7/24/2026

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Hello everyone, thank you for joining us and welcome to the GrafTech second quarter 2026 earnings conference call and webcast. After today's prepared remarks, we will host a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one to raise your hand. To withdraw your question, press star one again. I will now hand the conference over to Mike Dillon, Vice President of Investor Relations and Treasurer. Please go ahead.

speaker
Mike Dillon
Vice President of Investor Relations and Treasurer

Good morning and welcome to Graph Tech International's second quarter 2026 earnings call. Thank you for joining us. Joining me on the call are Tim Flanagan, Chief Executive Officer, and Rory O'Donnell, Chief Financial Officer. And we'll begin with opening comments on our key strategic initiatives. Rory will then provide color on our quarterly results, outlook, and other financial matters. After closing comments by Tim, we will then open the call to questions. Turning to our next slide, As a reminder, our comments today may include forward-looking statements regarding, among other things, performance, trends, and strategies. These statements are based on current expectations and are subject to risks and uncertainties. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated by forward-looking statements are shown here. We will also discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures in these slides including the relevant non-GAAP reconciliations. You can find these slides in the investor relations section of our website at graphtech.com and a replay of the call will also be available on our website. I'll now turn the call over to Tim.

speaker
Tim Flanagan
Chief Executive Officer and President

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. The second quarter marked another period of meaningful progress for GrafTech. We delivered strong sales volume growth, increased production and capacity utilization, and further improved our manufacturing cost structure. We also reaffirmed our full year sales volume and cost expectations while advancing the commercial and strategic initiatives we introduced earlier this year. to improve both profitability and strengthen our business. In addition, we believe the underlying fundamentals of our end markets are moving in a positive direction. We are taking decisive actions to strengthen our business in the areas where we can make the greatest difference today. Taken together, we believe that this positions GrafTech to deliver stronger financial performance as industry conditions continue to improve. This morning, I'd like to begin with an update on our strategic priorities. then provide our perspective on the steel market and broader industry environment before discussing safety and turning the call over to Rory for review of our financial results. When we spoke with you three months ago, we introduced a series of strategic initiatives designed to strengthen GrafTech's earnings power while supporting healthier long-term industry fundamentals. Those priorities build on the commercial, operational, and financial improvements we have made over the past several years and I'm pleased with the progress we are making across each of them. First on the commercial front, we are pleased to have delivered 8% year-over-year sales volume growth this quarter, including a 29% increase in the United States, which remains our strongest commercial region. We continue to implement our previously announced price increases on uncommitted volume, which represents an important first step to restore pricing to the levels that safeguard regional graphite electrode production and the continuity of supply for our customers. As noted in our earnings release, since announcing these pricing actions near the end of the first quarter, we have secured customer commitment at prices that are on average more than 15% above those achieved prior to the announcement. With more than 90% of our anticipated volume already committed in our order book, mostly at price points that reflect market pricing at the end of the fourth quarter of 2025, this will not translate immediately into higher realized pricing. These higher price commitments were reflected in our financial results over time as those shipments occur. Ultimately, the acceptance of higher prices is a strong indicator that our customers recognize the importance of securing a reliable supply of high-quality graphite electrodes backed by world-class technical support. Second, with respect to trade policy, we continue to advocate for fair trade and more balanced competitive conditions across the industry. as evidenced by our support of graphite electrode trade cases in key commercial jurisdictions. This includes the trade case filed earlier this year in the United States related to imports of large diameter graphite electrodes at unfair prices. We remain confident that the Department of Commerce and International Trade Commission will complete a thorough investigation and take meaningful and necessary actions to address these unfair trade practices. This will further support long-term market stability. As a reminder, in April, the ITC announced its preliminary determination that the domestic industry is being materially injured by imports from China and India, and that case is now with Commerce for its investigation. Commerce is expected to announce its preliminary countervailing duty determination early next week, with any such duties becoming effective on a provisional basis shortly thereafter. More importantly, we expect Commerce will announce its preliminary determination on anti-dumping duties by the end of September. As we've previously noted, the trade petition filed earlier this year estimated dumping margins for Chinese and Indian electrode imports of 147% and 74% respectively. Third, with respect to our operations, over the past several years, we've significantly improved the efficiency and competitiveness of our manufacturing network through higher productivity, improved operating discipline, and ongoing cost improvement initiatives. That progress continued during the second quarter as we increased production, achieved our highest quarterly capacity utilization levels since 2022, and further improved our manufacturing cost structure. For the full year, despite cost headwinds driven by ongoing geopolitical conflicts, we are reconfirming our guidance of a modest year-over-year reduction in our cash COGS. These improvements strengthen our competitiveness in today's market, while positioning GrafTech to generate greater earnings and cash flow as industry conditions continue to improve. Ultimately, as we assess the progress of our strategic initiatives and the broader market environment, we will continue to evaluate both the production capacity we maintain and the volume we deliver to the market. As an industry leader, we are prepared to take actions to align supply with sustainable industry economics and support the long-term viability of our business. Finally, with respect to emerging opportunities, we're positioning GraphTech to capitalize on what we believe is an important inflection point across the graphite electrode and petroleum needle coke industries. Recognition of the strategic importance of synthetic graphite for both economic and national security purposes continues to grow, and that's being driven by two major trends. First, graphite electrodes are indispensable to electric arc furnace steelmaking, which continues to gain share globally. Thank you for joining us today. We believe these dynamics reinforce the value of GRAPHTEX vertical integration, which enhances supply reliability for our graphite electrode customers and positions us to benefit from improving needle coke market fundamentals. The reality is that economic and national security risks associated with dependence on concentrated and non-market based supply chains are becoming increasingly clear. Against this backdrop, we welcome the efforts of as they develop a joint critical mineral action plan. This action plan establishes a framework for the two trading partners to coordinate policies that support resilient supply chains for critical materials, such as synthetic graphite, while exploring potential trade mechanisms, including border adjusted price floors. Evidence in trade cases demonstrates that appropriate and others. These include ongoing engagement with the U.S. administration at various levels to help inform and shape critical mineral policies as they relate to graphite electrodes and battery materials, and specifically as it relates to graph tech, actively exploring the opportunity to leverage existing industrial assets in available graphitization capacities. while demonstrating our leadership in carbon and graphite technology and stressing the importance of preserving this know-how. Within the EU, this includes supporting the ongoing efforts of the European Carbon and Graphite Association as they advocate for a stronger European steel and graphite electrode industry. And more broadly, continuing to demonstrate our technical capabilities through ongoing engagement with research institutions and commercial partnerships. which include collaboration with those in the energy storage industry to utilize our expertise and capacity to further their strategic objectives and evolving business models. Turning to slide five, let me spend a few minutes discussing the broader steel market because the health of the steel industry remains the primary driver of long-term graphite electrode demand. Although conditions vary by region, the overall direction remains encouraging. Global steel production, excluding China, increased approximately 2% compared to the second quarter of last year. In the United States, steel production is up 6% year-to-date, supported by favorable trade policy and resilient domestic demand. Reflecting these dynamics, quarterly steel capacity utilization in the U.S. reached 80% for the first time since the second quarter of 2022. Conditions in Europe remain more challenging, although we continue Overall, the data we're seeing today is increasingly consistent with the view we've shared over the past couple quarters, that steel fundamentals outside of China are steadily improving. Looking beyond today's market conditions, we continue to believe medium and long-term outlook for the steel industry remains constructive. As shown on this slide, a number of factors have the potential to support stronger steel demand over the coming years. These include continued infrastructure investment, increasing defense spending, The implementation of the carbon border adjustment mechanism in Europe, easing monetary policy, improving macroeconomic conditions, and additional trade protections in several key regions. No single catalyst will determine the pace of recovery. Rather, it's the combination of these factors that gives us confidence in the industry's longer-term trajectory. That perspective is also reflected in the World Steel Association's most recent steel demand outlook, which calls for modest growth in 2026 followed by more meaningful acceleration in 2027 for steel demand outside of China. Let me expand briefly on the EU. Europe represents one of our most important commercial regions, and several recent policy initiatives have the potential to materially strengthen steel production over time. Specifically, provisions in the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism, or CBOM, implemented in early 2026 will make certain steel imports into the EU less competitive. Further, measures adopted by the EU to significantly increase trade protections on steel became effective at the beginning of July. These measures significantly reduced tariff-free import quotas, increased above-quoted duties to 50%, and strengthened enforcement through melt and pour disclosure requirements. Together, these measures are expected to boost domestic steel production, with some analysts projecting capacity utilization rates in the EU could increase from current levels of just over 60% potentially 75% or higher over time. We believe these protections and a more predictable steel production outlook will give EU steel makers greater confidence to plan beyond the near term and rebuild graphite electrode inventories to more normalized levels. Ultimately, the timing of a broader market recovery is beyond our control. What is within our control is how we position graph tech to benefit as that recovery gains momentum. That is why we remain focused on executing the priorities we discussed this morning. Strengthening our commercial performance, improving our manufacturing efficiency, maintaining financial flexibility, and positioning GrafTech to capitalize on a stronger market environment. Before turning the call over to Rory, I'd like to briefly discuss an area that will always remain our highest priority, which is safety. I've always believed that no business objective is ever more important than ensuring our people return home safely at the end of every shift. And I'm proud of the continued focus of our employees have demonstrated across our global operations. Year to date, our total recordable incident rate has improved 0.35, continuing the significant progress that we've made over the past several years. That improvement reflects a culture in which safety is embedded in every aspect of how we operate and not simply a metric we report each quarter. On behalf of our leadership team, I'd like to thank all of our employees for their dedication to operating safely while delivering for our customers every day. Their commitment is the foundation of everything we accomplish as a company. With that, I'll turn the call over to Rory to review our second quarter results and our outlook in greater detail.

speaker
Rory O'Donnell
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you Tim, and good morning everyone. I'll begin with our second quarter financial performance before discussing liquidity and our financial outlook. Our second quarter results reflected continued progress in several important areas of the business, including higher sales volume, improved manufacturing performance, and lower cash costs per metric ton. Starting with our operations, Our production volume exceeded 33,000 metric tons during the quarter, resulting in capacity utilization of 74%, the highest quarterly level we have achieved since 2022. Year-to-date, our production volume has exceeded sales volume by approximately 4,000 metric tons. This was planned as we build inventories in advance of our summer maintenance activities at our European operational Our expectation remains to balance production and sales volume levels on a full year basis. However, we are encouraged by the strength of our order book and the commercial momentum that Tim discussed earlier. Expanding on this point, sales volume increased to approximately 31,000 metric tons, representing growth of 8% compared to the prior year quarter and 10% sequentially. Importantly, our second quarter and year-to-date performance In the United States, we delivered 29% year-over-year sales volume growth for the second quarter. This reflects our ongoing focus on value over volume, as we continue to prioritize business that meets our margin expectations while expanding our presence in higher-value regions. Net sales for the quarter were $127 million, down 3% compared to the second quarter of last year. The benefits of higher sales volume were offset by lower weighted average realized pricing, reflecting the continued pricing pressure across much of the graphite electrode industry. During the second quarter, our weighted average realized pricing was approximately $3,900 per metric ton, which, as expected, was flat sequentially and down approximately 7% compared to the second quarter of last year. With more than 80% of our anticipated 2026 volume already committed at the time we announced our pricing action in late March, current realized pricing continues to reflect commitments secured prior to the announced price increase. However, we are encouraged by the higher pricing on new orders, as Tim discussed earlier. As we have previously indicated, while the impact on 2026 reported pricing will be modest, As those newer commitments convert into shipments over future quarters, they will begin contributing to higher realized pricing. Most importantly, the acceptance of these higher prices in recent tenders provides a stronger starting point for our 2027 contract discussions than we would have had just a few months ago. To put the opportunity into perspective, based on current utilization rates, each $100 improvement in our average selling price would equate to approximately $12 million of incremental annual cash flow, thereby further supporting our liquidity position. Combined with the other strategic initiatives Tim discussed earlier, improved pricing has the potential to contribute meaningfully to our financial performance beginning in 2027. Turning to slide 9, cash costs of goods sold per metric ton declined approximately 9% sequentially and Michael Dillon. As we have noted in prior calls, we will have periodic quarter-to-quarter fluctuations in our cash cost recognition as a result of timing impacts. However, our underlying cost structure is materially lower than it was just a few years ago. While inflationary pressures remain on certain raw materials, energy, Our operations teams continue identifying opportunities to improve productivity and offset these external pressures wherever possible. Importantly, we continue to achieve this while maintaining our dedication to product quality and reliability, as well as upholding our commitments to environmental responsibility and safety. In addition, as production volumes continue to recover, provide increasing operating leverage. Overall, these improvements reinforce our expectation for a low single digit percentage reduction in cash cost of goods sold on a per metric done basis for the full year. As we move ahead, while our teams remain focused on cost control, sustained increases in key input costs will need to be reflected in graphite electrode pricing beyond the pricing actions we have already Turning from our internal cost performance to the broader industry cost environment, reflecting the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, higher oil-related feedstock costs and potential disruptions in decant oil availability for certain needle coke producers are beginning to place upward pressure on petroleum needle coke pricing following several years of relatively stable market conditions. Needle coke and graphite electrode pricing have historically been closely correlated. and we believe improving needle coke fundamentals could provide an additional catalyst for higher electrode pricing. Importantly, our substantial vertical integration positions GRAPHTECH to benefit both directly through our needle coke operations and indirectly as higher needle coke pricing supports higher graphite electrode pricing. Turning to the next slide, our second quarter financial results remain consistent with our Adjusted EBITDA was $2 million during the quarter, compared to $3 million in the prior year period. While pricing continued the pressure earnings, improved operating performance and cost management partially offset that impact. Net cash used in operating activities during the second quarter was $69 million, while adjusted free cash flow was negative $75 million, compared to negative $53 million in the prior year quarter. We make semi-annual interest payments of approximately $34 million on our second lien notes in the second and fourth quarter of each year. The year-over-year increase in cash usage primarily reflected timing changes in working capital, including the planned inventory bill that we have discussed. Importantly, we expect the second quarter to represent our highest level of cash usage during 2026. Consistent with the seasonal nature of our working capital requirements, On a full year basis, we continue to expect a modest increase in working capital to support higher sales volume. We also continue to expect approximately $35 million in capital expenditures during the year, consistent with maintaining our assets at current operating levels and supporting targeted investments in plant capabilities and productivity improvements. Referring to the next slide to discuss liquidity. As planned, during June, we drew the remaining $100 million available under our delayed draw first lien term loan prior to the expiration of that commitment. We ended the quarter with approximately $253 million of total liquidity consisting of $145 million of cash and approximately $108 million of available December of 2029. Taken together, this provides the financial flexibility to continue executing our strategy while navigating the current industry environment. Lastly, during the second quarter, we filed a shelf registration to expand the financing tools available to us as we evaluate opportunities to strengthen our balance sheet and support long-term shareholder value. Subsequently, we established an at-the-market equity program. While usage has been modest to date, the ATM provides additional optionality to access capital in a measured and disciplined manner when we believe market conditions are appropriate. In closing my remarks, I would like to thank our team members around the world for their outstanding commitment and hard work. Their efforts have enabled the commercial, operational, and financial progress we have discussed today. With that, I'll turn the call back to Tim for closing remarks.

speaker
Tim Flanagan
Chief Executive Officer and President

Before we open the call for questions, let me leave you with three observations. First, GrafTech is executing well. We continue to grow volume, optimize our commercial mix towards higher value regions, lower our manufacturing costs, improve utilization, and maintain financial discipline. Second, the strength we have been seeing in the steel industry fundamentals in the U.S. is becoming more evident across other regions. Steel production outside of China continues to strengthen, Trade protections are increasing across multiple regions and our own pricing actions are gaining traction in the marketplace. And finally, while the timing of broader pricing recovery remains uncertain, we are not waiting for it. Every decision we're making today is intended to ensure GrafTech emerges from this cycle as a stronger, more competitive company. That conviction is grounded in the advantages that differentiate GrafTech, including our vertical integration, global manufacturing footprint, technical expertise, and longstanding customer relationships. Together, these strengths position us to benefit meaningfully as market conditions normalize. We're confident in our strategy. We're confident in the long-term fundamentals of our industry. And most importantly, we're confident that the actions we're taking today will create meaningful long-term value for our shareholders. With that, we'd be happy to take your questions.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

We will now begin the question and answer session. Please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one to raise your hand. To withdraw your question, press star one again. We ask that you pick up your handset when asking a question to allow for optimum sound quality. If you are muted locally, please remember to unmute your device. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of Bennett Moore with JP Morgan. Bennett, please go ahead. Hey, good morning, Tim and Rory.

speaker
Bennett Moore
Analyst, JP Morgan

Thank you for taking my questions. Shipments came in a bit better than expected. I know you referenced the U.S. share growing 29% year-over-year, but could you unpack this a bit? primarily U.S. customers pulling forward slightly, and if so, is this a trend you expect to maybe persist through the balance of the year, just given the tightness in the U.S. steel market? Yeah, thanks, Ben. So the U.S. market obviously continues to run are over 80%.

speaker
Tim Flanagan
Chief Executive Officer and President

So all of our customers are operating well. As we alluded to in the first quarter call, we are seeing some pull into the second quarter for volumes in the U.S., which to us is a sign of a strengthening demand, but we're also seeing new orders come in for additional volumes needed in the third and fourth quarter. So we expect kind of the back half of the year to continue with strength in the U.S. as we look forward.

speaker
Bennett Moore
Analyst, JP Morgan

You know, reference costs rising 10 to 50% and needle coke anywhere up from $200 to $300 a ton. So just wondering if you're seeing a similar magnitude of change on needle coke and if you could kind of just update on broader inflationary pressures, maybe, you know, to what extent Deakin Oil has moved higher as well.

speaker
Tim Flanagan
Chief Executive Officer and President

Ben, can you repeat your question? I think you may have cut out for just a second at the beginning. I want to make sure we get the full context of your question.

speaker
Bennett Moore
Analyst, JP Morgan

Yeah, sure. Can you hear me all right? Okay so I was just referencing comments from one of your peers yesterday that pointed to cost inflation of around 10 to 15 percent and they also mentioned needle coke up anywhere from 200 to 300 dollars a ton. So wondering if you're seeing a similar magnitude of change on needle coke and then if you could kind of update us to what extent deacon oil has also been moving higher since re-escalation in the Middle East. Thank you.

speaker
Rory O'Donnell
Chief Financial Officer

Spence, this is Rory. Good morning. So the period you're referencing, I think we're seeing similar market intelligence. Just for the broader group, we're happy to have our captive supply of needle coke down in Fort Lavaca, Texas. So we're not really subject to some of the needle coke pricing pressures that others may be experiencing. But yeah, $200 to $300 in price increases on shipments to date to be in the middle of the year and into the third quarter is what we're seeing. We expect something of similar magnitude going forward. As you know, we're one of four ex-Chinese needle coat producers and we know that a lot of the Asia Pacific producers rely heavily on the Middle East oil feedstock for their petroleum needle coat production. that tightening supply delays and logistics and all those matters related to the Middle East conflict are certainly causing tightness in supply. So we're happy with our availability. I will tell you that from an availability standpoint, there has been some inbounds received to determine whether or not there's availability of our supply in Texas to provide to the market. So there's a lot of signs pointing towards availability tightening and we expect that to support higher prices going into the back half of the year from those who have already been realized. More broadly, I just want to say that, as I said in my prepared remarks, we're holding our cost per ton guidance for the full year. That contemplates our current views on cost inflation, raw material inflation, including decant oil for the remainder of the year. The team has been doing a great job offsetting the impacts with not just innovation but strong procurement strategies. As we've said in the past, we've been able to diversify our supplier base as far as feedstock for decant oil over the past couple of years. We're happy to have all of our sourcing These are the American refineries, so not really getting as impacted by our procurement of decant oil as some others may be. So all good signs, and we're hopeful that the strategic advantage of our vertical integration is starting to emerge back to as normal conditions kind of emerge.

speaker
Bennett Moore
Analyst, JP Morgan

Tim, Rory, thank you. I'll get back in the queue.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Arun Viswanathan with RBC Capital Markets. Arun, please go ahead.

speaker
Arun Viswanathan
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Sorry, I was on mute. Thanks for taking my question. I hope you guys are well. I guess my question is maybe I'll start with the utilization rates. I think you referenced Maybe a mid-70s utilization rate for your own system, and yet about an 80% rate for U.S. steel utilization. Do you see those kind of converging, namely, and maybe you can comment on the global side as well, and I guess I'm just curious if there's any actions you can take to bring industry utilization rates in electrodes closer to You know, maybe a tight or balanced market. You know, do you think the industry needs some rationalization of capacity? And could you potentially be in a position to do that? Thanks.

speaker
Tim Flanagan
Chief Executive Officer and President

Yeah, thanks, Arun, and I appreciate the question. You know, so I think if you think about our utilization rate, First and foremost, and the fact that we are at 74% for the quarter is reflecting of the planned inventory build that Rory alluded to that led to a little bit of a working capital use in the quarter. And that's really preparing for not only the European shutdowns that happen seasonally at the end of July and into August, but also what we anticipate is continued improving conditions We have a lot of conviction around the steps that we've taken from our actions, both and Michael Dillon. Standby the comments we made in our prepared remarks and we've commented on the last couple calls. You know, if the market dictates that, you know, supply needs to come out of the market, you know, we'll continue to execute and behave like an industry leader and we'll adjust our production accordingly and do that when the time's appropriate.

speaker
Arun Viswanathan
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay, thanks for that. So, it sounds like there could be some opportunities for temporary idling and cutback of production, if I heard you correctly. And then I guess just on pricing. So it sounds like you guys are being disciplined and are very much committed to bringing up your returns and enacting the price increases. So maybe you can just give us your perspective on where you are in that process. What's kind of the outlook for success on Future price increases, especially just given that oversupplied situation, I guess, is it going to depend on just kind of macro improvement, or is there anything else that you guys can take action on to, again, improve the pricing outlook? Thanks.

speaker
Tim Flanagan
Chief Executive Officer and President

Yeah, I mean, you know, so I think the pricing story is one that we've been consistently staying Thank you so much for joining us. More to come as we get into the negotiations, but I think we've seen definitely a shift in momentum for the first time in a while in the electrode space. We saw falling prices over the last few years and into Q1, and with the announced price increase and the stickiness of it that we've seen thus far, we have some momentum going into negotiations in the fourth quarter and will continue to do so. On a broader scale, with respect to the oversupply, again, I think there's still opportunity for some consolidation or supply rationalization from the market as a whole. I think we've seen a decline of about 10% in Chinese exports, and certainly that helps. But I think more broadly, too, you have to think about trade policy as well and creating a little bit of buffered regions, if you will. Think about the broader steel market as being oversupplied. Thank you very much. trade policy, as well as a little bit of supply reduction and export reductions out of China. All of those things, I think, lead to a more constructive pricing environment. And then, as Rory alluded to previously as well, you know, we're seeing higher needle coat prices, you know, in the marketplace, both in the third quarter, and I think we'll continue to see upward pressure on those into the fourth quarter. with supply issues.

speaker
Arun Viswanathan
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Great. Thanks a lot.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thanks, Rory. Your next question comes from the line of Kirk Ludke with Raymond James. Kirk, please go ahead.

speaker
Kirk Ludke
Analyst, Raymond James

Hello, Tim, Rory, Mike. Thank you for the call. Morning, Rory. I know you're holding your cost per ton guidance for this year flat, but I'm curious. You know, I know costs are, you know, at least some of your costs are headed higher, particularly electricity. And I'm wondering if you could maybe elaborate on, you know, the timing of those contracts, the lag effect, and maybe most importantly, you know, how much would realized price per ton have to go up to offset, you know, where prices, where your costs are today?

speaker
Rory O'Donnell
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Kirk. So, yeah. Certainly there are some headwinds developing. I think if you anchor yourself in our long-term view of our cash cost per ton, we're still sticking with $3,600 to $3,700 a ton. You saw a better result, of course, during the second quarter just based on our heavy production, so some of our fixed costs got thinned out. We have some fixed cost leverage there to get us down to $3,500. The quarters will be lumpy, but you Continue to anchor yourself in that 36 to 3700. When you think about the lag effect of some of the inflation that we're experiencing in the second quarter and potentially in the second half, we expect that to slowly manifest itself in our earnings, but a lot of the back half inflation, if it comes in, will most likely be a key focus. to recover beyond what the price is that we've announced so far. The price increase was announced so far. I would say that to build yourself, your question on how far do prices need to go up to cover that inflation, I say that's to be determined. If you think about our cost stack, the energy commodities type inputs to our process, I would say is about half of the cost. So there could be, you could do the math and figure out how much we'd need to increase our price to cover some of that, putting in some assumptions. As far as electricity, energy, power, gas, I want to remind you that in the EU, we actually have some fixed price contracts to cover Almost 70% of our requirements for the back half of the year between our two plants in Spain and France. So some of that volatility in the European markets, we have a little bit of a cushion against, a pretty large cushion against. So all in, holding that cash guidance is a result of our effective procurement, our timely procurement of our oils and our other petroleum-based raw materials. but also certainly we've locked in with some of the fixed price contracts on powering gas and urine.

speaker
Tim Flanagan
Chief Executive Officer and President

Yeah, Kurt, I'd just add to that. You know, the teams have done a really good job over the last three years of not only reducing our costs but really offsetting, you know, inflationary headwinds that have persisted in the market for the last few years and fully expect that we'll continue to do that. and then to add to Rory's point, there should be no expectation in the market that we're gonna bear that inflationary impact of the input costs or energy costs. Those will be passed through to customers through pricing going forward.

speaker
Kirk Ludke
Analyst, Raymond James

Great, thank you. That's helpful. How much below market do you think your, for instance, your electricity What costs are currently?

speaker
Rory O'Donnell
Chief Financial Officer

Depending on the region and the input, I would say probably 10 to 25, perhaps, percentage-wise on the base price for gas and electricity.

speaker
Tim Flanagan
Chief Executive Officer and President

It's a little hard to gauge that just given the volatility of natural gas prices here. They've spiked, dropped down significantly and spiked again.

speaker
Rory O'Donnell
Chief Financial Officer

I think that's a fair average. Around the second quarter price. End of the second quarter price. Not today.

speaker
Kirk Ludke
Analyst, Raymond James

I appreciate it. I guess your other point was everyone's experiencing the same. Do you feel like you're similarly situated vis-a-vis your competitors? Everyone's contracts are about the same. and they all roll off at about the same times.

speaker
Tim Flanagan
Chief Executive Officer and President

I don't think I can. Yeah, I'm not sure we can comment on how they're procuring energy and raw materials and such other than, you know, again, the biggest differentiator we have is vertical integration with needle coke, which is, again, 40% of our costs.

speaker
Rory O'Donnell
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, and with the Resinac and Tokai, the lack of visibility into their electrode business, I would say that You're left with the Indian producers, which do have kind of a national cost advantage to some of us or to us and others based on just their national energy programs.

speaker
Kirk Ludke
Analyst, Raymond James

Got it. Thank you. I appreciate it. And then maybe just one last one. What percentage of the U.S. market do you think will be impacted by these new duties in the U.S.? anti-dumping duties.

speaker
Tim Flanagan
Chief Executive Officer and President

Yeah, so we would typically say that 15 to 20 percent of the volume sold in the U.S. is coming from imports. So, you know, I think this presents the trade actions present not only a volume opportunity because of the desire to import and pay those tariffs. You know, the juice may not be worth the squeeze, so to speak. Conversely, it does help establish better pricing support or a price floor at a minimum that will operate prone going forward.

speaker
Kirk Ludke
Analyst, Raymond James

Great. Thank you. I appreciate it.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Bennett Moore with JP Morgan. Bennett, go ahead.

speaker
Bennett Moore
Analyst, JP Morgan

Thanks for taking my follow-up. I just wanted to Let's piggyback real quick on the energy discussion. I know, Rory, you just outlined 70% fixed in the EU through the back half, but how should we think about your hedging program or strategy next year? Have you started to lock in any of those prices? Any call you could give on that front? Thank you.

speaker
Rory O'Donnell
Chief Financial Officer

We have. We started negotiations on that recently. I would rather not give you figures since we're still involved in it, but I would say that we're aiming for similar protections as well as volume coverage. So, I mean, I guess I should leave it at that until we finalize our discussions, but we're working in the same manner with the same objectives as we were when we locked in the prices for 26.

speaker
Bennett Moore
Analyst, JP Morgan

Is it fair to assume these are at directionally higher levels versus what you locked in this year?

speaker
Rory O'Donnell
Chief Financial Officer

Yes, it's fair to assume that directionally.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the call back to Tim Flanagan, CEO and President, for closing remarks. Please go ahead, Tim.

speaker
Tim Flanagan
Chief Executive Officer and President

Thank you, Lucas. I'd like to thank everyone on this call for your interest in GravTech and look forward to speaking with you again next quarter. Have a great day.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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