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spk15: Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by and welcome to the BXP First Quarter 2022 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the speaker presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during this time, you will need to press star 1 on your telephone keypad. And also, please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. If you require any further assistance, please press star zero. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Ms. Helen Han. Thank you. Please go ahead.
spk01: Good morning, and welcome to BXP's first quarter 2022 earnings conference call. The press release and supplemental package were distributed last night and furnished on form 8K. In the supplemental package, the company has reconciled all non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure in accordance with Reg. G., If you do not receive a copy, these documents are available in the investor relations section of our website at investors.cxp.com. A webcast of this call will be available for 12 months. At this time, we would like to inform you that certain statements made during this conference call, which are not historical, may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act. Although Boston Properties believes the expectations reflected in any forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that its expectations will be attained. Factors and risks that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by forward-looking statements were detailed in yesterday's press release and from time to time in the company's filings with the SEC. The company does not undertake a duty to update any forward-looking statements. I'd like to welcome Owen Thomas, Chief Executive Officer, Doug Linde, President, and Mike LaBelle, Chief Financial Officer. During the Q&A portion of our call, Ray Ritchie, Senior Executive Vice President, and our regional management team will be available to address any questions. We ask that those of you participating in the Q&A portion of the call to please limit yourself to one question. If you have an additional query or follow-up, please feel free to rejoin the queue. I would now like to turn the call over to Owen Thomas for his formal remarks.
spk04: Thank you, Helen, and good morning, everyone. Today I'll cover BXP's operating momentum as demonstrated in our first quarter results, important trends emerging in post-pandemic work and office use, current private equity capital market conditions for office real estate, BXP's capital allocation activities, including a significant acquisition we just announced, and our prospects for future growth. BXP's financial results for the first quarter reflect the positive impact of U.S. economic growth, the gradual reopening of the major cities where we operate, and increasing needs by our clients for securing high-quality office space. Our FFO per share this quarter was well above both market consensus and the midpoint of our guidance, and we increased our forecast for full year 2022. We completed 1.2 million square feet of leasing, more than double the space we leased in the first quarter of 2021, and in line with our pre-pandemic leasing activity for the first quarter. And our leasing momentum continues in the second quarter, as Doug will cover. This success can be attributed to not only our execution, but also the enhanced velocity achieved in the current marketplace for premium quality workspaces which are the hallmark of BXP's strategy and portfolio. Finally, we just released our 2021 ESG report outlining the actions BXP has and will take to ensure continued leadership in this critical area. Highlights include remaining on track to achieve carbon neutral operations by 2025, enhanced disclosures regarding scope three emissions and diversity, achieving multiple financings tied to sustainability performance, inclusion in the Dow Jones Sustainability Index, and recognition for our work from many sources. The report is available on our website, and I encourage your review. As the effects of the pandemic are increasingly behind us, there continues to be much speculation about the future of work and its impacts on the use of office space. While many questions remain unanswered, there are a number of trends which are increasingly coming into focus. First, building census figures, roughly 40 to 80% on the peak day of the week in BXP's portfolio, depending upon the city, are improving weekly and are at post-pandemic highs, with many large employers, such as Google and Apple, just now implementing return-to-work plans. Second, City leaders are responding to the slow return to office as they understand a vibrant business district is critical to their city's economic health and recovery. The mayors of New York and San Francisco have partnered with their respective city's largest employers in encouraging return to work policies to help reinvigorate their business districts and local businesses that have experienced hardship from the delay in return to office. Third, Most business leaders see the challenges of an inconsistent return to the office by their employees, given the widening gaps their businesses are experiencing in maintaining corporate culture, onboarding and training employees, and talent retention. Employee unwillingness to return to the office today on a consistent basis is primarily due to very tight labor market conditions and employee desire for flexibility. As business conditions become more competitive due to rising interest rates, slowing economic growth, and changes in the labor market, business leaders will likely feel increased urgency in bringing their employees together on a much more consistent basis and modify their return to office policies accordingly. Fourth, return to office does not mean five days a week for most employers. Companies are increasingly providing a flexibility benefit allowing employees to work remotely one to two days or in some cases more per week. These employees invariably are electing to come in more frequently Tuesday through Thursday and want more physical separation, their own dedicated workspaces, and in-office amenities, all of which make it challenging for employers to reduce space, notwithstanding reduced occupancy for part of the week. Many of our clients have also materially grown their headcount due to buoyant economic growth and market conditions during the pandemic, increasing their need for seats. And lastly, building and workspace quality has never been more important in the office business. To help entice workers back to their workplaces, employers are increasingly attracted to buildings that are new or recently renovated, well amenitized inside and out and proximate to transportation. Aggregate office market statistics that currently show elevated levels of vacancy and weak net absorption do not properly reflect the market dynamics of the premium end of the market where most of our portfolio competes. We recently completed a disaggregated office market study with CBRE econometric advisors analyzing the relative performance of prime office assets as selected by CBRE representing about 17% of total space versus the rest of the market in five of our targeted CBDs. The West LA analysis is forthcoming. CBRE found the vacancy rate is more than five percentage points lower for prime office assets versus non-prime assets. and 10 percentage points lower in San Francisco. In 2021, for those five CBDs, net absorption for prime assets was a positive 1.2 million square feet versus a negative 6.6 million square feet for non-prime assets. This dynamic explains BXP's recent success in achieving pre-pandemic levels of leasing despite elevated total market vacancy statistics. David Wiltshire- Moving to real estate capital markets transaction volume for office assets remains vibrant as 25 billion of significant office assets were sold in the first quarter. David Wiltshire- Though volume was down 40% from the near record fourth quarter 2021 it was up 57% from the first quarter, a year ago and above first quarter levels in both 2020 and 2019. Pricing has remained stable for high-quality office buildings and anything life science related, though rising interest rates have impacted leveraged buyers, which could pressure volumes and cap rates. In Cambridge, a majority interest in the 100% leased lab building, 100 Binney Street, sold at an aggregate valuation of over a billion dollars. Pricing was $2,350 a square foot and a 3.5% cap rate. The seller was a REIT and the buyer was a JV of institutional real estate investors. In the Culver City submarket of LA, one Culver was recapitalized at a gross valuation of $510 million. This building is 90% leased and pricing was $1,350 a square foot and a 4.5% cap rate. A regional operator sponsored the recap with a global institutional fund manager. In New York City, 450 Park Avenue was sold for $445 million by an institutional operator to a REIT. The building faces near-term lease expirations with pricing at $1,320 a square foot and a sub-4% initial cap rate. In South San Francisco, the 144,000 square foot, 5,000 shoreline court building was sold for $1,140 a foot and will be vacated for lab conversion. The asset, which will require capital to redevelop, was purchased by an institutional fund manager from a corporation at a basis that is equivalent to our completed life science developments and higher than our redevelopments in the same market. Now, regarding BXP's capital market activity, we recently committed to purchase Madison Center, one of the highest quality office buildings in the Seattle CBD, for $730 million. Recently built in 2017, Madison Center comprises 760,000 square feet in 37 stories, is 93% leased to leading tenants, and is LEED Platinum certified. The building has one of the most generous amenity offerings in the Seattle market with 30,000 square feet of fitness, conference, library, living room, boardroom, fast casual food, bike storage, and roof deck space. Madison Center is well located, two blocks from light rail and bus transportation and direct vehicular access to the I-5 north and south ramps. Pricing for the investment is $965 a square foot and a 4.3% initial cap rate, stabilizing above 5% with additional leasing. The acquisition is expected to close on May 17th and will initially be funded with a $730 million bridge loan. Our funding plan over the next year is to either enter into a like-kind exchange with other assets we sell or bring in capital partners, as we have done with other acquisitions. The acquisition of Madison Center accomplishes several key strategic goals for BXP. It expands our presence in Seattle, targeting a growing technology market, adds one of the newest and most competitive buildings in the Seattle market to our portfolio, consistent with our quality strategy in all the markets where we operate. And it provides the opportunity to reallocate capital on a tax-efficient basis between markets and specific buildings. On dispositions, in the first quarter, we completed the sale of 195 West Street, which is a 64,000-square-foot, 100% leased building in Waltham for $38 million, and which represents pricing of just under $600 a foot and a 4.7% cap rate, we are either in the market or planning additional sales in our Boston and Washington, D.C. markets, several of which could be used in a like exchange for the Madison Center acquisition. If completed, these transactions will efficiently reallocate capital with limited loss in FFO from East Coast properties into a market-leading Seattle asset. We also completed another active quarter recharging our development pipeline. As previously described, we commenced the 390,000 square foot first phase of Platform 16 in San Jose to be delivered in 2025, and the 327,000 square foot conversion of 651 Gateway in South San Francisco from office to lab to be delivered in late 2023. Our share of investment in these two projects aggregates $378 million, and projected initial cash yields upon stabilization are in excess of 6%. AstraZeneca announced last week they have signed a lease for 570,000 square feet to consolidate into a major research facility at BXP's 290 Binney Street development in Cambridge. This development could commence in early 2023, but is contingent on several enabling milestones to be completed this year, at which time we will provide more details, including economics, on both it and the adjacent 250 Benny Street Lab and 135 Broadway residential projects. After all these movements, our current development pipeline aggregates 4.1 million square feet and $2.9 billion of investment is 54% pre-leased, is 27% life science related and projected based on lease up assumptions to add approximately $200 million to our NOI over the next five years at a 7% average cash yield on cost when stabilized. So in summary, we had another active and successful quarter with strong leasing and financial returns and continue to forecast significant growth in our FFO per share this year driven by strong leasing activity, continued recovery of variable revenue streams, delivery of a well-leased development pipeline, completion of new acquisitions both last year and this year, a rapidly expanding life science portfolio in the nation's hottest life science markets, and well-timed refinancing activity in 2021 and lower capital costs.
spk05: Let me turn the call over to Doug. Thanks, Owen. Good morning, everybody. So we're sitting here on May 3rd, pretty late for us to have a call, but obviously we had a lot of news to report and we wanted to make sure our own schedules worked out there. Most employers have begun their journey to discover how they're going to match their human capital with their utilization of physical space. It's clear that the census on public transportation and in our office buildings continues to be below levels in 2019. There are going to be organizations that make few if any changes to their space configuration. location, or allocation of space per employee. Those clients will be and are in the market making long-term leasing commitments based on their growth, and as Owen said, a lot of companies grew, and their lease expiration schedules. There will be businesses that experiment with different models. These companies could sublet space, they could commit to more or less short-term space, or they could simply watch how their business responds to their new in-office cadence and do nothing until their lease gets closer to its natural expiration. It's also true that the availability rate of space defined by third party brokers that look at the entirety of the market, and as Owen described, there are lots of ways to cut it. But in general, it still continues to be elevated in our urban markets. But as Owen pointed out, if you start to analyze the activity, the best buildings are getting more than their proportionate share of market demand. Despite these headwinds, on demand and supply, the BXP portfolio had its third consecutive sequential strong leasing quarter. Our total activity was again spread amongst Boston, New York, San Francisco, and the metropolitan Washington region. Last quarter, we showed an occupancy gain of 40 basis points, and this quarter we picked up another 30 basis points. As we sit here today, we have signed leases for our in-service portfolio on vacant space that has yet to commence, so it's not in our occupancy figures. of more than 975,000 square feet, which is up from 925,000 square feet last quarter. This will represent an additional 220 basis points of occupancy. We began 2022 with over 1.4 million square feet of leases in negotiation on space in the in-service portfolio. At the end of the first quarter, after completing the 1.2 million square feet I mentioned, We have active lease negotiations underway in the in-service portfolio at about 1.3 million square feet, and we had over 750,000 square feet in our development pipeline. During the month of April, so the last 30 days, we signed in excess of 1.1 million square feet of space. We are moving quickly and confidently to lease up our portfolio. While our portfolio is comprised of the highest quality buildings in their sub-markets, We have another advantage, which is our operational platform. We are in constant contact with our clients as we look for ways to create opportunities in the portfolio for our customers where a leasing transaction may not be readily apparent. Let me illustrate as I begin my regional comments in Boston. Life science is the clear driver of new demand in the suburban Boston market, but our traditional Route 128 office leasing is also extremely busy. This quarter, we agreed to recapture and release 73,000 square feet at 77 City Point. We were aware of a large tech company that was seeking to establish a presence inside of 128. When we were finalizing the recapture and release of 1265 Main Street late last year, this tenant expressed interest, but we were too far along with our transaction to accommodate them. Our tenant at 77 City Point had a lease that expires December 31, 24, and had listed its space on the sublet market beginning in 2019, pre-pandemic related. Instead of simply waiting for the lease to expire, we negotiated an early termination recapture and signed a new seven and a half year lease, which also resulted in a 15% net increase in the rent. Let me give you another example. We have a relationship with Wellington, the prime tenant at Atlantic Wharf. Our team was aware of Wellington's strong desire to improve their carbon footprint and any new real estate commitments. Working in partnership with Wellington, as well as the local energy provider, Eversource, and a solar developer, we were able to find a way to reposition the mechanical systems at our 140 Kendrick Street project and make a net zero commitment. This resulted in 105,000 square foot lease for space scheduled to expire in November 22. In addition, We signed leases with two other tenants for the remaining 80,000 square feet in this project, and leases for that space were also scheduled to expire in November 22, all with rent roll-ups of about 40%. By just looking at the performance of the XBI on your stock screen, it's pretty clear that the equity markets have not been kind to public biotech companies. However, there continues to be significant demand for life science tenants in the Boston market, many of which continue to be funded with private capital and have strong science working in their favor. Over the last two weeks, we've signed another 45,000 square feet of leases at 880 Winter Street, and are in final lease negotiations on the remaining space. And we signed 140,000 square foot lease at 180 City Point, the new 329,000 square foot building under construction. Steel erection is underway, and we're hoping to deliver that space in the fourth quarter of 23. And obviously, we are excited to have AstraZeneca as a new client in Kendall Center and look forward to getting that building under construction in early 23. Our CBD Boston activity this quarter was primarily small transactions. We completed seven deals for 47,000 square feet. Average markup was 17% on a cash basis. At the moment, we are in lease negotiations on more than 300,000 square feet of leases in the CBD of Boston with four transactions over 40,000 square feet. The New York regional second-generation statistics this quarter merit some explanation. In early 2020, Perel and Weinberg made a decision to relocate out of the GM building. COVID hit. They paused their plans to move, and they asked for a short-term renewal. We accommodated that request at an as-is market rent that was below their expiring rent with the hope that we could use this time to to convince them to reconsider their decision and entertain a long-term renewal at the GM. What you see in our statistics this quarter is the impact of that short-term deal. Fast forward to April 1st, 2022. Our operating team was able to work with PWP to provide a long-term solution, and they have signed 125,000 square foot lease renewal at GM that will keep them as our client until 2040. The mark-to-market on this new lease involves a relocation to lower contiguous floors On the floors there that are remaining part of the premises, the rents are down about 7%. In New York City during the quarter, the most significant leasing transaction was a 330,000 square foot extension and expansion at 601 Lexington Avenue. This lease involved the client expanding into a direct vacant floor, as well as floors that are expiring in the second half of 22, totaling 180,000 square feet. The rent on this block is down about 7.5%. We also completed a 70,000 square foot renewal at 510 Madison, where the cash trend is down about 10%, and five small transactions totaling 24,000 square feet. Our current activity in New York continues to be strong. We have multi-floor lease negotiations underway at 399 Park Avenue, at Dock 72, and another full floor lease at the General Motors building, as well as a number of smaller leases at 250 West 55th, Times Square Tower, and 510 Madison. Total activity is in excess of 400,000 square feet. Construction is underway at 360 Park Avenue South, and we are actively touring the building every week and trading for polls for 2023 lease commencements. Our Boston CBD, Cambridge, and Waltham markets, as well as Midtown New York, are significantly busier than San Francisco, Northern Virginia, D.C., and L.A. In the San Francisco CBD, There have been a handful of large tech tenants in the market, and those deals have gravitated towards the well-built sublease space at assets like 350 Mission and 680 Folsom, our property with a Macy's sublet. The bulk of the activity on a direct basis has been in the financial district, and it continues to be concentrated at the better buildings with professional service firms and financial firms. We completed 10 leases, totaling 104,000 square feet in the CBD this quarter. Our cash rents increased by 25%. As we sit here this morning, we're working on another 110,000 square feet, including three full floors in Embarcadero Center. And we completed over 50,000 square feet in our Mountain View portfolio on currently vacant space. Our venture with ARE, as Owen said, has commenced construction at 661 Gateway, and we are making full floor and multi-floor proposals with anticipated occupancy in late 23, early 24. The venture did about 45,000 square feet of non-lab leasing at 601 and 611 Gateway this quarter. I'll finish my remarks around Northern Virginia and D.C. During the first quarter, activity in Reston was concentrated on partial floor deals, i.e., small deals. We completed six totaling 20,000 square feet and are actively negotiating another five in the in-service portfolio. We have one full floor lease negotiation at their next phase of the Reston Town Center project, but large tenant activity in the rest and sub-market has been slow as we started 2022. Rents have held up. They're in the low 50s with a 2.5% annual bump to the low 60s with similar bumps for RTC Next. In the district, we signed our second non-anchor deal at 2100 Penn and are in lease discussions now with a multi-floor office tenant and a retail tenant that would bring the leasing at 2100 Penn to over 80%. Activity at the street plane, retail in Boston and in Reston and New York City has picked up significantly. Parking revenue in Boston and San Francisco continue to improve, while activity in parking in D.C., L.A., and Seattle is still restrained. The first quarter parking revenue, excluding Seattle, was 77% of what it was in 2019, and we expect a meaningful bump in the second quarter as we've moved away from Omicron. We have had three consecutive strong quarters of office leasing and a great April 2022. Employers continue to search for new employees. Businesses are leasing space, and we are capturing incremental portfolio occupancy. To circle back to Owen's comments about quality, employers want to use their physical space to encourage their teams to be together. The availability rate in the best buildings is lower, and there is significant relative rental rate outperformance. We create great places and spaces so our customers can use space as a tool to attract and retain their talent. While not at 2019 levels, employees are spending more and more time in the office, and it's even more critical to have the right place and space. Mike?
spk20: Great. Thank you, Doug. Good morning, everybody. This morning I plan to cover the details of our first quarter performance, the impact of our current and projected capital markets activity, and the changes to our 2022 earnings guidance. Overall, as Owen and Doug described, we had a strong quarter. We increased our occupancy and we continue to grow our revenues. Our share of revenues this quarter is up 4% sequentially from the fourth quarter and up 8% over the first quarter of 2021. We reported funds from operation of $1.82 per share that exceeded the midpoint of our guidance by 9 cents per share. The improvement mostly came from a combination of higher rental revenues and some lower operating expenses that aggregated to $0.08 per share. $0.03 per share of the revenue outperformance came primarily from recognizing revenue earlier than anticipated due to our clients completing build-outs and occupying their space faster than we expected. For example, at our Reston Next development, we delivered a tranche of 11 floors to Fannie Mae almost a month earlier than we projected. resulting in higher than expected revenue in the quarter. We also recognized a penny of revenue from restoring the accrued rent balances from clients that struggled during the pandemic but have now recovered. We had previously reclassified these clients, which are primarily retailers and restaurants, to cash basis accounting, and now their sales performance demonstrates the ability to pay their rent over the full term. On the operating expense side, Lower than anticipated expenses contributed $0.04 per share to exceeding our FFO guidance. A portion of this was from lower than anticipated physical occupancy in January and February during the height of the Omicron variant. This resulted in lower cleaning and utilities expense during the quarter. We have seen our physical occupancy rebound and surpass prior post-pandemic highs, so we expect our expenses to normalize back to our budget for the rest of the year. We also incurred lower than anticipated repair and maintenance expenses this quarter, some of which will be deferred to later in the year. The remaining penny of increase in our FFO was due to lower than expected G&A expense in the quarter. Now I would like to turn to our 2022 earnings guidance, including the financial impact of our projected capital markets activities that Owen described. We've increased our guidance range for 2022 FFO to $7.40 to $7.50 per share. This equates to an increase of about 7 cents per share at the midpoint from our guidance last quarter. Our portfolio is exceeding prior expectations, and it is projected to contribute 11 cents per share to that increase in our guidance at the midpoint. The portfolio's stronger growth is partially offset by the loss of FFO from our assumptions for asset sales, net of acquisitions, and the impact of our anticipated financing activities. As Owen described, we've entered into an agreement to buy Madison Center in Seattle for $730 million. We expect to close before the end of the month. Our objective is to fund the acquisition through proceeds from asset sales, and our assumptions include asset sales of between $700 and $900 million for the year. Including the impact of this elevated asset sales program, we expect the transaction to be neutral to two cents per share dilutive to our 2022 FFO. The range is really reliant on the ultimate size and timing of our sales activity. Looking forward, we expect Madison Center to demonstrate consistent cash flow growth as we lease up the currently vacant space and roll below market rents to market as leases expire. The positive mark to market on current leases is between 10% and 15%, so the initial gap return, which fair values the rents, is about 50 basis points higher than the cash return that Owen quoted. In addition, the property is new and of very high quality and will require minimal capital improvements. In the interim and in advance of completing our asset sales strategy, we expect to close on a short-term $730 million bridge loan to fund the acquisition. We are also planning to secure long-term fixed-rate financing on our recently completed Hub on Causeway mixed-use development in Boston. We're in the market and close to finalizing terms for the residential components, and expect to pursue financing for the office and retail component later this year. The impact of these financings is included in our guidance and is expected to increase our interest expense for 2022 by $6 to $9 million, a portion of which will run through our income from joint venture line. We are seeing improvement in NOI in both our same property portfolio and our development portfolio. In the same property portfolio, we achieved faster lease up from delivering spaces to clients earlier than expected. You saw this in our higher occupancy we reported in the quarter. And as a result, we have increased our assumption for same property NOI growth by 75 basis points to 2.75 to 3.75% over 2021. On a cash basis, we continue to anticipate strong same property NOI, same property cash NOI growth of 5 to 6% over 2021. Our non-SAME properties, which is primarily our recently delivered and active developments, are also exceeding our prior projections and achieving faster absorption. Our share of NOI from the non-SAME properties, and that excludes the Madison Center acquisition, is expected to be $75 to $85 million, an increase of $5 million at the midpoint from our assumption last quarter. The only other meaningful change to our guidance is an increase in our assumption of development and management fee revenue to $26 to $33 million, which is an increase of $2 million. The improvement primarily relates to higher construction management fees related to tenant build-out activity. So in summary, we have increased our guidance range for 2022 FFO by approximately 7 cents per share at the midpoint. The drivers of the increase are 8 cents of improvement in the same property NOI performance, 3 cents from our developments, and a penny of higher fee income offset by dilution of $0.04 of higher interest expense and a penny from our net acquisition and disposition activity. Overall, we anticipate strong growth with 14% projected 2022 FFO growth over 2021 at the midpoint. We've improved our occupancy for two consecutive quarters, and Doug described both the meaningful backlog of nearly a million square feet of signed leases that will come into the portfolio in the next year and our current activity. We have additional future growth from the delivery of our $2.9 billion active development pipeline. It's currently 54% pre-leased, and it will deliver over the next few years. Plus, we're making progress towards adding to the pipeline in the future. Operator, that completes our formal remarks. You can open the line for questions, please.
spk15: Absolutely. At this time, I would like to remind everyone, in order to ask a question, press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. Also, we are limiting participants to one question only. We'll pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of John Kim from BMO Capital Markets. Your line is open.
spk11: Thank you. Doug, you mentioned in your prepared remarks some large renewals you had at GM and 601 Lex, but with some rent rolldowns. Can you comment on the impact that inflation has had on the leasing market? Has that basically encouraged tenants to commit to longer term leases at discounted rents? And going forward, is there any impact to the annual escalators that you have on inside?
spk05: So thanks for the question, John. So I would say that there's been no real direct impact on inflation. The organizations that we are talking to are steadfast in their desire to have really high quality, great space. And they're obviously looking at the market and depending upon the particular sub-market that they're in, they're able to cut whatever deal they can. In some big cases, that means that the rent that they're currently paying is going to be higher than what they will be paying in the future, which is obviously a good thing for them. Our escalators are really pretty much market condition oriented. So in a market like New York, The increases are generally on a fixed rate basis every five years, and there really hasn't been any change. And the escalators in our other markets typically are between two and a half, although mostly around 3%. And again, to be quite frank, there's not enough pricing power in the office markets for us to dictate additional terms. So we're just being competitive with the market conditions that we compete against within each individual sub-market.
spk15: Your next question comes from the line of Jamie Feldman from Bank of America. Your line is open.
spk09: Great. Thanks, and good morning. You know, Doug, I thought your comment on the Boston life science market, you know, comparing demand there to the biotech index was pretty interesting. You know, when you think about the Bay Area, can you talk about, you know, whether it's on the tech side, small and large companies, small and large tenants, And on the life science side, how are you guys thinking about and what are you seeing in terms of either a pullback in leasing demand because of what's happening in either the public markets or even in the VC markets? Or maybe you're not seeing a pullback at all. It would just be great to get more color on those two sectors specifically.
spk05: Sure. So I'd answer the question in the following way, Jamie. I think that the West Coast, particularly the San Francisco market, is just behind the rest of the country relative to their commitment to to push their employees back to work on a more consistent basis and therefore understand the cadence of their utilization of space and what their demand is going to be. So in general, it's just slower there. And I'm describing both the CBD of San Francisco as well as the Silicon Valley and the greater Bay Area. Right now, most of the demand that we are seeing for our gateway assets are what I would refer to as VC-backed smaller companies. We are not, because the nature of what 651 is, it's not really geared towards a large, what you refer to as a bulge bracket life science company that's public in nature competing for that space. On the tech side, our demand in Mountain View, which is more sort of smaller companies, is consistent. It's not ferocious. We're not seeing companies say we have to make a decision because we have to bring our people back and we have to have the space, I'd say there's a little bit more caution in their decision making. But it hasn't really been a change relative to the environment that we saw, you know, three or six months ago. It's just generally slower in the Bay Area than it has been on the East Coast where people have been, I'd say, much more constructive about going back to work on a longer-term basis for the better part of, call it a year, and even though there was the Omicron blip, things sort of moved quickly back to where they were in October of 2021.
spk15: Your next question comes from the line of Alexander Goldfarb from Piper Sandler. Your line is open.
spk07: Oh, good morning, and thank you. A question on development. You guys have been pretty consistent you know, developing at 7% plus over the years, you know, despite rising costs. So my question is, is this just a function of either one, development rents, you know, keeping pace, or two, it's the legacy land basis that gives you that advantage? Or is there a risk that we could see yields come down? Because for BXP, the development is the key driver of FFO. So just trying to see how sustainable this is given everything that's going on. Yeah.
spk04: Morning, Alex. Yeah, I think the, you know, as I mentioned, the developments that we launched this quarter were above 6%, not at 7%. So that, you know, it's not across the board. We still have some that are above 7%, but there is some pressure, I think, on development yields. I do think that customers have, you know, the markets where we've been developing have been very strong and rents have been rising. So it has been keeping up. But I agree, over the longer term, if inflation stays at these elevated levels, it will make development more challenging from a yield perspective.
spk05: And Alex, if you look at where we started and what we're doing right now on our development pipeline, so we have a residential project that we're moving forward with in Reston, and we're moving forward with life science in the greater Boston market, and obviously with our venture with Alexandria in South San Francisco. But you don't see, other than our San Jose Platform 16, us announcing major office developments at the moment. And that's largely because the supply of space doesn't allow us to get the rents that are necessary to take care of the rather significant escalation in costs that we're seeing across every single market. I mean, we're generally seeing one plus or minus percent monthly escalation right now in construction costs. The Fed's making some changes. We do think that there's going to be a meaningful pullback. We do believe that we're going to start to see, you know, the pressure on the supply chain in the construction industry start to alleviate. We do believe that the challenges associated with labor are going to, you know, alleviate in the trades. So we're optimistic that things will start to come back. But, you know, in 2022, were we to start a project we would be assuming a pretty significant amount of escalation in our cost structure going forward.
spk19: One additional advantage we have with our pipeline is that in Boston, because it's not just the land basis and cost, we've got an active carburetor on when we can start and where we can start and what type of product, because we've got existing buildings that we can convert to lab, like we're doing at 880, but then we also have land at a great cost basis with permits in place. So we think that's going to be a real advantage as things go on and we'll be able to judge the market better.
spk15: Your next question comes from the line of Michael Goldsmith from UBS. Your line is open.
spk03: Good morning. Thanks a lot for taking my question. I'm trying to get a better understanding of how you're strategically looking at leasing. Are you more focused on getting seat back before emphasizing rate, or are you looking to be patient so that rate may come back a bit before stepping up? I'm just trying to kind of understand how you're approaching these things. Is it a short, intermediate, or long-term approach? Thank you.
spk04: I would just say, as a general matter, we meet the market and want our buildings to be full. Income is how the company is valued. We want to create income.
spk05: And if you go back historically, we have never tried to time the market. We take what the market will give us. And as I think you look at our lease expiration schedules, we really try and get ahead of expirations wherever possible. And so we bring down our near-term exposure. And so in a quote-unquote challenging market, we don't have that much in the way of expirations that we're dealing with on an annual basis. I mean, Mike, you tell me we're in the sort of 6% to 7% for the next two to three years. 5% the next two years. 5% the next two years. And then if we can, we will develop when the markets are better and we have less, quote unquote, rollover in our portfolio. But we take what the markets will give us and we believe in meeting the market. Obviously, we look for a premium because we have premium projects and we have premium assets. And there are occasionally times when we have more than one customer looking at a particular piece of space, and we have a little bit of pricing leverage, and obviously, you know, we take advantage of that whenever possible.
spk15: Your next question comes from the line of Rich Anderson from SMBC. Your line is open.
spk06: Hey, thanks. Still good morning. So when we think about the long-term viability of the office business, I get the point about flight to quality in your case. But if we're to get back to full, you know, to pre-pandemic demand for space, does that just happen kind of broadly? Or do you as a landlord or the REITs as landlords have to adjust their tenant demand exposure pie chart. So I'm looking at your slide, your page 24, your supplemental, and you lay out all the different industries that you have exposure to. Does it require Boston Properties to change this roadmap for you to get back to sort of full demand whenever that day comes for office space? Or do you think legal services will come all the way back and real estate, insurance, whatever the case may be. I'm curious if it requires you to be proactive to get back to that full demand profile. Thanks.
spk04: I think the demand is going to continue to be driven by the growth of our client segments. How many employees does the client have and do they need seats for those employees? I think that is a key driver. I went through What I felt were the key trends that are starting to evolve post-pandemic in office use, flexibility is clearly going to be a bigger thing going forward. But at the end of the day, what drives space demand is employees that require an office, albeit maybe on a more flexible basis. So since the global financial crisis, that has been primarily technology and life science tenants. That is where the growth has been. And if you looked at that pie chart for us, 12 or 13 years ago be very different. You know, finance and legal services were a much bigger piece of it, and technology and life science were a smaller piece. So I think that is not going to change.
spk15: Your next question comes from the line of Blaine Heck from Wells Fargo. Your line is open.
spk21: Great. Thanks. Good morning. Somewhat related to that last question, Owen, I wanted to touch on some of your initial prepared remarks when you talked about the tight labor market being some of the cause of the delay in the return to office. I think you said as the labor market gets more competitive, it could accelerate the return to office as employers have more negotiating or bargaining power to bring employees back into the office. Just following that line of thinking, do you think that balance of power shifting toward the employer could have an effect on kind of the other part of your commentary in which you said employees want separation and their own dedicated spaces. Is that something you think could also shift as the labor market shifts and employers could require, you know, hoteling for some of the employees or other more kind of economically efficient configurations just as they're going to be requiring that return to office? Yeah.
spk04: I think it's possible. You know, I think it's very client-specific. It's very segment-specific. You know, all of our clients face different challenges as it relates to their labor forces, and their workers, you know, have different requirements. So I think your theory could be correct, but I didn't quite say it the way you said it, but I do think, you know, as I have said before, I don't think there's, I have not spoken to a business leader that thinks working remotely all the time is great, is good for their businesses. And so I do think as the labor market tightens up, I think you're gonna see more businesses have more in-office work policies. Do I think that means that all companies go to five days a week? No, I don't. But I do think that policies will continue to evolve and there will be more in-person work as we move forward.
spk15: Your next question comes from the line of Kaitlyn Burrows from Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.
spk00: Hi, good morning. Earlier you mentioned that peak day utilization is at 40 to 80 percent in the portfolio, which is a big range. So I was just wondering, If you could go through the difference, maybe New York City versus San Francisco or any other characteristics that seem to drive one building versus another, maybe utilization is higher at newer properties or something else.
spk05: So obviously it's our portfolio, right? So our portfolio has its own unique characteristics relative to who happens to be in a building and where the building is. But in general, what I would say is as follows. On Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, the largest utilization of space is clearly in Manhattan, unquestionably, undeniably. And then second, it would be in the Boston CBD. And in the Boston CBD, interestingly, it's driven by the financial services firms. In Manhattan, it's both financial services and legal. So in certain of our buildings, we have some legal customers who are very, very dogmatic about bringing their people back all the time. It drops off precipitously from those two markets when you look at San Francisco and you look at Washington, D.C. today. And so those numbers are much lower on a relative basis. And honestly, we don't have a lot of... of clarity on what's going on in our suburban properties because our suburban properties don't have turnstiles and that those are open building atmospheres. And so, yeah, we can go out and try and count cars, but I think that's a pretty inefficient way to know what's going on in the building. And so, you know, we're unable to really articulate what's going on in the suburban assets in a meaningful way because we simply don't have the tracking there.
spk15: Your next question comes from the line of Anthony Powell from Barclays. Your line is open.
spk12: Hi, good morning. I guess a question comparing Manhattan to San Francisco. You're seeing more activity in Manhattan, but your rents are a bit down there, but they're up in San Francisco. So what's driving that difference? What's your least smart to market in New York versus San Francisco? And how are these rent trends impacting values in both of those cities?
spk05: Okay, I'm going to try and answer part of those questions because you're gaming the system by asking a three-part question. Sorry about that. That's okay. So remember that when we are comparing our rents on a second-generation basis, what we're looking at is the in-place rent versus the rent that we're now achieving on that space. So it doesn't give you a good sort of indicator on what's going on with market rents at a particular time. What I would tell you is that market rents in Manhattan have been very, very stable for the last year. And if you go back and look at the calls, for example, that we did in late 2020 and early 2021, we said, okay, there's been a rent reset. We believe net effective rents, face rents, concession packages, are down 15 to 20%. That is a truism that still holds today. So when we are doing deals today, depending upon the building, if we have a space that was leased at a higher rent, we're just marketing to that current rent. So what's actually going on with market rents really doesn't, you're not able to decipher that from the statistics I'm giving you. I'm simply giving you a sense of what's going on in our portfolio. So if you're sort of looking at, so as my revenues roll over, You know, am I going to be up or down? You know, we're trying to give you indications of how you can get to that number. With regards to the portfolio, Mike, you tell me, you know, in general, we still have a positive mark to market of a reasonable amount in San Francisco. And we've had, you know, sort of a flat, a slightly negative mark to market in Manhattan for quite some time, largely because of the disparity of where the rents were achieved when those leases are rolling over over the next, you know, two or three years.
spk20: Well, I think that's correct. I think, you know, the reasoning is that in San Francisco, you saw a decade of rent inflation going into the pandemic. So our in-place rents were very low. And we've been replacing those with higher rents for the last several years, and we continue to replace those rents with higher rents. So we still have a strong, you know, mark-to-market positive in San Francisco, you know, over the next couple of years that should be, you know, somewhere, you know, around 10 to 15% on leasing that we expect to do. Um, and, uh, you know, I would say that the rents we're getting in San Francisco, um, on the high quality spaces that we have are stable. I mean, we know what the rents are. We're able to get deals done. Um, New York city on the alternative had a lot of development with the Hudson yards before the pandemic, and it limited the rent growth that the market saw before the pandemic. Um, so it didn't have the same kind of, uh, growth over that timeframe. So then now we're looking at, you know, as Doug said, rents went down a little bit. So we're looking at roll downs. And, you know, sometimes they're going to be higher this quarter. Sometimes they're going to be flat. I think overall in New York City, it's probably something around maybe 5% to 10% negative overall, something like that in the portfolio.
spk05: Again, that's why I'm trying to give you on the real deals that we're doing on a quarterly basis, I'm trying to give you the comparison so you can sort of see what's going on, right? So I said in New York, we've had a couple of large deals that we've done, and it's been down about 7%. And in Boston, you know, in the suburban portfolio, it's up by 40%. And in the CBD, it's been up by 15% to 20%. So I'm trying to provide you with as much clarity as we possibly can on sort of what's going on on a revenue basis as you think about modeling our portfolio going forward. Now, Owen, you may want to talk about values relative to New York consumer system.
spk04: Values for assets, capital markets, you know. Well, look, I think as the comparable, the comp statistics, which I try to give on this call every quarter, indicate, you know, I think values are driven primarily by cap rates and the per square foot comes out as a result. And those cap rates, both in New York and in San Francisco, I think for a high quality office building have been somewhere in the fourth, you know, low or high fourth, depending on what the rental structure is in the building.
spk15: Your next question comes from the line of Manny Korchman from Citi. Your line is open.
spk08: Hey, everyone. Good morning. Just hoping to get maybe a little bit more details on the asset sales. I think you mentioned they'd be in Boston and D.C. And also just how you think about all-out sales versus shaving those assets.
spk04: Yeah, so... We are selling assets this year. Mike mentioned the volume that we currently have in our projections. If we're able to accomplish those sales, we will like-kind exchange them into Madison Center. And it's a very efficient way for us to reallocate capital. We've talked about and are frequently asked about, you know, raising capital through asset sales. And as we have described, that is an inefficient way for us to raise capital. because the gain is plus or minus 50% in most of our major assets, and that capital would have to be dividended as a special dividend to shareholders, and we would not be able to keep it for corporate purposes. So if we can accomplish this like-kind exchange, then we basically will be reallocating investments that we have in assets in the Washington, D.C. and Boston markets to a terrific building that we just bought in Seattle. There is, we think, a slight FFO reduction associated with this because there could be cap rate differential, timing differential, things like that.
spk05: And just two further comments, Manny. So first is you can't do a like-kind exchange with a JV unless it's the exact same JV, and it's really hard to do that. So effectively, if we're going to sell an asset and do a like-kind exchange, it has to be a wholly owned sale. And two, the reason that we're doing this and not simply doing JVs is because we're trying to maintain balance sheet strength that we currently have, and we're looking at ways to fund our strategic initiatives, as Owen described, which was to try and move into Seattle in a way that's leveraged neutral. And so obviously we're looking at ways where we can raise capital for things that we want to accomplish from a strategic perspective, not just raise capital and then dividend it out to shareholders.
spk15: Your next question comes from the line of Nick Ulico from Scotiabank. Your line is open.
spk14: Thanks. I just wanted to turn back to the guidance, Mike, and the fact that I guess you got even in the first quarter revenue earlier than expected as tenants built out space faster. I mean, how should we think about that impact in the guidance, kind of where you are today in terms of budgeting for that? I mean, is there a chance that you're still there's still some benefit that still has to come from that process that's not factored into guidance for the year?
spk20: Look, I mean, it's possible. We've obviously provided a range, and that range has expectations for when we do believe leases are going to start for leases that we have underway, and it provides some room on either side for that to change. In certain cases, our tenants control the timing because they're doing the build-out, And if we can't recognize revenue until they complete the work, it can be a little bit harder to kind of judge exactly when it's going to happen. And if you have bigger leases starting, like, you know, for example, Verizon at the Hub or Fannie Mae at Rest and Next, and you've got a big chunk of space coming on, it can be meaningful if you miss by a couple of weeks or a month. So, you know, I think that's built into our range. When we think about our range and, you know, what could or could not happen, we build that into the range as we kind of look at the – You know, the two and three quarters, the three and three quarters, same property growth range. And then we provided the range as well on the non-same stuff, which is kind of as the developments start to kind of start to commence. But it is, you know, it's not perfect because obviously there's challenges out there with supply chain and getting work done on time. And we've been and our clients have been pretty effective at getting that stuff done on a timely basis. But we have to kind of, you know, think a little bit conservatively about what the boundaries are. And that's what we do when we build our range.
spk15: Your next question comes from the line of Ronald Camden from Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.
spk17: Great. Hey, just sticking with sort of the guidance and specifically on the occupancy guide, just when I think about where the in-service occupancy is today versus the guidance, Maybe can you help us sort of bridge maybe the upside and the downside? Given the amount of leasing that's being done, obviously, I would have thought there would have been more of an occupancy pickup this year. And, you know, admittedly, there's a lag between signing and commence. Just trying to get a sense if you could bridge that gap between the occupancy guidance and what gets you to the upside versus downside. Thanks.
spk05: So let me describe why we don't get it immediately, and then I'll let Mike give you sort of the ranges from an occupancy perspective. So let me give you an example. So at 601 Lexington Avenue, we have a tenant that's going to take space that's currently leased towards the end of 2022. We are going to demo that space. We're going to deliver that demo space to that customer, and then that customer is going to build out that space. that space won't get built out until sometime in the middle to late part of 2023. And even though we have a contractual agreement with that tenant as to when their rent commences, we're not going to be able to start revenue recognition and therefore add it to our occupancy until that date occurs. So as I said to you earlier in my comments, we have 975,000 square feet of leases that have been signed where revenue has yet to commence. Some of that's in 22 and a lot of it's in 23. And so we continue to have these timing issues associated with when we can quote-unquote recognize occupancy and therefore show you revenue on a contractual basis, even if we're getting it, right? We have had situations where we're collecting cash rent and we're not able to record it because the tenant's not in occupancy. And that's going to happen, for example, in our building at 325 Main Street. We're going to start collecting rent and we're not going to necessarily have a TCO because the tenant doesn't have all of their work done, and they're paying us contractual rent, and it's going to go onto our balance sheet, and it's not going to show up in our revenue stream. So these things just sort of happen on a consistent basis with us because of the timing of when we're actually, quote, unquote, delivering space. And, Mike, you can give the guidance on some of the range.
spk20: Yeah, I mean, look, there's a lag, as Doug is talking about, when we sign leases and we get occupancy. And during the pandemic, our leasing volumes were lower. so we weren't signing enough leases to replace what was going on, so we lost some occupancy. And for three consecutive quarters, our leasing volume has been strong, and Doug just talked about the April leasing volumes, which point to a pretty good second quarter. So that demonstrates that we should be able to gain occupancy. We only have 2 million square feet rolling, and we're doing over a million square feet a quarter. We should be able to gain occupancy, but there is a lag of six months to 12 months to get the leases in place. So that's why it's a little bit slower at the beginning to kind of gain it, and I think it will accelerate later on as we do it. I mean, we feel very good about where we stand today. We have 2 million square feet expiring. We've got 975,000 square feet signed that is going to go into place over the next 12 months approximately. And, you know, of our expiries, we probably have a half a million square feet that we're working on deals as well. So I think we're really well positioned to gain the occupancy. I just think it's gonna take a little bit of extra time. I mean, right now we've, our guidance I think is 80 to 90%. You know, I think that, you know, I feel pretty good about that range. You know, it's gonna be hard for us to get in excess of 90% this year based upon what we see. And I think that we'll do a good job. You know, I think it's gonna be hard for us to reach the bottom too, honestly, given where we are today.
spk15: Your next question comes from the line of Amit Nilahani from Mizuho. Your line is open.
spk16: Hi. Are you starting to see any change in leasing activity from co-working providers across your markets?
spk04: Yeah. Well, in terms of they're doing primary leases, I would say that activity is zero in Latin America. But I think the question you're asking is, what's the occupancy of the co-working units themselves? And I think, yes, I think they're going up. We monitor this. It's hard for us to know exactly. WeWork is public now, and they do state these statistics. And I do believe they have been reporting to their shareholders increases in occupancy, which makes sense to us. Our census is going up every week. Theirs should as well.
spk15: Your next question comes from the line of Steve Zaqua from Evercore. Your line is open.
spk18: Yeah, thanks. I guess, Doug and Owen, there was really no comment on the L.A. market. I'm just wondering if you could share your thoughts on the leasing, the acquisition opportunities, and whether you expect to start your 300,000-foot development in the beach cities any time in the near future.
spk04: I'll talk a little bit about capital markets. I'll turn it over to Doug for the leasing question. You know, we have a strong interest in growing our L.A. footprint in our selected West L.A. markets, and we're actively reviewing a few things, but we don't see the same level of transaction activity in the L.A. market that we see in our other markets at the current time. But when things are available, we certainly pursue them.
spk05: And, you know, just with regards to our leasing activities, Steve, So we did a lot of leasing in calendar year 2021 in LA. So we have one primary piece of space, which is at Colorado Center. It's the former HBO space on the top two floors of one of the buildings. And that space is currently being demolished and sort of readied for quote unquote tenant delivery. I would say the activity on it has been light. There's been a decent amount of leasing that's gone on in West LA. A lot of it has been musical chairs with a bunch of subleases that were available that are no longer available or that have been taken off the market, a decent amount of direct leasing in both Culver City as well as Playa Vista. And so, you know, I'd say we're constructive on the West LA market. We just don't have a lot of action on our space at the moment. And, you know, in light of that, we're not able to sort of show you statistically things that are going on in our portfolio because we just don't have much in the way of available space. Yeah.
spk04: And then you asked about Beach Cities. We're in the middle of designing that building. It's going to be an extraordinary project. I think it'll be by far and away the best building in El Segundo. And we are still in that process and we haven't really decided yet on what basis we'll launch the project. But more to come on that from us in future quarters.
spk15: Your next question comes from the line of Daniel Ismail from Green Street. Your line is open.
spk10: Great, thank you. Owen, you started your comments off with ESG and sustainability. And I'm just curious, from what you've observed in the portfolio, how are those green aspects influencing tenant decision-making processes? Are deals being won or lost because of any of those factors?
spk04: Yes, but not universally across the board. Doug described the engagement that we had with our great client, Wellington, in the suburbs of Boston, where providing them a net zero fulfillment and also very limited scope three emissions relative to new build was critically important to their decision. I noted when AstraZeneca announced They're at least signing with us in Kendall Center. They talked about the sustainability characteristics of the project that we're going to build for them. So I think with some of our clients, it's absolutely mission critical, but I would not say that that exists across the board. I think it's increasing, and I think we're going to see more of it in the years ahead. Coop, is there anything you want to add to that?
spk19: It's growing, as mentioned by Owen. With a client like Wellington, they entered with us with Boston's first green skyscraper. So as a client partnership, we've grown together, and they've become more committed, and so have we. But Owen's right. Several of our top clients are getting more and more passionate about it, and it's bigger criteria, but not across the board entirely. But it is definitely growing.
spk15: Your next question comes from the line of Derek Johnston from Deutsche Bank. Your line is open.
spk13: Hi, everybody. Thank you. A lot of good questions have been answered. In your opening remarks, you detailed recovery trends and thoughts. You know, we're shared in your markets with, you know, admittedly some recovering faster than others. But meanwhile, you know, Southeast Florida and Miami seem to be booming. And we have net migration, corporate relocations, large startups. scale job growth, any interest in serving Southeast Florida with perhaps a small portfolio acquisition followed by your development prowess, really gaining scale in what we see as a strong gateway market? Yeah.
spk04: We're excited about our gateway perimeter and footprint, and we have gone into several new markets and businesses over the last three or four years. We went into L.A., three or four years ago. It remains 1% to 2% of the company. We went into Seattle last year. We now have two buildings. It's probably 1% to 2% of the company. The life science efforts, we've talked about that currently as 6% to 7% of our revenue. And we've mentioned that we believe we can double that over the next five years in the gateway markets where we are. So we have tremendous growth opportunities as hopefully we've communicated on this call in the gateway markets where we operate. And at this point, we're not interested in expanding outside of those six markets.
spk15: There are no more questions at this time. Turning the call back to Mr. Owen Thomas for closing remarks.
spk04: Thank you, everybody, for your interest in Boston Properties, and I hope you enjoyed the one-question system. I made for a more efficient call. Thank you very much.
spk15: Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect. Presenters, please stay on the line for the post-conference.
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