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EPAM Systems, Inc.
2/20/2025
answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, press star one again. Finally, I would like to advise all participants that this call is being recorded. Thank you. I would now like to welcome Mike Rochendel, Head of Investor Relations, to begin the conference. Mike, over to you.
Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. As the operator just mentioned, I'm Mike Rochendel, Head of Investor Relations. By now, you should have received your copy of the earnings release for the company's fourth quarter and full year 2024 results. If you have not, a copy is available on epam.com in the Investor Relations section. With me are our CEO and President and Chief Financial Officer. I would like to remind those listening that some of the comments made on today's call may contain forward-looking statements. These statements are subject to risk and uncertainties as described in the company's earnings release and SEC filings. Additionally, all references to reported results that are non-GAAP measures have been reconciled to the comparable GAAP measures and are available in our quarterly With that said, I will now turn the call over to ARK.
Thank you, Mike. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today. It's good to share that our fourth quarter results came in better than expected. It was another quarter of strong execution thanks to our core engineering differentiation and relevance of our advanced capabilities and service offerings across our new and existing client portfolios. Many of the encouraging themes we shared last quarter have carried through into this quarter. Before discussing our Q4 results and some thoughts on 2025, I would like to step back and reflect on the full year 2024, which was a year of uneven demand, improved stabilization, and building some sequential momentum. There are three key points I would like to highlight on our performance over the past year. Number one, we were successfully executing our global business strategy while simultaneously addressing many challenges we have accumulated during the last few years. We've done this both organically and through acquisitions with a continuous focus on becoming the most globally geo-balanced talent company in the world for AI native digital business services. The two most recent acquisitions, Neuris and First Derivative or EFD, are good examples of how we are investing to accelerate our strategy. They allowed us to meaningfully expand our existing global client relationships and further penetrate new markets and talent geo hubs. While still early, we see encouraging progress across several net new opportunities with more than a dozen joint pursuits that combine EPM, Neuris, and We are pleased to end the year with an underlying improvement on our standalone business, delivering better results than our expectations earlier in the year when we had to adjust our outlook for a week as unexpected each one. And finally, number three, exiting 2024, we feel good about the sequential momentum we built over the past two quarters and see encouraging signs as we look ahead into 2025. While there is still plenty of caution and broad macro sensitivity, we believe we see some fundamental improvements in the business. It gives us optimism that 2025 will be a much more transformative and better year for us than 2024 was. Now, turning to our Q4 results. During Q4, we grew mid-single digits both year over year and sequentially, notably returning to organic revenue growth for the first time since Q1 of 2023. We continue to see improvements in client sentiments and engagement across all our verticals and geographies, and particularly around our AI related capabilities. Our performance in Q4 was driven by our ability to increase our client's trust and reassure continuous superior quality execution in our key horizontal and vertical domains, while simultaneously offering more globally diversified talent. On a standalone basis, excluding recent acquisitions, we saw four out of six verticals grow year over year, with five out of six growing sequentially, reflecting strong momentum from last quarter. Key verticals to call out include life science and healthcare, software and high tech, financial services, and emerging. Across geographies, we see a similar story to last quarter, with Americas and the IPAC leading growth year over year, with Europe continuing to show organic sequentially revenue growth. Now, turning to demand. We are encouraged to see a more positive demand environment compared to 90 days ago. Sentiments continue to improve across our existing and newly acquired client portfolios. These clients rely on us for our core engineering DNA, as well as our advanced engineering capabilities. In some cases, we are consolidating work from other suppliers as clients shift toward a more engineering plan and scale problems. In our most recent conversations across the C-suite, the underlying tone and buying signals are higher than they were last year. With further accumulation of technical and data depth over the past 12 months, we are seeing accelerated take-up in more scaled and transformational AI programs. Based on the significant backlog of technical and data modernization, along with new AI-related demand, we believe that 2025 will be the year where we begin to see real-general first mover advantages. While we are relatively optimistic about the midterm outlook, with more encouraging client buying signals than 12 months back, we do still see multiple packets of caution driven by broad macro risks, policy-specific uncertainty due to a very dynamic geopolitical environment, and the impact of the pandemic on the client market. Further, cost very much remains in focus and continues to be an important decision factor for many of our clients. So based on these uncertainties and our current vantage point, we are balancing our optimism as clients continue to transition and modestly expand their discretionary spend. Moving into our global delivery approach, we demonstrated strong execution throughout the year. As we continue to diversify our global talent pools and bring in more optionality to our clients across all four of our major delivery hubs in Europe, India, Latin America, and Western Central Asia. In Q4, we saw sequential improvements of net organic additions, which was broader than just India and included some of our additional European locations. Europe remains core to us as a top talent pool, and we believe we will continue to grow in the region as discretionary spend returns to higher levels. Ukraine is an interesting example to share, given the geopolitical environment. While production headcount remains mostly in line year over year, in Q4, we saw sequential net additions for the first time since the start of the Russian invasion. We believe this is a positive signal of our clients' comfort level and desire to return to some of our traditional locations. In India, we hit an important milestone for the company, as it now represents our largest single-country delivery location and second as a region. In just 10 years, Japan has achieved 10x growth in India with now over 10,000 customers. We believe we have the ability to adapt to changing market conditions and our commitment to investing in globally diverse and -for-forge in line with the impound for DNA. In Latin America, we significantly strengthen our footprint with Neuris, making Latin America our third-largest delivery region and a very important pillar in our global model. We believe we have now the right mix of talent focusing on delivery for North American clients, coupled with deep local expertise and strong capabilities to engage and deliver in Latam. In Western Central Asia, as we mentioned last quarter, we continue to progress quite nicely with our still relatively new delivery hub of over 7,300 people now. Back to the two acquisitions we closed in Q4. In overall, with Neuris and FD, we significantly increased our global footprint with the addition of nearly 6,000 people combined, primarily across Latin America, Canada, Spain, UK and Ireland. We remain committed to executing our global delivery strategy further. Now, shifting to Gen. AI. Even with all the recent noise, sometimes the significant level of confusion and debates. We are seeing indicators of positive change and growing impact. Overall, we continue to make significant interaction across our client portfolio, with now 75% of our top country clients engaging in Gen. AI initiatives. Our early-stage projects continue to show strong growth year over year, with hundreds of new vertical use cases emerging and turning into agent AI pilots. With our mid-size AI projects with more defined outcomes, we are beginning to see more volume and we believe this speaks to the investment interaction clients are making in this space. These programs have a high probability of turning into agent transformation place in key horizontal and vertical domains. Finally, in our larger scale AI factories, we manage the entire AI portfolio of agents and applications throughout the program life cycle, and generate tens of millions of dollars in value by each such investment. Our Gen. AI and AI-driven client engagement could also be presented in three major dimensions. Dimension 1 is DLC and other related areas of individual and team productivity improvements. Dimension 2, data and cloud engagements triggered by the need to enable AI native programs on scale. Dimension 3, scaled AI native programs and platforms, is a goal to drive value against proven business cases and when clients already solve their data and cloud infrastructure challenges. Let me expand a bit on this. Within Dimension 1, we are addressing the need of complex enterprise level engagements to orchestrate individual efforts to work total productivity improvements at large teams and programs levels via all latest Gen. AI advances. Often to have real engagement impact, our hybridist client teams must have the same level of modern engineering maturity as purposely Gen. AI trained our own teams. That is why we are offering to clients Gen. AI enabled software development lifecycle for DLC transformational programs. Utilizing market-leading tools and methodologies along with the E-POM AI-run framework built on top of our own DAIL, EDIT, CODME and some other IP assets. It makes significant impact on large complex engagement and helps to advance the adoption of AI in large scale enterprises by bringing measurable values through both cost optimization and the creation of new revenue streams. While I believe Dimension 2 is very much self-explanatory, Dimension 3 is our -to-market business transformational programs natively enabled by Gen. AI and AI technologies. As we move into more comprehensive, agentic proposition, our AI native engagements are starting to be picked up in volume and size. Compared to the first half of 2024, where we were generating single-digit millions of revenue from these AI native programs, Dimension 4 stands out by generating about $50 million in that category. Let me share two client examples to further illustrate how our efforts are driving client engagement and generating real pragmatic value. Let's start with Canadian Tire Corporation, the largest retail chain in Canada, where we have embarked on a journey to standardize and modernize software delivery life cycle. With the combined power of CTC Product Engineering Center of Excellence and E-POM know-how, we are already driving the initial result with very real optimization and efficiency savings. So far, E-POM has effectively deployed the elite platform across CTC delivery organization, trained more than 700 individuals, and ensured comprehensive adoption of new modernized tools. This is a real example of how our approach amplifies organizational productivity, reduces cost, and improves in-team and cross-team collaboration, and serves as a foundation for the next-generation agentic platform for SDLC. Another notable example of real progress at scale is our expanded engagement with Baker Hughes, one of the world's largest oil fuel services, industrial, and energy technology companies. We are enabling Baker Hughes in building and offering to their clients large AI native digital platforms by combining -POM-based and class product engineering capabilities with Baker Hughes expertise in energy technology. Just a few weeks ago, Baker Hughes named E-POM as a key partner for digital and AI to transform the energy sector by leveraging advanced AI native digital platform implementations at scale. We believe E-POM is one of the few AI native service providers who can demonstrate scale programs with proven AI ROI today, which is also well enabled by our growing global partnerships with cloud and data major providers, with whom we are expanding our collaborations and focusing on general and agentic AI -to-marketplace. Now, if we step back and look at the bigger picture more broadly for 2025 and beyond, our thesis remains unchanged. We believe the demand for advanced AI native and agentic software and data engineering services will only increase, as engineering productivity gains will be significantly outsized by incremental demand to build new and replace the legacy. We believe the demand for advanced
AI native and agentic software and data engineering services will only increase, as engineering productivity gains
will be significantly outsized by incremental demand to build new and replace the legacy. Further, the need for security modernization and managing enterprise data platforms will continue to demand skilled expertise that combines critical AI skills with modern engineering and data science capabilities. All areas in which E-POM excels. To conclude, we are pleased with our stronger than expected Q4 results and stabilization achieved during the last year. Our new AI native capabilities, data and core engineering differentiation, remained evident, while they are more globally diversified today than ever before. We continue to see clients return to quality and reliable execution, and we believe that is putting us into a stronger competitive position today compared to last year. At the same time, we do believe 2025 will be still a challenging and transformative year for the industry, with a lot of pressure to navigate two opposite trends across our client base. One is still being driven by core sensitivity, while another by the need to return to more discretionary spending and addressing accumulated during the last few years by close. Which means also that E-POM will be performing during 2025 with continuous margin pressures triggered by necessity to invest across several important four-Auth 2025 areas, such as critical skills and talent retention and development, agent AI and AIP and tooling advancements, integration efforts of our recent acquisitions, and -to-market strategies. That should allow us to be in right standing when discretionary demand environment will fully rebound. So, while we remain vigilant to potential headwinds, we believe our strategic positioning and ongoing initiative places us on the trajectory for sustainable performance and growth in 2025 and beyond. Let me now turn the call over to Jason, who will provide additional details on our Q4 results and 2025 outlook.
Thank you, Ark, and good morning, everyone. In the fourth quarter, E-POM generated revenues of $1.25 billion. A -over-year increase of .9% on a reported basis, including revenues from recent acquisitions, Nioris, and First Derivatives. On an organic, constant currency basis, revenues grew 1% compared to the fourth quarter of 2023. In Q4, we were pleased to return to -over-year organic revenue growth. Organic revenues exceeded our Q4 guidance due to higher than expected new project starts, indicating modestly improving client sentiment. Due to the quarter's significant inorganic revenue contribution, I will speak to both organic and inorganic revenues as I discuss industry vertical and geographic performance. Beginning with industry verticals, I want to echo Ark's comments that in Q4, five out of six of our industry verticals delivered sequential organic revenue growth. Only the travel and consumer vertical declined Q3 to Q4. Financial services delivered very strong growth of .9% -over-year, reflecting .3% organic and .6% inorganic growth, driven by continued strength in the banking, insurance, and payment sector. Life sciences and healthcare increased .6% on a -over-year basis, reflecting .7% organic and .9% inorganic growth. Growth in the quarter was driven primarily by clients and life sciences, including some revenues derived from new logo accounts. Software and high tech increased .7% -over-year, reflecting .4% organic and .3% inorganic growth. Consumer goods, retail, and travel decreased 3% -over-year, reflecting a negative .7% organic and a positive .7% inorganic growth, largely due to declines in consumer products and retail, partially offset by growth and travel. Business information and media declined .9% -over-year, reflecting negative .7% organic and positive .8% inorganic growth. Revenue in the quarter was impacted by the previously discussed ramp down of the top 20 clients. However, sequentially, we were encouraged to see the vertical return to strong growth as we continued to build momentum. And finally, our emerging verticals delivered very strong growth of 24.8%, reflecting 3% organic and .8% inorganic growth. Growth was primarily driven by clients in energy, manufacturing, and industrial materials, with significant contribution coming from New York. From a geographic perspective, the Americas, our largest region representing 60% of our Q4 revenues, increased .4% -over-year, reflecting .7% organic and .7% inorganic growth. AMEA, representing 38% of our Q4 revenues, increased .1% -over-year, reflecting negative .4% organic and positive .5% inorganic growth. In the quarter, the region continued to show sequential organic revenue improvement. And finally, APAC increased .3% -over-year and represents 2% of our revenues. In Q4, revenues from our top 20 clients grew 4% -over-year, while revenues from clients outside our top 20 increased 10%. Moving on to the income statement, our gap gross margin for the quarter was .4% compared to .1% in Q4 of last year. Non-gap gross margin for the quarter was .2% compared to 33% for the same quarter last year. Relative to Q4 2023, gross margin in Q4 2024 was negatively impacted by compensation increases, including those resulting from our 2024 promotion campaign, which we were not able to offset through pricing, as well as lower profitability of recent acquisitions. The compensation increases, along with lower profitability from acquisitions and negative foreign exchange impact, exceeded the benefits of improved utilization and the positive impact from the Polish R&D incentive. Gap SG&A was .4% of revenue compared to .5% in Q4 of last year. Non-gap SG&A came in at .4% of revenue compared to .2% in the same period last year. SG&A measured as a percent of revenue is now higher in part due to our recent acquisitions running with higher SG&A levels, compared to our standalone business. SG&A expense for Q4 2024 reflects SG&A associated with recent acquisitions as well as higher variable compensation compared to Q4 2023. Gap income from operations was 137 million, or .9% of revenue in the quarter, compared to 122 million, or .6% of revenue in Q4 of last year. Non-gap income from operations was 208 million, or .7% of revenue in the quarter, compared to 200 million, or .3% of revenue in Q4 of last year. Our gap effective tax rate for the quarter came in at .8% and our non-gap effective tax rate was 24%. Deluded earnings per share on a gap basis was $1.80. Our non-gap diluted EPS was $2.84, reflecting an increase of 9 cents, or 3.3%, compared to the same quarter in 2023. In Q4 there were approximately 57.4 million diluted shares outstanding. Turning to our cash flow and balance sheet. Cash flow from operations for Q4 was 130 million, compared to 171 million in the same quarter of 2023. Free cash flow was 115 million, compared to free cash flow of 161 million in the same quarter of last year. We ended the quarter with approximately 1.3 billion in cash and cash equivalents, which is lower compared to the same quarter of last year due to our recently completed acquisitions. At the end of Q4 DSO was 70 days, compared to 74 days in Q3 2024 and 71 days in the same quarter last year. Share repurchases in the fourth quarter were approximately 53,000 shares for $13 million, at an average price of $241.99 per share. Moving on to a few operational metrics for the quarter. We ended Q4 with more than 55,100 consultants, designers, engineers, trainers, and architects. A growth of .3% compared to Q4 of 2023. This was a result of recent acquisitions, which contributed nearly 6,000 delivery professionals. In addition to solid organic growth, which contributed sequential net additions of around 1,500 employees in the quarter. Our total headcount for the quarter was 61,200 employees. Utilization was .2% compared to .4% in Q4 of last year and .4% in Q3 2024. Turning to our 2024 full year results, revenues for the year were $473 billion, up to .8% on a reported basis year over year. On an organic constant currency basis, revenues were down .7% year over year. Gap income from operations was $545 million, an increase of .6% year over year and represented .5% of revenue. Gap income from operations benefited from the recognition of 69 million of incentives related to research and development activities performed in Poland. And was negatively impacted by 31 million of severance related costs. Our non-gap income from operations was $779 million, a growth of .8% compared to the prior year and represented .5% of revenue. Our non-gap income from operations benefited from the recognition of 45 million of incentives related to research and development activities performed in Poland in 2024. Our gap effective tax rate for the year was 22.2%. Our non-gap effective tax rate was 24%. Deluded earnings per share on a gap basis was $7.84. Non-gap EPS, which excludes adjustments for stock-based compensation, acquisition related costs, and certain other one-time items, including costs associated with our cost optimization programs, was $10.86, reflecting a .5% increase over fiscal 2023. In 2024, there were approximately 58 million weighted average diluted shares outstanding. Cash flow from operations was $559 million compared to $563 million for 2023. And pre-cash flow was $527 million, reflecting an .7% adjusted net income conversion. And finally, shares repurchased in 2024 were approximately ,854,000 shares for $398 million, at an average price of $214.65 per share. Now let's turn to guidance. Before moving to the specifics of our 2025 and Q1 outlook, I would like to provide some thoughts to help frame our guidance. We have been pleased with the progress we are making on demand generation and will continue to prioritize revenue growth into 2025. We see stability in client budgets and some degree of shift in spending towards growth and strategic programs. In 2025, we expect flat -over-year organic revenue growth in Q1, followed by continued improvement throughout the year. In terms of profitability for 2025, we do expect to run the business at somewhat lower levels of profitability than we have in past years. As Ark mentioned, we are investing in retaining our top talent, as well as further accelerating investments in our advanced Gen. AI platforms and tools. Compensation increases to retain talent for future growth, combined with the limited ability to improve client pricing in the near term, and additional pressure from dilutive impact of recent acquisitions will continue to put pressure on profitability this year. However, we do expect to see improvement in our profitability levels from the first half to the second half of the year. Our guidance assumes that we will continue to be able to deliver from our Ukraine delivery centers at productivity levels similar to those achieved in 2024. Now starting with our full year outlook. Revenue growth will be in the range of 10 to 14 percent, with an inorganic contribution of approximately 10 percent for 2025. Foreign exchange is expected to have a negative impact of 0.9 percent. We expect gap income from operations to be in the range of 9 to 10 percent, and non-gap income from operations to be in the range of 14.5 to 15.5 percent. We expect our gap effective tax rate to be approximately 24 percent. Our non-gap effective tax rate, which excludes excess tax benefits related to stock-based compensation, will also be 24 percent. Earnings per share, we expect the gap diluted EPS will be in the range of $6.78 to $7.08 for the full year. And non-gap diluted EPS will be in the range of $10.45 to $10.75 for the full year. We expect weighted average share count of $58.1 million, fully diluted shares outstanding. For Q1 of 2025, we expect revenues to be in the range of $1.275 billion to $1.290 billion, producing -over-year growth of approximately 10 percent. Our guidance reflects an inorganic contribution of 11.4 percent, with a 1.4 percent negative FX impact during the quarter. For the first quarter, we expect gap income from operations to be in the range of 6.5 percent to 7.5 percent, and non-gap income from operations to be in the range of 12.5 to 13.5 percent. Our Q1 income from operations guide reflects the impact of resetting social security caps, the negative impact of 2024 compensation increases, which we were unable to offset with better pricing, dilution from recent acquisitions, and a slightly softer revenue in the month of January, and a slightly softer revenue in the month of January. For the second quarter, we expect revenue to be in the range of $1.2 million to $1.290 billion, and a 1.4 percent negative FX impact during the quarter. We expect a weighted average share count of $57.7 million to diluted shares outstanding. Finally, a few key assumptions that support our gap to non-gap measurements for 2025. Stock-based compensation expenses are expected to be approximately $194 million, with $50 million in Q1, $44 million in Q2, and $50 million in each remaining quarter. Amortization of intangibles is expected to be approximately $68 million for the year, with approximately $18 million in Q1 and $17 million in each remaining quarter. The impact of foreign exchange is expected to be approximately $1 million loss each quarter. Tax effective non-gap adjustments is expected to be approximately $61 million for the year, with $17 million in Q1, $14 million in Q2, and $15 million in each remaining quarter. We expect excess tax benefits to be around $14 million for the full year, with approximately $7 million in Q1, $2 million in Q2, $1 million in Q3, and $3 million in Q4. Severance, driven by our 2024 cost optimization program, is expected to be $6 million in Q1 and $1 million in Q2. Finally, one more assumption outside of our gaps to non-gap items. We maintain a significant level of cash and are generating a healthy level of interest income. However, based on the reduction in cash resulting from the recent acquisitions, we are expecting interest in other income to be smaller in 2025 compared to 2024. We expect excess tax benefits to be around $18 million for the full year, with $4 million in Q1, $2 million in Q2, and $5 million in each remaining quarter. My thanks to all the EPAMers who made 2024 a successful year and will help us strive growth throughout 2025. Operator, let's open the call for questions.
If you wish to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad to raise your hand and join the queue. If you would like to withdraw your question, simply press star 1 again. If you are called upon to ask your question and are listening via loudspeaker on your device, please pick up your handset and ensure that your phone is not on mute when asking your question. We ask you limit your questions to one and one follow-up so we are able to take as many questions as possible. And your first question comes from the line of Maggie Nolan with William Blair. Your line is open.
Thank you. Jason, I was hoping you could elaborate a little bit on the expectations that are embedded in the top end and the low end of revenue guidance, both company-specific and from a macro perspective.
Yeah, so I think we've been fairly careful about our expectations for New York City and FD, who both generally delivered at the level of revenues that we expected in Q4. We have them both with some modest degree of growth as we go from 2024 to 2025. And then as I think we said in the prepared remarks is that we've got effectively kind of a 0 to 4% growth for organic. And if you introduce the foreign exchange headwinds, you've got a 1 to 5% growth, again, using an organic constant currency. Right now what we're seeing is a somewhat slow start in January, but we're seeing substantial program starts and clients beginning to really get started here in 2025 as we enter February and as we work through the month. If I were to talk about that in Maggie, is this for revenue or is this for the revenue? Okay, so what we would have is clearly some degree of sequential growth, Q1 to Q2. We are seeing substantial sort of project starts in certain areas of our business and we've got a couple of clients, one particularly in sort of high tech that we expect to show substantial growth in the year. Again, the 4% is clearly some degree of sequential revenue growth in the back half. If you were to end up in the middle part of the range, it's kind of a softer sequential growth. So I'm not certain that helps too much, but what we are seeing is very strong sort of program starts in customer demand here in February, despite the fact we had sort of a slower start to January. Thank
you, that's helpful. And then on the margin side, you know, Arcata, you mentioned that some investments that you are clearly going to be making, I'd be particularly interested in some of the commentary around agentic AI and IP, since IT services companies don't typically retain a significant amount of the IP that they generate. And then how are you thinking about balancing, you know, those investments with perhaps the need to drive some cost synergies in these acquisitions that you just onboarded?
Yes, let me just do a quick bridge on adjusted IFO, and then I'll probably let Arc talk a little bit more about the importance of the investments in agent AI. We've got a 2024 at .5% adjusted IFO. The midpoint of our guided range for 2025, that would be 15%. We've talked about dilution due to the acquisition of FD and Neorus. Both of them are accretive from an EPS standpoint, but they are diluted from an adjusted IFO. And so I think that we've updated our assumption, and that's about a 60 basis point dilution. So .5% with the 60 basis point diluted impact of the acquisitions were down to 15.9%. And then .9% compares to the 15%, which is the midpoint of the .5% to 15.5%. And what we're seeing is some incremental investment in agent AI, which is causing both an increase in ASTR and a little bit of a decrease in gross margin. And then Maggie, as we've kind of talked throughout 2024, and I think of also as we've talked about what we expected in 2025, we have been focused on retaining our top technical talent. And so we have had some degree of cost increases or increases in compensation in 2024, in a year when it was very difficult to get rate increases. We still expect that this is a more challenging, certainly in the first half of 2025. So what we are expecting to have is our traditional promo campaign in the first half of 2025 with limited ability to offset those compensation increases with salary increases. We do expect the pricing environment to improve somewhat throughout the year. Clearly, we're focused on utilization and pyramids and that type of thing. But really what is happening in the 15, 15.9 to 15 is some amount of compression due to price sensitivity of the clients. India still runs at better than average profitability. Ukraine still runs at high levels of profitability. So we feel good about the business overall, but just the pricing environment still is kind of pressurizing our gross margin and ultimately our adjusted outcome.
I think I would add that this type of investment is not something new for us. Specifically, when there is a visible transition in technology and we all understand that investment in AI is a lot of investment in training, changing the mind of our development team, how new software will be built. And on top of this number of accelerators and some IPs as well, specifically in this transitional period where market itself not bringing too many stable solutions to build new type of software. And we needed like when cloud conversion was happening, with mobile conversion was happening, and it was significant investment. It was better market environment back then. But we do believe that we cannot miss this investment right now because as soon as the AI, AI, AI, AI, AI is starting to drive real transformation, we need to be ready and have advantage there.
Your next question comes from the line of Jamie Friedman with Susquehanna. Your line is open.
Hi, good morning. I just want to ask one question. In terms of your prepared remarks, Arcadi, you say and I'm quoting in 2025, clients will balance their cost focus with the need to accelerate their transformational AI. That to me sounds like kind of a change the business versus run the business narrative. I'm just wondering, in the context of your pricing commentary, is the pricing, do you have any exposure to the run the business opportunities? Is it all really the change the business transformational side, whether it's JNI or otherwise? And is the pricing pressure that you're feeling on the new stuff or on the old stuff or both? Thank you.
So we definitely have during the last several years, exposure to run the business and we have number of engagements. And even this we're trying to do differently than traditionally it was executed, especially with everything what we see in very different level of automation driven by JNI progress. But the pressure, pricing pressure, still during the last several years, there is a big inertia to change it. And that's what will start happening in 2025 more visibly. But there is a pricing pressure across run and build as well. And change as well. Until again, the change will become much more coming to more traditional levels of the web.
Okay, thank you for that. I'll drop back in the queue.
Your next question comes from the line of Brian Burgin with TD Cowan. Your line is open.
Hi guys, good morning. Thank you. On demand, it was hoping you could dig in more on how the client spending behavior progressed through each month in 4Q. I'm really trying to dig into commentary on new clients versus existing clients. So can you talk about that in any interesting bookings data or anything like that?
I don't think I can give you specific numbers, but definitely we enter in a good number of new clients. It's not becoming very large right away. But there are some clients which quickly go into the range of annual wise 10 mil. So at the same time, there are a lot of new clients which coming through GNI kind of proof of concept and then started to scale. But I also would probably mention that for us right now, new clients, sometimes it's our old clients as well. Because for the time when starting from the beginning of the war, it was a lot of declines. We see in return of these clients, not fully, but visibly. And for example, Jason mentioned one of the big tech companies, which almost went to zero now starting to really scale. So we consider in some way new clients that we improve again. And proof, not only would be proof, but that they come back to us because they need the quality level and understanding of the technology which we
possess. Hey Brian, so I'm just going to introduce a couple of numbers here. So you know the guide was 1205 to 1215. New or as performance expected, we said that we would do about $54 million with New or as FD would have been incremental to that. And I can tell you that that was about $12 million again as we expected. So if you added the FD to the guide, it would have been 1217 to 1227 and we landed 1248. And so it clearly was in what we call our standalone business where we saw strength. We did see sequential growth in Europe. We did see improvement in financial services, including growth in European financial institutions. And so overall it was quite a bit stronger quarter from a revenue growth standpoint than we had expected, particularly with good revenues in the month of November and December.
Okay, very good. I appreciate all that detail. And Jason, actually on the margin too for my follow up here.
So thank
you for the bridge. Okay, obviously a lot of moving parts here with the R&D tax credit, but then the market, you know, the acquisition margin profiles, incremental investment, and a different geo footprint. But as we kind of just think ahead, as demand ultimately normalizes, do you anticipate a return to profit levels where you've been before? Or is it too early to make that call?
Yeah, we are definitely expecting to see improved profitability in the second half of the year relative to the first half. And then clearly we're looking to drive profitability back to what I would call more typical. I know some externally think about 17 plus. I've always sort of thought of us as a 16 to 17 company. And so the focus on the on getting back to a 16% or better would certainly be a goal for the company. And again, with a slightly different environment, we think that's
achievable. Your next question comes from a line of David Grossman with Stiefel. Your line is open.
Thank you, I can bring. I wonder maybe if you could speak a little bit of, you know, your capacity and your ability to accelerate revenue growth, you know, once demand improves and maybe in party response, you could help to mention, you know, what the headwind we should expect from the bill rate dynamic from geographic makeshift in 2015. And how much that may be impacting the growth outlook.
Okay, so in terms of our ability to grow revenue, you know, we have continued to sort of operate with, you know, with a strong sort of talent capability. So we feel good about our ability to grow in India. We feel good about obviously our ability to grow in our traditional Eastern Europe and our ability to grow in the Americas. We are beginning to see some return and we are seeing a little bit of growth even in places like Ukraine, obviously, depending on how things resolve themselves there that could open up further demand for that geography. And so I think David, we feel good about the opportunity to kind of grow revenues across a broad range of geographies. I do think you are going to continue to see a little bit of this headwind that we talked about in 2024, whereas you shift into, let's say, Latin America with kind of local to local kind of revenues with New Yorkers, some further growth in India, and growth in places like kind of Kuka, which is an attractive price point where you'll continue to see a little bit of compression. You know, I don't want to say compression, but you'll continue to see some headwinds on the revenue per headcount number as we move through 2025 would be my expectation.
Okay. And did you provide just some color until what you think the makeshift headwind is to revenue growth in 2025?
We did not. You know, we talked about it last year. This year, I think, you know, clearly it depends. And I think that the answer is that, you know, what I would say is we are beginning to see somewhat broader demand. Clearly, you know, you're continuing to see more growth in India, but we are beginning to see demand for, you know, our more traditional kind of Eastern European geographies as well. So, you know, maybe I would say it's somewhat less of an impact than what I talked about in the middle of 2024. But I would say you'll continue to see some impact from that, but I haven't sized it.
Okay, great. Thank you for that. And then just in terms of the margins, I think you've already given a lot of color there. One thing you didn't mention was, again, any headwinds from diversifying your geographic capacity and just wondering what impact if any that's having on the margins currently. And just curious whether there's anything unique about your specific ability, the price versus wage increases versus your peers, because I don't think your peers are seeing quite as much impression as you may be experiencing currently or in 2024 and the expectation for 2025.
Yeah, I think one of the things is that we continue to focus on retaining talent and our attrition continues to decline throughout 2024. So our voluntary attrition right now is definitely in the single digits. You know, as I think Arkadiy could probably talk better than I could, that we do think what has made us successful over time is really the ability to deliver base, you know, with very high quality talent. We do want to make sure that we're able to retain that talent, particularly as we head towards a time where we think there is going to be more transformative programs. We are beginning to see certain clients come back to us where they've had either failures or fatigue with other providers. We still think that the quality of execution is important and we do think that there's an opportunity to improve price over some period of time, but I'll let Ark talk about the talent.
Yeah, I think,
David,
this is what we mentioned in our remarks. So there is kind of double movements and again, our exposure to change is proportionally much higher than many of our peers. And I think we tried to make sure that we have the right talent to come back when demand will be normalized. So, and yes, there is pressure there. When we were relocating people, so we were relocating this to some of them to other countries in Central Europe, some of them to Western Central Asia. And there is a very different pricing points. We're trying to keep the right balance and create opportunities to grow in each of these locations.
Great. Thanks for that, Arkai. Just any thoughts on the cadence that you said margins better in the second half than the first half and any other color you want to provide around that?
Yeah, I would just say, you know, probably Q1 and Q2, you wouldn't see a substantial improvement in gross margin, but we are, you know, taking the classic sort of steps to improve profitability throughout the year. That's all the things we've been talking about, you know, improving the utilization, improvement in pyramid, and then some amount of scaling. And so we do want to be prepared for us. You know, we want to exit 2025 with an ability to drive closer or above that, you know, classic profitability target of 16% or above.
Got it. Great. Thank you.
This is previous year where our profitability was increasing.
Great. Thank you.
Your next question comes from the line of Jason Cooperberg with Bank of America. Your line is open.
Good morning, guys. Thanks for taking the questions. The first one is just on revenue. I wanted to dive in a little bit just in terms of what's embedded in terms of assumptions on further improvement and discretionary spending. Obviously, you've started to see some pick up and I'm wondering if, you know, the slope of that line, if you will, does that does that need to improve to get to, say, the midpoint or the high end of the revenue guide? You know, what's the underlying assumption there that you you've built in?
So the what does it take to get the high end of the range? What's our assumption on improving discretionary environment?
So we across portfolio, we say this is what we were sharing like during the previous call. We say in some discretionary change, which very different than 12 months ago. And we saw it in Q4 and we're saying this is right now in Q1. The challenge here is that the pricing environment is still challenging. We mentioned this and how it's going to change. We need to see what on the positive side, this is exactly what we expect for the high range. If this is starting to happen because there are already interesting proofs of businesses, advantages when they started to do all the transformations or scale. Most scale programs are generally related so that it will drive the others and pricing together business. So this is more like a high end assumption.
OK,
we don't have a huge change, but we counted on some more pragmatic views of the companies which would like to run change programs. And we saw already when the pricing was actually to the point in many programs where the vendors couldn't deliver. So this is already built up as a very good argument to do it differently.
And just to follow up on the on the margin. So I guess wage inflation is eclipsing pricing this year. I think you said margins down about 90 bits on an organic basis. I was curious which countries are driving some of that wage inflation you mentioned as you're investing to retain the talent. Yeah, I would
generally say it's probably more in what I would refer to as the offsite countries. Again, you know, it would be hard for me to be specific on one country or another. What you're just seeing is, you know, again, a focus on retaining top technical talent in an environment where it continues to be hard as ARC said to pass on price increases. So again, I would generally view it as, you know, we've been fairly careful on the expense of on-site talent, but it really is more in the delivery locations outside of the U.S. and Europe.
And technology talent specifically with ability to understand what the new SDLC will be, with the ability to work in this enabled by GNI and solutions enabled by GNI. This is becoming very hard. Property and again, if we're trying to build a company which is prepared for this demand, that's a retention thing which we need to focus exactly right now.
Thank
you,
R. Your next question comes from the line of Darren Peller with Wolf Research. Your line is open.
Hey, good morning. Good day, guys. You know, when we exclude the couple of acquisition, it does look like your organic head count growth inflected for the first time in some time. So maybe a bit more color on your hiring plans for the year, geographies you plan to hire any maybe specific skill sets. And then just as an attached question to that geopolitically, obviously, no one knows where things are going from, you know, Ukraine, Russia standpoint. But if we were to see any change, you know, around the war and any any change in terms of abilities for multinational top rate in those areas more, your head count is still I mean, you still have a decent head count in Belarus and Ukraine. Just remind us the mix of where your head count is going forward for this year. And if that could impact you guys in any way from a margin or, you know, labor optimization standpoint of where you guys already have some head count. Okay, so just as a reminder,
we had net head count additions that was organic in Q3 of this of 2024. That was somewhat less than a thousand, but still, you know, again, a decent number of additions were about fifteen hundred, as I indicated in Q4. Again, on an organic kind of basis. And of course, we had the incremental from FD and the ORS. And then for Q1 of 2025, we're also expected to be something, you know, approaching a thousand, probably a little bit below based on kind of the slower start to the January month. So we are definitely adding headcount, as I think you've talked about, although I'm not going to be specific about which countries is that we are beginning to see kind of demand return to certain geographies in Europe will clearly still be growing in India will clearly still be. We still, you know, we have seen a declining head count in Belarus on a year over year basis and a modest decline in headcount in Ukraine on a year over year basis. But actually, we did see a little bit of growth late in Q4 in the Ukraine and in a resolution to the conflict. You know, we think that could make clients more open to, you know, to putting more projects programs, particularly in the Ukraine.
OK, OK, so I guess we'll have to see how it goes. But I imagine from a margin standpoint, some of those some of those labor forces that you guys have could be helpful from just relative to the mix you had in other markets. Yeah, that's very quickly.
That's very good point. Yes. OK, Ukraine is historically and continues to be one of our most profitable geographies.
OK, thanks. Just just a quick follow up. I think you've seen somewhere around 400 or 500 basis points improvement or increase in fixed contract percent, if I'm not mistaken, over the last couple of periods, maybe just the overall trend. If you could just give us a little bit more color on what you're seeing there and the driving. We've
got probably three things. OK, one is that we are growing in the Middle East, which tends to be more of a fixed fee environment. And so a little bit of the mixture there. OK, we are seeing some more consulting led programs where there's more of a consultant engagement and then the tail associated with the bill. And those oftentimes have kind of a big speak on it. And we probably have a little bit more kind of managed service or fixed monthly fee. And again, that would obviously contribute to that to the mix of fixed fee business as well.
OK, very helpful. Thanks, guys. Thank you.
Our final question comes from the line of Jonathan Lee with Guggenheim Partners. Your line is open.
Great. Thanks for taking our questions. Can you help us understand what's contemplated across your outlook range from a vertical perspective? Any verticals expected to accelerate versus decelerate throughout the year?
I think it's pretty much in line with what we see during the last year and quarter. So by science and at this point, financial services. Showing good dynamics. So and. We still want to know about the data, for example, and business information recovery because it was a big hit by the client, which we. Last year
and then components of emerging, including energy, would probably be, you know, areas of growth as well. In general,
it seems like across most of the verticals we expect to see growth.
And then I think the only other point is that we do expect to see an acceleration in tech. And we are certainly seeing an improvement there and Q4 and do expect to see an improvement.
Understood and recognize that the pricing environment is somewhat challenging, but what in your view would catalyze a potential return to a better pricing environment?
So we say in some spots where clients actually starting to focus more change and. In this programs, they also understand the pricing should be changing and we say in this example, we just need broader of this and again, that's a previous answer. What we're thinking about our. High range. To achieve this should be happening better. So let's let's see what market will be will be showing. Okay, thank you for joining us today. I think we. We just like how we finished the year and each year starting from some new unknown because with that you feel much better what's going to happen. I think we have a pretty good. We. I would say feeling about how this year starting from the client communications point of view. We also trying to be very pragmatic with our annual. Guidance and. Let's talk in three months. Thank you very much.
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