ChargePoint Holdings, Inc.

Q1 2023 Earnings Conference Call

5/31/2022

spk06: Ladies and gentlemen, good afternoon. My name is Savannah, and I will be your conference operator for today's call. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to ChargePoint's first quarter fiscal 2023 earnings conference call and webcast. All participants' lines have been placed in the listen-only mode to prevent any background noise. And after the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. I would now like to turn the call over to Patrick Hamer, ChargePoint's Vice President of Capital Markets and Investor Relations. Patrick, please go ahead.
spk18: good afternoon and thank you for joining us on today's conference call to discuss chargepoint's first quarter fiscal 2023 results this call is being webcast and can be accessed on the investors section of our website at investors.chargepoint.com with me on today's call are pasqual romano our chief executive officer and rex jackson our chief financial officer this afternoon we issued our press release announcing results for the quarter which can be found on our website We'd like to remind you that during the conference call, management will be making forward-looking statements, including our fiscal second quarter and full fiscal year 2023 outlook and our expected investment and growth initiatives.
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spk18: These forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control and could cause actual results to differ materially from our expectations. These forward-looking statements apply as of today, and we undertake no obligation to update these statements after the call. For a more detailed description of certain factors that could cause actual results to differ, please refer to our Form 10-K filed with the SEC on April 4, 2022, and our earnings release posted today on our website and filed with the SEC on Form 8-K. Also, please note that we use certain non-GAAP financial measures on this call, which we reconcile to GAAP in our earnings release and for historical periods in the investor presentation posted on the investors section of our website. And finally, we'll be posting the transcript of this call to our investor relations website under the quarterly results section. And with that, I'll turn it over to Pasquale.
spk10: Thank you, Pat. To start off, we are happy to report that our first quarter revenue of $82 million exceeded the high end of the quarterly guidance provided on the last call. Consistent with recent quarters, we performed well from a demand perspective across all verticals. We achieved record growth in Europe with 67% sequential quarterly revenue growth, a great indicator that our strategy to establish ourselves as a leader in that geography is working. Our year-over-year quarterly growth was 102%, and we grew sequentially from Q4 to Q1, beating the seasonal revenue decline we typically see between Q4 and Q1. Even more remarkable is we overcame supply chain headwinds to achieve that level of growth. We remain steadfast in prioritizing assurance of supply amidst the challenging macro environment. The increased inventory level on our balance sheet reflects our critical raw materials acquisition program. We are not accumulating finished product, having shipped what we could build during the quarter. Our operations team did a great job assuring supply this quarter to deliver our top line, but supply shifted next to a degree and demand again outstripped supply, with backlog up 35% over the prior quarter. As we discussed on our previous earnings call, we expected supply chain issues to continue to negatively impact gross margin. Impacts were higher than expected this quarter for both newer products from a cost perspective and for higher margin mature products from both the cost and availability perspective, resulting in a 17% gross margin for the quarter. Under more normal conditions, gross margins would have been higher, and Rex will share more on this. On the product side, we continue to ramp manufacturing and deployment of our previously announced fast charge product family and our new commercial AC charging platform, the latter replacing white label products we have used in select geographies for the commercial vertical. We expect these platforms to deliver scale and margin efficiencies in both fleet and commercial applications. These R&D advances not only satisfy customer requirements in both fleet and commercial verticals in both North America and Europe, but also represent technology-driven margin upside enabled by well-designed, highly flexible architectures. Our experience with customers this quarter is both consistent with historical ratios and supports our investment in the land component of our land and expand strategy. On the land side, we added over 1,000 new customers this quarter, with new customer billings at approximately 30% for the period.
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spk10: Because orders from new customers initiate a revenue stream that grows consistently into the future, we anticipate most of the revenue generated over the life of customers added this quarter will occur in a future environment in which supply chain conditions will ever turn to normalcy, hence the decision to accept a lower margin for the quarter to support the acquisition of new customers and the expansion from the install base. Supporting this strategy, consistent expansion with existing customers was over 65% of our billings for the quarter. On the commercial front, we now support 52% of the Fortune 500. The success is broad and growing rapidly within existing relationships. Our fleet business continues to outpace vehicle arrival and had a strong quarter with billings of 157% year-over-year and 8% sequentially, supported by our partnerships and channel relationships. In residential, demand for our solutions was stronger in the quarter. Billings for the vertical was up 47% versus fourth quarter and up 193% from first quarter of last year and would have been higher if it weren't for supply chain constraints. We are in the early stages of adding recurring revenue for single-family residences in addition to existing recurring revenue in multifamily. We have numerous pilots underway on this front and have dozens of utility home charging programs in place in North America. We ended the quarter with over 188,000 active ports under management, a sequential increase of 8% and a year-over-year increase of 67%. Of those, approximately 57,000 are in Europe and over 12,000 are DCFAST. I'll remind you that ports under management is one way to track our commercial and fleet verticals as each of these ports pay an annual software subscription. We do not include home chargers at single-family residences in this count, where we continue to have strong demand as well. In addition to our network, our roaming reach is now over 320,000 additional ports in North America and Europe, bringing the total number of ports accessible to over 500,000 for ChargePoint drivers. During the quarter, we celebrated another scaling milestone. A driver now plugs into ChargePoint every second or less. On the strategic front, we've long believed that combining the road trip amenities drivers want with fast charging is critical to making driving electric beyond a driver's battery range a great experience. Recent progress includes our partnership with Starbucks and Volvo, financing alternatives, including our partnership with Goldman Sachs Renewable Power and public-private partnerships, such as the completion of the first of six highway corridors the Colorado Energy Office awarded to ChargePoint to enable long-distance EV travel across the state.
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spk10: These examples illustrate how our business model sets us up to operationalize the U.S. National Electric Vehicle Infrastructure Program, known in short as the NEVI program. This is a tremendous opportunity to accelerate the build out of charging along highways in our communities in a way that delights drivers and the businesses that want to serve them. As we have commented on previously, this new stimulus should begin to manifest in calendar year 2023, rolling for five years. More broadly, both in the U.S., Canada, and Europe, there are other federal, state, and utility programs being formed and in place today, all of which indicate broad commitments to the electric future. I'll close with some important environmental statistics. Our network has fueled over 4 billion electric miles to date. And by our estimates, drivers have avoided over 160 million cumulative gallons of gasoline and over 700 metric tons of greenhouse gas emissions. The scale of these numbers is climbing quickly, demonstrating that we can make what is good for business good for the planet as well. And now I'll turn this over to Rex to discuss financials before we move to Q&A.
spk27: Rex, over to you. Thanks, Ms. Weld. And good afternoon, everyone. As you all know, my comments are non-GAAP, where we principally exclude stock-based compensation, amortization of intangible assets, and non-recurring costs related to restructuring and acquisitions. Please see our earnings release for a reconciliation of our non-GAAP results to GAAP. As Pasquale indicated, we had a solid Q1. For the quarter, revenue was 82 million, up 102% year-on-year, above our previously announced guidance range of 72 million to 77 million, and beating a Q4 finish. We are particularly pleased with this performance, given supply chain challenges that worsened in Q1, driving up costs and backlog as we fundamentally shipped what we could build. Last quarter, we spoke about a robust backlog and demand continues to outstrip supply. Our backlog at the end of April grew 35% sequentially from our record backlog in the fourth quarter. Network charging systems at 60 million was 73% of Q1 revenue, consistent with Q4 and up 122% year on year. Subscription revenue at 18 million was 22% of total revenue and up 63% year on year and also up sequentially. Our deferred revenue, which is future recurring subscription revenue from existing customer commitments and payments, continues to grow, finishing the quarter at 157 million, up from 147 million at the end of Q4. Other revenue at 4 million and 5% of total revenue increased 54% year on year. Turning to verticals, as you know, we report them from a billings perspective, which approximates the revenue split. Q1 billings percentages were commercial 67%, Fleet 16%, residential 15%, and other 1%. While fleet and residential are strong, commercial contribution in Q1 was seven points lower sequentially due to supply constraints impacting shipments. From a geographic perspective, Q1 revenue from North America was 80% and Europe was 20%, representing great progress in Europe driven by organic growth and by our acquisitions that continue to deliver the plan. In the first quarter, Europe delivered $16 million in revenue, growing 353% year-on-year and 67% sequentially. Turning to gross margin, non-GAAP gross margin for Q1 was 17%. We remain focused on assurance of supply to land new customers and to expand with existing ones, but margin was challenged this quarter as our non-GAAP results included higher purchase price variances and logistics costs, representing approximately six margin points, and shortage of supply of higher margin mature products, which was new this quarter, representing approximately three margin points of impact in QI. We expect gross margin to recover through the rest of the year from three main factors. First, fewer supply constraints for mature products. Second, continued technology-driven margin improvements for our newer products. And third, continued efforts to pass on higher component costs. Demand continues to be strong as evidenced by our revenue outperformance and higher backlog, and our price points continue to be well received by the market. To summarize, our key margin challenges remain on the supply chain side as we continue to work with vendors to ensure continuity of supply and to get back to a more normalized product mix and mitigate increased costs. Non-GAAP operating expenses for Q1 were $84 million, a year-on-year increase of 78%, and a sequential increase of 9% as we continue to invest to support our growth. OPEX is also impacted by supply chain issues as higher purchase prices and higher logistics costs also impacted the materials purchased by our hardware engineering teams for the introductions of new products important to our second half growth and beyond. Stock-based compensation in Q1 was $16 million. Looking at cash, we finished the quarter The $541 million following the April close of a $300 million five-year convertible note offering. These notes carry a cash coupon of 3.5% and are convertible at a stock price of $24.03. We have approximately 337 million shares, outstanding as of April 30, 2022. Turning to guidance, for the second quarter of fiscal 2020, In 2023, we expect revenue to be 96 to 106 million, up 80% year-on-year at the midpoint, and reflecting broad-based demand and the challenging supply chain environment, we expect to persist in Q2. We are confirming our annual guidance given in our last call, and we remain committed to being cash flow positive in calendar 2024. With that, I'll turn the call back to the operator for Q&A.
spk06: And as a reminder, that is star one to ask a question. We do ask that you please limit to one question and one follow-up.
spk08: We will pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster.
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spk08: Our first question will come from Bill Peterson with J.P. Morgan. Please go ahead.
spk04: Yeah, thanks for taking the questions, and nice job in getting all these shipments out in light of the supply constraint environment. I guess my first question is, you know, what drove the revenue to beat in the first quarter, I guess, and how was it different than what you had anticipated? And then lining that up with the mixed impact you said to gross margins.
spk27: looked at commercial was actually down uh somewhat sequentially based off your billings and then you know residential was up and how much does that player factor in that so uh so from a from a numerical perspective obviously we did a little bit better than we expected uh from a mixed perspective um it shifted even a little bit more in the direction it's done for the last two or three quarters which is uh strongly in the direction of some of the corridor and fast charging things that we're doing. Obviously, fleet was strong. Europe was strong. Home was strong, which is part of residential, obviously. But some of the commercial was impacted by first supply couldn't get it out the door. And also, people aren't back to work yet. So, you know, it wasn't meaningfully different than what we expected. It was just a slight product mix shift in a direction that you've seen over the last two quarters.
spk04: That's great. And you mentioned that the backlog was up pretty substantially in the quarter. So that bodes well for visibility for the year. But I guess what is the backlog coverage between now and I guess to reach your, you know, the midpoint of a full year revenue guidance? Is it you pretty much have visibility for the full year or how much business has yet to be won? Just try to get a feel for visibility, especially in light of at least some of the some of the verticals you have out there, you know, maybe like becoming a bit more cautious on their own end demand and how that may, you know, come down to you guys.
spk27: Yeah, so obviously we don't give out a backlog number. I can tell you that, and also we're, frankly, we're not actually a backlog company. We're sort of a backlog company now because of the supply constraints and inventory. You know, we're not building inventory of raw materials, so we just pop stuff out. All I can say is, well, one other thing I'd say is if we blew out our entire backlog in Q2, um you'd be here to you'd be here in a different guidance number but anyway so it's a very very strong backbone for what we expect to happen for the rest of the year our next question will come from james west with evercore isi please go ahead hey good afternoon guys good afternoon hi jack hey pat curious um with the rollout of the new technology the new products um
spk26: Maybe talk to the enhancements or the enhanced products that you're rolling out today. And I know you said that they are margin accretive. Maybe if you could give us some color around that as well.
spk10: Yeah, James. So there's a, I don't know where to, there's so many places I could start on that one. There, first of all, what we've done is as we transition products, we're aligning the modularity against, you know, a fewer and fewer number of serviceable components so we can improve the long-term velocity and our ability to support the SLAs necessary in a lot of commercial and fleet applications in a very cost-effective way. So you're seeing us transition to new platforms. That's one point. The second point in terms of enhancement, if you look at, I'll just highlight a few. If you look at the new AC platform, the new AC platform has, is a universal AC platform. It is exactly the same hardware for Europe and North America. And its metering onboard is world certified, is on its way to being fully world certified in all applications. And if you think about how complex that is, that's a very complex. but outside the mundane, the, we have moved to a processing environment in the, in our chargers, which is identical across all chargers and has incredible capabilities from a latent software capability downstream. Because remember, we're constantly rolling the software on our network and software functionality. And so we think that we've set ourselves up now for not only a very high velocity of release because we commonize that platform, which is very important when you're managing software, but also enabled us to not become hardware limited from a resource perspective. For many times, you know, for many, many future generations, the last point I'll make, and then I'll leave you alone. is our smart cable environment in all our new products, DC and AC, enables us to change connector types dynamically in the field and has future proofed us against evolving interface types. So the ability to mix and match connector types on DC and AC is really, I think, benchmark setting.
spk26: I'm sure there are. One more for me. With the National Electric Vehicle Infrastructure Program, it seems to me, given your sales and software model plus the financing arrangement you have with Goldman, you guys are particularly well-suited or set up for this because of your business model. Is that a fair statement?
spk10: Well, I think it's a fair statement, but to unpack it a little bit more, I think when it comes, the statement I made in my remarks earlier I think is the most important to your question, which is charging has to be married to the amenities drivers want when they're driving beyond their battery range. And the NEVI program is focused on that particular use case, driving beyond your battery range, which we fully support. And so because our business model is all about enabling and marrying a business to charging and not about owning, charging ourselves, we are, everyone's our friend in the FNC business, in the fueling and convenience business.
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spk06: Please go ahead.
spk09: Thanks so much. You talked about a few of the drivers of margin improvement for the rest of the year, and I was hoping you can give us maybe a little more, maybe just talk a little bit more about the supply chain component of that. It sounds like you have some visibility on the fact that you would expect some of those constraints to ease through the year. Maybe what was the magnitude of the impact in Q1, if you can remind us, and then what gives you that confidence that the supply chain constraints will get better?
spk27: Yeah, so regarding Q1, the total impact was nine points. Six of it from just stuff being more expensive or much more difficult to get them here, and the other three was on some of our more mature products. We weren't able to ship them, so that would have positively impacted margin to get those out the door, but we were not able to do that in Q1. As you might recall on our guidance, which is 22 to 26 for the year, that's got baked into it. An estimate looking forward is about six points per quarter, and it's never perfect. It could be five, one quarter, seven the next. So we've dug a three-point hole here on that average in Q1. But as we look towards the back half of the year and thinking about the three factors that I mentioned, a couple of which we actually control, right? So one of the ones we control is we have technology improvements we're doing that will actually bring the cost down even within this environment. If you look at that one, we do think, and then the other was passing along some of the costs, And you know what that means. We feel like we've got the moves in place necessary to significantly improve things, particularly in the second half. So we want to see a nice uptick in Q2 and then meaningful upticks in Q3 and Q4. And our goal is to get the three points we lost as quarterbacks.
spk09: Okay. And then secondly, you mentioned mix, and it's been a factor over the last, few quarters with regards in part to DCFC. And can we talk about some of the drivers that will help bring the product margins there up to sort of maybe the target levels that you've talked about previously? I would imagine volume and scale is one component, but how should we be thinking about margin improvement in that category?
spk27: So the first thing I would say is that we are trying to make life better so that we're not as mix dependent as we are today. I think that's the factors I just talked about. So I think, you know, that mixed sensitivity won't go away, but won't be nearly as sensitive as we are today. So I think that's going to be very helpful. The new product introductions that Pat talked about, one of which is the universal AC platform that's going to help us do better in Europe. Because right now, we use third-party product that we white label. And as you can imagine, it's harder to make margin on something white labeled than it is something you do yourself. And then we see a lot of sunshine coming as we are successful in the fleet space to which we offer the entire portfolio of products. So no two fleets are created the same. So AC to one, DC to another, and most will do both, including higher software and et cetera. I think if you look at how the business is going to evolve this year, our confidence in an improving gross margin is pretty solid.
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spk06: Our next question will come from Colin Rush with Oppenheimer. Please go ahead.
spk02: Thanks so much, guys. You know, with the Goldman Sachs finance partner and the infrastructure funding expected to come through this fall, can you talk a little bit about the customer dynamics that you're seeing right now in terms of your competitive position with a robust suite of solutions, financing at the table with some compelling folks and the service offering? Is this the sort of thing where you're seeing um you know your win rate goes substantially higher and we're going to see a lot of that as we get into the last half of the year um with some of that funding flowing or you know what's the nuance around some of the north american customers around these dynamics uh colin it's um so first of all win rates win rates historically been quite high um as we can measure it uh on
spk10: fueling and convenience brands in general, especially if you remember the now, which is something that most people have forgotten about the VW settlement that actually had program money awarded to states much in the same way that in an analogous way, I should say that the NEVI program is awarding money to states. We've built some muscle understanding how to manage programs like that and how to coordinate the effectively the collection of amenity brands that drivers want to avail themselves to along the corridor and how to organize that and bring that to a state. So if you look at marrying that to financing options that can lever that money, combine it with other sources of capital, everything from LCFS programs in states where that is And utility programs in states where that's available, we're, frankly, we're already playing. It really, we built a tremendous amount of muscle and relationships that we think we can leverage well into the selection process once it's all fully known and once the states take what they've learned from the VW Appendix D programs, apply it to NEVI, and keep it in accordance, obviously, with guidelines that the federal government is in control of. But we expect those to be in pretty reasonable alignment with our expectations. So I think we're in good shape, but it's not over till it's over.
spk02: OK, that's helpful. And then just in terms of the technology development and the move from L2 to faster charging L3 and other forms, can you talk a little bit about what you're seeing in terms of commercialization of batteries that can actually accept some of the higher voltage charging on an ongoing basis?
spk10: So the short answer to that question is you're starting to see more and more vehicles either come to market or be announced with higher voltage battery packs. That's really the key because the limit at the current connector standard for fast charging is about 200 kilowatts at 400 volts, which is a traditional battery pack voltage you see out there for passenger cars anyway. Heavy vehicles is a little bit different, but let's stick to passenger cars. So we expected to move in the higher voltage direction. And because we saw that as a necessary element to get to, This settle point for mass market adoption really dropped the friction for mass market adoption due to just the time it takes to dwell at a fast charger. As a general consumer, not an early adopter, we've made all our fast charge products from the beginning capable of up to 1,000 volts, which is the limit of the connector. So every single thing we've shipped from day zero in our fast charge product line that's been under our design control is capable of that.
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spk08: And our next question will come from Craig Erwin with Ross Capital.
spk15: Please go ahead. Good evening, and thanks for taking my question. In your remarks, it sounds like you're prioritizing new customer capture, really doing an impeccable job there, going after landing those customers with available products. Can you maybe talk a little bit about the breadth of new customer additions? And then if you could give additional color around sort of the relative costs in the front end, maybe the first 100 or 200 charges to a customer versus the next 2,000, you know, what the relative costs look like over the course of a multi-year relationship.
spk10: It depends on the customer's mix in terms of what their initial buy looks like in terms of dollar figure and what the ongoing buys look like so it's hard to but it's a very use case specific even within one vertical like commercial it's very use case specific here's what i can tell you to give you a little bit of a little bit of color you've got as as referenced in my remarks over a thousand new customers coming in in one quarter uh and that's you know a 30 percentage of our of our billings for the quarter So you can imagine what the average deal size is just looking at those two numbers for new customer acquisitions. It's usually on the smaller side, unless it's a fleet customer that is a bit more unfettered with respect to vehicle availability, which is, depending on the fleet customer, also potentially a constraint. So the initial deal sizes are small, but you're getting that customer up and running on our software environment. They're learning how to tie that into their business, create whatever incentives they want for their employees, their customers, figure out how to operationalize their fleet. That is the time where you spend all your energy getting that customer onboarded. And then on a go-forward basis, they know how we help them, of course, but they begin to learn how to budget, how to plan, how to scale that infrastructure so the later buys, are almost to a T always greater than those initial buys. And they keep accumulating because those match the vehicle arrival rates in the parking lots of those customers, whether they be a fleet or a commercial customer.
spk15: Understood. Understood. My second question is about fleet. So when we look at the vehicle, the electric vehicle providers out there, there's quite a lot of volatility as far as the success rate and the sales rate that is making it out there into the channel. Fleet's obviously really working for you. Can you maybe comment a little bit about what area of fleet this might be? Is this really last-mile delivery? Is this saying school buses, box trucks? I mean, you have quite a range of products to serve these different markets, but can you maybe help us understand what's working for ChargePoint?
spk10: Yeah, so there's two things I think that are directly mappable to our success in fleet. One, we don't make the customer the integrator.
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spk10: Okay, it sounds simple. but having a comprehensive portfolio along with the ability to consult and potentially even project manage the build out all under one roof with all the technology elements from software to services all there. That's huge when they're starting to come up to speed in what is a very meaningful transition from liquid fuel thought about very differently to electricity as fuel. And so I think it's a great, That's one of the reasons. The other, in terms of relative success by vehicle type, we are, because we are literally in every subvertical within fleet from light commercial, take home, you know, small form factor light commercial vehicles used by sales forces, et cetera, we're in a position Because most fleets have a variety of vehicle classes and applications we're in a position to be one stop shopping again dimensionally across all those sub verticals. So if you if you cross those two things one we don't make the customer be the integrator and to you don't have to go to a bunch of different solution providers to solve your needs for. say, last mile versus take-home fleet versus et cetera. It's all integrated on one software platform, one thing to integrate with, one throat to choke, all of those things above. I think that speaks to why we are early market, in this early market, able to establish ourselves so effectively in that segment.
spk08: Our next question will come from Ryan Greenwald with Bank of America. Please go ahead.
spk14: Hey, good afternoon, guys. Hey there, appreciate the time. Maybe starting first with the ASPs and ability to pass through the higher costs. Can you talk a bit about any success thus far and how you're kind of expecting this to evolve through the rest of the year given the levels of demand?
spk27: Yeah, that's actually a great question. So we did, we took a couple of measures earlier this year on the pricing front and then briefly did a few things on the logistics front. Those changes will start rolling through visibly in Q2, I would say. And then we're taking some other measures now that will roll through in the second half. So what we're seeing on this, so that's the measure side of it. On the ASP side of it, and Pat alluded to this, I think I may have alluded to it too, The ASPs are holding up very nicely. As you can imagine, in a, you know, supply-constrained environment, if we can't build it, probably nobody else can either. And what we're finding is, you know, we don't have to discount as much. We don't have to. And there is some elasticity in terms of our ability to manage from a price perspective. So I think you'll see the meaningful impact of all of this mostly in this. There'll be a little bit in Q2 and then stronger in the second half. But one thing we're not seeing, we're not, when Pat says we go with assurance of supply, we are not buying business at all.
spk07: Got it.
spk14: That's helpful. And maybe just to close the loop on margins, any way to provide a bit more color on how you're thinking about the magnitude of the step up into 2Q specifically, kind of given these moving pieces and any implications from the lockdowns in China?
spk27: uh so i'll go back back to front lockdowns in china um are incredibly annoying um so so our ops team has had to manage around a bunch of that uh so that's so good um don't give guidance in terms of gross margin by quarter but clearly if we're looking at the full year having confirmed guidance for the year which included gross margin at 22 to 26 we have some ground to make up so um i would be sorely disappointed if we didn't manage to start the March northward.
spk07: I just can't give you a number.
spk08: And our next question will come from David Kelly with Jefferies. Please go ahead.
spk13: Hi. This is Gavin Kennedy on for David Kelly. I believe your prior full year guidance for this year didn't incorporate or did not incorporate a reversal of work from home trends in fiscal year 23. Have you guys seen any changes in workplace demand from customers to date? And if so, can you just talk about how that business is trending?
spk27: yeah so um so workplace fits inside of our commercial segment and, as I said, my remarks commercial as a percentage of our buildings was down sequentially from key for. As you know, that's a really important really important part of the business so from a pure sales perspective. You know it's been tough because, to your point, people are back to work, I would say that we do see pipeline bills. as we sit here today, so I'm very guardedly optimistic that that's going to be coming back soon, but it really does boil down to you've got to get back to work. Obviously, there are other components to commercial like, you know, retail, you know, hospitality, all of those things that basically will all start waking up the more people move around. So with the world opening up and masks not being required, Yes, the pandemic's not gone forever, but we do see positive motion in the pipeline. Obviously, we use Salesforce and we track all that stuff. So I'm thinking we – I don't think this is the rest of the year. It's going to be damp and kind of thing. I think we're thinking it's going to pick up.
spk13: Got it. And then just as a follow-up, switching gears, how should we think about R&D as a percentage of sales through year-end? I believe last quarter you mentioned that R&D would remain elevated, but maybe taper off a little bit faster than GNA. And is that still a fair statement?
spk27: So it's been, it has bounced around quite a bit. One of the things we run into, like the thing I mentioned in my script, when you have several million dollars within NPI expenses, it looks like, you know, you've got this sort of sustainable rate that you're doing. But so we got popped pretty good in Q1 on that. But from a percentage standpoint, it should taper this year. I can't give you a number, obviously, but I do think as we look at how we end the year in terms of all three components and OPEX overall as a percentage of revenue, you should see meaningful improvement there as the company scales through the year.
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spk08: Our next question will come from Cassie Harrison with Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.
spk11: Good afternoon, and thank you for taking the questions. So from a big-picture perspective, I was just curious when you expect to start seeing the impact from the Goldman Sachs agreement. Do you see that as more of a 2023 catalyst, or do you think we'd start seeing revenue pickup from that deal maybe later in 2022? And then I have to follow up.
spk10: So you can – we'll see some projects. underway inside of this year, likely, but given the complexity of the projects typically associated with financing arrangements, like the one provided by GSRP, most of that benefit will show up in the next calendar year, or the next fiscal year, I should say. The primary reason for that is developing the project, getting all the CIVILs done permitting, and then getting through construction. and installation just naturally takes time in the more complex projects, especially on the fleet side. I know we've had some commentary with them on this call with respect to passenger car, but fleet is a big focus for that partnership as well.
spk11: Got it. That's helpful. And then my next question is maybe just a little bit more of a quick modeling reconciliation question. I was looking at maybe a question for Rex. I was looking at the increase in deferred revenues for Q1, and it looked like, you know, the increase was less than what we saw in Q4 of last fiscal year. And subscription revenues recognized during the period were flat. And so I was just wondering, was there something that unique that happened, the deceleration in deferred revenue growth? And that's it for me. Thank you.
spk27: Yeah, so most of our deferred revenue is subscriptions, and that's both our cloud software and our sure warranties, and those burn off over time, and therefore they're very predictable, and they don't gyrate around. Occasionally we'll get a project, and I expect this actually will probably pick up a bit as we continue in the fleet space where you get something that's chunky and you get 98% of it done, and you go, well, shoot, I can't take the revenue for that. so um we did have one project it wasn't a material number but we did one project in the quarter that uh that that uh that we completed that was had been held up for um a few months so you you will see some of that so i would encourage you from a modeling perspective to smooth that stuff out uh and then the other thing that you should make sure that you understand from a um from the subscription line is um when we talk about mix mix also and heavily it impacts um not the dollars uh in in our um in our subscription line necessarily spends um but it does affect percentages because if you look at an ac product versus a dc product versus a home product and then you look at different verticals you get different software content on a percentage basis across our product line so right now we're You know, if you buy the percentage of a DC product represented by software, it's much smaller than the percentage you would see on an AC product. And that's a meaningful factor. So I think you just need to, you need to map to the, what information we've given you may not be enough to the mix thing and have the subscription thing mapped to that.
spk08: And our next question will come from Vikram Bagri with NETAM.
spk17: Please go ahead. Hi, it's for Vic at Needham. I wanted to ask about the potential upside from 30C. It looks like there's a blank section for tax benefits under the 30C section on the company website. So I guess just how do you think about any upside from tax breaks, both directly and also indirectly? And then how are you thinking about the impact from the higher cap? So I think there's the 30% reduction in the basis up to 100K versus previously up to 30K. And also just the impact of the direct pay option. And then I have one follow-up. Thank you.
spk10: Yeah. So we've obviously experienced tax credits in our industry before. We also have a lot of other programs that are simultaneously running, if you look at utility programs, if you look at state programs, if you look at the totality of effective subsidies, put that in the pool of effective subsidies, you know, we don't see the tax credit as a meaningful inflection in demand generation for our business, but every little bit helps. Because there's already a substantive pool, depending on the state that you live in and the geography, of incentives out there that are helpful. I think most of our business isn't driven by, it's not really a subsidy-driven business as a whole. I mean, obviously, if you take the NEVI program, if you take 30C tax credit, if you take all those different policy components, it's nice to look at a business, nice to think about a business that may have this huge inflection, but look at our growth rate without that stuff. coming out of a pandemic in the worst supply chain environment with backlog building. The demand is massive because the pressure from cars that are now finally arriving is driving the bulk of the demand. So I would not, while these things are nice and they do drop some friction in the customer's mind, depending on where they live, I would not laser beam focus on any particular subsidy program as a be all and end all for any vertical
spk07: Got it.
spk17: Okay. And one related question. So pretty sure that the guide doesn't include any impact from 30C, but just wanted to clarify if that's the case.
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spk10: No, I mean, look, our policy team runs a very tight process with our sales force. I think you've referenced some things on our website, but we have even more tools behind the scenes that our sales force can use with customers and our channel partners can use with customers. So we've already looked at, we've already experienced enough friction adjustment to know how it how to look forward in our numbers and while we haven't adjusted for what we think might be friction removal from 30c i just don't think that that's going to i i don't think we're going to be able to see such a meaningful thing we can absolutely point to and say that's because of the 30c tax credit versus something your customer would have already done anyway
spk07: There's some there, but it's hard to quantify.
spk08: Our next question will come from Matt Somerville with DA Davidson.
spk06: Please go ahead.
spk03: Thanks. Just a couple quick ones. Pat, in your prepared remarks, you mentioned single-family recurring revenue opportunity. Can you talk about maybe the timing, the economics, your approach, whether this would be something you'd attempt to do with existing installations or just go forward purchases? Can you maybe talk a little bit more detail around that? Thanks.
spk10: Sure. Yeah. I mean, I'll go back in backwards order. In terms of existing installations, it depends on the program and whether you can grandfather in an existing ChargePoint customer. We've already done that with a couple of utility programs. I'll just reference one in our patch, but, you know, there's a lot of utility programs running. If you look at the PG&E program, that were part of at home. There have been emails going out to existing ChargePoint home customers that did not start under that program to potentially enroll them in the program. It will depend on the rules that, frankly, we don't set, but the incentives are certainly there for if it's a utility to recruit the existing customers that are in their in their patch if the program is favorable to them, which why would they do it if it wasn't? So that's one in terms of we have, you know, pilots rolling across the country and some active utility programs um running for for home charging um the one thing i can tell you is the utilities are a very deliberate bunch so there is a there is a what is slower than normal business process to evolve a program to a broader and broader level um i think there's plenty of time uh given that we're at you know a little north of one percent penetration in north america and and europe uh into the install base of cars There's plenty of time to evolve those programs to full-blown programs by the time we get into the really steep parts of this growth curve. And I know it's hard to believe because we are in a very steep growth curve right now, but the growth curve for this industry is going to get steeper. And so I think there's time there, and it bodes well because there's a tremendous amount of load management benefit to utilities in managing overnight charging and bringing those cost savings to rate payers across their network.
spk07: Got it.
spk03: And then just with respect to supply chain, I guess maybe, Rex, this one's for you. In the 450 to 500 revenue assumption, how much, if any, of the backlog conversion do you actually anticipate? I guess what I'm asking, and maybe another way to put it, Rex, is do you expect to have a bigger backlog at fiscal year-end than you're sitting here with today?
spk27: That's a great question. Because I had an answer in my head and so you asked the tail end of the question. So as I mentioned earlier, I don't think of this as a major sort of backlog type company. We tend to sell and we've got great CM relationships. We don't build up a lot of inventory and so we're really good about selling through. um uh the backlog that we have today um as i mentioned earlier is a really nice boost between here and the guidance that we've given for the year on the revenue perspective um but if i had to commit to something i think i think i would say if if the if the weather clears i would actually expect the backlog to maybe be slightly smaller right so um the place the place where uh we can't end up with a lot of backlog potentially is in fleet, but that remains to be seen. That's not contemplated anywhere in any of the big guidance or numbers that we've done, but just because it's so early yet there. But net-net, I wouldn't be surprised if it's at or below the level it is today as we get into Q3.
spk07: But that assumes we have supply.
spk08: And our next question will come from Steven Gangaro with CECL.
spk06: Please go ahead.
spk24: Thanks. Good afternoon, everybody. Two things for me. Rex, you mentioned earlier, I think you said the percentage of subscription revenues from DC versus AC and how that mix impacts subscription revenue going forward. Could you just add a little color to that? I'm not sure I completely understood the concept.
spk10: Yeah, a couple of quick comments on that. As Rex mentioned, if you look at the asp of a dc port whether it be for fleet or commercial it's much much higher than the asp for even the highest end ac commercial products that we have on a per port basis now on a per port basis a dc product especially in fleet generates on an absolute dollar basis a higher amount of recurring dollars but on a percentage basis
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spk10: It does not. On a percentage basis, only because the initial port sale is so much more expensive than it would be for even the highest end AC product. Does it make sense? Okay yeah so that's that's the fun that's the fundamental that's that's really the fundamental driver i'll make a second point just to reinforce it for any any any new listeners out there that haven't tracked our earnings calls before. Every single port of hardware we sell outside of single family residents and even there we're starting to see recurrent right, but every single port. has an attached software subscription that is recurring. We will not sell hardware without that software subscription. We will sell the software subscription against third-party hardware if that's, if we don't have a hardware solution or the customer prefers other third-party hardware. So there is no real way to have those two curves split there. And lastly, what I'll point out is that on a percentage basis, What is commonly confusing is that the port growth being so high on an absolute basis on new port ads and accelerating, that because the revenue is recognized in the period and the revenue associated with the software is rated until the install base is significantly larger on the existing ports under management. That's why we quote that number, because that existing ports under management is the install base that's paying us on an annual basis. until that install base is higher the port growth rate as it accelerates can drive the ratio of the hardware line to the software line on our p l in any given quarter in the wrong direction from an optics perspective but it's actually goodness because it says we're adding to the install base faster gotcha no that that's that clarifies things i appreciate that and the the other the other quick one and i i know you addressed this a little bit a little bit earlier but
spk24: When you think about just the visibility, I mean, obviously, you reiterated gross margin guidance. The confidence level is reasonably high based on what you see today and how things are flushing out from a supply chain perspective. What do you think it takes to kind of get to the upper end versus the lower end as we think about the biggest moving pieces for the rest of the year?
spk27: So I couldn't couldn't shade you either way, but you know high end or low end but fundamentally what we've done is you know, we have. For one thing, we have a very good sales team and i've been here for four years and even when we were private. They hit their numbers. And so when we sit down with them and go through now Q2, Q3, Q4, they've got a lot of credibility with Pat and a lot of credibility with me. So the fact that they have such a good track record is very encouraging. You know, we've got a lot of good new products coming online here this year that I think are going to help. And so really it all comes down in my mind, too. know can we build it it's just um and as we've talked on several of the questions on this call you know what your backlog look like we've got a really nice backlog it keeps building even in a in what would seasonally be seasonally be our worst quarter which is q1 um so that we just we think we think the demand looks really really good and so our main handicap as we look through the rest of the year is can we get can we get the parts and put them together and and get them out to our customers. So, you know, I feel pretty good about the number.
spk08: And our final question will come from Stephen Fox with Fox Advisors.
spk06: Please go ahead.
spk16: Hi, good afternoon. Just one from me, please. Can you maybe address, there's been some talk about just frustration in the field about how quickly or not so quickly state and federal dollars are rolling out. You guys just highlighted that you completed one corridor in Colorado with five to go. So I was just curious if you could talk about like your experience with that corridor, how it is dealing with some of these expectations for funding. And I know it's not in your numbers, but I'm just wondering if you think it's proceeding to advertisement or maybe it's going to take a little longer.
spk10: Thanks. So historically when we've been asked questions like this and in other forums about our expectations around public funding we've always actually modulated the questioner to a less bullish time wise um position only because we have 15 years of experience understanding how long programs take to operationalize it's no fault of any uh state government or what have you it's just there's a lot of moving parts and when you're dealing with policy uh and things and and things of that nature it just takes longer to operationalize than it does to spell out uh in a press release uh you know when when when those things are initially uncovered so i think we've built in a natural level of expectation at charge point that is pretty matched to what actually happens, and we find ourselves in a continuous position of having to modulate down external parties that I think have oversized expectations as to the rapidity of onset. Once a program onsets, then it tends to go along obvious paths. The NEVI program, for example, is a five-year program. The first year is a little bit smaller because there's a bigger reserve for some things outside of equipment and services. But it's at a top level, it's a billion dollars a year for five years rolling to states. And we expect that to go kind of like the VW Appendix D programs did with the proviso that the state commissions that are dealing with these programs now have the benefit of the experience that they've already had so we think they will go faster on the back of the fact that they can copy paste a lot of learnings from those previous things but still it still takes a while to get operationalized and then once a program is even awarded and operationalized you still have to get through construction all of the utility provisioning, et cetera. So there's just the natural delays. This will take. This will come in over years, and that's okay. That's a good thing. That's not a bad thing. We all have to set our lenses adequately.
spk07: Great. I appreciate that, Carlos. Thank you.
spk08: And that will conclude today's question and answer session.
spk06: I would now like to turn the call back over to Pastor Romano for closing remarks.
spk10: Well, I'll just close by again thanking the team here at ChargePoint first and foremost for, you know, as a team pulling together to get through what was a very demanding quarter on the company given all the constraints and the growth rate. So thanks to all of you out there listening. And then I'll, you know, we've, the most encouraging thing for us, I'll leave you all with this, that for several quarters now we've reported that really all our verticals are firing. There's no single hotspot in the business. That was what we, if you want, rewound the tape 10 years ago, what we were designing the company for. It's nice to see reality match theory for now what is a bunch of quarters where that's been the case. So we're really encouraged that we've got a diverse business here and now diverse geographies. It was great to see Europe do as well as it did despite the supply chain constraints last quarter for us. So we're very optimistic about our ability to continue to be a leader in this space, and we're looking forward to a world when the supply chain issues subside and we can really manage our business with the full benefit of knowing that we can get everything we need. because then at that point as rex mentioned uh then we're at the limit of our growth which doesn't seem to be much of a limiter these days so thank you all and uh we'll uh we'll see you next time thank you for your participation and you may now disconnect
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