VAALCO Energy, Inc.

Q2 2024 Earnings Conference Call

8/7/2024

spk01: Thank you, operator. Welcome to Valco Energy's second quarter 2024 conference call. After I cover the far-looking statements, George Maxwell, our CEO, review key highlights of the second quarter. Ron Bain, our CFO, will then provide a more in-depth financial review. George will then return for some closing comments before we take your questions. During our question and answer session, we ask you to limit your questions to one and a follow-up. You can always re-enter the queue with additional questions. I'd like to point out that we posted a supplemental investor deck on our website that has additional financial analysis, comparisons, and guidance that should be helpful. With that, let me proceed with our forward-looking statement comments. During the course of this conference call, the company will be making forward-looking statements. Investors are cautioned that forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance, and those actual results or developments may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements. Valco disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. These and other risks are described in our earnings release, the presentation posted on our website, and in the reports we file with the SEC, including our F-110K. Please note that this conference call is being recorded. With that, let me turn the call over to George.
spk07: Thank you, Al. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our second quarter, 2024 earnings conference call. We began 2024 with positive operational and financial results, including strong earnings and adjusted EBITDAX generation. Operational excellence and delivering consistent production is key to allowing us to grow adjusted EBITDAX. For the past two years, we have met or exceeded our quarterly production guidance. We are executing at a high level and continue to deliver results in line or above our guidance. This is due to strong drilling and workable results in Canada and Egypt, coupled with strong uptime in Gabon. Also, in the second quarter, we closed the Svenska acquisition at the end of April, which helped us to increase our earnings to over $28 million or 27 cents per share and grow adjusted EBITDAX to $72.5 million. We continued to return cash to our shareholders in Q2, 2024 through our quarterly dividend, and we announced a third quarter dividend as well. I would now like to go through and give a quick update on our diverse portfolio of high quality assets, beginning with our newest asset in Côte d'Ivoire. We quickly and efficiently closed the Svenska acquisition in an all cash deal for $40.2 million on April 30th, 2024. Our team traveled to Côte d'Ivoire to meet directly with the Ministry of Hydrocarbons to officially introduce Falco as the new partner in Block CI40. This acquisition is highly attractive on key shareholder metrics, provides another strong asset to support future growth and has significant upside potential. We added a solid asset with reserves that exceeded our initial estimates, and we did so at a very attractive price. Based on the results of our third party reserve engineers, we have SEC net proved reserves as at year end 2023 of 16.9 million barrels of oil equivalent with 93% oil. Our previous 1P working interest CPR reserves were 13 million barrels of oil equivalent. This 30% increase in reserves further justifies the acquisition and improves the metrics associated with the purchase. We are working with the operator of Côte d'Ivoire and will provide additional information in the second half of 2024 on the Baobab FPSO project planned in 2025 and future Baobab drilling plans. Turning to Canada, we successfully drilled four wells in the first quarter of 2024, completed those wells in March and April and bought the wells online. As a reminder, we drilled longer laterals to improve the economics of the program and all four wells are 2.75 mile laterals. Three of the four wells had very strong initial rates with IP 30 rates exceeding our type curve and one of the wells below our type curve. To show the impact of these new wells, in Q1 our Canadian production was about 60% liquid and in Q2 our Canadian production was about .5% and with approximately 75% liquids. The strong oil production has rebalanced production in Canada more in favor of liquids which contributes to the strong production performance and our overall profitability. As the wells continue to produce, they're coming in line with our type curve and we are optimistic about the future drilling potential in Canada. As I mentioned last call, we're also targeting an exploration of praesal wells in the third quarter of 2024 in our southern acreage. In our southern acreage, we have minimal horizontal subsurface information and this exploration well is successful to prove up additional long lateral wells in the future with the potential to add proved undeveloped locations. In Egypt, as we disclosed last quarter, the first half of 2024 is focused on high rate of return capital work over projects to help mitigate decline. As you saw in the earnings release, we had four re-completions in the second quarter with some very strong results, adding about 800 barrels of oil per day when you combine the four IP30 rates. In addition to the successful workovers, I am very proud of a major milestone that we accomplished in the first half of 2024 in Egypt. We have gone over two million man hours without a lost time incident completing in the third quarter of this year. This is a testament to our commitment to safety, training and dedication of all of our people in the field. As I mentioned on the last call, we have 10 to 15 well drilling program that we are currently evaluating in Egypt. This project remains contingent on completion of the program evaluation and confirmation of a drilling rate. We have not included this program or 2024 capex guidance and won't add it until confirmed. However, if we proceed with the program, we anticipate additional capex of approximately $9.5 million, which will also generate additional production. We will see some additional production in 2024. However, the bulk of the additional production will impact early 2025 production. We have seen some positive announcements from the government in 2024, in particular payment of age receivables, which is very encouraging. We'll go into more details regarding the Egyptian receivables. Turning to Gabon, in the second quarter production was impacted by an Abuma platform issue. Operationally, we had a planned maintenance turnaround in Abuma in the third quarter, but due to the platform issue, we moved that forward into Q2. This issue was addressed and the platform was brought back online safely, and we will not have the turnaround now in the third quarter. You will notice that our Q3 production midpoint for Gabon is actually above the Q2 production of just under 7,500 barrels per day due to the movement of the turnaround at Abuma. Given that we haven't drilled well in Gabon in over a year, we are pleased with the positive overall production results and strong production uptime and improved decline curves on the wells. The FSO and field reconfiguration projects in 2022 have allowed us to minimize downtime, capture efficiency, and reduce overall optics. Looking ahead to 2025, we have prepared a firm seven-well program that we plan to initiate first half 2025, subject to securing a drilling rig. The proposed program includes an info well and exploration well in the Tami, a Gamba info well and a gas well for fuel-fuel supply at SENT, which will reduce our dependency on diesel and reduce optics, and two workover wells and a redrill of three-eighths on Nibori. We have completed the analysis on Nibori that we have highlighted in previous quarters. We will conduct two workovers on existing wells and drill one new well to increase production from Nibori that will be treated with this chemical process. The study has indicated that downhill chemical injection can adequately cover the sweetening of the crude, and therefore, we anticipate that the more costly capex option for a full CFP will not be required. This is a positive outcome that should allow the company to access contingent resources and place these back into reserves upon completion. Subject to contracting, we plan to initiate the program in late Q1, early Q2 2025, and expect the campaign to continue throughout 2025. We will provide more detail on capex and volumes when we present our 2025 budget and guidance. Our expected capex spend for 2024 on long-lead items remains as previously noted between 30 and $40 million. Further discussions on Blocks G and H have taken place, and we have included the signature bonuses in our 2024 capex forecast. On 25th of March, 2024, we announced the finalization of documents in Equatorial Guinea related to the Venus Block P Plan of Development. The finalization of these agreements included a carry arrangement of the partners Atlas and Z Patrol. This arrangement is on commercial terms at SOFA plus 7%, which at today's rates is about 12.5%. This improves our one-p economics on those previously announced, and we have included an illustration of that in our accompanying slide deck. We will now proceed with our front-end engineering design or feed study. We anticipate the completion of the feed will lead to an economic final investment decision, or FID, which will enable the development of Venus. We are excited to proceed with our plans to develop, operate, and begin production from the discovery in Block P offshore Equatorial Guinea over the next few years. We look forward to discussing this new area of operations in more detail once the feed study is complete. In the first half of 2024, we have delivered or exceeded our guidance operationally and with solid financial results that have outpaced analyst expectations. We remain focused on growing production, reserves, and value for our shareholders. I would like to thank our hardworking team who continue to operate and execute our plans. Over the past two years, we have greatly diversified our portfolio, which has expanded our ability to generate operational cash flow, all while growing our cash position and remaining bank debt-free. We are well positioned to execute the projects in our enhanced portfolio, and our proven track record of success these past few years to instill confidence in our future. With that, I would like to turn the call over to Roland to share our financial results. Thank you,
spk08: George, and good morning, everyone. I will provide some insight into the drivers for our financial results with a focus on the key points. Let me begin by echoing George's comments about our continued success into 2024, driven by our strong operational performance. The second quarter also saw some positive impact from the Svenskaft position, including our first listing in Cote d'Ivoire in May. We generated $28.2 million in net income, or 27 cents per share, and around $72.5 million in adjusted EBITDAX, both significant increases over the first quarter. Let's turn to production and sales, which along with realized pricing drives our revenue. As George mentioned, we've met or exceeded production guidance for the past two years with production and sales up for the second quarter, driven by incorporating the Cote d'Ivoire volumes following the closing of the acquisition. We completed the lifting in Cote d'Ivoire in May and received payment in June. Total NRI sales for the quarter increased to 19,386 barrels of oil equivalent per day, above the midpoint of our guidance with production of 20,588 at the higher end of guidance. I'd like to reiterate that with a diversified portfolio of assets, we will have changes from quarter to quarter in the mix of sales from each of our producing areas. This change in mix impacts our realized pricing and ultimately our revenue and earnings. But if you look at the bigger picture, and over the full year, you'll see the impressive growth across our expanding portfolio of producing assets. Pricing remains solid in Q2, and our hedging program has always looked to help mitigate risk and protect our commitment to Sheholder return. Our current hedge positions were disclosed in the earnings release. Turning to costs. Our production costs for the second quarter of 2024 were impacted by a $15 million non-cash purchase price adjustment in Cote d'Ivoire. According to GAP rules, inventory purchased in the acquisition was marked to market at the time of the purchase and when the lifting occurred in May, prices had dropped, but the corresponding expense is recorded to production expense. Without this acquisition related non-cash adjustment, Valco would have been below the midpoint of our Q2 production expense guidance. We believe that Cote d'Ivoire production expense on an ongoing basis will be around $3 million net per month. Our focus remains on capturing synergies and keeping our costs low to enable us to maximize margins and increase our cash flow. GMA costs were also in line with guidance. Although they rose on an absolute basis, driven by our growth, on a per-barrel basis, they were virtually flat with Q1 2024. We commenced a back-office process improvement project with the implementation of a single cloud-based ERP across the whole company that will go live in Q3 2024 and should allow us to streamline processes and efficiently work across multiple offices located across the world. Non-cash DDNA costs increase quarter over quarter, primarily due to increased depletion costs associated with the addition of Cote d'Ivoire. Compared to the same quarter in the prior year, we saw a decrease in the absolute on per-barrel DDNA costs due to lower depletable costs in Gabon, Egypt, and Canada, and partially offset by the addition of Cote d'Ivoire. Moving to taxes, and as I've previously stated, in Gabon, our foreign income taxes are settled by the government through in-kind oil liftings. Last call, we discussed that we would have a government lifting in May. In Q2, we settled $30.2 million in foreign income taxes for Gabon through the government taking their oil barrels as payment in-kind. We've discussed our -to-market of the in-kind oil in the past. With the lifting in Q2, the amount of in-kind oil has been reset, so in the near term, price fluctuations will not have as significant of an impact to our tax liability until the quantity of barrels of in-kind oil begins to build back up. Tax costs in the second quarter of about $9.3 million resulted in an effective tax rate of about 25% in the quarter. This was lower than prior quarters and driven by non-deductible items, such as the Svenska transaction costs, the Gabonese state lifting settling, and the bargain gain associated with the Svenska transaction. Excluding the bargain gain, the effective tax rate is 53% for the quarter. Our new projected effective tax rate over the long term, excluding discrete items, the range is 55 to 60%. Turning now to the balance sheet and the cash flow statement. Unrestricted cash at the end of the second quarter was $62.9 million, which was down compared to the first quarter due to several factors. In Q2, we paid $40.2 million for the Svenska acquisition. We spent $32.5 million in cash capex and returned $6.5 million through dividends to our shareholders. I'd also like to point out that we settled $30.2 million in taxes in Gabon through an in-kind oil lifting, which means the government received the cash associated with this lifting rather than Valco settling it and receiving the cash proceeds as we normally would. I'd like to point out that there's some noise in the cash flow statement regarding the Svenska acquisition. We have a slide in the supplemental deck showing a waterfall to help to explain the movements. In the investing activities, you will see $40.6 million cash received in business combination. This was cash that Svenska had on the books to piece seller accrued liabilities that flowed through the operating activities section that Valco assumed with the purchase. Last call, we discussed likely working capital movements, primarily related to Egypt. In the second quarter of 2024, we sold all Egyptian production domestically, which drove our June accounts receivable higher. Following the end of the quarter, we did receive in early July an 8 million cash payment for Egyptian accounts receivable. Additionally, EGPC has now provided written confirmation and recognized our invoice in the June payables related to the contractual backdated receivable from the merger of the PSCs of approximately $40 million. This is a major step forward and with EGPC demonstrating through March and July back payments to IOCs and with the new oil minister prioritizing resolving the age payable situation, we are pleased to continue to work with the Egyptian government, which has made a concentrated effort to reduce its backdated bill payables in 2024. As has been the case since the third quarter of 2018, we're cutting no bank debt and have credit facilities available to continue to build value. In Q2, 2024, Falco paid a quarterly cash dividend of six and a quarter cents per common share or six and a half million dollars absolute. In 2024, we have now returned almost $20 million in shareholder returns. We also announced the third dividend payment of the year, which will be paid in September. Let me now turn to guidance, where I'll give you some key highlights and updates. I want to remind you that guidance now includes the recently closed FENSK acquisition, which only affected two months for the second quarter and the full impact will be seen in the third quarter. Also, our full guidance breakout is in the earnings release and in our supplemental slide deck on our website with production breakout of both working interest and net revenue interest by asset area. For the total company, we're forecasting Q3, 2024 production to be between 24,900 and 27,600 work in interest barrel of oil equivalent per day and between 20,300 and 22,800 NRI barrels of oil equivalent per day. This is up compared to the second quarter due to the full impact of the FENSK acquisition and due to the Gibon turnaround timing that George discussed. For the full year, 2024, we're now forecasting our total company production to remain unchanged between 23,600 and 26,500 work in interest barrels of oil equivalent per day and between 18,900 and 21,400 NRI barrels of oil equivalent per day. Looking at production by asset for the full year, we are expecting natural decline in Gibon and Egypt, although the capital work program in the first half of the year in Egypt has helped to mitigate some decline. In Canada, we're seeing year over year growth from our drilling campaign and in Cote d'Ivoire, we're reflecting operations from May through to December in our full year numbers. For the third quarter and the full year 2024, we're assuming our sales will be more or less in line with our production. Our absolute operating costs are expected to go down compared to Q2 due to the non-cash purchase price adjustment and operating costs that drove costs higher in Q2. Normalizing for the adjustment, then adding expected quarterly running costs, this will go up for the full year due to the normal operational expenses in Cote d'Ivoire. Taking all this into consideration, we are projecting our per barrel of oil equivalent range to decrease due to the additional Cote d'Ivoire volume. We're also expecting flat to slightly lower absolute G&A as we noted previously. Finally, looking at CAPEX, our 2024 capital spend is between $115 and $140 million as we prepare for the 2025 FPSO change out, the anticipated next drilling campaign in Gabon and the largely completed Canadian 2024 drilling program. For the third quarter, we are expecting a range of between $32 million and $1,000 million and $54 million for our CAPEX. In closing, we are executing on our strategy and adding meaningful value. With this French acquisition, we are forecasting a meaningful increase in production and sales. We should also increase our ability to generate additional adjusted EBITDAX and operational cash flow in the second half of 2024. We are very well positioned to execute and fund a robust capital program across multiple producing assets over the next several years. With that, I'll now turn the call back over to George.
spk07: Thanks Ron. We will continue to execute our strategy focused on operating efficiently, investing prudently, maximizing our asset base and looking for a creative opportunities. As you have heard this morning, the first half of 2024 has been very profitable. We have generated $35.8 million or 34 cents per share in net income and almost $135 million in adjusted EBITDAX. With the closing of the Svenska acquisition at the end of April, we will see a positive impact to production, sales, OPEX per barrel of oil equivalent, operational cash flow and adjusted EBITDAX for the second half of the year. Looking across our asset base, we are pleased with the Canadian drilling results. We are planning the drilling campaign at Atami and we are progressing the feed study in Equatorial Guinea and optimizing production while executing workovers in Egypt. Our entire organization is actively working to deliver sustainable growth and strong results. I believe we have gained credibility over the past two years having delivered on our commitments to the market and to our shareholders and we will continue to deliver with the exciting slate of projects that we have over the next few years. We are in an enviable financial position with no bank debt and even a stronger portfolio producing assets with future upside potential. In addition to funding our capital program, we have remained focused on returning value to our shareholders. In Q2 2024, we returned over $6 million to our shareholders through dividends. We are on pace to deliver a further 25 cents per share annual dividend for 2024 matching what we paid out in 2023, which our current share price is a dividend yield of about 4%. As Ron discussed, our 2024 guidance has the Svenska acquisition incorporated with strong production and sales expected to continue. We are truly excited about the future and Valco now has multiple producing areas and future prospects that have diversified our risk profile and our sources of income. We are confident in our ability to execute on the many projects ahead largely because we have been highly successful over the past two years developing and growing our assets. Our disciplined approach to maximizing value for our shareholders by delivering growth in production, reserves and cashflow has led to outstanding results thus far and we believe that we will carry that momentum into the remainder of 2024 and beyond. Thank you and with that operator, we are ready to take questions.
spk04: Yes, thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. If anytime your question has been addressed and you'd like to withdraw it, please press star then two. During the question and answer session, we also limit yourself to questions to one and a follow-up. You can always re-enter the queue for additional questions. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble the roster. And the first question comes from Stefan Fruscho with Actis Advisors.
spk09: Hi, guys. Thanks for taking my question. I've got two. The first one is about the receivable in Egypt and particularly the agreement that has been signed. Does this $40 million and $50 million that has been agreed, is it already on the balance sheet at the end of June or would that be something that would be added by when the end of September comes in? That was my first question. And my second question is around the exploration program in Canada, UNH2. What sort of volume median barrel could be the risk potentially by this program just to have sort of an idea of the order of magnitude? Thank you.
spk07: Thanks, Stefan. I'll leave the long answer to the first question and once he's done that, I'll come back on the second one.
spk08: Hi, thanks, George. Stefan, yeah. In relation to the Egyptian receivable, that's the backdated contractual receivable that was basically there for when we took over Transglobe. So it was booked prior to us purchasing Transglobe and we've been looking for resolution for that really since day one in October 2022. It's been a long path to take but we've managed to get to the position now where we've got the documentation, we've got an agreement through all of the departments in EGPC and effectively we're in the signing process in relation to each of those areas now. But the invoice has actually been cut. The values have been agreed and they have recognized and given us written confirmation that the net receivable is now sitting there at the end of June 2024 on their payables too. So it's like anything else, it has to be on their payables register before there's any chance of you getting any payment at all. And I'm glad to see we've succeeded on that part.
spk09: Sorry, I meant is that already in the balance sheet of Valco as receivable or not? That's what I meant rather than EGPC.
spk07: Ron, do you hear that? Okay, we might have lost you on but I'll answer the second question, Stefan. So with the exploration well and the southern acreage in Canada, what we're trying to do is about a year or so ago, some of the wealth performance came below the tight curve and we lost some reserves there although we did gain in the north. And what we're looking to do is reestablish those reserves with this exploration well. Roughly, I think it's between eight to 12 million barrels we're looking to try and reestablish and that would open a play for further drilling in the southern acreage. So we're quite encouraged by looking at this well that we hope to spend in September and that will further enhance the program going into 2025.
spk09: Great, that's a wonderful thing, George.
spk04: Thank you. And the next question comes from Chris Wheaton with Stiffel.
spk06: Thank you, George, good afternoon. In Ron's absence, I think we're probably, I'll ask you a slightly different question which was equatorial Guinea, it's good to see progress there for second half, progress towards FID. Can you update on the timing after that though? At what point do you see moving towards actual first construction and therefore first oil? And also if they need to update the cost of the development or likely cost of the development given that we still seem to be in an inflationary environment for offshore services at the moment?
spk07: Okay, I don't, as I think I've mentioned before, what we did initially about 18 months ago was put together the plan of development and that was fully costed. And that was fully costed with three wells plus a capex spend for a mopu and it was somewhere around about a gross spend of $280 million. The plan going through the feed study is to kind of reduce that capex and swap capex for offex because it's much more tax efficient. Given the short tenure of this development. So there is a little bit of adjustment that we're trying to achieve through this feed study to reduce the capex down to around about $160 million level gross and increase the offex position through the lease of the mopu. Now, of course there are some inflationary pressures still on services. However, part of the output from the feed study will be looking at particularly opportunities where we can have some of the older jack up rigs converted into a mopu and go through the lease arrangements. And as you're aware, there are quite a few of those units available here in the United States. So right now, I wouldn't be advising that we need to increase any of the cost profile. I'm kind of hoping that we get to a point where for Equatorial Guinea, we get to FID and we get into a plan structure that may allow us to piggyback on the Gabon campaign and allow Equatorial Guinea to come in on the back of that, which would be mid to late 26 for drilling, which would then allow us to look at first oil sometime in 27.
spk06: Brilliant, that's really helpful. Thank you, George. I'll leave it there.
spk04: Thank you. Thank you. And the next question comes from Jeff Robertson with Water Tower Research.
spk05: Thank you. George, in Cote d'Ivoire, do you have any additional detail with the operator on the timeline for the FPSO changeout from what you've provided in the past? And while the FPSO is upstation, will there be any significant operating costs in CI or will all the costs incurred be on the capital cost lines?
spk07: Yeah, that's a good question, Jeff. I mean, obviously the operator's having those discussions right now. At the moment, we have no change to what we initiated, which was a Q1 shutdown in 2025 for the vessel to leave station. We do not anticipate any significant outbreaks. In fact, we're looking at retaining those operating costs being capitalized during the period of 2025. Those discussions are still ongoing because we'll retain those as part of the project costs. But obviously there are ongoing costs for retaining the presence in CDI, but that won't be significant. The main focus will be on the FPSO refurbishment and the timeline to get it back on station, which we'll go through into 2026. As I said in my commentary earlier, when we come to finalize that position with the operator and finalize our position in timing of the 2025 drilling program, at that point later this year, when we come to give budgeting guidance for 2025, we can be a lot more specific and detailed on, and we will provide that detailed project plan slide to let everyone see when it's planned for the vessel to leave and when it's planned for it to come back, where it's going, and the cost structures around that. And that will be linked to obviously the 2025 capital program for GIMM-1 as well. So it's gonna be probably towards the end of this year, we'll be able to give more detail there. But from the look at our ability to execute and fund that, our confidence levels remain extremely high. As Ron mentioned, we are debt free, but we do have debt lines available to, and also attaching the balance sheet to more than covers through that period.
spk05: In Egypt, Ron talked about progress with aged payables with EGPC, can you provide any color on discussions around being able to sell oil into the export market as opposed to the domestic market?
spk07: Yeah, a little bit. As you can tell, we're quite a small management team, so we're actually in different parts of the planet right now. And the reason we do that is to make sure we can always have a senior management team member meeting with various governments. And Thor, our CEO, is currently meeting with the minister in Egypt as we speak in Alexandria. So I'm waiting for the outcome of that discussion. We have initiated in detail what our investment plans are for Egypt, and I've mentioned that with the potential of a 15-mile drilling program. And, but we're looking to see how we optimize both the commitment that the minister has made to tackle the aged receivables on EGPC, he made that statement publicly. We've seen them looking to co-operatively pay down 20% of age balances, which is encouraging, but as you're aware, it's not sufficient to make sure we can charge ahead with an accelerated investment, and we're looking to see that position improve. At the moment, we don't, and we have not forecast for export cargoes, we don't see that possibility at the moment because of the position with the type of crude we have. Initially, they could not refine that crude, but that's now not the case. They are refining the rascada crude in country. So for the rest of this year, we're looking at domestic sales. But in saying that, we're still encouraged with the profiles and opportunities that we see in Egypt. We just need to see just a little bit of, as I think I said at one point, to move it from a great deal to a compelling one.
spk05: Thank
spk01: you. George, I was texting with Ron after he got disconnected early and he confirmed that the receivable was on the books for Valco before now. So for Stefan's question, yes, the receivable was already booked. And I think Ron's trying to get back in on that. I'm not sure if he's actually made it back in. Yeah,
spk08: I'll get back on the Cursor Mode and travel and communications, but back online.
spk01: Okay, great.
spk04: Thank you. And the next question comes from Charlie Sharp with Canaccord.
spk03: Yes, good morning, good afternoon, wherever you are gentlemen. Thanks for the presentation, very helpful. I just wanted to clarify, if I may, the wells that you're planning to drill in Gabon next year and when you might be able to provide some guidance to us on what sort of production you might expect from those additional wells. Thank you.
spk07: No problem, Charlie. I kind of give a very brief overview of the wells we're planning. At the moment, we've got seven wells firm. We've also got further five wells contingent that we will look or may include in the program. With regard to volumes and guidance, that's probably gonna come out in our November call as we start to give more guidance into 2025. But the effective way are a mixture of step out wells and one or two, an exploration well and then the redevelopment around Aguri, which is the key pick up. On a volumetric basis, what we're targeting is probably somewhere well north of six to eight million barrels of additional reserves coming in through the initial program, excluding the position on the gas well. We've been, that's a risk position and I'm kind of hopeful that we'll see a little bit of improvement on that through Aguri, given what we lost on reserves that went to contingent resource. So there may be a little bit of pick up on that, but we'll continue to study that. But that's more likely to be in November before we can land on the exact well sequencing and exactly what the IP rates were forecasting and the final reserve positions we're targeting.
spk03: That's very helpful, thanks. And just finally, and one for Ron if he's still on. I think the operating costs for full year 24, you've indicated are higher than you had previously. I just wanted to be sure that I understood if that was really related to the Svenska acquisition or was there something else that I was missing?
spk08: Yeah, just in my script, I think there, Charlie, I mentioned that in Q2, you see production costs have gone up and that's really in relation to the Svenska acquisition because they had inventory of crude oil on the FDSO on the 30th of April when we purchased the company. So that effectively means that that crude oil is marked to market, it's basically valued at market price. And then of course we produced and then we sold in May. And so when we do that, and from an accounting point of view, you roll through that marked to market cost at the market price. So that's really bumped our costs up by about 15 million, one five in the quarter. And it will obviously, it's non-recurring and it's non-casual, you will not see it there in each of the other quarters. I also mentioned in my opening comments that we would typically see that that net cost, that production cost in Cote d'Ivoire would run about $3 million per month, $9 million net.
spk03: Very helpful, thank you.
spk08: Thank
spk03: you.
spk04: Thank you, and the next question comes from Bill Zarone with Titan Capital.
spk02: Thank you, George, would you please circle back to your comments about the HUS wells and what it is that you are going to be doing there and the timeline that you anticipate those may be able to be turned back into production?
spk07: Yeah, no problem Bill. I mean, we've, as I mentioned, completed the study where we can now sweeten that through down-hole chemical injection rather than a more cost and mechanical process. So that is very good news. And that's based on the existing modeling structure we have. Obviously, as we come into the campaign and we start to add more wells in the brewery into production, we'll be able to revise and update that model with more subsurface data that's coming in through the production profile. Right now, these wells, from a sequencing standpoint, we're planning them at the back end of the campaign and that's primarily due to being able to get the quality of completion equipment we need for several treatment down-hole. So those lead times are quite extensive, up to 12 months and beyond. So they'll be at the back end of the program, of course, given that they are reasonably prolific wells if we can pull those forward by the equipment arriving earlier, then we will certainly do that and do that work on the Bode platform as early as possible. But as I say, at the moment, they're at the back end of the program to allow for LLIs to be delivered on time.
spk02: And would you please remind us what the total shut-in production is on those H2S wells?
spk07: Well, when they were shut in, they were shut in but one of them is actually still in production at the moment, the Abroly-2H, and that's the one we've been using as the test piece for the sweetening program for down-hole chemicals. But it was shut in, I think, and this goes back to 2014, so I'd have to check my numbers, but I think it was about three to four thousand barrels a day that got shut in.
spk02: And it is just one well now that's shut in due to H2S?
spk07: It's only one well that's in production right now. The other wells are shut in. What we're planning to do is we will do some work on the existing well to make it more efficient when it comes to the down-hole chemical injection, make sure the line is fully functioning, and that will be an enhancement to that particular well's production. We will then also do a side track on the three, what was the 3H well, and move that to a more favorable location within the reservoir. And then we've got to rerun the completion on 4H, to give it, and that's one of the reasons that we need that specialized equipment. So those are the three, one side track redrill and two workovers that are planned to get that ability production back up to optimum levels.
spk02: And then you will be drilling additional wells at Avuri also to enhance the production there beyond bringing those wells back online through the recompelations. Do we understand that correctly?
spk07: There are potential additional Booty wells in the contingent program, but we need to get these three wells up and running first. That will determine where we go next.
spk02: Understood, thank you. Appreciate the time and congratulations on a solid core. Thanks, Bill.
spk07: George, I was
spk08: just gonna add a little bit of color to Bill there as well. In relation to it being shut in, Bill being a long-term shareholder, those wells were shut in when Valgo had a much smaller working interest in those reserves. Now we're bringing them back on, we're bringing them back on at nearly 60% working interest. So kind of for curious in that way too that we shut in without position and hopefully we'll now be able to flow it without the greater working interest coming into Valgo.
spk02: Actually, Ron, that's a great point which I had overlooked. So with that in mind, what is the, if the wells were to flow at the flow rate that they had at the time they were shut in, but taking into account your now greater working interest, what is the total production that you would expect from those wells?
spk07: Yeah, what I was saying before, Bill, in the four to six thousand barrel lanes was what I was giving you in our position. So I already factored that in. So from a working interest perspective. But yeah, I mean the key here for me is getting this field back in production with multiple drainage points and then having that history match opportunity to study that against the existing model, see where our model inaccuracies lies, because no model is perfect, and what does that give us for additional opportunities for filling thereafter. And that's where sequencing, we wouldn't have enough time wherever we place the wells, but they are where we can do the ability program for me the better because there may be some additional contingent opportunities there at the end of the program.
spk02: Great, thank you both for that, I appreciate it.
spk04: Thank you, and the next question is for Stefan Foucault with Octus Advisors.
spk09: Yes, thank you again, two quick follow on clarification. The first one is about Egypt, you talked about the fact that you're looking for a drink for the second part of the year, is that the only condition to go back to drink, because they had in mind that someone that you would need to have an export cargo, which I understand is not required anymore, but maybe there are some other things like payment from Egypt or so forth that would be overconditioned to go back to drink, so confirmation would be great. And second for Ron, the $160 million of all the current capabilities, it's a big jump compared to I think last time. Is that purely related to the code of acquisition or is there something that's beyond the interest? Thank you.
spk07: Okay, I'll jump on to the Egypt one, you're correct, and I think as I said previously, we're looking for some kind of pick up to make sure that the drilling program in Egypt goes from extreme economic and exciting to compelling, and anything that becomes compelling we execute immediately. There is still the condition of the drilling rig, we need to make sure we can get the right rig supplier that works for the types of wells and for the economics that we do in Egypt, we've got that identified, we're having discussions with that right now, so, but the rig is not yet secured. And so yeah, there is a mix of, we were looking for export cargoes, as I explained in the previous answer, that the export cargoes are probably not available given that the crude can now be refined in Egypt, so we're looking to see how quickly these investment profiles have returned to the existing position we get, and hopefully we'll get some positive feedback from Paul's visit to the minister today, and see how we can not just execute this program, but enhance and accelerate our investment positions inside Egypt, because the opportunities are there, and we'd be very keen to take them up. So, to answer your question, yes, we've no longer said we must have an export cargo, because we understand the changes in the profile and content, but we are looking to see how, as we invest this money, how it's going to be returned. I'll leave Ron to answer the next one.
spk08: Yeah, no problem, George. Stefan, the increase in accrued liabilities are there up to 116, if I've picked your question up correctly, yes, predominantly that is in relation to, obviously, the Svenska transaction coming in. What I would give some color to that, I mean, obviously, the breakdown will be in our 10Q when it comes out tonight, and when you look at that, there's probably about half of it is replaced every period, so it's turning over, and about half of it is probably more of a long-term item. It's certainly not going into next year, but it certainly would not look to move in Q2, sorry, Q3.
spk09: Great, thank you very much.
spk04: Thank you, and this concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn our conference back over to George Maxwell for any closing comments.
spk07: Thank you very much, Alfredo, and thank you for everyone that attended today's conference call and listened to our activities and operations for Q2. We've had another solid quarter. We're halfway through Q3. We've got a lot of activities ongoing for the rest of 2024. I think with the acquisitions and the D-Risk profile we have now, when you look at the activities that we're planning on each of our producing assets and non-producing assets, we have a number of organic catalysts that will excite both the market and excite both our staff and our hardworking staff to get these things executed for us. So we've got a lot of work to do. We've got a lot of things upcoming, but we've achieved part of our objective in creating a profile and a portfolio that gives this company decades of longevity, and that's very exciting for us. So I'd like to thank everyone for their attendance, and we look forward to talking to you again in November for Q3. Thank you.
spk04: Thank you. The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. I'm going to now disconnect your lines.
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