Embraer S.A.

Q4 2023 Earnings Conference Call

3/18/2024

speaker
Operator
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. My name is Agui Paiva and I'm the head of investor relations for Embraer. I want to welcome you to the fourth quarter of 2023 and full year earnings conference call. Thank you for standing by. The numbers in this presentation contain non-GAAP financial information to facilitate investors to reconcile EVE's financial information in GAAP standards to Embraer's IFRS. We remind you that EVE's results were previously discussed at EVE's conference call. It is important to mention that all numbers are presented in US dollars, as it is our functional currency. This conference call may include statements about future events based on Embraer's expectations and financial market trends. Such statements are subject to uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ from those expressed or implied in this conference call. Except in accordance with applicable rules, the company assumes no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements. For detailed financial information, the company encourages reviewing publications filed by the company with the Brazilian Comissão de Valores Imobiliários or CVM. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. We'll give, later on, instructions for the participation in the Q&A session. As a reminder, This conference is being recorded. Participants on today's conference call are Francisco Gomes Neto, President and CEO of Embraer, and Antonio Carlos Garcia, our CFO. It is my pleasure to now turn the conference call to our CEO, Francisco Gomes. Please go ahead, Francisco.
speaker
Francisco
Good morning and good afternoon to all. Thank you and welcome to Embraer's Q4 2023 Results Conference Call. In 2023, our commercial activity intensified in all business units, with solid demand in the company's main markets. We also had a great start in 2024 with an important order from American Airlines that has driven our commercial aviation book-to-bill ratio above 1 to 1 for the year already in Q1. Last year, supply chain delays negatively impacted our business. However, we posted double-digit growth in aircraft deliveries, services, and revenues. The strong increase in sales helped the company's backlog to surpass pre-pandemic levels, as it reached 18.7 billion, the highest number recorded in the last six years. And I am confident to say there is still much more upside to be captured in the near future for all business units. In the financial side, we also experienced great results. We registered a 30% increase in adjusted EBIT year over year. And we generated more than $300 million in free cash flow in 2023, above our guidance. I'm pleased and proud to share that Embraer is back to investment-grade rating. All these results are a consequence of the execution discipline the company is focused on. Only if we reach important milestones in 2023, like the first prototype assembly, The progress made so far makes us even more confident that EVE is on track to develop the foundations for the global urban air mobility market. Last but not least, safety and quality are priorities in our strategy and are ever present in our culture. I will present now the operational results of our business units in the next slides. In commercial aviation, revenues increased an impressive 20% year-over-year to $1.85 billion because of higher deliveries and product mix. The business unit registered a book-to-bill in excess of 1 to 1.1. The highlight was the E2 family whose deliveries more than doubled from 19 aircraft in 2022 to 39 in 2023. In addition, in Q4, Porter Airlines added a firm order of 25 Embraer E195E2. Commercial Aviation delivered 64 aircraft in 2023. but registered a positive 1.1% adjusted EBIT margin without services, or basically the same margin as in 2022. The adjusted margin Q4 reached 4.6% compared to 4.1 quarter over quarter. Executive Aviation registered a book to bill in excess of 1 to 1.3%. with a strong profitable backlog of 4.3 billion or 11% growth year over year. On deliveries, the business unit posted the largest volume in seven years at 115 jets or 13% more than in 2022. The Finna 300 was again the world's best-selling light jet, now for 12 consecutive years, and the most delivered twin-engine jet for the fourth consecutive year. Executive Aviation presented a 90% adjusted EBIT margin in 2023 versus 12.2% in 2022, a consequence of product mix and one-time tax benefits. The Q4 adjusted margin ended at 15.7%, compared to 19.3% year over year. In defense and security, revenues reached a significant increase to $515 million, or 25% higher year over year, driven by higher C390 volumes. In 2023, South Korea was in the spotlight with the victory of the C390 in the public tender, becoming the first customer in Asia. Embraer also firmed two important MOU contracts, one with Mahindra in India and one with SAMI in Saudi Arabia, to become partners in the C390 sales campaigns. The business unit presented a 5.5% adjusted EBIT margin in 2023 versus 2.4% in 2022. In Q4 2023, the adjusted margin ended at 2.8% compared to 5.3% quarter over quarter, due to product mix and baseline contract adjustments. If we move to services and support, in 2023, the business unit experienced solid growth momentum. We announced three new MROs dedicated to executive jets in the U.S. The expansion doubled our maintenance capacity in the country, and it should continue to support the growth of our customer base. The business unit Backlog ended 2023 with $3.1 billion, a $400 million growth year-over-year, the highest level on record, reinforcing services' role as one of the main drivers of growth over the next years. We recorded a consistent double-digit adjusted EBIT margin throughout the year, finishing at 15.2% in 2023 versus 12% in 2022. In Q4, we had a 16.7% adjusted margin compared to 5.7% in the same period of the previous year, mainly because of sales. Bad debt provisions. Only if the company had several significant achievements, like the selection of important suppliers and the start of assembling of its first full-scale prototype. It also conducted a successful test of its urban air traffic management software in the UK. On the financial side, the company consumed less cash than expected in 2023. The next 12 months will be important for EVE. The company expects to perform the first test flight of its full-scale prototype and plans to start preparing its manufacturing facility for production. I will now hand it over to Antonio, our CFO, to give you further details on the financial results. And I will be back with closing remarks.
speaker
Antonio
Thank you, Francisco. and good morning and good afternoon to everyone. I'm glad and proud to share with you our 2023 achievements, driven by the continuous focus on business efficiency and innovation. We also reached our 2023 guidance for all financial indicators, net revenue, adjusted EBITDA and EBITDA, and free cash flow. Despite a miss in commercial and the executive aviation aircraft deliveries because of supply chain constraints. Moving to slide number nine on deliveries, executive aviation delivered 49 business jets in Q4 and a total of 115 aircraft in 2023. The light jet segment was 12% higher year over year. and reached the largest volume for the company in the past seven years. Additionally, medium jets registered a 14% annual growth. Meanwhile, commercial aviation delivered 25 aircraft in Q4 and a total of 64 jets in 2023 for 12% year-over-year growth. In 2023, Embraer supplied 181 aircraft, including two military C390 jets. The total represents an increase of 13% when compared to the 160 jets in 2022. This shows an improvement in the supply chain situation year over year, but we continued to face some delays which have negatively impacted our operational results and delivery guidance. The company continues working to mitigate the seasonality in production and deliveries over the coming quarters. Moving to slide 10, the company's backlog rose by $1.2 billion in 2023, a 7% increase year-over-year, and reached a total of $18.7 billion. the highest number recorded since first quarter 2018. Executive aviation ended 2023 with a resilient 4.3 billion backlog for a 400 million or 10% growth year-over-year. The backlog for defense security increased 100 million or 4% year-over-year with the victory of the C-300 8th millennium in South Korea standards. It is also important to highlight the aircraft was selected by the three NATO countries, and this negotiation for 11 aircrafts have not yet been incorporated into our backlog, which represents a significant upside potential for the upcoming quarters. In commercial aviation, the business unit backlog reached 298 aircraft in Q4, for a $8.8 billion total or 200 million or 2% growth year over year. And it does not consider yet the 9,175 units sold to American Airlines in the first quarter of 2024. The service and support backlog reached another historical record at 3.1 billion, with a 500 million or 19% growth year over year. Our top line reached almost 2 billion in Q4 and raised the yearly total to 5.3 billion for a 16% growth. growth rate year over year. Therefore, I'm happy to share that we met the low end of our 5.2 to 5.7 billion guidance range for revenues. Looking at the right chart, in 2023, commercial aviation represented more than 35% of the revenue. Executive and services and support close to 27% each and defense around 10%. Slide 11, the fourth quarter have an excellent performance in terms of adjusted EBITDA, with 253 million and margins of 12.8%. Meanwhile, in 2023, we ended with a 562 million total and 10.7% margin, meeting guidance for the year, driven by volumes, enterprise, and tax efficiencies. In slide 12, in Q4-23, adjusted EBIT was 182 million, and adjusted EBIT margin was 9.2%. Therefore, for 2023, adjusted EBIT reached 350 million, and adjusted EBIT margin was 6.6%, in line with guidance. This represented a $80 million increase increased year-over-year because of higher volumes across all business units and other operational income. Consequently, reported EBIT for the year, which includes M&A results, total $340 million for a 6% mark. Looking at the right chart, executive aviation and service and support were responsible for almost 90% of EBIT generated during the year. driven by higher volumes and double-digit margins. Meanwhile, defense and security represented 7% and commercial aviation, 5%. In slide 13, in Q4, if we exclude EIF, we had an adjusted free cash flow generation of 684 million, or 100 million higher year over year. For 2023, we achieved 318 million, compared to 540 million year-over-year because of investment and no recurring items. We surpassed the guidance of 150 million or more because of the improvement in working capital. If we move to investments, in Q4, 54 million were allocated to research and development and 60 million to CAPEX. For a 114 million total invested compared to 94 million in Q4 2022, if we exclude ETH. Meanwhile, in 2023, the company invested a total of 326 million, of which 194 million were invested in research and development and 132 million in CAPEX, if we exclude ETH, or 82 million higher year over year. We should highlight capital allocation continues to be focused on segments with higher returns. with projects such as expansion of our production capacity in executive aviation and service and support. About EVE, I would like to remind you that the company reached the necessary milestones to begin the capitalization of product development costs based on IFRS rules in Q3. I would like to finish this slide talking about This is an important metric for the company. Return on invested capital, ROIC. The momentum in our V-shape recovery is continuing. Our ROIC reached 8.8% in 2023, more than 200 basis points higher than 2022, and similar to our cost of capital. Looking forward, our expectation is to increase ROIC to the lower thin slab. In slide 14, Embraer posted $78 million in adjusted net income into Q4 for a 3.9% adjusted margin or an 80% plus sequential increase. Meanwhile, we ended the year with $79 million in adjusted net income for an adjusted 1.5% margin. Consequently, reported net income for the year, which includes deferred tax income, total 164 million for a 3.1% margin. In slide 15, we move now to our liability management plan. In 2023, we reduced our gross debt without EV by 317 million year over year. Does net debt decline to 781 million in 2023 for the billion in 2022. consequently we are happy to report a significant reduction in our leverage ratio in the top right corner you can see we ended 2023 with a 1.4 times net debt without even to adjust a btda ratio or 0.9 terms below the 2.3 times observed in 2022. Furthermore, we increased the average debt maturity to 4.6 years compared to 3.4 years year-over-year, which has left Embraer to a very comfortable position. Our cash of almost 2.4 billion with EVE allowed us to cover all obligations beyond 2030. Last quarter, we mentioned we were taking all necessary steps to recover our investment rate status. Today, I'm very pleased and proud to share that Tandem Improves raised Embraer to investment grade rating and Moots to only one notch below investment grade. At least Fitch revised the company's outlook to a positive. In slide 16, I almost forget to mention one important thing. It's our 2024 guidance. We forecast commercial aviation should deliver between 72 to 80 aircrafts for an increase of 18% year-over-year using the midpoint of the range if we consider ongoing supply chain constraints. For executive aviation, we forecast 125 to 135 jets an increase of 13% year-over-year based on the midpoint of the range. With a move to financials, we estimate top line to settle between 6 to 6.4 billion, with the midpoint of the range 18% higher than what we generated in 2023. In addition, in order to simplify the process, we are just giving guidance for the adjusted BIT margin. We forecast this indicator between 6.5 and 7.5 for the year, which would imply 434 million at the midpoint of the range. Finally, if you move to free cash flow, we estimate 220 million or better for the year. We will update or reiterate our guidance quarterly as the years goes by. With that, I conclude my presentation and handing it back to Francisco for his final remarks. Thank you very much.
speaker
Francisco
Thank you, Antonio. I'm proud to say 2023 was a remarkable year for Embraer. It represented the start of a new cycle for the company, a phase focused on sustainable growth to capture our full potential. The continuous focus on business efficiency and innovation, as well as stronger sales efforts, were and will be fundamental to achieve the expressive results in 2023-2024 and years ahead. In 2024, we will celebrate Embraer's 55th anniversary in a very good shape. we remain very positive about our strategy to grow and generate value for our customers, shareholders, and society through strategic partnerships, business efficiency, innovation, and ESG. With all that said, I am extremely confident about our 2024 guidance and the brilliant future Embraer has. I'd like to thank you all Again, for your interest and confidence in our company and with our company motto, safety first and quality always in everything we do.
speaker
Embraer
We'll now begin the question and answer session. We ask who is interested in asking question at any time, please press star then nine in the phone or press raise a hand on the platform when your name will be announced. Press star six on the phone or make sure your microphone is on in the platform and start your question. We will also answer questions sent by the platform chat. To give everyone a chance to participate, we request to ask just one question per call. If you need assistance, please use the Q&A button on the platform. Please hold while we collect questions. The first question comes from Marcelo Mota with JP Morgan. Please go ahead.
speaker
Morgan
Hi, everyone. Good morning. Thank you for taking my question. It is regarding capital structure. When we look at the guidance for 2024, the expected or let's say the implied EBITDA and the free cash flow generation, we are talking about a net debt to EBITDA that will potentially be below one times, right? So what is, let's say, the level of leverage that the company feels comfortable in operating? Does it mean that...
speaker
Antonio
know you're targeting for a zero leverage or could we see dividends by bags or you know some type of distribution or investment so that is the question thank you very much mario marcelo thanks for the question to be honest with everything below two times we are comfortable the way we are doing right now uh is going to be below one which implies that Assuming that we are going to exhaust our accumulated profit, we should be able to resume dividend payouts in 2025 onwards. That's the first part. And the other parts, we are going to evaluate additional demand for the business units who have a better growth like executive and service and support. if you have additional needs for investment at least that's more or less where we are today but if everything below two times we are comfortable to work with and we need to think how we are going to move forward for the years to come how to use this money perfect thank you very much antonio marcelo
speaker
Embraer
The next question comes from Victor Misuzaki with Bradesco BBI. Please go ahead.
speaker
Victor Misuzaki
Hi, congrats for the results. I have just a quick question here. Think about 2024 and what happened in the fourth quarter. When we take a look on cash flow, Embraer received a lot of PDPs. And I feel that in this case, you do not have any impact from this new order from American Airlines. So my question is, if it makes sense to assume predated repayments or inbred viewers to PDPs in the first quarter or in the second quarter of this year. Thank you.
speaker
Antonio
Thank you, Vitor, for your question. Tony speaking here. Vitor, you know more or less the dynamic of our cash flow. We're becoming positive last year, just in Q4. There's a lot of moving parts throughout the year. I would say it's too early to say that you're going to be better. Traditionally, in our free cash flow guidance, we were able in the last three years to do better, but for us, it's too early to say because we do have also other topics ongoing right now. We continue to grow in 2025. And in some of our companies, our factory are producing parts already for 2025 deliveries. And assuming that the volatility to have the advanced payments, we may see a different behavior. And you all know Q1 is going to be better, but not in the way we should see. That's why I would say what we agree internally here, as soon as we have more visibility in regards to the free cash flow, we are going to adapt. uh the guidance and do not wait uh for the q4 closing summary what i tell you right now i would say the free cash flow at least can be higher can be seen as a i would say uh conservative thank you thank you
speaker
Embraer
The next question comes from Gabriel Rezende with Itaú PPA. Please go ahead.
speaker
Gabriel Rezende
Thanks and good morning, Francisco, Antonio and Guilherme. Just a quick one regarding the supply chain risks. We saw your comments on Brazil Journal's interview, Francisco's interview on Brazil Journal mentioning that supply chain issues somewhat improved in 2023 versus 2022. I was just wondering, how much of these potential issues regarding the supply chain kept your delivery guidance for 2024? So these 80 aircraft in the commercial division, could it be higher if we're not for the supply chain issues? And what is the risk that you're seeing for our guidance right now regarding this particular variable?
speaker
Francisco
Thank you, Gabriel. Francisco speaking. Thank you for your question. Well, starting for the last part, yes. both deliveries in the executive and commercial could be higher if we had more parts from the market. But on the other hand, we saw improvements in 2023 in the supply chain in general, and we believe we will see further improvements in 2024. But we still have some bottlenecks, I mean, important components. that are limiting our production. We actually made our plan based on the conservative commitments from our suppliers. But even then, we are seeing already some delays in the beginning of the year that bring some challenges in our production flow. But anyway, we are optimistic that The numbers we put in our guidance will be achieved this year in terms of production.
speaker
Gabriel Rezende
That's very clear. Thanks, Francisco.
speaker
Francisco
You're welcome.
speaker
Embraer
The next question comes from Miles Walton with Wolf. Please go ahead.
speaker
Miles Walton
Apologies. Thanks so much. Antonio, you mentioned CapEx potential investments as a source, an area in executive and in services. And the services piece, I think I can understand what the expansion of the fleet and capture there. Can you talk about the areas of expansion in executive from a CapEx perspective? Is it purely capacity on the larger aircraft? Is it anticipation of something else to come and maybe put a quantification around it. Thanks.
speaker
Antonio
Good morning, Miles. Thanks for your question. for executive aviation. We are, since one and a half years, doing some adaptation of production capacity in order to be more efficient and also to support the growth. And we are continuing to grow with the book to be one, three to one, what we did already in 2023. uh therefore it's just painting booth a completion center in order to be more lenient about too many travel work for executives and also to adjust for the capacity and the mro side or in the services side is more expansion our mro i would say organic growth that we are fostering right now and on top of it for our new products is not there
speaker
Francisco
yet any type of decision decision to be made if 2025 maybe francisco could comment on the lesson well thank you very much antonio uh just to complement antonio's answer uh in terms of new products we are investing on uh innovation we are investing on seven innovation verticals you know in order to to close the technology gaps to be ready to go for a new program in the next future. We also made, you know, as we do all the time in marketing studies and product studies, you know, in order to be prepared for the next steps for Embraer. But now we have a very young and competitive portfolio of products developed in the last 10 years. And we are in a good moment. We want to sell those products and improve our financial performance. So that's what we're doing. But again, we are investing. We have a good investment in new technologies and innovation protocols.
speaker
Miles Walton
Okay. Thank you. I'll stick to one. Thank you.
speaker
Embraer
The next question is coming from a telephone number with the end of 1339. We ask for you to introduce yourself before asking the question. Please go ahead.
speaker
Antonio speaking
Yes, thanks so much, Kai Von Rumor. So in your guide, what is the relative mix within commercial, you know, between E1s and E2s? and deliveries for 24, and also in biz jets between lights and mediums. And also, if you think about most biz jet makers make more money on the larger jet, and it looks like yours is reversed. Is there any opportunity for the profitability of the medium biz jets to improve? Thank you.
speaker
Antonio
Hello, Guy. Antonio speaking. Thanks for your question is always very nice we for the commercial jets for 2024 we are targeting uh sixty percent e2 and forty percent one and the mix okay and for for the executive aviation is more or less uh light jets around 55 and 45 to mid-size jets uh i would say We are seeing a margin expansion for electric aviation, but percentage-wise, our margin is much better than in light jets, the midsize jets. However, where we are going much more than the midsize jets, that's why I would say we should be able to get some margin improvement, but not as the same we have in the light jets. For the midsize jets, we do have more competition. That's why I would say. In order to keep our guidance to the market, we are being a little bit conservative. I would say same market, but with much more dollars to come with the expansion production for the midsize jets. Thank you.
speaker
Antonio speaking
Thank you very much.
speaker
Embraer
The next question comes from Jordan Leone with Bank of America. Please go ahead. Excuse me, sir. We cannot hear you. If you could please unmute your phone.
speaker
Jordan Leone
So sorry about that. Could you hear me now?
speaker
Embraer
Yes. Thank you.
speaker
Jordan Leone
Great. Thank you. Sorry. Could you talk a little bit more about the read-through? on the United and the American orders for the 175s. Should we look at this as a new replacement opportunity for RJs?
speaker
Francisco
Yes, sure. So, I mean, this new order shows to us that the market of regional jets in the U.S. is recovering. I mean, although the pilot shortage situation is not resolve it, the market is recovering. And this was the first important movement. And this will be very important for us to make a health, to have a health mix of aircraft between E-1s and E-2s in the following years. So as E-1s continue to be, you know, the workforce in the regional aviation in the US.
speaker
Antonio
Francisco, just to complement the United issues, it was just a repositioning 20 units to Mesa, which just does not mean a new backlog, but for sure we do have interest from the other players in positions for D1, even that our big competitors were saying that the regional market is dead, but as you can see, it's not as dead as more in life that we all believe. And the orders, they are just confirming what we were saying in the last years.
speaker
Jordan Leone
Great, thank you.
speaker
Embraer
The next question comes from Jay Singh with Citi. Please go ahead.
speaker
Jay Singh
Hey, thanks for taking my question. It's Jay from Steve and Trent's team. My first question is, do you guys have any updates on the E2 sales campaign in and out of the US?
speaker
Francisco
Well, we cannot disclosure about sales campaigns, but what I can tell you that, yes, we are working. We are in conversations with potential customers of E2s in the US.
speaker
Jay Singh
All right. Awesome. Thanks. And my second question is regarding EVE, what are your thoughts on the certification process? You know, really considering that the FAA is probably under a little bit of pressure right now regarding recent commercial airlines incidents. Just any color on that would be great. Thanks.
speaker
Francisco
You're asking about the EV certification, is that right? That's right. Okay. We are having important programs on EV development. I mean, the key suppliers are already defined for the product. We are progressing well in the assembly of the first prototype, the POP2, scale 1 to 1, that we expect to fly, I mean, end of this year, beginning of next year. So we are committed for the entry into service of our eVTOLs until the end of 2026. Awesome. Thanks so much. You are welcome.
speaker
Embraer
The next question comes from Fernanda Recchia. Please go ahead.
speaker
Fernanda Recchia
Hello, good morning. Thank you for taking my question. A quick one from my side. Could you please provide us an update on the arbitrage process with Boeing? Thank you.
speaker
Francisco
Well, we expect a resolution in the first half of this year.
speaker
Fernanda Recchia
Perfect. And just a follow-up, looking at your statement, we can reach close to 300 million that you already reported in expenses for Carvin and Carvalt. Should the discussion be close to this number? I know you could not give any guidance on this, but at least if we look at your financial statement, we can see close to 300 million
speaker
Antonio
Bernard, this is Antonio speaking. It would be great if they paid the sunk cost we have, but it's not in our hands to take the decision. And if you ask me personally, I would be seeing more than that, but the decision is not in our hands, and we don't know if we're going to win or lose. That's why it's difficult to give you any type of forecast.
speaker
Francisco
Exactly. And just to complement, and we are not counting, on that money in any of our projections, Fernanda.
speaker
Fernanda Recchia
Perfect. Thank you very much.
speaker
Embraer
Our next question is from the chat. Please hold while we get the question. The next question is from Lucas Barbosa. Hi, Antonio, Francisco, and Guilherme. Thanks for taking my question, and congratulations for the result. My question is regarding business jets. How are you seeing the entrance of new orders today? For new orders, is there any niche market that the company is focusing more on, such as corporate, flight departments, and fractionals? and any visibility of how full the backlog of the competition is looking like? Thank you.
speaker
Francisco
Well, thank you for the question, Lucas. I mean, we are very happy with the performance of our sales performance of our business yet. I mean, as as we mentioned in the opening, I mean, our our backlog today is at 4.3 billion. The book to build We ended the year at the 1.321, even with high deliveries in the Q4. And I think we have a healthy mix in our sales. I mean, one third, one third, one third, more or less. I mean, one third for corporate flight departments, one third for fractionals, one third for, I mean, individuals. And this, and we have a great portfolio of products. I mean, just launched the Fin100 EX and the Praetors that are gaining more and more the preference of the customers. So we are really happy and comfortable with the sales of our business. And we are confident that we have another, we will have another great year of sales in that business unit.
speaker
Embraer
The next question comes from Christine Lee Wong with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
speaker
Christine Lee Wong
Hi, this is Gabby on for Christine. Good morning. So I was just wondering if you could provide some color on how the GTF MRO at Ogba is progressing and if you can just give an idea of how much revenue and margin will be in 2024. Thank you.
speaker
Francisco
Can you please repeat the question?
speaker
Christine Lee Wong
Yeah, so I was wondering if you can provide some color on how the GTF MRO at AGMA is progressing, and if you can also provide color on how much revenue the GTF MRO at AGMA will provide in 2024, as well as any color on margins would be great.
speaker
Francisco
i will start then antonio can help me to complement now now it's clear well gtf program is moving very well i mean the first delivery is planned for april according to following the program and that program as um will will be very important for the augment augments and embrace growth that the program will help us to more than double Okuma's revenue in the next two years, I would say. And this will be a very, very important factor of growth for Okuma and for Embroidered. Antônio, would you like to add something about the margin as well?
speaker
Antonio
Yeah, just in regards to the revenue side, we are more or less forecasting around $40 million additional revenue for this year on the GTF. But assuming that we are in the ramp up, we are not foreseeing any type of positive market this year. It's even like a negative impact because we are starting right now. But I would say in the long term, we do see a higher single-digit market for this business.
speaker
Christine Lee Wong
Great. Thank you.
speaker
Embraer
The next question comes from Miles Walton with Wolf. Please go ahead.
speaker
Miles Walton
Thanks, Antonio. Just another quick one, if I could. From a free cash flow conversion of EBITDA, I think 50%, 5-0% has been sort of your target level. And obviously, you're guiding below that in 2024. I realize you said it was conservative to start, but is...
speaker
Antonio
five zero percent still the right level to think about over the medium term thanks yeah miles thank you for the quest you are totally right that's is more or less what uh we are targeting internally minimum 50 of a bt day what we are facing the backlog is not a surprise maybe for for you is the volatility that we are facing throughout the year uh that's why we are guiding uh doing 220 plus because it's really hard for example last year we got a big amount of money the last week of the year that's why we prefer to be conservative but internally we are targeting a 50 or a bdj even in our long-term planning that's the minimum basis that we are looking for
speaker
Miles Walton
Okay. One quick one, if I could. Francisco, the E2 ETOPS certification, was that preventing you from competing in any competitions? And does that open up new competitions that you see in the near term?
speaker
Francisco
You mean the E2 certification?
speaker
Miles Walton
The ETOPS certification for Europe, for the E2.
speaker
Francisco
No, no. I think we are moving well with the ETOPS certification. And this will help us actually to improve the competitiveness of our eTools and to be more successful in the sales campaign we are working on, not only on Europe, but as well as in other regions.
speaker
Miles Walton
Okay, got it. Thank you.
speaker
Embraer
Thank you all very much. This concludes today's question and answer session. That does conclude Embraer's conference for today. Thank you very much for your participation and have a good day.
Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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