Darling Ingredients Inc.

Q3 2021 Earnings Conference Call

11/10/2021

spk10: and exceptional. We truly appreciate their tenacity for getting the job done. Also, during the quarter, Darling repurchased approximately $22 million of common stock. And for year-to-date, we have purchased approximately $98 million worth of stock. On a year-to-date basis, our global ingredients business has earned approximately $628 million of EBITDA, putting us at an annualized run rate of approximately $850 million for 2021. With that, now I'd like to hand it over to Brad to take us through the financials. Then I'll come back and discuss a little bit of our outlook and how things are going to finish up for 2021.
spk14: Brad? Okay. Thanks, Randy. Net income for the third quarter of 2021 totaled $146.8 million, or $0.88 per diluted share, compared to net income of $101.1 million, or $0.61 per diluted share, for the 2020 third quarter. Net sales increased 39.4% to $1.2 billion for the third quarter of 2021 as compared to $850.6 million for the third quarter of 2020. Operating income increased 61.4% to $205.7 million for the third quarter of 2021 compared to $127.5 million for the third quarter of 2020. The increase in operating income was primarily due to the $114.1 million increase in gross margin, which was a 53.8% increase in gross margin over the same quarter in 2020. Our operating income improvement was impacted by the lower contribution of our 50% share of Diamond Green Diesel's net income, which was $54 million in the third quarter of 2021 as compared to $91.1 million for the same quarter of 2020. As Randy mentioned earlier, Hurricane Ida impacted gallons sold in Q3, resulting in lower earnings for DGD during the quarter. Our gross margin percentage continues to improve year over year and sequentially. Q3 2021 gross margin was 27.5%, which is the best result we have had in the last 10 years. For the first nine months of this year, our gross margin percentage was 26.8% compared to 24.9%. for the same period a year ago or a 7.6% improvement year over year. As you can see on pages four and five of our IR deck, gross margins have continued on a positive trend for the last four years as our management team across the business has worked to increase the profitability of their operations. Depreciation and amortization declined 7.9 million in the third quarter of 2021 when compared to the third quarter of 2020. SG&A increased $7.3 million in the quarter as compared to the prior year and declined $1.9 million from the previous quarter. The main causes for the higher cost in the quarter compared to a year ago are related to labor, travel, and other. Interest expense declined $3.4 million for the third quarter 2021 as compared to the 2020 third quarter. Now turning to income taxes, the company recorded income tax expense of 42.6 million for the three months ended October 2nd, 2021. Our effective tax rate is 22.3%, which differs from the federal statutory rate of 21% due primarily to biofuel tax incentives, the relative mix of earnings among jurisdictions with different tax rates and certain taxable income inclusion items in the US based on foreign earnings. For the nine months ended October 2nd, 2021, The company recorded income tax expense of $126.3 million and an effective tax rate of 20.2%. The company also has paid $36.9 million of income taxes year-to-date as of the end of the third quarter. For 2021, we are projecting an effective tax rate of 22% and cash taxes of approximately $10 million for the remainder of the year. Our balance sheet remains strong with our total debt outstanding as of October 2nd at $1.38 billion, and the bank covenant leverage ratio ended the third quarter at 1.6 times. Capital expenditures were $65.6 million for Q3 2021 and totaled $191.7 million for the first nine months of 2021. As a reminder, this CapEx spend does not include our share of the capital spend at Diamond Green Diesel, which continues to be substantially funded by internal resources at DGD. Now I'll turn the call back over to you, Randy.
spk10: Hey, thanks, Brad. As our global ingredients business and Diamond Green Diesel continue to perform well, and as we indicated in our press release yesterday, we are maintaining our guidance for 2021 of combined adjusted EBITDA of $1.275 billion. There is strong momentum for our global platform as we finish out our best year in our history and look to build on that energy going into 2022. I want to spend a few minutes on capital allocations. Over the last couple of years, we have discussed our best use of cash at Darling through five points, and those really have not changed. Those five points are investing in DGD, growing our core business, reaching an investment-grade debt rating, meaningful share repurchases, and potentially starting a dividend policy for our shareholders. It is our belief, and most everyone who is on this call knows, then our future cash generation will be large enough to address all of these points in our capital allocation plan. And we continue to work on the execution of this plan as our free cash flow generation continues to grow. I do not need to point out that we did make the decision earlier to accelerate the construction of DGD Port Arthur, Texas, which puts a bigger capital spend on DGD in 2022. That does push out the potential size of distributions from the venture in 2022, but increases the potential for 2023. I do also want to add that our M&A funnel of opportunities to grow our low-CI feedstock footprint around the world and grow our green bioenergy production capabilities is rising. This may adjust priorities in our capital allocation plan, but not limit our ability to execute on all of the points I already mentioned. So with that, Grant, let's go ahead and open it up to Q&A.
spk06: We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your touch tone phone. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. We ask today that you limit yourself to two questions while you are in the question queue. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. Our first question today comes from Adam Samuelson with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
spk08: Thank you. Good morning. Morning. Morning. So I guess my first question is around policy and just thinking about some of the new incentives that are working their way through Congress in the Build Back Better Act, specifically the Sustainable Aviation Fuel Tax Credit, and then that clean fuel production credit post for 2026 and beyond. Randy, I'd just be interested to hear how you see the opportunities for DGD around both of those and what the longer-term kind of potential contribution of those would be to the DGD.
spk10: Okay. Adam, I'll let Sandy take a shot at this for us.
spk11: Hey, good morning, Adam. You know, first of all, I think we think it's very supportive of the biofuels industry. It shows really a long-term commitment and one that says that biofuels are an important way to reduce emissions, which we've all known for a long time, but sometimes we don't seem like we get recognition for that. In terms of the BTC extension, there are actually two things that I think that are positive with regard to Darling. First, there's the BTC extension as well as the SAF credit. So first on the BTC extension, you know, that's a four-year extension at $1 per gallon. It's treated in the same manner as it is today, which is very positive. Then after, and that would go from 2023 to 2026. After that, then you have the clean fuel production credit that would go from 2027 to 2031. And the way we read it, possibly to 2034. what we're seeing is that then becomes a production credit. That's a dollar per gallon that's adjusted annually for inflation and then subject to a CI adjuster as well before there's a step down in credit value. And that step down in credit value is based upon whether or not a certain emissions reduction has happened or we've gotten to the year 2031. So, gosh, that's just enormous support in terms of what we've been doing today and what we expect to do going forward. In terms of the SAF, you also have a credit there for four years. It's what we're reading, $1.25 per gallon up to another 50 cents per gallon, depending on the CI. Under that, you'll have to have a life cycle reduction of at least 50% as determined by ICAO or a similar methodology. After 2026, then, you have the Clean Fuel Production Credit that kicks in, and that would go, again, from 2027 to 2031, and again, possibly to 2034, depending on whether or not they're going to step down. Again, it becomes a production credit. Then the credit goes from $1.25 to $1.75. Again, that would be adjusted annually for inflation and then subject to a CI adjuster, as well as the step-down. All of that is just so supportive of reducing emissions and supportive of the direction that Darling is going and DGD.
spk10: Yeah, Adam, I think this is Randy. I mean, I think Sandy did a really detailed, nice job there of explaining it. I mean, overall... The legislation that's out there in the, if you will, the Build Back Better or social spending plan that I think has a pretty high probability of moving forward is probably the single most bullish thing that we've seen in many years here that gives certainty of our participation in the climate change discussion. I think Sandy was very subtle, and hopefully you picked it up, but I'll make sure you pick it up. She said the word producers or production credits. And so that's a very key principle in here that gives extreme favorability to U.S. assets.
spk08: Now, that's really helpful color, Sandy and Randy. And I guess as a follow-up, just as you look at DGD kind of with the Norco expansion just about done, Port Arthur coming in 18 months or so, How are you thinking about both scope and opportunities to reduce the CI scores of your own production and then incrementally just thinking about SAF and what it would take to actually start making that fuel?
spk11: Yeah. So I think, you know, we're constantly looking at trying to reduce our CI scores. There are a number of ways that we're doing that, you know. I think that we can start with our feedstocks, too. So we're looking at ways with our feedstocks of helping reduce the CI scores. But then internally, we look at that all the time and try to make adjustments to our processes that allow us to do that. And so it's just a constant thing on our mind. In terms of SAF, where we're headed, I think we've constantly said that we're really excited about SAF. but we need the right economics. And to that end, you know, we've reviewed the capital required, we've studied the yield profiles, we've talked to the logical markets, we've done the preliminary engineering, and we've evaluated the economics. I will say, just as you were talking about, the Build Back Better bill appears to be really serious about trying to grow the SAF industry, and we're really excited to see that. But yet, unfortunately, the legislation is not yet finalized, So we have to see it before we can make any decisions. Assuming that the final economics are supportive, we look forward to expanding our role in terms of low-carbon solutions. And I think what you've seen from Diamond in the past is that when we make an announcement, it's well contemplated and we're serious about it. It's not just an announcement that we want to get something out in the press or have an ESG story. It's because we plan to do it. And so at the end of the day, you know, we've done our homework, and once things are finalized, we should be able to let you know relatively quickly where things stand. I'm hoping that's in Q1 of next year. That said, I hope that we can become a part of the SAF movement soon.
spk08: All right.
spk03: I appreciate all that, Keller. I'll pass it on. Thank you. Our next question comes from Prashant Rao with Citigroup. Please go ahead.
spk02: Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking the question. I wanted to pick up on something you said there, Sandy, about an ESG narrative and then also with sort of the legislative environment, what the push is here broadly with this administration and globally. Darling has a very compelling ESG and sustainability story. And Randy, you and I talked about that before, that 2022 might be the year that there could be some clarity around the messaging so that the market gets that. I was wondering if you could help us maybe think about that, just beyond just decarbonization, you know, other land use, water use, you know, other factors, and, you know, to highlight in the Darling story, that you think sort of this might be the time to really emphasize those. I was wondering if you could help us to think about how you're thinking about messaging that and sort of leveraging to all the other ones.
spk15: Yeah, this is John. You know, it's an interesting point. We have long viewed ourselves as an ESG company because, quite frankly, almost everything that Darling does is a carbon capture story, which in a world that needs to reduce carbon emissions is a great thing. I think what's more interesting than that, though, than just the fact that historically we happen to be standing in the right place at the right time, is I don't think there's another company out there that has actually moved as aggressively to help the world reduce carbon emissions as Darling has, not only with our Diamond Green Diesel, but also the actions that we're taking internally to help reduce water usage. The fact of the matter is we capture much water associated with our rendering operations. We have a really broad-based ESG story. We have, as this story has evolved, and part of this is ESG is a developing concept, and there's been a lot of moving pieces on how people view and how people judge that. We're working hard internally to try to clarify our messaging around this issue because at the end of the day, once you pull all the curtains back, the reality is there's no company out there that's doing more in relationship to the ESG story and the ESG movement than Darling is and has been doing for several years now in preparation for it. So I think it's a matter of getting the messaging out there because the story is absolutely rock star. Randy?
spk10: No, absolutely, John. And, you know, for Sean, you know, we, as we did during your conference. I mean, clearly, 2022, we will be spending a lot more time talking about the initiatives that we have around the world from water intensity reductions. We're looking at different technologies in the gelatin business, which is a huge water consumer, water recapture for crop production, energy intensity. Clearly, when energy is cheap, no one really spends a lot of time thinking about this stuff. And all of a sudden, in the last year, we've seen energy move up 40% to 100% in different parts of the world. And so once again, it's going to get more and more attention. And then clearly, in the labor world, we've got to get smarter there as the world's at full employment. So I think it's a great time for us. I appreciate you bringing it out. I tell you to stay tuned, and we'll bring you more here in 22.
spk02: appreciate that John and Randy and just one quick follow up. I just wanted to touch on capital allocation for next year. Randy, you get great to hear the reconfirmation of how you think about these things. I just wanted to check. When you think about 22, specifically given the acceleration of port arts and the distribution up to the partners might be have to wait until we see DGD three up. How much when you think about inorganic growth in 2022, I just wanted to sense check where your appetite is and what room there might be on the balance sheet should you need to go there on the debt side to source capital for a potential inorganic growth bolt on or something like that.
spk10: I'll leave it there. Wow, that's a great question. I'm getting lots of stares in the room here. No, the fun part is we're clearly, as we're trying to decode and telegraph, we're seeing more M&A opportunities, multi-continent, than we've seen in the last three to four years. Can't really address them yet. Can't tell you if they're going to be fair priced and if we're going to get them home. Clearly, as we think of our business today, we want to continue to build the moat around the machines. And the machine is this giant ESG story. And how do we do that? By procuring and securing additional low-carbon feedstocks around the world. So we're looking hard. Obviously, the acceleration of DGD3, it's both kind of a blessing and, to a degree, not a curse. Because what it means is it'll be online in early 2023, we hope. And once again, it'll be completely funded. and de-levered, and it will give Darling unlimited cash generation capacity at that time, a high-class problem. Between now and then, we've got plenty of availability within our credit agreement, within maybe some modifications to it if we need to here. You know, clearly, as Brad said, we're down to a 1.6 leverage time ratio, if not headed lower even yet this year. And so we have plenty of room to do what we want to do in 2022. And then pretty much a high-class problem, as we say, in 23 here. Great.
spk02: Thanks, Randy.
spk03: Appreciate the time, guys. We'll turn it over.
spk06: Our next question comes from Tom Palmer with J.P. Morgan. Please go ahead.
spk18: Good morning, and thanks for the question.
spk17: Good morning. Good morning.
spk18: We've seen animal fat prices move a bit higher. Used cooking oil, corn oil haven't really followed to the same extent. Curious what your view is on that. Do you expect the price gap for yuko and corn oil to converge with tallow over time, or are there constraints to consider when it comes to the pricing of these other feedstocks?
spk15: Yeah, this is John. Yeah, I think in general what you're seeing is this trend that waste fats are a valuable fat when we're trying to reduce carbon emissions in our fuel supply. And so you're generally seeing those move higher. I wouldn't take too much note in any type of short-term movements on the relative price of eucor and corn oil and animal fats. They all carry slightly different carbon intensity scores. But essentially, they're all substantially better than vegetable oils are in relationship to their value in the low carbon intensity fuel cycle. So, you know, I think this market's a big market. It's an evolving market. I wouldn't get too excited about short-term type of differences between the fat prices. The general concept that waste fats are valued in low carbon fuel markets is is a fundamental truth now and is going to be a fundamental truth for a very long period of time to come. And that's essentially the oil field that Darling sits on top of is a low-carbon source of fuel for low-carbon fuels.
spk10: Yeah, and I would say, Tom, this is Randy. You know, I think John said it very, very well. As Sandy pointed out, SAF is going to give preferential treatment to low-carbon feedstocks. Once again, that's us. When you look at the low-carbon pool of feedstocks, both in North America and around the world, we're now trading well above the caloric value of corn, which has always been kind of the baseline of where it could go. And so at the end of the day, you know, DGD2, you know, we kept telling you, keep in mind it's buying 40% of North America's feedstock today. And so it is clearly firmed prices for us, but it's also there's plenty of feedstock out there for us to accomplish what we want to at number two and number three.
spk18: Okay, thanks for that. And last quarter, you laid out the EBITDA outlook for 2022 of 1.6 to 1.7, and I think it was kind of $850 million from the ingredients business, $800 from DGD. Is this still the outlook? You did increase your production, I think, at least by a little bit at DGD. Does that affect the outlook at this point or kind of still the prior one?
spk10: No, I think we're kind of still, you know, there's been a lot of fluctuations, clearly, in margins with the disruption of Ida, RINs moving up, LCFS moving around, heating oil moving around. I mean, we're still going to, you know, we came into the year telling you that we would operate around 225 a gallon, maybe a little more in DGD. Clearly, 17 days offline didn't help us there. But, you know, as we go forward to next year, I think we're pretty much where we said we would be at this time. So, you know, I feel good what I see right now. If you think, as we said, the base business this year should finish up around 850, plus or minus a few dollars there. And then you sit there and say, okay, 750 then coming out or 700 coming out of DGD next year, which would be $2 a gallon at 700 million gallons. I mean, that's the simple math we're doing today. You know, I don't see any real change in that forecast at that time.
spk04: Oh, great. Thank you.
spk06: Our next question comes from Manav Gupta with Credit Suisse. Please go ahead.
spk01: Hey, guys. I'm going to ask a policy-based question. You do talk to a lot of people at CARB, and you talk to the high-level people in CARB. And again, there are some estimates out there which are saying a number of projects are coming on, which we don't think all of them are coming on. But there's a bear thesis floating around saying that LCFS price could drop to 80, which would not be good for the entire program of LCFS. Investments will be curtailed back. In your opinion and discussions with CARB, do you think they will be supportive of a decent carbon price? I'm not saying a high or low, but would they try and at least set the expectations where people who are investing in these lower carbon projects would get some good returns and And so will they try and support the price of carbon? That's what I'm trying to ask.
spk11: Go ahead, Sandy. Yeah. So Manav, this is Sandy. So I realize everyone's very focused on LCFS credit prices these days and the direction they've taken lately. I think in Q2, we saw LCFS credits exceed deficits. And over the last few months, we've seen a general decline in LCFS prices. Within the market, you know, we've seen things going on. We've seen weakness in California. gasoline and diesel demand versus historical levels. And we saw the same thing really over in Europe as well, and that may be even more pronounced. That resulted in more renewable diesel volumes being shifted from the European market to the California market, which we saw in terms of increased imports. That further weighed on the market, I believe. We also saw increased credit generation within a number of categories recently, and we've heard about a number of projects that are planned to take place. But keep in mind, we also have seen credits exceed deficits off and on, you know, over time, and there's been a general decline in the credit banks since 2017, 2018. We also recently saw Governor Newsom call on CARB and the CUPC to achieve carbon neutrality by 2035, and that's a whole 10 years earlier than was originally planned. That's a huge task, and it's going to require significant carbon reductions. You know, we've been hearing that CARB is contemplating ramping up its carbon reduction targets in answer to your question. And we've recently seen, too, that the 2020 average credit crew of intensity exceeded the baseline. And that's going to be added to the regulated party's obligations for 2022 unless something changes during the comment period. You know, and we've also seen, you know, don't forget, that some projects have been delayed or scrapped. We've seen Washington State pass an LCFS, although, granted, there's still some work to do in terms of implementing the transportation package. We also know that Canada will be implementing its CFS in the not-too-distant future, and we know other states are looking at implementing LCFS-type programs like New York and New Mexico. And then, finally, we've seen Europe propose some significant mandates within its Fit for 55 suite of programs. And all of these carbon reduction programs will be competing for low carbon credits going forward. So sometimes I think when we look at events or trends over a short period of time, we get focused on those temporary trends. And John kind of spoke to that earlier. And so we don't necessarily always see the broader picture. So I'm not entirely sure that we're seeing an inflection point here with the LCFS. because there's a number of things coming down the road that I think should be bullish on credit prices. But, you know, we, like everybody else, are going to continue to monitor that.
spk15: And if I could just add on top of that, Manav, we're actually extremely pleased to see that the LCFF credit market has not challenged the maximum ceiling pricing. I think what we've established now, and this is really going to help the long-term of low-carbon fuel programs in other jurisdictions move forward and help California increase its mandates, is these things are successful. The market brings new low-carbon alternatives into the marketplace, and we have a vast array of other government entities that are thinking about implementing low-carbon fuel standards. Quite frankly, the success in California and the fact that the market has responded with low-carbon alternatives, not only renewable diesel but others, is extremely positive for expansion in these programs. And the expansion in these programs provides a much more stable base and long-term viability base for what Diamond Green Diesel is and for what Darling is as a supplier of low-carbon feedstock. So we very much like how this is working, and we think this is good news. I know everybody obsesses about the bad news and what's the impact going to be on per gallon this quarter and all that good stuff. The fact of the matter is it's indisputable The pattern that's being laid out here is extremely positive for what we have at Diamond and what we have at Darling.
spk01: Perfect, sir. I'll stick again to a little bit of policy again. And I know Reuters came out with some numbers and there was a knee-jerk reaction that the Biden administration is probably going against biofuels. But when we dig deeper, it's very clear that they may not be fully supportive on the ethanol side, But when we look at the advanced biofuel, renewable diesel, biodiesel, there's almost a 2 billion gallon increase that they're proposing. So I understand it's a leaked document, but I wanted your views as to, you know, do you generally feel when you're interacting with Biden EPA, they may only talk electric at the top, but down under, do you think there is support for biofuels within the Biden EPA administration?
spk11: Yeah, I do think that there is support within the biofuels or for biofuels within the Biden administration. I think you see that, you know, within the SAF credit that we saw. Yesterday, you know, there was a new report that was released, the 2021 Aviation Climate Action Plan that's very supportive of SAF going forward, and it's a whole host of programs that support SAF. In addition to that, you know, I think what you've recently seen, too, is you've seen a potential long-term extension of the BTC. So I do think that that's very supportive for us as well. So I do.
spk15: Let me just add on. This is John. In relationship to the RVO question, the fact of the matter is you can't just look at what Biden administration is doing with RVOs. I think your point, Manuva, is right on. It's quite clear that they're going to be ramping up the mandates for the biomass-based diesel part of the program and for the advanced categories. That's extremely positive for us. The other thing that I think that you've got to take into consideration here, it's just not the RVOs. It's what do they do with the SREs. And as we saw, they just denied an SRE. I think the general noises we hear is that there's not going to be the liberal granting of SREs. That's very important to the S&D of RINs. And then finally, there's this historical question. There are some folks that are obligated parties that are behind on the RINs compliance. What's the administration going to do and the courts going to do in relationship to those issues? So there are a number of balls bouncing. We see nothing that tells us that the Biden administration is anything less than totally positive and committed to reducing carbon emissions in fuel. And the answer today for reducing carbon emissions in fuel are biofuels. Specifically, biomass-based diesel is the primary driver of that. So we think the support's there absolutely. We know that there's going to be some confusion when these RBOs come out because when you think about it, the EPA had to address the issue that gasoline consumption had reduced dramatically during COVID and that the standards had been established on a pre-COVID basis. They have to figure out how to adjust that S&D as they come out with the new rules and That's going to create some controversy. It's going to create some sparks. But we think where we are positioned in relationship to biomass-based diesel is on extremely firm ground, and we should see excellent support for RINS moving forward.
spk01: Thank you for taking my question. I'll just say that you took a bad hit from Ida, but you maintained your annual guidance, and that is very commendable. Thank you for taking my questions.
spk06: Our next question comes from Ben Bienvenue with Stevens. Please go ahead.
spk13: Hey, thanks. Good morning, everybody. I want to follow up on Adam's questions around SAF. I don't want to put the cart ahead of the horse because I know we're still ramping DGD2. We've got DGD3. Sandy, you talked about wanting to get a little bit more clarity around the policy to support the production economics of SAF. but noted the merit of the fuel in reducing greenhouse gas emissions. John, I think you talked about having all of the feedstock availability you need to ramp DGD2 and DGD3. In addition to production economics, how does the feedstock component of the equation figure into your decision around what to do with potential involvement in SAS?
spk06: Go ahead, John.
spk15: Are you asking – I'm not sure quite what you're asking us.
spk13: Are you asking – Is there going to be enough feedstock available to pursue both the build-out of SAF and renewable diesel? Because it seems like renewable diesel alone is going to suck up most of the fats, oils, greases available to make low-carbon fuel.
spk15: Yes. So we have kind of two paths we can go down here. One is we can convert some of our current or in process of being expanded or built renewable diesel capacity for the road. We can make some of that SAF if we want. So we have the alternative of essentially diverting some of that road fuel to SAF if we want to do that. That clearly is possible. We also have the possibility of building Diamond Green Diesel 4 at some point in time in the future and making a part of that product from that unit being SAF as well. Both of those roads are open to us in the future. You know, I think it's more likely than not that if we were wanting to move rapidly into the SAF marketplace, and I'm probably jumping a little bit ahead, but we would probably want to take some of our existing capacity and create optionality around SAF on it. We can get there a little quicker than we can with the new unit, but we'll see what all that leads to. We don't have to prejudge any of those conclusions yet. The fundamental thing is we have our homework done. So once we see how these policies finalize, and they're not finalized yet, and there's a lot of very important details that go into these tax credit bills that you've got to take into consideration as to how valuable they are in terms of your production economics. We'll see how they finalize. We've got the rest of the homework largely done, and then we'll sit down with our partners, then have a discussion about what we want to do. But the most rapid method would be to divert some of our current renewable diesel production to SAF if we wanted to get there pretty quickly. The decision on diamond green diesel 4, we'll just have to evaluate as we go forward.
spk13: Yeah, okay. Thanks, John, and understood. Appreciate the thoughts. Shifting gears a little bit and thinking about the food ingredients business, you guys continue to expand margins there. That business has been, food ingredients has been kind of the unsung hero, I think, over the last year, given the focus on DGD and understandably the enthusiasm there is warranted on DGD. Where are we on the the curve of continuing to expand margins there, any thoughts you could offer on the food ingredients business would be helpful.
spk10: Yeah, Ben, this is Randy. I mean, clearly, you know, there's been a parallel strategy while, you know, it seems like 80% of the calls are DGD and rightly so, you know, quietly we've been transforming, you know, the Russo business from, you know, basically a gelatin supplier to a collagen company and And, you know, it's a two- or three-pronged strategy there with the peptin being the collagen peptide that's out there now on the shelves around the world, predominantly in North America, being launched in Europe today and Asia, with extreme, you know, growth potential, double-digit growth potential, you know, driven by basically its solubility and solution here for different product applications. And so we... You know, we worked long and hard. You know, we always talk a little bit, and I have to give a little pitch. Darling is an innovation company. We've been working on collagen peptides for, I don't know, almost nine years, and we got it right. And we're building, you know, we've got our four plants running, contemplating another one. That's phase one. Phase two, you heard us roll out our discussion on biomedical. That would be our ex-peer. And then, you know, we're also starting to work on different tissue regeneration and organ development off out of the biomedical area. So long story short, we're in a three- to five-year window of margin expansion and growth in that business unit as we go forward. We've taken a little headwinds with COVID against the collagen peptide business as the world shut down and the supply chains got screwed up. And then, you know, now we're struggling a little bit, to be honest, in South America today. The different raw materials that the products are produced from are very tight, and the raw material prices have escalated, you know, to 300% from where they were a couple years ago, as the number of cattle being processed in South America has declined, both due to availability and labor and COVID and all of the above. So, You know, long story short, it's got a great trajectory. You know, stay tuned over the next three years. We keep throwing the breadcrumbs out there. It should accelerate nicely again next year. I think that's why Jim Stark's been very comfortable to talk about earnings growth next year is as that business expands.
spk13: Okay. Thanks, everybody, and good luck with the rest of the year. Thank you.
spk06: Our next question comes from Sam Margolin with Wolf Research. Please go ahead.
spk12: Hey, good morning. Good morning. I wanted to just follow up on this ingredients M&A question, and I recognize that there's some competitive elements at play, and you might not be able to reveal too many details. But in the past, you've talked about how valuations in the private sector universe of this industry were just sort of prohibitive relative to where Darling was trading and it was undervalued and so you're waiting for that to bridge. And I just wanted to ask about how that was playing out. Is the ask for private acquisition targets coming down because they're not capitalizing today's prices or are there new sort of synergies and value creation tools that Darling has to pull that unlock more value Just anything on what is kind of opening this window on M&A that's new relative to the past, call it three to five years.
spk15: Yeah, this is John. I'm not sure there's a lot that's new out there. I mean, I think what we've said in the past is when valuations get too high, we always have the opportunity of building. And we've done a lot of that with Diamond as well as in our core business. I mean, you know. The fact is, the last four or five years, typically every year, we've had anywhere from four to six plants under major expansion or greenfields going in on our non-diamond green diesel business around the world. So we've always had that alternative. Having said that, I think we're an aggressive player in terms of acquisitions out there, and you're going to see us be aggressive in this round of companies that come up for sale. And I think we'll You know, we always maintain price discipline. We see sometimes prices go in on businesses that are just simply ridiculous and non-sustainable going forward. We won't do that, but at the same point in time, I would anticipate you would see us being an aggressive participant in this round of acquisitions. I don't think you can count us out in these deals.
spk10: No, and I think that's well said, John. I think the thing is we get a chance at looking at lots of different businesses around the world. Remember, other than since last December, there's been some pretty strong headwinds in these businesses around the world. And so they're having a little better year this year. We're having a great year. Families make decisions at certain times, and especially when When the business turns, it might be time to sell. We're seeing a little bit of that around the world. Also, you've seen the platform that John referred to. We have the ability to take many of the products, streams that come out of the slaughterhouses and the slaughtered animal byproducts business to their highest and best use. I know that's kind of an over-cliched term, but whether we're making organic fertilizers, whether we're making pet foods, whether we're making heparin, There's all kinds of things now that as we have the platform built, we can bolt on these companies and turn them into something a little different than they were. So we do have a little different proposition than we had. But as John said, price is price. And we stayed on the sidelines when things got up into the big double digits here four or five years ago. And we will maintain that discipline as we go forward.
spk12: Okay, thanks for that, Keller. I appreciate it. And then just one more follow-up on ingredients and margins, and I'll revert questions that investors have asked me, which is that as rendered fats maybe take another leg higher because, to your point, CI becomes an input factor in their value to a greater extent, and that manifests. There's been some questions that your suppliers, the slaughterhouses, will notice that. and margin expansion might see some friction as a result. And I just wanted to know what your thoughts on that are, if that's something that you see as a risk, that in other words, your margins won't participate with pricing in the next leg.
spk10: No, I think we've been clear for about 18 years that a significant amount of our raw material procurement is on a shared commodity basis. And so they're getting the benefit of those higher CIs and those values. So end of the day, that's being passed on already. Where we're getting our margin expansion is really in a lot of the different specialty products that we make out there and are able to transform. That's the capital we've put in play over the last five-plus years. So I don't really see any pressure there. I mean, from time to time, if you said, what is the pressure you have around the world? It's energy prices. It's labor prices. You know, the sales price of our products today have basically nothing to do with the inflationary issues that are happening around the world. Those are the challenges we're facing on margin here is can we expand out our processing fees, our collection fees, our service models to recover those higher operating costs. But the CI side or the feedstock or protein in price, Remember, the meat companies, for the most part, are all making a lot of money too, and part of it's coming from us is we're able to glean and give them more money.
spk12: Got it. Thank you so much. Have a great day.
spk06: Our next question comes from Craig Irwin with Roth Capital Partners. Please go ahead.
spk07: Good morning, and thanks for taking my questions. Randy, $95 million higher feed segment margins is a beautiful thing, right? It looks like roughly two-thirds of that came off fats and used cooking oil. You know, you're driving part of that with DGD2, right, taking 40% of the feedstock off the market. Can you maybe talk us through – what do you see as the primary drivers of that margin expansion? And has this commissioning of DGD2 had the full impact on the market yet for fats and oils? You know, I know the biodiesel guys benefited last quarter from the backup with Ida, right, in the supply chain. But how does this play out for operations in the fourth quarter?
spk10: Yeah, and I'll tag team this with John a little bit. You know, End of the day, on a macro basis, both North America and globally, strong fat prices. I mean, there's just solid demand for low CI feedstocks. Clearly, we learned how fragile that business is again with Hurricane Ida. You know, when it becomes basically a mono-customer business, meaning Diamond Green Diesel, and all of a sudden Diamond Green Diesel goes offline for 17 days, and you know, when we were offline, what needs to be understood, offline means we could run, we just didn't have electricity. If you don't have electricity, you can't unload rail cars. And so then you get this screwed up logistical pipeline. And so, you know, we had to defer stuff to fourth quarter here. We had to pay people, you know, to not ship and all the above. And so, but they were still having to move product to the market. So that thus, you know, your biodiesel guy. So I guess my short answer on the fat side, You've seen prices rebound as the supply chain gets back into diamond green and we start to truly operate at these new levels. The protein side is really one. Specialty proteins remain very strong. Pet food demand is robust. The challenge is really logistics around the world, nothing that you haven't seen on the news channels every day of container freight. It isn't even really about pricing. It's availability. And so what we've seen on proteins, both here and in Europe, is that the challenge has been to get it out of the primary market to the consumer has been really impacted. Thus, you've got to sell it to somebody. And how do you do it? That's the word commodity. You've got to price it back into somebody else's use. So as we go to 22, we see fat prices where they're at today, firm. And protein prices should be pretty steady. Maybe improve a little bit. It will depend on the soy crush around the world. But as we've all seen, we've got robust crops all around the world. But remember, meat demand and meat production is really solid out there today. So from our business model, raw material volume should be solid next year. Fat price is good. Protein price is steady.
spk07: Excellent. Thank you. And my follow-up question. The roughly dozen renewable diesel plants out there that want to come online, maybe we get half of those that actually work and do produce, right? But many of those companies are approaching feedstock suppliers, either soy crushers or others, for long-term commitments for feedstock. There's even conversations about processing agreements because they don't want to put out the CapEx to process for their own facilities. Can you talk about whether or not you're in conversation with any of these, you know, let's just call them spec plants? You know, is there a possibility we see a long-term offtake with any of these third parties? John, do you want to take that?
spk15: Sorry, are you asking if Darling would contract with somebody who's building a renewable diesel plant that will compete against Diamond Green Diesel? If that's the question, I can answer that in one word, no. We would not do that, of course. I think the answer is this. Yes, there's a lot of conversation. There's a lot of folks running around trying to figure out, quite frankly, how to recreate what we've got at Diamond Green Diesel. The fact of the matter is we've positioned Diamond Green Diesel, we've said this time and time again, in the right location, with the right capabilities, with the right logistics, to be able to hit the right markets. That means that Diamond is always going to be the best place for FAP to go. in the North American marketplace. Now, people can talk all they want about cutting deals to do something else, but basic economics are basic economics. And I think the other thing that's important to consider here, and this question was kind of alluded to earlier in this, at the end of the day, are fat suppliers going to get a part of the margin of the renewable diesel business? The fact of the matter is they do because the renewable diesel business is creating a higher price for fat. However, I have no business in the world that invests the capital and then turns around and gives away its margin to somebody who hasn't put any capital in it. And there seems to be a lot of conversation around that particular concept. That hasn't worked in American capitalism for 200 years. I doubt it's going to work in the next 10 years that way. So at the end of the day, this is great for fat suppliers. We're well positioned. We're going to buy the fat because we're in the right location with the right capabilities. And, you know, that's how the economics are going to work going forward. People can have all sorts of conversations about all sorts of stuff. But at the end of the day, economics are economics.
spk10: And keep in mind, Craig, I mean, the thing that, you know, we feel so strongly about is, you know, it's the ultimate real estate play. Location, location, location. And the ability for Diamond Green Diesel to, you know, originate raw material from around the world, is just unheard of. No one else has that ability to unload ships directly at their dock, whether it's Port Arthur, whether it's Norco, with fat from Brazil, fat from China, fat from Australia, fat from Europe, wherever it works. So as we look at this deal as some of the petroleum guys are out there making deals with soybean crushers, you know, good luck. I mean, you know, at the end of the day, the CI is terrible and the the economics rule here and will give us a very strong margin going forward.
spk07: That's a forceful answer. I like it.
spk10: Thank you, guys.
spk06: Our next question comes from Matthew Blair with Tudor Pickering Holt. Please go ahead.
spk05: Hey, good morning. Congrats on the strong results. Randy, you had some comments on accelerating spending in 2022 and I was just hoping to clarify what the spend at DGD will be next year. At one point, we were thinking $350 million, but it sounds like it might be more. And then also, could you lay out any numbers for what the Darling standalone CapEx would be in 2022?
spk11: Okay, so I think that that one's for me.
spk03: No, I'm going to let you answer that, Sandy.
spk11: But I'll be honest. I struggled. We struggled, all of us here, with hearing that one. So I apologize. Can you help me go through that a little bit further?
spk10: Capital spend for DGD for 2023. So capital spend for DGD for 23 should be around $800 million.
spk11: Or 22, I'm sorry. Sorry, 2022. So that's what I meant. Around $800 million. Around $800 million.
spk10: And then our base business, what, Brad? $275 to $300? $275 to $300. Yep.
spk05: Okay, so 800 for DGD and 275 to 300 for Darling standalone. Okay, sounds good. And then, Randy, you reiterated the overall EBITDA guidance for 2021. Do you have any updates for the segment level guidance? You know, if we take the previous numbers, it would imply that feed would be coming off quite a bit quarter over quarter in Q4, whereas food would be moving up. Is that the right conclusion?
spk17: Yeah, Matthew, this is Jim. I think the best way to think about it is the upside is going to be in the feed segment for us, that the food would still be on track to be what we'd had out there at around $200 million for the year, the fuel segment winding up about where we are. So really the higher results are going to be in the feed segment.
spk03: Great, thank you.
spk06: Our next question comes from Ken Zaslow with Bank of Montreal. Please go ahead.
spk09: Good morning, guys. Morning, Ken. Just a couple of follow-ups, real easy. What was the decision in terms of share repurchases, and where do you stand with that going forward, particularly as your stock has kind of been taking a little bit of a backseat now?
spk10: Yeah, the board has authorized it in January, I think the number is 200 million, right? Yeah. So 200 million, of which we've used 98. You know, clearly we have a strategy around here to opportunistically purchase from time to time as we see fit. And I think you'll see that behavior continue as we go forward here. Clearly, you know, we're under some pressure again this morning. You know, and we reflected on this in the board meeting the last couple days. You know, we've got a lot of great shareholders and owners in this company, and some of them have basis as low as $14. And so, you know, still the challenge within the stock here is a major position to unload, can put some pretty significant pressure on it as people exit. So end of the day, the forward look is quite bullish. But if you're, you know, if you're wanting to move a big block, it can be a bit challenging. And thus, we're there I guess I'd use the word defend it if someone wants to pressure too hard opportunistically going forward. Great.
spk09: And then you alluded to the point of you talked a lot about the feed on a couple of the questions. Are you fully capturing the full amount of the rise in the prices or Or is there more to capture as contracts keep on being reviewed? And how does that work? I just didn't fully understand that. Or is it just a margin shift based on your increased product offerings? I just didn't understand the full opportunity there.
spk17: The question is, in the past we've talked about working on increasing our fees and services. And are we still in that round of updating it?
spk10: Absolutely, Ken. And I think as we look, you know, there's two or three different in the, if you will, the supply chain feedstock business around the world. You know, whether it's Europe, those are, you know, time-to-time contracts. You know, every couple, two, three months you renegotiate. We've had some really nice margin expansion there as capacity is relatively full. Canada, we've seen a nice return to historical levels there. And then in the U.S., we have focused on, if you will, the non-fully integrated large slaughterhouses to widening the margins. And it's been a two- or three-year process and program for us. I mean, the challenge there for us is now to recapture the exponential rise in labor costs and energy as we move forward. So is it fully baked in? Eh, for the most part, yeah, I think. But from time to time, we'll be able to do a little better.
spk03: Great. I appreciate it. Thank you, guys.
spk06: Our last question today will come from Ben Callow with Robert W. Baird. Please go ahead.
spk16: Hey, everyone. Good morning. Randy, I like how you pinned the guidance on Jim. My first question, carbon intensity, how does that make a difference in pricing and in costs? Could you explain that to us? And then, you know, you mentioned South America a couple times, I think, too, and just, you know, we get the question all the time about, you know, feedstock, the feedstock, and I think, you know, you've been way ahead of the curve on this. Everyone's trying to catch up now. How do you maintain that lead? And I guess just the third one part of that is, you know, you do a lot of, you've done a lot of acquisitions with, you know, family-owned businesses. You've mentioned that, you know, I think you said in the past that, you know, COVID gets in the way a bit because you can't go, you know, meet them and do that. But where are we with that right now? And has that picked up on the activity? Thanks.
spk10: Annie, you want to take the CI?
spk11: Yeah. So in terms of the CI, you know, I think if you look at the market, what you see is the lower CI feedstocks generally price higher. But those lower CI feedstocks also give you the greatest margin. And so that's what we're seeing there. I mean, they may cost more on the front end right now, but they're returning a much greater value.
spk10: But specifically, Sandy, into the pricing of the finished product, if someone can buy a gallon of renewable diesel made out of soybean oil or a gallon out of Yuko, how does that work?
spk11: Yeah, so again, if I look at Yuko or corn oil or animal fat, you know, those typically have traded higher sometimes in soybean oil, not RBD soybean oil. But because we have the pretreatment capabilities, we're able to convert that and turn that into a higher margin finished product price in terms of renewable diesel because we're able to capture more value in terms of LCFS credits and things like that.
spk15: So just to add on to that, essentially the way this works is the lower the carbon intensity of the fuel that you sell, the more valuable it is because the green premium associated with it is better. And the fact of the matter is waste fats, which is what we produce in our company – those fats have a lower carbon intensity. Fuels made from those fats have a lower carbon intensity score. And therefore, when they price into the marketplace, when we include the compliance element of the price, which is the grain premium, part of that being the LCFS, it gives you a higher value. And therefore, better margin for the company.
spk16: So just so I have it clear, I might need two gallons from, you know, as a feedstock versus one gallon. Just very rough.
spk15: So let me answer it this way. If I buy, if I'm a consumer of renewable fuels and I buy a gallon of renewable diesel based off of vegetable oils versus a gallon of renewable diesel that's made from waste fats, yuko, animal fat, distiller's corn oil, whatever it may be, the fact of the matter is the credit that I have is worth more on the gallon that I bought from the waste fast because it has a lower carbon intensity score, and therefore it has more value to the purchaser of the fuel or the buyer of the credit than the alternative of the higher CI fast.
spk10: So, John, a different way of saying that is we're selling a gallon of compliance. That's right. And it has more value to the obligated party when it's made out of waste fasts than vegetable oil, if you will. And so, therefore, they're able to meet their obligations, and they're willing to pay us more for that. Well said.
spk16: Thank you. And then just on the feedstock front, acquisition front, any help there? Thanks, guys.
spk10: There's no health there, Ben. Not going to answer that. But, no, we're working hard on it around the world. You know, I think the thing is, and, you know, the secrets out there don't last very long until the government data is published, but clearly DGD is and will be an importer from around the world. So, I mean, clearly we've got a supply chain system set up because we operate on the five continents today. That's always been the secret sauce of why we didn't have fear on feedstock. and so that'll come clear. The rest of the stuff, it just takes time. We're seeing a lot of businesses for sale, potentially for sale, if you will, in Europe, Asia, South America, U.S., and we'll just see if we can get any of them home. Some are being driven by potential changes in tax policy. Some are succession planning. Some are just time to sell, just one out. What I can always say to everybody is, We buy good businesses with great management teams that can or do share our values. And so we've got the ability, like we've never had before, to grow, and we will, when the time is right at a fair value, continue to expand the moat around the machine.
spk16: Sounds good. Thank you, guys.
spk06: Ladies and gentlemen, this will conclude our question and answer session. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Randy Stewart for any closing remarks.
spk10: Thanks, Grant. Appreciate everyone's time today and hope everyone continues to stay safe and have a wonderful holiday season. There's a list of upcoming events that Jim Starks got in the IR deck that we'll be putting on out there, and we look forward to talking to you again soon.
spk06: The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect. The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now
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