Americold Realty Trust, Inc.

Q1 2024 Earnings Conference Call

5/9/2024

speaker
Operator
and welcome to AmeriCold Realty Trust First Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A brief question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Mr. Kevin Reed, Vice President, Investor Relations. Thank you, Mr. Reed. You may begin.
speaker
Kevin Reed
Good afternoon. Thank you for joining us today for AmeriCold Realty Trust's first quarter 2024 earnings conference call. In addition to the press release distributed this afternoon, we have filed a supplemental package with additional detail on our results, which is available in the Investor Relations section on our website at www.ir.americold.com. This afternoon's conference call is hosted by AmeriCorps' Chief Executive Officer, George Chappell, President of AmeriCorps, Rob Chambers, and Chief Financial Officer, Jay Wells. Management will make some prepared comments, after which we will open up the call to your questions. On today's call, management's prepared remarks may contain forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements address matters that are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ from those discussed today. A number of factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, assumptions, and beliefs, as well as information available to us at this time and speak only as of the date they are made. And management undertakes no obligation to update publicly any of them in light of new information or future events. During this call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures. including court EBITDA and AFFO. The full definitions of these non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations to the comparable GAAP financial measures are contained in the supplemental information package available on the company's website. Now, I will turn the call over to George.
speaker
George
Thank you, Kevin, and thank you all for joining our first quarter 2024 earnings conference call. This afternoon, I am pleased to announce our financial results for the quarter and will highlight key operational metrics. I will then discuss our updated outlook for the remainder of the year. Rob will provide an update on our recent customer initiatives and growth activity, and Jay will provide a detailed walkthrough of our updated full year 2024 guidance. Let's begin with a snapshot of some key financial achievements for the quarter. We generated AFFO of $104.9 million or 37 cents per share, an increase of over 28% on a per share basis year over year. Our performance on a constant currency basis was driven in large part by significant improvements in our same store services margins, where we delivered a record first quarter of 10.7%. This was a 671 basis point improvement year over year, which resulted in an incremental $22 million of NOIs or roughly $0.08 a share in the first quarter. As growth appears to be slowing across the industrial REIT sector, we continue to demonstrate our ability to drive profitable organic growth across our platform. In the first quarter of 2023, we announced $100 million strategic investment in our ERP infrastructure, which is showing early positive returns. The system's first phase went live Monday of this week, and we've made numerous process improvements leading up to this launch that have resulted in enhanced revenue recognition, better labor and cost management, and helped drive our strong first quarter results. We are encouraged with the sustainable results to date and expect the system to deliver returns in line with our previously disclosed expectations. It's important to note our new system comes with AI capability embedded in the software. which we can utilize and customize to ensure we exploit the technology to its maximum potential going forward. On to our priorities. Our laser focus on customer service has been one of the main reasons our properties stay in such high demand, and this is evident in our same-store economic occupancy, which held solid in the quarter at approximately 81%. A key driver of our strong economic occupancy is continued progress selling fixed commitment contracts. Rent and storage revenue derived from fixed commitment storage contracts came in this quarter at 54.2%, 200 basis points higher than the previous quarter, and a 24% increase over the first quarter of 2023. We continue to move customers to these contracts, which helps smooth out the seasonality in our business and also acts as a leading indicator of positive things to come as customers sign them in anticipation of volume growth in the future. Our second priority, labor management, is one in which we have made significant strides in recent quarters. Continued improvement of our hiring and retention metrics have resulted in a perm to temp hours ratio of 78-22, which is a three percentage point year-over-year increase in a company record putting us well on our way to our publicly stated goal of 80-20. Additionally, we continue to make progress on our turnover, which is 40%, and is now in line with pre-COVID levels and an 800 basis point drop since last quarter. Lastly, our percentage of associates with less than 12 months of service now stands at 29%. This has improved 300 basis points since last quarter and is approaching the pre-COVID level of 23%. We introduced disclosure around labor management two-plus years ago, and at the time, we said making progress was a prerequisite to establishing sustainable, reliable services margins. Having now largely recovered our labor metrics to pre-COVID levels, supported by new leaders, systems, and processes, our same-store constant currency services margins significantly improved to 10.7%, which is a first-quarter record for AmeriCold resulting in an incremental $22 million of NOI or roughly $0.08 of AFFO per share year over year. The commercial and operational infrastructure we have put in place gives us the confidence that improved services margins will be sustainable and sets us up extremely well as consumer demand increases. Moving to pricing, in the first quarter, same-store rent and storage revenue per economic occupied pallet on a constant currency basis increased by 3.9% versus the prior year. And same-store services revenue per throughput pallet on a constant currency basis increased by 10.8%. Both were driven by pricing we put in place in the second half of 2023, coupled with the general rate increases at the start of this year. Pricing comps are expected to compress in the second half of this year as we anticipate a relatively benign environment associated with inflation-based rate actions. As always, we will continue to take a surgical approach to our pricing initiatives to continue to drive margin dollars and increase margin percent. Moving to development, I'm very happy to report progress on our two strategic partnerships. First, we broke ground last week in Kansas City on a $127 million project on the Canadian Pacific Kansas City Rail Line. This is the inaugural project in our partnership and will deliver unique value-add services enabling lower costs, reliable, and more environmentally friendly storage and transport across much of North America. Second, we broke ground early this week in Dubai in support of our partnership with DP World. The $35 million project will support both the local Dubai market and the surrounding area redistribution. We are very pleased to have both partnerships' inaugural projects under active construction. Lastly, today, we are announcing a new, lower-risk, highly accretive expansion in Sydney, Australia. The $36 million project will support a large Australian retailer already located on the site as we enable their growth. We expect this expansion to be completed in Q1 of 2026. Turning to our full year guidance, as a result of the progress we have made driving organic growth through improvements in productivity, labor management, and pricing, in combination with our ability to manage our variable cost structure, we are raising our full year 2024 AFSO per share guidance to a new range of $1.38 to $1.46, with a midpoint of $1.42, an increase of 5 cents per share. This represents an approximately 12% increase from 2023 and an approximately 28% increase from 2022. At the midpoint of the new range, our same store NOI growth guide has increased roughly 300 basis points to over 11%. Before I turn it over to Rob, let me comment on our ESG initiative. In April, we posted our fifth annual ESG report on our website. We are very pleased to publish the most comprehensive report in the cold storage industry. Our report focuses on our efforts in promoting energy excellence through innovation and new technology adoption, investing in our associates, and giving back to our communities. I encourage you to read this robust sustainability report as it details AmeriCoast's sustainability goals and our unwavering commitment to corporate responsibility. With that, I will turn it over to Rob.
speaker
Rob
Thank you, George. As George mentioned, I will provide an update on our recent customer initiatives and growth activity. Pricing initiatives. We remain very focused on our pricing initiatives and are working diligently to ensure that we both offset inflationary pressures and price our business to reflect the value of the service we provide to our customers. In the first quarter, same store rent and storage revenue per economic occupied pallet on a constant currency basis increased by 3.9% versus the prior year, 5% excluding the reduction of certain power surcharges. Same store constant currency services revenue per throughput pallet increased by 10.8%. Our pricing actions in 2024 are driven by, first, As our longer-term customer agreements come up for renewal, we continue to revisit our pricing structures in order to ensure renewals are priced at market rates, inclusive of the inflationary impacts over the past several years. We have made great progress in this area. Second, we continue to benefit from our in-place annual contractual rate escalations on these current customer agreements. The majority of our annual increases, or GRIs, for 2024 went in during Q1. Third, as it relates to longer-term agreements, we will maintain our in-year targeted pricing and power surcharge initiatives to address known inflation, which is moderated in certain areas of our business. And fourth, all new business and shorter-term agreements are being priced with a current and forward view of our cost structure. Within our global warehouse segment, we had no material changes to the composition of our top 25 customers. who account for approximately 50% of our global warehouse revenue on a pro forma basis. Our churn rate continues to remain low at approximately 3% of total warehouse revenues consistent with historical churn rates. We have also continued our upward trajectory regarding fixed commitments. This quarter, rent and storage revenue derived from fixed commitment storage contracts came in at 54.2%. an increase of 21.1 million on an annual basis, a 12th straight quarterly record for AmeriCold. Growth and development. Regarding growth, we continue to evaluate and execute on development opportunities across the three primary areas of focus we have mentioned in the past. Our CPKC and DP World collaborations, expansion projects, and customer-dedicated build-to-suit developments. With regard to our strategic collaborations, First, as George mentioned, last week we broke ground on our flagship development with CPKC in Kansas City. As a reminder, we're building a conventional multi-customer major market distribution center on CPKC's intermodal terminal in Kansas City that will be approximately 22,000 pallet positions and 14 million cubic feet for a total investment of 127 million. We also broke ground on our flagship building with our other strategic partnership, DP World. As a reminder, in December, we announced our plans through our RSAJV to build a conventional multi-customer major market distribution center in Dubai at DP World's port of Jebel Ali Free Zone for 35 million U.S. dollars. This development in Jebel Ali will be the first of its kind to combine AmeriCold's global temperature-controlled infrastructure with DP World's port infrastructure and end-to-end logistics solutions. The strategic combination will result in unprecedented optimization of temperature-sensitive food flows in and out of the countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council and provide redistribution opportunities across the region. Our collaboration with CPKC and DP World illustrate AmeriCold's unique ability to create value by working with our global leaders in adjacent areas of the supply chain. We expect our investment in these partnerships to grow significantly over the next few years as we continue to identify opportunities to jointly grow our business. Through these relationships, we have a $500 million to $1 billion potential development pipeline. With respect to expansion in major markets, as George mentioned, today we are announcing a new dedicated conventional expansion project in Sydney, Australia, anchored by one of the country's largest grocers. This expansion will add mission-critical infrastructure in a capacity-constrained market currently operating at greater than 90% occupancy, and is anticipated to add approximately 13,400 incremental pallets to our current capacity of roughly 18,700 pallets in that market. The total investment will be approximately $36 million. We are excited about both CPKC and DP World developments and the Sydney expansion and look forward to updating you on other future plans soon. Automation update. We continue to make progress ramping the five development projects that were completed last year. Three of these automated facilities are supporting food manufacturing in Atlanta, Georgia, Russellville, Arkansas, and Spearwood, Australia. And our proven solutions are performing well and delivering in line with expectations. Our two customer-dedicated automated retail distribution facilities in Lancaster, Pennsylvania, and Plainville, Connecticut, while completed, continue to ramp, albeit slower than expected. As we stated last quarter, we are being thoughtful in the ramp-up, given the level of complexity and the importance of customer service. We are very encouraged by the significant and sustainable organic growth that we are delivering, as well as the pace and scale of our inorganic growth activities. Now, I'll turn it over to Jay.
speaker
Jay
Thank you, Rob. Today, I will discuss our capital position liquidity and update our full-year guidance. Beginning with our balance sheet, At the end of the quarter, total net debt outstanding was $3.2 billion. We had total liquidity of $732.5 million, consisting of cash on hand and revolver availability. And our net debt to perform a court EBITDA was approximately 5.4 times. As we discussed last quarter, our previously announced expansion in Allentown, Pennsylvania, our greenfield developments in Kansas City, Missouri, and Dubai, and our new expansion project in Sydney, Australia will increase investment spend in the second quarter of this year. Please see page 33 of the IR supplement for additional details on our development projects. For our full year 2024 guidance, we are increasing our FFO per share to the range of $1.38 to $1.46. an approximate 4% increase at the midpoint, and approximately a 12% increase from 2023's AFO per share result. Before reviewing the individual components of this guidance that are set forth on page 35 of the IR Supplement, let me quickly remind everyone of the new 2024 same-store pool for the global warehouse segment. This pool now has 226 facilities which is approximately 96% of the total number of properties in our warehouse segment. A summary of the 2024 same store pool historic performance for the first quarter of 2023 is presented on page 32 of the IR supplement. We have 10 facilities that are in our 2024 non-same store pool. Now, turning to the individual components of our updated ASFO guidance and starting with our global warehouse segment, we still expect full-year 2024 same-store currency revenue growth to be in the range of 2.5 to 5.5 percent. Let me provide more detail around the key drivers of this updated guide. With respect to occupancy and throughput volumes, we still expect economic occupancy to be in the range of zero to a decline of 100 basis points compared to 2023, and throughput volume to decrease in the range of 1 percent to 3 percent, as we are forecasting an improved trend in throughput versus the 7.6 percent decline in the first quarter of 2024. With respect to pricing, we still expect constant currency rent and storage revenue for economic occupied pallet growth to be in the range of 3 to 4 percent, and constant currency service revenue for throughput pallet growth to be in the range of 7 to 8 percent. As a reminder, the pricing guidance reflects our continued pricing and power surcharge initiative to cover known inflation. It also reflects our annual contractual escalation and GRI step-ups and the commercialization of market-based pricing for contracts that we underwrite or renew. For the full year, we are increasing our same-store constant currency NOI growth to now be in the range of 9.5% to 13%. This increase is being driven by higher services margins. Just three to six months ago, our hope was to exit 2024 with a run rate services margin of 9%. Based on productivity and pricing supported by new systems and processes, we now believe we can deliver services margins of 9% for the full year of 2024. With regards to the new 2024 non-same store pull, as can be seen on page 30 of the IR Supplement, the new non-same-store pool generated negative $3.5 million of NOI in the first quarter 2024. For the full year 2024, we now expect the non-same-store pool to generate NOI in the range of negative $7 million to positive $1 million. As Rob previously mentioned, our automated retail distribution facilities in Lancaster, Pennsylvania and Plainville, Connecticut are ramping slower than expected. However, we still anticipate to deliver our stated return on invested capital. Turning to our managed and transportation segments, NOI, for the full year, we're lowering the expected range from $45 to $50 million to a new range of $42 million to $47 million versus approximately $48 million of NOI in 2023 due to continued softness in the freight market. Regarding SG&A expense for the full year, we still expect total SG&A to be in the range of $247 million to $261 million, inclusive of $23 million to $25 million of stock compensation expense, and $5 million to $7 million of ERP amortization. For the full year, we still expect core SG&A to be in the range of $219 million to $229 million. Turning to our interest expense for the full year, we are lowering our interest rate expense range to approximately $135 million to $143 million, a reduction of $6 million at the midpoint. With respect to full-year cash taxes, there is no change to the 2024 cash taxes range of $9 million to $12 million. As a reminder, most of the corporate income taxes we pay at AmeriCold relate to our international operations. Q1 2024 maintenance capital expenditures was $17.9 million, a $1.7 million increase versus Q1 2023. There is no change to our maintenance capital expenditure guide. As a reminder, for the full year, we expect this investment to be approximately $80 million to $90 million. Regarding developments, we reiterate our expectation to announce development starts aggregating between $200 million to $300 million in 2024. Please keep in mind that our guidance does not include the impact of acquisitions, dispositions, capital markets activity beyond that which has been previously announced, and please refer to our IR supplement for detail on the additional assumptions embedded in this guidance. Now let me turn the call back to George for some closing remarks.
speaker
George
Thanks, Jay. It's been a great quarter for growth at AmeriCold with breaking ground on developments with our two strategic partners, CPKC and DP World. In addition to announcing a strategic expansion in Sydney, Australia, we continue to fuel our development pipeline for future profitable growth. What really separates AmeriCold from most industrial reefs is the ability for our logistics operating company to generate organic growth through delivering mission-critical services in the global food supply chain as efficiently as possible. The labor metrics we've disclosed and tracked for over two years now have correlated to the increased margins we said would come with a productive, stabilized workforce, which has allowed us to accelerate our 9% services margins goal by almost a full year. The improvement in metrics speaks to the sustainability of a warehouse services results, and the solid foundation we have built beneath them. The early returns on process improvement as part of our ERP implementation speak to the productivity and organic growth still ahead of us, even as we guide towards a second double-digit year of NOI growth in our same store pool. It's worth noting our results are accelerating at a time when consumer demand has been receding. When consumer demand does accelerate, we believe our investments in new systems and processes will prepare us to grow profit faster and more sustainably than many other operators. I want to give thanks to the over 15,000 associates around the world for their unwavering support and dedication who bring their best-in-class customer service with them every day. For this, I say thank you for all your efforts. We could not do this without you. Thank you again for joining us today and we will now open the call for your questions. Operator.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. We will now be conducting a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your questions from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the start keys. As a reminder, please restrict yourself to one question and one follow-up. One moment, please, while you poll for questions. The first question comes from the line of Sameer Kanell with Evercore ISI. Please go ahead.
speaker
spk05
Hey, good afternoon, George. Maybe on the occupancy front, Maybe tell us, like, in one cue, where did occupancy end up versus your expectation? And I guess, how should we think about the cadence of the trajectory of occupancy through the balance of the year? Thanks.
speaker
George
Yeah, good questions, Amir. It came in 345 basis points below prior year. That was exactly in line with expectations. If you look at the path to the midpoint of our current guide, our revised guide, we would have to increase economic occupancy 400 basis points sequentially in the next three quarters. We think that's very achievable, and that's why we haven't changed our occupancy guide, so we feel really good about it.
speaker
Jay
Yeah, keep in mind, we are lapping a bill that is not normally as part of our seasonality, and what you're really getting back to is more of a more normal seasonality
speaker
George
of our efficacy that you're seeing here.
speaker
spk05
Okay, got it. And I guess the other topic, you know, investors are focused on is clearly throughput. So maybe talk around kind of what you're seeing. How do you think throughput will sort of play out, you know, let's say in the second quarter? I know you've talked about an improvement in the second half. Is that sort of what you're still expecting?
speaker
George
It is, Samir. And, you know, we were down 760 inches year-over-year in the first quarter. That was exactly in line with where we said we would be. We said the first quarter would very closely mirror the fourth quarter of last year, and it did. We're not revising the guard because we think it's very much in line with the original guide we put out. But one piece of good news is really in April, for the first time, we saw a year-over-year improvement in throughput. So, If you remember, we signaled that that might happen closer to the end of the second quarter. We're seeing it a little bit more towards the beginning of the second quarter, so that's some positive news. No change to the guide. It's in line with our previous expectations, but a little bit of positive news comes through in April.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Josh Denneleen with Bank of America. Please go ahead.
speaker
Josh Denneleen
Hey, guys. Thanks for the time. I just want to explore the ERP rollout more. When did that come online in the quarter? As we think about the balance of the year, what kind of improvements or things should we be looking out for as it is fully rolled out and goes into the system?
speaker
George
Yeah, I'll maybe hand it over to Jay for a couple comments, but it didn't go live in the first quarter. It went live on Monday of this week, actually. What we cited for the improvements that impacted the first quarter very positively were since the first of the year, we've been working on process change and process improvement ahead of the implementation of the new software. To make the software as effective as possible, we needed to change the way we work to match the software and starting that work In the beginning of the year, accelerated results that we believe the system would have brought, but actually the process improvement brought them quicker. And we believe the system is 100% on track to deliver the returns that we identified when we made everybody aware of the investment. So we're right on track with the plan. And, Jay, I don't know if you want to add anything.
speaker
Jay
George did a pretty good job. I'll give you a couple of examples. you turn on a new billing system, you're going to improve your processes associated with billing. So we actually saw billing incremental type of value-added services under the new processes that we otherwise would not have done. So that was a benefit we saw in the quarter. Improving our procurement processes and reducing costs, we also saw benefits. And labor management, we also saw benefits. So it was different process improvements you want to do before you roll out an ERP implementation. We had not forecasted any benefits in the quarter. We ended up seeing, you know, at least $2 million of benefit in the quarter of just pure process improvement. And now that the service, the system is going live, you know, we're seeing more benefits as we move through the year.
speaker
George
One follow-up to that.
speaker
Josh Denneleen
What benefits are assumed in the guide as far as the rollout from here? It sounds like you picked up an incremental $2 million in one queue that you weren't forecasting. I'm just kind of curious what the ERP itself, when you were initially putting out guides, was including as far as a benefit.
speaker
George
I would say that all of those benefits, Josh, primarily hit the handling area of our business and And one of the reasons that our handling business has done so well in increasing the margins, along with all the workforce metrics that have come in line like they said they would, is these process improvements that Jay is talking about. We have budgeted those originally in our original guide in the handling area of the business because much of the improvement helps there. It's part of our incremental guide to now 9% of the year, accelerating that objective by a full 12 months. We're now guiding to 9%, and you can assume that the systems benefits that drive the handling increase are all embedded in that guide. It's a component to getting us now to 9% handling margins, a full year ahead of when we thought we could achieve it.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Wynn Stibbon with Green Street. Please go ahead.
speaker
Vince
Hi, good evening. You mentioned you're now expecting throughput margins of 9% for the full year, even though margins were 10.7% in the first quarter. So is there any seasonality with margins we should be thinking about? Or are you just maybe being a little conservative with the guide? Is there any color on how we should think about the service margin trend as the year progresses would be helpful?
speaker
George
Yeah, thanks for that, Vince. And you're right, we're guiding to nine, which, you know, just a few short months ago was very aspirational, and now it's part of our plan. So I feel really good about getting to nine. I just want to say that in terms of making a commitment in our guide. It's a much different place than we were six months ago. It is slightly down from 10.7 in the first quarter. But, you know, these process improvements we just mentioned, are, you know, early days, right, in terms of the impact. And we think getting to a 9% platform based on margins for our handling platform based on the systems and processes improvements now is not in any way conservative, quite frankly. It's a very strong guy considering where we were. And the sustainability of the margins is something we need to be very confident in. We are at the 9% level. which is maybe being a little conservative, having turned on the actual systems literally Monday of this week. And typically, I think most people would expect a slight productivity loss when you turn on a new system. I think that's pretty typical. And then a quick rebound. So there's a little bit of that. But I would focus on our guide to 9% handling margins for the year, which, again, not that long ago was an aspirational target.
speaker
Vince
Great. That's all really helpful color. And then just switching gears a little, like I'm looking at page 23 of the supplemental and I noticed physical occupancy was at its lowest level since 21. Just can you discuss some of the drivers there? I mean, you mentioned a weaker consumer, but I thought a slowdown in end demand could actually kind of lead to higher occupancy levels. Or are there any notable trends in food production, you know, that have really changed? Just any color on them. kind of physical occupancy side of things would be great.
speaker
George
Yeah, I'd say the biggest impact on the physical occupancy side, Vince, goes back to a comment Jay just made where we were lapping a counter-seasonal level of inventory last year. So last year, I believe our economic occupancy was around 84.4% at the end of the first quarter, incredibly high, driven by manufacturers producing ahead of demand as they Finally had labor to do that and wanted to create some space between customer service and their production facilities. We're laughing that now. And as I said, we landed economic occupancy almost exactly where we thought it would. We said we'd replicate the fourth quarter economic occupancy, and I think we did that. We brought it down about the same amount year over year. And we're not changing our guide because, you know, if you look at where we end the first quarter, it's about 400 basis point improvement to get to the midpoint of our guide over the next three quarters. Seasonality should do that.
speaker
George
So that's really the story on occupancy.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Nick Tillman with Baird. Please go ahead.
speaker
Nick Tillman
Hey, good evening. George, maybe touching a little bit on the throughput dynamics and the service margins. I think last quarter you guys kind of mentioned something along the lines of you thought throughput was going to be down like 7.5% kind of where it came in, but that service margins could actually erode a little bit. Is this more a function of like some of the GRIs and stuff that you guys have in place that's been able to drive it and with the labor, I guess, break down the components of that that are really driving that sort of margin?
speaker
George
Yeah, you hit the components. I mean, first of all, you're correct. The throughput came in exactly what we said it would this quarter. We said it would be very much like the fourth quarter. But the throughput margins are driven by the exact two components you mentioned. First is price. We said our price in handling was up 10.8% in the quarter year over year. That is certainly going to drive margins, no question about it. But the big story has really been productivity. I mean, we've reached levels of permanent hours, permanent associate hours in our system that are now 78%. That's significantly higher than the last two quarters. We've reached retention to be at pre-COVID levels. I mean, the workforce has become more stable, more time in jobs. more engaged, and more productive. So it is both of those, the pricing, over 10% year over year, and the productivity driving the margins. I'm not sure we've split that out in the past, and I don't have a split handy, to be honest.
speaker
Jay
I don't think you do. All I would say is, you know, the over-delivery and the quarter was we did hit the labor margin, the metrics that George had discussed, and what happened was it really translated into NLI contracts, much quicker than we expected. So we saw the benefits of labor really coming through well, where overall temp labor was down significantly. It really started seeing the efficiencies on our perm labor. So that was really what got us to over-deliver and get our handling margins up above 9% quicker than expected.
speaker
George
And maybe just to follow up on the throughput, we did say in April for the first time we saw a year-over-year improvement. That would be showing up a few months earlier than we had thought in our original guide. So there is reason to believe that the throughput could improve, but our guide is up significantly, not dependent on that happening.
speaker
Nick Tillman
That's very helpful. And then just, I know we touched on occupancy and kind of the counter seasonality kind of in the first quarter, but more so just looking at economic occupancy and looking at Europe in particular. I understand there's not as many fixed commitments, but that rakes down around like 900 basis points quarter over quarter. So is there anything in Europe in particular that's really driving those occupancy levels down in particular? I know there's probably not as many fixed commits in those specific geographies, but just some commentary on that area of the market in particular would be helpful.
speaker
George
Yeah, you're 100% right. There's not as much fixed commit there. I would say just in general, the economic environment in Europe is not as healthy as in the U.S., and the throughput declines, and in some cases, occupancy declines have been more pronounced. Having said that, our business has grown the last two years in Europe from an NOI perspective, so we're managing the business much like we manage the business in the U.S. We We're maintaining price points. We're trying to get the labor to match the throughput. We're doing our best to fill the pipeline. But it is an economy that is recovering at a slower pace than the U.S. And, again, we're happy with the business. You can see the results last year and stuff, and you can see what we're projecting for this year. And it is a business that's contributing at least in line with the pace we're growing same-store NOI at 11% now.
speaker
Jay
And I'd say probably the pipeline of new business is probably the best it's been in a while. So I think we've got a very good pipeline to fill up our warehouses in Europe.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Mike Mueller with J.B. Malkin. Please go ahead.
speaker
Mike Mueller
Yeah, hi. Going back to the service margin questions, if you're expecting throughput volumes to improve in 2H, What are the factors that are driving the margin down relative to what you had in 1Q? Was there anything, I guess, abnormal contributing to the 10% to 11% margin print in the quarter?
speaker
George
Yeah, I would say, getting back to the guide on throughput, we have not changed it. It's the same as the original guide we had. I was just saying in terms of our very recent new news, right, our actual results for April indicate that for the first time, the year-over-year throughput is actually positive. So I wasn't signaling that that is built in the guide. We're still on our original guide. The margin improvement we've made is all about our pricing, the progress we've made on our workforce, and the early returns on system process improvement ahead of going live with our ERP system. You know, again, the decline in services margins from 10.7 to 10.9, I kind of view it as we made a commitment to get to 9%, and we've fulfilled that commitment, at least from a perspective of what we're committing to in our guidance, almost a year ahead of time. So I view the 9% as a massive improvement in our company, $22 million worth of incremental NOI in the first quarter, which you can we said that was worth, at one point, $100 million. And if you do the math, it's going to end up pretty close to $100 million. So we feel really good about it. The decline from 10.7% to 9.9% in the guide simply relates to turning on the new system and having to train thousands of people on how to use it and expecting a slight productivity decline as we do that. I think every ERP implementation plans on that happening. We're no different. And then secondarily, as Jay said, we've seen run rates that are drastically different in the handling margin area as a result of everything I just mentioned, and we just have to figure out where the baseline is, but we believe it's at least 9%.
speaker
Jay
And to answer your other question on one-timers that benefited our handling margin in Q1. There were no material one-timers that elevated the handling margin in Q1.
speaker
George
Got it. Okay. Thank you.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Craig Mailman with Citi. Please go ahead.
speaker
Craig Mailman
Guys, I just want to circle back to the the expense savings here is I'm looking through clearly labor is a big piece of it. Other service costs is another big piece of it. Um, I know you've talked a couple of times about lower temporary workers and I get that. Um, but as you, can you kind of walk through the other pieces of it? I mean, are you guys cutting hours? How are you guys managing kind of that labor piece beyond just more permanent workers? And also on the other cost side of things, I noticed your depreciation for non-real estate is down. I mean, interest expense is down. Are you guys just spending less or deferring costs on equipment or maintenance or other things that ultimately, I guess everyone's trying to get at the ramp down in service margins here from this quarter down to nine? I mean, is a lot of this just deferring costs that you're ultimately going to need to put back into the system if throughput does improve. I'm just trying to get a sense of putting everything in a pot. Can you walk through really what's driving this with specific examples?
speaker
George
I don't know how specific I can get Craig on the call here, but I can walk through the components of our handling services margins improvement and explain why we think they're very, very sustainable. at the 9% level, regardless of a throughput guide. And I'll just note again, we haven't changed our throughput guide. It's exactly the same as the revised guide. It's driven in first part by pricing. Pricing was increased, I think, 10.8% year over year in our handling environment. So there's the component, first component, which is higher pricing for the same services. Two is our workforce has become productive. And what I've always described about that is that if it takes five people to move 50 pallets an hour and you then turn that into three people to move 50 pallets an hour, you're doing the same work content with less people. That's what we've achieved. There's a thousand tactics along the way as to how we've achieved it. There are some big movers like our retention improvement to pre-COVID levels. our workforce having more time in their job with turnover declining, et cetera, all the metrics that we've talked about already. So it's really a combination of those things combined with now new processes and a new ERP system laid on top of it, which gave us some unexpected early returns, as we mentioned in the prepared remarks. So I don't know that I can go into a lot more detail than that, but those are the broad components, and they all come together to create – outside handling margins. And I understand using the words 10.7% to 9% is a decline. That's mathematically correct. I understand that. But I just remind everybody again, this is an objective that we said was aspirational just three or six months ago, and now we're saying it's here, it's in our guide, and it's going to deliver incrementally a huge amount of NOI, and that's why we're excited about it.
speaker
Jay
And on the two other couple, on interest expense, you know, driver of that is, one, we're generating a small amount of incremental cash flow that's going to be applied against the revolver. That will improve interest. But also, with the projects that we've announced, there is a little bit of interest expense being moved to capital. So that's really the driver. So it's, you know, overall cash tax interest is not going down significant. It's more based on the projects we've announced. and work with the computations, we'd have a little bit more capitalized interest. And on other costs, you know, held to our guidance on the maintenance CapEx, we're not reducing it. We actually spent $1.7 million more in Q1 on maintenance CapEx, which is, you know, generally our light quarter, but we will spend the remainder to get to the $80 to $90 million of CapEx the remainder of the year, so it will go up the remaining three quarters. But we did spend more this quarter than we did Q1 or prior year. So we're not cutting any type of spend to deliver on these numbers.
speaker
Craig Mailman
Okay, so you guys kept throughput the same. So throughput beat your expectations and it's at the zero end or even positive by the end of the year, right? Which, again, I think your initial expectations had assumed or at least implicitly assumed some rate cuts that maybe aren't going to happen so the consumer could stay a little bit weaker but just let's say you're plus zero to three versus zero to negative three are the margins still able to stay at nine percent with potentially higher needs for for labor is that kind of how it works or do if you get a rapid increase in throughput do margins suffer in the near term as you guys have to
speaker
George
The commitment, Craig, on the 9% margin aligns with our current plan. There's no danger that we see of anything being compressed with throughput going up or down. But to be clear, we have not changed our throughput guide. Our throughput guide in our initial guide compared to the guide now is identical. We haven't changed the numbers. I did mention a little bit of positive news around April, new news, not in our guide, in It was the first month throughput increase year over year. Doesn't mean it'll happen next month, but again, we're looking for positive signs on throughput here, and that's one we found very, very recently with April having just closed. So our guide remains the same. If throughput changes, it's not going to change our margin profile. We're managing the business in line with the variable nature of the throughput. We've now done it at a level that gives us 100% confidence in the 9% margins for the remainder of the year.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Kevin Kim with Truist Securities. Please go ahead.
speaker
Kevin Kim
Thank you. Good afternoon. Just to follow up on the previous question, on the labor efficiency that you're achieving, Maybe you can wrap it around a different set of KPIs, like services provided per employee or worker idle times. Maybe that's come down. Maybe something a little bit closer to on the ground.
speaker
George
I don't have any of that data to disclose even. I will remind you of the metrics that we've been disclosing for over two and a half years we said would have to improve for us to improve our services margin. They all have improved. Our permanent employee content in the company has never been higher at 78%. Our retention is now back to pre-COVID levels. We're climbing up the ladder of associates in the job for greater than 12 months. That's probably more of a timing issue than anything else right now. We believe we're actually at pre-COVID levels. So those are our disclosures around labor. We said when they improved, the services margin would improve. We said they correlate really, really well, and they have improved, and we've delivered record services margins. So I think our labor disclosure is very sufficient to track the performance of the margins and the handling area of the company, and it's proven to be very accurate this quarter.
speaker
Kevin Kim
Okay. And going back to your throughput comments about it being positive slightly in April, do you think that was – concentrated to any kind of particular tenant that might have had, I don't know, like a big harvest or something, or was that pretty wide across the system? And second to that, your physical occupancy being down 760 basis points, if you can provide an April update on that as well.
speaker
George
Thank you. I would say our physical occupancy, and maybe I'll ask Rob to comment on this, we would expect the gap in physical occupancy in a normal seasonal year to be widest between fixed commits and the physical exactly this time of year, at the end of the first quarter, and then go from a seasonal flow there. But maybe, Rob, if you want to comment on the fixed commit impact, that would be good.
speaker
Rob
Sure. So that's right, George. I mean, our expectation is that gap is going to be the widest now this time of year. I think our expectation as we go through the rest of the year is that the gap between physical and economic occupancy will close as far as whether or not we saw, you know, any specific customer or any specific note in the supply chain that was maybe there was a bigger gap. I would say, you know, protein is the one sector, and you see that in our customers' earnings releases where protein is one that's down more than others, like our consumer packaged goods or our retail sector. So, You know, we want to see continued improvement in the protein sector, and we think we'll see the gap between physical and economic occupancy close between now and the end of the year.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Michael Carroll with RBC. Please go ahead.
speaker
Michael Carroll
Yeah, thanks. I just wanted to focus on the full year guide. I mean, if you annualize the first quarter number, I think that would put you above the new range that you set out. And I know 1Q is usually the low point of the year. You expect throughput to trend a little bit higher. You expect occupancy to rebound with seasonality. It seems like even the non-established NOI was peaking to the negative side this quarter and it should recover. So why did you not increase your guidance by more? I guess, why does that imply the quarterly run rate should trend a little bit lower throughout the year?
speaker
Jay
And I'll take this one. You know, as I mentioned earlier, Our maintenance capex, though, higher than Q1 of last year was only 17.9 million. So that means we're going to incur at the midpoint another 67 million of maintenance capex in the following three quarters. So, you know, that does cause a reduction in AFFO and part of why it's more flattening out for the remainder of the year within our guidance.
speaker
Michael Carroll
Okay, and then that typically doesn't happen in the past? Because, I mean, if you look at historically, I mean, shouldn't your occupancy kind of offset that as your occupancy is right around 80% today and it's implying that it's probably going to go up a few hundred basis points when that occupancy offset that capex increase?
speaker
George
I don't really, this is George, I don't understand that point, Mike. I mean, We have an occupancy guide that's in our revised guide, and we have to hit the mid to hit the $1.42. Everything else would fall in line with that. And one of the anomalies that is in our business is we typically have a very low capex spend in the first quarter because projects tend to start a little later in January and ramping up after the new year, etc., And as Jay said, if you flow the remaining CapEx for the three quarters, we believe that accounts for everything that you're describing as the reason why you can't just multiply the 38 cents by four and get to a number for the year versus what we're projecting.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Todd Thomas with KeyBank Capital Markets, Inc. Please go ahead.
speaker
Todd Thomas
Hi, thanks. Good afternoon. First, I just wanted to follow up on occupancy. You know, it looked like that counter-cyclical build continued into the second quarter last year. So, you know, within the full year economic occupancy guidance that you maintained, you know, flat to down 100 basis points, do the year-over-year occupancy headwinds, do they worsen in the second quarter before improving or do you see the improvement beginning sooner than that? And then, you know, I guess just following up, I wanted to see if you could discuss what you're seeing so far in the second quarter to that end in terms of economic occupancy as we're through the first week or so in May.
speaker
George
I would say when it comes to economic occupancy, the way I look at it is if you take where we ended the year at the end of the first quarter, which was 345,000 basis points down from part of the year and exactly in line with where we believed it would end, it was driven by the counterfeasal inventory. That's the drop in occupancy. We've explained that, etc. If you look for the remaining part of the year, the next three quarters, we would have to sequentially improve economic occupancy over that time period 400 basis points to get to our midpoint guide. We're very comfortable with that within the context of a year that is back to a kind of seasonal environment. So that's how we view the guide going forward, and that's why we are comfortable with the guide and have not changed it. When it comes to April and economic authenticity, I don't have any data on that. I mentioned the throughput data because it was something we were tracking. But I don't have any data on economic opportunity for April, other than to say it's in line with our guide for the year, because if it wasn't, we would have been aware of that.
speaker
Todd Thomas
Okay. And then, you know, the fixed commitment level, you know, you improved that again by 200 basis points. Is there more upside than you previously thought in terms of where you think that can be, you know, in terms of fixed commits across the portfolio?
speaker
George
Rob, why don't you take that one where you are close to that?
speaker
Rob
Yeah, I mean, we've said that we can get that into the 60s. And so, I mean, that in and of itself is a relatively wide range, but that's still what our target is. You know, there's always going to be a portion of this business that is going to be transactional. Right now, we have a line of sight to getting fixed commitments into the 60% range, and I think that's what we're comfortable with at the moment as our target. We're okay with a portion of this business being transactional, but right now we're focused on getting this into the 60s.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Yanku with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.
speaker
spk13
I agree. Thank you. I just want to go back to guidance, specifically your non-fame store NOI guidance. There was about a $6 million swing at the NIP point. Could you provide some background in terms of what drove that change, and then how much of that is due to revenue versus effects?
speaker
Jay
I'll take a little bit on this one, and then hand it over to you, Rob. I mean, as Rob mentioned on the call, it's really looking at our Retail automated facilities in Plainfield and Lancaster, which we are being very discreet in our ramp up there. And it is not pushing out the stability dates. It's not pushing out the return on invested capital. It is just a much, not a much, but a slower ramp up. But let me hand it over to you, Rob, if you want to add more color to that.
speaker
Rob
Yeah, what I would say is, you know, we delivered five automated facilities last year, and three of them supporting food manufacturing are all ramping up in line with our expectations. And then it's our two retail developments in Pennsylvania and Connecticut that, you know, are progressing and ramping up, but ramping up slower than we had previously anticipated as we fine-tune the automation. And so, you know, we've made a decision with our customer jointly to slow that ramp. So, Specific to the question about is it really more a revenue or a cost side, it's really going to be on the revenue side, which will flow down to the earnings because we'll see less volume through those facilities than we had originally planned in our guide. But I think we think that taking more time now to optimize the automation will allow for a more smooth ramp and ultimately to be able to continue to hit our stabilization dates and returns.
speaker
spk01
Thank you this concludes today's teleconference.
speaker
Operator
You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.
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