10/24/2023

speaker
Elmer
Moderator

Good morning and welcome to Crown Holdings' third quarter 2023 conference call. Your lines have been placed on a listening limit until a question and answer session. Please be advised that this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Clement Clothier, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Sir, you may begin.

speaker
Clement Clothier
Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Elmer. Good morning. With me on today's call is Ken Donahue, President and Chief Executive Officer. If you do not already have the earnings release, it is available on our website at crowncourt.com On this call, as in the earnings release, we will be making a number of forward-looking statements. Actual results could vary materially from such statements. Additional information concerning factors that could cause actual results to vary are contained in the press release and in our SEC filings, including our Form 10-K for 2022 and subsequent filings. Third quarter earnings were $1.33 a share, compared to $1.06 in the prior third quarter. Adjusted earnings per share were $1.73 per share in the quarter, compared to $1.46 in 2022. Net sales in the quarter were down 6% from prior year, as higher sales unit volumes in America's beverage and $60 million positive impact from foreign currency translation were offset by the pass-through of $187 million of lower raw material costs in lower unit volumes than most other businesses. Segment income at $430 million in the quarter compared to $336 million in the prior year and reflects the benefit of higher unit volumes in North America, the contractual recovery of prior year's inflationary cost increases in European beverage, and the cost reduction initiatives in transit packaging. Cash flow of $832 million for the first nine months of 23 compared to $134 million in the prior year, the result of better working capital management. Net leverage improved to three and a half times, a half-turn improvement from the second quarter, driven by higher third quarter operating income and better operating cash flow. Fourth quarter adjusted EPS is projected to be in the range of $1.40 to $1.50 per share with a full-year adjusted EPS of $6 to $6.10 per share. Our guidance includes the following. Net interest expense of approximately $390 million, a 47 incremental non-cash pension and post-retirement costs, average common shares outstanding of approximately $120 million, and full-year tax rate of approximately 24%. Depreciation of approximately $340 million compared to $301 million in 2022. Non-controlling interest expense to be approximately $135 million. Dividends and non-controlling interest approximately $120 million. After capital spending of $900 million, free cash flow is projected at $500 million, and we currently expect year-end leverage to be three and a quarter times. With that, I'll turn the call over to Timothy.

speaker
Timothy
Executive (Q&A Presenter)

Thank you, Kevin, and good morning to everyone. Kevin just provided a sea of numbers, so I'll be brief, and then we'll open the call to questions. As reflected in last night's earnings release, and as Kevin just summarized, third quarter performance was in line with expectations as each of our three larger businesses, that is, America's Beverage, European Beverage, and Transit Packaging, all continued to perform well, offsetting softness in North American aerosols in Asia. For the quarter, total company segment income improved by 28% from a challenging prior year third quarter, and we expect similar improvement in the fourth quarter. Importantly, through nine months, and as Kevin just noted, free cash is $700 million ahead of the prior year nine-month period due to an improved working capital position with net leverage being reduced by a full one-half turn in the quarter. As Kevin noted, we estimate year-end net leverage to be around three and a quarter times after giving effect to the Helvetia packaging acquisition completed in early October. North American volumes advanced 12.6% in the third quarter, helping to advance income in the America's beverage segment by 25% over the prior year. Through nine months, unit volumes in North America are up more than 6% over the prior year, And while we are still early in the fourth quarter, demand remains firm, and we maintain our estimate of 7% growth for the full year. Earlier this month, commercial shipments commenced from Line 1 at the company's new plant in Mesquite, Nevada, with the startup of Line 2 scheduled before the end of the year. Post-pandemic economic conditions appear to be improving in Brazil, and we remain positive as we enter the busy summer selling season. Income performance in European beverage was up significantly over the prior year as inflationary pass-throughs helped the business recover margin from the challenging prior year third quarter. Our unit volumes in the quarter were down 5% across the segment as our regional mix, which is weighted more towards southern Europe, saw our volumes underperform a flattish market. More important than volumes, acceptable operating margins have been restored to the business. Unit volumes across Asia Pacific were down 9% with continued weakness in Vietnam as fillers across that country looked to adjust their filled goods inventory into weakening economic conditions. Volumes across Cambodia and China remained firm in the quarter. Income in transit packaging was up almost 20% in the quarter as continued positive price cost management combined with reduced overhead costs and higher equipment deliveries more than offset lower consumables volumes. A solid performance through nine months with income at 15% in net sales and tracking for another 30-strong full-year cash flow performance. With a more streamlined cost structure, the business is well-positioned to benefit further as industrial activity improves in the future. Performance across North American tin plate and can-making equipment continued to be impacted by very soft aerosol can demand, with aerosol volumes in the quarter off 15 percent to the prior year. So, in summary, and as we said earlier, third quarter performance was on plan, income up, leverage down, and our expectation is that fourth quarter EBITDA should improve by a similar percentage as the third quarter, delivering further debt and leverage reduction. And before we open the call to questions, we again would ask that you limit yourselves to two questions so that as many of you as possible will have an opportunity. And with that, Elmer, we are now ready to take questions, please.

Disclaimer

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