2/27/2025

speaker
Michelle
Operator

Good afternoon and welcome to the Edison International Fourth Quarter 2024 Financial Teleconference. My name is Michelle and I will be your operator today. When we get to the question and answer session, if you have a question, press star one on your phone. Today's call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Sam Ramraj, Vice President of Investor Relations. Mr. Ramraj, you may begin your conference.

speaker
Sam Ramraj
Vice President of Investor Relations

Thank you, Michelle, and welcome, everyone. Our speakers today are President and Chief Executive Officer Pedro Pizarro and Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Maria Rigotti. Also on the call are other members of the management team. Materials supporting today's call are available at www.edisoninvestor.com. These include a Form 10-K prepared to marks from Pedro and Maria and the teleconference presentation. Tomorrow, we will distribute our regular business update presentation. During this call, we'll make forward-looking statements about the outlook for Edison International and its subsidiaries. Actual results could differ materially from current expectations. Important factors that could cause different results are set forth in our SEC filings. Please read these carefully. The presentation includes certain outlook assumptions as well as reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the nearest GAAP measure. During the question and answer session, Please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. I will now turn the call over to Pedro.

speaker
Pedro Pizarro
President and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks a lot, Sam, and good afternoon, everyone. Let me start by saying that our hearts continue to be with everyone who's been impacted by the recent Southern California wildfires, including our own 18 team members who lost their homes. We are so grateful for the first responders, our colleagues, and all the community partners who have begun the long recovery process. Edison's number one value and priority remains safety, and that means the safety of the public, safety of our customers, and the safety of our team members. SCE continues to make tremendous progress as it works diligently on reconstruction after the Eaton and Palisades fires. Turning to the Eaton fire, its cost remains undetermined, and the investigation continues and is complex. SCE is examining the available evidence to help determine potential causes of ignition, including the possibility of being linked to SCE's equipment. Engineers, photogrammetrists, meteorologists, and other experts are reviewing images, videos, and other information as part of this review. We anticipate the full investigation will take several months or longer to complete, and there isn't a discrete timeline for the county or SCE to complete their respective investigations. For example, one valuable next step involves further examination and testing of the idle transmission line near the reported point of origin to examine the equipment for things like arc marks or missing metal, but this may still take many weeks as it requires agreeing on a protocol with plaintiff's attorneys and other interested stakeholders. We are committed to being transparent throughout this process. While this investigation is ongoing, we believe that SCE is a reasonable operator of its electric system. Importantly, the Commission has recognized in numerous decisions that the prudence standard does not demand perfection. We believe that prudence derives from the soundness of the utility's decision-making process, and whether its overall policies and systems and practices are consistent with actions of a reasonable utility. and there is CPUC precedent supporting our interpretation. If it is determined that SCE's transmission equipment was associated with the ignition of the Eaton Fire, based on the information we have reviewed thus far, we are confident that SCE would make a good faith showing that its conduct with respect to its transmission facilities in the Eaton Canyon area was consistent with actions of a reasonable utility. That is the standard by which the utility is judged, as written into statute by AB 1054. Page 3 provides a number of helpful links that pertain to information about SCE's wildfire mitigation, company disclosures, legislation, and other resources. The catastrophic impact of the recent wildfires underscores the importance of grid resiliency and the actions SCE has taken to harden its system to support the communities it serves. SCE continues to execute its robust, risk-prioritized wildfire mitigation plan, which is approved by California's Office of Energy Infrastructure Safety and ratified by the CPUC. This has significantly bolstered efforts to protect against wildfire threats and to respond when they happen. SCE has now installed more than 6,400 miles of covered conductor and has hardened nearly 90% of its distribution lines in high-fire risk areas. This is in addition to significant investments in operational measures in transmission and distribution, such as vegetation management and the extensive network of weather stations and high-definition AI-enabled wildfire cameras that provide greater situational awareness for SCE and fire agencies. We will continue to invest in SCE's important work to make its system safer for its customers and communities. On the regulatory framework, SCE has received timely approval of its safety certification each year, which provides a presumption of prudency and a cap on the liability to reimburse the wildfire fund. We have confidence in the fund, and we believe it is working as intended to protect wildfire victims, customers, and investors. The fund has $21 billion of claim-paying capacity and has largely been unused by California IOUs. Let me also emphasize that the fund provides liquidity for paying claims. Thus, in the event a utility were to need to make claims payments, it would not have to use its balance sheet. Turning to the legislative front, California has consistently demonstrated a strong commitment to supporting customers and the investor-owned utilities that serve them. Over my own 25-year career at Edison, I have personally witnessed the state's leadership during challenging times, from the energy crisis in the early 2000s to the urgent need to develop new generation resources in the mid-2000s, managing through the financial crisis in 2008, dealing with natural gas spikes in the mid-2010s, and guiding the state through the COVID pandemic. Importantly, Governor Newsom led the charge in 2019, along with his colleagues in the legislature, to pass and implement AB 1054, and that is the model among all states to address wildfire risk. If we conclude SCE's equipment ignited the Eton Fire, which was then fanned by hurricane force winds in spite of firefighters' best efforts, this catastrophe is precisely what AB 1054 was designed to address recognizing wildfire risk will never be zero. This legislation reshaped the regulatory and financial landscape by balancing wildfire cost recovery with utility accountability and customer protections. Multiple stakeholders benefit, and I want to focus on three broad areas. First, customer and community safety benefit from the risk reduction achieved through the WMP and safety certification process. Second, Communities that suffer losses related to wildfires associated with utility equipment have a funding source for claims payments. And third, investor-owned utilities that participate in the fund benefit from a structure that provides liquidity for claims payments, a clear prudence standard, and a liability cap, all of which support financial stability and long-term investment in the grid at the most affordable cost to customers. The magnitude of the recent wildfires has brought the long-term durability of the fund into focus. We have been actively engaged in conversations with key stakeholders, including other utilities, the governor's office, and legislative leaders to find solutions to support the safety of the community, effectively manage customer costs, and reinforce investor confidence in California's utilities. We are confident policymakers will make the enhancements needed to strengthen the industry-leading AB 1054 regulatory framework. Before moving on to our financial results, I'd like to note an addition to our board of directors that was announced last week. Former U.S. Secretary of Energy Jennifer Granholm will join the board of directors of both EIX and SCE. Jennifer has deep expertise in energy technology, energy policy, safety, and sustainability. We are thrilled that she is joining our boards And we look forward to the guidance she will provide based on her understanding of the technical and political and economic forces shaping our industry today. I know Jennifer has many organizations seeking her time, so I appreciate her vote of confidence in our company's strong future. For 2024, Edison International's core EPS of $4.93 was above the midpoint of our guidance. This extends our track record of meeting or exceeding annual EPS guidance over the last two decades. Additionally, we remain confident in our ability to meet our 2025 EPS guidance and deliver a 5% to 7% core EPS CAGR through 2028. Maria will discuss our financial performance and outlook later. Further, today the Board declared EIX's first quarter 2025 common stock dividend of 82.75 cents per share. Consistent with this regular process, the Board took into account a broad range of considerations and scenarios before making this declaration. There is no change to our current dividend policy or outlook, and this balances a competitive dividend that investors expect with reinvesting SCE's earnings back into the infrastructure that serves customers' needs. This consistent and growing dividend demonstrates the confidence in our financial outlook, which supports raising cost-effective capital and directly benefits customer rates. On the regulatory front, we are very encouraged by the CPUC's unanimous approval of the TKM settlement agreement, allowing SCE to recover about $1.6 billion, or 60% of the wildfire claims payments and associated costs for a pre-AB 1054 wildfire. Approval of the settlement signals a constructive cost recovery framework in California. In fact, following approval, CPUC President Reynolds made important remarks about cost recovery and AB 1054. She noted how under state law, SCE, like public entities, is liable for damages from a fire caused by its electrical system, but if the utility acted prudently, These costs are covered by customers. She also noted that because of AB 1054, in the future, the wildfire fund would cover claims similar to those in TKM. SCE expects to file its TKM securitization application in March. The Woolsey cost recovery proceeding is underway. Based on the pre-hearing conference, participating interveners noted similar areas of focus and engagement to those in TKM. If the ALJ adopts the schedule as CE and intervenors jointly proposed, the next major filings to watch for are intervenor testimony due in early June and rebuttal testimony due in mid-July. The proposed schedule also includes a motion for approval of a settlement agreement or joint statement of stipulations of issues that will be due in mid-August. Just like with TKM, the utility is open to settlement discussions if a fair and reasonable outcome can be achieved. And we look forward to keeping you updated on progress in this important proceeding. Okay, I'm going to conclude by saying that SCE is focused on partnering with impacted communities on near and long-term strategies to build back stronger, all while we continue to execute on core operations and deliver on the commitments we have laid out for you. I look forward to sharing more updates throughout the year. With that, Maria, I'll turn it over to you for your financial report.

speaker
Maria Rigotti
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Pedro. Before I turn to our financial results, I also want to take a moment to recognize the tireless efforts of our team to manage the response to the Southern California wildfires. Our management team is grateful for our colleagues who have come together to restore power and help customers recover. So now turning to my comments for today, I will discuss fourth quarter and full year 2024 results, our focus areas for 2025, SCE's capital and rate-based forecasts, and 2025 guidance. For the fourth quarter, EIX reported core EPS of $1.05. Full year 2024 core EPS of $4.93 was above the midpoint of our guidance range. Pages 6 and 7 provide the year-over-year variance analysis, and additional color can be found in our earnings news release. This strong performance demonstrates our ability to manage the business and extends our track record of meeting annual EPS guidance over the last two decades. as shown on page 8. Delivering strong financial results was just one accomplishment in another year of strong execution in 2024, as shown on page 9. SCE also continued its progress in hardening the grid and making its system safer for customers by installing over 800 miles of covered conductor, bringing total deployment to more than 6,400 miles. On the regulatory front, we were pleased to see a number of positive developments. First, the timely settlement of PKM, which Pedro addressed earlier. Second, the utility reached substantial completion of resolving claims for Woolsey and filed the cost recovery application. Third, the CPUC issued a final decision in the 2022 SEMA proceeding, which contributed $0.14 to 2024 EPS. Fourth, the utility continued its strong advocacy in the 2025 GRC and settled numerous issues with interveners. Lastly, reflecting the confidence and commitment to achieving our long-term EPS growth target, in December, we raised the dividend by 6.1%, which was the 21st consecutive annual increase. Page 10 summarizes the key management focus areas for 2025. Supporting the people and communities affected by wildfires is front and center. Rebuilding and emerging stronger by restoring infrastructure and bringing power back to those areas is critical. SCE will also continue its wildfire mitigation work and its focus on operational excellence to reduce costs for customers. There will also be additional progress on the regulatory front. This year, we expect SCE will receive decisions on its 2025 general rate case, its WMCE filing, and its cost of capital application for 2026 through 2028. Additionally, the utility will be filing an application for its next-gen ERP program. SCE will also continue its progress towards resolving the Woolsey cost recovery proceeding. Let's now turn to SCE's capital and rate-based forecasts, shown on pages 11, 12, and 13. The 2025 GRC is the core driver of the outlook through 2028. SCE's capital plan is focused on replacing aging infrastructure to support reliability and safety for customers, continuing grid-hardening investments to mitigate risk and enhance real resiliency, and expanding the grid to make the system ready for load growth today and in the future as customers increase their electricity usage. I would also like to highlight several additional capital deployment opportunities that support customer needs over the coming years, which we have discussed in the past, and are not yet included in the plan. SCE has refined estimates for these projects, resulting in an increase of at least $1 billion to these opportunities. One such investment is the NextGen ERP project I just mentioned. Later this year, the utility also plans to file an application for an advanced metering infrastructure program to replace and upgrade the first generation of smart meters, which are at the end of their useful lives. We also anticipate additional system needs on the distribution grid, including for system restoration and expansion. Further, SCE has more than $2 billion of FERC transmission projects in development. Moving to SCE's 2025 GRC, the utility is awaiting a proposed decision from the ALJ. We remain optimistic that we could see a proposed decision during the first half of the year. To reiterate our previous comments, SCE made a compelling case. and even based on interveners' positions, SCE's rate-based growth would still be in line with its range case forecast of 6%. Once SCE gets a final decision from the CPC on the GRC, we will refresh our capital plan, financing plan, 2025 EPS guidance, and EPS growth forecast. Turning to EPS guidance, page 14 shows our 2025 core EPS guidance and modeling considerations. you will see that we have revised the guidance range. This is simply our prior range of $5.50 to $5.90, plus the incremental 44 cents associated with the recently approved TKM settlement. As we have discussed before, those 44 cents are composed of a 30-cent one-time true-up for historical interest expense and the 14-cent annual reduction in unrecoverable interest expense. While SCE waits for the GRC decision, I want to remind you that we will be recording revenue at 2024 rates, adjusted for the change in ROE. Therefore, quarterly results comparisons pending a 2025 GRC decision are not meaningful. We will record a true-up when we receive a final decision. SCE has established a memo account to track the differences in revenue until it receives a final decision, which will be retroactive to January 1st. I'll touch briefly on the Parent Financing Plan. This year, EIX has $800 million of debt maturities, a portion of which were pre-funded through a debt offering last December. Moving to our longer-term outlook on page 15, you will see that we have also incorporated the benefit from the 14-cent interest expense reduction resulting from the TKM settlement into the 2028 EPS range. Given that this annual interest reduction will be ongoing and is part of our base year, we are maintaining our target of 5% to 7% core EPS growth off a higher base of $5.84. While the cause of the Eaton Fire remains under investigation and we are not speculating on potential outcomes, AB 1054 was enacted to ensure the financial stability of California's utilities in scenarios like this. The supportive regulatory framework and processes established by this legislation ensure that no utility would have to use its balance sheet while accessing the wildfire fund to make claims payments. Additionally, the potential liability to reimburse the fund is capped. Lastly, the prudency standard means a utility is presumed to be a prudent manager if it has a safety certification, which SCE has. Given these factors and the supportive regulatory framework, we remain confident in our financial outlook as we continue to support wildfire response recovery, and efforts to rebuild. SDE's core operations and the central role it plays in the clean energy transition remain the driving force behind our core earnings growth. That concludes my remarks. Back to you, Sam.

speaker
Sam Ramraj
Vice President of Investor Relations

Michelle, please open the call for questions. As a reminder, we request you to limit yourself to one question and one follow-up so everyone in line has the opportunity to ask questions.

speaker
Michelle
Operator

Thank you. And if you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your phone. One moment for the first question, please. Nick Campanella from Barclays, you may go ahead.

speaker
Nick Campanella
Analyst, Barclays

Hey, this is Nick. Thanks for getting me on. So obviously there's just been a lot of questions, you know, in the case that if equipment was involved with this fire, what the impact to the wildfire fund would be. I appreciate it's early, but the 10-K does mention you've had several lawsuits already. Do you have any indication about what the number would be for damages from a starting point? If you don't, when do you expect to know? Thank you.

speaker
Pedro Pizarro
President and Chief Executive Officer

Nick, thanks very much for the question. Short answer is just way too early. First, we need to conclude determining whether our equipment was indeed involved. And then beyond that, there would be a process for determining what potential liabilities could be. And really hard to handicap timing. Maybe this will answer some of the other questions that may come up, but for example, you might recall that in previous fires, it's taken 12 to 18 months even to get an investigation report from official fire authorities that might help one conclude make conclusions. The establishment of liability really depends on the filing of legal actions by plaintiffs. Those can take some time. It could be quite a while before there's a sense of what even a low end of a range might be.

speaker
Nick Campanella
Analyst, Barclays

Understood. Thank you. I know you're you're working towards legislative solutions this coming session. And, you know, obviously this is a wider issue for the state to tackle as a whole here, and there's going to be a lot of different interests at stake. Just, you know, how would you kind of frame the current policy environment and the conversations you've had with people and whether those conversations have been constructive in terms of having a solution here at the end of August? And maybe you can be more specific about what you think would be most helpful, whether it's an increase to the wildfire fund itself or some type of strengthening of a liquidity backstop. That's what I have. Thank you.

speaker
Pedro Pizarro
President and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Nick. I certainly understand the questions. Let me just start by saying it's very early days. As you can imagine, the SCE team is still very engaged in the main focus, which is helping the community be safe and rebuild back stronger. I will also say, though, that When I compare this to the activity that we had going back to 2018 and 2019 as the state developed SB 901 and then AB 1054, we are fortunately at a very different starting point. There is, I believe, strong understanding by policymakers of the importance of having financially healthy utilities to support the state's economy. And that's, you know, keeping the lights on, powering the economy, but it's also helping advance the state's goals for the clean energy transition. And so there's that underpinning of understanding the importance of financial health for companies like ours and our peers. That's a really important starting point that we can, you know, something we, I think, required more development back in 2018. Beyond that, you're seeing commitment to look into the issues. We really appreciate that the governor has retained Ann Patterson in his office. It was just a very thoughtful person to be the point leader for the governor's office on wildfire issues. We understand that the administration has now engaged Guggenheim to provide financial analysis support, which they provided a financial advisory service back during the crafting of AB 1054. As I mentioned, we're already in discussions with legislative leaders who I think generally understand that more needs to be done here. And I think you also mentioned, Nick, that it's a broad set of issues here. And frankly, I'm not smart enough to know standing here today or sitting here today. What's the best path? And frankly, we'll be looking to the governor and his team for their leadership and, you know, what the best approach is here. But we certainly will be advocating for near-term solutions. There's multiple levers that you could imagine to hopefully enforce the strength of the AB 1054 framework. Probably lots of different levers that could be pulled, but, you know, we'll be engaged with them, and I'm taking a lot of comfort from the fact that they, in turn, are engaged in deploying the right resources against the issues.

speaker
Nick Campanella
Analyst, Barclays

Thanks for all your thoughts there.

speaker
Michelle
Operator

Thank you. Our next caller is Michael Lonegan with Evercore. You may go ahead, sir.

speaker
Michael Lonegan
Analyst, Evercore

Hi. Thanks for taking my questions. Hi, Michael. Obviously, you're evaluating a number of causes of the heat and fire, including whether an idle transmission line could have become energized. You highlighted in the Section 315 letter that you're taking immediate steps to strengthen and standardize the grounding process. Just wondering if you could talk about some of the steps you were taking there that you felt needed to be strengthened. You know, despite wanting to take these steps, it sounds like you feel very confident you will sustain the presumption of prudency. Just wondering if you could share more of your thoughts on the confidence in that.

speaker
Pedro Pizarro
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, and I'll start with the back part of that to just reinforce that. Obviously, you know, Michael, we know what we know today, right? But based on what we know today, we are confident that we would be able to make, or SCE would be able to make a good faith showing that it's been a reasonable operator of the system. And as I've said in my remarks, when we think about that, it's really about the operations of the broad system as well as its application to the specifics of any given ignition. I am very proud of the work that Steve Powell and the team at SCE have done over the last several years to continue to strengthen the system. And if you go back to when this era for California started with the first catastrophic wildfires in 2017, we took a risk-prioritized approach, right? And so we're consistently learning. And with our risk-prioritized approach, we, you know, SCE went after closing the gaps that posed the highest risk first, and then, you know, going on down the line. So we're always looking to learn. I think we mentioned a 315 letter, just some of the steps that we took immediately after the fire to the ignition. I'll give you one example, which maybe goes a little beyond your question. But for example, during the evening when the ignition happened, we exercised our PSPS protocols. And that worked well. We had already taken a more conservative stance going into this windstorm. we took an even more conservative stance as we went into the second and third windstorm events. So similarly, we're looking at everything around our system and always looking for opportunities to learn, whether it's about how we do inspections, grounding, et cetera. Steve Powell, anything you would like to add from an operational perspective in terms of things we're doing moving forward? I think that covered it sufficiently. Thank you.

speaker
Steve Powell
SCE Representative

I would just say as we, you know, like we do with any ignition, any fire, we're looking for anything that we can learn, whether it's related to our system or somebody else's system, and then how we integrate those into our practices for the year. You know, when I look at what we have set up for this year and every other year, you know, we've improved our vegetation management practices, our inspection practices. You know, we look at the conditions as we head into a season. So I think about the next, you know, the next summer and the fire season to come. And, you know, we'll be looking to see, you know, where is, you know, where fuel is the driest and where do we have the highest risk that we can do additional mitigations that includes more vegetation management and more inspections. So I'd say it's a lot of the practices that we have, only doubling down and putting them into places. But we'll continue to, you know, look for opportunities to see how else can we harden the system and what other practices can we take to make sure that we're safe as we head into, you know, next season.

speaker
Pedro Pizarro
President and Chief Executive Officer

That's great, Steve. And Michael, maybe one more little piece that might be helpful here. You've heard us to commit to transparency. And so as we continue to learn and as appropriate, we'll be sharing as much as we can. At the same time, we recognize that, like with prior fires, there may be litigation involved here. There will be litigation involved. So we will need to be thoughtful about not getting ahead of that process. And so having the right sort of balance between not litigating individual elements in public while providing as much transparency as possible for our public.

speaker
Michael Lonegan
Analyst, Evercore

Great, thank you. And then secondly, I was just wondering if you have concerns about the wildfires impacting the outcome in the GRC. In the public, there's some perception that EIX may have started the fire. Do you think that makes it less likely that the Commission will grant a rate increase given the headlines it could create? as, you know, especially as residents are going to see an increase in insurance premiums. And then, you know, also, do you see reaching a settlement amongst various parties and the worldly filing being harder to achieve as well?

speaker
Pedro Pizarro
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I don't think so. And it was reassuring to see the TKM approval of Maria. Let me turn it over to you.

speaker
Maria Rigotti
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

So, Michael, so we're very far along in our GRC process. We filed all of our papers, as have the interveners. And I think you've observed that We've actually settled quite a few things with interveners. 20% of the O&M items, 8% of the capital items covers a dozen different topics. We see that proceeding continuing on as it previously was, and we're looking for a proposed decision first half of the year. As far as the Woolsey cost recovery application goes, we had a pre-hearing conference back in December. We actually are awaiting a scoping memo. And the schedule for that has been agreed upon by the interveners and SCE. So we continue to see that moving forward on its own path as well.

speaker
Michael Lonegan
Analyst, Evercore

Thank you for taking my question. Thanks, Mark.

speaker
Michelle
Operator

Thank you. Our next caller is Paul Zimbardo with Jefferies. You may go ahead, sir.

speaker
Paul Zimbardo

Hi, Paul. Hi. Good afternoon, team. I just want to touch a little bit on the balance sheet side of the equation. So obviously your cost of capital has changed quite a bit since we last chatted is to the extent you are successful on like the next gen ERP, the AMI, how should we think about financing some of the incremental capital if it does come into the plan?

speaker
Maria Rigotti
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

So we've actually, you know, been running a lot of those scenarios, you know, before and after the events in January. And we still see our financing plan, the one that we've laid out on one of the pages that's in the deck that you have. We still see something very consistent with that. To the extent we have more and more opportunities to invest capital because of things like NextGen, ERP, et cetera, we will finance that at SCE in line with their authorized capital structure. And at EIX, we'll take a look at where our credit metrics are at the time. I think you know that our credit metrics, we've been moving into that 15% to 17% FFO to debt range. The latest reports, you know, S&P reports also see us in that range in the 25 through 28 period. So we think we're in a good place there. Obviously, you know, rating agencies are looking at the business environment in California, but I don't think that goes to sort of our balance sheet strength at this point.

speaker
Paul Zimbardo

Okay. Understood. And then to the extent there are liabilities that do stem from the January 2025 events, how should we think about financing that? Is that like you've done in the past, kind of hybrids, JSNs at the parent, preferred, just any flavor you could give in that scenario would be helpful. Thank you.

speaker
Maria Rigotti
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Absolutely. Absolutely. So that's one of the really big differences between between a pre-AB 1054 fire and a fire that occurs post-AB 1054. The wildfire fund is there, obviously, for claims payments so that people who suffered from the fire can get paid quickly, but it's also there to support the balance sheet of the utilities. So there is a process in place where once we use our customer-funded self-insurance to the extent we have to make claims payments, we would then go to the wildfire fund And they have a process already set up, and it's very streamlined. And so we would be using the fund and not issuing debt the way we were for the 17 and 18 funds. So I think there's a very, very big difference in terms of what it would look like.

speaker
Pedro Pizarro
President and Chief Executive Officer

I mean, that's really one of the core features of AV1054, Paul, and as Maria covered very well.

speaker
Maria Rigotti
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Tim. Thanks.

speaker
Michelle
Operator

And our next caller is Steve Fleischman with Wolf Research. You may go ahead, sir.

speaker
Pedro Pizarro
President and Chief Executive Officer

Steve?

speaker
Steve Fleischman
Analyst, Wolf Research

Thanks. Hi, Pedro, Maria. So, I guess just maybe along similar track, any sense of where the rating agencies are on kind of what the updated, you know, impact of these fires might be in ratings? And if there were, for example, some kind of, risk rating, you know, that led to some kind of rating reduction. How does that impact your financing plan in terms of cost or anything meaningful to your financing costs? Thanks.

speaker
Maria Rigotti
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Sure. So, I mean, I do think that the rating agencies, you know, obviously we stay in touch with them and talk to them, but they've been pretty straightforward in other venues as well. They've, you know, talked to a bunch of you all. They've certainly been at conferences. And they're highlighting climate risk generally. So not just California, but across the country, they are focused on climate risk and climate events. I think they certainly are observing the things that are going on in California. I think you know that S&P has us on negative outlook. And so we are working to move through the process and share more information with them, obviously. Again, it's not about the metrics. It's about sort of how they view sort of the climate risk in California and more broadly. I think if you look at sort of what impact any of that would have on our financing plan, it is a cost issue. If you think about SCE and SCE's need to finance rate-based, we actually are going into a cost of capital cycle. So we're filing an application in March. So anything that would need to be updated relative to SCE's cost of debt would be updated through that process and would be captured through that process. I think from an EIX perspective, you know, we've been doing a number of different scenarios, I think, you know, including to look at the longer-term 25 through 28 period, and we can manage what's happening to the rates and to the spreads within the range that we've already provided. So I think that, you know, we're still on track for all of that, as noted in the prepared remarks.

speaker
Steve Fleischman
Analyst, Wolf Research

Okay. And then one other unrelated question, just the... comment you made, Pedro, about, you know, it taking weeks to even work with the lawyers to figure out how to investigate and bring down the lines to investigate more. Could you just, I mean, it seems like you could, you and they could just go there and watch and look just what, maybe give more color on what the issue is there.

speaker
Pedro Pizarro
President and Chief Executive Officer

Oh, I wish, Dave, I wish. It's a little more complicated than that. You As you can imagine, there are multiple plaintiffs and multiple plaintiffs' attorneys, and they have an interest in making sure, they and other stakeholders, making sure that any movement of the lines, anything that's done regarding SE's equipment is done in a way that will preserve the nature of the materials, not somehow spoil it or make it difficult to examine it in some way. So there is a series of extended discussions with this whole group to agree on protocols of how and when would a line be touched and how would it be removed and what might you inspect before touching it and how do you touch it and when you touch it, who's watching and where do you put it and what things get sent to a lab afterwards. So That is just the reality of it. This is very common in these kinds of cases. And so going through that process, as much as we would like to speed it up, you know, as much as possible, it's likely to take weeks yet. So hopefully it gives you a little bit of color, Steve. But, you know, I'm very confident that the SEA team would, you know, could go there tomorrow and move things and, Do it in a way that would preserve the ability for parties to have confidence that it was done right. But in this case, we really need to have full agreement among all of the parties on the specific steps and precautions. And so we want to do that with integrity.

speaker
Steve Fleischman
Analyst, Wolf Research

Makes sense. Thank you. Understood.

speaker
Pedro Pizarro
President and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Dave.

speaker
Michelle
Operator

Thank you. Our next caller is Ryan Levine with Citi. You may go ahead, sir.

speaker
Ryan Levine
Analyst, Citi

Hi, everybody. How do you expect the events from last month will change the cost of CapEx items and O&M costs in the coming years?

speaker
Pedro Pizarro
President and Chief Executive Officer

Do you mean from a supply availability kind of volume of materials perspective, or do you have a different angle on the question, Ryan? Exactly. Great.

speaker
Ryan Levine
Analyst, Citi

Yeah, exactly.

speaker
Pedro Pizarro
President and Chief Executive Officer

Okay. Steve, I don't have a perspective on it. It feels probably a little early. I'm not sure that it would be in the context of the broad California or Western economy. I don't think that You know, we have an answer. It might be a little bit of impact, but I don't think it's a massive impact based on what we said right now. But any different views, Steve?

speaker
Steve Powell
SCE Representative

Yeah, no, I'd say, Ryan, the scale, I mean, obviously the impact of the communities is massive. And, you know, we've got a lot of work to do. But it's also not of the scale that it's, you know, meaningful to our overall plans that we do each year in terms of, you know, you think about the number of line miles just last year that we did and covered Conductor alone, 800 miles. you know, that's an order of magnitude more than the types of impacts we're seeing from a conductor side, amount of conductor you need to deal with this. And so it's a small amount relative to our overall plan and anything that could actually impact broader supply chains.

speaker
Pedro Pizarro
President and Chief Executive Officer

And Steve, probably be appropriate to also say that all the homes and customer premises that can be reconnected are already reconnected. And so a lot of the rebuild moving forward will be more for homes, premises that need to be rebuilt, and so that doesn't happen overnight. The process that will involve siting, permitting for those structures themselves, and so that's probably the larger gating item here, which means that it's not months, it's going to be years likely for these communities. By the way, from an Edison perspective, It's not just what Steve and his team will be doing to make sure that we have the power side of that right. But as a company, we want to make sure we're there with those communities through our charitable giving, through our engagement more broadly. Because, again, as I mentioned, this is not just something near to home. This is home for a lot of us, and we'll be part of the answer here.

speaker
Ryan Levine
Analyst, Citi

All right, thanks. And then one follow-up. In terms of the venue, is there an established venue to determine how the protocol will – unfold in terms of investigating the equipment and other related items regarding the union fire?

speaker
Pedro Pizarro
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, that's happening through the court process. And so there's a judge assigned and I believe that the discussions over the specific protocols are happening under the umbrella of her, you know, her oversight. In fact, I think there was a court hearing just yesterday on this. Yeah, just yesterday. I believe she said I think the next discussion will be in a week or so, if I recall correctly. So it's a court process.

speaker
Ryan Levine
Analyst, Citi

Thank you. Appreciate it.

speaker
Pedro Pizarro
President and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Ryan.

speaker
Michelle
Operator

Thank you. Our next caller is Char Parisa with Guggenheim. You may go ahead.

speaker
Constantine
Representative, Guggenheim

Hi, Char. Hi. Good afternoon, team. It's actually Constantine here. Really appreciate you taking our questions. Maybe starting off, following up on Nick's question, a bit more theoretical in terms of the timing for a potential AB 1054 drawdown, given the history of claims and settlements, as you mentioned. Do you believe it will take a few years, and does that give the stakeholders more time to deliberate on the best assurances around the constructs?

speaker
Maria Rigotti
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

So, I think, Constantine, when people will start to, You know, fast forward, we haven't determined, you know, sort of what the cause is yet for the fire. But fast forward, if it was a fire that was subject to AB 1034, I think it's actually early to know when people will start to be submitting claims and entering into a process. That's my firm opinion. The first thing that we would do as well is we have a billion dollars of customer-funded self-insurance, and so we would be utilizing that for the first billion dollars of claims payments. and only then would we go on to the AB 1054 layer. So I think we do know that the processes are in place to go to the fund and to submit claims for payment, but I think it's early to tell when we would exactly hit that point.

speaker
Pedro Pizarro
President and Chief Executive Officer

And I think Maria answered the substance of your question well. I think I also heard an angle in your question around does that then give parties in Sacramento more time to deliberate? And I think the flip side to that is We have a real sense of urgency here. And part of the message that we'll be providing is that the market has responded very quickly, and we believe that it will be in California's best interest to demonstrate the commitment to extending the framework or making changes. Again, I'm not sitting here specifying it's A, B, C, but we're specifying here's the issue. And I think from a market perspective, restoring investors' confidence in California, and frankly, I think this accrues not only to the view on California utilities, but a view on the California economy more broadly. We believe it's important that action, at least the first steps, happen soon. And so while technically there's a time that you were asking about, from an overall perspective, the timing here for Action Sacramento, we are certainly excited. focused on near-term action, at least for the initial steps.

speaker
Constantine
Representative, Guggenheim

Thanks for that. I really appreciate it. I do think that the question was more oriented towards kind of finding the best assurances, but I don't think that there's a question around the urgency at this point. I think that's been communicated very clear. I really appreciate that. And maybe as a quick follow-up, in terms of regulatory proceedings, just with the cost of capital coming up in the state, Obviously, the markets are not changing for the better. Does that impact the impact of the filing, and maybe do you see a sense of delaying the proceeding to alleviate some of that pressure?

speaker
Maria Rigotti
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

We're moving forward with the filing. It's due in March. I think you'll see us file, as we have in the past, we'll file all of the information both from a quantitative aspect as well as a qualitative aspect. events recently have impacted the cost of capital, and we will be discussing that as well. And I think at the end of the day, you know, sort of the approaches that Pedro was talking about before, those are the solutions to the cost of capital. I don't know that you find the solution purely and exclusively through the cost of capital proceeding, but you will see extensive discussion of these events in our applications.

speaker
Pedro Pizarro
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, and, you know, maybe one more thought on this one is, again, I I brought this up with one of the other questions as well. I keep pointing to the fact that the PUC proceeded with its approval of the TKM settlement on the schedule. You know, this happened even after the fires had taken place. So, I think this is an important time for their steady leadership, which they are showing and they're providing. Because, frankly, that's part of helping investors your retained confidence in the durability of the California framework. So I really appreciate it. Not only the approval of TKM, but the very thoughtful comments that President Reynolds made that I mentioned before.

speaker
Constantine
Representative, Guggenheim

Thanks for that. Really appreciate the transparency and the updates. I think it goes a long way. Thanks so much. Thanks so much. Take care.

speaker
Michelle
Operator

Thank you. Our next caller is Anthony Crowdell with Mizuho. You may go ahead, sir.

speaker
Anthony Crowdell
Analyst, Mizuho

Hey, good afternoon, Pedro. Good afternoon, Maria. Just a quick question. Slide 20 talks about prudency, whether if you're found 100% imprudent or 100% prudent. I'm just curious, is there a middle ground there?

speaker
Pedro Pizarro
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, that's a really important thing. Just speaking generally in terms of how this works, absolutely, the PUC has full discretion to find a utility facility prudent based on, fully prudent based on the facts, or fully imprudent, or something in between. And you might recall, Anthony, that this is one of the challenges with the prior PUC in the case regarding the 2007 fires for San Diego Gas and Electric, where a prior PUC, in making their decision, said that they were stuck with a binary choice. They could only provide either full recovery or zero recovery. And later on, even that same president and, I believe, the general counsel at the time both made comments, again, later on, that they realized that was not the case and the commission has discretion, as it always has. So that's a really important part of the framework here, and life is not binary.

speaker
Anthony Crowdell
Analyst, Mizuho

Great. That's all I had. Thank you so much.

speaker
Pedro Pizarro
President and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Anthony. Take care.

speaker
Michelle
Operator

Thank you. Our next caller is Richard Sunderland with J.P. Morgan.

speaker
Richard Sunderland
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Hi, good afternoon. Can you hear me?

speaker
Pedro Pizarro
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yes, I hear you well.

speaker
Richard Sunderland
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Great, thank you. Just one question for me. If a legislative solution does not emerge, are there any operational changes across PSPS practices or elsewhere you would consider if the future fund backstop is potentially lower given that potential that Eaton impacts the fund as a risk backstop?

speaker
Pedro Pizarro
President and Chief Executive Officer

I'm going to answer the question or start it. Steve may have more to add from a little different angle. we are always in learning mode. And so we're always looking for steps that we think might be needed to maintain the safety of our public as we continue to learn more and more. This windstorm was something else, right? Because we had up to 100 mile an hour winds. And so you heard me mention earlier that going into the windstorm we had already gone in more conservative in terms of the PSPS criteria, meaning that SC was ready to de-energize at a little bit lower conditions than the standard protocols would call for. And, in fact, during the windstorm, at one point when night-flying firefighting aircraft were unable to fly because of the strength of the winds, SC then became even more conservative in terms of its application of PSPS. So that's one example where there was more conservatism that came in in real time based on conditions, right? The team and Steve, maybe you can talk a bit about what SCE is doing as part of your continuous learning as we then look at the next WMP update, et cetera.

speaker
Steve Powell
SCE Representative

Yeah, so maybe, Pedro, I'll reiterate. When we look at our mitigations for wildfire, whether it is the grid hardening, our choices around cover conductor, where we do our undergrounding, the factors that are there, how we have enhanced our inspections, where and how much of it management we're doing. Every aspect of our wildfire mitigation plan is based in public safety and how do we make sure that we have a system that operates safely. Now, we learn along the way with, as Pedro noted, from incidents that happen on our system, off of our system, and we look at other ways that there may be risks in the system that we didn't see before. And we then bake those into our wildfire mitigation plans. We started on a risk-prioritized basis seven or eight years ago, heavily focused on distribution because that's where the bulk of our ignitions and our risk was at. And we've been working our way down. As we continue to learn, we'll continue to look at what the next set of mitigations are. And so, but that is primarily driven from a public safety perspective as we're thinking about the best way to run the system and keep our community safe.

speaker
Pedro Pizarro
President and Chief Executive Officer

So that's what drives it at the end of the day. And, you know, as I said in my comments, we are confident that this state will do the right thing in terms of the framework.

speaker
Richard Sunderland
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Great. Thank you for the thought with that response. I'll leave it there. Thanks, Richard.

speaker
Michelle
Operator

Thank you. Carly Davenport with Goldman Sachs. You may go ahead.

speaker
Carly Davenport
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hey, good afternoon. Hey, thanks so much for taking the questions. Just one from me as well, a follow-up on, I think, Constantine's question earlier. Just any color that you can share in terms of what's embedded in your plan or just how you're thinking about a potential improvement or not in the CPUC ROE as you go into the cost of capital next month, just what's reflected over this planning period.

speaker
Maria Rigotti
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

So, Muriel, decompose that into two questions because you're asking what's embedded in our planning period. So I think you see the sensitivities that we have in the deck in terms of the 25 through 28 EPS growth. And we've had a number of different ROEs over the time that we've been providing those updates and those numbers. So we have run numerous scenarios related to that, and we think that the range covers us for a number of different outcomes. if your question is really more aimed at sort of what is in the cost of capital filing when we go in in March, I think I'll just reiterate that it's going to, I would say, look like the ones that we filed before in the sense of, you know, doing the quantitative analysis as well as the qualitative analysis. We will have extensive discussion on the impacts of the January events, the market reaction to that, as well as, you know, sort of how we would think about that in terms of the ongoing costs. I do think that the commission in the past when we filed back in 2019 when we filed did include the concept of a wildfire adder. But even at the time we underscored not going to fix this issue by just addressing it through the cost of capital. It's really the structural changes back then with AB 1054 that will help the market react more favorably to California. So we're really going to approach it from that fundamental perspective.

speaker
Carly Davenport
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

That's really helpful. Thank you. I'll leave it there.

speaker
Maria Rigotti
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Carly. Thanks.

speaker
Michelle
Operator

Thank you, David Acaro. Morgan Stanley, you may go ahead.

speaker
David Acaro
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Hi, David. Hey, thanks so much for taking my questions. Hey, I was curious to get your thoughts. What do you think is the solution here? You know, what are you advocating for? I'm thinking in the legislative backdrop. What are you advocating for? What do you think is kind of needed to give the certainty that investors are seeking with the California wildfire kind of protective financial backdrop.

speaker
Pedro Pizarro
President and Chief Executive Officer

You know, David, look, I'm going to acknowledge it's still early days. And as I mentioned, we're talking and we're listening too, but it's really discussing with our peer utilities, with legislative leaders, et cetera. And there's probably a lot of different levers that could be employed here. So, I don't want to get too far ahead of that, but I think, ultimately, part of the message we're hearing from investors, and I think is reflected in the valuation impact, not just for Edison, but for, you know, SEMPRA and PCG, is a concern that the events that the LA area just lived through were really large events. Whether or not they were caused by electric infrastructure, they were large events. And to some extent, they reset the sense of how large events could get in California. And so that does then get folks thinking about the durability of the fund and levers like the liability cap. Today, the liability cap is attached to the existence of the fund. So are there ways to provide for the fund being able to scale up if needed? however you get there. Ways to ensure that the liability cap endures regardless of the state of the fund. So I think this is some of the questions. There's probably different levers to answer this. Beyond the utility piece, you've already seen the leadership across the state talk about some of the other elements that may be part of a solution. And again, I don't know ultimately will we see Vehicles in Sacramento that are at least in this first turn this year for this session focus just on AB 1054. Well, you see other pieces. I noticed that I believe yesterday Mike McGuire, the head of the Senate, announced a package, a series of bills that touch on insurance reforms. You've heard discussion around building codes and standards, right? The reality is California will continue to have to work through wildfire risk. Our Adapting for Tomorrow white paper three or four years ago pointed out that the state will see increased wildfire risk as we see deeper impacts from climate change over the next several decades. And so... I give a lot of credit to the governor and the legislature. They've been working on more than just AB 1054. They've doubled state budgets for firefighting. They're having a further discussion around managing fuel and cleaning forests and that kind of thing. Again, the role for building codes and standards, defensible space, which I saw that package I mentioned on the insurance side, to be one of the bills dealt with ensuring defensible space. This will all be, I'm sure, tough topics on each of their own two feet, and that's why I don't know will we see the legislature coalesce around trying to do a lot of this all at once or take a piece at a time. From our perspective, we want to make sure that we have a strong voice in helping them understand the immediacy of demonstrating to you all, to the market, the immediacy of the need to reassure investors on the strength and durability of 181054. And again, the good news here is that this is not like 2018 when we were starting from scratch. We get to stand on the platform of a very strong bill, you know, led by Governor Newsom and a prior legislature that really set the model for the country. And now it's always... Better to be in a place where you can talk about how you modify and extend as opposed to how you create from a new whole cloth.

speaker
David Acaro
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Yeah, absolutely. No, very helpful. Thank you for the thoughts there. And I was also curious, you know, as you maybe reflect on your capital plan and the prioritization of different projects and initiatives, do you think it would make sense to pivot incremental CapEx back toward fire risk reduction? I'm looking at slide 12, the split of where capex is flowing within the distribution system. Do you think there's a case to be made for wildfire mitigation to become a bigger piece again?

speaker
Maria Rigotti
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

We always have the discretion to move the general rate case dollars around to prioritize based on what is at hand when we get into that period. I think one of the first things you'll see us do is in the areas where we're doing restoration, we are taking a look at how we rebuild those communities and support those communities, whether it's places we have already put cover conductor or places where we can advance some targeted undergrounding. I'll turn it over to Steve. He probably has other thoughts as to where we might actually lean in a little bit differently.

speaker
Steve Powell
SCE Representative

Really one of the things from the fires, whether it's the Palisades fire or the Eden fire, I think everyone's looking back at risk models to determine what's changed in terms of risk. Is there anything new that we've missed? And when we look at how we prioritize our capital, we're starting with risk, public safety, reliability, et cetera, to determine where we put those. And so to the extent that our risk models are showing that we should be hardening the system differently or placing our capital allocation differently, you know, that's what we'll evaluate. It's too early to say how we'll change. Maria mentioned certainly we're in places where we are rebuilding and starting from scratch. One, a lot of places, if we're starting clean, our standard generally is to underground. And so we can likely see more underground in places where we're building from scratch. But that's really as we look at that overall capital allocation. It starts with how we allocate the risk, how we view the risks. and what the best mitigations are. So too early to say how much change there will be, but it's something that we'll go back and look at like we do each year as we reevaluate our capital plans.

speaker
Pedro Pizarro
President and Chief Executive Officer

And Steve, my guess is that as we're standing 12 months from now or 24, 36 months from now, when you look backwards, it might not be a clean split, right? Because particularly in the communities that require rebuilding and doing that stronger, I mean, for example, you already, your team has now replaced something like four or five existing 4KV circuits in Altadena with a modern 16KV circuit with covered conductors. That was a rebuild to a fire, but it was also a resiliency improvement. I think some of those circuits, parts of them were in non-HFRA areas, so they got rebuilt with covered conductors, so that's also a wildfire risk improvement. So it hits probably, you know, multiple boxes, checks in multiple boxes around the categories that you were asking about, David, if that makes sense.

speaker
David Acaro
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Yes, it does. Great. Thanks so much.

speaker
Michelle
Operator

Thank you. I will now turn the call back over to Mr. Sam Ramraj for any closing comments.

speaker
Sam Ramraj
Vice President of Investor Relations

Thank you for joining us. This concludes the conference call. Have a good rest of the day. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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