2/20/2025

speaker
Operator
Call Operator

Good morning and thank you very much for your patience. Today we've had a few technical difficulties with the dial-in phone number for today's event. The issue transpired on the end of CISIN, the provider, and we would like to give you phone numbers to dial in today if you do not choose to just listen through today's webcast. Those phone numbers, updated phone numbers are -860-2442. Again that's -860-2442 and alternate number is -858-4600. Thank you very much for your patience once again and we want to welcome you to CORE Natural Resources Inc. Fourth Quarter 2024 earnings conference call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode and should you need assistance once you dial in you may do so by pressing star then zero for the Summons the Operator. After today's presentation there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question at that time you may press star then one on your touchtone phone. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Dex Sloan, Senior Vice President, Strategy. Please proceed.

speaker
Dex Sloan
Senior Vice President, Strategy

Good morning from Canonsburg, Pennsylvania everyone and thanks for joining us today. Before we begin let me remind you that certain statements made during this call including statements relating to our expected future business and financial performance may be considered forward-looking statements according to the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act. Forward-looking statements by their nature address matters that are to different degrees uncertain. These uncertainties which are described in more detail in the annual and quarterly reports that we file with the SEC may cause our actual future results to be materially different than those expressed in our forward-looking statements. We do not undertake to update our forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise except as may be required by law. I would also like to remind you that you can find a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measures that we plan to discuss this morning at the end of our press release, a copy of which we have posted in the Investors section of our website at corenaturalresources.com. Also participating on this morning's call will be Paul Lang, our CEO, Mitesh Thakkar, our President and CFO and Bob Braithwaite, our Senior Vice President of Marketing and Sales. After some formal remarks from Paul and Mitesh, the four of us will be happy to take questions. With that, I'll now turn the call over to Paul. Paul?

speaker
Paul Lang
CEO

Thanks, Dick, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to the inaugural earnings call for Core Natural Resources. This is an exciting time for the team and we're happy you could join us this morning. I'm pleased to report that Core is off to an exceptionally strong start across a wide range of key operating and financial priorities. In the five weeks since the completion of the merger, the Core team has made tremendous progress in integrating the combined operating, marketing and logistics portfolio into a cohesive, high-performing unit, a unit, I might add, that we view as unmatched in the global coal landscape. Adopted a robust capital return framework, heavily weighted towards share repurchases, announced board authorization for $1 billion in share repurchases in support of that framework, taken steps just in the first few weeks to lock in approximately one-third of indicated synergies at the midpoint of guidance, and resumed development work with continuous miners at Lear South nearly two months earlier than originally indicated. Now let's delve a little further into the capital return framework, which is designed to reward shareholders for their strong, ongoing support, and which the board views as central tenet of the company's long-term value proposition. The centerpiece of this framework is to target the return of 75% of free cash flow to shareholders, with the vast majority of that cash directed towards share repurchases complemented by a small sustaining quarterly dividend of 10 cents per share. We expect such purchases to be highly value creating at current valuations. As for the small dividend, the board believes this component will ensure that the widest range of potential investors can participate in the core story, including those who require a dividend. In a strong show of confidence, the board has authorized a total of $1 billion in share repurchases in support of this new framework. I'd now like to spend a few moments on the core team's strong progress right out of the gate in the area of synergy capture. As you might imagine, delivering on the synergy potential of the merger ranks among our highest priorities in the early stages of the integration process. In just a few weeks' time, the team has already executed strategies that are expected to yield synergy-driven value creation of more than $40 million. As a reminder, we're projecting to capture between $110 and $140 million per year in total savings. LaTesh will spend more time on the composition of these early wins, but let me assure you that we plan to remain sharply focused on delivering the previously advertised value in the most expeditious manner possible. At the same time, let me reiterate that we believe there is more synergistic value to be created beyond the initially advertised numbers via the sharing of best practices as just one example. And the team's plan to pursue such incremental opportunities with an equivalent level of intensity as we move forward. Now let's turn to the status of Lear South. As you're aware, the Lear South mine experienced a combustion event right around the time of the merger completion. Although disappointing, the most important aspect of this event was the fact that the Lear South team, in close collaboration with federal and state regulatory officials, prioritized the safety of the workforce in every step they took. On behalf of the board, the entire senior management team, I commend everyone involved for their actions. Once employee safety was assured, the Lear South team moved quickly to the next objective, protecting the long-term viability of the mine. Here too, the team did a tremendous job, taking steps to ensure that the issue remained isolated to a small previously mined area that was 300 to 500 feet behind the longwall face. The success of the operations team's efforts is evident in the currently projected timeline for the resumption of mining activities. On Monday, the Lear South team, again in close collaboration with federal and state regulators, safely re-entered the mine and resumed development work with continuous miners. As you will recall, we had indicated this step could take as long as three months, so accomplishing this milestone in just over a month was clearly a significant step forward in this journey. As for the timing of resuming longwall production, it is standard industry protocol to keep the area where the combustion occurred sealed and inert for a period of time. Even with this waiting period, however, and given the team's successful efforts to seal the affected area, we still fully expect to resume longwall mining by mid-year. It's also important to note that the team has assessed via the deployment of infrared cameras and other remote monitoring activities that the mine's longwall equipment was largely unaffected by the event. Before handing the call to Vitesh, I'd like to now spend a few moments on global coal market dynamics. As indicated, pricing is currently soft in each of our main market segments, which is to say global metallurgical and high-calorie value thermal coals. In fact, both API2 and high-voltaic pricing are near three-year lows. Importantly, however, that softness in the high-voltaic, high-CV thermal market is counterbalanced by Core's already strong committed and priced position, which Vitesh will discuss in more detail shortly. Moreover, the US domestic thermal market, a key secondary outlet for Core, has tightened somewhat in recent weeks in wake of extremely cold temperatures. We estimate that generator stockpiles in the east are approaching target levels and, in select instances, have fallen into the critical zone, particularly at some merchant plants. This recent drawdown is creating opportunities for spot market sales and should translate into a stronger contract season as the year progresses. Even in the Midwest, which is the primary market for our Powder River Basin segment and where stockpiles have perhaps been the most bloated, generators are cycling train sets more rapidly, which has led to healthier shipment levels early in the year. As for coking coal markets, we believe that, despite the current weakness, the long-term market dynamics remain compelling. New blast furnace capacity continues to come online in Southeast Asia. Indian imports of seaborne coking coal were up an estimated 5% in 2024, and Chinese imports of seaborne coking coal increased 17 million tons in 2024, which acted to counterbalance the higher Chinese steel exports. The most significant reason for optimism, however, continues to be the supply side of the equation. Agri-production in three primary supply countries for high-quality seaborne coking coal, Australia, the United States, and Canada, remains around 40 million tons lower in 2024 than at peak a decade ago, despite historically strong pricing across most of that time frame. We expect such supply constraints, which are the function of both underinvestment and degradation and depletion of global reserve base, to support an increasingly positive supply-demand balance over time. Moreover, currently depressed pricing levels are beginning to take a toll on smaller and higher-cost metallurgical producers, which should also precipitate a more constructive market environment down the road. Looking ahead, we're more confident than ever that Core's two world-class complementary operating segments, metallurgical coal and high-colorific thermal coal, create a unique and compelling opportunity for value creation and cash generation in the decades ahead. With its skilled workforce, strategic asset base, low-cost mining operations, expansive logistics network, tremendous synergy potential, and industry-leading sustainability practices, Core is exceptionally well-equipped to capitalize on what we view as highly constructive and durable market environment for our products. With that, I'll now turn the call over to Mitesh for some additional detail on our financial outlook, ongoing progress on synergies, and continued efforts to optimize the value of our high-quality products. Mitesh?

speaker
Mitesh Thakkar
President and CFO

Thank you, Paul, and good morning, everyone. Let me begin by providing an update on our sales book and some of our key marketing priorities followed by our financial and synergy progress. With the macro backdrop that Paul provided, it is very clear that we are in a different market today than we have been throughout the past several years. We believe the diversity and scale of core natural resources allow us to better manage these markets. Throughout the Prepare to Marks, you will hear me reference our future reporting segments, the metallurgical segment, which consists of the Lear, Lear South, Beckley, Montenegro, and Etman locations, the high-CV thermal segment, which includes our Pennsylvania mining complex and the West Elk mine, and our Pardot River Basin segment, which consists of our Black Thunder and Coal Creek mines. We have made strong contracting progress across all segments for 2025. Our goal at core is to create a solid base of revenue through our thermal contracted book while maintaining the potential to capture the upside pricing volatility in the met market. This was one of the main strategic rationales of the merger as it allows us to opportunistically deploy capital in both challenging and robust markets. As we look forward, we have identified three focus areas for the combined product portfolio. First, we expect to further expand the reach of our products. Historically, both the PMC and Lear have been well received by their respective customer bases and now we have an opportunity to cross-sell these products by targeting the specific needs of each customer with a broader product portfolio. For instance, Baileys crossover metallurgical coal has already generated interest amongst current year customers. Similarly, we were recently able to sell some of the Beckley product to a Legacy console customer. Second, we expect to generate revenue uplift by blending different qualities of coal. We have now successfully sold a blend of thermal byproduct from our metallurgical segment with high CVPMC thermal product and expanded the margins by double digits for the thermal byproduct. Third, we plan to optimize the utilization of our logistics assets. This includes operational improvements as well as rerouting of different coal qualities which will allow us to operate more efficiently and when advantageous at higher capacity utilization. We still have a lot of work ahead of us, but we are very pleased with the progress made so far and we are looking forward to creating more opportunities for the coal product portfolio. Let's now segue to a brief update on the early progress we have made on the Synergy front. At the merger announcement, we guided to an average annual run rate of -$140 million of synergies within 6-18 months following close. As Paul mentioned, we are off to a solid start. Since the close of the merger about five weeks ago, we have already started to reduce duplicative public company costs, locking down favorable finance rates, working with our business partners on the procurement side, and kick-starting several synergy-focused work streams on the marketing side. We have already executed strategies that are expected to yield just over $40 million in synergies on an annualized run rate basis. Approximately 40% of this is expected to come from marketing, blending, and transportation, the majority of which have been achieved via the blending of different products in our portfolio, an example I covered earlier. Approximately one-third of the synergy run rate comes from eliminating some overlapping positions at the corporate office. This number is expected to grow as we transition various systems and processes and build out the IT infrastructure to support the company. The remaining synergy run rate is split between procurement and financing costs. We have already started to see cost efficiencies as we work with our suppliers to create a mutually beneficial outcome. We are still in the early innings here, but we are looking forward to continuing to identify and execute on opportunities that create value for our shareholders. Now let me provide a quick update on our financial results before providing our 2025 guidance and outlook. This morning we reported course 2024 financial performance, which essentially are the results of the legacy consular energy on a standalone basis. For the full year 2024, we reported net income of $286 million, a $9.61 per dilutive share, adjusted a bid of $655 million, and free cash flow of $301 million. Our net income was impacted by certain one-time items such as pre-tax reserve of $68 million related to the indemnification of 1974 pension plan litigation. In conjunction with the merger closing earlier this year, we took advantage of the increased size and scale of CNR and upsized our revolving credit facility from $355 to $600 million, extended the maturity into 2029, and reduced the interest rate by 75 basis point across the grid. We received overwhelming support from our existing banks and were able to add nine banks to the facility. Through this amendment, we have already demonstrated enhanced capital market access as a result of the merger. I would like to thank our banking partners for their continued support. Moving forward, we intend to maintain our financial flexibility through a combination of strong liquidity and manageable debt levels. At the close of the merger, CNR had $590 million in cash and cash equivalents and short-term investment plus approximately $100 million that was deployed towards the repurchase of Arches tax-exempt West Virginia municipal bonds. Prior to the close of the merger, Consol opted to repurchase these bonds to preserve their tax-exempt status. This gives Core the ability to re-market these bonds in the tax-exempt muni market subject to market conditions. We are also considering a re-marketing of our other tax-exempt muni bonds to potentially improve the collateral package and benefit from the scale and diversity of Core. Once completed, we expect to have approximately $300 million of debt on the balance sheet associated with these bonds. Now let me provide our outlook for 2025. Starting with the high CV thermal segment, we are expecting 29 to 31 million sales stunts. We are approximately 80% contracted at the midpoint of our guidance range, inclusive of collared tons at a projected price of between $61 and $63 per ton. Given the state of the Met market and ongoing issues with tariffs, we expect the majority of the open tons to go into the industrial, brick, and domestic power gen markets. We expect our 2025 high CV thermal average cash cost of Core sold to be $38 to $40 per ton. The bottom end of our cost guidance captures the potential for deflation in key commodities as well as fixed cost leverage at the higher end of the sales volume range. Conversely, the top end accounts for reduced tonnage are a stronger commodity market, which would be a net benefit to our cash margins, but a potential headwind to our power and supply costs. For our metallurgical segment, we are introducing annual coking sales tonnage of 7.5 to 8 million tons, which excludes approximately 1.5 million tons of thermal byproduct in the metallurgical coal segment. On the committed tons that are priced, we are expecting $135.82 in average coal revenue per ton sold. On the metallurgical cash cost side, we expect an average cash cost of coal sold of $96 to $100 per ton. Our metallurgical segment sales tonnage and cost guidance is highly dependent on the timing of normalized production at the Lear South longwall. In the second half of the year, after the projected restart of Lear South, we expect cash cost for the metallurgical segment to be in the low $90 per ton range. For our PRB segment, on the sales front, we have approximately 37 million tons contracted and priced at an average coal revenue of approximately $14.78 per ton. On the cash cost side, we expect an average cash cost of coal sold per ton range of $13.75 to $14.25. For 2025, we expect cash-based SG&A to be between $110 to $125 million. Longer term, we expect cash-based SG&A to decrease to about $90 million when system integration is complete and merger synergies are fully realized. Additionally, for 2025, we expect a merger-related cash outflow of approximately $100 million for expenses incurred before and after the closing of the merger and includes fees for legal and financial advisors, severance costs, and other non-recurring costs. Lastly, on the capital expenditures front, for 2025, we expect a range of $300 to $330 million. In closing, I want to recreate our commitment to our capital allocation framework, which continues to emphasize ensuring financial strength and flexibility through a combination of modest debt levels and strong liquidity while creating long-term value for our shareholders. Another key priority for us is ensuring appropriate levels of capital to ensure safe, compliant, and efficient operations of all our key assets. Given the progress that we have already made on these two priorities, we have better wherewithal to allocate our discretionary cash flow to shareholder returns, which Paul described in his opening remarks. Although our near-term cash flow is impaired by the near-south outage, we have built some excess cash throughout the merger process, and we expect to deploy some of that cash towards our capital return program. Our capital allocation is underpinned by our ability to generate robust free cash flow. 2025 is shaping up to be a challenging year with a weak commodity price backdrop and the combustion event at the near-south. Our priority for 2025 is to mitigate these impacts by safely and compliantly conducting our operations at the lowest possible cost while delivering on the synergy and revenue expansion potential that the core platform offers. Operator, we are now ready to begin the Q&A session for our call. Could you please provide the instruction to our callers?

speaker
Operator
Call Operator

Thank you. We will now begin our Q&A session. To ask a question, you may press star then 1 on your touchtone phone. To withdraw your question, please press star then 2. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. And

speaker
Operator
Call Operator

the first question will be from Nathan

speaker
Operator
Call Operator

Martin from the benchmark. Please go ahead.

speaker
Martin
Analyst from Benchmark

Thanks, operator. Good morning, everyone, and congratulations on completing the merger.

speaker
Dex Sloan
Senior Vice President, Strategy

Thanks, Dave. Good morning.

speaker
Martin
Analyst from Benchmark

So, starting within the Coke and Coal segment, guidance sales of 7.5 to 8 million tons, could you guys give us any approximation of quality mix today after the combined companies or is there a capture rate maybe versus the ELC benchmark prices you guys are targeting?

speaker
Bob Braithwaite
Senior Vice President of Marketing and Sales

So, on the mix, Nate, you know, we have about 2 million tons, I'll call it, of our low-vol product, which is Beckley and Edmond. About a million tons of high-vol B, and then the balance will be, you know, our higher-vol A product. So, of the 6.6 million tons we have sold, about a million and a half of that is staying domestic, 5.1 is export. And what we have sold today is 1.2 million tons of low-vol, 4.4 million tons of high-vol A, and about a million tons of high-vol B. So, that gives us, call it, a million tons left to sell this year, a million to a million and a half, I'll say, and about 800,000 of that is low-vol, and the balance of that will be high-vol.

speaker
Martin
Analyst from Benchmark

Very helpful, Bob, appreciate that. Maybe while I have you, too, could we get a breakdown of the committed and priced high-CV thermal tons between export, domestic, etc.?

speaker
Bob Braithwaite
Senior Vice President of Marketing and Sales

Yeah, so of the 24.6, about 21.6 of it is PAM SQL. And as you notice, we gave a range in what we have in terms of pricing. I will tell you that in that 21.6, 4.2 million tons is linked to API2, and then we have about 2.5 million tons linked to power, our power netback contracts. And then the balance, or 3 million tons is our West Elk product. About 2.4 million is fixed price, and the balance is about 600,000 tons. That's what's shown as unpriced, and that is all priced against the New Castle index. And then the breakdown in total, I'll say, is 13 million is domestic, and 11.6 is export.

speaker
Martin
Analyst from Benchmark

Okay, a lot of numbers. Type in quickly, Bob, appreciate it. Sorry. No worries, very helpful. I guess, you know, taking a step back, guys, I don't really know, Paul, if you made direct comments on this in your prepare remarks or not. If I did, I apologize. But it would be great to get your thoughts on how this current Chinese tariff on US coal imports is impacting your business or how it could potentially impact your business. How many tons did the combined companies sell into China in 2024, and then, you know, are you assuming any in your current guidance? Thanks.

speaker
Bob Braithwaite
Senior Vice President of Marketing and Sales

So, Nate, you know, at the time that the tariff was announced, CORE had about eight vessels on the water, one which was LEER, and the balance were PAMC. I can tell you that the customer that we sold the LEER cargo to continued to take that cargo to China. And then of the PAMC cargoes, we do know of one, I think now two that are being taken to China still, the balance have been diverted. Some have been diverted to India. We had one diverted to Egypt, one to Vietnam. But I'll tell you, we only have cargoes booked through the end of the first quarter out of PAMC, nothing balance of the year for LEER right now. And China has always been an opportunistic market for us for both legacy arch and legacy console now core. So even though we moved three million tons of Bailey into China in 2024, that was very opportunistic. I will tell you that where PECCOG prices are today, they're significantly higher than what they were last year. So India is now has opened up to us again. And prices were yielding back for cargoes to India are are pretty lucrative to us. I will tell you, though, that domestic market is where the bright spot is. January power prices came in at over $66. We're seeing some high power prices here in February inventories, as Paul mentioned, for in some cases have been into, you know, critical type levels. And the team continues to receive calls almost on a daily basis for some additional loadings for Q1 and for the back half of the year for that matter. So although you know the tariff situation certainly moved the trade around, I will tell you that there's certainly enough demand out there today to cover the volumes that we were moving to China last year. Hey, okay. Oh, yeah.

speaker
Paul Lang
CEO

I was saying this reminds me of two or three years ago when the Chinese did the embargo on the Australian calls. I mean, it's it's disruptive. It's messy for a short period of time, but things tend to realign themselves fairly quickly. I think that's what you're seeing here. Obviously, we'd rather not have the uncertainty, but that's where we're at. And what I suspect will happen is pretty much what Bob said. It'll it'll rejigger itself. And the demand is still out there. The demand is strong. It's just the destinations are going to get mixed.

speaker
Dex Sloan
Senior Vice President, Strategy

And they did the decade. I was just going to say something something similar. Exactly right. When she locked out for the Australian, you know, coking coal, you had a period of six months of messiness where, you know, trade flows got realigned. But within, you know, very short period of time, not only had markets sort of been restored, but they actually went to sort of all time highs. So not suggesting that's going to be the case here. But it is a bit potentially the game of musical chairs. And so we think we're really well equipped to redirect volumes to wherever the markets are. And if this means that other countries, you know, that the China is taking more volume from other countries, and then we're filling the gaps, they're all all good. That all works. But, you know, we don't view this as as more than a than a short term disruption in all likelihood.

speaker
Martin
Analyst from Benchmark

Appreciate that team. And then just one final one coming back to the high city thermal segment. Your price per ton and you're committed 24 million tons at 61 to $63. What API to price does that assume? And is there any sensitivity we should keep in mind?

speaker
Bob Braithwaite
Senior Vice President of Marketing and Sales

I think two things, Nate. One, we're assuming right around $110 API to price. The sensitivity is about 13 cents per ton across the entire segment. But I also mentioned to you that we we have our power netbacks modeled at the floor. So in January alone, you know, there's about an $8 million uplift there. In February, it looks like we'll receive VMA again. So, you know, when we put the pieces together, we kind of looked at okay, what's kind of like our worst case best case. And that's why we came up with a range of 61 to 63.

speaker
Dex Sloan
Senior Vice President, Strategy

So, Nate, importantly, that, you know, we think that while again, lots of moving parts and Bob just laid that out, the 61 to 63 feels comfortable in almost any scenario we can envision for those committed volume. So we could be higher in that range, lower in that range. But, you know, we feel pretty good about, you know, that we're going to land somewhere there regardless of those moving parts. So, you know, as you said, a lot of a lot of numbers and Bob's a master of them. But I think if everyone else sort of thinks about it, you know, we're trying to give that sort of tight range as to, you know, that's where we're likely to land.

speaker
Martin
Analyst from Benchmark

Okay, great. And Bob, just any way to think about a PJM West power price for us as we look at that business?

speaker
Bob Braithwaite
Senior Vice President of Marketing and Sales

So when you start seeing power prices, I'll say get above 40 to $42. That's typically when we start seeing EMA. So again, I mentioned we were like 66 and change for the month of January. February is off to a good start as well. So anything over $40, we start to see EMA.

speaker
Martin
Analyst from Benchmark

All right, great, guys. I really appreciate the time and help. Best of luck in 25. And again,

speaker
Operator
Call Operator

as a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star then one. The next question is from Nick Giles from B Riley Securities. Please go ahead.

speaker
Nick Giles
Analyst from B Riley Securities

Thanks, operator. Good morning, everyone. Morning, Nick. I wanted to start on the Met cost side, targeting low 90s as you resume longwall mining in the second half. Should we think about this as a normalized target level going forward or could there be some additional improvement, whether from a synergy perspective or just returning to steady state?

speaker
Paul Lang
CEO

I'll start off and let the others join in. I think the low 90s is on the back half of the year as a number that we felt pretty comfortable with. But I tell you, the last couple of weeks as we've gone through this, as we've gone through combining the teams, I think as I mentioned in my earlier comments, I think there are some additional synergies that we haven't picked up. I think we're learning from each other, particularly on the longwalls, that I think will apply to both legacy companies' operations. I feel fairly confident about where these things are going and it's off to a good start.

speaker
Mitesh Thakkar
President and CFO

I'll also add, Nick, from a procurement standpoint, as you can imagine, prior to the merger of the two companies, there's limited amount of information that we can share. So with that and out of the way now, I think that bucket of the synergy is just starting to pick up. So as we go through that, I think the 2026 run rate would be interesting to see. But back half of 2025 is a good starting point and hopefully we can do better from there.

speaker
Dex Sloan
Senior Vice President, Strategy

One of the things we've tried to highlight here is that $110 million to $140 million of guidance on the synergies that we provided initially were numbers that a small group on one side and a small group on the other side were able to collaborate on and identify. But now sort of unleashing the power of the full teams, we're getting really encouraged by what we're seeing on best practices across a whole range. So obviously, continuous improvement and delivering on these synergies and then on the synergies on the other side of the ones that are identified is clearly the focus. And we believe we would be able to do that. That low $90 range obviously puts us in the first quartile in the US. It's a strong number. The guidance is the guidance. But do we believe we provide a number that we're confident in and can hit? We do.

speaker
Nick Giles
Analyst from B Riley Securities

Guys, I appreciate all that color. Maybe next one. It's nice to see a successful reentry at Lear South. You've maintained your guidance of resuming long-well mining by mid-year. I was curious to what extent this might be an added level of conservatism or maybe said differently. Would a resumption by mid-year be more reflective at the midpoint or the low end of guidance? Thanks very much.

speaker
Paul Lang
CEO

Yeah, you know, look, I guess I want to start off with really complimenting the team for the actions they took as well as the assistance we received from the state and federal officials. They did a great job not only protecting the people, but they also did an amazing job, it looks like, keeping the mine intact. When we first gave our guidance on January 14th or 15th, about, you know, it's going to be, typically it's about three months to get in, and typically about six months to get the long-well restarted. That was based on not only our own experiences over the years on these things and what we'd seen others do in the last couple years. The team in the end did an amazing job getting the first part of this done, which was to seal the small area behind the long-well that was where the combustion event occurred. Because of that, you know, we got it sealed quickly and it appears we minimized any damage to a large extent. You know, we were able to get the CM started back up Monday, which was an amazing accomplishment. You know, as we look forward, what I wanted to do was keep our guidance mid-year simply because I know these things take the life of their own and they have, you know, these aren't straight-line paths. Right now things are lining up well. I feel good about where the mine is, but, you know, there's no sense, you know, saying we're ready to go a lot faster than we will be. You know, we need to be methodical and get this done and we need to be prepared when we start back up on the things that we're going to do to try and prevent anything like this in the future.

speaker
Dex Sloan
Senior Vice President, Strategy

And, Nick, it's obviously it's a collaboration with federal and state officials. That's going exceptionally well. They have been tremendously supportive and it's been a great piece of teamwork to get us to where we are. But because of that, it's, you know, we don't want to be any more specific. It is a collaboration, but we feel really good about where we are today. And obviously being, you know, being where we are after just a month and we've provided guidance, as you know, that it could take up to three months, you know, does mean that things are moving along quite nicely.

speaker
Nick Giles
Analyst from B Riley Securities

Thanks for that and nice to hear one more if I could. In the release, you noted an expectation for excess cash available for shareholder returns. And I was wondering if you could speak to potential magnitude or appetite to take advantage of the weakness here and maybe related. How should we think about a minimum balance given the larger platform?

speaker
Mitesh Thakkar
President and CFO

So, Nick, on the cash front, we target to keep net cash on hand given the outage at Lear and weak commodity price backdrop. With approximately 200 million dollars of debt on our balance sheet and any additional cash beyond our debt and reserves for short-term working capital events such as Lear South will be available for deployment. And we recognize that our shareholders have been patient through the merger process. So we'll take this pullback in our equity to put that cash to work. We'll fine tune this further as we see improvement and progress on Lear South and commodity prices. The good news is that our thermal assets are generating free cash flow right now, which is one of the key strategic rationale for this merger. We have a solid base of revenue through our thermal contract at both. So while maintaining the potential to have the upside pricing volatility on the market. So I think we'll be methodical about it, but we will put some of that cash to work.

speaker
Nick Giles
Analyst from B Riley Securities

Mitesh, that's great to hear. Guys, I really appreciate all the color and continue to best of luck. Thank you. Thank you. Thanks so much.

speaker
Operator
Call Operator

And ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's question and answer session. I would like to turn the call back to Paul Lang for any closing remarks.

speaker
Paul Lang
CEO

As I said at the outset, this is an exciting time for CORE. We believe we've created a truly special company with tremendous potential and value creation. I couldn't be more pleased with the way the teams are working together and more encouraged with the, and encouraged with the urgency that everyone is approaching the synergies. I look forward to reporting to everybody in the coming months on to our progress and thank you for your interest. Stay safe and healthy, everyone.

speaker
Operator
Call Operator

Thank you, sir. The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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