7/31/2026

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Good day, everyone, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to Eversource Energy Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. To participate, you will need to press star 1-1 on your telephone. You will then hear a message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star 1-1 again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. Now it's my pleasure to hand the conference to the Vice President of Investor Relations, Rima Hyder. Please proceed.

speaker
Rima Hyder
Vice President of Investor Relations

Good morning and thank you for joining us today on our second quarter 2026 earnings call. During this call, we'll be referencing slides that are available on our website at investors.eversource.com. As you can see on slide one, some of the statements made during this investor call may be forward-looking. These statements are based on management's current expectations and are subject to risk and uncertainty, which may cause the actual results to differ materially from forecasts and projections. We undertake no obligation to update or revise any of these statements. Additional information about the various factors that may cause actual results to differ and our explanation of non-GAAP measures and how they reconcile the GAAP results is contained within our news release, the slides we posted last night, and in our most recent 10Q and 10K. Speaking today will be Joe Nolan, our Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer, and John Moreira, our Executive Vice President, CFO and Treasurer. Joining us today is Jay Booth, our Vice President, Controller and Chief Accounting Officer. I will now turn the call over to Joe.

speaker
Joe Nolan
Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Rima. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us. Starting on slide four, As we complete the midpoint of the year, we're pleased with the terrific progress we have made this quarter. Our team is focused on executing the priorities we've established over the past year, including completing the sale of Aquarian, delivering strong operational performance, and strengthening the balance sheet. At the same time, we are continuing to advance the investments needed to support safe, reliable, and more resilient electric and natural gas systems for our customers. As you can see on slide five, we have several recent accomplishments. From an earnings perspective, we delivered second quarter recurring earnings per share of 87 cents, in line with our expectations, and we are reaffirming our long-term EPS growth guidance of five to seven percent. We have also delivered on maintaining a strong financial foundation, which is a major focus for us. Our disciplined approach to capital allocation and balance sheet management continues to position us well to fund critical infrastructure investments while preserving the financial flexibility needed to support long-term growth. The recent Moody's change to our outlook from negative to stable is a testament to our consistent execution and commitment to strengthening our balance sheet and the sustainability of our financial strategy to support our long-term growth. We continue to make progress on key initiatives that will deliver higher growth for our business and further de-risk our business profile. First, we completed the sale of Aquarian, which resulted in net proceeds of $1.7 billion. This sale was a significant milestone in furthering our strategic position as a pure play regulated pipes and wires utility. It allows us to optimize our portfolio by focusing on our core electric and natural gas operations across New England while efficiently reinvesting capital for the benefit of our customers. Second, the Revolution Wind Project continues to progress through advanced stages of construction and commissioning. As we do each quarter, we continue to evaluate our contingent liability associated with the sale of Revolution Wind. Based on revised cost projections of total construction costs, which included cost increases stemming from two stopped work orders, we recognized an after-tax charge of $164 million in the second quarter to increase this liability. As Austin has previously stated, the project is on track to reach its commercial operation date later this year. Lastly, on the FERC ROE decision, we have taken multiple actions to address this decision, appealing to FERC as well as the DC Court of Appeals. We expect that FERC will make a decision on the prospective ROE by November 30th. John will cover the process and the timeline for the court appeal. One thing is certain now more than ever, the New England region needs more transmission investment and utilities need a predictable regulatory environment to attract long-term capital to fund these investments for the benefit of customers. Our investments in transmission have delivered billions of dollars in savings for customers over the years by eliminating significant congestion costs We see ample need and opportunities for transmission infrastructure investment to further alleviate overall costs for customers. In fact, as you can see on slide six, following a comprehensive evaluation of six bids submitted in response to ISO New England's 2025 Longer Term Transmission Planning RFP ISO New England has preliminarily selected the joint proposal submitted by Eversource in Avangrid as the preferred solution. This transmission project is designed to increase transmission capacity between Maine and New Hampshire while strengthening the transmission interface between northern and southern New England. Eversource's share of the $2.2 billion project is approximately $700 million. with an anticipated in-service date of 2032. There are still significant steps ahead before a final solution is reached in the coming months. If this project is ultimately successful, it will greatly help address the affordability challenge facing New England by enabling increased supply and easing congestion costs. This would mark the second competitive transmission bid awarded to Eversource. following the Boston 2028 Solution Study Project in 2020. That project was successfully completed by Eversource ahead of schedule and under budget. As we have stated previously, incumbent utilities are uniquely positioned to deliver reliable, cost-effective transmission solutions for the region, leveraging their operational expertise existing infrastructure and establish relationships with stakeholders and communities. This is another example of our keen focus as a pure play pipes and wires utility to deliver cost-effective solutions that provide benefits to customers. Moving on to Connecticut regulatory front on slide seven. We received our final storm cost decision this week and are pleased that we can now proceed with securitization financing. to enable the recovery of these storm costs, something we intend to execute on as soon as possible. We also filed our CLMP rate review earlier this month, the first in almost a decade. Our proposal creates a sustainable path forward that balances affordability with the investments needed to maintain and strengthen the electric system that Connecticut depends on. A safe, reliable, and resilient electric grid is the cornerstone of the state's economy and enables the achievement of many important goals, including carbon reduction and electrification. The decision from this rate review will shape the state's electric infrastructure for the next decade and prepare the state for future economic growth. Over the last 10 years, our customers in Connecticut have enjoyed increased reliability as a direct result of our strategic investments in the electric system. Continued investment is needed to maintain the level of affordable reliability and resiliency that customers have come to expect. This includes addressing aging infrastructure that is nearing the end of its useful life, responding to more frequent and unpredictable severe weather events, and making the necessary upgrades to support the growing electric demand in the state. Since our last rate case in 2017, we've invested over $4 billion to improve and upgrade our electric distribution infrastructure, serving our 1.3 million customers across 157 cities and towns in Connecticut. In our rate filing, we have clearly demonstrated how our Connecticut customers have directly benefited from the investments we have made. Nearly half of all power interruptions Experience by customers in 2025 were restored remotely in a matter of minutes. The average customer experiences one outage nearly every two years, which is a 15% improvement since 2017. Additionally, we estimate that more than 1.5 million customer outages were avoided across Connecticut last year, thanks to automated technology installed on the system. And lastly, Through targeted initiatives such as system upgrades and enhanced system operating training, we have further improved our accuracy in determining and communicating estimated times of restoration during outages by 14% since 2017, resulting in clearer, more consistent information available to customers. At the same time, we recognize the importance of keeping energy bills as manageable as possible and we're committed to working with our regulators and other stakeholders across our service territories to strike the right balance between investing in the future of energy system and delivering value for our customers in the communities we serve. Affordability and reliability are connected. An electric system that's allowed to degrade becomes less reliable and over time more expensive to maintain and fix. This balance between affordability and reliability can be accomplished through efficient operations, rigorous cost control, and strategically investing to maximize long-term customer value at the lowest reasonable cost. Our approach has been to make proactive strategic investments that address aging infrastructure in a cost-effective manner long before they fail. From a regional perspective, Another area of focus for us is energy supply, which remains the greatest challenge to affordability for customers. While we do not control or earn any profit from energy supply, we want to be an integral part of the conversation to lower costs for our customers. Bringing additional generation to the region is key to reducing energy supply costs for electric customers. Since last year, Eversource has directly supported Thank you for joining us today. Growing energy supply alongside demand will help moderate cost increases, preserve system reliability, and ensure that all customers benefit from the growth rather than bearing the cost of constrained resources. This is why we support a comprehensive all-of-the-above strategy to tackle energy affordability, evaluating all opportunities, including identifying new sources of energy supply into the region. Another highlight for us this quarter was the publication of our annual sustainability report. As shown on slide eight, the report showcases our continued leadership in building a clean energy future, fostering a workplace that prioritizes culture and engagement, protecting the environment, and supporting the communities we serve. Overall, we're encouraged by the significant progress we've made during the first half of the year. which is a result of our continued focus on execution of our key priorities. The strength of our operations, the dedication of our employees, and the discipline with which we're executing our strategy gives us confidence in our ability to deliver on our commitments for the balance of the year and continue creating long-term value for our stakeholders. Let me now turn the call over to John to discuss our financial results and outlook as well as provide a regulatory update.

speaker
John Moreira
Executive Vice President, CFO and Treasurer

Thank you, Joe, and good morning, everyone. This morning I will review our second quarter 2026 earnings results, provide an update on regulatory matters, and discuss our balance sheet progress and financing plan. I'll start with our first quarter results on slide 10. Our GAAP earnings for the second quarter were $0.14 per share compared with GAAP earnings of $0.96 per share in the second quarter of 2025. GAAP results for the quarter were impacted by a non-cash after-tax charge of $111.4 million or $0.30 per share related to the carrying Thank you for joining us today. compared with GAAP as well as non-GAAP earnings of 96 cents per share in the second quarter of 2025. The decrease in recurring earnings over the prior years primarily due to lower earnings in the electric transmission and gas distribution segments. Lower earnings in the transmission business were primarily driven by the base ROE rate reduction ordered by FERC back in March. Lower earnings in the gas distribution segment were impacted by a prior year benefit for recoverable expenses. These results were partially offset by increased earnings in the electric distribution segment thanks to higher electric distribution revenues. Our results in the parent and other segment were flat as compared to prior year. Moving on to a regulatory update on slide 11, let me start with the CLMP rate case filing we made on July 14th, a rate request that balances affordability and reliability for our customers. This was the first general rate request for CLMP since 2017. The rate request calculates a revenue deficiency of $451 million, reflecting a proposed ROE The proposed increase would result in an 11% impact on total customer bill. Approximately 90% of this revenue deficiency is related to capital investments, future storm resiliency investments, storm restoration costs, depreciation and taxes. Only 11% of the file revenue deficiency is for increased O&M since our last rate increase. Compared to inflation, that's about a $45 million in expenses that have been avoided for our customers. We are proud of how the filing demonstrates our commitment to cost control. Additionally, as Joe described, we have clearly demonstrated in this filing that we can deliver strong reliability benefits in an affordable manner. Our customers and our regulators need to know that when we make investments in our system, those investments are being made to protect safety, improve reliability, and achieve state policy goals in the most efficient and cost-effective way possible. The filing also proposes a multi-year PBR mechanism that protects against future rate shocks This PBR mechanism would provide gradual rate increases over time and ensure that customer builds reflect the fair cost of doing business. In the filing, we have included a plan for implementing AMI for Connecticut with nearly $1 billion of capital investment and $300 million of O&M expense. As detailed in our filing, AMI would deliver customer benefits in excess of this estimated cost. Lastly, I want to highlight the economic development and heat pump rates proposed in our filing. These rates were designed after years of working closely with Connecticut stakeholders and policymakers to align our rate design with customer needs and state policy. Moving briefly to New Hampshire, I want to mention the annual base rate adjustment that was approved on July 21st. You'll recall that as part of our New Hampshire rate case, we proposed a multi-year PBR plan. The July order approved an increase of approximately $24 million that will be effective August 1st of this year. This is another example of how a well-designed PBR mechanism can help moderate rates long-term. Moving to slide 12, I would like to update you on the FERC ROE decision that was issued back in March, which reduced the base transmission ROE rate and ordered a refund going back more than a decade. We have made several filings with FERC and with the courts challenging this decision. As part of these actions, we did receive approval from FERC to extend the refund until mid-2027. We have also escalated our challenge with a petition for review and a motion for a stay of the FERC decision with the DC Circuit Court of Appeals. In our June filings with the DC Circuit Court, we made multiple arguments. First, we argue that FERC exceeded its authority by ordering a refund for a period longer than 15 months allowed by the Federal Power Act. Second, FERC failed to declare that either the 11.14% or the 10.57% rates were unjust and unreasonable until March of this year. Third, that FERC denied Eversource and other New England transmission owners the opportunity for due process by delaying their decision for almost a decade in response to a higher court order for remand. And lastly, we argue that FERC set the 9.57% ROE rate in a range previously found to be unjustly low. The DC Circuit Court will consider Our arguments and FERC's actions over the next several months. Staying with the FERC topic, on slide 13, I would like to provide an update on the Section 205 filing we made with FERC on April 30th to determine the prospective ROE rate. As a reminder, our filing calculated the new base ROE rate of 11.39% by using FERC's existing ROE methodology and only updating it to reflect current market conditions. As required by law, FERC issued their order in response to our 205 filing on June 29th, accepting and suspending tariff revisions and establishing a paper-hearing procedure. FERC's order was in line with our expectations, suspending The implementation of the requested ROE rate for the maximum five-month period allowed by law. Next steps in this process are that parties will file initial briefs by August 28th and reply briefs by September 28th. A new ROE rate is expected to go into effect on November 30th. Moving to slide 14 for a financing update. We continue to focus on enhancements to our balance sheet condition. We are pleased that we have closed on the sale of Aquarion on June 30th, generating a net cash benefit to Eversource of $1.7 billion. These proceeds will be used to displace debt at the parent company. The closing of the Aquarion transaction leaves our balance sheet in a much stronger position and we do not currently anticipate any changes to our financing plans as described on this slide. Our equity needs over the five year forecast period remain in the range of $800 million to $1.1 billion and we do not expect to issue any equity over the remainder of this year. We continue to consider a variety of debt and alternative financing solutions for our future needs. including the securitization of deferred storm costs in both Connecticut and New Hampshire. Next, on slide 15, I would like to share the latest affirmation of our financial strategy, which is that our FFO to debt metrics remain solid. Our latest FFO to debt ratios as of March 31st of 2026 are 14.3% and 15.7% for S&P and Moody's, respectively. Consistent with our commitment, these results are each over 100 basis points above the downgrade thresholds. We were also very pleased that Moody's changed Eversource's and NSTAR Electric's outlook from negative to stable in recognition of what we have recently accomplished. These objective measures reflect the successful execution of our previously communicated financing strategy. Looking at slide 16, we are encouraged by the final storm cost decision we received from Pura two days ago. Of the approximately $975 million that we requested, Pura approved approximately $870 million. Pura is deferring $60 million in storm costs pending the completion of a third-party audit review and audit $40 million in exclusions. Of the $870 million approved, approximately $200 million have already been recovered in rates. This results in approximately $670 million that is expected to be securitized. Pura did not approve the recovery of carrying charges that we requested. We are evaluating our options and next steps. With this final decision, we can now move ahead on the securitization process, starting with filing our financing plan at Pura in early fall. After hearings and Pura's review, we expect to receive a final financing plan decision in the first quarter of next year. This will allow us to begin the rating agency review, file the SEC registration statement, and begin marketing. With those steps completed, we anticipate cash in the door approximately one year from now. Next, let me reaffirm our five-year capital plan of $26.5 billion as shown on slide 17. This reflects our five-year utility infrastructure investments by segment through 2030. I do want to note that we have now highlighted the potential increase to our capital forecast from the announcement of ISO's preliminary decision on the transmission RFP selection, as well as AMI in Connecticut. Turning to slide 18, we reaffirm our non-GAAP EPS guidance range of $4.57 to $4.72 per share for 2026. This guidance was revised in March for the lower base ROE rate of 9.57 as well as the sale of Aquarium. Lastly, on slide 19, we remain confident in our ability to deliver earnings growth Thank you. Thank you. Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you so much. And as a reminder, to ask a question, press Star 1-1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To remove yourself, press Star 1-1 again. One moment for our first question. It comes from Shar Puresa with Wells Fargo. Please proceed. Morning, guys.

speaker
Joe Nolan
Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer

Morning, Shar.

speaker
Shar Puresa
Analyst, Wells Fargo Securities

Morning, Joe. Joe, just on the storm cost, I mean, obviously the carrying costs were denied in full. It's kind of material, I guess. How does that compare against what you had embedded in the financing plan? I guess, what are the offsets and next steps there? And just, I guess, what are the components of the $1.8 billion from storm cost securitization, just in terms of how much is Connecticut versus New Hampshire? Thanks.

speaker
John Moreira
Executive Vice President, CFO and Treasurer

Sure. John, this is John. Let me take the... Hey, John. How are you? Let me take the storm decision that we received a couple of days ago. I think it's important for us, first and foremost, that we are very pleased to finally have a decision, and more importantly, the number then which we can move forward with securitization. Overall, when you read the decision, it is constructive, certainly better than what we've seen from other rate decisions coming out of Pura. However, we are a bit disappointed with a couple of items that we don't really agree with. Things like the $63 million that they deferred really doesn't make sense to us, and certainly the carry-in charge. We continue to review the decision and really assess our Our options, as I stated in my formal remarks. But once again, we're encouraged that we finally have a number that we can move forward and get nearly $700 million in the door a year from now. As it relates to the carrying charge specifically, I do want to mention we only include things in our forecast that we have a high degree of conviction. and more importantly we have not recognized one dollar of these retroactive carrying charges. So one would conclude that in our financing plan because we don't have a high level of degree of conviction that we have not assumed that we would get the retroactive piece. But we think that we continue to be entitled to it and we will assess our next steps as it relates to the carrying charge.

speaker
Shar Puresa
Analyst, Wells Fargo Securities

Got it. Perfect. And then just the last thing is on the rate case. I mean, Joe, obviously, it's a pretty sizable ask at Connecticut Light and Power and Pura's posture in the storm decision, cost decision wasn't great. I guess, what's your read on how Pura approaches a filing of this size, especially kind of in an election year? It's early, but I guess how informed were stakeholders pre-filing? Were they surprised? I mean, I guess what's given you confidence they're going to do the right thing?

speaker
Joe Nolan
Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, you know, obviously it's a large ask, but the fact of the matter is, you know, we have not filed a distribution rate change since 2017. I'm very, very proud of the reliability metrics, the investments that we've made down there in Connecticut, and I think that that will stand up in this proceeding. You know, as John had mentioned, only 11% of the deficiency is coming from O&M, so you'll see how seriously we're taking cost controls. We feel very good about the investments. We think that our regulators will feel good about the investments. The other 90% of the deficiency is capex, resiliency, taxes, depreciation. It's nothing that's optional. It's about keeping the lights on and getting fair cost recovery. Not investing in the system, as you know, would be far more expensive. So as I said earlier, I am very optimistic. It's encouraging what's been happening at Pura. If you look at the past six months of decisions, Whether it's around Yankee, whether it's around cost recovery, they're a very, very engaged regulatory body. All five of them are on the bench. All five of them are engaged. All five of them are asking very, very good questions. So we feel very good that we will get a fair hearing in Connecticut. I think that they're going to see that the money that was spent, the money we're seeking in rates is prudent. and, you know, I'm very, very confident that we'll be treated very fairly in Connecticut just looking at the history over the past six months. It's very, very encouraging. And, you know, keep in mind, you know, as I tell folks, it is an election year. It's an election year in Massachusetts, an election year here in Connecticut. And, you know, with that comes, you know, additional amount of press and drama. But the fact of the matter is we will stick to the facts. We'll stick to our record. to what we have done, and we are very, very proud of that effort. Okay, perfect. Appreciate it, guys.

speaker
Shar Puresa
Analyst, Wells Fargo Securities

Have a good morning. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Carly Davenport with Goldman Sachs. Please proceed. Good morning, Carly.

speaker
Carly Davenport
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. Maybe to start on the New England transmission opportunity that you highlighted, What are the next milestones that we should watch there to de-risk that potential investment to the point that you'd consider rolling that into the baseline? Would that just be the 4Q call or is there anything we should watch there?

speaker
Joe Nolan
Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I think the third quarter call you'll have some good insight. We're expecting stakeholder comments on August 14th on the preliminary recommendations. Then August, September, ISO New England will review it. They're going to respond to the stakeholders. and we currently anticipate a publication of a final recommendation in September. So we should be in a good position for the third quarter call to give you more updates and that will allow us to roll that into the plan.

speaker
John Moreira
Executive Vice President, CFO and Treasurer

And Carly, I'm sure you're going to have a follow-up question. I'm sure everyone is wondering how much of that $700 million will be rolled into our current five-year forecast, taking us through 2030. You should think of it as probably half, 50% of that CapEx will incur during that forecast period.

speaker
Carly Davenport
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Got it. Okay. That's great. Super clear. Thank you for that. And then maybe just on the incremental revolution charge this quarter, can you just expand a bit on kind of the drivers that I guess were unknown relative to last quarter and then any kind of risks that you see

speaker
Joe Nolan
Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer

We have been watching this very closely in terms of the remaining charges associated with Revolution Wind. As we had mentioned, the two stock work orders led us to lose that vessel and that vessel needed to get remobilized in order to finish the job. You know, I'm very encouraged by many factors associated with Revolution Wind. First of all, we have every component needed to install it. The remaining pieces of the installation are very straightforward. There's no uncertainty around it. You know, we're delivering over 300 megawatts of capacity right now to the ISO New England grid and we're ramping up. We're heading towards the 704 number. So I feel good about it. But you know, the fact of the matter is, you know, the project is nearly complete. We have an in-service date of 2026, and we're going to finish this and get it over the goal. So I do feel very good with the number that we have captured to date, and I don't see any other types of risk that worry me or are going to keep me up at night, Collie. I feel very good about it. We're going to bring this in, and I'm very, very proud of the work that was done. Obviously, we couldn't control the shutdowns, but we just wanted to capture that and make sure that We are upfront about the charges.

speaker
Carly Davenport
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Understood. Great. Thank you so much for the caller.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

One moment for our next question, please. It comes from Nicholas Woods with the Bank of America. Please proceed.

speaker
Joe Nolan
Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, Nick.

speaker
Nicholas Woods
Analyst, Bank of America

Good morning, guys. How are you guys doing? Great. I guess just going back to after one a little bit, can you give us a sense of how much of the project is completed at this point? I thought I saw, maybe I didn't see it correctly, but I didn't see a percentage completion figure this time, so I just wanted to get a sense of where we're at in terms of that. We'll start from there.

speaker
Joe Nolan
Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer

Sure, yeah, so the project is over 95%, actually 97% complete. So we are really in the final, you know, we're in the five-yard line to get over the goal, so we are very good about that. Got it.

speaker
Nicholas Woods
Analyst, Bank of America

Thanks for that. And then just touching on the FERC ROEs, there's several processes, as you guys highlighted, that are running kind of in parallel. You guys mentioned before that ultimately you guys want an ALJ to be appointed and get an overall global resolution to all these outstanding dockets, but has that view changed, or what do you guys expect from all of this?

speaker
John Moreira
Executive Vice President, CFO and Treasurer

Hey, Nick. This is John. So, you know, the process is pretty much in line with what we were expecting, with the exception that there was no administrative judge appointed to kind of work with the parties. But as you know, in any proceeding, you know, settlement is always on the table. I think FERC is very – what we like about it is FERC wants to accelerate this paper hearing to have a reasonable rate going to effect on November 30th. which is very quickly. And I think once we have that and we see the rate and I think that could potentially get parties to reengage and hopefully look at a global settlement.

speaker
Nicholas Woods
Analyst, Bank of America

Great. I appreciate the time. Thank you so much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Thank you. Our next question comes from Sophie Karp with KBCM. Go ahead, Sophie.

speaker
Joe Nolan
Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, Sophie.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Hi, good morning.

speaker
Sophie Karp
Analyst, KBCM

Thanks for the time. I'm just curious, guys, now that a bunch of overhangs and, I guess, uncertainties are getting, you're getting to, like, have them in the rearview mirror, have you given any thought to maybe revising your long-term growth targets or at least, like, you know, having them so you're one of a few peers that Don't explicitly have a rate-based growth target in your materials, things like that. So is there a path here now to higher precision in disclosures?

speaker
John Moreira
Executive Vice President, CFO and Treasurer

Hey Sophie, this is John. So, I mean, we give enough information, we give you the annual CapEx, so you can certainly, you know, calculate a rough number. But our rate-based growth, and we do give that number as to what historically it's been, you know, it's growing. Slightly over an 8% CAGR. So we do have that slide every year when we give forward-looking guidance. So we just felt it was something that wasn't really needed because we do give enough color that someone could arrive at the annual rate-based growth. I don't know if you're familiar with the slide that I'm referring to, but we do give What is expected for a rate base by 2030 based on our CapEx? So we do have that in our deck.

speaker
Sophie Karp
Analyst, KBCM

Right, right. Secondly, I guess on the AMIs, can you maybe talk a little bit about the timeline of the rollout there and how will that reflect in rate base?

speaker
John Moreira
Executive Vice President, CFO and Treasurer

Sure, sure. So let me start off with the process that we're nearing the end in Massachusetts. It's really a five-year journey. And as it relates to Connecticut, right now we have included that proposal as I made in my formal remarks. in the rate case, but we also, outside of the rate case, requested an expedited decision to move forward, hopefully this fall, because we do want to take advantage of some contractual pricing that we were able to lock down for the vendors that we used in Massachusetts. So we feel that getting the green light for us to proceed with AMI in Connecticut by this fall, customers in Connecticut would be able to take advantage of that pricing. So with that, I would say if we get the green light this fall, we would start the project, mobilize it in next year, and five years later, that's when everything will be wrapped up. So that billion dollars, some of that will fall beyond our forecast period, given that timeframe.

speaker
Sophie Karp
Analyst, KBCM

Got you. All right. Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

That's all for me.

speaker
John Moreira
Executive Vice President, CFO and Treasurer

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Anthony Crowdell with Mizuho. Please proceed.

speaker
Anthony Crowdell
Analyst, Mizuho

Good morning, Anthony. Hey, good morning, John. Good morning, Joe. How's it going? Wonderful. Just two quick questions. One is I think on the FERC refund, there was a decision out, I don't know, a month or two ago in MISO. I'm just curious if that, you know, strengthens your appeal arguments or complicates your appeal argument, and then I have a follow-up.

speaker
John Moreira
Executive Vice President, CFO and Treasurer

Anthony, I would say no impact. Our facts and circumstances from a legal standpoint is quite different than the MISO decision. And obviously, as you know, the MISO impact on the rate was a couple of basis points. Here in New England, it's much, much greater. So our legal position is different than the MISO, and we feel good about our legal position. We've done everything we can as far as the motion for a stay and we're waiting for the court to rule on that which could come any day now but certainly we're hoping before we commence any refunds which we have not at this point initiated any of those refunds at this time.

speaker
Anthony Crowdell
Analyst, Mizuho

Great and then if I could just slide 15 to give a lot of clarity on the So first and foremost, we stand with our guidance that we want to be 100 basis points above the downgrade thresholds.

speaker
John Moreira
Executive Vice President, CFO and Treasurer

We've been very successful, as you can see on that slide. So that's our priority. And I feel good about the forecast and us achieving that steady state. As it relates to the refund, if we are in the position where we do have to refund the incremental $880 million, we would do that in a balanced manner.

speaker
Anthony Crowdell
Analyst, Mizuho

Great. That's all I had. Thanks for taking my questions. Thanks, Anthony. Thanks, Jeffrey.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question. It comes from David Pass with Wolf. Please proceed.

speaker
John Moreira
Executive Vice President, CFO and Treasurer

Good morning, David. Hey, David.

speaker
David Pass
Analyst, Wolfe Research

Good morning, guys. I just wanted to confirm on equity. So you're now with Aquarium done and everything and all the orders you got in place and assuming the securitization as it stands today. I'm just trying to say your equity is $800 million to $1.1 billion through 2030 without setting aside FERC refunds. Is that the way to read?

speaker
John Moreira
Executive Vice President, CFO and Treasurer

Correct. That slide does not assume that you would be in a position to refund the FERC, other than the 15-month refund that we've already accounted for and booked.

speaker
David Pass
Analyst, Wolfe Research

Okay. And you said no more equity issuances for 2026? Correct.

speaker
John Moreira
Executive Vice President, CFO and Treasurer

That is correct.

speaker
David Pass
Analyst, Wolfe Research

Got it. All right. Thank you. And then just switching gears to your parent and other drag, is it fair to say that the first half of this year is a good indicator, a good run rate, if we wanted to do a full year for the 2026 parent drag, and then how to think about that beyond 2026?

speaker
John Moreira
Executive Vice President, CFO and Treasurer

Yeah, I mean, as you can see, year over year, we're pretty much flat. So I think we have more normalcy, if you will, at the parent and other. But once again, you know, the taxes, that can go back and forth a bit. But I think to answer your question, I think it would be a good number if you modeled kind of the steady state going forward. You know, we don't have very much at the parent and other other than taxes and interest. Right.

speaker
David Pass
Analyst, Wolfe Research

Okay. That's it. Thank you.

speaker
John Moreira
Executive Vice President, CFO and Treasurer

Thank you, David.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you so much. And our next question is from Jeremy Tonnet with JP Morgan. Please proceed.

speaker
Aiden Kelly
Analyst, JP Morgan (for Jeremy Tonnet)

Morning, Jeremy.

speaker
John Moreira
Executive Vice President, CFO and Treasurer

Hey, Jeremy.

speaker
Aiden Kelly
Analyst, JP Morgan (for Jeremy Tonnet)

Hey, guys. This is actually Aiden Kelly on for Jeremy. Appreciate the time. Are you Aiden? Yeah, just one quick clarifying question on my end. I think it was asked earlier in the call. But could you just break down the key assumptions that comprise the $1.8 billion estimate in storm proceeds in your plan? I guess beyond the $700 million in Connecticut, which we talked about. Could you just quantify the cash flow drivers elsewhere across your jurisdictions?

speaker
John Moreira
Executive Vice President, CFO and Treasurer

So let me start with what makes up the up to the $1.8 billion. So we talked about, and we have it on the slide, the $700 million. that we will move forward with securitization from the Connecticut storm decision that just happened this week. So it's $700 million. And we're setting on about $450 million of New Hampshire storm costs that we're waiting for the final tranche to be approved. That's about $450. So we've included that in this slide as an update because now we have the legislation in hand. And then the difference between those two items and the 1.8 would be the carrying charges as it pertains to The Connecticut Storms. As I've mentioned, we are reviewing the decision and looking at our options and next steps. So we feel that there is a path forward for us to seek recovery of that, which certainly within our five-year period. So we've included that in there as well. So that's the composition of the 1.8.

speaker
Aiden Kelly
Analyst, JP Morgan (for Jeremy Tonnet)

Great. That's very helpful. Thanks, John. I'll leave it there.

speaker
John Moreira
Executive Vice President, CFO and Treasurer

Okay. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. And our last question comes from Julian Dumoulin-Smith with Jefferies. Please proceed.

speaker
Joe Nolan
Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer

Julian Dumoulin- Morning, Julian. Julian Dumoulin- Hey, Julian.

speaker
Tanner James
Analyst, Jefferies (for Julian Dumoulin-Smith)

Julian Dumoulin- Hi, good morning, team. Sorry to disappoint you. This is actually Tanner James for Julian. I just wanted to follow up on that AMI filing in Connecticut, particularly relating to the benefit cost analysis prepared. That analysis details a slightly positive nominal net benefit, but that turns negative on an NPV basis. Can you just provide some details regarding the proposal and prospects for implementation given the negative NPV for net benefit? Thanks.

speaker
John Moreira
Executive Vice President, CFO and Treasurer

Yeah, sure. I think the primary driver is... Let me step back. You know, this docket has been open for a multitude of years. If we had approvals and had the green light to move forward with that, the cost-benefit analysis would have been much, much stronger and positive. But because we haven't been able to get to a mutual place where we would feel comfortable in making the investment without having the assurance that we have recovery, we haven't done so. And we have updated the analysis and the costs have gone significantly higher. So the benefits really haven't changed, now the cost component has changed and that's why we're really close. Over time we think it's the right thing to do and we'll give customers the tools that they need to manage their energy consumption, and we think that that brings a lot of value to the table.

speaker
Tanner James
Analyst, Jefferies (for Julian Dumoulin-Smith)

Understood. Thanks. Maybe following up on the long-term EPS guidance, I noticed the disclosure with the earnings report projects cumulative 5% to 7% EPS CAGR through 2030. Could you just provide an update regarding how you might view either the linearity or the shaping of the earnings profile, or if there are other factors to consider regarding targeted EPS growth?

speaker
John Moreira
Executive Vice President, CFO and Treasurer

Sure. I did state in my formal remarks that we see the trajectory of growth rate, certainly between now and 2030, moving towards the upper half. So one would imply, and I also gave a bit more color that says by 2028 is when you can see that growth happening to put us in the upper half of that 5% to 7%. One would conclude that on a sustainable basis that 28, 29, and 30 to get us to the upper half by the end of 2030. So that's the trajectory that we're out there with.

speaker
Tanner James
Analyst, Jefferies (for Julian Dumoulin-Smith)

Great. Thank you very much. Appreciate it.

speaker
John Moreira
Executive Vice President, CFO and Treasurer

Sure thing. Have a good day.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you so much. And this concludes our Q&A session. And I will pass it back to John Nolan for final remarks.

speaker
Joe Nolan
Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you for joining us today. We're pleased with our progress year to date, remain confident about our execution momentum into the second half of the year. With a strengthened balance sheet, robust five-year capital plan, and ample opportunities for investment, we are well positioned for higher growth. Operator, this ends today's call. Thank you all for joining us.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you and this concludes today's conference. Thank you for participating and you may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

Q2ES 2026

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