5/5/2021

speaker
Operator

Good morning and good afternoon, everyone. Welcome and thank you for joining DHT Holdings' first quarter 2021 earnings call. I am joined by DHT Co-CEO Svein Moxnes Harfjell and Trygve Munte and Vilhelm Findir, Head of Investor Relations. As usual, we will go through financials and some highlights before we open up for your questions. The link to the slide deck can be found on our website dhtankers.com. Before we get started with today's call, I would like to make the following remarks. A replay of this conference call will be available at our website, theedgetankers.com, until May 12th. In addition, our earnings press release will be available on our website and on the SSC Edgar system as an exhibit to our Form 6-K. As a reminder, on this conference call, we will discuss matters that are forward-looking in nature. These forward-looking statements are based on our current expectations about future events, including DHT's prospects, dividend, share repurchase, and debt repayment, the outlook for the tanker market in general, daily charter high rates and vessel utilization, forecast of world economic activity, oil prices and oil trading patterns, anticipated level of new buildings and scrapping, and projected dried-up schedules. Actual results may differ materially from the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements. We urge you to read our periodic reports available on our website and on the SSC-Edgar system, including the risk factors in these reports, for more information regarding risks that we face. Looking at the P&L highlights, DHT showed profitable results for the first quarter despite a very tough tanker market. EBITDA for the quarter came in at 46.7 million and a net income of 11.6 million or 7 cents per share. Adjusted for a non-cash gain in fair value related to interest rate derivatives of 3.4 million, Net income would be $8.2 million or $0.05 per share for the quarter. OPEX for the quarter was $19.1 million and G&A for the quarter was $5.6 million. Moving over to the balance sheet, the quarter ended with $54 million of cash. We have built a very strong balance sheet and financial leverage is about 35% based on market values for the ships. Net debt per vessel is 18 million at quarter end, which is below current scrap values. Looking at the cash bridge, the quarter started with 69 million of cash and we generated 47 million in EBITDA. Ordinary debt repayment and cash interest amounted to $6 million. $9 million was paid in dividends. $125 million was drawn on RCS, while $136 million was used for vessel acquisitions and $5 million was used for maintenance capex. Changes in working capital amounted to $31 million and the quarter ended with $54 million of cash. And now over to capital allocation. For the first quarter of 2021, DHT will pay a dividend of $0.04 per share on May 26 to shareholders of record as of May 19. This will be the 45th consecutive quarterly dividend payment. With that, I will turn the call over to Svein.

speaker
DHT Co - CEO Svein Moxnes Harfjell

Thank you, Laina. We will now discuss our latest investments and divestments as well as our thoughts going forward. During the first quarter, we acquired two scrubber-fitted 2016 built VLCCs, both which now have delivered into the DHT fleet. We consider these to be attractive investments with robust required rates to generate good returns for our shareholders. The DHT approach is amongst others to compare the required rate to generate an unlevered return of 10% and compare that with average historical VHC earnings. The ships we bought require some $33,700 per day for the remaining economic life to generate this return, comparing favorably to the historical average of some $42,500 per day. During this quarter, we entered into three individual agreements to sell our oldest ships, all built in 2004. The DST Raven has been delivered to our new owners, whilst the DST Lake and DST Condor are expected to deliver during the balance of this quarter. The three ships were sold for an aggregate sum of 89 million. Net proceeds from the sales after repayment of mortgage debt is estimated to be about 78 million, and we expect to book a profit of about 15 million during the second quarter. The industry newspaper, Tradewinds, quoted an industry observer questioning why we did not sell these three ships a year ago. Little must this observer know about our business. Back in the first quarter of last year, we thought we would create more value for our shareholders by trading the ships for a while longer, taking advantage of the strong market and related time-sharter opportunities. The leading ship broker, Clarksons, valued a 15-year-old tanker at 35 million end of the first quarter last year, suggesting that the 16-year-old, as these ships were at the time, would have been in the low 30s. Now, these three ships have over the past five quarters generated a cumulative EBTA of 57 million. The numbers speak for themselves. The transactions represent a fleet renewal with an average age being reduced from 9.4 to 8.2 years. It will further improve the operational efficiency of our fleet, including metrics such as AER and EEOI. Moving on, we are interested in making additional acquisitions and have capacity to invest without relying on additional equity or stressing our healthy balance sheets. Our focus is still on modern second-hand ships of eco-design, i.e. built from 2015 and onwards. However, values, or at least tellers' asking prices, have moved up a bit quicker than we had hoped, leaving us in a wait-and-see mode for now. You should not expect us to contract new buildings, and for three key reasons. There is great uncertainty related to what will be the fuel of the future for large tankers. We don't think there's any advantage in being an early mover. Two, new building prices are not compelling. New building prices for a VCC are up from roughly 83 million some six months ago to about 92 million today. They might well continue to increase from here and offer a feel-good factor in a year's time. but the cheap is for now behind us. At DHT, we do not invest in ships to try to make a buck by selling the asset in the short term, but we invest with the view to make good returns by operating the ships. In all its simplicity, if you buy well, you never have to sell, whereas an expensive ship will always be an expensive ship. And the third reason, our sector does not need any more ships. Once the fleet demographics looks favorable for the next few years, adding to the order book could easily mute what otherwise looks to be a rewarding recovery. Now onto fleet employments. We are still enjoying the decisions we made last year in securing some fixed income for our fleet. The second and third quarter has an even distribution between spot and fixed, whereas the fixed portion is reducing to a quarter of our capacity in the fourth quarter. As such, the coverage ratio is gradually coming off as we move closer to a recovery in freight rates. For the second quarter, we have booked 75% of our total capacity at $21,300 per day, being well above our cash break-even numbers, which Trygve will discuss in more detail later on. Like during the fourth quarter last year, we continue to take advantage of the lead freight market to advance dry docks. We had seven ships in dry dock during the first quarter with a total of 232 days of fire. For the second quarter, we will have another three ships in dry dock with between 1910 days of fire expected. Keep in mind that the COVID situation impacts these dry docks with quarantine issues causing delays and being included in these numbers. We plan to dry dock another three ships during the second half of the year. Then some comments on the COVID situation. This situation has been and still is a major challenge for the industry, with crew changes being the dominant problem. We have under the circumstances fared well, thanks to fantastic support and understanding from our crews, and hard work from all the support staff onshore. There has been a positive trend over the past few months, but this has now got a setback with the developments, in particular in India, causing renewed challenges. Seafarers are yet to be identified as essential workers by the authorities, And with the lack of global and coordinated support from authorities and politicians, we sadly expect difficulties to remain. We will continue to act responsibly and do what we can to make do during these challenging times. And with that, over to Trine.

speaker
Laina

Thank you, Svein. Following the acquisition of the two 2016 built VLCCs, we have developed a new credit facility together with Nordea as agent and six other core DHT banks. The loan is built off by three blocks. Firstly, it is a $75 million new mortgage financing of our two recent acquisitions. This will be DHT style with a 20-year repayment profile and $2.5 million in annual repayment per ship. Secondly, it is an extension of the $181 million loan that we currently refer to at the Nordea facility from April 2023 to January 2027. And thirdly, it has a new undrawn revolving credit facility of $60 million. The total amount available to us is $316 million. The loan will have a five and three quarter year tenor and will come to final maturity in early 2027. And it will carry an interest rate of LIBOR plus 1.9%. This is a 50 basis point reduction from the current margin. The covenants will be unchanged from the current facility. Further, as previously reported, we have prepaid all regular installments for this year and next year under the existing Nordea facility. And you should note that this will remain so also after the extension. And finally, the new facility includes an uncommitted accordion of $250 million. The main point here is to facilitate the smooth mortgage financing of any additional acquisitions that may be made between now and the end of next year. On this slide, we will walk you through the main financial effects of the new financing and the SHIP sales that I discussed. The new financing will boost liquidity by about $132 million. That is the new mortgage on the Osprey and Harrier plus the new Revolver minus a front end fee. Liquidity will be further boosted by the net proceeds from the ship sales of about 78 million. So as you can see, liquidity will grow from 99 million at quarter end to 309 million once the ships have been delivered and the new loan executed, all else being equal, of course. Interest bearing debt will be reduced by nine million following the repayment of a loan on one of the ships sold. The other two ships were debt free. And finally, book equity will increase by 15 million from the profit on the ship sales. So the main benefits of the sale and purchase and financing activities can be summarized as follows. We bought two five-year-old eco ships and sold three 17-year-old ships. This is fleet renewal and future efficiency improvements. Two, the reduced margin on the new loan equates to some 1.6 million in annual savings, assuming the loan is fully drawn. Three, we have pushed out the final maturity on one of our large credit facilities to 2027, with the effect that we have no refinancing requirements before 2024. And four, our financial position has improved. Net debt per ship is reduced to $16.6 million per ship, and total liquidity, and that is cash and revolver availability, is increased to $309 million. Let me then take you through where we currently are in terms of cash break-even levels. On the left side of this slide, you see expected cash costs for the current quarter, broken down into OPEX, cash interest, debt repayments, cash G&A, and maintenance capex. In sum, about $38 million. In order to generate the same amount in revenues, the ships need to earn an average of about $15,900 a day, as shown on the orange bar in the middle. This is in and of itself very competitive compared to peers. However, we do also have significant fixed income from our time charter book for the quarter, so the spot ships only need to earn some $6,700 per day in order for DHT to cover all its expected cash costs for the quarter. On the right side of the slide, you see a similar graph for the second half of the year. Not a dramatically different picture, but you will note that the somewhat lower time shorter cover means that the spot chips need to earn roughly 10,200 per day in the second half of this year in order for DHT to be cash neutral for the period. So before we open up for your questions, let us provide you a brief summary of where we are. We're very pleased with our performance in the first quarter. All our colleagues on border ships as well as ashore have delivered good results in a difficult environment, both because of COVID and the historically low freight market. Despite the challenging market, we have built NAV for our shareholders, both through earnings from operations and through gains on sale of all the vessels, although the latter will only be recorded in the second quarter. Our buying of modern eco-ships and selling of older ships have not only reduced the average age of our fleet, but will importantly also improve our efficiency ratios. Our new bank financing shows that we enjoy great support from the world's leading shipping banks. And we're pleased to see that our past performance has enabled reduced financing costs, which in turn will lead to increased equity returns going forward, all else being equal. Our financial position remains very healthy with low leverage and ample liquidity. And our spot cash break even remains very robust. And finally, we're bullish on the medium-term market outlook. According to energy aspects, global oil demand is estimated to increase by 10 million barrels from the second quarter last year to the second quarter this year. However, this growth has not yet been felt in the tanker market, as a lot of supply has come from inventories. At the peak, global oil inventories were some 800 million barrels above normal, but have since come down to 120 or so, and is still declining. We have now reached a point when OPEC Plus will start releasing more supply into the market. But we do not expect that the first baby steps will send spot rates sky high right off the bat. We believe it will take a little more than the initial 700,000 barrels per day to make an impact. But we do believe the worst is behind us and that we are about to start on the gradual recovery that should lead us to a better tanking market in the not too distant future. And with that, we would like to open up for your questions.

speaker
Svein

Thank you. Thanks. Ladies and gentlemen, we now begin the question and answer session. As a reminder, if you wish to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. If you wish to cancel your request, please press the hush key. Once again, press star 1 if you wish to ask a question. And your first question comes from the line of John Chappell Evercore. Please ask a question.

speaker
John Chappell Evercore

Thank you. Good morning. Good afternoon, everybody. If I can start with a quick housekeeping item. The second quarter to date number that you gave obviously includes time charters. Can you give us the second quarter to date spot fixtures, both at $1 per day and a percentage coverage basis, please?

speaker
Operator

Yes. The spot bookings for Q2 is 51% at $10,600 per day. Perfect.

speaker
John Chappell Evercore

Thank you. So I'm intrigued that strategically you laid out a bunch of things here. So the liquidity is obviously vastly important to your strategy going forward, and the fleet renewal makes all the sense in the world. It seems that given the choppiness in the market today, maybe the move in asset values and some of the S&P activity that's happened in the market is maybe getting a little bit ahead of itself. So how do you kind of time, you know, the market bottom and, you know, the worst it can get type of rate environment today, um, you know, with trying to, to align that with asset values that have moved up and, and being, um, you know, well-timed in, in putting that liquidity to work versus maybe just sitting back a little bit, waiting for some of the optimism to come out of the market, um, and be opportunistic at some point in the future.

speaker
DHT Co - CEO Svein Moxnes Harfjell

You know, we have already done something and that we will, you know, remain disciplined as we always are and also patient. And we're certainly keen to do something more. And if you sort of get a little correction in the expectations of asset values, like you alluded to here, you know, we are certainly ready to strike. So we are following a lot of things. And, you know, if it's... Our sort of map ahead would like to add some more and more ships to the fleet at this time. But discipline and patience is key here.

speaker
John Chappell Evercore

Yeah, that makes sense. But just to your point about if we get a little correction. So it feels like in the tanker sector especially, there's maybe more optimism that's been at least proven in the market today. And I get it. Oil demand is coming back. OPEC is increasing production. The order book is low. It's understandable. But what if there's a scenario where you finally start to see some more oil come to the market, the rates start to come up just a little bit, and then the asset values are off to the races? So basically what I'm saying is, is now the sweet spot? Or do you have maybe some of your relationships of view that things have gotten a little overheated and there may be a temporary pullback and that's when you can be opportunistic?

speaker
Laina

I think as Ryan addressed in the prepared remarks is that we're getting to a point now, especially in the modern end of the curve, to values where it to us becomes difficult to actually invest. As we've said all along, we want to invest at levels where the required rate to generate 10% in leverage is meaningfully below the historic numbers. And if you say a resale in the low 90s, Well, it isn't meaningfully below historic averages, so we're not really there to fork out these kind of numbers, at least in the current environment.

speaker
DHT Co - CEO Svein Moxnes Harfjell

This is a little sort of small calculation. If you compare, say, a new building now quoted at 92 with an acquisition that we just made in the first quarter, the required rate differential is $5,000 per day. And, you know, NPV that over the remaining life of the ship is a lot of money. So we want to be really careful with the capital that we've been entrusted. So, and stay disciplined.

speaker
John Chappell Evercore

Yeah, that's completely what I was getting at. All right. Thank you, Trigva. Thank you, Sar.

speaker
Svein

Thank you. And your next question comes from the line of Randy Givens from Jefferies. Please ask a question.

speaker
Randy Givens

Howdy, Sven, Trigva and Leila. Good morning. How's it going? We're doing well, thanks. All right, we have first and foremost, obviously good commentary there on the reasons against new buildings. Makes sense. And good call on pulling forward the dry dockings. But I guess with that, you know, you sold the three vessels, 78 million in net proceeds. I guess following up on the earlier question, what are your kind of plans for the proceeds of these vessels? Do you plan on just further repaying debt, maybe prepaying your 2022 kind of AMOR like you did 21, or just kind of keeping it on cash and looking for those accretive acquisitions here in the near term?

speaker
DHT Co - CEO Svein Moxnes Harfjell

I think for now, you know, this cash will be in our liquidity basket, so to say, and we are in no rush to, you know, make decisions on additional debt prepayments for the future. As you know, we've already made meaningful debt prepayments for this year and next year. And as we also discussed with John, you know, we want to be ready if there are any other growth opportunities for us. So sort of for now, the cash will be liquidity and give us ample flexibility to make that decision later on.

speaker
Randy Givens

Got it. All right. And then when it comes to DHT, obviously a very straightforward capital allocation policy, pretty simple fleet to follow here. So I guess a market question for you. You say you mentioned you're pretty bullish here on the kind of midterm, near-term market. Is that all driven by just OPEC increasing production? Is that looking at inventory levels? And what kind of timing are you seeing for rates to really inflect, meaning getting back to $30,000, $40,000 a day?

speaker
Laina

We think it starts with the inventory levels. OPEC Plus has expressed the desire to bring those back to normal or whatever they define that as. As we mentioned in our prepared remarks, there's been made great headway on that over the past several months. We're now getting to the point where they are going to start to drip feed more cargoes into the market. So we think that will be the start of the recovery. But as we also said, 700,000 barrels a day is not really going to move the needle in a big way. But we expect more to come. And we do see a quite impressive rebound in the global consumption figures. So it's really a jet that is still trailing the 2019 levels. But the COVID news, of course, with exceptions from India and so forth, it is relatively good news. And we see that people are getting back to past consumption patterns. So we think the fundamentals are good. But as we've said so many times, we've been in this business too long to give you an exact month or a week when we think that we're going to see 30,000 a day. But we see... everything aligning or lining up to give us confidence that we do expect a healthy tanker market in the not too distant future, so call that next winter or so. But we stress that we see a healthy market, and we're not thinking that we're seeing a fantastic tanker market like we saw in the fourth quarter, 19, first quarter, or first half of last year. But numbers well north of what we need to produce meaningful profits.

speaker
Randy Givens

Okay. Yeah, that's fair. Volatile summer with a kind of profitable back half, if not 4Q. Good deal. Thanks so much.

speaker
Laina

It's very volatile. I think it's going to be depressed for a little while longer, but we're starting slowly to regain some territory inch by inch and foot by foot.

speaker
Randy Givens

Okay. That makes sense. Thanks again.

speaker
Svein

Thank you. And your next question comes from the line of Chris Tsang from Weber Research. Please ask a question.

speaker
Chris Tsang

Hi, good morning, good afternoon. How are you guys?

speaker
DHT Co - CEO Svein Moxnes Harfjell

Doing well, thank you.

speaker
Chris Tsang

Great, thanks. I wanted to just kind of touch on your fleet renewal. So purchased two new VLCs, well, two second builds, 2015 builds, VLCCs. sold three and took the average age down to about eight and a quarter years old. You guys currently still have about seven vessels that are roughly 14 years old. I know four are on time charter, but I guess taking the math that you guys were just explaining in your prepared remarks with why didn't you guys sell these vessels a year ago and they were able to generate positive cash flow and just generate what, $56 million? in the past year, given the current market, you know, operating costs and spot rates are where they are. You know, if they are actually, if they are negative, if you will, right, doing the math and getting like a net present value break even, you kind of would be incentivized to kind of sell now. So I guess the question is, are you guys thinking about possibly pursuing this and selling those older vessels at this time to shore up additional cash and liquidity for when, you know, the markets are a little bit more in your favor and the timing is right to kind of purchase more secondhand build ships.

speaker
DHT Co - CEO Svein Moxnes Harfjell

So we have ample liquidity now with the sort of actions we just done. And, you know, this industry overshoots in both directions, right? So, of course, now it's a dreadful market. But the optionality of these vintages that you now refer to is significant. They are all good quality ships, well vetted. They've got the scrubbers on board. So they certainly have an opportunity to dance in another sort of recovery and generate earnings for our shareholders, as we proved in the past. So we have no intention to sell additional ships this side of the recovery.

speaker
Chris Tsang

Okay. All right, that's fair. And I guess maybe just on slide 14 with the cash breakeven levels, I just wanted to confirm, is this before or after the refinancing the credit facility?

speaker
Operator

This is before the refinancing.

speaker
Chris Tsang

Before. So it should kind of come down, the breaking low should come down slightly because I think the interest rate is like 50 basis points lower.

speaker
Svein

That's correct.

speaker
Chris Tsang

Okay, thank you. That's all for me. Have a good one.

speaker
Svein

Thank you. And your next question comes from the line of Omar Nocta from Clarkson Plateau Securities. Please ask a question.

speaker
Omar Nocta

Hi there. Thank you. Maybe just following up on the previous discussion points, you guys have been pretty clear about new buildings and prices in the secondhand market. And I understand the need to pause the acquisitions to just sort of reassess and get a sense for how things are. But we have seen steel prices move quite a bit higher, and that's clearly boosting new building costs. And there's at least some relationship with steel and secondhand values. And so I guess my question is, what happens if values just don't come down, but they just continue on this upwards trajectory? And even though we're not seeing rates justifying it today, inflationary pressure on the asset values. Is that a concern that you might miss the boat here or is it maybe for you to unpause, is it as simple as just waiting for rates to move up? Any concern there that you might be missing if values just keep pushing higher?

speaker
Laina

I think to the first part of your question, Omar, that if steel prices continue to rise forever, Well, then clearly we should have bought more ships at this point in time. But, you know, we think that the steel market is cyclical as everything else that we do in shipping. So we're not convinced that it is off to a one-way trajectory upwards. But, again, if that was the case, then we should have known more. I think those were the kind of arguments that drove this market off its hinges some 10, 15 years ago when people were contracting new ships for $150 million per VLCC because they thought it was different this time. And they regretted that for years afterwards. So we would like to err on the conservative or safe side or whatever you want to call it. And I just want to also stress that if we do not, acquire additional ships at this trough. Well, that's not a disaster. We got 26 great ships that are ready to earn a lot of money in the next upcycle. Ideally, we would have liked to added a few more units, but it is not really entire bad news if we fail to find good investment opportunities between now and the real upcycle.

speaker
Omar Nocta

Yeah, that's definitely 26 shifts. You've got significant critical mass. You know, maybe, you know, just on that point, because you don't want to sell vessels on this side of the cycle line, as you just mentioned a few minutes ago. What do you think about the approach of, you know, seeking to expand the fleet via charter ends? I know you haven't done that in years, but maybe there's an opportunity here given the low rate structure currently, do you see the potential or are you interested in going out and leasing in vessels over the medium term period where you're not committing yourself for the life of the vessel, but you're at least getting some extra capacity and considering that asset values have been a bit higher than you'd like?

speaker
Laina

You may call this boring, but it's going to be the same answer as before. We don't see a need to add tremendous operational leverage to it in the form of chartering in-ships. So, no, we're not planning to do that, and you shouldn't expect it.

speaker
Omar Nocta

That's pretty clear. Thanks. And then just final question, just on the new credit facility. Could you maybe just explain how that $250 million uncommitted accordion feature works in that facility?

speaker
Laina

Sure. If we were to find, say, a repeat of the deal we did, and we come with two five-year-olds, and we'd like to have DHT-style mortgages on those ships, then we would go to the banks in the syndicate, the seven of them, and they would say yay or nay. And if enough people said yes, Then all the documentation is done and it will just become a new tranche within the current loan agreements and the facility.

speaker
Omar Nocta

Okay. And so that would be, you know, for that DHT style financing, that's basically, you know, seeking an LTB of around 50%, something like that. That's the figure. Okay.

speaker
Laina

It is 2.5 million times the remaining economic life or years of economic life. So for a five-year-old, it's 15 times 2.5, 37.5 million. That's what we call DHT style. We're not bound to be at that. So if we, for some reason, wanted to borrow a little more or a little less, that can certainly be done. But it would be, the point is that you would just create a new tranche within the same legal framework that we have now established for, you know,

speaker
DHT Co - CEO Svein Moxnes Harfjell

And, you know, Omar, also the benefit of this being an accordion in a way is that if we had a sort of hunting line, we would have to pay a commitment fee, right? So we're not really keen to have those expenses running. And as we feel that we have significant support from our banking universe and that they will be there for additional investments, should we identify them?

speaker
Laina

And in that context, you should also note that the $316 million here was significantly oversubscribed.

speaker
Omar Nocta

Okay, that's great. All right, well, thanks, guys. I'll leave it at that. Thank you.

speaker
Svein

Thank you. Your next question comes from the line, the Magnosphere, from H.C. Wainwright. Please ask a question.

speaker
spk07

Yeah, good afternoon, guys. Just a couple questions here. You guys have done a great job in, you know, staying profitable through this challenging market, and it looks like 2Q... The bar for staying cash flow break-even is relatively low at $6,700. You also said that you think the worst is behind. Do you think that the first half of 2Q was the low, or do you think that second half of 2Q will be the low for the spot rates? I mean, the market is really choppy here, so I would appreciate some color.

speaker
DHT Co - CEO Svein Moxnes Harfjell

That would be a very precise assessment. We are already in a very low market, and the first half of this year, looking at the history, is the worst that this business has seen for more than 30 years. Exactly whether the first two weeks or the second half of May or June is going to be at the bottom, it's hard to say. There are some talks about a little bit more oil coming to the market. Maybe, you know, rates or earnings move up a couple of thousand or 5,000, but it's already in a very low environment. So we're not, you know, that precise on exactly when things will start to improve.

speaker
Laina

And you should also remember the time lag here. So what you read in the fixture reports is really cargoes that are going to be loaded a couple of weeks from now. So, yes, we're now seeing spot rates come up a little bit. And most of those cargoes are going to be showing up towards the end of the quarter and into the next, really.

speaker
spk07

So, I mean, with OPEC start increasing second half, do you think at least 2Q will be the low for the market?

speaker
Laina

I think that's a fair guess, but keyword guess.

speaker
spk07

Yeah, all right. On a different note, you know, looking at the energy transition here and looking at what the oil companies are doing, Have you seen the attitude change at all in talking with the major oil companies as far as chartering ships, more fuel-efficient ships? I mean, you guys are well-positioned to benefit from that, and I'm just curious if you've seen any changes there in their planning for the future.

speaker
DHT Co - CEO Svein Moxnes Harfjell

I think in the current rate environment, pretty much all charters are focusing on eco-ships with scrubbers, and that's the equipment that they want. But that's also a reflection of the fact that in this market, they do have a choice. So don't forget that. So in a strong market, then, of course, charters tend to be a bit more flexible as to what they pick. There's been a couple of projects with two majors that have secured some VF2Cs for long-term charters with LNG or dual fuel. But so far, That's the only two projects. In our view, it's because it's not so easy to predict really what will be the fuel for the future for large tankers. If you are a refinery owner, say in Korea, and you buy 75% of your crude in AEG, maybe you would like to have an LNG ship shuffling back and forth, but you probably need to then take some of the capex risk yourself So far, these charges that have been done are five to seven years, and the ship owners end up with a meaningful residual value on this equipment. I don't think there's that many owners actually keen to do them, and we don't see a big inflow of end users wanting to do them either. I think most of these guys are also in a similar camp as us. There's still a lot of uncertainty out there, and it's hard to decide what to do.

speaker
spk07

Right. So, I mean, your time charters are, you know, are just coming off here all through 2021. So, based on your comment, you kind of want that 10% unlevered return, and that's not there right now. So, should we expect, you know, very little time charter fixture activity at these levels? I mean, we need to get into a higher rate environment, correct? Yes.

speaker
DHT Co - CEO Svein Moxnes Harfjell

We don't fix time charges just, you know, looking at what are the required rates to earn 10% and lower. We look at the time charge rates, what are sort of meaningful numbers and where we are in the cycle. And obviously last year when we put a bunch of ships out at fantastic rates, it was sort of an easier decision because the nominal numbers in itself were so strong. So that was an easier decision. In this market, We're not so keen to fix our chips longer, so we've done some short-term charters, six months, nine months, up to 12 months. The premiums we've been able to achieve for those are way above the spot markets, but that's more so a short-term decision-making rather than saying we're going to make a specific return on investment.

speaker
spk07

All right. Very good. Thanks. That's all I had.

speaker
Svein

Thank you. And your next question comes from the line of Robert Silveira from Marine Survivors. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

speaker
Robert Silveira

Robert Silveira Thank you, Sven and Trigvi. I appreciate very much how you have given us a picture of the future. One thing you have not spoken about is what do you see with the low rate environment now for scrapping rates? and reduction of overall fleet?

speaker
DHT Co - CEO Svein Moxnes Harfjell

The scrapping prices have certainly moved up, but the key reason for that is the correlation to steel prices. So today it's in the very high 400s, maybe even above 500 for somewhat smaller tankers. So that's very healthy numbers indeed. But a lot of the old fleet is today engaged in trades that are sort of sensitive in nature, right, with the embargoed oil, etc., and they're getting paid quite handsomely to freight that oil as the oil is discounted, so the economics work for both the seller and the buyer of the oil. We think that if some of these sanctions are lifted, you would very likely then get a more normalized pricing dynamic on the oil side, and that means they cannot afford to pay these fantastic freights that these old ships need. So you would suddenly leave these old ships without employment to a large degree, and then the option would be to start the scrap. So it's a little bit hinged on whether these sanctions are being lifted or not, we think, at least in the short term.

speaker
Robert Silveira

So... Okay. Now, I'm looking at the reconciliation of adjusted net income chart where you... present shipping revenues and voyage expenses. And there's no direct correlation apparently between shipping revenues and voyage expenses. Um, for instance, quarter four, 2020 shipping revenues were about 91 million, but voyage expenses were down at 13 million. Then in quarter one, We went down to about $87 million on shipping revenues, but we went up over $2 million on voyage expenses. Can you give me some color on why that kind of relationship flips during this last two quarters?

speaker
Operator

Are you referring to the table that is on slide on page five?

speaker
Robert Silveira

Um, I don't know what page it's on there. I'm looking at it from the statement that you've made, you know, the press release and all the charts and things like that. Um, you know, it's, it's the, um, you go all the way to 2019, 2020, and then you break it down quarter by quarter in 2020. So you get to the last one, which is quarter one, 2021. And sometimes when sales go down, obviously voyage expenses have gone down too. And shipping revenues have gone down, but then another time shipping revenues have gone up or down rather, and expenses went up, which is kind of contrary from quarter to quarter. And I'm just wondering why that, that kind of relationship doesn't stay consistent, shipping revenues relationally to voyage expenses?

speaker
Operator

It depends on how many vessels we have on time shorter versus the spot market when it comes to voyage expenses. Shipping revenues is, of course, impacted by the market. The table is really a reconciliation of non-gap. and also a reconciliation of adjusted spot and time charter equivalent.

speaker
Laina

But the key point here is that when you put the ship out on time charter, we don't have any voyage-related expenses, so the charterer pays for all port fees and bunkers and so forth. But when you are in the spot market, we fit those bills ourselves. So that's the main driver for the sort of lack of harmony in the development of those numbers that you referred to.

speaker
Robert Silveira

Okay, so it's reflecting really how much you have in the spot market versus the charter market. Okay, that makes it understandable for me, and that's the variations. You mentioned before that you were amortizing these new ships over 20 years, even though they're already five years old. Are you amortizing them on a rate to go to zero or to an estimated scrap value at the end?

speaker
Operator

We're amortizing until a scrap value, but we're amortizing the vessels. As you mentioned, if we buy a five-year-old vessel, it's 15 years remaining life. So a total estimated life of 20 years, and then we amortize throughout the remaining life.

speaker
Robert Silveira

Down to zero value or down to an estimated scrap value?

speaker
Operator

Down to estimated scrap value.

speaker
Robert Silveira

Okay, good. Well, thank you. That's all I have. And I compliment you guys for your incredibly disciplined approach. I think you have proven over the years that you know what you're doing and you know how to read the cycles very well. And I am very contented. Our company is very contented shareholders. over the last six years. Thank you. Thank you very much.

speaker
Svein

Thank you. As a reminder, if you wish to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone. And if you should cancel your request, please press hash key. Once again, please press star 1 if you wish to ask a question. And your next question comes from the line of George Berman from Seattle Securities. Please ask your question.

speaker
George Berman

Good morning, gentlemen, and good afternoon. Thanks very much for taking my call.

speaker
DHT Co - CEO Svein Moxnes Harfjell

Good morning, Ron.

speaker
George Berman

Good afternoon. Congratulations. As all the other callers said, I think it's a very good quarter. I think you're one of the few companies that when you sell ships, you actually book a profit. I think that has to do with your amortization of 20 years versus I think the industry idea is about 25 years. So that looks very good. You had mentioned in your initial wording that you felt weights or prices for used or existing ships were a little high, new building out of the questions because of the higher steel prices. I'm wondering, with your very strong liquidity position, if one way to, I guess, indirectly acquire ships is if you were to go in and buy a slug of your stock back. It seems to me that you haven't gotten any accolades in the stock market in valuation for your shares. We issued additional shares last year through the conversion of the convertible preferred share or convertible debentures. And if you're looking, if you're faced with the question of am I going to pay too much for a used or new ship here versus essentially indirectly buying my own ships or buying my own stock at these very low levels. Does that make sense? Have you thought about it in this context?

speaker
DHT Co - CEO Svein Moxnes Harfjell

That's a good question. So we have that sort of tool in the toolbox, if you like. We've done this in the past, but the key to us in this is that there has to be a meaningful dislocation between our pricing in the stock market versus underlying values and where we are in the cycle. So last time we did this, there was a meaningful dislocation, so the stock market was trading horribly bad. And then we were sort of, at just the beginning, we saw a trajectory of a market improvement that were sort of closer in time, more certainty about it, and we decided to deploy some capital to buy back some stock. So we've done it in the past, so it's sort of, again, it's one tool in the toolbox, but it's not something we, typically say that is an alternative to necessarily buying ships, although logic, as you say, is sort of the same thing.

speaker
George Berman

Yeah. Okay. Well, I hope that we're going to see rates increase a little bit further here. We do feel that the oil market has been balancing quite well and the demand, at least for the regular gasoline, demand is higher and hopefully the airlines will follow. And we look forward to a more profitable future for all of us going forward. Thank you.

speaker
Laina

Thank you.

speaker
Svein

There are no further questions at this time. Please continue.

speaker
Laina

So we just want to say thank you to everyone for listening in and showing your interest in DHT. Thanks and have a good day, everyone.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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