Farfetch Limited

Q1 2021 Earnings Conference Call

5/13/2021

spk07: forward-looking statements, and forward-looking statements made today speak only to our expectations as of today. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise them. For a discussion of some of the important risk factors that could cause actual results to differ, please see the risk factors section of our Form 20F filed with the SEC on March 4th, 2021. In addition, we will refer to certain financial measures not reported in accordance with IFRS on this call. you can find reconciliations of these non-IFRS financial measures to the IFRS financial measures in our earnings press release and the slide presentation, both of which are available on our website at barfetchinvestors.com. And now, I'd like to turn the call over to Jose.
spk09: Thank you, Alice, and thank you all for joining us today. I'm very pleased to report that the strong momentum we've had exiting 2020 has accelerated into 2021, with a significant boost in both digital platform and Group GMV growth. In Q1, Group GMV grew 50% year-on-year, with digital platform GMV growing 60% to exceed our previously provided guidance. Based on the continued strong performance to date, we have also upgraded our full-year 2021 outlook to expect higher digital platform GMV growth and reiterated our expectations for positive adjusted EBITDA for the year. We believe the strong momentum in our business is a reflection of the paradigm shift we have helped drive over the past year. where we have seen accelerated online adoption by luxury consumers and digitization by luxury brands and retailers. We expect this will be sustained and continue to progress, which is why we are continuing to invest behind our proposition as a digital enabler for the entire global luxury industry. As mentioned last quarter, we are focusing our 2021 strategic roadmap across five major themes of our Chapter 2 strategy. I will update you on our progress across the first three, strengthening our luxury partnerships, China, and the luxury new retail or L&R platform. And I'll let Stephanie update you on the remaining two, the Carthage brand, and unrivaled global customer experience. Starting with our luxury partnerships, we continue to build on our highly strategic relationships with our nearly 1,400 luxury brands and retailers. They are increasingly seeing FireFetch as a key partner. as evidenced by the fact that total listings on the marketplace accelerated to a record number of stock units in Q1. And they're selling faster. Q1 GMV growth for our boutiques and for our brands, each in aggregate, were both the highest since 2018. In fact, our top 20 e-concession brands enjoyed more than 150% year-on-year growth on average of high-margin direct-to-consumer sales during the quarter. As a digital enabler, we are also continuing to advance enterprise solutions to support our luxury partners. This includes our FastWedge platform solutions, or FPS services, which powers more than 50% growth on average in Q1 in the brand.com e-commerce channels of our more mature FPS clients, those who have been on FPS for at least one year. Last quarter, we also announced FPS's launch of e-concessions as a service. which enables brands to shift more of their distribution from wholesale to direct-to-consumer and allows multi-brand retailers to access a deeper and broader selection of concession supply in real-time. Following the successful launch of Burberry's e-concession on Harris.com in Q4 2020, we were delighted to further expand our e-concessions as a service for Harrods to also include Brunello, Cucinelli and Zenga. With more and more brands actively prioritizing direct-to-consumer channels, we believe our unique e-concession solution will enable this transformation, not only on the Farfetch marketplace, but also by facilitating e-concessions for the broader industry. turning to China. We remain laser focused on continuing to build on our successes in this market. Our localized operations enabled us to attract valuable Chinese customers across a broad base of channels, where we engage luxury fashion consumers with our global supply from the best brands in luxury via our app, website, and social commerce channels such as WeChat, and demonstrate our fashion authority across our content, services, and for our private clients via local stylists who engage with their clients on the latest fashion trends and provide access to exclusive products and events. This robust proposition underpins our strong performance in mainland China. which continues to grow faster than both the US, our largest market, and the overall marketplace in Q1. The fact that we have continued to deliver outsized growth in China, where consumers have had the option of shopping in physical retail stores since spring 2020, when lockdown restrictions were lifted, further highlights the appeal of our services and offerings for luxury consumers. and also demonstrates the sustained paradigm shift we have witnessed across the luxury industry. On the back of our success in building a thriving China business, we were thrilled to boost our presence in this critical market with the launch of our storefront on Pin Mo's Luxury Pavilion in March. I'd like to update you on the very early indications we're seeing from these exciting initiatives. For us, the Tmall opportunity is a multifaceted partnership, with two key objectives being, one, boosting the Farfetch brand awareness in China by reaching a much wider audience, and two, driving incremental sales. In terms of the first objectives, we are very enthused by the positive reaction from Chinese customers to our unique offering of more than 3,000 brands, almost 90% of which were not previously available on PMO and which they now associate with Farfetch. What we have seen in the initial weeks is an opportunity that seems to be very complementary to our other channels in China. Tmall customers have been particularly excited about these new brands and we were positively surprised when we saw that 8 of the top 10 selling brands on our Tmall Star are smaller brands that rank much lower on the passage marketplace. This is highly validating. as it demonstrates that Farfetch's unique selling proposition of bringing an unrivaled global supply directly to the Chinese customer resonates with the wider public in China. We are also very excited about the demographics of the female audience, with initial indications of incrementality to be gained from attracting a more female, lecture-enthusiast customer base. that is more regionally diverse across Tier 1, 2, and 3 cities than our core Farfetch China customers. Tmall also arranges numerous marketing events on its platform. Our storefront launched during Tmall's International Women's Day event, and we kicked off a 360-degree marketing campaign to promote our brand with Tmall consumers. As a result, we have seen as many visitors to our Teemo Star as we have to our own China app and gained 150,000 StarFront friends in the first two months. In terms of our objective to drive sales, we are building momentum. and are very pleased to already see sales that are multiples of the comparable results from our launch on JD. As we continue to build our data pool and gain experience navigating the Tmall ecosystem and leveraging their marketing engine, we expect it to become a meaningful channel for our China business in 2022 and beyond. Overall, we are thrilled to have this fantastic opportunity for the Farfetch brand, with Farfetch representing one of only five buttons on the TLP home screen, while also operating a dedicated storefront offering rich luxury fashion content within Tmall to entice luxury consumers to continue engaging with Farfetch, whether on Tmall or directly on the Farfetch China app. Onto Platform and Luxury New Retail, or L&R, where we have also made significant progress. L&R represents our vision of delivering a global presence for brands and retailers by virtually unifying their customers' interactions across all channels, both on and offline. with one single integration. The L&R offering enables luxury brands and retailers to leverage our full suite of SPS enterprise solutions, along with the Farfetch marketplace and PMO's luxury pavilion, all of which can be integrated with their own monobrand online destinations and SPS powers connected retail stars to achieve a full 360-degree view of the customer and to deliver a hyper-personalized and seamless journey for the luxury customer across all channels. L&R is a massive opportunity to transform the retail experience for the nearly $300 billion global luxury industry Just last week, we hosted an event showcasing our L&R suite of technology solutions for more than 100 top executives of brands and retailers, which was met with great reaction. These solutions are also enabling the shopping journey at our new Groundsbrook Street location, where customers have also been very enthusiastic about the experience. Finally, I am also really pleased to see the incredible momentum of our vision being embraced by partners around the world. On this front, I would like to announce the following. In Monaco, a Ford Chanel boutique went live with our L&R connected retail solutions earlier this month. in Doha, Qatar. And pleased to announce we have signed luxury department store and current fast-hatch marketplace seller, Plantain, to help design the in-store technology and connected retail experience for their new 300,000 square foot flagship. In Brazil, I can confirm we will be partnering with Cidade Matarazzo Complex in development in the heart of São Paulo to implement our connected retail solution to create a technologically advanced luxury experience across the complex's entire 300,000 square foot retail village. Finally, in China, I'd like to share an update on further L&R opportunities we will be exploring with our partner Alibaba. On the heels of our launch on Tmall's luxury pavilion, we have accelerated discussions and plan to launch a joint retail innovation lab in China to operate as an extension of the Alibaba and FastEdge L&R innovation teams. We have also decided to launch a physical luxury retail concept store in China to showcase the L&R retail experience. I am tremendously excited that our luxury new retail vision is gaining traction and that luxury brands around the world are joining us in bringing to bear the latest technologies to revolutionize and personalize the customer journey. I'll now let Stephanie update you on the remaining two strategic pillars.
spk04: Thank you, José. Hello, everyone. I'm pleased to share an update for Q1 on our Chapter 2 customer initiatives captured under our brand and unrivaled customer experience pillars, which are aimed at growing and retaining our base of 3.3 million active consumers. On the brand pillar first, I believe that building brand goes way beyond investing in brand campaigns or more visible examples such as our rebrand last year. It requires a fundamental change in mindset and ways of working where the organization needs to reflect the end-to-end customer journey. Along the way, we have brought teams together, hired in expertise to bring a more integrated view of marketing, and we have worked even more closely with the commercial teams to align our supply and demand while emphasizing Farfetch's unique proposition. This was also enabled by a company-wide program called Creating Customer Culture, which aims to imbue every Farfetcher, regardless of their department, with a deep knowledge and understanding of our luxury customer and their preferences, ensuring that these pillars are truly woven into the fabric of the business. That said, brand campaigns are an important element, and we have built on the successes of our new brand identity and full funnel brand marketing campaign introduced in 2020 with the launch of our second brand campaign in four key luxury markets. The message highlights our global boutique offering, which is a key differentiator for Farfetch, and one that extends our hashtag support boutique movement initiated at the start of the pandemic a year ago. Brand building takes time and we look at a basket of measures to track our progress. Recent indications from our initial brand campaign last year, Open Doors, show that our approach is yielding results on two key metrics, awareness and consideration. Over the last 12 months, in other words, pre- and post-campaign, we have seen an overall increase of luxury customers telling us that Farfetch is the first or one of the first places they would consider to shop. In China, one of the key markets where we have been investing in upper funnel marketing, we have seen awareness increase year on year, and consideration in Q1 was higher than any other Western competitor in the market. As we look at Western markets, Google share of search, which measures our portion of organic searches among our peer set, is a strong proxy for consideration. In Q1, we have seen our share of search in our largest market, the U.S., with our brand survey results demonstrate that our brand strategy is working. Our luxury brand partners have also taken notice of our success and applauded our approach to brand building, from our rebrand to our choice of contributors, styling, and talent in our content and brand campaigns. We believe that their increased admiration and confidence in Farfetch as a strategic partner has contributed to our growing number of engagements with brands to execute their own marketing strategies on the Farfetch marketplace, which in turn has increased our year-on-year coverage in consumer press, a key low-cost marketing channel. In Q1, we launched 10 significant brand partnership campaigns on the marketplace. These partnerships are a key component of our Only on Farfetch initiative, our strategy to differentiate our brand by playing to our unique strengths with an ongoing focus on our boutique proposition, on leveraging our New Guards Group acquisition, and delivering exclusive brand partnerships while deploying all our capabilities from our global reach to our innovation features, all of which is crucial to offering our customers an unrivaled customer experience, which is our fifth strategic pillar. Some key highlights here include, first is a four-part program with Gucci, where we activated an immersive world centered around sustainability to celebrate their off-the-grid connection. This is our second multi-part activation with Gucci, demonstrating the value we deliver as a strategic partner and long-term relationship with brands. We leveraged our investment in New Guards Group by offering our customers exclusive capsules from sought-after labels, such as Ambush and Palm Angels. Regional localization continues to be key, and in celebration of Ramadan, we curated an exclusive collection from 30 Middle Eastern and international designers. Our positively far-fetched ESG efforts to be a platform for good are also evidenced by partnerships such as our recently curated edit for FKA Twigs and our collaboration with Balmain and Natal for Black History Month. as a platform we also look to enhance the customer experience via our service offerings and this quarter we were delighted to offer the farfetch fixed luxury restoration service in partnership with one of our open innovation startups the restory to encourage circularity these brand partnerships and services can drive co-branded marketing revenue but also enhance the experience for our customers and we believe ultimately contribute towards improved retention In Q1, we continued to see positive trends on retention, with our existing cohorts outpacing historic trends. But we have also continued to see better retention from our earliest cohort of customers we acquired during the pandemic in Q2 2020 as compared to the Q2 2019 cohort. Thanks to our targeted demand generation efforts and our business strategy to reduce promotions, we are finding that these customers, a higher mix of whom were acquired via a full price sale, have higher repurchase rates. Finally, in addition to our ESG initiatives with various brands and services, we were also thrilled to publish the first edition of our Conscious Luxury Trends Report on Earth Day. The report harnesses numerous data insights across our platform, such as the fact that 88% of customers tell us they care about minimizing their environmental impact. And the customers sold three times as many bags via our Second Life program in 2020 as they did in 2019. All of this to help inform the overall industry in incorporating more conscious practices and programs. And now I'll hand the call over to Elliot to discuss our financial results and outlook.
spk08: Thank you, Stephanie, and hello, everyone. The first quarter of 2021 demonstrates continued strong demand for products traded across the Farfetch platform. We delivered a year-on-year increase in GMV of 50% to $916 million, with digital platform GMV growing 60% to $790 million. This has driven a 46% increase year-on-year in group revenue to $485 million and a 54% year-on-year growth in digital platform services revenue to $286 million. Alongside this growth, we have achieved stronger unit economics, delivered further operating leverage and improved our profitability position with adjusted EBITDA of minus $19 million compared to minus $22 million in Q1 of 2020. As a result, the overall financial position of the company is ahead of our own expectations and previous guidance. and we continue to remain very confident about the rest of 2021, raising guidance on GMV growth and reiterating our guidance around full-year profitability at the adjusted EBITDA level. I'd like to run through some financial highlights by business segment, starting with the digital platform, where GMV growth accelerated out of the previous quarter to 60% year-on-year in Q1. This is the second fastest growth within the digital platform over the last 12 quarters. This was underpinned by an acceleration in growth within the marketplace, in turn driven by stronger year-on-year growth in orders from existing customers, the addition of 480,000 new customers in the quarter, and an 8% increase in average order value as a result of consumers buying higher price point items and a higher full price mix year on year. This growth was geographically diverse with notably strong year on year performance within the UK, the Middle East, the US, particularly across the final four weeks of the quarter, and mainland China, where we saw an acceleration of growth and further gain in share of overall demand relative to the marketplace. Unit economics across the digital platform remained strong, with digital platform order contribution margin up 100 basis points year-on-year to 33%. The key driver of this improvement to margin was an increase in first-party gross margin from 25% last year to 35% this Q1. This is a result of a higher full-price mix within Browns and increasing direct-to-consumer trade from New Guard's brand. We also reduced investment in promotions across the first-party and third-party proposition. Partially offsetting these improvements were the impact of higher costs of revenue. First, higher duties and other handling charges as a result of the UK's withdrawal from the European Union. An impact from European digital services taxes and a COVID-19 linked increase in logistics cost per order. We also took the decision to reinvest some of this margin improvement back into customer engagement, which is reflected in demand generation media spend of 21.6% of digital platform service revenue versus 20.5% last Q1. This investment is on the back of growing demand for luxury online, which translated to the highest ever number of new Q1 marketplace customers. Continued strong retention and demand from existing customers. Payback of customer acquisition spend well within six months. a three-month LTV over CAC ratio for the Q2, Q3 and Q4 2020 cohorts above the respective cohorts for 2019 and 2018, and a clear opportunity to develop our engagement channels on the global marketplace, particularly in China. Other key Q1 updates on the digital platform include GMV growth year on year on a constant currency basis of 54%, third party take rate of 29.7%, and first party GMV growth of 59% year over year to now represent 15% of digital platform GMV, out of which 3% belonged to first party original. Turning now to the brand platform where we continue to focus on partnering with brand enhancing retailers as we balance stock between the wholesale channel and the higher margin direct to consumer proposition across the digital platform and our own retail locations. This means fewer highly strategic relationships, moderating growth on the brand platform and improving profitability. As a result, the brand platform achieved GMV and revenue of $112 million, slightly ahead of the guidance provided last quarter. Importantly, gross margins expanded from 49% last year to 51% this year to deliver $58 million of gross profit. Turning now to our operating expenses, where we continue to deliver overall operating leverage. This leverage is the result of cost growth from within our technology platform, our corporate functions, and our production studios growing 28%, 25%, and 23% respectively, compared to 36% year-on-year growth of adjusted revenue. This leverage is a net of investment into our long-term strategic initiatives, including a new Fulfillment by Farfetch facility in the Netherlands, which we believe will mitigate a significant proportion of Brexit-related cross-border charges, brain-building activities to drive upper-funnel customer engagement, and technology spend to develop our beauty offering. Q1 depreciation and amortization was $54 million and our share-based payment expense was $40 million. A quick mention of the $660 million gain in items held at fair value. This is a direct result of the reduction in the far-fetched share price since December 31st. as settlement of our convertible notes and JV in the Middle East is marked against the Farfetch share price. The gain reverses some of the charges we have seen on this line over recent quarters and has resulted in a Q1 2021 profit after tax of $517 million. Let's now look ahead to the coming quarter and the upgraded outlook for the full year. Based on the strong momentum we have seen year to date, the positive leading indicators with regards to demand across the digital platform for Q2, and more confidence in the broader backdrop of global luxury consumption for the second half, We are upgrading our four-year digital platform GMV expectations to now be between 35% to 40% growth year-on-year. This would represent two-year growth of 91% to 98%. This additional growth allows us to continue to invest in the longer-term opportunity and we will be driving additional customer engagement and increasing investment in platform development with a focus on delivering long-term sustainable growth. As such, there is no change to the expectations for profitability where we reiterate the previous guidance of 1% to 2% margin at the adjusted EBITDA level. For Q2, our expectation for the digital platform is GMV growth of 40% to 45% year-on-year. This takes into account the annualisation of new customer growth last year and lapping of Harrods.com and OffWhite.com launches on FPS, which are now like for like within the digital platform moving forwards. Digital platform order contribution margin is expected to be between 34% to 36% of digital platform revenue as we continue to navigate the short-term challenges of Brexit and we continue to invest in media spend to build on the strong customer cohorts. Brand platform GMV and revenue is now expected at $50 to $60 million. This position reflects a shift for the full winter 21-22 season towards in-season deliveries, which means shipments to our wholesale partners are now closer to when these items will be worn by their customers. Last year, fall winter shipments and associated revenue were spread across Q2 and Q3, whereas this year the majority of shipments are being shifted into Q3. Q2 brand platform gross profit margin is expected to be between 48% to 51%. And finally, Q2 adjusted EBITDA is expected at minus $23 to minus $25 million. Jose.
spk09: Thank you, Elliot. Let me close by reflecting on how these results clearly demonstrate superb execution against our long-term vision. which could not have been achieved without the continued dedication and efforts of our more than 5,000 5-hatchers. We continue to leverage the platform infrastructure we have built to drive very strong growth for our partners, deepening our relationships within the luxury industry and enhancing the proposition for consumers as a result. all of which puts us in a unique position to continue to gain share of the nearly $300 billion opportunity we see in becoming the global platform for luxury. Thank you. I'll now ask the operator to open the call for Q&A.
spk07: Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, you'll need to press star 1 on your telephone. To withdraw your question, press the pound or hash key. Please stand by. We compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of Steven Ju from CS. Your line is open.
spk03: Okay. Thank you. So, Jose, we wanted to ask you about the technology you were showing at the new luxury retail presentation at Browns. It does look like it'll require retailers to invest in things like mirrors and some of the other stuff that was, I think, on the hangars. And clearly, they're buying into this, given the announcements with Chanel and Pantone. But what is the pitch to these retailers in terms of what return on investment they can expect to see? And Elliot, should we assume that embedded within the second quarter guidance are assumptions of perhaps ongoing marketing inefficiency in your demand acquisition expense as well as what may be brand campaigns in your G&A expenses as you guys ramp up on Tmall and China? Thanks.
spk09: Thank you. Of course, it's early days in terms of measuring the return on investment. And the numbers we have from Chanel are very, very encouraging. And on the back of that, Chanel is expanding to more Chanel boutiques. We just launched the technology in Monaco. And, of course, in London it's only a few weeks old, but we're already seeing double-digit sales, increase of sales, coming from the connected retail technology specifically. So, I think, you know, the more important than that and obviously, you know, if we deliver consistent double-digit boost to any retailer, that's transformational, right? So, in itself. But I think, you know, the key here is in a fully connected journey for the customer. So today, if you're a brand or if you're a retailer, you don't know the customers that are coming into the stores. You hear luxury brands say that 70%, 75%, 80% of the customers that come into their stores are unrecognized. You don't know which products they pick off the shelves. You don't know which products they take to the fitting rooms. And that is what we are changing in the industry. That is absolutely revolutionary. So with the combination of the consumer app, the shop floor app, and the connected devices in the store, and the Farfetch Smart Tag, which is an R&D effort that is proprietary, we know we can identify the customer that comes in the store. We know it's you, of course. There's an opt-in, legally required opt-in. As you walk in, as you browse the products in the Star, the smart tag picks it up. So it knows that the product is being lifted. If it's a parachute, it's being turned around. It's moving around the Star. It knows it's everywhere it's moving. And it knows it's you. So it triangulates between position in the Star, product, and consumer. That's completely unprecedented in terms of the data that you can get from that. And then the possibilities are a myriad of possibilities, right? From CRM, from the fact that you as a customer can get into a store, spend 20 minutes there, get out. And you know what? Everything you touch on that star is in your wish list. And that was incredible. The customers we've piloted this with couldn't believe their own eyes. They don't need to scan any product. There's no RFID involved here. And it's incredible, the data that can be derived from this. and also the user experience. So we're very, very excited. We think this brings retail to another level and is going to completely revolutionize the industry. because it is a connected journey. As you come into the store, the shop assistant knows what you have visited on the website, not just what you bought, but what you have in the wish list, what you have recently browsed. So that unified view of customer, unified view of product, unified view of journey across offline, online, monogrand, multibrand, It's, I call it sometimes, retail nirvana. And I think that's what we're delivering. And it's ready to go to market. And that's what's getting Quentin and Cidade Matarazzo. These are 300,000 square feet luxury developments each excited. And we're going to have this working at a very large scale as well. So watch the space, because I think there's great traction here.
spk08: Hey, Stephen. I'll pick up on the marketing spend and what we've seen there. For us at the moment, we're seeing fantastic growth and engagement with the customer cohorts. I mean, 480,000 new customers in Q1. which is on the back of 500,000 customers thereabouts the last three quarters in a row, shows that the environment is right to be capturing new customers as this paradigm shift to online continues. And, you know, the results that we're seeing from the customers that we acquired Q2, Q3 last year is fantastic lifetime value. So as I said earlier on, the three-month LTV over CAC for these cohorts is much stronger than the equivalent cohorts from the previous two years. We're seeing a faster payback on investment. So it's really the right thing to do to lean in on these opportunities. We are seeing promo spend coming down elsewhere. We're seeing efficiencies coming through on the first party business that's particularly around the growth in full price. The fact that we're acquiring so many customers whilst full price mix is increasing, i.e. sales of full price are growing faster than promo sales or markdown sales, means the quality of the customers we're acquiring is also very strong. You might remember from our history that a customer acquired on a promo isn't as great moving forward in terms of LTV as a customer that's acquired during full price period. we're actually seeing leaning in on this customer is the right thing to be doing right now. And as we see the momentum build in China, as Jose touched on it before, strong growth out of the US as we exited the quarter, it's really the right thing to do to capture and continue to engage with the customer base. so that's why you're seeing um you know the sort of slight step up year on year on demand generation in q1 and as you say in the q2 numbers we are reflecting that in the order contribution you know staying relatively stable year on year that's also managing some short-term challenges around costs due primarily to the uk's withdrawal from the european union and challenges around duties and handling costs that we're seeing across the coming weeks but also reflects this investment in the customer. And then in terms of brand, as Stephanie said earlier on, really good sort of early results coming through from the brand campaigns and the work that the team have done to refresh the far-fetched proposition with customers. So again, leaning into that as we move forward, which is in the SG&A numbers for Q2, and that's what sort of reflects the EBITDA position just being marginally ahead year on year as we move towards Q2.
spk06: a full year profitability over the coming three quarters your next question comes from the line of lauren shank from morgan stanley your line is open great thanks so much um elliot the regional performance you gave in your prepared remarks was was really helpful sounded like the us um accelerated in the month of march curious um if there's anything you can sort of comment on in terms of what you've seen regionally in April and early May, and then generally, you know, sort of performance in regions or areas where stores have reopened. And then one sort of modeling question, any way to sort of help us quantify how much anniversarying the Harrods.com and Off-White.com will have in terms of impacts on the second quarter digital platform growth? That would be great. Thanks so much.
spk08: Sure. Hi, Lauren. Great question. So, yeah, we're very encouraged by the regional data. So, you know, China accelerating out of Q4 into Q1 clearly is a good sign. The UK was particularly strong all the way through Q1, obviously starting to reopen in April retail locations here in the UK. So we continue to drive strong growth there. Even after that reopening and the US, the last three or four weeks out of the quarter were particularly strong and that did carry through into the early parts of the quarter that we're now in. So we're seeing really good, strong growth continue into the quarter, hence why the guidance of 40% to 45% I think is slightly better than most numbers in the street. And what I think is really key is that it's all about full price. So, you know, the full price offering, the Spring Summer 21 collections that we have on the platform are doing superbly well. Where our sellers have leaned into that offering, they're being rewarded with very, very strong growth. So full price growth is up over the overall range. Average year-on-year, our stock value is up something like 58%. So we've got a lot of stock going into the campaign over the coming quarter. And so we're very pleased with what that means. Plus also the backdrop is much stronger. We're definitely getting a sense from customers that although retail locations have reopened, they are still shopping online. This paradigm shift to online is here to stay. They're enjoying the convenience, the selection, and the speed of service that our logistics team is able to offer to customers. And so we're seeing continued online demand, even though store options are there now for customers. The same in the Middle East. We've seen good, strong demand across the quarter from Middle East, even though stores have been open there. So I think overall there's plenty of share to go around as luxury really starts to grow across the rest of the year. in terms of the the question about modeling that is you know broadly the step down from 60 to the 40s um from q1 to q2 is by and large that annualization of harrods and offwhite.com i'm very confident how the marketplace is performing uh and the other fps clients that are on a like-for-like basis as jose said uh continuing to deliver very very strong growth so So that sort of step down that we're seeing from Q1 to Q2 is all about now becoming more like-for-like.
spk07: Your next question comes from the line of Oliver Chen from Cohen. Your line is open.
spk10: Hi, thank you. The Tmall early reads are very encouraging. What are your thoughts in terms of how you'll think about that assortment from these learnings, your loyalty approach to this customer base, the manifestation of the Farfetch app relative to accessing Farfetch True Tmall. And Elliot would also just love your take on AOV going forward and how that dynamic may be impacted by both, you know, the attractive new customers and as you think about apparel and product mix. Thank you.
spk04: Hi, Oliver. It's Stephanie. Thanks for your question. Yes, we are very encouraged by the TLP results. And whilst it's early days, I think we have some good indicators to be positive. I think going back, what we have to think about is really that we have a very strong standalone business. in China. The Farfetch app standalone in China is a really compelling proposition. We have all of the luxury brands on there. And so the way we're thinking about the Tmall app is really as a complementary business. So I think, as you pointed out, the idea is how can we really build this sort of pipeline of loyalty and this sort of virtuous circle between these two channels. And I think this is standard practice in China. The Chinese consumer market functions on multiple channels. Our team is used to working through multiple channels and thinking about how to attribute. So it really is about looking at results, learning how to play that game. You know, it's, as Jose mentioned, In his script, it's really about learning how to build our business on TLP. But we're also thinking about very consciously how do we segment that customer base, how do we speak to different audiences. So we should really think about our own Chinese app and how this can really be upside and complementarity from a customer standpoint.
spk08: And just on AOV, I'm very sort of Optimistic about IOV, if that's the right word, as we move forward. As I said earlier on, the full price mix coming through very strong and customers clearly buying into categories that have a higher average selling price. You'll know all of this time last year, people were in the sort of stay-at-home, casual wear, relaxed fit style clothing, which obviously comes at a lower average selling price. We are seeing customers buy into the more sort of going-out, event-driven, fine-tailoring dresses and those sort of higher price point categories within clothing, which is up above the overall average in terms of growth. What is leading our growth or the highest category was actually watches and jewellery. So we again had triple digit growth within watches and jewellery, which obviously helps push the AOV up as well, particularly in the fine jewellery section. And then children's wear growing very strong and accessories also growing very strong. So we're very optimistic that AOV should be positive as we travel through the rest of the year.
spk07: Your next question comes from the line of Douglas Emers from JP Morgan. Your line is open.
spk05: Hi, this is Katie. I'm for Doug. Thanks for taking the question. Following up just on Farfetch launch on Tmall Luxury Pavilion, just curious, what are the areas that will strengthen to make this a meaningful channel in 2022? And do you have a view longer term on which will be the bigger channel?
spk00: Thanks.
spk09: um yeah i i think you know we are really really excited um first about china in general um as you know china will be um absolutely critical for for luxury and you know chinese customers are going to be 50 of of this industry, it is the engine of growth of the industry today already, and we are winning in China. We are growing very fast, so China is growing faster than the US, our largest market, faster than the average of the marketplace. primarily through our own channels. But we see this as a multi-channel approach, right? So WeChat, we are very successful on WeChat. We'll continue to launch innovation, innovative products there. And that brings us to PMO. And we are, you know, really, really excited about these early results. Two months, you know, after we launched, we're seeing... um you know really um a real engagement from customers so the number of customers that visited our plp star front um was the same that we did in our app so the traffic is definitely there uh we're you know we see complementarity in the demographics and mark email tier two tier three customer. And what's very exciting, the customers are engaging with brands that are only on package in China. So I can tell you, for example, brands like Jackie News, Marine Care, Thom Browne, they are in our top 10 on HEMO, which is very, very encouraging because You know, it's not easy to open operations in China, and also it's not easy to be on Tmall. You need a Chinese entity, you need a team. Take NGG, right? NGG has much larger brands than these brands I'm talking about, and they weren't, until now they are not, you know, on Tmall directly or in China. They will be by Earth, obviously. So I think, you know, this is really, really exciting because It shows complementarity. One of our big goals was to build a brand in China. Chinese customers, they don't search for products when they are shopping on Baidu, primarily. They search for fashion in the fashion category, primarily they search on Taobao, which is Taobao's email, to say that. And so, in terms of brand awareness, it's critical. And we're seeing very, very encouraging signs. And in terms of sales, as we always said, we're going to continue to build momentum to make this a meaningful channel for our staff at China Business in 2022 and beyond. You know, we're already seeing multiple times the sales that we saw in a similar, you know, Starfront we had with another player in China, you know, last year. And, you know, it's all on track. So, very, very happy. And on the back of that, Alibaba is also accelerating our partnership with just agreed to launch an innovation lab for the acceleration of luxury retail in China, which, you know, which is very, very encouraging. So, you know, incredible news coming from China all around.
spk07: Thank you. Next question comes from Lorraine. I have a question for you, Lorraine. Your line is open.
spk02: Hey, thanks, everyone. Elliot, just two questions. On the brand platform revenue guide for this quarter, I understand the shift to fall went there. Can you maybe just help us understand, could you quantify the shift or maybe let us know what you're planning for brand platform GMB in the third quarter just to help us kind of understand that and smooth that out? And then could you just talk real quick about the fully diluted share count and the uptick in Q1? Is that from the converts? Just trying to understand what happened there. Thanks.
spk08: Yeah, absolutely. Hi. I mean, broadly what we're seeing is, let me just talk to you sort of what's happening with the brand platform. So effectively we're able to, with our supply chain now, deliver product to our retail partners in season, which means that the prior season has a longer selling window. The stock isn't backing up to enter the stores and therefore there's a longer period for the businesses to sell through product and not mark down as early as they previously had done. This is something that we're seeing more broadly across the industry and we're really pleased that New Guards Group has been able to really adopt this with their customers and it means that the product is fresh for their end consumers in season, the drops are really landing and ready for sale and again that's allowing the retailers to drive a full price mix and ultimately strengthen the brand's overall perception within the market. And so, you know, what we're seeing is compared to last year, you know, the drop that we're talking about is effectively moving into Q3. So we would normally expect, as we saw in Q1, a slight increase year on year in terms of sales, so sort of 3% to 5% across Q1. The whole season, clearly with the number that I've shared for Q2, the bulk of it will move into Q3. So that would be the number that you need to put in your models for Q3 is to make sure that the overall two quarters drive a sort of up to 3%, 4%, 5% sort of year-on-year growth. In terms of the dilution on the share count, so for the first time obviously we're sharing this because of the profitable position. We're seeing the weighted average number of basic shares at $355 million. That goes up to $452 million on a diluted basis. And the rick between that is effectively, by and large, the three convertible notes. So the February notes, $20 million there. The May 2020 notes is $25 million of dilution. The November notes, $18.5 million of dilution. And then on top of that, we've also got the aggregated dilution from employee share option schemes, which is roughly $31, $32 million. So that's the reconciliation there. And those option schemes, as I said, are cumulative effectively over the last sort of three years or so of grants being made to colleagues in the Farfetch for All long-term incentive plan, which obviously aligns motivations of the team to shareholders.
spk07: We have time for one more question. The final question will come from Louise Singlehurst from Goldman Sachs. Louise, your line is open.
spk01: Hi, good evening everyone. Thanks for taking my questions. I'm going to have a stab at guidance if I can. I think, you know, look at the customer base. I've heard lots of very encouraging trends about obviously the run rate. If we look at the numbers, we've got a big increase of 3.3 million versus 2 million a year ago. I guess, what can you tell us about the cohort and maybe insights from Access? The guidance, I guess, even though it's been increased tonight, still looks quite conservative if we think about that run rate and the new pace of active customers each quarter. So I'm just wondering if we're not thinking correctly about average orders, the levels of returns in that. And the second question I had was just on China for Joseph, if I may. We talk a lot about the big brands and Access products. to EGA brands and the inventory levels. Are we missing a trick? Is there a bigger opportunity about that long tail of the private brands with really no distribution in China? I think, Jodie, you alluded to some of the smaller brands having a disproportionate impact on our pavilion on the early reads. Thank you.
spk04: Hi Louise, it's Stephanie. I will take the first part of your question and then I'll hand over to Elliot on guidance. But yes, you're right, we have the largest number of active customers, 3.3 million. We have grown half a million over the last sort of three successive quarters. So we're really seeing momentum there. And as always, it's a balance between acquisition and retention. But the good news is that our retention efforts are aided by the fact that this is a high-quality customer. This is a customer that we've required to full-price sales. We've acquired them often through high-value products. And we're really seeing those results. And so in terms of our retention efforts, we think about sort of a number of measures, of which access is one of them. We have many, many approaches to retention, but access is probably the most sort of visible and signposted for the customer. And since you specifically asked about access, we are seeing improvements there. One measure we look at is order per customer, and actually year on year we've seen a 13% increase from access members who year-on-year on their orders per customer, so a good way to drive sales from the same customer base. We're also seeing other efforts such as push notifications and customers who have essentially opted in with us through access to the app. leaning into this value exchange that we're giving us. So, no, we are very confident and I think that is built in and we see this momentum continuing both on new customer and on our really good metrics around retention, repurchase rate, long-term value, very strong LTV to CAC ratio.
spk08: And then in terms of sort of looking forward, Louise, I think we're building in what we're seeing is a mix of obviously those large cohorts from last year and as I explained on the last time we met, the dropout rate that historically all e-commerce businesses see in terms of sort of 12-month dropout from first order to retained. As Tiffany was saying, their retention is better than previous cohorts looking back, but we still have to annualise those fairly large numbers. Now that we're going to be like for like 500,000 new customers per quarter, Yes, the number is impressive, and we're absolutely delighted to be continuing to capture these numbers, but that will need to offset this dropout that we're seeing and really become more like-for-like. So the number of 40% to 45%, Year-on-year growth for this quarter reflects all of those sort of annualisations. It reflects, as I was saying to Oliver, an increase in AOV and obviously strong order growth from what will be existing customers as we now go into Q2 and annualise and all those customers become like-for-like. And then, you know, obviously, as I said earlier on, the FPS clients continuing to drive good light-to-light growth, but as we've not talked about any new FPS clients, you know, there's no incremental growth in the Q2 numbers from a new FPS client to talk about today.
spk09: And with on-chainer... I think your question is a great question around supply and supply differentiation, you know, super brands versus smaller brands. So let me try to give you the lay of the land in terms of our unique, you know, advantage in terms of supply in China. So we're bringing to China over 3,500 brands on our app. To be clear, the brands that you see in the UK, assuming you're calling us from the UK, or those calling from the US, are the same brands that our Chinese customers see. So when we do a deal with a brand, it's a global deal. You know, so the 550 direct e-concessions we have from the likes of Gucci to, you know, the private of this world, the Valentinos, et cetera, all those brands are available on the 5FightChina app. But what we bring is a unique assortment of those super brands. So we've done a SKU count on PMOLE. and we expand the SKU count in an order of 7.5 on average for those brands that have a presence on Vimeo. So what we're bringing in terms of the super brands to the Chinese customer is this incredible assortment that they wouldn't find in China, even in physical stores, even online. And Chinese customers that were used to travel and go to Milan, Paris, New York, they now can find these very unique products products from the super brands and that is an incredible value proposition for the consumer. You then have the smaller brands and We're very excited because this is really our role of connecting the creators and the curators and the consumers of fashion all around the world, which is our mission. And for these small brands, you can't imagine how transformational it is. With one single integration on Farfetch, they are exposed to 3.3 million active shoppers. spot on in full price luxury at $600 plus average order value. In China, it's even higher. And they're exposed to China, not just on Farfetch, but also on Tmall. 90% of the brands we're exposing on Tmall don't have a Tmall scar. And we knew those brands have traction in China because we knew it from our Fartech China app. We didn't know how they would fare on Tmall, right? So that was a question mark. We didn't know, okay, 800 million customers, a much, much broader audience. Are the customers going to, you know, be engaged with... with our, you know, longer tail offering. And they are, and they're actually incredibly engaged. As I said, you know, our top ten brands on Timo, you know, many of those are, you know, cool, small, more avant-garde brands. And, of course, as an analyst and the investors on that side of the line would like to know also that our take rate is higher on those smaller brands, so they're more profitable for us. They're above the 30% average take rate. And I think it's all about this curated offer, and it's also all about the complementarity, right? So it's a complementary channel for us, which it's showing tremendous incrementality. I know, you know, everyone's focused on sales. So are we. But we're also focused on that complementarity of channels and targeting different audiences. And we're extremely, extremely happy with the results so far.
spk07: Terrific. Well, thanks, everyone, for dialing in. We look forward to speaking with you in a few months. Have a good night. This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
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