Evercore Inc.

Q2 2021 Earnings Conference Call

7/28/2021

spk04: Good morning and thank you for standing by. Welcome to Evercore's second quarter 2021 financial results conference call. During today's call, all parties will be in listen-only mode. Following the presentation, the conference call will be opened for questions. If you have a question, please press the star followed by the one on your touchstone telephone. Please press star zero for operator assistance at any time. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before making your selection. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded today, Wednesday, July 28, 2020. I would now like to turn the conference call over to your host, Evercore's Head of Industrial Relations, Holly Miller. Please go ahead.
spk00: Thank you, Mary. Good morning, and thank you for joining us today for Evercore's second quarter 2021 financial results conference call. I'm Hallie Miller, Evercore's head of investor relations. Joining me on the call today are John Weinberg and Roush Lastine, our co-chairmen and co-CEOs, and Bob Walsh, our CFO. Celeste Millay, who joined Evercore earlier this month and will be taking over as CFO on September 1st, is also with us this morning. After our prepared remarks, we will open up the call for questions. Earlier today, we issued a press release announcing Evercore's second quarter 2021 financial results. Our discussion of our results today is complementary to the press release, which is available on our website at evercore.com. This conference call is being webcast live in the four investor sections of our website, and an archive of it will be available for 30 days, beginning approximately one hour after the conclusion of this call. During the course of this conference call, we may make a number of forward-looking statements. Any forward-looking statements that we make are subject to various risks and uncertainties, and there are important factors that could cause actual outcomes to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. These factors include, but are not limited to, those discussed in Evercourt's filings with the SEC, including our annual report on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, and current reports on Form 8-K. I want to remind you that the company assumes no duty to update any forward-looking statements. In our presentation today, unless otherwise indicated, we will be discussing adjusted financial measures, which are non-GAAP measures that we believe are meaningful when evaluating the company's performance. For detailed disclosures on these measures and the GAAP reconciliations, you should refer to the financial data contained within our press release, which is posted on our website. We continue to believe that it is important to evaluate Evercourse performance on an annual basis. As we have noted previously, our results for any particular quarter are influenced by the timing of transaction closing. I'll now turn the call over to Ralph.
spk02: Thank you very much, Hallie, and good morning to everyone. We began our last earnings call commenting on what a difference a year had made. And as we sit here today, not only are things dramatically different from a year ago, but things are also somewhat better than even three months ago. Over the past three months, we have witnessed a material improvement in the global economy, in global markets, and in Evercore's business. The rollout of COVID-19 vaccines accelerated in the U.S. and in many countries around the world during the quarter, and we experienced a decline in new daily cases in areas where vaccination rates are high. We are grateful for the progress being made against the pandemic, but we also are cognizant that there are many around the world who have not been as fortunate to date and are in earlier stages of overcoming this pandemic. And while we are encouraged by the progress being made overall, we continue to monitor the new COVID variants, the ongoing vaccine rollout in the U.S. and other parts of the world, and the data on infection rates, which unfortunately seem to be rising right now, particularly in areas with lower vaccination rates. We have delivered strongly for our clients over the past 17 months, advising them on their most important strategic, financial, and capital requirements during one of the most uncertain and volatile periods of our lifetimes. And we produced extraordinary financial results for our shareholders. And while we achieved a lot while operating as a predominantly remote firm, we are genuinely energized by the reopening of our offices that began toward the end of the second quarter. Many of us are using the summer months to come into the office, so I am pleased to be here at our headquarters with my colleagues in person on this call this morning. We remain firmly committed to our culture of in-office collaboration, apprenticeship, and mentorship, and we look forward to bringing our teams back to the office over the next several weeks and months. That said, we have learned a lot about operating flexibly over the past 17 months, and we are committed to integrating more flexible work arrangements into the way we work going forward. As the macroeconomic environment continued to strengthen throughout the quarter, our business did as well. Our results, which represent the best first half in our history, reflect the breadth and diversity of our capabilities, our team's relentless client focus, and the continued favorable environment for M&A and capital raising. And while we continue to believe that we are in the early stages of the next M&A upcycle, we are mindful that the resurgence of the virus in certain geographies the outlook for inflation and interest rates, and potential regulatory scrutiny and tax changes could affect the trajectory and the length of that upcycle, even though there is absolutely no evidence of that today. High levels of announced M&A transaction volume continued during the quarter. The total dollar volume of announced M&A increased 17% sequentially from as the number of transactions increased 7% and the average deal size increased 10%. In fact, the second quarter represents the fourth straight quarter to surpass $1 trillion in announced M&A activity, and the first time ever. the trailing 12 months activity exceeded $5 trillion. And large transactions are making a significant comeback compared to this time last year. This continued high level of activity led to record second quarter revenues and is adding yet again to our already strong backlogs. All of our capital advisory businesses, public and private, debt and equity, continue to be meaningful contributors to our firm-wide results. While the hot market for equity issuance cooled a bit during the quarter, it still remains well above historical averages. The investments that we have made in our ECM capabilities and our enhanced sector coverage enable us to participate in a wide array of assignments across many sectors and to take an increasingly large role in these assignments. In the private capital advisory businesses, momentum in capital raising for financial sponsors continued, and secondary market activity remained high, particularly activity related to single-asset and multi-asset continuation funds. Traditional restructuring opportunities have been more limited given the strength of the the strong availability of credit, and the positive environment for M&A and capital raising. But our team is adapting to meet client needs, working with financial sponsors and creditors on liability management and debt advisory assignments, though admittedly not as busy as they were in July of last year. Our equities business, Evercore ISI, continues to produce and deliver high-quality research and service to our clients, and we continue to make investments in our platform. The team delivered a solid quarter in line with its historical three-year quarterly average as the impact of lower volatility and trading was partially offset by investments we have made to support our clients more broadly, particularly in converts and agency options. And solid performance continues to drive assets under management growth in our wealth management business. We continue to add talent in all parts of the firm, providing the fuel for future growth, And John will talk more about this in his remarks. And we welcome Celeste Mellett to Evercore earlier this month, who is transitioning this summer to become our next CFO, succeeding Bob Walsh, who has been here for the last 14 years. We look forward to working with Celeste as she helps to drive the next stage of our firm's growth. Let me now turn to our financial results. We achieved record second quarter and first half adjusted net revenues, adjusted operating income, adjusted operating margin, adjusted net income, adjusted earnings per share, driven by continued revenue growth and strong operating leverage. Second quarter adjusted net revenues of $691.2 million grew 34% year over year. Year-to-date adjusted net revenues of $1.36 billion increased 43% compared to the prior year period. Second quarter advisory fees of 561.4 grew 67% year-over-year. Year-to-date advisory fees of $1.07 billion increased 54% versus the prior year period and represent the first time that we have exceeded $1 billion in advisory revenues for the first half of the year. Our trailing 12-month advisory fees exceeded $2 billion for the first time in our history. Based on current consensus estimates and actual results, we expect to maintain our number four ranking in advisory fees among all publicly traded investment banking firms for the last 12 months and to grow our market share relative to these firms. In the first half of the year, We also continue to narrow the gap between Evercore and the number three ranked firm in terms of trailing 12 months advisory fees. Our efforts to solidify further our position as the leading independent investment bank and to compete with firms larger than us have been recognized by clients and by industry observers as we were recently selected by Euromoney to to be North America's best bank for advisory in 2021. And that was among all firms, not just among the independent firms. Second quarter underwriting fees of $48 million declined 49% year over year, but excluding two sizable fees during the second quarter of 2020, one from PNC BlackRock and one from Danaher, underwriting fees were essentially flat year over year. Year-to-date underwriting fees of $127.3 million increased 11% versus the prior year period, even including the PNC, BlackRock, and Danaher fees. While there was a slowdown in equity issuance during the quarter, largely driven by fewer SPAC IPOs, demand for capital raising continues to be strong more broadly. The breadth of our capabilities and enhanced sector coverage have enabled us to work on diverse assignments for clients, and our second quarter underwriting revenues include engagements from seven different sectors. Second quarter commissions and related revenue of $50.7 million declined 7% year over year, as both volumes and volatility were lower relative to the elevated levels in the second quarter of 2020. Year-to-date commissions and related revenues of $104.3 million declined 5% versus the prior year period. Year-to-date revenues are 6% higher than the first-half average of the prior three years, which includes the extreme volatility during the first half of last year. Second quarter asset management and administration fees of $19 million increased 25% year-over-year, as quarter-end AUM were $11.1 billion, an increase of 23% year-over-year, principally related to positive investment performance and market appreciations. Year-to-date asset management and administration fees of $36.8 million increased 21% versus the prior year period. Turning to expenses, our adjusted compensation ratio for the second quarter and year-to-date is 59%. This reflects our current best judgment on compensation for the year, recognizing both the factors that may affect revenues in the second half of the year and the current pressures on market compensation for our industry. As always, we will reassess our compensation ratio at the end of the third quarter and again at year-end and make adjustments then, if appropriate. Second quarter non-compensation costs of $73.1 million declined 5% year-over-year. Our non-compensation ratio for the second quarter is 10.6%. Year-to-date non-compensation costs of $145.8. million declined 9% versus the prior year period, and Bob will comment more on non-comp expenses in his remarks. Second quarter adjusted operating income and adjusted net income of $210 million and $154 million increased 105% and 115% respectively. Year-to-date adjusted operating income and adjusted net income of $412 million and $316.5 million, increased 122% and 144% respectively. We delivered a second quarter operating margin of 30.4% and second quarter adjusted EPS of $3.17, an increase of 107% year-over-year. Year-to-date adjusted margin is 30.3% and adjusted EPS of $6.47, increased 136% versus the prior year. Finally, we continued to execute our capital return strategy, and we resumed our historical policy of returning cash not needed for investment in our business to our shareholders through share repurchases and, of course, dividends. We returned $221 million to shareholders during the quarter through dividends and the repurchase of 1.4 million shares. Year-to-date, we returned nearly $500 million through dividends and the repurchase of 3.3 million shares, a record level of capital return for our shareholders. We achieved our commitment to offset the dilution associated with our annual bonus RSU grants through share repurchases in the first quarter. So these additional repurchases in the second quarter represent discretionary buyback activity that shrinks the shareholder base. Our board declared a dividend of 68 cents. Let me now turn the call over to John to discuss some of our business highlights from the second quarter and the first half and to provide an update on our 2021 priorities.
spk13: Thank you, Ralph. Our second quarter and first half results reflect the breadth and diversity of our capabilities supported by a positive macroeconomic environment for strategic merger activity, capital raising, and investing. Both strategics and financial sponsors have been driven to transact as they are focused on growth opportunities, technological disruption, and the role of ESG. And with the key ingredients for M&A strengthening, the volume, number, and size of announced transactions increased during the quarter. In this robust environment, our teams have been busy working on a variety of assignments globally for our clients. We sustained our number one league table ranking in dollar volume of announced M&A transactions in the U.S. among independent firms for the 12-month period ending June 30th. Our high level of activity is translating to our financial results. We achieved a third straight quarter of advisory revenues greater than $500 million, and as Ralph mentioned, we surpassed $1 billion in the first half advisory revenues for the first time. with strong contribution across capabilities globally, including M&A, capital advisory, and strategic defense and shareholder advisory. We have prominent roles on some of the biggest announcements of the year, including serving as the lead advisor to Grab on its $40 billion SPAC merger, the largest SPAC merger in history, and serving as the sole advisor to Nuance on its pending $19.7 billion sale to Microsoft. And we worked on a greater number of assignments and grew our average fee size in the first half compared to the first half of last year. Our industry-leading strategic defense and shareholder advisory team continues to be extremely busy and is currently advising companies representing $1.5 trillion in market value in activist defense. This is an important capability for us because many of our defense clients subsequently turned to us for advice on strategic matters. Our underwriting business had a solid quarter, and activity and backlogs in this business continue to be strong. We participated in a number of significant transactions across a variety of sectors during the second quarter, including 31 transactions that raised nearly $10 billion in total proceeds across seven sectors. And of the ECM transactions that we participated in during the quarter, 60% were as an active book runner, including in consumer, lead left book runner on Post Holdings SPAC. In biopharma, active book runner on Centessa Pharmaceuticals IPO. And in e-commerce, active book runner on First Dibs IPO. And we participated... in our first direct listing for ZipRecruiter as their financial advisor. As we mentioned last quarter, our investments in our ECM platform have earned us a place in the top 20 for underwriting revenue as estimated by Dealogic for the 12-month period ending June 30th for deals listed on the U.S. exchanges, excluding bought deals. We are focused on strategically gaining share and working our way towards the top 10, which is currently comprised of banks that use their balance sheets to win underwriting business. Given our strategic approach to SPAC underwriting, we believe we can consistently gain share without the volatility that others who are highly dependent on SPACs may experience. Activity in our private capital advisory groups, our secondaries advisory business, and our primary fundraising business continue to be very strong. Our success in this area is driven by our strong client relationships and our outstanding track record. We continue to invest in this business and recently welcomed several new members to the team. In restructuring, many companies and sectors continue to take advantage of the strong economic recovery and access to capital to restructure out of court. Our team continues to work through previous engagements and is focused on liability management assignments and partnering with our debt advisory team for private financing activity. We continue to believe that there could be a longer tail to the restructuring cycle as certain sectors and companies take longer to recover. In equities, while volumes and volatility moderated from their pandemic highs across the street, we remain engaged with our clients and focused on producing and delivering high-quality research and service for them. Our corporate access team was especially busy in the quarter and ran three flagship conferences, including our inaugural TMT conference, our 13th annual macro investment conference, and our second annual consumer and retail summit. each with hundreds of institutional investors participating. We also arranged highly topical full-day thematic events that were well attended by clients. Our newer capabilities, including options and convertibles, continued to perform well during the quarter as well. Finally, assets under management and our wealth management business finished the quarter at $11.1 billion as long-term performance remained solid and net new business continues to be positive. We also made several hires for this team, including a national director of wealth planning and a director of trust services. Let me now turn to discuss some of our priorities going forward, including our initiatives focused on long-term growth. We continue to believe that there is substantial opportunity to grow our investment banking business through a combination of maintaining our high current levels of activity and the continued seasoning of ramping SMDs as they work towards full productivity, and broadening our footprint and our client coverage through strategic hiring. The breadth and diversity of our platform positions us well to participate meaningfully in the current M&A and capital raising environment. We also have more than 30 SMDs on our platform that have either joined or been promoted within the last three years that represent additional opportunities for growth as they continue to ramp to our high levels of productivity. And we continue to focus on expanding our capabilities, enhancing our sector and geographic coverage, and improving our coverage of the most significant client groups. The expansion of our underwriting capabilities has driven significant revenue growth and there continues to be meaningful growth opportunities, as I mentioned just a few minutes ago. On the advisory side, we believe that there is significant opportunity to expand our coverage model so that we can continue to grow both revenues and our share of fees. Our efforts to fill in the white space are focused on effectively covering large multi-national firms and financial sponsors and enhancing our sector and geographic coverage, including the four techs, biotech, fintech, greentech, and TMT, pharma and consumer, and UK and Europe. As we move into the second half of the year, we remain focused on adding talented individuals to our firm as we seek continued growth. We're actively recruiting highly talented individuals to our team, and we continue to have many conversations with senior-level candidates in the capabilities, sectors, and geographies that can contribute to our growth objectives. Competition for the caliber of talent we are recruiting is always high, and our dialogues with senior-level recruits continue to be elevated. Historically, we've added four to eight advisory SMDs per annum, and we continue to believe that we will be at or near the high end of that range and perhaps above it. In addition to the two senior advisory directors who joined us earlier this year, we have three committed advisory senior managing directors who will join us over the next several months. strengthening our coverage of the healthcare, fintech, and our coverage of financial sponsors. In addition to hiring at the most senior levels, we are building out our teams at all levels to meet the demands of the industry and the elevated pace of activity. And as we add to our teams, we are also focused on returning to our offices globally with the health and safety of our employees our top priority, and we develop plans to meet that need. We have seen a steady increase of in-person attendance over the summer months, and we look forward to a more full return in September. We also continue to make meaningful progress on our ESG initiatives and diversity, equity, and inclusion. In May, we published our inaugural sustainability report and launched our dedicated DE&I webpage. And just last week, we held two Day of Understanding events associated with our commitment as signatories of the CEO Action Pledge. We look forward to continuing to have candid dialogue around DE&I and inspiring change across our firm globally. Lastly, we remain committed to operating our firm with financial discipline and delivering strong returns to our shareholders, returning excess cash not needed for investments in our business or to fund prior deferred compensation arrangements to our shareholders through dividends, share repurchases, while maintaining a strong and liquid balance sheet. Before I turn the call over to Bob, I want to thank all of our teams for their hard work and perseverance, not just during the past quarter, but over the last 16 months that have been uniquely challenging for each of and every one of us. We very much look forward to bringing our teams back together in person so that we can continue to build and strengthen the culture that has been the foundation of our success. Now, let me turn the call over to Bob for some additional financial commentary.
spk11: Thank you, John. As always, let's begin with our GAAP results. For the second quarter of 2021, net revenues, net income, and earnings per share on a GAAP basis were $688 million, $140 million, and $3.21, respectively. Year-to-date net revenues, net income, and earnings per share on a gap basis were $1.35 billion, $285 million, and $6.46, respectively. During the quarter, G5 Holdings, our former affiliate in Brazil, repaid their outstanding note to us for approximately $12 million U.S., enabling us to financially exit our relationship there. The settlement resulted in a gain of $4.4 million, which we have excluded from our second quarter 2021 adjusted net revenues. Our gap tax rate for the second quarter was 22.1% compared to 24.5% in the prior year period. Year to date, our gap tax rate is 19.2% compared to 25% in the prior year period. On a GAAP basis, the share count was $43.7 million for the quarter and $44.1 million for the first half. Our share count for adjusted earnings per share was $48.5 million for the quarter and $49 million for the first half. Focusing on non-compensation costs, we continued to generate significant operating leverage in part due to lower non-compensation expense. Firm-wide non-compensation costs per employee were approximately $39,000 for the second quarter, down 8% on a year-over-year basis. This level of non-compensation cost per employee contrasts to our three-year quarterly average measured from 2017 to 2019 of approximately $47,000 per employee. Not surprisingly, the decrease in costs per employee versus last year primarily reflects lower travel expense. As we look ahead, we expect expenses on a per-head basis to begin to increase as we continue to evolve towards more normal operations, including returning to our offices, traveling to engage in in-person dialogue and meetings with our clients, and recruiting and onboarding senior talent, which we expect in the second half of the year. We do expect, however, some cost efficiency as we move forward, as we utilize the technology's that enabled us to work so effectively over the past 16 months. Looking at our balance sheet, as of June 30th, we held $1.5 billion in cash and cash equivalents and investment securities up from the prior quarter as our balance sheet grows throughout the year as we accrue for compensation obligations that will be paid in the first quarter of next year. As we have said before, we hold cash and investment securities to fund our obligations and commitments. Cash and investment securities at the end of the quarter support the minimum level of capital required to operate our businesses, including regulatory capital requirements. Accrued comp that is both on the balance sheet and committed, but not yet expensed. And of course, earnings that were earned in the second quarter that have not yet been returned to shareholders. Finally, in closing for me, and before we turn to questions, As Ralph noted, and most of you know, this is my final earnings call with Evercore. The past 14 years as the CFO of Evercore have been an exciting and challenging journey. I'd like to thank the analysts and investors who are on the call and all of those that precede you for your engagement and lively discussion over the years. There have been several lively ones. We have built a strong team over the years, a team that makes these calls easy for John, Ralph, and me, and a team that I have been privileged to work with and to lead. Our leadership, as are our analysts and investors, remain in very capable hands. With that, operator, can we open the line for questions?
spk04: Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. As a reminder, if you have a question, please press star followed by the one key on your touchstone phone. If you would like to review your question, press the pound key. If you're using speaker equipment, you may need to lift the handset before making your selection. Our first question is from the line of Devin Ryan with JMP Security. Your line is open.
spk08: Great. Thanks so much. Good morning, Ralph, John, and Bob. First off, just want to say, Bob, it's been an absolute pleasure. Best wishes, and just want to let you know you're one of the best. So best wishes in the future here. Maybe just to start for everyone, as you think about the addressable market overall, Evercore hasn't been historically thought of as a middle market-focused firm, though clearly Evercore is active in the middle markets. So I'm just curious, as you expand your sponsor connectivity and think about white space, how much more is there to do in the middle markets and how much more of an opportunity maybe is that relative to what you guys have been doing there?
spk02: a lot is the answer.
spk13: Yeah, I think that we, the middle market is a huge market, as you know, and we believe that there is a great deal of room for us to continue to focus, both in terms of covering emerging middle market companies that are growing and and in important spaces that we cover, as well as talking to sponsors who have portfolio companies in the middle market and to buy and sell for them. And so as we look at that opportunity, we think it is almost limitless. And the only thing limiting us is the bandwidth of our talented bankers who are all at this point quite busy. But we think there's a lot of open ground for us and a lot of white space to cover there.
spk02: Yeah, and Devin, the vast majority of M&A transactions are a billion dollars and below. And we're no different from any other firm in that regard. Historically, our median transaction size has been in the sixth to $700 million. I don't know what it's been the last 12 months, but I'm virtually certain it's in that zip code. And so we've been very active there, but as you point out, it's a vast market, and so there's certainly lots of opportunity there for us to grow.
spk08: Okay, great. Thank you. Just a follow-up here on some of the commentary on recruiting and competition and compensation, appreciate that you're having an active recruiting year. And so it sounds like there's still quite a bit of momentum in conversations. But I'm just curious whether, I guess, the competition and maybe increased compensation that you're seeing in the market, is that just kind of where we are in the cycle? We've seen this before. Or is there anything more structural that you think maybe pushing that higher and so therefore some of this may stick more than historically it does when you get into a hot market and then things cool off and then you see a reversion there. I'm just curious how you guys are thinking about seeing in the market right now.
spk02: I think it's cyclical but sort of cyclical a little bit enhanced by what's happened in the last 18 months. So if you think about the last 18 months COVID hit, everybody went from focusing on completing their backlog to helping clients with liquidity, raising capital, and focused on their own liquidity. And so my guess would be, certainly true here at Evercore, if you look at the amount of lateral hiring that was done in the first nine months of 2020 and probably all of 2020, in firms generally, it was below what it had been in probably many prior years. So you have this phenomenon where there was relatively low incremental hiring in most of 2020. And then the market came roaring back. So, you know, that's the enhancement. And I think, you know, we're working through that. The level of activity is very high. Everybody is short-staffed. Every firm that's doing well is extremely short-staffed. And so that creates... I think, a little bit more comp pressure than you might have in a normal upcycle.
spk13: I completely agree with that. And I also think that the fact that there are so many deals out there and so much activity that has built and is building right now just puts tremendous pressure. And all of the firms, including us, are looking at our people and, number one, defending the high-quality people we have. But on the other hand, we are looking out and seeing if there are some special people on the market. In terms of the comp expense, I think it's going to be like it's been in the past, which is, we're going to have a very strong period where the activity is very high, and then there will become a period where activity level gets lower and we cycle down. And when you cycle down, what happens is earnings get compromised at some of the firms, and then the firms need to actually find some margin in their comp cycle, and that's how it cycles back down. And I don't think that this is This is going to be totally a secular change. I think it will continue to be sensitive to the merger cycle.
spk02: But, Devin, we see absolutely no evidence of cycling down at this point. Right.
spk08: Yep. Understood. Yeah, just appreciate the color there, looking for that detail. So thanks so much. I'll hop back into queue. All right.
spk04: Our next question is from the line of Jeff Hart with Piper Center. Your line is open.
spk10: Hey, good morning, guys. Congrats on yet another strong quarter. You talked about absolutely no evidence of things cycling down and strong backlogs. admittedly, backlogs are limited, but how does the backlog look sequentially versus last quarter, after a quarter where a lot of stuff closed? Is it kind of still moving in the right direction or treading water?
spk13: It continues to be strong. And, you know, the activity level is, you know, as it has been, very robust. We think that there's no reason to believe that things are going to weaken at all. We just feel like the the backlogs are continuing to be at a very strong and robust level.
spk10: Okay. And as we think about productivity, I mean, we're kind of used to focusing our revenues per SMD, but as the kind of support structure grows, how much more important does revenue for employee become? I get that would make less important revenue per SMD. Per SMD is kind of the franchise expands and you kind of build out some of the subsectors.
spk11: Jeff, we watch both carefully. As you point out, you know, in dialogue with investors, revenue per SMD tends to get more attention. But sort of linking back to your comment on comp, you know, revenue per employee is equally as important. It is reflective of the product. That statistic is reflective of the productivity statement. that we're seeing for SMDs.
spk10: Okay, Bob, I know you're going to miss me asking this every quarter, but were there any revenue pull-forwards from 3Q into 2Q?
spk11: Yes. Did you want to know the number? You wanted the number too, Jeff? $56 million.
spk10: And finally, just a cleanup from me, I missed the stated non-comp per employee. Can you either repeat that or maybe give us the employee number?
spk11: The employee number is a little dirty, meaning always at the end of the second quarter, it's 1,900, but at the end of the second quarter, you have sort of analysts cycling out, analysts cycling in, et cetera. So at 1,900... That's the number, Jeff, but it's honestly, don't think of that step up of 100 as a run rate or a trend. For the quarter, non-comper employee was 39,000. Okay, thank you.
spk04: Our next question is from the line of Jim Mitchell with Seaport Research. Your line is open.
spk12: Hey, good morning. Maybe, Ralph, you noted at the beginning of your comments that you feel like we're in the early stages of the next M&A cycle. But at the same time, we've had three quarters in a row of record levels. It's a little unusual for a cycle to start off so strong. So how do we think about that start to a cycle? How do you feel confident about the growth continuing? And I guess, where do you see that growth coming from current levels?
spk02: Well, I think there are two things you have to focus on when you're looking at the prospects for Evercore's growth. One, which was the focus of your question, which is the aggregate level of activity. It's high, no question about it. And, you know, if you look back historically, M&A is a cyclical business. It tends to be characterized by five- to eight-year up cycles and two- to three-year down cycles. In those five- to eight-year up cycles, it's not an absolute straight line. Things bounce up and down. But they're generally strong or strengthening M&A activity. M&A activity is clearly strong right now. A couple of two or three quarters ago, I commented that the down cycle that we had may have been just six months, six to nine months, because of the unprecedented amount of monetary and fiscal stimulus. So we're clearly in a period of strong activity and recovery. And as John commented in his answer to one of the questions, At some point, we know that period of strong activity and growth in the market will abet, but as I commented, you can come up with lots of things that could cause that to happen. But there's absolutely no evidence of that today. And, you know, as a result, I also said that this high level of activity is adding yet again to our already strong backlogs. The second thing, though, that affects Evercore's growth rate is our market share. And, you know, the entire period from 2009 to to 2021, on a trailing 12-month basis, almost every quarter, Evercore has gained market share in terms of advisory revenues. And quite honestly, we don't see that abetting regardless of what happens to the overall level of activity. Harder to gain market share when you're the size that we are now, but we still continue to do that.
spk12: That's all fair. I agree. M&A tends to build throughout a cycle, not peak at the beginning. That's why it's so unusual. Maybe just last for me, non-U.S. seems to have lagged, non-U.S. activity, whether it's Europe or the rest of the world. Is that a source of catch-up over the next year or two in your view?
spk02: Well, we don't know. I mean, if you go back 10, 15 years ago, North America was a smaller proportion of global M&A activity than it has been for the last few years. If that keeps happening, maybe there is a fundamental difference in the level of activity in North America versus the rest of the world compared to history. It certainly, if you look at the last few years, it would certainly suggest that.
spk13: The only thing I would add is that clearly the U.S. market and maybe to an extent China have led the way in terms of economic recovery. The U.S. obviously has had a robust recovery and continuing. And Clearly, the European markets have been slower because COVID has held on longer there, even though COVID is reemerging everywhere at this point. But we fully expect that there will be recovery in Europe as those economies begin to get going again, and we fully expect that they will. And so we think that there will be a strengthening over in Europe, and I think that the U.S. will continue as long as the – the economy does not dissipate and that there continues to be strength. So in many respects, it's the pace of market recovery, market by market.
spk12: Okay, great. Thanks for taking my questions.
spk04: Our next question is from the line of Richard Ramstein with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.
spk07: Hey, good morning, guys. So I had a couple of questions. The first is on the financial sponsor side. I think activity is up something like 25% quarter on quarter, and it does seem to be outpacing the increase in strategic M&A pretty significantly. Can you talk a little bit about the dialogue with financial sponsors and specifically talk about the pipeline for your financial sponsor business heading into the second half and whether or not you think this type of activity can be sustained?
spk13: Sure. Thank you, Richard. Our sponsor business is quite robust right now. We are participating both on the buy side and the sell side and have been very, very involved with some of the strategic projects. portfolio management of sponsors. We are seeing that activity growing dramatically, and frankly, one of the things that we are focused on, I think you heard in our discussion on recruiting, is to add capability and people into our coverage of sponsors, and that continues to grow. As you know, we have a very robust and broad sponsor coverage business. We get involved both on the on the limited partner basis in terms of thinking about how to help sell and do their interests. And also, we also get involved in thinking through for GPs things like how to drive continuity funds and also how to help them to think about if they ever sell a partial interest. So we have a very, very broad coverage of sponsors. On the pure banking side, our activity level with sponsors just continues to grow. Therein lies why we're adding some people, because we really need to continue to be able to service those big sponsors as well as middle market sponsors and the activity levels. Our industry groups continue to cover the sectors extremely well, and therefore our ability to get business from those sponsors in the places where they have portfolio companies or an interest to acquire those companies you know, has been quite successful. So I think in general, we're sharing in that the increase in the activity levels of sponsors, and we plan to continue to be able to service that very, very important sector.
spk07: Okay, that's helpful. And then secondly, on the strategic M&A side, President Biden recently signed an executive order where I think he references excessive market concentration in some industries and and he talks about promoting more competition. I know it's very early, but can you talk a little bit about the impact you think this could have, especially on larger U.S. transactions, and if you think this elevates the risk of deals not closing? Thanks a lot.
spk02: I would say that we clearly, in the Biden administration, have an administration that has verbally and, I would say, through its appointments, expressed a greater scrutiny of transactions than has occurred in the past on the one hand. On the other hand, the number of transactions that will be affected by that, and I go back to the comment we made earlier that our median transaction is clearly sub $1 billion. You know, I haven't gone back and we haven't gone back and analyzed over the last five years if you wanted to take a, you know, a stronger magnifying glass to transactions that have been consummated from an antitrust perspective, what proportion of those would have been affected. But my guess is you could count that on one or two fingers in terms of a percentage-wise of all transactions, and quite possibly less than that. You know, and obviously there will be some large transactions. There was one this week, the Aon Willis transaction. And, you know, if a large transaction is contested, you know, or by the government, the participants have two options. They can abandon the transaction, as did happen in the case of Aon Willis, or they can go to court, as happened in the case of ATT Time Warner. And so the law is what ultimately governs whether that antitrust transaction enforcement increase can actually have an effect on the markets. Because of the law and the court system, I suspect that the Biden administration will use their powers judiciously because no one likes to lose in court. At the same time, they clearly will be more there will be more scrutiny than there would have been in previous administrations. So, yeah, it's a, you know, it's a serious cloud, not a thundercloud.
spk07: Okay, got it. All right, that's very helpful. Thanks a lot.
spk04: Our next question is from the line of Hawkins UBS. Your line is open.
spk09: Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. There were a couple of comments around the competitive market for talent. Clearly, it's more expensive to recruit. You're going to be running above your typical four to eight SMB ads. So, you know, is this all, you know, a way to signal that we should be rethinking the comp ratio this year, and based on, I understood it's the middle of the year, you don't have visibility into the comp pool in the middle of the year, but based on what we're seeing right now, it sounds like there's more likely to be some upward pressure there than not. Is that fair, and what comments can you add at this point?
spk02: I think we, and Bob should answer this, but every quarter what we put in as our comp ratio is our best judgment of where we think we'll wind up for the full year. So it never has a particular bias upward or downward. And obviously the things that affect the full-year comp ratio are full-year revenues, full-year level of compensation for each person, and the amount of new hiring that we do. I think we don't have, we have no information on what full-year compensation will be from a competitive point of view. We have half of the information as to what full-year revenues will be and some visibility to the rest of the year, and we have not full visibility on the number of hires or the seniority of those hires So, but I would not in any way presume that there is a more, a greater risk of upward bias in the comp ratio. Bob, you want to add anything?
spk11: Nothing more for me.
spk09: Okay. And then, Bob, you made reference to the non-comp number and the I wasn't sure what the dirty comment around the employees exactly means, but, you know.
spk11: It'll be lower at the end of the third quarter.
spk09: It'll come down? Yeah, it'll come down.
spk11: Sorry I wasn't clear.
spk09: All good. All good. So is the primary factor of the non-comp upward bias and non-comp increasing T&E as that starts to normalize? Do you have any visibility into what kind of quantum return to normal TE we should be counting on, or are there other factors that might be leading into the non-comp upward pressure?
spk11: I think, you know, looking at the second half of the year on non-comps, travel and the costs associated with adding talent are the big drivers of a different result than the first half of the year. Net-net, both of those are high-quality reasons to increase cost. You know, what the quantum will be in the second half will be very much, you know, COVID-dependent. How active are our clients going to want to be in in-person meetings? I'm not smart enough to guess how that will play out in the second half of the year, you know, We wanted to highlight an average to get a better sense of normal cost per employee. The idea that we would slingshot back to 2019 levels seemed to be, you know, overshooting what that number should look like. So, the average, I wouldn't, we don't give guidance. I wouldn't try to say what it will be. in the second half of the year, Brennan, but that's the direction we would expect it to move towards.
spk09: Yeah. Okay. That's fair. And I guess, you know, the sort of little last, just a follow-up actually, Ralph, you were talking about the median transactions being a billion dollars. I know there's a bunch of different ways to run the numbers, but did you by chance take a look at what the median transaction would be like if you revenue-weighted it and what that would be? I would suspect it would be higher, but would it be materially or is it in the same ballpark? Bob, I don't know the answer to that.
spk11: Well, Brandon, there's a number that we always produce, you know, which is the number of fees of a million dollars or greater, you know, and sort of looking at how that performs over time. You know, and the important statistic is how many transactions are there. So, you know, it's in the earnings release for the first half, Of the year, there were 218 fees of a million dollars or greater. That compares with 150 for the first half of last year. You know, Roger reminded me once that, yes, it is that simple. You know, serve more clients and earn meaningful fees.
spk02: And there is a... There is some correlation, but it's a pretty loose one between the size of the transaction and the size of the fee. And what you would tend to see is that the largest fees are very often earned on transactions that are sell sides that aren't the largest transactions but have achieved an unexpectedly high outcome. Clients pay for that.
spk11: And the good news is that we are now large enough that, in fact, averaging makes these numbers a little less volatile and a little more relevant.
spk13: And I would say that one thing that is happening with us is we do have an increased focus on larger companies and larger transactions, and that will impact our results over time.
spk09: Awesome. That's all very, very interesting. And of course, Bob, congratulations on your retirement. And Celeste, congratulations on joining. Looking forward to working with you again.
spk04: Our next question is from the line of Manan Ghasalia with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.
spk03: Hi, good morning. Maybe just to follow up to the last question, when I look at the fee rate over the last few quarters, whether it's revenues per deal or even as a percentage of volume, it does look like that's up nicely for a few quarters. How much of that do you think is from the environment and the fact that we have more large deals now, or maybe some of that is from actions that you're actively taking? So, you know, I was wondering if you can comment on that. You know, basically, I'm just wondering, you know, how sustainable you think that is over time.
spk11: Look, I think it, you know, on any given quarter, any given short period of time, you know, a very large transaction recognized in that quarter, you know, can push that average around. So, as always is the case with us, looking at trends over a long period of time is more meaningful than you know, it has gone up. There are so many factors that drive that. John's focus on really focusing on, you know, big, important relationships and sustainable relationships with clients is key. On the other hand, the work we did at the end of 2019, you know, sort of exiting markets where productivity simply could not meet our objectives, and really being focused on the kind of business we're doing or not doing is equally important. So it is going up over time. It is something that if we are performing effectively, focusing on the right opportunities, and equally not focusing on sort of unproductive markets, we should be able to drive that result Over time, I just encourage you to be more focused on longer measures, trailing 12 months, than any given quarter.
spk03: Very great. That's helpful. And then maybe if I can just pivot over to capital return. You've done about $400 million or so in buybacks over the last two quarters, and that's certainly higher than what we've seen from you in the past. Can you just run through how you're thinking about buybacks? Are you looking to continue to return capital through buybacks at a steady pace as the earnings come through? Or would you look to keep a little bit of cash and liquidity in your back pocket and maybe be a little bit more opportunistic if the market turns?
spk11: Well, I'm thrilled to have someone suggest that we could hold even a little more cash. But I don't get many fans of that. Look, it's we're back to a place that we had been and that we're very comfortable with, which is the board will look at our dividend annually, and that'll be in the first quarter of the year. The rest of free cash earnings will be returned through buybacks, which you've seen in the first half of the year has been strong. That's Quite simply, a function of two things. One, in 2020, as we discussed, we really took the opportunity to strengthen the balance sheet. I'm loathe to use the word fortress. Maybe it's a little, a tiny outlying fort somewhere, but it's a pretty strong balance sheet, and it's a very strong balance sheet for us. So we don't need to tie the way even more liquidity. We're in a position to return it to investors as we have done. So when we have strong earnings, you can anticipate dividends and buybacks.
spk03: Okay, great. And then I just want to add to the chorus, Bob, thank you for everything and good luck with retirement. And Celeste, welcome, and we look forward to an active dialogue.
spk04: As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star followed by the one key on your touchstone phone. Our next question is from the line of Michael Brown with KBW. Your line is open.
spk05: Okay, great. Thank you. Thanks for taking my questions. Just on restructuring, I think in your prepared remarks, you just briefly touched on it, and clearly the assignments are down on a year-over-year basis. I guess I was just curious how that activity has trended since last quarter. Is it relatively aligned with expectations, or are you seeing opportunities for maybe a bit of a pickup in mandates here? Thank you.
spk02: I think more just kind of steady state bumping along. It's awful hard for mandates to pick up when you have extraordinarily low interest rates, unlimited liquidity, and very receptive equity markets so that if companies can't borrow money, they can re-equitize themselves. So, you know, the restructuring environment, you know, it's It's certainly not dormant, but, you know, there's some carryover activity from last year, and there's, you know, a reasonably meaningful amount of activity in sort of liability management debt recapitalization. today. So they're busy, but they're certainly not as busy as they were, thankfully, last July, August, September.
spk13: One of the important things that a good restructuring business does, and we think we have a really excellent restructuring business, is they build relationships so that when the market gets busy with respect to restructuring expertise, that we have access, both in terms of portfolio companies and sponsors, as well as other more leveraged organizations. And that's one of the most important things that we're doing right now, which is continuing to build relationships and access to those important accounts. Clearly, because our group is known to be financial experts, there is a lot of dialogue going on in terms of getting advice on certain aspects of liability and capital structures. And we think that that will all over time play out in terms of more business for the restructuring of business going forward. Right now, there isn't any sector that is really in trouble. Even the energy sector, which has been a big sector for us, has been strengthening as prices for oil and energy have stabilized and started to go up. So right now, some of the big things that would be driving the business aren't there, but we still have a high activity level.
spk02: It's just very different. I would add just one other thing, and that is you know, there are two reasons that we don't, you know, provide a huge amount of granular detail on our advisory fees. One is that they're not easily characterized. So when you talk about restructuring, it's not like there's a bucket of advisory revenues that fall clearly in the restructuring area. and a bucket that fall clearly in other areas. So the characterization is not easy. It's kind of a black to gray to white and where do you put the gray is not easy. The second thing is and we talked about this a fair amount last year when M&A was basically on hold. We have a broader array of or a broader array of advisory capabilities in this firm than any other firm has. And, you know, previous calls, we've gone down the list of them. And, you know, what that allows us to do is to advise clients on a broader array of things. And as a consequence, we're more of an all-weather firm than I think our investors and perhaps even our analysts, you know, appreciate. So, you know, focusing on one place or another, in our view, tends to be a little less relevant.
spk05: Yeah, thanks for that. That's all great points. And then just on hiring, last quarter you guys were confident in the ability to hire four to eight SMDs, confident that you'd be able to come in in that range. This quarter you reiterated that, and it sounds like you actually could see it come in a little bit better, so you sounded maybe even a little more confident. If I dive into that a little bit, is it just that you just have a couple of hires in the bag now so you can feel a little bit more confident? Is that where that comes from? Or have you actually seen a pickup in interest or conversations kind of accelerating at maybe a pace that you weren't seeing last quarter, just trying to understand the nuance between this quarter and last quarter?
spk13: I think what we said was that we could very well be within four to eight, although we could be above it. There is There is clearly a focus from our side, as we always have, to be looking at the market and seeing whether there is A-plus talent out there that would be able to fit into what we're trying to accomplish. And I think right now we see some interesting opportunities, and we're in dialogue with those opportunities, those people. And really, it's as simple as that. I think we're not going to overstretch. We're not going to basically hire where we don't think we have the A-plus talent. In many respects, our recruiting is all about making sure that we keep the quality level of the organization up, respect our model so that we bring in people who can actually address the places that we think are interesting opportunities, and to stay disciplined on that. And I think That really is what we're trying to do in this environment, and I think that we'll see, but we do have some very strong people who have agreed to come, and we think that we are in several dialogues, and we'll see where those play out.
spk02: And, you know, we said in the press release, and John repeated in his remarks, that we have two people who are already, two SMDs in advisory who have already joined We have three who've resigned from their current firms and have committed to come here, but are on garden leave. And our suspicion is that when we sit here three months from now, that that list of five who have joined or committed will be at or above the upper end of the range.
spk13: And just to be clear, we're always looking for A-plus talent. And so when it's available, we will be looking to bring those people in, provided they address places that we think are interesting markets and sectors.
spk05: Okay, great. Thank you, John and Ralph. And then I guess just one quick clarification. Did you provide the current S&D headcount? 109.
spk11: The advisory SMDs is 109.
spk05: Great. Thank you, Bob. And congrats and best of luck in retirement.
spk04: There appears to be no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the floor to Ralph Chastain and John Weinberg for any closing comments.
spk02: Okay. Let me just make a couple of conclusory comments. and also point out that when you said there were no more questions, Bob raised his hand in victory. This is actually the 49th quarterly earnings call that Bob and I have done together, which must be some kind of record, and the 19th that John, Bob, and I have done together. Over that 12-year period of time, our revenues have grown almost 15-fold, and our earnings even more than that. We've grown together as the firm has grown, and Bob has been a stunningly effective and professional partner in all that has been accomplished here at Evercore over his 14 years here. Throughout that entire period, he's been the consummate professional, operated with the highest integrity, and developed and mentored a finance technology, facilities, and investor relations team that has facilitated all of that growth without exposing the firm to operating risk. I couldn't imagine having a better partner during those 12 years, and I want everyone on this call to know that he'll be missed as a partner and a trusted friend. So we'll miss you. Thank you. All right, and thanks, everyone, for joining us. Thanks to our team, who've done a brilliant job serving our clients, and we look forward to being with you in October.
spk01: If you have any questions throughout the day, feel free to reach out to Investor Relations. We'll be here. Thank you. Thank you. Great.
spk04: This concludes today's Evercore 7-Quarter 2021 Financial Results Conference Call. You may now disconnect.
Disclaimer

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