speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Brookfield Renewable Partners' fourth quarter and year-end 2018 results conference call and webcast. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session, and instructions will follow at that time. If anyone should require assistance during the conference, please press star, then zero on your touchtone telephone. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. Thank you. I would now like to introduce your host for today's conference, Chief Executive Officer Session Shaw. You may begin.

speaker
Sachin Shah
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Operator. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us for our fourth quarter 2018 conference call. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that a copy of our news release, investor supplement, and letter to unit holders can be found on our website. I also want to remind you that we may make forward-looking statements on this call. These statements are subject to known and unknown risks, and our future results may differ materially. For more information, you're encouraged to review our regulatory filings available on CDAR, EDGAR, and on our website. 2018 was another strong year for the business as we continued to execute on our operating funding and growth initiatives. We invested considerable time during the year enhancing our operational and investment capabilities around the world. We also raised significant amounts of capital in to ensure we are well positioned to invest on a value basis during this next cycle. Since our inception in 1999, we have delivered a 15% per unit compounded annual return to unit holders, and we remain focused on delivering long-term stable returns as we build the business. Of note, in 2018, our FFO increased 14% on a per unit basis over the prior year, as all of our businesses performed in line with expectations. Key operating priorities included cost reduction initiatives in North America and Colombia, which should improve our margins by approximately $20 million annually in the future. We continue to build out our operating teams in the U.S., Europe, India, and China over the year and continue to support our longer-term plans in these markets. From a growth perspective, we commissioned approximately 60 megawatts of new wind and hydro development, advanced over 350 megawatts of development in our pipeline, and and maintained our opportunistic approach to development, which minimizes funding obligations and ongoing costs. We invested $550 million into growth during the year, including acquisitions and share buybacks. Accordingly, we repurchased approximately 2 million BEP units, primarily in the fourth quarter, at $27 per share. Our balance sheet and funding capabilities are strong. We executed on our asset recycling strategy, selling a partial interest in mature assets and exiting non-core markets. We extended all near-term debt maturities during the year, increasing the average duration of our debt to 10 years. We now have no material debt maturities until 2023. We also maintain our investment-grade balance sheet, increased available liquidity to a which should exceed $2.2 billion once previously disclosed asset sales are closed. And finally, we continue to improve our distribution payout ratio, which ended the year at 95% of FFO on an actual basis and 90% of FFO on an annualized basis. With that, I'll now turn the call over to Wyatt to discuss our operating and financial results.

speaker
Wyatt
CFO

Thank you, Sachin, and good morning, everyone. In 2018, we generated FFO of $676 million, a 16% increase over the prior year. During the year, our focus was on integrating recently acquired assets and enhancing our operational depth. At Terraform Power, post the acquisition and sponsorship by Brookfield, the company was able to stabilize operations, reinstate preventative maintenance programs, engage with suppliers, and establish new teams and processes. This should lead to improved asset availability, more predictable capital expenditures, and enhanced operating margins over time. In addition, in Terraform Power, we completed a significant acquisition of recently built wind and solar assets in Spain, which almost doubled the cash flows of the company on an annualized basis and facilitated the overall improvement of the company's capital structure. This also assisted us to eliminate negative financing covenants and improve Terraform Power's balance sheet rating. The acquisition should provide stable long-term cash flows to Terraform Power at accretive low-teen returns and based on recent announcements of improving tariffs in Spain, could exceed our expectations. We have one of the largest hydroelectric businesses in the world, which we have doubled in size and expanded across multiple geographies over the last five years. These assets contributed $671 million to FFO in 2018. Hydroelectric assets benefit from long, useful lives, often over 100 years, low operating and ongoing capital costs, and the ability to match power supply with demand, given their embedded battery-like characteristics. Operationally, we continue to lengthen the term of our power purchase agreements in Colombia and Brazil where power price volatility provides opportunities to enhance and stabilize future revenues. Our contracts in both markets are generally at or below market and therefore we see term extension as a unique opportunity to lock in upside. In North America, power prices remain low and therefore we continue to sign shorter-term contracts at our hydro facilities to ensure we retain upside optionality if prices spike. We have several large legacy PPAs rolling off over the next three years for assets that deliver power to New England. Fortunately, these contracts, on a net basis, deliver power at prices in the range of the current market. Therefore, on renewal, we expect overall revenue to be impacted by plus or minus $5 million. Beyond these contracts, we do not have any material PPA maturities in North America until 2029. Our wind assets delivered $160 million of FFO in 2018. Over the last 18 months, we more than tripled the installed capacity of our wind fleet through large-scale and tuck-in acquisitions and development projects coming online. Given that we now have a portfolio of wind assets across 10 countries and four continents, This geographic diversification provides a significant mitigating benefit to resource variability and is a good example of why we prioritize diversification as a key value driver of our business. Our solar, storage, and other operations contributed $104 million of FFO in 2018 as we benefited from large-scale acquisitions in 2017 and 2018. Today, we have nearly 1,800 megawatts of PV, concentrated thermal, and distributed generation solar, as well as 2,700 megawatts of both pumped and battery storage. Our solar facilities are underpinned by highly contracted cash flows with an average remaining PPA term of 17 years. Our storage facilities continue to provide critical grid stabilizing and solar services and backup storage capacity. products that are becoming increasingly valuable given the intermittency of wind and solar. With regards to our balance sheet and liquidity, we currently have no material debt maturities over the next four years, and our overall debt duration is 10 years. We have limited exposure to rising rates, with only 7% of our debt in North America and Europe exposed to interest rates. We are well protected from foreign exchange volatility as we hedge all of our developed market currencies. We also hedge currencies when we are in the process of an asset sale, as we did, for example, with our select Canadian hydroelectric assets and our South African portfolio, locking in very attractive returns on these disposals. Accordingly, an overall 10% move in the currencies of markets we operate in, both developed or emerging currencies, would have an overall 4% impact to our FFO. Post-completion of recently announced asset sales, we will have $2.2 billion of available liquidity. Over the course of the year, we announced or completed key capital raising initiatives across the portfolio. These initiatives included the sale of a 25% interest in a portfolio of select Canadian hydroelectric assets, as well as the announced sale of an additional 25% interest. a small wind development project in the UK, as well as sales of our non-core assets in South Africa, Thailand, and Malaysia, which were agreed in 2018 and which we expect to close in the first half of 2019. Looking forward, we have a robust pipeline of assets that we believe would attract low-cost to capital buyers in the sales process. Therefore, we expect the majority of our growth to be funded by the proceeds from asset sales, cash flows retained in the business, and issuances of preferred equity or corporate debt. As such, while we may issue equity when it makes financial sense, given the above noted funding sources, we are not relying on access in this market to fund our growth. In light of our recent growth, strong balance sheet, and access to capital, we are pleased to announce that our Board of Directors has approved a 5% increase to our quarterly distribution, bringing our annual distribution to $2.06 per unit. On a final note, and on behalf of our employees and directors, we would like to express our sincerest appreciation to our unit holders and many business partners for your contribution to our success. Thank you for your continued support, and we look forward to updating you on our progress in 2019. That concludes our formal remarks. Thank you for joining us this morning. We'd be pleased to take your questions at this time. Operator?

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, if you have a question, please press the star then the number one key on your touchstone telephone. If your question has been answered or you wish to remove yourself from the queue, please press the pound key. And to prevent any background noise, we ask that you please place your line on mute once your question has been stated. And our first question comes from Sean Stewart with TD Securities. Please proceed.

speaker
Sean Stewart
Analyst, TD Securities

Thanks. Good morning, everyone. A couple questions. it seems like you're still predisposed to asset sales given the valuations you're seeing in the market. Can you give us an idea of the scale of that opportunity set in terms of how much you'd be willing to part with, and I assume it's fractional stakes of assets you still own, but an idea of, I guess, the scale you're looking at potentially over the next little while?

speaker
Sachin Shah
Chief Executive Officer

Oh, hey, Sean. It's Sachin here. Look, we're not programmatically selling assets. I hope that's not what anyone thinks. We will sell assets when we feel we have a robust growth pipeline, and today our M&A pipeline is very strong around the world, and therefore making sure that we have a strong level of liquidity is just prudent in that regard. So I think it's going to be opportunistic. It's not a programmatic type of response to generating liquidity. And the reality is as long as there is a significant supply of low-cost capital around the world, whether that be from institutions, private investors, asset managers, or other power companies, then we think the bid will remain strong. And we don't see that changing any time in the near future. So I'd say right now with a line of sight to over $2 billion of liquidity, we're in great shape. And that should allow us to fund our growth over the next few years very comfortably without stressing our balance sheet or without needing to tap public equity markets. Beyond that, it'll be, again, based on the strength of our M&A pipeline.

speaker
Sean Stewart
Analyst, TD Securities

Okay. Thanks for that. Next question is on Columbia. We saw some good margin gains there. Can you give us an idea of, I guess, costs you're still able to take out of that portfolio going forward? What are your objectives there?

speaker
Sachin Shah
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, when we acquired Isahan, we had a seven-year program that we had undertaken to, you know, reduce costs, improve capitalization, manage the tax profile of the company, start to build out the development pipeline, and increase term of contracts. And, you know, we're... three years into that. So I'd say we still have very, very good line of sight for the next four or five years. You know, and naturally when you get into a business, you find things that you didn't realize would be there when you underwrote the transaction. And so I'd say it's been a really positive surprise coming into that organization and working with the management team. And I think we have, you know, at least five more years of very strong improvement from a margin perspective. And more importantly... opportunities to grow the portfolio through development.

speaker
Sean Stewart
Analyst, TD Securities

Okay. I'll get back in the queue. Thanks, Ashton.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from Andrew Kuski with Credit Suisse. Please proceed.

speaker
Andrew Kuski
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Thank you. Good morning. So the first question relates to the buyback that you did in the quarter of the 2 million unit. Would you have done more or were you actually liquidity constrained at certain points in the market?

speaker
Sachin Shah
Chief Executive Officer

Hey, Andrew, it's Sachin. So we definitely would have done more. You know, I think given our available liquidity right now, you know, we had set a price target in our mind of where we wanted to buy shares back considering other investment opportunities and our target returns. So for us buying back stock, it has to make sense for us from a return perspective relative to other opportunities we see. And in and around that, you know, we had a line of sight to mid to high teens type returns from what we believe the intrinsic value of the business to be. And therefore, if the stock persists at that level, we see it as, you know, very, very good value and are happy to continue to put dollars to work reducing the share count of the business.

speaker
Andrew Kuski
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Okay, I appreciate that. And then maybe just to follow up, when you think about the public-private market divide that exists, you know, clearly that presents an opportunity from, you know, selling certain assets You clearly have bought back your own units. You can develop things. How do you look at the equation on balancing all of those interests and then, you know, also to throw into the mix just the complexity that's associated with, say, selling partial interests in certain assets?

speaker
Sachin Shah
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, look, I think I'll start with your last comment, which is the complexity of selling assets. You know, I think... Today, given the stage we are in the business where almost everything we acquire is through our private funds, we've become very adept at being regular sellers of assets, recognizing that our funds have 12 to 14 years of life attached to them. And therefore, if we can create the value that we envisioned when we acquired an asset and we can generate that very strong return, then taking some money off the table and redeploying it into... you know, an attractive opportunity is really a good use of capital. And from our shareholders' perspective, if you can sell to a single-digit cost of capital, a 5% to 7% type return buyer, and redeploy in that mid-teens type of return range, there is very, very meaningful accretion that drops to the bottom line. And, in fact, I would say you could see it in our business. You know, we had a a pretty difficult payout ratio three or four years ago, and we've steadily chipped away at that and brought it down below 100%, and we continue to do that. And all of that is largely because most of our growth in the last five years has actually come through asset recycling and through redeploying that capital into stronger M&A opportunities. We did do a few equity issuances, but not nearly of the quantum amount. of the capital we deployed. So I think you can actually go back and look at our track record over the last five years and see the value of that accretion. And if we continue to use that strategy, I think the accretion will be even stronger going forward. In terms of balancing out between M&A development and share buybacks, we've never been a large developer of assets. And for us, development, we think about as really it has to have better returns given it has higher risk than M&A. And I think what we've seen in the developed markets around the world today is that the returns that investors are chasing are so low that many of them have also gone aggressively into development and bid those returns down to very low levels. And the differentiation of risk is not being factored into those returns. So today, development in the Western world, you know, North America and Europe, still continues to attract a single-digit type return. but you're taking all of that development risk and you're creating a funding obligation. So what I would tell our investors is you shouldn't expect us to have a large development program in that part of the world unless we start to see the risk-reward profile change. And more importantly, we don't have the obligation to have to fund development pipeline and development burn rate like some of our competitors do, which is a huge advantage when you want to protect your capital and your balance sheet. And then lastly, on share buybacks, it's completely opportunistic for us. We have a normal course issuer bid program under which we can buy back stock. And if we see markets, you know, become highly volatile like we did in December, we're going to be aggressive in buying back the stock.

speaker
Andrew Kuski
Analyst, Credit Suisse

That is very helpful. One quick one, if I can. Do you have any benefit from Polar Vortex in the month of January in the North American portfolio?

speaker
Sachin Shah
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, a little bit. You know, we saw prices spike for a few days here and there. I'd say the bigger impact was really on the forward curve where we saw sort of that 90-day forward period really spike for a few days and then come completely off as warmer weather came in. You know, Andrew, I'd say, and I'd make this comment about both pricing and generation. As we've diversified the business in the last five years and become much more global in nature... the impact of either significant movement in prices or hydrology has really become much smaller relative to the overall portfolio. So it's nice when it happens, but it doesn't move the dial in the business. So I wouldn't want anybody to think that that's somehow a key driver of results in the first quarter.

speaker
Andrew Kuski
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Okay, great. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And our next question comes from Rupert Mayer with National Bank. Please proceed.

speaker
Rupert Mayer
Analyst, National Bank

Good morning, everyone. On growth, you mentioned you have a robust pipeline over the next few years. How quickly should we expect you to deploy that $2.2 billion in liquidity? And if you can talk about where you see the growth opportunities and how important is diversification for you? And I imagine diversifying out of hydro and out of North America. Yeah.

speaker
Sachin Shah
Chief Executive Officer

I'll start with the pipeline report. Today, we see a significant amount of opportunities in India, just given that there's been a bit of a dry-up of capital in that market recently, especially around renewable power assets. We've been patient in that market, not really building out over the last five to seven years, given how strong the bid has been, and and I'd say all of a sudden within the last sort of six to eight months, the market has really turned in our favor. So that's an area where we see continued interest and appetite for growth. Southern Europe is also a very strong market for us, and we see further opportunities like we saw with the Syeda transaction midway through 2018. There's pockets in the U.S. largely around development and repowering, where we started to see the first signs of cracks as many of our competitors in the U.S. face significant headwinds in their business and have limited, I'd say, capital for growth. So I think those three markets today tend to be the strongest for us. LACAM is always strong, but I would say nothing has really changed in Colombia or Brazil in the last year. Both of those markets remain pretty decent for buyers, but still highly competitive. So I would say you should expect us to look for growth or hot growth opportunities with a line of sight in India, southern Europe, and pockets of the U.S. And in terms of whether or not we can secure those transactions, again, It's completely opportunistic. It will depend on whether or not we're successful in the various processes we're in. And we're building our liquidity war chest in anticipation of those opportunities but also future opportunities given just we can look anywhere around the world. And that generally works to our favor.

speaker
Rupert Mayer
Analyst, National Bank

Okay, great. Thanks for the color. And then just quickly, you mentioned in your press release that you've executed cost reduction initiatives around $20 million so far, and you've given us some color on additional cost reduction. But how much of that $20 million would we have seen in Q4 or in 2018 versus what we can expect to see in your run rate next year or 2019?

speaker
Sachin Shah
Chief Executive Officer

You've probably seen, I'd say in Q4, we probably started to benefit from most of it. But in the first three quarters, it was sort of dribbling in a smaller way. So I'd say Q4 was really where you started to see the full impact of that.

speaker
Rupert Mayer
Analyst, National Bank

Great. I'll leave it there. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And our next question comes from Nelson Ng with RBC Capital Markets.

speaker
Nelson Ng
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Great, thanks. So I was just looking at the development pipeline, and I noticed that there's 35 megawatts of solar regarding GLP in China. Could you just roughly indicate how many sites that is and also – I guess big picture, are there a lot more of those rooftop solar projects coming online?

speaker
Sachin Shah
Chief Executive Officer

Hey, Nelson. I believe it's around 15 to 17 sites making up that. These are small installations. And what I would say more broadly is, look, we're going to be very modest with our capital deployment in China. We look at it as a very, very long-dated, important market for us, but we recognize the challenges around trade actions and around geopolitical risk. And so we're building slowly in the country. The level of capital is going to be modest. I think if you look at our supplemental markets, You know, we talk about a million of additional FFO coming into the business as a result of that. So I wouldn't want to place undue emphasis or overemphasize the impact of that. I think it's just going to be a slow and steady program of building a bit of a footprint, but we shouldn't expect – investors shouldn't expect significant capital deployment in that market for the foreseeable future.

speaker
Nelson Ng
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay, because I think, Finn, when you guys initially – announced the JV, I think you had a target of about 300 megawatts over the first few years, so I guess kind of using, doing the math, if 39 megawatts gives, I guess, 1 million of FFO, then we're looking at less than 10 million of FFO.

speaker
Sachin Shah
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, and we're still on track to that. You know, I mean, remember, this is a 50-50 JV with another company, and then the 50% that we have is through our private fund, so we're, you know, we're 25% of that 50%. So it's pretty modest. And again, China is one of the most important countries in the world, one of the largest economies in the world. We're building out for the future, but none of what we've built today should lead to significant capital deployment or significant change in the risk profile of the business. And you can just do the math and figure out that even if we built out the full 300, it's less than 10 million of FFO.

speaker
Nelson Ng
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay, got it. And then just switching over to M&A opportunities, you mentioned that there are a number of opportunities, but you also say that there are, I guess, very low kind of implied returns for operating and development assets. So is it just mainly in, I guess, India and, I guess, like Spain and pockets of the U.S. where you see, like, I guess those returns diverge from other markets, and is that why you're focusing on those areas kind of near term?

speaker
Sachin Shah
Chief Executive Officer

Yes, is the simple answer right now. Look, I mean, I think I'll give you this example, Nelson. It was only three or four years ago where you would have asked this exact same question about wind and solar in the U.S., and we would have said, yeah, it's expensive. The market's expensive. And then the Terraform transaction showed up. And I think, you know, what we would say to people is we're opportunistic investors. We're going to move our capital where there's scarcity, and that scarcity is not something that you can predict to a high degree of reliability. But today, based on where we see those pockets of distress and where we know that we are in advanced stages with counterparties, those three markets tend to be the most robust. But again, if we see an opportunity open up in another part of the world, then we're going to be aggressive in pursuing it, and we have the liquidity, the balance sheet, and the operating expertise to be able to capitalize on that.

speaker
Nelson Ng
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay, got it. Just one last question. In terms of the sale of the second 25% interest in some of the Canadian hydro assets, has an agreement been made like, signed and finalized, or are you still in the, like, stages of negotiating with potential purchasers?

speaker
Sachin Shah
Chief Executive Officer

We can't comment. It's an active process right now, so we just won't comment on where we are, but, you know, other than saying we're advanced.

speaker
Nelson Ng
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay. Got it. All right. I'll get back in the queue.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thanks, Nelson. Thank you. And our next question comes from Mark Darvey with CIBC. Please proceed.

speaker
Mark Darvey
Analyst, CIBC

Good morning. Good morning, Mark. Yeah, I just wanted to touch base on, you talked about extending contracts and re-upping in Brazil and Colombia. I'm just wondering what your views are on in terms of the EMP project, pre-substantial in the Colombian market, how that's going to inform your views about maybe taking sort of shorter-term views on exposure, or would you rather just keep locking in for longer to extend the duration?

speaker
Sachin Shah
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, look, I think in Columbia, the reason that we are prioritizing longer-term contracts is because it opens up the financing markets for that business, and there's a huge, huge benefit to both increasing the level of financing in the business, but also the duration of the financing. from a returns perspective, from a return on our capital invested in that business. So I would say you should expect us to continue to prioritize longer-term contracts. More than half of the contracts we've signed since we've acquired that business have been between five and ten years, and we've actually started to sign some contracts in excess of ten years. And we've increased the debt to EBITDA in the business from two and a half times when we bought it you know, up to about three and a quarter now, and that business can comfortably manage, you know, close to four times debt to EBITDA. And if you could do that because you have more certainty on the revenue profile and length to your contract terms, then that will really drive the returns that we underwrote and is a good strategy for the business to employ.

speaker
Mark Darvey
Analyst, CIBC

Okay. And then just going back to the commentary about where your contracts roll off on like Liev and then going down into New England. Given where capacity prices have been clearing, the last couple of auctions coming down, does that capture still in that plus minus 5% revenue band?

speaker
Sachin Shah
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, it is because the contracts we have for Liev and for some of our other domestic New England assets, it was not in price that included capacity. So, in fact, what we were factoring in was around – you know, $350 to $4 a KW a month, which is kind of where the markets are clearing. We never really underwrite or plan in excess of that mark. And I think from a long-term perspective, that's generally where we've seen the markets gravitate to.

speaker
Mark Darvey
Analyst, CIBC

Okay. That's helpful. Thanks.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from Rob Hope with Social Bank. Please proceed.

speaker
Rob Hope
Analyst, Social Bank

Hello, everyone. Hello, everyone. Just want to circle back on the comments regarding opportunities in the U.S. in certain pockets. If we go back to the Q3 call, it seemed that you were looking more at corporate acquisitions just given commentary regarding volatility in the equity markets. Just want to get a sense of are you looking at asset packages, development opportunities, or even corporate acquisitions there?

speaker
Sachin Shah
Chief Executive Officer

I'd say it's the latter two. So we're seeing in the U.S. some distress in the developer community, and we're also seeing some, I'd say, pockets of smaller corporates, not necessarily public, but platforms that do operate in the U.S., solely operate in the U.S., both struggling for access to capital and looking for an operational partner. And I'd say for that, we think we are really well positioned to execute on a few of those opportunities, but obviously it's going to be dependent on how these markets play out and what alternatives those groups have.

speaker
Rob Hope
Analyst, Social Bank

All right. Thank you. That's it for me.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. And as a reminder, ladies and gentlemen, if you do have a question, please press star then 1. Our next question comes from Ben Pham with BMO Capital Markets. Please proceed.

speaker
Ben Pham
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Okay. Thanks. Good morning. I want to go back to the commenter on India. I think you've been pretty bullish on the supply-demand on there for some time. It sounded like a few years back when you mentioned it was more is more just trying to get a better understanding of that market. So as you sit here today, Sash, and just hearing your comments, it seems like a lot of the due diligence and comfort levels reach a level where you can actually look at deploying capital and it's just really just the opportunities have to avail themselves at this point. I'd say it a little bit differently.

speaker
Sachin Shah
Chief Executive Officer

We got ourselves comfortable with India probably, look, we spent the last six years looking at every renewable power opportunity in India that's come across our desks and come across our group in India. And I would say it wasn't that we were uncomfortable from a diligence or understanding perspective. We got ourselves comfortable pretty quickly, you know, within the first 12 to 18 months on just the overall dynamic. However, valuations were just very, very high for what we felt the risk profile was. And so that... that valuation dynamic really just had not abated until very, very recently. So, you know, I think, as you've seen from us, we're a patient capital, and it doesn't matter if it's going to take us six years to get into a country or get into a sector. We will take our time, but when we do, we will feel like we acquired for value, and we can build the business then at the right returns for our shareholders. So I would say... India was, you know, one of the markets around the world that was quite expensive for the last six years, and all of a sudden we're just seeing that start to change, and we think there could be some unique opportunities to transact for value in that marketplace.

speaker
Ben Pham
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Okay, thanks for clarifying that. And then one of your slides on the assets under construction, you mentioned there's another 200 megs that are construction-ready assets. Could you detail that a bit more of what that is? And I'm also curious, your FFO from that $28 million is substantially higher than the implied change in the megawatts from the construction projects.

speaker
Wyatt
CFO

So, Ben, thanks for your question. It's Wyatt here. So on the construction-ready assets, This is a mix of projects, so this is some development of wind we have in the UK region, and this is really just an expansion on some of the wind projects we've been – or continuing on the development of the projects we have in that region. There's also some hydro opportunities in Brazil, and then potentially a few more megawatts with respect to the opportunity we have with GLP in China, so – you know, it's a variety of projects, and really we're just kind of progressing to the end of securing a PPA or getting the development licenses we need to do that. And maybe I missed the second part of the question, so can you repeat that?

speaker
Ben Pham
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Yeah, sure. So you're 150 megs right now. You're building, you're guiding for 15 million in FFO. And then... And then the 200 meg construction, it's almost a doubling of FFO. So I'm assuming the construction-ready projects are just high return.

speaker
Wyatt
CFO

It's a bit of a mix in terms of, one, whether it's through a fund, and obviously we'll take a lesser percent when it's through a fund, or when it comes to the Chinese development, of course, that's through a JV partnership. So it's a bit of what is our underlying ownership. And then, as you mentioned, it is also incrementally the expected cash flow from the project based on the underlying economics.

speaker
Sachin Shah
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, maybe just to be clear, two of the projects in that portfolio of Ready to Construct are directly owned by that. So when they're directly owned, we just generate a higher FFO versus the balance, which are owned through funds.

speaker
Ben Pham
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Okay, I got it. Okay, thanks for that. And maybe lastly, Amis, this is really just thinking two years from now, your contract profile, you have a good slide that you always put out. 21, the LEER contracts roll off. It sounds like the financial impact is not really that significant. But I'm just wondering, how do you guys think about your spot exposure? Because it looks like it's going to go up dramatically. Is that just really a concern when spot prices dramatically increase? Or do you have a targeted contracted percentage that you guys want to get to eventually?

speaker
Sachin Shah
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, look, I think we definitely don't have a target. I think you should be worried about it if you have high spot prices and you haven't locked it in, and all of a sudden you have a cliff of cash flows coming if the markets turn. You know, we've been, I'd say, both lucky and good about investing in Merchant Hydro when power prices were low. So a lot of the Merchant Hydro we've bought in the last seven years, we haven't put contracts on it, but we bought it in this market that's been dreadfully low as shale gas prices are, you know, down in the $2 range. and so we're very comfortable holding those as merchant assets. You know, could we lock in one, two, or three-year contracts? We could, but we definitely will not lock in long-term contracts in this environment. And then I'd say where we were lucky was that the contracts that are coming to the end of their term in the next few years just happen to be at the current market price. So, you know, sometimes you've got to be a little bit lucky, and then other times you've got to be good. And fortunately for us, we don't have any meaningful downside risk until 2029, which is the next real major PPA maturities that come due. And I'd say, as we've done in the last number of years, we continue to grow the business, continue to diversify. and it continues to mitigate the impact of any one facility or any one PPA coming offline. So we have a really good runway ahead of us. We don't have any major cliff in our cash flows for the next 10 years. And between now and then, we continue to have to build the business and deploy capital and diversify around any single market exposure.

speaker
Ben Pham
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

That's very helpful. Thanks, everybody.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. At this time, I'm showing no questions. I'd like to turn the call back over to Sashen Shah for closing remarks.

speaker
Sachin Shah
Chief Executive Officer

Again, as Wyatt said in the prepared remarks, we thank everybody for their continued support in the business, our employees, our board, our shareholders, and all of our stakeholders. We look forward to updating you on Q1, and we thank you for all your support. Thank you, everyone.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation in today's conference. This concludes the program. You may now disconnect. Everyone have a great day.

Disclaimer

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