Crestwood Equity Partners LP

Q2 2021 Earnings Conference Call

7/27/2021

spk06: Good morning and welcome to today's conference call to discuss Crestwood Equity Partners' second quarter 2021 operating results. Before we begin the call, listeners are reminded that the company may make certain forward-looking statements as defined in the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934 that are based on assumptions and information currently available at the time of today's call. Please refer to the company's latest filings with the SEC for a list of risk factors that may cause actual results to differ. Additionally, certain non-GAAP financial measures such as EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, and distributable cash flow will be discussed. Reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measures are included in the news release issued this morning. Joining us today with prepared remarks are Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer Bob Phillips, and Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Robert Halpin. Additional members of the CNN management team will be available for the question and answer session with Crestwood's current analysis following, analysts following very much. Today's call is being recorded. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. And at this time, I will turn the call over to Bob Phillips.
spk03: Thanks, Operator, and good morning to everyone. Thank you all for joining us early this morning. We're very excited to discuss our second quarter results. and our revised outlook for the second half of the year, which continues to be very positive due to strong commodity prices and recovering energy markets. We think the market's very constructive for a strong second half follow-up, a strong first half. Importantly today, I want to make sure that we highlight our financial strength and flexibility, which we've accomplished following some recently completed strategic transactions, including the first reserve buy-in which we closed in late March. Sometimes we call that the holdco transaction, but it's the same deal. And the recently completed stagecoach divestiture which we closed the first piece in early July. And so we'll be talking about pro forma debt associated with completing that stagecoach sale. I certainly think these deals now position Crestwood to take the next step in our long-term plan. And it's a plan that we've been very vocal about for the last several quarters to utilize our free cash flow, to return capital to our investors through our previously announced common and preferred equity buyback programs. But I also want to highlight the financial flexibility that this low debt, increasing free cash flow position gives us to pursue growth opportunities across our portfolio as well while maintaining our financial strength. So let's begin with the second quarter, where a large part of Crestwood's portfolio benefited, obviously, from higher commodity prices, which caused increased producer activity and drove adjusted EBITDA of $146 million and DCF of $86 million. That's up 14% and 15%, respectively, year over year, and both numbers exceeded consensus as well. As a result, we'll be generating more than $100 million of free cash flow after distributions in the first half of this year, and that clearly covers our organic growth capital program with a balance going to reduce debt. Robert will talk more about that in his section. As I mentioned earlier this month, we closed the first part of the sale of Stagecoach Gas Services to Kinder Morgan for $1.225 billion. Again, I think we've let you know previously it was a well-attended process. These were highly sought assets, and we're very pleased with the result of the process. I know our partner Con Ed is pleased with the result as well, and I'm proud of the fact that we know that those assets are going to a good home in Kinder Morgan. They're going to make good use of our stagecoach storage and pipeline business, and we're pleased as to how that happened. With our net 50% share of the proceeds, we paid down our revolver balance, and we now have on a pro forma basis 3.6 times leverage ratio and more than $940 million in available liquidity. So when you combine that pro forma second quarter leverage profile with the second quarter distribution coverage of 2.2 times, our balance sheet is very strong, our distribution is well covered, and we think that Crestwood offers its investors some of the best financial metrics, stability, and forward outlook in the entire MLP sector. So we're really pleased with completing all these transactions in sequence like that. As you know, we've got a diversified portfolio, and as our MS&L business and storage and transportation businesses carried us last year during the pandemic, our GNP sector has been carrying us this year with a strong pickup in producer activity across all of our systems. due to the higher commodity prices, and we continue to anticipate good momentum throughout the second half of 2021. Robert will talk a little bit more about our updated outlook for the second half of the year and full year. Crew prices have stabilized between $65 and $75 a barrel. Natural gas in excess of $3.50 per mcf. producers on our Bakken, Powder River, Delaware, and Barnett systems are all seeing excellent returns, and we're seeing better than expected producer activity as a result. We had drilling and completion crews active during the second quarter. Many of those completions or TILs occurred in the latter part of the end of the quarter, so we ought to see a good volume increase beginning in the third quarter. In the Bakken particularly, for the first time since early 2019, we're very pleased to report that our producers are finally seeing a significant positive net back on gas and gas liquids production. And we just highlight that with the current Bakken gas price. $3.66 and a Cal 21 strip you can buy out at $3.86 right now. So we expect our Bakken producers, oil production, gas and gas liquids production to be high returning for them for the balance of the year and into next year. When you combine that price outlook with enhanced gas capture practices, which we're all covering, but as you know, Crestwood's been on the forefront of gas capture in the Bakken play, and increased focus on flare minimization by our producers. And I want to compliment our producers for really driving home a lot of these ESG principles that Crestwood has been a leader on up in the area. Crestwood's aero gas gathering and processing volumes each increased nearly 60% compared to the second quarter of last year. as well as 6% quarter over quarter. So it's a real combination of greater producer activity, greater gas capture, and a real attention to flare minimization by our producers on the reservation. The quarterly increase in gas volumes, which we expect to continue to move forward primarily due to higher GORs, did offset lower quarter-to-quarter crude oil and relatively flat water volumes on the Aero system. That was largely due to increased producer shut-ins for frack protection, which we are beginning to see as a long-term trend in the business. So we do expect a short-term spike in volumes when those wells begin to return to service, and we're seeing that as we enter the second half of the year. So looking to the second half of 2021, we expect producers to maintain their capital discipline. We've been very pleased with with how our customers have been maintaining discipline and spending within cash flow. But we do expect that will, because of prices, result in more overall activity around our systems than even during the first half of the year, which, as we said, is up compared to last year in quarter over quarter. In North Dakota, the aero gas volume should remain high. Crude oil and water volume should reverse course during the second half. as we expect a fairly wide range of 20 to 35 new well connects to come online between july and november many of those are waiting on either completion crews or working with the producers to optimize our system to create more capacity at the wellhead so a lot of that will be uh very exciting for us as as we see that new production come online in the second half of the year Turning to the Delaware Basin, where we can see somewhere between 40 to 50 new well connects across the Nautilus and Willow Lake systems. We're excited about the second half of the year in the Permian. We expect our oil and gas processing plant volumes to be up to about 75%. of its 200 million a day capacity by the fourth quarter a lot of active work in and around making well connections on nautilus and building new pads and new extensions and adding compression around the willow lake system we're getting that done at or under budget we're getting it done on time and we're seeing a lot of producer well activity in that area we've also seen a modest increase in utilization of our Desert Hills Produce Water System, and we expect that to continue in the second half of the year as we have a few projects to complete around that. Moving to the Powder River System, Chesapeake, our primary customer there, generally held second quarter volumes relatively flat. across really the first half of 2021. If you look back over the last three or four quarters since the rebound out of COVID, those volumes have remained relatively flat, which is not a bad outcome given that they went through bankruptcy last year and emerged this year and we expect that to continue through the second half of the year we are having good luck though in adding some third-party wells on new production we did add some wells in the third quarter and have a few more tils on the schedule in the second half of 21 from those third-party wells so we're looking for a slight increase in volumes there And we're actively engaged with a number of Powder River producers as they begin to restart their activity in the basin and look towards 21 and 22 development plans. We're excited about that. We're in a very strong competitive position. to be able to utilize our expansive jackalope gathering system and fill up excess capacity that we have at our bucking horse processing plant complex. So very excited about the outlook for second half 21 and 22 for the Powder River Basin assets. Overall, as we mentioned, given current commodity prices, anticipated activity from our existing customers and some of the deals that we know that we're working on that we're likely to get wrestled to the ground in the second half of the year. We expect to see continued improving cash flows. We'll be maximizing our cash flows across these systems with optimal utilization of our existing facilities and minimal future capital. And we expect to be able to capture some new high-quality long-term supply dedications in some of these areas with what we expect to be very high return incremental expansion projects that are immediately accretive as they're filling up existing capacity on our systems and our plants. We think that's real operating leverage and it's a real winning strategy in this market. So Crestwood's going to continue to operate our GNP business in that manner. We continue to believe that our GNP portfolio has some of the best producers, the best rock, the lowest operating costs, and some of the best margins in the GNP sector, and we think that gives our partnership some of the best operating leverage to higher prices in the midstream industry as we look out over the next two to four quarters. Before I hand the call over to Robert to discuss our revised guidance and capital allocation plans, I want to commend all of our employees on what we think was an extremely successful, active first half of 2021. When I look back and think about what we have accomplished as an organization in just a very short period of time, coming out of a tough year last year with COVID. When you think back about in January, we refinanced $700 million of long-term debt that extended our maturity stack out to 2025 we locked in a lower interest rate that was opportunistic and accretive in march as i mentioned we bought back and retired 11 and a half million common units from first reserve while i think providing a well orchestrated and very elegant exit for our long-term partner first reserve they've been a good partner over 11 years they were very supportive during our build out and acquisition years And we're pleased to see them be able to exit very successfully without any real disruption to our stock in our balance sheet. And that puts us in great position to move towards an elected board of directors. We're in the process of filling those two empty board seats and conducting a good search. We'll be excited to announce the results of that later in the year. In June, as you know, we published our third annual sustainability report, and I want to call out the importance of that, particularly as we continue to progress our sustainability journey. When you combine that with the financial strength that we've created through all these transactions, the improved governance, the unit holder alignment, and our clear commitment to environmental stewardship and lower emissions, We saw our most recent ratings and scores from Moody's, S&P Global, Sustainalytics, and MSCI, all the top rating agencies for ESG scores. They all substantially improved over the last several quarters, and that should result in a lower cost to capital ultimately for Crestwood and its partnership. And then finally, in July, as I already mentioned, we successively announced divested the SageCoach asset, had a great multiple, redeployed the proceeds to create an exceptional balance sheet, really drive our financial flexibility forward, which allows Robert and the finance team to begin to opportunistically execute on our buyback plan and build value for our unit holders. I think when I look back over the last 11 years since we started the company, I don't think our capital structure has ever been cleaner. Our financial health has never been better. We've never had this much flexibility to execute on the plan that we think drives value for our unit holders. And we're very excited about how we're positioned today to start to run return capital to those investors. So I know that's a quick wrap-up. There's a lot of detail in all of the materials. I ask you to go look at those. Robert, I'm going to turn it over to you, and you can talk about some of the financial highlights.
spk04: Thank you, Bob. I would like to echo your comments on our financial strength and our solid positioning following our strategic and operational successes during the first half of the year. During the quarter, Crestwood generated adjusted EBITDA of $146 million, resulting in distributable cash flow of $86 million and positive free cash flow of $40 million. This results in extremely conservative leverage and distribution coverage metrics pro forma for the stagecoach divestiture of 3.6 times and 2.2 times respectively. Driving these results was GNP segment adjusted EBITDA of $124 million, that a 48% increase year-over-year, and S&T segment adjusted EBITDA of $15 million, that representing a 6% increase year-over-year. Those results help offset our MS&L segment adjusted EBITDA of $13 million, which is lower year over year due to market backwardation and limited storage opportunities when compared to the second quarter of 2020. I would also like to highlight and congratulate Crestwood employees on achieving these exceptional quarterly results while also lowering O&M expenses by 18% and G&A expenses net of unit-based compensation by 4% year over year. Consistent with our ongoing capital allocation strategies, Crestwood maintained its common distribution of 62.5 cents for the second quarter, which will be paid on August 13th to unit holders of record as of August 6th. Now looking to our balance sheet. Pro forma for the first close of the Stagecoach sale, Crestwood had $274 million outstanding on its $1.25 billion revolving credit facility, resulting in more than $940 million in available liquidity. With $2.1 billion in total debt, Crestwood's pro forma leverage ratio has improved to 3.6 times, now on the low end of our targeted range of 3.5 times to 3.75 times, allowing the company to continue investing in high return bulk fund opportunities around our core growth assets and accelerate allocating excess cash flow generated toward common and preferred equity buybacks under our board-approved $175 million repurchase program. During the second quarter, with a continued focus on returns and capital discipline, Crestwood invested $6 million in growth capital and joint venture contributions focused primarily on the southern expansion of Arrow's produced water gathering system and gas gathering de-bottlenecking projects, which are expected to drive exceptional returns. Despite having only invested $15 million in growth capital expenditures and JV contributions year-to-date, We continue to expect full-year growth capital to be in a range of $35 to $45 million for full-year 2021, as we are seeing increasing development activity from our producers across most of our GNP assets in 2021 and heading into 2022. And we have continued to have successes on a handful of our higher-priority commercial opportunities. We still expect maintenance capital of $20 million to $25 million, which, along with our growth capital expenditures, will be 100% funded with retained cash flow. As we head into the second half of 2021, we are encouraged by the current commodity price outlook and the increasing activity around our gathering and processing assets. When adjusting $30 million out of the second half of the year for the Stagecoach divestiture, We now expect full-year 2021 adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $570 million to $600 million, distributable cash flow available to common unit holders to be in the range of $345 million to $375 million, and free cash flow after distributions to be in the range of $150 million to $180 million. These ranges reflect outperformance from our remaining asset base relative to our internal budgets and prior guidance ranges and are expected to drive a leverage ratio of 3.4 times to 3.7 times and a coverage ratio of 2.2 times to 2.4 times. With our financial targets now achieved, Crestwood is committed to utilizing its financial flexibility to maintain a strong balance sheet and enhance total returns to our investors. We plan to accomplish this by offering a secure and stable distribution, prudent investment in the highest returning expansions of our existing assets, and opportunistic common and preferred unit repurchases with our excess cash flow. Now that we have received the proceeds from Stagecoach and are out of the earnings blackout window, we intend to allocate our free cash flow into optimizing our capital structure through opportunistic buybacks. We believe that this strategy best positions the partnership to maximize value creation for our investors going forward, as well as positions Crestwood to evaluate and participate as appropriately on potential asset and corporate consolidation opportunities that we expect will occur across the midstream sector. Now, before opening the line up for Q&A, We believe after the first half of the year that our accomplishments further differentiate Crestwood as a best-in-class midstream operator with exceptional financial health and flexibility. We expect in the current macro environment, which benefits our strong asset base, to see increased DNC activity for the remainder of the year, and we expect that momentum to continue into 2022. Based on the minimal capital requirements to support the increased volumes across our GNP assets, combined with the achievement of our long-term leverage goal, we expect to generate meaningful excess cash flow going forward that will enable us to drive increasing value for our investors. With that, operator, we are now ready to open the lineup for questions.
spk06: And at this time, we'll be conducting a question-and-answer session. If you'd like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your answer before pressing the start keys. One moment, please, while we pull four questions. Our first question is from Brian Reynolds with UBS. Please proceed with your questions.
spk02: Hi, good morning, everyone. This is Brian on for sure. When looking at the guidance provision post stagecoach, there appears to be a slight guidance increase on the base business. Can you just talk about the change in assumptions from the one key guidance update specifically around the 45 plus arrow system, arrow system, well connect target, just the backwardation and MSL business and higher commodity deck assumptions. Thanks.
spk04: Absolutely. Thanks, Brian. And as you alluded to, I think when you take out the $30 million of expected contribution from Stagecoach in the back half of the year, we are seeing an upward revision in the remaining asset base reflected in our revised range at $570 million to $600 million. Some of the moving pieces around that, as we've talked about on the call, are continued outperformance in our GNP portfolio. which we now expect to be comfortably at the higher end of our previous guidance range for GNP. Offsetting that to some small extent, we do expect some continued pressures around the MS&L segment, largely attributable to the backwardation that we alluded to on the call earlier. So I think all in all, we expect GNP to really be the shining star for the year and help drive that upward revision to our overall range when you back out the $30 million from Stagecoach.
spk02: Great. Appreciate all the color. Switching to capital allocation and the buyback commentary from the prepared remarks. Can you just provide some details on how we should think about the preference between buying back the preferred units versus the common units, given both are yielding roughly 9% of the time? Thanks.
spk04: Yeah, I think it's a balance of really kind of overall financial objectives, and obviously with both of those instruments being publicly traded, the return profile changes every single day. I think while you commented on the common yield and kind of where it sits, obviously we look kind of all the way through to distributable cash flow and the all-in return profile on the common. I mean, I think that, you know, as we sit here today, we see probably greater amount of value in the common unit, but obviously have the flexibility through our repurchase program to bounce back and forth as that potentially moves over time. The one thing we are 100% committed to is maintaining our balance sheet strength. So while we have all the flexibility in the world and have now fully achieved, you know, our long-term leverage target at being, you know, in the 3.5 to 3.75 times range, we expect to start, you know, allocating some of that excess cash flow towards enhancing returns, but we'll always be mindful of balance sheet as we navigate that.
spk02: Great. I appreciate the call. Have a great day, everyone.
spk06: Our next question is from Tristan Richardson with Fluid Securities. Please proceed with your question.
spk05: Hi, good morning, guys. I just wanted to say congrats on the Stagecoach transaction. Bob, you've been pretty vocal over the years about this industry's need for consolidation. Does this newfound ample flexibility offer you guys opportunities to scale your business that maybe weren't necessarily available previously?
spk03: Well, certainly closing the Holdco transaction and converting the company from a traditional private equity GNP-controlled entity to now an entity that's being run by the board of directors with the management team certainly creates at least a wider scope of opportunities for us than maybe we had in the past. not having to deal with a GP that was a 25% shareholder that was ultimately going to get out and wanted to be the first guy to the door probably prevented us maybe from looking at some transactions in the past that maybe we would have taken a harder look at. But that's easy for everybody to see, and that created the overhang on the stock, and we always believe that if we could eliminate that structural governance problem and eliminate that overhang, then we would see a lot more opportunities to do some interesting things in the business. But having said that, Tristan, we're really looking from the inside out right now. We are laser-focused on on a big circle around our three big assets, Bakken, Powder, and Delaware. For the first time in the history of the company, in the last four quarters, LTM, we had almost $200 million of pre-cash flow, and we delivered an average coverage ratio of about 2.25. And now we finally have a pro forma balance sheet of 3.6. We have never, ever in the history of this company And there have been a lot of ups and downs. You know, the collapse in 14 after the merger with Energy in 13 was tough on us. We had to make some tough decisions. We got smaller to survive. The collapse in 16 was tough on us and forced us into selling the first half of Stagecoach for almost a billion dollars to get on the road to recovery of the balance sheet. And then don't forget, we spent a ton of money in that 17 to 20 time period to build out the capacity in these three areas where we were totally committed to the producers, the ROC, the contracts, the low operating costs, and the margins. So we're really benefiting from the operating leverage that we put ourselves in position to benefit with now that we're seeing higher prices, better returns for our producers, more solid long-term drilling activity instead of peak-ish type activity that causes guys to drill up inventory locations quickly and then move on to the next one. We actually think in an odd sort of way that the COVID pandemic did us a little bit of a favor in terms of slowing down the development pace of a lot of the core acreage that's dedicated to us under long-term contracts. We actually think that was a better thing in terms of creating long-term value. So I'm not dodging your question. You know, we built this company around acquisitions. And we have been quite, I think, successful in our divestiture strategy. We sold assets that either became non-core or were essential to achieving our financial goals. Stagecoach was always core, was always a great asset. We loved owning it and operating it and building it out. We loved the partnership with Con Ed, but it became non-core. central to our primary financial thesis, and that was to build financial strength and financial flexibility. I am certain in a consolidating market that we are going to wind up seeing a lot more opportunities than we would have if we hadn't done the whole deal and done the stagecoach divestiture. So I'll leave it at that. We are laser focused in the areas that we operate. on bolt-ons, on extensions, on really maximizing our operating leverage without having to spend a whole lot of capital. And I love the free cash flow. I love giving the finance team a chance to return capital to our shareholders. We think ultimately that's a great formula for success and people are going to want to own the Crestwood stock because of that, not necessarily because we're out there actively looking for some big consolidation play. That opportunity will come when it does, and when it does, we'll take advantage of it because we can, not because we want to.
spk05: Always appreciate the perspective. And then just a quick follow-up to your point on capital efficiency. You guys have been able to grow on such a lean capital budget this year, but you mentioned increasing DNC activity for the remainder of the year in your core areas. you know, pursuing commercial developments in the PRB, and also just focusing on your highest returning expansions, could you give us a sense of maybe what a normal run rate of growth capital looks like in this more constructive environment?
spk03: Well, I'm going to let Robert answer that, the actual 2021 second half, 22 kind of first look at capital budgets based on the things that are on our plate right now. But before I do that, I want Diaco Avicki, who runs our GNP business, to really give you a sense for the type of expansions, optimizations, compression additions, line loops. that we're doing to meet our producers near-term objectives we're not building out any major capacity for some long-term play we are we are optimizing our systems in those three areas to add current drilling programs and honestly i am shocked at how good the wells are particularly in the delaware uh but we're seeing uh new third-party wells come on in in the uh powder that are better than the ones that we saw before And clearly we've just been blown away by the continued improvement by our Bakken producers on IP rates and how strong these wells are after three, four, five, six months of production. Diaco, just give them a sense for what we're doing in those three areas.
spk01: Yeah, thank you, Bob. When you spent the amount of capital we spent over the last three years, you've got the backbone of a major system that's already predominantly built out. So what you're looking at is minor, minor expansions, as you can see for our quarterly capital numbers, to be able to bring on a significant amount of volume. You know, it's really the last mile that we're touching. The rest of the road trip's already been built out, and it's just leveraging that incremental rate of return. And as you can appreciate, our operating leverage is outstanding. We're a great operator. That's one of the strengths that Crestwood has. So that margin that you see is quite strong. I'll take an example Bob didn't even bring up, the Barnett. brought on eight wells in the Barnett. The producer was right beside us. When I say right beside us, I mean right beside us with $150,000 of capital. We brought on those wells. They're some of the best wells we've seen in the Barnett. They've exceeded type curves by 20%. And that's the sort of thing that, you know, as a a company that's got extensive systems and key basins, and I'm bringing up one that's not a core basin of ours that we haven't spent a lot of money on recently. But that's the operating leverage that you're seeing coming out of our GMP results.
spk04: I hope that helps. And maybe, Tristan, just to put numbers to it, to answer your question specifically, I think we are reaffirming our 2021 outlook at $35 to $45 million. We spent about $15 million here to date, so we're obviously a little bit back in loaded, largely tied to that acceleration of activity that we mentioned. But it's all, as Diaco just alluded to, pretty low capital line items as we kind of just bring incremental wells to the system and add compression and capacities where needed. As we look forward into 2022, you know, we do expect some successes on some of the commercial opportunities we've been pursuing in advanced stages on some of those and feeling really good about it. And I would think that, you know, kind of with where things are shaping up at this point in time and what we've seen from producers, we'd expect to kind of still be within that kind of $40 million to $50 million range. 2020 mark for 2022, kind of consistent with what we had previously communicated around that. So I think the benefit is, you know, as we see accelerated activity, we've got the backbone built out. It's really just, you know, laterals and small compression additions to be able to add that incremental capacity to bring those wells into the broader systems. Appreciate it, guys.
spk05: Thanks very much.
spk06: Our next question is from Vinay Sitetti with JP Morgan. Please proceed with your question.
spk00: Hi. Good morning, guys. Just wanted to follow up on capital allocation philosophy here. I think it's understood you guys have been focusing on buybacks as a priority for the short term. But I just want to understand, given what's going on with Shell in the Permian assets, I want to understand if you could share any broad comments on how the JV simplification could impact any of your buybacks timing and how we should think about it.
spk04: Yeah, I think that, Vinay, it's a great question on capital allocation. I think as we've talked about, you know, balance sheet strength is kind of at the top of our priorities. We now have achieved that objective and feel really good about the outlook, given the capital commentary we just gave. And so, obviously, returning that capital through accelerating our buyback and repurchase program kind of becomes, you know, nearest term, highest priority. But we are still absolutely focused, as Bob mentioned, on enhancing our competitive positions in the three core growth areas where we operate, the Bakken, the Powder, and the Delaware. One of the unique elements of the Delaware Basin is we do own those assets through two joint ventures, one with Shell, as you alluded to, and one with First Reserve. And I do think that it is our strategy absolutely over time to consolidate that joint venture and own more of that entity going forward, you know, to help optimize our positioning there. And so, you know, I think that, you know, we aren't involved in any active discussions, but that is a central piece to the strategy of the Delaware Basin. And I think something that we will, you know, work towards execution around, you know, over the next, you know, call it couple of years.
spk00: Got it. Maybe just wanted to follow up on gas capture and opportunity in the Bakken. So it does appear to me like you guys have pretty much tight utilization on the gas gathering and processing side. Given the incremental volumes through GORs or higher gas capture rate, what kind of leverage does Crestwood have on the gas side and how we could meet those producer demand and also just trying to understand like how much is the current capture rate. I did look through your Williston slide deck from May and it sounded like you're about 10% which is kind of above average and so that appears to be a lot of opportunity.
spk01: Yeah, thank you again, Vinay. This is Jakob Vicky. To answer your question, we track that every month. And as Bob mentioned in his highlights, we work actively with our producers on those opportunities. And you're right to say our past performance was around 10%. I can tell you our recent month is around 6%. so we incrementally improve those opportunities as we tackle each one of them with each customer they're quite technically driven from infrastructure perspective where we have to work hand in hand with each other and have the appropriate set points across the system that drives that increased utilization so there's significant amount of upside You can refer to the NDPA for what they forecast for gas-oil ratios to progress in the basin. And we see that as continued upside for our asset infrastructure because it's essentially zero capital to catch all that up.
spk00: Got it. Thanks. That's it for me.
spk06: And we have reached the end of the question and answer session. I'll now turn the call back over to Bob for closing remarks.
spk03: Hey, thanks, Operator. Well, again, I want to compliment our team for executing on a long-term plan. We started talking about getting down to 3.5 to 3.75 leverage maybe two years ago as we neared the end of our three-year build-out program. we could see forecasted volumes increasing, cash flows improving, and debt pay down. We certainly didn't expect a COVID year last year. And frankly, we were excited to have the opportunity to complete the two very strategic transactions this year. It does reposition the company. And maybe I should have answered Tristan's question that way, not to downplay the consolidation opportunities out there, but those transactions in sequence have repositioned the company. And so we're always going to be looking for opportunities to grow our business, grow our portfolio. We like our portfolio. We think that diversity creates a hedge against market forces. And you can just look at what we did in the second and third quarters of last year versus the second quarter of this year and see that Our GNP was down last year due to reduced activity and shut-in volumes, but it carried the load this year. We think that's the way the portfolio is supposed to work. And we like our position in the business and would like to continue to grow that. As I said, though, our primary focus is in the three areas that we operate. And we're going to continue to invest capital there because we have long-term contracts, great producers. none with any real financial issues, all now showing real capital discipline, which we think lengthens our inventory position and allows us better utilization of capacity and more operating leverage as volumes grow. So we think that's a winning strategy, a winning formula in this business. We're going to continue to execute on that plan. We've got the team to do it. We've now got the balance sheet to do it, and we're in a great position in those three areas to continue to grow. So we have not thrown the growth word out the window yet, but it's going to be slow, steady. type growth that you can see visually from quarter to quarter, and we think that's a great position for an MLP that's generating over two times coverage and three and a half times leverage to be in. So thanks for everybody joining the call today. We look forward to hearing what you all have to say and feedback for our team, and I know they'll be reaching out to you later on today. Thanks, everybody.
spk06: And this concludes today's conference, and you may disconnect your line at this time. Thank you for your participation.
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