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Endava plc
11/11/2025
Good day and welcome to the NDAAVA's first quarter fiscal year 2026 conference call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star then one on a touch-tone phone. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Ms. Laurence Madsen, Head of Investor Relations and ESG at Endava. Please go ahead.
Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to NDAVA's first quarter of our fiscal year 2026 conference call. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. Joining me today are John Cotterell, NDAVA's Chief Executive Officer, and Mark Thurston, NDAVA's Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, a quick reminder to our listeners. Our presentation and our accompanying remarks today include forward-looking statements, including but not limited to statements regarding our guidance for Q2 fiscal year 2026 and for the full fiscal year 2026, the impacts of headwinds facing our industry and business, trends in our industry, including with respect to developments with AI, enhancements to our technology and offerings, our pipeline of client opportunity, and our ability to convert such opportunities into contracted orders. the benefits of our partnerships, our pricing models, demand from clients for our technology services, our ability to create long-term value for our clients, our people, and our shareholders, and our business strategies, plans, operations, and growth opportunities. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking statements. Actual results and the timing of certain events may differ materially from the results or timing predicted or implied by such forward-looking statements, and reported results should not be considered as an indication of future performance. Please note that these forward-looking statements made during this conference call speak only as of today's date, and we undertake no obligation to update them to reflect subsequent events or circumstances other than to the extent required by law. For more information, please refer to the Risk Factors section of our annual report filed with the Security and Exchange Commission on September 4, 2025, and in other filings that NDAVA makes from time to time with the SEC. Also, during the call, we'll present both IFRS and non-IFRS financial measures. While we believe the non-IFRS financial measures provide useful information for investors, the presentation of this information is not intended to be considered in isolation or as a substitute for the financial information presented in accordance with IFRS. Reconciliation of such non-IFRS measures to the most directly comparable IFRS measures are included in today's earnings press release, as well as the investor presentation, both of which you can find on our investor relations site or on the SEC website. A link to the replay of this call will also be available on our website. With that, I'll turn the call over to John.
Thank you, Laurence, and welcome, everyone. We appreciate you joining us for our first quarter fiscal year 2026 earnings call. Endava continues to be deeply engaged by and with major companies across the world as they look for support in navigating the journey towards AI whilst ensuring operational resilience in existing platforms and devices. We believe the partnerships with major technology giants And the decisions we took three years ago, which led to the development of our AI-native change delivery lifecycle, now branded DAVA Flow, see us well-placed for the coming years. However, we continue to navigate the challenges associated with this transition in business models, delivery approach, and acceleration of the new AI-driven digital wave. The first quarter results were lower than guided, primarily due to an unexpected credit made to a client that arose subsequent to our last earnings call, as well as certain non-large strategic pipeline opportunities that did not convert into revenue during the quarter as anticipated. While these factors weighed on our performance, our ability to secure a multi-year strategic relationship with a leading payments company of up to $100 million demonstrates the strength of our client relationships. This partnership will utilize the best of Endava's global delivery capability. as well as our AI and advanced engineering capabilities to streamline our clients' technology platforms and enhance existing capabilities. This represents a prime example of the type of deal and partnership we are targeting, utilizing our capability as an AI-native, technology-agnostic transformation partner. Our broader partner ecosystem is already generating incremental potential pipeline opportunities and client interest in dava flow is accelerating. I will return to each of these topics later in the call. Following the sales leadership realignment announced last quarter, we recently hired a chief growth officer for commercial services for Europe and North America. These changes are already sharpening our customer engagement model, which is evident in the composition of our potential opportunity pipeline, which we are tracking closely. We remain committed to discipline cost management to protect margins while continuing to focus on growth. Starting with an update on our AI-related engagements, AI now anchors many clients' technology roadmaps, and we are partnering across a spectrum of projects, from early proof of concept to enterprise-wide rollouts and subsequent optimization efforts. Following the engagement for a leading U.S. healthcare services provider, where we deployed AI to automate the intake and summarization of medical bills and supporting documentation, We have now advanced integration into the client's adjuster portal and enabled both near real time and scheduled processing to support peak volumes. The architecture is built for compliance and auditability with US data residency and targets high accuracy to meet over 95% precision while holding unit costs below half a cent per page. early performance indicates faster, more consistent decisions and a clear path to materially lower per-claim handling costs. Building on the enterprise ChatGPT program, our collaboration with a leading financial compliance technology provider has progressed. We partnered with OpenAI to drive a company-wide deployment of ChatGPT Enterprise, anchored in governance and enablement. Within three months, more than 500 licenses were rolled out with a single sign-on role-based access and audit logging. Key team members across finance, legal, IT, client services, and support received train-the-trainer enablement to develop high-value use cases and custom GPTs reinforced by structured communications. weekly show-and-tell sessions, and continuous measurements. Adoption has scaled with growing catalogs of validated use cases, and measurable productivity gains are emerging in document workflows and client service operations. These first two client cases are examples we have previously discussed on earnings calls, and I'm covering them to show how these engagements are progressing. to show how engagements are building and deepening once production solutions are in place. For a leading US retail pharmacy chain, we are modernizing a core handheld application by upgrading its code base using AI-assisted analysis, leveraging GitHub Copilot. We completed a comprehensive assessment and prepared a two-phase execution plan that targets the highest impact fixes and de-risks the upgrade. The resulting playbook is designed to be repeatable across other applications, strengthens security, reduces technical debt, and supports a faster release cadence. Initial results indicate AI-enabled reviews and automated testing are lowering manual effort by between 25% and 30%. and shortening migration time by between 20% and 25%, implying a projected productivity uplift between 30% and 35% once both phases are completed. For a global energy and utilities provider that runs large-scale power grid simulations, we migrated a 400,000-line Fortran system. We built AI-assisted parsers and automation tools with agent coding tools to preserve program flow while refactoring syntax and improving memory management. We also identified code sections tied to domain concepts to speed future feature delivery. This approach reduced manual edit risk and enabled automated conversion at scale. initial benchmarks indicate up to close to 30 times faster code changes with improved reliability for an e-learning provider serving over 12 000 healthcare and human services organizations we developed an ai enabled content studio that streamlines the entire content lifecycle drafting review quality assurance export and accreditation for a catalog of 7,000 plus courses. Built on Windsurf and integrated with the client's enterprise AI infrastructure, the platform generates course outlines and transcripts, runs policy-based QA agents, automates SCORM imports, and compares accreditation standards. Automation rules and validation tests further enhance compliance and operational consistency. Results show end-to-end authoring efforts have fallen by approximately 30%, and modeling shows projected time savings of 30% to 50% when scaling updates across the full course library. Turning to partnerships, our investment in our partnership with OpenAI is expanding as we've enrolled a group of Endava engineers in OpenAI's newly launched PAN-exclusive certification program. Our team is pursuing multiple opportunities across the OpenAI product suite through training created by OpenAI that is only available to service partners. This is another step to deepen our knowledge and advance our AI-native delivery capability. On the commercial side, the joint go-to-market framework we created in partnership with OpenAI is producing measurable results with wins in the insurance sector. We continue to grow our dedicated Google Cloud business unit. In collaboration with Google Cloud, we continue to increase the number of Gemini enterprise projects that we are actively engaged in. Each engagement follows a production-grade reference architecture with explicit safety and audit controls, ensuring that pilot outcomes can be migrated into compliant enterprise environments. One of these projects involves a leading UK bank, where we are rolling out AI-enabled digital assistants that give employees fast, secure access to internal and market data. Early pilot results indicate shorter query resolution times and improved policy compliance, laying a foundation for institution-wide adoption of agentic workflows. We also continue to strengthen our partnership with Salesforce by investing in agentic AI and innovation with a focus on applying agent force across Salesforce's core clouds to assist customer facing teams, streamline operations and unlock new levels of engagement and productivity. This reflects Endava's commitment to staying at the forefront of Salesforce innovation and helping clients turn emerging AI capabilities into real measurable impact. And now with an update on our large strategic deals, defined as multi-year, large-scale engagements. In addition to the multi-year payments deal I mentioned earlier, we deepened our engagement with Convex, an international specialty reinsurer, by signing a new agreement. This builds on the success we have achieved together in recent years, as Convex continues to invest in innovative technology and deliver consistently high-quality service. This partnership enables us to deliver a range of capabilities, enabling Convex to continue creating a business that has data at its heart and a strong emphasis on analytics to make better underwriting decisions. In mobility, we have extended and expanded our longstanding partnership with Toyota Racing Development as their official IT consulting partner in 2026 and beyond. As part of the partnership, Endava will leverage its AI-enabled accelerators and frameworks to modernize core Toyota racing development production systems and enable digital transformation for the business. Next, let me outline how our delivery model is evolving and what that means for execution and client outcomes. The pace of AI innovation remains exceptionally fast and the nature of our client discussions has evolved just as quickly. Where a few courses ago we were explaining foundational concepts such as intelligent agents, we are now examining how those agents can be deployed to deliver measurable efficiency across customer facing and core operations. Clients are starting to move beyond the search for a single killer application and are instead seeking opportunities to embed AI throughout their technology stacks and operating models. This marks the beginning of the transition from chasing incremental changes brought about by embracing AI to notable productivity changes. We're now spending time shaping larger scale projects that can only be delivered through the strategic adoption of AI. Purpose-built for an environment in which autonomous software agents participate in delivery, DAVA Flow treats Flow as the next progression beyond Agile by embedding AI into every activity. The delivery lifecycle is organized into four sequential yet feedback-linked phases, Signal, Explore, Govern, and Evolve. Throughout all phases, human oversight, or human in the loop, guides AI contributions, and the system learns and improves with each cycle. In Signal, we deploy market and estate scanning agents to surface and qualify opportunities. The agent reacts to signals in the market or client environment and feeds qualified opportunities into the lifecycle with confidence scores. In Xplore, we use human AI collaboration to convert these signals into evidence solution designs, producing prototypes, requirements, and models at pace. The aim is to reduce uncertainty and finalize what needs to be built, supported by evidence. In Govan, we assemble and automate the build. Engineer oversight combines with agent-generated code to enforce best-in-class controls. Evolve is the post-deployment phase where the solution is in production with continuous improvement. Human-in-the-loop checkpoints span every phase so that each iteration strengthens the next. AI agents watch the system's telemetry, user behavior, and performance data to detect anomalies or opportunities. Across the four phases, We take our lifetime experience of distributed agile at scale and optimize our approach to best organize agents at work with agentic checkpoints and humans in the loop at the core of the new approach. We've equipped our teams with playbooks and training materials, and all delivery teams are expected to complete Endava Flow training and immersion before the close of the current financial year. We ended the quarter with 11,636 Indarvans, representing a 2% decrease from the same period last year. We are deepening our AI talent pool and embedding new capabilities across the business, positioning Indarva to help clients turn emerging technology into near-term operational gains. We're expanding and upskilling our AI talent while trimming roles where market demand has declined. Our inaugural DavaX Academy created to train the next generation of AI skilled professionals through 2,900 applicants and resulted in 470 hires across nine delivery locations. And our recent TechFest engineering event brought together those new hires working in 48 cross-functional teams to address 24 client-inspired challenges. every team produced a working minimal viable product under mental guidance before we conclude i want to recognize every endowment for the perseverance and focus you continue to show as we steer through this period of rapid digital evolution and translate change into opportunity our priorities remain clear sustained growth that endures safeguard the distinctive culture that defines us, and deliver technology solutions that equip our clients to set the pace confidently in an ever-shifting market. I'll now hand over to Mark for a closer look at our quarterly financial results and guidance for the upcoming quarter and the remainder of the fiscal year.
Thanks, John. Endava's revenue totaled 178.2 million pounds for the three months ended September 30th, 2025, compared to 195.1 million pounds in the same period in the prior year, representing an 8.6% decrease. In constant currency, our revenue decreased 7.3% from the same period in the prior year. As John already mentioned, the first quarter results were lower than anticipated primarily due to a matter in the United States relating to an unexpected credit made to a client that arose subsequent to our last earnings call, as well as failure to convert certain non-large strategic pipeline opportunities into revenue as previously anticipated. Loss before tax for the three months ended September 30, 2025, with £8.5 million compared to a profit of £4.2 million in the same period in the prior year. Our adjusted PBT for the three months ended September 30th, 2025 was £9.9 million compared to £19.2 million for the same period in the prior year. Our adjusted PBT margin was 5.5% for the three months ended September 30th, 2025 compared to 9.9% for the same period in the prior year. Our adjusted diluted earnings per share was 15 pence for the three months ended September 30th, 2025, calculated on 53.2 million diluted shares as compared to 25 pence for the same period in the prior year, calculated on 59.4 million diluted shares. Revenue from our 10 largest clients accounted for 36% of revenue for the three months ended September 30th, 2025, in line with the same period last fiscal year. The average spend per client from our 10 largest clients decreased from 7.1 million pounds to 6.4 million pounds for the three months ended September 30th, 2025, as compared to the three months ended September 30th, 2024, representing a 9.9% year over year decrease. Of this, FX movements contributed to a 2% year-over-year decrease, and the rest of the decline is in line with the rest of the business. In the three months ended September 30, 2025, North America accounted for 42% of revenue, Europe for 24%, the UK for 28%, while the rest of the world accounted for 6%. Revenue from North America decreased by 1% for three months ended September 30th, 2025 over the same period last fiscal year. The decrease was driven by FX with underlying constant currency growth. The unexpected client credit mentioned in my opening comments is more than offset by the reclassification of a large payments clients from the UK to North America as the relationship with a client is now based there. Comparing the same periods, revenue from Europe declined 12.8% due mainly to weakness in the TMT and mobility verticals. The UK decreased 17.9% due mainly to the reclassification of the client referred to above to North America. And the rest of the world increased 9%. Our adjusted free cash flow was £9.2 million for the three months ended September 30th, 2025, up from £3.5 million during the same period last fiscal year. Our cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period totaled £47.2 million at September 30th, 2025, compared to £59.3 million at June 30th, 2025, and £52.8 million at September 30th, 2024. Our borrowings totaled 193.2 million pounds at September 30th, 2025, compared to 180.9 million pounds at June 30th, 2025, and 132.6 million pounds at September 30th, 2024. Capital expenditure for the three months ended September 30th, 2025 as a percentage of revenue were 1.7% compared to 0.6% in the same period last fiscal year. We remain committed to our share repurchase program. As of October 31, 2025, Condava repurchased 7.1 million ADSs for $115.9 million under the program. And we had $34.1 million remaining for repurchase under its share repurchase authorization. Before moving on to the guide, I'd like to provide some context. As a reminder, since May 2025, we are utilizing a guidance methodology under which revenue for any unsigned large strategic opportunity in the pipeline is excluded. until the related statement of work is executed and delivery has begun. By contrast, for our non-large strategic deal pipeline, we make an assessment of likelihood and timing of conversion and likely timing of revenue. Turning to the guide for the remainder of the fiscal year, we have really assessed our non-large deal pipeline and lowered our conversion into revenue assumptions. Additionally, the client-specific issue in the United States weighed on first quarter results and will continue to affect the remainder of the fiscal year, while the three large signed engagements John highlighted are reflected in our guidance and partially underpin the expected revenue uplift in the second half. Now moving on to our outlook. Our guidance for Q2 fiscal 2026 is as follows. Endava expects revenue to be in a range of 179 million pounds to 182 million pounds, representing constant currency revenue decrease of between 8% and 7% on a year-over-year basis. Endava expects adjusted diluted EPS to be in a range of 15 to 17 pence per share. Our guidance for full fiscal year 2026 is as follows. Endava expects revenue to be in the range of £735 million to £752 million, representing constant currency revenue decrease of between 4.5% and 2.5% on a year-over-year basis. Endava expects adjusted diluted EPS to be in the range of 80 to 88 pence per share. This above guidance for Q2 fiscal year 2026 and the full fiscal year 2026 assumes the exchange rates on October 31st, 2025, and the exchange rate was one British pound to 1.32 US dollar and 1.14 euro. This concludes our prepared comments. Operator, we are now ready to open the line for Q&A.
We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star then 1 on your touchtone phone. If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. If at any time your question has been addressed and you would like to withdraw your question, please press star then 2. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. The first question today comes from Brian Bergen with TD Cowan. Please go ahead.
Hey, guys. Thanks for taking the question. I guess I'll start on the client credit. Can you share some more detail on this credit that was not foreseen and weighed on performance, just any sizing of that in context? I'm curious if it was due to company execution or maybe a choice by the client made to pull back on something. Is it isolated or could this reoccur elsewhere?
So it was unexpected, Brian. It arrived after we guided last quarter. It isn't related to remediating work. I'll qualify it as being a more procedural matter. In terms of the impact, if it hadn't have happened, we would have been at around the bottom of the revenue guide. And certainly in terms of EPS, we would have been right in the middle of the range that we set last quarter. I can't really go into any more detail than that at this stage.
Okay, okay. I guess on demand and the pipeline conversion then, is that a demand issue or would you say some friction in the changes in the commercial responsibilities? I'm just curious whether you would say that demand or client sentiment has changed much at all here in the last quarter? Maybe if you could just talk about how demand trends progress through the first quarter into the early part of 2Q now.
Yeah, I mean, in terms of the comment around pipeline conversion in the quarter, the significant impact on revenue was the credit note we just mentioned earlier. Pipeline conversion, we did convert pipeline. So against the high end, it was about 50%. And against the low end, we were about 80%. So not as high as we would have anticipated. But in the light of that sort of performance and the ongoing sort of review of pipeline quality, we've looked at our assumptions for the rest of the year. And that's resulted in it's actually downgrading from the top of the guide at 765 to, you know, 752. It is actually offset, though, by some of the big wins that John made. highlighted on his script. So they add step change revenue basically in the second half. So they do underpin part of the ramp as we see going through into mainly Q3, Q4. But we've taken a more prudent line on the pipeline conversion in the non-strategic deal space.
Okay, understood. Thank you. Thanks, Brian.
The next question comes from Maggie Noland with William Blair. Please go ahead.
Hi, thank you. I understand the commentary on how you're considering pace of conversions from here for the non-large accounts, but can you comment on whether there's been any client churn at unusual levels in this quarter versus recent past?
Hi, Maggie. There hasn't been a growth in client churn. And just to be clear, the client that Mark was referring to where we had the credit is an ongoing relationship and not in decline. It's just a more conservative view based on the conversations that we've been having. around that inflow of the non-large deal pipeline, which is what we guide against.
Okay, thank you. And then can you talk a little bit about how you're quantifying any productivity gains from Indaba flow and just the ability to kind of drive this at scale across your model?
Yeah, so we're seeing the AI shift essentially going through two steps. There's the sort of gen AI with a bit of a gen tech coming in, where organizations are largely applying a bit of an accelerator from AI to an agile methodology. and getting, you know, in that sort of 20% to 30% range productivity improvement that people are talking about. What we're seeing with Darva Flow is taking that next step into using agents to do a far, far bigger element of the design and coding, all under human guidance and governance. And through that, getting significant step-ups in productivity in the five to ten times tight range, as I covered on the call last time. Now, you know, for us, that gives us an opportunity, alongside some of these bigger deals that we're working on, to significantly accelerate transformation and change in the client environment and through doing that to actually deliver a lot of benefit to the client, but also look at pulling through wider margins through that huge added value that we're delivering. Now, you know, the big deal that I covered with the large payments client is very much based on those principles and taking that DAVA flow capability to accelerate transformation for them to to help with new product development, and some joint go-to-market together. And it's very illustrative of the type of deal, larger deal that we're working on. But we're not putting into our guidance, as Mark has highlighted over the last couple of quarters.
Thank you.
Thanks, Maggie.
The next question comes from Nate Svensson with Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.
Hey, thanks for the questions. John, I want to go back to something you said at the beginning of the prepared remarks. I think you mentioned that you're navigating challenges associated with the transition and business models delivery approach and the acceleration of the AI wave. I guess just from my perspective, given the growth in the business, the lower guide seems like there's been some struggles with everything that's going on. So I'm just hoping you can take a step back and maybe talk at a higher level on what your strategy is to successfully navigate these changes. I know there's macro considerations, but I guess beyond that, what do you think isn't going right? And what's the plan internally to try to turn things around and ultimately capitalize on some of the opportunities that are ahead of you?
Yeah, thanks, Nate. So for us, we're pushing very, very hard on this shift to being AI native. Our vision is that over the next two to three years, AI becomes a much, much more significant player in our industry in the way in which people deliver to clients, deliver code, deliver requirements, and so on. In pushing hard on that shift, we are moving much faster away from the old models than I believe many of our peers are. The result of which is that we are accelerating deliveries to clients in the current environment under the old T&M model largely. This quarter, we were 24% outcome-based, which is still rising. but it does mean that 76% of our revenue is coming in on a T&M basis. And as we're delivering a much higher productivity, that is having an erosion on the revenue that's coming through the business. That is being offset by the growth in demand for our new AI native approaches, where every endowment is using AI every day in the delivery of services to our clients. And that shift is very, very fast. Last quarter, I reported that just over half of our services were AI-related, covering using AI to change and accelerate the SDLC, software development lifecycle, or gentrifying client workflows, or indeed in deploying AI into the physical world. This quarter, that greater than half has moved to over 70% of our services are AI related on the same measure. So it is a strong shift and strong acceleration in productivity. And that is having, you know, headline, it's headwinds for us on revenue on the old model. The strategy and the focus is all around driving the fastest shift we possibly can to the new model. where we are writing more outcome-based deals with clients, which locks in the opportunity to deliver greater benefit to the client using AI, but also to improve our margins. And we are seeing that come through in the rising proportion of outcome-based deals and in the margins attached to those deals. And so that's the strategic shift that we are going through. We are pushing through it very fast, and we're probably carrying more pain in the short term because of that accelerated shift to the future state that we're pushing through.
Makes sense, and I appreciate the detailed response there. I did want to follow up on this $100 million deal with a leading payments company. My guess is that would be a renewal with maybe one of your two large payments partners, but maybe you can correct me if that isn't the case and it was a new logo. But beyond that, maybe you could use that deal as kind of a launch point to expand more into general commentary on pricing and productivity commitments you're having to make in the current difficult macro sort of in order to get these larger deals across the finish line.
So the 100 million deal is not a renewal of one of our larger payments clients. It is an existing payment client, but really quite small. And well over 85%, 90% of that deal is net new revenue to us. And it is around helping that client transform their business they are equally excited about us helping them do that as we are about helping them drive the transformation and bringing our engineering skills to bear on their estate. Mark, do you want to pick up on the pricing?
Yeah, I mean, pricing, I mean, you know, as John said, in terms of the revenues, we are still mainly time and material, so we still look at the average rate per workday. And it is very much stable quarter to quarter. Our issue is volume more than anything else, certainly in the T&M space.
Thanks, guys. Nice to hear about the payments, Wynn. Thanks, Dave.
The next question comes from James Fawcett with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
Hey, guys. Thanks for the question. It's Antonio on for James. I wanted to ask about your fiscal year 26 guide. It looks like in the back half, there's still a strong acceleration. And I know that you mentioned those three large deals are contemplated in that. But what gives you confidence that those large three deals will sort of come through in the back half? Any color there would be appreciated. Thanks.
So the three deals are signed. So they are committed span that involves ramp up in the second half. I'll let Mark give you a little more.
They are, and it's not just those three deals. They're additives. So we've signed deals going back to Q1, sorry, when we were guiding for Q1 at the end of the year. So there's a further sort of layering on of, I'll call it step change revenue because that's typically the nature of it. And that layering on of these larger deals onto the run rate, which will refer to the non-strategic, deal revenue stream gives confidence in that back half. I mean, there is still a pipeline, you know, to convert, as we sort of highlighted when we were discussing the Q1 performance. So there is always sort of risk in the figure, but we have, you know, given a range of 750 to 735, which we think accommodates that risk in terms of the pipeline conversion on the non-strategic big deals.
Got it. That's helpful. And then as a follow-up, I wanted to ask on your capital allocation priorities, how are you balancing investment with an AI and also share buybacks? Just trying to get a sense of that as well.
The share buyback continues. We still have $150 million approval from the board. We continue to invest. I mean, part of this year, we highlighted there was going to be margin impact through the investment in this shift, mainly in terms of technology and onboarding people. And that still remains the case. As John said, we are pushing very fast on this. and sacrificing near-term profitability for the upswing in profitability that we think will come through in the outer years.
Great. Thank you guys so much.
The next question comes from Jonathan Lee with Guggenheim Partners. Please go ahead.
Great. Thanks for taking my questions. Can you help decompose what's contemplated in your outlook across the high and low end of the range as it relates to pipeline conversion required and the level of go-get required and whether you've given any sort of allowance for macro uncertainty?
Well, in terms of the range, the full year, this is excluding, obviously, a strategic deal pipeline, which is growing strongly, I assume. The range on the non-structured deal pipeline is for the full year, I think it's about 79% to 81%. In the current quarter, it is very high. It's about 95% to 93%. So we think the quarter for Q2 adequately is ranged. It does take into account that the quarter ending December, we have a lower number of working days, which is a headwind against the sort of revenue when you look at it sort of sequentially. But we have strong confidence in Q2. So Q3 and Q4, where we have the higher levels of pipeline, we have done a sanitization of the pipelines being proposed in the business. And we believe that those are achievable. And as I said, we have reduced the overall guide to take account of that.
Thanks for that, Keller. And as you think about some of the margin challenges you're facing, how are you thinking about the potential for expansion levers and investments into, you know, the end of the calendar year and into the start of 26th?
Well, I think, as you've probably seen, Adava has high operational leverage, which is a sort of negative and a positive. So we're very much driven by top-line performance and reacting accordingly. Disability has to be good for us to react in sort of time. So if we have slow revenue progress, we have to take out costs as we respond to that. But similarly, with increasing revenue, we get a strong profitability recovery, which is what is implied basically in the four-year guide that we get on that growth trajectory. And there is some strong sequential growth quarter on quarter implied by those larger deals starting to deliver revenue. But it does give us high operational leverage, which moves up our gross margin quite significantly and delivers strong EBITDA performance.
Anything that I'd add to that is if you look at that strategic pivot that we're talking about going through at the moment, that does have a margin impact. There's a friction element of that change, the change of skills, making sure that our people are moving to being AI native and having to take action where people are unable to make that shift. or carrying skills that become less important in our native world going forward. So that friction element is also hitting the short-term margin picture.
Thanks for that clarity. Thanks, Jonathan.
The next question comes from Fani Konamari with HSBC. Please go ahead.
Thanks, John and Mark, for taking my question. My question is on your headcount. There seems to be a bit of increase quarter on quarter. Is this an anticipation for demand in the second half of the year? And then how do you see the headcount strategy in terms of the AI productivity that you're seeing and the macro headwinds that you're seeing for, let's say, the rest of the fiscal year? Thank you.
Yeah, so a lot of the increase in the headcount you've seen is the DARPA X Academy that I talked about on the call. where we're specifically targeting bringing in strong AI native leaders across the organization, as well as bringing in graduates who are, you know, from their university background, more AI native, but perhaps less experienced from a coding and governance point of view, so that you can create that mix of teams who've got that natural affinity to with AI, with prompt engineering and so on, alongside the experience headcount. And so, you know, enabling that shift is part of the friction element I was talking about for Jonathan, where we're investing in the people who move into that space and then getting them placed into client environments. So that's part of that shift up in headcount. We still continue to see us training and bringing in AI native people and losing people who are not going to make that shift into the future. And so you're still seeing an attrition level that's running higher than it has been historically because of that churn that's going through the business. And we anticipate that that will carry on for another couple of quarters before we settle down into being much more completely in the new world.
Thank you. Thanks, John. Thanks, Michael.
As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star then 1 to join the question queue. The next question comes from Puneet Jain with JP Morgan. Please go ahead.
Hi, thanks for taking my question. I wanted to follow up on like the $100 million deal, the one that has 85, 90% of new work. Can you share more details like the duration of that revenue or type of work you will do specifically around new development versus managed services? And then why that client and that deal led to a very different outcome than others? Are these type of deals replicable?
Yeah, so it's a very exciting deal for us. It's a headline of a number of other deals that we're working on that would fall into the same category. The duration is over five years, and it's a commitment on the part of the client to spend that level of money with us in return for us driving accelerated transformation. for them, it is almost all in the new development space rather than in the managed services space. And there are a number of pillars of transformation, of new product development, and a joint go-to-market exploration of capability that is built into how we will deliver value back to the client for that spend that they have committed. It's a very close partnership mindset where together we're going to help transform this part of the market. And obviously it's in the payment space, so we bring a lot of payments experience as well as the AI capabilities and so on that I've been talking about.
Got it. And can you also talk about like the timing given like the second half guidance for revenue implies give or take 10 million pounds in incremental revenue a quarter in Q3 and Q4. So can ramp in this deal and the two other last deals alone drive that incremental revenue in second half of this year?
So incrementally, your maths is right, around the 10 a quarter. It's not quite phased that way, but your maths is roughly right. The deals that we've landed are contributing roughly about 50% of that ramp, and the balance is coming from the pipeline conversion on the existing sort of run rate. And that is the non-strategic deals revenue sort of stream, if I can put it that way. So it's coming half and half from the big deals that we have landed, but also some of the pipeline conversion in the existing run rate business, if I can call it that.
Got it. Thank you.
Thanks, Puneet.
This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to John Cotterill for any closing remarks.
Thank you all for joining us today. In closing, we anticipate a gradual recovery over the balance of the year. We're being assisted by those large strategic deals that we recently signed or indeed signed back in the summer, which kick in in RH2. Our broader partner ecosystem is already generating incremental potential pipeline opportunities. And client interest in DarvaFlow is accelerating. So I look forward to speaking with you all on our next earnings call in February. Thank you very much.
The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.