Colgate-Palmolive Company

Q2 2020 Earnings Conference Call

7/31/2020

spk01: Good day and welcome to the Colgate-Palmolive Second Quarter 2020 earnings conference call. The call is being recorded and is being broadcasted live at .colgatepalmolive.com. Now for opening remarks, I'd like to bring this call over to Chief Investor Relations Officer, John Fauché. Go ahead.
spk12: Thanks, Savannah. Good morning and welcome to our Second Quarter earnings release conference call. This is John Fauché, Chief Investor Relations Officer. Today's conference call will include forward-looking statements. Actual results could differ materially from these statements. Please refer to the earnings press release and our most recent filings with the SEC, including our 2019 annual report on Form 10K and subsequent SEC filings, all available on Colgate's website, for discussion of the factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these statements. This conference call will also include a discussion of non-GAAP financial measures, including those identified in Tables 8 and 9 of the earnings press release. A full reconciliation to the corresponding GAAP financial measures is included in the earnings press release and is available on Colgate's website. Joining me on the call this morning are Noel Wallace, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, and Henny Jakobson, Chief Financial Officer. I will discuss our Q2 performance and for his thoughts on our results and the current operating environment. We will then open it up for Q&A. As usual, we request that you limit yourself to one question so that as many people as possible get to ask a question. If you have further questions, you are welcome to re-enter the queue. We are pleased with our Second Quarter performance as we delivered growth in net sales, organic sales, operating profit, earnings per share, and cash flow in Q2 2020, despite headwinds from foreign exchange, a worsening global economy, and impacts from the COVID-19 pandemic around the globe. We delivered growth in five of our six divisions, with Europe down slightly as consumers worked down some of the extra pantry inventory they purchased in the first quarter. Our gross profit margin was .8% on both a GAAP and a base business basis. On a GAAP basis, this was up 110 basis points year over year. On a base business basis, our gross profit margin for the quarter was up 120 basis points, our best year over year performance in several years. For the second quarter, pricing was 130 basis points favorable to gross margin, while raw materials were a 230 basis point headwind, primarily driven by the transactional impact from foreign exchange. Productivity added 220 basis points. On a GAAP basis, our SG&A was up 40 basis points as a percent of sales. On a base business basis, our SG&A was up 60 basis points in the quarter on a percent of sales basis, driven by a 50 basis point increase in advertising to sales, as our advertising spending was up 6% year over year on an absolute basis, and by an increase in logistics costs as we worked to meet heightened demand due COVID-19. Excluding logistics, our overheads were down slightly as a percent of sales, despite the FX headwinds in the quarter. On a GAAP basis, our operating profit was up 7% year over year, while it was up 2% on a base business basis. Our ETS was up 9% on a GAAP basis, and up 3% on a base business basis. We delivered strong free cash flow growth in the quarter, up 67% year over year, due primarily to favorable working capital performance, particularly in accounts receivable, net income growth, and the timing of income tax payments. Year to date, our free cash flow is up almost 50%. A few comments on our divisional performance now. North America delivered strong growth in the quarter, aided by increased demand across toothpaste, personal care, and home care. As with Q1, growth was led by those categories where we believe we have seen sustained changes in consumer behavior, liquid hand soap, hand dish soap, and household cleaners. The performance of optic white renewal helped drive strong growth in toothpaste in the quarter, with share improvement for the optic white franchise. Latin American net sales were down .5% in the quarter, as strong pricing growth was offset by significant foreign exchange headwinds and a mid single digit volume decline. Our team in Latin America has responded well to the crisis, working to keep our team safe despite rising cases of COVID-19 in many markets, implementing pricing to offset foreign exchange movements, and adapting promotional programs. While we were pleased with our pricing performance, and the gross profit margin expansion has helped deliver, our volumes were down. We expect the balance will improve in the second half of the year, driven by innovation, increased marketing spending, and a return to a more normalized promotional cadence. Organic sales growth was strong in Brazil despite a very difficult operating environment. Europe delivered mid single digit net sales growth in the quarter, as the inclusion of salorga more than offset the impact of foreign exchange and a modest organic volume decline. Consumers in Europe began their pantry destocking during the quarter, and this led to category softness across many of our categories, although liquid hand soap, dish soap, and bleach remained bland. We plan for this weakness in Q2, and have shifted our marketing plan to take advantage of what we expect to be improved category growth in the second half of the year, as we believe consumers are well along in this destocking process. Net sales were down 3% in Asia Pacific, with volume declines and negative foreign exchange partially offset by higher pricing, as the division returned to modest organic sales growth in the quarter. China returned to growth in the second quarter, and continues to improve, as e-commerce drives significant growth. While our net sales and organic sales in India were in the quarter, trends have improved since the nationwide shutdown that negatively impacted March and April. There is still some disruption to the retail networks, consistent with what you have heard from other companies. In Africa and Eurasia, net sales were down in the quarter, as foreign exchange more than offset low single digit organic sales growth, with strong performance in South Africa, which was driven by volume growth. We took pricing in many markets, including Russia, to offset the foreign exchange headwind. Growth at Hills remains strong, driven by a combination of underlying category growth, market share gains due to the Hill Science Diet relaunch, e-commerce strength, and a rebuild of retail inventories following a very strong first quarter. Once again, Hills e-commerce business grew more than 50% in the quarter. As we said in the press release, due to the continued uncertainty surrounding the potential business impacts from COVID-19 and the related macroeconomic volatility, we are not providing guidance. However, as we did on the first quarter call, we want to provide some context around certain factors that you should consider as you work on your models for 2020. We believe the consumption for certain of our categories, like liquid hand soap, dish soap, bar soap, and household cleaners remains elevated, and that this should continue going forward. In other categories, like toothpaste and pet nutrition, we believe that consumption rates are stable, and that some of the first half growth that resulted in increased pantry inventory may need to reverse in certain geographies in the back half of the year. As we mentioned in the press release, we still expect foreign exchange to have a negative mid-single digit impact on net sales for the full year. Based on current spot rates, we would expect the impact to be at the low end of that range. We continue to expect our tax rates to be in the range of 21 to 22% on a gap basis. On a base business basis, we continue to expect our tax rates to be in the range of 23.5 to 24.5. We continue to plan for less benefit from share repurchase in the year, as we focus more of our cash flow on reducing the debt from the Folorga and Hello transactions. While we pause share repurchases under our repurchase program in the second quarter, our full year share repurchase plans have not changed. And now, I'll turn it over to Noel.
spk06: Thanks, John, and good morning, everyone. Let me start by saying I hope everyone is staying safe and healthy despite the challenging circumstances. I thought I'd start off by giving a couple thoughts on the quarter, and then I'll provide you a quick update on where we stand relative to the focus areas that we laid out on the Q1 call. So, good quarter. We continue to deliver in what I would say a very difficult operating environment in the second quarter. Despite the uncertainty around COVID, which is quite substantial, particularly including the accelerated case rates that we're seeing in many of our largest markets, and the impact that John mentioned, the economic activity that we're seeing around the world, we delivered very strong organic sales growth above our long-term target of 3 to 5%. Importantly, strong growth margin expansion. You saw that obviously delivered through strong funding the growth and productivity measures and some really good pricing that was broad-based across our categories and geographies. That allowed us to increase advertising, which has been a consistent theme for us over the last couple quarters, and importantly, expand our operating margins in the end. And again, and that's despite dealing with significant headwinds on foreign exchange, particularly in Latin America, you saw the foreign exchange hit was around 6%. Unfortunately, the headwinds from the crisis, we see them continuing and the rising number of COVID cases, particularly in some of our key markets means that the possibility of a larger disruption will continue to exist, whether it be by the virus itself or what we've seen in some markets, government actions to stem the virus, and those continue to be quite elevated, and that remains our number one concern as we look at the back half of the year. That said, underlying demand for our products remain solid, particularly in certain categories like liquid hand soap and dish, bar and cleaners, those with a health and hygiene orientation to them where we compete quite successfully across the world. We're delivering premium innovation in the quarter as well. Here, let me talk a little bit about the success of Optic White Renewal, which is our highest price point toothpaste here in the US. It's been a great success. We continue to focus on high growth channels. We've had substantive growth in our e-commerce business and some of our discounters and club business as well, and we're obviously dealing with a digital environment where consumers aren't leaving homes and quite successful in how we're delivering content in our advertising. That's consistent with the strategy that we've been discussing for the last 18 months, that strategy about focusing on our core business, a strategy focused on adjacencies, particularly in the premium side of the business, and a strategy that's focused on truly elevating our participation in faster growing growth channels like e-commerce. That's what's enabling us, as you've seen, to deliver consistent, top-line growth, which is absolutely necessary for the long-term health of our business. We're delivering net growth, which is broad-based across our categories and broad-based across geographies, and we need to do that with volume and pricing consistently throughout the year. It's that broad-based organic sales growth that allows us to expand the gross margin. We've been particularly focused on that this quarter, doing that despite the significant headwinds that we've seen from foreign exchange and the headwinds we've seen from mixed, particularly the mix on some of the categories that are elevated in the quarter. That's allowed us to expand our gross profit pool, and this allowed us to both fund increases in marketing, spending, and capabilities, and deliver the marketing, excuse me, the operating margin expansion to drive the EPS growth. So that's the quarter. So I thought I'd now spend the rest of my opening comments around the balance of 2020 and looking a bit more into 2021. So let me come back to the three focus areas we discussed in the first quarter call. And they were staying true to our values and purpose, which is going to help us navigate through this environment, how we as a company are adapting a strategy that we have been consistently deploying for the better part of 18 months, and how we're executing that strategy with more agility, and that's been a capability that we've integrated across the company, and how we're managing through the crisis with an eye importantly towards the future. And I'm most pleased, quite frankly, with how the company's dealing with the short-term issues that come weekly around the crisis, but more importantly, very focused on ensuring that the long-term health of the business and how we deploy our strategy over the next year or two is being executed. So let me start with how we're staying true to our values and how that's helping us navigate through the challenges of this environment. Our number one priority, as you've heard, continues to be the health and safety of our employees. We continue to enforce home policies across the board where possible, although some of our offices have began to open up. Our global supply chain team has delivered remarkably well, given the volatility they've seen and spikes of demand for our products and the challenges with suppliers all over the world. We're sustaining our manufacturing capacity, in many cases elevating that, and we're dealing with increased demand of products that have been tested in certain categories and doing that exceedingly well. And importantly, coming back to values and purposes is making sure that we're giving back to the communities that we serve. Through our hashtag Safe Hands program that we talked about in the first quarter, a partnership with the World Health Organization, we've distributed free bars of hand soap to over 28 different countries now to promote hand washing techniques, which is obviously the first line of defense in fighting COVID-19, and our teams are extraordinarily proud of the efforts that we put in place in that regard. The second focus area is how we're adapting our strategy and executing with agility. The current strategy I've outlined is working core adjacencies, faster growth channels. We've seen consistent performance across our categories and geographies against that strategy, but we realize in the current environment that we need to continue to be agile and we need to adapt our marketing strategies where necessary. For example, you've seen the continued success we've had on our Hills business. We've been partnering with some of our lead pet specialty retailers. We're moving money from in-store promotions to digital content to help elevate not only the brand itself across all e-commerce platforms, but to drive foot traffic back into their stores. That's helped us obviously drive shares during the quarter and continue to have very successful growth on the e-commerce business for the Hills category. As we look at the back half, we're obviously getting much more data as we build our digital capabilities. We're using that to supplement our RGM efforts. You saw significant pricing in the quarter and I'm very pleased with how the team has really brought on RGM tactics and using data and analytics to drive pricing. We'll use that as we think about redeploying more money in the back half into a motion environment that will likely be more competitive. All consistent with the strategy that we've talked about and enabling us to obviously deliver the balanced growth that you've seen. Let me move on to the third area of focus, managing through the crisis with an eye towards the future. Obviously, we want to emerge from this stronger than we went in. We'll continue to invest quite aggressively in the back half of this year. We've got strong plans both on above the line advertising as well as in-store promotions in the back half. That will complement a good innovation grid that we've adjusted to deal with the current behaviors that we're seeing in the market. We'll be particularly focused on digital, which has helped obviously drive another very successful quarter of e-commerce, which you heard John say up 50% in the quarter driven by Hills, but more 200% in the quarter. Again, very successful, not only driving top line growth in that RE, but driving share growth as well. As I mentioned on the last quarter, productivity will continue to be key for us. Our funding to growth over delivered in the quarter for us. We continue to offset some of the incremental costs we've seen from COVID. So far, so good. Productivity is the never ending journey for us and will continue to be a key focus as we move forward. So those are our priorities. And although there's tremendous amount of uncertainty right now, I'm confident that we have the right priorities, the right strategies, and most importantly, an incredibly engaged organization deploying and executing the strategy to navigate through this crisis and ultimately emerge stronger on the other side. So with that, I'll open it up to questions.
spk01: Today's question and answer session will be conducted electronically for the telephone audience. If you would like to ask a question, you may do so by pressing the star or asterisk key followed by the digit one on your touchtone telephone. We also ask that if you are listening to the conference on the internet, that you please turn down the volume on your computer speakers when asking a question. Again, if you would like to ask a question, please press star one. And we will take our first question from Dara Mohensian from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
spk03: Hi guys. Hope all is well. corporate pricing number really accelerated in the quarter. The three and a half percent level was the best we've seen in recent history. Was that more related to sustainable price increases or the RGM efforts that you guys mentioned that have been put in place, particularly in emerging markets, which look like it drove the pricing? Or was it more variances specific to the quarter such as promotional spending, etc. that you guys mentioned? And how sustainable are the drivers behind this pricing strengthen quarter as you look going forward? And perhaps you can just talk about the mandalessicity in emerging markets from that pricing. Thanks.
spk06: Yeah, thanks, Dara. So, you know, obviously, as we were coming out of the first quarter, we talked about the significant headwinds we were seeing around foreign exchange, particularly in some of the emerging markets. And as you've seen consistently over the years, our teams on the ground look to recover the transactional impact of those foreign exchange very, very quickly and get that pricing into the P&L. You saw it obviously manifest itself through the pricing across the company largely driven by emerging markets where we saw most of the foreign exchange headwinds. So really pleased the fact that the teams got ahead of this in the quarter in the sense that we now have the ability to use that pricing that we have in the P&L to obviously continue to drive gross margins moving forward. But if necessary, invest in the business in the back half. And that gives us maximum flexibility, which is what we were looking for going into the third quarter. There was some pullback in promotions in the quarter. Obviously, we were very disciplined. We had traffic was down and certain REs around the world, lockdowns in some markets, we naturally pulled back with the discipline to ensure that we could move that money into the back half of the year or those promotional slots to elevate the volume that we're looking for in the back half. So we believe it's sustainable. We obviously took the pricing early. That gives us the most, the best ability to control that moving forward. And we intend to obviously, as I said, spend in the back half, but we're comfortable with where we are in terms of our ability to manage them before an exchange volatility that we've seen.
spk01: And our next question will come from Wendy Nicholson with Citi. Please go ahead. Hi.
spk08: Hi, good morning. Could you talk a little bit more about gross margin? Because I know you called that out as a specific area of focus in the second quarter, but I'm trying to get a sense of how much of the improvement you just mentioned, the reduction in promotional spending, how much of it was sort of structural funding to grow cost savings that we should think are here to stay versus sort of short-term crisis management type benefits. Thanks.
spk06: Sure. Well, you obviously saw significant transaction moving through. And despite that, we were able to recover that with strong pricing in the quarter. And again, we saw elevated price, elevated foreign exchange headwinds coming out of the first quarter and very much elevated as we went into April. And that allowed us to take the pricing early in the quarter and get the full benefit of the pricing as we went through the quarter. Likewise, our funding to growth and productivity efforts have been very, very strong. I think certainly as we've stepped back and managed the complexities associated with the disruptions we've seen on the supply chain, some of the portfolio changes we've made, obviously the leverage that we're seeing coming through the P&L, all of that has assisted us to drive more efficiency through our plants and get that delivered on the gross margin line. So overall, we felt very good about where the gross profit was. Obviously, the pricing early in the quarter helped and the funding, the growth that came through the balance of the quarter likewise helped. But again, as I mentioned to Dara, Wendy, we obviously were very selective in where we were spending money at the promotional line in the quarter. We did pull back in some areas as we didn't see the ROI there that we would have expected given the foot traffic down, was down. As we see foot traffic come back in the back half of the year, we have full intentions to ensure that we are competitive and we continue to drive volume in the year to go.
spk01: And next we will hear from Andrea Teccera from JPMorgan. Please go ahead.
spk09: Yeah, I thank you and hope all is well. No, if you can comment a bit on the supply chain in terms of like how much of your capacity could increase over the quarter and then the stock out themselves, if you are now being able to shift to consumption, if you can take us around the world, that would be great. Thank you.
spk06: Sure. In general, obviously as I had in my upfront comment, the supply chain is performed exceedingly well. The demand in some of our categories has been significant, levels that we've never seen before that forced our teams very early on to look at how we simplify and optimize our portfolios in order to drive throughput in our factories. I think that's been received by our trade partners in order to ensure that we improve our case fill numbers with them. That being said, we still have some categories where we're not meeting demand. Liquid hand soap would be one of those. The demand is in excess of our capacity. We brought on capacity through contractors. Obviously, we saw some of the impact of that in the US at the margin but that's allowed us to deliver against the service levels that our retail partners are expecting. We're in the midst of obviously looking at how we put more capital into certain of our facilities because we see some of these categories will have elevated demand. We've done some very innovative things relative to our packaging that's allowed us to use other lines for specific categories that were not used before that would allow different types of packaging to move through the category that also elevated our demand. Right now, on a top line basis, we're meeting pretty much all of our demand with exception of a couple of categories. Liquid hand soap would be one. Dish soap would be another where we're still trying to catch up and we anticipate that we'll see that come to fruition in the back half of this year as we bring on more capacity and deal more efficiently with some of our contractors.
spk11: Thank you.
spk01: Our next question will come from Olivia Tong with Bank of America. Please go ahead.
spk10: Thanks. Good morning. Thank you. Good morning. Hope everyone's well. Two questions. First, if you could just talk through growth across the categories rather than the reasons if you could put a little bit of numbers behind that. Then one topic more specific to emerging markets and particularly Latin America is just recession. Obviously, the volume numbers have come in but pricing has gone up pretty dramatically. If you could just talk about what you think your categories are growing at underlying and your ability to manage through any potential downshifting in macros. Thanks so much.
spk06: Sure. Thanks, Olivia. Broad-based categories in aggregate are up versus a year ago, obviously driven by the significant demand of some of the health and hygiene products and the categories in which we compete. We've seen real gyrations in the categories, so to speak, as we've gone through the year. Some categories, we saw the pantry loading in the first quarter. Things like oral care where we saw significant spikes that have come out in the second quarter and we anticipate will continue to come out in the back half of the year. But overall, if you take it on a -to-date basis, most of the categories continue to be obviously up. We've seen elevated demand in the categories that we highlighted, liquid hand soap, bar soaps, cleaners and dish. We anticipate that most of that demand will continue, quite frankly, as behavior has changed and people work from home, which obviously aids in the consumption of our products. We'll continue to see that through the back half of the year. Relative to specifically oral care across the board, we've seen good numbers on oral care in an aggregate basis. Again, largely driven by the first quarter, slowed in the second quarter, particularly driven by LATAM and some of the pricing that we took. But we see that starting to improve as we went through the quarter and anticipate with the activity that we're bringing to the market, particularly in toothpaste in the back half, that we'll continue to see good demand. Relative to LATAM specifically, we've gone through many, many recessions in LATAM. Our teams are very well prepared for this. Some of the models we've used, let's get out in front with pricing, which we've done in the quarter. That gives us the maximum flexibility as we move in through tougher environments. We have, as you know, a very competitive portfolio of products where we have a very high level of innovation. We have a very high level of innovation. We have a very high that we can innovate across price points, particularly in LATAM. If you break our toothpaste business down between premium, mid-price and value, we do 50% of our business in mid-price, another 25 in value. As we've talked, we have real opportunities in the premium and particularly the super premium side. But as consumers move into a recession, we're very well positioned for that environment given the view of our portfolio. As we mentioned, inherent to our strategy is continuing to innovate behind our big core businesses. We have some big core innovations coming in the next 12 months. We think we're well prepared to handle the recession. We'll see how deep it is. Obviously, the circumstances that we're dealing with around the spread of the virus, particularly in LATAM, is concerning and gives us pause relative to being cautious as we see the categories evolve over the next 6 to 12 months. We'll watch that very carefully, but we're prepared to deal with it as it comes.
spk01: Next, we will hear from Jason English with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
spk14: Hey, good morning, folks. Congratulations on strong results. No, I think your response to the last question I heard you mention that throughout the quarter's trends, at least in toothpaste or oral care in Latin America, we're improving. I was hoping you could put a little more teeth on that comment. It's very easy to give some quantification or specificity on how your overall business was performing in Latin America month on month and maybe how it's tracking as you exit the quarter or so far in July. If possible, I'd love to hear the same type of figures for your developing markets overall.
spk06: Great. I'm not sure I understood the first, Jason. I think it was around the volume comment, pricing comment for LATAM. Let me just talk in broad strokes, LATAM for the quarter and hopefully I'll address most of your questions. By and large, a really good quarter for LATAM despite the fact that they face significant issues and disruptions. When I say disruptions, you had a large part of the mom and pop trade in certain countries completely shut down, big department stores, traffic was shut down. As a result of that, you saw the shopping occasions decline in the quarter. Despite that, the team delivered across the board. Shares were good across our categories in which we compete. As I mentioned earlier, they got the pricing. The pricing was significant in the quarter and there's no question when you take that level of pricing and you couple that with the disruptions you're seeing in the marketplace relative to retail environments being closed, you're going to see some volume fall off and that's exactly what happened. As we moved through the quarter, we started to see a bit more traffic coming back into the stores and we anticipate that we'll start to continue to see that in the back half of the year. That being said, you read the same press that we read that obviously the virus, the rates of infection continue to accelerate, particularly in big markets like Brazil. We need to be very mindful on the implications and the decisions governments may take to continue to contain that moving forward. That usually involves mobility and the availability of people to get back into stores. Overall, LATAM shares good. Volume a little soft, but understandably given the issues that we saw around mobility in stores and likewise strong pricing that we took. But we'll see strong investment in LATAM in the back half of the year, both on the advertising line to support a good innovation grid and likewise discipline on the promotion line to ensure that we're getting the right return on investment there.
spk01: Our next question will come from Steve Powers with Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.
spk05: Thanks. Good morning. Maybe going back to some of the topics you were discussing with Garrett and Wendy at the start, but coming out from a slightly different perspective, if I step back and just look at the competition of your P&L through the first half, it's very healthy despite all the volatility. Gross margins solidly above 60% with A&P investments running at about .5% of sales.
spk04: Can you talk
spk05: about some of the key enablers there? And is there any notable reason to think that that general composition changes meaningfully in the back half? Because listening to you so far, I'm not sure I see one, but I just want to test my thinking on that.
spk06: Sure. Again, let's come back to the strategy that we've been deploying, focusing on core innovation. That's a big part of our portfolio. And as we focus on core innovation, we take pricing. That's obviously, you see that translating through the P&L. We have been quite disciplined in getting out ahead of foreign exchange, particularly in some big markets that obviously delivered in the quarter through the gross margin expansion that we've seen. The channel expansion that we've seen has been significant. I mean, we've had significant growth both on e-commerce and some of the untracked channels that we don't talk a lot about, clubs and discounters. And that, again, is consistent with the strategy that we've been deploying for the last 18 months. And quite frankly, the whole challenge behind COVID has been a catalyst for executing our strategy. And we talk about adjacencies being the third vertical for us. And we've been aggressive in getting adjacencies into the market very quickly throughout the crisis. As we saw behavior change, we put more antibacterial products in the market. We put more health-oriented and hygiene-oriented products into the market. And again, I think that level of agility that we've demonstrated is all of that is between core adjacencies and channels. It's helped obviously prop up the organic growth and get more consistent, balanced growth, volume and pricing, as well as delivering the gross margin, which allows us to invest in the categories. That being said, we do anticipate the back half to be competitive. I think as more and more markets slowly open up. And again, I say that with the caveat that things can change very quickly there. But as they open up, I anticipate that we'll see more investments going back in stores. And hence, the reason why we wanted to get out in front of that with pricing in the quarter. And as John mentioned in his upfront comments, we have increased advertising in the back half to deal with that and to continue to build momentum. So that's how we're looking at things. But it's challenging to be sure. The uncertainty that we see coming out of some of the large markets, the volatility that we see in categories, and the immediacy that governments are taking sometimes to contain the virus has implications. And we have to deal with those. So we remain cautious as well, relative to how we see things unfolding.
spk01: Our next question will come from Lauren Lieberman with Barclays. Please go ahead.
spk11: Great. Thanks. Good morning. So I wanted to talk a little bit about cost beyond, you know, you already talked a bit about the productivity. But in general, last year, you talked more about executing with agility and so on. And we've talked about quite a bit on the revenue front. But I was wondering, as you've navigated the first few months of this crisis, things that maybe you have uncovered in the way that you operate, the way you're structured, where cost resides in the P&L and the new organization, outside of the CUNY kind of thing. But are there areas that you're finding that maybe are ripe for some further efficiency so that the CUNY stronger applies to cost structure, not just top line? Thanks.
spk06: Sure. Thanks, Lauren. So a couple areas. Obviously, we've been talking productivity beyond just the success we've had with funding to growth over the years. And as an organization, culturally, we've really opened up all line items now to think about productivity very differently. And so, you know, beyond just the typical cost structure of our products, which we do exceedingly well, we're now interrogating all areas of the business. And quite frankly, as we've come into the crisis, it's opened our eyes to opportunities that we can go after and inefficiencies that we have throughout the income statement. So let me talk about a couple of those. Obvious ones you would expect. Obviously, our travel budgets with operating in 200 countries around the world were significant. And the digital transformation that we've been under in connecting everyone digitally and our ability to day one move to a virtual workforce have allowed us to obviously save substantive amounts of money on the travel side. And there's no question that behavior and some of what we've learned will continue to deliver a savings force moving forward and will change how we think about that. There's no better way than to learn the pulse of the business than being on the ground. And that's a big part of who we are as a company. But we've learned to use virtual tools in a very different way, whether it's technology that we have in our plants, where we don't have to send maintenance people to the plants anymore, that they can work through different systems to see what's going on in a plant virtually and address issues from thousands of miles away versus getting on an airplane to having business review meetings with teams. So we're getting better and better of that. And I think that behavior will continue. Portfolio. Obviously, going into this, we always have a long tail. And we've had this strategy that we've been executing for the last couple years on cutting the tail. And as we went into the crisis, obviously cutting the tail became essential in order to meet the demand. And that has allowed the throughput and the efficiencies and the case bill in our plants to grow quite significantly. And there's a lot of learning there. Now we have cut some SKUs that have very select and unique consumers that we need to look to how we ultimately optimize moving forward. But I do not anticipate that we'll get back to the full breadth of the portfolio that we had before as we work with the trade to truly optimize it. And then secondly, I think what we've learned a lot is how do you manage an omni-channel environment and do that in an effective way that allows us to map the consumer journey, understand where those unique consumers are, and if they're unique and they're stopping online, perhaps we expand the tail online versus doing it through the brick and mortar shelf. And we've learned to leverage that more effectively as we move forward. The other area would certainly be on looking at the overall cost structures of our offices and what we're doing around the world and making sure that we think about them differently in the long term to ensure that we maximize effectiveness of our teams on the ground. And we're looking at the cost in a way that we have an opportunity to potentially generate some savings there. And then the last is obviously elevating funding the growth. And as we look at our products and our innovation strategy, we're looking at more platform ideas, Lauren, across the board where we're getting more synergies with respect to our formulation development and using that more successfully on a global platform. The last would be a strategy that is now underway being led by our supply chain, which is really looking at the segmentation of our facilities a little bit differently. And that's taking big facilities and making them even more efficient in the long run and looking at how we use other facilities that will become far more agile and flexible to deal with smaller runs, to deal with innovation very differently, to deal with direct consumer brands that we may be incubating and do that in a very cost-effective way. Complementing that with a track manufacturer strategy that might be more efficient. Excuse me. So a multitude of things on the productivity side, Lauren, and I think you'll continue to hear more about that as we move forward.
spk01: Our next question will come from Kevin Grundy with Jeffreese. Please go ahead.
spk13: Great. Thanks. Good morning, everyone. And congratulations on the strong result. Noel, I wanted to pick up on Jason English's line of questioning around the decision, specifically around Latin America, but mine is really around the decision not to reinstitute guidance and the takeaway here for investors. So understanding that LATAM is a bigger portion of your portfolio relative to the peer set, I know it's not lost on you guys that we've seen Kimberly Clark and Procter and Church and Dwight this morning reinstitute the practice. Procter is looking out an entire fiscal year with their guidance. John gave a number of directional guidance points, if you will, strong organic sales growth in the first half of the year, but basically through July. I think the tone on the call here has been pretty positive and it sounds like you guys are going to be resuming share repurchases. So that's all a big windup here. How much do you guys deliberate on this? What are you seeing in July specifically? And is the message here really this is more about conservatism related to the pandemic and probably specifically Latin America as opposed to any sort of sequential weakness in July that the market should be concerned about? Thanks.
spk06: Yeah, thanks Kevin. Let me start with July. We're going to avoid getting into a precedent, despite the fact that I'm very sensitive and understand in the absence of guidance that externally everyone's looking for more and more information. But what we don't want to do is get into every earnings call talking about the month that we're in. I will say that July is coming in as planned. Relative to guidance again, not much to add versus what you have in the print, specifically the unknowns of the unknowns. We've seen anything versus where we were in the first quarter. We've seen the virus unfortunately expand. We've seen case counts accelerate, particularly in some of our larger markets. We see increasingly more disruptions in some of those markets relative to retail closures, at least temporary closures. We've seen consumer behavior modified, which is it manifests its way through significant volatility from week to week in the categories, which makes it very difficult to predict and plan effectively. So with that as a backdrop, we continue to hold our position in regard. We understand moving forward that we would prefer to provide guidance. As we get more and more information and get more confidence in terms of the way we see things moving, we will certainly come back and have that discussion again.
spk01: Next, we will hear from Bill Chappell with SunTrust Robinson Humphrey. Go ahead.
spk04: Hi, this is Grant. I'm for Bill. Thanks for taking my question. I had one on hills and specifically the volume growth. I'm hoping you guys could kind of break that out a little bit more. Is it more consumers coming into the franchise from perhaps a different brand? Are you seeing more consumers adding dogs to their family and their household and they've increased consumption at home? And then kind of looking out going forward, how do you see that growth playing out over the kind of remainder of the year and the next few years with your stepped up investment and kind of the momentum you have going right now? Thank you.
spk06: Great. Thanks, Bill. So hills, another very strong quarter. And again, let's come back to the fundamentals. Great core innovation behind the Science Sight relaunch, which continues to form exceedingly well and is now at the tail end of its global rollout and getting significantly stepped up advertising support behind that. We've seen the adjacencies as we moved into fast growing segments, particularly the wet segment, which has been quite buoyant around the world. And obviously the channel expansion strategy that we've seen that we've executed across the Colgate business and very much was led by the learning that we had coming out of the hills business, their e-commerce business up another 50 percent shares are up. We're getting better and better at understanding that channel, particularly around the digital compliments that come behind that. You saw significant step up in advertising investment in the quarter. We will see that level of spending continue in the back half of the year, specifically behind the following fundamentals. This brand continues to have very, very low brand awareness, three percent as an example in the U.S. So our ability to continue to drive awareness behind the premium aspects of the brand and the science and the biology-based nutrition is a significant growth opportunity for the business. And we've done the advertising has allowed us to expand, get more distribution in our portfolio, obviously look at other rapidly growing channels and drive distribution there and continue to premierize and take pricing where we can. So the volume growth has been a function of obviously the share growth that we've seen, the channel growth that we've seen, the premiumization, which obviously comes through more on pricing. And likewise, you did see a little bit of pantry loading in the first quarter. As consumers were facing a potential lockdown, particularly in North America, we did see some elevated purchases that we saw start to come out in the second quarter. Anticipate that we'll see a little bit more of that come out in the second half. But by and large, the business is pretty solid. Looking longer term, obviously continued strong innovation, particularly behind our prescription diet business. Looking at new digital platforms that we've talked about, the Hills to Home idea, which is allowing vets to provide their pet owners with supply of our product delivered directly to their home. So looking through different innovation ideas, whether it's using digital platforms or innovating across our prescription diet business in the back half and moving into 2021, that will be the key focus for that business moving forward. So again, strong fundamentals behind that business. Pet ownership, you've seen the pet adoption accelerate significantly in the first half of the year. Our estimation is that will slow quite a bit in the back half, but there's no question there are more dogs to be fed. And we're going to do everything we can to ensure that they're feeding them Hills.
spk01: And our next question will come from Mark Astrochan with Seafold.
spk02: Please go ahead. Yeah, thanks. Thanks and good morning, everybody.
spk05: I wanted to
spk02: ask a related question on the guidance and then kind of a related takeaway from that. So I guess I'm still struggling a little bit with why you're not providing guidance. I obviously get the fluidity of what's going on in the world, but what is different that you're seeing or what is more difficult in terms of looking out that give you pause to say, here we are seven months through the year, here's kind of how we see it. And sort of related to that, maybe one of the pieces that we hear from folks most often on the stock and the story is global market share continues to underperform. So are those two somewhat related? Do you have some sort of visibility on where market share begins to improve? I get some of it has to do with translation on foreign exchange that should in theory now start to look better assuming dollar holds where it is. So maybe kind of the first comment to the second point and really kind of how do you think about the market share trends progressing as you move over the next six to 12 months as much as you can provide that would be helpful.
spk06: Thanks, Mark. Let me come back again on the guidance discussion. Not much more to add there, but let me assure the team there is tremendous complexity and volatility week to week based on what's happening with COVID. And you get decisions made in countries, whether it's shutting down borders, you have an incredibly complex supply chain, second and third order derivative effects of implications in one market to another. You've obviously seen the escalation of case counts in big markets for us, namely Brazil, India and Mexico. And all of those are very difficult to predict and they're all kind of intertwined. And when you get the triangulation of those, it creates significant uncertainty relative to how things can unfold. That being said, we're executing against it very well, but I assure you there's a lot of work that goes behind the day to day in making sure that we continue to operate and deal with the circumstances that confront us. And those circumstances make it very difficult to predict exactly which ways things are going to go. So not much more to add on the guidance question. On market shares, overall market shares were okay in the quarter, but we're not that pleased quite frankly. You mentioned the translation impact. That was a big impact on our total shares, obviously with Latam having such strong shares. Their shares were actually up half a share point in the year to date basis, but given the translation impact of those currencies on a global basis, we saw our shares come down. US a little soft in the quarter. I talked a little bit about pulling back on some promotions. We feel comfortable where we are relative to the promotional environment. There was still surprisingly some aggressive couponing going on that we quite frankly didn't follow and that we would like to try to avoid in the future. We don't think that's an effective use of money, but we have the right promotions generated through our revenue growth management efforts that we see ready to go in the back half coupled with strong innovation. I would say that the launch of Optic White renewal in the US has been very, very successful. I mentioned earlier that's our first $7 price point. Hit a two share, 50% of that incremental. It's been the most successful new product launch in the category since the launch of Optic White 10 years ago. So again, I think we're getting great confidence in our ability to premiumize the category. And as we move into a more recessionary environment, as we discussed earlier, we'll have a strong business and a strong core innovation plan to address that. If you look across the other categories, by and large, pretty good share performance. Many of those categories, quite frankly, share driven by demand, your ability to supply the shelves, whether it be liquid hand soap or dish, which we have not necessarily met the demand at this stage and shares suffered a little. But where we're focused and where we're spending our money, we're getting some share growth. We are not pleased, quite frankly, with some of the share performance in the US. But again, we believe that was somewhat circumstantial and we've got strong plans and investment in the back half to change that.
spk01: And our final question will come from Rob Ottenstein with Evercore. Please go ahead.
spk07: Great. Thank you very much. I'm wondering if we can kind of dial back to some of priorities that you had just to kind of get a sense of how you were doing on those as the world changed and specifically from the premiumization efforts outside of the US, the competition against local natural brands in China and India, the expansion of Elnex, Miradel. Basically, if you can kind of retain the foot on the pedal on those, how are you doing and are they still as relevant as before?
spk06: Yeah, thanks, Rob. And good morning. So again, I talked about in many respects the strategy that we had put in place 18 months ago, quite frankly, as we went into the crisis and interrogated it, we felt it was perfectly suited for the behaviors and the dynamics we were seeing in the category. We needed to continue to innovate behind the core business. The adjacencies were there and that allows us to rethink some of our core businesses and how we get into rapidly growing segments, take floor cleaners where we've expanded the portfolio into more hygiene, antibacterial-related products. And likewise, the focus that we were on for quite some time to truly elevate our digital e-commerce business. And you've seen a consistent growth both from a top line performance as well as a share performance in e-commerce. And a lot of that capability is being driven by the success we've had in Hills and obviously ramping up capabilities across the company, both in the digital area as well as the e-commerce space. And we've done that through developing our internal talent as well as bringing in outside talent that we think has been a real boost for the organization to help us think a little bit differently. So strategy working and nothing that we feel we need to change, continue to be agile as we move forward. I think some of the learning we've had on the agility side is that we can innovate much, much faster than we have in the past. And we intend to systemize that as we move forward to make sure that we capture that learning on an ongoing basis. Premiumization has been a big part. I mentioned earlier in the call, we do roughly 50% of our toothpaste business in mid-price, another 25 in value, and the balance in premium. And if you take the premium, the fastest growing part of the market has been the ultra-premium where we have not competed. The launch of Optic White Renewal is an example at $27. Taking that bundle and moving that around the world is an opportunity for us. And I think it's certainly given us confidence, notwithstanding the fact that it is tough to launch premium bundles successful, but given us confidence, we have now a lot of the capabilities necessary to push more aggressively on premium. And we've learned throughout the history, and particularly the last recession, 08, 09, you may recall, Rob, that one of the most successful launches during that was Optic White, and that was an affordable luxury. And we understand that there still is a segment of the market looking for premium value-oriented bundles that provide a significant point of difference, and renewal is one. And so we'll balance that very carefully as we move into a more challenged macro environment. And we'll do that with super-premium innovation in the right markets, as well as continuing to focus on our core. Naturals, your question there. We're excited about our natural strategy. Tom's has got some terrific plans ahead of it. We've, Craig and Dovinsky and Lori and the team from Hello are doing an outstanding job opening our eyes to opportunities in naturals across the category. The Hello brand continued to expand in the US and is delivering nice growth. And I think that category, we know, long term will be very, very beneficial. Consumers continue to be extremely interested in purpose-driven brands, particularly brands with a strong sustainability profile. While the short term in the crisis, we saw a fall off of natural brands. We've seen that category start to rebound, and we expect longer term it will continue to be a healthy growth opportunity for us. Your last comment, I think, was on the LMEX expansion. Again, as we've talked about, we've been very selective with that strategy on where we move LMEX and Meridal into markets with high pharmacy retail environments. And we're doing that very successfully. Brazil was the early launch. A great result coming out of that through the pharmacy expansion time we have there. This is not a short term volume strategy. We want to build a long term therapeutic business in the pharmacy channel and doing that with strong therapeutic brands like LMEX and Meridal. And you're going to see that continue to unfold as we increase investment and continue to build a long term sustainable business for the markets where we expanded that. We'll have a couple more to expand in as we move into 2021. So hopefully that answers your question, Rob. And I guess that brings us to the end. So let me just sum it up. I think overall a quality quarter, but we all recognize we've got more work to do and a lot of challenges still in front of us. I want to thank 36,000 Colgate people around the world who continue to be extraordinarily resilient, well focused on executing our strategy, building new capabilities across the organization, and winning on the ground. And the success of the quarter goes out to them. So thanks everyone and look forward to catching up with everyone soon.
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Q2CL 2020

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