Fortuna Silver Mines Inc

Q4 2021 Earnings Conference Call

3/24/2022

speaker
Operator
Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Fortuna Silver Mines Q4 Full Year 2021 Financial and Operational Results Call. At this time, all participants have been placed on a listen-only mode, and the floor will be open for questions and comments after the presentation. It is now my pleasure to turn the floor over to your host, Carlos Baca, Director of Investor Relations. Sir, the floor is yours.
speaker
Carlos Baca
Thank you, Pauline. Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. I would like to welcome you to Fortuna Silver Mines and to our financial... As a reminder, statements made during this call are subject to the reader advisories included in yesterday's news release and in the earnings call presentation. Financial figures contained in the presentation and discussed in today's call are presented in U.S. dollars unless otherwise stated. Before I turn over the call to Jorge, I would like to indicate that this earnings call contains forward-looking information that is based on the company's current expectations, estimates and beliefs. This forward-looking information is subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and other factors. Actual results could differ materially from a conclusion, forecast or projection in the forward-looking information. Certain material factors or assumptions were applied in drawing a conclusion or making a forecast or projection as reflected in the forward-looking information. Additional information about the material factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the conclusion, forecast, or projection in the forward-looking information and the material factors or assumptions that were applied in drawing a conclusion or making a forecast or projection as reflected in the forward-looking information is contained in the company's annual information form and MD&A, which are publicly available on CDER. The company assumes no obligation to update such forward-looking information in the future except as required by law. I would now like to turn the call over to Jorge Alberto Ganosa, co-founder of Fortuna.
speaker
Pauline
Thank you, Carlos. I will be sharing with you the highlights of the quarter and updates on performance on the business for the first months of the year. I will be assisted by Luis, our CFO, and Cesar and Paul, who will be providing details on the performance of the assets in their respective regions. For the quarter, we reported sales of $199 million, an increase of 92% compared to a year ago, adjusted net income of $29 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $89.5 million. We ran the business with an adjusted EBITDA margin percentage in the mid-40s. The drivers of the significant growth in financial figures compared to a year ago are the Lindero mine, which in the quarter delivered record gold production of 36,000 ounces, and the contribution of the Yaramoco mine. At the end of the year, our liquidity position remained strong at 187 million, while keeping our debt-to-EBITDA ratio at a low 0.2%. The company remains well-funded to meet all its capital projects for the year, and in particular, the Seguela mine construction, which, once completed, will be Fortuna's fifth operating mine. As of the end of February, the Seguela construction is 42% complete, tracking a line with our budget and timeline for first gold in mid-2023. The team is delivering an excellent performance at the project, We are preparing to initiate placing concrete in mid to late April. Paul Criddle, our Chief Operating Officer for West Africa Camp, can provide further detail later on the call. On the exploration front, we continue to exhibit the resource growth potential of the Segela Camp with the recent announcement of the 350,000 ounces inferred maiden resource at Sandburg. Sandbird is a recent discovery located only two kilometers from the Seguela Mill site. We have a high expectation with respect to the opportunities to continue expanding the resources at Seguela, where exploration drilling remains a big area of focus for this year. During the last months of 2021, we went through trying times at our San Jose mine located in southern Mexico in the state of Oaxaca.
speaker
Carlos
When on October 23rd, Mexican authorities failed to renew or... Please hold, ladies and gentlemen, while we reconnect Carlos' line.
speaker
Pauline
Sorry, we lost the line here on our end, so I'll try to retake the discussion where I think I lost the line, which is our discussion of the permit issue at the San Jose mine. As I was stating, on October 23rd, the Mexican authorities failed to renew our 12-year environmental impact assessment, a key operating permit. The renewal was finally granted in late December for the requested 12 years, only to be reduced in a subsequent communication to two years. The authorities claiming a typographical error providing no support of any kind for the term reduction in any document. We're contesting this in court and the federal judge has accepted our case and granted a preliminary injunction in our favor. We believe we will hear a ruling from the court later this year. In parallel to the legal actions, we continue with constructive dialogue with authorities trying to resolve this, what in our view is a nonsensical situation and trying to resolve this administratively. Through all of this, GRIF or mine did not lose one day of operations. Another topical issue in the second half of 2021 was our 100-day rocks gold integration plan, which was successfully concluded in the fourth quarter. As one of the outcomes of the process, we have incorporated two talented Roxwell executives into the combined company senior executive team, Paul Whedon, a senior vice president of exploration, and Julian Baudrin, a senior vice president of sustainability. With respect to sustainability performance, you know, for 2021 performance was good and in all our prioritized corporate KPIs, with the exception of women in the workforce, where we are aiming to improve on and maintain the company above the industry average, which is 15%. Last year we were at around 17% and we've, you know, for 2021, last year I mean 2020, In 2021, we ended the year at 15%, and we're aiming to get back to our objectives for that KPI, which are above 15%. For 2022, we have certain important sustainability initiatives in motion. We have been working on the adoption plan for the ICMM Global Industry Standard for Tailings Management. we expect to be able to make our commitments public during this year with respect to the adoption plan and objectives under the standard for 2022. Additionally, shortly we will be making public or board approved climate change positioning statement which sets out our commitments on this very relevant topic. Our safety performance was tainted at the start of the year. On January 28th, we reported the tragic loss of life of a member of our process plant team at the Lindero mine in Argentina. An investigation and findings on this tragedy are advanced and action plans have been implemented across all our sites to make sure nothing like this ever happens again. The health and safety of our employees, contractors, and visitors to all of our sites is paramount and a responsibility we take with the utmost seriousness. During Q4, our record goal production was 76,000 ounces, an increase of 200% compared to the 25,000 ounces we produced a year ago. Silver production at 2 million ounces was 4% above production last year. If we look at gold equivalent production for the 2021, we produced 367,000 ounces of gold equivalent, basically in line with guidance provided at mid-year. For the year, precious metals accounted for 91% of sales. Gold accounted for 69%. and silver for 22%, with the balance being byproducts, zinc and lead, which in today's price environment, we're also enjoying their, I think this morning, zinc prices we haven't seen for many years, at close to over $1.80 per pound. On March 17th, we reported our annual updated mineral resources and mineral reserves. Our gold reserves stand at a strong 3.3 million ounces, a record for the company and an increase of 81% compared to a year ago. Silver reserves stand at almost 26 million ounces, a decrease of 10% with respect to a year ago. For 2022, we have a well-funded exploration budget of $29 million, over 50,000 meters of drilling, with a focus on Seguela and our underground mines with shorter reserve lives. With respect to annual oil and sustaining costs at our silver assets, Cayoma and San Jose, although we record higher costs compared to a year ago, these are in line with our guidance. for the year, and our gold assets, Lindero for the full year is in line with guidance, and Yaramoco did experience higher holding sustaining costs for the quarter and the year, and that can be discussed by Paul further down the presentation in this call. Now I will let Luis go ahead and share a brief discussion on financials.
speaker
Paul Whedon
Thank you, Jorge. I'll reference slides 10 and 11 for a brief discussion on our financial results. As Jorge mentioned, we had the record sales in Q4 2021 of $199 million, driven by the contribution of Lindero and Yaramoko. Realized prices on gold and silver were $1,800 and $23.4 per ounce, slightly below Q4 of last year, or 2020, by 3% and 4% respectively. EBITDA for Q4 2021 of close to $90 million was up 100% over the prior year and 20% above the prior quarter. These results were driven by higher goal production at Lindero and their contribution from Yaramoko. The EBITDA margin was 45% compared to 43% in 2020. Net income for Q4 2021 was slightly down by $1.5 million or 11% over the prior year. We did have a higher operating income of $11 million or 39% over the prior year. This higher operating result, however, was offset by a loss on derivatives of $4.2 million, higher interest expenses of $2.7 million, and higher effective tax rate. Our adjusted net income increased 27% or $6.6 million over Q4 2020 after adjusting mainly for inventory write-downs and realized losses on derivative contracts. Our free cash flow from operations for Q4 2021 was $31 million. Similar to the prior year, we converted 34% of EBITDA into free cash flow compared to 66% in Q4 2021. This percentage from last year was particularly high due to timing factors related to CapEx and working capital. In the current price environment, we expect to see this conversion percentage at around 35% on average. With respect to our liquidity position, as shown in slide 11, we closed the year with $107 million in cash and $80 million and drawn under our $200 million revolving credit facility. For a total, as Jorge mentioned, of $187 million of liquidity available to the company. In the second half of 2021, we spent close to $40 million in Seguela between construction and exploration. We expect to spend an additional $110 million in construction activities during 2022. And finally, the company's net debt remains at very modest levels at $59 million. Back to you, Jorge. Okay.
speaker
Jorge
Cesar, do you want to go ahead? Thank you, Jorge. In Latin America, from a consolidated production perspective, we saw a good performance in all three operations, with Lindero delivering record gold production for the quarter. As we can see in slide 14, and as I mentioned before, Lindero finished with record gold production in the upper range of the guidance for the year. All processing areas performed as planned during the fourth quarter, with 1.4 million tons of crushed ore placed on the leach pad via conveyor stacking, representing an increase of 17% over the third quarter. The SART plant is operating according to plan and copper is well under control. The ADR plant expansion was successfully commissioned and is performing according to expectations. As shown in slides 15 and 16, as far as our San Jose and Cayoma operations, both of them deliver results as planned and in accordance with guidance with a nice bonus of 6,000 ounces of gold from Kayoma for the year. Back to you, Jorge.
speaker
Pauline
Thank you. Paul, do you want to share with us Yaramoko's performance and update on Segela Construction?
speaker
Trevor Turnbull
Thanks, Jorge. Yaramoko finished the fourth quarter of the year behind our plans, principally due to a delay in delivering several high-grade stoves in that period. This, coupled with some localised dilution in the stoking block we did mine, saw the realised grade for the period approximately 18% below expectation. Mine production and mill throughput was on track in terms of total tonnages moved, but as mentioned, offset by the grade scheduled. As a result, given the high fixed cost nature of the operation in Yarramoka, we did realise a higher oil sustaining cost for the period. That has turned for Q1. Turning to Seguela, the project, as mentioned by Jorge earlier, continues to advance smoothly as of February 28th, it advanced the project to 42% of completion, with key de-risking scopes of bulk earthworks nearing completion. Both the schedule and the budget for the project remain on track at this time, very pleasingly so, and we look forward to wrapping up key scopes in the ground in the coming months, those being the mobilisation of our EPC contractor lycopodium. They're now on site and making good progress. We'll commence pouring concrete at the processing facility in the coming weeks and expect key structural steel and equipment deliveries. In some cases we had a plan. So we're very pleased how things are progressing. As you can see, in the photos provided in the presentation. Some of the key scopes in terms of project risk in any gold project in this part of the world, things like tarling stands and water storage stand key waves are up and out of the ground, representing a significant milestone in the projects being de-risked and able to be delivered on time and on budget. Thank you, Jorge.
speaker
Pauline
Okay, Carlos, thank you.
speaker
Carlos Baca
We would now like to turn the call over to any questions that you may have.
speaker
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, the floor is now open for questions. If you have any questions or comments, please press star 1 on your phone at this time. We ask that while posing your question, you please pick up your handset if listening on speakerphone to provide optimum sound quality. Please hold while we poll for questions. Your first question for today is coming from Adrian Day. Please announce your affiliation, then pose your question.
speaker
spk04
Yes, good afternoon, Adrian Day of Management. Could you... You mentioned the loss on derivatives. Was this a realized loss? And then can you tell us what the derivatives are on? Are they currencies or metals?
speaker
Paul Whedon
Hi, Adrian. Yes, so... Out of the amount we reported for the quarter of a bit over $4 million, around $3 million is unrealized. And the bulk of the loss is really on metal, basically zinc and a bit of lead. The zinc hedges are for Cayoma's production, and they go out up to half of 2022. And the ranges are, in terms of the The prices for the hedge are $3,200 and $3,100. There are also other items in there that offset those. That would be diesel hedges that were put in place back at the beginning of 2020 for all of 2021 and 2022 for our Lindero diesel consumption, which is a significant component of of the cost structure, and those certainly are yielding positive results, right?
speaker
spk04
Okay, thank you so much.
speaker
Operator
Your next question is coming from Trevor Turnbull. Please announce your affiliation, then pose your question.
speaker
Trevor Turnbull
Yeah, hi, it's Trevor Turnbull from Scotiabank. I think it's probably a question for Paul. I was curious at Yaramoko, you had talked about some delays at the end of last year getting to some of the higher grade stopes that you wanted to. And it was mentioned, I think, in the MD&A that access to those stopes would be coming here in Q1. I also saw that the kind of the head grade for this year, the guidance was around six and a half grams or so, but knowing that you're going to be getting access in Q1 to some of those higher grade stopes, I just wondered how we should think about the grade profile. I feel like you ended the year still around the seven gram mark, so are we still looking for something say north of seven grams in Q1 from the higher grade and then tailing off rather significantly to get down to that six and a half gram average?
speaker
Trevor Turnbull
That's true. It was a handful of scopes for a tune of a couple of thousand ounces that really caused that miss. I expect to see a slight, it seems to be the case with the Yaramoko project, Q1 and Q4 seem to track a little higher and dip in the middle of the year for some reason. That trend appears to continue. I think what we've seen for the end of last year, the start of this year, and what was noted in the plan for 2022, and indeed the reserves in general, it is a flatter grade curve for the next little while in that seven grand per ton range.
speaker
Trevor Turnbull
Okay. And then I had a more general question just on construction at Seguela. There was talk about kind of the critical path items, one of which was to continue to I think, finalize a few contracts. You have a maximum price EPC contract already for the plant, and I know you're still waiting to finalize the mining contract. Was there anything else in there, or is it really just the mining contract that's kind of the last big one to think about?
speaker
Trevor Turnbull
You're right there, Trevor. The EPC agreement is there as well, and the key item there within that is the SAG milk. And indeed, several components of that package are in fact in front of the schedule. The mining contract is due to be executed on the project schedule late Q1, early Q2, and we're on track for that. The HV component, which is also, you know, I guess a production critical part, is on track, if not a little bit in front. So as you see today, advance rate is good and... And we're on track to get better.
speaker
Trevor Turnbull
Great. Okay. Yeah, I look forward to seeing continued good progress at Seguela. But that's all I had. Thank you.
speaker
spk04
Thank you.
speaker
Operator
Your next question for today is coming from Don DeMarco. Please announce your affiliation, then pose your question.
speaker
Don DeMarco
Thank you, Operator. So my name is Don DeMarco, and I'm with National Bank Financial. Hi, Jorge and Paul. My first question is on Segwela and I was wondering if you could maybe just confirm what capex we should be modeling in 2023. The financials are clear in that for 2022 the capex is on the order of about $110 million and I see that maybe $34 million was spent last year. Adding those together takes us to over 140, which implies that maybe there's about maybe 30 million to be sent in 2023, 15 million a quarter before the first pour about mid-year and ramping up thereafter. So is that right? Should we model the capex tailing off in 2023 as those numbers would suggest?
speaker
Pauline
Yes, let me take that one here. Yeah, that is correct, Don. It should be tailing off just like you described.
speaker
Don DeMarco
okay thank you for that and um on inflation um is there any preliminary indications that the uh uh that capex might might be facing some pressure um uh the 173 total capex estimate or are you still comfortable with that at this point at the time for the time being um we're comfortable the nature of the agreements we've made in all of the
speaker
Trevor Turnbull
the critical bits of equipment that are sort of subject to that inflation risk were placed very early on in the piece. And so, you know, really had that inflation, that risk taken off the table. I think what, you know, if you're going to choose an area that is ongoing in terms of risk, it's probably freight and access to freight, price of the freight and access to it. But again, we also, you know, and paid a premium for it, secured a lot of that. Toward the end of last year, we committed the project. So, you know, at the moment, and I'll give you an example, the 290KB transformers for the HP project, which are made out of copper and things that are under pressure at the moment, are actually a couple of weeks ahead of schedule. So at the moment, we're holding the line, Donnie. But I'm mindful of what's happening out there. But for the moment, we're going okay. Okay.
speaker
Pauline
Thanks, Paul. I would like to add to that, that bear in mind that before we announced the construction decision in late September of last year, we went through a revision of with the team and, you know, trying to better ascertain the type of inflationary pressures that, you know, we could expect and as a result of that exercise, we at the time increased the capex in the range of $24 million with respect to what was in the published feasibility study of earlier in the year 2021. That study was published in early 2021. And before going public with the construction decision, again, we did our best effort to update those figures with inflation considerations that were reasonable at the time and those are the 24 million dollars that we added to the CAPEX and against that figure like Paul described to safeguard that figure we have a smart structure in the agreement and some the team has been trying to lock in early as much as we can on the key items, and we're feeling so far good, and it's something we monitor closely, right?
speaker
Don DeMarco
Okay. Okay. Thank you for that, Jorge. And one additional question on Yaramoko. We see that with the resource update recently last week, the reserves, there was some depletion in the reserves. We see CAPEX guidance for 2022 is above historical norms. What is the longer-term strategy for this asset? Can we hope for maybe a reversion to lower AISC, lower costs in 2023, expiration success? Or, Paul, what should we hope for on Yaramoko?
speaker
Trevor Turnbull
I think that my hopes are similar to yours. I think that We're currently executing the deep drilling program which sees us testing some of the inferred adepts and in fact some of the open areas which are substantial there. As you can appreciate, the ability to get platforms to access that drilling is just a simple progress issue. So that drilling's underway. Sorry, it will be continued in the current quarter and next, wrapped up towards the end of the year. So, you know, as the 55 Zone has continued to do over its life, generally speaking, if you put the drilling into it, it has responded. So, you know, I hear you. This program's important for us to get a little bit more visibility on that mine line, and we'll see that in the coming quarter or two.
speaker
Don DeMarco
Okay. Thank you. Good luck with continued development, Seguela, and cost decreases at Lindero. That's all from me.
speaker
Operator
Operator? Once again, if there are any questions or comments, please press star 1 at this time.
speaker
Pauline
Operator, I usually would like to share a comment here for the benefit of the audience. For the first hours of market trading this morning, StockWatch posted an erroneous heading of our year-end results saying that Fortuna lost $59 million in 2021, when in reality we earned $51 million. No losses here. That was corrected at around mid-morning Eastern time. So we're looking into this and into the idiot who did this, right? So I just wanted to share that because I think that was an unfortunate stopwatch mishap this morning.
speaker
Operator
As a reminder, please press star 1 if you have a question.
speaker
spk01
Thank you, Holly.
speaker
Carlos Baca
If there are no further questions, I would like to thank everyone for listening to today's earnings call. We look forward to you joining us next quarter. Have a good day.
speaker
Operator
Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. This does conclude today's event. You may disconnect your phone lines at this time and have a wonderful day. Thank you for your participation.
Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

-

-