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CubeSmart

Q42021

2/25/2022

speaker
Jason
Conference Moderator

Good morning and thank you for attending today's CubeSmart fourth quarter earnings call. My name is Jason and I'll be your moderator for today's call. All lines will be needed during the presentation portion of the call with an opportunity for questions and answers at the end. If you'd like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. I would now like to pass the conference over to Josh Stutzer, Vice President of Finance with CubeSmart.

speaker
Josh Stutzer
Vice President of Finance

Thank you, Jason. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to CubeSmart's fourth quarter 2021 earnings call. Participants on today's call include Chris Marr, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Tim Martin, Chief Financial Officer. Our prepared remarks will be followed by a Q&A session. In addition to our earnings release, which was issued yesterday evening, supplemental operating and financial data is available under the investor relations section of the company's website at www.cubesmart.com. The company's remarks will include certain forward-looking statements regarding earnings and strategy that involve risks, uncertainties, and other factors that may cause the actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements. Risks and factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from forward-looking statements are provided in documents the company furnishes to or filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, specifically the Form 8K we filed this morning together with our earnings release filed on the Form 8K. and the risk factor section of the company's annual report on Form 10-K. In addition, the company's remarks include reference to non-GAAP measures. The reconciliation between GAAP and non-GAAP measures can be found in the fourth quarter financial supplement posted on the company's website at www.cubasmart.com. I'll now turn the call over to Chris. Thank you all for joining us at the end of what has been a very unusual and turbulent geopolitical week in our world. We are proud to announce our fourth quarter and year-end results last evening. It was an extraordinary quarter for our company, wrapping up a truly memorable year. Our strong operating fundamentals continued in the fourth quarter. Sequentially, from the third quarter, we grew realized rent 170 basis points, boasting 16.1% growth. We were all alone at the top of our sector in generating sequential same-store revenue growth, gaining 20 basis points from our third quarter results. All of our markets continue to perform well. Pandemic-induced trends seem to have normalized first in the Acela corridor. Our outlook for 2022 assumes a gradual return to more traditional seasonality across most of our markets. In my 27 years in our industry, 2021 stands out as one of, if not the most remarkable periods I have experienced from all aspects of our business. Many of our customers inform us that they wish to be served in a more personalized manner than we have historically. Our teammates desire more flexibility in how and where they do their work. Operating fundamentals across all metrics, surpassed previous record highs. Investment opportunities were the most plentiful I can recall, seemingly surpassing even the 1994-1997 period of rapid consolidation in the post-RTC world. Attractive debt and equity capital was readily available to fund that external growth. Overall, it was very rewarding to see the industry be recognized as a great business, to be able to serve our customers and help relieve the stress that they feel in their life events, and for our CubeSmart teammates to be able to deliver the positive results we are all here to speak about today. It is an exciting time to be in our industry. The pandemic has introduced us to new customer segments. We have matured as a sector. This has resulted in many new shareholders, institutional investors, and entrepreneurs entering our space. Many of these are our customers, our competitors, and sometimes both. I believe we are living through a turning point in the perception of self-storage, and this time period will be viewed historically as the shift from a niche business to a respected core member of the real estate industry. Thank you, and I will turn the call over to Tim. Thanks, Chris, and thank you to everyone on the call for your continued interest and support. As Chris touched on, the fourth quarter wrapped up what was, by almost any measure, the best year in the history of the self-storage sector. Our team at CubeSmart was busy across all aspects of the business, and our strong team, platform, and portfolio put us in a position to capitalize on the opportunities that incredibly strong operating fundamentals presented. Same-store performance for the quarter included headline results of 15.8% revenue growth, 4.2% expense growth, yielding NOI growth of 20.6% for the quarter. Average occupancy in the fourth quarter was 93.8%, and we ended the quarter with occupancy of 93.3%. Same-store revenue growth at 15.8% continued to be very robust with our markets in the southeast and southwest parts of the country leading the way. We continue to see the ability to push rental rates across the portfolio to achieve our growth. Strong operating fundamentals also led to solid performance across our non-same-store portfolio and our third-party management business during the quarter. Combining all of that internal growth along with external growth, we reported FFO per share as adjusted of 58 cents for the quarter, representing 23.4% growth over the last year. We remain active and disciplined in our pursuit of external growth opportunities, and the fourth quarter was a very busy quarter for our team on that front. During the fourth quarter, we closed on the $1.7 billion acquisition of Laco Limited, the owner of the Storage West self-storage platform. This 59-store portfolio concentrated in Arizona, California, Nevada, and Texas was a great strategic fit for us as it enabled us to acquire high-quality, well-positioned stores that and to diversify our portfolio into several markets that we've historically been underweight in. Also during the quarter, we acquired five additional stores for $85.8 million, opened a development store in Massachusetts for $20.8 million, acquired a store in New York for $33.1 million in one of our joint ventures, and we sold a store in Texas for $5.2 million. Integration of all of these acquired stores is complete and went incredibly smoothly. So, very active quarter on the investment front then, not surprisingly, leads to a very active quarter on the capital raising front. We funded our growth in a manner consistent with our conservative investment-grade balance sheet strategy. During the quarter, we completed an equity offering of 15.5 million common shares at $51 a share, raising net proceeds of $765 million. We also issued over a billion dollars of unsecured senior notes in two tranches, a $500 million issue of 10-year bonds with a 2.5% coupon, and $550 million of 7-year bonds with a coupon of 2.25%. Proceeds were used to fund our investment activity and also to redeem $300 million of notes that were due in 2023. So that's obviously a lot of moving pieces. We detailed all of this in our supplemental package that we released last evening. But importantly, it all adds up to us being in a great position from a balance sheet perspective entering 2022. We funded the meaningful growth we experienced at the tail end of 21 and are prepared to be opportunistic going forward if we can identify attractive opportunities that will allow us to continue to execute on our discipline growth strategy. Looking forward, details of our 2022 earnings guidance and related assumptions were included in our release last night. our 22 same-store property pool increased by 17 stores. Consistent with prior years, our forecasts are based on a detailed asset-by-asset, ground-up approach and consider the impact of the store level, if any, of competitive new supply delivered in 2020, 2021, as well as the impact of 2022 deliveries that will compete with our stores. Embedded in our same-store expectations for 2022, is the impact of new supply that will compete with approximately 35% of our same-store portfolio. So from a trendline perspective, you'll recall that when we first introduced this metric back in 2017, we had 25% of our stores being impacted by supply. That 25% grew to 40% in 2018, then grew again to 50% in 2019. We then started to see the impact decline as impacted stores fell to 45% in 20, 40% last year, and now in 2022, we see that coming down to 35%. So we're continuing to see signs of a lessening impact from new supply as we move forward. Our FSO guidance does not include the impact of any speculative acquisition or disposition activity as levels of activity and timing are very difficult to predict. So wrapping up prepared remarks, Thanks to all of our hardworking, talented teammates who helped lead us to the successful execution of our business objectives across many, many fronts in 2021. It was indeed an extraordinary year for the sector and for our company, and we're energized and ready for 2022. Thanks again for joining us on the call this morning. At this time, Jason, let's open up the call for some questions.

speaker
Jason
Conference Moderator

Thank you. If you'd like to ask a question, please press star followed by one in your telephone keypad. If for any reason you'd like to remove that question, please press star followed by two. Again, to ask a question, press star one. If you're streaming today's call, please dial in and enter star one. As a reminder, if you're using speakerphone, please remember to pick up your handset before asking a question. We will pause here briefly as questions are registered. Our first question is from Juan Sanabria with BMF. Juan, please proceed.

speaker
Juan Sanabria
Analyst, BMF

Thank you. Good morning in Philadelphia. I'm just curious what you guys are seeing with regards to the geographic trends post-COVID. You mentioned the Acela corridor kind of normalizing first. So, just curious on if you could maybe just elaborate a bit on that and what you're expecting in the other regions as we get further along into 22.

speaker
Josh Stutzer
Vice President of Finance

Sure. This is Chris. You know, as I mentioned, when you think about those markets, Boston, Connecticut, New York, Philadelphia, Washington, D.C., they all seemingly in about the second quarter quarter of last year returned to more normalized seasonality, and we started to see more typical consumer trends there, and obviously sooner than what we have experienced in the Sunbelt and the West Coast markets. So as we think about going into 2022, embedded in our range of guidance is an expectation that that we will see those West Coast and Sunbelt markets also begin to demonstrate more typical seasonal patterns. And we expect, you know, we expect those to join the club, I guess, in that respect. So that sort of underlies how we think about things. So, again, when you think about what does that mean for Market by market, you know, those markets that have been slower to return to the normal, you know, the more normal seasonal patterns and also have the toughest comps, you know, we would expect to see their growth rate in 2022 slow, potentially at a little bit of a faster rate than those in the Acela corridor that have already had a couple of quarters of that more typical experience under their belt.

speaker
Juan Sanabria
Analyst, BMF

Thank you. And then just, um, hoping you could kind of give us an update on the supply picture in New York and whether you have any visibility into 23 and how that is, uh, how that's changed over the last couple of years. And when do you think that that market could turn to, to, uh, becoming a strength at one point again, hopefully soon.

speaker
Josh Stutzer
Vice President of Finance

Yeah. Thanks for the question. So again, it's, uh, It is, I think, most helpful. So look at that by sub-market. So again, a couple of data points, not to overwhelm folks with numbers, but it is unique and different by borough. And then when you consider Westchester, Long Island, and Northern Jersey as part of the MSA. So the Bronx saw the supply more rapidly than the other boroughs. Going all the way back to 2016, we had We had six new openings, and then it began to decline from there. We didn't have anything open in 2020. I think there was one new store in 21 and expectation of 182 in 2022. So you go out to 23 at the moment, really nothing on the docket. So I think that's that one end of the analysis. When you think about then Brooklyn and Queens, really more impacted at the moment. So in Brooklyn, we've seen quite a number of stores being introduced consistently over the last three years, running at a pace of about five new openings a year for 2020, 21, and 22 expected. And then, again, as we look out into 23, I don't see much, if anything, again, opening in Brooklyn. Assuming, again, these 22 stores, the four or so that are on the docket get finished. Queens, very modest, right? Hardly anything in one store in 18, you know, two stores in 2020. Right now, there are a total, I believe, of 10 new openings expected in Queens. Assuming they all open in 22, we see a sharp drop-off again there in 23. Queens is a little bit unique in that, from a zoning perspective and just the way the borough is laid out, that new supply in Queens does not have as much of an impact, however. on the existing stores, given that you have some stores in Queens that are opening in pockets that don't currently have either a CubeSmart or much self-storage supply. Westchester, Long Island, Northern Jersey, I think you see a pretty sharp increase in stores there over the last couple of years running in that entirety of those three in those three areas running in the 25 to 35 per year delivery pace. Expect that to continue into 22. So I think from the borough perspective, we think the impact in the Bronx is behind us to some degree. The impact in Brooklyn and Queens is likely most acute this year and then declining. The impact in Westchester, Long Island, and North Jersey likely will be felt into 23. So we're optimistic. We think our team in New York is best in class. We think our team is maximizing the opportunity in New York and in the MSA more broadly. It's held up quite well in spite of the supply, in spite of the fact that arguably New York City was impacted most acutely by the pandemic. So we're pretty proud of the performance we've been able to do there and are very optimistic as we look out into 23 and 24 that this impact, particularly of supply, will be behind us and we'll start to see the benefits of that decline in supply.

speaker
Juan Sanabria
Analyst, BMF

Thank you very much, Russ. Appreciate it.

speaker
Jason
Conference Moderator

Thank you, Juan, for your question. Thank you. Our next question is with Elvis Rodriguez. Elvis, please proceed.

speaker
Elvis Rodriguez
Analyst

Thanks. Congrats on the quarter end here, guys. Just to follow up on Juan's question, can you speak to the demand picture? I know you said it's sort of stabilizing, but the New York City demand relative to what you're seeing in the Sunbelt, and given the tougher comps in some of those Sunbelt markets, is it that tenants are now, you know, some of these perhaps population shifts that happen to the Sunbelt are starting to return back to New York as a result of things opening up, or is it some other things that are driving demand in New York? Thanks.

speaker
Josh Stutzer
Vice President of Finance

Yeah, thanks, Elvis. Thanks for the question. So demand trends in New York have been very positive here over the first two months, certainly, of 2022. When we think about rentals versus last year in those markets, we're up pretty well in terms of the performance here in the first couple of months. So from that perspective, demand has been there. I think the general overall behavior in New York has ebbed and flowed, quite frankly, with COVID. We saw a period, you know, certainly late last year when the variant was most acute where we just saw very little movement in the boroughs. So rental volume was lower. Vacate volume was lower. Effectively, you know, our in-place customers were saying put. We were saying some new, but not anywhere near the typical churn. Things have Things have started to come back to be a little bit more normalized here as that variant seemingly is in the rearview mirror and we're starting to return to more normal. You know, we look at housing in New York and the trends are quite positive. You know, you're seeing... You're seeing pretty good movement in rental rates on the multifamily side. You've seen good movement like you've seen in the rest of the country in terms of home values. And if you're walking around, particularly in Manhattan or in the outer boroughs, while there's a limited return to the more typical in-person, in-office, the population on the street is moving faster. you know, things are seemingly returning to some more normal patterns. So I think we saw in Q2 of last year, again, in that Boston down to Washington, D.C., and then we saw it over the course of the summer, a bit more of the more normalized pattern of behavior. And as I said in my opening remarks, we expect that to gradually return to the rest of the country as well.

speaker
Elvis Rodriguez
Analyst

Thanks. And if I could just follow up, I think you mentioned that things are going well here, maybe in New York and in the region. Can you share occupancy to date, perhaps relative to last year at this time in New York City and then as a whole for the portfolio?

speaker
Josh Stutzer
Vice President of Finance

Yeah, the occupancy, again, obviously we have a change in the same store pool. So on a Relative to last year in terms of basis point changes, the overall same store pool as of yesterday is up 10 basis points in physical occupancy over where it would have been at this point last year. So a little bit of improvement from the flat we were at at the end of the year. In New York, we are up over this time last year. close to 75 basis points in physical occupancy versus where we were yesterday, last year.

speaker
Elvis Rodriguez
Analyst

Great. Thanks, guys, for the update.

speaker
Jason
Conference Moderator

Thank you, Elvis, for your question. Our next question is with Todd Thomas from KeyBank. Todd, please proceed. Hi. Thanks. Good morning.

speaker
Josh Stutzer
Vice President of Finance

My first question is around the guidance for Storage West. Appreciate the breakout there of the expected accretion in the guidance. Has anything changed regarding the outlook for that portfolio since the initial deal was struck and you underwrote the portfolio just given the lifting of price restrictions? The magnitude of the accretion that we talked about when we first announced the deal and what's embedded in our guidance is unchanged. I would say the only thing that has changed is our increased confidence in that guidance, given the fact that we now have the stores integrated into our systems. We have all of our teams in place, and we have a couple of months of performance under our belt. So range is unchanged. Confidence level is high. Okay, and how much of the portfolio is operating in markets that were price-restricted? Just curious if you could discuss that and maybe break out the portfolio a little bit to help us understand. On Storage West or the broader portfolio? Storage West. Storage West. Yeah, very little was under specific restriction at the time that we acquired it. There may have been a little bit that had impacted the prior owner earlier in 2021, perhaps in some of the California markets, but it certainly was not a meaningful component of our underwriting. I think what we saw across the board, and we talked about a couple months ago with the transaction announcement is, is that it was a well-run portfolio by the prior platform, but what we saw was an opportunity where they had pushed rates in some markets 10% or 12%. In those same markets for our similar stores, we had pushed rates 18% to 20%. And so what we saw and what was embedded in our underwriting, certainly for the first year and then perhaps even more so as we think about 2023, is the fact that we think that under our platform, you know, there was a little bit of opportunity there to push on rate a little bit more than it had been pushed on throughout 2021, but not so much tied specifically to governmental restrictions. Okay. That's helpful. And then I wanted to ask about the third-party management platform. I realize activity can be chunky. quarter to quarter, and there's a lot of transaction activity that's impacting, you know, some of the ins and outs there. But, you know, I just wanted to see if you have visibility around, you know, stabilizing and growing the platform and what your goals are in 22 for that. Yeah, our goal, thanks for the question, our goals are to continue to do a great job providing the services that we've been hired to do. And in some cases, especially for some of the stores that we have onboarded onto our platform over the past two, three, four years that were development stores or lease-up stores, the market's been very supportive on our platform. And our teams have done a really good job at leasing up those assets, stabilizing the value and helping to create a good backdrop for some of our third-party owners to bring their stores to market and transact. We would love to acquire as many of them as we can, but we'll obviously do so only at prices that make sense and fit our underwriting criteria. So what we know we want to do is to continue to provide that great service. When you try to translate that into how many stores do we think are going to add to the platform, how many stores do we think are going to leave the platform, awfully difficult to predict, obviously. But we do think, and we started talking about this probably a year or two ago, that we certainly started to expect that we're going to see a turn, given how deep we are in the development cycle. And as we've talked about, as we've been adding about 200 stores a year to the platform for a couple of consecutive years, and you'll recall that, you know, 50% to 60% of those stores were newly developed stores, that was going to lead to opportunity and also lead to churn down the road. And that's what we experienced in 21, and we're pretty confident that we'll continue to experience that into 22. So we had a good year onboarding new stores that we can control from a new business development standpoint, from a referral standpoint, and our team continues to do a great job to demonstrating to new potential customers and to existing customers to expand and add more stores to our platform. We are a platform of choice that can add an awful lot of value to their platform. That we can control, and I think we can continue to add customers you know, well over 100, between 100 and 200 stores a year under the platform, continues to seem to be achievable. It's the stores coming off the platform that we don't have a ton of visibility to. Right, got it. And so the $30.5 to $32.5 million of property management fee income that's in the guidance, what does that assume for – you know, the total third-party management contracts throughout the year? Is there any change from year end, what was reported? Our guidance assumes that there is some churn and that there is some change in some stores coming on, some stores coming off. And so there's a range there from, you know, what would be, you know, a flattish type of year for businesses for change in store count to slight growth. Okay.

speaker
Jason
Conference Moderator

All right, great. Thank you. Thanks, Todd. Thank you, Todd, for your question. Our next question is with Ki-Dim Kim from Truist. Please proceed.

speaker
Elvis Rodriguez
Analyst

Thanks, everyone. Good morning. I just wanted to go back to your comments

speaker
Josh Stutzer
Vice President of Finance

more normalization in the cello corridor you know if i kind of look at what's happening not everyone's back to the office quite yet um so as that moves further along uh if you can describe some more color around what that might eventually look like as more people go back to the office and what that might mean for some of the pricing trends we're seeing in in that corridor Yeah, it's an interesting question, Keenan, because I'm not – it would help at the margin in terms of, you know, some of our small business customers having better visibility into their businesses, reopening their businesses in some instance. You know, the folks who make a living as a result of folks being in the office would be a big positive for them, right? I think, again, our assessment from the folks on the ground and talking to our customers, and this is probably more true in Manhattan because of the ins and outs there and the nature of the work there than it is in the outer boroughs. Most of these folks are living there, right? I was wandering around. you know, the Chelsea Market meatpacking area, and you think about, you know, that million square feet that Google, you know, leases in that area, not very many people are in the building, but they certainly all seem to be out on the street or, you know, in the coffee shop. So they're there, which I think is a positive. I think the, you know, I think the the opportunity to get a bargain on an apartment seemingly looks behind us. And so, you know, as we move forward, does that create, again, an opportunity for storage? As folks think about having to take a roommate or potentially rent something smaller, I think that's a positive. So, you know, the reopening of the offices and the commutes, creates movement, which ultimately is always positive for our sector. I'm not sure that's a seminal event that's going to create some sort of sudden change. Got it. Can you provide some details around what's happening with the VC market? Obviously, being up I think over 8% or so is fantastic, just not as great as some other markets. I was wondering if it's a supply or some other peers trying to stabilize that as an issue, or Something else? Yeah, thanks for the question. So, again, it's a sub-market issue. So if you think about that MSA being Maryland, which for us is primarily Prince George's County and then the northern Virginia suburbs and then Washington, D.C. itself, Maryland is performing pretty well. You know, over the last fourth quarter into this quarter, you know, they're still seeing low double-digit same-store revenue growth. Washington, D.C., in five stores, every single one of them has at least one new competitor. So that is the drag for that MSA. Those five stores embedded in our guidance is little to no same-store revenue growth for 2022. And we certainly experienced the impact of that competition in Q4. So that is at one end, PG County and the Maryland suburbs at the other. And, you know, Northern Virginia, depending upon your pocket, is sort of somewhere in the middle. We've got new supply impacting us in Fairfax County and Arlington County. And then some of the other areas of northern Virginia are doing really well, don't have that supply impact. But at the bottom, you know, the overwhelming answer to your question is, is the five stores in D.C. proper?

speaker
Jason
Conference Moderator

Okay, thanks, Rick. Thank you, Tim, for your question. Our next question is with Samir Kanaal. With Evercore, please proceed. Yes, thanks so much.

speaker
Josh Stutzer
Vice President of Finance

Chris, just on kind of the normalization, if you turn to office, I mean, what sort of baked into your guidance from when you think about that seasonal moderation that you'll have in the second half, kind of that summer peak to the end of the year? I mean, how much of a decline in occupants are you thinking for the overall portfolio?

speaker
Todd Thomas
Analyst, KeyBank Capital Markets

Maybe you can quantify that, and especially as it relates to New York.

speaker
Josh Stutzer
Vice President of Finance

Yeah, thanks for the question. When you think about, you know, what's underpinning our guidance is that the overwhelming majority of our growth in same-store revenues is going to be derived from rates. So when we think about occupancy across the portfolio, and it's really not materially different market-by-market occupancy, Obviously, some of the West Coast markets that are 96%, 97% occupied we think are going to decline. But for the markets that are normalized, I think that occupancy trend is, again, it's always going to be predicated upon what's the opportunity that presents itself on any given point in the cycle. But we would expect to see occupancy versus last year up. you know, at points in time could be up 50 to 75 basis points, could be down 50 basis points, but moving within that range. And again, typical seasonal pattern is what we expect. So we see, you know, occupancies moving in a positive direction, rates moving in a positive direction, basically from, you know, this coming Monday through the end of July. And then we would expect that the back half of the year, you would see that more typical seasonal pattern of, uh, of some occupancy pullback and some rate pullback. So not, you know, obviously we do a ground-up budget. It's different property by property, market by market. But, you know, overall, I think, you know, the normalization, as I said, has been there in the East Coast, and we expect it to gradually return to the rest of the country.

speaker
Todd Thomas
Analyst, KeyBank Capital Markets

Got it. And I guess my second question is around sort of the marketing expenses. for this year.

speaker
Josh Stutzer
Vice President of Finance

I know you guys are still spending on marketing while others were sort of cutting back last year.

speaker
Todd Thomas
Analyst, KeyBank Capital Markets

How do you think about marketing for 2022? And will you start to see some of the benefits come through this year from spending this last year?

speaker
Josh Stutzer
Vice President of Finance

Yeah, so again, that's one of those variable costs that it is certainly variable depending upon how we see the returns, you know, if you think about what's embedded in our expectation for this year, it would be for some pretty good growth given where we were in the first quarter of last year, so really at the comp in the first quarter, and then seeing that normalize is our current expectation. to much more modest growth as we get into the second, third, and fourth quarters of the year. So overall for the year, we don't expect it to see the same sort of overall increases on a percentage basis that we experienced in 2021. Again, I have to caveat that one with we make decisions really on a weekly basis as it relates to where there are opportunities. Some of that will depend upon You know, consumer behavior, we are starting again to see this shift away from what had been a return to desktop and back to mobile, which I think is just indicative of a gradual reopening of society. And, you know, again, also where our competitors choose to, you know, choose to play. We saw some good opportunity last year where some of our competitors were, you know, out of the bid market, and we thought we could take advantage of that, spend a little bit more on the marketing side, but get higher rates. And, again, I think when you look at our realized rent for the year and our same-store revenue growth quarter by quarter going back to the second quarter of 2020, I think those decisions paid off well for us.

speaker
Jason
Conference Moderator

Got it. Thank you. Thanks. Thank you for your question. Our next question is with David. Ballinger with Green Street. David, you may proceed.

speaker
Josh Stutzer
Vice President of Finance

Good morning. Just wanted to touch on lease duration within the portfolio and how that's changed since pre-COVID levels. Are there any numbers that you can share with us on average lease duration? And would you expect that to revert back to normal with normalized seasonality patterns? Yeah, great question. You know, I think one way to think about customers perhaps is trying to draw an analogy, and this might be the best one I've been able to come up with or the team's been able to come up with, between, you know, a natural disaster, so to speak, and the pandemic. So when you think about a hurricane sort of oriented customer in, you know, South Florida, We see a big surge in demand when the storm is approaching. Some of those customers, you know, are simply bringing outdoor furniture to us, storing, and when the storm passes, you know, they go back and they take their goods out of storage and bring them back to their house. So they're a very short-term customer. We have other customers who experience some sort of damage, unfortunately, and and bring their, you know, their dry possessions to us and store them, and then they tend to stay longer, obviously, than that very short-term customer. Some of them tend to stay very, very long as, you know, maybe they buy new items or it takes longer than expected to get the insurance claim settled and get all the damage fixed, et cetera. I think we have a little bit of an analogy to that to the pandemic customers. Some of them came to us, had some shorter-term needs, and were with us for a short period of time. Others have either found the product to be very helpful to them, have changed how they think about their residential options, and have stayed with us for a lot longer than perhaps we would have expected at the beginning of the pandemic. So if you think about it just from a numbers perspective, about 60% of our customers have been with us greater than one year, and that's up about 600 basis points from prior numbers. And about 40% of our customers have been with us for over two years, which is up about 400 basis points from prior levels. So we're starting to see some, you know, the customer has definitely been with us for a longer period of time, but it is starting to trend back to a little bit more normal behavior. We are seeing a pickup in some of those 30-day type customers.

speaker
Juan Sanabria
Analyst, BMF

Got it. Thank you. That's helpful. And I wanted to touch on national supply.

speaker
Josh Stutzer
Vice President of Finance

I don't know how closely you follow the data providers out there, but with development delays, it just seems like there's opportunity here for sort of double counting in the national supply data that's out there. Just with what you've seen on the ground, is that accurate? meaning deliveries that were expected in the fourth quarter of or in 21 bleeding over into 22? Yes, it just seems as I track sort of national data around supply deliveries, with what we're hearing with development delays, it just seems like perhaps some deliveries are being double counted. Some that were expected in 21 that are delayed in 22. that perhaps the 21 figures aren't revised. I'm just wondering if you have any color on that from your perspective. Yeah. Yeah, I mean, I would agree. We don't spend a ton of time on the national. We spend a lot more time, obviously, looking at our top 12 markets. But conceptually, yes, we would agree. There was quite a bit of delay in the back half of 21 pushing things to open and And, you know, as we think about it, it's why we tend to look more at the rolling three years, because whether it gets delivered in November or December of 21 or it gets delivered in January or February or March of 22, the impact to the surrounding properties is the same. So, yeah, no doubt there was – there's always a – you know, there's always that slippage. I think it was likely, as you suspect, pronounced in 21. Great. Thank you.

speaker
Jason
Conference Moderator

Thank you for your question. Our next question is with Sneeze Rose with Citi. Please proceed.

speaker
Juan Sanabria
Analyst, BMF

Hi, thanks. I was just wondering if you could maybe talk a little bit about what you're seeing for property taxes in 2022 and how you think those will increase, and if there's any fixed or regained, you know, or worse than others.

speaker
Josh Stutzer
Vice President of Finance

It's the typical cast of characters and markets that we always talk about. And it really feels like the same answer that we've provided now for, gosh, five straight years, which is, you know, you continue to see pressure across many, many markets, primarily driven by the fact that you have had significant growth in NOI. You've had cap rates that have either held or compressed. And you just have a lot of evidence for that. for tax assessors to look at increasing assessed values. And so we're seeing – we're certainly not seeing any relief anywhere. You have – you know, we've been talking now for several years that an expectation for the sector of increases in that 4% to 7% range has been where we – our heads have been here for the past several years, and our expectation for our portfolio in 2022 is in that. and towards the higher end of that range. So we continue to look to challenge those assessments. We have some successful results here and there, but the typical cast of characters, Cook County is certainly a standout on the high end, but it's fairly broad-based where you're seeing pressure.

speaker
Juan Sanabria
Analyst, BMF

Great. Okay. And then I'm just wondering, as you look at the acquisitions potentially in 2022, Would you focus on building out around where the storage rest platform is in place to build incremental sort of critical mass there, or would that not be the case?

speaker
Josh Stutzer
Vice President of Finance

I think that gives us a great opportunity to look to continue to add and look for infill locations in all of those markets. I think once we – now that we have established – a deeper presence in each of those markets, I think our intel is better. I think our underwriting is better. I think we're a more natural buyer for many of those opportunities. And then obviously the efficiencies of adding a store in those markets increases. So we've always looked in those markets. We will continue to look in those markets. I think perhaps we'll find a few more opportunities now, given our deeper presence, than we had in the past.

speaker
Juan Sanabria
Analyst, BMF

Okay, thank you.

speaker
Jason
Conference Moderator

Thanks. Thank you for your question. Our next question is with Mike Mueller from J.P. Morgan. Please proceed.

speaker
Ki-Dim Kim
Analyst, Truist Securities

Yeah, hi. Chris made the comment about customers wanting, I guess, more personalized services. And I'm wondering, how does that tie with the trends where you've seen more, you know, online over time, the contactless rentals and that dynamic?

speaker
Josh Stutzer
Vice President of Finance

Yeah, great question. So they're not mutually exclusive. So when we think about, you know, that personalization, it is both the customer who prefers a digital experience and that customer who still prefers to come into the store. So we have quite a number of initiatives that we are exploring this year that are designed to be able to meet the customer's desires at both ends of that spectrum. So it's, you know, it's thinking about the funnel on the website and how do you help the customer in a more personalized way be able to select the appropriate size for them and the store in their sub-market that meets their needs the best. How do you think about offering them alternatives that they may or may not intuitively understand in terms of the location of the cube within the store? How do we make it a more seamless experience and a more personal experience in terms of how they are introduced to the store if they come through the digital platform? How do they access the store? It's basically saying, how can we make it generally a similar experience to the old pre-pandemic of our teammate walking out into the parking lot with a bottle of water and a handshake. How can we do that in a digital experience as well? We have an array of some exciting things that we think will differentiate our service delivery in the future and I think both create some opportunities for some incremental revenue growth, as well as taking some costs out of our platform. So it's a great question, but it really comes down to how do you make the digital experience a very similar personal one to what we've been able to do over our history. Got it.

speaker
Ki-Dim Kim
Analyst, Truist Securities

That makes sense. And just a second, can you give us a second? sense as to what the move-in rates versus the move-out rates were in the quarter?

speaker
Josh Stutzer
Vice President of Finance

Yeah, give us one second here. I think the pattern from a big-picture perspective is we shifted last year from that anomaly where we were seeing customers move into the portfolio at a higher rate than those who were moving out, We began in the latter part of the third quarter, fourth quarter of last year, to see that typical churn where the move-in customer is down a bit from the move-out customer, but less than what we had seen more normally. So you're in that 5% to 7% type situation. between the move in and the move out on the downside, which is about 60 basis points better than what we had seen.

speaker
Ki-Dim Kim
Analyst, Truist Securities

Got it. That was it. Thank you. Thanks. Thanks.

speaker
Jason
Conference Moderator

Thank you for your question. Our next question is with Kevin Stein . Kevin, please proceed.

speaker
Todd Thomas
Analyst, KeyBank Capital Markets

Good morning. I know labor has been a challenge in the New York City area. I was just wondering if you've seen any changes there, if that's had any impact to the store performance there. Thanks. Yeah, thanks for the question.

speaker
Josh Stutzer
Vice President of Finance

So it continues to be a challenge in terms of the sourcing, attracting, and recruiting new teammates in the stores. Our existing teammate population continues to give us great service, continues to serve their customers quite well. So it is, I'm not sure if the overall marketplace is any better or worse than it was a few months back. I think we have just more likely gotten used to this being the new normal and our Our internal teams, our recruiters, et cetera, have found different ways to attract new teammates and have certainly adjusted to the pace at which one has to move a candidate through the process and either make them an offer or move on because they have so many other alternatives. So I think from a cost perspective, again, we were a – a total reward payor to our store teammates at the higher end of our peers. So we have not seen the need to perhaps move weight or do some things that some of our other peers have had to do on a larger scale.

speaker
Todd Thomas
Analyst, KeyBank Capital Markets

Gotcha. Thanks.

speaker
Jason
Conference Moderator

Thank you for your question. There are currently no further questions registered at this time. So, as a reminder, to ask a question, press star 1. There are no further questions waiting at this time. I would now like to pass the conference back over to the management team for closing remarks.

speaker
Josh Stutzer
Vice President of Finance

Okay. Thank you, everybody. Great call. Really appreciate the thoughtful questions. As I said, we are incredibly excited. As a company, incredibly excited as a management team for 2022 and for really everything that is happening in our industry. I couldn't be more proud of how the team has performed. Couldn't be more excited about the opportunities that lie in front of us, and we look forward to updating you on our progress as we move throughout the course of 2022. Continue to be safe, and we look forward to speaking to all of you in a couple months. Take care.

speaker
Jason
Conference Moderator

That concludes the QSMART fourth quarter earnings call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect your lines.

Disclaimer

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