CACI International, Inc. Class A

Q4 2023 Earnings Conference Call

8/10/2023

spk14: Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the CACI International Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2023 Conference Call. Today's call is being recorded. At this time, all lines are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will announce the opportunity for questions and instructions will be given at that time. If you should need any assistance during this call, please press star zero and someone will assist you. At this time, I would like to turn the conference call over to Dan Lechberg, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations for CACI International. Please go ahead, sir.
spk09: Well, thank you, and good morning, everyone. I'm Dan Lechberg, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations for CACI International. Thank you for joining us this morning. We are providing presentation slides, so let's move to slide number two. There will be statements in this call that do not address historical fact and, as such, constitute forward-looking statements under current law. These statements reflect our views as of today and are subject to important factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from anticipated. Those factors are listed at the bottom of last night's press release and are described in the company's SEC filings. Our safe harbor statement is included on this exhibit and should be incorporated as part of any transcript of this call. I would also like to point out that our presentation will include discussion of non-GAAP financial measures. These should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for performance measures prepared in accordance with GAAP. Let's turn to slide three, please. To open our discussion this morning, here's John Noguchi, President and Chief Executive Officer of CACI International. John.
spk04: Thanks, Dan, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us to discuss our fourth quarter and fiscal year 23 results, as well as our fiscal 24 guidance. With me this morning is Jeff McLaughlin, our Chief Financial Officer. Before, please. Last night, we released our fourth quarter and full year results for fiscal year 2023, and I'm pleased with our performance.
spk05: Simply put, CACI had a great year.
spk04: For the full year, we delivered revenue growth of 8% in line with our revenue guidance, which we increased last quarter. We delivered a sector-leading EBITDA margin of 10.7%, consistent with our guidance. We generated free cash flow of $282 million, and we won over $10 billion of contract awards, which represents a 1.5 times book-to-bill for the year and includes $7.4 billion of new work to CACI. Slide five, please. In fiscal 23, CACI delivered strong awards and outstanding program performance. First, we won the $5.7 billion Enterprise IT as a Service, or ITAS, contract, one of the Air Force's highest priority IT modernization programs, and by far the largest award in CACI's history. We won ITAS by leveraging our differentiated capabilities and extensive past performance. This next generation program will enhance productivity and efficiency for more than 800,000 Air Force and Space Force personnel globally. Second, we won a $2.7 billion expertise contract to provide next-generation network exploitation analysis in support of foreign intelligence and cybersecurity missions. This award leveraged longstanding capabilities in both intelligence analysis and cyber. In the government's own words, after the second protest was denied, we won this work because, quote, CHCI's proposal was technically superior. That superior proposal provided for a consistent staffing concept, the opportunity to insert new solutions, continuous learning as threats change, and a program management concept that puts support of the customer and their mission first. The program is ramping up as planned, and we look forward to delivering this critical mission for an important customer. We won a $1.2 billion technology contract known as Spectral to develop and deploy the next generation's shipboard weapon system for signals intelligence, electronic warfare, and information operations for the U.S. Navy. We won Spectral by leveraging our M&A and internal investments in SIGINT and Spectrum operations across the electromagnetic spectrum, our unique approach to open architectures that are truly open without vendor lock, and our industry-leading software development capabilities, including Agile Development Scale and DevSecOps. Those are three marquee new contract awards, the result of our business development strategy of shaping customer preferences, offering differentiated solutions, providing a compelling value proposition, and investing ahead of customer need. As I mentioned earlier, we also perform with excellence across our portfolio, and I'll share four examples of those today. First, we successfully deployed the U.S. Army's Integrated Personnel and Pay System, or Ips Army. This is the largest and most complex PeopleSoft implementation in history. The Army now has a single integrated next-generation system of HR records for over 1 million soldiers across one of the most complex organizations on the planet. Since going live, our 800,000 distinct users have logged into Ips Army and the system is currently supporting more than 100,000 users per day. Second, on our SAFIRE program, we went live with the NGA's next-generation imagery analytics platform. Our software uses AI-enabled computer vision and deep learning to enhance image identification and process more imagery than ever before. This is cutting-edge technology that supports mission outcomes. Third, for the same NGA customer, We created and are leveraging our internally developed technology called Feature Trace, which is AI-based software that enhances our analysts' ability to analyze and process geospatial data. This is expertise enabled by technology, technology which is real and tangible, in use today, and a great example of the synergy within our business. Finally, in photonics, 16 of our optical communications terminals, or OCTs, were successfully launched and deployed in June aboard four DARPA Blackjack satellites. And earlier this year, CCI was the first provider of OCTs to successfully complete verification testing for the Space Development Agency. We continue to see strong demand for our OCTs, one of the only options designed and built in the United States. Prime contractors and other customers come to CACI because they view our optical communications technology as the most mature and lowest risk in the industry. Our technology is proven, deployed, operational, and tested for various orbits. In fact, we have had optical terminals in orbit for more than two years, demonstrating successful high-speed communication links. And our customer set is broad, with technology being deployed across programs with the SDA, DARPA, NASA, and classified agencies. Slide seven, please. The government fiscal year 23 budget was supportive of CACI programs, and we believe government fiscal year 24 will be no different. Overall, the external environment continues to provide favorable trends, though we are monitoring the ongoing government fiscal year 24 budget process. As you know, the House and Senate are still negotiating appropriations bills similar to past years. We are anticipating the CR to start the next government fiscal year. Customer demand remains high, driven by the elevated global threat environment, the pacing capabilities of our adversaries, and the significant opportunity for modernization in government to both capture efficiency and enhance security. Slide eight, please. Our strong fiscal 23 contract awards, our exceptional track record of program performance, and a constructive budget environment all provide a great foundation to drive additional growth, profitability, and cash flow. With that in mind, in fiscal 24, we expect revenue growth of 4.5% to 7.5%, EBITDA margin in the high 10% range, and healthy free cash flow. Jeff will provide additional details on all elements of our guidance shortly. As we look to fiscal year 24 and beyond, I want to be crystal clear that our value creation model is one that is built to drive free cash flow per share growth. Over the last number of years, we have been focused on all elements of free cash flow per share growth. First, we have taken a long-term approach to providing predictable organic revenue growth, focusing on areas of the federal budget that provide long-term funding streams. We have been committed to building a portfolio of expertise in technology programs, across our markets that delivers sector-leading margins and is supportive of continued investments. We have efficiently managed our costs across the business while investing in our capabilities and our employees. We have focused on all elements of working capital and CapEx while continuing to grow our business. We have taken steps to proactively manage the interest on our debt and undertaken efficient tax strategies. And lastly, we have taken prudent and value-creating capital deployment actions to include M&A, share repurchases, and debt reduction. It is the totality of these actions that we will continue to manage in order to compound value creation, which will enable us to drive growth and free cash flow per share, and ultimately shareholder value. With that, I'll turn the call over to John.
spk02: Thank you, John. Good morning, everyone. Please turn to slide nine. Our fourth quarter results were in line with our expectations and represent a strong finish to a great fiscal 23. We generated revenue of $1.7 billion in the quarter, representing year-over-year growth of 4%, essentially all of which is organic. EBITDA margin was 10.9% in the quarter, consistent with our previously discussed expectation of a stronger second half of the fiscal year. Fourth quarter adjusted diluted earnings per share were $5.30, up nearly 17% from a year ago, with strong operating performance and lower share count more than offsetting $13 million of higher interest expense. Fourth quarter tax rate was down slightly versus a year ago, driven by higher R&D tax credits. Fiscal year 23 was another year of healthy top-line growth, strong margins, and good cash flow. For the year, we generated $6.7 billion of revenue, representing 8% of total growth and 6% organic growth. EBITDA margin of 10.7% was in line with our guidance and represents 40 basis points of expansion from fiscal 22. Fiscal 23 adjusted diluted earnings per share were $18.83, up 6% from the prior year Again, with strong operating performance and lower share count, offsetting a $42 million increase in interest expense from the prior year, as well as a slightly higher tax rate. Slide 10, please. As John mentioned, our margin performance is sector-leading when looking at EBITDA on a comparable basis, and we provide some context here on slide 10.
spk05: Slide 11, please.
spk02: Fourth quarter operating cash flow excluding our accounts receivable purchase facility was $125 million, reflecting continued healthy profitability and strong cash collections. You note that we were able to drive accounts receivable day sales outstanding to 48 days in the fourth quarter, matching the record low we achieved in the first quarter. Fourth quarter free cash flow was $102 million. For the full year, we generated operating cash flow of $346 million, excluding our AR purchase facility, and free cash flow of $282 million, again, consistent with our guidance. For the last several quarters, we provided details on extraordinary tax items that have influenced cash flow in fiscal years 2020 through 2023, specifically amounts related to the CARES Act, our tax method change, and Section 174. Fiscal 23 had the largest cumulative headwind for these items, totaling $222 million of cash usage. We expect a much smaller cumulative headwind in FY24, which I'll discuss in more detail shortly. Slide 12, please. As you know, earlier this year, our board authorized a $750 million share repurchase program And we announced the deployment of an initial $250 million as an accelerated share repurchase, or ASR, on January 30th. The ASR was completed on August the 4th. We retired 678,000 shares when the program was first announced. And in August, we retired an additional 146,000 shares for a total of 824,000 shares at an average share price of just under $304. As part of the authorization, we also initiated an open market repurchase program. Under that program, we repurchased 45,000 shares at an average price of $283 per share. We remain committed to driving shareholder value by deploying capital in a flexible and opportunistic manner based on business and market dynamics over time. The healthy long-term cash flow characteristics of our business, our modest leverage, and our access to capital continue to provide significant optionality. We ended the year with 2.2 times leverage of net debt to trailing 12 months EBITDA, making us well-positioned to drive future growth and shareholder value. Slide 13, please. Now I'll turn to our fiscal year 2024 guidance. As is our practice, we undertake a bottom-up, program-by-program forecast, plus our expectation for new business by specific opportunity. For fiscal 2024, we expect revenue between $7 billion and $7.2 billion, for growth between 4.5% and 7.5%, balanced across expertise and technology. EBITDA margin is expected to be in the high 10% range. We expect adjusted net income to be between $440 million and $465 million, and we expect free cash flow of at least $400 million. Slide 14, please. To assist with modeling, here are some additional planning assumptions. Depreciation and amortization are expected to be approximately $145 million. Net interest expense is expected to be approximately $100 million, up around $16 million compared to last year. About two-thirds of our debt is effectively fixed via interest rate swaps, so we have further mitigated our interest rate exposure. We are expecting a full year effective tax rate of between 23% and 24%. This is up about 300 basis points over last year. And we expect quarterly sequential increases in revenue and profitability through the year. But I would remind you that certain factors can skew quarterly trends, such as the timing of material purchases and deliveries of higher margin technology. Slide 15, please. In fiscal 24, we expect operating cash flow, excluding our AR facility, to be at least $490 million, with capital expenditures approximately $90 million, resulting in free cash flow of at least $400 million. A few other items to note regarding FY24 cash flow. There is no longer any impact related to the CARES Act. We expect to receive the final $40 million tax refund associated with our tax method change with the timing likely later in the year. And we expect to pay approximately $75 million in cash taxes related to Section 174, which is about $20 million lower than our payment in fiscal 23. Slide 16, please. Turning the forward indicators, CACI's prospects continue to be strong. Our trailing 12-month book-to-bill of 1.5 times reflects strong performance in the marketplace And our FY23 awards have a weighted average duration of about six years. Fourth quarter backlog of $25.8 billion grew 11% from a year ago and continues to represent about four years of annual revenue. Both these metrics indicate good visibility into the business. For FY24, we expect 84% of our revenue to come from existing programs, 10% from re-competes, and about 6% from new business. These metrics are very consistent with our recent experience at the beginning of a new year. In terms of our pipeline, we have $11 billion of submitted bids under evaluation, over 70% of which are for new business to CACI. I'd point out that this is up about $4 billion from last quarter, despite a number of recent wins, including Spectral. We expect to submit another $9 billion in bids over the next two quarters, again, with approximately 70% of that for new business. Slide 17, please. I'd like to add to John's comments on our long-term financial objective of driving growth in free cash flow per share. This metric lets us build on durable sector-leading margins while further incorporating the benefits of sustained organic revenue growth efficient management of our cost structure and balance sheet, as well as value-creating capital deployment. Share repurchases can be immediate contributors to free cash flow per share. Acquisitions and investments contribute to free cash flow per share over the longer term. Both are important tools to deliver long-term growth in free cash flow per share and shareholder value, and we will continue to critically examine all options as we consider broader dynamics over time. To wrap things up, we delivered great results in fiscal year 23 and expect another year of strong performance in fiscal 24, with healthy growth, strong margins, and increasing cash flow. We remain confident in our ability to continue to drive long-term growth, increase free cash flow per share, and generate additional shareholder value. And with that, I'll turn the call back over to John.
spk04: Thank you, Jeff. Let's go to slide 18, please. Closing out our prepared remarks, I am very pleased with our performance in fiscal 23 and our prospects as we look to fiscal 24. As I talked about our awards and execution, there was a concept common to all of them, next generation. CCI is on the cutting edge delivering innovative technology and differentiated expertise enabled by technology to a critical customer set. We are providing the Air Force's next generation IT infrastructure our intelligence community customers' next-generation support around critical SIGINT and cyber, and the Navy's next-generation shipboard SIGINT-EW weapon system. We deliver to the Army the most complex HR system in the world. We are leveraging AI and other enabling technologies to increase productivity and deliver actionable insight to our customers. And we are putting laser communications and other photonics technology into operation in space and other domains, to address critical national security needs. We're doing all of that while delivering predictable revenue growth, sector-leading margins, healthy cash flow, and opportunistically deploying capital through M&A and share repurchases, all of which drives growth and free cash flow for share. As I always say, our success is driven by our employees' talent, innovation, and commitment, and supported by our culture of integrity and ethics. To each and every CECI employee, Thank you for what you do each and every day for our company and our nation. And our shareholders, I thank you for your continued support of CACI. With that, Lisa, let's open the call for questions.
spk14: Thank you. If you would like to ask a question today, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. To remove yourself from the queue, that is star 1 again. We do ask that you please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. We'll take our first question from Kaivon Rumer with T.D. Cowan.
spk10: Yes, thank you. Very good quarter. So, Jeff, you mentioned you expect revenues and margins to increase sequentially. Do you also expect organic growth to increase sequentially as you go through the year?
spk02: Kai, I think that is the right planning premise. The business clearly is in an accelerating mode, and we see the distribution of the year somewhat as we did last year with a slightly stronger second half in revenue growth and margin. But, yeah, that's the right kind of planning premise for you to be thinking about.
spk10: Got it. And then, you know, when you look at your big new wins, FocusFox and the background checks, you know, are expertise, and so those should be off to a fairly... quick start, but the other big wins, ITAS and Spectral, basically have a slower start, I think you've talked about. So as we look at your business mix between expertise and technology, is technology going to continue to grow faster or is it going to be balanced? How should we think of that?
spk02: I think it'll be a little bit more balanced. The two programs, the two technology programs you mentioned Kai, do have slightly slower ramps, as they're both characterized by the preliminary phases being related to design and planning the balance of the program. That's not necessarily true of all technology programs and sales, but it certainly is for ITAS and Spectrum. John may want to.
spk04: Yeah, Kai, look, Jeff answer that the way I would have mentioned it. I guess the one thing I'll talk about is on the ITAS award and on the Spectral one. You know, those are both long-term technology programs, right? The new business that we have won over this past year goes into backlog with a 72-month contract duration. So, you know, these technology programs are actually going to, they've all been kicked off. We're going to have that typical design phase that happens first, and then we're working in both of those cases with customers who are very eager to press forward. So I like what they're going to contribute to FY24, but much more impactful as we get out over the next three to five years.
spk05: Thanks, guys. Thank you so much.
spk15: We'll take our next question from Robert Springer with Milius Research. Good morning.
spk12: Good morning, Rob. John, you talked a little bit about the budget earlier and that you expect the government to start the year on a CR. How are you thinking about the possibility that government fiscal 24 could start on a CR with that funding capped at 99% of 23 levels? You know, if we get into a situation where that particular adjustment triggers. So, and maybe Jeff, if you want to hop in here, in the guide, are you assuming that we're going to have a CR from just, you know, October through December, but that the budget will be passed before calendar 24 starts? How are you thinking about it in the guide?
spk04: Yeah, Rob, so if you look at our range, right, on the low end, you know, we're assuming it's a full year CR, right? And we have a really tough, tough time, slower and a real uneven pace at getting through the government fiscal year 24 process. On the upper end, really focus at a much shorter CR and that budget gets passed sooner. We always look at the budget. We always try to do our best at sort of predicting how that's going to turn out. We've got an expectation that the CR lasts for a quarter, Rob. And, you know, we honestly looked at that from many, many angles. You know, we also looked at the level of contracting officers. You know, can they push this budget out to us and the requisite funding? And that is a strong yes from where we may have been, you know, 18 to 20, 24 months back. But what we are confident in with our recent awards is that the large intel program is ongoing work, very critical national security priority. So, you know, we don't expect any funding issues with that one. ITAS, critical air force priority, and is well funded at the government fiscal year 23 levels. And then Spectral is a critical program for the Navy, particularly supporting the near-peer fight in the Indo-PACOM region. Those three larger programs that are providing a level of growth as we go through our fiscal year 24, we look to be safely funded there.
spk12: Okay, thank you. And just as a follow-up, I wanted to ask you about pricing, because if we do get into this, I don't want to call it a constrained budget, but if we have these caps and so on, you know, might your competitors or some of them start to get a little bit more aggressive? Now, your margins are rising. But how do you think about the pricing environment and aggressiveness of the peer group as we go forward?
spk04: Yeah, Rob, so a couple of pieces. You know, first off, you know, we're looking at a recent report, you know, looking at the defense industry, you know, and it's sort of pretty much concluded that the Pentagon does not find a need to modify its weighted guidance in sending profit levels I would tell you that our general experience is that we see customers largely pursuing best value type of procurements and doing things as far reaching as putting in price floors. So on those times where we find ourselves, you know, rarely bringing a job that has a rate table, really trying to discourage against aggressive bidding. Look, we're always going to have aggressive pricing and LPTA is still going to be out there. But, you know, we're pretty disciplined about what we work on and what we pursue and how we pursue it. I also think we're pretty different than others as our strategy, frankly, is built on the ability of technology enabling the most cost-effective solutions. You know, sort of the replacement with some of that lower-priced expertise with technology solutions. And I guess as an example, Beagle, with our Customs and Border Patrol customer You know, that's still our price example where we won with a customer that appreciates best value. We brought efficiency via Agilent scale. You know, we're doing far more with far fewer people. And that really gives the customer the optionality to sort of take that savings at the price level and then come back to us and, frankly, driving even more work. And in some cases, moving work from other contracts on to ours. So, You know, we sort of weathered some of those pricing pressure items. I'd also leave it with, you know, about half of our workforce is fungible to us. You know, that's the beauty of having differentiated this business starting seven or eight years back, where, you know, yes, we do have a lot of software talent and engineering talent and analyst talent in our expertise side. But, you know, half of the rest of the folks, the other half of the direct bills, are working across a number of different programs, which is what our customers have told us is much more important because they get to understand what we're doing for other customers out there. So price to pressure, not a big watch item for us any longer.
spk05: Thanks for the question, Rob. Thanks for the color. Appreciate it.
spk14: We'll take our next question from Peter Arment with Baird.
spk08: Yes, good morning, John, Jeff. Nice results. Hey, John, just to follow up on just kind of the pricing environment, you know, you do have, you know, industry-leading EBITDA margins finished, obviously, really strong this year, and your guidance kind of implies that at a minimum you're kind of sustaining that or maybe potential a little upside to where you are today. And just kind of wondering what your, you know, puts and takes around that, just given that you've got a lot of new programs ramping up about just sustaining those high-level margins. Thanks.
spk04: Yeah, thanks. Peter, you know, I guess I'll start with sort of how we got to where we are that, you know, really allows you to sort of see this, you know, we didn't luck out on those three large jobs. They've actually been a product of how we've been focusing this business and making certain when wins like this come in that we understand how to operate those. It's so much more about the vision of being different and really, you know, seven years ago setting out on a long-term plan and an investment plan to really differentiate from where we are. I've always said strategy is a place where we come from. And with a good, strong strategy, it provides clarity. And you all know best, with clarity, you get focus. So our strategy was to create a new part of our business that was purpose-built for the future fight. Software-based, profitable markets with large funding streams also helps you on the margin side. where knowledge of the customer mission was going to be very critical, but also we could build upon our collection of 60-year-plus relationships with a number of customers. So then we had to search out customers that had a bias towards leaning towards the art of the possible. Again, another margin hint there, which is if you find the right customers who are looking to do things differently and they're willing to jump onto our view and take great advantage of our investing ahead of customer need, that when those programs come up, you know, frankly, we reshaped our business development process to not only modify how we pursue business, how we bid less and win more, and we bid larger with margin always in mind, that we really got the customer to help us differentiate before the RFP. You also saw customers with jobs that were out there bidding on, you know, asking less for LPTA and more for, you know, value creation. hey, on this expertise bid, can you bring in more technology? And our long-term vision was, yes, as long as that begets higher margins, right, because I'm investing ahead of need. So, you know, all of that plays into the programs that we, you know, have the joy of talking about. You know, on the ITAS program, that is a network development applications IT job that really begs of additional work becoming part of our multi-year scope. And with each one of those turns, based on how we can set the model up with our customer, those are kind of programs that could not only continue to maintain margins, but actually push margins forward. So sort of right there and see if that answers.
spk08: Yeah, I appreciate all that, Collin. And just on the large expertise side reward that you booked, It was mentioned before that, you know, you're inserting a lot of opportunities to find technologies. By nature, it implies a large expertise effort to start, but do you see over time, do you kind of see the technology insertion there also? Thanks.
spk04: Yeah, Rob, thanks. Look, you know, first off, we're extremely pleased that the award was reaffirmed after not only the first but the second protest. You know, based on the fact that we're providing a high-end network of exploitations, work there. It's a billion five award. We're on track in our ramping up. It's exactly 100% in line with our expectations as well as our customers. It's including both the staff transition and our hiring plan. Work will continue to ramp up as different task orders transition to us. You know, we actually see the majority of that transition happening in the late October time frame. We'll have some additional growth when we get out to the middle of 2025 based on some longer-term task orders. But at the end of the day, you know, we bid that job with a phenomenal staffing plan that guarantees this customer no gaps in coverage. We have their absolute support. And one other area, Peter, that we've worked on that's been very unique is You know, on some of these large expertise programs where you have cleared folks, you have to be cautious, right? Because when people come off of those programs, you want them to lose their clearance. And what our customer has done greatly, and a really great early sign of the tremendous partnership we have with them, is that they reworked their security process to support our onboarding of, you know, nearly 1,000 people on this program. So, you know, on large expertise programs, if you plan it right, and have a great customer relationship, and they want you to perform that work, we're perfect evidence on this large intel program that customers will make certain that we come to speed quickly.
spk05: So thanks so much for your questions.
spk08: Thanks, John.
spk14: We'll take our next question from Matt Akers with Wells Fargo.
spk06: Good morning, Matt. Good morning, guys. Thanks for the question. I wanted to ask about debt pay down. I think you mentioned it in the prepared remarks. You know, interest expense is up a fair amount this year. You know, could that be more of a focus here in terms of capital deployment? And is there sort of a leverage ratio that you have in mind that you'd like to get to?
spk04: Yeah, Matt, thanks. Look, I'll start off. Look, we're being very flexible and opportunistic. based on the different dynamics that we see. You called out some of those. You know, we're always looking at, you know, our M&A pipeline, stock price and valuation, leverage, and interest rates and the like. All options are always on the table. Jeff mentioned a little bit about our $750 million share rating purchase authorization. You know, we've got a lot of different levers here in capital to employment. that will benefit our shareholders in both the near and the long term by driving growth to free cash flow per share. Jeff, do you want to share some of the details?
spk02: Yeah, there are a couple of things, a level or two into that, Matt, that you might find of interest. You may recall that we put in place about $500 million of interest rate swaps, hedges, earlier this year We caught that at a nice time on the interest rate cycle about a week after the Silicon Valley Bank adventure, which turned out to be pretty good timing for us. We added that $500 million to about $700 million of swaps that we already had in place, which really puts us in a pretty good place. And I think you'll see, described a little more fully in our K than I will do here, but we effectively paid about 4.6 as an interest rate last year. So I think we're pretty well positioned in terms of the cost of our debt, which is another factor that we consider in the capital deployment. So that changes a little bit to calculus around the possibility of share repurchases in particular. So debt pay down for us at this point is really probably one of the less appealing factors one of the less appealing options versus acquisitions or executing further on our share repurchase program. And you remember the $750 million authorization. We completed 250 of that in the ASR that we announced at the end of January. We further did about $13 million in an open market repurchase program that ended in May. So we have about $487 million of existing authority, you know, that we could execute on, you know, very quickly. So, you know, expect us to be more flexible and as flexible and as opportunistic going forward as we have been.
spk06: Great. No, thanks. That's helpful color. And then I wanted to ask about free cash flow. And thanks for all the color on the walk there. But I guess maybe to come at it a different way, just as free cash flow conversion of net income. If I add back to 35 this year, you're still a little bit below 100 percent. I think historically you've been kind of well above 100 percent. So maybe if you could talk about if there's something else in there that's you know, pressuring that a little bit this year and if there's opportunity to get back up to the level that you guys have done historically.
spk02: Yeah, you know, there's a reason that we characterize that as at least $400 million. So if you take that bar and tease it apart where we talk about the incremental income and the working capital growth as well as taxes and interest, you ought to think about the additional... working capital growth and the incremental income being about offset. So they're about a, they net out to about a push. And really what we have there is about $39 million in total of incremental interest expense and cash taxes. So the interest expense, you know, we have one more increase forecast this year and then basically flat for next year. So I'll let you factor that with your opinion of what the Fed may do. But we basically are not counting on any cuts next year at all. So that may afford us some opportunity. And also, if we're able to sustain specifically our DSO performance, there's probably a little bit of upside in there as well. And then finally, we are... very aggressively managing the timing of our CapEx spend. And you may, as the year unfolds, you know, it's possible we could see a little bit of improvement there as well. So I think there's three areas. Those three areas afford us some opportunity to, you know, kind of be on the right side of our cash flow guidance as we move through the year and as the year develops.
spk06: Got it. That's helpful. Thanks for the comment. Sure.
spk14: We'll take our next question from Bert Subin with Stiefel.
spk07: Hey, good morning. Jeff, you mentioned in... Hey, Jeff, John. Jeff, you mentioned in your prayer remarks that $26 billion backlog was up 11%. Can you give us any sort of way to think through how margin accretive your backlog is, i.e., the work you've been winning, giving you conviction in future margin expansion? And then how do we think about investments related to winning some new contracts on the tech side affecting that margin profile here?
spk02: Well, look, I mean, we're focused, obviously, on the evaluation of our pipeline and the opportunities are considered in our guidance. And we do believe that the revised business development and pursuit opportunity qualification guidelines parameters that John's talked about many times will continue to give us programs that are appropriate margin and sort of satisfy our objectives. John may want to add to this a little bit, but the focus on differentiated opportunities in the pipeline, longer-term programs, capitalizing on relationships with customers, those things we expect to to result in ongoing volume with, you know, characteristics that are similar to what we've developed over the last year or two.
spk04: Yeah, Bert, I'll add a couple of things to that. You know, I guess, first off, the margins and backlog in our pipeline support continued margin expansion. It's sort of what we have the team out there looking at. Right? You know, large top line growth without complimentary bottom line growth doesn't really move free cash flow to share that quickly. You know, and it really harkens back to is there still room for us to expand our margins? And the answer is yes. You know, it's been a key focus of ours over the long term. But I've always been very, very cautious and very, very transparent about that I'm not going to short very connected to our expertise side. I really can't do that if I'm trimming CapEx and trimming R&D and B spend. In this 24 plan, there is adequate investment and what is required for us to continue to build out things like our photonics line, continue to build out EW SIGINT. All those investments are in the guide that you all see. So, you know, it's It's an important part of the value creation model, margins are, but as are all the other levers that I mentioned in my prepared remarks, right? They collectively drive growth and free cash flow per share. So, appreciate the question.
spk07: So, John, maybe then for my follow-up, it sounds like, I think you mentioned this before, but, you know, there's some investment that goes into that, the payout period coming later. You know, photonics, optics get some of that attention, and I think Your expectation is you start to see more growth than that in FY25 and 26. I guess first, is that appropriate? Is that true? That's sort of what you're seeing. And then second, you know, what are you seeing across the other side of your mission tech business? It seems like EW SIGINT is obviously taking off with Spectral. Are some of the other categories, you know, nearing a potential inflection point?
spk04: Yeah, Bert, thanks. Look, spot on. Let me start with SIGINT and EW, right? Because sometimes we tend to not talk about that, which is settled in, right? It sort of has a stream of consciousness going. Make no mistake about it. SIGINT and EW, both the internal investments and the acquisitions that we did, those were the foundation to winning Spectral, okay? Based on open architecture investments, making sure we had the right hardware and the right software tools, all the software that we'll be delivering on Spectral is software that you would have seen in our counter UAS build up and all of our SIGINT mission tech deliveries and the like. As we continue to invest In the photonics area, yes, you've got the right model. Look, as I think I said last quarter, this is a five to ten year market opportunity. We're looking to complete some of our movement of production from Los Gatos to Orlando, making sure that we have the right production capacity in place. We've won our fair share of jobs on on S, DAs, Tron Zero and Tronch One. We're looking for some Tronch Two awards. We're going out here shortly in the next quarter or two. So yeah, we continue to invest heavily. You are going to see the output of our photonics business late in our fiscal year 24. That's within our plan. And then 25 and beyond, we'll start to see volume that we are in alignment that will continue to not only drive top-line growth, but also push our bottom-line growth forward. So long story short, investment is in place. Great acquisitions. What LGS did in photonics and SA Photonics are, you know, inextricably connected and love what we're seeing with the high-end tech pieces. I mean, the spoke solutions, we already have operating space. I'm really excited about the launch of the 16 OCDs, you know, the first in space and operating at or above spec.
spk05: Thanks for the question, Bert. Yeah, thanks, John, and thanks, John. Thank you.
spk14: We'll take our next question from Seth Seifman with J.P. Morgan.
spk01: Hey, thanks very much. Good morning. Good morning, Seth. I actually wanted to follow up quickly on that last part of your answer about photonics and clearly a great growth opportunity in proliferated LEO. What we've seen, I feel like, among several contractors doing work with SDA is that the work for the time being seems to be margin dilutive. So I guess when you think about how that ramps up in fiscal 25 and 26, I think, you know, you mentioned it would grow bottom line as well. Is there, you know, is there kind of a certain amount of fixed price risk around whether it grows bottom line to the extent that you expect it to grow bottom line? Is it, you know, is it more like a product margin that's accretive in that timeframe or is it going to take, you know, much longer for that to become more profitable work?
spk04: Yes, Seth, thanks. Look, the way I would characterize it is as follows. First off, to the first part of your question, we're a supplier of optical communication terminals, right? So we're a supplier to major satellite builders. So as for loss leaders and the like, we're well within the range that we wanted to be at this point in our development cycle. Contrary to other suppliers, We had about a 15 year head start with the acquisition of OGS who have real bespoke solutions that were already on orbit before we started talking about SDA, before we started talking about what we haven't assessed yet are these proliferated LEOs. It does, to our plan, contribute to our FY 24 top and bottom line growth. It fits in nicely. You know, we've got some more development work to do around producibility, which is well within the timeline that we have laid out. And we have some very, I guess I'll just use the word, nice bids in place for Tranche 2 and for other work. I'd also tell you, beyond the satellite comms part, there are other domains that we're looking at using for hydrotonics. It is a perfect way to map the Earth. It's perfect in the ELINT space. So in my opening remarks, I was talking about I spent a lot of time in space, clearly, but then in other domains, you know, in other domains, it's sort of, you know, code for ELINT, and you can do ELINT from a number of places. You can do it from the air, and you can do it from the space and like. So it's appropriately and tastefully part of our FY24 plan, and you'll see it more prominently as you move forward to FY25.
spk01: Great. Thanks. I'll stick to Juan this morning.
spk05: Okay. Thanks so much, Seth.
spk14: We'll take our next question from Toby Somer with Truist.
spk03: Thank you. I wanted to ask a question about the interplay between contract awards and book-to-bill, which has been strong for a number of quarters, not just the one reported, and organic growth. And I understand that From previous Q&A, there's an interplay between some contracts that are slower to ramp, but we're talking several years, a pretty strong book to build. Could you explain sort of the disconnect or why organic growth isn't sort of stepping up faster? And I noticed you had a weighted average contract duration of awards of six years in the quarter. So I wonder if there's any kind of underlying trend towards longer or shorter awards that could be influencing the impact on organic growth.
spk04: Yeah, Toby, thanks. So a couple of directions here. I guess let's start with the large recent awards, right? So part of our long-term strategy was so we would be at the point that we weren't annual organic growth rate, you know, we would be talking about something around the mid-single digits. You know, it's a balancing act, frankly, making certain that if we're driving free cash flow growth per share, then we're looking at all different levers, right? So, you know, you can get that with a reasonable, predictable top-line growth with margin expansion. You get there with really high top-line growth. You know, specifically on the three jobs that we won, you know, the ITAS job is going to start with upfront planning and design. Think lower volume. Think that that ramps over time. The expertise job is going to take a little bit of time to transition that work as taskforces turn. But clearly we're, you know, we are providing expertise in that case. So that ramp is going to be very fast. and then it lives there for quite a long period of time, hopeful of growth as we go out. Then on Spectral, this is a large new technology program. It starts with a lot of upfront planning and design, so think lower volume, and there's multiple paths for that to ramp over time. What's really important is not just the growth rate. We see this kind of money, this kind of awards going into our backlog, In essence, why isn't revenue growing faster? At the end of the day, our goal in building a differentiated company in this sector is to make sure that we have long-term predictable revenue growth. I'm not big on spikes. I'm big on continuous improvement. I'm really big on full-year numbers, not highly motivated by quarter-end points. So if you look at why we're winning this kind of business, the sort of mantra of, you know, bid less and win more and bid longer term, is over the last seven years, I'm spending materially less on winning business that I have already had in my book of business. So my recompete rate comes down. And over time, all those millions of dollars, I get to transfer that from BNP to IRAD, where I'm building exquisite outcomes for customers I have, customers that i don't have yet so it's much more complex than you know you just put 7.4 billion into it i'd also you know warn again and we've said this many many many times don't take the ceiling value divided by by the by the top uh because it gives you um not the full picture of where we're looking looking to grow so you know look we we came out of uh fy 2023 with six percent or organic we're going into this year with 6% or organic, you know, clearly you don't win all of your A competes. You know, so there's a, you know, there's a buck or two worth of revenue we had last year we no longer have this year, so we have to net that out. And then programs come to their natural end. So, you know, so we're going to model differently than what the rest of the sector is because we are preserving sector-leading EBITDA margins and making sure that we're growing in line with that.
spk03: Thank you. As my follow-up, I was going to ask about capital intensity and whether the strategy to focus on tech, like you said, can prompt IRAD or development in investments. How does that interplay in any change to the translation for free cash flow conversion?
spk02: These are generally not capital-intensive businesses. You see a little bit of CapEx and we a little bit of working capital growth. We have some very modest capex associated with the move from California to Florida of our photonics facilities, but these are not in the traditional sense at all capital-intensive businesses.
spk05: I mean, these are very modest in terms of capital intensity. Does that answer your question? Yes, yes. Thank you very much. Thanks. Thank you.
spk14: We'll take our next question from David Strauss with Barclays.
spk11: Good morning, David. Hey, good morning. Thank you. So following up on that someone's margin question and the trajectory from here, how does the – can you give us an idea of how the backlog breaks out between – expertise in technology as well as your forward bid pipeline?
spk04: Yeah. So, you know, our backlog is very representative of the book of business we have now, you know, which goes back to your earlier question around do the margins and the, you know, ramp of the programs in our backlog support future growth of both, frankly. Right. You know, the answer is yes. As Jeff mentioned, you know, we would expect over time our CapEx spend to come back down, you know, to a lower level once we've made some of these technology-based capital investments. You know, how the backlog on PACs is sort of in our mix today. I think our mix is 53, 47. You know, what's important for us is that, you know, 70% of our bids, that we're bidding and we're looking to be awarded are on the technology side. So, you know, one would say that in some HRs, we've sort of broken through that sheaf and we've sort of, you know, we're now actually able to bid more technology jobs than we have in the past. How those come out of backlog can vary quarter to quarter and year to year, right? So a dollar of expertise going in is going to unpack sooner and faster, and a dollar of technology is going to, you know, it's going to unpack slower and more over time. So that's about how we model it. But rest assured, the most important time to look at is, are we bidding things at the right mix of revenue growth? Are they core to the five markets that we serve? Are we doing acquisitions in a strategic, deliberate manner? Are we buying shiny objects that drive revenue? Or are we buying things that fill in gas for long-term growth? It's why we're really pushing on free cash flow for share growth because it's so much more than, you know, whether my technology and my backlog unpacks it, you know, $2 a year versus one. So, you know, probably not an overly satisfying answer, but it sort of is how we manage this business.
spk11: No, that's helpful, Culler. And then in terms of a follow-up, is there anything Capital deployment at all assumed in the guidance, whether it be debt pay down, I don't think there is share repurchase based on the assumed share count.
spk02: No, the guidance doesn't assume any meaningful share repurchases. We have some limited number to kind of manage dilution of, you know, grants that vest, but no meaningful share repurchase and no acquisitions.
spk05: So any capital deployment activity would be incremental.
spk11: Right. That's what I thought.
spk05: All right. Thank you. Sure. Thanks.
spk14: We'll take our next question from Sheila Koyoglu with Jefferies.
spk13: Hey. Good morning, guys. Thank you. You know, good year with good margins, but I just wanted to zone in on Q4. And, John, I know you said you don't focus on a point in time, but 4% of growth was respectable, but peers saw an acceleration, and you guys saw deceleration. But it seemed to be particularly in your civil business, which is about 20% of sales. So can you talk about what happened there and how that improved?
spk04: Yeah, Sheila, thanks. And, you know, I guess this isn't aimed at you. To be honest, I've said this so many times, I don't see the numbers until we disaggregate them. to put the data in the back of our, you know, tables or in the back of our release. You know, I could probably take the time to invest, investigate that in detail prior to these calls. I will tell you that everybody is well aware we lost TSA impact last year. It was probably in the third to fourth quarter. So if we're looking at a comparison in the numbers that you're talking about, I can't be 100% certain. the end of the day our leaders in each of our markets deliver to the whole of government so you know whether dod is up six or down four or civil and this is a you know this is a this is a response to every every everybody out there um our customers love the fact that we're aligned by what it is we deliver and what it is they need right they they crave information they love shared investments because We get to invest once and we get to deliver to many. So that's a great win-win. They aren't competitors, our customers. They're actually friends. And I sort of believe that we should meet customers where they're at, which is I don't want to impose my work structure or how I measure my financials on them. So what we do is we bring things up to expertise in tech. My three presidents have the full reign to go all the way across this federal government, whether it's commercial-esque, whether it's Fed, CIVIL, DOD, Intel. So I really, I want to always be extremely transparent, Sheila. I just can't tell you what actually drove that, but I can tell you it's just as easy that next quarter Fed, CIVIL will be up, you know, nine and DOD will be down four. And I wouldn't tell anybody that that's good or bad. It just sort of is.
spk13: Thanks for that color. And then maybe bigger picture question. You talked about Spectral a bit and how that complements your abilities. And I think the other contract you mentioned was Feature Trace. They both seem to have an AI element in them. Maybe if you could elaborate on that and how that capability over the medium term could be used for other customers.
spk04: Yeah, thank you. So I guess first off, Spectral, right? I think... What makes Spectral special is that it really is proof positive of the investment thesis that we've had for a while as to how we want to go about differentiating ourselves within the sector and also moving out forward. We know we're successful on the vision we had a number of years back, but if I were to just go back over that. We've been a disciplined acquirer. We didn't get distracted by Binary Avenue. We built each acquisition and investment on the prior one. You know, 6.3 was the foundation. Mastodon hardware, more tactical. LGS software, more bespoke machines. ABT bringing in gimbals and mobile counter UAS and other tuck-ins. You know, we didn't veer from that goal. You know, new technology markets with large funding streams. where we could differentiate, propose, you know, a business that's actually, you know, purpose-built for where the future goes. Spectral is the first step in that. You know, I think it's quite noteworthy of what we have done on Spectral. It's noteworthy in that three aerospace and defense companies joined our team. And to me, that's a sign that we differentiated across that entire very highly competitive space In a market we've proven we can punch above our weight, where long-term investments were absolutely needed, and the U.S. Navy is going to be a massive beneficiary for selecting us and our partners to be able to drive that. You talked about AI, and look, I've always said that you can't spell CACI without AI, but just a little bit of humor there, I have to have that. Look, to us, AI is a technology very similar to cyber. Sheila, it has become inherent in everything that we do. It's more about the outcomes. So to us, AI is important, but it's a tool. And I think last quarter, I actually talked about three different places, right? I look at AI, I think about machine learning, RPA, and generative. On the computer vision piece, that you related to, yeah, that's absolutely part of what we've done. One was on contract, our Sapphire NGA customer. The other one was self-funded. It was all our own intellectual property, which is really how can we help NGA basically produce digital maps faster? So, you know, this is a house, this is a tank, this is a, you know, missile silo. How do you use machine learning over a number of years to not replace what the analyst does, but allow us to create maps in a much more repetitive and much more efficient manner. You know, broadly, we've got about 200 major programs across this company. And I have to tell you, in some way, in more than half of them, Sheila, we have been doing that for years or months or days. It's important that how I see AI is just to appreciate a couple of things. One is that it's an important capability and differentiator for us. And it has been for a long time. And the second piece is our AI is real. I continually talk about that. Our technology drive and our vision was to have it be real, tangible. You can touch it. You can see it. And a customer recognizes it in their outcome. It's real. It's deployed. It's also revenue generating. So it's not on a slide. It's not aspirational. It's so much a part of our technology work, which I call delivering, versus the expertise side. So we're not advising. We're not consulting. We're actually doing. So we're being very cautious. I've gotten a lot of questions. How does AI support the financial growth of the company? And my answer is it always has. But we're being very cautious. in line with our customer, right? There's an organization looking at how do I trust the AI coming out. DOD has a responsible AI guidance. We're very familiar with it. We don't build solutions that go beyond that. Look, I think it's an enabling technology just as cyber was, you know, 10 to 15 years back. Will it have an impact in the space that we serve? Absolutely so. But have we already helped it impact ourselves so we can be more efficient and more cost effective? Absolutely so. So thank you for that. Appreciate it.
spk14: Thank you. Thanks a lot. We'll take our next question from Mariana Perez Mora with Bank of America.
spk16: Good morning, everyone.
spk05: Morning. Morning.
spk16: So my question is about people. As you think about executing against that, like, really large backlog, how is hiring, how is security clears this environment, and what are the challenges ahead?
spk04: Yeah, so let me start with the last piece first. You know, since we have a large expertise-based contract with an extremely important Intel customer, I did cover that earlier, we're that, you know, our customer understands the importance of people retaining their high-end, long time-to-get clearance. So that has worked very, very well for us, and I expect them to continue to support us as we transition that job. Now, having said that, right, the demand for talent is always high, Mariana. I mean, it's the hiring environment has been competitive for, you know, I guess since Moby Tick was a minnow maybe. You know, but it's no different than it has been in the past. But we really strive to be the employer choice in our sector, and that's what we start off with. So, what are the things that we can do to make sure that we're attracting the right talent that does then support our programs which then supports our growth. I'm quite happy to say that about 50% of our work are people that we hire to do work on behalf of our customers, meaning that they are in our CSAC facilities and they are creating technology solutions. Look, we've got three great programs within this company. Hashtag Making Moves enables mobility and helps retention. One of every four openings in this company is filled by somebody else in this company looking to be promoted, looking to do something different. That's very unusual for what is usually a people-intensive, direct label reportable sector. Second is we've improved our referral program and the incentives. That nets about 40% of all of our hires. Great people know other great people. And then we just recently put a flexible time off program in place. that I'll spend a minute or two on. We also have continued to expand our internship program. That's where we cultivate talent. We bring folks in from college at a freshman level, at a sophomore level, introduce them to national security space, talk about how their engineering degree, how that unpacks when they come to us, how they support some of the eye-watering technology that we're out there delivering. And then frankly, you know, we finished FY23. with attrition a little over a point lower than what it was in fiscal year 2022. We continue to win Best Places to Work awards, and we drive in our time to accept and time to start metrics. So that's probably a 12-point answer to how we're going to handle this large influx. What I will tell you on the technology programs, You know, I often get asked, you know, revenue is coming up at X, and we're surprised that your headcount hasn't. You know, in the technology space, headcount is not linear to revenue, okay? We have people working on multiple programs, taking their amazing engineering talents and bringing that to other programs. If I may, a moment on our FTO program. Look, it's a breakthrough program. We launched it on July 1st. In our surveys that we do, two of the benefits that resonate most of our employees is time off and flexibility. So it just seemed like flexible time off was the right title for it. You know, at the end of the day, employees can take time off as needed without a set number of maximum days. It allows our employees to better balance their work and their personal commitments. It differentiates and strengthens our positioning as a highly sought-after employer. And I can tell you, we didn't do this with brevity in mind. We actually took us quite a while to assess this program. We actually used data from a prior acquisition that had a similar program in place for about four years. So, back to tie off where we're going on people. You know, we know that this program works. We're already seeing the impact of it and are recruiting. And I've been asked, is it a headwind to revenue growth? And I'm puzzling, but at the end of the day, our work still needs to be completed. So program leaders know the staffing adjustments they need to make to support this outstanding program going forward. So finding talent is very, very tough. We've put many, many programs in place over a long number of years, and we continue to be that company that when we win work, you won't hear us say, we won the work, we can't convert the revenue because we can't find the people.
spk16: Thank you. That was really grateful. Great color. My follow-up on M&A. First short-term and then long-term. In the short-term, where are you seeing in terms of pipeline areas of opportunity and pricing? And in the long-term, what will M&A place out in keeping the competitive advantage?
spk04: Yeah, thanks. So, you know, on the M&A pipeline, I think we've done a pretty good job of for revenue. We don't buy shiny objects. We're just there to fill gaps. Look, where we are today, valuations, expectations of value have really been slow to adjust to the changing market dynamics, interest rates and other things. The pipeline is starting to build. However, we continue to pursue some of our preemptive M&A strategies. We're hopeful we see the market shift back to a buyer's market from a seller's market, and that may drive more opportunities in the future. We're evaluating all options based on our current dynamics. And again, M&A is an important use of capital, but it's not the only one. If we look at what we're taking a look at, we continue to look at companies who do EW, SIGINT, cyber, AI, data analytics, and the like. Frankly, in all the other areas, Mariana, we've got the majority of our gaps filled, and now it's time for us to go grow and win larger and a bit less and win more. We're pretty good at doing moderate-sized acquisitions. We think we do those very well. It is our sweet spot. As the strategic needs arise, we'll execute on that. If not, we'll be sitting down with Jeff and looking at other flexible and capital.
spk02: Yeah, I mean, absolutely committed to buying things that are logical, strategic fits at the right price.
spk15: Thanks so much.
spk14: And that concludes the question and answer session. I'd like to turn the call back over to John Magucci for closing remarks.
spk04: Well, thanks. Thanks, Lisa. And thank you for everybody who was joined during the call today. We know that many of you will have follow-up questions. Jeff McLaughlin, Dan Leckberg, and George Price are available after today's call. So thanks again for joining us. Stay healthy, and all my best to you and your families. This does conclude our call. Thank you, and have a great day.
spk14: Thank you. That concludes today's presentation. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
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