7/28/2026

speaker
Lacey
Conference Operator

Hello and thank you for standing by. My name is Lacey and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the DTE Energy Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, press star one again. Thank you. I would now like to turn the call over to Matt Kropinski, Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

speaker
Matt Kropinski
Director of Investor Relations

Thank you and good morning, everyone. Before we get started, I'd like to remind you to read the safe harbor statement on page two of the presentation, including the reference to forward-looking statements. Our presentation also includes references to operating earnings, which is a non-GAAP financial measure. Please refer to the reconciliation of GAAP earnings to operating earnings provided in the appendix. With us this morning are Joi Harris, President and CEO, and Dave Ruud, CFO. And now I'll turn it over to Joi to start our call this morning.

speaker
Joi Harris
President and CEO

Thanks, Matt, and good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us. I'm happy to be with you today. As we move through the year, our team continues to execute at a high level, delivering strong results for our customers, communities, and investors. Our performance reflects a highly engaged organization with a clear focus on operational excellence and doing what's right for our customers. I'm extremely proud that our team was recognized by the Gallup organization for the 14th consecutive year with a great workplace award and our employee engagement ranks in the 94th percentile globally among thousands of organizations. We are continuing to advance our customer focused capital plan with targeted investments that are strengthening the grid and improving reliability. Importantly, We remain disciplined in how we deploy capital, ensuring that these investments deliver the greatest benefit while maintaining affordability for our customers. I'm sure you are aware, at the start of July, a severe, fast-moving storm impacted nearly 400,000 customers. Despite extensive storm forecasting and preparedness efforts, weather models did not anticipate the storm's severity, and it developed rapidly with little advance warning. causing significant and widespread damage across the service territory, including more than 600 broken poles and substantial damage driven by trees outside of the utility maintained right of way. With storms impacting much of the Midwest, we brought in crews from as far as Oklahoma and Texas to support restoration efforts. And I'd like to take a moment to express my immense gratitude to those crews, the contractors, and our employees across DTE who stepped up and worked long hours away from their families over the holiday weekend. Given the storm's unexpected severity and widespread damage across the Midwest, our restoration times extended beyond what we would typically target. However, our crews adjusted quickly and executed our restoration plan to support customers as safely and as quickly as possible. Importantly, areas where we have completed substantial reliability investments performed significantly better, reinforcing the value of continued grid investment and operational excellence. While our investments are delivering measurable results, we recognize there is more work to do. After every major storm, we review our performance to identify lessons learned and strengthen preparedness and restoration capabilities and customer communication. to ensure we continue to build a stronger, more resilient grid for our customers. Turning to data centers, momentum remains strong as we continue to execute across our development pipeline. The 1.4 gigawatt Oracle data center remains on track, fully approved and under construction. As we highlighted last quarter, we executed an agreement with Google to serve a one gigawatt data center. which provides upside to our current long-term plan. The contract has been submitted to the NPSC and is progressing through the approval process. Beyond these two projects, our pipeline continues to advance with ongoing discussions that position us well for future growth. As these projects move forward, they will deliver meaningful affordability benefits for our existing customers, absorbing a significant portion of fixed system costs. Our regulatory strategy is focused on delivering value while providing clear visibility for customers. We have several filings underway or plans. In addition to the Google data center contract pending approval, we are advancing both electric and gas rate cases to support critical customer focused investments. We filed our distribution system plan in April, outlining our five year roadmap to reliability and grid modernization. We also plan to file our next IRP later this quarter, which will provide a clear path to meet long-term generation and capacity needs. Our year-to-date earnings performance keeps us on track to reach the high end of our operating EPS guidance this year, and we are confident in our long-term operating EPS growth rate target of 6% to 8% through 2030. We continue to see a clear path to achieving the high end of our guidance range each year, driven by R&D tax credits and the flexibility they provide. As we have mentioned, the Google Data Center project and other data center opportunities provide upside to this plan. Let me move to slide five to highlight our continued commitment to improve reliability for our customers. We remain highly committed to our efforts to improve reliability for our customers. As I mentioned, the July storm highlighted both the value of our reliability investments and the work that remains. During the event, we found that upgraded portions of the system proved more resilient, reinforcing the importance of continued investment and identifying opportunities to further strengthen our response. Let me move through how we're approaching reliability improvement across the system. As you can see from this slide, our strategy is grounded in four core pillars, each focused on reducing outage frequency and duration, as well as improving overall performance. First on technology and innovation, we're continuing to expand automation across the system. In 2025, we installed over 700 automated devices, which was about 20% over plan. and we are planning to deploy more than 500 additional devices in 2026. This work is foundational to fully automating the distribution system by the end of the decade. Second is infrastructure resilience and hardening. We're strengthening the physical system to make it more resilient to everyday wear and increasingly extreme weather. In 2025, we completed over 200 miles of targeted hardening work along with nearly 1,000 miles of pull-top maintenance. We're ramping up this effort with plans to reach roughly 1,700 miles of maintenance work in 2026. Third is infrastructure redesign and modernization, where we're upgrading legacy portions of the grid to improve overall system performance. In 2025, we converted over 70 miles of 4.8 kV circuits to higher voltage and rebuilt more than 20 miles of sub-transmission infrastructure. We expect 2026 to represent our highest level of conversion activity yet. The fourth focus is tree trimming. We've completed our surge effort and are now focused on sustaining that progress. We're also piloting enhancements to our approach, including expanded clearing practices and new program options to further reduce outage risk. Supporting all of these efforts, we plan to invest approximately $11 billion over the next five years, driving continued reliability improvements while maintaining a strong focus on customer affordability. Importantly, we're already seeing meaningful results from this strategy. While the challenging circumstances of the July storm impacted our restoration time, we have seen significant improvement in recent years. From 2023 to 2025, our outage duration improved by 90%, and we achieved our best all-weather safety performance in nearly two decades. Across the prior five storms preceding July, we restored an average of 97% of customers within 24 hours. and nearly 100% within 48 hours. The progress we're seeing is the result of sustained targeted investment combined with improved processes and strong execution by our team. As a result, we are experiencing fewer outages and faster restoration for customers on average, which reinforces that when we invest, it works. I'll move to slide six to provide an update on data center development. We continue to execute on opportunities that support both customer affordability and long-term growth. We have 2.4 gigawatts of executed agreements supported by contracts that are designed to protect existing customers while driving significant growth. The 1.4 gigawatt Oracle agreement is approved and included in our plan and construction is underway. The one gigawatt Google agreement is also advancing through the NPSC approval process and represents upside to our current long-term plan. These first two projects demonstrate our ability to successfully attract and serve large customers while structuring agreements in a way that protects existing customers. Importantly, these agreements are expected to provide meaningful affordability benefits for our existing customers and with a constructive outcome in the current rate case could support a potential rate case stay out until at least 2028. Beyond Oracle and Google, our pipeline remains strong and continues to advance. We currently see five to six gigawatts of additional opportunities, including roughly two gigawatts in advanced discussions with a target of reaching an additional agreement by the end of 2026. We also have another three to four gigawatts of pipeline opportunities that could develop over time. The large load tariff we filed earlier this year is moving through the approval process which is another important step in ensuring future large load growth is managed in a disciplined way. It includes appropriate protections for existing customers that are similar to those in the Oracle and Google contracts. These opportunities provide a clear path for additional growth while reinforcing our focus on affordability, reliability, and customer protection. As the pipeline advances, we see potential upside to our long-term operating EPS growth target and additional affordability benefits for our existing customers. Let me move to slide seven to describe the benefits that data centers provide and discuss our continued commitment to customer affordability. These data center projects bring large steady load onto the system. These very large load customers absorb a significant portion of the fixed costs, which creates meaningful affordability benefits for existing customers. Once fully ramped, Oracle is expected to provide about $300 million of annual benefits for existing customers, while the Google Data Center is expected to generate roughly $1.7 billion of benefits over the life of the contract. These benefits strengthen our overall affordability position and build on our strong continuous improvement mindset we've developed across the company. Continuous improvement remains an important part of how we operate every day. It supports our ability to deliver better reliability, improve efficiency, and manage customer bills as we continue investing in the system. We continue to execute our investment plan with discipline while staying highly focused on affordability for our customers. As the chart shows, our average annual bill increases over the past five years have remained well below both the national average and the Great Lakes region. Technology continues to be one of the most important tools we have to create customer value. We're using advanced analytics to drive efficiencies across the business, including lowering costs, improving maintenance planning, and strengthening storm response. Delivering customer-focused efficiency through technology remains a priority and is helping us offset cost pressures while improving service for our customers. At the same time, our generation transition continues to support affordability. Moving from coal to natural gas and renewables is helping reduce O&M costs over time. In addition, tax credits available under the Inflation Reduction Act are helping make clean energy investments more affordable for customers while supporting our broader clean energy transition. This focus and commitment to customer affordability continues to be reflected in our customer bills. The typical Michigan residential electric bill represents less than 2% of the median household income, and our residential bills are 17% below the national average. We also continue to support our most vulnerable customers through expanded energy assistance, including millions of dollars of direct assistance and continued support of nonprofit organizations across Michigan. Overall, we remain well positioned to continue our track record of managing affordability while making the investments needed to improve reliability, support growth, and serve our customers over the long term. Let's turn to the next slide and walk through our regulatory strategy and the benefits we are delivering to our customers. Our electric rate case supports targeted investments in reliability and grid modernization while maintaining a strong focus on affordability. The filing is primarily driven by our distribution plan aligned with the 2024 audit and focused on reducing outage frequency by 30% and cutting duration in half by 2029. We're requesting nearly $800 million of capital to be included in the IRM by 2030, supporting our most consistent infrastructure spend and reducing the need for more frequent rate gates. As I said earlier, our data center agreements are structured to enhance affordability and protect customers. As these projects ramp, they create an opportunity to extend timing before filing our next rate case while continuing to invest in reliability. Should the Oracle load ramp faster than we have included in the electric rate case, we have proposed a regulatory mechanism to capture any excess margin and flow that benefit back to customers. Provided this regulatory mechanism is approved and filed, we would not expect to file another electric rate case until at least 2028. Looking ahead, our IRP is expected to be filed in the third quarter this year. It will provide clear visibility into how we plan to serve growing demand, including data centers, in a transparent and cost-effective manner. Altogether, we are managing a disciplined approach to growth, combining regulatory strategy, structured large load agreements, and long-term planning to deliver reliability, affordability, and visibility for our customers. So to wrap up, we continue to execute on our plan, making critical infrastructure investments staying focused on affordability for our customers, delivering high quality service to the communities we serve, and driving continued strong financial performance for our investors. With that, I'll hand it over to Dave. Dave, over to you.

speaker
Dave Ruud
CFO

Thanks, Joi. Good morning, everyone. Let me start on slide nine to review our second quarter financial results. Operating earnings for the quarter were $274 million. This translates into $1.32 per share. You'll find a detailed breakdown of EPS by segment, including our reconciliation to GAAP reported earnings in the appendix. I'll start the review at the top of the page with our utilities. DTElectric earnings were $270 million for the quarter. Earnings were $48 million lower than the second quarter of 2025. The main drivers of the variance were timing of taxes, higher rate-based costs, and colder weather, partially offset by rate implementation. On the timing of taxes, we experienced a large positive timing variance of $62 million in the second quarter of last year due to the timing of when a renewables project was placed in service. This positive timing variance in Q2 2025 was an offset to a negative tax timing variance in the first quarter of 2025. Starting in 2026, the impact of investment tax credits on renewal projects at DTElectric will be recognized evenly during the year. reducing quarterly volatility and making the underlying earnings trends easier to see going forward. Moving on to DT Gas, operating earnings were $10 million lower than the second quarter of 2025. The earnings variance was driven by higher rate base and O&M costs and warmer weather, partially offset by IRM revenue. Let's move to DT Vantage on the third row. Operating earnings were $45 million for the second quarter of 2026. This is a $14 million increase from 2025, driven by higher earnings in both the custom energy solutions and R&G platforms. On the next row, you can see energy training earnings were $41 million in the second quarter of 2026. This is $17 million higher than the second quarter of 2025, primarily driven by timing in the power portfolio, including a partial reversal of the timing experience in the first quarter of this year. We remain highly confident in achieving the high end of the full year guidance range in energy trading. Finally, corporate and other was favorable $18 million relative to the second quarter of 2025, primarily due to the timing of taxes, which will reverse by end of year, partially offset by higher interest expense. Overall, DT earned $1.32 per share in the second quarter of 2026, which positions us well to achieve the high end of our guidance range in 2026. Let me move to slide 10 to discuss our balance sheet and equity issuance plan. We continue to focus on maintaining solid balance sheet metrics. To support the significant increase to our capital investment plan that we need to execute for our customers, we're still targeting annual equity issuances of $500 to $600 million in 2026 through 2028, with similar levels expected through 2030. We will continue to maximize the use of internal mechanism are planning to issue up to $100 million internally. For our remaining equity issuances, we are utilizing our equity ATM program to efficiently execute our funding plan. After pricing about $350 million of equity through forward sale agreements in the first quarter, we price an additional $150 million in the second quarter, effectively fulfilling our equity needs for the year. The new shares won't be issued until we settle the forward sales, which is planned for the fourth quarter. Our five-year plan fully incorporates the equity needs and continues to deliver 6% to 8% operating EPS growth and positions us to be at the high end of our guidance range each year through 2030. Importantly, we remain focused on maintaining our strong investment-grade credit rating and solid balance sheet metrics as we target an FFO to debt ratio of approximately 15%. Let me wrap up on slide 11, then we'll open the line for questions. DTE continues to deliver strong, consistent results for all stakeholders. Our 2026 guidance range reflects 6% to 8% operating EPS growth up to 2025 guidance midpoint. We are on track to reach the high end of our operating EPS guidance this year. Our five-year plan supports high-quality 6% to 8% long-term operating EPS growth driven by customer-focused utility investment with utility earnings comprising 93% of total earnings by 2030. We are positioned to reach the high end of our guidance range each year, supported by RNG tax credits and the flexibility they provide. The Google contract, along with additional data center opportunities, represent further upside to the plan, which will be incorporated following MPSC approval expected in September of this year. Overall, we are well positioned to execute on our plan enhancing reliability and building a stronger distribution system to reduce outage frequency and duration for our customers. We are doing so with a disciplined focus on affordability supported by multiple levers to manage customer rates, including the significant benefits driven by data center growth. We remain on track to deliver premium total shareholder returns supported by a strong balance sheet and disciplined execution of our capital investment plan. With that, I thank you for joining us today. and we can open the line for questions.

speaker
Lacey
Conference Operator

At this time, I would like to remind everyone in order to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. Your first question comes from the line of Shar Parisa with Wells Fargo. You may go ahead.

speaker
Shar Parisa
Wells Fargo Analyst

Hey guys, good morning.

speaker
Joi Harris
President and CEO

Good morning.

speaker
Shar Parisa
Wells Fargo Analyst

Morning, morning. JoAnn, obviously you guys reaffirmed targeting an additional agreement by 26 by the end with two gigs and sort of advanced discussions. I guess first, is that two customers and hyperscalers? And where does that next deal stand today in terms of what's really left to accomplish? Is it commercial agreements or just zoning and permitting, et cetera? Thanks.

speaker
Joi Harris
President and CEO

Yeah, thanks for the question, Char. And yeah, we still continue to manage a pretty healthy pipeline. We've got the two gigawatts. There are several customers in that mix. We have a combination of hyperscalers and co-locators in the mix. And as I've mentioned before, the way you advance in the pipeline is you have solid land positions. You either have to have a zoning or path to zoning. And we have a combination of hyperscalers and co-locators that have a path to zoning or a path to zoning in place. Where we are right now is the commercial discussions are continuing. We are completing additional modeling with those customers to understand their load ramp and they are also working on site plan approval and in some instances working on zoning. So I'd say that things are moving in the right direction and we feel confident in our ability to secure another agreement by the end of the year.

speaker
Shar Parisa
Wells Fargo Analyst

got it and that obviously you've been pretty open about that gets you above the eight percent I guess how should we be thinking about the timing of a guidance update and how you're thinking about messaging around that guide is is sort of that plus the way to go so eight plus or a step change in the range with the understanding this is obviously an election year it's a bit of a sensitive year thanks yes so we have uh always said that you know three gigawatts gets us

speaker
Joi Harris
President and CEO

eight plus, let's call it. So that'll get us above eight. We now have the one gigawatt in place with Google and that gets us solidly to eight. The way we think about giving guidance is really not getting ahead of the regulatory process. We let that play out and then we would update our plans accordingly in either Q3 or at EEI. And then should we secure another contract before the end of the year, we would likely refresh our plan with the fourth quarter call at that point. So that's kind of how we're thinking about it. Once we have a clear line of sight and we understand we're going to get the approval of the contract, that's when we would update our guidance.

speaker
Shar Parisa
Wells Fargo Analyst

I guess, Joy, the question I was... Are you more open-ended in how you want to guide? So, you know, a plus after the, like, let's just say 8% and leave it open for interpretation on the top end? Or would you see a step change in the range?

speaker
Joi Harris
President and CEO

No, we would leave it at the plus, Char, as we discussed previously. We're not changing our position on that.

speaker
Shar Parisa
Wells Fargo Analyst

Perfect. Appreciate it, guys. Thank you so much. Have a good morning.

speaker
Joi Harris
President and CEO

Thank you.

speaker
Lacey
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Richard Sunderland with Truist Security. You may go ahead.

speaker
Richard Sunderland
Truist Securities Analyst

Hey, good morning. Thank you for the time today.

speaker
Joi Harris
President and CEO

Hey, Richard. Good morning.

speaker
Richard Sunderland
Truist Securities Analyst

Thank you. In turning to the regulatory efforts, I realize still a few weeks to go before staff and intervener testimony in the electric rate case, but given all the attention on data centers and the potential benefits from there you're proposing in the electric stay out, how are you thinking about positions there? Any expectations into what may come out in testimony? And I guess, how are you thinking about sort of the balance of the case thereafter?

speaker
Joi Harris
President and CEO

Yeah, testimony in the electric rate case, we'll start to see it next month. You know, as we had proposed and previewed our case with interveners and staff, the stay out mechanism was viewed very positively. Obviously, they had to review the case in its totality, but certainly any efforts on our part to keep rates flat is something that is of interest. and we look forward to hearing how that's being received in formal testimony. The data centers themselves, we've said all along that data center load broke done right puts downward pressure on rates and this is just another proof point and so we see that that is again something that was viewed very favorably pre-filing and we anticipate that the staff and intervenors will examine the uncertainties related to Oracle and then the mechanism that we've established in the case as a way for us to deal with those uncertainties and flow back the benefits to customers over time. So looking forward to seeing that testimony. It's due on August, I believe it's August 3rd or 4th, and that will give us the clear indication as to what we need to rebut or any additional information we need to provide.

speaker
Richard Sunderland
Truist Securities Analyst

understood that that's very helpful. And then sticking with the regulatory front is the IRP filing coming later this quarter. How might we see the load scenarios play out in there relative to the two gigawatts in advanced discussions and then three to four gigawatts of additional pipeline opportunities that you've, you know, speaking to before and have outlined on slide six? I guess I'm curious on that and then also versus the third data center customer talked about earlier. Do you see the, you know, high-end scenario incorporating all of that or any other color you can offer before that?

speaker
Joi Harris
President and CEO

Yes, we do anticipate we're going to file our IRP and Q3 of this year. And in terms of how we're managing the data centers in the IRP, the base case will be the two contracts that we have already signed. And then the high end will take into account our full pipeline, and then we'll have something in between. And so that's how we're looking at, you know, shaping the data center load in the IRP.

speaker
Richard Sunderland
Truist Securities Analyst

Great. Thanks for the time. I'll leave it there.

speaker
Joi Harris
President and CEO

All right. Thank you.

speaker
Lacey
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Jeremy Toney with JP Morgan. You may go ahead.

speaker
Diana Niles
JP Morgan Analyst (for Jeremy Toney)

Hi. Good morning. This is Diana Niles on the call for Jeremy. Thank you for taking our questions today. Good morning. As it relates to the data center pipeline and future could you speak a bit to sort of conversations on the ground and conversations with local and state stakeholders as it pertains to economic development?

speaker
Joi Harris
President and CEO

Yes. Well, obviously the data centers that we have signed up are sizable, huge economic development opportunities for the state. In fact, the Oracle deal is the largest in the state's history and Google is not far behind. We see this as a great opportunity for job growth. These are hundreds of construction jobs. In addition, the tax base benefits that local communities can stand to realize with these types of customers in their jurisdiction, $20-plus million worth of additional tax benefits for the city of Saline. And essentially, Van Buren is doubling its tax base with the Google facility. and its jurisdiction. The other indicators that we're getting is this just the solid community benefits that are coming by way of these agreements. And so both Van Buren and Celine have signed on to their community benefits packages. And so that all flows to the community to address things that are important to them. We also see that as hyperscalers and co-locators land in a particular They continue to expand. So you also see a build out of adjacent industries. Think of HVAC companies having more demand, electricians, other kind of supporting industries that will grow as a result of these data centers being in our backyard. So this is a great economic story for Michigan with the potential to be even bigger once we sign additional agreements.

speaker
Diana Niles
JP Morgan Analyst (for Jeremy Toney)

Got it, thank you. And then looking to the Vantage Data Center opportunity, could you provide the latest on progress and expectations there and any timeline considerations we should keep in mind?

speaker
Joi Harris
President and CEO

Sure. You know, the development agreement that we have in place with a large data center developer in a state outside of Michigan continues to progress. Again, this is a behind the meter design and it's hundreds of megawatts. So don't think of it as a gigawatt facility. This is hundreds of megawatts. We are continuing to advance those discussions. As I mentioned previously, the counterparty has run into some permitting challenges on the ground that they're continuing to work. They also have other locations that we're in conversations with them. The equipment is already on order, so suffice it to say it's going in one location or the other. But we feel really good about our relationship and the progress that we've made commercially. And we look forward to executing this progress, project, sorry, once the permitting issue is resolved or that we have a firm and solid pathway to another location. But suffice it to say, it's still moving in a positive direction.

speaker
Lacey
Conference Operator

Got it. Thank you very much. Your next question comes from the line of Julian DeMoulin-Smith with Jefferies. You may go ahead.

speaker
Julian DeMoulin-Smith
Jefferies Analyst

Hey, good morning, Joi and team. Nicely done again. What a great update here. Just to follow up on the Vantage focus here real quickly, if I can, just with respect to Oracle, I mean, obviously there's been more focus on their credit here of late and some of the peer states. Can you talk about just you know the postings you know uh waterfall if you will just uh credit protections just both in terms of any potential updates they're in and just actually just what what are the postings that you think about any changes here particularly of late just obviously you're probably cognizant of some of the other changes in other states yeah thanks Julian this is Dave you know as you said one of the radiated cheese which is S&P downgraded Oracle's credit still within the investment grade level and I'll start by saying we don't expect it to have any impact on

speaker
Dave Ruud
CFO

the completion or timing of the Oracle project, which is already in construction. But as you're referring, you know, we did have as a precaution, our contract has protections that will have additional collateral requirements at various downgrade triggers that continues to provide the ultimate protections for our customers and for us. We haven't disclosed the specifics of the agreement at their request, but we remain confident that the protections are there regardless of how this plays out.

speaker
Julian DeMoulin-Smith
Jefferies Analyst

So factually, you did get more postings. The quantum is not necessarily disclosed here. And more to the point, you would prospectively if there's any further changes.

speaker
Dave Ruud
CFO

Right. Prospectively, we would for further changes. Yeah, we have good protections in there that give us the full protection from stranded asset risk for us and for our customers.

speaker
Julian DeMoulin-Smith
Jefferies Analyst

Awesome. And just to clarify earlier, I know there was some back and forth. I mean, you're very confident about the two gigawatts in advance negotiations here. Is that a further, I mean, speaking of counterparties, a new hyperscaler, or is that an expansion of an existing arrangement here? Just to nitpick a little bit here about what you're looking at within those two.

speaker
Joi Harris
President and CEO

There's combinations, JoAnn. Listen, suffice it to say, we are continuing discussions with Oracle and Google, and that's always been our plan. The hyperscalers and co-locators that are in that two gigawatts are continuing to make advancements on the ground, so... Think of it as two new customers. But again, should Google and Oracle come to us with an expansion that they want to pursue, we would entertain that as well.

speaker
Julian DeMoulin-Smith
Jefferies Analyst

Right. So different permutations, but principally two new customers contemplated in that two gigwatt upside, just to make the point.

speaker
Joi Harris
President and CEO

I wouldn't say two. I'd say it's multiple customers in that two gigwatt.

speaker
Julian DeMoulin-Smith
Jefferies Analyst

Even better. Even better. All right. Awesome. I appreciate that. And lastly, any comments about legislative reforms or ballot efforts here, if you care?

speaker
Joi Harris
President and CEO

Yeah, you know, given where we are with divided government and an election underway, it's not likely that there will be any legislative changes in this calendar year. We are using the time to ensure that we're educating all the candidates on our performance, where we stand in terms of bill growth, the data centers and what that does to affordability in a positive way and our work to improve reliability and the progress we've made and the work that is left to do.

speaker
Julian DeMoulin-Smith
Jefferies Analyst

Awesome. Okay. Thank you so much. I appreciate it.

speaker
Lacey
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Michael Lonegan with Barclays. You may go ahead. Hi.

speaker
Michael Lonegan
Barclays Analyst

Thanks for taking my question. So beyond the two gigawatts of data centers and late stage negotiations, you spoke again to the three to four gigawatts in earlier stage negotiations. Just wondering if you could share progress on those and how they've advanced and do they have potential to add incremental investment within the five-year plan?

speaker
Joi Harris
President and CEO

The three to four behind it are typically a combination of co-locators, some large, some small. The gating item for those entities is they have to have a customer. And so many of them are working to secure a customer. Typically, it would be a hyperscaler. They're also working to secure zoning and essentially site plans. And so as they advance, they secure the customer and they secure zoning and site plans, they advance in our pipeline. And we are in the process of really just understanding their initial shape of the load based on, you know, their projections for the type of facility that they want to build and its location. And so that's where we sit with many of those entities.

speaker
Michael Lonegan
Barclays Analyst

Thank you. That's helpful. And then, you know, just wondering if you could talk about the opportunity to further extend the electric rate pause beyond 28, like in terms of what you would need to see, you know, maybe like an IRM increase and expansion, Google ramp up, another data center. one of these are a combination. Anything you could share there would be helpful.

speaker
Joi Harris
President and CEO

Certainly. We've said that an expansion of the IRM, if you get to close to a billion dollars, that gives you another six months. And then any incremental load on top of the Oracle load can add further distance between the next filing. And so this will all play out once the contract with Google is approved. And of course, we understand the staff and also the commission's position along with interveners position on the IRM growth we proposed.

speaker
Michael Lonegan
Barclays Analyst

Great. Thank you very much.

speaker
Lacey
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Andrew Weisel with Scotiabank. You may go ahead.

speaker
Andrew Weisel
Scotiabank Analyst

Hey, thanks. Good morning, everybody. Good morning. Just a couple follow-ups, actually. First, following up on the question about Oracle and collateral postings, appreciate the detail on the contract. I guess the question is, looking forward, based on how quickly things went south for that counterparty, are you making any changes to your counterparty approach around protections going forward, or do you feel confident that you've been fully protected?

speaker
Dave Ruud
CFO

The way we've structured these contracts, and even in the large load tariff that is going through approval, We feel like we have the right protections that we need to protect both our customers and us of anything that could happen on the downside. So it has provisions in there like contract and load ramp with minimum monthly charges, 80% of the minimum billing demand. And that would be for a 10-year period or longer in some of these instances that make sure that we pay back all of the invested capital, make sure there's no stranded asset risk. So we're comfortable with the contracts we have and with the way we're laying out the future provisions too.

speaker
Andrew Weisel
Scotiabank Analyst

Okay, great. Then this might just be a nuanced thing, but the pipeline of additional data center opportunities, you've talked a lot about the two gigawatts and then the additional three to four gigawatts, but it looked like you changed the wording in the slides. The total now is five to six rather than five. Maybe I'm just looking too far into it, Was that meant to be a message that the opportunity in aggregate is getting bigger, or is that just a change in the mass?

speaker
Joi Harris
President and CEO

It's just a change. It's the same pipeline, essentially. You have people moving up and down in the pipeline, but there's been no change.

speaker
Andrew Weisel
Scotiabank Analyst

Okay, great. Thank you for clarifying. Then lastly, a short-term earnings number. You continue to point to the high end of the range for 2026 EPS, but you've had some challenges related to mild first half weather, then the July storm. Can you maybe explain what are some of the offsets to those headwinds, or is it just a matter of conservatism when you first set the budget, as you typically do?

speaker
Dave Ruud
CFO

Andrew, we do remain highly confident that we're going to get to the high end of the full year guidance this year. We do have incremental rate relief that came in at electric in March, and then we have an order at gas in September. In addition, there is some timing that we'll see reverse over the remainder of the year at the utilities. and then we see our non-utilities also continue to perform well and we see that continuing through the year too. So it gives us confidence in the full year guidance.

speaker
Andrew Weisel
Scotiabank Analyst

Okay, great. That's very helpful. Thank you. Thanks, Andrew.

speaker
Lacey
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Michael Sullivan with Wolf Research. You may go ahead.

speaker
Michael Sullivan
Wolf Research Analyst

Hey, good morning. Good morning. Hey, I wanted to just ask on the Oracle load ramp, just how you're feeling on timing there. And I think that's kind of the main driver to the stay out, getting that kind of mostly ramped next year.

speaker
Joi Harris
President and CEO

Yeah, thank you for the question. The construction is proceeding as planned. We are getting all positive indicators that Oracle and related companies are on track for the fast ramp at this point. We are starting to take deliveries of our equipment that will be used to serve them. So everything is moving in the right direction. We are getting aerial shots. We are seeing, you know, visuals. And then obviously our team is active on the ground with the construction team. So all systems are go at this point.

speaker
Michael Sullivan
Wolf Research Analyst

Okay. Okay. That's great to hear. And then I know like every deal can obviously be different, but just in terms of how to think about The next one is, is the Google deal like a good template? And if you keep size apples to apples just in terms of like affordability benefits, supply mix, or is it really those things can vary a lot depending on the specific deal that's struck?

speaker
Joi Harris
President and CEO

Yeah, they can vary. It just depends on the ramp itself. Suffice it to say, what we see is Largely an opportunity to do more renewables, more battery storage in the near term. And then toward the back end of the plan, we would leverage the results of the IRP, obviously, to dictate what the ultimate resource would be. But again, a dispatchable resource that would come in toward the tail end.

speaker
Michael Sullivan
Wolf Research Analyst

Okay. Very helpful. Thank you very much.

speaker
Lacey
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Anthony Crowdale with Mizuho's. You may go ahead.

speaker
Anthony Crowdale
Mizuho Analyst

Hey, good morning, Dave. Good morning, Joi. Just one follow-up. Mike earlier talked about as large load reaches advanced stages and you're identified, you know, zoning, site plans, permitting, you know, finding a customer. I just wanted to give us some insight into what's the bottleneck there? What's the more challenging part for these larger customers before they move to advanced discussions.

speaker
Joi Harris
President and CEO

Yeah, it's the zoning first and foremost. They've got to get the site zoned and then they can move towards site plan. So that's typically one of the gating items that the hyperscalers and co-locators have to deal with.

speaker
Anthony Crowdale
Mizuho Analyst

So it's not finding a customer, it's zoning?

speaker
Joi Harris
President and CEO

Yeah, you got to get zoning. I mean, for co-locators, I mean, they can find a customer, right? It's speed to power. So if they have a facility, they have a site, they have it zoned, and it's pretty much ready to go. They'll get the customer they need. It's getting that zoning. That really becomes the challenge that they've got to overcome.

speaker
Anthony Crowdale
Mizuho Analyst

Great. That's all I had. Thanks so much for the clarity. Thanks, Anthony.

speaker
Lacey
Conference Operator

Your final question comes from the line of Travis Miller with Morningstar. You may go ahead.

speaker
Travis Miller
Morningstar Analyst

Thank you. Good morning. Good morning, Travis. On the IRP, aside from the data centers, renewable energy plan, any other variables that we should watch for relative to what you've been talking about for the last several quarters?

speaker
Joi Harris
President and CEO

No, I think those are the big things. The IRP will be filed. The data center load will get incorporated in there. The RPS will be a part of it, too. We've got to do some updates and mod updates to the RPS with that filing. But that's pretty much it, Travis.

speaker
Travis Miller
Morningstar Analyst

Okay, great. And then one other one on Vantage. If there are delays in that project, is that going to have an impact on either 26 or 27 earnings. I think you've noted that that could be upside potentially. Just wondering how that relative to earnings that project.

speaker
Joi Harris
President and CEO

No, it has no impact on 26. And again, the equipment is already ordered. We are expecting the deliveries to happen. So it's going somewhere. It's either at the original location or at an alternative.

speaker
Travis Miller
Morningstar Analyst

Okay, great. Perfect. Thanks so much.

speaker
Joi Harris
President and CEO

Thank you.

speaker
Lacey
Conference Operator

That concludes our question and answer session. I would now like to turn the call back over to Joi Harris for closing remarks.

speaker
Joi Harris
President and CEO

All right, well thank you everyone. Thank you all for joining us today. I'll just close by saying we continue to execute in 2026 and we're well positioned to achieve our goals for the year. I'm very excited about our long-term plan and the opportunities ahead and I look forward to seeing many of you on the road during the rest of the year. have a great morning stay safe and stay healthy we'll talk soon.

speaker
Lacey
Conference Operator

Ladies and gentlemen that concludes today's call thank you all for joining you may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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