8/6/2026

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Greetings and welcome to the Diversified Energy Second Quarter 2026 earnings call. At this time, all participants are on a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Douglas Kris, Senior Vice President, Interested Relations and Corporate Communications. Thank you. You may begin.

speaker
Douglas Kris
Senior Vice President, Investor Relations and Corporate Communications

Good morning. Thank you all for joining us today, and welcome to our second quarter 2026 results conference call. With me today are Diversified's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Rusty Hudson, President and Chief Financial Officer, Brad Gray, and Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, Rick Gideon. Before we get started, I will remind everyone that the remarks on this call reflect the financial and operational outlook as of today, August 6, 2026. Certain statements made on today's call are forward-looking and may be subject to risks and uncertainties related to future events and the future financial performance of the company. Actual results could differ materially from those anticipated. The risk factors that may affect results are detailed in the company's public filings with the SEC, including the annual report on Form 10-K, fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, filed on February 26, 2026, and subsequent filings with the SEC. During this call, we also referenced certain non-GAF financial measures. Our disclosures regarding those items are found in our earnings materials, on our website, and in our regulatory filings. I'll now turn the call over to Rusty.

speaker
Rusty Hudson
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Doug, and thank you all for joining the call today. For those of you following along with our results slide deck, which we posted to our website last night, I plan to cover a few slides focusing on the results that we announced and our introduction of a development program. I will then turn the call over to Rick to provide some greater detail on that program, and Brad will provide a look at the financial rationale and our updated 2026 guidance. After Brad's remarks, I will provide some closing thoughts before opening the call for your questions. We'll start on slide three. This slide tells the story of how we run the company through disciplined capital allocation priorities that are core to our differentiated business models. Not only is our business model differentiated, it is proving. Our model continues to deliver durable free cash flow from a low-decline asset base, along with continued portfolio optimization of non-core assets that we can deploy to our four key priorities for capital allocation, which are as follows, systematic debt reduction, return of capital through dividend distributions and share repurchases, and growing our portfolio of cash-generating assets through accretive strategic acquisitions. Going into the second half of the year, we're in one of the strongest fiscal positions we have been in during our 25-year history, and notably after closing three acquisitions for over $2 billion in headline value within the last 12 months. I'm extremely proud of our team for delivering outstanding results. As you can see on this page, we reinforced our track record across all our shareholder priorities during the first half of this year. During the first half of 2026, we repaid approximately $233 million in debt principal, which also includes the retirement of debt associated with our non-core Barnett asset, which was recently sold. This is not just financial housekeeping and strategic. Every dollar of debt we retire strengthens our balance sheet, reduces our cost of capital, and expends our capacity to deliver consistent results and to create long-term value for our shareholders. with our pro forma leverage at approximately 2.45 times within our target range and over 678 million in liquidity at the end of the quarter, we are operating from a position of strength. We returned approximately 136 million to shareholders through dividends and strategic share repurchases. At current levels, that is an approximate 14% shareholder return on capital yield. We are confident in our durable cash generation abilities and we were pleased to provide our shareholders with this level of return thus far this year. Worth noting, we have demonstrated a track record of robust and disciplined capital allocation with approximately 2.5 billion in shareholder returns and debt principal repayments since our IPO in 2017. Together, these actions demonstrate the power of our disciplined and flexible capital allocation priorities and the quality and consistency of the cash generation capabilities of our portfolio of assets. And as a result, our free cash flow engine is expected to generate approximately $440 million this year. Turning to slide four, for the second quarter of 2026, starting with production. The daily production exit rate for June was approximately 1.3 BCFE per day, and our production for the quarter averaged approximately 1.3 BCF per day. and importantly, we maintained our industry leading consolidated production decline. Our low decline predictable base is the foundation of everything else on this page. Total commodity revenue was 504 million equating to approximately $4.23 per MCFE and adjusted EBITDA was 240 million for the quarter with our adjusted EBITDA margin at 52%. Notably, Our portfolio optimization processes, or better known as the POP program, allowed us to generate approximately $126 million in additional cash proceeds during the first half of 2026. That POP program is the ongoing work of monetizing non-core acreage and surface assets, which adds to our robust cash generation. In addition, we completed the strategic sale of non-core, lower margin Barnett and Arkansas assets for $147 million, enhancing corporate profitability and further strengthening near-term adjusted free cash flow. As the largest well owner and third largest leaseholder in the lower 48, these non-core assets are something that we are continuously evaluating and anticipate having additional opportunities to high-grade our portfolio in the future. Our adjusted free cash flow for the second quarter was $115 million and was burdened with approximately $10 million of transaction costs. on the balance sheet, we closed the quarter with 678 million of liquidity as of June 30th. As mentioned previously, leverage stood at 2.45 times inside our stated target range of two to two and a half times. And I would point you to the last bullet. 76% of our outstanding debt is non-recourse investment grade rated ABS. Our efficient financing strategy is fundamental to how we finance PDP assets and in a rate environment like this one, it matters. The table on the right frames the trailing 12-month picture. 1.2 BCFE per day of production, $1.9 billion of commodity revenue, $1.1 billion of adjusted EBITDA and $578 million of adjusted free cash flow. Those results show the run rate cash engine of this business. In summary, our team's strong execution of our strategy to acquire, and optimized stable consistent cash generating energy assets enabled strong free cash flow generation and allowed us to continue to prioritize returning capital to shareholders and paying down debt. This is what operational innovation looks like in the real world. A relentless systematic compounding improvement in everything we do and the financial results reflected. Turning to slide five. Slide five is the most important strategic page of this deck, so I want to spend a little time on it. For 25 years, our identity has been clear. We acquire, prove, develop producing assets. We operate them better, more efficiently, and at a lower cost than the seller did through focus, vertical integration, scale, and the use of modern technological innovation. We ultimately convert that commodity stream into cash, and that is not changing. What I am announcing today is adding to the playbook, not replacing it. Here's the strategic logic. Through consolidation, we have assembled an expansive footprint across four basins. Inside that footprint sits a deep inventory of undeveloped locations that we acquired essentially with little ascribed value. In most instances, we underwrote and paid for the PDP cash flow, not the development upsides. for years we chose not to develop it because in our view the returns on acquisitions and the long runway of accretive opportunities were our focus. With the exponential growth we have achieved and the scale of the company we sit at today, we now have a team capable of capturing value and importantly growing our underlying free cash flow in a highly capital efficient manner. This is not a strategic pivot but a natural extension of optimizing upside from our acquisitions and extensive portfolio of assets. In essence, we are pulling forward additional net asset value, which we believe the markets have not appropriately valued. So we expect to allocate 250 to 300 million of annual run rate capital, which is approximately 25 to 30% of expected run rate EBITDA based on our current operating outlook across three buckets you can see in this chart. Approximately 50% to operated development, 30% to non-operated programs, and approximately 20% to our core PDP maintenance capital. Let me make five key points about what this additional capital allocation does, and just as importantly, what it does not do. First, the operated Oklahoma program is a genuine expansion of the playbook. When we operate, we control the pace, we control the cost, and we control the returns. We are not a passive participant in someone else's development schedule. That control makes this strategy an effective extension of our vertically integrated operating platform, not a pivot into one-off high-risk program to grow production volumes. Second, the operating program provides incremental volume with manageable capital. This program is designed to offset our corporate production decline while preserving the balance sheet. We will have the opportunity to benefit from unhedged production, providing upside exposure to the commodity price, and importantly, we retain the long-term upside. Third, this program is built around optionality, not obligation. We drill when the risk adjusted returns justify it versus other uses of our capitals. If the acquisition market gives us a better opportunity, we will have the ability to execute on it. If prices deteriorate, we will slow down. There is no mandatory treadmill or mandate to grow in this program and that is by design. Fourth, the non-operated program complements rather than competes. Our Anadarko and Permian non-operated programs, where we contribute acreage to joint ventures, give us access to the highest caliber private operators enhanced well-level economics, and organic production growth without carrying the development burden in areas where we have less scale. And fifth, we did the work before we made the commitment. Significant technical and economic analysis underpins this decision. Our conviction is that this level of development strengthens our long-term cash flow profile and improves long-term financial stability. which is precisely the opposite of what most investors assume when an acquirer picks up a drill bit. The bottom line, we are applying a proven playbook to a flexible operated development program focused on attractive risk-adjusted returns inside a footprint we already own. I'll now turn the call over to Rick, our Chief Operating Officer, to discuss our development program in greater detail. I've been extremely impressed with Rick and his capabilities since joining Diversified. The breadth of his experience throughout his career and his knowledge base reinforce the confidence we collectively have in adding the development programs and his ability to execute and deliver results.

speaker
Rick Gideon
Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

Thank you, Rusty. I share Rusty's excitement for Diversified's future and my confidence in our teams, in our assets, and in our ability to generate consistent, reliable cash flow from high return development. I appreciate the dedication and commitment of our teams in analyzing, identifying, and establishing the operational development programs we've begun to execute. In turning to slide six, here we put some specifics behind the strategy that Rusty has outlined. I want to start with the framing on the left of the page because it is the discipline the team operates under. Our focus is on extracting cash flow from the commodity, not simply extracting the commodity from the ground. Let me repeat that. Our focus is on extracting cash flow from the commodity, not simply extracting the commodity from the ground. Those are two very different mandates, and they lead to different decisions at the wellhead. Our core business at Diversified is focused on cash-generating energy assets, and that does not change with our operated development. It is a natural extension and an additional opportunity to grow that long-term cash flow. Turning to the operated Oklahoma plan, we have identified approximately 450 highly economic locations at $65 oil and $3.25 natural gas. In the program currently contemplated, which covers the 12 months from September 2026 through September 2027, We plan to drill approximately 19 gross or 17 net wells. As you can see, these wells have a high average working interest of roughly 90%. Net capital would be approximately $145 million on an annualized basis. Average lateral length is approximately 11,000 feet. The production split is approximately 15% oil, 35% NGLs, and 50% natural gas, giving us meaningful liquids exposure along with our traditional gas weighted portfolio. Looking ahead, given the current start time and the typical turn to sales cadence, while capital is being deployed today, we anticipate a production contribution beginning in 2027. At a one rig pace, that type of program equates to more than 20 years of remaining inventory. It's worth mentioning that the main areas identified on the map where the program is starting were specifically part of the recent Camino acquisition. Prior to that acquisition, Camino was running a multi-rig development program on that acreage during a time of lower oil prices. But importantly, we are not drilling to maintain leaseholds, keep a growth trajectory intact, Keep a Narrative Going, or to ultimately monetize the asset. We are executing on an operated drilling program to generate a high rate of return and grow bottom line cash flow. On the non-operated side, we are currently running three programs, which are highlighted on the right side of the slide. In the Oklahoma Anadarko Basin, we participate with MUBER. 150 wells have been drilled to date with approximately 145 remaining locations, about three years of inventory, and program IRRs exceeding 60% to date. Those are tangible, realized results. In Texas, we are participating with Continental Resources on the Central Basin Platform with initial drilling expected in the fourth quarter of 2026. This is an exciting development opportunity in the new emerging Barnett, Miss, and Woodford, or BMW, trend. And we have already seen Continental expressing excitement about the results today. And in New Mexico on the Northwest Shelf, we are participating with a private operator with initial drilling beginning in the third quarter of 2026. Taken together, we expect our non-operated development to help meaningfully replace the base production decline in our core PDP business. We continue to evaluate our acreage position and see additional opportunities to participate in non-operated partnerships. Acreage contributions to the programs give us opportunities to have carried interest or enhanced economics in these partnerships. and we continue to see significant opportunities for outsized returns in non-operated positions due to our unique acreage position across the lower 48. One final note on execution. This program is supported by a highly experienced internal development team of approximately 10 industry professionals with vast engineering and technical capabilities and they're excited to show the results that they know they can deliver. With that, I will turn the call over to Brad.

speaker
Brad Gray
President and Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Rick. We'll start on slide seven. Slide seven is where the numbers validate the strategy. And I would encourage anyone that's skeptical about a low-decline consolidator adding development capital to focus on this page. The top chart shows annual base production decline across the natural gas peer group. Diversified sits at approximately 10%. The peer average is 31%, and the peer set runs from 22% all the way to 44%. That structural advantage is a function of how we deploy capital and of the assets we choose to buy. Below each bar, look at capital intensity, which is measured by capital expenditures as a percentage of adjusted EBITDA. Diversified lands at approximately 25% on a go-forward basis. which is inclusive of our planned operated drilling. The peer group runs roughly 40% to over 110% with several peers spending meaningfully more cash than they generate. And even with the development program fully layered in, our capital intensity remains the lowest in the group by a wide margin. The bottom chart is the output of these two inputs. Free cash flow conversions. diversified converts approximately 47% of adjusted EBITDA into free cash flow versus the peer average of 28%. And two peers in this set have a negative free cash flow. So the message is that on this page is very straightforward. Our capital investment plan does not compromise our differentiation Our unique business strategy or our competitive advantage. Rather, it complements it. Low decline plus low capital intensity plus high return development equals durable free cash flow conversion and long term cash generation. We are flattening go forward production within cash flow while bolstering long term cash flow durability and stability. And we are doing it before we layer on incremental accretive acquisitions. Now on slide eight, we are updating our four-year 2026 guidance today. This update will encompass the Sheridan acquisition and the recently closed Camino acquisition, as well as capital spending associated with the 2026 Operated Development Program. We expect total production of approximately 1.2 BCFE per day with a mix of approximately 29% liquids and 71% natural gas. Adjusted EBITDA guidance has increased and now sits in a range of $960 million to $1 billion, with adjusted free cash flow also increasing to approximately $440 million. Total capital expenditures are expected in the range of $225 to $255 million with operated development for the second half of 2026 of approximately $35 million to $50 million. Worth noting, we have decreased our non-operated CapEx to a range of $115 to $125 million, which was primarily due to some reallocation from non-op to operated development, timing, and some changes in working interest levels within the non-op development. We remain committed to our leverage target of two to two and a half times. The headline here is really capital allocation flexibility. Approximately 440 million of free cash flow after a 225 to $255 million capital program means that we retain the flexibility to allocate capital across the highest and best uses of capital rather than being forced into any one of them. Additionally, I'll call out that we have included a line item in our guidance to account for the minority ownership of our Camino special purpose vehicle that will sit off balance sheet. I'll now turn the call back to Rusty.

speaker
Rusty Hudson
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Brad. Before we take questions, I want to take a step back for a moment to provide some final thoughts on our investment thesis and our strategic outlook. Turning to slide nine, I want to close on a strategic note and zoom out on who we were, who we are today, and who we plan to become. 25 years ago, this company started with a simple, unfashionable idea that the wells that everyone else had written off still had decades of value in them, If someone was willing to do the unglamorous work of operating them efficiently and with a high degree of focus, we were told that it was a small idea. Today, it is a four-basin vertically integrated platform generating more than a billion dollars of annual adjusted EBITDA. And I can tell you with confidence that we are operating from the strongest fiscal position in the company's history. Our scaled, stable core production base generates durable cash flow. Our balance sheet is anchored by investment grade ABS financing that no one else in our public peer group has replicated, allowing our cost of capital to decrease and have better terms. And importantly, we have the opportunity, but not the mandate for organic high rate of return growth from a deep inventory of high quality undeveloped locations. I want to emphasize that last point of distinction because it is the strategic addition to our playbook and we have the opportunity to optimize our inventory for the next 25 years. Optionality without obligation is a rare thing in this industry. Most companies must drill. We get to choose. The four pillars on this page are what we are building upon. They are core to our strategy and we are steadfast in our execution. Scale, vertical integration and technological innovation all enhance margins in our core cash flow business. We are built to consolidate, and that engine is not slowing down. Here's what I would leave you with. The energy transition conversation has spent a decade asking who will steward the assets that keep the lights on and the heat running when others step away. We have spent 25 years answering that question with our capital, our people, and our track record. We plug the wells. We reduce the emissions. We pay the dividends. We deliver the gas. We power the communities. We provide energy security. Our 25th anniversary seal this year reads, built by the proven. And that is not a marketing line. It is a description of how we got here. Proven strategy, proven assets, proven cash flow, proven people, proven results. We built the first 25 years on doing the hard, patient work others avoided. We are going to build the next 25 on exactly the same thing. but with more scale, more optionality, greater innovation and technology and a stronger balance sheet than we have ever had. We look forward to the opportunities ahead and we are just getting started. We are excited about what comes next and we appreciate you being on this journey with us. With that, I'd like to turn it over to the operator for the Q&A portion of today's call.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. We will now be conducting a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star 2 to remove yourself from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up the handset before pressing the star keys. One moment please while we poll for questions. Our first question comes from the line of Neil Dingman with William Blair. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Neil Dingman
Analyst, William Blair

Morning, all. And, Bryce, thanks for all the details. My first question is just, of course, on the Operated Development Program, specifically around that. Given, you know, you have such a, that you just described this morning, such a large acreage footprint, not only in Oklahoma, but your other three basins, you know, is how big could this Operated Program potentially get? Or maybe, you know, again, I'm just thinking of, you know, the balance between that and, you know, the way Brad described it. I'm just wondering, could that, could it continue to grow?

speaker
Rusty Hudson
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Well, I mean, look, we've got 450 locations in Oklahoma. Rick said it earlier, we've got 20-some years of drilling. Obviously, it could grow as big as we want it to be, but it's really about the optionality for us. We get excited when we look at the impacts to our production over the next few years just from being able to run a one-rig program. obviously if prices ran up and you wanted to put more capital to work with even higher IRRs, we would do that. But it's really, Neil, it's really about the optionality and the ability to do it on our terms. We don't have to do anything, but it's a big opportunity. We have a lot of acreage up there, a big footprint. We have acreage positions in the Permian. We have acreage positions in Appalachia. So it's not just about Oklahoma, but Oklahoma is really where we have the size scale and the ability that we felt was able to generate good returns.

speaker
Neil Dingman
Analyst, William Blair

I totally agree. And then my follow-up just on M&A for you all specifically, is there much of your current position, as you just mentioned, you have such a large position that, I don't know, you consider non-core or still ideal for investors as you've done just even recently on a couple of deals? and then just looking out in the market, what does the PDP market look like now? Is it still real active?

speaker
Rusty Hudson
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Well, we're always looking for opportunities to acquire, but we're also looking at ways to take our existing portfolio and make it more profitable. And so that was part of why we chose to divest the Barnett and the Arkansas assets. We felt that those were lower margin We didn't have the chance or the ability to really scale those anymore. And so it just made all the sense in the world. And the value that we got for them was top end. And so we felt that that was the best. But we have other opportunities in the portfolio to do the same thing, and we'll continue to evaluate that. The PDP market, I would tell you, is very, very strong. We continue to evaluate a lot of things. We do a lot of deals, and I've said this on some of the other calls. People don't realize we walk away from a ton of them. We don't do all the deals. We like some. We don't like others. We're going to be competitive and do the best we can on the ones that we really like, but we're not forced into doing anything. I could sit here right now for the next five years and do nothing. and so it's just a good position to be in but obviously we're looking at the next 25 years. Now that's going to go way past my time as you know, Neil, but you have to look at the company from the longevity and the sustainability and doing all the right things today that will add to the sustainability to the company for the long haul. So we're evaluating a lot of PDP deals.

speaker
Brad Gray
President and Chief Financial Officer

Neil, I would just add, Rusty mentioned this in his comments, the company's in the strongest financial position it's been in in 25 years and definitely since we went public. And so we've worked very hard to achieve that position. And so we're going to continue to be disciplined in the deals that we look at to ensure that we maintain that balance sheet strength.

speaker
Neil Dingman
Analyst, William Blair

Thanks for the address.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Gabe Dowd with Truist Securities. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Gabe Dowd
Analyst, Truist Securities

Thanks, operator. Morning, everyone. I was hoping to maybe just go back to the decision to stand up an operator program. Could you maybe just quantify the production impact that you expect by September 27th?

speaker
Rusty Hudson
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I think right now we're going to evaluate that probably in the third and fourth quarters and give much better guidance around that production. I will tell you it's meaningful. And so we're pretty excited about it. But a lot of that's going to depend on, you know, we're standing up the rig, we're getting it moving as we speak when those wells come online. So I would rather give you a much more precise number later, you know, at the end of the third quarter most likely than to try to do that today. But I will say that the whole strategy really came down to two things for me. Number one, do we have the type of IRRs and the running room to operate a rig comfortably where we had enough acreage position, where we didn't have to rely on others, those kind of things. And then having a significant amount of confidence in our internal team led by Rick to make it happen. That's one of the things that until we bought the Maverick transaction last year and Rick came on board and his team came on board, we didn't have a lot of that expertise. We now have a very technical and reliable group that can look at all of our acreage positions and help us make good decisions around drill it, sell it, or JV it. Those are going to be continual as we move forward, but the production will be impactful. and but, you know, I think just to give you a number today, I think is too early. We'll come back to it. Rick, do you want to add to that?

speaker
Rick Gideon
Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

Yeah, the only part I would add to that, Gabe, is please remember, as we went through what our focus is, and our focus is helping to offset the declines we have right now, as well as growth on cash flow. So those are the things that we're looking at. That's our intent as we to end up this program. It's focused on those two things.

speaker
Gabe Dowd
Analyst, Truist Securities

Understood. Understood. Thank you, guys. That is helpful. And then I guess a follow-up, just sticking to that, you know, one rig program for a year, you highlighted 20 years of inventory. I mean, should we just assume this kind of continues or do you need to kind of see results before you feel comfortable keeping the rig from, you know, September 27th to September 28th? Should we expect this to be an ongoing OneRig program?

speaker
Rick Gideon
Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

I think you should expect us to continue to be good stewards of our capital and place it to the highest return within the organization. So dependent on commodity prices, service costs, a number of things, if that is the highest return, absolutely you should expect that. If there's other opportunities that out-compete, you should expect us to do those things.

speaker
Gabe Dowd
Analyst, Truist Securities

Okay. Got it. Understood. Thanks, Rick. Thanks, everyone.

speaker
Neil Dingman
Analyst, William Blair

Thank you, Gabe.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Jonathan Mardini with KeyBank Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Jonathan Mardini
Analyst, KeyBank Capital Markets

Hi, good morning, Ed. Thank you for taking my questions. Just as the operated rate program starts generating some cash flow, where do you see yourselves allocating those returns towards accelerating ABS No Pay Down, Funding, Shareholder Returns, or reinvesting in the program. Just looking to get a sense of where you're seeing capital allocation priorities from the program perhaps.

speaker
Rusty Hudson
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

I'll let Brad chime in here as well. But, you know, really about – we talk about our four pillars and what our options are. It's always going to be the best use of our cash. And so, you know, we obviously have a distribution policy that's in place. If we have excess cash and shares are trading below what we feel the true value that they should be, we'll put it there. We'll continue to grow the business, either through reinvesting in additional wells or into additional acquisitions. We have options. We've mentioned that word multiple times, but we have the ability to to move cash to where we feel like is the best shareholder returns. Do you want to add?

speaker
Brad Gray
President and Chief Financial Officer

I can't add anything to that. I fully agree.

speaker
Jonathan Mardini
Analyst, KeyBank Capital Markets

I'll just say, yeah, it makes sense. Okay, just as you're putting more capital to work from the operating program, and you mentioned this briefly in the prepared remarks, but Do you see yourselves layering on some hedges to protect those returns or do you prefer keeping that exposure to commodity price upside?

speaker
Rusty Hudson
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Are you talking about on the new wells we're drilling? No, I think we'll use our discretion there because obviously if we're drilling into a commodity price environment that has significant movement up, then we may take some of that risk off the table. One of the things that we really like about this program, it does give us the ability to have some exposure to the unhedged commodity. And so we want to retain as much of that as possible. Because I'm sitting here today and I'm looking at natural gas prices at 268. I don't believe that in 2027, late 27, early 28, that gas prices will be at 268. If you just look at all the demand that's coming to the market. So I want to have ability to leg into that and it gives us the ability to do so.

speaker
Brad Gray
President and Chief Financial Officer

And Jonathan, we've always been thoughtful and had a disciplined hedging program in place. We do like the optionality with that exposure to commodity price. But we've always had a disciplined hedging program in place. to ensure that we can continue to provide consistent, reliable cash flow generation to our shareholders.

speaker
Jonathan Mardini
Analyst, KeyBank Capital Markets

Got it. I appreciate the details there. I'll leave it there.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Charles Mead with Johnson & Rice. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Charles Mead
Analyst, Johnson & Rice

Good morning, Rusty, Brad, and Rick, and to the rest of the Diversified team there. Rusty, I want to go back to your, come to the conclusion of your prepared comments. And I think it's on slide nine, where you say that you could, this operated drilling program could let you reinvest for low-risk growth. And, you know, characteristically, you guys have been, you know, you take a step up with when you make an acquisition, and then it slightly declines from there. And that's kind of the way Rick talked about it. He said one of the goals here is to offset the decline. So this question doesn't have, I don't expect, a precise answer, but what is the thinking here, that you're still going to stay on that previous slight decline before acquisitions, or is this something that – that you could actually flex up to really deliver organic growth maybe in 28 or beyond. What's the vision?

speaker
Rusty Hudson
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Well, we know that between our non-operated program and this operated program that we're kicking off this month that we have the ability to offset a majority if not all of our decline rate, which is very, very impactful. Now, look, gas prices go to $4.50, $5.00. Thank you for joining us. with the growth that we have, it becomes larger and larger. What that percentage represents, this has the ability to offset that, which is tremendous.

speaker
Charles Mead
Analyst, Johnson & Rice

Right. Yes. It's definitely a new thing. And then if we could go back to, I think the way you described, it was really the Camino acquisition that got you guys over the line as far as really wanting to... to start up this operated drilling program. So I'm curious, did you guys get a number of offers? Once you announced that you guys were going to do the Camino deal, I know there were a lot of people looking at it. A lot of people wanted those locations. Did you have a lot of offers come in to do what had traditionally been your MO, which is having a non-op come in? Or was it... Did you evaluate that also or was this just something that you knew you needed to do? No, that's a great question.

speaker
Rusty Hudson
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

We always evaluate every option. And yes, we did have inbounds about drilling this acreage for us. We could have participated, we could have sold it, whatever. But when we looked at the concentration of acreage and it's got a 90% working interest on it. That's pretty good for any acreage position you pick up nowadays but that means we don't have to go out and find other people to sublease from and all that other work that comes along with that. This was just a long runway of optionality for us and we felt like with the information we had on the wells that Camino had already drilled, that we had a pretty good idea of what our returns were going to be. And this just gave us the ability to run that rig and feel comfortable from an operating perspective with Rick's team of being able to do it ourselves.

speaker
Rick Gideon
Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

Yeah, I'd add to that just slightly, you know, with the scale and consolidated footprint we had there, as well as the low risk, high return, you know, the ability to We get to control the pace of the spend. And so that's beneficial to us. Lots of great partners out there. We would continue to work with them. But remember, as I stated, when we purchased this, Camino was running multiple rigs out there and getting very good results. We're running one rig. We get to control that pace. And we're not doing it because we have to. We're doing it because we choose to.

speaker
Charles Mead
Analyst, Johnson & Rice

That is great color. Thank you, gentlemen. Thanks, Charles.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Jared Giroux with Starco Brand. Please proceed with your question.

speaker
Jared Giroux
Analyst, Starco Brand

Hey, good morning, guys. Congrats on a great quarter, and thanks for taking my questions. Yeah, my first one is just kind of want to clear up one thing. I know it's been talked about a lot, but I just want to confirm that the annual run rate of CapEx of 250 to 300 million, is that essentially like a maintenance CapEx number that could keep production flat going forward? Thanks.

speaker
Rusty Hudson
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Well, that's the total capital allocation for the non-op, the operated, and what we call our maintenance CapEx associated with our PDP portfolio. And We've essentially said that we're going to offset our decline rates, and that's our capital number.

speaker
Brad Gray
President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, and Jared, just one thing. In the event, as we've indicated, that we choose to continue with a one-rig program in the next year or two, then this level of capital would be somewhat of a run rate. but that's going to be our choice as we've already highlighted several times today.

speaker
Jared Giroux
Analyst, Starco Brand

That's perfect. That makes sense. Thank you. And then just one other one just on the non-op program. So for 2026, the non-op was mainly with newborn, continental, and the private operator starting up in the back half of the year. Just wondering if you could give any color on expectations for those other two non-op programs, whether it be production, RIGS activity, just anything else you have on those.

speaker
Rick Gideon
Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

Thanks. I don't think we've given any direction on that yet. What I would tell you is if we are doing it, it competes in our portfolio for capital. So we expect good returns and all of those, you know, you're going to see the majority of the production in 27 due to the timing in the latter part of this year. But as you well know, and we called out, you know, kind of the plays, if you look at the zip codes, you know, in the BMW play and on the Northwest shelf, You've seen good results to date, so that's why we'll continue to participate in those.

speaker
Jared Giroux
Analyst, Starco Brand

Thank you for the color. Thanks, guys.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thanks, Jared. Thank you. And as a reminder, if anyone has any questions, you may press star 1 on your telephone keypad to join the queue and ask a question. Our next question comes from the line of Paul Diamond with Citi. Please proceed with your questions.

speaker
Paul Diamond
Analyst, Citi

Thank you. Good morning. Thanks for taking the call. Just wanted to quickly stay on the new off program. Is it too early to talk about break-evens and I guess how to quantify modularity of the program, whether you add a rig or take your foot off the gas? Is there a price that you guys have in mind and kind of how to think about the break-even and just the strategy around that?

speaker
Rick Gideon
Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

We'll always pay attention to the commodity prices. I don't think we've called out the break-even, but we did call out what we ran this at, at a 65, 325 flat price deck, just to understand what those returns would be. I think we're conservative on that side. We make sure that this will be economic on the decks we see out there now, but we have that ability to pivot at any point. as you well stated. And that could be that we decide not to run the program due to commodity price or we decide to expand the program.

speaker
Paul Diamond
Analyst, Citi

Okay, understood. and then just one more kind of longer term question. Can you talk about how you guys see the evolution of your base decline as you kind of wear in additional new wells from both the Yacht Program and the JV? I understand the design is to replace that 10% base decline but over time, can you talk about any migration you see there?

speaker
Rusty Hudson
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I mean, here's the deal and I think where people, they always think about, okay, you're drilling new wells, you're going to have these higher declines but you also have and many more. and many more.

speaker
Brad Gray
President and Chief Financial Officer

are foundational production base that's already at a lower decline rate. And, you know, that's different than just some of the other companies or really all the other companies that are very heavy on the drill business. So, you know, we've got that very stable base underneath that supports what Rusty indicated.

speaker
Paul Diamond
Analyst, Citi

Understood. Thanks, Paul. Thanks.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. We have reached the end of the question and answer session. Therefore, I would like to turn the conference call back over to Rusty Hudson for closing remarks.

speaker
Rusty Hudson
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you all for joining today. As always, if you have further questions or clarifications needed, please get in touch with Doug and his team, and they'll be happy to assist. And everyone have a great day.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. And this concludes today's conference, and you may disconnect your lines at this time. We thank you for your participation.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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