Chimera Investment Corporation

Greetings and welcome to Chimera Investment Corporation fourth quarter and full year 2024 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are on a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone requires operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Victor Falvo, head of capital markets and investor relations. Thank you. You may begin.

Thank you, operator. And thank you, everyone, for participating in Chimera's fourth quarter and full year 2024 earnings conference call. Before we begin, I'd like to review the safe harbor statements. During this call, we will be making forward-looking statements, which are predictions, projections, or other statements about future events. These statements are based on current expectations and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties, which are outlined in the risk factor section in our most recent annual and quarterly SEC filings. Actual events and results may differ materially from these forward-looking statements. We encourage you to read the forward-looking statement disclaimers in our earnings release and our quarterly and annual filings. During the call today, we may also discuss non-GAAP financial measures. Please refer to our SEC filings and earnings supplement for reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP measures. Additionally, the content of this conference call may contain time-sensitive information that is accurate only as of this earnings call. We do not undertake and specifically disclaim any obligation to update or revise this information. I will now turn the conference over to our President and Chief Executive Officer

Phil Cartes. Good morning, and welcome to Chimera Investment Corporation's fourth quarter 2024 earnings call. Joining me on the call are Jack McDowell, our Chief Investment Officer, Subra Viswanathan, our Chief Financial Officer, Dan Thacker, our Chief Risk and Credit Officer, and Vic Falvo, our Head of Capital Markets and Investor Relations. After my remarks, Subra will review the financial results, and then Jack will review our portfolio before opening the call for questions. 2024 was another year of reversals. The first part of the year saw continued progress on reducing inflation, and long-term rates improved from a high of .7% in April to .6% in September. However, the second half of the year saw inflation reduction stall, and the Fed, with a softening labor market, reduced the Fed fund rate by 100 basis points over their final three meetings of the year. Long-term rates did not react as expected. For the first time in seven rate-cutting cycles dating back to the 1980s, the 10-year rose finishing the year at 4.6%, up 100 basis points, despite the Fed cuts. During the fourth quarter of 2024, the term premium for the 10-year treasuries increased by 75 basis points, which reflects the market's uncertainty about future rates, the political environment, and the underlying strength of the economy. The housing market continued to face various challenges and unevenness due to many factors, including interest rates, affordability, and long-term supply-demand issues. The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage started the year at 6.6%, peaked at .2% in May, and dropped to .1% in September, leading to a modest uptick in activity before ending the year at 6.9%. Unsurprisingly, home sales suffered. In 2024, sales of previously-owned homes declined for the third consecutive year to the lowest level since 1995, reflecting what we believe to be the continuation of the lock-in effects. New home construction was up slightly from 2023, but new homes for sale that are under construction peaked in March and were slightly down from that peak in December. The number of completed new homes for sale hit its highest level in December since 2009. The new home inventory represents .5-month supply, which is above the balanced market of 6 months. But completed new homes were estimated to sell in 2.8 months, reflecting what we believe to be strong demand for newly-built homes, which is supportive of the RTL market. On the positive side, home prices continued to increase. Between the third quarter of 2023 and the third quarter of 2024, US home prices rose 4.3%, according to the FHFA's housing price index. We believe that this house price appreciation is positive for our existing portfolio due to further improvement in homeowners' equity. Another positive development for our business was credit spreads for asset-packed securities and other securitized products. Residential credit performance was particularly strong in 2024, driven by robust fundamentals due to low defaults, rising home prices, and record levels of homeowners' equity. In addition, technical indicators were strong as non-agency RMBS gross issuance ended at approximately $137 billion, almost doubling from 2023's issuance levels of $71 billion. Investor demand was very strong and credit spreads tightened in 2024, especially at the bottom of the capital structure, with credit curves flattening significantly. So what did all of this mean for our strategy in 2024 and what will it mean for 2025? In 2024, we managed our portfolio to increase liquidity and diversify sources of income. Consistent with that strategy, we deployed $209 million in proceeds from our equity raise in December 2023 and our two senior debt raises in 2024. We invested in floating rate agency CMOs. We believe these investments provide an attractive return while serving as a source of liquidity as we seek to deploy capital and loans or other investments, as we did for the Palisades acquisition. We invested in subordinate tranches and newly issued third-party mortgage securitizations packed by re-performing mortgage loans and small balance commercial loans. We purchased residential transition loans. We purchased RPLs and securitized them in SEM 2024 R1 and in the fourth quarter, we committed to purchase non-QM loans, which we securitized this year. And finally, in December, we closed the acquisition of the Palisades Group, a U.S.-based alternative asset manager specializing in residential real estate credit. Founded in 2012, Palisades manages and invests on behalf of third parties and residential real estate assets across the broad spectrum of credit products. Through this acquisition, we began providing third-party investment management and advisory services, which represents a new fee-based source of income, and we believe the ability to grow our income on a capital-alight basis. What are our plans for 2025? We continue to approach portfolio management in a disciplined manner and are expecting to operate in an uncertain environment. In 2025, we expect to continue to diversify our portfolio, increase liquidity, and grow our fee-based income revenue stream. While we'll continue to look for opportunities to acquire and securitize mortgage loans, we expect to grow our agency RMBS portfolio. In addition to supporting our regulatory compliance, we believe the agency RMBS portfolio will provide diversification, more stable dividends, and a source of liquidity for opportunistic asset and business acquisitions and provide in periods of protection. By growing our agency portfolio, we are returning to our roots as a hybrid REIT. We intend to also look to potential opportunities to acquire mortgage servicing rights, which we believe will help hedge our loan portfolio as well as provide a diverse source of income for our dividends. With the Palisades acquisition, we have embarked on our strategy enhancing returns to our shareholders through diversification of revenue. Palisades advisory services is the asset manager of our most recent securitization, and we expect to add them to our future securitizations, including the re-securitizations of our existing deals. We believe that combining Palisades' platform with ours will allow us to drive efficiency and across the portfolio. Lastly, we have begun to see those investments of the fee for service based income. It is early in the process, but we continue to believe the acquisition will be accretive to earnings. As we move into 2025 and beyond, we will look to expand and grow our non-discretionary asset management and advisory services and continue to look for opportunities to grow through a combination of organic and external growth. In addition, we plan on investing in technology that allows us to enhance and expand our asset management capabilities and drive operational efficiencies. We expect the source of funds for the portfolio diversification and growth initiatives to come from our existing portfolio as we return to our re-lever strategy. We have issued call notices on all of our outstanding and our securitizations, and we expect to re-securitize the loans in the next couple of months. In addition, we expect to call some of our our securitizations in 2025. We will also look for opportunities to raise capital in the capital markets. Finally, we continue to seek opportunities to finance our retained notes from securitizations with long-term limited or non-mark to market financing facilities. As we have discussed in the past, we've had an expensive non-mark to market facility coming due in January 2025. We were able to enter into a new or larger facility with better terms and greater than 400 basis point reduction in rate. By increasing the size of the facility, our interest expense is flat, but we were able to receive approximately $62 million to deploy in new investments. Our goal is to build a durable, more diversified portfolio and implement growth initiatives that are designed to provide stable and growing sources of income that will benefit our current stock price relative to our book value. We feel good about our business and we're finding new opportunities, and we increased the quarterly dividend by 12% in 2024. And lastly, we believe the acquisition of Palisades will further strengthen or expand our business and provide additional opportunities for growth for our shareholders. I will now turn the call over to Subra to review our financial results.

Thank you, Phil. I will review Chimera's financial highlights for the fourth quarter of 2024. Gap net loss for the fourth quarter was $168.3 million or $2.07 per share. And gap net income for the full year was $90.3 million or $1.10 per share. Gap book value at the end of the fourth quarter was $19.72 per share. For the quarter, our economic return on gap book value was negative 10.1%. Based on the quarterly change in book value and the fourth quarter dividend per common share. And for the full year, our economic return was a positive 4.4%, which includes $1.42 of dividends declared in 2024. On earnings available for distribution basis, net income for the fourth quarter was $30.4 million or $0.37 per share. And net income for the full year was $121 million or $1.48 per share. Our economic net income for the fourth quarter was $69.2 million. For the fourth quarter, the yield on average interest-earning assets was 6%. Our average cost of funds was 4.5%. And our net interest spread was 1.5%. Total leverage for the fourth quarter was 4 to 1, while recourse leverage ended the quarter at 1.2 to 1. For hedging, financing, and liquidity, the company ended the year with $610 million in total cash on unencumbered assets. At year end, we had $2.2 billion floating rate exposure on our outstanding repo liabilities. Our total floating rate obligations net of hedges was $1.2 billion. We had $1.3 billion in either non- or limited market features on our outstanding repo agreements representing 48% of our secure recourse funding. We had $1.5 billion pay fixed interest rate swaps at a weighted average pay fixed rate of .56% with a weighted average maturity of less than one year. The company also had a long position in $500 million swaps on a one-year pay fixed interest rate swap with a rate of 3.45%. The company executed this option in January. In January, we closed on SIM 2025 I-1 securitization. As part of our strategy to mitigate securitization execution risk on certain securitizations, at year end, we were short two-year treasury future contracts to protect the net interest spread of SIM 2025 I-1. This short position was closed out in January. For the fourth quarter of 2024, our economic net interest income return on equity was 10.5%. Our gap return on average equity was negative 22.3%. And our EAD return on average equity was 7.2%. And lastly, compensation, general, administrative, and servicing expenses were marginally lower year over year while excluding expenses related to the Palisades acquisition. Our transaction expenses were significantly lower during the year due to reduced securitization activity in 2024. However, these expenses increased in fourth quarter by 4.7 million, primarily from expenses related to the Palisades acquisition. I will now turn the call over to Jack to review our portfolio.

Thanks, Subra, and good morning, everyone. I'm excited to be here. Before diving into the portfolio, I'd like to start with a brief introduction and share a little bit about my background. My entire career, going back to the late 1990s, has been dedicated to mortgage credit and structured products. I began on the sell side, focusing on mortgage and asset-back securitization, where I worked on both deal execution and security structuring. I then spent nearly eight years on the buy side, both before and after the financial crisis, acquiring, structuring, and leading teams responsible for managing residential credit risks. A little over 12 years ago, I co-founded Palisades with the core objective of providing clients with access to diversified opportunities across the mortgage credit spectrum through a variety of investment management activities. Core to that objective was building a team of highly motivated individuals and fostering a challenging and rewarding work culture. We're incredibly proud of what we built, and we're even more excited to now be part of the Chimera team. It has now been just over two months since the acquisition in early December. I'm happy to report that the integration is progressing well, and collaboration between the teams has been strong. I want to extend a special thanks to the entire team of Chimera professionals, as they have worked tirelessly and patiently over the last eight weeks to integrate the teams into a single cohesive unit, and I'm deeply grateful for their efforts. Moving on to the portfolio, as Phil mentioned, the fourth quarter was marked by a significant rise in interest rates and was also the first full quarter since early 2022, where we had a positively sloping yield curve. The spread between the 10-year and two-year treasury widened by 19 basis points compared to the third quarter. At the same time, agency MBS spreads moved slightly wider while non-agency credit spreads tightened. While this rate environment provided compelling investment opportunities, it also negatively impacted our gap book value on a -to-market basis. It's important to note that the change in book value was a direct result of the changes in interest rates and credit spreads, and not the result of any unexpected credit deterioration. In fact, credit performance remains strong across our various loan products, and we expect to further enhance our asset-level credit risk management capabilities with the Palisades acquisition. Recall, our loan portfolio is primarily financed using non-recourse term securitization. This allows us to isolate credit risk while locking in our net interest margin and supporting our dividend paying ability. While non-recourse securitization financing provides structural leverage advantages compared to recourse debt, it can also introduce book value volatility during periods of sharp rate movements. And since we anticipate this question will come up in Q&A, through the end of business yesterday, we estimate our gap book value has increased approximately 3% due to rate and spread movements since year end. During the quarter, we purchased $129 million of short-duration residential transition loans, and we're net sellers of $452 million in agency CMOs. And we ended the year with a $12.3 billion investment portfolio consisting of $10.7 billion of residential loans, $1.1 billion of non-agency Our residential loan book includes $9.6 billion of seasoned legacy re-performing loans, $566 million of loans collateralized by investment properties, $389 million of prime jumbo, and $213 million of residential transition loans. Our seasoned re-performing loan portfolio, which makes up the vast majority of our gap assets, were on average originated over 17 years ago and have de-levered considerably as a result of years of principal amortization and rising home values. The portfolio's average loan balance is approximately $99,000 with an estimated loan to value ratio of 40%. Credit performance remains stable with serious delinquencies effectively The average interest rate on the portfolio sits right at 6% or just about 100 basis points below today's 30-year fixed mortgage rate of 6.9%. Given elevated mortgage rates, prepayments have remained range-bound for the last two years, and that continued in Q4 with speeds holding into -7% range. While our portfolio has limited exposure to the recent Southern California wildfires, our thoughts are with all the affected families and individuals in those communities, including many of our close friends and colleagues. As for our exposure, while preliminary and subject to change, using property-level longitude and latitude coordinates, we have 36 properties located within a -square-foot buffer zone of the wildfire boundaries. Four of these properties have confirmed damage. We have two confirmed cases of affected borrowers requesting assistance as a result of having to relocate due to smoke damage. Our asset management team continues to actively monitor developments and remain in close coordination with our mortgage loan servicing partners to ensure impacted borrowers receive support, communication is fluid, and our exposure is properly mitigated. While some areas affected remain inaccessible or closed to the public, we currently do not expect any material economic impact on our portfolio from these events. I'll speak briefly about portfolio financing. We ended the year with $7.1 billion of non-recourse securitized financing collateralized by our residential loan portfolio. Additionally, we had $2.8 billion of secured recourse liabilities collateralized by a combination of loans, some of our retained interest in securitizations, as well as our non-agency and agency MBS portfolios. Of our $2.8 billion of secured repo, $2.2 billion, or 77%, was floating rate, and importantly, nearly half, or $1.3 billion, was -to-market or limited -to-market. Our average repo funding cost declined by 22 basis points during the quarter due in part to Federal Reserve policy easing. During the year, our recourse financing increased by $392 million, with over 90% of the increase attributable to the growth in the agency's CMO portfolio. Subsequent to year end, in January, we closed our first securitization of 2025, effectively financing $287 million of investor loans. These loans carry a .9% average interest rate, an average credit score of 748, and an average loan to value ratio of 64%. We ended up selling 276 million of senior securities, representing 96% of the capital structure at a .8% cost of funds, with strong demand from institutional investors across the capital structure, and we retained 12 million in subordinate and interest-only securities. With respect to our interest rate hedges, we maintain hedges primarily for the purpose of reducing risk related to our floating rate liabilities in order to maintain our EAD and dividend paying ability. We ended the year with $1.5 billion of active interest rate swaps with a weighted average pay fixed rate of 3.56%, effectively locking in a fixed rate on approximately 69% of our floating rate liabilities, or 56%, including our floating rate preferred equity. In addition, in January, we further optimized our liability hedges by exercising the $500 million swaps with a fixed pay rate of 3.45%, shorting 50 million of swap futures, and purchasing a $1 billion two-year interest rate cap at a .95% strike. Moving on to the topic of portfolio construction, we enjoy a stable portfolio of seasoned, well-equitized, and consistently paying re-performing loans. However, to echo Phil's opening remarks, we are committed to and excited about the opportunity to use that foundation to further develop a resilient and diversified portfolio. Capital for this diversification effort can be sourced organically from our cash and unencumbered assets, portfolio pay downs, and also from equity capital that is embedded in our de-levered securitizations where we retain the right to call or redeem the senior securities. As we elect to exercise these call rights, we can either sell the loans or refinance them into a new securitization. In each case, this has the effect of unlocking capital that will give us the ability to redeploy into complementary investments. Credit fundamentals in housing finance are strong, and optimism is priced into many asset classes. We are focused on making purposeful allocations in areas that we believe will enhance our portfolio construction, diversification, risk profile, and supplement our overall risk-adjusted return. Currently, the areas of focus that we believe have the potential to enhance the long-term durability of our portfolio include possible allocations to agency MBS, mortgage servicing rights, and perhaps continue to increase our allocation to short-duration, high-yielding residential transition loans. The agency allocation is intended to provide balance to the portfolio with a more liquid asset base relative to the less liquid subordinate securities we receive and retain from our securitization programs. That liquid portion of the portfolio will allow us to pivot quickly into credit opportunities, and we can dynamically ratchet up the agency allocation to capture relative value opportunities when they emerge or take a more defensive posture during periods of market stress. Similarly, we see MSRs as an important component of our near-term investment strategy. Not only do we view the asset class as one that can produce an attractive, risk-adjusted return, but can also serve as a natural hedge to our loan portfolio and help offset book value volatility associated with movements and interest rates. Our investment team has a reach in infrastructure to source and manage products across the residential spectrum, and we seek to continue deploying these resources in the quarters to come. Turning to resources, one of the most compelling aspects of our combined platform is the strength our scaled infrastructure, advanced data management capabilities, and proprietary technologies. These tools are designed to empower our asset and investment management teams and optimize key workflows. By enhancing asset-level outcomes from the pre-acquisition due diligence phase through post-closing default management and loss mitigation, we work closely with our servicing partners to drive efficiency and performance across the portfolio. Just the first eight weeks since the acquisition, we have already taken the first step in this initiative by having Palisades Advisory Services named as the asset manager on our first securitization of 2025, and we plan on continuing to roll out this capability across the broader portfolio. Finally, I would like to reiterate Phil's comments about Palisades acquisition. Our third-party asset and investment management capability presents a significant opportunity to grow our fee-based revenue by providing clients with diversified access to residential credit products and portfolios. This includes non-discretionary customized solutions, discretionary separate accounts, and private asset-backed credit funds. Palisades had experienced steady growth in recent years. However, by uniting these capabilities under the Scaled Chimera platform, we expect to unlock substantial resources and enhance our ability to serve a broader range of institutional clients, including insurance companies, asset managers, endowments, foundations, and other institutional investors and allocators. We see these partnerships as highly complementary to our investment sourcing efforts for the REAP portfolio. The diverse capital base from our advisory clients and credit funds not only enhances our market reach, but also positions our team as a solutions provider in periods of market stress. In closing, the combination of the Palisades and Chimera team strengthens our position as a leader in mortgage credit. Our combined team is passionate and takes great pride in our activities within this dynamic and the central industry, and our team remains committed to executing our strategy with discipline and focus as we move into 2025. That concludes our remarks. We will now open the call up for questions.

Thank you. The floor is now open for questions. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad at this time. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up the handset before pressing the star keys. Again, that's star one to register a question at this time. Today's first question is coming from Boz George of KBW. Please go ahead.

Hey, everyone. Good morning. Can you talk about incremental ROE and what you see as the normalized ROE, just given the current rate environment, which looks like it's going to be higher for longer?

Yeah. Hey, Boz. This is Jack. Just with respect to normalized ROE, if you're referring to sort of what the opportunities we are looking at in the market today and where we're seeking to allocate capital, I mean, our target, you know, return, at least on invested assets is going to be in that, you know, mid-teens area. And I think in the areas that we're focused on, notwithstanding the agency MBS, which has a purpose within our portfolio, but not necessarily seeking to be the driver of returns with respect to MSRs and certainly what we're investing in on the RTL side of the portfolio, those are all, you know, hitting those types of return targets. With that being said, as we think about the entire portfolio, we're in a position of receiving paydowns, relevering our deals. And when we do that, that will have the intended effect of allowing us to reinvest into higher yielding assets and currently producing.

And so on a net basis for the portfolio to kind of roll forward to a double-digit net ROE, is there a way to think about the timeline for that to happen?

Yeah, I mean, it's a good question. And we talk about that a lot. And it really is a function of market conditions. You know, when we think about areas where we have availability of capital, that's going to come from the things that we mentioned in our prepared remarks, organically, at least, with respect to relevering some of our securitizations where we have the call rights. And so we're constantly looking at those deals to understand what the economic impact of calling those deals are and redeploying that into new investments. So it's really hard to predict, you know, sort of what the timeline is to reposition the portfolio. But that's definitely something that is, you know, top of mind for the balance of 2025.

Okay, great. Actually, and then just switching over to book value, can you just talk about sort of the book value roll forward this quarter, just the, you know, the drivers of the change?

Yeah, I mean, again, this is Jack. I mean, the book value change was somewhat nuanced. A lot of it was driven by the steepening of the year, the yield curve in December, where, I mean, we saw a bigger, well, typically, the loans and our securitized debt, they move in somewhat, they're somewhat correlated. But as we saw the longer end of the curve rise in December, in particular, relative to the short end, then credit spreads tightened, that had the effect of having a disproportionate impact on the value of our loans relative to our securitized debt. And one thing that is interesting to look at, you know, and how you can see that the fourth quarter was somewhat nuanced, is if you look at the change in value with respect to the loans versus the securitized debt for the entire year, I think there was a $6 million overall difference, something like that, where the loan value increased by $6 million relative to securitized debt. So we do view that as somewhat of an anomaly. But if you think about our balance sheet and our investment portfolio, it really is all driven by, you know, changes in value of the loans versus securitized debt in large part.

Okay. Okay, great. Thank you.

Thank you. The next question is coming from Doug Harder of UPS. Please go ahead.

Thanks. You talked a little bit about the potential to add MSR. Can you just talk about the thoughts around potentially adding other hedges that might look to dampen book value volatility, or, you know, your comfort with kind of accepting that volatility currently?

Yeah, good question. So if you think about our strategy, our strategy is really focused on buying residential loans and securitizing them in non-recourse term financing structures. Those term financing structures allow us to effectively lock in our net interest margin and our dividend paying ability, as long as the loans are in those financing structures. So, you know, that allows us to isolate credit risk and focus on the things that, you know, we believe are our core competency. So our hedging strategy up to this point has been focused on, you know, the floating rate liabilities, the repo that we have on where we retain, where we finance some of our non-agency securities or some of the retained portions of our securitizations. So if you look at all of our hedges, they really have been focused on, you know, further locking in our earnings and dividend paying ability. So I think just as we sit here today, the volatility as a buy and hold investor, you know, we have taken the position that, you know, we're accepting the risk of the book value volatility. However, as it relates to hedging with derivatives, now the MSR strategy, as you pointed out, that is a portfolio construction element that we see as being very important to add to our portfolio in an effort to stabilize book value. But instead of doing it with the or earnings diluting derivative hedge, we're able to do that with a cash flowing asset yielding allocation to the overall portfolio.

I think it's just on the buy and hold strategy, as you mentioned, you lever the subordinates of the retained pieces. You know, is there mark to market risk on those retained pieces, you know, that need to be hedged or are those all in non-marked market facilities?

Yeah, that's a great question. So it's a combination. I think we provide that in some of our materials. The recourse financing that we have on our non-agency and agency as well as our retained pieces do have, I want to say about half of it is mark to market and PGAW and RISDEC. Yeah, so I guess the quick answer is some of it is mark to market, some of it is non-mark to market. The big push that we have made over the course of the last year and continue to do so is to continue to put the less liquid retained portions of these securitizations into non-mark to market and even fixed rate facilities.

Okay, thank you.

Thank you. The next question is coming from Eric Hagan of BTIG. Please go ahead.

Hey, thanks. Good morning. Good to hear from you guys. During the quarter in response to the increase in interest rates, did you receive a margin call and can you share how much cash or liquidity you posted for that margin call?

So, hi, this is Phil. So, you know, we received some margin calls. They were really immaterial. You know, that's nothing that significant.

Okay. Maybe just turn into like conditions in the securitization market. Can you maybe share how you guys are thinking about the flow of capital in response to changing expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates?

Yeah, I mean, you can see credit spreads have been tightening, you know, over the course of 2024 as well as coming into 2025. So, from our perspective, we take all of that into account as part of the economic analysis that we go through as we're looking to exercise our call rights and seek to pull capital out and redeploy it. So, you know, through yesterday, that was, you know, something that we thought was favorable conditions, continues to be good demand throughout the capital structure, especially down at the bottom end of the capital structure just in the last deal that we did our first deal of 2025 that we talked about. You know, there was strong demand. I think that was the first time we've sold down to a double B in history.

Okay. Thanks for the call. I appreciate you guys.

Thank you. The next question is coming from Trevor Crabston of CitizensJMP. Please go ahead.

Hey, thanks. Good morning. You mentioned adding MSR as a new asset class to help, you know, partially help hedge some of the book value volatility. Can you elaborate a little bit on, you know, what kind of MSRs you guys are potentially looking at, you know, if it's like current coupon type of product or if it's a little bit more seasoned lower coupon? And maybe also just provide some color on sort of how much approximate capital you'd be looking to deploy into that asset class over the next year or so. Thanks.

Yeah, sure. I mean, I start in reverse order here. From an allocation perspective, you know, it is really hard to say. I mean, we do have sort of our internal model portfolio, but sort of getting to that model portfolio is a function of a whole host of things, including market conditions, you know, how much capital we're able to pull out from, you know, the re-securitizations and re-levers that we're doing. So, you know, it's hard to give definitive answer. I will say that we are laser focused on, you know, moving in that direction. So, you know, more to come there over the course of 2025. Just MSRs as an asset class, where we see value. I mean, we like the MSR for a couple of different reasons. One, we are really seeking to make purposeful allocations within the portfolio. So it's not just let's look at whatever trade is in front of us at any point in time. It's really thinking about portfolio construction. How do we want this portfolio to look over the next two, three, four, five years? And MSRs are a core component of that. You know, in order to get the most bang for the buck, if you will, from the negative duration attributes of an MSR, you know, obviously buying at the money coupons are going to have a more, you know, substantive effect versus out of the money. But we also have to look at things from a relative value perspective. So, you know, the lower coupons that have, you know, less prepayment volatility, you know, those can, you know, at this point in time, have some attractive, attractive relative value characteristics, just because I think a lot of the market and folks are looking at that current coupon as having more of a recapture component to it. And there's value there for a lot of these originators. So we'll look across the coupon stack at MSRs and see where relative value is. But when we think about it, we're really putting it in the context of what is the duration offset? How is it going to stabilize the overall portfolio? So if we, I guess I'll just end with this. We did more current coupons, we could have less of an allocation. If we had a lower coupon portfolio, we would have to allocate more equity capital in order for it to achieve our objectives.

Got it. Okay, that's helpful. Nick, could you guys maybe talk a little bit about your thoughts around, you know, the likelihood of GSE reform and, you know, what kind of opportunities that could present for Chimera if that were to end up happening? Thanks.

Yeah, I mean, that's a tough one. I guess when we think about it and we talk about it in our investment committee, I mean, you kind of have to start with what are the administration's stated priorities. They seem to include, you know, tariffs and trade policy, immigration, border security, government efficiency. You know, the question is, how much does GSE privatization sort of fall into that third bucket of government efficiency? I mean, you know, I guess the last week, probably, I think the new HUD secretary has come out and made comments about GSE privatization. So, you know, whether it's going to be top of mind or not is hard to say. I think from our perspective, you know, one thing that seems to be clear and a bit of a consensus is that we do not want to, the policymakers do not want to do anything that is going to negatively impact or disrupt the housing finance market. And it sounds like that this is going to be, you know, if we do go down the path of privatization, it's likely to be a long process. It will be one that we'll see to ensure that it doesn't have a and it will likely focus on, you know, core objectives of the agencies which is to promote, you know, opportunities for increasing home ownership. From our perspective, if we had to, like, you know, sort of guess, if you will, like, what could be some of the possible, you know, opportunities perhaps or even risks? I mean, I guess as we seek to build our agency MBS portfolio, you know, so much of the market today is driven by, you know, headlines of the day. And as, you know, headlines come out that could present opportunities for us to sort of leg in to agencies when the headlines, you know, call spreads to widen. You know, the other element is, you know, if the, they do move towards privatization, then one eventuality could be a scenario where they do focus more on some of the core products and that could move some of the more non-core products into the non-agency space. Beyond that, you know, it's really anybody's guess, I would say.

Yeah, fair enough. Okay, thank you.

Thank you. At this time, I'd like to turn the floor back over to Mr. Cardas for closing comments.

I'd like to thank everyone for participating in our fourth quarter of 2024 earnings call. When I look forward to speaking to you on our 2025 first quarter earnings call. Thank you again.

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation. This concludes today's event. You may disconnect your lines or log off the webcast at this time and enjoy the rest of your day.