide to go to quarterly cadence? And in terms of going forward, is there like a sort of monthly rolling number that you are thinking about? And within the wider distribution context, now that it's closer to price to book, are you thinking about maybe doing more dividends as well? So that's number one. Number two is on cost. You highlighted that you've achieved your efficiency savings one quarter earlier than expected, but also for next quarter, you would expect to run towards the top end of the 200 to 300 cost to achieve or CTAs, if you like. So is that something that you would expect to run at that level in 2026? And as part of the strategy update, I think last time we did it, I think there was maybe $900 million or $1 billion cost to achieve upfront as well. Is that something that you are thinking about as well?

speaker
Anna Cross
Group Finance Director

Thanks, Pearlie. Let me take both of those. So the buyback decision, really what that reflects is our confidence in the consistency of generation of capital. And it's just a clear articulation of the capital priorities that we gave you at the outset of the plan, which were number one, you should expect us to be well capitalized as a regulatory matter. Number two, returning capital to shareholders. And number three, investing in the businesses. So as we reflected really over the last few quarters, actually, and we've seen the strength and quality and resilience of that capital generation. This is something that we've been thinking about. So what we've done is we've accelerated a portion that we would otherwise have paid at the full year. And that's really our desire to put it in the hands of shareholders. So, you know, nothing more significant than that. In terms of the go forward plan, in terms of balance, cadence, et cetera, we will cover that with you in February when we give you those target updates. In terms of costs, so, you know, our primary objective here is to continue to drive efficiencies. That's what we're doing. And our structural cost actions play a really key role in driving that forward. But there's no real change here at all. And in fact, Given the delivery of that sort of gross efficiencies a quarter early, and given we've got such momentum in our NII, had it not been for motor finance, I would have been expecting today to upgrade the cost income ratio to around 60. As it is, given that progress, we've been able to absorb motor finance and reiterate our 61% guidance to you. I still expect next year to be in the high 50s. Typically, in any year, we spend between 200 and 300. That's what we're guiding you to this year. We're just calling out it might be towards the top end of that. But again, that is all encapsulated within the guidance that we've given you of Circus 61 for this year. So, you know, there's no real change to anything that we are saying in terms of costs. But thank you for the question. Perhaps we could go to the next question, please.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from Alvaro Serrano from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

speaker
Alvaro Serrano
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Hi, thanks for taking my question. I guess there are two follow-ups. I apologize for another one on private credit. As you look at what went wrong in Tricolor and you've reviewed the rest of the book, are you satisfied that you've got the collateral, the collateral integrity is there and can you reassure us? And when we think about this business going forward, obviously financing has been a source of growth for a while. I think, Venkat, you may have alluded to this, but should we expect that growth to slow down from that 20% run rate that you've been doing for a while? And the second question, I guess it's also a follow-up on U.S. cards. To get to that 15% ROT, Anna, that you've often quoted, do you think you've got the right scale? I'm thinking, obviously, in the post-American Airlines world. or would you expect more JVs, more contract wins, and how's the pipeline looking on any further wins? Because I haven't seen sort of chunky ones. Obviously, you've had GM, but that's been announced a while ago. So maybe some comments on the pipeline on wins on there. Thank you.

speaker
C.S. Venkata Krishnan
Group Chief Executive

Hey, thanks, Alvaro. Let me start with the first one. So about the review that we took, You know, it's along the three dimensions which I said to you. One is, what is the, you know, are companies being financially stretched? Second, the thing, the second part is strength of financial controls in the company and independence of financial controls. I also want to be very clear, you know, there's sort of broad financing, there's private credit. The slide we've given you is on private credit. And on our pattern of growth, it's been relatively stable, growing a little bit, growing slowly. And I would always say on these things, on lending, it is a case-by-case decision. We will look at loans, and we will decide. We tend not to grow these books that aggressively. And as you also know, I think that we tend to employ, over the cycle, risk transfer transactions, and we've been doing so for a decade. So that's been our broad approach to both risk management, to credit risk management, and to the overall portfolio. And then the second part of your question on private credit was basically for Anna, so I'll pass it over.

speaker
Anna Cross
Group Finance Director

Yeah, sure. So, you know, your question references the mid-teens sort of aspiration we have for this business. I mean, a large part of that is in our hands now. And you can see the progress that we're making around efficiency. You know, we targeted mid-40s cost income ratio. We're already at 43. So expect us to push on. You can see the progress in the NIM. So all of those things are within our control. We do want to grow the book. We will never do so at the expense of ROTE. And we have seen opportunities to do it organically, as I said, and inorganically. So for example, through GM. As you can imagine, we look at portfolios all the time and we assess those as to whether or not they are ROTE generative, both for USCB and in the context of the group. The nature of this business is that it is always a balance of those two things. It's always a balance of leaning into the partners that we've already got and expanding those, which we've got good experience of, but also acquiring new capabilities and partners as we go. So I'll hand to Venkat.

speaker
C.S. Venkata Krishnan
Group Chief Executive

Yeah, sorry, there was one part I didn't answer, Alvaro. You asked me about the review that we did and what we found. So we reviewed it in the way I just said. looking at companies and looking at the controls. We're satisfied with what we've seen so far in our portfolio, what we've seen in the review we've conducted. Obviously, you're going to have to remain vigilant, which we would have done anyway, but we'll be vigilant going forward. Thank you.

speaker
Anna Cross
Group Finance Director

Thank you, Alvaro. Can we have the next question, please?

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from Chris Hallam from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

speaker
Chris Hallam
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Yeah, hi, good morning. Thank you for taking my questions. A couple of just follow-ups left over. Venkat, back on NDFIs, sorry. Venkat, you mentioned the importance of initial qualification and continuous monitoring. And I guess in light of recent events, that review that you're running through in that book and just triple-checking everything, how far through that review are you or have you fully completed that review? Maybe I missed that in your earlier comments. Sorry if I did. And then second, on the IB, and it's a bit of a follow-up to Jason's question earlier in the call, I guess this is a pretty difficult regulatory backdrop against which to set a three-year plan. You mentioned that we're yet to see what the US will do and the degree of alignment the UK will settle at. So should we think that the 2028 IB business plan is going to be sort of caveated, that it's reg-dependent? Or do you think that the balance of outcomes on DREG and your earlier point on capital versus balance sheet headroom

speaker
C.S. Venkata Krishnan
Group Chief Executive

means that you have and will sustain a plan for all seasons yeah so i'll let um thanks chris i'll let uh anna take the second question on the first one the review is completed as i said i'm satisfied with what we saw but we're going to have to continue to be vigilant and that's always been the case um chris just on just on your second question i mean i mean you're right it is

speaker
Anna Cross
Group Finance Director

there is a degree of regulatory uncertainty out there and clearly what we would want to have is consistency of regulation both in its approach and its implementation day across all three jurisdictions, so Europe, UK and US. So that is, you know, difficult from a timing perspective in terms of planning. But sort of more holistically than that, The plans and the strategy that we have for the investment bank, Venkat's referred to it before as running our own race, and we remain extremely focused on doing that, obviously mindful of the competitive environment also. But our objective here is and will remain to drive higher returns in the investment banks, more consistent returns, and that's really about focusing on the stability of income, both stable sources of income like the International Corporate Bank, like financing, but also stabilizing, you know, the intermediation and fees parts of the business. There's a really important piece here around costs and efficiency and technology-led efficiency. And so, you know, what you've seen over the last few quarters, we've had six quarters of consecutive positive jaws in this business. And then the third piece is just this continue driving capital efficiency. We think we've got a ways to go. You've seen, again, six consecutive quarters of year over year improvement, but there's more there for us to do. So I think it's really important that we focus on the things that we can control and then navigate the regulatory environment as it emerges. And we are well used to doing that. You know, we've seen divergences before. We continue to see them and we'll deal with it when we have the facts in front of us.

speaker
Chris Hallam
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Okay, thank you very much.

speaker
Anna Cross
Group Finance Director

Thank you for the questions. Next question, please.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from Andrew Coombs from Citigroup. Please go ahead.

speaker
Andrew Coombs
Analyst, Citigroup

Morning. Two questions, please. Firstly, if I could just follow up on the investment bank. Obviously, you had a very strong first half of the year. Q3 has slightly lagged the growth seen at the US peers. Can you just explain how much you think that's just a mixed effect? Is it a mixed effect by business segment, by region, across equities and across primary? Or are there any gaps that you're still looking to infill there? And then the second question, broader question on the UK. You've obviously seen strong mortgage and corporate loan growth in Q3, but you perhaps touch upon customer behavior and activity going into the November budget. Thank you.

speaker
C.S. Venkata Krishnan
Group Chief Executive

Yeah. Hey, Andy. Thanks. Let me begin with the IB, and then I will pass over to Anna on the UK. As I've told you, I take a long view of this. We are running our own race. We set out targets. We put in an RWA target for the investment bank, which was to keep it flat, and we've kept flat. We also instituted RWA discipline, which Anna just spoke about. And then we had both revenue targets, cost efficiency targets, and overall return targets, profitability targets, all of which we've been meeting. We also put in within that certain areas of focus within markets and banking. In markets, it was European race. It was securitized products. It was equities, particularly equity derivatives. In banking, it was certain sectors, healthcare and tech. And then it was M&A and ECM. Now, over this long period, we have shown strong progress in all these dimensions. Even if you look at something like equity derivatives, We've been growing a couple of percent over this year, less than what the U.S. peers have this quarter. Quarter to quarter, there will be variations. Some of that variation is about the amount of capital and balance sheet some of the competitors allocate over time. Some of that variation is geographical concentration. So Asia has been strong. We've always been very clear that we have a solid Asian presence but it's not as deep and broad as others have. There are times when commodities plays a role. There's times when credit plays a role, and that's generally good for us. So I would view what you've seen in this quarter's results as that kind of normal queue on queue variation. I don't think when I look at the plans of the investment bank, what we've had, what we intend to do, that there are sort of gaps or holes we need to fill. I think we continue to build on technology. continue to build on product sophistication, continue to build on client reach. And we will show the returns that we've set out to and we've displayed over the last seven quarters.

speaker
Anna Cross
Group Finance Director

Thanks, Venkat. Andy, here's how I think about the UK landscape. So I think about it first in how are consumers spending? What does the demand for credit look like? And then thirdly, how is that credit performing? And if you look through these lenses, then you get a pretty good view. So, I mean, UK consumer behavior is slightly cautious, but we continue to see signs of improvement. So credit spend is higher than debit spend. We've seen an increase, slight increase in non-essential spending and confidence metrics have grown slightly. So, so far, so good. And we also see that flowing into, for example, the demand for credit. And you can see that in terms of our UK momentum, the demand for mortgage credit is good. And as I said, that's not just refinancing. So in a very cautious environment, you see less house purchase. But what we see is house purchase growth, first-time buyer growth, and also refinancing demand. There's good demand from cards, as you can see. And actually, the thing we talk about less is demand from corporates. And you can see really good lending in our corporate book. That is coming broadly half and half from existing clients and new clients. We've originated more than 400 new clients this year. That's on top of the 550 that we did last year. And our lending market share is up 70 bits. So we don't see a lack of demand there. for credit at a macro level. If I was looking for points that were slightly more hesitant, we would say we see a little bit of hesitancy in mid-corp. But generally speaking, good demand for credit. And then finally, credit performance is good. We see that in mortgages. We see it in cards. I mean, UK cards delinquencies are are extremely low and i would say across all of the portfolios are low and stable and exactly as we would have expected them to be and the same is true of corporates you know there are no significant single names in our corporate books so you know the uk landscape remains pretty robust but thank you andy for your questions um can we have the next question please

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from Benjamin Toms from RBC. Please go ahead.

speaker
Benjamin Toms
Analyst, RBC

Good morning, both. Thank you for taking my questions. The first is in relation to a European bank peer share suffered this week in relation to losing a US litigation case that was underpinned by the fact that the bank had provided finance to a sanctioned nation. I think that Barclays settled with the US regulators in 2010 in respect of providing finance to a sanctioned nation. Can you provide any comfort for us why we shouldn't add this to a potential situation litigation risk for Barclays in the future. And then secondly, in your private banking and wealth management, the AUM and AUS grew pretty quickly in the quarter. To what extent do you expect this organic growth trend to continue over the next 12 months? Thank you.

speaker
Anna Cross
Group Finance Director

In terms of the first point, there's nothing of which I would call out. Ben, we can follow up with you with a bit more detail about the historic cases, but nothing I would call out. On your second point, we continue to make good progress with the private bank, another 0.7 billion of net new money in the quarter. So we're pleased with its progress, and obviously its roti remains above its target level, which was greater than 25%, so pretty robust. Obviously, the opportunity for that business, we believe, really comes in the future as we start to access the sort of mass affluent and wealth markets. There's probably more to come on that. I wouldn't call out anything specific now. But again, thank you for the questions. And then operator, perhaps we could have the next question, which I believe is our last question.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our final question today comes from Edward Firth from KBW. Please go ahead.

speaker
Edward Firth
Analyst, KBW

Thanks very much. Morning, everybody. I just had a question on your 26 targets, actually, because if I look across the piece, you know, I mean, you're pretty much nailing every one and some by some margin. But I guess the one that stands out is the investment banking RWAs, which I can see you've reiterated today at 50%, which is still quite a long way from where we are today. And I'm just thinking that in terms of if I look at the returns, that's the business that has, you know, the returns are significantly below the other divisions, I guess. And I would hazard that the cost of equity is higher as well. And I guess that's probably the division which is the reason for you trading where you do. So I do think that 50% is quite an important target, particularly in terms of a statement of intent and where we see it going from there. But I don't really see how you're going to get there. And so you just, can you give us sort of some flavor? Are we talking about a big reduction in investment banking RWA? Is there some sort of risk transfer you're going to do? Or are we looking at much bigger growth somewhere that I'm not thinking about? Because you're talking about more than a 10% swing there. Thanks very much.

speaker
Anna Cross
Group Finance Director

OK, Ed, why don't I start, and then I'll hand to Venkat. So just in terms of the 50%, remember, when we wrote that, we were in a very different environment in terms of regulatory timing. so there are two things that are under control and under our control and one that isn't the first is holding the IBRWA flat we've actually done that for more than three and a half years now it's not just part of this strategy it was there before secondly continuing through in the UK and you can see the progress the thing that I can't control is is the implementation date of the IRB model. That's very difficult to say, particularly on a call. Or indeed, some of the Basel implementation effects. But the strategic intent that sits underneath that 50% remains the same, Ed, but there's regulatory timing that I can't control. As to your point on returns, I mean, we were really clear that the returns of the IB were not where they needed to be, but you can see that we're making progress. Just to call it out, it's 12.9% year-to-date, much more in line with the group versus 10.1% last year. So we are making good progress, but I'll hand to Venkat for more comments.

speaker
C.S. Venkata Krishnan
Group Chief Executive

Yeah, look, I'll say exactly that. We were very, very clear at the start of our strategy that we were going to hold the IB's RWA splat. And the reasoning behind that was we felt and we feel we've got a very strong, capable, full IB. And that at those levels of RWA with greater RWA efficiency, which you've demonstrated, it can be very competitive and we've shown our competitiveness over the long time, over this period. What we said also was that the percentage is an outcome as Anna just described, which is based on not just holding it flat, but growing in the UK and then assumptions about capital calculations for the rest of our book, particularly U.S. cards. The first two we control, holding the IVRWAs flat, and then what we've been doing in the U.K., where we've been showing the growth as we said we would.

speaker
Anna

Right.

speaker
C.S. Venkata Krishnan
Group Chief Executive

The third part we cannot control, and that affects the percentage. And if you go beyond that, which is the goal.

speaker
Anna Cross
Group Finance Director

Yes. Yes. The flat is the important point.

speaker
C.S. Venkata Krishnan
Group Chief Executive

Yes. Fantastic. Right. Perfect. Thank you very much. That's exactly it. The flat is exactly the important point. And as Anna said, on ROTE, it's again been behaving exactly the way we would want. It's a returns-focused business, and it is approaching, and in some instances, if you look at the time periods that passed, the group average. So exactly what was outlined, exactly what has been delivered, promise is kept. Thank you very much, everybody.

speaker
Anna Cross
Group Finance Director

Yeah, thank you. Thank you, everybody. Thank you, Ed, for that question. We will see you on the road from tomorrow. And we are looking forward to an analyst lunch as opposed to an analyst breakfast next Tuesday. So hope to see you all soon. And thank you for your continued interest in Barclays.

speaker
Edward Firth
Analyst, KBW

Thank you.

speaker
Anna Cross
Group Finance Director

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. That concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect your lines.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

-

-