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spk04: Good morning and welcome to FNF fourth quarter and full year 2021 earnings call. During today's presentation, all parties will be in a listen-only mode. Following the presentation, the conference will be open for questions with instructions to follow at that time. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Lisa Foxworthy-Parker, SVP Investor and External Relations. Please go ahead.
spk00: Great. Thanks, Operator, and welcome again, everyone. Before we begin, and as a reminder, today's earnings call may include forward-looking statements and projections under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act, which do not guarantee future events or performance. We do not undertake any duty to revise or update such statements to reflect new information, subsequent events, or changes in strategy. Please refer to our most recent quarterly and annual reports and other SEC filings for a discussion of the factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied. We will be discussing certain non-GAAP measures on this call, which we believe are relevant in assessing the financial performance of the business, and you'll find reconciliations of these metrics within our earnings material available on the company's website. Yesterday, we issued a press release, which is also available on our website. Today's conference call will be available for webcast replay at www.fnf.com. It will also be available through telephone replay beginning at 1 p.m. Eastern today through March 3rd. Joining me this morning to discuss the business momentum we are seeing at FNF and FNG and our results in further detail are Mike Nolan, CEO, Tony Park, CFO, and Chris Blunt, FNG CEO. We look forward to addressing your questions following conclusion of our prepared remarks. And with that, I'll now turn the call over to Mike.
spk07: Thank you, Lisa, and good morning, everyone. I would like to start by thanking Bill and Randy for their leadership over almost four decades in building the industry's largest title organization and look forward to their continued support going forward. I also appreciate their and the board's support as I assume the role of CEO. I am incredibly proud of the business that we have built and am optimistic for the future of FNF as we continue to expand our industry-leading title business while growing F&G's assets under management. I would also like to thank our employees for their hard work and commitment over the last year. We could not have delivered such remarkable performance without their incredible effort. I'm pleased to announce strong results for the fourth quarter of 2021 building on the momentum we established in the first three quarters of the year. Tony will provide additional details on our financial performance shortly, but I would like to touch on a few highlights for the year. Our outstanding quarterly and full-year performance was driven by record results from our title business, as momentum in residential purchase and commercial revenue more than offset the ongoing contraction in refinance volumes which have a significantly lower fee profile. On a consolidated basis, total revenue, excluding recognized gains and losses, was 4.6 billion for the fourth quarter, a 43% increase over fourth quarter 2020, and a record 15.3 billion for the full year, a 49% increase over full year 2020. This generated net earnings of 533 million in the quarter, and $2.4 billion or $8.44 per diluted share for the full year. Adjusted net earnings were $616 million in the quarter, a 5% increase over the fourth quarter 2020, and $2.3 billion for the full year, a 49% increase over full year 2020. F&G also contributed to this strong result. F&G sales growth remains impressive and above expectation as they continue to expand into new channels and grow their addressable market opportunity while continuing to have strong success in existing markets. For the quarter, F&G delivered total sales of $2.2 billion, representing a 50% increase over the fourth quarter of 2020. For the full year, total sales were $9.6 billion, double the prior year. Importantly, total assets under management were $36.5 billion at December 31st, 2021, which is well ahead of our goal of doubling assets under management over five years as we outlined at the time of our acquisition. Total commercial revenue was a record $546 million compared with the year-ago quarter of $322 million, driven by the 17% increase in closed orders and a 44% increase
spk06: and total commercial fee per file.
spk07: For the fourth quarter, total orders opened averaged $8,500 per day. For January, total orders opened were $8,700 per day as we see solid demand and purchase activity while the refinance market continues to moderate as compared with last year's robust levels. Turning to order trends by type, daily purchase opened orders were up 2% in the quarter versus the prior year. For January, daily purchase opened orders were down 1% from last January. Refinance orders opened decreased by 44% on a daily basis versus the fourth quarter of 2020. For January, daily refinance orders opened were down 57% from the prior year. Lastly, total commercial orders opened per day increased by 13% over the fourth quarter of 2020. For January, total commercial opened orders per day were up 14% over January of 21. During 2021, commercial opened orders per day exceeded 1,000 from February through November, having consistently been in record territory and decreased slightly to just over 900 per day in December before rebounding to over 1,000 per day in January. This provides ongoing momentum as we begin 2022 given the longer tail for closings in commercial as compared with residential. Our holding company cash balance was $1.5 billion at the end of the fourth quarter. This is unchanged from the sequential quarter despite being active with our capital allocation strategy, which is focused on returning capital to our shareholders. while making strategic investments in our business to drive profitable growth and attractive returns for all of our stakeholders. Over the last year, we have repurchased $461 million of shares and paid $446 million in common dividends as we returned over $900 million of capital to our shareholders. Our adjusted earnings in the fourth quarter reflect the best quarter in the company's history which speaks to our market-leading position combined with the outstanding performance of our entire team. For the quarter, we delivered record adjusted pre-tax title earnings of $717 million, a 15% increase over the prior year, and an adjusted pre-tax title margin of 22.4%. The results were driven by a 43% increase in average fee per file, a 17% increase in total commercial orders closed, and a 4% increase in daily purchase orders closed, partially offset by a 39% increase in daily refinance orders closed. Looking ahead, we expect refinance volumes to decline through 2022 as interest rates rise, given the outlook for inflation and the expectation for the Fed to tighten policy throughout the year. This is an ongoing trend as direct residential refinance revenues have continued to be a smaller portion of our total direct revenue, contributing approximately 28% of total direct revenue in the fourth quarter of 2020 as compared with 16% in the fourth quarter of 2021. As a reminder, the refinance P4 file of approximately $1,100 is about a third of the purchase fee per file of approximately $3,400 in the fourth quarter, which provides a strong counterbalance to declines in refinance revenue. We will continue to evaluate market trends and manage margin by adjusting expenses to align with trends in opened and closed order volumes. Beyond our results, we continue to make progress on a number of fronts, including investing in technology to drive innovation, growth, and efficiency across our title operations. In addition to our ongoing investments in our market-leading title and closing solutions for independent title agents, as well as our real estate technology solutions for real estate agents and brokers, we are very pleased with the rollout of our InHere experience platform. At the end of 2021, 93% of our direct residential operations leveraged Start InHere for the first touch with consumers, and 50% of our eligible direct residential operations leveraged the InHere portal and mobile app with real estate agents. Giving our industry-leading market share and profitability, we have the resources and expertise to make these critical investments designed to transform our customers' experience, grow market share, and improve profitability. Let me now turn the call over to Chris Blount to review F&G's fourth quarter highlights.
spk11: Thanks, Mike. 2021 was a breakout year for F&G. We achieved record sales of $9.6 billion for the full year, double the prior year level, which boosted ending assets under management to $36.5 billion as of December 31st, as Mike highlighted. More importantly, we further expanded our distribution from one channel in 2019, independent agents, to now five established channels with the successful execution of our bank, broker-dealer, pension risk transfer, and funding agreement back note initiatives. Our fourth quarter retail sales totaled $1.4 billion, up 5% from the prior year quarter. Full year retail sales totaled $6.1 billion, up 43% from full year 2020. Core FIA sales of $1.1 billion were up 11% from the prior year quarter and in line with the record sequential quarter. We have seen ongoing success with our independent agent distribution, growing full-year sales by 16% compared to 2020, and continued expansion of our bank and broker-dealer channels. With five new partners this quarter, we are now distributing through 17 banks and broker-dealers and have grown sales in that channel from $511 million in 2020 to $1.7 billion in 2021. Turning to institutional markets, our fourth quarter sales totaled $811 million, and our full-year sales totaled $3.5 billion, comprised of $1.2 billion in pension risk transfer transactions and $2.3 billion in funding agreement issuances. We're excited about our launch into these markets and see a robust pipeline in 2022. F&G now has the flexibility to optimize growth across five distribution channels, and we will remain disciplined in our pricing and judicious in our deployment of capital. We're focused on generating scale benefits by increasing assets under management, while continuing to leverage Blackstone's unique investment management capabilities to deliver consistent spread. Building off last year's record result and with the previously announced capital contributions from FNF, we expect to continue to grow sales at a double-digit rate, outpacing the industry. This growth places us on a strong path to capital self-sufficiency. Next, turning to spread, our results continue to be strong. Total product net investment spread was 289 basis points in the fourth quarter, and FIA net investment spread was 359 basis points. Adjusting for favorable notable items, total product spread was 260 basis points, and FIA spread was 319 basis points both in line with our historical trends and consistent with our disciplined approach to pricing. Let me wrap up with a few thoughts on earnings. F&G's adjusted net earnings for the fourth quarter were $90 million, reflecting an adjusted return on assets of 113 basis points and driven by record AAUM and strong spread results from disciplined pricing actions on both new business as well as our in-force book. Adjusted net earnings excluding notable items were 87 million in the fourth quarter, up 13 million or 18% from 74 million in the third quarter, and up 27 million or 45% from 60 million in the fourth quarter of 2020, primarily driven by asset growth. In summary, during 2021, we executed on our growth strategy, we diversified our sources of premium, and we're well ahead of the goal of doubling assets under management over five years as outlined at the time of our acquisition by FNF. Our record sales drove strong asset growth and generated solid profitability for the year. Looking ahead, we are well positioned for sustainable growth in sales and assets under management while consistently managing spread. With that, I'll now turn the call over to Tony Park to review FNF's fourth quarter financial highlights.
spk09: Thank you, Chris. Today I'll focus my comments on our earnings results, our performance trends across the title segment, and then I'll wrap up with where we stand on deployable capital and liquidity. Overall, results for the quarter were driven by titles record revenue and strong pre-tax title margin and F&G sales boosting asset growth. We generated $4.8 billion in total revenue in the fourth quarter. with the title segment producing $3.1 billion, F&G producing $1.7 billion, and the corporate segment generating $42 million. Fourth quarter net earnings were $533 million, which includes net recognized gains of $213 million versus net recognized gains of $573 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. The net recognized gains in each period are primarily due to mark-to-market accounting treatment of equity and preferred stock securities, whether the securities were disposed of in the quarter or continue to be held in our investment portfolio. Excluding net recognized gains, our total revenue was $4.6 billion as compared with $3.2 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020. In the quarter, adjusted net earnings from continuing operations were $616 million, or $2.16 per diluted share. The title segment contributed $563 million, F&G contributed $90 million, and the corporate segment had an adjusted net loss of $37 million. For the full year 2021, we saw robust demand across the mortgage market driving top-line performance as well as strong growth for F&G, which together generated strong profitability. Total revenue, excluding gains and losses, was a record $15.3 billion in full year 2021, despite the decline in refinance volumes and reflects a 49% increase over full year 2020. This generated $2.3 billion in adjusted net earnings, an increase of 49% over $1.5 billion in full year 2020. Next, turning to Q4 highlights specific to the title segment, our title segment generated $3.2 billion in total revenue, excluding net recognized losses of $135 million in the fourth quarter, compared with $2.8 billion in the fourth quarter of 2020. Direct premiums increased by 21% versus the fourth quarter of 2020. Agency premiums grew by 23%. And escrow title-related and other fees increased by 3% versus the prior year. Personnel costs increased by 11%, and other operating expenses increased by 12%. All in, the title business generated a 22.4% adjusted pre-tax title margin for the quarter, roughly in line with the 22.7% in the prior year quarter. Importantly, adjusted pre-tax title margin increased to 21.7% for the full year compared with 19.6% in full year 2020. Interest and investment income in the title and corporate segments was $26 million. It declined by $6 million as compared with the prior year quarter due to decreases in bond interest and preferred stock dividends, as well as slightly lower 1031 exchange business income. Our title claims paid of $62 million were $45 million lower than our provision of $107 million for the quarter. The carried reserve for title claim losses is approximately $60 million, or 3.5% above the actuary central estimate. We continue to provide for title claims at 4.5% of total title premiums. Our title and corporate investment portfolio totaled $6.7 billion at December 31st. Invested assets included $2.4 billion of fixed maturity and preferred securities, having an average duration of 2.8 years and an average rating of A2, as well as $1.1 billion of equity securities, $400 million of short-term and other investments, and $2.8 billion of cash. We ended the quarter with $1.5 billion in cash and short-term liquid investments at the holding company level, in line with the prior quarter, which was generated from Title's organic growth and record net cash generation in 2021. Let me wrap up with a few thoughts on capital and liquidity. Our capital allocation strategy remains a key focus of the Board, and our current level of cash generation supports a number of priorities. First, we are focused on making strategic investments to continue growth in the businesses. This encompasses continued capital investment in title technology and other strategic initiatives to support innovation and organic growth, committed near-term capital funding of $200 to $300 million, as shared last quarter to support F&G's channel expansion and addressable market opportunity as they continue on a strong path to capital self-sufficiency, as well as strategically aligned M&A for real estate related businesses, title agencies, and or technology acquisitions and maintaining an adequate capital buffer. Next, with regard to corporate debt outstanding, FNF's debt was $3.1 billion on December 31st for a 25% debt-to-total capital ratio, which is in line with our long-term target. This includes $400 million of 5.5% senior notes that will mature in September of 2022. Our annual interest expense on debt outstanding is approximately $100 million. And next, with regard to our common dividend, during 2021 we paid common dividends of $1.56 per share for a total of $446 million, reflecting a 16% growth in common dividends of $1.35 per share in 2020. We view our current $500 million annual dividend as sustainable. The dividend is reviewed quarterly and expected to increase over time. subject to cash flows, alternative uses of capital, and market conditions. And finally, our share repurchases. FNF continues to return excess cash to shareholders over time and has remained active throughout the fourth quarter and into the first quarter. During the fourth quarter, we repurchased 2.1 million shares for a total of $104 million and an average price of $50.70 per share. For the full year 2021, we repurchased 10.2 million shares for a total of $461 million at an average price of $45.22 per share. As Mike mentioned, we have returned over $900 million of capital to our shareholders through common dividends and share repurchases in 2021. To conclude, I would highlight that our businesses are hitting on all cylinders and we're coming into 2022 with good momentum. Our fundamental drivers are solid and we have a long history of preserving both title margin and annuity spread in different rate environments. We have balance sheet flexibility to continue strategic investments and return capital to shareholders. And we are well positioned to execute on our strategy and deliver results for shareholders and customers. Let me now turn the call back to our operator for questions.
spk04: At this time, we will be conducting a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. A confirmation symbol indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star 2 if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary for you to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. One moment while we poll for questions. Our first question comes from Andrew Kligerman with Credit Suisse. You may proceed with your question.
spk03: Hey, good morning. Maybe the first question would just be around the F&G investment yields. X the alts, of course. And at 4.83%, that's a pretty robust number. It jumped up from 4.66 in the last quarter and then year over year, 476. So I'm just kind of wondering, you know, where that can go from here in terms of what Blackstone's doing. Do we have a floating rate element to it? Where can we expect that yield to go?
spk11: Yeah. Hey, Andrew, it's Chris. How you doing? I'd say a couple things. Clearly, it was boosted a bit during the quarter with some prepayments of some CLOs. And so that's a little bit of fronting of income. But I would say if you look at our prior quarter in that 350, 360, that feels like a very sustainable number for us based on what we see now. The origination of whole loans and Other private opportunities remains pretty robust. There's a good pipeline of opportunities there. So I would say stable would be my best guess on outlook. Obviously, today's events have affected spreads, and we'll see how long that volatility lasts. So that could create some marginal opportunities going forward. There's a little bit of floating rate impact in that, about 12% of our portfolio is in floating rate. Securities, a lot of the recent originations have a LIBOR floor. So that's kind of the best of all worlds. We have a limited downside on rates and some potential upside.
spk03: Got it. Thanks, Chris. And then just with respect to that title margin, again, a very compelling 22.4. You know, when does that – go into your 15 to 20% range. I mean, it's starting to feel somewhat sustainable. Do you get to a point where you can change that guidance?
spk07: Well, Andrew, it's Mike. You know, I don't think we're in a position to do that yet. Certainly a fantastic margin, and we've seen just really incredible margin expansion over the past few years. But, you know, we are still tied to transactional volumes, and as those you know, change, that can certainly impact your margin. As we think about 22, you know, we can't tell you what the margin is going to be, but we expect 22 to be very good. We've got a very strong commercial market, still good inventory coming in on that area, strong openings in January, a purchase market that is at least today still forecast to be stronger than it was in 21, which maybe was an all-time record year. And then you've got refis, which, you know, have come out. And I think, you know, as we look at the first quarter, that'll be, you know, one comp that'll be down just because, you know, we had tremendous refi revenue in that first quarter. As we go through the year, that may be less of an effect because those refis actually started coming out, you know, really as we went through 21. I think January of 21 was our highest openings for And then they kind of slid down as the year went through.
spk09: And maybe I'll just add on to that. This is Tony. To Mike's point, you know, refi was 33% of our direct revenue in the first quarter of last year. And as we've told you, it's gone down sequentially throughout the year. It went to 21% in the second quarter. It was 19% in the third quarter and now 16%. in the fourth quarter. So clearly that's coming down. And so, yeah, the first quarter of 22, we don't know exactly what it's going to look like yet, but refis will continue to trend down.
spk03: Got it. And maybe if I could just sneak one last one in. I mean, what an amazing quarter you put through, whether it was title, F&G. And I look at the stock and it's trading at under seven times our estimate for next year, not only just on an absolute basis low, but low versus your peer group. And I mean, the execution couldn't be better. So how do you want to react to that? Do you ramp up capital management? It was decent payout, dividends and repurchases at about 46% last year. Do you ramp that up? Do you do something with F&G? What are you thinking about this valuation and where you want to go from there from a capital management standpoint?
spk09: Yeah, thanks, Andrew. It's Tony. I'll start and certainly the others can chime in. But yeah, it isn't lost on us that we're under six times or something like that or around six times earnings and probably worse based on what's happening today. Currently, we did return over $900 million to shareholders last year that we mentioned in our earlier comments, including $500 million in dividends and about $400 million or $450 million in buybacks. We are in the market. We were in the market in the fourth quarter with around $100 million in buybacks. But, yeah, I can see... especially with continued weakness, I, I think it's a, I think it's a great buying opportunity. We were clearly disappointed in, in the share price and, and think that, you know, we should be buying back shares and, and frankly, so should other people. Uh, we welcome all, all participants. Um, but, uh, but yeah, the board does look at this and talks about it, uh, a lot. Uh, and, uh, And I don't want to give a number because I don't have a number to give, but I think a billion dollars in return to shareholders in the coming year is probably a minimum in combination with the dividend, of course. But we'll see. It could be more than that.
spk03: And with that, I mean, F&G has been stellar, but you still feel good about that being a part of the company?
spk09: Yeah, we do. I mean, the growth has been fantastic. Clearly, we're not getting the recognition we'd like to get, but we do know that we're building value there, and that's very important to us right now. The capital needs at F&G are fairly limited. We've talked about that. We loaned them $400 million last year. And we'll likely convert that $400 million loan to an equity contribution in 2022. And then we anticipate another $200 or $300 million of equity capital. That might be actually in 2023. So there aren't really immediate needs there. But yes, we love the performance, the growth, the asset growth, and the earnings contribution. And, you know, we expect that over time we'll see recognition of that in our share price. And if we don't, we'll have to, you know, figure something out.
spk03: Thanks very much.
spk04: Our next question comes from the line of Mark DeVries of Barclays. You may proceed with your question.
spk12: Yeah, thank you. You know, just wanted to follow up on the capital return topic. Tony, how aggressive are you guys prepared to get in terms of buying back stock? Is there room to lever up to even accelerate kind of what you've done or even have a management-led buyout of the company here?
spk09: Yeah, it's a good question. I mean, first of all, we have ample cash on hand, as you know, at $1.5 billion. And expect strong cash flow generation in 2022. based on our forecast at this point. We also have an $800 million line of credit that's undrawn, and we have a 25% debt to capital. We have earmarked $400 million of uses of cash to retire the bonds that mature in September. But is there room under our debt to cap? Clearly there is if we wanted to lever up. I can't speak for the board at this point in terms of what we'd be willing to do. I don't know what a LBO would look like. It would clearly involve a lot of debt, which may be challenging as an insurance company, but there's creative ways to do a lot of different things. I hear your frustration. We share it in terms of the share price, and I suppose at some level, almost anything can happen for us to... If it gets too cheap, I guess I'd say... You know, I know I didn't specifically answer your question other than I think we do have a lot of room.
spk12: Okay, no, that's helpful. And then thanks for the color on the order trends in commercial. Could you give us a sense of, like, deal size? Are you still – I mean, it seemed like, you know, some of the bigger transactions were a big part of the strength in the fourth quarter. How's that holding up? And how are you guys thinking about the impact of higher rates on the commercial business?
spk07: Yeah, sure, Mark. Mike, on the first question, clearly had a number of large deal size transactions in the fourth quarter. And you can just look at the average fee per file in national at 17.3. I think that's the highest it's ever been in any quarter in the history of the company. We also saw, though, interestingly enough, a continuation. It was something we showed up in the third quarter, but continued into the fourth with a really strong increase in local fee profile. It actually, the growth in local fee profile in the fourth quarter was a little stronger than the national, believe it or not. And we just continue to see this market that's so broadly dispersed geographically and also across asset classes. And to your last point around interest rates, it's a little tough to know how interest rates will impact it. I think there could be potential impact, I guess, as rates go up, but there still seems to be an awful lot of capital that is going into commercial activity and, you know, maybe still some rebound effect just off of, you know, kind of the down year that we had in 2020. But to be at over 1,000 orders a day for, I guess, now 11 of the last 13 months is just amazing to me.
spk06: Okay, great. Thank you.
spk04: Our next question comes from the line of Boss George with KVW. You may proceed with your question.
spk01: Hey, guys. Good morning. Just wanted to follow up on the margin questions earlier. You know, just given, you know, what you're seeing now with the mix of sort of strong commercial and purchase and declining refi, I mean, is there a way to think about where in that 15 to 20% range you think you could end up this year?
spk07: Well, again, Bose, we don't give guidance on margins, but I would just say we're expecting to have a very strong margin in 2022 based on strong commercial performance and modestly improving purchase. I think we always said you can go back four or five years when we would talk about that range, and what it would take to get to the upper end of the range, we kind of said the same things. You know, a really good, strong purchase market, strong commercial, and refi wouldn't need to be significantly robust to get us up there. So I think we still have that feeling, but we can't put a specific number on what 2022 margins are going to look like.
spk01: Okay, that's helpful. Thanks. And then actually just in terms of the rate expectation for this year, to the extent Fed funds is up six or seven times, can you just discuss what that could do to net interest income?
spk09: Yeah, Boze, this is Tony. I won't speak to the F&G side of it. I think we've spoken to that before, but Chris may chime in. But in terms of the F&F portfolio, which is really the title portfolio, With rates where they are and a pretty short duration, you can see where we landed at roughly $26 million in interest and investment income for the quarter. It's a bit of a moving target, hard to know how many increases and when they show up, but assuming for-rate hikes starting in March, we've kind of mapped it out. that it looks like we get to a run rate in the fourth quarter that's maybe $20 million more, so call it $47 million quarterly interest and investment income in Q4 of this year following those rate hikes. And that really, that's not, there's no impact there on our fixed maturities or our preferreds. That's really our 1031 exchange business and our cash and short-term investments that would benefit from those rate hikes.
spk01: Okay, great. That's really helpful. Thanks.
spk04: Our next question comes from the line of Mark Hughes with Tourist Securities. You may proceed with your question.
spk02: Yeah, thank you. Just out of curiosity, for the January, the daily refi order run rate, do you happen to have that close by? I know it's down, but I'm just curious.
spk07: Sure, Mark. January, over January of last year, refi opens were down 57%.
spk02: But then do you have the actual order count by day for January?
spk07: Oh, sure, sure. 3,632 orders.
spk06: Perfect. And then, right, yep.
spk02: And then, Chris, when we think about the PRT business, I think you've mentioned a strong pipeline. How would you describe competition in that market and are you able to get, just your ability to get adequate spreads there?
spk11: Yeah, obviously it's a very, excuse me, very competitive market, but I think we've proven that with the strong start this year that we can be quite competitive. And again, it comes down to Blackstone's origination capabilities relative to our relatively small balance sheet. So we've been playing largely in the retiree only space. And I would say bidding on transactions in the 100 million to a billion category. So it's a highly competitive space, but so far we feel quite good about our ability to compete.
spk06: Thank you.
spk04: Our next question comes from the line of John Campbell with Stephen. You may proceed with your question.
spk08: Hey, guys. Good morning. And, Mike, congrats on the new role and a well-deserved promotion.
spk07: Thanks a lot, John.
spk08: Absolutely. And, Mike, you mentioned the purchase orders per day in January. I think you said down 1%. Versus last year, I mean, that's a couple points better than the industry trends we're seeing. And then, obviously, we had First American Outlast. I think they said January orders were down, the purchase orders down 7% year over year. Clearly, you guys are holding up much better. I don't know if you can pinpoint how or where that source of relative outperformance is, but any thoughts there would be appreciated. And then also, if you guys have it on hand, any kind of update on the month-to-date trends for February?
spk07: Sure, John. I'll answer both. It's Mike. In terms of the first question, I don't know that we point to any one area that seems to be more robust than others. I just think we have obviously a very strong footprint and scale and our continued focus on recruiting and we've been adding some tuck-in acquisitions. All of that could be helping drive that outperformance to your point. And then in terms of February, you know, we've got really 25% of the month left to report. We've got the last five days to report, but I would say that based on our, if the current trends hold up that we've seen through kind of those first three weeks, I think we'll finish February purchase down about three to 4%.
spk08: Okay. That's helpful. And then Tony, I don't know if you have this on hand, but you talked to the refi exposure within direct. I'm thinking that's maybe just resi refi, but. I don't know if you have a sense for this overall, but what the overall refi exposure would be if you include agency and then commercial direct as well?
spk09: Yeah, I don't have that. The number I used when I gave the percentages is, you're right, it's residential refi revenue up against total revenue, total direct revenue, which would include, you know, obviously purchase as well as commercial revenue. Mike, do you remember our purchase to refi split on commercial? Our mix?
spk07: Our mix. Yeah, and it's really been very constant over the last number of years, but I'm looking for the full year number. In 2021, on the open side, this is for commercial specifically, 69% open orders were resale and 31% were refi. And, you know, as we kind of start the year, it's holding at those same levels. Yeah. And it's been very constant, John, actually, over the past handful of years, with the real exception only being when the pandemic hit in that second quarter, it skewed to refi from purchase, but kind of reverted back to that high 60-plus percent resale opening side.
spk09: And what's interesting is our purchase and refi fee per file on the commercial side is almost the same. It's very consistent. So you don't have this wide disparity like what we have on the residential side. And then I don't have numbers on agency. That's not something that we collect. My guess would be it's even smaller refi to purchase versus what we would have in our directs.
spk08: Okay, and I was just going to ask that just on the follow-up on the agency side. I mean, obviously with the centralized refi business within direct, you're probably going to skew higher on a refi mix there, and so it's going to be lower in agency, and then also the agency refi revenue is probably going to come on at a way lower margin. Is that fair to say?
spk09: Well, certainly on a lower margin, more because of the splits, the fact that you're giving away 20 or 76 cents of every dollar to the agent. But, yeah, if you look at the net margin of roughly 10%, which is what we do in our agency business, I don't know if a purchase order versus a refi order gives you a different net margin. We don't have that information.
spk07: Yeah, I think it's more an overall revenue number.
spk09: Yeah.
spk07: I mean, a 10% gross margin in an agency is an all-time record. Yeah. And, you know, but it's more of a revenue issue versus, I think, a segment issue.
spk08: Okay. That's very helpful. Thank you, guys.
spk07: Yep.
spk04: Our next question comes from the line of Brian Gilbert with BTIG. May I proceed with your question?
spk05: Hi. Thanks. Good morning, everyone. First question, the title business. Can you comment on any changes you saw in competition in 4Q21 and then how you expect the competitive dynamic to play out over the course of 2022? Sure, Ryan.
spk07: It's Mike. I don't know that we saw anything significant in the fourth quarter. It's a very competitive business, and we've talked about this before, particularly at the local level. In local communities, you have thousands of competitors. I think that dynamic's the same. I think you've got the more national underwriters are all competing as they have in the past. So I haven't noticed any significant competitive dynamics. And as we go into next year, I would think more of the same. I think one thing that maybe has heated up is a little bit more acquisition activity. with title companies, and that's something we're very interested in doing. We've been doing some of those. We'd like to do more, but that's probably all I would point to.
spk05: Okay, got it. Second question in F&G, if I just look at the adjusted pre-tax income divided by revenue, it looks like the margin's down pretty considerably on a year-over-year basis. Is that just a function of product mix, and How should we think about pre-tax margin going forward in that business?
spk09: Yeah, at F&G, we really look at after-tax earnings. I'm not even sure specifically what you're referencing, but I can tell you that there may be some unusual items that are skewing whatever we're looking at there. I think it was probably more skewed in the prior year as opposed to the current year. I can tell you that roughly after-tax earnings run at about 100 basis points of our average assets under management, and that's been pretty consistent. Our year-over-year Q4 adjusted net earnings, excluding notables, I think it was like $87 million in the current quarter and $60 million in the prior year quarter, and that's clearly a result of asset growth. And so I'm guessing what we're seeing, and I don't have it specifically in front of me, but I'm guessing what you're seeing in terms of adjusted pre-tax is, yeah, I don't know. I mean, I'm looking at it here, $114 million in the current year, $61 million in the prior year. So, yeah.
spk11: Yeah, I would say, Tony, it might be a couple things. This is Chris. I think obviously our net product spread has been quite consistent, and ROA has actually been trending up. So it could have something to do with how PRT premiums get counted in revenue. I don't know. We'd have to dig into that. But the margins have been quite consistent to rising.
spk05: Okay. Thanks very much.
spk04: As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. One moment while we pull for questions. Our next question comes on of Jeffrey Dunn with Dowling and Partners. You may proceed with your question.
spk10: Thanks. Good morning. Q1 could actually be one of the first relatively challenging quarters you've had in a while. Have you started taking any headcount reaction to the decline in refis or is Is that something that's more of a centralized aspect and doesn't require the same type of adjustment you typically would do with volumes changing?
spk07: We have actually, Jeff, and certainly in the centralized channel in particular, but we're down about 300 from our peak in October as we sit here in February. So it's been modest, but we've been taking some actions, and I would anticipate some additional actions in this quarter. But it has been more focused on refi channel operations.
spk10: Okay. And then when you talked about your priorities for investment, I was hoping you could elaborate on your tech area focus, both with respect to what are you investing in internally? Is it still kind of the digital, customer-facing platforms or other areas, including products? And then also in M&A, Do you have any growing conviction in areas where you think you want to buy versus build?
spk07: Well, I would say on the first point, our investments are more in the, you know, continued enhancement and development and adding more feature sets to our existing technologies like soft pro. And, you know, we've got more that we can do, I think, with the in here platform as we build more capability into that. and in the real estate technology businesses, it's very similar. As we think about more external, if we find external technologies that we can plug into the things we're doing, we're very interested in that. We do look at that, and that might be an area of future development. And the build versus buy, I guess it just would depend on what you have. I mean, we've got a lot of internal developers in our company between things like SoftPro and Skyslope and others. And so we've probably skewed a little bit towards that side, Jeff, than maybe the other.
spk10: Okay. And then with those various tech investments that's kind of hidden in corporate, what lend themselves most to the title business or what could turn more It would turn into more than $1 or $2 million of pre-tax type of income in a given quarter. I think SYNC is the only one that's maybe above a couple million pre-tax.
spk07: So the actual revenue and profit – SYNC, Geeks, SkySlopes, Pronto.
spk10: I'm trying to figure if any of those can actually turn into something more meaningful or if they kind of like – Are they more almost just like pet project investments, or are those something that can really scale into something that is meaningful for the company over time, or do they provide some sort of other leverage? I'm not quite sure I understand their role in the overall company.
spk07: Okay. Well, maybe two things. In terms of sort of gross annual revenues, those businesses combined I think are around $120 million. Tony, does that sound about right? Yeah, maybe even a little stronger. I think – That could grow, both through organic growth. We had very strong organic growth this past year, or in 21 actually, over 20. And our EBITDA margins have gotten very strong in those businesses. I think we made over $30 million. I don't have the numbers right in front of me, so I'm trying to... So not significant to the whole, of course, Jeff, but not inconsequential either. We still do think though that there could be benefits to help drive opportunities into the title operations Still more work to do on that to see if we can prove that out But we like the fact that we're selling products and services to our core customer groups well before they have a title order and we think there's value in building that connectivity and but more work to do, I think, to kind of connect those dots.
spk10: So is that maybe more the point, that these other operations provide a customer touchpoint before the title order, and that's the strategic or overall advantage of these?
spk07: I think that would be the more strategic side of it, but we're an operating company, and we've got a business that, that we feel pretty good about with strong revenue and strong profitability. And we think we might be able to add to that either through acquisitions of other types of companies. But you're right, more on the strategic side would be the latter point.
spk10: Okay, great. Thank you.
spk07: Thanks.
spk04: And this will conclude our question and answer session. I will now turn the conference back over to CEO Mike Nolan for closing remarks.
spk07: Thank you. We delivered another outstanding quarter with year-over-year increases in revenue, adjusted net earnings, and assets under management. FNF has a strong track record of market share growth, best-in-class margins, technology innovation, and shareholder value creation. It is very exciting to see the opportunity ahead for our market-leading businesses which are strategically positioned for long-term growth in attractive sectors and with sustainable competitive advantages. Thanks for your time this morning. We appreciate your interest in FNF and look forward to updating you on our first quarter earnings call.
spk04: Thank you, and the conference call has concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation. Enjoy the rest of your day.
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