Franklin Resources, Inc.

Q4 2024 Earnings Conference Call

11/4/2024

spk00: Good morning, and thank you for joining us today to discuss our quarterly and fiscal year results. Please note that the financial results to be presented in this commentary are preliminary. Statements made on this conference call regarding Franklin Resources, Inc., which are not historical facts, are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements involve a number of known and unknown risks uncertainties, and other important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from any future results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. These and other risks, uncertainties, and other important factors are described in more detail in Franklin's recent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including in the risk factors and the MD&A sections of Franklin's most recent Form 10-K and 10-Q filings. With that, I'll turn the call over to Jenny Johnson. our President and Chief Executive Officer. Thank you, Celine.
spk04: Hello, everyone, and thank you for joining us today to discuss Franklin Templeton's fourth quarter and fiscal year 2024 results. On today's call, I'm joined by Matt Nichols, our CFO and COO, and Adam Spector, our Head of Global Distribution. As presented in our fiscal year executive commentary, I will comment on the evolution of our business over the past several years as well as highlights from our fourth quarter and fiscal 2024. After that, Matt will review our financial results, and then we'd be happy to answer your questions. The investor presentation is a new format and includes information that will only be presented annually. In recent years, we have expanded our business in an intentional way, adding a wide range of capabilities to help clients achieve their investment goals through a variety of market conditions, and cycles. As I've traveled the world meeting with clients and investors, I've seen firsthand that they recognize and appreciate the many steps we have taken to further diversify our business and position Franklin Templeton to succeed over the long term. Our clients view us as a trusted partner with the ability to fulfill their comprehensive investment needs across public and private markets in investment vehicles of their choice. They appreciate our ability to customize their capabilities and meet their needs through innovative delivery and solutions. Franklin Templeton leverages the talent of our multiple specialist investment managers to deliver expertise to our clients across a wide range of investment styles and asset classes. Our investment teams benefit from Franklin Templeton's deep resources and scale with centralized investments in distribution, marketing, data, and innovative technologies like blockchain and artificial intelligence. Furthermore, our model benefits our corporate shareholders with no single specialist investment manager at our firm contributing more than 10% of adjusted operating revenue. And most of our specialist investment managers are diversified within themselves as well. Most recently, we have been investing in AI, blockchain, and other important areas relevant to the future of the industry that will benefit our teams and clients. Now, turning to the investor presentation, beginning on slide seven and eight, it's notable how much Franklin Templeton has evolved its business over the past five years and where we are focused going forward. Over the past five years, we have increased and accelerated the diversification of our AUM via organic growth and targeted acquisitions into higher growth areas of client demand. Since the beginning of 2019, we have completed significant acquisitions in areas of growth and to position the firm to offer more choice to more clients in more places. And those acquired specialist investment managers now represent 64% of AUM and 55% of adjusted operating revenue. In that period, our institutional AUM increased from 25% to 45%. And we're now well balanced between institutional and wealth management. We have made great strides across a number of key focus areas for the company. Turning to slide nine and starting with investment management, we have now a full spectrum of investment capabilities to help clients meet their varied financial goals. This year, the acquisition of Putnam Investments added strong capabilities such as target date and stable value, which are important in the retirement and insurance channels. And we demonstrated the power of Franklin Templeton's distribution, which led to 11 billion in net flows into Putnam products. This is an example of combining outperforming investment performance with powerful distribution resources. Our focus is on continuing to improve investment performance, as well as optimizing the range of our investment product offerings. We are also in the position to leverage the breadth of our investment capabilities across both public and private markets, and we see opportunity as these markets begin to converge. For example, Franklin has been putting late-stage venture into mutual funds for over a decade, and Franklin's global allocation fund includes private credit strategies. As a leading manager of alternative assets with approximately $250 billion in AUM, we offer key capabilities, including alternative credit, secondary private equity, real estate, hedge funds, and venture. Since fiscal year 2019, alternative asset AUM has increased by over five times through three sizable acquisitions and organic growth. I'm proud to note that since becoming part of Franklin Templeton, each alternative specialist investment manager has expanded and diversified across strategies, vehicles, and clients, specifically on the role of alternatives in wealth management. The wealth management channel has approximately only 5% of AUM allocated towards alternatives. But depending on the client's liquidity needs, it can be much higher. Institutions, for example, have been allocating up to 40% for years. Our global distribution footprint Investor education platform and dedicated alternative specialist team combined with our breadth of investment capabilities make us a relevant force in the wealth management channel. This year, we're pleased that we established the Alternatives by Franklin Templeton brand in the wealth management channel in the US and look to broaden it in EMEA and Asia. Over the next five years, our goal is to fundraise at least $100 billion across private markets and look to add additional capabilities. For instance, in infrastructure, as well as to globalize certain strategies. Next, turning to distribution. We are one of the most comprehensive global asset managers with clients in over 150 countries. Offering clients a diverse range of investment vehicles is not just beneficial, but essential in today's marketplace. Over the last five years, we have seen meaningful growth in retail SMAs and both ETFs and custom indexing AUM has grown by over three times. In particular, this fiscal year, growth accelerated in retail SMAs, ETFs, and Canvas AUM, each reaching record highs. Our ETF business grew by 89% in the year, with positive net flows for the 12th consecutive quarter, with net flows at or exceeding 1 billion for eight consecutive quarters. And in fact, in the last two quarters, that number has been over 3 billion each. Total assets stand at 31 billion across active and index strategies from just zero a few years ago. Canvas AUM increased by 94% from the prior year to 10 billion and has generated positive net inflows in every quarter since its acquisition in 2021. we increased the number of partner firms by almost 70% from one year ago. Over the next five years, we are looking to scale ETF AUM by three times and canvas assets by five times. Today, we are a leading provider of retail SMAs with 145 billion in assets, an increase of 29% from the prior year. Going forward, we are focused on expanding our product offerings For example, we launched a retail SMA variant of our flagship Franklin income fund and launched tax managed option strategies utilizing Canvas. Investment Solutions AUM almost doubled in size to 89 billion from the prior year with the additions of K2 and Putnam's target date funds and through organic growth. Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions will remain a critical component of our growth strategy by leveraging our capabilities across public and private asset classes to deliver customized solutions to meet our clients' demands. Over the next five years, we aim to more than double our solutions platform. Additionally, our breadth and depth of investment capabilities, engagement, capital resources, and value-added services positions us well as a valuable partner. This year, we've been delighted to establish new multi-billion dollar relationships with clients in each of our regions and strategic partnerships will remain an important aspect of growth in the future. Turning to slide 10, two other important growth areas are private wealth management and digital and technology. In the private wealth management segment, Fiduciary Trust International has a clear opportunity due to the unprecedented intergenerational transfer of wealth. This will be the largest wealth transfer in history, with $84 trillion set to pass from older generations to their heirs through 2045. $53 trillion will transfer from households in the baby boomer generation. Fiduciary is a fully integrated wealth platform with investment advisory, trust and estate planning, tax planning, and custody services. and has an impressive client retention rate of approximately 98%. Since 2019, Fiduciary doubled its AUM, reaching an all-time high of $39 billion and had positive net flows annually for the past three years. Going forward, we look to double the size of this business through organic investments and targeted acquisitions. This represents both a standalone opportunity by owning a wealth manager and also a broader distribution opportunity. Investing in innovation and cutting edge technologies continues to be of strategic importance for the firm. We have made important investments in value added services, including technology and digital wealth, in order to be on the forefront of innovation in areas increasingly important to our clients and operations. In addition, as early adopters of artificial intelligence, Franklin Templeton is working to responsibly employ AI to boost productivity, deliver greater value to clients, and make our investment processes and operations more efficient. A great example is our partnership with Microsoft that was announced last quarter. We are working collaboratively to build an advanced financial AI platform that will help embed artificial intelligence into our sales and marketing processes. creating more personalized support for our clients. In the digital asset space, we continue to look for new ways to leverage blockchain technology. For example, we launched the first US registered fund to use a public blockchain to process transactions and record share ownership in 2021. And this year we launched Franklin Bitcoin ETF and Franklin Ethereum ETF, making it easier for clients to access investment opportunities with our digital asset solutions. Looking forward, there are many more exciting advancements that are underway in this space. Matt will cover capital management, operational integration, and expense management shortly. Turning to the market performance during our fiscal year, global equities rose by more than 30%, while global bonds increased by nearly 12%. Throughout much of the year, large caps outperformed small caps, driven by top technology and communication services firm with growth stocks exceeding value stocks. Investor enthusiasm around artificial intelligence was the major theme over the past 12 months. Moderating inflation and declining bond yields helped the Magnificent Seven stocks advance 53%, while the broader technology sector notched a 52% gain. In our fourth quarter, there was also a corresponding shift in equity market leadership beyond the Magnificent Seven. In fact, only two of the seven stocks in this group have meaningfully outperformed the S&P year-to-date through October. Broader market participation is encouraging for active managers. Eight of the 11 sectors outpaced the broader S&P 500 during the quarter, whereas just two sectors, technology and communication services, have outperformed over the prior nine months Both previous winners were laggards in the most recent quarter. Investors' focus has shifted from inflation to concerns about the durability of the global economic expansion, and by extension, the outlook for corporate profits. And while the Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points in mid-September makes a soft landing in 2025 more likely, the market's push for deeper monetary easing may elevate volatility in the coming quarters. The market expects the Fed to cut rates again this week, and this seems like a reasonable assumption. Recent Fed speak signals greater comfort with the latest progress on disinflation. There is, however, uncertainty on the outlook for the labor market, as it is difficult to disentangle the temporary impact of strike actions and hurricanes from the most recent week jobs data. As the Fed's rate-cutting cycle proceeds, we expect traditional fixed-income sectors to take their place as a primary source for yield as cash begins to look less attractive. While spreads are tight at their current levels, we are not anticipating a sharp deceleration in activity, and our fixed-income managers continue to find opportunities at attractive yields. Meanwhile, in private markets, our specialist investment managers continue to see strong investment opportunities in alternative credit, secondary private equity, and select real estate segments. And demand for differentiated expertise is at a premium, as these markets continue to gain interest. For example, we're excited by opportunities in alternative credit, particularly in real estate debt, where BSP manages $8 billion. And given the need for liquidity in private equity, we see strong interest in secondary private equity at Lexington. Turning now to fiscal 2024 results in terms of investment performance, Mutual fund investment performance improved in the 1, 3, and 10-year periods from the prior year. Composite investment performance improved in the 5 and 10-year and stayed essentially flat in the 3-year period from the prior year. On flows, long-term net outflows were $32.6 billion for the fiscal year, and reinvestment distributions were $20.7 billion. Excluding Western asset management, long-term net inflows were $16 billion compared to net outflows of $5.2 billion in the prior year. We saw a 25% increase in long-term inflows from the prior year to $319 billion. We're pleased to see that gross sales have improved across all asset classes in public markets as well as across every region and in both retail and institutional distribution channels. From a regional perspective, our international business continues to grow and we have seen continued momentum with positive long-term net flows for the year and AUM surpassing 500 billion. Gross sales in the US increased by 31%, EMEA by 23%, APAC by 19% and the Americas by 24%. And from a client type perspective, retail sales improved 27% and institutional sales increased by 21%. From an asset class perspective, turning to alternatives on slide 12, in fiscal year 2024, private markets fundraised $14.8 billion in line with our targets. Lexington closed its flagship fund with $22.7 billion in total capital commitments, raised primarily in 22 and 23, ranking among the largest funds raised to date in the global secondary private equity market and with approximately 20% raised in the wealth channel. Benefit Street Partners closed its flagship private credit fund and its special situations fund with $4.7 billion and $850 million in total capital commitments raised, respectively with each fund exceeding targets. Clarion Partners' AUM remains stable despite weakness in the real estate sector in the year. We believe that there is increasing sentiment that worst is behind us. For example, the ODCE benchmark turned positive and there is the beginning of a pickup in transaction volume, strengthening confidence for potential for transactions in fiscal year 2025. Going forward, we are well positioned in the sector with minimal office exposure of 7% and well performing products in strong sectors such as industrial, multifamily, and life science. In addition, we're excited about new areas of growth that include European logistics fund and investing in new alternative strategies in the U.S., including self-storage, student housing, medical, and senior living property types. Turning to public markets, multi-asset net flows were $8 billion, driven by positive net flows in the Franklin Income Fund, Canvas, and Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions. On slide 18, you can see equity sales improved each quarter this year and grew 53% year-over-year, excluding reinvested distributions. In addition, fixed income long-term inflows increased year-over-year by 26%. Now, turning to Western Asset. As you are aware, we launched an internal investigation focusing on certain past trade allocations of Treasury derivatives by former co-CIO Ken Leach in select Western asset management strategies. The DOJ, SEC, and CFTC are conducting parallel investigations, and those investigations are ongoing. On August 21st, we announced that Ken Leach was on a leave of absence following receipt of a Wells notice from the SEC. We take this matter extremely seriously and are fully cooperating with the government. Since the announcement of the investigations, Western Asset has experienced significantly higher net outflows of $37 billion in the fourth quarter and $49 billion for the fiscal year. However, today, the Western team of more than 100 highly experienced investment professionals led by Mike Buchanan, who was promoted to sole CIO from co-CIO continues to manage approximately $330 billion in AUM across 88 marketed strategies. The team continues to focus on investment performance and providing leading client service. Mike has been with Western nearly two decades and has over three decades of industry experience. Since the beginning of the investigations, Western's assets trading policies have been reviewed by third-party experts. Per this review, despite being aligned with industry standards, Western has further enhanced its trading policies and practices. In addition, Franklin Resources is working with Western's management team to explore ways to assist Western asset, including adjustments to economic arrangements, operational, and revenue synergies. This may entail changes that are similar to what we have successfully implemented with our other public market specialist investment managers while maintaining investment process independence. And I'm sure that you understand with an ongoing investigation, we are unable to provide any further information or address questions on this matter at this time. Aside from Western assets, We think it's important to highlight the breadth of our fixed income investment management expertise, including Franklin Templeton Fixed Income, Brandywine Global, and Templeton Global Macro, which have non-correlated investment philosophies. As of September 30th, these specialist investment teams managed an aggregate $266 billion in fixed income assets and generated positive net flows of $6.4 billion in the fiscal year. Furthermore, Franklin Templeton fixed income comprised the largest component of our one but not yet funded pipeline. Speaking of the pipeline, this quarter our institutional pipeline of one but unfunded mandates was $15.8 billion. While new wins replenished our funding, the $2 billion decrease from the prior quarter included a change in value in a client mandate at Westerns. The pipeline remains diversified by asset class and across our specialist investment managers. Finally, this year, we acquired Putnam Investments, which has exceeded our expectations. Since closing on January 1st, Putnam's AUM has grown 21% to $180 billion. Putnam continues to deliver a strong track record of investment performance. The transaction also enhanced our presence in retirement and insurance markets with AUM in these channels at $645 billion. Let me wrap up by saying we take pride in the efforts we've made over the past few years to further grow and diversify our business. We have navigated challenges, created new opportunities, and upheld the high standards that have defined us for over 75 years. Finally, I would like to thank our employees around the world for their unwavering dedication and commitment to always putting our clients first. It's their hard work that is the driving force behind our success. Now, I'd like to turn the call over to our CFO and COO, Matt Nichols, who will review our financial results for the fiscal quarter and year. Matt, over to you.
spk02: Thank you, Jenny. Turning to the financial results for the fourth quarter, ending AUM reached $1.68 trillion. reflecting an increase of 2% from the prior quarter and average AUM was 1.67 trillion, also a 2% increase from the prior quarter. Adjusted operating revenues increased by 4% to 1.7 billion from the prior quarter due to higher average AUM and higher adjusted performance fees. Adjusted performance fees were 72 million compared to 57 million in the prior quarter. This quarter's adjusted effective fee rate, which excludes performance fees, stayed relatively flat at 37.4 basis points compared to 37.5 basis points in the prior quarter. Our adjusted operating expenses were $1.3 billion, an increase of 3% from the prior quarter due to higher incentive compensation, advertising and professional fees. This quarter, we realized $38 million of Putnam-related cost savings, representing $6 million of incremental cost savings from the prior quarter. As a result, adjusted operating income increased 6% from the prior quarter to $452 million, and adjusted operating margin increased to 26.3% from 25.7%. Fourth quarter adjusted net income and adjusted diluted earnings per share decreased by 3% and 2% from the prior quarter to 315 million and 59 cents respectively, primarily due to a higher tax rate from discrete tax expenses in the current quarter and foreign exchange losses, partially offset by higher operating income. As of September 30th, we impaired the intangible asset related to certain mutual fund contracts managed by Western Asset and recognized a $389.2 million non-cash charge in our gap results, primarily due to the decreased AUM resulting from net client outflows and lower discounted future cash flows generated from these management contracts. Turning to fiscal year 2024, Ending AUM was 1.68 trillion, reflecting an increase of 22% from the prior year, while average AUM increased 12% to 1.57 trillion. Our fiscal year reflects nine months of Putnam financials. Adjusted operating revenues of 6.6 billion increased by 8% from the prior year, primarily due to Putnam and higher average AUM. partially offset by lower performance fees. Adjusted performance fees of 293 million decreased from 383 million in the prior year. The adjusted effective fee rate which excludes performance fees was 38.3 basis points compared to 39.5 basis points in the prior year. Drivers of the decrease included the impact of 0.3 basis points from the transaction related investment management fees, and 0.2 basis points catch up fees in secondary private equity last year, and 0.1 basis points from the addition of Putnam this year. Our adjusted operating expenses were 4.9 billion, an increase of 13% from the prior year, primarily due to nine months of Putnam, higher incentive compensation, double rent related to the consolidation of our New York City office space, and higher legal fees primarily due to the Western asset matter. In addition, as anticipated, over 150 million of annual run rate cost saves related to Putnam were achieved by year end. This led to fiscal year adjusted operating income of 1.7 billion, a decrease of 6% from the prior year. Adjusted operating margin was 26.1%, compared to 29.9% in the prior year. Compared to the prior year, fiscal year adjusted net income declined by 4% to 1.3 billion and adjusted diluted earnings per share was $2.39, a decline of 8%. The decreases were primarily due to the decline in operating income and a higher tax rate, partially offset by higher investment income. From a capital management perspective, we returned $946 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, funded acquisitions, and paid down a $250 million senior note in July. Stepping back as we look over the last five years, we delivered a predictable capital management policy and prioritized returning capital to our shareholders, totaling over $4 billion, including $3 billion in dividends and $1.1 billion in share repurchases. Our dividend, which has increased every year since 1981, has grown at a compound annual growth rate of approximately 4%. Our balance sheet provides flexibility to invest in the growth of our business organically and inorganically. We have co-investments in sea capital of 2.4 billion to develop and scale new products. Additionally, the acquisitions we've made since 2019 represent 55% of our adjusted operating revenue and meaningfully contribute to our operating cash flow. Importantly, these investments provide new sources of growth and relevance to our clients. In addition, while continuing to invest in long-term growth initiatives, we also continue to strengthen the foundation of our business through disciplined expense management and operational efficiencies, especially given the ongoing transformation of our industry. Over the last five years, we've created operational efficiencies both at the enterprise level as well as broader efforts to enhance synergies across our specialist investment managers. For example, we have outsourced our fund administration and our global transfer agency. In addition, we have achieved targeted cost savings ahead of schedule as seen in our acquisitions of Legg Mason and Putnam. Looking ahead, we plan to further simplify our firm-wide operations, including the previously announced unification of our investment management technology on a single platform across our public market specialist investment managers. Before I turn to guidance, a brief update on preliminary October flows. As we will announce next week in our monthly AUM reporting, Franklin expects to report slight long-term net outflows for October, excluding Western asset. Western's long-term net outflows in October are expected to be $18 billion. For Western, this follows long-term net outflows of 7.7 billion in August and 27.9 billion in September. As previously announced, excluding Western, Franklin had 5.7 billion in long-term net inflows in the fourth quarter. Turning to guidance for the next fiscal quarter. Guidance assumes flat markets is based on our best estimates as of today and does not include the impact of any possible future developments from the Western investigations. We expect our EFR to be in the mid-37 basis point area, but slightly higher than this past quarter, excluding adjusted performance fees. We expect compensation of benefits to be $860 million. This assumes $50 million of performance fees. Please also note that this includes $45 million annual accelerated deferred compensation. The prior quarter included 41 million of such accelerated deferred compensation. For IS&T, we're guiding to 155 to 160 million, inclusive of 4 million higher spend for GenAI and our investment management platform. We expect occupancy to be flat between 78 and 80 million, inclusive of double rent related to our transition to a more efficient and unified space in New York City. As previously explained, the double rent will begin to phase out in the second half of fiscal year 2025. G&A expenses are expected to be in the $180 million area and include slightly higher legal fees. In terms of our gap tax rate, we expect fiscal 2025 to stay in the same range of 24% to 26%, but note that our first quarter typically has a higher tax rate due to discrete items related to deferred compensation vesting. And now we would like to open the call for questions. Operator?
spk09: Thank you.
spk11: If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. The confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. We ask that you limit yourself to one question to allow for additional participants on the call this morning.
spk09: And our first question.
spk11: Our first question comes from the line of Bill Katz with TD Cowan. Please proceed with your question.
spk06: Okay. Thank you very much for taking the question this morning. I appreciate that you can't speak particularly to WAMCO. I certainly understand that. I guess what I'm intrigued by is your commentary of potentially revamping some of the economic relationships with the franchise. I was wondering if you could potentially flesh that out a little bit. And then separately, I'm wondering whether or not the WAMCO overhang is affecting the gross sales in any other segments. It's not clear from what you're sharing, but I'm sort of wondering at the margin what you're hearing on the institutional side in particular given the ongoing investigation. Thank you.
spk04: Great. Thanks, Bill. So far, the outflows even within Western, I think it's like 72% are focused on essentially core, core plus, and macro ops. So even within Western, it's pretty pretty focused on those strategies. They're at 90 billion today. Ken received as well notice, Western's had outflows of 53.6 billion. So there are some instances at Western where clients who were in other strategies just didn't, were concerned about the headline risk and did actually redeem. But I think it's been fairly, fairly controlled there, and we have not seen it really flow over into the other Franklin strategies. It's definitely part of the conversations, but it hasn't had, you know, a tremendous impact on the other strategies. Matt, I'll have you kind of answer the question around how we're approaching and thinking about the economic relationship, to remind you, you know, Bill, that The relationship with Western is pretty unique. I would say you can't do hostile acquisitions in the asset management business because it's all about the people and their investment process. And Western was fairly unique for us in this five-year autonomous arrangement that we had. But obviously, in light of current situations, we're just having a conversation around how we should think about that. Our model in general is is we always apply common sense. It's a slightly different, there's no exact one size fits all. Even today, Templeton and Mutual Series, which were acquired in the 90s, have slightly different models with us. You know, for example, one insists on the trading folks, their traders to be on their desk. Others use our global trading platform. So we always try to have a practical approach. But Matt, you want to take kind of the specific conversations around it?
spk02: Yeah. Yeah. Okay. Thank you. Thanks, Jenny. Thanks, Bill. So maybe I think your question gets to a couple of things. First of all, economic arrangements, but also economics related to the situation. Perhaps for perspective, I'll just start by saying that the press tends to report that Western Asset is our largest specialist investment manager, but that's just by AUM. I think you know that, Bill, along with everybody else that covers us. But obviously a much more important measure, the key measure, of course, is financial contribution of the business. And so I think it's worthwhile going through this a little bit and explaining that, for example, in terms of adjusted operating revenue on a run rate basis, Western is probably something like our fifth or sixth largest specialist investment manager. And on the impact so far, If you run rate the $53 billion of outflows that Western's experienced since August, Western's annualized revenues would be expected to be declining by about 20%. So far, that's just the Western revenue, which equates to about 2% decline at the Franklin Resources level. Obviously, operating income impact will initially be higher. This is to your point on margin, will initially be higher. because expenses are not able to be reduced at the same rate as revenue. But importantly, at Franklin Resources, we have areas that can help achieve some of the offsets over time, such as, you know, as we talked about on this call, the addition of Putnam, growth in alternative assets, ETS, SMAs, Canvas, our large equities business, our other fixed income SIMs, international, and so on, in addition to the expense discipline and other levers that we have. But look, this doesn't mean for a second that this is not important to us. It's very important to us. Western has hundreds of hardworking long-term employees with families, a strong investment team with a long-term track record, as Jenny's mentioned, together with producing good investment outcomes for clients. It's a team approach. And under CIO Mike Buchanan, they're very focused on investment performance and client performance. service. Our North Star, if you will, has always been to achieve sustainable growth across our whole company, and Western is important to this, and this has certainly been a dent in that progress, as you can see from the results that we're highlighting today. But as Jenny said, this is exactly why we're working with Western management on providing assistance where possible, in particular keeping the investment team in a good place while management works through this. So in summary, the economic arrangement that we have with Western over these five years, that's going to have to be adjusted to accommodate a decline in the revenue and the operating income, and that's what we're working through right now.
spk08: And Bill, I would add one thing you asked about institutional flows in general. We have really worked hard over the last two years to build better relationships with institutions around the globe, If you take a look at where we were last year, ex-Western last fiscal year, we raised $2.2 billion in the institutional channel. This year, that net number more than doubled to 5.6. So we're feeling actually quite positive about the trajectory of that institutional business.
spk10: Thank you. Thank you.
spk11: Our next question comes from the line of Benjamin Budish with Barclays. Please proceed with your question.
spk01: Hi, good morning, and thank you for taking the question. I wanted to ask about one of your five-year targets, the $100 billion of fundraising across private markets. Could you unpack that a little bit? Just how much do you expect to come from, say, cross-selling across the investment managers you've acquired over the last several years? How much is predicated on future M&A? How much do you think will come from the retail versus wealth channel? Any more details around that target would be appreciated. Thank you.
spk04: Sure. So let me start. The focus on that is actually from our existing managers. So And just to give you a perspective on the growth that we've had, since we acquired BSP, they've doubled in size. Clarion's up just under 40%. Lexington, I think we've only owned them for about two years, and they're up a little under 30%. So, you know, we've been successful in growing those, and our projections of the $100 billion comes from really looking at what those opportunities are. Just to give you a little guidance for 2025, So last year in 24, we gave a range of 10 to 15 billion in sales and achieved 14.8. This year, we're saying we think it'll be between 13 and 20 billion in gross sales. And that comes from real estate, secondaries, private credit, and venture. So all those are kind of bottoms up built in that. And the reason the range is fairly large is It will really depend on whether Lexington is able to do a first close of their flagship once they decide on the timing of their Lexington flagship 11 fund. So far, fund 10, they've been able to deploy it faster and at higher discounts than historical levels. So we're hopeful that they'll be in the market and do a first close. But that's obviously a big portion of that number. It also... It depends on real estate coming back in favor. We think the signs are all showing that the winter of real estate may be over and that we should see things picking back up next calendar year. And we have some, I think, a really diverse set of offerings that are coming out in the market. So not only does Lexington have their flagship fund, but we think continuation vehicles are going to be a more and more important area We're launching a perpetual vehicle in the wealth channel, which is something very new. We think that opens up a lot of opportunities. They've obviously been doing their co-invest in middle market. So Lexington's going to have a lot more offerings in market. We're also launching a real estate debt fund. If you look at private credit, there's probably a lot of areas that people would say private credit's getting pretty tight in some of the spreads, but it happens to be that BSP has a real expertise in real estate debt They have about $10 billion or $9 billion that they manage there today. And we think with the regional banks pulling back in this area, that that's going to be a really interesting opportunity. It's unclear whether it's going to be part of the real estate portfolio allocation or the private credit allocation, but we think that has a lot of great demand there. So, you know, if you think about just in 25, that that ranges from $13 to $20 billion in we feel comfortable in the projection over the next five years to hit that $100 billion number.
spk01: All right. Thank you very much. Appreciate it.
spk09: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Dan Fannin with Jefferies.
spk07: Please proceed with your question. Thanks. Good morning. Matt, I wanted to follow up just on the context of fiscal 2025 and just the outlook for expenses. I know there's a lot of moving parts with the Western dynamics, but could you talk about kind of core expense growth and either contextualize with or without Western in terms of what legal or unknowns might come through to think about the kind of growth in the expense space for the core business?
spk02: Yeah. Morning, Dan. Look, obviously, it's super early for the year. I gave guidance on the call... Sorry, prepared remarks for the quarter. But if I think through the year, if you normalise for a full year of Putnam and exclude performance fees, and with the same caveats I gave in my prepared remarks around the Western situation, we would expect expenses to be quite similar to the last fiscal year. You know, in general... We would expect revenue lost from Wesson to be made up from other areas of growth that justifies that expense base. Obviously, if we experience a decline in any part of our business, that will be offset by very careful expense management. We have a number of initiatives going on, as we've already highlighted, across our investment management platform, operations, certain levels of integration. all that help participate in our ability to pull certain levers to manage either expected or unexpected reductions in revenue or increasing investments that we need to make across the business. So, again, I'd say just very carefully and cautiously, all else remaining equal, you know, and normalizing for a full year of Putnam, excluding performance fees that Plus the caveats I gave on my prepared remarks that we would expect our expenses to be substantially similar to the last fiscal year that we've just closed. And I think that's the best way of looking at it right now. So expense growth remaining very much in check.
spk07: Great. That's helpful. But just to clarify, what would be one quarter of platinum, just to think so we can kind of normalize for the nine to 12 months? To kind of get to a dollar amount.
spk02: One quarter of Putnam expenses will be, wait one second.
spk09: Like $125 million.
spk10: Great. Thank you.
spk09: Thank you.
spk11: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Michael Cypress with Morgan Stanley. Please proceed with your question.
spk05: Oh, hey, good morning. Thanks for taking the question, and thanks for the new PowerPoint deck presentation disclosure there across. Appreciate that. Just as we think about your targets and objectives over the next five years, just curious what that would translate into in terms of revenue, operating income, and EPS in five years' time, and what sort of growth might that be when you sort of pull it all together, and then if maybe you could just remind us how much Western contributes to AUM revenues and operating income today? Thank you.
spk02: Yeah, I mean, Western's contribution is probably right now on a run rate basis around 9%, 8%, 9% of our adjusted operating revenues. In terms of operating income, it's a little bit more than that, but As I mentioned a moment ago, it's moved to being much closer to it. So we're working through those things as we speak, as I mentioned earlier and as Jenny touched on. In terms of our organic growth trajectory, what we're hoping to achieve is to get into the low single digits growth on average as a business. You know, we're obviously not there now because of some of the issues we're working through on the Western side that we've been very transparent about. But also, look, you know, Mike, better than most, the industry trends. And when you look at where we were five years ago and where we are today, we're a much more balanced business. I mean, five years ago, a very large portion of our business was in mutual funds, retail distribution, and the United States. We're an extremely different business now, but we still have to work through achieving scale in the areas of investment. So we've talked about ETS. We've talked about Canvas. We've talked about alternative assets. We've talked about other areas of the firm that we're growing. A number of these things aren't really scaled yet to the degree that we expect them to be given the investment we're putting in. That's why we put a five-year timeline on some of these things because it takes time to get there. Once we get there, we think it's very reasonable that notwithstanding some of the areas of shrinkage that we could be a low single-digit growth business overall, including the whole franchise. And obviously that's taking out the Western situation, getting through that and normalizing our revenue as it was before that, and then looking at the areas of growth versus the areas of shrinkage and the overall business that we have under the hood here. But I don't know whether, Jenny, you want to add anything to that.
spk04: Well, I was just going to say, no, I think you hit it right. But just one additional, you know, without Westerns outflows, I think our organic growth rate runs at about 1.3%. And, you know, when you do the kind of acquisitions that we've done and you really try to put together a best athlete team, the reality is it takes time for distribution to settle in. Because even if you take, say, the best, you know, salesperson in a region and you're actually breaking relationships with some other people. So it takes time. And even with Putnam, we took on a lot of the Putnam team. And so, you know, part of this is kind of digesting that. And then, as Matt said, you know, you take our ETFs. We've talked about how over the last, you know, eight quarters, we had a billion dollars. But actually in the last two quarters, our ETFs, had over $3 billion in net flows, and they're up 88%. But they're still only $31 billion. So that's a fast-growing, important area. We think we have a great team, great products. We were not late to the active ETF game. So we think we have good opportunities there. And then I look at it and say, if you think about the big trends that are so important, The fact that we have the breadth of capabilities in the private markets as well as the capabilities that we have on the traditional markets, I don't think there's another asset manager that has that same kind of capability. And then you combine it with the fact that we have $500 billion sourced from clients outside the United States. We sell over $80 billion outside the U.S., which is fantastic. is tremendous. It takes decades to build those kinds of relationships and reputation in various markets. And then one thing that I think people don't fully understand is we're pretty unusual and unique in the local asset management capability. You go into any market and 80% of flows tend to go into domestic products. You know, India, we were the first foreign manager, but we launched domestic products in India and, we are viewed as a local player competing against local asset managers. And this year we raised our largest equity fund there with the, and we hadn't done it in 15 years, you know, Mexico, Middle East and the Middle East. We've been there for 25 years, but interestingly, we're actually one of the largest Islamic finance managers as global asset managers, you know, for Sharia and Sukuk. And so as the Middle East becomes more and more important, we can serve both global products as well as local capabilities. And then we also have local asset management in places like Canada, the UK, Australia. So, again, you know, if you're a global provider, you tend to go with global products. But we've always also focused on this ability to deliver local. And we think international, when you look at the demographics of, you know, the emerging economies, to be considered a local player in these markets is really powerful. So I just wanted to add that on top of, you know, Matt's points.
spk08: And Jenny, the only thing I would add to that is it's starting a little earlier. We now are building scale in audit areas that you mentioned, especially in things like private markets and the wealth channel. We started with institutional quality managers. We built up all specialists to cover that channel. That team is now 85 people strong, not only in the U.S., but in EMEA, in APAC, and in the Americas. And when we go to market in those channels, we've learned it's important to come in scale. So now we have evergreen products in real estate, in private credit, in secondaries, and all of those products are coming with scale, which will really allow us to accelerate our efforts in that channel.
spk04: Yeah, and actually, you just reminded me, just one last thing is that, you know, we mentioned it in the opening comments, but, you know, like the Franklin thing, equity team has been doing late-stage venture in their mutual funds for over a decade. It actually is really a complicated thing to do. And so our ability as the world starts to converge with public and private products, our ability to do that with the capabilities, I think of it as the ingredients we have as a firm, I think are, you know, really tremendous.
spk05: Great. Thanks so much for all the color.
spk12: Thanks, Mike.
spk11: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of John Dunn with Evercore ISI. Please proceed with your questions.
spk12: Hi, thanks. Maybe just a quick one on wanting to double in the private wealth management. Has there been a kind of change or could you describe the appetite for firms to join your platform and how aggressive do you think you'll be over the next several years?
spk08: Yeah, I mean, if you think about... Sure. Where we first started was with CPRX, a Clarion product. And we just had a very few partners in that space for that evergreen. We're now up to over 20 partners there. So we see that we're able to onboard to far more platforms and that's really helping us. The other thing we've been able to do in that channel is to co-develop products with our wealth management partners, which means that we have a little more backing and we're able to get in the calendar earlier. That was a bigger lesson for us as well, is getting on the calendar early. And finally, I would say scale. In the mutual fund world, you can start smaller and work your way up. What we found in the private asset area was that it was important to come to market with scale from the beginning to be able to offer a diversified product. And that requires really sourcing significant AUM at the very beginning of the launch. and we've been able to do all of those things, so feel good about the launch of our evergreens in the wealth management channel. And, Matthew, do you want to add anything there?
spk02: Yeah, the only thing I'll add is I think part of John's question may have been about fiduciary trust and our growth targets as it relates to our own wealth management business. And all I'd say, John, is in that front, on that front – Yeah, fiduciary is a full-scale platform. It's a great business. It's grown quite nicely over the last several years. And as we focus so much on building out our asset management business, we haven't really turned much attention to what else we could do with that very valuable platform that we have. So our intention is, as Jenny mentioned in her prepared remarks, is to capitalize on that business that we have and spend more time attracting teams to join that platform. When we've done that, we've been quite successful doing it, and the teams have done well on the platform and grown and helped the overall business grow. So what we need to do is over the next year or two really focus on how we can turn that into a natural sort of strategic operation, if you will, in terms of having people on the team bringing new teams over and joining the platform so we can grow that out.
spk12: Got it. Thanks very much.
spk02: It's got all the resources that any wealth manager would need to offer their clients.
spk12: Got it. Thanks.
spk02: Thank you.
spk11: Thank you. And this concludes today's Q&A session. I would now like to hand the call back over to Jenny Johnson, Franklin's president and CEO, for final comments.
spk04: Great. Well, everybody, thanks for participating in today's call. You know, and I just, again, want to thank all of... the Franklin Templeton employees for all their hard work and dedication, as well as the Western employees who are particularly working hard and focusing on their clients and delivering and continuing improving and very good performance despite all the distractions. And I just will say we look forward to speaking to you next quarter. Thanks, everybody.
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