2/13/2025

speaker
Shana
Operator

Welcome to the Curtis Wright Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants have been placed on a listen-only mode, and the floor will be open to your questions following the presentation. If you would like to ask a question at that time, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. If at any point your question has been answered, you may remove yourself from queue by pressing star 2. In the interest of time, we ask that you please limit yourself to one primary question and one follow-up. Lastly, if you should require operator assistance, please press star 0. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Jim Ryan, Vice President of Investor Relations.

speaker
Jim Ryan
Vice President of Investor Relations

Thank you, Shana, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to Curtis Wright's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call. Joining me on the call today are Chair and Chief Executive Officer Lynn Bamford, and Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Chris Barkers. Our call today is being webcast, and the press release, as well as a copy of today's financial presentation, is available for download through the Investor Relations section of our company website at curtiswright.com. Also, a replay of this webcast will be available on the website. Please note, today's discussion will include certain projections and statements that are forward-looking and are defined in the Private Securities Mitigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are based on management's current expectations and are not guaranteed to future performance. We detail those risks and uncertainties associated with our forward-looking statements and our public filings at the SEC. As a reminder, the company's results include an adjusted non-GAP view that excludes certain costs in order to provide greater transparency into Curtis Wright's ongoing operating and financial performance. Any references to organic growth are on an adjusted basis and exclude foreign currency translation, acquisitions, divestitures, and restructuring, unless otherwise noted. GAP and on-GAP reconciliations for current and prior year periods are available in the earnings release and on our website. Now I'd like to turn the call over to Lynn to get things started.

speaker
Lynn Bamford
Chair and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Jim, and good morning, everyone. 2024 was an exciting year for Curtis Wright, and I want to begin by thanking our nearly 9,000 employees for their contributions to our success. We executed on our growth strategy and continued to invest in some of our most critical areas, including talent, systems, and research and development while we achieved record financial results for our shareholders. We are clearly building momentum, and I'm pleased with the team's execution and the steady progress we made this past year in pursuit of our three-year Investor Day objectives unveiled this past May. With that, I'll turn to today's presentation. I'll begin by covering the highlights of our fourth quarter and full year 2024 performance. Then I'll provide a brief update on our capital allocation and a preview of our 2025 financial outlook before turning the call over to Chris to provide a more in-depth review of our financials. Finally, I'll wrap up with some closing remarks about our long-term prospects before we move to Q&A. Starting with our fourth quarter 2024 highlights, sales increased 5% year over year due to a better than expected performance in both our defense electronics and naval and power segments. Operating income was essentially flat while operating margin was strong at 19.8%. As a reminder, our various restructuring actions, some of which were undertaken to reshape our global footprint, generated a few million dollars of initial savings in 2024 and provided a modest benefit to our results. Deluded earnings per share increased 3% year over year, which also exceeded our expectations and was primarily driven by higher A&D sales. Free cash flow was strong at $278 million, reflecting a 223% conversion rate due to improved operational performance and lower working capital. Growth in our order book was exceptionally strong in the fourth quarter of 37% year over year, reflecting a 1.1 times book to bill. These results were driven by growth in all of our A&D markets and continued solid demand within commercial nuclear. Next, I'll highlight our full year 2024 results, which included a number of financial records. We generated double digit growth in sales and operating income in 2024, reflecting the underlying demand within our core portfolio and another record year of orders. We delivered modest margin expansion while maintaining our firm commitment to grow R&D faster than sales. Deluded earnings per share of $10.90 increased 16% year over year. Adjusted pre-cash flow reached a record $483 million and reflected strong conversion of 116%. Of note, our results included $16 million of incremental capital expenditures, supporting growth investments across all three segments. Turning to our order book, demand was exceptional, reflecting a 20% year increase, reaching a new record of $3.7 billion and a 1.2 times book to bill overall. Leading the way was our naval and power segment, which benefited from strong demand for naval nuclear propulsion equipment, supporting the U.S. Navy's most critical platforms. At the same time, higher demand for embedded computing and tactical communications equipment in the ground and aerospace defense markets drove great results in our defense electronic segments, where orders crossed $1 billion for the first time. Total Curtis Wright's backlog was up 20% in 2024, reaching a record of more than $3.4 billion, providing additional confidence in our long-term growth outlook. Turning to slide four, we begin with some comments about our acquisitions and share repurchase activity. We added two new businesses in 2024 to further expand our commercial nuclear portfolio. In June, we added WSC, a leading supplier of power plant control room simulation technology. On December 31, we closed on the acquisition of Altra Energy, which is a leading provider of reactor protection systems, radiation and flux monitoring systems, and specialized temperature and pressure sensors. As a reminder, Altra provides safety critical products and services to commercial nuclear and power generation plants globally, and also supports defense markets, including the U.K. nuclear submarine fleet, as well as various aerospace applications. This acquisition not only enables us to leverage our U.K.-based nuclear manufacturing footprint, but it also expands our presence with leading global SMR designers. I'm pleased to welcome all of our new colleagues to Curtis Wright. As we integrate these new acquisitions, our teams are already collaborating with customers to increase our opportunities for growth, as we further expand the scope of Curtis Wright's capabilities. In 2024, we also utilized our strong balance sheet and financial position to accelerate our share repurchase activity. In the month of December alone, we bought back $100 million in stock through an accelerated repurchase plan, boosting our full-year repurchase activity to $250 million. This past year, we also increased our dividend for the eighth consecutive year. Now I would like to introduce our full-year 2025 guidance. Overall, we are projecting -single-digit organic sales growth driven by increases in nearly all of our end markets and total growth of 7 to 8 percent, including acquisitions. Operating income growth is once again anticipated to exceed our sales growth, reflecting 40 to 60 basis points in operating margin expansion this year to 18 percent at the midpoints of the range. At the heart of our drive for operational excellence is the Operational Growth Platform, which fuels our pivot to growth strategy by driving continued opportunities for margin expansion and savings across the portfolio. In addition, we'll continue to deploy new tools and systems to optimize our manufacturing operations and drive connectivity throughout the organization. This, in turn, will allow us to maintain incremental investments in research and development to drive organic growth, which we've successfully delivered over the past few years and anticipate ramping up yet again in 2025. It also provides an opportunity to overcome dilution from acquisitions, such as Ultra Energy, as we integrate this business into our broader operations and seek opportunities to drive future margin accretion. These efforts, backed by our strong top-line growth, provide us with confidence to once again generate double-digit growth and diluted EPS along with strong free cash flow. In summary, Curtis Wright remains well positioned to deliver an outstanding performance in 2025. Now I would like to turn the call over to Chris to continue with our prepared remarks.

speaker
Chris Barkers
Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Lynn. On slide five, I'll review the key drivers of our fourth quarter 2024 performance by segment. Our beginning aerospace and industrial were overall sales increased 5% and was in line with our expectations. Within the segment's defense markets, we experienced solid increases in actuation equipment sales, most notably within our aerospace defense market supporting the F-35 program. Within the segment's commercial aerospace market, our results reflected solid OEM sales growth, supporting increased production on both narrow-body and wide-body platforms. In the general industrial market, our results reflected lower global off-highway and specialty industrial vehicle sales as certain customers continued to reduce their inventory levels through year-end. Partially offsetting those declines was a modest increase in domestic demand for on-highway vehicle equipment and surface treatment services. Of note, and despite reduced sales in this market, we have continued to see improving -over-year industrial vehicle order trends since the second quarter of 2024. In turning to the segment's fourth quarter profitability, we delivered a record quarterly operating margin of 21.3%. This was driven by favorable absorption on higher sales along with the benefits of our restructuring initiatives while we continued to invest in R&D to support our future growth. Next in the defense electronics segment, if you recall, we implemented several restructuring initiatives beginning in the second half of 2024 to support this business' future growth. Given the expected ramp-up in these efforts and to ensure on-time delivery to our customer schedules, we accelerated some revenues and deliveries into the third quarter. As the fourth quarter unfolded, those restructuring efforts progressed ahead of schedule and we were able to effectively take on more volume. And as a result, while we recognized -over-year and sequential declines in quarterly revenue, the performance was slightly ahead of our expectations. Regarding the segment's fourth quarter operating performance, though we delivered a solid .3% operating margin, our profitability was impacted by under-absorption and timing on lower revenues, partly due to the realignment of our manufacturing footprint as well as unfavorable nicks. Turning to the naval and power segment, sales growth of 12% was ahead of our expectations, principally driven by higher revenue across several key platforms in naval defense. Within this market, we experienced stronger than anticipated growth and production on Columbia-class and Virginia-class submarines as well as the CVN 81 aircraft carrier program due in part to the timing of material receipts. We also experienced higher development revenues on the next generation SSNX submarine program and increased demand for aircraft handling systems to international customers. Within the segment's aerospace defense market, our results reflected lower international aircraft arresting systems revenues based on timing and strong performance from the prior year period. In the power and process market, our results reflected continued strong demand in commercial nuclear supporting the ongoing maintenance of US operating reactors. Partially offsetting this strong demand was lower sales in the process market based on the timing of domestic MRO valve sales following strong growth in the prior year period. Turning to the segment's fourth quarter operating performance, despite favorable absorption on higher revenues, profitability was mainly impacted by unfavorable nicks across our defense and process markets. To sum up Curtis Wright's fourth quarter overall results, we generated a strong operating margin of nearly 20% while maintaining our commitment to R&D investment across the portfolio. Turning to our full year guidance, 2025 guidance, I'll begin on slide six with our end market sales outlook where we anticipate total sales to grow 7 to 8% reflecting mid single digit organic growth plus the contribution from ultra energy. Please note that while the majority of ultra energy sales are tied to our power and process market, the business also sells equipment to customers within our R&D markets. Starting in aerospace defense, our results were not as good as the previous year. Our outlook for growth of 6 to 8% mainly reflects higher embedded computing revenues in defense electronics serving both domestic and international customers. We also expect increased sales of aircraft arresting systems equipment principally supporting international customers. Within ground defense, our outlook for 3 to 5% growth reflects continued strong demand for our tactical communications equipment which as a reminder follows strong 15% sales growth in 2024. In naval defense, growth of 3 to 5% reflects higher revenue on aircraft carriers including increased production on the CVN 81 as well as support for the CVN 75 refueling and complex overall program which is a multi-year effort that will begin to ramp up this year. We expect those increases to be partially offset by timing on submarine programs that accelerated into 2024. Elsewhere within our defense electronics business, we anticipate higher embedded computing revenues supporting various domestic and international programs. Looking more broadly across all three defense markets, I'd like to highlight the expected contribution of direct foreign military sales. In 2025, we expect continued low double-digit growth in FMS to be driven by the alignment of our technologies to support increased global defense spending priorities. Turning to commercial aerospace, our outlook for 10 to 12% sales growth reflects our strong order book driving high ROE and production sales on narrow-body and wide-body aircraft including modest growth expectations on the 737 MAX in the back half of the year. We expect those increases to be driven by higher sales within our aerospace and industrial segment for sensors and surface treatment services as well as our defense electronics segment for avionics and instrumentation equipment. Wrapping up our aerospace and defense markets, we expect total sales in these markets to increase 5 to 7% in 2025. Moving to our commercial markets, and power and process, our outlook for 16 to 18% growth reflects a combination of mid to high single-digit organic revenue growth as well as the contribution from Ultra Energy. Starting in commercial nuclear, growth in aftermarket revenues is expected to be driven by continued strong U.S. demand despite lower -over-year domestic outages as well as increased sales supporting the U.K. aftermarket from newly acquired Ultra Energy. Our commercial nuclear outlook also includes a ramp-up in development revenues across several SMR designs including the X-Energy and TerraPower Advanced reactors. And as a result, we anticipate high single-digit organic growth in this market and greater than 20% growth overall this year when including acquisitions. Next in the process market, our outlook for low to -single-digit organic growth reflects increased development on subsea pumps, most notably supporting Petrobras' deep sea operations as well as a contribution from Ultra Energy with sales to the oil and gas and non-nuclear power generation markets. And lastly in the general industrial market, we anticipate sales to be flat in 2025. Our outlook reflects modest sales growth in industrial automation and service treatment services which typically aligns with global GDP growth rates. However, that growth will be offset by reduced sales of industrial vehicles amid ongoing market challenges but we remain cautiously optimistic based upon our improving order book throughout 2024. Wrapping up our total commercial markets, we're targeting full-year sales growth of 9 to 11%. Moving on to our full-year 2025 outlook by segment on slide 7, a beginning aerospace and industrial where we expect sales to grow 3 to 5% overall reflecting strong growth in commercial aerospace and flat sales in general industrial. Regarding the segment's profitability, we project operating income growth of 5 to 8% and operating margin to increase 40 to 60 basis points and range from 17.4 to 17.6%. This outlook reflects our expectation for higher sales as well as the savings generated by our restructuring actions. Next in defense electronics, we expect sales to grow 7 to 9% principally driven by the business' record 2024 order book which is driving solid growth across all A&D markets. Regarding the segment's profitability, we expect operating income growth of 8 to 10% and operating margin expansion of 10 to 30 basis points to a new all-time high range of 25 to .2% which includes a $5 million or 50 basis point headwind from increased internally funded R&D investments. In enablement power, we expect overall sales growth of 10 to 11% or 3 to 5% organically reflecting solid growth across the segment's defense and commercial markets. Regarding the segment's profitability, we expect operating income growth of 13 to 16% and operating margin expansion of 50 to 70 basis points to a range of 16.3 to .5% reflecting both favorable absorption on higher organic sales as well as the contribution from Ultra Energy which will initially be diluted to operating margin. We'll also move past the $10 million impact from last year's first quarter enable contract adjustment. In addition, our guidance reflects approximately $4 million in incremental R&D investments to support internally funded development programs. Regarding Ultra Energy, we expect this business to generate high single digit revenue growth and produce a low double digit operating margin in 2025. And of note, this outlook includes increased year over year investments in advanced reactor technology as this business similarly focuses on expanding its presence across major SMR designers. So to summarize our 2025 outlook, overall we expect total Curse Right operating income to grow from $10 to 12%. We expect operating margin to range from 17.9 to .1% up 40 to 60 basis points. Next, to aid in your quarterly modeling of sales and operating margin, we expect first quarter 2025 sales to grow by high single digits relative to the first quarter of 2024 including Ultra Energy. Within the ANI segment, based on the seasonality within these businesses, we expect that sales and operating margin will be in line with our first quarter 2024 results. In Defense Electronics, we expect to demonstrate strong growth in sales and profitability and exceed last year's first quarter results. Lastly, in the enable and power segment, while we expect solid growth in sales, our first quarter 2025 profitability will reflect initial margin dilution from the Ultra Energy acquisition. In summary, at the overall Curse Right level, we're expecting mid-teens first quarter operating margin on strong sales growth. Continuing with our financial outlook on slide 8, I wanted to provide some color on a few non- operational items. I'll start with other income, which we expect to decrease by approximately $4 to $5 million this year. This is principally due to lower interest income as we entered the year with a slightly lower cash balance given our fourth quarter 2024 cash payment for Ultra Energy and increased share of purchase activity. Later this month, we'll pay down the $90 million in senior notes coming due, which will have a positive offset and lower interest expense. And note, this current guidance assumes that we'll have no borrowings against the revolver again in 2025. In addition, our outlook reflects a reduction in our 2025 tax rate to 22% further building on last year's tax optimization and efficiency efforts. Turning to our EPS guidance, we expect full year 2025 diluted EPS to range from $12.10 to $12.40, up 11% to 14%, reflecting the strong profitable growth within our operations. Paid in your quarterly EPS modeling, we expect first quarter EPS to reflect approximately 20% growth relative to the first quarter of 2024. And similar to last year, we expect sequential quarterly improvement, with the fourth quarter being our strongest. Please note that our EPS outlook also includes a reduction in our share count following the completion of $250 million in share of purchases in 2024. And for 2025, here we anticipate $60 million in standard share of purchases, reflecting a $10 million year over year program increase as we continue to offset dilution. And lastly, we're projecting a full year free cash flow of $485 to $505 million in 2025, essentially in line to slightly above last year's record performance. Growth in cash flow from operations is expected to benefit from higher cash earnings, a small contribution from Ultra Energy, and our continued focus on working capital management. And as a reminder, last year's free cash flow benefited from an all-time record level of advances, a portion which we would expect to be consumed as work progresses in 2025. In addition, we expect capital expenditures to increase nearly $20 million year over year relative to the mission of our guide, as we continue to invest in support of our future growth. Overall, our outlook reflects a healthy free cash flow conversion rate in excess of $105 million again this year, which remains in line with our long-term targets. Now I'd like to turn the call back over to Lynn.

speaker
Lynn Bamford
Chair and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Chris. And turning to slide nine. As we have discussed today, our record order book and growing backlog, as well as our positioning within our end markets, provides us with confidence to deliver profitable growth again in 2025. While we remain cautious in light of the ongoing political and macroeconomic environment, we expect to generate high single-digit total sales growth this year. This outlook reflects both increases in both our A&D and commercial markets and the strength of our combined portfolio. Beyond the top line, one of the most significant milestones that we're forecasting in 2025 is to reach 18% operating margin at the midpoint of our drive to generate operating income growth in excess of revenue growth continues to be a fundamental premise under the pivot to growth strategy, and we expect this to result in an accelerated pace, the margin expansion in 2025. Further, our steadfast focus on operational excellence allows us to continue to make incremental R&D investments while still targeting double-digit EPS growth. And as we've noted, based on our strong outlook for free cashflow generation this year, we are able to fuel investments in our systems and infrastructure as we continue to grow our operations and increase efficiencies to better serve our customers. These investments will better enable us to capture positions on next-generation defense platforms or benefit from the continued development of SMR technology and commercial nuclear. Next, regarding our capital allocation, and as we look beyond the recently completed Ultra Energy acquisition, we continuously look to put the strength of our balance sheet to work through a disciplined and strategic approach to capital deployment, and we are focused on investing our capital for the best possible returns to drive long-term shareholder value. Our pursuit of high-quality acquisitions has been and will continue to remain our highest priority for capital allocation. Beyond that, we'll supplement those pursuits by driving consistent returns to our shareholders, as I highlighted earlier in our remarks. Finally, having demonstrated strong financial results this past year and considerable progress towards our long-term growth objectives, we remain confident and committed to achieving all of the three-year targets established at our 2024 Investor Day. Beyond these targets, and as we look out across the next decade to the art of the possible that we proposed at last May's Investor Day, we remain confident in our focused strategy and the alignment of our technologies to key secular growth trends. The external market forces and related push for carbon-free energy and energy independence is a global movement and one that is needed to address growing energy demands that remain at an all-time high. This, in turn, will drive the continued expansion of projects to satisfy both traditional energy demand, including the electricity and process, and heat applications, as well as the potential for incremental demand to support AI and data centers. We recognize that the impacts of legislative and technological disruption on these large and complex projects is likely to continue to create uncertainty along the way, but the core fundamentals remain unchanged and our view on Curtis Wright's ability to generate strong growth in this market and provide continued value to our shareholders over the near, medium, and long-term remains firmly within our sights. We are aligned with Westinghouse in their pursuits to construct new AP1000 power plants across Europe and North America, and we continue to expect an order for our reactor cooling pumps in the next one to two years. We also continue to grow our presence with leading designers of small modular reactors, both organically and through acquisition, with construction of advanced reactor technology expected to accelerate later this decade. The numerous projects that Curtis Wright is supporting are all still moving forward and continue to build upon our very strong position supporting existing reactors across the globe. At this point, nothing has changed that would impact our investor day outlook, which many of you know was a conservative and prudent assessment of the overall growth opportunity for Curtis Wright. Finally, we remain encouraged by the new administration's pro-nuclear stance and the recent appointments of Chris Wright as the new U.S. Energy Secretary and Doug Burgum as the Secretary of the Interior. As a reminder, the U.S.'s initiative to regain our commercial nuclear advantage started in 2017, and this industry continues to garner strong bipartisan support. Collectively, these positive market forces support our confidence in projecting our commercial nuclear business to grow fivefold by the middle of the next decade to an annual run rate of $1.5 billion, providing tremendous long-term value to Curtis Wright and our shareholders. In closing, I'm excited about Curtis Wright's future and the many great pursuits across our operations beyond that nuclear optionality, such as our world-class defense electronics portfolio and our position as a mission-critical partner to the U.S. Navy. We expect to sustain our growth by winning in strong and expanding markets with exciting and new technologies and solutions while continuing to build momentum in our -to-growth strategy. Thank you. And at this time, I would like to open up today's conference call for questions.

speaker
Shana
Operator

Certainly. The floor is now open for questions. At this time, if you have a question or comment, please press star one on your telephone keypad. If at any point your question is answered, you may remove yourself from the queue by pressing star two. We ask that you pick up your handset when posing your question to provide optimal sound quality. In the interest of time, we ask that you please limit yourself to one primary question and one follow-up. Thank you. Our first question is coming from Nathan Jones with Stiefel.

speaker
Nathan Jones
Analyst at Stifel

Good morning, everyone. Good morning, Nathan. Good morning. I guess I'll start on the ultra-energy acquisition. I know this is one you guys have been excited about, and you touched on some of color on how it improves your position on some of the European SMR manufacturers, how you can leverage that business with your current businesses to maybe grow content on some of these platforms, just a little bit more color on kind of the strategic value you see just outside of the financial.

speaker
Lynn Bamford
Chair and Chief Executive Officer

Sure. And thank you for that question. We were, you know, it took longer than we anticipated to get it to close, but December 31st, we got it done in the year. So it's a nice, clean breakpoint. You can say from that position, but we're definitely out of the gate strong with these guys. We've had the two main locations, one in the UK, one down in Texas. We've had kickoff meetings with both of them, and both teams were chomping at the bit to get started on figuring out how we would collaborate together because the closing of the acquisition took longer than anticipated. So there's a lot of enthusiasm and activity going on. So with that said, to talk more about the strategic fit, you know, there's a couple aspects to it. One is, you know, as a European supplier with a European footprint, it gives us the opportunity to possibly transition some products to be able to be supported through that facility and provide more localized content, which, you know, is important as you think of the major reactor providers that are European based, and notably Rolls-Royce, that they have a great relationship with and already initial meetings on how we can better advance our partnership with them, with Altra being, you know, we were engaged with them beforehand, but really opening the doors there. So that's one example of leveraging that footprint, but it won't be just with that one customer. I don't want to imply that, but that's kind of, you know, the biggest and one that's most before us right now. They also do work, as we mentioned with the UK submarine fleet, dollar-wise, it's not, you know, an overly significant part of their revenue stream, but it's critical technologies and critical relationships that we'll see where potentially that can take us as a partnership. They're very high temperature, pressure and sensor, pressure and temperature sensors, you know, were produced and designed mainly for the nuclear market, but as the world tries to get more energy efficient, there's a much broader applicability of these products more globally and something that, you know, with our strong market breadth across commercial aerospace, you know, as one example, I think we'll have a much greater reach in how we can take these products to market than was really, you know, a focus for that team. And so we're early days of working with them on that area. So that's just a touch on a couple, but, you know, their heritage one thing I think is exciting, you know, from our investor day, we talked about how, you know, we're proud that we have heritage in many of our, you know, businesses from the inception of the industry. And these, this team, you know, brings that same heritage and with it just deep industry knowledge, different, some different customer connections than we have. And so, you know, this it's more than just the tangible things, you know, they're a well established, strong player in this with really unique and great technology that just broadens what we can take to our customer base.

speaker
Nathan Jones
Analyst at Stifel

Awesome. Thanks for the call. I guess, I guess my second question, I'm going to go on foreign military sales. There's obviously a big push from the US administration to get Europe to increase their defense spending. I think air defense and ground defense would likely be areas of focus should foreign military or European governments look to increase military spending, which should fit very well with Kodas right portfolio. Maybe you could give us some color on, you know, what kind of improvement you would expect in foreign military sales if, I don't know, Europe increased defense spending by 1% or just any kind of color you can give us on how you would benefit.

speaker
Lynn Bamford
Chair and Chief Executive Officer

Well, let Chris speak to the numbers. But before that, you're very much right. Ground defense is, you know, great area over there. We have a very sophisticated capability in stabilization equipment that is used on a variety of type of vehicle platforms and a very strong partnership with Rheinmetall, which is really the leading manufacturer of vehicles over in Europe, not the only, and that's not the only place we partner, but, you know, a very preeminent one. And so that, and, you know, we have systems capability to deliver, you know, other types of products into, you know, both ground and aerial vehicles that are there. But we ship a lot of stuff just out of the U.S. and sell directly into those customers. So, you know, our product applicability is pretty great. But with that, maybe I'll turn it over to talk, let Chris walk through some of the numbers.

speaker
Chris Barkers
Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, sure. This has been a great growth vector for us, Nathan, as you know. I will say that it's very difficult for us to predict, you know, what a 1% increase in GDP across NATO is going to necessarily translate to for Curtis Wright. But we have seen some really great increases in NATO spending over the past few years in 2024. And we now have 70% of the country spending in more than 2% of their GDP. And if that continues to accelerate, then we would expect that that'll only continue to help accelerate our portfolio. But back in 23, FMS growth, or direct FMS growth, I should say, you know, grew more than 20% for Curtis Wright. In 2024, our FMS sales grew 10%. And that was really despite some timing issues that we had in the prior year with our TES business, which can kind of be a little bit lumpy. But we saw really strong demand across our defense electronics business, given their very broad portfolios supporting, you know, aero and ground markets, and as well as some benefit to our aircraft handling business within Naval and Power. And as we enter into this next year, you know, we're expecting that we're going to continue to grow at a low double-digit plus pace. And that'll be mainly driven, again, by C5ISR, naval aircraft handling, and then also some of the ground-based arresting systems that we have within Naval and Power. So we see it as an opportunity for Curtis Wright going forward, for sure. Excellent. Thanks very much for taking my questions.

speaker
Shana
Operator

Thank you. Thank you. Our next question comes from Mike Charmoly with Truist Securities.

speaker
Jim Ryan
Vice President of Investor Relations

Hey, good morning, guys. You know, I'm Mike Rizoltz. Thanks for taking the question. Hey, Chris, I guess just looking at, you know, great order flow, record backlog. You know, you've got the organic growth outlook in 2025 decelerating a bit. You know, defense has obviously been extremely strong. But any other kind of puts and takes, you know, and I know the mid-single digits in line with kind of what you laid out in investor day, you know, it seems like, you know, I would have thought maybe, you know, the arrow piece would have been a little bit better. But any other puts and takes on just kind of that revenue dynamic?

speaker
Chris Barkers
Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

No, I think, you know, as we enter into the year, we feel really well positioned with where we are from a backlog perspective, you know, particularly across our A&D markets. You know, a lot of that order activity that we experienced here in 2024, you know, when you look at, you know, like a second quarter book to bill of 1.7 times in Naval and Power, that's multi-year work that's coming to Curtis Wright. So as we look across Naval defense, we certainly see a solid opportunity for growth ahead for that business. Within aerospace defense, you know, that there's a strong driver there, not only what's happening within C5ISR, but, you know, also what's happening over in the actuation business relative to, you know, some additional work that they have with the F-35 program and other fighter jets. And then within Naval and Power, you know, you're looking at some uplift relative to the ground-based arresting systems on an international level. You know, as we approach ground defense, you know, we had 15% growth in that business this last year, and it was even stronger the year before. You know, the order book is great, you know, but as we enter into the year, some of that footprint capacity, you know, management that we're doing within that business continues. So we'll expect a little bit of more chatter here maybe in the first quarter until we get some of those efforts completed. And then, you know, just overall, I think, as you look at defense electronics, you know, we've got some really exciting things that we're doing. You know, in the CAPEX, and some of that is systems enhancements and improvements in the organization. Other investments are really just to expand footprint and capacity. And we just have to balance some of those major projects that are going on across the organization to support future growth with the expectations for what we can achieve in 2025. So I think, like, I feel like we've taken an appropriate position entering into the year given all that.

speaker
Jim Ryan
Vice President of Investor Relations

Scott, that's helpful. And then I guess just a question on the topic that's coming up across almost every call, tariffs, and I guess we're going to get more news here at one o'clock today, presumably. But going back and kind of looking at your exposure, I guess, back in 2018, you know, maybe you had a couple million dollars here or there. How are you thinking about, you know, potential tariffs headwinds, either the revenues or operating income kind of contemplated in the outlook?

speaker
Lynn Bamford
Chair and Chief Executive Officer

It's definitely a topic of conversation and a fluid situation, to say the least. But I appreciate you bringing up, you know, the past, you know, the past situation. And I guess, you know, the thing I would communicate first is, you know, current rates over, you know, the recent past has been a very, very difficult time. We've dealt with a variety of disruptive situations, whether it was the tariffs back in the late teens, which you're right, were about $9 million, of which about half we were able to mitigate with our customers and half we absorbed. But, you know, not material to the business. But, you know, we absorbed the pandemic came along and we lost $300 million of sales. We had the supply chain disruption and defense electronics, ongoing inflation. And I think it's important to note Curtis Wright has delivered steady growth and steady margin expansion through all these situations. So, you know, we have our commitments to manage this current situation as we, you know, have a very agile and or, you know, action-oriented team. And so, you know, we're already doing the things that we can do with the information we have. We've started some cross-functional tiger teams that are, you know, really making sure that, you know, we have our handle around everything, you know, related to operations, contracts, financial, legal, et cetera. We're definitely reviewing things such as, you know, flow of products, contracts terms, and watching the formal government communications to consider all the options that we can lever now and continuously thinking through areas we can approve to minimize the impact and are focused on mitigating actions, whether that's, you know, price recovery or a different, you know, approach to delivering a product to a customer that isn't overly disruptive and communicating those things. So, we feel at this point in time that, you know, we will manage this as we have managed, you know, situations in the past, but we're also contemplating, you know, if the tariffs stay more permanent, more broad, more, you know, and appear to be more durable, how we might make some other even more significant changes to protect the business. And so, obviously, you need more details than we have right now to do those things, but we feel really good about our guidance and entering the year, and this is obviously, you know, an ongoing situation, and we know of it, but we feel as if we will be able to manage our way through it.

speaker
Jim Ryan
Vice President of Investor Relations

Got it. Helpful. And just last one, Lynn, I think I heard you correct. You're expecting maybe a reactor coolant pump order in the next one to two years. Is that just maybe color on that timeline? Is that sort of inline? Is it sliding to the right? Anything changing out there? I guess the latest news, maybe Ukraine is looking at buying some Russian reactors from Bulgaria, but any kind of general update on market opportunities with RCPs for the AP-1000?

speaker
Lynn Bamford
Chair and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, so it's been, I'd say, honestly, amazingly steady over the past three years from, you know, coming out, you know, with our February 24th, 2022 guidance, you know, when this whole situation over in Ukraine began that morning, that the timeline for our first RCP order has gone from three to five, two to four, one to two, you know, with a steady progression year over year, and so it has remained very, very stable. We work very closely with Westinghouse on monitoring the pipeline, and, you know, when we say one to two years, we're really saying, you know, we expect an initial order by the end of 2026, so just to be a little bit more specific, you know, somewhere between now and then. I wouldn't say, you know, now. I would say more in the one to two year timeframe, but, you know, really by the end of 2026. And one piece of news that's out there for those who follow all the news feeds is, you know, Poland has moved their operational date from 2031 to 2033, but that absolutely does not impact our timeline of expecting a first order. Westinghouse has known that for some time. It just was not made public, so as we've worked with Westinghouse and, you know, anticipate that order, don't let that, you know, think that that's a delay to that first order, which is still anticipated to be Poland. So that's just one thing. You know, two other points of note is, you know, there's talk of, you know, trying to get the BC summer plants back online, and that has the potential of, you know, being a very good opportunity for Curtis Wright. If that were to happen, I mean, there's not much specificity around that, but, you know, it has been put forward. And kind of the late breaking news this week that, again, needs to be flushed out is that India is considering changing their approach to indemnification on nuclear power plants, which could break down what has always been the barrier for plants being sold into India. So those are kind of two new things. I don't think they're, either of those are going to play out in a manner that's going to jump ahead of, you know, a Poland or potentially Bulgaria order, but there are things that are, you know, new and good.

speaker
Jim Ryan
Vice President of Investor Relations

Got it. Got it. That's helpful. Thanks, guys. I'll turn it back to you.

speaker
Lynn Bamford
Chair and Chief Executive Officer

Okay. Thanks, Mike.

speaker
Shana
Operator

Our next question is coming from Miles Walton with Wolf Research.

speaker
Jim Ryan
Vice President of Investor Relations

Thanks. Could you comment on what the order was that triggered the large deferred revenue to come through on the cash flow? And then also, as I look at your naval defense business, that went from an expectation in 2024 of, you know, started the year at 3 to 5 percent growth and ended up at 14 percent. You have some color as to, it seems like every quarter that was getting revised higher. What exactly was going on there? And the new starting point for 2025 is 3 to 5 percent. So is there a similar upside opportunity?

speaker
Chris Barkers
Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. I mean, first to discuss the upside opportunity, I think we feel pretty well positioned with where we're coming into the year, Miles. And I would say that, you know, to answer maybe the first question that you asked, I mean, the volume of naval orders that we had received across this business this last year was very, very strong. When you look at that business and then, you know, our ability to convert that, whether it be through material receipts or the significant ramp up in staffing that we were able to achieve for this business this last year, you know, I think we certainly surpassed our own expectations. And as that work gets completed or as those orders come on in, you know, that provides an opportunity for us to kind of build and build in advance of certain milestones being achieved. So if you step back and take a look at the balance sheet for Curtis Wright, I mean, we were up $140 million in deferred revenue this last year. So a record level of advances, you know, not only across the full year, but in the fourth quarter as well. So most of that relates to what you saw in submarines and the acceleration of work that happened here into the fourth quarter. But I also want to say, you know, across our defense electronics business, they did a really solid job of getting in advances ahead of their work. So there was a lot that kind of went into that. I wouldn't say it's a single contract, but, you know, that was all good effort. And, you know, as we go into this year, you know, will there be upside in naval defense? I think a lot of that is just is going to continue to depend upon the ability to put the right capex and people in the space and execute on that backlog and get through that sooner. But I'll say that, you know, again, we do feel good about the guide entering into the year.

speaker
Jim Ryan
Vice President of Investor Relations

Okay. And what was the book to bill by segment for 2024? If you have that.

speaker
Chris Barkers
Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. So if you look at aerospace and industrial was 1.05, defense electronics was 1.16 and naval and power was 1.3. Yeah.

speaker
Jim Ryan
Vice President of Investor Relations

Okay. And then maybe Lynn on the subsea pump business, given we now have the Gulf of America and we're going to drill a lot, what's the outlook for the subsea pumps? And if that's a material opportunity over the next three to five years upside versus what you're previously been

speaker
Lynn Bamford
Chair and Chief Executive Officer

Well, I'd say across our entire process and market is surely drill, baby drill is probably a good thing. So, but, you know, joking aside, you know, the, you know, the early executive orders and, you know, the first executive order of Chris, Chris Wright, not only was very pro nuclear, it was very pro LNG and all things fossil fuels. And that is going to be good for Curtis right. And so we size the opportunity for the subsea pumps at $250 million of potential by the end of this decade. That has not changed as of yet. We started going through the last stages of, you know, getting the shell pump deployed and, you know, really development with Petrobras, but I feel like it will surely only be a tailwind for, you know, not just that subsea, but, you know, many things around our valve footprint and some other equipment that we sell across the process industry.

speaker
Jim Ryan
Vice President of Investor Relations

Okay. All right. Thanks so much.

speaker
Shana
Operator

We will take our next question from Jason Gursky with Citigroup.

speaker
Jim Ryan
Vice President of Investor Relations

Hey, good morning, everybody. When I just do a couple of big picture questions. With you, if that's okay. Just starting with the transition with the administration and maybe just kind of reflect, if you wouldn't mind for a minute on how this transition has been different than what you all have seen in the past and what, if anything, you all are doing differently as a result of any differences that you've seen in this transition.

speaker
Lynn Bamford
Chair and Chief Executive Officer

So it's, you know, it's been a fast paced transition that I think everybody, you know, realizes the turns on the news. And so I think that's universally true, not necessarily tied, you know, to Curtis Wright in any particular way. I think the clarity of position on things such as nuclear, you know, coming out with an executive order in the first two weeks on, you know, how the administration sees energy dominance and, you know, the very clear support for nuclear and, you know, really all things fossil fuel production. I think those are levels of clarity and speed of the transition. And so I think that's a clarity that is not typical. Now, what's not clear is the tariffs, right? So, I mean, that's, you know, kind of a, you know, on the other side of the paper is that which is not clear. But I think hopefully that will sort itself out here in the next couple weeks as to what the position is going to be. And we'll just have to live with the ambiguity and do what we can in the meantime. But, you know, I also see things, you know, doges obviously all over the news and, you know, okay, set aside, you know, what anybody thinks about it. Broadly speaking, if we have a more efficient government that wants to spend dollars wisely, and if you take that as what the big picture intent of it is, I think that's going to be a great thing for Curtis Wright. One of the beliefs out of it is that, you know, a lot less friendly attitude to all these cost plus contracts and wanting to drive more fixed price contracts, which is the vast, vast majority of where Curtis Wright plays, is a good thing. And I believe that, you know, if, you know, a more efficient government and the value proposition Curtis Wright gives for the dollars that we take, you know, either directly from the government or through a prime to deliver equipment, I think we produce a great value. I feel very confident that, you know, the money spent at Curtis Wright delivers value to our military. And, you know, with that, I feel like it could only be good in that sense. And then if you take that efficiency and apply it to the process of building commercial nuclear, which is clearly called out in the energy dominance is to finally deliver on commercial nuclear footprint in a meaningful way across the U.S., making that less bureaucratic only speeds up the timeline that some of these projects can be implemented. So I think all those things, you know, we see it as way more positive than a negative. You know, there's, we'll see what happens with the tax code. I mean, that's, you know, we'll see where that goes. But, you know, we don't produce everything in the U.S., but we produce a lot of things in the U.S. And if there's a favorability towards, you know, companies that hire in the U.S. and produce products in the U.S., that will be good for Curtis Wright, if that's how that turns out. And, you know, even take the executive order on Iron Dome. I mean, we have a lot of content, you know, whether it's through our during the chilled win back in 2022 and many other things across defense electronics that would drive great content to us. So, you know, there's a lot of areas, you know, again, taxes, tariffs, you name it, but, you know, we like to hire and build things here in America. And that's clearly a focus of this administration. So we're trying to stay nimble, I will say that, and take the news in daily as it comes and consider how, you know, we can best take those moves by the federal government to our advantage.

speaker
Jim Ryan
Vice President of Investor Relations

That's great. And you touched on what was briefly touched on what was going to be the follow up question, which was on on Doge. You know, it sounds like those guys are going to make their way across the Key Bridge and over to the Pentagon at some point here in the tracks. But maybe if you could step back and give some recommendations or prescriptions, actions that you'd like to see Doge take at the Pentagon, I think that might be interesting to hear your thoughts on what other than for fixed price contracts, maybe should they be looking to get done?

speaker
Lynn Bamford
Chair and Chief Executive Officer

Well, I would say broadly, you know, the whole acquisition process is fairly, you know, is a slow process. And I think attacking that, you know, broadly, and you've heard some of the CEOs of even larger defense companies than us, you know, talk about that, that, you know, in the end, our industry will produce more value for the government, not less if the acquisition process is streamlined. So I'd say that's one that comes to top of mind. But, you know, just to add, go back to your first question about things we're doing different. One of the things we are doing differently as a company in 2025 is, and it's as much coincidental as response to this, because we've were, you know, decided to make this a big initiative, you know, later last year, is really increasing our visibility and our touch points at the Pentagon and on Capitol Hill to really emphasize, you know, what Curtis Wright does and what value we bring to the government. And I think connecting the drive for efficiency, and I will stand up and proudly present what we do for the dollars we get and know that we are a great supplier to the U.S. government. And, you know, so I think that will align nicely, us trying, us bringing that message out to

speaker
Jim Ryan
Vice President of Investor Relations

the public. So I appreciate the thoughts.

speaker
Shana
Operator

Our next question comes from Peter Arment with Beard.

speaker
Jim Ryan
Vice President of Investor Relations

Yeah, thanks. Good morning or good afternoon now, I guess. Lynn, Chris, Jim. Hey, Lynn, could you comment a little bit about the outlook on commercial nuclear? You called out for a high single organic growth, high single digit organic growth this year, but, you know, you grew low double digits last year in your guidance for 26, I assume, low double digits. Are we, is there, is this timing related or is there a deceleration, something get pushed out that, you know, is a change from 24 versus 25?

speaker
Chris Barkers
Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

No, I think, Peter, you know, we did have a very strong year this last year, and as we committed to invest today, we would grow at a, and we still see the trajectory being a low double digit kegger over the three-year period. This year, I'll say that, you know, while we are seeing and benefiting from some of the license renewals and Plex work that's starting to kind of happen, you know, more around the industry, one of the headwinds that we are facing is that there are lower -over-year outages, and that's just something that's going to happen, you know, once every three years or so, there's going to be a little bit of a dip there. But, you know, overall, higher maintenance activity across the operating fleet to support that. We are going to see a steady ramp up in the design effort. We talked a little bit about that in the prepared remarks, but it's not just a care of power and X energy. You know, we're excited about what Ultra Energy can do, and they're investing in research and development to secure some new and exciting winds themselves. So I think we feel really good about the low double digit guy that we gave over the three-year period, and as we enter into 2026, we only expect that to continue to ramp up as this SMR work gets closer to prototyping.

speaker
Jim Ryan
Vice President of Investor Relations

Got it. Okay. That's helpful, Coller. And then just, Lynn, you made the comment about the nuclear business being 5X, you know, as you get out into the next decade. Is that all organic, or do you contemplate more M&A in this space? Thanks.

speaker
Lynn Bamford
Chair and Chief Executive Officer

We really did that buildup from an organic standpoint of, you know, where we are driving content that we know of today, and what we anticipate from the AP1000 buildout, the aftermarket and plant life extensions, and the of the buildout of SMRs that is at, you know, at a rhythm drumbeat that is anticipated. So that is business that is within our wheelhouse to drive for Curtis Wright.

speaker
Jim Ryan
Vice President of Investor Relations

Very helpful. Thanks so much. Nice results.

speaker
Lynn Bamford
Chair and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Peter.

speaker
Shana
Operator

Our next question comes from Pete Skibisky with Olympic Global.

speaker
Pete Skibisky
Analyst at Olympic Global

Hey, good morning, guys. Nice quarter. A couple of follow ups on Naval and Power. First, just a clarification. So the material receipts that you brought in and booked revenue on in the fourth quarter, that is what led to the strong revenue. But I assume those low margin revenue on the material, that's why I guess the four key margin at Naval came in a little below your expectations. Is that kind of the way it worked there?

speaker
Chris Barkers
Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, partly. So I'll definitely say that, you know, a good portion of the beat in Naval was associated with material, but, you know, other portions of it were just better progress and staffing and ramping up to support the strong order book. You know, another little nuance here for those that have actually been out to the Cheswick facility where we do a lot of Naval work and AP1000 work and the subsea work. We did see some resources shift from subsea pump development to support some of those naval milestones in the fourth quarter. So that's another little nuance here. But as you look at the overall, while we still had a very strong .1% margin here in the fourth quarter, by and large, the biggest reason for the missed versus expectations is just higher defense business. And it's a great business. There's very solid margins. They're obviously a strong cast producer. But as you look across the Naval and power portfolio and you think about nuclear products and process products and air defense products and international sales, it can be dilutive. So it was really a combination of the strong Naval defense sales, lower process valve sales during the fourth quarter, lower arresting, air arresting systems. And we had a really great quarter of the prior year and international arresting systems and those carry very high margins. So mostly MEX, as you look across the explain.

speaker
Pete Skibisky
Analyst at Olympic Global

Got it. That's awful. I appreciate it. And then looking ahead to 2025 in the segment, what's the right way to think about the restructuring that you guys are doing there? Are you closing sites, doing other investments? Can you help us understand what's going on? And it looks like that restructuring is going to impact margin positively by the end of the year, just kind of, or maybe the mix shifts back, but we'll just want to pick it at some color there.

speaker
Chris Barkers
Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. So just to be clear, the vast majority of the restructuring that we spent this year, we spent $15 million to get $10 million of annualized savings, three of which fell into 2024, seven is going to fall into 2025 to get you to that 10 million spend. But the 3 million, the majority of that fell through the ANI segment and we increased our margin. I think maybe in the second or third quarter call, 30 basis points to account for that. The other biggest piece of that entering into 2025 is going to continue to benefit the aerospace and industrial group. A lot of efficiency behind some of those actions that we took within that restructuring. But then as you step back and you look at defense electronics, which is probably the second biggest contributor towards that spend and what we're doing is really just, you know, we're moving footprint, we're expanding capacity. There's still going to be some disruption obviously here in the fourth quarter, even though we had very strong results, but that'll continue a little bit into Q1. And, you know, the order book looks incredibly strong. We're excited about the outlook for that business going forward. So I hope that we're in a position as we get deeper into the year where maybe we have to do some more of this. But then, you know, I'll also say that, and that, you know, we are investing back not only in restructuring, CapEx, systems across the organization, you know, we're doing some exciting things from a systems perspective. And that's made that a lot of work is going on in defense electronics at this point to support that. And, but the trajectory going forward and where we're spending most of that time and effort is really in aerospace and industrial and defense electronics.

speaker
Pete Skibisky
Analyst at Olympic Global

Okay. Thanks for the call. I appreciate it.

speaker
Shana
Operator

Once again, if you'd like to ask a question, please press star one or your telephone keypad at this time. We will take our next question from Bryce Sandberg with William Berg.

speaker
Jim Ryan
Vice President of Investor Relations

Lynn, Chris, and Jim, good morning and thanks for the question. Morning. Good morning. Just want to ask, on the naval business, we've seen pretty significant supply chain and labor disruption at one of the shipyards that's impacting production. But obviously you've had, you know, strong momentum in your naval business. So just kind of want to understand better how that disruption may or may not flow through your business. And, you know, does that represent an opportunity for you to take on more work within the supply chain?

speaker
Lynn Bamford
Chair and Chief Executive Officer

So, um, that's a question we get asked, you know, fairly frequently. And we're, to some degree, we're reasonably decoupled from the exact flow in the shipyards as our material is such long lead. And, you know, if you're curious, Chris can walk through, you know, kind of the flow of material. But, you know, our equipment is usually ordered years in advance, a couple years in advance of the shipyards. And so there really isn't a -to-one coupling. Now, from an opportunity standpoint, you know, we are always out presenting ourselves as a hungry, ambitious naval equipment supplier and, you know, open to taking on new work as the Navy, you know, needs to second source things or move points of supply. And those don't happen frequently, but they do happen. And, you know, we've won some content through taking that kind of attitude, but it's not really a -to-one coupling with the shipyards.

speaker
Chris Barkers
Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

You know, I will, I'll just add that, um, you know, one of the exciting things about our business, and we talked about this at investor day, so it's really gratifying to see some of this play out. And I'll certainly talk a little bit about it in the script. It's just the aftermarket work that's becoming available to Curtis Wright. You know, we've got two service centers on the East Coast and one on the West Coast. And, you know, not only is it our COH work, but there's also just a, you know, a lot of aftermarket coming. Virginia-class submarines with initial spares provisioning that's helping Curtis Wright to grow. We've got a great footprint in naval resting systems that also, you know, is growing internationally. So there's other ways for us to grow that are, that, and what we are experiencing now that's not tied directly to what's happening in the shipyards.

speaker
Jim Ryan
Vice President of Investor Relations

That's helpful. Thanks, Len and Chris.

speaker
Shana
Operator

Thank you. Thank you. There are no further questions awaiting from the call phone lines. I will now turn the call to the Chief Executive Officer for additional or closing remarks.

speaker
Lynn Bamford
Chair and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, everybody, for joining us today. And we look forward to reconvening when we have our Q1 results. Have a good rest of your day.

speaker
Shana
Operator

Thank you. This does conclude today's Curtis Wright earnings conference call. Please connect your line at this time and have a wonderful day.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

Q4CW 2024

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