10/22/2025

speaker
Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the Century Community's third quarter 2025 earnings conference call. At this time, all lines are in listen-only mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question and answer session. If at any time during this call you require immediate assistance, please press star zero for the operator. This call is being recorded on Wednesday, October 22nd, 2025. I would now like to turn the conference over to Tyler Langton. Please go ahead.

speaker
Tyler Langton
Head of Investor Relations

Good afternoon. Thank you for joining us today for Century Community's earnings conference call for the third quarter 2025. Before the call begins, I would like to remind everyone that certain statements made during this call may constitute forward-looking statements. These statements are based on management's current expectations and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described or implied in the forward-looking statements. Certain of these risks and uncertainties can be found under the heading risk factors in the company's latest 10-K as supplemented by our latest 10-Q and other SEC filings. We undertake no duty to update our forward-looking statements. Additionally, certain non-GAAP financial measures will be discussed on this conference call. The company's presentation of this information is not intended to be considered in isolation or as a substitute for the financial information presented in accordance with GAAP. Hosting the call today are Dale Franceskin, Executive Chairman, Rob Franceskin, Chief Executive Officer and President, and Scott Dixon, Chief Financial Officer. Following today's prepared remarks, we'll open up the line for questions. With that, I'll turn the call over to Dale.

speaker
Dale Franceskin; Rob Franceskin; Scott Dixon
Executive Chairman; Chief Executive Officer & President; Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Tyler, and good afternoon, everyone. In the third quarter, we performed well in a challenging environment and generated solid financial and operational results. meeting or exceeding the expectations detailed on our second quarter conference call. We delivered 2,486 homes hitting the high end of our guidance and our adjusted home building gross margin of 20.1% was up slightly on a sequential basis as reductions in our direct costs offset higher incentives in the quarter. We continue to control our fixed G&A costs and successfully refinanced our 2027 senior notes with the offering of our 2033 notes at a slightly lower interest rate. We also repurchased an additional $20 million of our shares this quarter, bringing our year-to-date repurchases to 6% of our shares outstanding at the beginning of the year. While home buyer demand has been more muted this year due to weaker consumer confidence, we continue to believe there is pent-up demand for affordable new homes supported by solid demographic trends. Buyers remain hesitant and cautious given the current level of economic uncertainty, but still have the desire to own a new home. As a result, we expect that any interest rate relief and improvement in consumer confidence will start to unlock buyer demand. Before turning the call over to Rob, I wanted to briefly talk about our current strategy and some recent achievements. While we will remain disciplined in slower markets like we are experiencing now, we are still positioning the company for future growth as demonstrated by our expectations for our 2025 year-end community count to increase in the mid single-digit percentage range. As we have said in the past, we expect this growth to come primarily from increasing our share within our existing markets. We currently hold top 10 positions in 13 of the 50 largest U.S. markets with a goal of further increasing this penetration. We have also continued to invest in people, processes, and systems that will drive top and bottom line improvements going forward. And we have made significant progress even in this difficult environment. While the operational benefits of our strategy are already apparent, as Rob will discuss, some of the financial benefits have been clouded by the higher incentives we've been offering this year and the impact of lower deliveries on our fixed G&A. Once the market begins to normalize, we are confident the value of these investments will be fully realized. I'll now turn the call over to Rob to discuss our operations and land position in more detail. Thank you, Dale, and good afternoon, everyone. We are encouraged by the operational improvements that continue to accrue at the company and believe Century is well positioned to further leverage these gains as the market normalizes. These improvements run throughout the organization, including continued success in reducing our costs in the third quarter. Our direct construction costs on the homes we delivered are down 3% on a year-to-date basis, Through the third quarter, we have not seen any material increases in direct costs from tariffs and don't expect any impacts in the fourth quarter given the price protection agreements with our preferred supplier partners. During the third quarter, our cycle times also continue to improve on both a year-over-year and sequential basis and currently sit at an average of 115 calendar days, with one-third of our divisions at 100 calendar days or less. Our customer satisfaction scores are at all-time highs, which leads to more referrals for both home buyers and brokers, as well as lower warranty costs. We have and continue to make meaningful improvements to both cost structures and cycle times, and are proud of the best-in-class operations our teams have built. Our third quarter net new contracts of 2,386 homes declined by 6% on a sequential basis, better than our historical average decline of 9% from 2019 through 2024. We saw a month-over-month increase in our web traffic from June to September, and in line with typical seasonality, our net orders and absorption rates were the lowest in July, with both August and September levels ahead of July. So far in October, our orders are seasonally consistent with August and September levels. Even with headwinds from the market and seasonal pressures, our incentives on closed homes in the third quarter came in lower than the 100 basis point increase we forecasted on our second quarter conference call and averaged roughly 1,100 basis points in the third quarter 2025. Looking forward, we continue to expect incentive levels to be the largest driver of changes to our gross margins in the near term, given our success in managing costs. We currently expect incentives to increase by up to another 100 basis points in our fourth quarter deliveries as we compete with other builders for year-end closings. In the third quarter, we started 2,440 homes, and similar to the past several quarters, have continued our focus on maintaining an appropriate level of spec home inventory by generally matching our starts with our sales. Our third quarter ending community count of 321 communities increased by 5% on a year-over-year basis. We continue to expect our year-end 2025 community count to increase in the mid-single-digit percentage range, which coupled with our 28% year-over-year growth for the full year 2024 will position us well for the upcoming spring selling season and provide a strong base for future growth in the years ahead. On the land side, our finished lot costs on the homes we delivered in the third quarter increased in the mid single digit range on both a year-over-year and sequential basis, and we expect our finished lot costs in the fourth quarter to be roughly flat on a sequential basis. We ended the third quarter with over 62,000 owned and controlled lots. Our owned lot count has remained relatively steady since the third quarter of last year. We have remained disciplined on the land front and continue to underwrite deals to current market assumptions. Land sellers are adjusting terms, and we are starting to see some reductions in our raw land and development costs. I also want to briefly talk about a trend that we have recently seen with mortgages in our financial services business. In the first quarter of this year, adjustable rate mortgages accounted for less than 5% of the mortgages that we originated. In the third quarter, however, arms accounted for close to 20% of the mortgages we originated. Given the length of time that the average first-time buyer stays in their home and the lower interest rates of arms, we think they can make sense for many of our homebuyers and help partially address the market's affordability challenges. We are pleased with the results we achieved in the third quarter. Our focus on cost reductions and controlling increases in incentives allowed us to improve our home building gross margin as well as pre-tax and net margins on a sequential basis. Our team has done a good job operating within a difficult market environment, and I want to thank them for their hard work and dedication. I'll now turn the call over to Scott to discuss our financial results in more detail. Thank you, Rob. In the third quarter, pre-tax income was $48 million and net income was $37 million or $1.25 per diluted share, up 7% and 10% respectively on a sequential basis. Adjusted net income was $46 million or $1.52 per diluted share. EBITDA for the quarter was $70 million and adjusted EBITDA was $82 million. Home sales revenues for the third quarter were $955 million, down 2% on a sequential basis. Our deliveries of 2,486 homes declined by 4% on a sequential basis, while our average sales price of $384,000 increased by 2% on a quarter-over-quarter basis, benefiting from a higher percentage of deliveries from our west and mountain regions and a lower percentage from Century Complete. At quarter end, our backlog of sold homes was 1,117 valued at 417 million with an average price of 373,000. In the third quarter, adjusted home building gross margin was 20.1% compared to 20% in the second quarter of this year. And gap home building gross margin was up 30 basis points to 17.9% versus 17.6% in the second quarter. The improvement of our third quarter gross margin versus second quarter levels was driven by lower direct costs offsetting higher incentives and finished lot costs. Purchase price accounting associated with our two acquisitions in 2024 reduced our third quarter 2025 gross margin by 30 basis points. We would expect purchase price accounting to have a similar impact on our home building gross margin in the fourth quarter of 2025. took an inventory impairment charge of 3.2 million in the third quarter related to several closeout communities the 6.1 million of other expense this quarter was comprised of 5.2 million for the abandonment of lot option contracts and 1.4 million for the loss of extinguishment of debt with a partial offset from other income For the fourth quarter 2025, we expect our home building gross margin to ease on a sequential basis by up to 100 basis points compared to our third quarter, primarily due to higher levels of incentives. SG&A as a percent of home sales revenue was 12.6% in the third quarter and benefited from ongoing cost reduction efforts. Assuming the midpoint of our full year home sales revenue guidance, we expect our SG&A as a percent of home sales revenue to be roughly 13% for the full year 2025, with SG&A as a percentage of home sales revenue of 12.5% for the fourth quarter. Revenues from financial services were $19 million in the third quarter, and the business generated pre-tax income of $3 million. We currently anticipate that the contribution margin from financial services in the fourth quarter to be similar to our third quarter results. Our tax rate was 21.8% in the third quarter 2025, which was driven by $45 tax credits received in excess of previous estimates. We expect our full year tax rate for 2025 to be in the range of 24.5% to 25.5%. Our third quarter 2025 net home building debt to net capital ratio improved to 31.4% compared to third quarter 2024 levels of 32.1%. Our home building debt to capital ratio also improved to 34.5% in the third quarter compared to year ago levels of 35.8%. We ended the quarter with $2.6 billion in stockholders' equity and $836 million of liquidity. During the quarter, we completed a private offering of $500 million of six and five-eighths senior notes due 2033, with the proceeds being used to redeem our $500 million six and three-quarters senior notes due 2027. With this transaction, we have no senior debt maturities until August of 2029, providing us ample flexibility with our leverage manager. During the quarter, we maintained our quarterly cash dividend of $0.29 per share and repurchased 297,000 shares of our common stock for $20 million at an average share price of $67.36 or a 23% discount to our company record book value per share of $87.74 as of the end of the third quarter. Assuming similar attractive valuations, we expect to continue repurchasing our shares in the fourth quarter. Through the first nine months of the year, we have repurchased 1.9 million shares or 6% of our shares outstanding at the beginning of the year. Turning to guidance. We are narrowing our full year 2025 home delivery guidance to be in the range of 10,000 to 10,250 homes and home sales revenues to be in the range of 3.8 to $3.9 billion. In closing, our healthy balance sheet allows us to both return capital to our shareholders through share repurchases and dividends, as well as continue to invest in our business to generate future growth. We believe we are well-positioned to navigate the current headwinds facing the market and prosper when the market rebounds. We remain focused on our strategy of deepening our share in our existing markets, growing our community count, lowering our direct cost and cycle times, and maintaining an adequate supply of land while controlling our finished lot costs. With that, I'll open the line for questions. Operator?

speaker
Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session. Should you have a question, please press the star followed by the one on your touchtone phone. You will hear a prompt that your hand has been raised. Should you wish to decline from the polling process, please press the star followed by the two. If you're using a speakerphone, please lift the handset before pressing any key. One moment please for your first question. Your first question comes from Alex Rigel with Texas Capitol. Please go ahead.

speaker
Alex Rigel
Analyst, Texas Capital

Alex?

speaker
Dale Franceskin; Rob Franceskin; Scott Dixon
Executive Chairman; Chief Executive Officer & President; Chief Financial Officer

Can you hear us, Alex?

speaker
Alex Rigel
Analyst, Texas Capital

Yes, I can. Sorry about that, guys, and appreciate it. As it relates to your adjusted gross margin that came in a bit above your guidance, was this more due to sort of rooting cost controls, or was it due to, you know, less incentives to some of the new sales?

speaker
Dale Franceskin; Rob Franceskin; Scott Dixon
Executive Chairman; Chief Executive Officer & President; Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, Alex, great question. You know, a handful of factors obviously running through that line item. I think we were very pleased with the continued success that we've seen on the direct cost side in terms of sticks and bricks, not only in the third quarter, but really earlier in the first and second quarter as well. So we really saw some of that benefit come through in the third quarter. I think in our prepared remarks, we mentioned that from a year-to-date perspective, we're down 3% on the direct cost. We did see and anticipated that we would see some additional pressures from a competitive standpoint on incentives. We certainly did see that during the quarter. I believe we were up about 50 basis points on incentives or so. But really that was moderated by the cost savings that came through the P&L during the quarter. So we were pleased with that result. Our teams have been doing tremendous work really to get as much cost out of our homes as possible as we navigate the current environment.

speaker
Alex Rigel
Analyst, Texas Capital

And then secondly, you brought up the shift here in the buyer's use of adjustable rate mortgages. Can you talk about how that might change going into the fourth quarter and talk about how that sort of impacts your business? Are they generally more profitable, less profitable? Are the margins a little bit better or less and so on?

speaker
Dale Franceskin; Rob Franceskin; Scott Dixon
Executive Chairman; Chief Executive Officer & President; Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, Alex, the way we really look at it is it's a product that has certainly continued to gain wider consumer acceptance this year, especially for our buyer type from the first-time homebuyer. perspective, um, you know, really, when you look at historical trends in terms of how long they're in the home, there's, there's not a lot of need for us to buy down, um, a fixed rate for a 30 year period of time. So it allows us to get a buyer into a home that it may be a little bit of a lower rate initially. Go ahead and buy down that rate and provide that really exceptional benefit to the buyer from a monthly payment perspective, but not need to do it over the entire 30-year term. So something that we're excited to see the consumer continue to have some acceptance with. You know, we're seeing acceptance on 7-1 norms, on 7-6 norms, as well as 5-1 norms. So really across the different opportunities that are out there, we're certainly seeing good momentum. A little difficult to tell what that will look like in Q4, but I would expect it to be...continue to be a meaningful part of the loans that we're originating with our financial services side.

speaker
Alex Rigel
Analyst, Texas Capital

Thank you very much. Absolutely.

speaker
Operator

Your next question comes from Rohit Seth with B. Reilly Securities. Please go ahead.

speaker
Rohit Seth
Analyst, B. Riley Securities

Hi. Thanks for taking my question. Good execution of the quarter, guys. Just on community account guidance, you mentioned, and if I heard this correctly, the community account going up mid-final digit by year end. Is that right?

speaker
Dale Franceskin; Rob Franceskin; Scott Dixon
Executive Chairman; Chief Executive Officer & President; Chief Financial Officer

That's correct. That's a year-over-year, from beginning of the year to end of the year number, so around that 5% mark year-over-year.

speaker
Rohit Seth
Analyst, B. Riley Securities

That does imply a significant ramp-up in the fourth quarter, a pretty sizable one. Can you help me bridge that?

speaker
Dale Franceskin; Rob Franceskin; Scott Dixon
Executive Chairman; Chief Executive Officer & President; Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, correct. And it's, you know, when that number specifically isn't ending community counts and not necessarily the average during the quarter. And it's something that we've been monitoring, you know, really throughout the year and been pretty consistent with anticipating those communities continuing to come online.

speaker
Rohit Seth
Analyst, B. Riley Securities

Okay. Absorption rates are also, I guess, pretty good sequentially into the quarter. Just maybe in color on what you're seeing on the consumer side and how the consumer is behaving. You know, you did mention that you didn't need as much incentives in the quarter, but then you're raising incentives in the fourth quarter. And so just help me understand what's happening at the consumer level.

speaker
Dale Franceskin; Rob Franceskin; Scott Dixon
Executive Chairman; Chief Executive Officer & President; Chief Financial Officer

Well, we're still seeing a very uncertain consumer, especially at the entry-level price points that we serve. And if we look at the fourth quarter, the reason we're putting that out there that it could be up another 100 basis points, as all the builders compete for year-end closings, we just think that there's going to be more incentives in the market overall. But generally speaking, from a consumer standpoint, the entry-level consumer has been the hardest hit along the chain of the various price points. And we're hopeful that going into next year, that starts to settle down a little bit. But just based on some of the uncertainty out there, people are a little more cautious right now.

speaker
Rohit Seth
Analyst, B. Riley Securities

Understood. Okay. All right. I'll pass it along. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Natalie Kulizekar with Zellman Associates. Please go ahead.

speaker
Natalie Kulizekar
Analyst, Zelman Associates

Hey, congratulations on a good quarter. I wanted to drill in a bit more on the SG&A upside you saw this time around and what drove your costs lower year over year. Is it operational efficiencies that you've been working on in the backend or is it, you know, through maybe headcount reductions, which we've heard in the past? Just wanted to get your thoughts on what would be a sustainable rate for this going forward.

speaker
Dale Franceskin; Rob Franceskin; Scott Dixon
Executive Chairman; Chief Executive Officer & President; Chief Financial Officer

Sure. Absolutely. Let me touch on a handful of things, and this is Scott. So, you know, really when we look at the SG&A line item, it's certainly been, as we've mentioned on previous calls, a pretty big focus area for us this year, just given the overall market and the tightening on the consumer side. So we have discussed at various points in time this year various different cost control activities that we've initiated, and we do believe that we're seeing some of the benefit of those coming through here in the third quarter. Those kind of are across the board from back office efficiencies to ensuring that our headcount is really where we think it needs to be to support the current organization. there's some additional compensation-related benefits that came through the quarter as well that are in there. And then when we look at, you know, go forward, we gave some specific outlines in terms of where we anticipate the fourth quarter to come in at. There's a handful of things that could potentially drive the numbers. So from a fourth quarter perspective, you know, we're looking at about 12.5%. At the midpoint of our guide, it does assume continued use of broker commissions, as well as potentially utilizing a little bit more on the advertising line, just given the competitive market set that's out there. So a line item that we're continuing to focus on to ensure we're as efficient as possible.

speaker
Natalie Kulizekar
Analyst, Zelman Associates

All right. Got it. Thank you. And one more from me. uh could you drill in a bit more on the lots that he walked away from during this quarter it was pretty sizable similar to the second quarter as well um like maybe about like what year these committees were set to come online and you know what stage um of like due diligence they were in yeah so you know as we mentioned in the prepared remarks you know we're underwriting to current market conditions

speaker
Dale Franceskin; Rob Franceskin; Scott Dixon
Executive Chairman; Chief Executive Officer & President; Chief Financial Officer

So as we look at that, our owned lots have remained fairly steady for some period of time right now at just under 37,000. But our controlled lots have changed. We still have almost 26,000 uncontrolled lots, but that has come down, as you mentioned. And the vintage of those, a lot of those would have been near-term projects that we just didn't think they fit the underwriting today. And so those were positions we exited. And so I wouldn't say that we had necessarily a larger spike in Q3. This is something that's kind of been going on for the most part of 25. And as we look going forward, we're still looking to grow in our various markets. We have plenty of land that's owned on our balance sheet to handle us over the next couple of years. But as we look at projects, we're looking for projects that would come on potentially a little bit later in the timeframe as opposed to immediate.

speaker
Operator

Got it. Thank you. As a reminder, if you wish to ask a question, please press star one. The next question comes from Michael Reholt with JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

speaker
Andrew Ozzie
Analyst, JPMorgan

Hi, everyone. This is Andrew Ozzie on for Michael. Congrats on the quarter. Just wanted to touch a little bit on the order ASP. Looks like there was a little bit of a sequential lift. Would love to just get some more context on that number. Was that driven, you know, more so by incentives, or were there any mixed dynamics that might have driven that improvement?

speaker
Dale Franceskin; Rob Franceskin; Scott Dixon
Executive Chairman; Chief Executive Officer & President; Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, Andrew, thanks for the question. Really, from an ASP perspective, Any volatility that we're seeing currently within various different metrics is a little bit more driven by NICs. The incentives commentary that we walk through in our prepared remarks, while we certainly have some regions that may be a little bit higher on the incentive, from a trend perspective, it's fairly consistent across the board. So what you're seeing on the ASP Um, it is really a little bit more driven by mix. For instance, on the delivery side, we're a little higher here in Q3 than, um, than we had been, um, in Q2. And a lot of that is just a little bit more, uh, from the West and mountain regions coming through this quarter as compared to our century complete, uh, business line.

speaker
Andrew Ozzie
Analyst, JPMorgan

I appreciate that. And then, uh, uh, sorry, I didn't mean to cut you off if I did, but, um, Just maybe moving on to kind of the tariff impact, I believe you said earlier in your prepared remarks that there isn't really an expected impact in 4Q. I was wondering if there was any way you can kind of size or estimate maybe an impact towards next year or is it a little bit too early? I would love to hear your thoughts there.

speaker
Dale Franceskin; Rob Franceskin; Scott Dixon
Executive Chairman; Chief Executive Officer & President; Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, it's really too early to tell for next year. You know, it's obviously a fluid environment as it relates to the tariffs. But for Q4 and historically, we have not had an impact this year. But going into next year, it's really too early to say exactly what an impact could be.

speaker
Andrew Ozzie
Analyst, JPMorgan

Got it. I appreciate that. I'll pass it on. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the call over to Dale Franciscan for closing remarks. Please continue.

speaker
Dale Franceskin; Rob Franceskin; Scott Dixon
Executive Chairman; Chief Executive Officer & President; Chief Financial Officer

To everyone on the call, thank you for your time today and interest in Century Communities. To our team members, thank you for your hard work, dedication to Century, and commitment to our valued homebuyers.

speaker
Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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