11/7/2025

speaker
Daryl
Operator

Greetings. Welcome to the Selling East Corporation third quarter 2025 conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. The question and answer session will follow the prepared remarks. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. Please note this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Bill Cunningham. Thank you. You may begin.

speaker
Bill Cunningham
Vice President of Investor Relations

Thanks, Daryl. Welcome to the Selling East Corporation third quarter 2025 earnings conference call. My name is Bill Cunningham, Vice President of Investor Relations. With me on the call today are Scott Richardson, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Chuck Kyrush, Chief Financial Officer. Selenese distributed its third quarter earnings release via Business Wire and posted prepared comments as well as a presentation on our Investor Relations website yesterday afternoon. As a reminder, we'll discuss non-GAAP financial measures today. You can find definitions of these measures as well as reconciliations to the comparable gap measures on our website. Today's presentation will also include forward-looking statements. Please review the cautionary language regarding forward-looking statements, which can be found at the end of both the press release and the prepared comments. Form 8K reports containing all of these materials have also been submitted to the SEC. With that, Daryl, let's go ahead and open it up for questions.

speaker
Daryl
Operator

Thank you, we'll now be conducting a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. The confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two to remove yourself from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star key. Our first questions come from the line of David Begleder with Deutsche Bank. Please proceed with your questions.

speaker
David Begleder
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Thank you, and good morning, and nice quarter for Q3. Scott, looking at 26, can you give us an early look at what's in your control for 26 and what's not in your control for 26 relative to earnings? Thank you.

speaker
Scott Richardson
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, thank you, David. Let me just start by saying how we have focused on 2025 continues into 2026. The priorities of increasing cash flow intensifying our cost improvements, and then driving top line growth. And that third piece, I think, is going to continue to be more important as we're seeing progress from our EM pipeline. Those are going to be our priorities going in to 26, and we've laid a really nice foundation here in 2025. And so that foundation, even if we're in an environment where we see flattish demand, and I kind of look at flattish demand on what we've seen, say, Q2 through Q4, here in 2025. If we're in that type of demand environment, just to make it easy, I believe we're going to be able to grow EPS by $1 to $2 next year. And that's going to come from the cost actions that we've already put in place and that yielding increments next year. And then the second big piece is going to come from EM pipeline and the success we're seeing driving that including the high-impact program growth, which is starting to yield results. And, you know, certainly we won't have the Micromax EBITDA, but I think that's going to be offset by the fact that we don't expect to have the significant auto-destocking that we saw in Europe in Q1 of this year. So I think when you put it all together, we feel confident in about $1 to $2, even if the world around us isn't growing.

speaker
David Begleder
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Very good. And just on EM pricing, the best in eight quarters. discuss how much more there is to go in EM on the pricing front. Thank you.

speaker
Scott Richardson
President and Chief Executive Officer

There's always more that can be done here, David. We have gotten price in some of the standard grade materials in the Western Hemisphere, not as much across the board as we want to see. So I think there's still going to be opportunities there. In addition, where we're seeing good, nice benefit is on the price for the new elements from the pipeline that are being launched. So This is going to continue to be a very critical area of focus for us as we go into 2026.

speaker
Daryl
Operator

Thank you. Thank you. Our next questions come from the line of Vincent Andrews with Morgan Stanley. Please proceed with your questions.

speaker
Vincent Andrews
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Thank you, and good morning. Could you speak a little bit about the operating rates and the ACETL chain? I know there were comments in the prepared remarks about sort of flexing Singapore based on demand, and Frankfurt's going to be, I guess, offline for the balance of the year. But what do you anticipate, or maybe just back up, and what rates did you run at in the second half of this year, and then what do you anticipate in the first half of next year?

speaker
Scott Richardson
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, thanks, Vincent. Not to be flippant, but every day is different in this business. And I don't say that as hyperbole. It's true. When you look at our lowest cost assets, our lowest cost assets are running at 100%. And then the balance of the network, which is really our asset base outside of the United States, is being flexed to meet demand, flexed to meet industry conditions. And we're going to continue to operate that way. We've block operated Singapore as well as Frankfurt. We would expect that to continue going into next year. And part of that is our manufacturing team has done an excellent job of being able to continue to operate with high degrees of reliability, as well as find ways to no capital debottleneck our assets to where we have more capacity at those lower cost assets. So we're going to continue to flex that to meet demand, but I'd really look at lowest cost asset base running full, and then the rest of the network operating as needed. Thank you.

speaker
Daryl
Operator

Thank you. Our next question has come from the line of Jeff Tsakakis with JP Morgan. Please proceed with your questions.

speaker
Jeff Tsakakis
Analyst, JP Morgan

Thanks very much. In the CETL chain, when you look at sequential pricing, through the year, it's gotten tougher. And you know, prices had come down a lot in China earlier in the year. Where is the sequential price pressure coming from in the acetyl chain, either by product line or geography?

speaker
Scott Richardson
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, thanks, Jeff. I think we've seen a little bit of pressure in Europe in kind of what I would say more the downstream. So getting into, you know, the vinyls chain, BAM, and emulsions as we've worked our way through the year. And that was really demand driven. As demand has come off, we've seen a little bit of pricing pressure there. You know, we've seen a stabilization of pricing in China now over the course of the last quarter or so. And in fact, pricing went up a little bit here at the beginning of this quarter. Not significantly, but we did see a price lift as we got into October, really across all product lines in China and Acetyl. So the U.S. has been relatively stable. So that's kind of how I would look at it. It's been more around a function of demand, where demand has been weaker, and we've seen a little bit of softening of price in Europe.

speaker
Jeff Tsakakis
Analyst, JP Morgan

Okay. And in engineered materials, year over year, your consolidated volumes were down 8%. Which product lines are, I guess, falling more than that? And which product lines are falling less than that? Can you help us? I mean, it might be that there are particular pockets of weakness, or is it across the board? Can you talk about that?

speaker
Scott Richardson
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, it's mainly the product lines, Jeff, that we have higher levels of volume and have just generally more market exposure in the standard grade materials. And so that tends to be more of your engineered thermoplastics. So that's your POM, your nylon, and then into GUR and polyesters. Our thermoplastic elastomers have held up extremely well. And the team has actually found nice pockets of growth there. It's just That's not where we have as much volumetric exposure. So it tends to be more on the engineered thermoplastic side of things.

speaker
Jeff Tsakakis
Analyst, JP Morgan

Great. Thank you so much.

speaker
Daryl
Operator

Thank you. Our next questions come from the line of Mike Sasson with Wells Fargo. Please proceed with your questions.

speaker
Mike Sasson
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Hey, good morning. Nice third quarter as well. For 2026, if I take a look at slide 11, it looks like cost savings could represent somewhere between 40 to 50 cents. How much, in terms of the rest of the dollar to $2, how much comes from potentially lower interest expense and just trying to gauge how much could come from volume growth and new products?

speaker
Scott Richardson
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I mean, given kind of the $1 to $2 that I talked about earlier, Mike, I would look at that's really split largely in two areas. One, About half of that is cost. And we didn't put all of the cost actions on that slide. You know, we have kind of an ambiguous bucket there on that last line of that graph. And I think I would look at, there's more to come. You know, we had the announcement last week about, you know, the Lenox enclosure. We're continuing to work the cost side of the equation forward. extremely hard. And we'll talk more specifically about those as we complete those actions. So about half of its cost and the majority of the rest of it is really coming from the pipeline. And that's kind of how we're thinking about things right now. I mean, there's definitely going to be some things around the edges like interest, et cetera. But those are the two big buckets that we're looking at currently.

speaker
Chuck Kyrush
Chief Financial Officer

And hey, Mike, it's Chuck. For interest expense, I would pencil in $30 million to $40 million reduction year over year.

speaker
Mike Sasson
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Okay. And then quick follow-up in EM in terms of the volume growth potential. How much is that coming from sort of the legacy, if you can think about it that way, the Celanese businesses, and then how much comes from some of the DuPont companies?

speaker
Scott Richardson
President and Chief Executive Officer

I'll be honest with you, Mike. Right now, we're looking at that portfolio as all Celanese. And we're not breaking it out. We're not operating the business or the company that way anymore. It really is about Celanese and products. What I would say is that engineered thermoplastics piece and the portfolio we have there has proven to be a really nice add for us. Part of that came from M&M. Part of that came with Sanoprene. And that's a really nice area of growth going into next year. It's a really important area for us to be differentiating the offerings that we have. And then, so that's been a really nice driver for us. And then we are seeing, you know, really as we look at this high impact program area, I mean, there is, there's end uses there that are extremely attractive where we're bringing both the engineered thermoplastic, so that's both historical Salonese and M&M, as well as the elastomer portfolio to Bayer. in really high performance type applications, whether that's data centers or in high specification EV opportunities, medical opportunities. So across these spaces, we're really seeing as we've gotten extremely focused from a commercial team perspective on these areas, we think we're going to have nice pockets of growth in 26.

speaker
Mike Sasson
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Thank you.

speaker
Daryl
Operator

Thank you. Our next questions come from the line of Ghanshyam Punjabi with Baird. Please proceed with your questions.

speaker
Ghanshyam Punjabi
Analyst, Baird

Thank you. Hi, good morning, everybody. You know, hey, Scott, just given the evolution of the macro, you know, throughout the course of the year and markets such as building and construction and, you know, autos and so on, sequentially weakening, are you starting to see more accelerated inventory destocking at the customer level throughout the year-end, or are inventories already pretty low, so what you're mirroring is just basically the end markets themselves at this point?

speaker
Scott Richardson
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, thanks, Gancham. You know, as I look at where demand is, it's certainly on a lower base than what we've seen historically. But if we look at, you know, what we called out for seasonality from Q3 into Q4, you know, on a volumetric and percentage basis, it's very similar to what we've seen in the past from Q3 to Q4. So we're not necessarily seeing, you know, accelerated destocking. You know, there's a few pockets, you know, for example, Our channel partners here in North America came to us at the beginning of the quarter and talked very openly about, you know, wanting to bring inventories down a little bit by year end. And so, you know, that was great that we're able to partner with them. We can take rates down at our asset base and do it really in a thoughtful way over the course of the quarter and not just get to the end and have this big slug down. So I think there is, there's definitely, I would say, pockets, but I wouldn't say it's something we're seeing extensively across the board. because we've been seeing this kind of work its way through the value chain in various areas now for about six months.

speaker
Ghanshyam Punjabi
Analyst, Baird

Okay, got it. And then maybe a question for Chuck on free cash flow. What's the expectation for working capital contribution for this year in 2025? And then how would you have us think about some of the parameters for 2026 free cash flow? I think you said at the low end of your guidance for this year. Thank you.

speaker
Chuck Kyrush
Chief Financial Officer

Right, right, yeah. So working capital so far – this year has been a source of cash of $250 million as we've really focused on cash generation. I really don't expect much change in working capital, either source or use of cash in fourth quarter, so I would model in zero at this point for working capital. As you look ahead for 2026, we don't expect with similar demand levels that we would repeat that $250 million of working capital source of cash, but we are continuing our inventory actions and engineering materials, so there will be some level of free cash flow source there. At this point, Gonsham, our cash outlay of restructuring, which is adjusted out of EBITDA, is looking to be lower in 2026 as we have some projects that have rolled off from prior footprint. So adding to that, the EBITDA improvements that Scott's talked about on the cost and commercial side, That gives us confidence next year in free cash flow, at least at the low end of that 700, 800 million range. And I think it's important to understand as we look ahead in the next few years, we think this level of free cash flow is sustainable.

speaker
Ghanshyam Punjabi
Analyst, Baird

Very good. Thank you.

speaker
Daryl
Operator

Thank you. Our next questions come from the line of Patrick Cunningham with Citi. Please proceed with your questions.

speaker
Patrick Cunningham
Analyst, Citi

Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. The decision for the Linnank enclosure, you know, you cited, you know, evaluation of longer term and market trends. I guess, did anything change in terms of your forward view on either the demand or supply side? And then as you look to evaluate, you know, other more targeted measures in AC, should we be looking to the Frankfurt facility or do you expect more of a smaller collection of savings across the asset footprint?

speaker
Scott Richardson
President and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Patrick. First of all, I think it's important. Look, we don't take any of these types of decisions lightly. We look at where things are in the near term, long term, and we study them. And we also look at our ability to continue to supply our customers. And acetate tow has faced challenges, including declined demand over a period of time. Lanocan is our highest cost asset. And so as we looked at where things are, we're able to meet all of our customer needs from our network and subsequently drive productivity savings with this move, both in the short term and long term, no matter what may materialize from a demand perspective. And so this closure will yield probably in the neighborhood of $20 to $30 million of productivity savings in 2027. We get a little bit at the end of next year probably on that, but certainly for the full year of 27, that's the types of savings we're looking at. And we're going to continue to look across our whole footprint in both businesses for similar types of examples. And so there's no specific asset, I would say, that we're looking at right now. It continues to be kind of cross-checking where industry demand is, where is our capacity, where do we maybe have excess capacity in the network that will allow us to drive that productivity, but still be able to meet customer demand, even if we were to see a big increase down the road in recovery period.

speaker
Patrick Cunningham
Analyst, Citi

Understood, very helpful. And then maybe one for Chuck, just in terms of progress on inventory reduction, they're still tracking well towards that goal. And then just in the context of some of your comments and their prepared remarks, what percentage of SKUs are made to order today versus made to stock, and what goal are you working toward there?

speaker
Chuck Kyrush
Chief Financial Officer

Hey, Patrick. Look, it's an ongoing effort to be more efficient with inventory. I don't have that percentage right in front of me of the number of make-to-stock SKUs, but it's one of the several levers that EM is working on to reduce inventory. It also includes logistics and warehousing and testing lead times, et cetera.

speaker
Salvatore Tiano
Analyst, Bank of America

Good.

speaker
Chuck Kyrush
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you.

speaker
Daryl
Operator

Thank you. Our next questions come from the line of Kevin McCarthy with Vertical Research Partners. Please proceed with your questions.

speaker
Kevin McCarthy
Analyst, Vertical Research Partners

Thank you, and good morning. I think you identified $30 to $50 million of additional savings that you're targeting in engineered materials. Can you elaborate on the sources of those and the flow-through timing and remind us if those figures are gross or net of inflation? Thanks.

speaker
Scott Richardson
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, let me hit the last part of your question. Kevin, I would look at those as net of inflation because we will work inflation through our productivity pipeline to offset that. So look at these as definitely being net. And it is really looking across the board. There is continued SG&A and R&D savings there as we optimize our that side of the business on a global basis. Footprint continues to be an area of focus that will be in there. And then the last area is really things that we kind of call complexity reduction. So streamlining of our supply chain and our logistics network and really getting that optimized. I mean, Chuck just talked about the benefits we get from that on an inventory reduction, we also get cost reduction from that. And so a good chunk of that we're going to get for full year 2026. Some of it will phase in through the year, but we definitely are confident that we'll be able to get to those levels next year.

speaker
Kevin McCarthy
Analyst, Vertical Research Partners

Great. And then a second question for you on divestitures, if I may. Congrats, first of all, on the Micromax deal. Looks like you got a nice multiple for that relative to your own trading multiple. Can you talk about the after-tax cash proceeds from that $500 million deal? And then more broadly, you know, if we remain in the current environment of, I'll call it industrial malaise globally, what additional portfolio actions or at least, you know, the magnitude thereof are you thinking about over the next several years. I think you said in your prepared remarks, you are actively pursuing additional. So any color on that would be appreciated.

speaker
Scott Richardson
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, Kevin, let me start and then I'll turn it to Chuck to answer the tax question. You know, our principles really around divestitures have not changed. We have what we believe are two leading franchises here at Celanese. And in Acetyls, it's about leveraging kind of this integrated up and downstream operating model that starts with methanol and acetic acid and goes downstream and is really uniquely globally positioned to kind of operate to drive value on a daily basis. And in engineered materials, it's about driving unique customer solutions and leveraging the globe's leading portfolio around engineered thermoplastics and thermoplastic elastomers. So if we have things in the portfolio that are not part of that acetyl value chain or not a differentiated thermoplastic or thermoplastic elastomer, then we are going to look to see if it's worth more to someone else than what it's worth to us. And that has been the principle that we've been operating on now for a number of years around divestitures. And that's what led to the food ingredients transaction, That's what's led now to the Micromax transaction because they didn't fit in the engineering materials business in that thermoplastic or elastomer bucket. JVs is another area where we don't have as much control, and that value that they create to the enterprise is not what the rest of the portfolio creates. So that's the principles that we're operating under, and that's the principles that we'll continue to look at being able to monetize different assets around. And, you know, we committed to a billion dollars of divestitures by the end of 2027. And this Micromax transaction, you know, gets us around halfway there. And so we are very much in line with achieving that target. And we're going to continue to focus on that here as we finish this year and get into 2026.

speaker
Chuck Kyrush
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, on the tax leakage, Kevin, that's expected to be 5% of the final gross sales price.

speaker
Kevin McCarthy
Analyst, Vertical Research Partners

Thanks very much.

speaker
Daryl
Operator

Thank you. Our next questions come from the line of Salvatore Tiano with Bank of America. Please proceed with your questions.

speaker
Salvatore Tiano
Analyst, Bank of America

Thank you very much. Firstly, you know, I want to continue on Kevin's question on divesters. And you mentioned JVs as a specific area of focus. I'm wondering, though, how do you think about the methanol JV? Because on one hand, it is one where, you know, you are a partner with someone else. On the other hand, it is, I guess, your main way of being integrated into methanol in the U.S. So, How strategic is that business to you?

speaker
Scott Richardson
President and Chief Executive Officer

Look, Sal, I'm not going to comment on specific joint ventures. You know, what I have said around methanol in the past is it really is about leveraging, you know, methanol and acetic acid. And, you know, and so, you know, as we look at all of our joint ventures, we have a partner that is in those JVs. And so, you know, JVs can be harder to monetize across the board. And we'll continue to look at the partners. We'll continue to look at other potential counterparties who are interested in having ownerships of our joint ventures. But, you know, our focus really is around value creation. And so, you know, if value is there to be created and, you know, it is higher than what we believe is inherent in the current and potentially future stock price, then we will definitely look at it.

speaker
Salvatore Tiano
Analyst, Bank of America

Great. And I also want to ask about your nylon chain. I know you've been de-emphasizing nylon polymerization instead doing compounds. So at this point, how much of your nylon volumes and sales, perhaps profit, comes from actual nylon standard grades versus the compounded value-add products?

speaker
Scott Richardson
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, Sal, almost all of our profit in that business is really created by compounds. And so now to make a compound, you need polymer. And so whether we make that polymer or buy that polymer, the key is getting that polymer at the most optimized economics possible because we create our value really through that compounding step.

speaker
Salvatore Tiano
Analyst, Bank of America

Thank you very much.

speaker
Daryl
Operator

Thank you. Our next questions come from the line of Alexey Yeferimov with KeyBank Capital Markets. Please proceed with your questions.

speaker
Alexey Yeferimov
Analyst, KeyBank Capital Markets

Thank you. Good morning, everyone. I just wanted to continue down this line of questioning. I think you just earlier said, Scott, that you don't foresee any major capacity closures. But I recall earlier there was discussion about maybe buy versus make in polymers and potentially some rationalization there. So should we take it that rationalization of polymer capacity is off the table for now, or that's still being considered?

speaker
Scott Richardson
President and Chief Executive Officer

Let me be very clear, Alexi. We are taking bold actions across the board, and we have continued to be, I think, through this year, every single quarter, we have had another cost reduction announcement. We are looking at all elements of our business in both acetyls as well as in engineer materials. and we will take action around cost, including footprint, if there's value creation opportunities there.

speaker
Alexey Yeferimov
Analyst, KeyBank Capital Markets

Okay, makes sense. And then as a follow-up on your EM pricing, I realize it was relatively modest, but do you see any signs of more rational competition, sort of improvement in competitive environment, maybe across any of the end markets or types of polymers?

speaker
Scott Richardson
President and Chief Executive Officer

Look, we can't control what others are doing. What I will say about our EM commercial team is they are energized by the opportunity that's in front of them. Not just around making sure that we're getting full value for the materials that we sell, but on partnering with our customers, about being connected to our customers, being current about what's happening in the marketplace, and being able to respond to customer needs and leverage and drive new solutions. You know, I think we believe that that team is going to continue the trajectory that they have been on this year, despite the fact that through the year, you know, the volume side of the equation has been difficult. But to be able to drive price, drive mix improvement, you know, through the year, I think is a great accomplishment and is a really good, you know, starting point for us going into 2026. And we think, you know, we will be able to drive volumes through the pipeline next year.

speaker
Alexey Yeferimov
Analyst, KeyBank Capital Markets

Great, thanks a lot.

speaker
Daryl
Operator

Thank you. Our next question has come from the line of Frank Mitch with Fermium Research. Please proceed with your questions.

speaker
Frank Mitch
Analyst, Fermium Research

Hey, good morning and congrats again on the Micromax sale. To that end, Chuck, I believe you indicated that, you know, with the $3 billion plus debt due 26-27, you were fairly comfortable being able to pay that or you indicated that you, you know, given the free cash flow, and expected divestitures that you would not need to tap a revolver and that you felt like you would issue more debt, you'd be able to cover that. Do you still feel that way today?

speaker
Chuck Kyrush
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, Frank. I mean, if you look ahead at our 2026 maturities, we've got about $900 million due. So when you look at between the Micromax proceeds, the excess cash we have on hand, Q4 cash generation, those are spoken for. We've already been looking ahead at the 27s and we made several payments to our 27 term loan over the last few quarters. We're confident in the cash generation ability to pay off the 27s. We do know that sometimes that cash is back in loaded in a given calendar year. So as we've done a few times, we'll continue to be prudent and opportunistic in the debt markets, you know, refinancing a small portion of our maturities to align the maturities one, two years out with our free cash regeneration. And that's just to bridge the timing of those repayments. But we're confident that we can generate the cash to pay those off and continue to deleverage.

speaker
Frank Mitch
Analyst, Fermium Research

Helpful. Thank you. And then, Chuck, if I could ask you a more esoteric question. Very sizable write-down this quarter. I'm reading the press release, and it's tied to Zytel and Nylon. And then in the prepared remarks, it's talking about your stock price and so forth. I'm sure others understand what's going on there, but I don't. Can you please expand on that?

speaker
Chuck Kyrush
Chief Financial Officer

Sure, Frank. Look, the third quarter is our annual quarter to test our goodwill and certain intangibles, you know, like trade names. We did this using the same third parties that we always do. We did record an impairment. I think what's important, Frank, is there was not a reduction in the projected cash flows of engineering materials since the last time we did this test. This impairment was really driven by a reduction in our market cap, you know, created by a reduction in the stock price, because part of the test is sort of a market-to-book analysis this year. So no change, no decline in the cash flow projections, but it was really driven by the market cap of Stellanese.

speaker
Frank Mitch
Analyst, Fermium Research

Very helpful. Thank you.

speaker
Daryl
Operator

Thank you. Our next question has come from the line of Hassan Ahmed with Alembic Global. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Hassan Ahmed
Analyst, Alembic Global

Morning, Scott. You know, I just wanted to get a bit more granular about, you know, the sort of near-term guidance. I know in the past you guys have talked about, you know, trying to get to a quarterly EPS run rate of $2 per share imminently, right? So I know, you know, the guidance obviously for Q4, $0.85 to $1, you know, bakes and seasonality, it's not really in an otherwise abnormal environment. It's not really... sort of the right starting point. So, you know, maybe if we could start with like the $1.34 you guys reported in Q3, right? You know, where in the near term you see that going, you know, on a quarterly run rate basis via self-help, via obviously now with Micromax, you know, almost about to close, reduced interest expense there and the like. And again, I understand that you guys are talking about an incremental dollar to $2, you know, from self-help, which is 25 cents to 50 cents, but would love some more granularity around that.

speaker
Scott Richardson
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, thanks for the question, Hasan. We continue to be focused around driving controllable actions that will, as a first step, get us back to that $2 a quarter run rate. That hasn't changed, even with you know, where demand is at from a seasonality perspective, and we will get there. You know, if demand stays lower, you know, it may take us a little bit longer to get there. But if you look at where we were performing in the middle part of the year, Q2, Q3, from an EPS perspective, and you just take the actions that I've talked about that we have going to next year, you know, it starts to really get to a point where you're approaching, you know, kind of that level as you're getting up into the $1.75 to $2 range. And that's where you know, continuing to stack wins, as we called them in our prepared comments, additional costs, continuing to drive the pipeline. And then if we get any inkling of a demand improvement, and even if you were just at the demand levels we saw in the second quarter, you know, you're effectively there. And so, you know, the multiplying effect of the actions that we're taking are significant. We look at our enterprise right now as a coiled spring that, when released, is going to really drive very substantial and increased earnings levels as we go forward. It's tough right now. The demand environment is not tough, but I'm extremely proud of the resilience and the actions that the team here at Selenis has taken this year to position us going into next year and beyond.

speaker
Hassan Ahmed
Analyst, Alembic Global

Very helpful, Scott. And as a follow-up, you know, would love to hear your views about anti-involution, you know, as it affects the acetyl chain and you guys. And, you know, more specifically why I ask this is that, you know, it seems a bit, you know, just yesterday PetroChina, it seems, came out and announced that they're studying 19 sort of different refining and petrochemical assets to potentially retire. and those include methanol acids as well, right? So it seems it's, you know, it's moving away from the pipe dream phase and actually becoming real. So how do you see, you know, anti-involution impacting you guys?

speaker
Scott Richardson
President and Chief Executive Officer

It's hard to say exactly how it will materialize, Hassan, but the dialogue on the ground in China, and I was there in the quarter, and was talking with the team, it's palpable, more so than I would have expected. You know, I don't know that it's had a really direct impact thus far. I mean, I mentioned we've seen, you know, some price movement, albeit small, but some price movement in the quarter. I don't know how much of that is anti-involution or just kind of normal market changes in some of the inventory getting absorbed after some new plants started up. But the reality of it is that people are talking about it there. And I don't know how it comes in fruition to the business, but I do expect that we're definitely going to see this be an important step going forward because I do think the profitability of assets in China need to be higher than where they are today.

speaker
Hassan Ahmed
Analyst, Alembic Global

Very helpful, Scott. Thank you so much.

speaker
Daryl
Operator

Thank you. Our next questions come from the line of Josh Spector with UBS. Please proceed with your questions.

speaker
Josh Spector
Analyst, UBS

Yeah, hi. Good morning. I wanted to follow up just on the acetyls utilization rates. I think, you know, my understanding prior was maybe you had rates lower in some of the Western markets, so some of your low-cost regions like the U.S. to basically react to some of the weaker demand. I guess, you know, your earlier comment was that, you know, it's your low-cost assets running full out. So specifically, can you comment on that and maybe your U.S. asset-based utilization rate, where that is today? And then related with that, if we think about what gets utilization rates higher, if you're running at a high rate in the U.S. today, does U.S. demand improvement help you, or do you really need Europe or other regions to improve to get your utilization rates up?

speaker
Scott Richardson
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I mean, look, Josh, we've always run our U.S. assets at pretty high rates. That really hasn't changed dramatically. And I'm not saying we don't have room there. We probably have a little bit of room, but you definitely see the uplift. And when you see Western Hemisphere improvement, the net back is significantly higher than moving that product around to different regions where it's better than running other assets. But certainly U.S. demand is flows directly to the bottom line in that case. So we do think the assets are extremely well positioned. We've done the bottlenecks of the U.S. asset base over the last five years. And so we have the ability to move those up. And when I said full rates, I was really, particularly on acetic acid in the U.S., really referring to we kind of operate that at kind of the the capacity that we've historically had, not necessarily operating both acetic acid plants at full rate. So, you know, we kind of look at those as still operating kind of at the levels they historically did on a combined basis with the ability to ramp up going forward.

speaker
Josh Spector
Analyst, UBS

Okay. No, that makes sense. Just a quick follow-up on the cost-saving side. Just, I mean, on

speaker
Daryl
Operator

Apologies, it looks like we lost Josh. Our next questions come from the line of Arun Viswanathan with RBC Capital Markets. Please proceed with your questions.

speaker
Arun Viswanathan
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Thanks for taking my question. So if I just go back to that $1 to $2 of uplift, Indy, can you just frame that out? I think in the past you had said maybe $0.35 from some of your cost actions. Is that accurate? And then maybe what would be kind of a restocking amount? Is that also included in there? Or could you maybe frame it as what the destocking amount was for 25? Thanks.

speaker
Scott Richardson
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, Arun, as I said earlier on the call, we look at that $1 to $2 really as a rule of thumb if we're not seeing the market really change at all off of where we've been over the last several quarters. So there's no kind of restock element in there. And what I said earlier is make the assumption about half of that is coming from cost actions and then the balance coming from the EM pipeline and then some other things, as Chuck mentioned, maybe interest expense.

speaker
Arun Viswanathan
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Thanks for that. And then could you just also provide an update on maybe some of your recent actions to maybe change the commercial strategy or extend your legacy commercial strategy within EM, maybe on the project pipeline or anything else that we would find relevant to track your progress there? Thanks.

speaker
Scott Richardson
President and Chief Executive Officer

The EM team has been modernizing its strategic orientation. That's the best way I can put it. We're evolving. And just where our world is, where we have the ability to really win is in the differentiated spaces where we can leverage our widespread, unique portfolio. We have more engineered thermoplastics, more thermoplastics elastomers, in our portfolio than anyone else has in the world. Bringing that full portfolio to customers to meet unique challenges that they have around solution sets. And it is about partnering and really getting focus around where we spend our time and then leveraging innovation that we've had. We've launched publicly our grade selection tool for customers. called Camille, where it's an AI-driven tool, which is allowing great selection around our materials for customers as well as our commercial organization to very quickly meet the needs and streamline that commercialization cycle. And so it's investments we've made in areas like that that are really bringing the EM team to the leading edge as it comes to creating new opportunities and partnering with our customers.

speaker
Bill Cunningham
Vice President of Investor Relations

Darrell, we'll make the next question our last one, please.

speaker
Daryl
Operator

Thank you. Our last questions will come from the line of John Roberts with Mizuho. Please proceed with your questions.

speaker
John Roberts
Analyst, Mizuho

Thank you. Will the European acetate toe closure have any ripple effects across the rest of the acetyls network, either upstream or even downstream, maybe some of your JVs?

speaker
Scott Richardson
President and Chief Executive Officer

No, I would not look at it that way, John. Okay, thank you.

speaker
Bill Cunningham
Vice President of Investor Relations

Thank you. We'd like to thank everyone for listening in today. As always, we're available after the call for any follow-up questions. Daryl, please go ahead and close out the call.

speaker
Daryl
Operator

Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. This does now conclude today's teleconference. We appreciate your participation. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Enjoy the rest of your day.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

Q3CE 2025

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