7/27/2023

speaker
Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to QSEHRA's second quarter 2023 earnings call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode, and please be advised that this call is being recorded. After the speaker's prepared remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, please press star, followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, again, press star one. I'd like to turn the call over to Cam Carey, Head of Investor Relations. Mr. Carey, you may begin.

speaker
Cam Carey

Hi, everyone, and thank you for joining our Q2 earnings conference call. With me today is Jeff Maggi and Calda, Corsair's Chief Executive Officer, and Ken Hahn, our Chief Financial Officer. Following their prepared remarks, we will open the call for questions. Our press release, including financial tables, was issued after market close and is posted on our investor relations website located at investor.coursera.com where this call has been simultaneously webcast and where versions of the prepared remarks and supplemental slides are available. During this call, we will present both GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures. a reconciliation and non-GAAP measures, which are the most directly comparable GAAP measure, can be found in today's press release and supplemental presentation, which are distributed and available to the public through our investor relations website. Please note, all growth percentages refer to year-over-year change unless otherwise specified. Additionally, all statements made during this call relating to future results and events are forward-looking statements based on current expectations and beliefs. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements regarding the potential impacts of trends affecting our industry and uncertainties in the current economic and educational environment, our ecosystem, platform, content, and partner relationships, our anticipated plans, and the anticipated advantages and benefits thereof, our strategy and priorities, our share repurchase program and capital and cash allocation, and our business model, mission, opportunities, outlook, and future intentions. Actual results and events could differ materially from projections due to a number of risks and uncertainties discussed in our press release, SEC filings, and supplemental materials. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance or plans, and investors should not place undue reliance on them. We assume no obligation to update our forward-looking statements. And with that, I'd like to turn it over to Jeff.

speaker
Jeff Maggi

Thanks, Cam, and good afternoon, everyone. We appreciate you joining us today. I'm pleased to share that Coursera had a strong second quarter with momentum in several key growth initiatives that provide us with confidence as we enter the second half of the year. We grew revenue 23% over the prior year. We delivered double digit growth in each of our segments. We welcomed 5.7 million new learners to our platform. And today we're raising our outlook on revenue and adjusted EBITDA for the year. The macro environment remains dynamic, but one thing that has not changed is our ability to navigate given our diversified platform. Coursera's prominence as a global destination for individuals looking to start, switch, or advance their careers continues to grow. Learners are coming to Coursera from around the world, seeing the skills, branded credentials, and pathways that can transform their lives. In particular, we continue to see strong demand for our entry-level professional certificates, a strategic asset that has been created in collaboration with the world's best known companies. And despite challenges in the corporate spending environment, institutions are looking to provide their employees, citizens, and students with job relevant skills and training that make them more relevant in a rapidly changing workforce. We believe the long-term structural trends driving our business are proving sustainable. For today's call, I discuss our latest views on these trends. digital transformation, skills development, and the transformation of higher education. I'd like to share several key findings from a recent World Economic Forum report as well. In June, the World Economic Forum, or WEF, published the latest edition of their Future of Jobs report. The report brings together the perspectives of more than 800 companies employing more than 11 million individuals across 45 global economies. The analysis focuses on the impact of current labor market disruptions and reveals the outlook for technology adoption jobs and skills over the next five years. Coursera was a key data contributor alongside companies like Indeed and LinkedIn due to the scale of our global learner base and skilling data. Let's start with our first trend, digital transformation. The forces of technology, globalization, and automation have been accelerating the transformation of every institution in our society. But compared to the historical adoption of general purpose technologies, it's clear that what we're experiencing now is an unprecedented rate of change. For example, it took decades for innovations like the telephone, electricity, and the automobile to reach 100 million global users. Today, we're witnessing this time horizon compressed dramatically, from several years with the internet and mobile computing to a matter of just months with chat GPT. We believe that AI will be a general purpose technology, representing the next major technological shift that will profoundly change how we live, learn, and work. Not surprisingly, the WEF report reinforces technology adoption as a key driver of business transformation, and it also highlights an increased urgency amongst companies looking to address the gap between worker skills and the future needs of their businesses. And this leads me to the second major trend, skills development. Several key findings in the report express the skilling challenges faced by companies and governments globally. Employers estimate that 44% of worker skills will be disrupted over the next five years. Six in 10 workers will require training before 2027. And the skill sets that companies see increasing in importance the fastest are not always reflected in corporate upskilling strategies or in the skills that individual learners commonly associate with in-demand careers. For example, cognitive skills like analytical thinking and creative thinking as well as leadership and social influence are seen as equally important as technical skills in AI and big data. And I hear these challenges directly from our customers. Over the past nine months, I visited more than 45 cities in more than 25 countries, hearing from business leaders, government officials, and campus presidents. As institutions struggle to navigate change and disruption and take advantage of the opportunities that they create, there's a greater emphasis on building organizational agility into the existing and future workforce. It requires a combination of technical and human skills in order to harness the capabilities of these new technologies. And this leads me to the third trend driving our business, the transformation of higher education. We believe the future of education is the collaboration between universities and industry. Critical thinking, coaching, and community are all hallmarks of the university experience that higher education institutions do exceptionally well. But at the pace of digital transformation, many universities and colleges lack a connection to industry, the fast-changing skills landscape, and evolving employer demands. Adapting this accelerated pace of change will require institutional collaboration between academic institutions, industry leaders, and government to meet the needs and pace of this new digital world. And the WEF findings report that 45% of businesses see funding for skills as an effective intervention available to governments seeking to connect talent to employment. This ranks ahead of traditional methods like flexibility on hiring and firing practices, tax and other incentives, and changes to immigration laws. Last quarter, we highlighted our partnership with the Republic of Kazakhstan, where the Ministry of Higher Education and Science is using Coursera to up-level its public higher education system. And I wanted to provide an update on the speed and scale of what national implementation can drive when these institutions are working together. Since launching in March, 20,000 students and faculty have signed up, spending nearly 100,000 hours learning, amassing 40,000 enrollments, and completing more than 25,000 courses. And the most popular courses include a combination of technical and human skills like programming and physics, as well as entrepreneurship, leadership, and communication. This is the promise of Coursera's three-sided platform. And examples like these provide a powerful blueprint for the types of innovation that will be required to keep pace with our rapidly changing world. We are able to pursue partnerships like these because of our strategic assets and platform advantages, which include our leading educator partners who've created a broad catalog of trusted and branded content and credentials, our global reach to individuals and institutions, which include businesses, governments, and campuses, as well as our data, technology, and AI advancements that we leverage across our platform. Now let's cover our recent progress for each. First, our educator partners. We believe that in a world where machines are increasingly capable of producing content at scale, trusted institutions will play a valuable role in education as learners look for quality and accuracy. The strategic focus of our content engine centers around the in-demand skills and branded credentials that can unlock career opportunities for our learners. And because of our global ecosystem and our platform, we're able to build differentiated value around our catalog with advancements like career pathways using Coursera hiring solutions, American Council on Education or ACE credit recommendations, technology solutions like hands-on projects, ID verification and academic integrity, and performance-based admissions from open content to college degrees. Our catalog is created by a combination of more than 300 trusted university and industry experts, which are attracted to Coursera for many reasons, including our mission, our global distribution to individuals and institutions, and our record of being a trusted steward of the world's best brands. These partners continue to rapidly expand our catalog, and I'd like to start with recent updates on our growing selection of entry-level professional certificates. In Q2, we introduced 11 new entry-level professional certificates from new and existing partners. Roles from new partners include retail customer service from CVS Health, call center customer service also from CVS Health, network engineering from Akamai, customer consulting and support also from Akamai, human resource associate from HR Certification Institute, cybersecurity analyst from Microsoft, and Power BI data analyst also from Microsoft. We also launched additional job roles from two of our earliest and most successful partners, including cybersecurity from Google, as well as project manager, IT project manager, and front-end developer, all from IBM. The entry-level professional certificates on Coursera are able to be leveraged across every segment of our platform. They forge new pathways to well-paying digital jobs in our consumer segment. They allow a student to begin and earn credit towards a college degree in our degree segment. And they enable governments and campuses to upgrade entire systems of higher education in our enterprise segment. Now let's discuss degrees. Last quarter, we announced 10 new programs, many of which take full advantage of the pathway capabilities of Coursera to make these degrees accessible and well-suited for working adults. Several of these pathway degrees, including programs from the University of Colorado Boulder, Illinois Tech, and Ball State, will welcome their first student cohorts starting this fall. And in Q2, we announced two new degree programs in artificial intelligence from international universities. including a bachelor's program from the Indian Institute of Technology Guwahati, a top-tier engineering school in India, as well as a master's program from Universidad de Los Andes in Colombia. Finally, in addition to degrees in artificial intelligence, our leading educator partners have been focused on creating new projects, courses, and specializations to meet the demand for generative AI learning content. This includes both industry and university partners like deeplearning.ai, Google Cloud, and Vanderbilt University. Our new content supplements hundreds of existing courses and skills that help equip learners to work with AI more broadly, like machine learning, linear algebra, Python, and more. So that's an update on our catalog and educator partners. Now let's move to our second major advantage, the global reach of our platform. In Q2, we added 5.7 million new registered learners, growing our global learner base to 129 million by the end of June. Learner growth continued to be broad-based with double-digit percentage increases across all regions. We also grew the number of paid enterprise customers to nearly 1,300, with recent additions driven by momentum in our campus and government verticals. Finally, I'd like to provide some updates on our third advantage, which is the ongoing product innovation across our platform. And I'd like to start with our efforts in generative AI. At Coursera conference in April, we unveiled Coursera Coach. Coach is a virtual learning partner powered by generative AI and grounded in our expert content. It is designed to allow learners to ask questions and receive personalized explanations and answers, get personalized evaluations and feedbacks on their submissions, receive context-relevant examples and practice questions, and discover quick video lecture summaries and resources to better understand a specific concept. We launched a beta version of Coach to millions of Coursera Plus subscribers during the quarter and continue to be excited about the early feedback from these technologies when paired with the trusted authoritative content from our partners on Coursera. Additionally, we introduced a Coursera ChatGPT plugin for enhanced personalization and discovery across the Coursera catalog. Like an academic counselor, the ChatGPT plugin allows learners using GPT-4 to identify recommended content and credentials based on the subject or career field the learner says they're interested in exploring. It's one example of the initiatives we're working on related to generative AI and reimagining the personalized discovery experience. Finally, we continue to make progress on our machine learning translation initiative. As a reminder, our strategy is to use technology to dramatically reduce the time and cost of producing high-quality trusted content at scale, including localization. In Q2, we delivered the first milestone with subtitle translation for 2,000 courses in seven different languages. In the coming quarter, we will begin to roll out the full course translations to learners around the world. We believe that high quality education from the world's leading experts and brands should be accessible to learners anywhere in the world, no matter what language they speak. To wrap up my opening remarks, let me remind you of several key priorities that we are focused on in the years ahead. First, we are broadening our catalog of entry-level professional certificates, including new partners, roles, languages, and credit recommendations to support degree pathways. Second, we're sourcing and launching new degree programs, especially those tailored to meet the unique needs of working adults, including flexibility, affordability, and clear pathways so that our open content and industry micro-credentials can count as credit towards college degrees. Third, we're focused on growing our enterprise segment across business, government, and campus customers seeking to address their needs in this fast-changing environment. And we're deepening our advantages while driving more scale and leverage over time, including the opportunity to use AI technologies for the benefit of our learners, educators, and customers. And now I'd like to turn it over to Ken. Ken, please go ahead. Thanks, Jeff.

speaker
Cam

And good afternoon, everyone. Our strong second quarter results demonstrate the differentiated value of our branded job-relevant credentials to millions of learners around the world. As a growth company, we continue to benefit from our diversified platform model, including our ability to deliver high-quality learning through multiple channels. That model is also helping us produce financial leverage while we grow with the three segments providing each other competitive assets and operational leverage. In Q2, we generated total revenue of $153.7 million, which was up 23% from a year ago. Growth was driven by double-digit increases across all three of our segments with particular strength in consumer. Please note that for the remainder of the call, as I review our business performance and outlook, I'll discuss our non-GAAP financial measures unless otherwise noted. Additionally, I'd like to remind you that our results particularly the year-over-year comparisons in gross profit and operating expenses, continue to reflect the shift in income statement line items associated with the beginning-of-year contract extension with our largest industry partner, which we have discussed thoroughly in our prior two earnings calls. Cutting through that shift in P&L geography year-over-year, we are driving strong bottom-line EBITDA performance. Cost of revenue increased by 11 points as a percentage of revenue, while total OPEX decreased 22 points compared to year-ago results. As we'll discuss in a minute, we are raising our 2023 annual EBITDA margin target. For the second quarter, gross profit was $81.9 million, slightly up on the dollar basis from a year ago, and a 53% gross margin. which was down 11 points from the prior year. Total operating expense was $88.8 million, or 58% of revenue, down 22 points from 80% in the prior year. Looking at the P&L line item components of OPEX, sales and marketing expense represented 29% of total revenue, down 9 points from 38%. Research and development expense was 18% of revenue down eight points from 26%. And general and administrative expense was 11% of revenue down five points from 16%. Net loss was approximately $300,000 or 0.2% of revenue. And adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $2.9 million or 1.9% of revenue. Our adjusted EBITDA performance was better than anticipated due to a combination of factors, including overall revenue strength, operating expense discipline, and a one-time $2.3 million benefit associated with a contract amendment with an educator partner. We have a track record of delivering growth with leverage, including each of the past five years, and I'm pleased with our ability to invest and execute on multiple growth initiatives while also demonstrating scale and leverage in our operating model. Turning to cash performance in the balance sheet, free cash flow was a use of $11.5 million during the quarter compared to a use of $3.2 million a year ago. We ended the quarter with approximately $717 million of unrestricted cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities with no debt. With regards to our share repurchase program that we announced last quarter as a direct reflection of our confidence in our business and the value we place on shareholder equity, I'm happy to report that during the second quarter, we bought back 4.5 million shares, an average price of $12.06 per share, for a total repurchase of $54.5 million, including commissions. A $95 million authorization amount was designed to reduce the impact of dilution from one-time talent grants issued in the prior year. Importantly, our views on capital allocation remain unchanged. In the context of our belief that we have the right assets and market position to win in our early large growth markets, our capital management focuses on both investments and organic growth and the resilience and strategic optionality provided by a strong balance sheet. We believe our cash, which we hold dear, is a considerable asset that will enable us to execute on a long-term vision for the benefit of our shareholders. Next, let's discuss in more detail the financial results and progress in each of our segments. Consumer revenue was $87 million, up 25% from the prior year on strong demand for our entry-level industry partner professional certificates. As Jeff discussed, We introduced 11 new certificates this quarter, including new job categories from new partners, as well as additional titles from several of our most successful industry brands. We believe we are seeing the benefits of our strategic focus, which emphasizes job-relevant credentials created by world-class brands. It distinguishes our learning platform, the value of our offerings to learners, and ultimately, our consumer performance. And it also enhances our top of funnel traffic with 5.7 million new registered learners coming to Coursera in Q2. Segment gross profit was $45.1 million or 52% of consumer revenue compared to 73% a year ago, reflecting the impact of the industry partner contract extension mentioned previously. Moving to enterprise. Enterprise revenue was $54.2 million, up 24% from a year ago on continued growth in our business, government, and campus verticals. Segment gross profit was $38.7 million, or 71% of enterprise revenue, which was slightly higher than expected due to a one-time benefit of a contract amendment with one of our educator partners, which had the effect of increasing our enterprise segment margin by four percentage points for the quarter. The total number of paid enterprise customers increased to 1,291, up 35% from a year ago. And our net retention rate for paid enterprise customers was 97%, with ongoing pressure in our Coursera for Business vertical during the quarter. We continue to see corporate learning customers exercise caution in their spending priorities as they navigate tighter budgets amidst macroeconomic uncertainty. And finally, our degrees segment. Degrees revenue is $12.5 million, up 10% from a year ago on increased student enrollment. The total number of degree students grew 9% from a year ago to 19,068. As a reminder, there's no content cost attributable to the degree segment, so degree segment gross margin was 100% of revenue. We remain encouraged by our progress in degrees and the early momentum in programs and partners like the University of Colorado Boulder that leverage our platform's unique capabilities and scale. In our discussions with current and prospective universities, it is clear a more accessible, affordable, and relevant model of education is required for college degrees, and we look forward to welcoming the first student cohorts for several of these newly sourced, pathway-focused programs starting this fall. Now onto our financial outlook. For Q3, we're expecting revenue to be in the range of $156 to $160 million, and an adjusted EBITDA loss in the range of $9 to $14 million. For full year 2023, we are increasing our outlook for both revenue and adjusted EBITDA. We now anticipate revenue to be in the range of $617 to $623 million, representing approximately 18% growth at the midpoint of the range. our full-year revenue outlook has increased by $20 million since the start of the year and $15 million since the prior quarter, driven by our increased confidence in the durable demand we continue to see in our consumer segment. For adjusted EBITDA, we're now expecting a loss of $19 to $24 million, or a negative 3.5% adjusted EBITDA margin at the midpoint of the revenue and EBITDA guidance ranges. As you know, our consistent practice, both pre-public and as a public company, is to set an annual EBITDA margin target at the beginning of the year and work within that plan to maximize growth based on the trajectory of the business. So this is a notable change for us, driven by both top line performance and operating efficiency for a revised guidance improvement of 150 basis points in full year adjusted EBITDA margin. Furthermore, In addition to a higher profitability target for the year, I want to reiterate the comments we made at our investor day in March of this year. We expect to be EBITDA breakeven in the fourth quarter of this year and to be EBITDA positive for full year 2024. To summarize, we are operating a diversified growth company with multiple levers across our three-sided platform. We are delivering this growth with increased scale and leverage. And we've built a strong financial foundation that will afford us the resilience and strategic flexibility to lead our large and early markets. I'll now turn the call back to Jeff for closing comments.

speaker
Jeff Maggi

Thanks, Ken. Our mission is deeply rooted in our business, but this is also the case for many of our customers. To wrap up today's remarks, I'd like to share an example of an exciting partnership with one of our largest Coursera for Business customers. BNP Paribas Cardiff a leading insurance and financial services company, has had a relationship with Coursera since 2019. In June, we expanded our partnership with a multi-year agreement to provide access to online education to all BNP Paribas Cardiff employees, as well as over 5 million customers across Latin America. Their insurance policies now include digital education services. BMP Paribas Cardiff uses Coursera as a value enhancement for their customers, where insurance not only protects families, but also provides the necessary skills and credentials to help them access new job opportunities, increase their earning potential. It is another example of how businesses are seeing access to quality education as a key strategy to enhance their offerings and their global brands. And the Coursera ecosystem, and our reputation as a trusted steward of their brands is playing an increasingly prominent role to address the rapidly changing needs of our global economies as employers, as educators, and as enablers of the future workforce. In collaboration with our customers, we are focused on fulfilling our mission so that talent and opportunity can rise from anywhere in the world. Now, let's open the call for questions. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

At this time, if you would like to ask a question, please press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. We'll now take our first question from the line of Josh Baer with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.

speaker
Josh Baer

Great. Thanks for the question. I was hoping you could really hone in on the strength that you're seeing in consumer in the quarter and then also in your commentary for the rest of the year. Is it you know more driven by new professional certificates launched any any sense for like a same store sales type of look at enrollments for some of the existing certificates and also wondering if you're able to quantify in any way the contribution from AI related courses and programs yeah hey Josh this is Jeff it's it's a number of things on the consumer side

speaker
Jeff Maggi

And broadly, I think in three categories. One is quantity of new content that came on from new partners like Microsoft. They put out their first professional certificates on Coursera for entry-level jobs in Q2, but also certificates like the cybersecurity analyst certificate from Google that also came in Q2. So new content is definitely a part of that. But to your point around same-store sales, we do see good growth from existing titles as well. So it's not just new content. It's also apparently higher demand for existing content. There's another piece too, which is effectiveness of paid marketing. So we don't do a ton of paid marketing, but we just seem to see a better return in this. I think it's in this environment with this product offering, people seem pretty interested in this stuff. And I think it's the brands. I think it's the job orientation. I think it's the credentials. I think it's the credit pathways toward degrees, like a plurality of things about these certificates, including the flexibility, the affordability. I mean, it's just a lot of the features that we've been building over the last, whatever, eight years are resonating in this environment. And then I think finally, to that point, the sort of the environment, people often say that college education is counter-cyclical. I think it might be the case that this as well. And whether or not countercyclicality means for college degree, usually you see more enrollments in college degrees when unemployment goes up. We're not seeing a lot of higher unemployment right now. But I do think the new job opportunities is going up. And so the way to get into those new opportunities, if you're in a career where you don't have the skills and credentials to do that, I think these professional certificates are just kind of resonating as a pathway to a new career opportunity that otherwise I just couldn't have had. So I think it's kind of a bunch of different factors, but across the board, it's feeling pretty positive. Ken, anything that you'd say about the economics of these things or how you see it playing out in the future?

speaker
Cam

Nothing incremental to add. They look like the others, and the model is pretty well set. It's all about growth in this environment, as you said.

speaker
Josh Baer

Great. That was a great summary. If I could sneak in one more, just thinking about your balance sheet, it's very strong. I was hoping you could review your M&A philosophy and your strategy, what type of assets could potentially fit into your platform. Thanks.

speaker
Cam

Sure. Historically, Josh, we've had limited M&A activity. We do believe that the opportunity in front of us, with the right assets and the right markets, and these are huge markets, as I know you agree, having that dry powder for strategic flexibility is pretty important. On the front end, you know, we've continued to look. Assets have been expensive, as people are aware, with the previous environment. Things are coming down. We remain active. We're doing some investments today as it results in some various partnerships within that corporate development group. And we do continue to look at deals. We haven't found anything at the right price for the right asset. But philosophically, we look to things. We're not looking to bolt on more revenue. I think as you see us announce deals in the future, I'd expect things that add to the product portfolio where we actually get leverage on the top line and growth. as opposed to just buying revenue.

speaker
Jeff Maggi

Philosophically, that's not how we... And what I would add to that, Josh, is sometimes talent comes along and you buy an entity because there's really good talent associated with it. We've done that in the past. We can continue to do that now. Talent is extremely valuable. In elements of job placement, where we spent a lot of time on the learning. We just launched Coursera Hiring Solutions. We are building that out. I like the way that's going. We might be able to accelerate that with certain assets that have capabilities in job placement. I don't think that we buy content. but we might do something in content engine. So it's not so much the current catalog of content, but if there's a way of bringing content on that is novel and complementary to the way that our content engine works, I think that would be great. On AI, people are talking about emanating in AI. Frankly, we would probably do it more for the talent than the actual technology because these large language models are moving very quickly. We see early stage companies whole products get subsumed into the capabilities of a new base language model. So we're kind of holding back on that a little bit. And then broadly speaking, technology that makes the content better or the learning experience better is always great, whether that's ID verification, academic integrity, better assessment design, hands-on projects. We bought a company a few years ago called Rhyme that was a virtual machine technology that enabled hands-on projects using desktop software. So it was a technology that supported an enhanced learning experience and enhanced content because of the technology. We're interested in that kind of stuff.

speaker
Operator

Great. Thank you very much. Sure. Our next question comes from the line of Tom Singlehurst with Citi. Your line is open.

speaker
Tom Singlehurst

Thank you for taking the question. Good evening. A couple of questions. Maybe starting with that theme of countercyclicality. I mean, obviously, a number of things going on in consumer, but that's obviously a help. On enterprise, I mean, it's still really robust in terms of year-on-year, and you've obviously got different parts of it. But I'm interested in your take on the continued, sort of cyclical crashes on consumer provisions in particular. And I think earlier in the year, you sort of targeted 20% to 25% growth. Just checking in that you're sort of happy with that. If I can ask a follow-up to that question.

speaker
Jeff Maggi

Yeah, Tom, I think I caught that. So when it comes to cyclicality and counter-cyclicality, we touched on it a little bit with consumer, but as you mentioned in enterprise, when we talk about a diversified revenue model, part of that also is diversified across the enterprise segment. I mean, businesses are different from campuses, are different from governments, and they all have different exposures to economic cycles. We see the greatest pro-cyclicality in Coursera for business, mostly in Europe and North America, frankly. where L&D budgets and even teams are being reduced. But we don't really see that so much in universities and governments. And so blended into that enterprise segment are some differences where we actually see some offsetting of the pro-cyclicality of Coursera for Business with generally, I would say, counter-cyclicality or at least neutral on campuses and governments. And as those verticals become a bit bigger, we think it could dampen the exposure to economic cycles of the enterprise segment. And so that's kind of my thinking on that. Ken, I don't know if you've got anything to add. No, that's spot on. Thanks.

speaker
Tom Singlehurst

And a follow-up is on pricing. I'm just interested whether you have, well, you clearly do have pricing power, whether you're exploiting pricing power across particularly the consumer part of the business.

speaker
Jeff Maggi

Yeah, I would say not really. I mean, there's sort of pricing power, if you will, against the learner, which basically requires you to be a different solution than they can get anywhere else. There's a lot of content out there on the Internet. We don't think that we are like the only game in town. We do think that this career academy with all these professional certificates is pretty unique. But frankly, we're still very much in growth mode. So we're not sort of trying to flex anything on pricing at this point. When it comes to sort of economic sharing between us and our partners, we like our arrangements right now. We want to make sure our partners are super motivated to create more content and credentials. These are great brands. So we're also not really flexing anything there. And we think there might be some opportunities in international markets, not so much on pricing, but in payments and currency, kind of payment methods and currency, where we think there's still opportunity that we believe that we could unlock probably most on the consumer side.

speaker
spk05

That's very cool. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Yeah. Thanks, all. Our next question comes from the line of Rishi Jaluria with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

speaker
Rishi Jaluria

Hey, this is Rich Poland. I'm for Rishi. Thanks for taking my question. It's great to see the momentum with the Republic of Kazakhstan partnership as well as the expanded partnership with BNP. Just curious, how should we think about the mechanics of these types of deals and how those new learners get monetized? And then are there any other similar partnerships to call out or that you'd highlight here? Thanks.

speaker
Jeff Maggi

Yeah. Hey, Rishi. This is Jeff. The way that I would categorize this generally, or at least the way I think about it and we think about it from a modeling perspective, is that fundamentally in the enterprise segment, we're selling seat licenses. And so the question is, well, who buys a seat license and for whom? And what we're seeing is what I think of as sort of system-wide deals. As with the Republic of Kazakhstan and many other systems, including state Department of Labor workforce development programs and even university systems in the United States and other places, oftentimes you'll find one institution with an intention to up-level the educational capabilities of a system of educators. It could be a school system in what country or a school system within a state or a municipality, the head institution will buy a certain number of licenses and almost do pilot testing with a number of member institutions, if you will, What we are really thinking about here is sort of an NRR sort of approach. If you can get in with someone who can prove out the model, demonstrate use cases on a smaller buy, but to many other institutions where there's a lot more availability for upsell of licenses because they're not buying a license for every single person, we think that could be a really leveraged sales model where it takes a bit more time to win a government But once you do, you get access to lots and lots of sub-institutions and with upsell opportunities. So that's kind of how we think about it. It's a little bit longer sales cycle. We think it's more defensible, and we think it should have positive effects on our NRR over time.

speaker
Rishi Jaluria

Thank you. That's very helpful. And then just to follow up on that, it's just you've highlighted good momentum in that campus and government side of the enterprise business. And just trying to think about, like, Is this the kind of situation where maybe those businesses become large enough in the next economic cycle to make a meaningful difference to offset some of the headwinds you're seeing in the corporate side? Or just how should we think about not only the kind of, I guess, near-term dynamics within the enterprise business, but then also just how you think about the TAM across the three sub-verticals?

speaker
Jeff Maggi

Great question. And I think it is not unreasonable to expect that in some future time, that's not way out there, they will be big enough, they being Coursera for campus and Coursera for government, will be big enough to offset some of the procyclicality of Coursera for business. I will generally say, you know, those two are not more than, together, are not more than Coursera for business, but they're more than, you know, 25%. I mean, it's becoming a real thing. And so it's definitely part of our strategy is to say, how can you take the same content and credentials, the same technology platform, and all the same product, marketing, sales, et cetera, underneath it and get leverage across a broader TAM? Will those TAMs be bigger than Coursera for Business? I don't know. It's conceivable. I mean, when you think about all of government workforce development programs, they can be pretty big. and the campuses obviously spend a lot of money. I mean, it's basically a $2 trillion market in terms of tuition for all degree-granting institutions in the world. Generally speaking, they're about break-even. So they spend, I mean, universities worldwide, they spend well over a trillion dollars, clearly, and so that could be a meaningful time, we think.

speaker
Rishi Jaluria

Wonderful. Extremely helpful. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Sure. Our next question comes from the line of Eric Sheridan with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

speaker
Eric Sheridan

Thank you so much for taking the question. Maybe coming back to the topic on the enterprise, given the corporate spending environment you mentioned earlier, how would you characterize your visibility into whether you want to think about it in terms of the acquisition funnel or the rate of customer growth or NRR going forward and trying to marry mixtures of sort of visibility into trends versus investing behind the growth you want to achieve in the long term and how we should possibly think about that as an exit velocity for this year. Thanks so much.

speaker
Jeff Maggi

Thanks, Eric. I'll give you the very high level how we think about it. Maybe, Ken, you can take the harder part of the question, which is exit velocity, which I usually do to you. Clearly, when you look at NRR, you say, all right, you got new bookings, not part of NRR. Well, yeah, bookings of new customers, not part of NRR. Then you got expansion bookings, and then you got your attention of your existing error. And we don't see the same characteristics among those three new bookings versus expansion bookings versus retention. You know, a lot more of the pressure has been in customers who signed bigger deals during COVID, especially in Europe, where budgets were very big. Companies and government institutions really focused on providing support, including learning support for workers displaced from the office. Well, you know, things aren't in COVID times anymore. The budgets are tighter. The economy is not looking great with what's happening there. And so there has been more pressure on some of those expansion bookings as there has been basically tightening of the budgets across the board. So how does that all play into exit velocity? Ken, I'm going to punt that over to you and watch your artful answer.

speaker
Cam

Yeah, no. Well, I think the important thing, and this is very much a topic on our minds right now because we're beginning our planning cycle, which is being quite early today. And as Jeff said, the NRR is the immediate, you know, that's the least laggy because it affects revenue more quickly, both as it relates to renewals, which is immediate revenue impact, and expansion deals. But new bookings, and Jeff said it, new bookings have remained relatively strong. So as we come to the end of the year and we look going forward, you know, as we start to do our budgeting for next year, those bookings, bookings, those newer bookings will start to flow into revenue. And then it's a balancing of Salesforce towards opportunity between C for B, C for G, and C for C, which we'll try to do to optimize towards the best opportunity considering where we are from an economy standpoint. So that's how we think about it.

speaker
Jeff Maggi

Yeah, and I think we kind of already hinted at it a bit, but the big NRR headwinds are in Coursera for Business in Europe and North America. That's really helpful. Thanks for the color. Sure.

speaker
Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Ryan McDonald with Needham & Company. Your line is open.

speaker
Ryan McDonald

Hey, this is Matt Shea on for Ryan. Thanks for taking the question and congrats on a nice quarter here. I wanted to start with degrees. Given your expectation for the segment to grow 25% next year, I'm wondering if you guys could talk about what you're seeing in terms of enrollment trends for the upcoming fall cohorts on those newer programs and how that's trending relative to your expectations. And then as those enrollments start to come in, should we see those hit in 3Q or 4Q? Or what is kind of your timing expectations around those enrollment numbers?

speaker
Jeff Maggi

Great. So I'll talk a little bit about the dynamics of the segment. Ken, maybe you could talk about the timing and impact of the numbers for next year. We're feeling pretty good about this segment. We're feeling good about what we have told you guys at Investor Day, about the 25% growth in 2024 for the segment. And when we look at the opportunity and say, why are we seeing more positive year-on-year improvements in degree segment revenue than we did, say, last year this time, part of it is perhaps the economy, but But a lot of it is the supply of degrees. We have a broader selection. We can find more matches among the learners on our platform. We feel good about that so long as we do a good job with the matching. And we really are pushing much harder to a certain kind of new degree. These degrees that are built on pathways, notably pathways from these professional certificates. What we hear from working adults. is they want something more affordable. They want something that is more flexible. They want something that is more aligned to a certain job, especially if they want to transition from one career to another. The idea that you can do one of these professional certificates, and while you're earning the certificate from an industry player, have it count as credit towards a college degree that you can also earn online that's affordable and flexible, people really like that. So a lot of our strategy is not just like, let's sell more degrees that are now online. It's let's offer a product, a solution to working adults who are trying to switch careers that frankly isn't really much in the market today. We sometimes think of them as pathway degrees, these pathways to degrees that are really much better suited. So we're in early days. We talked about University of Colorado Boulder. They had that Masters of Science and Data Science. Continue to see good results there. A number of the new degrees coming on in the fall have these same kind of pathway characteristics. makes us feel pretty positive, but at the same time, it's hard to estimate before something really hits the market and you see the learner demand for it exactly what the numbers will be.

speaker
Cam

So, Ken, in terms of expectations for Q3 and kind of impact on that... Sure, and you've already set this up with the right highlight, of course, around the change in strategy or the emphasis in strategy on these new pathway degrees, which are at higher volume. We've introduced and we've announced those new degree programs this quarter, the last couple of quarters, And we've been building that capacity to fulfill those new student cohorts. The fall quarter is when you will see, but that'll be the first indication of how well we fulfill. And so we're looking forward to talking about those numbers as we work very hard in fulfilling those student cohorts. And so, but you will see that this coming quarter, it will be a fairly immediate feedback loop on how well we're doing. And, you know, we expect that we gave the 25% Guidance for next year back at our investor day because we have great visibility on the revenue side. So, you know, it's a look forward into next year, which we'll provide an update on as we do our planning going into next year as well. But once again, I'd look to the student ads and some more color this coming quarter, which we're pretty excited about.

speaker
Ryan McDonald

Got it. That is super helpful. And then wanted to touch on one of your newer initiatives. You recently began to launch more vertical specific industry certifications like in healthcare with med certs. Curious on the strategy there. How do you guys increase your exposure to learners in the healthcare segment that might not have previously been engaged with Coursera? And given the workforce challenges in the healthcare market, how large of an opportunity do you think this vertical could be for Coursera over time? Thanks.

speaker
Jeff Maggi

Well, yeah, Matt, great question. And I appreciate it because it will allow us to maybe articulate our strategy with respect to labor markets. I mean, a really simple thing, if it's not obvious of what we're trying to do, is find out where there are either on the learner side big job opportunities or on the employer side acute job shortages. And then say, how can you help people move into those opportunities if that's not what they'd already been educationally trained and credentialized to do? Well, clearly healthcare is a very, very large market with acute labor shortages, a very high requirement for credentialing that has to come from trusted institutions. And you noticed that we are putting more of these healthcare-related professional certificates. It's not the full degree, but you can imagine kind of we're talking about pathway degrees. We're putting out these professional certificates in health. You can imagine where we might be going. And, you know, report after report is showing that the number of job opportunities in health care globally is going to grow because of demographics and the aging of the global workforce. And technology is going to change the nature of those jobs. And those types of jobs will be some of the least impacted by AI. So we think it's a really attractive market, especially for Coursera, given the branded credentials, given the whole degree pathways, the value of a degree, the global key charges. and the general resilience in the face of AI. I think a lot of people are going to be wanting to go and change their career, start going after healthcare-related jobs, because I think there's going to be a pretty attractive set of opportunities there.

speaker
Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Taylor McGinnis with UBS. Your line is open.

speaker
Taylor McGinnis

Yeah. Hi. Thanks so much for taking my question. So, Ken, maybe one for you. You raised the full year rep guide this year by more than the 2QB, which I think is a little bit different of approach than you took last quarter, being a little bit more conservative. So I guess what happened in the quarter or in the environment that's giving you greater confidence in the back half of the year and You know, is there a chance that you maybe have a little bit greater visibility? Is there a certain segment you'd call out, something in the pipeline? Would love to get a little call there.

speaker
Cam

Yeah, sure. Thanks, Taylor. Of course, as the year progresses, we get better visibility on the revenue for the year. But we have really seen some firming up, particularly on the consumer segment, which is That business is really nicely dialed in. We think we have a handle on how we're doing on these professional certs. The machine from a metric standpoint is working, so we have greater operational visibility than we did before. We have some better certainty in some of our marketing programs, which Jeff mentioned previously. And so the ability to dial that in and react to changes in the environment gives us more confidence as we move forward. As we get closer to the end of the year, both on the enterprise side, you know, the visibility and degrees particularly, you know, degrees we can give forecasts a year out that are reasonably reliable. They can increase over time, of course, as we fill student cohorts and get more confident. But, you know, as we get closer to year end, there's just the models provide better visibility, and so we're more comfortable there. You know, we seek to hit our commitments always, of course, as a public company. We try not to be too conservative, to be very clear. But that's let us recognize more of the overachievement, if you will.

speaker
Taylor McGinnis

Got it. Thanks so much. And my last question is just on the enterprise side, on the enterprise for business. I'd love to hear, you know, now that we're into like July, what you're seeing in terms of trends. You talked about, you know, you're seeing a little bit of more pressure to expansion. Any, you know, changes on churn that you call out and how those, you know, have progressed throughout the quarter to today?

speaker
Jeff Maggi

I would characterize it very broadly, Taylor, as, you know, compression on budgets and layoffs of teams, of L&D teams. I mean, it's, And what's interesting about this, and I wonder what is going to be the sort of response when, you know, clearly everybody agrees that we are entering a time of increasing employment change. Jobs will be changing, generative AI, I mean, publish after publish after publication after publication. They're all saying almost everybody's jobs are going to change. Part of me says, well, who's going to teach people all these new jobs? I mean, I get it that historically L&D is one of the first discretionary budget cuts. But I personally, as a CEO of Coursera, we are planning on retraining a lot of people in a lot of jobs because there's – They suggest, McKinsey suggests, that globally, generative AI alone, generative AI could unlock $4.4 trillion of productivity gains. Well, what's it going to take? What investment needs to be made to get the $4 trillion return? Some kind of skilling. Obviously, the tools and systems have to be upgraded, but people have to learn how to use those. So, I don't know, like from a first principles point of view, there is a little bit of a incoherence between companies cutting L&D in a time where people are going to need to be retrained in order to unlock productivity gains.

speaker
Taylor McGinnis

Awesome. Thanks so much for taking my question.

speaker
Operator

Sure. Our next question comes from the line of Robert Simmons with DA Davidson. Your line is open.

speaker
Robert Simmons

Hey, thanks for taking the question. I was wondering if you could go a little deeper on the color on the net retention number. How much of that decline is It comes from various factors, in particular, I'm thinking about gross local churn and pricing pressure, and then also kind of what your expectations are for the metric from here, what it might turn back up.

speaker
Jeff Maggi

Yeah, thanks, Robert. If you did a variance analysis of NRR by segment and region, like hypothetically if you did that and tried to attribute where is the change in NRR really coming from in that matrix, what you would find is it really jumps off the page. Coursera for Business in Europe and North America. I mean, that really explains an awful lot of this.

speaker
Cam

And that grid would be C for G, C for C, C for B, and then the different regions. You're highlighting the two.

speaker
Jeff Maggi

And that helps me answer, okay, well, when is this going to turn around? And at least without giving you, unfortunately, probably not giving you very helpful clarity, I can say... it will likely be related to the macroeconomic conditions for businesses in Europe and businesses in North America. In particular, how do companies view and fund learning and development initiatives?

speaker
Robert Simmons

Got it. I guess within your metrics, though, how are you seeing that show up? Is it customers turning it off? Are they cutting their usage? Is there a price pressure on renewals? What is actually driving it down?

speaker
Jeff Maggi

It looks mostly like pricing pressure on renewals.

speaker
Robert Simmons

Got it.

speaker
Operator

Perfect. Thank you very much.

speaker
Jeff Maggi

Sure.

speaker
Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Jason Salino with KeyBank Capital Markets. Your line is open.

speaker
Jason Salino

Hey, thanks for fitting me in. Just a couple. Similar to a question I asked earlier about, Ken, you're raising the EBITDA margin guide. Definitely nice to see. I guess what gives you the confidence to improve the path to break even? Because I think in the past, you haven't really guided up on the margin intra-year.

speaker
Cam

That's exactly right, Jason. We've never done that. And it's because we intentionally spend to invest because we're a growth company and we believe the marks are big and there's the opportunity to do that. Frankly, the overachievement on the top line, there's not the opportunity to spend that quick. We're already moving towards profitability. At the investor day back in March, We committed to profitability for Q4 and to EBITDA positive for 2024. So we've been on that trajectory. We've done that each of the last five years. It's just a matter of pace of improvement is the conversation. But we were outpacing our ability to spend productively in-year, and we're not going to waste money, that's for sure. And we are simply just seeing more leverage in the model. We've been very focused on doing that and creating leverage within the operating model within the departments. and it's at the point where we needed to raise guidance to be realistic about it.

speaker
Jeff Maggi

And Jason, one of the things I'll just add, it's probably obvious, but in every previous year, we did not put any Q4 constraints into that. We said, look, we're going to manage to the adjusted EBITDA margin for the year. Well, in 2023, we added that one constraint. We said, we're going to manage to this adjusted EBITDA margin, and we're going to be adjusted EBITDA positive in Q4. When you put the constraint on there, the natural answer that comes out is higher than what we were planning. And we thought, oh, let's honor the commitment on the Q4. It'll set us up nicely for next year. And we feel, by the way, that we could still fund growth initiatives at an appropriate level. That's step one. We would not sacrifice growth in order to post higher profit if we thought that we were really starving the growth opportunities for the company.

speaker
Jason Salino

Okay, perfect. No, good stuff. And then really quickly on the enterprise side, just competitively, I know it's a tough environment for everybody, but I guess how do you feel you're doing versus everyone else? I know one of your private competitors announced some layoffs, but I'm curious on how you think the market as a whole is doing.

speaker
Jeff Maggi

Well, I don't know for sure, and the information is a bit hard to get. Clearly, I would expect that if, as I said to Robert, pricing pressure on renewal is one of the things that we're seeing. I would be surprised if that were sort of specific to Coursera and others weren't seeing it. And then when I think, well, who would suffer the most from that? Well, we have pretty distinctive premium quality and branded credentials. So arguably, from sort of an economist perspective, we have a more differentiated product than others. So you'd expect we could resist pricing pressure better than others. I don't know what they're really experiencing, but it feels like we should be relatively in a better position there. We also see, as you can imagine, that when people are cutting budgets, they're also often rationalizing providers. If you are a smaller niche player, it might be harder. So I can't speak directly to our competitors, but what I can say is in a tough environment, I think we have some relatively speaking attractive features there. that help us weather it relatively better. But again, I'm not sure exactly what's happening with the competitors.

speaker
Operator

Okay, perfect. Thank you.

speaker
Jeff Maggi

Thanks, Jason.

speaker
Operator

Our last question comes from the line of Brett Knobloch with Kantor Fitzgerald. Your line is open.

speaker
Fitzgerald

Hi, guys. Thanks for taking my question. Maybe first, just on the guide, it implies kind of in the back half of the year call it 15%, 16% growth in the third quarter and 13-ish percent growth in the fourth quarter. And this is coming after we've just seen kind of revenue growth accelerate from Q1 in Q2. So, I guess, what assumptions are you factoring in where we would see called a 10-point decel in total revenue growth over the back end?

speaker
Cam

Yeah. We're pretty happy. We've increased the revenue guide by $20 million since the beginning of the year and just increased it $15 million this current period, along with an increase in profitability for the first time ever in a year. You know, we see continued strength in consumer. I think we see trends along consumer. the same paths we're seeing right now. So we don't provide specific segment guidance during the year. We provide a general guide at the beginning of the year just to help people get their models right. But, yeah, that's where it's at. We're pretty excited that we're announcing the level of growth that we are. We thank the investors.

speaker
Fitzgerald

Got it. And then kind of similar question on JustViva. I know you guys have sent that to them for the fourth quarter. But we've seen research, RD, sales and marketing, G&A, all decline in absolute from one to two levels in the 2Q. What should we think about OpEx growth for the remainder of the year? Is there a shot we hit positive JustViva in the third quarter? No.

speaker
Cam

We provided a specific guide, of course, for the – for the third quarter, and we expect we'll be within that range, of course, because it's the guidance we've provided. It's harder for us to spend to invest. There's some very real investments around translation that we have the opportunity to do now with AI and some other things we do that we think will lend a hand towards next year. Again, primarily, we're a growth company, so a lot of this is a focus on setting us up for 2024 and increased leverage and growth in 2024. So, no, I think doing Q3 would almost be pointless and damaging to the company. I'm not sure people would appreciate it if we did that. We're, you know, we committed back in March and we will hit that EBITDA positive in Q4. And the important thing is we're setting up for both growth and leverage, you know, on an ongoing basis, which is something we've delivered for the last five years. And so, you know, that's our model. I think the investors are used to it. You know, the notable difference, I would say, is we've increased the profitability target in a year instead of trying to, you know, invest. And, you know, it's kind of as Jeff described before, a natural outcome of picking a point in Q4 and driving towards that because we think it's important for the street to get that profitability is important to us. And so, you know, making progress there with the change environment is something we're really excited about.

speaker
Fitzgerald

Understood. Appreciate it. Keep your ass in the quarter, guys. Have a good one. Thanks, Brett.

speaker
Cam Carey

Thank you, everyone. That wraps the Q&A. A replay of this webcast will be available on our Investor Relations website along with a transcript in the next 24 hours.

speaker
Operator

This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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