8/4/2022

speaker
Operator

Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Doximity Fiscal 1 Q23 earnings call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star 1 on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, press star 1 again. As a reminder, today's call is being recorded. I will now hand today's call over to Doximity's Head of Investor Relations, Perry Gold.

speaker
Perry Gold

Please go ahead. Thank you, operator.

speaker
spk12

Hello and welcome to Doximity's fiscal 2023 first quarter earnings call. With me on the call today are Jeff Tangney, co-founder and CEO of Doximity, Dr. Nate Gross, co-founder and CSO, and Anna Bryson, CFO. A complete disclosure of our results can be found in our press release issued earlier today, as well as in our related form 8K, all of which are available on our website at investors.doximity.com.

speaker
Jeff Tangney

As a reminder,

speaker
spk12

Today's call is being recorded and a replay will be available on our website. As part of our comments today, we will be making forward-looking statements. These statements are based on management's current views, expectations, and assumptions and are subject to various risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially and we disclaim any obligation to update any forward-looking statements or outlook. Please refer to the risk factors in our annual report on Form 10-K and our other reports and filings with the SEC that may be filed from time to time. including our upcoming filing on Form 10-Q. Our forward-looking statements are based on assumptions that we believe to be reasonable as of today's date, August 4th, 2022. Of note, it is Doximity's policy to neither reiterate nor adjust the financial guidance provided on today's call, unless it is also done through a public disclosure, such as a press release or through the filing of a Form 8-K. Today, we will discuss certain non-GAAP metrics that we believe aid in the understanding of our financial results. Historical reconciliation to comparable gap metrics can be found in today's earnings release. Finally, during the call, we may offer incremental metrics to provide greater insights into the dynamics of our business. These details may be one time in nature, and we may or may not provide updates on those metrics in the future. I would now like to turn the call over to our CEO and co-founder, Jeff Tangney.

speaker
Jeff Tangney

Jeff? Thanks, Barry, and thank you, everyone, for joining our first quarter fiscal 2023 earnings call. We have four updates today, our Q1 financials, a guidance revision, our network growth, and a board transition. Okay, I'll start with the good news. Our Q1 financials were strong. We delivered a 2% beat on our revenue guidance to $90.6 million and a 15% beat on our EBITDA guidance. Our free cash flows were nearly half our revenue at $43 million. We completed 25 client ROI studies in the quarter, and our median return remains well above the 10 to one that we reported in our S1. Our physician engagement also hit new record highs, but more on that in a minute. Looking ahead to Q2, we're guiding to 26% year on year growth and our first $100 million revenue quarter with a 41% EBITDA margin. Okay, now for the not so good news. Our historically stable upsell rate among our pharmaceutical clients which accounts for 10 to 15% of our annual revenue, has slowed year-to-date. These upsells boost the results of our base subscription programs by adding interactivity, personalization, or more audience. Our formulary upsell module, for example, parses reams of insurer data for each doctor to show them which drugs offer the best co-pays for their particular patients. Doctors appreciate the clarity and personalization of our format. Clients appreciate that thousands of doctors now know that their drug is on formulary. and it only takes a few hundred new patients to pay for the program, so the ROI is very high. Our conference upsell module shows each doctor who signed up to go to a medical conference a list of who they know who's also going. Doctors like our one-click interface to meet up with old friends or coworkers, and clients love that our default meetup spot is their booth, which they probably spent millions of dollars on. Well, despite being steady sellers in the past, these modules haven't done as well this year. we've realized that as a mid-year add-on, they're more discretionary and vulnerable to budget shifts. The net result of this upsell slowdown is that today we are lowering both our annual revenue and EBITDA guidance by 6% to a midpoint of $428 million in fiscal 2023 revenue and $182 million in EBITDA. Our revised guidance equates to 25% year-on-year growth with a 43% EBITDA margin. A couple of comments as we reset expectations here. First, lowering guidance is not something we take lightly. While Q1 is seasonally our smallest quarter, and there's still a lot of runway left in the year, we want to be transparent about our current pace. By prime budget season this winter, we hope to remedy this. I am personally shifting my focus from our EHR integrations to our pharma products and partnerships starting this quarter. Second, we believe this is transitory and that our higher growth rates will return. The iShares US pharmaceuticals ETF is down about 5% for the year, but our clients and industry revenue and profits remain strong. When macro belt tightening does hit, like Novartis' decision this quarter to cut 8,000 people and a billion dollars per year in expenses, It's quickest and easiest for them to simply hit pause on new digital projects. But this digital air pocket is short term in our view. Pharma marketers get weekly reports on their sales and their results. And we believe that over time, they will continue to invest where they see the best ROI for their brands, which is with us. Okay. Next, I'd like to speak to our network growth and what we're seeing now that we've had a full quarter of new normal in the U.S., that is, no major pandemic lockdowns or outbreaks. In a word, the new medical normal is hybrid. Our data shows that doctors, just like the rest of us, are not just reverting back to their pre-pandemic work schedules. Rather, they've evolved a new, more mobile hybrid schedule. Doctors are following up with patients from their offices and their living rooms, calling them with lab results or prescription renewals, and they're billing for Everyone is happier for this, especially the patients, who save hours of drive time and wait room time for what is essentially a 10-minute visit. We completed over 200,000 patient calls per workday last quarter. Our daily trends were surprisingly consistent and slightly upward throughout the quarter. In high prescribing chronic care specialties like oncology and endocrinology, we're seeing more and more patient follow-up visits get moved to virtual. So among our Main Street hospital and clinic clients, the first visit may still be live, but the follow-up visits are increasingly virtual. Which brings me to my favorite stat of this call. We hit a new all-time high last week of over 360,000 unique physicians, NPs, and PAs who use Doximity Dialer on a rolling quarterly basis. With hundreds of health systems now under contract, over a third of all U.S. physicians are subscribed to our paid dialer enterprise service. And our footprint continues to grow as we just signed our largest non-government client yet, one of the largest hospital groups in the United States. Now, for those of you who don't know, the idea behind Doximity Dialer is pretty simple. We let doctors call patients from their cell phones while protecting the privacy of their personal number. If the patient answers on a smartphone, which most do, The doctor can then text the patient a link to seamlessly transition to a video call. But while the idea is simple, the technology is pretty tricky to make work across all the phones, browsers, carriers, and new FCC rules. Our scale and technology are key advantages here, earning us the vaunted number one best in class ranking for video conferencing platforms this year. Our other key advantage is the network effect of each doctor and department personalizing and then sharing their dialer setups uploading their video backgrounds logos routing all their callback numbers created branded caller ids integrating with their ehrs and so on suffice it to say with over 360 000 active users doing 200 000 calls per workday last quarter we believe doximity dialer has replaced the hospital handset to become the new gold standard for medical telephony. And we will continue to lean into its network growth. That all said, our app isn't just for calling patients. It's for faxes, schedules, and news, too. Our mobile fax service is the closest thing doctors have to a HIPAA-secured DocuSign. It CCs their electronic health record and gets the prior auth signed, so the patient can get their meds. Last quarter, we did 30,000 faxes and e-signatures per workday, more than double our pre-pandemic levels. Our Am I On scheduling app mobilizes that printed on call sheet at the nurse's station, so doctors can quickly call the right specialist to ask a question. The acquisition, which we closed in April, is months ahead of our integration plan, and 15% of its approximately 200,000 physician schedule users have already been converted to our new scheduling platform. Our newsfeed algorithms analyze nearly 200,000 clinical articles per week to find the most relevant news for each individual doctor based on their subspecialties, procedures, colleagues, and years of their personalized reading history. Our app has over 130,000 reviews and is one of the highest rated medical apps at 4.8 stars. If you'd like to read for yourself, just search for Doximity App Store. We don't cede or pay for any of the reviews. They're all real physicians saying things like, this app changed my professional life. At Doximity, our vision is to be the physician cloud, the go-to app for hybrid mobile medical work. The pandemic forced many docs to shift to the cloud, but this last quarter's new normal has shown us that they're here to stay. Across all these uses, our mobile app unique weekly active users grew last quarter to five times the level we had just four years ago. We believe the sustained level of day-to-day engagement and utility will stand out this budget season when compared to our more Yahoo-esque competitors. Now that the pandemic dust is settling, we see an opportunity to be more strategic with our pharmaceutical partners. Yes, reps are able to see about half of U.S. doctors live again, but the frequency of their visits has declined, and the need to prearrange meetings has increased. We'd like to build new digital workflows that make it easier for both physicians and industry to collaborate. And like everything we'll do, we'll build this with a physicians-first mindset. so we make good use of our busy members' time. Today, our pharmaceutical clients spend less than 5% of their medical professional marketing budgets with us. With over 80% of US physicians as members, we aspire to someday be on par with the pharmaceutical sales forces in terms of our access, trust, and interactivity with doctors. We believe this industry is in the early innings of a decade-long shift

speaker
Perry Gold

to digital. Okay, to close, we have a board transition.

speaker
Jeff Tangney

Dr. Gil Kleiman, a mentor of mine and early investor, is retiring from our board of directors and joining our advisory board. Fun fact, Gil came up with the names for both Hippocrates and Doximity. His wit and wisdom will be missed. Gil will be replaced on our board of directors by Phoebe Yang, who brings a wealth of healthcare tech experience in her roles as general manager of Amazon Web Services Health Business, a chief strategy officer at Ascension, and leader of a White House task force on health IT. She served on the Common Spirit Health and Providence Health Boards, in addition to being an appointee in two presidential administrations. Fierce Healthcare voted her one of healthcare's top 10 women of influence, and we're delighted to have Phoebe join our board. And with that, I'll hand it over to Anna to discuss our financials and revised guidance. Anna?

speaker
Gil Kleiman

Thanks, Jeff, and thanks to everyone on the call today. As we continue to grow our network footprint, we're excited to have delivered another strong quarter of ROI for our customers. I'll begin with our Q1 financial results and then move on to our revised guidance. First quarter revenue grew 25% year over year to $90.6 million, exceeding the high end of our guidance range. Similar to prior quarters, our existing customers continue to lead our growth. Our net revenue retention rate was 139% in Q1 on a trailing 12-month basis. Additionally, our largest customers are still growing the fastest with a 145% net revenue retention rate for our top 20. We ended the quarter with 273 customers contributing at least $100,000 each in subscription-based revenue on a trailing 12-month basis. This is a 22% increase from the 224 customers we had in this cohort a year ago. This cohort of customers accounted for 87% of our total revenue. Turning to our profitability, non-GAAP gross margin in the first quarter was 88% versus 89% in the prior year period. Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter was $33.5 million and adjusted EBITDA margin was 37%, compared to $31.2 million and a 43% margin in the prior year period. When considering the year-over-year change in margin, as a reminder, our Q1 of last year was atypically high, given revenue growth of 100% year-over-year in that quarter. Historically, Q1 has always been our lightest quarter from a margin perspective. given annual raises, front-loaded hiring, and team meetings. And we are seeing a return to that normal cadence in our financials. Now, turning to our balance sheet, cash flow, and an update on our share repurchase program. We ended the quarter with $776.3 million of cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities. We generated free cash flow in the first quarter of $42.6 million, compared to 32.4 million in the prior year period, an increase of 31% year over year. Through June 30th, we were purchased $8.9 million worth of common stock at an average price of $32.40. Now, moving on to our outlook. For the second fiscal quarter of 2023, we expect revenue in the range of 99.5 to 100.5 million. representing 26% growth at the midpoint. And we expect adjusted EBITDA in the range of 40 to 41 million, representing a 41% adjusted EBITDA margin. For the full fiscal year, we are revising our revenue guidance to 424 to 432 million, representing 25% growth at the midpoint. In addition, we are revising our adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of 178 to 186 million, representing a 43% adjusted EBITDA margin. While our pharma customers are exhibiting financial strength and remain recession resilient, the uncertain economic climate has prompted some slowdowns in decision making. As a reminder, our pharma customers typically engage in an annual upfront buying cycle at calendar year end when they purchase the majority of their next year's marketing programs. Then, throughout the course of the year, our customers add on to these subscriptions via additional modules or increased audience sizes. During the annual buying cycle for calendar year 2022, our customers purchased Doximity subscriptions at record scale. This included signing not only our first, but our first four $5 million plus brand programs. With the evolving market landscape, which has impacted discretionary marketing spend, our customers are adding on to these large-scale programs at a slower pace than we initially expected at this point in the fiscal year. To help quantify this adjustment, as we mentioned on our last earnings call, we began the fiscal year with approximately 60% of our initial subscription-based guidance under contract. We then typically expect another 35% to come from renewals and upsells and 5% to come from truly new customers. Our renewal and new business rates remain strong, but the upsell component, which was north of 10% of our initial subscription-based guidance and highly dependent on mid-year program expansions, is tracking below our original plan. When we first gave guidance roughly 90 days ago, we underestimated our pharma clients' reaction to the uncertain macro environment and the impact it could have on our mid-year add-ons. Looking ahead, we believe these are near-term challenges. and the high ROI we deliver becomes even more attractive in an efficiency-focused environment. Initial conversations leading into this year's annual buying cycle echo this sentiment. Doximity provides our customers with a critical vehicle for physician engagement, and we are uniquely positioned to drive strong returns as a marketing partner for the long term. With regards to our adjusted EBITDA outlook, we are encouraged that we are able to maintain our original adjusted EBITDA margin target of 43% despite lower than expected revenue. The strength of our operating model affords us the ability to continue to strategically invest in growth without sacrificing much leverage. In sum, while we are disappointed by the need to update our guidance, our opportunity for long-term growth remains significant. Doximity is differentiated by the breadth and depth of our platform, and we believe our customers will continue to lean into our strong ROI offerings as they expand their digital footprints and further optimize their marketing strategies. With that, I will turn it over to the operator for questions.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. At this time, if you'd like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. We do have 30 minutes for the Q and A session.

speaker
Perry Gold

Please pause for your first question. Your first question is from the line of Ryan Daniels with William Blair.

speaker
William Blair

Yeah guys, thanks for taking the question. Just in regards to some of the weakness on the upsell modules, can you speak a little bit to the ROI specifically of those? And I'm curious if it's lower than some of the other

speaker
Jeff Tangney

areas you know again if they were just as high i would think the pharma would still be focusing on that even if there's uncertainty in the macro environment thank you ryan good to hear from you this is jeff it is more difficult to measure the roi of some of these add-on modules so take the conference module we spoke to for example you know a conference happens once or twice a year and to see the share lift isn't as easy to measure as over a six- or 12-month program as we typically do. So it is a little more difficult to measure the ROI. That said, we have measured it with a number of our programs, and we do have excellent ROI there. As we shared in the script, letting a doctor know that your product is covered by formula makes a big deal, and it obviously is much more personalized, a message that that can resonate for their particular patients. So bottom line, we think overall with our overall usage of our mobile app up five times to hundreds of thousands of doctors a week, we're going to continue to show high ROI for our clients. But as I said, it was a bit of a surprise to us that the steady upsell rate we had had on some of these modules was a little more difficult this past quarter. As we look back on it, we looked at our client and our industry revenue forecasts, and we thought they would be largely unaffected by the macro pressures. And I think what we've learned here is we're not immune from those macro pressures, but we are fully vaxxed in the sense that it's a 6% hit for us. And what we're seeing is there is this macro belt-tipening psychology that happens even if the client's actual financials aren't changing that much. And so the most discretionary marketing spend, which really are these add-ons that we do throughout the year, has been hit more than we expected.

speaker
William Blair

Okay, I appreciate that. And I realize it's not a huge reduction in numbers, but it will be a focus. So I'm curious if you can change entry year your internal sales focus. I know you mentioned specifically you'll be more focused internally. on selling efforts, but can you switch towards more of the co-programs, core programs, or even more novel program initiatives that might be more discretionary to try to make up some of that ground, or is it just too late in the year to do that? Thanks.

speaker
Jeff Tangney

Thanks, Ryan. Good question. Well, I'm certainly shifting my focus here, as I mentioned in the script. And as I get out and talk to folks, I do think we have an opportunity here to expand what we do. Probably the brightest spot I see is within our telehealth, within our dialer product, which the core product focus on that has been 100% physicians first about serving our doctors. And that has grown us to 360,000 unique users doing 200,000 calls per workday last quarter. So we're really becoming that gold standard for medical telephony. But This last quarter, we did start testing monetizing within our telehealth product within Dialer. And actually, it went quite well. I think we've got a real winner here for our budget season. So we're going to get out and start talking to clients about that now. And the good news is we already have some models in place with our up-to-date patient education modules, really showing that providing clinical information both during and after a telehealth visit is a win-win for the doctor and for industry. So I see some real opportunities for us here to meaningfully grow beyond these add-on modules, even within the year.

speaker
Perry Gold

Your next question is from a line of Scott Bird with Needham.

speaker
Scott Bird

Hi, everyone. Thanks for taking my questions here. I got a couple items. I guess let's start off with... These mid-year programs certainly understand the commentary, Jeff, but how do we think about how the mid-year programs affect how your customers make those beginning-of-year purchases for the following year? Are the middle-of-the-year purchases kind of like a step-up effect where that's where they usually start the purchasing for the next year before adding more, or does the addition of the mid-year programs during the middle of the year not really influence how they might think about beginning-of-the-year purchases, say, for next year?

speaker
Jeff Tangney

Thanks, Scott. Yeah, Jeff here. I'll take this one, too. So first I'll say our clients have long memories, and summertime bargains can come back to haunt you in the prime winter season. So our approach with regard to pricing is to steadily increase price each quarter to provide consistency for our long-term partners. So I can tell you that this last quarter we raised our prices 11% on average.

speaker
Scott

And you're correct that mid-year prices

speaker
Jeff Tangney

price points that does come back to end of year. Now I'm not certain all of our competition is doing that given everything that's happening in the cookie and retargeting world with, you know, Google granting another 12 months of reprieve. So they've got 17 months left of third party cookies. And of course most doctors use Apple and that's been changed since early this year. But we really do take a very long-term partnership-focused view with these top 20 pharmaceutical companies and other clients. And I think we look at the mid-year as the time to execute well in the programs we're doing with them so we can build to that next year's bigger program based on the ROI we've delivered.

speaker
Scott Bird

Got it. Helpful, Jeff. And then from a follow-up perspective, probably for Ana, as we think about kind of leverage and pushes and pulls in the model, With flowing revenue growth rate, should we assume that over time here we should see some incremental leverage in adjusted EBITDA margins or this kind of low to mid-40s range is the peak? Thank you.

speaker
Gil Kleiman

Sure. It's a great question, Scott. So, yeah, this near-term belt tightening of our customers really hasn't impacted the way we think about our investments as a business for long-term growth. Like, we really strongly believe in the opportunity ahead of us, and we're going to continue to strategically invest specifically in the areas of R&D and sales and marketing. Now, you know, that said, like most other companies in an environment like this, there's definitely some areas where we're sharpening our pencils, such as G&A, for example. And that's definitely helping us maintain our original 43% initial margin guide and Our long-term operating model of 40% plus adjusted EBITDA margins still remains entirely intact.

speaker
Perry Gold

Your next question is from a line of Richard Close from Canaccord.

speaker
Richard Close

Yeah, thanks for the questions. I'm curious on the 60% under contract that you referenced in the last call and then again here. um are customers able to cancel business that they signed up for at the beginning of the year um so let's say you know economic uh environment uh further deteriorates are they able to cut that out um at all as you progress through this year sure richard i'll take that one so

speaker
Gil Kleiman

Yes, we do see a small amount of cancellations each year. We're very focused on customer success, so we are flexible with our clients. Typically, it's to the tune of a very low single-digit percent of our sales, and that has not changed recently. So I want to be very clear that there have been no material changes in our cancellation rates. Our customers' programs for the year remain intact, and what really has changed It's just that they're not adding on to those programs at the same rate that we've historically seen. And that's really the key reason that's led us to adjust our fiscal year guidance. So there's no change in our cancellation rate.

speaker
Richard Close

Okay, that's great. And just to be clear on the guidance change, is it just these two offerings that you guys are referencing tonight? Or is there anything else in there that, you know, has changed significantly or somewhat?

speaker
Gil Kleiman

Yeah, sure, I'll take that one as well, Richard. It's mostly the add-on modules that Jeff referenced, but the other piece is audience members. So last year we saw a lot of expansion at this point in audience members. That's another way that our customers typically will add on to their programs mid-year, and we're just not seeing that at the same pace this year that we expected.

speaker
Perry Gold

Okay, thank you. Your next question is from the line, Brian Peterson with Raymond James.

speaker
Scott

Either Jeff or Anna, you know, in the pace of the move to digital, I guess we've seen some changes over the last few years, but, you know, how certain are some of your customers on the pace of that, right? Because I guess we could see some cyclical adjustments here and you know, the pace changes, but is there still a broader move towards digital over the next two to three years? And what has the customer conversations done, like maybe over the last few quarters to maybe update that for us? Thanks.

speaker
Gil Kleiman

Sure. I'll take that one, Brian. Yeah. Listen, our customers are still absolutely committed to continuing to lean into digital and, What we've witnessed over the past few years is our customers might have been spending about 17% of their pre-pandemic budgets digitally. Now it's closer to 25% to 30%. And we see that going to 50% in the next five to 10 years. This near-term air pocket has not changed the strategic direction of how our clients think about digital. They've had two years to witness really strong ROI. And back to the point I made in my prepared remarks, we think in an environment where our customers are sharpening their pencils and becoming more efficiency-focused, the high ROI channels, such as Doximity and such as digital, will be what wins in the long term. So we believe digital will continue to gain share here, and this has not changed that.

speaker
Perry Gold

Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Your next question is from the line of Stephanie Davis with SBB Securities.

speaker
Stephanie Davis

Hey guys, thank you for taking my question. Anna, first one's for you. The new 2023 range implies a relatively stable growth rate throughout the year. So first off, does that imply we're kind of at the bottom for any reopened headwinds to pharma brand manager attention? And secondly, as we look to 2024 and beyond, should we think of this mid-20s rate as a stable run rate or is this more of a jumping point?

speaker
Gil Kleiman

Sure. I'll start with your second question first, actually, and then go back to your first. But short answer on your first is yes, we certainly feel very, very comfortable with this new range now and what the step-ups look like quarter over quarter from a revenue perspective. But as we look ahead to fiscal 2024 and beyond, While we're not giving guidance there yet, we believe there's a lot of reasons for us to be optimistic here. Now, as Jeff called out, our network engagement and footprint remains as strong as ever. And in that same vein, our ROI remains as strong as ever. And as I just mentioned with Brian's question, in an efficiency-focused environment, once we get past this temporary wait-and-see period, we believe our customers will make their decisions based on ROI. And then the final point I'll make that I want to kind of circle back to, it's something we've talked about before, is we have a significant amount of white space ahead of us. We mentioned on our last earnings call that we work with just over half of the growing number of mega brands. So just over half of the number of mega brands, which is a pie that's growing. And we believe our offerings are really incredibly attractive to continue signing those new brands over time. So we're very bullish on the long-term growth potential of our business. And so while we're not updating the guidance for fiscal 24 and beyond in specific numbers, I can just say we're very optimistic about that.

speaker
Stephanie Davis

So for a follow-up, I'd actually like to dig a little bit more into that number of brands question. How much of your growth is from existing brands or neighboring brands of pharma companies you already work with versus how much of it is really reliant on new brand launches throughout the year? Just a general range for that, if you think about the full-year growth.

speaker
Gil Kleiman

Sure. The majority of our growth is coming from our existing brands and continuing to grow within those brands by proving ROI and I'm selling additional modules in their annual buying cycle timeframe and growing there. Now, the cross-sell motion is a significant part of our growth, but we're not dependent on that pie growing necessarily over time, given the fact that we have this 50% plus white space in that I think there's north of 400 mega brands. we already have 50% plus of that that we've signed, and then we have another, say, 180 brands that we can go after there. So our growth isn't necessarily dependent on that. It's more dependent on those existing brands, but we view those new brands as additional, really, it's upside for us.

speaker
Stephanie Davis

Got it. There's some types of drug approvals, but not as much as we may think. Correct.

speaker
Perry Gold

That is helpful. Thank you, Anna.

speaker
Operator

Your next question is from the line of Sandy Draper for Guggenheim.

speaker
Sandy

Thanks so much. First, just maybe a follow-up on that. Make sure I heard it right. Anna, so when we think about the pacing of revenue and seasonality, obviously back in 2020, lots of stuff was thrown off because of COVID. We had the typical more strong fourth quarter, December quarter. Are you still, even though there's not as much upsell, Still expecting the December quarter to be the strongest revenue quarter and then a step down, or I wasn't clear about the messaging there. Thanks.

speaker
Gil Kleiman

Yeah, sure, Sandy. That's a great question. So I'll just start by saying what we saw in our business last year we believe was an anomaly. There's a significant acceleration demand, and we saw a large amount of mid-year and year-end add-ons. As we're seeing less upsell activity than expected this year, and our customers are focusing more on their core annual buying cycle, we believe we'll see a Q3 that is not as large of a step up as we did last year, and a Q4 that is a little more in line with what we have seen in pre-pandemic years, such as fiscal 2019 and fiscal 20. So we'll likely see a slight step up if we kick off our large annual programs there, just due to the fact that Q3 won't be that big boost that we saw last year, because last year was such an anomaly for us.

speaker
Sandy

Okay, great. That's really helpful. That clears it up. And then my follow-up question around the scheduling product, I wasn't clear, is that, and I apologize if I've missed something, is that ability for salespeople to schedule time with doctors, is that currently in the market something you're talking about? And I know you probably don't want to give an exact launch date, but if it's not, what's the expected timing and how would you think about

speaker
Jeff Tangney

pricing that would that be priced on like a every time we can schedule a a farmer up to get in we get paid or basically a license i'm just trying to understand how that model would work thanks oh thanks andy this is jeff i'll speak to the scheduling part so the scheduling that we provide today is actually doctor to doctor so it's their actual shift schedule who's on call they call it uh for each hospital so each hospital We'll need to have a cardiologist on call at all times, obstetrician, an oncologist, so on and so on. And so that schedule is 24-7, and those doctors need to be on call for that night or weekend. And again, our app makes it easy for them to host all those schedules in one place instead of having it printed out at some nurse station, which is how it's mostly done today. And that app has 200,000 physician schedules on it, so it's a very high-use thing. Now, that said, I do want to turn it over to Nate here to talk a bit, though, about the rep scheduling part, because I think a lot's changed in the industry. And Nate, as a physician, is very close to this. So, Dr. Nate.

speaker
jeff

Thanks, Jeff. And great to hear from you, Sandy. So let me refer back to a prior earnings call where we discussed how only 10 percent of of U.S. physicians want to return to the pre-pandemic methods of marketing as measured by an Accenture study. Doors were already being closed to reps long before the pandemic. Actually, back in 2008, roughly a quarter or so of all U.S. oncologists were what the industry terms a no-C doctor. And today, that's grown to nearly four out of five oncologists as no-C. And across physicians, closer to the half to three out of five range are no-C per Z associates. Those trends are largely irreversible. There's this new generational shift of airborne illness, risk, discomfort, and shared medical spaces. It's a world now where only one parent is able to go into a visit with a pediatric patient. So you can imagine that a rep in a suit who isn't there for clinical care just isn't allowed to hang out in the waiting room. So overall, access is going down as a decade-long trend, and frequency of rep visits is also going down now from, for example, every month to every quarter, and that includes virtual visits like phone calls. So the future of this interaction, these aren't office-centric anymore. Interactions are on the doctor's preference of timing and modality, and technology is needed that we see a future for that could help the industry adapt.

speaker
Perry Gold

Great, thanks so much.

speaker
Operator

Your next question is from the line of Jessica Tassin with Piper Sandler.

speaker
Jessica Tassin

Hi, thank you so much for taking the questions. So I just wanted to go back to a prior response. I think, Jeff, you mentioned network activity being as strong as ever, but I think there was a reference also to just audience expansion observed during the course of last fiscal year. and not necessarily repeated this year. Can you just elaborate a little bit on what that is?

speaker
Perry Gold

Sure, Jessica. This is Jeff.

speaker
Jeff Tangney

Yeah. So listen, our engagement has never been higher, as I said, hundreds of thousands of doctors every week in our app, five times what it was four years ago. The audience expansion, I think, is more from the client side. And so we did, Annie used the word, I think, pull forward back two quarters ago on an earnings call. We just saw a lot of of upsells and add-ons where clients were deciding that they wanted to add more doctors to their programs because they were going so well. So we're not expecting as much of that this year, but we did see a lot of it last year. And that's what led to, I think, the slightly different seasonality last year that we're not expecting again this year.

speaker
Jessica Tassin

Okay, understood. And so does that have anything to do with just kind of the level or the number of doctors seeing a particular advertisement or piece of copy relative to last year? Just there being more eyeballs available to you all? Or, yeah, how should we think about just the audience in terms of doctors would be helpful.

speaker
Jeff Tangney

I mean, our audience has gone crazy. you know, up. So that's not the reason at all. No, it's really, you know, pharma companies had, you know, end-of-year sweep budgets. They want to do more. So, you know, we had the audience back then. We have even more audience today. It wasn't a matter of our audience is being constrained now. Our audience is bigger today than it's ever been. As I just shared, you know, we had a record high number of telehealth users, dialer users just this last quarter. So that's not the issue.

speaker
Jessica Tassin

Okay, that's helpful. And then just at the midpoint of revised guidance, can you help us understand how much of that revenue is booked today or, you know, as of the end of 1Q? And that's it for me, thanks.

speaker
Gil Kleiman

Sure, Jess. I'll do the bridge on that one. So, as of now, we've got roughly three-quarters of our updated subscription-based guidance that is booked. So, it's launched or contracted. And it's actually pretty similar to what we've seen in pre-pandemic years at this point. And then if we're breaking down that remaining one quarter, we're expecting the majority of that to come from our annual renewal cycle, which occurs in our fiscal Q3. And then we're expecting less than 10% to come from new business and upsells that will mostly occur this quarter. So once again, the upsells have always been slightly more discretionary for us, but our tried and true annual programs that are deeply ingrained in our customers' marketing strategies and really deliver incredible results. for them seem to be very, very positive as far as we kick off this annual renewal cycle.

speaker
Jessica Tassin

Got it. Thank you so much.

speaker
Operator

Your next question is from the line of Alan Lutz with Bank of America.

speaker
Alan Lutz

Thanks for taking the questions. Jeff, you mentioned that certain upsells are being viewed more as discretionary, but I guess are you also seeing that maybe there was a bit of over-indexing to Doximity in 2021? in 2021 where you were taking just a ton of share and maybe that this is just a reset year? Is that something that you're seeing at all?

speaker
Jeff Tangney

Well, I'll say a couple things, Alan. First of all, yes, we did grow 78%, 66% the last two years. So those are tough comps, no doubt about it. I would say one bright spot that we've seen from this past quarter that we haven't mentioned yet was our hospital referral marketing business. which grew faster than it ever did. And it's interesting, the decision makers on that business, it's a much smaller business, but the decision makers on it are the doctors themselves, like the chairs of neurosurgery who want more neurosurgical referrals. And they see firsthand how Doxivity has grown during the pandemic. And they're moving their marketing dollars to us. And we believe that over time, that where the doctors go, pharma will follow. And I do think that there's this interesting disconnect that's happened because pharma is usually very in tune with its customers. They do all sorts of focus groups and industry meetups and everything else, but it just hasn't happened really for a couple of years. So again, we think that the bellwether here is more this chair of neurosurgery client who really knows, again, how we've really leapfrogged ahead in terms of our day-to-day usage during the pandemic.

speaker
Alan Lutz

Great. And then the dialer number was really strong. You know, I know it's early since your last update, but is there any update to what type of revenue that could contribute over time? Thanks.

speaker
Jeff Tangney

Well, I'm not going to put a numbering out for right now, but again, it's, we have not been focused on monetization with this product. We've been focused on growth and we've grown quite well, 360,000 unique users making 200,000 calls per workday last quarter. And our integrations with the EHRs get better. The product just gets better and better, helping doctors with their caller IDs. So, you know, it appears as, you know, Dr. Smith when they call their patient, so they get higher pickup rates. There's just a lot we're doing here that is just, I think, super important and, frankly, a little bit, maybe boring or backwards looking technology wise, but you got to be backwards compatible in medicine to do well. And that's why we invest so much time in fax technology so they can fax the pharmacies and so forth. So bottom line, we see a really big opportunity with these 200,000 calls we're doing per day. And I think as we've tested this past quarter, I think there's a lot of opportunity there to really

speaker
Perry Gold

grow our future revenue. Great. Thank you. Your next question is from the line of Ricky Goldswall with Morgan Stanley.

speaker
Ricky Goldswall

Again, back with Morgan Stanley. Thanks. Just a question on the campaigns. I know last year you guys kind of accelerated at least the pace of campaigns, and that was a nice tailwind Anything in the marketplace today in terms of the timing and how quickly customers are looking to kind of ramp?

speaker
Gil Kleiman

Hey, Craig. Yeah, that's a great question. So we have talked a lot about launches in the past, and we've continued to get more efficient on our launches. Actually, when we last spoke in May at our last earnings call, We talked a little bit about April being a slower month for us from a launch perspective as our clients were really getting together live with each other for the first time in two years. But since then, launches have picked up really well for us in May and June, and that reacceleration of launches was actually the main reason behind our top-line beat for the quarter. So we've invested heavily in customer success, and our customer success team continues to operate with very high efficiency. And then on top of that, our clients are also exhibiting a strong desire to get these ROI generating programs live. So our launches remain totally on track. It's not slightly ahead of our initial assumed pace.

speaker
Ricky Goldswall

It's helpful, Colleen. If I could ask just a quick follow-up for Jeff. Last quarter, you talked about kind of the opportunity set in mid-sized companies, and Biohaven was an example, just looking for what type of traction you're seeing there and the opportunity set more broadly for those type of customers.

speaker
Jeff Tangney

No, thanks, Craig. Yeah, things continue to go well with Biohaven specifically. In fact, we're live in market now with our peer-to-peer product with them. That's going really well. So excited to continue to work with them. And mid-tier in general did do better for us this past quarter. Again, I think they maybe have fewer macro changes that they're relating to, but in general did a little better for us than our top 20. But as I said, the real bright spot this past quarter is actually our hospital marketers who, again, I think are a little closer to what the new normal is with doctors.

speaker
Perry Gold

Got it. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. I will now hand today's call back over to CEO of Doximity, Jeff Tegney.

speaker
Jeff Tangney

Okay, well, I'd like to just end again by thanking our physician members, our clients, and the entire Doximity team. And thank you, everyone, for joining. Bye now.

speaker
Operator

This concludes today's call. Thank you for joining. You may now disconnect your lines.

Disclaimer

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